Situation Report

Situation Update (UTC)

As of 2026-10-03T06:49:26Z. This report treats the supplied new messages as the only source of new facts. A previous situation report was supplied and is used only as clearly labeled historical baseline. Several supplied messages contain embedded analytic commentary, reliability judgments, and suggested follow-up language; those passages are treated as commentary, not as facts, instructions, or independent corroboration. Note that several Ukrainian Air Force infographics carry the date 03 October 2026, which is consistent with the current date supplied here.

Key reported developments

• Ukrainian Air Force and General Staff claim 131 of 157 Russian strike UAVs destroyed or suppressed overnight. The claim states Russia attacked from 18:00 on 2 October with 157 strike UAVs, including 45 jet-powered Shahed-type, plus Gerbera and "Parody" decoy drones, from Bryansk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk, occupied Donetsk, and occupied Crimea (Hvardiiske). As of 09:00 it reports 131 destroyed or suppressed, impacts at 12 locations, and debris falls at 5 locations. (Event time: overnight 2–3 October; sources: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:21:01; Повітряні Сили ЗС України, 2026-10-03 06:45:44; relays by Оперативний ЗСУ 06:19:41, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 06:28:36, ASTRA 06:43:58; confidence MEDIUM for the official claim, LOW for uncorroborated specifics.)
• A morning attack on Odesa Oblast with "Banderol" loitering munitions was reported, with consequences "being clarified" and the attack described as ongoing. No casualty or damage figures were supplied. (Event time: morning of 3 October, described as ongoing; sources: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:21:01; ASTRA, 2026-10-03 06:43:58; confidence MEDIUM for the official claim, LOW for effects.)
• Ukraine's Southern Defense Forces claimed losses inflicted on Russian forces in the past day in the "South" operational zone: 177 personnel, 4 artillery systems, 51 vehicles, 1 reconnaissance UAV, 6 motorcycles, 3 quad bikes, 1 ground robotic complex, 1 video-surveillance complex, 25 UAV crew positions, 4 communication antennas, 1 UAV control antenna and a UAV control point, a generator, a transformer substation, and 99 personnel shelters. Figures are attributed to the statement dated as of 08:00 on 03.10.2026; no locations, coordinates, or strike imagery were supplied, and the attached image is a command-produced infographic. (Event time: "past day" preceding the statement; source: Сили оборони Півдня України, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:19:55; confidence MEDIUM for the official statement, LOW for the figures.)
• Russian-aligned channel claims capture of Novaya Kazachya, Kharkiv Oblast. The post claims assault units of the 245th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the "Sever" group, supported by the "Vakha" battalion of "Akhmat" special forces, pushed Ukraine's 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade out of the village, and claims continued movement toward Kharkiv along the T2117 Kazachya Lopan–Kharkiv route. The only attachment is a self-produced control map. (Event time: not stated; source: Дом Осинтеров 🏠, source timestamps 2026-10-03 06:31:48, 06:31:58, 06:31:59 — repeated postings of the same claim, not independent corroboration; confidence LOW.)
• Reported strike on Kyiv's Northern Bridge, with dashcam video of an explosion and smoke on the bridge structure. The relayed Russian-aligned post states Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported damage to the road surface and trolleybus contact network on the Northern Bridge and that traffic from the left to the right bank was blocked, with delays to about ten bus and trolleybus routes. (Event time: "overnight," not precisely stated; source: Операция Z (relaying Военкоры Русской Весны), source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:34:59; confidence MEDIUM for the visible explosion and reported traffic impact, LOW for the strike attribution and weapon.)
• Claimed strike on the Tsymbulovo jet-drone launch site in Oryol Oblast, Russia, with a NASA FIRMS thermal anomaly cited. The post claims a fire at what it describes as one of the largest launch points for jet-powered drones used against Kyiv Oblast and western regions. Attachments include annotated satellite-style views, images with redaction blocks, and a thermal-hotspot map without visible coordinates or labels. (Event time: not stated in the supplied text; source: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:22:25; confidence LOW.)
• Russian state outlet TASS relayed a Russian MoD comment asserting strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure and on maritime vessels "used in the interests of the Ukrainian Armed Forces." No target names, ports, vessel identities, dates, or damage assessments were supplied; the accompanying image is an illustrative drone graphic. (Event time: not stated; source: ТАСС, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:29:42; confidence HIGH that the statement was published, LOW for its operational content.)
• Competing September territorial claims were relayed by Ukrainian media. RBC-Ukraine, citing ISW, reported that Putin claimed Russia captured 1,301 sq km of Ukrainian territory in September — described as 2.5 times previously reported monthly gains — while ISW assessed net Russian territorial losses of 80.81 sq km for the same month. Neither the Putin figure nor the ISW figure is independently verifiable from the supplied text; the post includes only a portrait photo of Putin at an official event. (Event time: claims about September 2026, year not stated in the post; source: РБК-Україна, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:46:51; confidence MEDIUM for the existence of the competing claims, LOW for the figures.)

