Sitrep 2025-09-20 13:54:27

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT

TIME: 201349Z SEP 25

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW (Current operational picture)

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain (Confidence: HIGH)

RF forces maintain multi-axis pressure across the Kupiansk, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Siversk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia axes. Heavy reciprocal battles continue in Sumy Oblast. RF claims unverified advances in Volchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, and occupation of the medical college area in Kupiansk, with military control and fortifications on the Velikoburlukskoye direction. RF claims a 5km advance on the Gulyaipole direction, entering Novoivanivka, and new positions south of Novoivanivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RF claims full control of Serebryansky forestry, representing a significant territorial gain on the Lyman direction, if verified. RF claims UAF "complains" about RF advances in Kupiansk, with RF sources amplifying reports of "chaos and disorganization" and a "failed defense." RF footage displays dynamic combat engagements in a forest environment, explosions, and smoke. Kotsnews posts video claiming "liberation of Novonikolaevka" with Russian assault troops detailing mine clearing. Kadyrov_95 posts video claiming soldiers of the 270th Motorized Rifle Regiment "Akhmat-Caucasus" destroyed enemy positions in Malaya Tokmachka area. ТАСС posts video claiming Tornado-S MLRS crews destroyed three temporary deployment points of a UAF brigade in Konstantinovka. Colonelcassad reports a cluster Iskander strike on a UAF company tactical group near Druzhkivka. Воин DV posts video detailing renewed artillery strikes and attacks on enemy personnel in the Polozhskoye direction by the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo message showing a tactical map of a contested area, suggesting ongoing ground combat and RF claims of UAF setbacks in Kupiansk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports over 80 combat engagements in the last 24 hours. The Kramatorsk direction saw 15 RF assaults near Orikhovo-Vasylivka, Mykolayivka, Stupochky, Bila Hora, and Andriivka, with UAF repelling 12. The Pokrovsk direction remains the hottest, with 28 assaults near Volodymyrivka, Zapovidne, Novoekonomichne, Shevchenko, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Vilne, Chervonyi Lyman, Myrnohrad, Rodynske, Promin, Zvirove, Molodetske, Novopidhorodne, Novopavlivka, and Filiya, with 20 repelled. On the Novopavlivka direction, 26 assaults were near Yalta, Shevchenko, Komyshuvakha, Vorone, Ternove, Novoivanivka, Filiya, Ivanivka, Iskra, Sichneve, Olhivske, and Poltavka, with 21 repelled. On the Orikhiv direction, 7 assaults occurred near Kamyanske and towards Novodanylivka, with 6 repelled. On the Kherson direction, UAF repelled 4 Russian army assaults. On the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions, UAF repelled 7 Russian army assaults. This indicates sustained and heavy RF pressure across all key axes, particularly Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka. UAF has confirmed the liberation of Pankivka, Donetsk Oblast, and Zarichne. UAF reports eliminating a Russian breakthrough near Pokrovsk with ongoing cleanup operations. Drone footage from the 'Battle for Pokrovsk,' displays successful strikes against RF targets. UAF "Pion" artillery is operating on the Donetsk direction. FPV drone footage of night combat operations by the 6th Battalion of the Azov Brigade shows thermal imagery of strikes. UAF forces have flooded a gas pipe in Kupiansk, attempting to thwart RF infiltration, and deny RF claims of fighting in the city center. UAF 15th Separate Artillery Reconnaissance Brigade "Black Forest" successfully destroyed an RF Buk-M2 SAM system (video confirmed). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts video claiming six accurate strikes by the "STRIKS" unit on the Southern Slobozhansky direction. Олександр Вілкул posts photo messages of the 77th Airmobile Brigade on the front. Оперативний ЗСУ posts drone footage showing Ukrainian forces identifying and striking a Russian artillery position and communication antenna in Kharkiv Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС highlights how the 1st Assault Regiment (1-й ОШП) "cut the pincers" of Russians near Dobropillya. President Zelenskyy met with soldiers of the 79th Separate Air Assault Brigade participating in the defense of Myrnohrad and the Dobropillya counter-offensive operation, reporting 160 sq km liberated and 7 settlements freed. UAF's "Shadow" unit posts video of successful drone strikes against RF shelters ("укриттям"), indicating continued precision targeting of enemy fortifications. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" posts video showing the UAF 1st Assault Battalion holding its front line in Zaporizhzhia, destroying enemy forces "far from the line of contact" using FPV drones, indicating robust long-range defensive capabilities. "Оперативний ЗСУ" posts video of "STRIKS" unit FPV drone operators from the 4th Border Guard Detachment destroying two enemy positions, a shelter, a BMP, and two vehicles (one laden with ammunition) on the Southern Slobozhansky direction. This highlights continued UAF tactical successes using FPV drones. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts photos of President Zelenskyy meeting with the 79th Separate Air Assault Brigade at their command post, acknowledging their participation in the defense of Mirnohrad and the Dobropillya counter-offensive operation. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video depicting drone footage of Ukrainian military positions, specifically trenches, being targeted and struck by munitions, with a logo of what appears to be a Ukrainian military insignia and a unit emblem with drones and an eagle, suggesting successful strikes against enemy positions. The caption reads "Окупантам не сховатися" (Occupiers cannot hide). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts a video compilation showing intense combat engagements from a drone's perspective on the Siversk, Pokrovsk, and Kupiansk directions, documenting numerous RF artillery strikes and personnel losses. Two Ukrainian reconnaissance companies, including the "VARTOVI" unmanned systems battalion of Mykolaiv marines, are actively engaging Russian military assets, targeting vehicle convoys, artillery, and infantry positions. UAF drone operators from the 414th UAV Brigade "Madjar's Birds" successfully destroyed eight Russian assault troops on the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update for 22:00, 18.09.2025, confirming UAF repelled the majority of RF assaults across multiple axes, indicating successful defensive operations despite heavy pressure. ТАСС reports RF Deputy Commander of a VDV assault battalion claims UAF forces are abandoning NATO weapons during retreat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (UNVERIFIED RF IO) Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posted a video claiming to show aerial combat on the Zaporizhzhia front, displaying FPV drone footage, telemetry data, and what appears to be a Ukrainian drone targeting Russian equipment. This indicates continued intense drone warfare.

