Archived operational intelligence briefing
SITUATION REPORT
TIME: 202219Z SEP 25
RF forces maintain multi-axis pressure across the Kupiansk, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Siversk, Dnipropetropavsk, and Zaporizhzhia axes. Heavy reciprocal battles continue in Sumy Oblast. RF claims unverified advances in Volchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, and occupation of the medical college area in Kupiansk, with military control and fortifications on the Velikoburlukskoye direction. RF claims a 5km advance on the Gulyaipole direction, entering Novoivanivka, and new positions south of Novoivanivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RF claims full control of Serebryansky forestry, representing a significant territorial gain on the Lyman direction, if verified. RF claims UAF "complains" about RF advances in Kupiansk, with RF sources amplifying reports of "chaos and disorganization" and a "failed defense." RF footage displays dynamic combat engagements in a forest environment, explosions, and smoke. Kotsnews posts video claiming "liberation of Novonikolaevka" with Russian assault troops detailing mine clearing. Kadyrov_95 posts video claiming soldiers of the 270th Motorized Rifle Regiment "Akhmat-Caucasus" destroyed enemy positions in Malaya Tokmachka area. ТАСС posts video claiming Tornado-S MLRS crews destroyed three temporary deployment points of a UAF brigade in Konstantinovka. Colonelcassad reports a cluster Iskander strike on a UAF company tactical group near Druzhkivka. Воин DV posts video detailing renewed artillery strikes and attacks on enemy personnel in the Polozhskoye direction by the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo message showing a tactical map of a contested area, suggesting ongoing ground combat and RF claims of UAF setbacks in Kupiansk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports over 80 combat engagements in the last 24 hours. The Kramatorsk direction saw 15 RF assaults near Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Mykolayivka, Stupochky, Bila Hora, and Andriivka, with UAF repelling 12. The Pokrovsk direction remains the hottest, with 28 assaults near Volodymyrivka, Zapovidne, Novoekonomichne, Shevchenko, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Vilne, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Promin, Zvirove, Molodetske, Novopidhorodne, Novopavlivka, and Filiya, with 20 repelled. On the Novopavlivka direction, 26 assaults were near Yalta, Shevchenko, Komyshuvakha, Vorone, Ternove, Novoivanivka, Filiya, Ivanivka, Iskra, Sichneve, Olhivske, and Poltavka, with 21 repelled. On the Orikhiv direction, 7 assaults occurred near Kamyanske and towards Novodanylivka, with 6 repelled. On the Kherson direction, UAF repelled 4 Russian army assaults. On the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions, UAF repelled 7 Russian army assaults. This indicates sustained and heavy RF pressure across all key axes, particularly Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka. UAF has confirmed the liberation of Pankivka, Donetsk Oblast, and Zarichne. UAF reports eliminating a Russian breakthrough near Pokrovsk with ongoing cleanup operations. Drone footage from the 'Battle for Pokrovsk,' displays successful strikes against RF targets. UAF "Pion" artillery is operating on the Donetsk direction. FPV drone footage of night combat operations by the 6th Battalion of the Azov Brigade shows thermal imagery of strikes. UAF forces have flooded a gas pipe in Kupiansk, attempting to thwart RF infiltration, and deny RF claims of fighting in the city center. UAF 15th Separate Artillery Reconnaissance Brigade "Black Forest" successfully destroyed an RF Buk-M2 SAM system (video confirmed). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts video claiming six accurate strikes by the "STRIKS" unit on the Southern Slobozhansky direction. Олександр Вілкул posts photo messages of the 77th Airmobile Brigade on the front. Оперативний ЗСУ posts drone footage showing Ukrainian forces identifying and striking a Russian artillery position and communication antenna in Kharkiv Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС highlights how the 1st Assault Regiment (1-й ОШП) "cut the pincers" of Russians near Dobropillya. President Zelenskyy met with soldiers of the 79th Separate Air Assault Brigade participating in the defense of Myrnohrad and the Dobropillya counter-offensive operation, reporting 160 sq km liberated and 7 settlements freed. UAF's "Shadow" unit posts video of successful drone strikes against RF shelters ("укриттям"), indicating continued precision targeting of enemy fortifications. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" posts video showing the UAF 1st Assault Battalion holding its front line in Zaporizhzhia, destroying enemy forces "far from the line of contact" using FPV drones, indicating robust long-range defensive capabilities. "Оперативний ЗСУ" posts video of "STRIKS" unit FPV drone operators from the 4th Border Guard Detachment destroying two enemy positions, a shelter, a BMP, and two vehicles (one laden with ammunition) on the Southern Slobozhansky direction. This highlights continued UAF tactical successes using FPV drones. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts photos of President Zelenskyy meeting with the 79th Separate Air Assault Brigade at their command post, acknowledging their participation in the defense of Mirnohrad and the Dobropillya counter-offensive operation. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video depicting drone footage of Ukrainian military positions, specifically trenches, being targeted and struck by munitions, with a logo of what appears to be a Ukrainian military insignia and a unit emblem with drones and an eagle, suggesting successful strikes against enemy positions. The caption reads "Окупантам не сховатися" (Occupiers cannot hide). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts a video compilation showing intense combat engagements from a drone's perspective on the Siversk, Pokrovsk, and Kupiansk directions, documenting numerous RF artillery strikes and personnel losses. Two Ukrainian reconnaissance companies, including the "VARTOVI" unmanned systems battalion of Mykolaiv marines, are actively engaging Russian military assets, targeting vehicle convoys, artillery, and infantry positions. UAF drone operators from the 414th UAV Brigade "Madjar's Birds" successfully destroyed eight Russian assault troops on the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update for 22:00, 18.09.2025, confirming UAF repelled the majority of RF assaults across multiple axes, indicating successful defensive operations despite heavy pressure. ТАСС reports RF Deputy Commander of a VDV assault battalion claims UAF forces are abandoning NATO weapons during retreat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (UNVERIFIED RF IO) Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posted a video claiming to show aerial combat on the Zaporizhzhia front, displaying FPV drone footage, telemetry data, and what appears to be a Ukrainian drone targeting Russian equipment. This indicates continued intense drone warfare.
Current Missile Activity (Multiple Axes): Approximately 8 RF missiles from Kharkiv Oblast are heading towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast via Lozova. Additional missiles are confirmed heading towards Dnipro from Synelnykove, and from southern Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, then turning south. There are reports of 5-7 additional missiles targeting Dnipro, with explosions confirmed. Missiles are also heading towards Vasylkivka (Kyiv Oblast) and Zaporizhzhia (from northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast). Cruise missiles are currently in southern Kyiv Oblast heading west, in northern Vinnytsia Oblast heading west, in northern Kirovohrad Oblast heading south, in eastern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards Kamianets-Podilskyi, and in southern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards southern Ternopil Oblast. There are 2 "mopeds" (drones) from Vasylkiv heading towards Kyiv, and a general warning of enemy UAVs approaching Kyiv. A missile is also heading towards Pervomaisk (Mykolaiv Oblast). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Claims on Siversk: RF military expert Andrey Marochko claims RF forces have secured an approach to Siversk (DNR) from the west, but deems urban combat "inappropriate" at this time. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This indicates RF is positioning for a potential future assault but currently maintaining a standoff.
RF Bomb Development: Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages showcasing a 3D rendered technical drawing of an unguided aerial bomb, with the caption "Emphasis on mass production and versatility." (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF's continued focus on increasing unguided aerial bomb production, likely for use with UMPK glide kits.
Saratov Strikes (Confirmed): ASTRA reports additional video footage from Saratov after the night drone attack, showing a fire at what is preliminarily identified as an oil refinery. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates previous reports of a successful UAF deep strike.
Volgograd Explosions: ASTRA readers report explosions in Volgograd. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates additional deep strikes or internal incidents within RF.
Dnipro Residential Strike: RF has struck a residential multi-story building in Dnipro, causing a fire. No immediate casualty report. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF targeting of civilian infrastructure. NEW: Zelenskiy / Official posts video confirming aftermath of strike on multi-story building in Dnipro. Three dead and dozens injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Civilian Casualties: Three people have been killed in Vasilyvskyi and Polohivskyi districts of Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to enemy attacks. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms continued RF actions resulting in civilian deaths.
Kyiv Parking Lot Fire: A parking lot in Sofiivska Borshchahivka, near Kyiv, is on fire after drone debris fell. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms damage from RF drone attacks, even if intercepted. This is corroborated by ASTRA photo messages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kaluga Airport Restrictions Lifted: Restrictions on Kaluga airport were lifted. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates a temporary and localized disruption.
Kyiv Oblast Missile/Drone Damage: Photo messages from RBK-Ukraina confirm peaceful settlements in Kyiv Oblast are under missile and drone attacks. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This directly correlates with the multi-axis missile activity reported. ASTRA photo messages confirm Kyiv Oblast damage. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Mass Attack: Dnipropetropavsk Oblast was under a massive attack by drones and missiles. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms the heavy strike activity. Aftermath photos show significant destruction. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Bucha, Boryspil, Obukhiv Districts Damage: Consequences of the enemy attack this morning are being recorded in Bucha, Boryspil, and Obukhiv districts of Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms widespread damage in Kyiv Oblast.
Dnipropetropavsk Casualties: One person was killed and thirteen were injured in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast due to the attack. Most injured are in moderate condition, one is severe. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms the civilian toll of the current attack. UPDATED: The number of injured in Dnipro has increased to 26, with 14 hospitalized. (FACT, UAF REPORT) UPDATED: 36 injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Airport Restrictions Lifted: Saratov airport lifted restrictions for aircraft. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates a temporary and localized disruption.
Zaporizhzhia NPP Infrastructure Attacked: UAF attacked infrastructure of Zaporizhzhia NPP with UAVs on September 19, no casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an RF claim of UAF targeting critical infrastructure.
