Archived operational intelligence briefing
The military situation in Ukraine remains extremely difficult for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces continue their offensive in the Donetsk region, achieving significant gains, particularly around Kurakhove, Pokrovsk, and Toretsk. Kurakhove has been fully captured, and Ukrainian control in Toretsk is reduced to under 15%. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with heavy casualties reported. Russian forces have regained territory, including the recently liberated Makhnovka and Leonidovo, and are making new advances in the Sudzha area. They have expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya in the Kharkiv region and penetrated the Ukrainian defense up to 1.5 km in some areas. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with extensive use of drones by both sides for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Notably, new drone threats have been identified, including Russian drones with fiber-optic control systems that are resistant to electronic warfare. A confirmed Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, marks a significant escalation. The number of wounded in the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has increased to 113, with 13 confirmed fatalities. Geopolitical tensions are high, with uncertainty surrounding continued US and European support for Ukraine. Reports suggest a potential meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin.
The military situation in Ukraine remains highly volatile, with Russian forces making significant advances in the Donetsk region and Ukrainian forces facing challenges in maintaining their defensive lines. The renewed Russian offensive in the Kursk region signifies a shift in momentum, with Ukrainian forces now facing a counter-push and suffering heavy casualties. The continued pressure on Toretsk and Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region highlights the ongoing threat to Ukrainian defensive lines. The intensification of drone warfare underscores the evolving nature of the conflict, with new developments such as fiber-optic-controlled drones posing a significant challenge. The confirmed drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, represents a major development and a potential turning point in Ukraine's ability to strike strategic targets.
The geopolitical landscape is increasingly complex, with potential shifts in US and European support for Ukraine. The potential meeting between Scholz and Putin, coupled with Trump's statements, adds further uncertainty to the situation.
The new information regarding the Ukrainian strike on the Russian command post, the ongoing drone attacks, and the geopolitical developments further emphasizes the complexity and volatility of the situation. The coming days and weeks will be critical in determining the future trajectory of the conflict.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks. These incidents further emphasize the widespread use of drones in the conflict and the ongoing threat they pose to both military and civilian targets.
The new messages also highlight that the fire at the oil depot in Engels continues to burn fiercely, with reports of new explosions. This incident further underscores the vulnerability of critical infrastructure deep inside Russian territory and the potential for long-range drone strikes to disrupt military operations and logistics.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian General Staff, stating that the enemy is particularly active in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. This information further emphasizes the ongoing intense fighting in the Donetsk region and the challenges faced by Ukrainian forces in maintaining their defensive lines.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces have released a new video showing the aftermath of a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia. This footage provides further evidence of the ongoing attacks on civilian areas and the impact of the conflict on the civilian population.
The new messages also highlight a report from Russian media outlet TASS, stating that leaders of European countries have expressed misunderstanding towards recent statements by Trump regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal. This development further emphasizes the shifting geopolitical landscape and the potential impact on international relations.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian Air Force, stating that repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation have been detected in the direction of Sumy. This information further emphasizes the ongoing threat posed by Russian air attacks and the use of guided munitions.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing Ukrainian soldiers distributing food to civilians in Niger. This incident underscores the complexities of operating in foreign environments and the importance of coordinating with local authorities.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian troops undergoing training in the rear area of the Zaporizhzhia region. The video underscores the importance of training and adapting to the evolving nature of warfare.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian helicopters engaging Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region border area. The video demonstrates the continued use of air power by Russian forces in the conflict.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing two captured Ukrainian soldiers who were trapped in a bunker near Kurakhove. The video is likely intended for propaganda purposes.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing Russian forces engaging Ukrainian infantry on the Kurakhiv direction. The video underscores the continued fighting in the region and the use of drones for reconnaissance and targeting.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing a drone attack on a car in the Belgorod region, resulting in injuries to a civilian couple. This incident further emphasizes the use of drones in the conflict and the potential for civilian casualties.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces have released a new video showing a fire at an oil depot in Engels, Russia, following a drone attack. The video confirms that the fire is still burning and that new explosions are occurring. This incident further underscores the vulnerability of critical infrastructure deep inside Russian territory.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing further explosions at the oil depot in Engels. The video underscores the ongoing nature of the attack and the continued threat to the facility.
The new messages also highlight a report from the TASS news agency, stating that leaders of European countries have expressed misunderstanding towards recent statements by Trump regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing further explosions at the oil depot in Engels.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian Air Force, stating that there is a threat of enemy tactical aviation activity in the north-eastern direction.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Russian Ministry of Defense, stating that another Ukrainian missile has been shot down over the Kursk region.