Current Missile Activity (Multiple Axes): Approximately 8 RF missiles from Kharkiv Oblast are heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast via Lozova. Additional missiles are confirmed heading towards Dnipro from Synelnykove, and from southern Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, then turning south. There are reports of 5-7 additional missiles targeting Dnipro, with explosions confirmed. Missiles are also heading towards Vasylkivka (Kyiv Oblast) and Zaporizhzhia (from northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast). Cruise missiles are currently in southern Kyiv Oblast heading west, in northern Vinnytsia Oblast heading west, in northern Kirovohrad Oblast heading south, in eastern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards Kamianets-Podilskyi, and in southern Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading towards southern Ternopil Oblast. There are 2 "mopeds" (drones) from Vasylkiv heading towards Kyiv, and a general warning of enemy UAVs approaching Kyiv. A missile is also heading towards Pervomaisk (Mykolaiv Oblast). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: Main part of missiles now south of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, still heading towards Ternopil Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: Cruise missiles now in southern Vinnytsia Oblast, heading northwest, specifically towards Vapniarka. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: Cruise missiles in northern Ternopil Oblast, heading west, specifically towards Berezhany. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: First missiles from Ternopil Oblast are crossing into Lviv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: Cruise missiles in northern Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, heading towards Lviv Oblast, specifically towards Stryi. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: First missiles are in the Mykolaiv area of Lviv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- ADDITIONAL MISSILE MOVEMENT: Cruise missiles in southern Khmelnytskyi Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Claims on Siversk: RF military expert Andrey Marochko claims RF forces have secured an approach to Siversk (DNR) from the west, but deems urban combat "inappropriate" at this time. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This indicates RF is positioning for a potential future assault but currently maintaining a standoff.
RF Bomb Development: Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages showcasing a 3D rendered technical drawing of an unguided aerial bomb, with the caption "Emphasis on mass production and versatility." (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF's continued focus on increasing unguided aerial bomb production, likely for use with UMPK glide kits.
Saratov Strikes (Confirmed): ASTRA reports additional video footage from Saratov after the night drone attack, showing a fire at what is preliminarily identified as an oil refinery. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates previous reports of a successful UAF deep strike.
Volgograd Explosions: ASTRA readers report explosions in Volgograd. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates additional deep strikes or internal incidents within RF.
- UPDATED VOLGOGRAD: Mass drone attack on Volgograd Oblast was repelled. No information on destruction or casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Dnipro Residential Strike: RF has struck a residential multi-story building in Dnipro, causing a fire. No immediate casualty report. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF targeting of civilian infrastructure. NEW: Zelenskiy / Official posts video confirming aftermath of strike on multi-story building in Dnipro. Three dead and dozens injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Civilian Casualties: Three people have been killed in Vasilyvskyi and Polohivskyi districts of Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to enemy attacks. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms continued RF actions resulting in civilian deaths.
Kyiv Parking Lot Fire: A parking lot in Sofiivska Borshchahivka, near Kyiv, is on fire after drone debris fell. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms damage from RF drone attacks, even if intercepted. This is corroborated by ASTRA photo messages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kaluga Airport Restrictions Lifted: Restrictions on Kaluga airport were lifted. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates a temporary and localized disruption.
Kyiv Oblast Missile/Drone Damage: Photo messages from RBK-Ukraina confirm peaceful settlements in Kyiv Oblast are under missile and drone attacks. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This directly correlates with the multi-axis missile activity reported. ASTRA photo messages confirm Kyiv Oblast damage. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetrovsk Mass Attack: Dnipropetropavsk Oblast was under a massive attack by drones and missiles. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms the heavy strike activity. Aftermath photos show significant destruction. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Bucha, Boryspil, Obukhiv Districts Damage: Consequences of the enemy attack this morning are being recorded in Bucha, Boryspil, and Obukhiv districts of Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms widespread damage in Kyiv Oblast.
Dnipropetropavsk Casualties: One person was killed and thirteen were injured in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast due to the attack. Most injured are in moderate condition, one is severe. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms the civilian toll of the current attack. UPDATED: The number of injured in Dnipro has increased to 26, with 14 hospitalized. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Airport Restrictions Lifted: Saratov airport lifted restrictions for aircraft. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates a temporary and localized disruption.
Zaporizhzhia NPP Infrastructure Attacked: UAF attacked infrastructure of Zaporizhzhia NPP with UAVs on September 19, no casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an RF claim of UAF targeting critical infrastructure.
Tambov Airport Restrictions Lifted: Restrictions on Tambov airport have been lifted. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Vremevsky section): Воин DV posts video claiming reconnaissance of the 14th Guards SpN Brigade worked on various targets as part of the offensive on the Vremevsky section of the front. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Novokuibyshevsk Refinery Strike: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages claiming the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery was again hit by drones overnight. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a significant deep strike by UAF. STERNENKO also reports the 14th Separate Regiment of SBS attacked Saratov (1-4) and Novokuibyshevsk (5-6) oil refineries. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Damage: РБК-Україна posts photo messages showing the aftermath of the strike on Mykolaiv, including significant damage to a building (likely industrial) and debris. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This corroborates previous reports of multiple impacts. Aftermath photos from Odesa Oblast from ASTRA also indicate damage from the overnight RF attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Residents' Sentiment (RF IO): ТАСС reports that a Zaporizhzhia Oblast legislative assembly deputy claims residents of Ukrainian-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia Oblast are "eagerly awaiting the advance of RF forces." (FACT, RF IO)
RF FPV Drone Strikes (Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka): ТАСС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the Southern Group of Forces destroyed four vehicles and UAF soldiers on the Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka direction. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Odesa Oblast Attacks: РБК-Україна reports Odesa Oblast was under attack last night. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kharkiv Oblast Attacks: Олег Синєгубов reports 5 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were struck by RF forces in the past day. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Khmelnytskyi Oblast Casualties: РБК-Україна reports one man died in Khmelnytskyi Oblast due to a Russian attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Nizhny Novgorod UAV: Глеб Никитин (Nizhny Novgorod Governor) reports air defense shot down an enemy UAV in one of the districts of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast overnight, with no preliminary consequences. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Chernihiv Casualties: One person was killed and eight injured in Chernihiv and the oblast as a result of RF attacks in the past 24 hours. (FACT, UAF REPORT, ASTRA)
Ukrainian Moment of Silence: Ukraine observes a moment of silence daily at 9:00 to honor those killed in the war. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Оперативний ЗСУ, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація, Офіс Генерального прокурора, КМВА)
RF UAV Interceptions (Bryansk Oblast): RF air defense forces detected and destroyed 18 enemy UAVs over Bryansk Oblast overnight. (FACT, RF REPORT, AV БогомаZ)
RF UAV Interceptions (Overall): 149 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over RF and annexed Crimea overnight, according to RF Ministry of Defense. (FACT, RF REPORT, ASTRA) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and Colonelcassad confirm 149 UAVs intercepted and destroyed over Russia overnight. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Attacks on Dnipro (IO): Colonelcassad posts multiple photo and video messages with the caption "Night attack of RF Armed Forces on military facilities in Dnipropetropavsk," showing large fires and destruction, specifically identifying a building as "ХДНІПРО." (FACT, RF REPORT, Colonelcassad) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo and video messages claiming massive strike on Dnipropetropavsk and Pavlohrad, with footage of large fires and destruction. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Mass Attack: President Zelenskyy reports Ukraine was under a massive Russian attack all night, with the enemy using 40 cruise and ballistic missiles and about 580 drones of various types. He thanks air defense forces and F-16 pilots for their work. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Zelenskiy / Official, Олег Синєгубов) NEW: Zelenskyy's statement is corroborated by Оперативний ЗСУ. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Air Defense Success: NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS all confirm 583 enemy targets were shot down/suppressed overnight. ASTRA corroborates, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Alert: NEW: Kyiv and surrounding oblasts (КМВА, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ) are under air alert due to UAV threats from the north. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Ballistic Threat from South: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a ballistic missile threat from the south for areas under air alert. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Southern Defense Forces: NEW: Сили оборони Півдня України reports continued strikes on enemy deployment locations, fire positions, and rear areas. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Casualties in Kharkiv Oblast (RF Claim): NEW: ТАСС claims UAF is suffering heavy losses in Kharkiv Oblast, deploying untrained personnel from training centers. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
UAF Marine Drone Interceptions: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts photo claiming Marine Corps of UAF destroyed 4 Shaheds. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF POW Capture (Pokrovsk/Lyman): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС claims 'SKELYA' regiment captured 17 RF POWs in Pokrovsk and Lyman directions over the past week, with a video showing captured soldiers and drone strikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Attacked Saratov Residential Buildings (RF Claim): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims UAF attacked multi-story buildings in Saratov overnight, injuring a woman, with videos showing damaged buildings and a drone. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) Drone Activity: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs approaching Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) from east, north, and west. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Berëzovoye): NEW: Воин DV reports "Warriors of Zabaykalye" are completing the liberation of Berëzovoye, with assault troops and drone operators clearing remaining structures and nearby forest belts. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) NEW: MoD Russia reports servicemen of the 36th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade assigned to the Vostok Group of Forces liberated Berëzovoye in Dnepropetrovsk region. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Z комитет + карта СВО provides a map and video claiming RF advance in Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk direction, capturing positions and planting RF flags. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Polish Fighter Jets Scrambled: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Poland again scrambled fighter jets due to RF attacks on Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is corroborated by Оперативний ЗСУ and Операция Z (WarGonzo). (FACT, UAF REPORT, RF REPORT)
WarGonzo Morning Frontline Summary: NEW: WarGonzo publishes a frontline summary for the morning of 20.09.25, including maps for Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia fronts, depicting RF advances and UAF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
UAF Commendations (72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts photo messages showing soldiers of the 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade being awarded state honors. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Denials (War crimes): NEW: ТАСС quotes Miroshnik stating that the "Kyiv regime, losing on the battlefield, seeks to 'compensate' its weakness on the civilian population," accusing UAF of war crimes. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Fundraising (Slavyansk Direction): NEW: Два майора posts a video appealing for donations for assault troops on the Slavyansk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Air Operations (Kaliningrad): NEW: MoD Russia reports three MiG-31 fighter jets made a scheduled flight from Karelia to Kaliningrad region. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Anti-Drone Mobile Units Fundraising: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing fundraising for converting UAZ vehicles into mobile anti-aircraft units ("зенитные расчеты"). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Training (47th Separate Mechanized Brigade): NEW: ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» posts a video showcasing physical and psychological training ("психосмуга") for recruits. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF General Staff (Strategic Strikes): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photo messages with the caption "Strategic targets of the Russian aggressor hit," implying successful deep strikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Daily Strike Summary: NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a summary of strikes on enemy targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Damage (A. Biloshitsky): NEW: Олексій Білошицький (likely State Border Guard Service) posts photo messages detailing a "heavy night and heavy morning in Dnipro" with Shahed attacks and subsequent missile strikes and explosions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Saratov & Novokuibyshevsk Refineries & Samara Oil Depot Struck (UAF General Staff): NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that UAF General Staff reports successful strikes on Saratov and Novokuibyshevsk refineries and the Samara oil depot. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Casualties (Identified): NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts photo messages of "successfully demobilized" RF personnel. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Strike Map (Colonelcassad): NEW: Colonelcassad posts an animated map showing alleged routes of RF missiles and UAVs attacking UAF military targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
DeepState Update: DeepState map has been updated. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kherson Power Outages: Kherson is experiencing power outages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Claims of Drone Strikes on Storage: Colonelcassad claims "Geran" (Shahed) UAVs destroyed storage facilities in the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi area, used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
RF Officer's Narrative: Alex Parker Returns posts a video with a Russian officer discussing logistics, organizing troop entry, and coordinating with commanders over a 16 km "pipe" (likely a route or supply line) for 8 days, confirming the ongoing complexities of front-line operations. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast Civilian Casualty: An 87-year-old woman was injured in an enemy attack on Vasylivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Explosions/Power Outages: Russian sources report a powerful explosion and power outage in Sumy. (FACT, RF REPORT) Colonelcassad posts photos showing aftermath of strikes in Sumy. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Nizhyn Raion Attacked: Russians again attacked Nizhyn Raion, Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Europe Airports Cyberattack: BILD reports European airports stopped due to a cyberattack. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Drone Threat to Kyiv: UAF Air Force reports enemy UAVs southeast of Kyiv and in Brovary district, heading south. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Plant Hit by RF Air Defense (RF Claim): Russian sources claim that RF air defense hit the Zorya-Mashproekt plant in Mykolaiv during RF strikes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF attempt to deflect blame for damage.
КАБ Launches (Dnipropetropavsk/Zaporizhzhia): UAF Air Force reports КАБ launches by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetropavsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF FPV Drone Strike (Vehicle): Colonelcassad posts video of an "FPV drone Severyan" destroying an enemy vehicle. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Druzhkivka Saboteur Arrest: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports a saboteur disguised in UAF uniform was detained in Druzhkivka. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Drone in Chernihiv: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a UAV from Poltava Oblast is in Chernihiv Oblast, heading towards Chyhyryn. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF GUR Interview: NEW: РБК-Україна posts an exclusive interview with GUR reconnaissance operatives who claim to have traveled 600 km behind enemy lines to destroy aircraft. The video shows thermal/night vision footage of an aircraft in flight and what appears to be an airport with aircraft on the ground. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claim of UAF Positions Destruction (68th ORB): NEW: Народная милиция ДНР posts a video claiming destruction of UAF temporary deployment points (PVD) and shelters by forces of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion (ORB). The video shows aerial footage of a damaged village with smoke plumes and text overlays in Russian indicating targets. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Dnipropetropavsk Residential Strike Update: NEW: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts a video documenting the aftermath of a missile strike on a residential building in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, including damaged windows, emergency services, and civilian interviews. It confirms 30 injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Propaganda on UAF Casualties: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message showing "enemy infographics on night strikes on Kyiv-controlled territory," implying UAF casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Drone Attacks Continued: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message claiming "Geran" (Shahed) drone attacks continued on UAF-controlled territory in the morning. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF UAV Operator Recruitment: NEW: Fighterbomber posts a recruitment poster for UAV operators for the "Vityaz" Special Purpose Center near Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Narrative on Western Strategy: NEW: Басурин о главном posts a video (Trump speaking) discussing a new strategy of supporting Ukraine with weapons funded by Russian assets instead of NATO membership. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
Kyiv Parking Lot Fire: A parking lot in Sofiivska Borshchahivka, near Kyiv, is on fire after drone debris fell. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms damage from RF drone attacks, even if intercepted. This is corroborated by ASTRA photo messages. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv All Clear: NEW: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports an all-clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Europe Airports Cyberattack Update: NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message reporting that a cyberattack caused delays and cancellations at several European airports (London Heathrow, Brussels, Berlin), citing Independent. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Civilian Casualty: NEW: ASTRA reports that a 62-year-old local resident was killed and a private household caught fire in Borznyan community, Chernihiv Oblast, as a result of an RF attack. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on British Drones: NEW: Colonelcassad posts a photo message titled "Britain is betting on 'Tekever'," featuring a drone image. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Cluster Munition Strike Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports 30 injured in Dnipro due to a cluster munition strike on a multi-story building. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Soldier Refuses Grenade Suicide, Drone Finishes: NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video showing an RF soldier attempting suicide with a grenade but hesitating, followed by a drone strike that "corrected the situation and established justice." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Military Intelligence on NATO: NEW: Kotsnews posts "Western strategy and German fears," implying RF military intelligence analysis of NATO. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Airspace Violation (Estonia): NEW: Рыбарь posts "Flew into Estlandia," confirming the RF MiG-31 violation. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Ukraine-NATO War Narrative: NEW: STERNENKO states "Russia's war against NATO is already ongoing. The alliance is just afraid to admit it." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Military Personnel: NEW: «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a photo message with the caption "How to pick on a serviceman," which seems to be an internal RF critique of harassment within the military. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Solar Flare: NEW: ТАСС reports a powerful solar flare (second to last class) was recorded on the Sun on the night of September 20. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipro Casualties Update: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured in Dnipro from the cluster munition strike on a multi-story building has increased to 30. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Kyiv Oblast Drone Threat: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a UAV from Poltava Oblast is in Chernihiv Oblast, heading towards Brovary (Kyiv Oblast) from the south. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Olympic Ban: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Russian athletes are banned from team competitions at the 2026 Olympic Games by the IOC. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipropetropavsk Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video and photos claiming strikes on "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk, alleging it's used for military vehicle tuning and drone production. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Konstantinovka Civilian Destruction: NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts videos showing widespread destruction of residential buildings in Konstantinovka from shelling or airstrikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Drone Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports six people, including three medics, were injured in Chernihiv Oblast due to a drone attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Berëzovoye Liberation: NEW: Воин DV claims "Vostok" Group liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with aerial footage showing destruction and Russian flags. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
European Airport Cyberattack: NEW: РБК-Україна reports cyberattack caused disruptions at European airports with possible flight delays. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims: Berëzovoye (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast) liberated. (FACT, RF REPORT, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Airstrikes by RF aviation at Hryhorivka, Lukyanivske, Stepnohirsk, Stepove, Zaliznychne of Zaporizhzhia region, Olhivka of Kherson region. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Fyholivka and towards Odradne at South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv) direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Stepova Novoselivka and Pischane at Kupiansk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Novomykhaylivka, Shandryholove, Kolodyazi, Torske, Zarichne and towards towns Stavky, Novoselivka, Serednye at Lyman direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Yampil, Serebryanka, Siversk, Vyyimka and Dronivka at Siversk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Stupochky at Kramatorsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Toretsk, Scherbynivka, Poltavka and towards Pleschiyivka, Rusyn Yar, Ivanopillya, Stepanivka at Toretsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Volodymyrivka, Nykanorivka, Nove Shakhove, Rodynske, Novoekonomichne, Promin, Lysivka, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Molodetske, Udachne, Dachne, Chervonyy Lyman, Novopavlivka at Pokrovsk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Filiya, Voskresenka, Berezove, Maliyivka, Novoyivanivka, Piddubne, Zelenyy Hay, Tolstoy, Sichneve, Novomykolayivka and Olhivske at Novopavlivka direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Kamyanske and towards Stepnohirsk at Orikhiv direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Clashes yesterday near Antonivsky bridge at Kherson direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff reports: Ukrainian forces have repelled 9 Russian army assaults at Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
RF Map Update: Krasnolimanskoye direction shows active clashes in Serednye. (FACT, RF REPORT, Z комитет + карта СВО) Confidence: HIGH
RF Claims Massive Strike on Military-Industrial Complex: Colonelcassad reports RF launched a massive strike with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian military-industrial complex enterprises involved in developing "Sapsan" operational-tactical complexes, and producing multi-purpose strike/reconnaissance UAVs, robotic combat equipment, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Advance Rate Chart (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts a photo of a chart displaying "Change, km²" for 2024 and 2025, likely aiming to demonstrate a positive trend in RF territorial gains. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy to Meet Trump: Оперативний ЗСУ reports President Zelenskyy will meet with Donald Trump during the UN General Assembly in New York. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Economic Report (Inflation): ТАСС reports a Bank of Russia advisor claims reducing inflation to 4% will lower mortgage rates and increase housing affordability in Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Chaos in RF (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message with the caption "On their maps, everything is the opposite. Zelenskyy talks about chaos among Russians in Donetsk Oblast," implying UAF counter-narrative to RF claims of advances. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Military Activity (Video): Военкор Котенок posts a video with ✅✅✅✅✅ caption, likely demonstrating RF military activity or successful strikes, but content description is unavailable for direct analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Medical IO/Casualty Management (RF IO): Военкор Котенок posts numerous photo messages of medical records and a video of a mother discussing infant feeding challenges, possibly as a prelude to an IO campaign about healthcare, or to humanize RF personnel, or to hint at internal health issues in UAF-controlled territories (less likely). (FACT, RF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Civilian Casualty: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a 60-year-old man was injured due to an enemy attack on Zaporizhzhia district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MoD Massive Strike: MoD Russia reports a massive strike last night with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian defense industry enterprises developing Sapsan, and producing various UAVs, robotic systems, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates Colonelcassad's earlier report.
RF Claims Berëzovoye Liberated (RF IO): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts photo/video claiming RF Army liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant territorial claim.
Zelenskyy on UAF Drone Assault Troops: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy states UAF is forming separate assault troops with a drone component. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a strategic adaptation in UAF force structure.
UAF Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video with the caption "Cool footage from the warriors of the 425th Separate Assault Regiment 'SKELYA'. Russian soldiers are being disposed of on an industrial scale," showing drone strikes on RF personnel. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This demonstrates continued effective UAF drone operations.
Civilian Altercation in Krasnodar (RF): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in Krasnodar, framed with "friendship of peoples" narrative. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian event with no direct military significance.
Konstantinovka Front Map (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts tactical maps of Konstantinovka - Predtechino, indicating RF control of key settlements and ongoing pressure in the area. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
UAF Dnipropetropavsk ODA Support: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts photo message highlighting systemic state and regional strategies to support Defense and Security Forces, following President Zelenskyy's directive. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Alert (UAV Threat): РБК-Україна and КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) report an air alert in Kyiv due to the threat of enemy attack UAVs. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirms an enemy UAV over Kyiv and possible air defense activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Konstantinovka Direction Map (RF IO): Z комитет + карта СВО posts tactical maps for the Konstantinovka direction, indicating claimed RF advances and control of key terrain, specifically mentioning Katerynivka. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
Dnipropetropavsk Aviation Munitions Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation-launched munitions in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zelenskyy on Peace Talks (RF IO): Alex Parker Returns posts a message quoting Zelenskyy on not considering "Korean" or other peace models, framed as him being a "military dictator" and implying UAF will continue attacks on RF territories, with a warning about historical figures. (FACT, RF IO)
European Airport Cyberattack (ASTRA): ASTRA reports a large-scale cyberattack caused flight cancellations and delays at airports in Berlin, London, and Brussels, citing Reuters and Bild. (FACT, ASTRA REPORT)
RF Pilots at Work (Video): Colonelcassad posts a video of RF pilots "showing their work," depicting aerial footage of damaged urban areas and an explosion, implying successful RF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Threat Persists: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports the air threat to Kyiv persists. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Fundraising for Paratroopers: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports raising over 8,000 rubles this morning and appeals for more help for paratroopers. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Combined Strikes (Басурин о главном): Басурин о главном reports RF army conducted combined strikes overnight against Ukrainian critical military infrastructure targets, using Tu-95 strategic bombers, ballistic and cruise missiles, and over 50 "Geran-2" UAVs. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse: ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with fatalities and injuries. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
Zelenskyy on Joint Air Defense with Poland/Romania (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message quoting Zelenskyy about joint air defense with Poland and Romania for intercepting aerial targets over Ukraine, stating he doesn't count on others. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Dnipropetropavsk Strike: Colonelcassad reports an enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk was hit overnight, producing equipment for machine building. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Spies Arrested: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two residents of Tokmak were sentenced to 15 and 16 years for spying for Ukraine. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF All Clear (Kyiv): Оперативний ЗСУ reports all clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MoD Summary: MoD Russia provides a summary of the progress of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Yenakiieve Accident: Mash на Донбассе reports a car with a punctured wheel caused a triple accident in Yenakiieve. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Troop Evacuation (Pokrovsk): Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts video of UAF soldiers evacuating a pregnant woman from a damaged building in Pokrovsk. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Drone Training: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos detailing a training and methodical gathering for unmanned systems operators in the UAF. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF MMA Training: Два майора posts video of individuals engaged in MMA training. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Polish Aid (Shahedorez): STERNENKO reports Poles are also donating to "Shahedorez" (Shahed cutter). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Soldier POW (Video): Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of a UAF soldier, possibly a POW, expressing negative sentiments towards Russia. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Naval Launch: Басурин о главном reports the Vympel OSC plant launched a project 12418 missile boat. (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Land Return: Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a forest plot and water body in Voronovytska Dacha were returned to state ownership. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Recruitment (High Pay): Alex Parker Returns posts video advertising 5,500,000 rubles for the first year of military service. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Intervision Revival: Colonelcassad posts on the revival of the "Intervision" contest, criticizing Eurovision. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse (Update): ТАСС reports no students were in the school during the collapse, and later reports four floors collapsed. ASTRA reports 2 builders died, 1 under rubble. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Appeal to UAF: Воин DV posts an appeal to UAF servicemen in several settlements (Poltavka, Novonikolaevka, etc.). (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAF Guided Aerial Bomb Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches on the border of Donetsk, Dnipropetropavsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF Training Program: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 invites Zaprorizhzhia residents to participate in a basic combined-arms training program. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Corruption Lawsuit: ТАСС reports an anti-corruption lawsuit filed against former Yaroslavl mayor Malyutin. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Putin and SVO Veterans: Старше Эдды posts video of Putin supporting the initiative to attract SVO veterans to combat illegal migrants. (FACT, RF REPORT)
STERNENKO New Episode: STERNENKO asks if a new episode was watched. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF activity in Kharkiv (Alleged Detention/Extraction): Colonelcassad posts video of RF activity in a residential courtyard, possibly in Kharkiv. Individuals in military-style camouflage are seen pulling someone out of a white van. (FACT, RF-ALIGNED REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This suggests either a detention or a forced extraction operation.
Samara Oblast Drone Attack Fatalities: ТАСС reports 4 people died in drone attacks in Samara Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This contradicts the previous RF claim of no destruction or casualties in Volgograd, but pertains to a different oblast. Военкор Котенок corroborates these fatalities. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Claims Berëzovoye Liberation: Kotsnews reports RF Army liberated Berëzovoye. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This supports earlier RF claims and is a new territorial claim. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition also reports liberation of Berëzovoye. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Lyman, Odesa Oblast Logistics Struck: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RF forces struck fuel and engineering equipment warehouses in Lyman, Odesa Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is a new RF claim of targeting UAF logistics in the Odesa region.
UAF Support for Kharkiv Defenders: Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, posts about continued support for UAF defenders in Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a morale-boosting and logistical support message.
US Suspending Patriot Sales to Europe: STERNENKO reports the US is suspending sales of some weapons, including Patriot systems, to Europe, citing The Atlantic, to stockpile weapons as part of an "America First" agenda. (FACT, UAF REPORT, via The Atlantic) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant development regarding Western military aid.
RF Narrative Shaping (New Book): WarGonzo posts about a new book by "Comrade Seleznev" titled "Death in July and always in Donetsk," a conservative Russian account of the war. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights RF's efforts to shape the narrative of the conflict through cultural means.
RF IO on Ukrainian Mobilization (German Media): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a German media report on "opening borders for Ukrainians aged 18-22," framed as a "shot in the knee" for Ukraine. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO attempt to portray Western actions as detrimental to Ukraine and to fuel narratives of draft evasion.
RF Claim of US Navy Testing Russian Air Defense: Два майора posts that US Navy is testing Russian experience in air defense organization on ships. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO claim to project their military's advanced capabilities.
Putin Congratulates South Ossetian President: ТАСС reports Putin's congratulatory telegram to Alan Gagloev of South Ossetia, affirming RF support for national security. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This signals continued RF geopolitical influence in breakaway regions.
RF Troll Factory Operative Detained in Dominican Republic: ASTRA reports a 25-year-old Russian linked to "Prigozhin's Troll Factory" was detained in the Dominican Republic for spreading Kremlin propaganda. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF hybrid operations abroad and international efforts to counter them.
RF Claims UAF Defeat in Kreminna Forest: Colonelcassad posts a video titled "Defeat of the UAF in Kreminna Forest. Our report," depicting combat footage. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF claim of tactical success and will be used for morale boosting.
RF Implied Ongoing Oil Refinery Strikes: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts photo messages with captions "💬Удары по НПЗ продолжаются💬" implying ongoing strikes on oil refineries. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Veteran Death: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts photo messages with the caption "Ветеран "СМЕРША" Николай Живодеров - всё." (Veteran "SMERSH" Nikolay Zhivoderov - that's all.) (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This likely refers to the death of an RF veteran.
RF Diplomatic Sarcasm: ТАСС posts photo messages with the caption "РФ желает министру обороны Литвы реализоваться по ее специальности психолога, заявила ТАСС Мария Захарова." (RF wishes the Lithuanian Minister of Defense to realize herself in her specialty as a psychologist, TASS stated Maria Zakharova.) (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a sarcastic diplomatic response.
RF Ka-52M Shooting Down Drones: Colonelcassad posts video showing Ka-52M crews shooting down Ukrainian drones with 30-mm cannons. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims an effective counter-UAV tactic.
UAF Command Control Message: Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts a photo message stating "In connection with the appearance in the information space of public statements by certain individuals who are not authorized representatives of the Air Assault Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Ukraine, we inform:" (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a command control measure to counter unauthorized statements.
Dnipro Cruise Missile Impact: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video showing the moment a cruise missile hit a multi-story building in Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visually confirms the strike and its impact.
RF Soldier Infiltration Claim (Muravka): ТАСС posts video featuring a Russian soldier claiming he spent five days behind UAF lines in Muravka village coordinating actions of main forces. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is an RF account of a deep reconnaissance or infiltration mission.
UAF Fundraising (Rubizh Brigade): РБК-Україна posts a photo message titled "Бригада "Рубіж" НГУ збирає кошти на відновлення знищеного майна і екіпірування" (Rubizh Brigade of NGU is collecting funds for restoration of destroyed property and equipment). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a resource requirement for UAF.
RF Leveraging Estonian Airspace Violation: Рыбарь comments on the RF fighter jet episode in Estonian airspace, stating it was "quite timely" and the Prime Minister of Estonia is continuously commenting on it. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates RF is leveraging the incident for IO.
RF IO on Kharkiv Mobilization: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming passers-by in Kharkiv's Novovolynsk rescued a man from TCC (Territorial Recruitment Center) officers. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF mobilization efforts.
RF Ground Operations (Borovsky Direction): Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video claiming "point cleanups of routes for supplying UAF manpower in the Borovsky direction," stating a HMMWV raid in Kharkiv Oblast "ended sadly" for militants, who were driven out by 1st Tank Army fighters. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF ground success.
RF Schools Not Using Electronic Textbooks: ТАСС reports RF schools do not plan to use electronic textbooks. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Combined Strikes Aftermath: Colonelcassad posts multiple videos showing the aftermath of a "combined strike" on targets in Dnipropetropavsk and Pavlohrad, depicting large fires and destruction at night. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous reports of mass strikes.
RF Drone Activity in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Zelenskyy and Poland/Romania Drone Interceptions: ASTRA reports Zelenskyy discussing drone interceptions with Poland and Romania, citing Ukrainian media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Migration Policy: ТАСС reports Vyacheslav Volodin states migrants should not bring families to Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Morale Boosting: Fighterbomber posts a morale-boosting photo message with the caption "Аж слеза навернулась..." (A tear rolled down...). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of "Svyatogor" Successes: Воин DV posts video claiming "Svyatogor" continues to work on Kupiansk and other directions, showing drone destruction of enemy assets, including a robotic platform and an ammunition depot, and thermal imagery of UAF militants. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates claimed RF success in disrupting UAF logistics and engaging personnel.
RF IO on UAF Missing Personnel: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message claiming Ukrainian public pages are forbidden from publishing posts about missing military personnel. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
US Bill on Frozen Russian Assets: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that a US bill has been introduced to regularly transfer frozen Russian assets to Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Military Use of ATB Warehouses: Colonelcassad posts video showing aftermath of strikes on ATB warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used for military purposes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Female Population Share: Новости Москвы posts a photo message claiming Russia is first in the world for female population share. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Confirms ATB Warehouse Hit: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming enemy missiles hit ATB warehouse in Dnipro, citing local media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the target and impact.
RF Cultural Event in Donetsk: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a blacksmith festival in Donetsk, showcasing cultural resilience. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
EU Sanctions Package Exclusion (Oil): ТАСС reports the new EU sanctions package will not include restrictions on Russian oil purchases, citing Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Social Issues (St. Petersburg Altercation): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in St. Petersburg, linked to a "Friendship of Peoples" community, with a call to check for extremism. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights internal social issues in RF.
Polish Servicemen Death (US Exercise): Colonelcassad reports the mysterious death of two Polish servicemen during night parachute exercises in the US. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an external military incident impacting a NATO member.
RF Claims of Military Use of Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Военкор Котенок posts video of aftermath of strike on warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous RF claims.
RF Denies Estonian Airspace Violation: РБК-Україна reports Russia denies its MiG-31 fighters violated Estonian airspace. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Security (Fraud Arrest): ТАСС reports an accomplice of Ukrainian phone fraudsters, who stole over 10 million rubles from Russians, was arrested in Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This relates to RF internal security.
RF IO on Kerch Status: Старше Эдды posts photo message claiming Kerch is officially recognized as the ancient city of Russia. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an IO attempt to legitimize the occupation of Crimea.
RF Drone Footage in Sumy-Kondratovka: Сливочный каприз posts video showing drone footage with smoke plumes in Sumy - Kondratovka area, possibly indicating military activity. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Missile Hit Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming a missile hit warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other reports of strikes.
RF Domestic Policy (Medical Student Employment): ТАСС reports the conclusion of targeted training contracts guarantees employment for medical students. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy message aiming to secure a future medical workforce and promote stability.
UAF Deep Strikes on RF Refineries (Confirmed Impact): Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming UAF launched 29 strikes on RF oil refineries from August to September, causing gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia due to lack of air defense and mobile anti-drone groups. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a significant impact of UAF deep strikes on RF energy infrastructure and a perceived vulnerability in RF air defense.
Frozen Russian Assets Transfer Mechanism: ТАСС reports that the mechanism for transferring frozen Russian assets as a loan to Kyiv needs further development and will take weeks, as stated by European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights ongoing international discussions and potential complexities in providing financial aid to Ukraine.
RF Military Recruitment Advertisement: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a recruitment advertisement for Russian contract military service, highlighting a salary of 5.5 million rubles for the first year and professional training. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms RF's ongoing efforts to attract personnel and boost military strength.
RF Airborne Forces Fundraising: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a message about fundraising for airborne forces. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued reliance on public support for military funding.
RF Vehicle Modifications (Armor): Два майора posts a video showcasing a modified Russian military truck with added cage-like protection, thanking "Armor 31" and "Two Majors" for providing armor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights adaptation of military vehicles and volunteer support.
RF Geopolitical IO (Turkey, Russia, China Alliance): Рыбарь posts a photo message claiming a Turkish party leader proposed a Turkey, Russia, and China alliance against the US and Israel. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece attempting to portray geopolitical shifts.
RF MoD Summary (Sep 20, 2025): Colonelcassad reports the Russian Ministry of Defense's summary of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an official RF report.
RF Drone Activity in Northern Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF drone activity.
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): Старше Эдды posts that State Duma Chairman Vyacheslav Volodin supported the Ministry of Economic Development on labor migration: work, then leave, no family transport. Also, that this would allow attracting qualified workers globally. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement regarding labor migration.
RF Claims UAF S-300PS Destruction: ТАСС posts a video claiming an Iskander OTRK crew destroyed UAF S-300PS air defense positions in Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims a successful RF strike on a high-value UAF target.
Pentagon on RF MiG Incursion: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Pentagon called Russian MiG incursions into Estonian airspace deliberate, with planes staying over 20 minutes with transponders off and no communication. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the severity of the airspace violation.
Map of RF MiG Incursion: РБК-Україна posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visualizes the airspace violation.
RF IO on Yushchenko: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece portraying extreme Ukrainian positions.
RF Claims Control of Melovoye and Velikoburlukskoye Direction: Z комитет + карта СВО posts multiple photo messages with maps claiming control of Melovoye and detailing the Velikoburlukskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF claims of territorial gains.
Moscow School Collapse Photos: ТАСС posts photo messages of the situation at a school in eastern Moscow where building structures collapsed. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF IO on Romanian Energy Project: Colonelcassad posts a photo message stating Romania risks halting the Neptun Deep project, considered a key EU alternative to Russian gas. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights potential European energy vulnerabilities.
RF IO on Yushchenko (Derogatory): Военкор Котенок posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow, framing him as a "Banderalog" (derogatory term). (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF propaganda.
RF IO on Poles (Stereotype): НгП раZVедка posts a photo message with the caption "Poles, alcohol is a great evil." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece seemingly targeting Poland with negative stereotypes.
Samara Oblast Governor Denial of Resignation: ТАСС reports the press service of the Samara Oblast governor denied the resignation of Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, stating the governor is on a business trip. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This addresses a local political rumor.
STERNENKO Map of RF MiG Incursion: STERNENKO posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other UAF reports.
Belgorod Oblast Drone Attack Injury: ASTRA reports one person was injured after a Ukrainian drone attack in Belgorod Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms a UAF strike on RF territory and resulting casualties.
UAF Warning to POW Families: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that families of captured and missing servicemen are often targeted by malicious actors, including enemy intelligence, with false promises and threats. They warn against cooperation, stating it leads to becoming a "disposable agent." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights a significant counter-intelligence and psychological warfare threat against UAF families.
RF Drone Activity in Southeastern Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an enemy UAV in southeastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts.
New Drone Threat (Kremenchuk): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV heading towards Kremenchuk from the northeast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a new drone threat.
RF Drone Attack on Samara Energy Infrastructure: Colonelcassad reports Ukrainian drones attacked energy infrastructure facilities in Samara Oblast, citing Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms UAF deep strike actions.
UAF Deep Strike on Oil Pumping Stations: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a continuation of UAF deep strike capabilities targeting RF energy infrastructure.
RF Propaganda on Estonia: NEW: Janus Putkonen (RF-aligned source) posts photo message claiming "Air-powerless Latvia demands NATO member states with air power shoot down Russian military aircraft based on unsubstantiated allegations of airspace violations." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a direct RF IO response to the Estonian airspace violation, aiming to delegitimize NATO's response.
RF Civilian Dispute (Donbas): NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a shirtless man confronting road workers in Donbas over road repairs. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Decree on Catherine II: NEW: Рыбарь posts a scanned decree from the President of the Russian Federation titled "Catherine II and her heritage." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic political and historical narrative piece with no direct military relevance.
UAF Morale Boost (Usyk): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
Estonian Border Closure Proposal: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Estonia proposes closing its eastern border after the Russian MiG-31 incursion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a direct, diplomatic response by a NATO member to RF actions.
US Murder Investigation (Charlie Kirk): NEW: ТАСС reports NBC News sources state the suspect in Charlie Kirk's murder likely used a Mauser 98 rifle. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an unrelated domestic US crime story.
Moscow School Collapse Update (TASS): NEW: ТАСС posts multiple video and photo messages showing ongoing debris removal and cleanup at the Moscow school collapse site. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides an update on a civilian incident in RF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video): NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.2025): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetrovsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations (Confidence: HIGH)

Current conditions are generally clear and favorable for air operations across most of Ukraine. A cold front is moving into the Carpathians with temperatures dropping to -2°C, and snow is possible soon. The strongest geomagnetic storm in 3 months (G3) continues to impact satellite communications and GPS for both sides.

