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Historical intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing retained for historical analysis.

Intelligence brief / archived issue

Situation Update (UTC)

Key reported developments

  • Kremlin meeting concluded; Witkoff and Kushner proceed to Zelensky in Dublin: ТАСС (14:42:11) confirms via correspondent that the Putin–Witkoff–Kushner meeting ended; РБК-Україна (14:38:10) states it lasted approximately three hours. Операция Z (14:40:01) reports the next diplomatic step is a meeting between the US envoys and Zelensky in Dublin. Оперативний ЗСУ (14:40:10) publishes a sarcastic Ukrainian-language reaction. No joint communiqué, US State Department readout, or independent transcript is supplied. (event time: 12 November, ~14:38–14:42 UTC; sources: ТАСС 14:42:11, РБК-Україна 14:38:10, Операция Z 14:40:01, Оперативний ЗСУ 14:40:10; confidence HIGH on meeting conclusion per multiple independent outlets; MEDIUM on Dublin next-step per single Russian-channel relay.)

  • Cherkasy Oblast — Air Force issues multiple Banderol ballistic-missile alerts: The Air Force reported "ББ 'Бандероль' на північ Черкащини, в напрямку обласного центру" at 14:38:38, then a second alert at 14:46:04 specifying the missile was north of Cherkasy city, tracking toward the city and south toward Smila. No impact or damage report is supplied. (event time: 12 November, 14:38–14:46 UTC; source: Air Force 14:38:38, 14:46:04; confidence HIGH on alert issuance; no outcome established.)

  • Belgorod Oblast — Russian authorities expand drone-strike claims to three incidents: Beyond the previously reported Komsomolsky child death, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (14:43:35) reports a man killed in Moshchenoe village, Graivoron district, by two drones detonating on a private house, and five civilians injured in Shebekino per the regional operational staff. These are additional Russian-side claims relayed through a pro-war channel; no independent verification or Ukrainian confirmation is supplied. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:43 UTC; source: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition 14:43:35; confidence LOW on strike details and causation per single-source Russian-side claim.)

  • Bryansk Oblast — governor claims Ukrainian drones struck two civilian vehicles: Два майора (14:48:07) relays the Bryansk governor reporting a 42-year-old woman and 23-year-old girl hospitalized after two Ukrainian kamikaze drones hit a moving car in Denyskovychi, Zlynka district; a 58-year-old truck driver was injured by a UAV on the Cholkhov–Klimovo road and given outpatient treatment. No Ukrainian confirmation or independent verification. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:48 UTC; source: Два майора 14:48:07; confidence LOW per single-source Russian governor claim.)

  • Dobropillya sector — pro-Russian map claims capture of Nadiya–Novofedorovka–Svyatogorovka: Z комитет + карта СВО (14:39:54–55) publishes a three-layer map (satellite, elevation, schematic) showing a pink-shaded "newly passed under RF control" zone immediately west/southwest of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast. The caption's date stamp anomalously reads "12 ноября 2026." No geolocated footage, independent tracker corroboration (DeepState, ISW), or Ukrainian acknowledgment is supplied. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:39 UTC; source: Z комитет + карта СВО 14:39:54–55; confidence LOW on territorial claim per single-source propaganda OSINT product with date anomaly.)

  • UK imposes sanctions on Russian energy companies and shadow-fleet vessels: SOTA (14:51:39) reports the British government sanctioned Sibur, Slavneft, Vostok Oil, the Siberian Coal Energy Company (SUEK), Kuzbassrazrezugol, and NIPigas, plus UAE-based Forteza Trading, Novus Energy, Patera, and 11 shadow-fleet vessels. Asset freezes and port-entry bans are described. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:51 UTC; source: SOTA 14:51:39; confidence MEDIUM per named government documents; no UK government primary source link supplied.)

  • Finland tightens entry restrictions for Russian citizens from 16 November: ТАСС (14:53:54) and ASTRA (14:57:09) relay the Finnish Foreign Ministry announcing new rules barring Russians entering for non-essential purposes, including professional athletes (even under neutral flags) and short-term workers on Schengen visas. Exceptions limited to national-interest activities. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:53–14:57 UTC; sources: ТАСС 14:53:54, ASTRA 14:57:09; confidence MEDIUM on policy announcement per named ministry; both outlets appear to relay the same underlying statement.)

