Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 6, 2025, 09:38 UTC

Major Updates (February 6, 2025, 09:08 - 09:38 UTC)

1. Kursk Offensive Intensifies: Continued reports of heavy fighting near Ulanok, with Ukrainian forces reportedly using tanks with mine-clearing equipment from Makhnovka, bypassing Cherkasskaya Konopelka in an attempt to reach Plekhovo. Russian sources claim two Ukrainian tanks and one armored fighting vehicle (AFV) were destroyed. Reports of fighting near Fanaseevka continue, with Russian sources stating the enemy is bringing in reserves from Kolmakov. These reports, combined with earlier confirmed fighting near Ulanok, suggest a significant, coordinated, and mechanized Ukrainian push in this sector, involving at least three battalions.

2. Sumy to Kursk Movement: A report states 10 AFVs and tank haulers moved from Sumy towards the Kursk region. This is a significant development, if confirmed. It may indicate a reinforcement of the ongoing Ukrainian offensive or the opening of a new axis of attack. This needs urgent verification.

3. Kharkiv's Barabashovo Market Struck: Reports of strikes on warehouses at Kharkiv's Barabashovo market, alleged to be used for military storage. If confirmed, this represents a targeting of Ukrainian logistics.

4. Krasnolimansk Direction: Reports claim Ukrainian casualties inflicted by Russian FPV drones from the 144th Motorized Rifle Division. This indicates continued drone warfare on this front.

5. Drone Warfare: A Ukrainian drone was downed near the positions of the 39th Guards Brigade by an inventively applied bottle of water.

6. Military Operation 'Clean City': Large-scale operation in Kyiv is in progress.

7. Propaganda:

   • Allegations of a Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region south of Sudzha. These claims are likely designed to distract from the actual ongoing battles.
   • Kirill Fedorov collected funds for "bukhankas" for the soldiers at the front.

Updated Situation

The Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region remains the most significant development. The reported movement of AFVs and tank haulers from Sumy adds a new dimension, potentially signaling a major escalation. The scale and coordination of the Ukrainian attacks, involving multiple battalions and armored vehicles with mine-clearing equipment, indicate a serious attempt to breach Russian defenses.

The fighting near Ulanok and Makhnovka is confirmed by multiple sources from both sides, with claims and counter-claims of equipment losses. The reported involvement of Russian aviation and artillery underscores the intensity of the fighting.

The reported strikes on Barabashovo market in Kharkiv, if confirmed, highlight the targeting of Ukrainian logistics. The ongoing drone warfare, evidenced by reports from both sides, continues to be a key feature of the conflict.

The other reports (casualty claims, political statements, economic news) are secondary to the main development in the Kursk region. The situation remains highly dynamic, with a significant potential for escalation.