RF launched three S-300 anti-aircraft guided missiles, one Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile, and 75 drones (over 40 of them Shaheds) overnight against Ukraine. 48 RF UAVs were shot down/suppressed. Persistent RF UAV threats affect Sumy, Chernihiv, Dnipropetropavsk, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Odesa, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Zhytomyr, and Poltava Oblasts. Zaporizhzhia experienced at least TEN strikes, killing one person and injuring 20, causing power outages. Sumy Oblast suffered two drone impacts, causing power outages and a warehouse fire. RF dropped three FAB-250 glide bombs on Kramatorsk, injuring 19. UAF Air Force warns of guided aerial bomb launches on Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. Nizhyn suffered the "most massive strike from the beginning of the war" with dozens of drones, damaging critical infrastructure. Explosions confirmed in Sumy. Yampil is reported to be burning. Large fire at Kyiv logistics center liquidated after repeated morning attacks. UAF Air Force warns of several UAV groups past Derhachi, heading towards Kharkiv. RF sources report "powerful explosions in Balakliia (Kharkiv Oblast)" with videos of large smoke plumes. New RF drone group detections for Chernihiv Oblast towards Baturyn and renewed explosions in Kropyvnytskyi. Critical infrastructure hit by RF UAVs in Cherkasy Oblast. Large fire engulfing a multi-story building in Kyiv reported. КАБы on Kherson, Sumy, Kharkiv, and Donetsk Oblasts. Five strong explosions in Petrovsky district of Donetsk. RF drone strike on a gas station in Poltava district, causing a fire and one casualty. UAF Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs (КАБ) on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. РБК-Україна reports Russians struck a residential area of Konstantinovka with a guided aerial bomb (КАБ), killing 5 people. Air Force of Ukraine reports tactical aviation activity in the northeast direction, specifically launching guided aerial bombs (КАБ) towards Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы ➡️ на Донеччину! (Guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast!). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district). Николаевский Ванёк reports three UAVs approaching Pavlohrad, and subsequent defensive actions and successful downing of UAVs in Pavlohrad. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a person was injured in Boryspil district, Kyiv Oblast, due to a drone attack and falling debris. Three women were injured in Vozdvyzhivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, due to an enemy attack, further increasing civilian casualties. The Kyiv City Military Administration (КМВА) has reported the all-clear for Kyiv, while the subway restores normal operations.

Overnight Drone Interceptions (UAF Report): UAF Air Force reports 71 RF UAVs shot down or suppressed overnight. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Dnipropetropavsk Oblast reports 39 drones shot down overnight (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Chernihiv Oblast: Multiple groups of RF attack UAVs detected heading towards Chernihiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) UAF Air Force reports attack UAVs near Chernihiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports explosions in Chernihiv, stating the city is under attack by "reactive Shaheds." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Konotop (Sumy Oblast): RF sources claim "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes in Konotop. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Donetsk Oblast: UAF Air Force warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district): UAF Air Force warns of aerial attack means (КАБ) launched in the region. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast: UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV approaching Sumy, with countermeasures underway. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports attack UAVs in the direction of Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Belgorod Oblast: Sever.Realii reports two people injured after drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Poltava Oblast: UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV in Poltava district. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of attack UAVs in Poltava Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports a large group of "Shaheds" in Poltava Oblast, with threats elsewhere. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Air Alert (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): An air raid alert has been declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). All-clear issued (FACT, UAF REPORT). UAF Zaporizhzhia OMA confirms an air raid alert has been declared. (FACT, UAF REPORT) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an alert. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Guided Aerial Bombs (Donetsk Oblast): UAF Air Force warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Oblast & Pavlohrad (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Colonelcassad posts videos claiming to show successful RF strikes on targets. (FACT, RF CLAIM).
Ukraine-wide Drone Attacks: RF sources (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) claim drone strikes across Ukraine, with footage showing aerial explosions and falling debris over an urban area (likely Kyiv). (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Kharkiv Oblast: Deterioration of weather expected in Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This implies potential impact on air reconnaissance and drone operations in the near term.
Uman (Cherkasy Oblast): Video of people, including Jewish individuals, walking on a street with "Slava Ukraini" and "Putin kaput" audio. While not a direct military event, it indicates public sentiment and potentially local impact of the conflict in Uman. (FACT, UAF-aligned report)
Northern Chernihiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports UAV activity heading west in northern Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast: UAF Air Force reports КАБ launches towards Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Western Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an RF UAV heading south in western Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
All Clear: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports the all clear. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an update on UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches towards Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Donetsk Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ launches on Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Oblast (Vyshhorodskyi district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the Vyshhorodskyi district, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Ukraine Weather Forecast: РБК-Україна reports a weather forecast for tomorrow (September 20) of up to +27°C, with light rain in some places. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates generally favorable weather conditions for the next 24 hours.
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district): UAF Air Force warns of the threat of enemy aviation-launched munitions. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Air Alert (Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson, Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts): UAF Air Force issued an air raid alert for Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson, and Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts due to UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF aerial reconnaissance and attack drone deployments.
Nizhyn District (Chernihiv Oblast) & Vyshhorodskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy UAVs in Nizhynskyi district (Chernihiv Oblast) and Vyshhorodskyi district (Kyiv Oblast). (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity in northern Ukraine.
Kharkiv City Area: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV near Kharkiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts around the city.
Kyiv City & Regions: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) and Оперативний ЗСУ report an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the threat of ballistic missiles from Bryansk. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates an immediate, high-level threat to the capital and surrounding areas.
Sumy Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target on Sumy Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a potential missile or fast-moving drone threat.
Kyiv Oblast: РБК-Україна reports explosions in various parts of Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms ongoing RF strikes in the region.
Sumy (Drone Interceptions): STERNENKO reports 20 "Molniya" enemy drones shot down over Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a successful UAF air defense response.
Ballistic Missile Threat Lifts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat of ballistic missile use has been lifted. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Western Chernihiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports RF attack UAVs in Western Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest, towards Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates a direct threat to the capital.
Cherkasy Oblast (Zolotoniskyi district): UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV in Zolotoniskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates continued RF drone penetration into central Ukraine.
Eastern Kharkiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports a group of RF attack UAVs in eastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates ongoing drone activity targeting Kharkiv.
Pavlohrad District (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of attack UAVs in Pavlohradskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity in the area.
Animated Strike Map: Colonelcassad posts an animated map showing alleged routes of RF missiles and UAVs attacking UAF military targets, differentiating between Geran/Gerber drones and UMPK munitions, and indicating flight paths and bombing areas. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Hajove (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic missile threat on Hajove. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Cherkasy Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports attack UAVs over Cherkasy, instructing residents to take shelter. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports enemy drones over Cherkasy, Poltava, and Kremenchuk. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Kryvyi Rih/Nikopolshchyna): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of attack UAVs in Kryvyi Rih and Nikopolshchyna districts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Boryspil District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in Boryspil district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy (UAV threat): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV near Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Obukhivskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in Obukhivskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast (КАБ launches): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ launches on Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Tambov Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on aircraft arrivals and departures at Tambov airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is likely a response to drone threats, though unspecified. LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
Uman (Drone activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone in the direction of Uman. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Haisyn (Drone activity):: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy drones in Haisynskyi district, Vinnytsia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Oblast (Drone activity):: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on flights at Saratov airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
РБК-Україна reports new data on RF drone movement in the west of Donetsk Oblast, heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, with a photo message. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Оперативний ЗСУ reports drones have entered with "zero reaction." (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a concerning, unverified report that needs immediate clarification.
Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in western Donetsk Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone flying towards Dnipro from the north. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Refinery Strike: Оперативний ЗСУ reports a high probability that the Saratov oil refinery was hit based on open sources. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports unknown drones attacked Saratov, causing a fire. (FACT, UAF REPORT) ASTRA reports residents of Saratov report explosions and fire. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Ulyanovsk Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on aircraft arrivals and departures at Ulyanovsk airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAV Information Update: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an update on UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms ongoing RF drone activity.
New UAV Group in Northern Kharkiv: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a new group of UAVs in northern Kharkiv Oblast, heading south. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity targeting Kharkiv.
Black Sea Drone Activity: РБК-Україна reports UAF Air Force detects drones in the Black Sea, heading south to Odesa Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Lyman Direction: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports UAVs heading to Lyman. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Vyshhorodskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Vyshhorodskyi district, Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Poltava Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports striking UAVs near Poltava. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Oblast (Eastern): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of striking UAVs on eastern Mykolaiv Oblast, heading west and towards Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Samar/Dnipro): Николаевский Ванёк reports a total of 13 "mopeds" (drones) heading towards/through Samar/Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Brovarskyi district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of striking UAVs in Brovarskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (UAV activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs over Dnipro and approaching the city. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (UAV activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a striking UAV in the direction of Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Capital Direction): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV in the direction of the capital. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Drone Threat): РБК-Україна reports a drone is flying towards Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykove): Николаевский Ванёк reports an additional 5 "mopeds" from Synelnykove. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad/Boguslav/Ternovka (UAV activity): Николаевский Ванёк reports 13 "mopeds" near Pavlohrad/Boguslav/Ternovka, warning of potential loud noises. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (UAV Group): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of UAVs heading towards Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Boryspil district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of striking UAVs in Boryspil district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Massive Attack): Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv is under massive attack, even before drones arrived. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Rocket Activity):: Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 drone over Raketka, and 4 from Shevchenkove towards Korabelny district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Updates): Николаевский Ванёк reports 4 "mopeds" from Voskresenske entering Raketka. 14 "mopeds" still over Dnipro from Synelnikove, Samara, and Pavlohrad, with ~3 entering Dnipro from the north. 1 drone flying towards YuTZ (Yuzhny Turbozavod). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Interceptions): Николаевский Ванёк reports the first wave of "mopeds" was intercepted in Mykolaiv, "you all heard it yourselves." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Drone Count Reduced): Николаевский Ванёк reports the number of "mopeds" over Dnipro has decreased to 9. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Movement): Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 more drone from Pravdyne towards Korabelny district, and 1 drone from this wave turned towards Varvarivsky Bridge. 2 drones heading towards Kulbakino. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro/Mykolaiv (UAV Attack): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs continuing attacks on Dnipro and Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Explosions): РБК-Україна reports explosions again in Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- UPDATED DNIPRO: Videos and photo messages depict aftermath in Dnipropetropavsk (Dnipro) after a massive night strike, with large industrial areas engulfed in thick, dark smoke. (FACT, RF REPORT, UAF REPORT) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of residential building damage in Dnipro, confirming one dead and 13 injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic threat from Taganrog. РБК-Україна reports ballistic threat for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, citing OMA. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Air Alert/Ballistic Threat): КМВА and РБК-Україна report air alert in Kyiv, with КМВА specifying due to ballistic missile threat. Повітряні Силі ЗС України confirms ballistic weapon threat. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy (UAVs): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in northern Sumy Oblast, heading towards Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Crimea (Feodosia Explosions): ASTRA reports residents of Feodosia in annexed Crimea report explosions. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Dnipro (Drone Count/Ballistic): Николаевский Ванёк reports 4 "mopeds" over Dnipro. Николаевский Ванёк also reports ballistic threat on Ternivka (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast)/Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Ballistic Threat):: Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic threat for Dnipropetropavsk Oblast is current. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Pavlohrad!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Rocket Strikes): Николаевский Ванёк reports "2 missiles on Korabelny district of Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated Explosions): РБК-Україна reports repeated explosions in Mykolaiv, citing Suspilne. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated High-Speed Target): РБК-Україна reports another high-speed target on Pavlohrad and Mykolaiv, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv, приготовились (prepare). (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone flying over Raketka towards YuTZ. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports "услышали, минус" (heard it, down). (FACT, UAF REPORT). РБК-Україна reports an explosion again in Mykolaiv, citing Mayor Senkevich. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports a drone near Raketka, also flying towards YuTZ. (FACT, UAF REPORT). These indicate continued, intense, and contested drone activity over Mykolaiv, with UAF claiming successful interceptions amidst ongoing strikes.
Mykolaiv (Multiple Impacts): Николаевский Ванёк reports "2 impacts in the city." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Novokuibyshevsk, Samara Oblast (RF Explosions): ASTRA reports residents of Novokuibyshevsk in Samara Oblast report numerous explosions. (FACT, RF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports Russians complain about explosions in Novokuibyshevsk (Samara Oblast), with video showing multiple explosions over a city at night. (FACT, UAF REPORT, via Russian complaints) CONFIRMED BY ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic from Crimea): Николаевский Ванёк reports "another ballistic launch from Crimea." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (YuTZ area): Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv, YuTZ area. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic on Korabelny/Inhulskyi districts): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Korabelny/Inhulskyi districts of Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated High-Speed Target): РБК-Україна reports another high-speed target on Mykolaiv, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Raketka area): Николаевский Ванёк reports "this one was already in the direction of Raketka." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Massive Strike): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports a massive strike on enemy targets in Dnipropetropavsk, with huge fires in the city, accompanied by videos and photos. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv All Clear: Kyiv City Military Administration has announced the all-clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia All Clear: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has announced the all-clear. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Overnight Combined Attack: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports a new combined strike on enemy targets by RF forces last night. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Drone Operations (Video): Colonelcassad posts video showing various combat engagements, primarily from a drone's perspective, highlighting destruction of enemy assets, including personnel, armored vehicles, aircraft/drones, antennas, mortars, and artillery. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Attacked Saratov Residential Buildings (RF Claim): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims UAF attacked multi-story buildings in Saratov overnight, injuring a woman, with videos showing damaged buildings and a drone. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) Drone Activity: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs approaching Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) from east, north, and west. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF General Staff (VDNH Garden): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photo messages regarding planting over 12,000 plants in the Therapeutic Garden at VDNH, reported by the Ministry of Veterans Affairs. This is a civilian morale-boosting and veteran support initiative. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Tactical Aviation Activity (Azov Sea): UAF Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the Azov Sea. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Solar Flare: NEW: ТАСС reports a powerful solar flare (second to last class) was recorded on the Sun on the night of September 20. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipropetropavsk Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video and photos claiming strikes on "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk, alleging it's used for military vehicle tuning and drone production. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Konstantinovka Civilian Destruction: NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts videos showing widespread destruction of residential buildings in Konstantinovka from shelling or airstrikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Drone Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports six people, including three medics, were injured in Chernihiv Oblast due to a drone attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Berëzovoye Liberation: NEW: Воин DV claims "Vostok" Group liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with aerial footage showing destruction and Russian flags. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
European Airport Cyberattack: NEW: РБК-Україна reports cyberattack caused disruptions at European airports with possible flight delays. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Checkpoint Scanning: Kotsnews video shows officials observing vehicles passing through a scanning checkpoint in "Nizhny Zaramag" on the border of North and South Ossetia. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Video: "Faith on the SVO": АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА and Старше Эдды post videos on "Faith on the SVO", featuring soldiers, military vehicles, and religious themes. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff operational update for 20.09.25 06:00. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
Kyiv Air Alert (UAV): КМВА and РБК-Україна report an air alert in Kyiv due to the threat of enemy attack UAVs. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv UAV Activity: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV over Kyiv, with possible air defense activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Aviation Munitions Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation-launched munitions in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
European Airport Cyberattack (ASTRA): ASTRA reports a large-scale cyberattack caused flight cancellations and delays at airports in Berlin, London, and Brussels. (FACT, ASTRA REPORT)
RF Pilots at Work (Video): Colonelcassad posts a video of RF pilots "showing their work," depicting aerial footage of damaged urban areas and an explosion, implying successful RF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Threat Persists: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports the air threat to Kyiv persists. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Combined Strikes (Басурин о главном): Басурин о главном reports RF army conducted combined strikes overnight against Ukrainian critical military infrastructure targets, using Tu-95 strategic bombers, ballistic and cruise missiles, and over 50 "Geran-2" UAVs. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse: ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with fatalities and injuries. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
Zelenskyy on Joint Air Defense with Poland/Romania (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message quoting Zelenskyy about joint air defense with Poland and Romania for intercepting aerial targets over Ukraine, stating he doesn't count on others. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Moscow School Collapse Fatalities Confirmed: ТАСС confirms two workers died under the rubble of the Moscow school collapse. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Military Blogger's Desire for Strikes: Рыбарь expresses a desire for "more like these," implying desire for successful strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is likely a general statement of support for RF military action.
RF Dnipropetropavsk Damage Footage: Colonelcassad posts multiple videos of Dnipropetropavsk (Dnipro) not sleeping, with large fires and destruction, specifically identifying a building as 'ХДНІПРО'. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous reports of mass strikes.
RF Samara Oblast Drone Attack Fatalities Corroborated: Военкор Котенок reports 4 deaths in Samara Oblast from drone attacks. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates TASS.
RF Drone Activity in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Zelenskyy and Poland/Romania Drone Interceptions: ASTRA reports Zelenskyy discussing drone interceptions with Poland and Romania, citing Ukrainian media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): ТАСС reports Vyacheslav Volodin states migrants should not bring families to Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Morale Boosting: Fighterbomber posts a morale-boosting photo message with the caption "Аж слеза навернулась..." (A tear rolled down...). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of "Svyatogor" Successes: Воин DV posts video claiming "Svyatogor" continues to work on Kupiansk and other directions, showing drone destruction of enemy assets, including a robotic platform and an ammunition depot, and thermal imagery of UAF militants. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates claimed RF success in disrupting UAF logistics and engaging personnel.
RF IO on UAF Missing Personnel: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message claiming Ukrainian public pages are forbidden from publishing posts about missing military personnel. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
US Bill on Frozen Russian Assets: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that a US bill has been introduced to regularly transfer frozen Russian assets to Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Military Use of ATB Warehouses: Colonelcassad posts video showing aftermath of strikes on ATB warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used for military purposes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Female Population Share: Новости Москвы posts a photo message claiming Russia is first in the world for female population share. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Confirms ATB Warehouse Hit: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming enemy missiles hit ATB warehouse in Dnipro, citing local media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the target and impact.
RF Cultural Event in Donetsk: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a blacksmith festival in Donetsk, showcasing cultural resilience. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
EU Sanctions Package Exclusion (Oil): ТАСС reports the new EU sanctions package will not include restrictions on Russian oil purchases, citing Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Social Issues (St. Petersburg Altercation): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in St. Petersburg, linked to a "Friendship of Peoples" community, with a call to check for extremism. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights internal social issues in RF.
Polish Servicemen Death (US Exercise): Colonelcassad reports the mysterious death of two Polish servicemen during night parachute exercises in the US. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an external military incident impacting a NATO member.
RF Claims of Military Use of Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Военкор Котенок posts video of aftermath of strike on warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous RF claims.
RF Denies Estonian Airspace Violation: РБК-Україна reports Russia denies its MiG-31 fighters violated Estonian airspace. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Security (Fraud Arrest): ТАСС reports an accomplice of Ukrainian phone fraudsters, who stole over 10 million rubles from Russians, was arrested in Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This relates to RF internal security.
RF IO on Kerch Status: Старше Эдды posts photo message claiming Kerch is officially recognized as the ancient city of Russia. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an IO attempt to legitimize the occupation of Crimea.
RF Drone Footage in Sumy-Kondratovka: Сливочный каприз posts video showing drone footage with smoke plumes in Sumy - Kondratovka area, possibly indicating military activity. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Missile Hit Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming a missile hit warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other reports of strikes.
RF Domestic Policy (Medical Student Employment): ТАСС reports the conclusion of targeted training contracts guarantees employment for medical students. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy message aiming to secure a future medical workforce and promote stability.
UAF Deep Strikes on RF Refineries (Confirmed Impact): Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming UAF launched 29 strikes on RF oil refineries from August to September, causing gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia due to lack of air defense and mobile anti-drone groups. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a significant impact of UAF deep strikes on RF energy infrastructure and a perceived vulnerability in RF air defense.
Frozen Russian Assets Transfer Mechanism: ТАСС reports that the mechanism for transferring frozen Russian assets as a loan to Kyiv needs further development and will take weeks, as stated by European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights ongoing international discussions and potential complexities in providing financial aid to Ukraine.
RF Military Recruitment Advertisement: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a recruitment advertisement for Russian contract military service, highlighting a salary of 5.5 million rubles for the first year and professional training. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms RF's ongoing efforts to attract personnel and boost military strength.
RF Airborne Forces Fundraising: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a message about fundraising for airborne forces. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued reliance on public support for military funding.
RF Vehicle Modifications (Armor): Два майора posts a video showcasing a modified Russian military truck with added cage-like protection, thanking "Armor 31" and "Two Majors" for providing armor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights adaptation of military vehicles and volunteer support.
RF Geopolitical IO (Turkey, Russia, China Alliance): Рыбарь posts a photo message claiming a Turkish party leader proposed a Turkey, Russia, and China alliance against the US and Israel. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece attempting to portray geopolitical shifts.
RF MoD Summary (Sep 20, 2025): Colonelcassad reports the Russian Ministry of Defense's summary of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an official RF report.
RF Drone Activity in Northern Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF drone activity.
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): Старше Эдды posts that State Duma Chairman Vyacheslav Volodin supported the Ministry of Economic Development on labor migration: work, then leave, no family transport. Also, that this would allow attracting qualified workers globally. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement regarding labor migration.
RF Claims UAF S-300PS Destruction: ТАСС posts a video claiming an Iskander OTRK crew destroyed UAF S-300PS air defense positions in Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims a successful RF strike on a high-value UAF target.
Pentagon on RF MiG Incursion: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Pentagon called Russian MiG incursions into Estonian airspace deliberate, with planes staying over 20 minutes with transponders off and no communication. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the severity of the airspace violation.
Map of RF MiG Incursion: РБК-Україна posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visualizes the airspace violation.
RF IO on Yushchenko: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece portraying extreme Ukrainian positions.
RF Claims Control of Melovoye and Velikoburlukskoye Direction: Z комитет + карта СВО posts multiple photo messages with maps claiming control of Melovoye and detailing the Velikoburlukskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF claims of territorial gains.
Moscow School Collapse Photos: ТАСС posts photo messages of the situation at a school in eastern Moscow where building structures collapsed. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF IO on Romanian Energy Project: Colonelcassad posts a photo message stating Romania risks halting the Neptun Deep project, considered a key EU alternative to Russian gas. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights potential European energy vulnerabilities.
RF IO on Yushchenko (Derogatory): Военкор Котенок posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow, framing him as a "Banderalog" (derogatory term). (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF propaganda.
RF IO on Poles (Stereotype): НгП раZVедка posts a photo message with the caption "Poles, alcohol is a great evil." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece seemingly targeting Poland with negative stereotypes.
Samara Oblast Governor Denial of Resignation: ТАСС reports the press service of the Samara Oblast governor denied the resignation of Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, stating the governor is on a business trip. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This addresses a local political rumor.
STERNENKO Map of RF MiG Incursion: STERNENKO posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other UAF reports.
Belgorod Oblast Drone Attack Injury: ASTRA reports one person was injured after a Ukrainian drone attack in Belgorod Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms a UAF strike on RF territory and resulting casualties.
UAF Warning to POW Families: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that families of captured and missing servicemen are often targeted by malicious actors, including enemy intelligence, with false promises and threats. They warn against cooperation, stating it leads to becoming a "disposable agent." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights a significant counter-intelligence and psychological warfare threat against UAF families.
RF Drone Activity in Southeastern Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an enemy UAV in southeastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts.
New Drone Threat (Kremenchuk): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV heading towards Kremenchuk from the northeast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a new drone threat.
RF Drone Attack on Samara Energy Infrastructure: Colonelcassad reports Ukrainian drones attacked energy infrastructure facilities in Samara Oblast, citing Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms UAF deep strike actions.
UAF Deep Strike on Oil Pumping Stations: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a continuation of UAF deep strike capabilities targeting RF energy infrastructure.
RF Propaganda on Estonia: NEW: Janus Putkonen (RF-aligned source) posts photo message claiming "Air-powerless Latvia demands NATO member states with air power shoot down Russian military aircraft based on unsubstantiated allegations of airspace violations." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a direct RF IO response to the Estonian airspace violation, aiming to delegitimize NATO's response.
RF Civilian Dispute (Donbas): NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a shirtless man confronting road workers in Donbas over road repairs. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Decree on Catherine II: NEW: Рыбарь posts a scanned decree from the President of the Russian Federation titled "Catherine II and her heritage." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic political and historical narrative piece with no direct military relevance.
UAF Morale Boost (Usyk): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
Estonian Border Closure Proposal: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Estonia proposes closing its eastern border after the Russian MiG-31 incursion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a direct, diplomatic response by a NATO member to RF actions.
US Murder Investigation (Charlie Kirk): NEW: ТАСС reports NBC News sources state the suspect in Charlie Kirk's murder likely used a Mauser 98 rifle. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an unrelated domestic US crime story.
Moscow School Collapse Update (TASS): NEW: ТАСС posts multiple video and photo messages showing ongoing debris removal and cleanup at the Moscow school collapse site. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides an update on a civilian incident in RF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video): NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.2025): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetrovsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures (Confidence: HIGH)