  • Sumy direction — Russian MoD-affiliated channel claims POW capture and Ukrainian-unit misconduct: Colonelcassad (14:40:39–40) relays @frontline_pvt video claiming Group of Forces "North" captured personnel of Ukraine's 104th Territorial Defense Brigade; the POW ("Tarasyuk I.V.") alleges supply failures, looting, a civilian murder by Ukrainian comrades, and presence of Polish instructors at a training polygon. No geolocation, independent verification, or Ukrainian acknowledgment. (event time: 12 November, reported 14:40 UTC; source: Colonelcassad 14:40:39–40; confidence LOW on all claims per single-source, channel-aligned propaganda format.)

Reported situation by area

Cherkasy Oblast: NEW: Two successive Air Force Banderol alerts (14:38:38, 14:46:04) tracking toward Cherkasy city and Smila. No impact, damage, or casualty reports supplied. (source: Air Force 14:38:38, 14:46:04.)

Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: NEW: Air Force alert at 14:40:21 — jet UAV approaching from the south. No impact report. (source: Air Force 14:40:21.)

Sumy Oblast: NEW: Air Force alert at 14:43:59 — KABs toward Sumy oblast. Colonelcassad/@frontline_pvt claim POW capture on the Sumy direction (see Key developments). No OVA or General Staff corroboration supplied. (sources: Air Force 14:43:59; Colonelcassad 14:40:39–40.)

Kharkiv, Kharkiv Oblast: NEW: Air Force alert at 14:50:00 — UAV approaching from the north. No impact report. (source: Air Force 14:50:00.)

Poltava Oblast / Kirovohrad Oblast: NEW: Air Force alert at 14:51:32 — Banderol toward Chornukhy (Poltava) and Oleksandrivka (Kirovohrad). No impact reports. Prior-batch alerts toward Sribne, Myrhorod, Romodan remain baseline. (source: Air Force 14:51:32.)

Odesa Oblast: NEW: Air Force alert at 14:52:24 — jet UAVs approaching from the Black Sea. No impact report. (source: Air Force 14:52:24.)

Belgorod Oblast, Russia: NEW (expanded): In addition to the previously reported Komsomolsky child death, Поддубный (14:43:35) reports a man killed in Moshchenoe, Graivoron district (two drones on a private house), and five injured civilians in Shebekino per the regional operational staff. All Russian-side claims; no independent verification. (source: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition 14:43:35.)

Bryansk Oblast, Russia: NEW: Governor claims two Ukrainian drone attacks on civilian vehicles — injuries in Denyskovychi (Zlynka district) and on the Cholkhov–Klimovo road. Single-source Russian claim. (source: Два майора 14:48:07.)

Dobropillya sector, Donetsk Oblast: NEW: Pro-Russian Z-Arhiv / Карта СВО map claims Russian control of Nadiya, Novofedorovka, Svyatogorovka west of Dobropillya. Single-source graphic; date anomaly; no geolocated corroboration. (source: Z комитет + карта СВО 14:39:54–55.)

Kremlin / Moscow: NEW: Meeting concluded (~3 hours per РБК-Україна); US envoys proceeding to Dublin. Оперативний ЗСУ publishes editorial reaction. Prior-batch Дневник Десантника statement summary remains the baseline for meeting content. (sources: ТАСС 14:42:11, РБК-Україна 14:38:10, Оперативний ЗСУ 14:40:10.)

Kaliningrad, Russia: NEW: SOTA (14:41:00) reports the closed-session trial of defense attorney Maria Bontsler on treason charges; prosecution seeks 15 years; her final statement alleges torture of her clients by FSB, fabricated evidence, and a politically motivated prosecution. (source: SOTA 14:41:00; confidence MEDIUM on trial occurrence per named lawyer; LOW on substantive claims per absence of court transcripts or independent legal monitoring.)