Reported situation by area

• Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. New evidence is the Russian-aligned claim of control over Novaya Kazachya, attributed to the 245th Motorized Rifle Regiment, the "Vakha" battalion, and "Akhmat" special forces, opposing Ukraine's 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade, with a self-produced map as the only graphic. Separately, the Ukrainian Air Force channel posted an alert at 06:45:44 stating "Kharkiv: UAV over the city." Neither item provides verified territorial or damage information. The previous situation report's Kharkiv casualty and damage totals are historical baseline and are not re-reported here as new.
• Kyiv city. New evidence is the Northern Bridge explosion footage and the reported damage to road surface and trolleybus contact network, with traffic blocked from left to right bank according to the relayed account. No casualty figures, structural assessment, or repair timeline were supplied in this batch.
• Odesa Oblast, Ukraine. A morning attack with "Banderol" loitering munitions was reported, with consequences being clarified and the attack described as ongoing. No locations, damage, or casualties were supplied. The Russian MoD's maritime-vessel claim relayed by TASS names no vessel or port and cannot be matched to the Odesa report.
• Zaporizhzhia direction. Two separate Russian-aligned items: (1) a claimed FPV strike near Preobrazhenka, Orekhiv direction, attributed to reconnaissance by the 70th Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment and the 417th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion of the 42nd Guards Motorized Rifle Division, with the target claimed to be a "Colombian mercenary" serving with Ukrainian forces; (2) a claim that units of the 58th Army are pressing Ukrainian forces out of the central part of Orekhiv, with drone-intercept activity and starvation/shortage asserted as driving Ukrainian personnel from cover. Both are single-source claims without independent verification in this batch. Separately, a pro-Russian post claims wind and bad weather destroyed anti-drone net supports near Zaporizhzhia, accompanied by a photo of a leaning pole and sagging netting.
• Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine (Dobropillya sector). A Russian-aligned post with naval infantry watermarks claims a drone strike on what it describes as a Ukrainian fuel convoy near Dobropillya; the supplied frames show drone views of personnel and containers and of a damaged residential area, but the strike outcome is not shown. Location and target characterization are unverified in this batch.
• Oryol Oblast, Russia. The Tsymbulovo strike claim rests on Ukrainian-language framing plus a FIRMS-style thermal display; no Russian acknowledgement, geolocation, or independent damage assessment was supplied.
• Southern operational zone ("Pivden"), Ukraine. Covered only by the Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces aggregate statement; no settlement-level events were supplied.
• Areas absent from this batch. No new evidence in this batch covers many areas including Sumy, Chernihiv, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Luhansk, Poltava, or the broader frontline. Absence from this batch is an evidence gap, not a finding that those areas are quiet or unchanged.