Tambov Airport Restrictions Lifted: Restrictions on Tambov airport have been lifted. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Vremevsky section): Воин DV posts video claiming reconnaissance of the 14th Guards SpN Brigade worked on various targets as part of the offensive on the Vremevsky section of the front. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Novokuibyshevsk Refinery Strike: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages claiming the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery was again hit by drones overnight. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a significant deep strike by UAF. STERNENKO also reports the 14th Separate Regiment of SBS attacked Saratov (1-4) and Novokuibyshevsk (5-6) oil refineries. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Damage: РБК-Україна posts photo messages showing the aftermath of the strike on Mykolaiv, including significant damage to a building (likely industrial) and debris. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This corroborates previous reports of multiple impacts. Aftermath photos from Odesa Oblast from ASTRA also indicate damage from the overnight RF attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Residents' Sentiment (RF IO): ТАСС reports that a Zaporizhzhia Oblast legislative assembly deputy claims residents of Ukrainian-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia Oblast are "eagerly awaiting the advance of RF forces." (FACT, RF IO)
RF FPV Drone Strikes (Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka): ТАСС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the Southern Group of Forces destroyed four vehicles and UAF soldiers on the Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka direction. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Odesa Oblast Attacks: РБК-Україна reports Odesa Oblast was under attack last night. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kharkiv Oblast Attacks: Олег Синєгубов reports 5 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were struck by RF forces in the past day. (FACT, UAF REPORT) NEW: Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (2025-09-20 16:26:16) reports enemy struck Chuhuiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Khmelnytskyi Oblast Casualties: РБК-Україна reports one man died in Khmelnytskyi Oblast due to a Russian attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Nizhny Novgorod UAV: Глеб Никитин (Nizhny Novgorod Governor) reports air defense shot down an enemy UAV in one of the districts of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast overnight, with no preliminary consequences. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Chernihiv Casualties: One person was killed and eight injured in Chernihiv and the oblast as a result of RF attacks in the past 24 hours. (FACT, UAF REPORT, ASTRA)
Ukrainian Moment of Silence: Ukraine observes a moment of silence daily at 9:00 to honor those killed in the war. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Оперативний ЗСУ, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація, Офіс Генерального прокурора, КМВА)
RF UAV Interceptions (Bryansk Oblast): RF air defense forces detected and destroyed 18 enemy UAVs over Bryansk Oblast overnight. (FACT, RF REPORT, AV БогомаZ)
RF UAV Interceptions (Overall): 149 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over RF and annexed Crimea overnight, according to RF Ministry of Defense. (FACT, RF REPORT, ASTRA) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and Colonelcassad confirm 149 UAVs intercepted and destroyed over Russia overnight. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Attacks on Dnipro (IO): Colonelcassad posts multiple photo and video messages with the caption "Night attack of RF Armed Forces on military facilities in Dnipropetropavsk," showing large fires and destruction, specifically identifying a building as "ХДНІПРО." (FACT, RF REPORT, Colonelcassad) NEW: Два майора posts videos showing fires in Dnipropetropavsk, identifying a target with the watermark 'ХДНІПРО', and mentioning "Dnipropetropavsk doesn't sleep." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo and video messages claiming massive strike on Dnipropetropavsk and Pavlohrad, with footage of large fires and destruction. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Mass Attack: President Zelenskyy reports Ukraine was under a massive Russian attack all night, with the enemy using 40 cruise and ballistic missiles and about 580 drones of various types. He thanks air defense forces and F-16 pilots for their work. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Zelenskiy / Official, Олег Синєгубов) NEW: Zelenskyy's statement is corroborated by Оперативний ЗСУ. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Air Defense Success: NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS all confirm 583 enemy targets were shot down/suppressed overnight. ASTRA corroborates, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Alert: NEW: Kyiv and surrounding oblasts (КМВА, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ) are under air alert due to UAV threats from the north. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Ballistic Threat from South: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a ballistic missile threat from the south for areas under air alert. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Southern Defense Forces: NEW: Сили оборони Півдня України reports continued strikes on enemy deployment locations, fire positions, and rear areas. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Casualties in Kharkiv Oblast (RF Claim): NEW: ТАСС claims UAF is suffering heavy losses in Kharkiv Oblast, deploying untrained personnel from training centers. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
UAF Marine Drone Interceptions: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts photo claiming Marine Corps of UAF destroyed 4 Shaheds. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF POW Capture (Pokrovsk/Lyman): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС claims 'SKELYA' regiment captured 17 RF POWs in Pokrovsk and Lyman directions over the past week, with a video showing captured soldiers and drone strikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Attacked Saratov Residential Buildings (RF Claim): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims UAF attacked multi-story buildings in Saratov overnight, injuring a woman, with videos showing damaged buildings and a drone. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) Drone Activity: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs approaching Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) from east, north, and west. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Berëzovoye): NEW: Воин DV reports "Warriors of Zabaykalye" are completing the liberation of Berëzovoye, with assault troops and drone operators clearing remaining structures and nearby forest belts. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) NEW: MoD Russia reports servicemen of the 36th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade assigned to the Vostok Group of Forces liberated Berëzovoye in Dnepropetrovsk region. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Z комитет + карта СВО provides a map and video claiming RF advance in Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk direction, capturing positions and planting RF flags. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Polish Fighter Jets Scrambled: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Poland again scrambled fighter jets due to RF attacks on Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is corroborated by Оперативний ЗСУ and Операция Z (WarGonzo). (FACT, UAF REPORT, RF REPORT)
WarGonzo Morning Frontline Summary: NEW: WarGonzo publishes a frontline summary for the morning of 20.09.25, including maps for Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia fronts, depicting RF advances and UAF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
UAF Commendations (72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts photo messages showing soldiers of the 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade being awarded state honors. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Denials (War crimes): NEW: ТАСС quotes Miroshnik stating that the "Kyiv regime, losing on the battlefield, seeks to 'compensate' its weakness on the civilian population," accusing UAF of war crimes. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Fundraising (Slavyansk Direction): NEW: Два майора posts a video appealing for donations for assault troops on the Slavyansk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Air Operations (Kaliningrad): NEW: MoD Russia reports three MiG-31 fighter jets made a scheduled flight from Karelia to Kaliningrad region. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Anti-Drone Mobile Units Fundraising: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing fundraising for converting UAZ vehicles into mobile anti-aircraft units ("зенитные расчеты"). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Training (47th Separate Mechanized Brigade): NEW: ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» posts a video showcasing physical and psychological training ("психосмуга") for recruits. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF General Staff (Strategic Strikes): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photo messages with the caption "Strategic targets of the Russian aggressor hit," implying successful deep strikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Daily Strike Summary: NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a summary of strikes on enemy targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Damage (A. Biloshitsky): NEW: Олексій Білошицький (likely State Border Guard Service) posts photo messages detailing a "heavy night and heavy morning in Dnipro" with Shahed attacks and subsequent missile strikes and explosions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Saratov & Novokuibyshevsk Refineries & Samara Oil Depot Struck (UAF General Staff): NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that UAF General Staff reports successful strikes on Saratov and Novokuibyshevsk refineries and the Samara oil depot. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Casualties (Identified): NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts photo messages of "successfully demobilized" RF personnel. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Strike Map (Colonelcassad): NEW: Colonelcassad posts an animated map showing alleged routes of RF missiles and UAVs attacking UAF military targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
DeepState Update: DeepState map has been updated. (FACT, UAF REPORT) NEW: 🔄 Мапу оновлено (Map updated). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kherson Power Outages: Kherson is experiencing power outages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Claims of Drone Strikes on Storage: Colonelcassad claims "Geran" (Shahed) UAVs destroyed storage facilities in the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi area, used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
RF Officer's Narrative: Alex Parker Returns posts a video with a Russian officer discussing logistics, organizing troop entry, and coordinating with commanders over a 16 km "pipe" (likely a route or supply line) for 8 days, confirming the ongoing complexities of front-line operations. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast Civilian Casualty: An 87-year-old woman was injured in an enemy attack on Vasylivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Explosions/Power Outages: Russian sources report a powerful explosion and power outage in Sumy. (FACT, RF REPORT) Colonelcassad posts photos showing aftermath of strikes in Sumy. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Nizhyn Raion Attacked: Russians again attacked Nizhyn Raion, Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Europe Airports Cyberattack: BILD reports European airports stopped due to a cyberattack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Drone Threat to Kyiv: UAF Air Force reports enemy UAVs southeast of Kyiv and in Brovary district, heading south. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Plant Hit by RF Air Defense (RF Claim): Russian sources claim that RF air defense hit the Zorya-Mashproekt plant in Mykolaiv during RF strikes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF attempt to deflect blame for damage.
КАБ Launches (Dnipropetropavsk/Zaporizhzhia): UAF Air Force reports КАБ launches by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetropavsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF FPV Drone Strike (Vehicle): Colonelcassad posts video of an "FPV drone Severyan" destroying an enemy vehicle. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Druzhkivka Saboteur Arrest: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports a saboteur disguised in UAF uniform was detained in Druzhkivka. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Drone in Chernihiv: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a UAV from Poltava Oblast is in Chernihiv Oblast, heading towards Chyhyryn. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF GUR Interview: NEW: РБК-Україна posts an exclusive interview with GUR reconnaissance operatives who claim to have traveled 600 km behind enemy lines to destroy aircraft. The video shows thermal/night vision footage of an aircraft in flight and what appears to be an airport with aircraft on the ground. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claim of UAF Positions Destruction (68th ORB): NEW: Народная милиция ДНР posts a video claiming destruction of UAF temporary deployment points (PVD) and shelters by forces of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion (ORB). The video shows aerial footage of a damaged village with smoke plumes and text overlays in Russian indicating targets. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Dnipropetropavsk Residential Strike Update: NEW: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts a video documenting the aftermath of a missile strike on a residential building in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, including damaged windows, emergency services, and civilian interviews. It confirms 30 injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) (Further updated to 36 injured)
RF Propaganda on UAF Casualties: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message showing "enemy infographics on night strikes on Kyiv-controlled territory," implying UAF casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Drone Attacks Continued: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message claiming "Geran" (Shahed) drone attacks continued on UAF-controlled territory in the morning. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF UAV Operator Recruitment: NEW: Fighterbomber posts a recruitment poster for UAV operators for the "Vityaz" Special Purpose Center near Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Narrative on Western Strategy: NEW: Басурин о главном posts a video (Trump speaking) discussing a new strategy of supporting Ukraine with weapons funded by Russian assets instead of NATO membership. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
Kyiv Parking Lot Fire: A parking lot in Sofiivska Borshchahivka, near Kyiv, is on fire after drone debris fell. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms damage from RF drone attacks, even if intercepted. This is corroborated by ASTRA photo messages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv All Clear: NEW: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports an all-clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Europe Airports Cyberattack Update: NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message reporting that a cyberattack caused delays and cancellations at several European airports (London Heathrow, Brussels, Berlin), citing Independent. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Civilian Casualty: NEW: ASTRA reports that a 62-year-old local resident was killed and a private household caught fire in Borznyan community, Chernihiv Oblast, as a result of an RF attack. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on British Drones: NEW: Colonelcassad posts a photo message titled "Britain is betting on 'Tekever'," featuring a drone image. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Cluster Munition Strike Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports 30 injured in Dnipro due to a cluster munition strike on a multi-story building. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) (Updated to 36 injured).
