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Historical intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing retained for historical analysis.

Intelligence brief / archived issue

Situation Update (UTC)

Key reported developments

  • Ukraine-wide, General Staff daily report (20:00 UTC): The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported 187 combat engagements since the start of the day, 47 aviation strikes, 152 guided aerial bombs dropped, 5,405 kamikaze drones employed, and 1,897 shelling incidents against settlements and positions. Kostiantynivka direction saw 14 Russian assaults repelled; Pokrovsk direction saw 8 attacks. The report claims 31 Russian personnel killed and 21 wounded in the Pokrovsk sector alone, 283 UAVs destroyed or suppressed, and destruction of 11 vehicles, 3 UAV control points, and 22 shelters. No independently verified territorial change accompanies the report. (event time: 22:00 local / 20:00 UTC, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 20:00:01 UTC; confidence MEDIUM for official issuance; LOW for casualty and equipment-loss claims, which are one-sided.)

  • Kherson direction, Ukraine: 18th CAA "Dnepr" UAV-strike compilation published. Два майора (19:44:36) released video branded to the "Two Majors" channel, captioned as UAV operators of the 18th Combined Arms Army, "Dnepr" group, showing strikes on "temporary deployment points of VSU units." The footage includes a DJI FlySafe/GEO interface overlay confirming a consumer DJI drone platform, and a second DJI status message reading "Navigation lights ON, Stealth mode OFF." A building explosion is visible in color segment; a second thermal/monochrome segment shows a different angle. No village name, coordinates, or date is provided. The buildings appear to be in a rural settlement already showing prior damage. (source timestamp 19:44 UTC; confidence MEDIUM for the strike event per branded footage with native DJI overlays; LOW for target characterization as military positions, unit attribution, and geolocation.)

  • LNR (occupied Luhansk Oblast): Claim of 300,000+ subscribers without power after UAV strike. Два майора (19:49:12) relays a screenshot of a RIA Novosti article stating that the LNR government press service reported over 300,000 subscribers in southern and central Luhansk lost electricity after a "UAV attack on energy infrastructure," attributed to ВСУ. The article's visible timestamp reads "22:12 07.11.2026," which the channel's own analysis flags as a future-date anomaly relative to the posting time, raising fabrication or clock-error concerns. No independent Ukrainian confirmation, geolocation, or facility identification is supplied. (source timestamp 19:49 UTC; confidence LOW; single-origin Russian state-media screenshot with a disqualifying timestamp anomaly.)

  • Krakow, Poland: Russian military-blogger channel claims shooter wore "Forward Observations Group" chevron. Операция Z / RVvoenkor (19:49:13) publishes a photo album claiming the Krakow suspect's tactical gear bore a FOG patch, linking him to a US-based private-military/tactical brand whose members reportedly appeared in Kursk in 2024. The channel gives a preliminary suspect name "Michal Oksinski" (not officially confirmed) and cites 6 dead, 15 wounded, 12 critical. The channel's own analysis acknowledges the FOG link rests solely on a single low-resolution patch photo, that Polish authorities denied the suspect was retired military, and that FOG sells commercial patches (a purchase does not prove membership). (source timestamp 19:49 UTC; confidence LOW for the FOG/Ukraine connection; MEDIUM for the underlying casualty figures per the channel's own concession; the event time is not specified in this message.)

  • Russia, Rosstat leak: Cyber Partisans and Silent Crow claim 393,881–450,100 Russian military deaths through August 2026. ASTRA (19:52:42) reports that Belarusian hacking group "Cyber Partisans" claims to have accessed Rosstat mortality data showing at least 393,881 Russian military deaths (Feb 2022–27 Aug 2026) via ICD-10 codes Y36/Y89.1. "Silent Crow" reports a higher figure of 450,100 by including non-combat service-member deaths, deaths in occupied territories, and estimated deaths from records lacking cause. BBC/Mediazona's independent public-name count stands at 285,023 as of 30 October. The leak's authenticity cannot be verified from the supplied screenshots and infographics alone. (source timestamp 19:52 UTC; confidence MEDIUM for the existence of the leak claim per named outlets; LOW for the specific totals, which are unaudited and methodology-dependent.)