Samara Oblast, Russia: NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ (14:54:06–07) reports a mother's allegation that her 42-year-old son was abducted in Zhigulyovsk by a "black car" under a fake job offer, held in Kazan, and forced to sign a military contract (unit 40566, transfer to Rostov). Police allegedly refused to open a kidnapping case. Single-source opposition-channel report. (source: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ 14:54:06–07; confidence LOW per absence of police case number, commissariat documents, or independent confirmation.)

Volchansk area, Kharkiv Oblast: NEW: Северный канал (14:49:58–99) publishes a search-channel post about Russian soldier Androsov N.A. (b. 1995, unit 41772, assault company "V"), reported MIA since 31 August 2025 near the Volchansk elevator. Award documents (2007–2008) are shown; combat status is unverified. (source: Северный канал 14:49:58–99; confidence HIGH on personal history per documentary images; LOW on MIA status per single-source channel claim.)

Reported strikes and air-defense activity

  • Cherkasy Oblast — Banderol alerts (NEW): Two alerts (14:38:38, 14:46:04) tracking toward Cherkasy city and Smila from the north. No impact or interception outcome established. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Dnipro — jet UAV alert (NEW): 14:40:21, from the south. No impact report. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Sumy Oblast — KAB alert (NEW): 14:43:59, KABs toward Sumy oblast. No impact report. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Kharkiv — UAV alert (NEW): 14:50:00, from the north. No impact report. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Poltava / Kirovohrad — Banderol alert (NEW): 14:51:32, toward Chornukhy and Oleksandrivka. No impact report. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Odesa Oblast — jet UAV alert (NEW): 14:52:24, from the Black Sea. No impact report. (source: Air Force; confidence HIGH on alert issuance.)

  • Belgorod Oblast — claimed Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian vehicles (NEW, expanded): Komsomolsky (1 child killed, mother injured), Moshchenoe/Graivoron (1 man killed), Shebekino (5 injured). All Russian-side claims; no Ukrainian confirmation. (sources: ТАСС 14:27:34, ASTRA 14:32:18 [prior batch]; Поддубный 14:43:35 [new detail]; confidence LOW.)

  • Bryansk Oblast — claimed Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian vehicles (NEW): Denyskovychi (2 women hospitalized); Cholkhov–Klimovo road (1 driver injured, outpatient). Single-source governor claim. (source: Два майора 14:48:07; confidence LOW.)

  • Sumy direction — claimed FPV strikes and POW capture (NEW): @frontline_pvt video shows FPV strikes labeled "destruction of AFU personnel" and a Humvee, plus a POW interview. No geolocation or independent verification. (source: Colonelcassad 14:40:39–40; confidence LOW.)

  • Prior-batch strikes and alerts remain baseline: Zaporizhzhia city confirmed strike (OVA); Ukrenergo crater; Black Sea MoD two-vessel claim; Poltava alerts (Sribne, Myrhorod, Romodan).

Reported Russian activity

  • Kremlin meeting concluded; next step Dublin: ТАСС (14:42:11) and РБК-Україна (14:38:10) confirm the end of the ~3-hour Putin–Witkoff–Kushner session. Операция Z (14:40:01) reports the US envoys will meet Zelensky in Dublin. No joint statement or Western readout supplied. (confidence HIGH on conclusion; MEDIUM on Dublin next-step.)

  • Dobropillya sector territorial claim: Z комитет + карта СВО (14:39:54–55) publishes a multi-layer map asserting new Russian control of Nadiya–Novofedorovka–Svyatogorovka. The date stamp anomaly ("2026") and single-source provenance limit reliability. (confidence LOW.)

  • Belgorod and Bryansk governor claims: Multiple Russian regional authorities report Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian vehicles causing deaths and injuries. All are single-source Russian-side claims. (sources: Поддубный 14:43:35; Два майора 14:48:07; prior-batch ТАСС/ASTRA.)

  • Sumy direction POW video: @frontline_pvt (via Colonelcassad 14:40:39–40) claims capture of 104th TDF Brigade personnel with bundled allegations (supply failure, looting, civilian murder, Polish mercenaries). Standard Russian POW-interview propaganda format. (confidence LOW.)