RF Soldier Refuses Grenade Suicide, Drone Finishes: NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video showing an RF soldier attempting suicide with a grenade but hesitating, followed by a drone strike that "corrected the situation and established justice." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) (New message clarifies: UAF drones drove him onto a minefield before he shot himself).
RF Military Intelligence on NATO: NEW: Kotsnews posts "Western strategy and German fears," implying RF military intelligence analysis of NATO. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Airspace Violation (Estonia): NEW: Рыбарь posts "Flew into Estlandia," confirming the RF MiG-31 violation. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Ukraine-NATO War Narrative: NEW: STERNENKO states "Russia's war against NATO is already ongoing. The alliance is just afraid to admit it." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Military Personnel: NEW: «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a photo message with the caption "How to pick on a serviceman," which seems to be an internal RF critique of harassment within the military. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Solar Flare: NEW: ТАСС reports a powerful solar flare (second to last class) was recorded on the Sun on the night of September 20. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Casualties Update: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in Dnipro from the cluster munition strike on a multi-story building has increased to 30. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) (Updated to 36 injured).
Kyiv Oblast Drone Threat: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a UAV from Poltava Oblast is in Chernihiv Oblast, heading towards Brovary (Kyiv Oblast) from the south. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Olympic Ban: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Russian athletes are banned from team competitions at the 2026 Olympic Games by the IOC. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipropetropavsk Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video and photos claiming strikes on "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk, alleging it's used for military vehicle tuning and drone production. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Konstantinovka Civilian Destruction: NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts videos showing widespread destruction of residential buildings in Konstantinovka from shelling or airstrikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Drone Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports six people, including three medics, were injured in Chernihiv Oblast due to a drone attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Berëzovoye Liberation: NEW: Воин DV claims "Vostok" Group liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with aerial footage showing destruction and Russian flags. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
European Airport Cyberattack: NEW: РБК-Україна reports cyberattack caused disruptions at European airports with possible flight delays. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims: Berëzovoye (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast) liberated. (FACT, RF REPORT, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Airstrikes by RF aviation at Hryhorivka, Lukyanivske, Stepnohirsk, Stepove, Zaliznychne of Zaporizhzhia region, Olhivka of Kherson region. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Fyholivka and towards Odradne at South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv) direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Stepova Novoselivka and Pischane at Kupiansk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Novomykhaylivka, Shandryholove, Kolodyazi, Torske, Zarichne and towards towns Stavky, Novoselivka, Serednye at Lyman direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Yampil, Serebryanka, Siversk, Vyyimka and Dronivka at Siversk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Stupochky at Kramatorsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Toretsk, Scherbynivka, Poltavka and towards Pleschiyivka, Rusyn Yar, Ivanopillya, Stepanivka at Toretsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Volodymyrivka, Nykanorivka, Nove Shakhove, Rodynske, Novoekonomichne, Promin, Lysivka, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Molodetske, Udachne, Dachne, Chervonyy Lyman, Novopavlivka at Pokrovsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Filiya, Voskresenka, Berezove, Maliyivka, Novoyivanivka, Piddubne, Zelenyy Hay, Tolstoy, Sichneve, Novomykolayivka and Olhivske at Novopavlivka direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Kamyanske and towards Stepnohirsk at Orikhiv direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Antonivsky bridge at Kherson direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Ukrainian forces have repelled 9 Russian army assaults at Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
RF Map Update: Krasnolimanskoye direction shows active clashes in Serednye. (FACT, RF REPORT, Z комитет + карта СВО) Confidence: HIGH
RF Claims Massive Strike on Military-Industrial Complex: Colonelcassad reports RF launched a massive strike with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian military-industrial complex enterprises involved in developing "Sapsan" operational-tactical complexes, and producing multi-purpose strike/reconnaissance UAVs, robotic combat equipment, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Advance Rate Chart (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts a photo of a chart displaying "Change, km²" for 2024 and 2025, likely aiming to demonstrate a positive trend in RF territorial gains. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy to Meet Trump: Оперативний ЗСУ reports President Zelenskyy will meet with Donald Trump during the UN General Assembly in New York. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Economic Report (Inflation): ТАСС reports a Bank of Russia advisor claims reducing inflation to 4% will lower mortgage rates and increase housing affordability in Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Chaos in RF (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message with the caption "On their maps, everything is the opposite. Zelenskyy talks about chaos among Russians in Donetsk Oblast," implying UAF counter-narrative to RF claims of advances. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Military Activity (Video): Военкор Котенок posts a video with ✅✅✅✅✅ caption, likely demonstrating RF military activity or successful strikes, but content description is unavailable for direct analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Medical IO/Casualty Management (RF IO): Военкор Котенок posts numerous photo messages of medical records and a video of a mother discussing infant feeding challenges, possibly as a prelude to an IO campaign about healthcare, or to humanize RF personnel, or to hint at internal health issues in UAF-controlled territories (less likely). (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Civilian Casualty: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a 60-year-old man was injured due to an enemy attack on Zaporizhzhia district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MoD Massive Strike: MoD Russia reports a massive strike last night with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian defense industry enterprises developing Sapsan, and producing various UAVs, robotic systems, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates Colonelcassad's earlier report.
RF Claims Berëzovoye Liberated (RF IO): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts photo/video claiming RF Army liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant territorial claim.
Zelenskyy on UAF Drone Assault Troops: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy states UAF is forming separate assault troops with a drone component. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a strategic adaptation in UAF force structure.
UAF Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video with the caption "Cool footage from the warriors of the 425th Separate Assault Regiment 'SKELYA'. Russian soldiers are being disposed of on an industrial scale," showing drone strikes on RF personnel. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This demonstrates continued effective UAF drone operations.
Civilian Altercation in Krasnodar (RF): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in Krasnodar, framed with "friendship of peoples" narrative. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian event with no direct military significance.
Konstantinovka Front Map (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts tactical maps of Konstantinovka - Predtechino, indicating RF control of key settlements and ongoing pressure in the area. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
UAF Dnipropetropavsk ODA Support: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts photo message highlighting systemic state and regional strategies to support Defense and Security Forces, following President Zelenskyy's directive. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Alert (UAV Threat): РБК-Україна and КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) report an air alert in Kyiv due to the threat of enemy attack UAVs. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirms an enemy UAV over Kyiv and possible air defense activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Konstantinovka Direction Map (RF IO): Z комитет + карта СВО posts tactical maps for the Konstantinovka direction, indicating claimed RF advances and control of key terrain, specifically mentioning Katerynivka. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
Dnipropetropavsk Aviation Munitions Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation-launched munitions in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Peace Talks (RF IO): Alex Parker Returns posts a message quoting Zelenskyy on not considering "Korean" or other peace models, framed as him being a "military dictator" and implying UAF will continue attacks on RF territories, with a warning about historical figures. (FACT, RF IO)
European Airport Cyberattack (ASTRA): ASTRA reports a large-scale cyberattack caused flight cancellations and delays at airports in Berlin, London, Brussels, citing Reuters and Bild. (FACT, ASTRA REPORT)
RF Pilots at Work (Video): Colonelcassad posts a video of RF pilots "showing their work," depicting aerial footage of damaged urban areas and an explosion, implying successful RF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Threat Persists: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports the air threat to Kyiv persists. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Fundraising for Paratroopers: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports raising over 8,000 rubles this morning and appeals for more help for paratroopers. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Combined Strikes (Басурин о главном): Басурин о главном reports RF army conducted combined strikes overnight against Ukrainian critical military infrastructure targets, using Tu-95 strategic bombers, ballistic and cruise missiles, and over 50 "Geran-2" UAVs. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse: ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with fatalities and injuries. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
Zelenskyy on Joint Air Defense with Poland/Romania (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message quoting Zelenskyy about joint air defense with Poland and Romania for intercepting aerial targets over Ukraine, stating he doesn't count on others. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Dnipropetropavsk Strike: Colonelcassad reports an enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk was hit overnight, producing equipment for machine building. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Spies Arrested: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two residents of Tokmak were sentenced to 15 and 16 years for spying for Ukraine. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF All Clear (Kyiv): Оперативний ЗСУ reports all clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MoD Summary: MoD Russia provides a summary of the progress of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Yenakiieve Accident: Mash на Донбассе reports a car with a punctured wheel caused a triple accident in Yenakiieve. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Troop Evacuation (Pokrovsk): Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts video of UAF soldiers evacuating a pregnant woman from a damaged building in Pokrovsk. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Drone Training: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos detailing a training and methodical gathering for unmanned systems operators in the UAF. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MMA Training: Два майора posts video of individuals engaged in MMA training. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Polish Aid (Shahedorez): STERNENKO reports Poles are also donating to "Shahedorez" (Shahed cutter). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Soldier POW (Video): Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of a UAF soldier, possibly a POW, expressing negative sentiments towards Russia. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Naval Launch: Басурин о главном reports the Vympel OSC plant launched a project 12418 missile boat. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Land Return: Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a forest plot and water body in Voronovytska Dacha were returned to state ownership. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Recruitment (High Pay): Alex Parker Returns posts video advertising 5,500,000 rubles for the first year of military service. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Intervision Revival: Colonelcassad posts on the revival of the "Intervision" contest, criticizing Eurovision. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse (Update): ТАСС reports no students were in the school during the collapse, and later reports four floors collapsed. ASTRA reports 2 builders died, 1 under rubble. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Appeal to UAF: Воин DV posts an appeal to UAF servicemen in several settlements (Poltavka, Novonikolaevka, etc.). (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Guided Aerial Bomb Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches on the border of Donetsk, Dnipropetropavsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Training Program: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 invites Zaprorizhzhia residents to participate in a basic combined-arms training program. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Corruption Lawsuit: ТАСС reports an anti-corruption lawsuit filed against former Yaroslavl mayor Malyutin. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Putin and SVO Veterans: Старше Эдды posts video of Putin supporting the initiative to attract SVO veterans to combat illegal migrants. (FACT, RF REPORT)
STERNENKO New Episode: STERNENKO asks if a new episode was watched. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF activity in Kharkiv (Alleged Detention/Extraction): Colonelcassad posts video of RF activity in a residential courtyard, possibly in Kharkiv. Individuals in military-style camouflage are seen pulling someone out of a white van. (FACT, RF-ALIGNED REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This suggests either a detention or a forced extraction operation.