  • Zaporizhzhia / Dnipropetrovsk direction: Воин DV debunks claimed capture of Podgavrilovka. Colonelcassad (19:53:01) relays a Voин DV post warning that a feedback-bot submission claiming the 656th Motorized Rifle Regiment ("Vostok" group) captured Podgavrilovka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, on 05 November is a Ukrainian "fake" distributed ahead of negotiation rounds. The alleged evidence shown is a crude red-polygon map overlay and a chat message from user "Оля." No counter-evidence (e.g., geolocated video of the settlement's actual status) is provided. The 99.2 MB video referenced in the submission is not shown. (source timestamp 19:53 UTC; confidence LOW for both the original capture claim and the debunk; single-origin Russian channel with a known denial-of-loss pattern.)

  • Air Force alerts (19:43–19:53 UTC): Повітряні Сили issued three new warnings: UAV toward Kharkiv from the north (19:43:18); group of strike UAVs from Donetsk region heading south of Kharkiv region, western course (19:44:27); jet UAV south of Vinnytsia heading west (19:53:35). No impacts or interceptions confirmed. These add to the prior-baseline cumulative alert count exceeding 72. (source: Повітряні Сили; confidence HIGH for alert issuance.)

Reported situation by area

Ukraine-wide front (new, 20:00 UTC): The General Staff report (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 20:00:01) provides the most comprehensive sector-by-sector account in this batch. Key axes: Kostiantynivka (14 assaults repelled, one engagement ongoing); Pokrovsk (8 attacks, 31 KIA / 21 wounded claimed, 283 UAVs destroyed/suppressed); Lyman (5 attacks toward Lyman and Kolodiazi); Sloviansk (4 attacks toward Pyskunivka, Mykolaivka, Ozerne); Kramatorsk (1 assault toward Mykolaivka); South Slobozhansky (8 attacks toward Kozacha Lopan, Radkivka, Okhrimivka, Vovchansk, Tsehelne, Vovchanski Khutory); North Slobozhansky and Kursk (4 attacks repelled, 110 shelling incidents, 3 MLRS strikes). No shelling reported on Kupiansk, Oleksandrivsky, Orikhiv (2 attacks), or Prydniprovske directions. All casualty and equipment figures are one-sided claims. (confidence MEDIUM for official issuance; LOW for verified tactical outcomes.)

Kherson direction, Ukraine (new): Два майора (19:44:36) publishes 18th CAA "Dnepr" UAV-strike compilation. No geolocation. The General Staff reports no shelling on the Prydniprovske direction. (confidence LOW for the strike's specific location and target; MEDIUM for the footage's authenticity per DJI overlays.)

Kharkiv / Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine (new alerts): Повітряні Сили (19:43:18) warns of UAV from the north; (19:44:27) warns of strike-UAV group from Donetsk heading south of Kharkiv region, western course. The General Staff reports 8 South Slobozhansky attacks including toward Vovchansk. Weather at Vovchansk reference point (47.57°N, 35.78°E equivalent, 50.29°N, 36.94°E): −1.0 °C, partly cloudy (65%), wind 0.9 m/s, precip 0.0 mm; daily forecast: light snow showers, precipPmax 50%, 0.8 mm. (confidence HIGH for alerts; MEDIUM for South Slobozhansky attack counts per official report.)

Vinnytsia Oblast, Ukraine (new alert): Повітряні Сили (19:53:35) warns of jet UAV south of Vinnytsia heading west. The Colonelcassad animated map (19:47:01) claims a Geran explosion at Kryzhopol, Vinnytsia Oblast, at 07:55 on 07 November. No Ukrainian confirmation of impact. (confidence HIGH for alert; LOW for the animated-map explosion claim.)

Zaporizhzhia / Dnipropetrovsk direction, Ukraine (contested): Voин DV / Colonelcassad (19:53:01) debunks a Podgavrilovka capture claim. The General Staff reports 3 attacks on Huliaipole direction repelled, 2 attacks toward Novopavlivka and Lukianivske on Orikhiv axis. The prior-baseline MoD Russia artillery video and Воин DV FPV cargo-vehicle strike (19:30–19:33 UTC) stand. No new Ukrainian acknowledgment of the Podgavrilovka or other settlement changes. (confidence LOW for all territorial claims in this sector.)