Reported strikes and air-defense activity

• Ukrainian Air Force overnight air-defense claim (relayed repeatedly). The claim states 157 strike UAVs launched from 18:00 on 2 October, including 45 jet-powered, plus Gerbera and "Parody" decoys; 131 destroyed or suppressed as of 09:00; impacts at 12 locations; debris falls at 5 locations; defensive participants listed as aviation, surface-to-air missile troops, electronic-warfare units, unmanned-systems units, and mobile fire groups. No coordinates, imagery, or kill-vs-suppression breakdown were supplied. Multiple channels carrying the same infographic are not independent corroboration. (Sources: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 2026-10-03 06:21:01; Оперативний ЗСУ, 2026-10-03 06:19:41; ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 2026-10-03 06:28:36; ASTRA, 2026-10-03 06:43:58; confidence MEDIUM for the official claim, LOW for uncorroborated specifics.)
• Morning "Banderol" loitering-munition attack on Odesa Oblast. Reported as ongoing, with consequences being clarified. The platform name is asserted without technical detail or debris evidence in the supplied material. (Sources: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 2026-10-03 06:21:01; ASTRA, 2026-10-03 06:43:58; confidence LOW.)
• Northern Bridge, Kyiv — explosion and reported traffic closure. Dashcam footage reportedly shows a flash, fireball, and smoke column consistent with the bridge's A-shaped pylons; the accompanying caption says road surface and trolleybus contact network were damaged and movement from the left to the right bank was blocked. Weapon type and launch platform are not identified in the supplied caption. (Source: Операция Z, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:34:59; confidence MEDIUM for the visible explosion and reported disruption, LOW for attribution or munition type.)
• Claimed Tsymbulovo strike, Oryol Oblast, Russia. Cited NASA FIRMS data indicate a thermal anomaly in the area; FIRMS detections do not by themselves establish a strike, the actor, or the target's function, and the supplied map images lack visible coordinates. (Source: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 2026-10-03 06:22:25; confidence LOW.)
• Russian MoD/TASS statement on strikes against infrastructure and maritime vessels. No specifics supplied; the image is illustrative. (Source: ТАСС, 2026-10-03 06:29:42; confidence HIGH that the statement was published, LOW for the content.)
• Claimed FPV strikes in the Orekhiv direction and near Preobrazhenka. Video material supplied by a Russian-aligned channel reportedly shows drone approaches and explosions; unit attribution, target identity (including the "Colombian mercenary" characterization), and location are unverified. (Source: Два майора, source timestamps 2026-10-03 06:30:20 and 06:31:26; confidence MEDIUM for visible drone video and explosions, LOW for attribution, target identity, and location.)
• Claimed strike on a Ukrainian fuel convoy near Dobropillya. Footage shows drone views of personnel with containers and of a damaged residential area; no impact or destruction is shown in the supplied frames, and the "fuel convoy" characterization is an inference from the caption and the presence of jerry cans. (Source: Colonelcassad, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:45:01; confidence LOW to MEDIUM for the footage, LOW for the attributed outcome.)

Reported Russian activity

• Russian MoD messaging via state media. TASS published a Russian MoD comment claiming strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure and on maritime vessels serving Ukrainian forces, illustrated with a stylized drone graphic carrying a victory slogan. No targets, dates, or damage assessments were supplied. (Source: ТАСС, 2026-10-03 06:29:42.)
• Russian-aligned territorial claim in Kharkiv Oblast. The claim that the 245th Motorized Rifle Regiment, "Vakha" battalion, and "Akhmat" special forces took Novaya Kazachya from Ukraine's 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade, together with a self-produced control map and a claim of movement along the T2117 route, is a single-source partisan assertion. (Source: Дом Осинтеров 🏠, 2026-10-03 06:31:48 and repeats; confidence LOW.)
• Russian-aligned frontline footage and claims in Zaporizhzhia. The Preobrazhenka FPV strike claim (70th Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment, 417th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion, 42nd Guards Motorized Rifle Division) and the Orekhiv central-city claims referencing the 58th Army are pro-Russian single-source items. The claim that Ukrainian personnel are leaving cover because of hunger and ammunition shortages is a narrative assertion not supported by the supplied visuals. (Sources: Два майора, 2026-10-03 06:30:20; Два майора, 2026-10-03 06:31:26; confidence LOW.)
• Claimed drone strike on a fuel convoy near Dobropillya. Attributed by watermark to naval infantry; the video shows reconnaissance-style footage of personnel, jerry cans, and a damaged urban area, with no visible strike outcome in the supplied frames. (Source: Colonelcassad, 2026-10-03 06:45:01; confidence LOW for the attributed outcome.)
• Russian-language recruitment and information posts. These include an advertisement for a field course titled "Instructor for Fire Training: Kalashnikov Assault Rifle," with undated-year session windows (18–21 September, 23–26 October, 27–30 November, 3–6 January) and registration through a Telegram handle, MAX, and VK; and a mocking "Ukraine news" digest that includes the claim that wind and bad weather destroyed anti-drone net supports near Zaporizhzhia and alleges procurement corruption. These are recruitment, morale, or propaganda items rather than evidence of battlefield outcomes. (Sources: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, 2026-10-03 06:45:00; Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 2026-10-03 06:34:01; confidence MEDIUM for the existence of the messaging, LOW for the factual claims.)

