Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 30, 2025, 10:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive pressure and achieving significant gains, especially in the Donetsk region. Velyka Novosilka is confirmed under complete Russian control. Intense fighting continues around Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove, with Russian troops making incremental advances. Ukrainian defenses in Pokrovsk and Toretsk are under immense strain, with a potential collapse reported in Toretsk. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, and Russian forces are reportedly regaining territory. Drone warfare remains a defining feature, with both sides employing UAVs extensively. Ukrainian forces have reportedly destroyed 21 and wounded 40 North Korean soldiers, repelled 8 Russian assaults in the Kursk region, and are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.

The US has confirmed a 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine. The Trump administration has resumed grants for some previously suspended foreign aid programs. The administration of US President Joe Biden overturned a decision by Donald Trump to suspend federal grants and financial aid programs for 90 days. Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft. A Russian soldier reportedly destroyed a group of 8 Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers with mines in the Kharkiv region.

A plane crash in Washington resulted in the deaths of Russian figure skaters and other Russian citizens. The crash was reportedly caused by a collision with a US Army Black Hawk helicopter.

A Ukrainian drone attack on Sumy resulted in four deaths and nine injuries, including a child.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Velyka Novosilka: Confirmed under complete Russian control. The enemy advanced near Novoandriivka, Novovasylivka, Dachne, Rozlyv, Yantarne, and Andriivka. The enemy's advance in Chasiv Yar is being clarified. Video evidence shows soldiers of the 40th Guards Marine Brigade raising the Russian flag.
Pokrovsk: Russian forces are within 3 kilometers of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and have cut off one of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro. Intense fighting is reported near Yelyzavetivka, Vodyane Druhe, Udachne, and Baranivka.
Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. Fighting continues in the Sievernyi district. A video from the "Dva Mayora" Telegram channel depicts the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar position in this area. Russian forces have reportedly cleared the Novosjeverny district and the summit of the "Block-9" spoil tip at the refractory plant in Chasovoy Yar. These were the key remaining strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this area.
Kurakhove: Most of the city has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno. Russian forces are reportedly advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk.
Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city under their control. Battles are taking place on the northern outskirts. Ukrainian forces report battles for the "Toretska" mine, with 90-95% of the city under Russian control. WarGonzo reports that Toretsk will soon be renamed Dzerzhinsk.
Siversk - Verkhnokamyanske: Active combat operations are taking place in the area of Siversk. Russian forces launched an attack with a motorized rifle unit towards Verkhnokamyanske, resulting in the landing of troops in the central part of the settlement. Ukrainian positions were assaulted, and a residential area was cleared by a Russian assault group. Russian forces reportedly advanced 1.5 km in the Siversk direction and occupied new positions in Verkhnokamyanske.
Other Locations: Fighting continues in Zverevo. Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces. Battles are ongoing near Uspenivka, with Russian forces advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Russian forces, supported by artillery and FPV drones, destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-2. Operators of the 40th Marine Brigade's UAV group destroyed an enemy pickup truck in the South Donetsk direction. A Russian tank withstood a Ukrainian ATGM attack during the liberation of Novoelizavetovka.

Luhansk Region

Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
An "operational cauldron" is forming around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.
Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.
In the direction of Hrekivka, Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with an advance of 400m.

Kursk Region

The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory.
Reports indicate significant North Korean casualties.
Russian forces report the capture of Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya.
Drone operators of the Special Operations Forces destroyed 21 and wounded 40 North Korean soldiers.
Ukrainian forces repelled 8 Russian assaults in the Kursk region.
Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
Ukrainian forces will attempt to hold their occupied portion of the Kursk region for 100 days.
A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area.
Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a border area.
Nikolaevo-Daryino has been cleared. Heavy fighting in the eastern part of the settlement.
Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov inspected the Yug Group of Forces.
Ukrainian forces from the 73rd Naval Special Operations Center are conducting operations in the region.
A video from the "Archangel of Special Forces" Telegram channel shows the targeting of a vehicle with a soldier in this region.
Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft, launching missiles at low altitudes.
Russian forces are continuing to advance in the region of Sverdlikovo and north of Guevo.