LNR (occupied Luhansk Oblast), Russia (new, contested): Два майора (19:49:12) claims 300,000+ subscribers lost power after a ВСУ UAV strike. The RIA Novosti screenshot bears a future-date timestamp anomaly. No Ukrainian General Staff confirmation of a Luhansk-direction strike is present in this batch. (confidence LOW.)

Krakow, Poland (updated): Операция Z / RVvoenkor (19:49:13) adds the FOG-chevron claim and preliminary suspect name, alongside casualty figures of 6 dead, 15 wounded, 12 critical. The prior-baseline Interior Ministry statement (ТАСС 19:27:52) reported 16 injured including the shooter and two police officers. The FOG/Ukraine link is unverified; the casualty figures differ slightly between sources (15 vs. 16 injured). (confidence LOW for the FOG claim; MEDIUM for the underlying shooting event per multiple prior-baseline sources.)

Khmelnytskyi / Rivne / Vinnytsia (western Ukraine, animated map): Colonelcassad (19:47:01) relays a LOSTARMOUR animated map showing Geran drone trajectories from Crimea with explosion markers at Smotrych (Khmelnytskyi Oblast, 07:35), Sarny (Rivne Oblast, 07:37), and Kryzhopol (Vinnytsia Oblast, 07:55). The map is a partisan Russian product with an AI-generated intro; no independent geolocation or Ukrainian confirmation. The prior-baseline Air Force alerts for Khmelnytskyi (19:27:40) and Vinnytsia (19:12:54) stand. (confidence LOW for the specific explosion locations and timestamps.)

Other areas: No new messages provide additional evidence for Sumy, Odesa, Kyiv, Chernihiv, Kremenchuk, Cherkasy, or other prior-baseline areas beyond the Air Force alerts and General Staff summary noted above. Silence does not establish that situations are unchanged.

Reported strikes and air-defense activity

  • Kherson direction, Ukraine: Два майора (19:44:36) publishes DJI-drone footage attributed to 18th CAA "Dnepr" UAV operators showing a building explosion in a rural settlement. Color and thermal segments suggest possible multiple strikes or post-strike assessment. No geolocation, date, or Ukrainian acknowledgment. (confidence MEDIUM for the strike event per native DJI overlays; LOW for target characterization and location.)

  • General Staff air-defense and strike accounting (20:00 UTC): The General Staff reports 5,405 kamikaze drones used by Russia in the day, 152 guided aerial bombs, 47 aviation strikes, and 1897 shelling incidents. In the Pokrovsk sector, 283 UAVs are claimed destroyed or suppressed. The 5,405 figure is an outlier requiring scrutiny regarding methodology (whether it aggregates all FPV, reconnaissance-strike, and larger UAV types). (confidence MEDIUM for official issuance; LOW for the drone-count methodology and verified interception totals.)

  • Air Force alerts (19:43–19:53 UTC, this batch): Three new warnings: UAV toward Kharkiv from north (19:43:18); strike-UAV group from Donetsk to south Kharkiv, western course (19:44:27); jet UAV south of Vinnytsia heading west (19:53:35). No impacts or interceptions confirmed. (source: Повітряні Сили; confidence HIGH for issuance.)

  • LNR energy infrastructure (contested): Два майора (19:49:12) claims a ВСУ UAV strike knocked out power to 300,000+ subscribers in southern/central Luhansk. The RIA Novosti screenshot carries a future-date timestamp anomaly. No Ukrainian confirmation. (confidence LOW.)

  • Carried forward from prior baseline (no new corroboration in this batch): All prior Air Force alerts (13:10–19:35 UTC); Zaporizhzhia MoD artillery and Воин DV FPV footage; Kyiv Obolon outage; RBC-Ukraine emergency compilation; all prior-baseline strike and air-defense items.

Reported Russian activity

  • 18th CAA "Dnepr" UAV operations, Kherson direction: Два майора (19:44:36) publishes compilation footage of UAV strikes on suspected Ukrainian positions. The DJI interface overlays confirm consumer/prosumer drone repurposing. The "Dnepr" group designation aligns with Russian operational structure for the Kherson/Zaporizhzhia axis. The 18th CAA is a real formation under the Southern Military District. (confidence MEDIUM for the footage's authenticity; LOW for unit attribution and target identification.)