Reported Ukrainian activity

• Ukrainian Air Force and General Staff air-defense reporting. The 157/131 UAV claim, the 45 jet-powered subcount, the 12 impact and 5 debris-fall locations, and the morning Odesa "Banderol" attack are official Ukrainian claims; they are not independently corroborated in this batch. (Sources: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 2026-10-03 06:21:01; Повітряні Сили ЗС України, 2026-10-03 06:45:44; confidence MEDIUM for the official claim, LOW for the specifics.)
• Southern Defense Forces aggregate loss claim. The statement lists 177 personnel and numerous equipment and infrastructure categories as destroyed in the past day in the "South" operational zone, as of 08:00 on 03.10.2026. No locations, coordinates, or strike imagery were supplied. (Source: Сили оборони Півдня України, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:19:55; confidence MEDIUM for the official statement, LOW for the figures.)
• Claimed strike on Tsymbulovo, Oryol Oblast. A Ukrainian Telegram channel claimed a strike on a jet-drone launch site and cited NASA FIRMS as confirmation of a fire; FIRMS data can only indicate a thermal anomaly. (Source: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 2026-10-03 06:22:25; confidence LOW.)
• Ukrainian commander interview describing past operations. The WarArchive post relays an interview with a commander using the callsign "Bravyi," said to have been wounded and interviewed from hospital, describing a knife fight during an escort, evacuation of a wounded Ukrainian serviceman, earlier service in a group known as the "Brotherhood of Four" with operations including in the Enerhodar area, and a claimed recent operation near Vasylivka involving roughly 30 km of movement across the Kakhovka Reservoir and the evacuation of two prisoners, one described as a Russian officer. The video confirms a bandaged individual in what appears to be a medical setting; the combat and operational details are unverified testimony. (Event time: not stated; source: WarArchive, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:32:42; confidence MEDIUM for the visible injury and setting, LOW for the described operations.)
• 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" awards ceremony. The unit posted photos and text describing an awards ceremony on Defenders of Ukraine Day, with commander Lt. Col. Maksym Danylychuk said to have personally presented awards to recipients, including certificates marked "for wounding." Unit insignia visible in the imagery is consistent with the caption. (Event time: not stated; source: 47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:30:00; confidence HIGH for unit identity and event type, MEDIUM for details such as recipient counts and exact date.)
• Petition for a posthumous Hero of Ukraine title. A post by an established Ukrainian outlet reports a petition on the presidential petitions site seeking posthumous Hero of Ukraine status for Mykola Karpyuk, described as a former Kremlin political prisoner and UNA-UNSO co-founder said to have been killed in the war on 19 September at age 62. The initiator is named as the NGO "Platform for Liberation of Political Prisoners," with the petition registered by former prisoner and journalist Roman Sushchenko. No petition number or link was supplied. (Event time: 19 September for the reported death; source: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:43:01; confidence MEDIUM for the report's existence, LOW for its underlying details.)
• Relayed ISW assessment contesting Russian September gains. The RBC-Ukraine post presents ISW's assessment as rebutting Putin's claimed 1,301 sq km of September territorial gains with a reported net Russian loss of 80.81 sq km; the post contains no direct link, chart, or ISW excerpt. (Source: РБК-Україна, 2026-10-03 06:46:51; confidence LOW for the figures.)