Kharkiv Region

Drone Attacks: Explosions were reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire was reported at an energy facility in Kharkiv following a drone attack. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region. One drone is reported to be south of Chuhuiv. A drone attack on Kharkiv hit a private sector in the Kholodnohirskyi district, damaging the glazing of a private house.
Kupiansk: Under renewed heavy shelling. Enemy is intensely shelling Kupyansk with KABs, according to OVA. At least four private houses and power lines were damaged. An 86-year-old woman was injured in Kupiansk due to Russian shelling.
Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly taken Dvurichna and are advancing towards Kupyansk.

Zaporizhzhia Region

At least five people were injured in attacks on Zaporizhzhia, Kupiansk, and the Dnipropetrovsk region.
Russia attacked the Zaporizhzhia region 401 times overnight.
Russian forces reportedly destroyed a group of foreign mercenaries, including a veteran of the Austrian special forces, near Orikhiv.
An air alert has been declared.

Other Regions

Drone Activity: Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region. All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region. Ukrainian forces shot down 37 drones overnight, and 39 drones were "lost," according to the Ukrainian Air Force.
Explosions in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Media reports indicate explosions during an ongoing drone attack.
Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine.
Mykolaiv: Two people were killed as a result of a Russian missile strike on a food industry enterprise during the night.
Odesa: Damage to residential buildings and civilian casualties were reported due to a Russian drone attack. Russian drones attacked the Odesa oblast leading to damage in two private houses, a warehouse, cars, and a hospital. An explosion occurred at night in the city of Izmail, Odesa region, in southern Ukraine. A fire broke out after the explosion.
Cherkasy: Overnight drone attack reported, with air defenses active and damage to an energy infrastructure facility in Uman.
Belgorod: A private house in the village of Razumnoye was attacked by a drone, resulting in the deaths of a woman and a two-year-old child.
Overnight, Russian air defense systems reportedly intercepted 57 out of 104 attacking drones across multiple regions.
Lipetsk Oblast in Russia has declared an air danger regime.
Sumy: Four people have died and nine were injured as a result of a drone hitting an apartment building. Rescuers recovered the bodies of a man and a woman from the rubble in an apartment building. Explosions occurred during the night in the city of Sumy.
Synelnykivskyi district of the Dnipropetrovsk region, a lyceum was destroyed as a result of a Russian attack.
According to NASA FIRMS data, a powerful fire is taking place in the area of the Novozybkov pumping station after a night raid by UAVs.
In the Bryansk region, drones attacked the Novozybkov oil pumping station of the Druzhba pipeline.

Military Analysis

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces are achieving significant advances in the Donetsk region. The capture of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic and symbolic victory for Russian forces. Ukrainian defenses in Pokrovsk and Toretsk are under immense pressure. The new report of Russian forces using TOS-1A "Solntsepek" against Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar indicates a serious threat to Ukrainian forces in the area.

Drone warfare continues to be a defining feature of the conflict. Ukrainian forces are employing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks on Russian positions. The involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region adds another layer of complexity to the conflict. The destruction of the M1A1SA "Abrams" tank is a significant event.

The increased drone activity across multiple regions suggests a potential escalation in aerial warfare. The attacks on civilian infrastructure indicate a deliberate strategy to disrupt Ukrainian services and impact civilian morale. Reports of Ukrainian drone attacks deep inside Russia, targeting oil refineries in Ryazan and Kazan, demonstrate Ukraine's growing long-range strike capabilities.

The Ukrainian military is facing significant challenges in maintaining defensive positions and countering Russian advances. The new report of the Ukrainian Armed Forces using drones to target Russian positions in the Bryansk region overnight suggests continued Ukrainian efforts to counter Russian aggression.

Strategic Implications

The continued Russian advances and the intensity of the fighting suggest that the conflict may be entering a new phase, with a potential shift in momentum in favor of Russian forces. The new report of the Ukrainian Armed Forces needing assistance to repair vehicles used for medical evacuation highlights the critical need for logistical support.