RF Forces:

Ground: Multi-axis offensives continue with claims of advances in Krasnoarmeysk-Dmitrov, "grinding down" elite UAF units on Dobropillya direction, and entering Konstantinovka city limits. RF claims offensive development at the junction of Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts, with claims of "liberating" Olhivske and Sosnovka. "Kurier" and "Fagot" UGVs deployed. Heavy reciprocal battles in Sumy Oblast. FAB strikes continue in Kalinovsky, targeting UAF logistics. Assault on Yampil has started, utilizing civilian clothing for disguise and human shields. North Korean 107-mm Type1963 MLRS observed. RF expanding bridgehead in Volchansk. RF Naval Infantry advancing in Sumy Oblast. RF Army actively advancing in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. RF detailing movements and territorial control changes in Zaporizhzhia (Stepnohirsk, Orikhiv, Tokmak). RF has taken fire control of approximately 5 km of H-26 highway near Stepova Novoselivka, leading to Kupiansk. RF continues to advance on Konstantinovka direction, with "pincers closing." Putin observed "Zapad-2025" exercises. RF claims full control of Serebryansky forestry. VDV performing parachute and armored vehicle air-dropping operations during "Zapad-2025." Tactical map claiming RF is developing an offensive at the junction of DPR, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts. RF claims "Anwar" special forces destroyed a Swedish "S-tank" while supporting an offensive towards Sumy (highly unusual, likely IO). Multiple videos claiming the liberation of Novopetrovskoye. RF claims UAF attacks on DPR border led to increased RF strikes on enemy rear. RF claims destruction of a Paladin SAU, and successful destruction of UAF attempts to cross Dnieper. Video of a captured Russian soldier, Mikhail Stepanov, describing harsh combat conditions, coercive tactics, and low morale. Forced evacuation from 18 settlements in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. "Akhmat" SpN Regiment FPV drone reconnaissance on Sumy direction. Duma committee approved veteran status for volunteers in assault units. RF claims "Sparta" unit destroyed a UAF UAV control post. RF and UAF-affiliated sources amplify Deep State's report that RF forces are entering and consolidating in residential areas of Kupiansk. The captured RF soldier claims his unit used a gas pipe to infiltrate Kupiansk. RF military expert claims UAF created powerful underground fortifications in residential Konstantinovka. RF claims an offensive behind Chasiv Yar, with airborne forces destroying enemy defenses. Special incendiary detachment of 16th Guards NBC Protection Brigade, "Vostok" Group, using thermobaric munitions on Vremevskoye direction. MoD Russia posts video features Russian soldiers discussing UAV attacks, small group infiltrations by AFU, and the establishment of a buffer zone. MoD Russia claim of destroying a 3-person Ukrainian DRG attempting to infiltrate Kursk Oblast near Tetkino. Colonelcassad posts drone footage claiming to show a destroyed UAF M1A1 Abrams tank on the Sumy front (unverified). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims "Anwar" special forces hit a rare Swedish Strv 103 tank in the Sumy border region (unverified). MoD Russia posts video showcasing RF MLRS firing rounds. Colonelcassad claims RF forces successfully crossed the Volchya River and are advancing in eastern Ivanovka. MoD Russia posts video claiming a T-80BVM tank crew destroyed an enemy stronghold in Krasnoarmeysk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a message: "Family, the entire front is moving forward, our guys liberating the people of Ukraine from Ukrofascists." Старше Эдды claims RF forces have taken control of the outskirts of Kupiansk. Операция Z amplifies "Военкоры Русской Весны" video claiming RF VDV are destroying UAF positions and advancing on the Sumy front. Colonelcassad posts new map updates detailing RF ground advances over the past 24 hours, particularly around Kupiansk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition and Kotsnews post drone footage of artillery strikes by "Vostok" Group on UAF fortified positions near Gavrilovka, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк claims 18 officers of the operational staff of the RF 35th Combined Arms Army were killed in a sabotage operation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (unverified by UAF, but casualty list adds credibility). «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts thermal and daylight drone footage from the Sumy direction showing interception of an enemy drone and strike on an "enemy antenna." MoD Russia posts a photo message summarizing the progress of the special military operation as of 18 September 2025. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts a video showing a Russian T-72 variant tank maneuvering and firing. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts video claiming RF forces eliminated a UAF platoon in Konstantinovka. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts video of Solovyov proposing replacing Russian border guards with North Koreans. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian border guards striking three enemy vehicles and manpower in the Southern direction. Janus Putkonen posts an image with the caption "Army Corps Zapad-2025 ended and training troops are moving to real operations against Kyiv forces." Alex Parker Returns posts video about high financial incentives for contract service in Moscow (6M rubles annually, 3.1M lump sum, 260k salary, 10M debt forgiveness). MoD Russia posts video showing signal units of the Tsentr Group of Forces deploying a secured radio network between forward units and a command post in Krasnoarmeysk direction. Воин DV posts video detailing the situation on the Southern Donetsk direction, specifically mentioning fighting in Novoivanovka, and shows drone footage of artillery strikes. Рыбарь posts a tactical map overlay for "fights in the agglomeration." Операция Z amplifies "Военкоры Русской Весны" claiming RF Army is breaking through to Zaporizhzhia via Kamyanske and Plavni, citing Ukrainian speaker Voloshyn. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts video quoting Putin on over 700,000 Russian military personnel on the line of contact. Воин DV posts photos of Russian tank brigade soldiers from Buryatia being awarded. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video with captured RF soldiers discussing murder charges. Colonelcassad reports a cluster Iskander strike on a UAF company tactical group near Druzhkivka. "Два майора" posts a message from Putin to State Duma leaders, emphasizing the government's reliance on their support, indicating an ongoing effort to maintain political cohesion for the war. "МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники" posts a photo message claiming a person accused of raping a minor stepdaughter was released to fight in the war, indicating continued controversial recruitment practices. "Николаевский Ванёк" posts an exclusive video of a captured Cuban national from the 81st Airmobile Brigade, providing HUMINT on RF recruitment of foreign nationals and their combat experience. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts video claiming strikes on UAF positions on the Donetsk direction. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition amplifies Putin's statement that the "combined grouping of Russian forces in the SMO zone is over 700,000 servicemen," claiming "our fighters have no equals in the world." Kadyrov_95 posts video claiming "Akhmat" special forces successfully used a KVN drone to strike a UAF pickup truck with infantry in a wooded area on the Kharkiv direction, claiming "3 dead fighters." Игорь Артамонов posts a photo message highlighting a father of three, a Cossack and patriot, serving as a volunteer on the front since 2022, indicating continued RF volunteer recruitment and morale boosting. Воин DV posts video of drone operators from the 38th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade conducting effective strikes against enemy manpower in the Polozhskoye direction, demonstrating continued offensive operations. Два майора posts a video compilation, including what appears to be a Russian tank being destroyed by UAF forces, suggesting ongoing tactical losses for RF. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo of a tactical map claiming a critical situation in Kupiansk, implying potential RF advances or UAF tactical setbacks in the area. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" states that their unit is experiencing a "difficult period," indicating possible operational strain. Russian forces are distributing leaflets in Velyka Pysarivka, Sumy Oblast, calling for "evacuation." "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" posts a video showing Russian military personnel loading crates with Cyrillic text onto a vehicle, indicating routine logistical operations. Colonelcassad highlights "Aid's" comments on shotguns against FPV drones, suggesting tactical adaptations. Военкор Котенок posts a video showing a mix of medical emergency response and military training/operations footage, with a caption indicating a deficit of medics at the front. Операция Z amplifies a video showing Russian President Vladimir Putin discussing the establishment of a federal holiday for veterans of special military operations. Colonelcassad posts video claiming successful FPV drone and artillery strikes by RF's 3rd Army Corps on a UAF 155mm M109A5 self-propelled howitzer near Konstantinovka, supporting claims of continued high-intensity combat and RF precision capabilities. Воин DV posts a video showing military vehicles and apparent combat in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast by RF "CENTER" and "VOSTOK" groups, suggesting ongoing RF ground operations and pressure in the area. Два майора posts a photo message showing a body exchange, confirming the ongoing process of exchanging fallen soldiers between both sides. Alex Parker Returns posts a grim video showing decomposing bodies in military fatigues and a scorched forest, indicating recent heavy combat and significant casualties, likely RF losses given the channel's general bias. Colonelcassad posts video claiming an UAF DRG of 4 militants armed with a "Baba-Yaga" heavy hexacopter was destroyed on the right bank of the Dnieper in Kherson Oblast while attempting to cross to the left bank. Alex Parker Returns shares information from Russian sources alleging that Rostec structures are servicing UAF helicopters (Mi-8MT/MTB) via AAL Group Ltd., registered in the UAE. Colonelcassad posts video on Wagner Group training Belarusian forces for 2 years, highlighting their combat experience in Syria and Africa. Alex Parker Returns posts video depicting a green pickup truck with supplies driving through a heavily damaged village, possibly from a forward logistics operation. New intelligence shows that the Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration, Dmitry Kozak, has been dismissed. Colonelcassad has posted videos of an exhibition "SVO. Defenders of the Fatherland" in Moscow's Victory Museum, showcasing Russian military heroism and destroyed enemy equipment. This includes an interactive map of military operations. OSINT-analyst Brady Africk reports RF has recently built a new drone launch site in Bryansk Oblast, 35 km from the Ukrainian border. "Военкоры Русской Весны" (amplified by Операция Z) claims a former UAF officer who defected in 2014 is commanding the Russian offensive on Kupiansk. ТАСС reports RF Deputy Commander of a VDV assault battalion claims UAF forces are abandoning NATO weapons during retreat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. ТАСС reports RF forces advanced near Kupyansk, specifically at Kucherovka and Petropavlovka, clearing a tree line and destroying a UAF fortified area. ТАСС posts a video claiming a Croatian citizen, who recently obtained Russian citizenship, surrendered to Russian FPV drone operators in Zaporizhzhia Oblast while serving with UAF. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message with the caption " Airborne brotherhood, good morning!", a morale-boosting message likely depicting RF VDV forces. Astra reports 17 high-ranking military officers died in a dugout fire in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (FACT, RF-aligned REPORT).
Russian BM-21 Grad MLRS: WarGonzo posts video showing a Russian BM-21 Grad MLRS firing in a wooded area, with interviews of crew members (callsigns 'MANGUST', 'DZHANGO'). This confirms active artillery support and operational context for MLRS. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Krasnoarmeysk-Muravka): Video showcases Russian military operations, focusing on advances through wooded and open terrain, and engaging enemy positions, with specific unit patches suggesting identifiable Russian military units. The narrative suggests a deliberate, methodical approach to offensive operations, emphasizing coordinated fire and movement. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ground Casualties: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports the liquidation of two brothers (Sergei and Yegor Kotov) from Vladimir, Russia, who volunteered for service in Ukraine and were killed on the same day. This indicates continued RF personnel losses. (FACT, UAF-ALIGNED REPORT)
RF IO (Kupiansk): Два майора posts a photo message titled "Fortress Kupyansk" turns into "Strategically unimportant city," indicating a narrative shift by RF to downplay the significance of Kupiansk. (FACT, RF IO)
RF Fund Raising (Airborne Forces): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports raising 6,700 rubles for "a powerful salvo," indicating continued, albeit possibly slow, fundraising efforts for RF airborne units. (FACT, RF REPORT) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo message of airborne brotherhood, likely for morale. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Volunteer Aid: Два майора posts a video thanking "Armor 31" and "Two Majors" for providing armor to a military truck, highlighting volunteer support networks within RF. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Muravka (DNR): ТАСС reports heavy UAF losses during the liberation of Muravka by RF forces, confirming RF claims of territorial gains and UAF casualties in the area. (FACT, RF REPORT) MoD Russia posts a video claiming the liberation of Muravka, showing combat and destruction. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Military Aircraft Operations: Fighterbomber posts a video showing two military aircraft, one potentially refueling, with discussion of engine behavior. This indicates active RF air operations. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ministry of Defense - Scientific Approach: Два майора posts a message about the RF Minister of Defense's "important decision regarding a scientific and systemic approach," suggesting a new strategic emphasis on military-scientific research and development, possibly related to EW or drone capabilities. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Serebryansky Forestry: MoD Russia posts video depicting combat operations in a wooded area, showing explosions, destroyed vehicles, and Russian flags being planted. A platoon leader discusses a successful assault on enemy strongholds and mine deployment. The presence of Ukrainian flags suggests contested territory. This further confirms intense fighting and RF claims of territorial gains in the Serebryansky forestry. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Kupiansk: Colonelcassad reports the destruction of a UAF UAV control post and a mortar position near Kupiansk, claiming RF forces are increasing pressure on and near the city. This implies continued RF offensive operations and targeting of UAF command and control. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Oktiabrskyi and Volodymyrivka (Donetsk Oblast): "Народная милиция ДНР" posts video claiming drone destruction of UAF infantry near Oktiabrskyi and Volodymyrivka by the 57th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion (орСпН). (FACT, RF CLAIM).
Perm (Russia): TASS reports Putin arrived in Perm on Armorer's Day to visit "Motovilikhinskiye Zavody" enterprise. (FACT, RF REPORT). This is significant as "Motovilikhinskiye Zavody" is a major defense enterprise producing artillery systems. TASS releases a video of Putin's arrival at the factory. (FACT, RF REPORT) MoD Russia posts video of Putin visiting Motovilikhinskiye Zavody. (FACT, RF REPORT) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video of Putin stating RF increased arms production by 30x. (FACT, RF REPORT) TASS posts video of Putin congratulating defense industry workers on Gunsmith Day. (FACT, RF REPORT) Colonelcassad posts video of Putin's visit to Motovilikhinskiye Zavody, highlighting the "Day of the Armorer" and praising Russian defense industry. (FACT, RF REPORT) TASS posts video of Putin inspecting military equipment at Motovilikhinskiye Zavody. (FACT, RF REPORT).
Rostov-on-Don (Russia): TASS reports the TASS agency opened a regional information center in Rostov-on-Don. (FACT, RF REPORT). This enhances RF's information control and dissemination capabilities in a strategically important border region. TASS releases a video of the governor congratulating TASS on the opening. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Novoiivanivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Colonelcassad posts a map claiming RF forces liberated Novoiivanivka and are advancing near Novonikolaivka. (FACT, RF CLAIM). This reinforces previous RF claims of territorial gains. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 confirms RF MoD's claim of liberation. (FACT, RF REPORT)
NATO "Eastern Sentinel" (Romania, Poland): TASS reports NATO's "Eastern Sentinel" operation will take place in Romania and Poland, as stated by Finnish President Stubb. (FACT, RF REPORT, via Reuters). This indicates increased NATO presence on its eastern flank.
US Sanctions (Russian "Shadow Fleet"): TASS reports a bill sanctioning Russia's "shadow fleet" has been submitted to the US Senate. (FACT, RF REPORT). This indicates further international pressure on RF's maritime logistics.
Thermal Drone Footage (Unknown Location): Воин DV posts video footage from an RF drone (thermal/low-light imaging) showing what appear to be personnel or vehicles moving in a rural landscape, indicating ongoing ground operations. (FACT, RF REPORT). Воин DV posts thermal drone footage showing aftermath of artillery strikes and personnel movement on the Southern Donetsk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Alex Parker Returns (FPV Drone): Alex Parker Returns posts video claiming to show an FPV drone "hunting" in a wooded area, showing a thermal signature of a person and what appears to be a subsequent strike, implying effective drone operations. (FACT, RF CLAIM).
Perm (RF): Kotsnews reports Putin arrived in Perm at the "forge of Russian artillery" (likely Motovilikhinskiye Zavody). (FACT, RF REPORT). This reinforces the significance of Putin's visit to a key defense industrial complex.
Bryansk Oblast Governor: AV БогомаZ posts a message from the Bryansk Oblast Governor, thanking Putin for support and pledging continued work for the region's residents. (FACT, RF REPORT). This demonstrates internal political stability and loyalty in a border region. AV БогомаZ posts photo message discussing successful practices and construction projects (sports facilities, schools) in Bryansk Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) AV БогомаZ posts 10 photo messages showing new schools built in Bryansk, emphasizing modern facilities, good teachers, and domestic comfort. (FACT, RF REPORT) AV БогомаZ posts photo message without a caption. AV БогомаZ posts an image depicting a group of men in a non-military setting, likely a sports stadium or similar public facility. AV БогомаZ posts photo message without a caption. AV БогомаZ posts an image depicting a building with prominent signage that appears to be a sports facility. AV БогомаZ posts photo message without a caption. AV БогомаZ posts an image depicting a group of men in what appears to be a casual or business setting, likely at an indoor sports facility. AV БогомаZ posts photo message without a caption. AV БогомаZ posts video showing two men in suits, presumably officials, outside a modern red building discussing regional development, infrastructure projects, and a memorial. This is part of RF's efforts to portray stability and development in border regions and highlights engagement of political figures.
Kursk Oblast Development Corporation: TASS reports former heads of the Kursk Oblast Development Corporation (Lukina, Spiridonova, Grabina, Volovikova) were denied leniency and are being transferred to Kursk for trial. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued internal investigations and potential corruption within Russian regional administration.
Z-Blogger Roman Alekhin Designated Foreign Agent: ASTRA, Alex Parker Returns, Военкор Котенок, ТАСС, НгП раZVедка, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Операция Z, Colonelcassad, Север.Реалии, and БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС all report that Z-blogger Roman Alekhin has been designated a "foreign agent" by the Russian Ministry of Justice. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant internal information environment development, silencing or discrediting a pro-war but sometimes critical voice. Colonelcassad reports Alekhin's status as foreign agent was due to an interview with "Dozhd" (also foreign agent) and previous scandal, and he is ceasing volunteer activities. (FACT, RF REPORT) Два майора amplifies the Alekhin foreign agent status, mentioning the "Dozhd" interview and rumors of cash payments. (FACT, RF REPORT) Fighterbomber comments on Alekhin's legal work, implying ongoing issues for him. (FACT, RF REPORT) Два майора posts a message about "foreign agents," using Alekhin's case as an example, and criticizing those who take money for interviews. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Basurin Propaganda: Басурин о главном posts a video showing various military actions (ATGM, BMP, drone, MLRS) with the caption "We continue to help. All for victory for the whole country!" (FACT, RF PROPAGANDA) This is a morale-boosting and pro-military message. Басурин о главном posts a video of political analyst Eduard Basurin discussing "personality cult" in Ukraine. (FACT, RF IO)
Fighterbomber Channel Assessment: Fighterbomber reports an AI assessment of their channel's objectivity at 40/100. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is self-aware commentary on their own channel's bias.
Igor Shchyogolev Statement (Bryansk Oblast): AV БогомаZ posts a series of images from an official event featuring Igor Olegovich Shchyogolev, Presidential Plenipotentiary Representative in the Central Federal District, making a statement. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a political statement indicating continued high-level engagement with border regions.
Kasatkin Extradition: TASS reports a Russian embassy employee will attend the court hearing for Kasatkin's extradition from France to the US. (FACT, RF REPORT). This indicates RF diplomatic efforts to protect its citizens abroad.
Taliban Response to Trump: РБК-Україна reports the Taliban responded to Trump's idea of returning US troops to Afghanistan. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This is an international political development without direct military impact on Ukraine. TASS reports US is negotiating with Taliban to restore military presence at Bagram airbase. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Russian Olympic Ban: TASS reports Russian athletes cannot participate in team competitions at the 2026 Winter Olympics. (FACT, RF REPORT). This is a civilian event with no military significance.
Baza Telegram Channel Acquisition: TASS reports Aram Gabrelyanov acquired 100% of the Baza Telegram channel. (FACT, RF REPORT). This is a media consolidation event that could impact RF's information environment. ASTRA reports Aram Gabrelyanov bought the Baza Telegram channel. (FACT, RF REPORT) Colonelcassad amplifies the Baza acquisition by Gabrelyanov. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant development in RF's information control.
Investigative Action against Ura.ru: TASS reports no information that the Prosecutor General's Office's requirements in the lawsuit regarding the state's acquisition of "Oblkommunenergo" are directed at the founder of Ura.ru. (FACT, RF REPORT). This is a legal proceeding with no direct military impact.
RF FPV Drone Strike: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming a fatal encounter between a UAF militant and an RF drone, showing a drone attack on UAF personnel in a wooded area. (FACT, RF CLAIM). Воин DV posts a similar video. (FACT, RF CLAIM). MoD Russia posts drone footage of artillery strikes targeting what appears to be a Russian vehicle convoy, showing explosions and direct hits. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is mislabeled and is actually UAF drone footage of striking an RF convoy.
RF Missing in Action: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts video of a mother appealing to Putin and MoD, stating her son mobilized in 2023 is missing in action and no information from authorities. (FACT, RF REPORT) МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts video of a Russian mobilized soldier claiming "no training" and high casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT). This highlights the ongoing issue of RF MIA and lack of transparency.
Umatex Group CEO Death: ASTRA reports the head of Russia's largest composite producer, Umatex Group, shot himself. (FACT, RF REPORT) TASS reports Alexander Tyunin, CEO of NPK Khimprominzhenhenering, allegedly committed suicide near Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant internal incident impacting a key defense-related industrial sector. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports this as self-denazification by Russian regime slaves. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Southern Donetsk Direction: Два майора posts video of a damaged military vehicle (light truck/van, extensive damage) with 'A186' markings on the Slaviansk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF tactical losses on this active front.
CSTO Drills: MoD Russia posts photos claiming Russian servicemen will share combat experience with CSTO drills participants. (FACT, RF REPORT) This implies continued military cooperation and training with allied nations.
"Rubikon" Drone Center Identification (RF OPSEC Failure): Alex Parker Returns posts video identifying the location of the "Rubikon" drone control and training center as pavilions C and D of the Patriot Congress and Exhibition Center due to unblurred toilet signs. (FACT, RF OPSEC FAILURE, UAF IO AMPLIFICATION) This represents a significant intelligence failure for RF and a propaganda victory for UAF.
RF Heavy Hexacopter Production: Colonelcassad posts a photo message stating the "Baikal Tactical Group" with NRTK "Courier" is launching production of heavy "Mangas" hexacopters in Buryatia for "Vostok" Group, to be used for supply and strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF is scaling up heavy drone production for both logistics and combat.
RF Veteran Support Narrative: Два майора posts a video compilation emphasizing "SVO Veterans - Russia's Support," with Putin discussing success in engine building and low unemployment, and a segment on Russian-Chinese law enforcement cooperation. (FACT, RF IO) Военкор Котенок posts video of Putin supporting initiative to attract SVO veterans to combat illegal migrants. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Putin Gift to Crimean Schoolboy: TASS reports Putin gifted a spitz dog to a Crimean schoolboy. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a clear RF IO move to normalize the occupation of Crimea and project a benevolent image of Putin.
RF Software List: TASS reports RF may create a list of software exclusively for company needs, unavailable on the open market. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a strategic move for digital sovereignty and control within RF.
Alex Parker Returns on Internal Weakness: Alex Parker Returns posts a video discussion arguing Russia's downfall must come from within, through external funding and influence, and mentions propaganda related to alcohol/smoking as internal destructive methods. (FACT, RF-aligned report) This indicates internal discourse within RF about vulnerabilities, which could be exploited.
Russian Politologist on Patriotism: Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message with politician Markov's quote about "real patriots" vs. "patriot-mercenaries" who will always betray, commenting "you can't argue with that." (FACT, RF-aligned report) This reflects internal RF efforts to define and control the narrative of patriotism and likely to discredit critical voices like Alekhin.
"Upyr" Drone Operations (RF): Старше Эдды and Kotsnews post a video demonstrating the "Upyr" drone's work in "protecting the small sky," targeting what appears to be an an enemy "Baba Yaga" drone. The video includes thermal imagery of strikes. (FACT, RF CLAIM/REPORT) This indicates RF's focus on counter-UAV capabilities and claims of success.
RF Citizen Stripped of Citizenship: ASTRA reports blogger Samvel Karapetyan, who supported the "SMO," was stripped of Russian citizenship he received by birth. (FACT, RF REPORT). This indicates RF's internal repression extending even to supporters.
Chita Memorial: Colonelcassad reports a memorial to "children of war" was opened in Chita, whose childhood was "taken by war." (FACT, RF REPORT). This is an RF IO attempt to evoke patriotic sentiment, likely referencing WWII and drawing parallels to current conflict.
RF Readiness for Negotiations: TASS reports Peskov stated Putin is ready to resolve the situation in Ukraine through negotiations. (FACT, RF REPORT). This is a diplomatic overture from RF, likely for international consumption.
RF Rejection of IAEA Resolution: TASS reports RF firmly rejects IAEA resolution fabrications and finds additional IAEA requirements on ZNPP unacceptable. (FACT, RF REPORT). This indicates RF's continued defiance on nuclear safety and international oversight.
RF Chechen Leadership: Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming Ramzan Kadyrov appointed his 17-year-old son to oversee tax payments in Chechnya. (FACT, RF-aligned report). This highlights internal Chechen political dynamics and potential corruption, which could be exploited.
RF Counter-Intelligence Success: Colonelcassad posts video claiming apprehension and interrogation of an individual accused of passing intelligence to Ukrainian special services. The video shows tactical maneuvers, the detainee in handcuffs, and a confession. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates successful RF counter-intelligence operations targeting UAF intelligence networks.
- UPDATED RF COUNTER-INTELLIGENCE: The video and text indicate the apprehension of an individual by Russian security forces in Tokmak, accused of being a Ukrainian spy and providing coordinates and information to Ukrainian special services. The individual confesses to these actions, and later appears in a courtroom setting, facing treason charges. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Memorial for SVO Participants: WarGonzo posts a photo message announcing the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Orekhovo-Zuyevo. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an RF IO move to honor military personnel and boost morale.
RF Judicial Ruling (Lipetsk Oblast): TASS reports a recidivist was sentenced to 24 years in prison for sex crimes against 34 children in Lipetsk Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian legal event with no direct military significance.
