Moscow Oblast: ASTRA and TASS report 3 killed and 5 injured in Istra (Pionersky settlement) and 2 injured in Solnechnogorsk due to drone strikes; RF Governor claims 81 UAVs intercepted/suppressed over the region (03:58Z-04:01Z, ASTRA/TASS, confidence HIGH).
Stavropol Krai: Exilenova+ and Operativno ZSU report a strike on the Mikhailovskaya oil depot, with video showing large-scale fires (03:59Z, Exilenova+/Operativno ZSU, confidence MEDIUM).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Dnipropetrovsk OVA reports air defense shot down 17 UAVs over the oblast overnight (04:00Z, Олександр Ганжа / Дніпропетровська ОДА, confidence HIGH).
Donetsk Oblast: Exilenova+ reports large-scale fires in occupied Shakhtyorsk following an overnight attack (03:54Z, Exilenova+, confidence MEDIUM).
Sumy / Kharkiv Oblasts: Pro-Russian source Dva majora claims RF "Sever" grouping is conducting assaults near Ulanove, Mala Slobodka, Kazacha Lopan, and Volokhove (04:01Z, Два майора, confidence LOW).
UAF General Staff: RBC-Ukraine and Operativno ZSU report UAF GS claims 1,600 RF personnel, 58 artillery systems, 1,734 UAVs, and 494 vehicles destroyed in the last 24h; infographic dated 13.07.2026 (03:39Z-03:43Z, РБК-Україна/Оперативний ЗСУ, confidence MEDIUM).
Operational picture (by sector)
Kupiansk / Lyman / Siversk: Dva majora claims fighting in Kupiansk and south, with RF slowly expanding control zone. Weather: Svatove (Luhansk Oblast) 17.7C, clear, wind 3.1 m/s.
Chasiv Yar / Kostiantynivka / Sloviansk: Dva majora claims RF assaulting near Malynivka (Kramatorsk direction) and striking logistics in Sloviansk (burning gas station/fuel truck). Weather: Pokrovsk (Donetsk Oblast) 17.1C, clear, wind 2.0 m/s.
Toretsk / Pokrovsk / Novopavlivka: Dva majora claims heavy fighting near Myrne, Serhiivka, Shevchenko (Dobropillia direction). Weather: Pokrovsk (Donetsk Oblast) 17.1C, clear, wind 2.0 m/s.
Kherson / Mykolaiv / Odesa: UAF Air Force tracks UAVs in Black Sea heading towards Vylkove, and southern Mykolaiv Oblast. Dva majora claims RF used "Geran-4" drones to strike a cargo ship, ferry, and seiner in Chornomorsk port (Odesa Oblast). Weather: Kherson (Kherson Oblast) 19.4C, partly cloudy, wind 0.7 m/s.
Sumy / Kharkiv / Border Areas: Dva majora claims RF "Sever" grouping assaulting in Sumy Oblast (Ulanove, Mala Slobodka, Ryzhivka, Pisarivka, etc.) and Kharkiv Oblast (Kazacha Lopan, Volokhove, etc.). Belgorod Oblast: Dva majora reports multiple drone/IED strikes on civilians and vehicles (Sanakovo, Oktyabrsky, Repyakhovka, Zamostia). Weather: Vovchansk (Kharkiv Oblast) 16.9C, overcast, wind 4.1 m/s.
Chernihiv / Central Ukraine: Dva majora claims RF struck an energy facility in Chernihiv Oblast with 3 reactive drones, causing a blackout. UAF Air Force tracks reactive UAVs towards Sofiivka (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Dnipropetrovsk OVA reports 17 UAVs shot down.
Kursk Direction: No significant change.
RF Rear / Occupied South: Moscow Oblast: 3 killed, 5 injured in Istra and Solnechnogorsk from drone strikes; 81 UAVs claimed intercepted. Stavropol Krai: Strike on Mikhailovskaya oil depot. Shakhtyorsk (Donetsk Oblast): Large fires reported after attack.
Deep strikes & air defense
UAF Strategic Interdiction: Strike on Mikhailovskaya oil depot in Stavropol Krai (03:59Z, Exilenova+/Operativno ZSU, confidence MEDIUM). Moscow Oblast: Drone strikes causing casualties in Istra (3 dead, 3 injured) and Solnechnogorsk (2 injured); 81 UAVs claimed downed by RF (03:58Z-04:01Z, ASTRA/TASS, confidence HIGH).
RF Aerospace Campaign: RF struck energy facility in Chernihiv Oblast (04:01Z, Два майора, confidence LOW). RF claimed strikes on vessels in Chornomorsk port using "Geran-4" (04:01Z, Два майора, confidence LOW).
Air Defense: Dnipropetrovsk OVA reports 17 UAVs shot down over the oblast (04:00Z, Олександр Ганжа / Дніпропетровська ОДА, confidence HIGH). UAF Air Force tracks UAVs towards Kryvyi Rih, southern Mykolaiv, Sofiivka, and Black Sea towards Vylkove.
Enemy activity / threat assessment
RF Ground Offensive: RF "Sever" grouping claims assaults in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. RF "Vostok" grouping claims advances in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Oleksandrivka) and Zaporizhzhia direction.
RF Maritime/Drone: Use of "Geran-4" against maritime targets in Chornomorsk (unconfirmed).
Friendly activity (UAF)
UAF Air Defense: Shot down 17 UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Tracking multiple incoming threats.
UAF Deep Strikes: Targeting oil depot in Stavropol, residential/military targets in Moscow Oblast, and causing fires in Shakhtyorsk.
UAF Info Ops: General Staff releases daily loss figures (1,600 RF KIA, 1,734 UAVs, etc.) dated 13.07.2026.
Information environment / disinformation
UAF GS Infographic: The UAF General Staff infographic released by RBC-Ukraine and Operativno ZSU is dated 13.07.2026, reflecting ongoing psychological operations to highlight RF attrition.
Dva majora Map Contradiction: The map provided by pro-Russian source Dva majora contradicts its own text regarding frontlines in Dnipropetrovsk and Kramatorsk sectors, indicating potential disinformation or outdated mapping.
Outlook (next 6-12h)
Expected continuations: UAF will likely continue deep strike pressure on RF energy infrastructure and rear logistics. RF will maintain localized assaults in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Pokrovsk/Dobropillia directions.
Decision points: Monitor the operational impact of the reported RF destruction of UAF positions in Zaporizhzhia and the extent of damage to the Mikhailovskaya oil depot.
Watch: Weather forecasts indicate light rain (up to 2.4mm) in Kharkiv/Vovchansk over the next 24 hours, which may degrade optical ISR and FPV operations in that specific sector. Other frontline sectors will remain clear or overcast with no precipitation.
Intelligence gaps & collection requirements
Stavropol Oil Depot (HIGH): Verify the extent of damage to the Mikhailovskaya oil depot in Stavropol Krai via satellite imagery or thermal data.
Chornomorsk Maritime Strike (MEDIUM): Verify the reported use of "Geran-4" drones against a cargo ship, ferry, and seiner in Chornomorsk port.
Chernihiv Energy Strike (MEDIUM): Verify the reported strike on the energy facility in Chernihiv Oblast and the resulting blackout.
Shakhtyorsk Fires (MEDIUM): Geolocate and verify the target of the attack causing large-scale fires in occupied Shakhtyorsk.
