Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 6, 2025, 01:08 UTC

Major Updates (Since February 6, 2025, 00:38 UTC)

Drone Warfare & Air Raid Alerts

• Continued and Expanding Drone Threat: The drone attacks are not only ongoing and expanding but also becoming more complex, involving multiple waves and varied trajectories. This confirms a highly coordinated, multi-pronged Russian offensive, designed to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.
  • Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): The threat to Nikopol remains.
  • Chernihiv City: The threat to Chernihiv city remains.
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: New drone groups entering from the south.
  • Detailed Drone Movements (Continued Tracking): The detailed tracking reveals the ongoing, multi-pronged, and multi-wave nature of the attack:
    • Zhytomyr/Vinnytsia Oblast Border: One drone remains, moving west.
    • Kamyanske Area (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Five drones remain, heading towards Kirovohrad Oblast.
    • Nikopol Area: Seven new drones are heading towards/through Nikopol.
    • Chernihiv Area: Two drones are heading towards/through Chernihiv.
    • Pryluky Area: One drone is heading towards/through Pryluky.
    • Korosten Area: One drone remains, moving west.
    • Sumy/Chernihiv/Poltava Oblast Border: Drones remain, moving west.
    • Central Chernihiv Oblast: Drones remain, moving south.
    • Northern Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones remain, moving west.
    • Zhytomyr/Vinnytsia Oblast Border: Drones remain, moving west.
    • Northern Donetsk Oblast: Drones remain, moving south.
    • Southwestern/Western Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Drones remain, moving northwest.
    • NEW: Three new drones from the Black Sea are heading towards Izmail district, Odesa Oblast. This indicates a new wave and a southern attack vector.
    • NEW: One drone flew past Kazanka, heading west.
    • NEW: Two drones are heading towards/through Kropyvnytskyi.
    • NEW: Five drones remain in the Kamyanske area.
    • NEW: Five drones are in Kryvyi Rih district, course northwest.
    • NEW: One drone is in the east of Kyiv Oblast.
    • NEW: One drone is heading towards/through Chernihiv.
    • NEW: More updates on movement, showing continued complexity.
• Confirmed Air Activity (Eastern Front): Activity remains.
• Confirmed Air Activity (Donetsk Front): Launches of guided bombs (KABs) continue.
• Drone attack warning Samara, Russia: Remains.

Donetsk Region (Chasiv Yar)

• FPV Drone Strike: Russian FPV drone strike confirmed.

Kharkiv Region

• NEW: Drone strikes hit a market (Kyivskyi district) and a transport enterprise (Novobavarskyi district) in Kharkiv. The market strike used a "Geran-2" drone (likely Shahed-136). The market sustained significant damage, while the transport enterprise was also hit. Security guards at the market were injured, but there were no casualties at either location. This indicates a deliberate targeting of civilian infrastructure.

Updated Situation

The most critical new developments are:

• Intensified Multi-Wave Drone Attacks: The drone attacks are confirmed to be multi-wave, with new drones being launched from the Black Sea, targeting Odesa Oblast. The continued tracking of drone movements across multiple regions, along with new threats, shows a high level of coordination and an intent to sustain the attack and overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.
• Civilian Infrastructure Targeted: The confirmed drone strikes on a market and transport enterprise in Kharkiv demonstrate a deliberate targeting of civilian infrastructure. This is a significant development and a potential war crime.
• Energy Shortages: Ukraine's Energy Ministry has announced a gas deficit of 1 billion cubic meters due to Russian attacks. This highlights the impact of the strikes on Ukraine's energy security and its reliance on imports.

The overall situation is extremely dangerous and volatile. The multi-pronged, multi-wave drone attack, combined with airstrikes using guided aerial bombs, and now the targeting of civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv, presents a major escalation. The gas deficit announcement highlights the broader strategic impact of the attacks.