The new messages also highlight the announcement that Rheinmetall will test its new Lynx IFV in Ukraine, potentially providing Ukrainian forces with advanced military technology. However, the lack of dynamic protection and additional screens on the Lynx IFV could limit its effectiveness in real combat conditions.
The new messages also highlight new information about approximately 30,000 Ukrainians receiving the status of missing persons in 2024, which highlights the significant potential casualties or displacements from the armed conflict.
The new messages also highlight a video showing a drone-based attack targeting a Ukrainian soldier in an open field, further evidence of the increasing importance of drone warfare.
The number of wounded in Zaporizhzhia increasing to 113 underscores the devastating impact of the recent attack.
The announcement that the Finnish-Russian border will remain closed adds to the geopolitical tensions and further isolates Russia.
The capture of 11 Ukrainian soldiers in Kurakhove is a minor tactical victory for Ukrainian forces in the area.
The political attacks by Trump and his son blaming Biden for the wildfires in California are likely aimed at influencing public opinion and should be seen in the context of the upcoming US elections.
The attack on the presidential palace in Chad, while not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine, highlights the ongoing instability in other parts of the world.
The report of a man being defrauded of 1 million rubles in a phone scam underscores the importance of cybersecurity and public awareness of such schemes.
The overnight drone attacks on Ukraine and the downing of 11 drones in the Sumy region demonstrate the continued use of drones in the conflict.
The announcement that a Rheinmetall IFV will be tested in Ukraine suggests that Ukrainian forces may soon have access to more advanced military technology.
The confirmed drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, along with the alleged atrocities in Selidovo, further escalate the conflict and highlight the potential for wider consequences.
The reported heavy losses on both sides in the Kursk region and the destruction of a Ukrainian tank near Pokrovsk underscore the intensity of the fighting.
The overnight drone attacks on Russian territory and the downing of multiple drones demonstrate the ongoing drone warfare and the vulnerability of both sides to such attacks.
The messages from Russian military-affiliated channels emphasizing camaraderie and resilience among troops are part of the ongoing information warfare and efforts to maintain morale.
The successful destruction of two enemy artillery pieces by Ukrainian forces using drones showcases the effectiveness of drone-based reconnaissance and targeted strikes.
The threat from the US Treasury Secretary of "significant consequences" for China if it aids Russia in the conflict highlights the escalating tensions between the US and China and the broader geopolitical implications of the conflict in Ukraine.
The new messages confirm that Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
The new messages also highlight a potential information operation by Ukrainian sources, falsely claiming a hack of Rosreestr (the Russian Federal Service for State Registration, Cadastre, and Cartography).
The new messages confirm the continuation of attacks on Zaporizhzhia, with reports of one person killed and six wounded. The attacks seem to be primarily targeting civilian infrastructure.
The new messages also highlight a statement from Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó, who claims that Ukraine's termination of Russian gas transit to Europe is unacceptable and contradicts its intentions to join the European Union.
The new messages also highlight that six settlements in the Belgorod region were attacked by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The new messages also highlight that a new Ukrainian brigade has been formed.
The new messages confirm that Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with reports of a drone being shot down over the Bryansk region of Russia and an attack on the village of Rzhevka in the Belgorod region.
The new messages also highlight that an EU spokesperson urged respect for the sovereignty of countries after Trump's statements on Greenland.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with new videos showing the fire at the oil depot in Engels from various perspectives. The videos confirm that the fire is still burning and that new explosions are occurring.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian General Staff, stating that the enemy is particularly active in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces have released a new video showing the aftermath of a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia.
The new messages also highlight a report from Russian media outlet TASS, stating that leaders of European countries have expressed misunderstanding towards recent statements by Trump regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian Air Force, stating that repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation have been detected in the direction of Sumy.
The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing Ukrainian soldiers distributing food to civilians in Niger.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian troops undergoing training in the rear area of the Zaporizhzhia region.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian helicopters engaging Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region border area.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Colonelcassad Telegram channel, reportedly showing two captured Ukrainian soldiers who were trapped in a bunker near Kurakhove.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" Telegram channel, reportedly showing Russian forces engaging Ukrainian infantry on the Kurakhiv direction.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the ASTRA Telegram channel, reportedly showing a drone attack on a car in the Belgorod region, resulting in injuries to a civilian couple.
The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces have released a new video showing a fire at an oil depot in Engels, Russia, following a drone attack.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" Telegram channel, reportedly showing further explosions at the oil depot in Engels.