Samara Oblast Drone Attack Fatalities: ТАСС reports 4 people died in drone attacks in Samara Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This contradicts the previous RF claim of no destruction or casualties in Volgograd, but pertains to a different oblast. Военкор Котенок corroborates these fatalities. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Claims Berëzovoye Liberation: Kotsnews reports RF Army liberated Berëzovoye. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This supports earlier RF claims and is a new territorial claim. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition also reports liberation of Berëzovoye. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Lyman, Odesa Oblast Logistics Struck: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RF forces struck fuel and engineering equipment warehouses in Lyman, Odesa Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is a new RF claim of targeting UAF logistics in the Odesa region.
UAF Support for Kharkiv Defenders: Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, posts about continued support for UAF defenders in Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a morale-boosting and logistical support message.
US Suspending Patriot Sales to Europe: STERNENKO reports the US is suspending sales of some weapons, including Patriot systems, to Europe, citing The Atlantic, to stockpile weapons as part of an "America First" agenda. (FACT, UAF REPORT, via The Atlantic) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant development regarding Western military aid.
RF Narrative Shaping (New Book): WarGonzo posts about a new book by "Comrade Seleznev" titled "Death in July and always in Donetsk," a conservative Russian account of the war. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights RF's efforts to shape the narrative of the conflict through cultural means.
RF IO on Ukrainian Mobilization (German Media): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a German media report on "opening borders for Ukrainians aged 18-22," framed as a "shot in the knee" for Ukraine. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO attempt to portray Western actions as detrimental to Ukraine and to fuel narratives of draft evasion.
RF Claim of US Navy Testing Russian Air Defense: Два майора posts that US Navy is testing Russian experience in air defense organization on ships. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO claim to project their military's advanced capabilities.
Putin Congratulates South Ossetian President: ТАСС reports Putin's congratulatory telegram to Alan Gagloev of South Ossetia, affirming RF support for national security. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This signals continued RF geopolitical influence in breakaway regions.
RF Troll Factory Operative Detained in Dominican Republic: ASTRA reports a 25-year-old Russian linked to "Prigozhin's Troll Factory" was detained in the Dominican Republic for spreading Kremlin propaganda. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF hybrid operations abroad and international efforts to counter them.
RF Claims UAF Defeat in Kreminna Forest: Colonelcassad posts a video titled "Defeat of the UAF in Kreminna Forest. Our report," depicting combat footage. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF claim of tactical success and will be used for morale boosting.
RF Implied Ongoing Oil Refinery Strikes: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts photo messages with captions "💬Удары по НПЗ продолжаются💬" implying ongoing strikes on oil refineries. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Veteran Death: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts photo messages with the caption "Ветеран "СМЕРША" Николай Живодеров - всё." (Veteran "SMERSH" Nikolay Zhivoderov - that's all.) (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This likely refers to the death of an RF veteran.
RF Diplomatic Sarcasm: ТАСС posts photo messages with the caption "РФ желает министру обороны Литвы реализоваться по ее специальности психолога, заявила ТАСС Мария Захарова." (RF wishes the Lithuanian Minister of Defense to realize herself in her specialty as a psychologist, TASS stated Maria Zakharova.) (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a sarcastic diplomatic response.
RF Ka-52M Shooting Down Drones: Colonelcassad posts video showing Ka-52M crews shooting down Ukrainian drones with 30-mm cannons. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims an effective counter-UAV tactic.
UAF Command Control Message: Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts a photo message stating "In connection with the appearance in the information space of public statements by certain individuals who are not authorized representatives of the Air Assault Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Ukraine, we inform:" (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a command control measure to counter unauthorized statements.
Dnipro Cruise Missile Impact: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video showing the moment a cruise missile hit a multi-story building in Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visually confirms the strike and its impact.
RF Soldier Infiltration Claim (Muravka): ТАСС posts video featuring a Russian soldier claiming he spent five days behind UAF lines in Muravka village coordinating actions of main forces. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is an RF account of a deep reconnaissance or infiltration mission.
UAF Fundraising (Rubizh Brigade): РБК-Україна posts a photo message titled "Бригада "Рубіж" НГУ збирає кошти на відновлення знищеного майна і екіпірування" (Rubizh Brigade of NGU is collecting funds for restoration of destroyed property and equipment). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a resource requirement for UAF.
RF Leveraging Estonian Airspace Violation: Рыбарь comments on the RF fighter jet episode in Estonian airspace, stating it was "quite timely" and the Prime Minister of Estonia is continuously commenting on it. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates RF is leveraging the incident for IO.
RF IO on Kharkiv Mobilization: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming passers-by in Kharkiv's Novovolynsk rescued a man from TCC (Territorial Recruitment Center) officers. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF mobilization efforts.
RF Ground Operations (Borovsky Direction): Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video claiming "point cleanups of routes for supplying UAF manpower in the Borovsky direction," stating a HMMWV raid in Kharkiv Oblast "ended sadly" for militants, who were driven out by 1st Tank Army fighters. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF ground success.
RF Schools Not Using Electronic Textbooks: ТАСС reports RF schools do not plan to use electronic textbooks. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Combined Strikes Aftermath: Colonelcassad posts multiple videos showing the aftermath of a "combined strike" on targets in Dnipropetropavsk and Pavlohrad, depicting large fires and destruction at night. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous reports of mass strikes.
RF Drone Activity in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Zelenskyy and Poland/Romania Drone Interceptions: ASTRA reports Zelenskyy discussing drone interceptions with Poland and Romania, citing Ukrainian media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Migration Policy: ТАСС reports Vyacheslav Volodin states migrants should not bring families to Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Morale Boosting: Fighterbomber posts a morale-boosting photo message with the caption "Аж слеза навернулась..." (A tear rolled down...). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of "Svyatogor" Successes: Воин DV posts video claiming "Svyatogor" continues to work on Kupiansk and other directions, showing drone destruction of enemy assets, including a robotic platform and an ammunition depot, and thermal imagery of UAF militants. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates claimed RF success in disrupting UAF logistics and engaging personnel.
RF IO on UAF Missing Personnel: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message claiming Ukrainian public pages are forbidden from publishing posts about missing military personnel. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
US Bill on Frozen Russian Assets: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that a US bill has been introduced to regularly transfer frozen Russian assets to Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Military Use of ATB Warehouses: Colonelcassad posts video showing aftermath of strikes on ATB warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used for military purposes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Female Population Share: Новости Москвы posts a photo message claiming Russia is first in the world for female population share. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Confirms ATB Warehouse Hit: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming enemy missiles hit ATB warehouse in Dnipro, citing local media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the target and impact.
RF Cultural Event in Donetsk: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a blacksmith festival in Donetsk, showcasing cultural resilience. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
EU Sanctions Package Exclusion (Oil): ТАСС reports the new EU sanctions package will not include restrictions on Russian oil purchases, citing Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Social Issues (St. Petersburg Altercation): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in St. Petersburg, linked to a "Friendship of Peoples" community, with a call to check for extremism. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights internal social issues in RF.
Polish Servicemen Death (US Exercise): Colonelcassad reports the mysterious death of two Polish servicemen during night parachute exercises in the US. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an external military incident impacting a NATO member.
RF Claims of Military Use of Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Военкор Котенок posts video of aftermath of strike on warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous RF claims.
RF Denies Estonian Airspace Violation: РБК-Україна reports Russia denies its MiG-31 fighters violated Estonian airspace. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Security (Fraud Arrest): ТАСС reports an accomplice of Ukrainian phone fraudsters, who stole over 10 million rubles from Russians, was arrested in Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This relates to RF internal security.
RF IO on Kerch Status: Старше Эдды posts photo message claiming Kerch is officially recognized as the ancient city of Russia. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an IO attempt to legitimize the occupation of Crimea.
RF Drone Footage in Sumy-Kondratovka: Сливочный каприз posts video showing drone footage with smoke plumes in Sumy - Kondratovka area, possibly indicating military activity. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Missile Hit Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming a missile hit warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other reports of strikes.
RF Domestic Policy (Medical Student Employment): ТАСС reports the conclusion of targeted training contracts guarantees employment for medical students. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy message aiming to secure a future medical workforce and promote stability.
UAF Deep Strikes on RF Refineries (Confirmed Impact): Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming UAF launched 29 strikes on RF oil refineries from August to September, causing gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia due to lack of air defense and mobile anti-drone groups. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a significant impact of UAF deep strikes on RF energy infrastructure and a perceived vulnerability in RF air defense.
Frozen Russian Assets Transfer Mechanism: ТАСС reports that the mechanism for transferring frozen Russian assets as a loan to Kyiv needs further development and will take weeks, as stated by European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights ongoing international discussions and potential complexities in providing financial aid to Ukraine.
RF Military Recruitment Advertisement: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a recruitment advertisement for Russian contract military service, highlighting a salary of 5.5 million rubles for the first year and professional training. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms RF's ongoing efforts to attract personnel and boost military strength.
RF Airborne Forces Fundraising: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a message about fundraising for airborne forces. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued reliance on public support for military funding.
RF Vehicle Modifications (Armor): Два майора posts a video showcasing a modified Russian military truck with added cage-like protection, thanking "Armor 31" and "Two Majors" for providing armor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights adaptation of military vehicles and volunteer support.
RF Geopolitical IO (Turkey, Russia, China Alliance): Рыбарь posts a photo message claiming a Turkish party leader proposed a Turkey, Russia, and China alliance against the US and Israel. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece attempting to portray geopolitical shifts.