  • West Group of Forces mobile PVO video: Группировка войск «Запад» (14:56:01–02) posts a produced video of mobile air-defense crews with a shotgun-toting soldier and a tripod-mounted device on a truck bed. No engagement, target, or confirmed kill visible. (confidence MEDIUM-LOW on footage authenticity; LOW on "combat work" claim per absence of visible engagement.)

  • Ka-27PS aboard Admiral Kuznetsov: Fighterbomber (14:52:21–22) posts a porthole photo of a coaxial-rotor SAR helicopter in Russian naval markings. Routine carrier-operations imagery; no operational context or date supplied. (confidence HIGH on aircraft type per visual features; no operational inference supported.)

  • JEF "Northern Fleets" agreement claim: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (14:58:26–27) describes a 10 November Oslo meeting of Joint Expeditionary Force navies signing a cooperation agreement covering the North Atlantic, Baltic, and Arctic. The accompanying photo (two Queen Elizabeth-class carriers) likely shows a British port, not Oslo, creating a text-image mismatch. No official JEF or UK MoD communiqué is cited. (confidence LOW on agreement specifics; photo-caption conflict noted.)

  • UK sanctions on Russian energy: SOTA (14:51:39) reports British sanctions on Sibur, Slavneft, Vostok Oil, SUEK, Kuzbassrazrezugol, NIPigas, UAE trading firms, and 11 vessels. (confidence MEDIUM per named government documents.)

  • Finland entry restrictions: ТАСС (14:53:54) and ASTRA (14:57:09) relay Finnish Foreign Ministry announcement effective 16 November. (confidence MEDIUM; both outlets appear to relay the same underlying statement.)

  • Maria Bontsler trial: SOTA (14:41:00) reports the closed Kaliningrad court session, 15-year prosecution demand, and the defendant's final-statement allegations of FSB torture of her clients and fabricated evidence. (confidence MEDIUM on trial occurrence; LOW on substantive claims.)

  • Samara forced-conscription allegation: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ (14:54:06–07) reports a mother's account of her son's alleged abduction and coerced contract signing. (confidence LOW.)

  • Prior-batch Russian activity remains baseline: Black Sea MoD two-vessel claim; Rubikon USV kill claim; budget amendments; Nvidia disinformation amplification; Iran US-base threat relay.

Reported Ukrainian activity

  • Air Force alert issuance (six new tracks, 14:38:38–14:52:24 UTC): Cherkasy (×2, Banderol), Dnipro (jet UAV from south), Sumy (KABs), Kharkiv (UAV from north), Poltava/Kirovohrad (Banderol), Odesa (jet UAVs from Black Sea). Alerts establish warnings, not impacts or interceptions. (source: Air Force 14:38:38, 14:40:21, 14:43:59, 14:46:04, 14:50:00, 14:51:32, 14:52:24; confidence HIGH on issuance.)

  • Оперативний ЗСУ editorial reaction to Kremlin meeting (14:40:10): Sarcastic Ukrainian-language commentary characterizing Putin's meeting as "methodological instructions" to US envoys on how to force Ukraine to surrender unoccupied territory. No operational content. (confidence HIGH on publication; not a factual claim.)

  • STERNENKO fundraising appeal (14:42:01): States that the donation drive is "lying flat today" and calls for purchases of jet-Shahed interceptors, fulfillment of requests from Dobropillya and Kostiantynivka sectors, and digital FPV systems to partially replace Starlink-dependent operations. No specific unit, location, or verified equipment need is detailed. (confidence MEDIUM on post authenticity per named channel; the fundraising claims are self-reported.)

  • Prior-batch Ukrainian activity remains baseline: Zaporizhzhia OVA confirmation; Ukrenergo crater video; Coordination Staff Indian-activist meeting; БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС Hummer/REB appeal; Kramatorsk conviction; 132nd Recon Battalion; Kryvyi Rih veteran coalition; EW briefing; Rutte statement; Zelensky EPC speech.

Civilian and infrastructure impact

  • Belgorod Oblast, Russia (Russian-claimed, expanded): Komsomolsky — 12-year-old girl killed, mother injured (prior batch). NEW: Moshchenoe village, Graivoron district — one man reportedly killed by two drones detonating on a private house. Shebekino — five civilians reportedly injured per the regional operational staff. All claims originate from Russian regional authorities and pro-war channels; no independent verification or Ukrainian confirmation. (sources: ТАСС 14:27:34, ASTRA 14:32:18 [prior]; Поддубный 14:43:35 [new]; confidence LOW.)