RF Special Forces (Ambushes): АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a video showing a convoy of off-road vehicles or ATVs moving along a dirt road at night, with an "Archangel Spetsnaz" overlay, implying continued ambush operations. (FACT, RF REPORT) Photo messages of "Good Saturday morning" are also posted by АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Troop Casualties (Dismemberment): Colonelcassad posts graphic photos of dismembered UAF soldiers, stating "two parts of one whole AFU fighter, separated by an unknown force." (FACT, RF REPORT)
Leonid Gozman Arrest: TASS reports Moscow court has заочно arrested Leonid Gozman, accusing him of public calls for terrorism and justifying terrorism. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant internal repression against a known opposition figure. Colonelcassad posts a photo message announcing the заочно (in absentia) arrest of foreign agent Leonid Gozman for public calls for terrorism. (FACT, RF REPORT) ASTRA posts a photo message reporting the заочно arrest of politician Leonid Gozman for justifying terrorism. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Mike Waltz UN Appointment: TASS reports US Senate approved Mike Waltz as Permanent Representative to the UN. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a diplomatic development that could affect US-UN relations. РБК-Україна posts a photo message about the former Trump advisor (Signal-gate) receiving a new position, referring to Mike Waltz. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
International Court of Justice MH17: TASS reports International Court of Justice confirmed Russia filed lawsuit against Australia and Netherlands over ICAO decision on MH17. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates RF's continued diplomatic efforts to challenge findings related to MH17.
"Otvazhnye" Group at Pokrovsk: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming "Otvazhnye" group is destroying equipment, infantry, and positions of the enemy at Pokrovsk day and night. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF claim of continued successful offensive operations at a key axis.
RF Tank Destruction Claim (Kursk Oblast): Colonelcassad posts a video claiming a Ukrainian tank had its turret "blown off" in the border area of Kursk Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF claim of successful destruction of UAF armor.
RF Food Supplies (Unsanitary Conditions): Два майора posts a video showing a mouse in a box of food supplies, indicating unsanitary conditions for RF troops. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Fundraising Appeal: Два майора posts a video appealing for donations for "Frontline Armor." (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued reliance on public/volunteer fundraising for RF military equipment.
Olekmin District Mayor Resignation: ASTRA posts video of the Mayor of Olekmin District (Yakutia) resigning to run for regional legislative assembly, before municipal elections are abolished. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an internal Russian political development, indicating potential changes to local governance structure.
Germany GPS Jamming Statement: ТАСС and Colonelcassad report Germany has no evidence of RF involvement in GPS outages in the Baltic Sea, citing Berliner Zeitung. (FACT, RF REPORT, via Berliner Zeitung)
Syria-Israel Security Agreement: ТАСС reports Syria may sign a security agreement with Israel in the coming days, according to interim President Ahmed ash-Shaara. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Trump TikTok Deal: ТАСС reports Trump stated the TikTok deal has begun, and the US will control the social network. (FACT, RF REPORT) NEW: ТАСС reports Trump administration expects multi-billion dollar fee from TikTok sale. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Trump-Xi Jinping Call: РБК-Україна reports Trump confirmed discussing trade, war, Ukraine-RF relations, and Gaza with Xi Jinping. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Trump on Estonian Airspace Violation: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Trump dislikes the Russian aircraft invasion of Estonian airspace. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
US-Afghanistan Negotiations: ТАСС reports US is negotiating with Afghanistan about returning control of Bagram airbase. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Trump on China's Role in Ukraine: РБК-Україна posts video messages of Trump believing Xi Jinping will help in resolving the war in Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Оперативний ЗСУ and ТАСС reports Trump's belief in China's cooperation to help resolve the Ukraine conflict. (FACT, UAF REPORT, RF REPORT)
Wildberries Airport Acquisition: Новости Москвы reports Wildberries purchased an entire airport for 425 million rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian economic event with no military significance.
Trump on Not Profiting from War: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна post video messages of Trump stating he doesn't want to make money on the war in Ukraine, but the US is profiting from arms sales. (FACT, UAF REPORT) ТАСС posts a photo message of Trump stating the US is profiting from arms supplies to Ukraine, though he personally doesn't wish it. (FACT, RF REPORT) These statements are significant for their potential to influence international perceptions of US support for Ukraine.
Alex Parker Returns on Estonian Incident/Trump Gold Card: Alex Parker Returns posts video and photo messages discussing a journalist asking Trump about the Russian fighter jets in Estonian airspace during a presentation of a "Trump Gold Card" (million dollar US residency). (FACT, RF-aligned report) This combines geopolitical commentary with internal RF IO to mock Trump and Western politics.
RF Denial of Estonian Airspace Violation: ТАСС reports RF MoD denies Estonian airspace violation. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Pantsir-SMD Complexes: Colonelcassad reports Rostec sent a batch of new Pantsir-SMD complexes to the army. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Операция Z reports results of the "United Voting Day 2024" show participants of "Time of Heroes" winning. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is part of RF's efforts to project political normalcy and integrate war veterans into civilian governance.
ТАСС reports Russian citizenship acquired by birth cannot be revoked, except by voluntary renunciation. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is likely a response to the designation of Z-blogger Alekhin as a foreign agent and the stripping of citizenship from Samvel Karapetyan.
ТАСС reports acting head of Makhachkala urged motorists to avoid travel due to flooding. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
ТАСС reports Trump suggested a potential US government shutdown from October 1st. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a US political development with potential implications for international aid, but no direct military significance for the battlefield.
RF Captured UAF Soldier: Colonelcassad posts video of a captured UAF soldier, Yuriy Ternovskiy (callsign "Rybak"), from the 225th Separate Assault Battalion, claiming he joined from prison. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is RF IO exploiting a captured UAF soldier to portray UAF as recruiting from prisons and highlighting perceived desperation.
RF "Uzbek Slaves" Allegation: Colonelcassad posts video claiming a place where "slaves from Uzbekistan" were held near Kyiv has been exposed by the prosecutor's office. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This is an RF IO claim aimed at portraying UAF as involved in human trafficking, likely in response to InformNapalm's report.
RF IO: Colonelcassad posts video of an RF serviceman, identified as "Prorab", recently released from Ukrainian captivity, recounting harsh treatment, minimal food, verbal abuse, and questionable medical care while in UAF hands, juxtaposed with improved treatment by Russian personnel. (FACT, RF CLAIM/IO) This is an explicit RF IO effort to portray UAF as inhumane and RF as humane towards POWs, likely in direct response to UAF's InformNapalm report on POW torture.
RF Destruction of Ukrainian Militants: Colonelcassad posts video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian militants by "Anwar" detachment. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
US Diplomatic Incident: ТАСС reports a car belonging to the US Embassy in Moscow hit a motorcycle, injuring the driver. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian incident with no direct military significance, but potential for diplomatic fallout.
RF TASS Vodolatsky on Youth and Education: ТАСС posts video and text from Viktor Vodolatsky discussing accelerated passport issuance for youth in Donbass and Novorossiya after reunification with RF to facilitate university admissions. He also discusses differing historical experiences and educational opportunities across various Russian regions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a clear RF IO effort to integrate occupied territories and promote national identity through education.
US Senate Bill on Frozen RF Assets: ТАСС reports a group of US senators introduced a bill to transfer frozen RF assets to Kyiv. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued Western legislative efforts to fund Ukraine using RF assets.
RF Weather Forecast: ТАСС reports temperatures will be 5-9 degrees above normal in all federal districts starting Monday. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian weather forecast with no military significance.
Siversk: ТАСС reports RF forces are taking UAF in a "fire bag" in Siversk, citing Marochko. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
RF Army Service: RF Deputy Sergei Gavrilov proposes strengthening the role of military service in calculating civilian insurance pensions, valuing it more than childcare periods. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is an incentive for military service.
Sumy Oblast: Three UAF counterattacks were repelled near Alekseevka and Kondratovka, Sumy Oblast, in the last 24 hours. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued UAF attempts at localized counter-offensives and RF defensive success.
RF Aid to Pokrovsk/Sumy Offensives: Russian military bloggers are collecting and delivering important aid (generators, communications equipment) to RF forces on the Pokrovsk and Sumy directions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This indicates continued reliance on public support networks for frontline supplies.
RF Drone Operations (Zaporizhzhia): TASS reports that "Dnepr" UAVs destroyed three UAF drone crews in Zaporizhzhia, citing an FPV drone operator. (FACT, RF CLAIM) This highlights continued RF anti-drone operations and claims of success.
Strelkov on Catastrophe: Игорь Стрелков (Igor Strelkov) states that the situation is "clearly falling into catastrophe" (СИТУАЦИЯ ЯВНО ВАЛИТСЯ В КАТАСТРОФУ). (FACT, RF-aligned report) This indicates severe internal criticism of RF strategy and operational status from a prominent nationalist.
RF Funding for Paratroopers: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is raising funds for paratroopers. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Economic Offer: TASS reports Alexander Shokhin (Head of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs) stated that RF could offer to use frozen European assets as a contribution to joint Russian-American projects in third countries. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Ground Operations (Berëzovoye): NEW: Воин DV reports "Warriors of Zabaykalye" are completing the liberation of Berëzovoye, with assault troops and drone operators clearing remaining structures and nearby forest belts. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) NEW: Z комитет + карта СВО provides a map and video claiming RF advance in Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk direction, capturing positions and planting RF flags. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Anti-Drone Mobile Units Fundraising: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing fundraising for converting UAZ vehicles into mobile anti-aircraft units ("зенитные расчеты"). The photo messages depict the UAZ vehicles being modified, with mounted heavy machine guns (likely DShK or KPVT variants). The modifications include reinforced beds for weapon mounts, additional storage, and what appears to be basic camouflage. The videos showcase these "technicals" in action, firing their weapons, likely against UAVs, in open, grassy fields. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Fundraising (Slavyansk Direction): NEW: Два майора posts a video appealing for donations for assault troops on the Slavyansk direction. The video features three soldiers with rifles, wearing balaclavas and camouflage, with one soldier having a Russian flag patch. The content emphasizes camaraderie and a call for support for their unit, the "assault brigade of Wolves." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Daily Strike Summary: NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a summary of strikes on enemy targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Air Operations (Kaliningrad): NEW: MoD Russia reports three MiG-31 fighter jets made a scheduled flight from Karelia to Kaliningrad region. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO (Warning): NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts a photo message warning subscribers, especially those from "Sever" Group, about "the enemy" (likely UAF-aligned channels or misinformation). The image shows several Telegram channels, overlaid with a "ВНИМАНИЕ! ЭТО ВРАГ!" (ATTENTION! THIS IS THE ENEMY!) watermark. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO (Propaganda): NEW: Два майора posts a video of "Frontline Poetry," featuring three soldiers in camouflage delivering a patriotic speech. The speech emphasizes defending the homeland, drawing parallels to historical struggles, and invoking a strong sense of nationalistic duty. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Strike Map (Colonelcassad): NEW: Colonelcassad posts an animated map showing alleged routes of RF missiles and UAVs attacking UAF military targets. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Druzhkivka Saboteur Arrest: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports a saboteur disguised in UAF uniform was detained in Druzhkivka. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claim of UAF Positions Destruction (68th ORB): NEW: Народная милиция ДНР posts a video claiming destruction of UAF temporary deployment points (PVD) and shelters by forces of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion (ORB). The video shows aerial footage of a damaged village with smoke plumes and text overlays in Russian indicating targets. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Propaganda on UAF Casualties: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message showing "enemy infographics on night strikes on Kyiv-controlled territory," implying UAF casualties. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Drone Attacks Continued: NEW: Военкор Котенок posts a photo message claiming "Geran" (Shahed) drone attacks continued on UAF-controlled territory in the morning. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF UAV Operator Recruitment: NEW: Fighterbomber posts a recruitment poster for UAV operators for the "Vityaz" Special Purpose Center near Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Narrative on Western Strategy: NEW: Басурин о главном posts a video (Trump speaking) discussing a new strategy of supporting Ukraine with weapons funded by Russian assets instead of NATO membership. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
Kadyrov Trip to Kharkaroy: NEW: Kadyrov_95 posts multiple video messages showcasing a visit to Kharkaroy village, highlighting historical sites and social interactions. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Military Personnel: NEW: «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a photo message with the caption "How to pick on a serviceman," which seems to be an internal RF critique of harassment within the military. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Military Intelligence on NATO: NEW: Kotsnews posts "Western strategy and German fears," implying RF military intelligence analysis of NATO. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Airspace Violation (Estonia): NEW: Рыбарь posts "Flew into Estlandia," confirming the RF MiG-31 violation. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Soldier Refuses Grenade Suicide, Drone Finishes: NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video showing an RF soldier attempting suicide with a grenade but hesitating, followed by a drone strike that "corrected the situation and established justice." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipropetropavsk Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video and photos claiming strikes on "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk, alleging it's used for military vehicle tuning and drone production. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Konstantinovka Civilian Destruction: NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts videos showing widespread destruction of residential buildings in Konstantinovka from shelling or airstrikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Drone Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports six people, including three medics, were injured in Chernihiv Oblast due to a drone attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Berëzovoye Liberation: NEW: Воин DV claims "Vostok" Group liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with aerial footage showing destruction and Russian flags. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
TOS-1A Strike Footage: NEW: MoD Russia posts video of a TOS-1A Solntsepyok heavy flamethrower system striking a hostile reinforced position in Krasnoarmeysk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Kupiansk Direction (Photo): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo with the caption "Kupiansk direction," showing a damaged military vehicle, indicating ongoing combat. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Chronicle of Strikes: NEW: НгП раZVедка posts videos titled "Nightmare of Ukrainian Defense Industry: Chronicle of Strikes," showing large explosions and smoke plumes, likely intended to demonstrate RF effectiveness. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipro Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts videos and photos claiming new footage of strikes on targets in Dnipropetropavsk, specifically "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise, alleging it services military vehicles and produces drones. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Colonelcassad Drone Footage: NEW: Colonelcassad posts thermal/night vision drone footage showing strikes on what are identified as an armored vehicle, munitions depot, and machine gun nest, as well as ground drones and a damaged building. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Uman Trip (Alex Parker Returns): NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts videos of Andrey Matsarevich on "tour" in Uman. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Hospital Stabbing: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports military personnel committed a stabbing in a hospital. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Birthday Greeting (First Channel Deputy Director): Полиция Хабаровского края posts birthday greeting for Kirill Kleimenov, Deputy General Director of First Channel. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Job Vacancy IO: Новости Москвы posts photo message "We've been preparing for these vacancies our whole lives", likely a general job ad, not military. (FACT, RF IO) Confidence: HIGH
RF MoD Briefing. (FACT, RF REPORT, ТАСС) Confidence: HIGH
RF Dnipropetropavsk Damage footage (Rybаr, Colonelcassad): Рыбарь and Colonelcassad post multiple videos showing large fires and smoke plumes in Dnipropetropavsk, with pixelated or night footage of explosions. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Dagestan Flooding: ASTRA posts multiple videos of severe flooding in Makhachkala and Dagestan. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Arestovich Disinfo: Kotsnews posts a photo message mocking Arestovich for "finally choosing a chair" (referring to his political leanings/statements). (FACT, RF IO) Confidence: HIGH
RF Claims Massive Strike on Military-Industrial Complex: Colonelcassad reports RF launched a massive strike with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian military-industrial complex enterprises involved in developing "Sapsan" operational-tactical complexes, and producing multi-purpose strike/reconnaissance UAVs, robotic combat equipment, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Advance Rate Chart (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts a photo of a chart displaying "Change, km²" for 2024 and 2025, likely aiming to demonstrate a positive trend in RF territorial gains. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF MoD Massive Strike: MoD Russia reports a massive strike last night with long-range high-precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian defense industry enterprises developing Sapsan, and producing various UAVs, robotic systems, counter-UAVs, and loitering munitions. (FACT, RF REPORT) This corroborates Colonelcassad's earlier report.
RF Claims Berëzovoye Liberated (RF IO): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts photo/video claiming RF Army liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a significant territorial claim.
Civilian Altercation in Krasnodar (RF): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in Krasnodar, framed with "friendship of peoples" narrative. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian event with no direct military significance.
Konstantinovka Front Map (RF IO): Сливочный каприз posts tactical maps of Konstantinovka - Predtechino, indicating RF control of key settlements and ongoing pressure in the area. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
Konstantinovka Direction Map (RF IO): Z комитет + карта СВО posts tactical maps for the Konstantinovka direction, indicating claimed RF advances and control of key terrain, specifically mentioning Katerynivka. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a new RF IO push on this axis.
Zelenskyy on Peace Talks (RF IO): Alex Parker Returns posts a message quoting Zelenskyy on not considering "Korean" or other peace models, framed as him being a "military dictator" and implying UAF will continue attacks on RF territories, with a warning about historical figures. (FACT, RF IO)
RF Pilots at Work (Video): Colonelcassad posts a video of RF pilots "showing their work," depicting aerial footage of damaged urban areas and an explosion, implying successful RF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Combined Strikes (Басурин о главном): Басурин о главном reports RF army conducted combined strikes overnight against Ukrainian critical military infrastructure targets, using Tu-95 strategic bombers, ballistic and cruise missiles, and over 50 "Geran-2" UAVs. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse: ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with fatalities and injuries. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF Damaged Military Vehicle (Slaviansk): Два майора posts a photo of a damaged military vehicle (light truck/van, extensive damage) with 'A186' markings on the Slaviansk direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This appears to be RF equipment, suggesting tactical losses.
US Senate Proposes Quarterly Transfers of Frozen RF Assets: РБК-Україна reports US Senate proposes quarterly transfers of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant legislative development.
RF Moscow School Collapse (Injured Subcontract Workers): ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with injured subcontract workers. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF IO on US-EU Divisions: ТАСС reports EU countries are unhappy with the US interfering in the community's internal affairs, citing NYT. (FACT, RF REPORT, via NYT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO attempt to highlight divisions between the US and EU.
RF Artillery Strike (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Воин DV posts a video showing a military artillery strike, likely from a self-propelled howitzer or rocket launcher, targeting a location identified by drone footage. The initial frames capture the vehicle preparing to fire in a field, followed by the projectile's impact and subsequent explosions in a populated area, indicated by the drone's aerial view. The drone provides a tactical overview of the strike's effects on the target area. The target appears to be a settlement, with multiple explosions visible within it. The watermarked 'VOINDV' suggests the footage is likely from Ukrainian sources. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This depicts a claimed RF artillery strike in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
RF Special Forces Operations (Thermal Footage): АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a video captured from a drone or other aerial platform, utilizing thermal or night vision. It shows a road or track leading into a partially obscured area, possibly a battlefield or contested zone. Several vehicles are visible in the distance, moving along the path. The primary focus shifts to an armored vehicle, possibly an ATGM-equipped vehicle or a reconnaissance vehicle, which appears to be engaging targets. Text overlays in what seems to be Cyrillic are present on the sides of the screen, likely indicating the origin or unit associated with the footage. The quality is degraded, suggesting it may be re-shared or intentionally obscured. The latter half of the video shows the armored vehicle in closer proximity, confirming its operational status and potential engagement. The initial title screens 'АРКАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА' translate to 'Archangel of Spetsnaz,' indicating Russian special forces. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This depicts RF special forces operations.
RF Ground Offensive (Burnt Forests/Destroyed Vehicles): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video depicting Russian military operations in a heavily wooded area, likely a contested zone. Key visuals include soldiers advancing through burnt forests, destroyed vehicles (a truck and a pickup truck), barbed wire obstacles, and fortified trenches. The presence of anti-personnel mines is explicitly indicated by warning signs and visual confirmation of mine placement. There is evidence of breaching defenses, including the destruction of fortifications and engagement with enemy positions, as indicated by explosions and gunfire. The footage shows both close-up and aerial perspectives, offering a view of ground-level assault and strategic overview. The environment appears to be a battlefield with significant destruction and evidence of recent combat. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a claimed RF ground offensive.
RF Claims UAF S-300PS Destruction (Chernihiv Oblast): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports Russian forces successfully destroyed a UAF S-300PS air defense system near Progress in Chernihiv Oblast using an Iskander missile. The video, captured from a drone using thermal imaging, documents a series of artillery strikes targeting what appear to be Russian military positions. The footage shows multiple explosions and heated areas consistent with active military engagements. The drone maintains a relatively stable vantage point, allowing for observation of the impact zones and the spread of shelling. The thermal signature indicates the intensity and duration of the impacts, providing a clear visual of the effectiveness of the artillery fire. Several distinct impact points are visible, suggesting concentrated fire on specific objectives. The surrounding landscape shows signs of agricultural fields, but the primary focus is on the military activity. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF claim of a successful strike on a high-value UAF target.
UAF Reports RF Missile Hit ATB Warehouse in Dnipro: РБК-Україна posts a photo message reporting a Russian missile hit an ATB warehouse in Dnipro. The image appears to be a still from a video, showing a large building engulfed in flames and thick black smoke rising into the sky. The extent of the fire suggests significant damage to the structure. Emergency services, possibly firefighters, are visible in the foreground, indicating an active response to the incident. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms a significant RF strike on civilian infrastructure.
Armenian PM Disagrees with "Hybrid War" Narrative: Colonelcassad reports Armenian Prime Prime Minister Pashinyan disagrees with statements about Russia allegedly waging a "hybrid war" against Armenia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a geopolitical development related to RF's influence.
Putin Allocates Funds to South Ossetia Schools: ТАСС reports Putin signed an order to allocate funds from his personal reserve fund to help schools in South Ossetia, as announced by Sergey Kiriyenko. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This signals continued RF support for breakaway regions.
RF Denies Estonian Airspace Violation (UAF Counter): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a photo message stating Russia denies its MiG-31 fighters violated Estonian airspace. The image features a map showing the flight path of a MiG-31 across the Baltic Sea and into Estonian airspace, with specific coordinates and a timestamp. The map has arrows indicating movement and labels identifying "Estonian airspace." The overall visual implies a clear violation of sovereign airspace. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF report countering an RF denial.
RF Civilian Dispute (Donbas): NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a shirtless man confronting road workers in Donbas over road repairs. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Decree on Catherine II: NEW: Рыбарь posts a scanned decree from the President of the Russian Federation titled "Catherine II and her heritage." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic political and historical narrative piece with no direct military relevance.
UAF Morale Boost (Usyk): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
Estonian Border Closure Proposal: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Estonia proposes closing its eastern border after the Russian MiG-31 incursion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a direct, diplomatic response by a NATO member to RF actions.
US Murder Investigation (Charlie Kirk): NEW: ТАСС reports NBC News sources state the suspect in Charlie Kirk's murder likely used a Mauser 98 rifle. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an unrelated domestic US crime story.
Moscow School Collapse Update (TASS): NEW: ТАСС posts multiple video and photo messages showing ongoing debris removal and cleanup at the Moscow school collapse site. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides an update on a civilian incident in RF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video): NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.2025): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetrovsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.

