Archived operational intelligence briefing
Belgorod Drone Attack: A drone attack on a civilian vehicle in the Belgorod region (Russia) resulted in three fatalities: a man and two girls, aged 14 and 18. The incident occurred near the village of Logachevka, which has been under a state of emergency and closed to entry since October 2022. This indicates continued Ukrainian drone activity inside Russian territory and highlights the risk to civilians in border regions.
Kursk Offensive Intensifies: Confirmed reports of ongoing fighting near Ulanok in the Kursk region, with Ukrainian forces reportedly using tanks with mine-clearing equipment. This suggests a concentrated and mechanized Ukrainian push in this sector. There are also reports of battles near Fanaseevka, with the enemy taking reserves.
Kursk Drone Warfare: Russian forces are actively targeting Ukrainian armor in the Kursk region using drones. One video purports to show the destruction of an engineering mine-clearing vehicle, another one a tank. This confirms the use of drones for targeting, and indicates active resistance.
Kharkiv Grouping: A Ukrainian tactical marking (a white arrow in a white square) has been identified, indicating the presence of new reserves.
Zaporizhzhia Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts were declared and lifted multiple times in the Zaporizhzhia region. This indicates the ongoing threat of air or missile strikes.
Roscosmos Leadership Change Confirmed: Dmitry Bakanov has replaced Yuri Borisov as the head of Roscosmos, with the prior director being dismissed.
Propaganda: There are ongoing reports of soldiers, military units, and supplies being funded by non-governmental organizations.
Alleged War Crimes: UN reports of Russian forces executing Ukrainian prisoners of war since late August 2024.
Donetsk Casualties and Evacuation: Video evidence shows Ukrainian medical evacuation efforts in a heavily damaged area near Artemivsk (Bakhmut). This underscores the intensity of fighting and the human cost.
Drone Strikes: New reports of drone attacks in the Belgorod region, and of "Geran" strikes.
Mine Warfare: The Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration released a video warning about the dangers of remotely deployed "petal" mines, emphasizing their potential to be mistaken for toys by children. This highlights a significant threat to civilians, particularly in areas retaken from Russian forces.
Ukrainian Drone Successes: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that in January 2025, 66% of Russian military equipment was disabled by Ukrainian drones, with FPV drones accounting for 49% of the hits. This reflects a 7% improvement from December.
"Operational Cauldron": Russian sources claim an "operational cauldron" is forming around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.
Media Censorship The operational headquarters of the Volgograd region has banned citizens from filming the consequences of drone attacks.
The Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region continues to escalate, with confirmed heavy fighting near Ulanok and reports of battles near Fanaseevka. The use of tanks with mine-clearing equipment by Ukrainian forces suggests a determined push to overcome Russian defenses. This offensive is a major development, marking a significant shift in the war's dynamics.
The continued drone warfare on both sides, including the deadly attack in the Belgorod region, highlights the asymmetric nature of the conflict and the threat to civilian populations. The confirmed targeting of military vehicles by drones in the Kursk region demonstrates their effectiveness in disrupting armored advances.
The leadership change at Roscosmos, the ongoing war crimes allegations, and the reports of external funding for both sides underline the complex geopolitical dimensions of the conflict.
The situation in the Donetsk region remains intense, with ongoing medical evacuations indicating sustained fighting and casualties.
The heightened emphasis on drone warfare, particularly the reported successes of Ukrainian FPV drones, underscores its growing importance in the conflict.
The situation remains very dangerous for civilians, and the threat of mines is significant.
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