Archived operational intelligence briefing
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces continuing their offensive across multiple fronts. The Donetsk region is the focal point of intense fighting, particularly around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, and Chasiv Yar. In Velyka Novosilka, Russian forces are solidifying their encirclement, with Ukrainian troops blocked in the north and south, escape routes cut off, and the Ukrainian command acknowledging the risk of an operational encirclement. The situation for Ukrainian forces is described as worse than in Vuhledar. In Pokrovsk, Russian forces are within 10 kilometers of the city and continuing their advance, consolidating positions after capturing Kotlyno (Dmytrovo) and mine No. 2, and severing the penultimate railway line to the city. In Chasiv Yar, Russian forces continue to advance, dislodging Ukrainian forces and controlling approximately 20% of the refractory plant. In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanovka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and neutralizing Ukrainian units, including reports of North Korean casualties. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions. Ukrainian drone attacks have targeted oil refineries and industrial facilities deep inside Russia, including successful strikes on the Ryazan refinery, a Ryazan oil pumping station, and the "Kreminy El" microelectronics plant in Bryansk. Russian air defenses reportedly intercepted and destroyed 121 Ukrainian drones, while Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces.
Velyka Novosilka:
Pokrovsk:
Chasiv Yar:
Kurakhove:
Toretsk:
Kramatorsk:
Zverevo:
Donetsk:
Other:
Russian Advances:
Positional Fighting:
Borova Direction:
Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive:
Drone Warfare:
North Korean Involvement:
Drone Attacks:
Russian Advance:
Extensive Activity:
New Drone Technology:
Successful Ukrainian Drone Strikes:
The military situation in Ukraine remains highly dynamic and unfavorable for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces are making significant advances, particularly in the Donetsk region, where they are close to encircling Velyka Novosilka and advancing on Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, and Russian forces are consolidating their gains. Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature of the conflict, with both sides employing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks on critical infrastructure. The geopolitical landscape is also shifting, with the potential for changes in US policy under a possible Trump administration and continued negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. The humanitarian situation remains dire, with ongoing attacks on civilian areas and the displacement of populations. The coming days and weeks will be crucial in determining the future course of the conflict, with both sides likely to adapt their strategies in response to the evolving situation on the ground. The new information about the potential impact on the Ukrainian economy due to the National Bank's decision to raise the accounting rate to 14.5% adds another layer of complexity to the situation. This could potentially affect inflation and have economic consequences for Ukraine, further straining its resources during the ongoing conflict. The new image and text about the "factory" for producing fake documents, shut down by Ukrainian authorities, highlights the ongoing internal security challenges faced by Ukraine. This operation underscores the importance of counterintelligence and law enforcement efforts to maintain stability and prevent criminal activities that could undermine the war effort. The shutdown of this operation is a positive development for Ukraine's internal security. The new report from the Russian Ministry of Defense provides a detailed overview of the military situation from the Russian perspective, highlighting their claimed successes in various regions. The reported capture of several settlements and the neutralization of Ukrainian military equipment and personnel indicate continued Russian offensive operations. The reported losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces, including the destruction of Western-supplied equipment, are significant and suggest a challenging situation for Ukraine. The downing of a large number of Ukrainian drones by Russian air defenses underscores the ongoing drone warfare aspect of the conflict. The new information about Moscow's expectation of a prompt positive decision from the US on the agreement for the appointment of a new Russian ambassador adds a diplomatic dimension to the ongoing conflict. This could potentially pave the way for renewed dialogue between the two countries, although the outcome remains uncertain. The new information about Trump's alleged threat to use frozen Russian assets to provide Ukraine with American weapons adds another layer of complexity to the geopolitical situation. This development could further escalate tensions between Russia and the US and potentially impact the dynamics of the conflict in Ukraine. However, the fact that this is reported as mere speculation by The Telegraph's editor diminishes the immediate impact of this information. The new information about ongoing disputes within Ukraine regarding the recognition of Ukrainian contributions to the victory over Nazism in WWII highlights the complex historical and political narratives surrounding the conflict. This internal debate could potentially impact national unity and morale, and it underscores the importance of historical memory in shaping national identity and political discourse. The new video showing a series of explosions in a residential area, attributed to the "Мотор-Сич" factory, raises concerns about the targeting of civilian areas and the potential for collateral damage. This development underscores the devastating impact of the conflict on civilian populations and infrastructure. The new video featuring a Russian military officer explaining the concept of death as a "gain" from a religious perspective provides insight into the potential motivations and mindset of some Russian soldiers. This