RF MoD Summary (Sep 20, 2025): Colonelcassad reports the Russian Ministry of Defense's summary of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an official RF report.
RF Drone Activity in Northern Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF drone activity.
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): Старше Эдды posts that State Duma Chairman Vyacheslav Volodin supported the Ministry of Economic Development on labor migration: work, then leave, no family transport. Also, that this would allow attracting qualified workers globally. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement regarding labor migration.
RF Claims UAF S-300PS Destruction: ТАСС posts a video claiming an Iskander OTRK crew destroyed UAF S-300PS air defense positions in Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims a successful RF strike on a high-value UAF target.
Pentagon on RF MiG Incursion: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Pentagon called Russian MiG incursions into Estonian airspace deliberate, with planes staying over 20 minutes with transponders off and no communication. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the severity of the airspace violation.
Map of RF MiG Incursion: РБК-Україна posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visualizes the airspace violation.
NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts fresh footage of F-16 operations against enemy missiles. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This confirms active engagement of F-16s in air defense.
RF IO on Yushchenko: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece portraying extreme Ukrainian positions.
RF Claims Control of Melovoye and Velikoburlukskoye Direction: Z комитет + карта СВО posts multiple photo messages with maps claiming control of Melovoye and detailing the Velikoburlukskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF claims of territorial gains.
Moscow School Collapse Photos: ТАСС posts photo messages of the situation at a school in eastern Moscow where building structures collapsed. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF IO on Romanian Energy Project: Colonelcassad posts a photo message stating Romania risks halting the Neptun Deep project, considered a key EU alternative to Russian gas. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights potential European energy vulnerabilities.
RF IO on Yushchenko (Derogatory): Военкор Котенок posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow, framing him as a "Banderalog" (derogatory term). (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF propaganda.
RF IO on Poles (Stereotype): НгП раZVедка posts a photo message with the caption "Poles, alcohol is a great evil." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece seemingly targeting Poland with negative stereotypes.
Samara Oblast Governor Denial of Resignation: ТАСС reports the press service of the Samara Oblast governor denied the resignation of Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, stating the governor is on a business trip. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This addresses a local political rumor.
STERNENKO Map of RF MiG Incursion: STERNENKO posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other UAF reports.
Belgorod Oblast Drone Attack Injury: ASTRA reports one person was injured after a Ukrainian drone attack in Belgorod Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms a UAF strike on RF territory and resulting casualties.
UAF Warning to POW Families: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that families of captured and missing servicemen are often targeted by malicious actors, including enemy intelligence, with false promises and threats. They warn against cooperation, stating it leads to becoming a "disposable agent." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights a significant counter-intelligence and psychological warfare threat against UAF families.
RF Drone Activity in Southeastern Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an enemy UAV in southeastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts.
New Drone Threat (Kremenchuk): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV heading towards Kremenchuk from the northeast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a new drone threat.
RF Drone Attack on Samara Energy Infrastructure: Colonelcassad reports Ukrainian drones attacked energy infrastructure facilities in Samara Oblast, citing Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms UAF deep strike actions.
UAF Deep Strike on Oil Pumping Stations: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a continuation of UAF deep strike capabilities targeting RF energy infrastructure.
RF Propaganda on Estonia: NEW: Janus Putkonen (RF-aligned source) posts photo message claiming "Air-powerless Latvia demands NATO member states with air power shoot down Russian military aircraft based on unsubstantiated allegations of airspace violations." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a direct RF IO response to the Estonian airspace violation, aiming to delegitimize NATO's response.
RF Civilian Dispute (Donbas): NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a shirtless man confronting road workers in Donbas over road repairs. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Decree on Catherine II: NEW: Рыбарь posts a scanned decree from the President of the Russian Federation titled "Catherine II and her heritage." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic political and historical narrative piece with no direct military relevance.
UAF Morale Boost (Usyk): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
Estonian Border Closure Proposal: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Estonia proposes closing its eastern border after the Russian MiG-31 incursion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a direct, diplomatic response by a NATO member to RF actions.
US Murder Investigation (Charlie Kirk): NEW: ТАСС reports NBC News sources state the suspect in Charlie Kirk's murder likely used a Mauser 98 rifle. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an unrelated domestic US crime story.
Moscow School Collapse Update (TASS): NEW: ТАСС posts multiple video and photo messages showing ongoing debris removal and cleanup at the Moscow school collapse site. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides an update on a civilian incident in RF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video):: NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.25): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetropavsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetropavsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.
NEW: RF Anti-Drone Naval System: Басурин о главном posts a photo message claiming Russia has created a naval tower for protecting ships from unmanned surface vessels (BEC) using fiber-optic drones. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates RF is actively developing defenses against UAF naval drone threats.
NEW: RF Claim of Soldier Infiltration and Destruction of UAF Group: ТАСС posts a video claiming an RF soldier disguised himself as a UAF group member, followed them, and destroyed them. This is attributed to the deputy commander of an assault battalion from the 35th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade, 'Center' grouping of troops. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is a significant RF claim of successful deep infiltration and tactical engagement.
NEW: Pentagon Not Cutting Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Pentagon is preparing to cut aid to Baltic states and NATO allies bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at sowing discord within NATO.
NEW: Germany's AfD as Most Influential (RF IO): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a photo message claiming that for the first time in Germany, the far-right, pro-Russian "Alternative for Germany" (AfD) party has become the most influential political force, citing Bild. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived Western political instability and growing pro-Russian sentiment.
NEW: Russia Arrests Former Candidate for "Terrorism" (RF Internal Security): ASTRA reports that Oksana Bagirova, a former candidate for the Komi parliament, was sent to a pre-trial detention center for "calls and justification of terrorism" in connection with comments about the SBU "Spiderweb" operation. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF internal repression against perceived dissenters.
NEW: Trump on US Profiting from Ukraine Conflict (RF IO Amplification): Colonelcassad posts video of Donald Trump stating, "I don't want to, but I'm making money" and claiming the US is profiting from the Ukrainian conflict. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO amplification of a statement that could undermine international support for Ukraine.
NEW: General UAV Situation Update: Николаевский Ванёк provides a general update on drone activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: Russian soldier kills Ukrainian police officers: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims a Ukrainian national shot and killed police officers during a document check. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is an RF claim of internal unrest within Ukraine.
NEW: RF Checkpoint Scanning: Kotsnews video shows officials observing vehicles passing through a scanning checkpoint in "Nizhny Zaramag" on the border of North and South Ossetia. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates enhanced border security within RF.
NEW: RF Video: "Faith on the SVO": АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА and Старше Эдды post videos on "Faith on the SVO", featuring soldiers, military vehicles, and religious themes. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is RF morale-boosting and propaganda.
NEW: RF TOS-1A Strike Footage: MoD Russia (2025-09-20 16:00:19) posts video of a TOS-1A Solntsepyok heavy flamethrower system striking a hostile reinforced position in Krasnoarmeysk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This confirms active use of thermobaric artillery.
NEW: Kupiansk Direction (Photo): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (2025-09-20 16:00:27) posts a photo with the caption "Kupiansk direction," showing a damaged military vehicle, indicating ongoing combat. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This corroborates high intensity combat in Kupiansk.
NEW: RF Chronicle of Strikes: НгП раZVедка (2025-09-20 16:00:30) posts videos titled "Nightmare of Ukrainian Defense Industry: Chronicle of Strikes," showing large explosions and smoke plumes, likely intended to demonstrate RF effectiveness. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is RF propaganda claiming successful strikes.
NEW: RF Claims of Dnipro Strikes: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (2025-09-20 16:00:54) posts videos and photos claiming new footage of strikes on targets in Dnipropetropavsk, specifically "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise, alleging it services military vehicles and produces drones. (FACT, RF CLAIM) Confidence: MEDIUM This continues the RF narrative of hitting military-industrial targets.
NEW: Colonelcassad Drone Footage: Colonelcassad (2025-09-20 16:01:05) posts thermal/night vision drone footage showing strikes on what are identified as an armored vehicle, munitions depot, and machine gun nest, as well as ground drones and a damaged building. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This demonstrates RF drone effectiveness.
NEW: RF Casualty Evacuation (Urban Combat): WarGonzo (2025-09-20 16:02:03) provides a video depicting Russian soldiers evacuating a wounded comrade in a UAZ-452 military vehicle through damaged urban infrastructure. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This highlights ongoing close-quarters combat and RF casualty management.
NEW: RF Air Strikes on Volchansk: Colonelcassad (2025-09-20 16:03:02) posts aerial footage claiming RF Aerospace Forces (VKS) strikes on a deployment point of the UAF 57th Motorized Infantry Brigade in Volchansk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) Confidence: HIGH This is an RF claim of significant strikes on UAF military positions.
NEW: RF Artillery Operations (Unspecified): WarGonzo (2025-09-20 16:12:02) posts video showing RF personnel preparing and manning artillery pieces, suggesting ongoing artillery readiness or operations. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: MEDIUM This indicates active artillery presence.
NEW: RF Defensive Line (Kharkiv Direction): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (2025-09-20 16:13:02) posts photo message from Kharkiv direction, showing what appears to be a defensive position with camouflage netting, indicating RF defensive posture or preparation. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: MEDIUM This suggests RF is establishing/reinforcing defenses.
NEW: NATO EW Planning Software Contract: Colonelcassad (2025-09-20 16:15:11) reports NATO contracted Collins Aerospace for Electronic Warfare Planning and Battle Management (EWPBM) software. (FACT, RF REPORT, NATO procurement) Confidence: HIGH This indicates NATO's continued focus on EW capabilities.
NEW: RF Ground Operations (Pokrovsk): Операция Z (2025-09-20 16:17:02) amplifies "Военкоры Русской Весны" video claiming RF "Otvazhnye" group is actively destroying UAF equipment, infantry, and positions at Pokrovsk day and night. (FACT, RF CLAIM) Confidence: HIGH This is an RF claim of successful offensive action.
NEW: UAF Starlink and Equipment Donations: Оперативний ЗСУ (2025-09-20 16:31:28) posts video of Ukrainian soldiers thanking subscribers for donated Starlink satellite internet terminals and other equipment, crucial for reconnaissance and drone operations. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This highlights continued reliance on volunteer support for critical comms.