UAF Forces:

Defensive Resilience: UAF maintains a strong defensive posture across all major axes, successfully repelling numerous RF assaults and conducting clean-up operations following breakthroughs. The continued defense of Myrnohrad and the counter-offensive in Dobropillya-Pokrovsk demonstrate operational effectiveness and resolve. The extensive damage reported in Dnipro after RF missile and Shahed attacks (A. Biloshitsky, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad videos) highlights the ongoing need for robust air defense and civilian protection. (Confidence: HIGH). Kherson is currently experiencing power outages, indicating direct impact on critical infrastructure. (Confidence: HIGH). Nizhyn Raion, Chernihiv Oblast, again under attack by Russians, highlights persistent threats to northern regions. (Confidence: HIGH). The UAF Prosecutor General's Office documenting mass RF attacks on civilian infrastructure reinforces the scale of the threat and UAF's defensive actions. (Confidence: HIGH). The confirmed casualties (3 dead, 30 injured) from the Dnipro cluster munition strike (РБК-Україна, Сергій Лисак, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сергій Лисак) underscore the severity of the attacks and the ongoing defensive challenges. (Confidence: HIGH). The civilian death in Chernihiv (ASTRA) also emphasizes the human cost. (Confidence: HIGH). The reported six injuries, including three medics, in Chernihiv Oblast due to drone attacks (РБК-Україна) highlight the continued targeting of civilian infrastructure and emergency responders. (Confidence: HIGH). Konstantinovka also experienced widespread residential destruction. (Confidence: HIGH). UAF General Staff reports on active clashes in multiple directions (Liveuamap Source) confirm RF's continued ground offensive. (Confidence: HIGH). Zelenskyy's statements about Russians being destroyed in Kupiansk, with cleanup operations, indicate strong defensive resolve and ongoing efforts. (Confidence: HIGH). Kyiv is currently under an air alert due to UAV threats, demonstrating active defense. (Confidence: HIGH). UAF soldiers evacuating a pregnant woman from a damaged building in Pokrovsk showcases UAF's commitment to protecting civilians amidst conflict. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad posts video showing aftermath of strikes on ATB warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used for military purposes, which is a UAF defensive challenge. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH). Оперативний ЗСУ and Военкор Котенок also post videos of aftermath of strikes on warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, confirming significant damage. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) also claims a missile hit warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH).
Active Counter-Offensive: UAF forces are actively conducting localized counter-offensives, notably in the Dobropillya-Pokrovsk sector (160 sq km liberated, 7 settlements freed). The 1st Assault Regiment's success in "cutting the pincers" near Dobropillya and the 68th Jaeger Brigade's actions near Pokrovsk are notable. (Confidence: HIGH) UAF continue attempts at localized counter-offensives, as indicated by three counterattacks repelled by RF in Sumy Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH) UAF 'SKELYA' regiment claiming 17 RF POWs captured in Pokrovsk and Lyman directions over the past week. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). The GUR reconnaissance operatives' interview claiming to have destroyed aircraft 600 km behind enemy lines demonstrates significant deep offensive capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС's video of drone strikes on RF personnel further illustrates active offensive tactics. (Confidence: HIGH). STERNENKO posts video of Novem Group's "Balista" special unit hunting RF in Kursk direction, showing successful drone strikes on vehicles and tanks, indicating active cross-border counter-offensive operations. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Strategic Deep Strike Capability: UAF has demonstrated effective deep strike capabilities, significantly impacting RF's logistics and fuel supply (Salavat refinery, Saratov refinery) and military infrastructure (Kursk logistics hub, Bohdanivka ammo depot). The successful strike on the Novokuibyshevsk refinery further extends this capability. (Confidence: HIGH) STERNENKO confirms the 14th Separate Regiment of SBS attacked Saratov (1-4) and Novokuibyshevsk (5-6) oil refineries. (FACT, UAF REPORT) UAF General Staff confirms successful strikes on Saratov and Novokuibyshevsk refineries and the Samara oil depot, reinforcing UAF's deep strike capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH). ASTRA confirms UAF attacks on Novokuibyshevsk refinery and LPDPS Samara. (Confidence: HIGH). The GUR reconnaissance operatives' interview claiming to have destroyed aircraft 600 km behind enemy lines behind enemy lines is a significant strategic success. (Confidence: HIGH). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts videos of night strikes by UAF on RF targets, confirming continued deep strike capabilities and successful strikes on various targets. (Confidence: HIGH). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА photo messages with captions implying ongoing strikes on oil refineries further support this assessment. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM). Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming UAF launched 29 strikes on RF oil refineries from August to September, causing gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides clear evidence of significant impact on RF. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This further reinforces UAF's deep strike capabilities.
Advanced Drone Integration and Counter-UAV Capabilities: UAF extensively utilizes FPV and thermal-imaging drones for precision strikes, night operations, and reconnaissance. The plan to field 1000 interceptor drones daily and the development of new long-range strike drones (D4) and "Flamingo" missiles signifies a strategic scaling of both offensive and defensive drone capabilities. Successful interceptions of RF Molniya UAVs (Sumy, Zaporizhzhia) are evident. DSHV acknowledges FPV drones as a dangerous threat, indicating efforts to develop countermeasures. UAF Marine Corps destroyed 4 Shaheds. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). UAF Air Force confirms 583 enemy targets shot down/suppressed overnight, indicating high readiness and effectiveness of air defense. (Confidence: HIGH). STERNENKO posts video of a Shahed being intercepted by a drone-interceptor, highlighting successful anti-drone operations. (Confidence: HIGH). UAF drone intercepts RF soldier attempting suicide, highlighting UAF drone effectiveness in tactical engagements. (Confidence: HIGH). Zelenskyy's discussion with Poland and Romania on drone interception highlights a proactive approach to enhancing air defense in western regions. (Confidence: HIGH). Zelenskyy also stated UAF is forming separate drone assault troops indicating strategic integration. (Confidence: HIGH). The UAF General Staff training for unmanned systems operators (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ) reflects the investment in human capital for these specialized systems. (Confidence: HIGH). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts, which are targets for UAF air defense. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). ASTRA reports Zelenskyy discussing drone interceptions with Poland and Romania, confirming successful diplomatic coordination. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH).
Special Operations Force (SOF) Effectiveness: The GUR "Viking" unit's raid on Tendra Spit and SSO's anti-infiltration operations highlight effective SOF capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH) The GUR reconnaissance operatives' interview claiming to have destroyed aircraft 600 km behind enemy lines is a strong indicator of advanced SOF capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH).
Training and Personnel Readiness: Continued training of cadets and the DPSA's participation in drone projects indicate ongoing efforts to maintain personnel readiness and develop specialized skills. The 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade's video showcasing physical and psychological training for recruits reinforces UAF's commitment to combat readiness. (Confidence: HIGH). UAF General Staff's posts on combat readiness, including living conditions, highlight continued focus on troop welfare and long-term sustainment. (Confidence: HIGH). The Zaporizhzhia OMA's invitation to participate in basic combined-arms training (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) indicates a recognition of the need for broader defensive capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH). Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video showcasing Ukrainian Marines training in a forest environment, utilizing night vision goggles and advanced camouflage techniques, indicating high readiness and specialized training. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Logistical Protection and Infrastructure Repair: The construction of anti-drone tunnels in Zaporizhzhia Oblast reflects an adaptation to protect logistics from RF aerial threats. (Confidence: HIGH) The "Rubizh" Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine fundraising for equipment restoration highlights ongoing logistical and resource requirements for UAF units. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Air Defense Response: UAF air defense has demonstrated significant success in intercepting RF UAVs and missiles, as evidenced by the high number of shoot-downs. 39 drones shot down over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. However, the persistent missile and drone threats to major cities highlight the need for continued, robust air defense systems. The claim that the US refuses to sell Patriot SAMs is a critical constraint. UAF Air Force, Operational ZSU, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS all report 583 enemy targets shot down/suppressed overnight. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). UAF Air Force reports active enemy tactical aviation in the Azov Sea, indicating a continued need for air defense vigilance. (Confidence: HIGH). Kyiv has received an all-clear from the air raid threat. (Confidence: HIGH). Zelenskyy discussing drone interception with Poland/Romania indicates proactive and successful coordination efforts. (Confidence: HIGH). Zaporizhzhia Oblast also reports an all-clear. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). РБК-Україна reports again working air defense on enemy drones in Kyiv Oblast, confirming ongoing active defense. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Civilian Resilience: Continued civilian activity and infrastructure reconstruction, as seen in Kryvyi Rih and Kharkiv, reflect an ongoing commitment to normalcy and resilience under fire. (Confidence: HIGH) The celebration of a sumo world champion from Zaporizhzhia (Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація) is a morale-boosting civilian event. (Confidence: HIGH). The video from Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" showing civilians chanting "Slava Ukraini" amidst military presence demonstrates strong civilian morale and national pride. (Confidence: HIGH). Mash на Донбассе posts video of a blacksmith festival in Donetsk, highlighting cultural resilience under occupation. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
International Support Coordination: The welcoming of the SAG-U delegation in Kyiv by the General Staff indicates ongoing and high-level coordination for security assistance. (Confidence: HIGH)
Czech Support: Czech Republic's symbolic protest around the RF embassy, naming streets after "enemies of the Kremlin," demonstrates international solidarity and psychological pressure on RF. (Confidence: HIGH).
RF Casualties Identified: Оперативний ЗСУ posts photo messages stating "finally everyone is assembled and identified," likely referring to the identification of RF casualties, which is a UAF BDA success. (Confidence: HIGH).
Internal Support: Dnipropetropavsk ODA posts about systemic state and regional support for defense and security forces, indicating continued internal efforts to sustain the military. (Confidence: HIGH). The "Rubizh" Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine fundraising for equipment restoration highlights continued internal support and community engagement. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Command Control Measures: Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts a photo message warning against public statements by unauthorized individuals, demonstrating effective command control in managing information flow and maintain unit cohesion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH). Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that families of captured and missing servicemen are often targeted by malicious actors, including enemy intelligence, with false promises and threats. They warn against cooperation, stating it leads to becoming a "disposable agent." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights a significant counter-intelligence and psychological warfare threat against UAF families.
Civilian Event (Morale/Resilience): Олександр Вілкул posts multiple photo messages showcasing a civilian running event. While not military activity, such public events can be indicators of civilian morale and resilience in supporting a national identity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Usyk Morale Boost: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video): NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.2025): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetrovsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.