The new messages also highlight a report from the TASS news agency, stating that leaders of European countries have expressed misunderstanding towards recent statements by Trump regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal.
The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel, reportedly showing further explosions at the oil depot in Engels.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Ukrainian Air Force, stating that there is a threat of enemy tactical aviation activity in the north-eastern direction.
The new messages also highlight a report from the Russian Ministry of Defense, stating that another Ukrainian missile has been shot down over the Kursk region.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian Navy reports that one enemy warship, a "Kalibr" missile carrier, is present in the Black Sea, but no missile firings are reported. In the Sea of Azov, no enemy warships or missile carriers are present. In the Mediterranean Sea, seven enemy warships, including two "Kalibr" missile carriers, are present, with 22 missile firings reported.
The new messages also highlight that there are reports of US military personnel starting the construction of a military base in Kobani (Ayn al-Arab) in northern Syria.
The new messages also highlight that new details have emerged about the attack on the Ust-Luga terminal, carried out by SBU drones. The drones reportedly traveled over 900 km and successfully hit their target, causing significant damage to gas condensate tanks.
The new messages also highlight that Russian forces claim to have captured a US Army M577 command post vehicle in the Kursk region, with markings indicating it belonged to the 2nd Battalion, 69th Armor Regiment.
The new messages also highlight that a naval ship belonging to the Swedish Navy reportedly discovered the anchor of the Eagle S vessel, suspected of damaging a cable between Finland and Estonia in the Gulf of Finland.
The new messages also highlight that the 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian Parliament is considering a bill on the deployment of Ukrainian Armed Forces to other states.
The new messages also highlight that a man and a woman have confessed in a Mannheim court to the murder of Ukrainian refugees in Germany, reportedly to kidnap a newborn baby.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian Cabinet of Ministers has registered a bill on affordable housing in Ukraine, regulating rental issues, introducing a 10-year ban on the sale of certain categories, and establishing a unified database of affordable housing.
The new messages also highlight that video footage shows the destruction of enemy defenses by the 35th Brigade of the "Center" group near Pokrovsk.
The new messages also highlight that video footage shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
The new messages also highlight that Head of the Dnipropetrovsk Regional State Administration, Serhiy Lysak, held a meeting with community leaders in Kryvyi Rih to discuss pressing issues, including road repairs, water supply, tariffs, and the construction of modular safe spaces for kindergartens and schools.
The new messages also highlight that Ukraine has received the first batch of Lynx infantry fighting vehicles from Rheinmetall. The vehicles are currently being tested by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
The new messages also highlight that an air raid alert was declared in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov region, followed by a column of smoke rising near military-technical property warehouses. The warehouses are reportedly combined with the production facility of FKP "Kombinat "Kamensky", which has previously been attacked.
The new messages also highlight that in Cherkasy region 5 drones were shot down, debris damaged the windows of a dozen houses, a shop and a car.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
The new messages also highlight that a former FBI informant on Biden has been sentenced to six years in prison.
The new messages also highlight that a TASS representative from the entourage of the next American leader said that Trump's transition team believes it is possible for Russia and the United States to reach a major security deal after the upcoming change of power in Washington.
The new messages also highlight that an EU spokesperson urged respect for the sovereignty of countries after Trump's statements on Greenland. "This is also our diplomatic value and a key principle by which we work. This also applies to Denmark," said EU spokeswoman Anita Hipper. She also stated that the termination of the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe is unacceptable and contradicts its intentions to join the European Union, said Peter Szijjártó.
The new messages also highlight that the Polish Defense Minister suggests that the current Ramstein format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be the last of its kind.
The new messages also highlight that the EU, through French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, has stated that it will not tolerate any attacks on its sovereign borders, in response to reports of US ambitions in Greenland. Germany claims that the US cannot simply take and change the borders of one of the EU countries by annexing Greenland to itself.
The new messages also highlight that amid statements from Trump about a possible takeover of Greenland, the Prime Minister of Greenland is scheduled to meet with the King of Denmark.
The new messages also highlight that Russian channels report that the situation near Makhnovka is as follows: "Statements about the complete liberation of the settlement are premature. There are heavy oncoming battles. Moreover, the enemy understands that the loss of Makhnovka and Zamostya will greatly complicate the defense of Sudzha, therefore it is putting up fierce resistance, actively working with artillery, there are no escapes from positions. Nevertheless, our men are literally gnawing out every meter of land. There will be good news, let's be patient."
The new messages also highlight that the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aircraft in the direction of Zaporizhzhia. Also, the Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the Donetsk region.