NEW: UAF Sanctions on Mizulina and Pierre de Gaulle: ASTRA (2025-09-20 16:31:37) reports Ukraine sanctioned Ekaterina Mizulina (Russian pro-war propagandist) and Pierre de Gaulle (collaborating with Russian authorities and propaganda). (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates UAF's efforts to target RF propagandists.
NEW: RF "Glory to Russia" on UAF Train: Colonelcassad (2025-09-20 16:31:42) reports "Glory to Russia" appeared on an electronic display of a train from Kyiv to Rakhiv, citing Ukrainian media. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: MEDIUM This is an RF IO piece, possibly a hack or an internal incident, aiming to show pro-RF sentiment or penetration.
NEW: UAF FPV Drone Strike on RF Infantry: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (2025-09-20 16:36:44) posts video of UAF FPV drones engaging two RF infantrymen, wounding one, who then attempted to hide and render aid. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This confirms continued UAF tactical drone effectiveness.
NEW: UAF Strong Spirit's Games: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (2025-09-20 16:38:52) posts photo message of Zaporizhzhia heroes participating in the Strong Spirit’s Games, a national team event. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a morale and veteran support initiative.
NEW: Zelenskyy Meets Ambassadors: Zelenskiy / Official (2025-09-20 16:39:32) posts video of President Zelenskyy receiving credentials and meeting with newly appointed ambassadors from Czechia, Norway, and Germany. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates ongoing diplomatic efforts and strengthening international relations.
NEW: Czech President Calls for Shooting Down RF Jets: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (2025-09-20 16:41:19) posts a statement from Czech President Petr Pavel advocating for shooting down Russian military aircraft violating NATO airspace. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a strong NATO response statement.
NEW: RF Civilian Messaging on Palestine: Басурин о главном (2025-09-20 16:29:12) reports civilian casualties in Gaza, highlighting a focus on international conflicts that serve RF narratives. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a deliberate RF attempt to shift focus and leverage international crises.
NEW: Dnipropetropavsk Air Defense Success: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (2025-09-20 16:45:02) reports that air defenders shot down 12 enemy UAVs in the oblast in the evening, with a thank you message to air defense. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates continued UAF air defense effectiveness.
NEW: RF Civilian News (Antalya Fires): ТАСС (2025-09-20 16:46:01) reports Russian Consulate in Antalya has not received appeals from Russians regarding forest fires. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is civilian news, no military significance.
NEW: RF IO on UAF Mobilization (Ukrainian Nationalist): Операция Z (2025-09-20 16:46:19) amplifies "Военкоры Русской Весны" video claiming Ukrainian nationalist "Diky" demands stricter punishment for draft dodgers, stating "We will lose the war!" (FACT, RF IO) Confidence: HIGH This is an RF IO piece to highlight UAF mobilization challenges and demoralize.
NEW: RF Tempo of Offense Chart: Colonelcassad (2025-09-20 16:47:01) posts a chart titled "Tempo of offense," showing data for 19.09.25, likely intended to illustrate RF territorial gains or operational progress. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: MEDIUM This is an RF IO piece aiming to portray positive trends.
NEW: RF Casualty Evacuation (Slaviansk direction): Два майора (2025-09-20 16:27:09) posts a video of the aftermath of an attack on what appears to be RF positions in a forested area on the Slaviansk direction. The video shows destroyed positions and debris, implying RF casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates ongoing combat and losses for RF on this axis.
NEW: Russian school collapse search and rescue completed: ТАСС reports search and rescue operations at the collapsed Moscow school are completed, with no more people under the rubble. (FACT, RF REPORT)
NEW: Russian Reconquista Propaganda: Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message with the caption "Russian Reconquista that we deserved. I have no other Russian reconquistas for you. This is some kind of shame!" (FACT, RF IO) This suggests internal criticism of current RF operations, possibly implying a lack of clear success or a deviation from perceived historical/ideological objectives.
NEW: Russian Medic in Combat: Два майора posts a video depicting a medic or soldier performing an IV fluid insertion on an injured individual in an outdoor, tactical environment, with blood visible around the insertion site. (FACT, RF REPORT) This highlights the reality of combat casualties and immediate medical response by RF forces.
NEW: Russian Veteran's Disobedience Narrative: Kotsnews posts a photo message recounting a historical anecdote about a Soviet veteran defying authority, implying a theme of integrity and independence. (FACT, RF IO) This is cultural commentary, not direct military intelligence.
NEW: Intervision Contest Red Carpet: ТАСС posts multiple videos of guests and ambassadors on the red carpet for the "Intervision" contest in Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian cultural event, part of RF's efforts to promote its own cultural influence.
NEW: RF Allegation of UAF Arson: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims UAF is setting fire to homes in the outskirts of Kirovsk (Krasnolimanskoye direction) during their retreat. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF IO attempt to discredit UAF.
NEW: Czech President on Downing RF Jets: STERNENKO reports Czech President Petr Pavel states Russian military aircraft violating NATO airspace must be shot down. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a strong, hawkish statement from a NATO leader.
NEW: Dnipropetropavsk Air Defense Success (RBK-Ukraina): РБК-Україна reports 12 enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast in the evening. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This corroborates the UAF ODA report and reinforces UAF air defense effectiveness.
NEW: Zelenskyy on Sanctions Package: Zelenskiy / Official posts a video discussing the impending 19th sanctions package against Russia, targeting energy, shadow fleet, and cryptocurrency schemes, and thanking allies. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This highlights UAF's diplomatic efforts and the ongoing economic pressure on RF.
NEW: RF Body Armor Test: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts videos showcasing a test of Russian body armor ("Knyaz" kit) against a 7.62x39mm round, detailing the plate's performance. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates ongoing RF efforts in personal protective equipment development and marketing.
NEW: RF Daily News Summary: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message summarizing the main news for September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an RF news digest.
NEW: EU Pipeline Oil Restrictions (Bloomberg/TASS): ТАСС reports the EU is considering restricting RF oil supplies via the "Druzhba" pipeline, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates potential new economic pressure on RF.
NEW: Russian Figure Skater Qualified: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Petrosyan qualified for the 2026 Olympics. (FACT, RF REPORT) Civilian news, no military significance.
NEW: Rybar on Sudanese Fakes: Рыбарь posts photo messages about "Sudanese fakes" (Sudan fakes), implying a disinformation campaign or false reports from Sudan. (FACT, RF REPORT) This suggests RF is monitoring and countering information narratives from other conflict zones.
NEW: MoD Russia Drone Footage (Rubikon): MoD Russia posts video of "Accurate strikes of Rubikon UAV pilots," showcasing drone footage of destroyed Russian military equipment (tanks, APCs, communications systems, pickups, ATVs). (FACT, RF REPORT - but content shows RF losses, likely mislabeled by RF or a captured/spoofed drone feed). Correction: Analysis of video content shows destruction of Russian equipment. This is a UAF drone video that MoD Russia has either misidentified or deliberately misrepresented. (FACT, UAF REPORT/RF MISINFO) Confidence: HIGH (re-evaluation)
NEW: RF Map Update (Krasny Liman, Serednye, Shandryholove): Сливочный каприз posts a tactical map for September 20, 2025, detailing the Krasny Liman - Serednye - Shandryholove axis. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates ongoing fighting in this sector.
NEW: RF Drone Threat in Sumy Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports a threat of enemy UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone reconnaissance or attack.
NEW: RF Denies Estonian Violation, Claims UAF Provocation: Старше Эдды claims the Estonian airspace violation is another "provocation of Eurohawks against Russia," despite Russian denials and claims of their jets being 3km from the border. (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF counter-narrative.
NEW: Miroshnik on Yushchenko's "March on Moscow": ТАСС reports Miroshnik responded in verse to former Ukrainian President Yushchenko's call for UAF to "march on Moscow." (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF IO piece ridiculing UAF.
NEW: Civilian Drone Sighting in Russia: ASTRA posts a video of a drone flying over a civilian area in Russia, with concerned user commentary, "Fck, the drone is fcking. F*ck, where is it flying?" (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued UAF drone penetration into RF airspace and civilian alarm.
NEW: RF Mobile Air Defense Fundraising: Colonelcassad posts video and photos for "Lynia" fundraising for "kungas and turrets" for mobile air defense groups, showing modified pickup trucks with heavy machine guns. (FACT, RF REPORT) This highlights volunteer efforts for RF counter-UAV capabilities.
NEW: Vilkul Briefing (Kryvyi Rih): Олександр Вілкул provides a briefing on the results of September 20, 2025, focusing on Kryvyi Rih. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a regional update on defensive and recovery efforts.
NEW: Iran Suspends IAEA Cooperation: ТАСС reports Iran will suspend cooperation with the IAEA due to actions by the "European troika" to restore UN Security Council sanctions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant international geopolitical development, not directly military but impacting global security.
NEW: Putin's Speech on Intervision: Colonelcassad posts a video of Vladimir Putin delivering a speech about the "Intervision" music competition, emphasizing its role in fostering cultural dialogue and unity. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an RF IO piece promoting cultural influence.
NEW: UAF Fundraising for 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade (OSHB) on Pokrovsk Direction: Оперативний ЗСУ makes an urgent appeal for donations for the 59th OSHB, highlighting critical needs on the Pokrovsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates high operational tempo and resource strain on a key defensive axis for UAF.
NEW: Rybar's "Base" Issue #64: Рыбарь posts a photo message for "Base — 64th issue." (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a recurring RF military analysis and IO product.
NEW: Lavrov at Intervision: ТАСС reports Sergey Lavrov arrived at "Intervision" and is following the contest from the hall. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is further RF IO promoting the cultural event.
NEW: STERNENKO Fundraising "Rusoriz": STERNENKO posts a video demonstrating how to donate to "Rusoriz" (a Ukrainian defense fund), emphasizing direct support for Ukraine's war effort. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This highlights ongoing UAF-aligned fundraising efforts.
NEW: Военкор Котенок (Klitschko image): Военкор Котенок posts a photo of a newspaper clipping of the Klitschko brothers with the headline "Our Motherland - USSR." (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF IO piece attempting to link Ukrainian figures to Soviet nostalgia.