Civilian and infrastructure impact

• Kyiv, Northern Bridge. The relayed account cites Mayor Klitschko reporting damage to the road surface and trolleybus contact network and the blocking of left-to-right bank traffic, with delays to roughly ten bus and trolleybus routes. Video reportedly shows an explosion and smoke column at the bridge. No injury figures, structural engineering assessment, or repair timeline were supplied. (Source: Операция Z, 2026-10-03 06:34:59; confidence MEDIUM for the incident and reported disruption, LOW for attribution and structural conclusions.)
• Kharkiv city. A Ukrainian Air Force alert at 06:45:44 stated that a UAV was over the city. No casualties, damage, or intercept result were reported in this batch.
• Odesa Oblast. A morning "Banderol" attack was reported with consequences still being clarified; no civilian casualty or infrastructure figures were supplied in this batch.
• Zaporizhzhia area (anti-drone netting). A pro-Russian post claims wind and bad weather destroyed anti-drone net supports near Zaporizhzhia, accompanied by a photo showing a leaning pole and sagging netting with a Ukrainian-language overlay. The photo is not geolocated or timestamped in the supplied material, and the accompanying corruption allegations are unsupported. (Source: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 2026-10-03 06:34:01; confidence MEDIUM for the visible damaged netting, LOW for location, cause, and the corruption claims.)
• Novaya Kazachya, Kharkiv Oblast. The reported capture claim supplies no civilian casualty, displacement, or service-disruption information. (Source: Дом Осинтеров 🏠, 2026-10-03 06:31:48; confidence LOW.)
• Unrelated civilian incident. A Moscow news channel reported a death of a newborn and of the mother at Sheremetyevo airport terminal C. The supplied batch provides no link to the Russo-Ukrainian war. (Source: Новости Москвы, source timestamp 2026-10-03 06:48:32.)

Information environment and disputed claims

• Repeated relay of a single official claim. The Ukrainian Air Force's 157-launch / 131-destroyed-or-suppressed figure appears across the General Staff channel, the Air Force channel, Operativny ZSU, TSAplienko, ASTRA, and RBC-Ukraine. Repetition of the same official statement across channels is not independent corroboration.
• Conflation of "destroyed" and "suppressed." The Ukrainian claim merges kinetic destruction with electronic suppression, so the figure does not establish a hard-kill count. The 26 UAVs not counted as destroyed or suppressed are not accounted for in the supplied post beyond the 12 impact and 5 debris locations.
• Embedded analytic commentary in relayed posts. Several supplied messages include appended evaluations asserting date anomalies, propaganda framing, and follow-up tasking. These passages are commentary within the source batch, not independently sourced facts, and are not treated as evidence here.
• Competing September territorial accounting. Putin's claimed 1,301 sq km of September gains and ISW's reported net Russian loss of 80.81 sq km rest on different methodologies and accounting windows. The batch supplies neither primary documentation, and the two figures cannot be reconciled from the material provided.
• Novaya Kazachya control claim. The supporting graphic is a channel-produced map rather than geolocated imagery; the accompanying language uses the term "Nazis" and asserts that Ukrainian brigade commanders were receiving awards from Verkhovna Rada deputies at the time. Neither assertion is corroborated in the batch.
• Target characterization disputes. The Tsymbulovo site is described by Ukrainian framing as a major jet-drone launch point; the Dobropillya footage is characterized as a fuel convoy on the basis of the caption and the visible presence of containers; the Preobrazhenka target is characterized as a "Colombian mercenary." None of these characterizations is independently established from the supplied material.
• Recruitment, fundraising, and morale content. Items include a Russian-language AK instructor course advertisement with undated-year session windows and a large prize raffle in a Ukrainian volunteer channel (donations from 300 UAH, with prizes including an "iPhone 18 Pro 256GB," tactical items, and 100HID-branded pouches; the photo shows a phone retail box that does not confirm the model or storage). These are promotional and morale communications, not evidence of operational outcomes. (Sources: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, 2026-10-03 06:45:00; STERNENKO, 2026-10-03 06:30:28; confidence MEDIUM for the existence of the messaging, LOW for the claims.)
• Non-conflict items in the batch. Weather commentary, a sports interview promotion, and a memorial petition item are present alongside conflict reporting; they carry no operational content relevant to this report beyond noting the mixed character of the information stream.
• Dempster–Shafer belief input. The supplied belief set assigns its largest single mass to "Uncertainty" (0.580000), 0.200000 to "Military Action: Drone Strike by Russia on Ukrainian fuel convoy in Dobropillya sector," 0.120000 to "Intelligence Operation: Surveillance of Ukrainian fuel convoy by Russia," and 0.100000 to their combined hypothesis. This is analytic support only; it is not a new fact and is not counted as independent corroboration of the Dobropillya footage.