information could be relevant for understanding the psychological and ideological dimensions of the conflict. The new information about a potential cyberattack targeting Android users through a messaging app highlights the ongoing cybersecurity threats in the context of the conflict. This underscores the importance of cybersecurity awareness and mobile device security for military personnel and civilians alike. The new information about Trump's accusation that Russia stole US plans for hypersonic missiles during the Obama administration adds another layer to the geopolitical tensions between the two countries. This development could potentially impact the ongoing arms race and further strain US-Russia relations. The new video showing Ukrainian soldiers training in trench warfare highlights the ongoing preparations for combat and the importance of practical skills in this type of conflict. This information underscores the continued military buildup and readiness on the Ukrainian side. The new information about the capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces, along with reports of North Korean casualties in the Kursk region, adds a new dimension to the conflict. This development suggests potential international involvement and could have implications for the broader geopolitical landscape. The new information about Russian advances in the Krasnoarmeysk direction, particularly towards Sergeevka, indicates continued Russian offensive operations in the Donetsk region. This development suggests an escalation of fighting in the area and could have significant implications for the control of key locations and supply routes. The new information about ongoing fighting in Zverevo, Udachne, and near Novosergievka further underscores the intensity of the conflict in the Donetsk region. The reported Ukrainian losses and the challenging situation for Ukrainian forces highlight the difficulties they face in defending these areas. The new information about the detention of a lawyer accused of recruiting agents for Russian intelligence highlights the ongoing espionage and counterintelligence efforts in the conflict. This development underscores the importance of internal security measures and the threat of infiltration by enemy agents. The new information about the Ukrainian Air Force reporting a threat of guided aerial bombs (KAB) in the direction of Kostiantynivka and Slovyansk indicates a potential escalation in Russian air attacks. This development suggests an increased threat to Ukrainian positions and civilian areas in these locations. The new video showing a BMW modified into a multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) by Ukrainian forces highlights the ongoing innovation and adaptation in the conflict. This development demonstrates the use of unconventional tactics and the repurposing of civilian vehicles for military purposes. The new information about the suspension of the Don-Donbass water pipeline due to shelling by Ukrainian forces underscores the impact of the conflict on critical infrastructure. This development could have significant humanitarian consequences for the affected population. The new report of a potential escalation in drone attacks, particularly in the Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, highlights the ongoing threat posed by drone warfare. This development requires increased vigilance, air defense readiness, and the deployment of rapid response units to counter these threats. The new information about the Ukrainian command acknowledging the risk of an operational encirclement of Velyka Novosilka underscores the critical situation faced by Ukrainian forces in the area. This development highlights the urgent need for reinforcements, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to prevent further Russian advances. The new information about the capture of Viktorivka by Russian forces and the ongoing offensive actions towards Nikolske indicates continued Russian advances in the Kursk region. This development highlights the challenges faced by Ukrainian forces in defending this area and the potential for further escalation. The new information about the liberation of Zakhidne by Russian forces north of Kupiansk on the right bank of the Oskil River represents a significant tactical victory for Russia. This development further underscores the ongoing Russian offensive in the Kharkiv region and the challenges faced by Ukrainian forces in defending this area. The new information about Ukrainian forces being trapped near Nova Kruhliakivka in the Kharkiv region indicates a significant development in the ongoing fighting. This could potentially lead to a further loss of territory for Ukraine and a shift in the balance of power in the region. The new information about the aftermath of the attack on Zaporizhzhia, including the death of a 47-year-old man and the wounding of 16 people, including a two-month-old infant, underscores the continued threat to civilians and the indiscriminate nature of Russian attacks. The new information about Russian forces consolidating positions near Dzerzhinsk and controlling the mine dumps of the Fomikha and No. 12 mines highlights the ongoing fighting in the Toretsk area. This development suggests a challenging situation for Ukrainian forces defending this region. The new information about the investigation into the production of counterfeit documents, including passports, driver's licenses, and official IDs, highlights the ongoing internal security challenges faced by Ukraine. This development underscores the importance of law enforcement efforts to combat criminal activities that could undermine the war effort. The new information about the large sums of cash, both in USD and Ukrainian currency, seized during the investigation into counterfeit documents, raises concerns about potential illicit financial activities, corruption, or black market operations. This development could have implications for the funding of opposing forces and the overall economic stability of Ukraine. The new information about the involvement of the Ukrainian Bureau of
We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.
Learn more in our Privacy Policy.