NEW: Colonelcassad "Record Holder": Colonelcassad posts a photo message with the caption "Gentlemen, we have a record holder." (FACT, RF REPORT) Content is not specified, but this is an RF-aligned report.
NEW: TASS Lavrov on Intervision (BRICS): ТАСС posts a video of Lavrov calling "Intervision" a "beautiful idea" and stating such initiatives are in demand in BRICS countries and worldwide. (FACT, RF REPORT) This reinforces RF's diplomatic and cultural influence within BRICS.
NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (Soldier Portraits): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Tanned, collected, smart...", featuring close-up portraits of UAF soldiers in military attire. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a morale-boosting initiative, humanizing UAF personnel.
NEW: РБК-Україна (Trump Threats on Venezuela): РБК-Україна posts a photo message with the caption "Trump attacked Venezuela with threats over 'prisoners on the crazy'." (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is an international political news item, not directly related to the Ukraine conflict.
NEW: Операция Z (Ukraine Demographics/Migration): Операция Z amplifies a "Военкоры Русской Весны" video claiming "Dying Ukraine: the country will have to open borders for migrants from Asia," citing an ex-Foreign Minister. (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF IO piece aimed at highlighting demographic and social challenges in Ukraine.
NEW: Басурин о главном (Bodrov/Puskepalis Memorial): Басурин о главном posts a video commemorating Sergey Bodrov and Sergey Puskepalis, two Russian figures, linking their deaths to patriotic themes and humanitarian aid in Donbas. (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF IO piece to boost morale and nationalistic sentiment.
NEW: Alex Parker Returns (NYC Subway Incident): Alex Parker Returns posts a video alleging a person with hepatitis intentionally contaminates subway handrails in New York, with a racist and hateful caption. (FACT, RF IO) This is an RF IO piece aiming to portray chaos and decay in Western societies, often with hateful content.
NEW: WarGonzo (Poland/Romania Merops System): WarGonzo reports Poland and Romania are arming themselves with the Turkish "magic wand" Merops against mysterious drones. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF awareness of NATO military procurements and adaptations.
NEW: ТАСС (Poland/Romania Merops System): ТАСС reports Poland and Romania plan to use the Turkish Merops air surveillance system amidst recent UAV incidents. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates WarGonzo's report.
NEW: Старше Эдды (TOS-1A Strike Krasnoarmeysk): Старше Эдды posts a video claiming "unseasonal heat" on UAF positions on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, showing TOS-1A strikes burning strongholds. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF claim of continued thermobaric weapon use and success.
NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (Urgent Donation Appeal): Оперативний ЗСУ makes an urgent appeal for more donations. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates ongoing critical resource needs for UAF.
NEW: Colonelcassad (Result of "Cocaine Führer"): Colonelcassad posts a message "Result of the rule of the cocaine führer." (FACT, RF IO) This is a derogatory and politicized statement targeting Ukrainian leadership.
RF Command Confusion: NEW: Старше Эдды reports "Complete confusion... In the radio waves, shouts and crackling. No one listens to each other. In addition to the jamming put up by the enemy, the airwaves are disrupted by conversations of other crews from an unknown location in other areas of operation. A terribly distracting activity. Even for experienced pilots, a 'jammed air' causes excessive distraction. In a combat situation, everything becomes even worse." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates severe RF Command and Control (C2) degradation, primarily due to UAF Electronic Warfare (EW) and potential internal communication issues.
UAF Morale Boost (Yaroslav): NEW: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts photo messages with the caption "Yaroslav, you made our evening, friend!" (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a morale-boosting message for UAF, likely acknowledging a tactical success or heroic act.
UAF Drone Threat (Odesa Oblast): NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Odesa Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts.
RF Morale (Dedicated Officer): NEW: Старше Эдды posts "I know this officer and Warrior with a capital letter personally. Subscribe to the channel, he is a very worthy person and a true son of our Motherland." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at boosting morale and promoting specific military figures.
Czech President on RF Behavior: NEW: STERNENKO reports Czech President Petr Pavel states, "Putin and Russia will behave as we allow them to." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a strong statement from a NATO leader advocating for a firm stance against RF aggression.
RF Censorhip/Information Control (UAF Missing Personnel): NEW: Colonelcassad posts photo messages with the caption "Ukrainian public pages were forbidden to publish posts about missing servicemen." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO claim about UAF censorship, likely aimed at portraying UAF as suppressing information.
RF Medical Care (Facial Trauma): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video messages with the caption "Multidisciplinary approach to treating a patient with severe facial skeletal injury 💀." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights the severe and complex injuries sustained by RF soldiers, and the medical challenges.
RF POW Narrative (Cannon Fodder): NEW: MoD Russia posts video messages with the caption "🏳️ 'We are all mobilised as cannon fodder': AFU POW tells about inhumanity of command." The video features a UAF soldier claiming forced mobilization despite physical limitations and expressing a desire to surrender. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a direct RF IO piece designed to demoralize UAF soldiers and potential recruits, and portray UAF command as inhumane.
Poland Finds RF Drone: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Poland likely found the last RF drone that invaded the country on September 10. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates lingering threats from RF aerial incursions into NATO airspace.
RF Intervision (China): NEW: ТАСС posts video messages of China's "Intervision" participant Wang Xi entering the hall during a performance. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is civilian cultural news, part of RF's soft power efforts.
Ukraine SVR on RF Budget Deficit: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) claims RF is preparing for a large budget deficit in 2026 and actively seeking revenue sources. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates potential RF economic vulnerabilities and UAF intelligence assessment.
RF Intervision (Vassy Dropped): NEW: ASTRA reports Australian and American singer Vassy was dropped from the "Intervision" contest at the last minute for openly supporting LGBT. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights RF's cultural conservatism and ideological stance, and its use of the contest for propaganda.
RF IO on UAF 107th Brigade: NEW: ТАСС reports RF power structures claim that while UAF's 107th Brigade loses positions, its command awards diplomas to authorities. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to portray UAF command as detached and ineffective, and to sow distrust.
RF Daily Summary: NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a "Summary for September 20." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF daily operational summary.
RF Ground Offensives (Lyman Direction): NEW: Операция Z amplifies "Военкоры Русской Весны" claiming RF Army is advancing towards Lyman, assaulting Shandryholove, Serednye, and Novoselivka, with tactical map overlays. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure on this axis and further claimed territorial gains.
UAF Air Force Combat Footage: NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts video messages titled "September 20, 2025. Combat work of the Air Force during the Russian massive strike on the territory of Ukraine." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is official UAF BDA and morale-boosting content, likely showing interceptions.
RF Tunnel/Bunker Discovery (Poland Border): NEW: Colonelcassad posts video messages titled "Digging under 'democracy'," showing the interior of a tunnel/bunker with a Polish border guard logo, implying a discovery related to border security or illegal activity, potentially by UAF or criminal groups. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This suggests a possible infiltration route or illicit activity near the Polish border.
RF Gaza Propaganda (Derogatory): NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts video messages titled "Consequences of the bombing of the Gaza Strip. Blood, shit, corpses, and amputees. This is what real war looks like, not its imitation. Ukrainians who sit in McDonald's by the grace of cuckold Pypa will not understand." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is extremely graphic and derogatory RF propaganda aimed at demoralizing Ukrainians by comparing their conflict to Gaza and mocking their living standards.
UAF Air Force F-16 BDA: NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video messages with the caption "Full video of night and morning work of SAM systems, mobile fire groups, and F-16s, which shot down most of the cruise missiles." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides clear UAF BDA, emphasizing successful interceptions and the critical role of F-16s against cruise missiles.
NEW: RF S-300PS Destruction (Chernihiv Oblast) confirmed by Colonelcassad (RF Claim, Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: UAF Intercepts Russian Boats with FPV Drones near Kherson (FACT, UAF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: RF TOS-1A strikes UAF positions (FACT, RF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: RF reports "Glory to Russia" message on Kyiv-Rakhiv train (FACT, RF IO, Confidence: MEDIUM)
NEW: RF Ground Offensive Krasnoarmeysk - Novopavlovka (FACT, RF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: UAF General Staff provides operational update for 22:00 20.09.2025 (FACT, UAF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: STERNENKO reports on RF ammunition status (UAF IO, Confidence: MEDIUM) STERNENKO posts a photo message with the caption "What about Russian shells?", implying a potential shortage or questioning the effectiveness of RF artillery. This is a UAF information operation.
NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts racist video on US home invasion (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Alex Parker Returns posts a graphic and racist video on a home invasion in Alabama, USA, using derogatory language and framing the incident to portray Western society as chaotic and dangerous. This is RF information warfare aimed at discrediting Western societies.
NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video 'Palyanytsia helped' (UAF Morale Boost, Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video with the caption ""Паляниця" допомогла" (Palyanytsia helped), implying a successful UAF operation or a morale-boosting message using a Ukrainian cultural reference.
NEW: Рыбарь posts conceptual video on 'What kind of fisherman are you today?' (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Рыбарь posts an animated montage featuring stylized representations of different regions ('Asia', 'Africa', 'Caucasus', 'Latin America', 'Orient', 'Turan') with the question "What kind of fisherman are you today?". This is a conceptual RF information operation, possibly intended to highlight global reach or influence, or to categorize various groups in a geopolitical context.
NEW: ТАСС posts video of Intervision participant from Qatar receiving a balalaika (RF Cultural Diplomacy, Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС reports on the "Intervision" contest, showing a participant from Qatar receiving a balalaika. This is part of RF's ongoing cultural diplomacy and soft power efforts, promoting its own version of international cultural exchange.
NEW: MoD Russia posts #BreakingNews photo message (RF Information Warfare, Confidence: MEDIUM) MoD Russia posts a #BreakingNews photo message, without specific content, likely intended to generate anticipation or a sense of significant developments.
NEW: Colonelcassad posts 'Gaza before and after invasion' (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts images contrasting Gaza before and after a military invasion, likely to draw parallels with the conflict in Ukraine and evoke sympathy or criticism against military actions. This is part of RF's broader geopolitical information operations.
NEW: Kadyrov_95 posts video of educator awards ceremony (RF Domestic IO, Confidence: HIGH) Kadyrov_95 posts a video of an awards ceremony for educators in Chechnya. This is an internal RF information operation aimed at showcasing stability, social welfare, and positive domestic events, especially in a region often associated with conflict.
NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts IO on Arestovych (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message with the caption referencing "Arestovych" and "failed summer campaign" of RF, implying internal criticism of Ukraine's former advisor and suggesting RF military failures. This is an RF IO piece.
NEW: ТАСС reports UAF arson in Kirovsk (RF Claim, Confidence: MEDIUM) ТАСС reports that UAF, to avoid encirclement near Kirovsk (Krasnolimanskoye direction), is setting fire to homes with civilians still inside. This is an RF claim, accusing UAF of war crimes and attempting to discredit them during a retreat.
NEW: РБК-Україна reports Czechia to create special group against RF drones (UAF Report, Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна reports that Czechia will create a special group to protect the country from Russian drones. This indicates a concrete NATO response to the evolving RF drone threat and continued military cooperation.
NEW: Colonelcassad posts video on language discrimination in Ukraine (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts a video depicting a conversation on a train, framing it as "language discrimination" against Russian speakers in Ukraine, particularly from western regions. This is an RF information operation aimed at fueling ethnic tensions and portraying Ukraine as repressive towards Russian speakers.
NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts highly derogatory and racist content about Ukrainians and former UAF official Arestovych (RF IO, Confidence: HIGH) Alex Parker Returns posted a photo message with the caption "Куда хохла не целуй - везде жопа. Отсюда и." (Wherever you kiss a Khokhol - it's always an ass. Hence...). This is an extremely derogatory and dehumanizing statement targeting Ukrainians. He also published commentary on former UAF official Arestovych, claiming he "cursed Khokhols, Ukrainian authorities, army, praising the Russian army" and then "again became a Ukrainian patriot," framing him as an "infogypsy." This is a concentrated RF information operation to demonize Ukrainians and discredit former UAF figures by portraying them as opportunistic and untrustworthy.
NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts on Ukraine forming a new branch of service (FACT, UAF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages with the caption "Новий вид військ буде створено в Україні." (A new type of troops will be created in Ukraine.) This confirms President Zelenskyy's earlier statement about forming separate assault troops with a drone component, indicating formalization of this strategic adaptation.
NEW: RF Special Forces supporting offensive near Chasiv Yar (FACT, RF CLAIM, Confidence: HIGH) Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports that RF special forces are burning enemy armored vehicles and supporting an offensive beyond Chasiv Yar. Video footage shows a convoy of vehicles, with at least one burning, and drone reconnaissance. This is a significant claim of RF offensive operations in a key area.
NEW: RF FPV Drone destroys UAF Grad MLRS (FACT, RF CLAIM, Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts video claiming RF FPV drones on fiber optics detected and destroyed a UAF Grad MLRS combat vehicle. This suggests enhanced RF counter-battery capabilities and effective use of FPV drones.
NEW: Ukrainian Sanctions against Pierre de Gaulle (FACT, UAF REPORT, Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad reports Ukraine has sanctioned Pierre de Gaulle. This indicates continued UAF efforts to target individuals supporting RF propaganda.
NEW: Video shows police and medics under repeated shelling in Chernihiv Oblast following a drone impact. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: RF Intervision contest won by Vietnam. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: TASS reports Intervision participants performing "A Million Voices" after results. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: Colonelcassad video shows MLRS striking what are identified as RF positions in Chervone, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This video is highly concerning as the caption identifies the RF unit striking enemy positions in Chervone, Zaporizhzhia, but the video clearly shows an MLRS striking what appear to be Russian military positions with multiple secondary explosions in a settlement. This could be either a catastrophic friendly fire incident, or a mislabeled video, potentially from a captured drone. Given the source (Colonelcassad, generally pro-RF) and the visual evidence, this requires urgent investigation. For now, the report assumes the visual evidence (RF MLRS striking what appears to be RF positions) is the primary factual element.
NEW: Kotsnews reports RF MLRS striking UAF positions in Chervone, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This contradicts the visual evidence from Colonelcassad's video if the target was RF positions. However, if the target was UAF positions, Kotsnews provides a likely unit: 35th Guards RCBZ Regiment of 35th Army. The discrepancy between video and RF narrative is significant.
NEW: TASS reports Vietnam won Intervision with 422 points. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: WarGonzo posts tactical map of Pokrovskoye (Krasnoarmeyskoye) direction, showing Pokrovsko-Mirnogradskaya (Krasnoarmeysko-Dimitrovskaya) agglomeration. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This map indicates ongoing heavy fighting and a complex urban battlefield in this key sector.
NEW: Colonelcassad video uses derogatory language ("Legacy of the narcoführer attacks an Odessan, but something went wrong") over civilian street footage, implying a commentary on alleged internal Ukrainian issues or crime. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
NEW: TASS reports Trump threatened Afghanistan with consequences if Bagram Airbase is not returned to the US. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is an international political development.
NEW: TASS reports a fire on the roof of a nine-story building in Derbent, Dagestan. 200 residents evacuated, fire localized, no casualties reported. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a civilian incident in RF.
NEW: РБК-Україна reports Trump's threat to Afghanistan regarding Bagram Airbase. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This corroborates the TASS report.
NEW: TASS reports UK Prime Minister Starmer will announce recognition of the State of Palestine on September 21. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a significant international diplomatic development.
NEW: Colonelcassad posts photo message claiming US is strengthening the Taiwanese fleet with Unmanned Surface Vessels (USVs) to create problems for China in the Taiwan Strait. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is an RF IO piece highlighting perceived US geopolitical strategy and drone proliferation.
NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts multiple videos of an award ceremony and military parade in South Ossetia, celebrating the 35th anniversary of its proclamation and emphasizing Russia's continued support for its national security. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is an RF IO piece and a display of force/solidarity in a breakaway region.
NEW: Военкор Котенок posts multiple photo messages showing activity on the Krasnolimanskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This confirms ongoing military activity in this sector.
NEW: ТАСС reports the Moscow-Saint Petersburg high-speed railway route may consist of 16 stations, 14 of which are passenger stations. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is a civilian infrastructure development.
NEW: ТАСС reports RF Armed Forces destroyed several UAF fortified areas near Konstantinovka in DNR over the past week, citing Marochko. (FACT, RF CLAIM) Confidence: MEDIUM This is an RF claim of tactical success in a key area.
NEW: РБК-Україна reports on Venezuelan President Maduro offering Trump a "honest dialogue" regarding accusations of drug trafficking. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This is an international political news item, not directly related to the Ukraine conflict.
Current conditions are generally clear and favorable for air operations across most of Ukraine. A cold front is moving into the Carpathians with temperatures dropping to -2°C, and snow is possible soon. The strongest geomagnetic storm in 3 months (G3) continues to impact satellite communications and GPS for both sides.
RF launched three S-300 anti-aircraft guided missiles, one Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile, and 75 drones (over 40 of them Shaheds) overnight against Ukraine. 48 RF UAVs were shot down/suppressed. Persistent RF UAV threats affect Sumy, Chernihiv, Dnipropetropavsk, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Odesa, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Zhytomyr, and Poltava Oblasts. Zaporizhzhia experienced at least TEN strikes, killing one person and injuring 20, causing power outages. Sumy Oblast suffered two drone impacts, causing power outages and a warehouse fire. RF dropped three FAB-250 glide bombs on Kramatorsk, injuring 19. UAF Air Force warns of guided aerial bomb launches on Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. Nizhyn suffered the "most massive strike from the beginning of the war" with dozens of drones, damaging critical infrastructure. Explosions confirmed in Sumy. Yampil is reported to be burning. Large fire at Kyiv logistics center liquidated after repeated morning attacks. UAF Air Force warns of several UAV groups past Derhachi, heading towards Kharkiv. RF sources report "powerful explosions in Balakliia (Kharkiv Oblast)" with videos of large smoke plumes. New RF drone group detections for Chernihiv Oblast towards Baturyn and renewed explosions in Kropyvnytskyi. Critical infrastructure hit by RF UAVs in Cherkasy Oblast. Large fire engulfing a multi-story building in Kyiv reported. КАБы on Kherson, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Donetsk Oblasts. Five strong explosions in Petrovsky district of Donetsk. RF drone strike on a gas station in Poltava district, causing a fire and one casualty. UAF Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs (КАБ) on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. РБК-Україна reports Russians struck a residential area of Konstantinovka with a guided aerial bomb (КАБ), killing 5 people. Air Force of Ukraine reports tactical aviation activity in the northeast direction, specifically launching guided aerial bombs (КАБ) towards Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы ➡️ на Донеччину! (Guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast!). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district). Николаевский Ванёк reports three UAVs approaching Pavlohrad, and subsequent defensive actions and successful downing of UAVs in Pavlohrad. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a person was injured in Boryspil district, Kyiv Oblast, due to a drone attack and falling debris. Three women were injured in Vozdvyzhivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, due to an enemy attack, further increasing civilian casualties. The Kyiv City Military Administration (КМВА) has reported the all-clear for Kyiv, while the subway restores normal operations.
RF Forces:
NEW: UAF General Staff provides operational update for 22:00 20.09.2025. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH NEW: Военкор Котенок posts multiple photo messages showing activity on the Krasnolimanskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH This indicates ongoing fighting and pressure in the Krasnolimanskoye sector. NEW: ТАСС reports RF Armed Forces destroyed several UAF fortified areas near Konstantinovka in DNR over the past week, citing Marochko. (FACT, RF CLAIM) Confidence: MEDIUM This is an RF claim of tactical success and continued pressure around Konstantinovka.
Capabilities:
Intentions:
Courses of Action (Enemy COAs):
Force Posture:
Readiness:
Successes:
Setbacks:
MLCOA 1: Continued Massive Combined Air/Missile Attacks with Focus on Western Ukraine & Civilian Centers (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
MLCOA 2: Sustained Multi-Axis Ground Offensives, Prioritizing Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, and Dnipropetropavsk Axes (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
MLCOA 3: Intensified Information Warfare and Hybrid Operations to Undermine NATO and Ukraine (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
MDCOA 1: Strategic Breakthrough on a Key Axis and Exploitation (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
MDCOA 2: Coordinated Mass Cyber-Attack on NATO Military C2 and Infrastructure (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
MDCOA 3: Deliberate and Sustained Harassment/Probing of NATO's Eastern Flank (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
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