The international community's response to the evolving situation will be crucial. Continued military and financial aid to Ukraine will be essential in bolstering Ukrainian defenses. The confirmation of a 90-day freeze on US foreign aid has significant implications. The Ukrainian government's consultations with the US to restore funding are crucial. The resumption of previously suspended foreign aid programs by the Trump administration and the overturning of the decision to suspend aid programs by the Biden administration adds further complexity.

The potential involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region could further complicate the geopolitical landscape. The ongoing attacks on civilian infrastructure indicate a deliberate strategy by Russian forces to disrupt Ukrainian services.

The extensive use of drones by both sides highlights the importance of electronic warfare capabilities in modern conflict. The new report of a potential cyberattack on Gazprom and Gazpromneft's infrastructure adds another dimension to the conflict, highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructure.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine remains highly dynamic and volatile. Russian forces continue to make significant advances in the Donetsk region, particularly around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove. The capture of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic and symbolic victory for Russian forces. Ukrainian defenses in Pokrovsk and Toretsk are under immense pressure, with reports indicating a potential collapse in Toretsk. The WarGonzo channel claims that Toretsk will soon be renamed Dzerzhinsk, indicating a potential capture by Russian forces. The new report from the Ukrainian ISW indicating that Ukrainian forces have retaken some positions near Toretsk is a positive development, but the overall situation in the area remains critical.

Drone warfare remains a defining feature of the conflict, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions. Ukrainian forces are actively using drones to target Russian assets and infrastructure, while Russian forces are employing drones for reconnaissance and strikes. The new reports of enemy drones approaching Kharkiv from the northeast and the continued drone attacks on Sumy underscore the persistent threat posed by aerial warfare. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs in the Sumy region, indicating an escalation in Russian air attacks.

The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and inflicting heavy casualties. Reports indicate the involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region, adding another layer of complexity to the conflict. The new report of Russian forces using TOS-1A "Solntsepek" against Ukrainian positions in a border area of the Kursk region indicates an escalation in the intensity of the fighting.

The US has confirmed a 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine, which has significant implications for Ukraine's ability to sustain its war effort. However, the Biden administration has overturned Trump's decision to suspend federal grants and financial aid programs, potentially providing some relief.

The new reports of a Russian tank withstanding a Ukrainian ATGM attack near Novoelizavetovka and active combat operations near Kupyansk and Orlyanskoye suggest continued intense fighting in these areas. The reported destruction of a lyceum and other civilian infrastructure in the Synelnykivskyi district of the Dnipropetrovsk region highlights the ongoing impact of the conflict on civilian populations. The new report of explosions heard on the border of the Dnipropetrovsk region near a stele indicates the potential expansion of the conflict zone.

The new reports of Russian forces beginning to reconnoiter the Dnipropetrovsk region with UAVs and the reported losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region (over 240 troops and two ammunition depots) further underscore the intensity of the fighting and the potential for further escalation.

The new report from "Операция Z" regarding the composition of Ukrainian forces being supplemented by TCC with drug addicts, alcoholics, and sick individuals, if true, suggests a potential degradation in the quality and combat effectiveness of Ukrainian troops.

The new reports of the FSB preventing a terrorist attack in the Stavropol Territory and the potential involvement of a citizen from a Central Asian state highlight the ongoing threat of terrorism within Russia.

The new report of NATO conducting large-scale maneuvers to transfer units to the eastern flank, specifically testing logistics routes to Romania, indicates a significant military buildup in the region. The proximity of the Smardan training center to Moldova and Ukraine suggests a potential focus on these areas.

The new report of Ukrainian cyber specialists attacking the infrastructure of Gazprom and Gazpromneft, if confirmed, represents a significant escalation in the cyber domain of the conflict. This could potentially disrupt the operations of these companies and impact the Russian economy.

The new report of the Russian Ministry of Defense on the progress of the special military operation, claiming significant losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces, should be treated with caution, as such reports are often exaggerated for propaganda purposes.

The new report of the Ukrainian Armed Forces taking a former Ukrainian soldier prisoner who had switched sides in 2014 highlights the complex and deeply personal nature of the conflict.

