Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 6, 2025, 06:08 UTC

Major Updates (Since February 6, 2025, 05:38 UTC)

1. Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airfield Strike (Confirmed): The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, "RBK-Ukraina," and "Operativny ZSU" officially confirm a Ukrainian strike on the "Primorsko-Akhtarsk" airfield in Krasnodar Krai, Russia, on the night of February 6, 2025. This airfield is identified as an operational base for aviation assets, used for storing, preparing, and launching "Shahed" drones against Ukraine, as well as servicing aircraft operating in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions. Confirmed hits and explosions are reported, with a fire breaking out. The extent of the damage is still being assessed. This is a significant development, demonstrating Ukrainian capability to strike targets deep within Russian territory and disrupt drone operations.

2. Dzerzhynsk Direction (Russian Advance): "Dnevnik Desantnika" reports a Russian breakthrough and advance into the center of Shcherbynivka, with the northern part of the settlement remaining a "gray zone." Elite Ukrainian units, including the 12th Brigade, have been redeployed to the area, but destabilization of the defense reportedly prevented successful counterattacks. Fighting continues for the spoil tip west of the Toretska mine in Dzerzhynsk. Cleanup and demining operations continue in Krymske. This reinforces previous reports of Russian pressure on the Toretsk front and confirms advances in Shcherbynivka.

3. Ballistic Missile Threat: The Ukrainian Air Force ("Povitryani Syly ZS Ukrainy") and "RBK-Ukraina" warn of a ballistic missile threat in regions where air raid alerts are active. This indicates a continued threat of Russian missile strikes.

4. Drone Integration Platform (Russia): TASS reports that the Almaz-Antey concern has presented a platform for integrating UAVs into air traffic for the first time. This indicates Russian efforts to improve drone integration and airspace management.

5. Ukrainian Soldier Survives FPV Drone Strike (Video): "Basurin o Glavnom" reports (with video evidence) that a Russian paratrooper from the 247th Air Assault Regiment miraculously survived an FPV drone strike in the Zaporizhzhia direction in January 2025. This highlights the ongoing drone warfare and the dangers faced by soldiers on the front lines.

6. British Mercenaries (Casualties): "Arkhangel Spetsnaza" reports the deaths of two British mercenaries in Ukraine: Alexander Garms-Rizzi, a former British Army sniper killed by an FPV drone, and Edward Scott, who was severely injured by an FPV drone strike and had limbs amputated. This highlights the continued presence and risks faced by foreign fighters in the conflict.

7. Ukrainian General Staff Operational Report (08:00, Feb 6): The General Staff provides a summary of the previous 24 hours:

   • 90 combat clashes reported.
   • Russian forces launched 2 missile strikes (3 missiles), 85 airstrikes (134 guided bombs), over 5800 shelling attacks (107 MLRS), and 2293 kamikaze drone attacks.
   • Airstrikes targeted numerous settlements.
   • Ukrainian forces struck 19 areas of concentration of personnel and equipment, one command post, one artillery piece, and one electronic warfare station.
   • Kharkiv Direction: 4 attacks repelled near Vovchansk and Kozacha Lopan.
   • Kupyansk Direction: 8 attacks repelled near Zahryzove, Petropavlivka, Pishchane, and Nova Kruhliakivka.
   • Lyman Direction: 11 attacks near Novoliubivka, Kopanky, Zeleny Hai, Hrekivka, Novoiehorivka, Yampolivka, Kolodiazi, and Torske.
   • Siversk Direction: 9 attacks near Spirne, Siversk, and Verkhnokamyanske.
   • Kramatorsk Direction: 3 clashes near Chasiv Yar and Stupochky.
   • Toretsk Direction: 9 attacks near Toretsk, Diliivka, and Shcherbynivka.
   • Pokrovsk Direction: 24 attacks stopped near Vodyane Druhe, Yelyzavetivka, Tarasivka, Udachne, Nadiivka, Promin, Pishchane, Dachne, and Ulakliv.
   • Novopavlivsk Direction: 3 attacks repelled near Kostyantynopil.
   • Huliaipil Direction: 2 attacks near Novopil.
   • Orikhiv and Prydniprovsk Directions: No offensive actions by the enemy.
   • Kursk direction: 9 attacks were repelled.
   • Volyn and Polissya Directions: No signs of enemy offensive groupings.
   • Claimed Russian losses: 1240 personnel, 18 tanks, 16 armored fighting vehicles, 46 artillery systems, 2 MLRS, 2 air defense systems, 83 tactical-level UAVs, 133 vehicles, and 2 pieces of special equipment.

8. FPV Drone Strike on Ukrainian Group (Video): "Colonelcassad" reports (with video) a successful FPV drone strike by "Upyr" drones on a group of five Ukrainian soldiers attempting to hide in a basement.

9. Osetian Soldiers Complain about Deployment (Video): "Butusov Plus" reports (with video) that soldiers from Ossetia, serving in the military police in Melitopol, were allegedly forcibly transferred to a storm unit (1008th Regiment, 3rd Battalion, 9th Storm Company) and claim falsification of transfer documents. They also allege widespread misconduct by the military police in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. This indicates potential internal issues and morale problems within the Russian military.

10. Ukrainian Drone Strike on Russian Soldier (Video): The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" reports (with video) a successful FPV drone strike on a Russian soldier in the Kursk direction, who initially survived a near miss but was then targeted and eliminated by a second drone. This highlights the continued use and effectiveness of drones in targeting individual soldiers.

Updated Situation

The overall situation remains highly dynamic, with intense fighting continuing in several key areas. The most significant new development is the confirmed Ukrainian strike on the Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield in Russia, demonstrating a significant capability to reach and damage strategic targets deep within Russian territory.

Key updates and ongoing trends:

• Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airfield: Confirmed Ukrainian strike, disrupting Russian drone operations and signaling an expansion of the conflict's geographical scope.
• Chasiv Yar: Intense fighting continues. The situation remains unchanged.
• Kupyansk Direction: Russian forces continue to make gains.
• Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) and Konstantinopol Directions: Russian offensive actions continue.
• Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Fronts: Mutual strikes and drone warfare continue.
• Drone and Air Warfare: Remains a central feature of the conflict, with confirmed strikes by both sides, including the successful targeting of individual soldiers. Ballistic missile threats persist.
• Toretsk Front: Russian forces are making advances, particularly in Shcherbynivka.
• Kursk Front: Fighting continues, and Ukraine claims to have successfully pushed back the enemy's forces.
• Internal Russian Military Issues: Allegations of misconduct and forced transfers of soldiers highlight potential morale and disciplinary problems.
• Dzerzhynsk Direction: Russian forces have entered Shcherbynivka.

The confirmation of the airfield strike in Russia, coupled with the continued intense fighting and drone warfare, indicates a potential escalation and widening of the conflict. The reports of internal issues within the Russian military, if true, could affect its operational effectiveness. The Ukrainian General Staff's report provides a detailed, albeit one-sided, overview of the intensity and geographic distribution of combat operations.