1.4. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations (Confidence: HIGH)

Overnight Drone Interceptions (UAF Report): UAF Air Force reports 71 RF UAVs shot down or suppressed overnight. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Dnipropetropavsk Oblast reports 39 drones shot down overnight (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Chernihiv Oblast: Multiple groups of RF attack UAVs detected heading towards Chernihiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) UAF Air Force reports attack UAVs near Chernihiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports explosions in Chernihiv, stating the city is under attack by "reactive Shaheds." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Konotop (Sumy Oblast): RF sources claim "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes in Konotop. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Donetsk Oblast: UAF Air Force warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district): UAF Air Force warns of aerial attack means (КАБ) launched in the region. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast: UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV approaching Sumy, with countermeasures underway. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports attack UAVs in the direction of Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Belgorod Oblast: Sever.Realii reports two people injured after drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Poltava Oblast: UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV in Poltava district. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of attack UAVs in Poltava Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports a large group of "Shaheds" in Poltava Oblast, with threats elsewhere. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Air Alert (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): An air raid alert has been declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). All-clear issued (FACT, UAF REPORT). UAF Zaporizhzhia OMA confirms an air raid alert has been declared. (FACT, UAF REPORT) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an alert. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Guided Aerial Bombs (Donetsk Oblast): UAF Air Force warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Oblast & Pavlohrad (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Colonelcassad posts videos claiming to show successful RF strikes on targets. (FACT, RF CLAIM).
Ukraine-wide Drone Attacks: RF sources (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) claim drone strikes across Ukraine, with footage showing aerial explosions and falling debris over an urban area (likely Kyiv). (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Kharkiv Oblast: Deterioration of weather expected in Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This implies potential impact on air reconnaissance and drone operations in the near term.
Uman (Cherkasy Oblast): Video of people, including Jewish individuals, walking on a street with "Slava Ukraini" and "Putin kaput" audio. While not a direct military event, it indicates public sentiment and potentially local impact of the conflict in Uman. (FACT, UAF-aligned report)
Northern Chernihiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports UAV activity heading west in northern Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast: UAF Air Force reports КАБ launches towards Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Western Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an RF UAV heading south in western Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
All Clear: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports the all clear. (FACT, UAF REPORT) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an update on UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches towards Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Donetsk Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of КАБ launches towards Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ launches on Donetsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv Oblast (Vyshhorodskyi district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the Vyshhorodskyi district, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Ukraine Weather Forecast: РБК-Україна reports a weather forecast for tomorrow (September 20) of up to +27°C, with light rain in some places. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates generally favorable weather conditions for the next 24 hours.
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district): UAF Air Force warns of the threat of enemy aviation-launched munitions. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Air Alert (Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson, Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts): UAF Air Force issued an air raid alert for Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson, and Dnipropetropavsk Oblasts due to UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF aerial reconnaissance and attack drone deployments.
Nizhyn District (Chernihiv Oblast) & Vyshhorodskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy UAVs in Nizhynskyi district (Chernihiv Oblast) and Vyshhorodskyi district (Kyiv Oblast). (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity in northern Ukraine.
Kharkiv City Area: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV near Kharkiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts around the city.
Kyiv City & Regions: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) and Оперативний ЗСУ report an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the threat of ballistic missiles from Bryansk. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates an immediate, high-level threat to the capital and surrounding areas.
Sumy Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target on Sumy Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a potential missile or fast-moving drone threat.
Kyiv Oblast: РБК-Україна reports explosions in various parts of Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms ongoing RF strikes in the region.
Sumy (Drone Interceptions): STERNENKO reports 20 "Molniya" enemy drones shot down over Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates a successful UAF air defense response.
Ballistic Missile Threat Lifts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat of ballistic missile use has been lifted. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Western Chernihiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports RF attack UAVs in Western Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest, towards Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates a direct threat to the capital.
Cherkasy Oblast (Zolotoniskyi district): UAF Air Force reports an RF UAV in Zolotoniskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates continued RF drone penetration into central Ukraine.
Eastern Kharkiv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports a group of RF attack UAVs in eastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT). This indicates ongoing drone activity targeting Kharkiv.
Pavlohrad District (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of attack UAVs in Pavlohradskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity in the area.
Animated Strike Map: Colonelcassad posts an animated map showing alleged routes of RF missiles and UAVs attacking UAF military targets, differentiating between Geran/Gerber drones and UMPK munitions, and indicating flight paths and bombing areas. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Hajove (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic missile threat on Hajove. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Cherkasy Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports attack UAVs over Cherkasy, instructing residents to take shelter. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports enemy drones over Cherkasy, Poltava, and Kremenchuk. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Kryvyi Rih/Nikopolshchyna): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of attack UAVs in Kryvyi Rih and Nikopolshchyna districts. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Boryspil District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in Boryspil district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy (UAV threat): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV near Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Obukhivskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in Obukhivskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy Oblast (КАБ launches): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ launches on Sumy Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Tambov Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on aircraft arrivals and departures at Tambov airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is likely a response to drone threats, though unspecified. LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
Uman (Drone activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone in the direction of Uman. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Haisyn (Drone activity):: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy drones in Haisynskyi district, Vinnytsia Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Oblast (Drone activity):: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on flights at Saratov airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
РБК-Україна reports new data on RF drone movement in the west of Donetsk Oblast, heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, with a photo message. (FACT, UAF REPORT).
Оперативний ЗСУ reports drones have entered with "zero reaction." (FACT, UAF REPORT) This is a concerning, unverified report that needs immediate clarification.
Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in western Donetsk Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone flying towards Dnipro from the north. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Saratov Refinery Strike: Оперативний ЗСУ reports a high probability that the Saratov oil refinery was hit based on open sources. (FACT, UAF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports unknown drones attacked Saratov, causing a fire. (FACT, UAF REPORT) ASTRA reports residents of Saratov report explosions and fire. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Ulyanovsk Airport Restrictions: ТАСС reports temporary restrictions on aircraft arrivals and departures at Ulyanovsk airport. (FACT, RF REPORT) LIFTED (FACT, RF REPORT)
UAV Information Update: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an update on UAV activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This confirms ongoing RF drone activity.
New UAV Group in Northern Kharkiv: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a new group of UAVs in northern Kharkiv Oblast, heading south. (FACT, UAF REPORT) This indicates continued RF drone activity targeting Kharkiv.
Black Sea Drone Activity: РБК-Україна reports UAF Air Force detects drones in the Black Sea, heading south to Odesa Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Lyman Direction: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports UAVs heading to Lyman. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Vyshhorodskyi District (Kyiv Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Vyshhorodskyi district, Kyiv Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Poltava Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports striking UAVs near Poltava. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv Oblast (Eastern): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of striking UAVs on eastern Mykolaiv Oblast, heading west and towards Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Samar/Dnipro): Николаевский Ванёк reports a total of 13 "mopeds" (drones) heading towards/through Samar/Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Brovarskyi district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of striking UAVs in Brovarskyi district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (UAV activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs over Dnipro and approaching the city. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (UAV activity): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a striking UAV in the direction of Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Capital Direction): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV in the direction of the capital. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Drone Threat): РБК-Україна reports a drone is flying towards Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Synelnykove): Николаевский Ванёк reports an additional 5 "mopeds" from Synelnykove. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad/Boguslav/Ternovka (UAV activity): Николаевский Ванёк reports 13 "mopeds" near Pavlohrad/Boguslav/Ternovka, warning of potential loud noises. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (UAV Group): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of UAVs heading towards Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Boryspil district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of striking UAVs in Boryspil district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Massive Attack): Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv is under massive attack, even before drones arrived. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Rocket Activity):: Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 drone over Raketka, and 4 from Shevchenkove towards Korabelny district. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Updates): Николаевский Ванёк reports 4 "mopeds" from Voskresenske entering Raketka. 14 "mopeds" still over Dnipro from Synelnikove, Samara, and Pavlohrad, with ~3 entering Dnipro from the north. 1 drone flying towards YuTZ (Yuzhny Turbozavod). (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Interceptions): Николаевский Ванёк reports the first wave of "mopeds" was intercepted in Mykolaiv, "you all heard it yourselves." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Drone Count Reduced): Николаевский Ванёк reports the number of "mopeds" over Dnipro has decreased to 9. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Drone Movement): Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 more drone from Pravdyne towards Korabelny district, and 1 drone from this wave turned towards Varvarivsky Bridge. 2 drones heading towards Kulbakino. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro/Mykolaiv (UAV Attack): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs continuing attacks on Dnipro and Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Explosions): РБК-Україна reports explosions again in Dnipro. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
- UPDATED DNIPRO: Videos and photo messages depict aftermath in Dnipropetropavsk (Dnipro) after a massive night strike, with large industrial areas engulfed in thick, dark smoke. (FACT, RF REPORT, UAF REPORT) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of residential building damage in Dnipro, confirming one dead and 13 injured. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic threat from Taganrog. РБК-Україна reports ballistic threat for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, citing OMA. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv (Air Alert/Ballistic Threat): КМВА and РБК-Україна report air alert in Kyiv, with КМВА specifying due to ballistic missile threat. Повітряні Силі ЗС України confirms ballistic weapon threat. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Sumy (UAVs): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in northern Sumy Oblast, heading towards Sumy. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Crimea (Feodosia Explosions): ASTRA reports residents of Feodosia in annexed Crimea report explosions. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Dnipro (Drone Count/Ballistic): Николаевский Ванёк reports 4 "mopeds" over Dnipro. Николаевский Ванёк also reports ballistic threat on Ternivka (Dnipropetropavsk Oblast)/Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (Ballistic Threat):: Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic threat for Dnipropetropavsk Oblast is current. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Pavlohrad!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic Threat): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Rocket Strikes): Николаевский Ванёк reports "2 missiles on Korabelny district of Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Pavlohrad (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Pavlohrad. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated Explosions): РБК-Україна reports repeated explosions in Mykolaiv, citing Suspilne. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated High-Speed Target): РБК-Україна reports another high-speed target on Pavlohrad and Mykolaiv, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv, приготовились (prepare). (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone flying over Raketka towards YuTZ. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports "услышали, минус" (heard it, down). (FACT, UAF REPORT). РБК-Україна reports an explosion again in Mykolaiv, citing Mayor Senkevich. (FACT, UAF REPORT). Николаевский Ванёк reports a drone near Raketka, also flying towards YuTZ. (FACT, UAF REPORT). These indicate continued, intense, and contested drone activity over Mykolaiv, with UAF claiming successful interceptions amidst ongoing strikes.
Mykolaiv (Multiple Impacts): Николаевский Ванёк reports "2 impacts in the city." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Novokuibyshevsk, Samara Oblast (RF Explosions): ASTRA reports residents of Novokuibyshevsk in Samara Oblast report numerous explosions. (FACT, RF REPORT) РБК-Україна reports Russians complain about explosions in Novokuibyshevsk (Samara Oblast), with video showing multiple explosions over a city at night. (FACT, UAF REPORT, via Russian complaints) CONFIRMED BY ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic from Crimea): Николаевский Ванёк reports "another ballistic launch from Crimea." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (YuTZ area): Николаевский Ванёк reports Mykolaiv, YuTZ area. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Ballistic on Korabelny/Inhulskyi districts): Николаевский Ванёк reports "ballistics on Korabelny/Inhulskyi districts of Mykolaiv!" (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (High-Speed Target): Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports a high-speed target on Mykolaiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Repeated High-Speed Target): РБК-Україна reports another high-speed target on Mykolaiv, citing UAF Air Force. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Mykolaiv (Raketka area): Николаевский Ванёк reports "this one was already in the direction of Raketka." (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipro (Massive Strike): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports a massive strike on enemy targets in Dnipropetropavsk, with huge fires in the city, accompanied by videos and photos. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv All Clear: Kyiv City Military Administration has announced the all-clear for Kyiv. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Zaporizhzhia All Clear: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has announced the all-clear. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Overnight Combined Attack: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports a new combined strike on enemy targets by RF forces last night. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Drone Operations (Video): Colonelcassad posts video showing various combat engagements, primarily from a drone's perspective, highlighting destruction of enemy assets, including personnel, armored vehicles, aircraft/drones, antennas, mortars, and artillery. (FACT, RF REPORT)
RF Attacked Saratov Residential Buildings (RF Claim): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims UAF attacked multi-story buildings in Saratov overnight, injuring a woman, with videos showing damaged buildings and a drone. (FACT, RF CLAIM)
Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) Drone Activity: NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs approaching Desna (Chernihiv Oblast) from east, north, and west. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
UAF General Staff (VDNH Garden): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photo messages regarding planting over 12,000 plants in the Therapeutic Garden at VDNH, reported by the Ministry of Veterans Affairs. This is a civilian morale-boosting and veteran support initiative. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Tactical Aviation Activity (Azov Sea): UAF Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the Azov Sea. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Solar Flare: NEW: ТАСС reports a powerful solar flare (second to last class) was recorded on the Sun on the night of September 20. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Dnipropetropavsk Strikes: NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video and photos claiming strikes on "Agro-Soyuz" enterprise in Dnipropetropavsk, alleging it's used for military vehicle tuning and drone production. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
Konstantinovka Civilian Destruction: NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts videos showing widespread destruction of residential buildings in Konstantinovka from shelling or airstrikes. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Chernihiv Drone Casualties: NEW: РБК-Україна reports six people, including three medics, were injured in Chernihiv Oblast due to a drone attack. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Berëzovoye Liberation: NEW: Воин DV claims "Vostok" Group liberated Berëzovoye, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with aerial footage showing destruction and Russian flags. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
European Airport Cyberattack: NEW: РБК-Україна reports cyberattack caused disruptions at European airports with possible flight delays. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Checkpoint Scanning: Kotsnews video shows officials observing vehicles passing through a scanning checkpoint in "Nizhny Zaramag" on the border of North and South Ossetia. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
RF Video: "Faith on the SVO": АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА and Старше Эдды post videos on "Faith on the SVO", featuring soldiers, military vehicles, and religious themes. (FACT, RF REPORT) Confidence: HIGH
UAF General Staff operational update for 20.09.25 06:00. (FACT, UAF REPORT, Liveuamap Source) Confidence: HIGH
Kyiv Air Alert (UAV): КМВА and РБК-Україна report an air alert in Kyiv due to the threat of enemy attack UAVs. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Kyiv UAV Activity: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV over Kyiv, with possible air defense activity. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
Dnipropetropavsk Aviation Munitions Threat: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation-launched munitions in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
European Airport Cyberattack (ASTRA): ASTRA reports a large-scale cyberattack caused flight cancellations and delays at airports in Berlin, London, and Brussels. (FACT, ASTRA REPORT)
RF Pilots at Work (Video): Colonelcassad posts a video of RF pilots "showing their work," depicting aerial footage of damaged urban areas and an explosion, implying successful RF strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Kyiv Air Threat Persists: КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports the air threat to Kyiv persists. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Combined Strikes (Басурин о главном): Басурин о главном reports RF army conducted combined strikes overnight against Ukrainian critical military infrastructure targets, using Tu-95 strategic bombers, ballistic and cruise missiles, and over 50 "Geran-2" UAVs. (FACT, RF REPORT)
Moscow School Collapse: ТАСС reports building structures collapsed in a school in eastern Moscow, with fatalities and injuries. (FACT, RF REPORT) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
Zelenskyy on Joint Air Defense with Poland/Romania (UAF IO): РБК-Україна posts a photo message quoting Zelenskyy about joint air defense with Poland and Romania for intercepting aerial targets over Ukraine, stating he doesn't count on others. (FACT, UAF REPORT)
RF Moscow School Collapse Fatalities Confirmed: ТАСС confirms two workers died under the rubble of the Moscow school collapse. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Military Blogger's Desire for Strikes: Рыбарь expresses a desire for "more like these," implying desire for successful strikes. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This is likely a general statement of support for RF military action.
RF Dnipropetropavsk Damage Footage: Colonelcassad posts multiple videos of Dnipropetropavsk (Dnipro) not sleeping, with large fires and destruction, specifically identifying a building as 'ХДНІПРО'. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous reports of mass strikes.
RF Samara Oblast Drone Attack Fatalities Corroborated: Военкор Котенок reports 4 deaths in Samara Oblast from drone attacks. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates TASS.
RF Drone Activity in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAVs in Sumy and Odesa Oblasts. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
Zelenskyy and Poland/Romania Drone Interceptions: ASTRA reports Zelenskyy discussing drone interceptions with Poland and Romania, citing Ukrainian media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): ТАСС reports Vyacheslav Volodin states migrants should not bring families to Russia. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement.
RF Morale Boosting: Fighterbomber posts a morale-boosting photo message with the caption "Аж слеза навернулась..." (A tear rolled down...). (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of "Svyatogor" Successes: Воин DV posts video claiming "Svyatogor" continues to work on Kupiansk and other directions, showing drone destruction of enemy assets, including a robotic platform and an ammunition depot, and thermal imagery of UAF militants. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates claimed RF success in disrupting UAF logistics and engaging personnel.
RF IO on UAF Missing Personnel: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message claiming Ukrainian public pages are forbidden from publishing posts about missing military personnel. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
US Bill on Frozen Russian Assets: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts that a US bill has been introduced to regularly transfer frozen Russian assets to Ukraine. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Claims of Military Use of ATB Warehouses: Colonelcassad posts video showing aftermath of strikes on ATB warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used for military purposes. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF IO on Female Population Share: Новости Москвы posts a photo message claiming Russia is first in the world for female population share. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF Confirms ATB Warehouse Hit: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming enemy missiles hit ATB warehouse in Dnipro, citing local media. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the target and impact.
RF Cultural Event in Donetsk: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a blacksmith festival in Donetsk, showcasing cultural resilience. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
EU Sanctions Package Exclusion (Oil): ТАСС reports the new EU sanctions package will not include restrictions on Russian oil purchases, citing Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Social Issues (St. Petersburg Altercation): Alex Parker Returns posts video of a civilian altercation in St. Petersburg, linked to a "Friendship of Peoples" community, with a call to check for extremism. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights internal social issues in RF.
Polish Servicemen Death (US Exercise): Colonelcassad reports the mysterious death of two Polish servicemen during night parachute exercises in the US. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an external military incident impacting a NATO member.
RF Claims of Military Use of Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Военкор Котенок posts video of aftermath of strike on warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk, claiming they were used by UAF. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates previous RF claims.
RF Denies Estonian Airspace Violation: РБК-Україна reports Russia denies its MiG-31 fighters violated Estonian airspace. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Internal Security (Fraud Arrest): ТАСС reports an accomplice of Ukrainian phone fraudsters, who stole over 10 million rubles from Russians, was arrested in Moscow. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This relates to RF internal security.
RF IO on Kerch Status: Старше Эдды posts photo message claiming Kerch is officially recognized as the ancient city of Russia. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an IO attempt to legitimize the occupation of Crimea.
RF Drone Footage in Sumy-Kondratovka: Сливочный каприз posts video showing drone footage with smoke plumes in Sumy - Kondratovka area, possibly indicating military activity. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: MEDIUM)
RF Claims Missile Hit Dnipropetropavsk Warehouses (Corroboration): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video claiming a missile hit warehouses in Dnipropetropavsk. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other reports of strikes.
RF Domestic Policy (Medical Student Employment): ТАСС reports the conclusion of targeted training contracts guarantees employment for medical students. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy message aiming to secure a future medical workforce and promote stability.
UAF Deep Strikes on RF Refineries (Confirmed Impact): Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming UAF launched 29 strikes on RF oil refineries from August to September, causing gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia due to lack of air defense and mobile anti-drone groups. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a significant impact of UAF deep strikes on RF energy infrastructure and a perceived vulnerability in RF air defense.
Frozen Russian Assets Transfer Mechanism: ТАСС reports that the mechanism for transferring frozen Russian assets as a loan to Kyiv needs further development and will take weeks, as stated by European Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights ongoing international discussions and potential complexities in providing financial aid to Ukraine.
RF Military Recruitment Advertisement: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts a recruitment advertisement for Russian contract military service, highlighting a salary of 5.5 million rubles for the first year and professional training. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms RF's ongoing efforts to attract personnel and boost military strength.
RF Airborne Forces Fundraising: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a message about fundraising for airborne forces. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued reliance on public support for military funding.
RF Vehicle Modifications (Armor): Два майора posts a video showcasing a modified Russian military truck with added cage-like protection, thanking "Armor 31" and "Two Majors" for providing armor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights adaptation of military vehicles and volunteer support.
RF Geopolitical IO (Turkey, Russia, China Alliance): Рыбарь posts a photo message claiming a Turkish party leader proposed a Turkey, Russia, and China alliance against the US and Israel. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece attempting to portray geopolitical shifts.
RF MoD Summary (Sep 20, 2025): Colonelcassad reports the Russian Ministry of Defense's summary of the special military operation as of September 20, 2025. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an official RF report.
RF Drone Activity in Northern Chernihiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports enemy UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued RF drone activity.
RF Migration Policy (Volodin): Старше Эдды posts that State Duma Chairman Vyacheslav Volodin supported the Ministry of Economic Development on labor migration: work, then leave, no family transport. Also, that this would allow attracting qualified workers globally. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic policy statement regarding labor migration.
RF Claims UAF S-300PS Destruction: ТАСС posts a video claiming an Iskander OTRK crew destroyed UAF S-300PS air defense positions in Chernihiv Oblast. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims a successful RF strike on a high-value UAF target.
Pentagon on RF MiG Incursion: Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Pentagon called Russian MiG incursions into Estonian airspace deliberate, with planes staying over 20 minutes with transponders off and no communication. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms the severity of the airspace violation.
Map of RF MiG Incursion: РБК-Україна posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This visualizes the airspace violation.
RF IO on Yushchenko: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece portraying extreme Ukrainian positions.
RF Claims Control of Melovoye and Velikoburlukskoye Direction: Z комитет + карта СВО posts multiple photo messages with maps claiming control of Melovoye and detailing the Velikoburlukskoye direction. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF claims of territorial gains.
Moscow School Collapse Photos: ТАСС posts photo messages of the situation at a school in eastern Moscow where building structures collapsed. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian infrastructure incident.
RF IO on Romanian Energy Project: Colonelcassad posts a photo message stating Romania risks halting the Neptun Deep project, considered a key EU alternative to Russian gas. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights potential European energy vulnerabilities.
RF IO on Yushchenko (Derogatory): Военкор Котенок posts a video of former Ukrainian President Yushchenko demanding an advance on Moscow, framing him as a "Banderalog" (derogatory term). (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This reinforces RF propaganda.
RF IO on Poles (Stereotype): НгП раZVедка posts a photo message with the caption "Poles, alcohol is a great evil." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece seemingly targeting Poland with negative stereotypes.
Samara Oblast Governor Denial of Resignation: ТАСС reports the press service of the Samara Oblast governor denied the resignation of Vyacheslav Fedorishchev, stating the governor is on a business trip. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This addresses a local political rumor.
STERNENKO Map of RF MiG Incursion: STERNENKO posts a map showing the trajectory of Russian MiG-31s entering Estonian territory. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates other UAF reports.
Belgorod Oblast Drone Attack Injury: ASTRA reports one person was injured after a Ukrainian drone attack in Belgorod Oblast, citing the governor. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms a UAF strike on RF territory and resulting casualties.
UAF Warning to POW Families: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that families of captured and missing servicemen are often targeted by malicious actors, including enemy intelligence, with false promises and threats. They warn against cooperation, stating it leads to becoming a "disposable agent." (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This highlights a significant counter-intelligence and psychological warfare threat against UAF families.
RF Drone Activity in Southeastern Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an enemy UAV in southeastern Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing RF drone reconnaissance or attack attempts.
New Drone Threat (Kremenchuk): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV heading towards Kremenchuk from the northeast. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a new drone threat.
RF Drone Attack on Samara Energy Infrastructure: Colonelcassad reports Ukrainian drones attacked energy infrastructure facilities in Samara Oblast, citing Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This confirms UAF deep strike actions.
UAF Deep Strike on Oil Pumping Stations: NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a continuation of UAF deep strike capabilities targeting RF energy infrastructure.
RF Propaganda on Estonia: NEW: Janus Putkonen (RF-aligned source) posts photo message claiming "Air-powerless Latvia demands NATO member states with air power shoot down Russian military aircraft based on unsubstantiated allegations of airspace violations." (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a direct RF IO response to the Estonian airspace violation, aiming to delegitimize NATO's response.
RF Civilian Dispute (Donbas): NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts video of a shirtless man confronting road workers in Donbas over road repairs. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Decree on Catherine II: NEW: Рыбарь posts a scanned decree from the President of the Russian Federation titled "Catherine II and her heritage." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic political and historical narrative piece with no direct military relevance.
UAF Morale Boost (Usyk): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk sending support to UAF paratroopers. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant morale-boosting message for UAF.
Estonian Border Closure Proposal: NEW: РБК-Україна reports Estonia proposes closing its eastern border after the Russian MiG-31 incursion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates a direct, diplomatic response by a NATO member to RF actions.
US Murder Investigation (Charlie Kirk): NEW: ТАСС reports NBC News sources state the suspect in Charlie Kirk's murder likely used a Mauser 98 rifle. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an unrelated domestic US crime story.
Moscow School Collapse Update (TASS): NEW: ТАСС posts multiple video and photo messages showing ongoing debris removal and cleanup at the Moscow school collapse site. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides an update on a civilian incident in RF.
RF Claims Pentagon to Halt Aid to Baltic States (RF IO): NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the Pentagon will halt aid to Baltic states and NATO members bordering Russia, citing Reuters. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aiming to sow discord within NATO and undermine confidence in US support.
UAF FPV Drone Strikes on RF Personnel (Video): NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video claiming FPV drone operators of the FATUM 60th Mechanized Infantry Brigade are effectively destroying RF infantry and positions. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates continued UAF tactical success with drones.
RF Artillery Strikes on UAF Positions (Video): NEW: WarGonzo posts video claiming "Finik" and "Dentist" are effectively destroying UAF manpower and positions near Orikhiv. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This claims RF tactical success through artillery.
RF Claims Planned Territorial Gains South/Southeast of Konstantinovka: NEW: Colonelcassad reports ongoing systematic occupation of territories south and southeast of Konstantinovka. (FACT, RF CLAIM) (Confidence: MEDIUM) This indicates continued RF offensive pressure in this area.
RF Central Bank Statement on Key Rate: NEW: ТАСС reports the Central Bank does not rule out the key rate reaching a single-digit value by end of 2026. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an economic statement with no direct military relevance.
RF General Staff Operational Update (16:00 20.09.2025): NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts operational information as of 16:00 20.09.2025 regarding the Russian invasion. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This provides a new, comprehensive UAF assessment of the battlefield.
RF Claims Discrimination/Violence in UAF (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном posts a political cartoon claiming discrimination and violence in UAF due to Russophobia: "Speak Russian? To the pit!". (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece targeting UAF internal cohesion and international perception.
RF Manpower Shortages (UAF CPD Report): NEW: РБК-Україна reports Russia no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD). (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a significant assessment of RF personnel challenges.
RF Plans to Intensify Kyiv Attacks, Trump Inaction (UAF IO): NEW: STERNENKO posts a photo message claiming Putin decided he can intensify attacks on Kyiv and Trump will not act, citing Bloomberg. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a UAF IO piece aimed at highlighting perceived RF intentions and potential US policy.
RF Photos from Dnipropetrovsk Direction (Unverified): NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts multiple photo messages with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," without clear content for analysis. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: LOW) These are unverified visual reports.
RF Figure Skater Qualifies for Olympics: NEW: ТАСС reports Russian figure skater Adeliya Petrosyan qualified for the Olympics in Italy. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a civilian event with no military significance.
RF Security Forces Shaming Chechens for Recruitment (RF Opposition): NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts a photo message claiming security forces are blackmailing Chechens to recruit "volunteers." (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates coercive RF recruitment practices.
US Suspending Patriot Sales (Corroborated): NEW: Colonelcassad reports the US will no longer sell Patriot air defense systems, citing The Atlantic. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This corroborates the earlier STERNENKO report from a neutral/RF-aligned source.
Estonian Ambassador on Air Defense Capabilities (RF IO): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Estonia could not shoot down Russian fighter jets like Turkey in 2015 because Estonia lacks aircraft, citing Estonian Ambassador to Ukraine Anneli Kolk. (FACT, RF IO) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece exploiting NATO capability gaps.
RF Pension Increase (TASS): NEW: Басурин о главном reports Russian pensions increased by 344 rubles since the beginning of the year, averaging 23,519 rubles. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is a domestic economic message.
RF Humanitarian Operations (DNR): NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА posts video with the caption "#HumanFate #DNR," likely a humanitarian or social project in occupied territories. (FACT, RF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This is an RF IO piece aimed at portraying benevolent actions.
UAF Operations on Kursk Direction (Video): NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts video claiming Novem Group's "Balista" special unit continues to hunt occupiers on the Kursk direction. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This indicates ongoing UAF cross-border operations.