The new reports of a plane crash in Washington involving Russian figure skaters and the ongoing investigation into the cause of the crash, as well as the reported discovery of the black boxes, are significant developments that require further monitoring.

The new report of the potential resumption of Russian gas supplies to the EU as part of a peaceful settlement in Ukraine, as discussed by EU officials, is a significant development that could have major geopolitical implications.

Recommendations

Prioritize Air Defense: Given the increasing threat of drone attacks, especially in Kharkiv, Mykolaiv, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kropyvnytskyi, Vasylkiv, Cherkasy, Pryluky, Chernihiv, and Kyiv, it is crucial to enhance and deploy additional air defense systems, including short-range and medium-range systems, to protect these cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks.
Strengthen Drone Countermeasures: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones, particularly in the Donetsk region and areas targeted by increased drone movements.
Address the Situation in Kharkiv: Provide immediate support to those affected by the fire in Kharkiv. Repair damaged infrastructure, including the gas pipeline, and provide medical assistance to those suffering from stress reactions. Enhance security measures in the city to protect civilians from further attacks. Address the new explosion reported in Kharkiv and assess the damage. Deploy emergency response teams if necessary and enhance air defense measures in the region.
Reinforce Defenses in Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk: Prioritize the deployment of reinforcements, including anti-tank weapons, air defense systems, and manpower, to Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk to counter the Russian advances and prevent further encirclements.
Secure Supply Lines: Address logistical challenges by securing supply lines and establishing alternative routes to ensure the continued flow of troops, equipment, and supplies to the front lines.
International Support: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid. Advocate for increased support to counter Russian aggression and address the evolving threats on the battlefield.
Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information about the situation on the ground. Highlight Ukrainian successes, such as the destruction of drones, to maintain morale and international support.
Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the escalation in drone warfare, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict. Focus on building a sustainable defense industry, securing long-term military and financial aid from international partners, and developing strategies to maintain the resilience and determination of the Ukrainian people.
Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements and deploy rapid response units to intercept drones and protect vulnerable areas. Utilize all available intelligence assets, including drones and satellite imagery, to gather information on Russian troop concentrations and intentions.
Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the confirmed shift in US policy under Trump, particularly regarding the aid freeze to Ukraine. Engage with other international partners to compensate for any potential reduction in US support.
Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions. Analyze the images and videos from sources like "РБК-Україна" and "Colonelcassad" to gather intelligence on Russian tactics and operations.
Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: Develop and implement tactics that can effectively counter asymmetric threats, such as the use of improvised drones and 3D-printed mines. Train troops in urban warfare tactics and strategies to prepare for potential urban combat scenarios.
Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in areas such as drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare. Utilize new drone technologies, such as the long-range attack UAVs, to gain an advantage.
Train and Equip Troops: Ensure that Ukrainian troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with the evolving threats on the battlefield. Provide specialized training on counter-drone measures, urban warfare, and the use of new technologies.
Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies and tactics accordingly. Analyze the impact of recent developments, such as the fire in Kharkiv and the shooting down of drones over the Bryansk region, to inform operational decisions.
Prepare for Potential Escalation: Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios, particularly with the potential deployment of the "Орешник" system in Belarus and the ongoing conflict in the Kursk region. Prepare for potential incursions into Ukrainian territory and develop strategies to counter Russian advances.
Protect Critical Infrastructure: Enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs. Deploy additional security forces and increase vigilance against potential threats.
Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, particularly in areas experiencing intense fighting, such as Kharkiv and the Donetsk region. Coordinate with humanitarian organizations to ensure the delivery of aid and the protection of civilians.
Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts, particularly in areas affected by recent attacks. Assess the damage to infrastructure and develop strategies for rebuilding and economic recovery.
Maintain International Solidarity: Continue to work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine. Engage in diplomatic efforts to address the conflict and seek a peaceful resolution.