  • Bryansk Oblast, Russia (Russian-claimed): Denyskovychi, Zlynka district — 42-year-old woman and 23-year-old girl hospitalized after drone strike on a moving car. Cholkhov–Klimovo road — 58-year-old truck driver injured, given outpatient treatment. Single-source governor claim; no independent verification. (source: Два майора 14:48:07; confidence LOW.)

  • Cherkasy Oblast, Ukraine: Two Banderol alerts tracked toward Cherkasy city and Smila. No impact, damage, or casualty report supplied in the current messages. (source: Air Force 14:38:38, 14:46:04; status: unconfirmed whether any strike occurred.)

  • Kaliningrad, Russia — Maria Bontsler: A defense attorney on trial for treason, with prosecution seeking 15 years. Her final statement alleges she has serious illnesses; the prosecution's request was made in a closed session. No physical harm is reported, but the legal proceedings are described by her defense as involving torture of her clients and fabricated evidence. (source: SOTA 14:41:00; confidence MEDIUM on trial occurrence; LOW on torture/fabrication claims per absence of independent legal monitoring.)

  • Samara Oblast, Russia — Yuri Filatov case: A 42-year-old man with epilepsy is alleged to have been abducted and coerced into signing a military contract. His mother reports he is now assigned to unit 40566 and being transferred to Rostov. No physical harm is confirmed; the account is a single-source family allegation. (source: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ 14:54:06–07; confidence LOW.)

  • Volchansk area, Kharkiv Oblast — Androsov N.A.: A Russian soldier reported missing in action since 31 August 2025. The search channel notes over a year of "silence" and the mother's distress. No confirmed casualty; status is MIA per the channel's assertion. (source: Северный канал 14:49:58–99; confidence LOW on operational status.)

  • Prior-batch civilian impacts remain baseline: Zaporizhzhia woman injured; Ukrenergo crater; Galina Bekhter prison-hospital transfer; Kostiantynivka civilian claim; Kherson, Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, Kharkiv, Chornomorsk, Dnipro, Zhytomyr impacts from prior reporting.

Information environment and disputed claims

  • Kremlin meeting — competing framings: ТАСС and РБК-Україна report the meeting's conclusion factually. Оперативний ЗСУ (14:40:10) frames it as Putin issuing "methodological instructions" to coerce Ukrainian territorial concessions. Операция Z (14:40:01) presents it as a diplomatic step toward Dublin. The underlying facts (meeting duration, participants, conclusion) are consistent across sources; interpretive framing diverges sharply. No independent transcript is available. (confidence HIGH on meeting conclusion; interpretive claims are editorial.)

  • Dobropillya map — date anomaly and single-source provenance: The Z комитет + карта СВО map carries a "12 ноября 2026" date stamp, which the channel's own analysis flags as a template error or typo. The claim of "newly captured" territory is uncorroborated by DeepState, ISW, or geolocated footage. The prior-batch STERNENKO rebuttal on Kostiantynivka control remains unaddressed; the Dobropillya claim is a separate, also unverified assertion. (confidence LOW.)

  • Belgorod/Bryansk drone-strike claims — pattern of Russian-side civilian-harm narratives: Multiple Russian channels (Поддубный, Два майора, Военкор Котенок, prior ТАСС/ASTRA) relay governor and operational-staff accounts of Ukrainian drone strikes killing and injuring civilians in border regions. These are all Russian-side claims; no Ukrainian official acknowledgment, independent geolocation, or BDA is supplied. The repetition across channels does not constitute independent corroboration. (confidence LOW on strike causation; MEDIUM that the statements were made by named officials.)

  • Sumy POW video — bundled propaganda template: The @frontline_pvt / Colonelcassad video combines FPV strike clips with a POW interview alleging supply failures, looting, a civilian murder by Ukrainian comrades, and Polish mercenaries. This follows a recognized pattern in Russian POW-interview content. The 104th TDF Brigade is a real unit; the individual's identity and statements are unverifiable. (confidence LOW.)