  • Rosstat data leak (Russian domestic vulnerability): ASTRA (19:52:42) reports Cyber Partisans and Silent Crow claim access to Rosstat mortality records showing 393,881–450,100 Russian military deaths through August 2026. The leak, if genuine, represents a significant breach of Russian state statistical data. The Cyber Partisans are a Belarusian anti-Kremlin hacking group; Silent Crow is an anti-war data project. Neither the Russian state nor Rosstat has acknowledged or denied the leak in this batch. (confidence MEDIUM for the existence of the leak claim per named outlets; LOW for the specific totals.)

  • Podgavrilovka debunk (Vostok group / 656th MRP): Воин DV via Colonelcassad (19:53:01) preemptively discredits a claimed Ukrainian capture of Podgavrilovka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, attributing the submission to a Ukrainian influence operation timed to negotiation rounds. The channel provides no counter-evidence beyond rhetorical warning. (confidence LOW for both the original claim and the debunk.)

  • Krakow FOG narrative: Операция Z / RVvoenkor (19:49:13) frames the Polish mass-casualty shooting as linked to FOG and, by extension, Ukraine. The channel's own analysis concedes the link rests on a single patch photo and that Polish authorities denied military-retiree status. This fits a recurring Russian-media theme of attributing domestic violence to Ukrainian/Western actors. (confidence LOW for the FOG/Ukraine connection; the underlying shooting event is well-established from prior-baseline reporting.)

  • Zaporizhzhia-front fundraising: Два майора (19:51:21) publishes a video and caption soliciting 2,750,000 rubles for a UAV workshop supporting Russian airborne units on the Zaporizhzhia front, listing equipment needs (4 power stations, 2 generators, 2 optical machines, FPV equipment). The foundation INN 2365033577 corresponds to a Krasnodar Krai registration. This indicates continued reliance on volunteer organizations to supplement military logistics. (confidence MEDIUM for the fundraising event per branded content; LOW for operational claims.)

  • LOSTARMOUR animated strike map (06–07 November): Colonelcassad (19:47:01) relays an animated map from the LOSTARMOUR channel showing Geran drone and cruise-missile trajectories from Crimea toward western and northern Ukraine, with specific explosion timestamps at Smotrych, Sarny, and Kryzhopol. The map includes quantitative claims for Sumy (≥61 UMPC strikes, 172 Geran/Gerber), Kharkiv (≥8 UMPC, 3 РСО/ОТРК, ≥87 БПЛА), and Zaporizhzhia (≥19 UMPC, 2 РСО/ОТРК, ≥55 БПЛА). These are self-reported, unverified, and presented in a propaganda-style product with an AI-generated intro. (confidence LOW for specific counts and timestamps.)

  • Поддубный daily headlines (19:48:39): A Russian military-blogger channel lists the day's themes: "Kyiv in darkness" (energy strikes), air reconnaissance, a new MoD satellite launch, Iran lifting missile-range restrictions, and Germany exhausting Patriot-supply capacity. These are headline references without detailed sourcing in this batch; the satellite and Iran items have no corroborating evidence supplied. (confidence LOW; headline summaries without primary sources.)

Reported Ukrainian activity

  • General Staff daily operational report (20:00 UTC): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (20:00:01) publishes the standard 22:00 local report covering 187 engagements, sector-by-sector assault counts, claimed enemy losses, and air-defense results. The report notes no shelling on Kupiansk, Oleksandrivsky, and Prydniprovske directions. (confidence MEDIUM for official issuance; LOW for verified tactical outcomes and casualty figures.)

  • Air Force warnings: Повітряні Сили issued three new alerts (19:43–19:53 UTC) for Kharkiv and Vinnytsia directions. (confidence HIGH for issuance.)

  • Krakow Foreign Ministry relay: Оперативний ЗСУ (19:18:30, prior batch) relayed the Polish Foreign Ministry's confirmation that no Ukrainian citizens are among the injured. No new Ukrainian statement on the Krakow event appears in this batch.

  • Israeli government-formation reporting (contested): Оперативний ЗСУ (19:45:00) and РБК-Україна (20:00:39) both report that Israeli President Herzog will task Gadi Eisenkot with forming a government, with a ceremony on 8 November. However, РБК-Україна's own analysis (20:00:40) flags the party name "Yashar!" as non-existent in Israeli politics and calls the claim "likely fabricated" despite the genuine photo. The two Ukrainian channels present contradictory assessments within the same batch. No Israeli media, Knesset, or presidential-office confirmation is supplied. (confidence LOW for the event; the РБК-Україна analysis explicitly identifies verifiable factual errors.)