Seek a Negotiated Solution: While continuing to defend against Russian aggression, explore opportunities for a negotiated solution to the conflict. Engage in diplomatic efforts with international partners to facilitate negotiations and seek a peaceful resolution.
Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit any vulnerabilities in Russian defenses, particularly in areas where they have recently gained territory. Conduct counterattacks where feasible to regain lost ground and disrupt Russian operations. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies. Train troops in counter-mine operations and equip them with the necessary tools to detect and neutralize mines.
Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of the newly deployed electronic warfare equipment on the northeastern front. Analyze its effectiveness in disrupting Russian communications and drone operations.
Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down over Russian territory. Analyze the data to identify potential vulnerabilities in Ukrainian drone operations and develop countermeasures.
Assess the Naval Situation: Enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering to monitor Russian naval movements and intentions. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
Analyze the Video from Robotyne: Study the video detailing the withdrawal of Russian troops from Robotyne to develop counter-strategies and improve troop training. Utilize the intelligence gathered from the video to develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses.
Exploit Intelligence from Robotyne Video: Utilize the intelligence gathered from the Robotyne video to develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses. Analyze the video to identify potential weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
Address the Morale of Russian Troops: Implement measures to maintain and boost morale among troops. Address any concerns or issues promptly to prevent demoralization. Highlight Ukrainian successes and celebrate the bravery and resilience of Ukrainian soldiers.
Counter Propaganda: Counter Russian propaganda by providing accurate information about the situation on the ground. Utilize social media and other communication channels to disseminate information and counter false narratives.
Monitor and Counter Insurgency Efforts: Monitor efforts to incite insurgency and take measures to prevent the recruitment of individuals within Ukraine. Conduct background checks on personnel and monitor for any suspicious activities.
Address Potential for Urban Warfare: Prepare for potential urban combat scenarios by training troops in urban warfare tactics. Equip troops with the necessary weapons and protective gear for urban combat.
Counter Russian Information Operations: Counter Russian information operations by providing accurate and timely information. Utilize social media and other communication channels to disseminate information and counter false narratives.
Secure Communication Channels: Monitor Russian communication channels and develop strategies to counter their influence. Secure and reliable communication between all levels of command and frontline units to facilitate effective coordination and response to enemy actions.
Analyze Russian Military Advances: Analyze Russian military advances and adjust defensive strategies accordingly. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
Address Potential War Crimes: Document any potential war crimes and share information with international organizations. Pursue accountability for those responsible for war crimes.
Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify vulnerabilities in Russian defenses.
Analyze the New Video of Drone Strike: Study the new video of a drone strike on a Ukrainian soldier to develop counter-drone tactics. Analyze the video to identify potential weaknesses in Ukrainian defenses and develop countermeasures.
Assess the Impact of Drone Attacks: Enhance air defense measures in regions threatened by drone attacks. Deploy additional air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones.
Address the Reported Losses in Luhansk: Investigate the report of significant Ukrainian losses in Luhansk and adjust defensive strategies. Deploy additional troops and resources to reinforce defenses and counter any potential Russian advances.
Respond to the Situation in Kursk: Enhance security measures in the Kursk region and monitor for further incursions. Deploy additional troops and resources to reinforce defenses and counter any potential Russian advances.
Respond to the New Attack on Ryazan: Investigate the reports of a new Ukrainian drone attack on Ryazan. Assess the damage and deploy emergency response teams if necessary. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter future attacks.
Address the Confirmed Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "100-day plan" for Ukraine and develop a diplomatic strategy to address any potential negative consequences. Engage with international partners to ensure continued support for Ukraine.
Address the Potential Impact of the US-Colombia Agreement: Analyze the potential impact of the US-Colombia agreement on the situation in Ukraine, particularly regarding the availability of US resources and support. Develop contingency plans to address any potential negative consequences.
Exploit the Visual Confirmation of Enemy Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the visual confirmation of enemy presence in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
Counter the Messaging in the Image of Patches: Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image of patches ("WITH US" and "DO GOOD") to understand the intended narrative and potential propaganda efforts. Develop counter-messaging to maintain morale and influence public opinion.