The new messages also highlight that six settlements in the Belgorod region were attacked by the Armed Forces of Ukraine - the governor.
The new messages also highlight that Drapaty reported to Zelensky regarding the 155th brigade.
The new messages also highlight that hackers claimed to have hacked Rosreestr and stolen the database of the state real estate register (EGRN) in two billion lines.
The new messages also highlight that one person was killed and six were wounded in a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia.
The new messages also highlight that a warming trend is forecasted for Ukraine, which could impact military operations, particularly in terms of ground mobility and logistics.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has stated that Ukraine is ready to take Hungary's place in the EU and NATO if Hungary decides to leave.
The new messages also highlight that the closure of the Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg has been officially closed.
The new messages also highlight that French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot has called on the European Commission to take strong measures against Elon Musk.
The new messages also highlight that FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region. AFU troops used this buggy to rotate personnel. Russian drone operators destroyed the enemy's vehicle by a precise strike.
The new messages also highlight that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
The new messages also highlight that a Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels has been confirmed, marking a significant escalation and demonstrating Ukraine's ability to strike deep inside Russian territory.
The new messages also highlight that Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area.
The new messages also highlight that bus traffic has been temporarily suspended in the suburbs of Kherson (Naddniprianske, Molodizhne, Inzhenerne) due to increased shelling by Russian forces.
The new messages also highlight that reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts, including Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Chernihiv, Poltava, Sumy, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Odesa, Mykolaiv, Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, and Kherson.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with reports of heavy losses.
The new messages also highlight that Russian forces are making significant advances in the Donetsk region, particularly in Toretsk (less than 15% under Ukrainian control) and Pokrovsk.
The new messages also highlight that the military situation in Ukraine remains highly volatile.
The new messages also highlight that Zelensky has indicated a willingness to limit the scope of potential NATO membership to Ukrainian-controlled territory and expressed openness to attending Trump's inauguration if invited.
The new messages also highlight that drone warfare is a dominant feature of the conflict.
The new messages also highlight that the Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces now pushing back, regaining lost territory, and inflicting heavy losses estimated at 48,000 Ukrainian casualties.
The new messages also highlight that the situation in Toretsk is critical, with less than 15% of the city under Ukrainian control.
The new messages also highlight that Russian forces have captured Kurakhove, consolidating their positions and posing a direct threat to the strategic Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway.
The new messages also highlight that the military situation in Ukraine remains critical, particularly in the Donetsk and Kursk regions.
The new messages also highlight that "Colonel" Ibrahim "Terek" Bagiyev, a Russian terrorist and war criminal, has been successfully demobilized. He was involved in the genocide of the Ukrainian people and served as an "ataman" of the Kharzysk "Cossack regiment" of the terrorist "Priazov Cossack army" in 2017. He was also an assistant to the head of the Donetsk city administration. He was killed near Kreminna on December 21, 2024.
The new messages also highlight that the Sparta cargo ship is unable to enter the port of Tartus, where the 720th logistics support point (720 PMTO) of the Russian Navy is located. The ship is currently waiting on the outer roads in the Mediterranean Sea for further decisions. The official reason for the delay has not yet been named, but various versions are being considered, ranging from internal logistical and technical problems to the refusal of the new Syrian authorities to grant permission to enter the port.
The new messages also highlight that a video shows a one-minute countdown timer displayed over a waving Ukrainian flag, with the text "ХВИЛИНА МОВЧАННЯ" (Minute of Silence).
The new messages also highlight that every morning at 9:00 a.m., Ukraine observes a minute of silence to honor the memory of those who died in the war.
The new messages also highlight that an image shows a soldier holding the Ukrainian flag, with a dark background.
The new messages also highlight that a video shows a soldier in camouflage clothing, inspecting a rifle, with a dirt bike parked nearby and a drone displaying a sign with an insult in Russian.
The new messages also highlight that an image shows a screenshot of a tweet from Donald Trump Jr., commenting on a report of the Los Angeles Fire Department donating surplus equipment to Ukraine.
The new messages also highlight that an image shows a screenshot of a tweet mentioning that the head of the Los Angeles Fire Department is the first lesbian woman in that position.
The new messages also highlight that an image shows the Prime Minister of Finland, Orpo, with a headline stating that he is calling party leaders to gather to inform them about the security situation. A Telegram icon with the letters "RVvoenkor" is layered on the image.
The new messages also highlight that a video shows a security camera recording inside a train or subway car, where a person attacks another person with pepper spray.
The new messages also highlight that 26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered in
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