Situation Report

Updated Operational Situation Overview (as of July 31, 2024, 03:21)

Current Threat Overview

• Black Sea:

  • Threats Remaining: Three enemy ships capable of launching 12 Kalibr cruise missiles are currently present.
  • Aerial Threats: MiG-31K aircraft are in the air, posing substantial threats as kamikaze UAVs (referred to as "mopeds") approach critical urban areas.

• Azov Sea:

  • Enemy Presence: No detectable enemy ships.
  • Aerial Threats: Kamikaze drone activity continues, with confirmed threats moving towards Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Fastov, and Boryspil.

• Mediterranean Sea:

  • Enemy Assets: Two enemy vessels, including one capable of launching up to 16 Kalibr missiles.

Current Military Engagements

• Combat Engagements:

  • Total Engagements as of July 30: 117 combat engagements recorded, with heightened intensity on the Pokrovsk front where notable activities are occurring.
    • Aerial Strikes: 71 aerial strikes executed using 107 guided bombs, alongside 340 drone strikes.
    • Shelling: Approximately 4,588 bombardments of various Ukrainian positions have been reported.

• Civilian Risks and Collateral Damage: The situation remains critical with ongoing kamikaze UAV attacks on civilian areas, increasing reports of casualties and infrastructure damage.

Key Updates:

1. UAV Movements: Continuous groups of kamikaze drones have been confirmed moving towards Kyiv, Obukhiv, Mykolaiv, and surrounding regions, raising alert levels for potential strikes.

2. Military Activity:

   • Ukrainian forces continue to repel significant Russian assaults, particularly in the Pokrovsk and Kurakhiv fronts. Heavy engagements involving artillery and air support are noted.
   • Recent intelligence indicates Russian forces are regrouping and increasingly relying on aerial and drone attacks amid resilient Ukrainian defense.
   • The threat from MiG-31K aircraft indicates an imminent risk of missile strikes on military and civilian centers.
   • Combining prior reports with new information, several UAVs remain airborne and pose an ongoing threat, particularly near Kyiv and surrounding areas. Current reports indicate 6 UAVs moving from the Chernihiv region towards Kyiv.

3. Wind Down: Reports suggest some of the UAVs approaching Kyiv and other areas were successfully engaged, but caution remains advised as several remain unaccounted for in the ongoing engagements.

4. Strategic Insights: Surveillance and attacks by UAVs highlight the evolving warfare dynamic. There is a continued effort by Ukrainian forces to incorporate technologies such as FPV drones to mitigate enemy advancements.

5. Ethical Considerations: The focus on minimizing civilian casualties amidst intensified military action remains paramount, with strategies enacted to create safe zones for non-combatants.

Summary:

The operational landscape remains highly volatile, with persistent threats from aerial and maritime forces. Ukrainian defensive capabilities are robust but challenged by the well-coordinated Russian assaults, particularly from the air. The threat from drones and missile-capable aircraft underscores the urgency for proactive defense measures. Continuous monitoring of drone movements and aerial strikes is critical to maintaining situational awareness and safeguarding civilian areas.

Slava Ukraini!