2.1. Enemy capabilities, intentions, and courses of action (Confidence: HIGH)

Capabilities:

Enhanced Missile and Drone Arsenal (HIGH): RF possesses a large and expanding arsenal of cruise missiles, ballistic missiles (including Iskander-M/KN-23), and a massive fleet of attack UAVs (Shaheds, Gerans). New "Sapsan" operational-tactical complexes and focus on unguided aerial bomb production (for UMPK glide kits) indicate continuous development and deployment of strike capabilities. The large number of UAVs intercepted (71-149) suggests a high volume of concurrent attacks. RF claims of striking UAF military-industrial facilities (e.g., "Sapsan" development, UAV production) highlight their strategic targeting capabilities.
Persistent Ground Offensive Capacity (HIGH): RF maintains the capacity for multi-axis ground offensives, particularly on the Kupiansk, Lyman, Pokrovsk, and Novopavlivka axes. The confirmed capture of Novoiivanivka and credible claims of Serebryansky forestry, Melovoye, and Berëzovoye, coupled with intense fighting across numerous directions, demonstrate continued offensive momentum and ability to execute local advances. The deployment of UGVs ("Kurier," "Fagot") and the use of TOS-1A flamethrowers indicate specialized assault capabilities.
Deep Strike and ISR-Strike Link (HIGH): RF continues to demonstrate a strong deep strike capability, targeting UAF logistics, command posts, and now allegedly military-industrial complex facilities. The animated map showing missile and UAV routes reinforces their ability to conduct coordinated, multi-vector strikes. This is complemented by persistent ISR, as evidenced by drone footage of UAF positions and subsequent strikes.
Special Forces and Infiltration (MEDIUM): RF has demonstrated continued, albeit limited, special forces and infiltration capabilities (e.g., claimed soldier operating behind lines in Muravka, DRG destruction near Tetkino, alleged infiltration in Kupiansk via gas pipe).
Electronic Warfare (EW) and Counter-UAV (MEDIUM): While UAF is successfully intercepting many RF drones, RF also claims successes against UAF drones (e.g., Ka-52M shooting down UAVs, "Upyr" drone targeting "Baba Yaga"). The fundraising for mobile anti-aircraft units further indicates an active, adaptive approach to counter-UAV defense.
Information Operations (IO) (HIGH): RF maintains a highly active and adaptive information operations apparatus, capable of rapid narrative development, amplification of perceived UAF weaknesses, and projection of internal RF strength and unity. The designation of a Z-blogger as a foreign agent indicates RF's willingness to control its internal information space.
Military Industrial Production (HIGH): Putin's visit to Motovilikhinskiye Zavody and claims of a 30x increase in arms production, alongside efforts to mass-produce unguided aerial bombs (for UMPK glide kits) and heavy hexacopters, indicate a sustained, high-volume military-industrial complex.

Intentions:

Strategic Objective: Degrade Ukrainian Combat Power and Will to Fight (HIGH): RF's overarching intention is to continue degrading Ukraine's military capacity, exhausting its resources, and undermining its political and civilian will to continue the conflict. This is evidenced by persistent multi-domain pressure, high-lethality strikes, and aggressive IO.
Operational Objective: Secure Territorial Gains and Consolidate Control (HIGH): RF intends to consolidate and expand its control over currently contested and newly captured territories, particularly in the Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. The push for Siversk (even if not an immediate urban assault) and the claimed liberation of Berëzovoye fit this pattern.
Tactical Objective: Achieve Local Breakthroughs and Attrition (HIGH): RF will continue to conduct localized offensives aimed at achieving tactical breakthroughs, tying down UAF reserves, and inflicting heavy casualties through combined arms assaults and massive aerial bombardment (especially КАБ).
Information Objective: Control the Narrative and Destabilize Ukraine (HIGH): RF intends to dominate the information space, both domestically and internationally, by promoting its successes, exploiting UAF vulnerabilities, and discrediting Ukrainian leadership and Western support. The "Kupiansk catastrophe" narrative is a prime example.
Geopolitical Objective: Undermine Western Unity and NATO (HIGH): RF will continue to probe NATO defenses (e.g., Estonian airspace violation) and exploit any perceived divisions within the US-European alliance to weaken support for Ukraine and challenge NATO's credibility.

Courses of Action (COA):

Sustained Pressure & Consolidation in the East/South (MLCOA, HIGH CONFIDENCE): Continue multi-axis ground offensives, prioritizing the Kupiansk-Lyman, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, and Orikhiv directions. Focus on consolidating recently captured areas (Novoiivanivka, Serebryansky forestry, Melovoye, Berëzovoye). Intensify localized assaults, particularly around Kupiansk and south/southeast of Konstantinovka, aiming for further territorial gains and attrition of UAF forces. Support these operations with heavy artillery and overwhelming КАБ/glide bomb strikes.
Escalated Deep Strike Campaign (MLCOA, HIGH CONFIDENCE): Conduct further waves of combined missile and drone attacks against critical infrastructure (energy, logistics), military-industrial facilities, and urban centers across Ukraine, including in western regions. The intent is to disrupt UAF logistics, reduce defense production, and inflict civilian casualties to create strategic demoralization.
Aggressive Cross-Border Hybrid Operations (MLCOA, HIGH CONFIDENCE): Increase drone and artillery attacks from RF territory into Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts. Continue and potentially intensify information operations, including targeting POW families and leveraging any perceived Western disunity. Conduct further aerial probes of NATO airspace.

2.2. Recent tactical changes or adaptations (Confidence: HIGH)

Shift in Offensive Priority (HIGH): RF has clearly regained the tactical initiative on multiple axes, with renewed offensive operations and confirmed territorial gains (Novoiivanivka, Serebryansky forestry, Melovoye, Berëzovoye). This indicates a successful re-grouping and reallocation of forces. RF is also claiming planned systematic occupation south and southeast of Konstantinovka.
Persistent & Widespread КАБ Use (HIGH): The employment of guided aerial bombs (КАБ) has evolved from localized, high-impact events to a persistent, widespread, and routine method of aerial bombardment across northern and eastern Ukraine. This is a significant adaptation to overcome UAF static defenses and inflict damage from standoff ranges.
Aggressive Information Warfare (HIGH): RF IO has adapted quickly to exploit new tactical situations, especially the "Kupiansk catastrophe" narrative, demonstrating a rapid response and highly integrated approach to influencing public and military sentiment. RF is now also actively promoting narratives of Pentagon aid cuts to Baltic states and using "discrimination and violence" claims within UAF.
Focus on Military-Industrial Complex (HIGH): The reported "massive strike" against UAF defense industry enterprises developing "Sapsan" and producing UAVs indicates an adaptation in strategic targeting, aiming to degrade Ukraine's domestic arms production capabilities.
Counter-UAV Adaptation (MEDIUM): RF is actively seeking and deploying countermeasures against UAF drones, as evidenced by the reported Ka-52M engagements, "Upyr" drone operations, and fundraising for mobile anti-aircraft units.
Internal Information Control (HIGH): The designation of a prominent Z-blogger (Roman Alekhin) as a "foreign agent" highlights RF's intensified efforts to control its internal information environment and suppress dissenting voices, even those initially supportive of the war. RF security forces are also reported to be using coercive tactics for recruitment (e.g., shaming Chechens).
Integrated Recruitment and Veteran Support (HIGH): RF is integrating high financial incentives for contract service and a national narrative of veteran support (e.g., federal holiday for SVO veterans, attracting veterans to combat illegal migrants) to sustain and professionalize its military forces.
Leveraging International Events for IO (HIGH): RF is actively using international developments (e.g., US suspension of Patriot sales to Europe, European airport cyberattack, Trump's statements) to sow discord, portray Western weakness, and promote its own geopolitical narratives. This now includes exploiting Estonia's limited air defense capabilities and allegations of US aid halts to NATO border states.

2.3. Logistics and sustainment status (Confidence: MEDIUM)

RF Logistics (MEDIUM):
- Production Capacity (HIGH): Putin's visit to Motovilikhinskiye Zavody and claims of 30x increase in arms production, along with focus on mass-producing unguided aerial bombs and heavy hexacopters, suggest a robust military-industrial complex capable of sustaining high-intensity operations.
- Fuel Supply (MEDIUM): UAF deep strikes on RF oil refineries (Salavat, Saratov, Novokuibyshevsk, Samara) are confirmed to have impacted RF fuel supply (18% drop in naval product exports, gasoline supply disruptions in Southern Russia), indicating a vulnerability. However, it's not yet critical. NEW: SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This further exacerbates RF fuel supply issues.
- Frontline Supply (MEDIUM): The constant pressure on multiple fronts and the use of heavy munitions imply significant logistical strain. The fundraising appeals from Russian military bloggers for frontline aid (generators, communications equipment, "Frontline Armor") suggest gaps in official supply chains, indicating continued reliance on volunteer support. The officer discussing a 16 km "pipe" for troop entry highlights the complexities of front-line logistics. Reports of unsanitary food conditions (mouse in food box) also point to issues in basic supplies.
- Personnel Quality/Morale (MEDIUM): Reports of missing soldiers, captured soldiers detailing "no training" and high casualties, and allegations of security forces blackmailing Chechens for recruitment indicate potential issues in morale, welfare, and coercive recruitment impacting sustainment. UAF also reports RF "no longer always has enough contract soldiers to cover irretrievable losses."
- Adaptation (HIGH): The modification of UAZ vehicles into mobile anti-aircraft units ("technicals") demonstrates tactical adaptation in equipment sustainment.
UAF Logistics (MEDIUM):
- Air Defense Munitions (HIGH): The high rate of RF missile and drone attacks creates an urgent and critical requirement for sustained and increased supplies of air defense interceptor missiles. The reported US refusal to sell Patriots to Europe, if it impacts Ukraine, is a severe constraint.
- Equipment and Repair (HIGH): The "Rubizh" Brigade's fundraising for equipment restoration highlights persistent needs for maintaining and replacing equipment, indicating ongoing attrition.
- Domestic Production (MEDIUM): Efforts to develop domestic missile ("Flamingo") and long-range strike drone (D4) production, along with training for unmanned systems operators, indicate a long-term strategy for self-sufficiency, but current reliance on foreign aid remains high.
- Fuel Supply (MEDIUM): While UAF has successfully targeted RF refineries, Ukraine's own fuel supply relies heavily on imports and protection of its internal logistics network against RF strikes.
- Humanitarian Aid (HIGH): Civilian casualties and widespread destruction of residential infrastructure (Dnipro, Konstantinovka) necessitate ongoing humanitarian aid and reconstruction efforts, which divert resources.
- Financial Aid (HIGH): Ukraine remains highly dependent on international financial assistance, as evidenced by ongoing discussions in the EU and US Senate regarding using frozen RF assets as a loan. Falling donation rates (STERNENKO) indicate potential donor fatigue.

2.4. Command and control effectiveness (Confidence: HIGH)

RF Command and Control (HIGH):
- Centralized and Resilient: RF C2 appears centralized and resilient, capable of coordinating multi-domain strikes and multi-axis ground offensives. The MoD's regular operational summaries and Putin's continued engagement with military leaders (e.g., "Zapad-2025," Perm visit) indicate strong central control.
- Integrated IO: RF C2 is effectively integrating information operations into military campaigns, rapidly adapting narratives to tactical developments and leveraging international events.
- Internal Discipline (MEDIUM): While the overall C2 structure appears effective, incidents like the reported death of 17 high-ranking officers in a dugout fire in Zaporizhzhia (if confirmed) and the alleged military stabbing in a hospital suggest localized lapses in discipline or OPSEC. The designation of a Z-blogger as a foreign agent indicates central control over internal narratives. Reports of security forces blackmailing Chechens for recruitment also point to potential C2 pressure on personnel generation.
- Adaptation: The statement by the RF Minister of Defense on a "scientific and systemic approach" suggests an ongoing effort to improve military decision-making and innovation within the C2 structure.
UAF Command and Control (HIGH):
- Adaptive and Decentralized where necessary: UAF C2 has demonstrated adaptability in managing multi-axis defensive operations and coordinating localized counter-offensives. The successful repelling of numerous RF assaults and the coordinated deep strikes against RF territory highlight effective operational control.
- Emphasis on Drone Integration: The announced formation of separate drone assault troops and the training of unmanned systems operators indicate a strategic shift in C2 to integrate advanced drone capabilities at lower tactical levels.
- Information Management (HIGH): UAF C2 is actively managing its information environment. The message from DSHV warning against unauthorized public statements reflects a proactive measure to maintain message discipline and unit cohesion.
- International Coordination: High-level diplomatic engagements (Zelenskyy-Trump meeting, SAG-U delegation) demonstrate effective coordination with international partners for military and security assistance.
- Challenges in Mobilization Communications (MEDIUM): The TCC incidents in Kovel and Kharkiv, and RF IO exploiting them, indicate challenges in communicating mobilization policies effectively and maintaining public trust, which can indirectly impact force generation efforts.
- Counter-Intelligence Focus (HIGH): The detention of saboteurs and sentencing of spies in occupied territories highlight a robust UAF counter-intelligence effort to protect its C2 and operational security.
- Proactive Civilian Protection: UAF C2 is clearly communicating air raid alerts and initiating evacuations (e.g., Pokrovsk), demonstrating a commitment to civilian protection.
- New General Staff Update: The new General Staff operational update for 16:00 20.09.2025 demonstrates ongoing, real-time command situational awareness and dissemination.

3. FRIENDLY FORCES (Blue force tracking)

3.1. Ukrainian force posture and readiness (Confidence: HIGH)

Defensive Posture (Eastern & Southern Axes): UAF maintains a strong defensive posture across all major axes, particularly Kupiansk, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, and Orikhiv. Forces are actively repelling numerous RF assaults, with high reported success rates for interceptions. UAF has confirmed the liberation of Pankivka and Zarichne, and claims to have eliminated a Russian breakthrough near Pokrovsk. This indicates resilience and effective tactical defense.
Counter-Offensive Operations (Dobropillya-Pokrovsk): UAF forces are actively engaged in localized counter-offensives, notably in the Dobropillya-Pokrovsk sector, having liberated 160 sq km and 7 settlements. The 1st Assault Regiment's success in "cutting the pincers" near Dobropillya and the 68th Jaeger Brigade's actions near Pokrovsk are notable. The 'SKELYA' regiment claiming 17 RF POWs captured in Pokrovsk and Lyman directions over the past week indicates ongoing successful engagements. UAF is also conducting cross-border operations on the Kursk direction with special units like "Balista."
Strategic Deep Strike Capabilities (High): UAF has repeatedly demonstrated effective long-range strike capabilities, successfully targeting RF logistics and energy infrastructure deep within Russian territory (Salavat refinery, Saratov refinery, Novokuibyshevsk refinery, Samara oil depot). This capability is a significant force multiplier. The GUR reconnaissance operatives' claim of destroying aircraft 600 km behind enemy lines, if verified, highlights advanced SOF and deep strike capacity. NEW: SBU and SSO UAF drones stopped the operation of several oil pumping stations in RF. (FACT, UAF REPORT) (Confidence: HIGH) This further reinforces UAF's deep strike capabilities.
Advanced Drone Integration and Training (High): UAF is extensively integrating FPV and thermal-imaging drones for precision strikes, night operations, and reconnaissance. The announcement of separate drone assault troops and ongoing training for unmanned systems operators (including the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade) signify a strategic adaptation and investment in drone warfare.
Air Defense Readiness (High): UAF air defense forces remain highly engaged and effective, successfully intercepting or suppressing a significant number of RF UAVs (71 overnight, 39 over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, total 583 targets). This high interception rate demonstrates high readiness and proficiency, despite the overwhelming volume of RF attacks.
Special Operations Force (SOF) Effectiveness (High): The GUR "Viking" unit's raid on Tendra Spit and SSO anti-infiltration operations highlight effective SOF capabilities for disrupting RF operations and gathering intelligence.
Personnel Readiness & Training (High): Continued training of cadets, the DPSA's participation in drone projects, and the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade's physical and psychological training reinforce UAF's commitment to maintaining a skilled and combat-ready force. The Zaporizhzhia OMA inviting residents to basic combined-arms training indicates a proactive approach to broader defensive capabilities.
Logistical Adaptations (Medium): The construction of anti-drone tunnels in Zaporizhzhia Oblast demonstrates adaptive measures to protect logistics, but fundraising efforts by units (e.g., "Rubizh" Brigade

Situation Report