  • BUТУСОВ ПЛЮС / RUG psychological-operations content (19:46:34): The channel relays a testimonial from a 62-year-old Russian senior warrant officer thanking the 23rd Assault Regiment of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RUG) for rescuing him from "rape by his own comrades," with a link to rug_international. This is a RUG-branded morale/psychological-operations product targeting Russian military personnel. No independent verification of the incident. (confidence LOW; single-origin RUG-affiliated channel.)

Civilian and infrastructure impact

  • LNR (occupied Luhansk Oblast): Два майора (19:49:12) claims 300,000+ civilian subscribers lost electricity after a UAV strike on energy infrastructure. The LNR press service states no energy workers were harmed and a regional power-safety headquarters is responding. The future-date timestamp anomaly on the RIA Novosti screenshot undermines confidence. No independent verification. (confidence LOW.)

  • Krakow, Poland (updated): Операция Z / RVvoenkor (19:49:13) reports 6 dead, 15 wounded, 12 in critical condition. The prior-baseline Interior Ministry statement (ТАСС 19:27:52) reported 16 injured including the shooter and two police officers. The slight discrepancy (15 vs. 16) may reflect different counting methodologies or timing. The FOG/Ukraine attribution is unverified propaganda. National mourning 8–9 November stands from prior baseline. (confidence MEDIUM for the underlying casualty event; LOW for the FOG connection.)

  • Kherson direction: The Два майора compilation (19:44:36) shows a building explosion in a rural settlement. The buildings appear civilian in character; no civilian casualty information is supplied. The target characterization as "military deployment points" is unverified. (confidence LOW for civilian impact; no casualty data.)

  • Ukraine-wide (General Staff): The report notes 1,897 shelling incidents against settlements and positions. No specific civilian casualty figures are provided in this batch's General Staff text. The prior-baseline RBC-Ukraine aggregate (700+ callouts, 521 buildings, 13 regions) and Komyshuvakha 55-dead claim stand as previously reported.

  • Sumy Oblast (prior-baseline carry-forward): The RBC-Ukraine bodycam clip (19:09:31, prior batch) showing a collapsed wooden structure and rescue of an elderly woman stands. No new Sumy civilian-impact information in this batch.

Information environment and disputed claims

  • Krakow FOG/Ukraine attribution (Операция Z / RVvoenkor): The channel's central claim—that a FOG chevron on the suspect's gear proves a Ukrainian-mercenary connection—is a commercial-product-to-organizational-membership inference with no supporting evidence beyond a single low-resolution patch photo. The channel itself concedes the suspect's identity is unconfirmed and that Polish authorities denied military-retiree status. This fits a recurring Russian-media pattern of attributing domestic violence in allied countries to Ukraine. (confidence LOW; propaganda framing.)

  • Podgavrilovka capture claim and debunk (Voин DV / Colonelcassad): The original claim (a chat message from "Оля" + crude map overlay) is weakly sourced. The debunk is equally unverified, relying on rhetorical warning without counter-evidence. The 99.2 MB video referenced but not shown is the critical missing piece. The "negotiation-rounds timing" framing is the channel's editorial interpretation. (confidence LOW for both sides.)

  • LNR 300,000 blackout (Два майора / RIA Novosti): The future-date timestamp (22:12 07.11.2026) on the screenshot is a disqualifying anomaly flagged by the channel's own analysis. The claim is single-origin Russian state media with no independent corroboration. (confidence LOW.)

  • Rosstat leak (ASTRA / Cyber Partisans / Silent Crow): The methodology is transparent and internally consistent, and the database screenshots appear structurally authentic. However, the source is an unverified hack of a state statistical agency; the 9,118 "estimated deaths from records without stated cause" is speculative; and the ICD-10 codes could theoretically include civilian or other-conflict deaths. The gap between 285,023 (BBC/Mediazona public names) and 393,881+ (Rosstat codes) is plausible but unverified. (confidence MEDIUM for the leak's existence; LOW for the specific totals.)

