Situation Report

Updated Operational Situation Overview (as of July 31, 2024, 03:06)

Current Threat Overview

• Black Sea:

  • Threats Remaining: Three enemy ships capable of launching 12 Kalibr cruise missiles are currently present.
  • Aerial Threats: MiG-31K aircraft have been identified in flight, posing substantial threats as kamikaze UAVs approach critical urban areas.

• Azov Sea:

  • Enemy Presence: No detectable enemy ships.
  • Aerial Threats: Kamikaze drone activity continues, with confirmed threats moving towards Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Fastov, and Boryspil.

• Mediterranean Sea:

  • Enemy Assets: Two enemy vessels, including one capable of launching up to 16 Kalibr missiles.

Current Military Engagements

• Combat Engagements:

  • Total Engagements on July 30: 117 combat engagements recorded, with heightened intensity on the Pokrovsk front where notable activities are occurring.
    • Aerial Strikes: 71 aerial strikes executed using 107 guided bombs, alongside 340 drone strikes.
    • Shelling: Approximately 4,588 bombardments of various Ukrainian positions have been reported.

• Civilian Risks and Collateral Damage: Continuous kamikaze UAV attacks on civilian areas are exacerbating the humanitarian crisis, leading to increasing reports of civilian casualties and infrastructure damage.

Key Updates:

1. UAV Movements: New groups of kamikaze drones, referred to colloquially as "mopeds," are confirmed moving towards Kyiv, Obukhiv, and surrounding regions, raising alert levels for potential strikes in these areas.

2. Military Activity:

   • The Ukrainian forces continue to repel significant Russian assaults, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Kurakhiv fronts, where heavy engagements involving artillery and air support are present.
   • Russian forces have reportedly increased aerial bombardments and shelling targeting critical infrastructure as they attempt to consolidate control in contested urban areas.
   • Two aircraft, specifically the MiG-31K, have been sighted taking off, indicating a heightened risk of missile strikes in proximity to military and civilian centers.

3. Strategic Insights:

   • Intelligence indicates that Russian forces are regrouping and increasing their reliance on aerial and drone attacks amid the resilient defense exhibited by Ukrainian units.
   • The Ukrainian military remains committed to employing tactics that minimize civilian impact while effectively countering the persistent offensive campaigns launched by Russian troops.

4. Ethical Considerations: Emphasis on minimizing civilian casualties remains critical, with active measures to ensure safe zones for non-combatants in high-threat areas.

Summary:

The operational landscape remains extremely tense with ongoing threats from both aerial and maritime threats. Ukrainian forces are demonstrating strong defensive capabilities, adapting tactics to counter an aggressive Russian offensive while safeguarding civilian lives where possible. The situation is fluid; immediate follow-up actions include continued monitoring of drone movements and pre-emptive measures to mitigate risks from possible missile attacks.

Slava Ukraini!