  • JEF "Northern Fleets" — photo-caption mismatch: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's post describes an Oslo JEF naval meeting but the attached photo likely shows Royal Navy carriers in a British port (flat rooftops, sandy shoreline inconsistent with Oslo's fjord topography). The agreement's existence and content are unverified. (confidence LOW on photo relevance; LOW on agreement specifics.)

  • Nvidia disinformation — prior-batch assessment stands: The ТАСС (14:13:54) repetition of the fabricated Nvidia CEO-resignation story was assessed as disinformation in the prior batch. No new evidence of an actual leadership change is supplied in this batch.

  • STERNENKO fundraising — operational context: The appeal references active needs on the Dobropillya and Kostiantynivka axes, implicitly acknowledging ongoing combat pressure in those sectors. This is a self-reported operational context from a fundraising channel, not a verified tactical assessment.

Evidence limitations and unresolved questions

  • The Kremlin meeting concluded, but no joint communiqué, US State Department readout, or independent transcript is supplied. The prior-batch Дневник Десантника summary remains the most detailed account of meeting content; all claims therein originate from the Kremlin readout. Whether the Dublin Zelensky meeting has been scheduled, confirmed, or merely reported by a Russian channel is unresolved.

  • The Cherkasy Banderol alerts (14:38:38, 14:46:04) have no corresponding impact or damage report in the supplied messages. Whether the missile was intercepted, missed, or struck a target is not established.

  • The Belgorod and Bryansk civilian-harm claims rest entirely on Russian governor and operational-staff statements relayed through pro-war Telegram channels. No Ukrainian confirmation, independent geolocation, wreckage imagery, or medical documentation is supplied. The settlement names (Komsomolsky, Moshchenoe, Denyskovychi, Shebekino) are given by Russian sources; their precise locations and the strike mechanisms are unverified.

  • The Dobropillya map claim is a single-source, state-aligned OSINT product with a date-stamp anomaly. No geolocated video, satellite imagery, DeepState/ISW assessment, or Ukrainian acknowledgment corroborates the claimed territorial change.

  • The @frontline_pvt Sumy POW video lacks geolocation, timestamps, or verifiable unit insignia. The individual's identity, the alleged incidents (supply failure, civilian murder, Polish mercenaries), and the capture location are all unverifiable from the supplied material.

  • The Maria Bontsler trial claims (torture of clients, fabricated evidence, political prosecution) originate from the defendant's defense team and a human-rights outlet (SOTA). No court transcripts, independent legal monitoring reports, or prosecution response are supplied. The jurisdictional and procedural context of a closed-session treason trial in Kaliningrad is noted but not independently assessed.

  • The Samara forced-conscription allegation is a single-source family narrative from an opposition channel. No police case number, commissariat document, medical record, or third-party witness is provided. The "black car" scheme and the commissariat's alleged acknowledgment are unverified.

  • The JEF "Northern Fleets" agreement is described by a pro-war Russian channel with a photo that likely does not match the claimed Oslo location. No official JEF, UK MoD, or Norwegian MoD communiqué is cited.

  • The UK sanctions and Finland entry-restriction reports are relayed through Telegram channels citing government documents; the primary sources (UK government gazette, Finnish Foreign Ministry decree) are not directly linked. The two outlets reporting Finland's restrictions (ТАСС, ASTRA) appear to relay the same underlying statement and are not independent corroboration.

  • The Odesa jet-UAV alert (14:52:24) from the Black Sea has no impact report. The prior-batch MoD claim of two cargo vessels struck in the Black Sea remains uncorroborated.

  • No weather-linked operational effects are established in this batch. Numeric conditions (Open-Meteo, 15:00 UTC): overcast 3.8–8.6°C, winds 1.0–2.8 m/s; light rain at Zaporizhzhia/Orikhiv (0.2 mm current, 14.9 mm projected daily); rain at Kherson (1.1 mm current, 22.4 mm projected daily); dry at Kharkiv/Vovchansk and Luhansk/Svatove.

  • The Dempster-Shafer belief masses are uncalibrated and do not establish factual probabilities or independent corroboration. They are noted as analytic support only.

Previous (2026-11-12 14:39:47.302014+00)