  • Israel government formation (Оперативний ЗСУ / РБК-Україна): Two Ukrainian channels report the story, but РБК-Україна's own analysis identifies "Yashar!" as a non-existent party name and calls the claim likely fabricated, despite the genuine photo. This is an internal contradiction within the source batch. No Israeli source confirms. (confidence LOW; disputed within the supplied evidence.)

  • Rutte/Zelensky "drinking" distortion (Alex Parker Returns): The underlying video from Dutch talk show "Pauw & De Wit" is genuine; the caption reframes a lighthearted anecdote as a formal "plan" and fabricates a Zelensky quote ("He prefers evil powders"). Standard Russian-language disinformation technique: real video + misleading caption + invented quote. (confidence HIGH for the fabrication; the underlying clip's authenticity is confirmed by the show logo and studio setting.)

  • LOSTARMOUR animated map (Colonelcassad): The AI-generated cinematic intro and Roman-propaganda channel branding ("Carthage must be destroyed") signal editorial/propaganda intent. The selective display of only Russian strike vectors, omitting Ukrainian air-defense responses, creates a one-sided operational picture. Specific counts and timestamps are unverifiable. (confidence LOW for the data; the general pattern of Geran launches from Crimea is consistent with prior reporting.)

  • НгП раZVедка Stalin meme (19:51:56): A cultural-political commentary using Soviet nostalgia and a Stalin meme to criticize modern Russian social phenomena. No verifiable factual claims. Part of the broader pro-war Russian Telegram ecosystem blending militarism, nostalgia, and social conservatism. (confidence LOW for factual content; the post is opinion.)

Evidence limitations and unresolved questions

  • General Staff 5,405 drone figure: The methodology is not specified. Whether this aggregates all FPV, reconnaissance-strike, and larger UAV types, or represents a weekly figure misreported as daily, is unresolved. No independent count is available.

  • Kherson DJI footage: The settlement is not geolocated. The date is not established. Whether the "temporary deployment points" characterization is accurate or the buildings are civilian is unresolved. The DJI "stealth mode OFF" status is a technical observation, not an operational assessment.

  • LNR blackout: The future-date timestamp anomaly is unexplained. Whether a real strike occurred, which facility was affected, and the actual subscriber count are all unresolved. No Ukrainian confirmation.

  • Krakow FOG claim: The suspect's identity, motive, full weapons inventory, and any FOG or Ukrainian connection remain unresolved. The 15 vs. 16 injured discrepancy between sources is not reconciled. The specific nationality of the foreign victim (prior baseline) is still not supplied.

  • Podgavrilovka: The settlement's actual status as of 07 November is unknown. The 99.2 MB video submitted to the feedback bot is not shown. Whether the 656th MRP advanced, held, or was pushed back is unresolved.

  • Rosstat leak: The authenticity of the database dump cannot be verified from screenshots alone. The Cyber Partisans' prior Rosstat-leak track record is not assessed in this batch. The 2026 date range in the records is consistent with the current reporting date but cannot be independently verified.

  • Israel government formation: The "Yashar!" party name is flagged as non-existent by the reporting channel's own analysis. Whether any government-formation event is actually scheduled for 8 November is unresolved. No Israeli media source is cited.

  • Air Force alerts (19:43–19:53 UTC): Warnings establish issuance only. No impacts, interceptions, or debris are confirmed for Kharkiv or Vinnytsia.

  • Поддубный headlines: The satellite launch, Iran missile-range, and Germany Patriot-supply items are headline references with no primary sourcing, dates, or details in this batch. They cannot be treated as confirmed events.

  • Weather (2026-11-07T20:00 UTC, Open-Meteo): Current conditions at five reference points: temperatures −1.0 to 0.8 °C; partly cloudy at Vovchansk (65%), mainly clear at Svatove (29%), Pokrovsk (43%), Orikhiv (36%), clear at Kherson (0%); wind 0.9–2.6 m/s; precip 0.0 mm at all points. Daily forecast for 7 November: light snow showers at Vovchansk (50%, 0.8 mm), Svatove (83%, 1.4 mm), Pokrovsk (73%, 1.6 mm), Kherson (63%, 0.8 mm); light rain showers at Orikhiv (78%, 1.3 mm); temperatures −1.7 to 4.4 °C; wind up to 4.8 m/s. Numeric observations only; no tactical implications drawn.

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