Analyze the Image of a Soldier in a Muddy Environment: Study the image of a soldier in a muddy environment to assess the challenges posed by the terrain and weather conditions. Adapt operational plans and logistical support accordingly.
Address the Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "100-day plan" for Ukraine and develop a diplomatic strategy to address any potential negative consequences. Engage with international partners to ensure continued support for Ukraine.
Address the Potential Impact of the US-Colombia Agreement: Analyze the potential impact of the US-Colombia agreement on the situation in Ukraine, particularly regarding the availability of US resources and support. Develop contingency plans to address any potential negative consequences.
Exploit the Visual Confirmation of Enemy Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the visual confirmation of enemy presence in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
Counter the Messaging in the Image of Patches: Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image of patches ("WITH US" and "DO GOOD") to understand the intended narrative and potential propaganda efforts. Develop counter-messaging to maintain morale and influence public opinion.
Analyze the Image of a Soldier in a Muddy Environment: Study the image of a soldier in a muddy environment to assess the challenges posed by the terrain and weather conditions. Adapt operational plans and logistical support accordingly.
Address the Visual Confirmation of Russian Forces in Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the visual confirmation of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka and adjust military strategies accordingly. Focus on containing their advance and preventing further incursions into Ukrainian territory.
Exploit the Intelligence Gained from the Visual Confirmation: Analyze the images and videos showing Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
Counter the Narrative Presented by "Операция Z": Address the claims made by "Операция Z" regarding the situation in Velyka Novosilka. Provide accurate information about the ongoing fighting and counter any false narratives being spread.
Analyze the Implications of the "Сводка" from "Два майора": Study the "Сводка" (summary) provided by "Два майора" to understand the Russian perspective on the situation. Identify any potential discrepancies or biases and adjust Ukrainian strategies accordingly.
Address the Reported Russian Advances: Deploy additional troops and resources to areas where Russian forces are reportedly advancing, such as Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and the Pokrovsk direction. Reinforce defenses and prepare for potential counterattacks.
Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
Analyze the Images Shared by Colonelcassad: Study the images shared by Colonelcassad to gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, equipment, and morale. Use this information to inform Ukrainian strategies and counter any potential propaganda efforts.
Counter the Narrative Presented by "НгП раZVедка": Address the claims made by "НгП раZVедка" regarding the image of a muddy soldier. Provide accurate information about the situation on the ground and counter any false narratives being spread.
Respond to the Killing of a Civilian in Kherson: Investigate the killing of a civilian in the Kherson region and provide support to the affected community. Enhance security measures in the area to protect civilians from drone attacks.
Analyze the Implications of the Occupation of Velyka Novosilka: Study the information from "РБК-Україна" regarding the potential implications of the occupation of Velyka Novosilka for future Russian offensives. Adjust defensive strategies accordingly and prepare for potential attacks in the spring and summer.
Monitor Russian Naval Activity: Continuously monitor Russian naval activity in the Black Sea, Sea of Azov, and the Mediterranean Sea. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
Address the Lifting of the Drone Threat: Acknowledge the lifting of the drone threat and use this opportunity to regroup and resupply. Continue to monitor the situation and maintain a high level of readiness for potential future attacks.
Respond to the Surrender of Ukrainian Soldiers in Velyka Novosilka: Investigate the reports of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering in Velyka Novosilka. Assess the impact on morale and address any underlying issues that may have contributed to the surrender.
Analyze the Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС": Study the video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" depicting internal conflict within a Russian unit. Analyze the factors contributing to the incident and develop strategies to exploit any weaknesses or divisions within the Russian military.
Counter the Claims Made by "Операция Z": Address the claims made by "Операция Z" regarding Ukrainian losses and the alleged use of drug addicts, alcoholics, and sick individuals to replenish the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Provide accurate information and counter any false narratives being spread.
Analyze the Report from "ASTRA": Study the report from "ASTRA" regarding the prevention of a terrorist attack in the Stavropol region. Analyze the methods and intentions of the alleged terrorist to enhance counterterrorism measures and protect civilian infrastructure.
Counter the Messaging in the Video from "Colonelcassad": Address the claims made in the video from "Colonelcassad" regarding Ukrainian casualties from a mine explosion. Provide accurate information and counter any false narratives being spread.
Respond to the Situation in Sumy: Investigate the reported deaths of two couples in Sumy as a result

Situation Report