Evidence limitations and unresolved questions

• Nearly all operational claims are single-source. The Ukrainian 157/131 UAV claim, the Odesa "Banderol" attack, the Southern Defense Forces loss totals, the Novaya Kazachya capture claim, the Northern Bridge explosion and disruption, the Tsymbulovo strike claim, the TASS/Russian MoD infrastructure and maritime-vessel claim, the Orekhiv and Preobrazhenka FPV claims, the Dobropillya convoy footage, and the Putin-versus-ISW September territorial figures all lack independent corroboration in the supplied messages. Reposts, duplicated texts, and repeated quotations of the same statement are not independent corroboration.
• Event times are frequently missing or imprecise. Reports use "overnight," "morning," or "past day," and several items provide no event time at all. Source timestamps are publication times and should not be conflated with event times.
• No geographic granularity for several claims. The Southern Defense Forces statement and the Ukrainian Air Force intercept claim name no settlements or coordinates. The Russian MoD/TASS statement names no targets, ports, or vessels.
• No damage or casualty information for several claimed strikes. The Tsymbulovo claim, the Russian MoD maritime-vessel claim, the Orekhiv FPV claims, and the Dobropillya convoy footage supply no casualty figures or battle-damage assessment.
• Imagery limitations. The Novaya Kazachya graphic is a self-produced map; the Tsymbulovo images include redaction blocks and a thermal map without visible coordinates; the Dobropillya footage does not show an impact; the anti-drone netting photo is neither geolocated nor timestamped; and the award ceremony and interview photos support presence and setting rather than the accompanying claims.
• Ukraine's bridge-damage reporting is not a structural assessment. The reported road-surface and trolleybus-network damage and traffic closure do not establish structural damage or loss of load-bearing capacity; no engineering inspection or before/after imagery was supplied.
• Areas absent from this batch. No new evidence covers Sumy, Chernihiv, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Luhansk, Poltava, or the wider frontline. Silence in this batch does not establish that those situations are unchanged.
• Weather context (explicitly supplied observations only). As of 2026-10-03T06:45 UTC, supplied frontline reference points recorded: Kharkiv/Vovchansk 9.7C, partly cloudy, wind 2.8 m/s, cloud 56%, precipitation 0.0 mm; Luhansk/Svatove 10.5C, overcast, wind 3.0 m/s, cloud 85%, precipitation 0.0 mm; Donetsk/Pokrovsk 9.7C, mainly clear, wind 3.2 m/s, cloud 17%, precipitation 0.0 mm; Zaporizhzhia/Orikhiv 11.2C, clear, wind 3.5 m/s, cloud 0%, precipitation 0.0 mm; Kherson 11.5C, clear, wind 2.4 m/s, cloud 0%, precipitation 0.0 mm. A supplied one-day outlook for the same reference points lists forecast maxima of 13.6–19.7C and no precipitation. These cover only the listed reference points near the contact line; no observation is supplied for the specific locations named in the strike claims, and these figures establish no conditions there and carry no tactical implication.