Archived operational intelligence briefing
RF forces maintain multi-axis pressure across the front, with critical developments on the Kupiansk, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Siversk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia axes. NATO has commenced significant exercises in Lithuania and activated air defenses due to RF drone activity near Poland. RF UAVs have reportedly entered Romanian airspace, triggering air raid alerts in Romania and Eastern Poland. A UAV strike on an industrial enterprise in Perm Krai (RF) is confirmed, now identified as JSC "Metafrax Chemicals" in Gubakha. An explosion occurred on railway tracks in Oryol Oblast (RF), resulting in two killed (confirmed Rosgvardia personnel) and one wounded. UAF confirms a drone attack on the Novo-Ufimsky refinery in Ufa, significantly expanding UAF deep strike range. UAF also reports successful ambush of RF drone operators in an unspecified location by "Вартові" (Guards) drone pilots. Ukraine's Prime Minister Shmyhal estimates the cost of Ukraine's survival in 2026. Russia reports a successful space docking of "Progress MS-32" with the ISS, delivering semiconductor synthesis equipment and a new EVA suit. UAF reports downing of RF Orion reconnaissance-strike UAV by "Птахи Мадяра" (Birds of Magyar) unit. MoD Russia reports MiG-31 aircraft with Kinzhal missiles flying over Barents Sea during Zapad 2025 exercises. TASS reports EU considering transferring frozen Russian assets to Ukraine via debt receipts.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS (LAST HOUR):
Kyiv Oblast (Vasylkiv Airbase Area - CRITICAL RF DEEP STRIKE, UAF C2 FAILURE): Multiple explosions and secondary detonations reported in the vicinity of a UAF airbase near Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, impacting what appears to be a fuel depot and potentially an aviation ammunition warehouse. This strike occurred without prior air raid alerts according to Ukrainian sources, indicating a significant penetration and failure of UAF early warning systems. UAF OBA states explosions are not related to enemy air attack. RF sources claim a successful strike on a UAF airbase and ammunition depot. (Confidence: HIGH)
Kyiv Oblast (Logistics Impact Confirmed): Ukrzaliznytsia (Ukrainian Railways) reports that several trains passing through Boyarka station near Kyiv will run on changed routes due to infrastructure damage near Kyiv caused by an "emergency situation." This directly confirms logistical disruption in the Kyiv region, highly likely related to the Vasylkiv airbase strike. (Confidence: HIGH)
Sumy Oblast (RF Ground Advance Claim): TASS reports, via military expert Andrey Marochko, that RF forces have occupied a number of new positions east of Sumy's Yunakovka over the past week. (Confidence: MEDIUM)
UGV Deployment (RF Tactical Adaptation): Colonelcassad shares video showcasing the development and deployment of a tracked unmanned ground vehicle (UGV) designed for mine detection, mine-laying, or explosive ordnance disposal, emphasizing its role in reducing personnel losses and operating in hazardous environments. This confirms and elaborates on previous reports of RF UGV capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Air Alert Lifted): The air alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. (Confidence: HIGH)
Kupiansk Axis (CRITICAL - Contradictory Reports, RF IO Push): RF forces are confirmed to have infiltrated Kupiansk via the "Труба 3.0" tactic. RF state media (TASS) and milbloggers (WarGonzo, Рыбарь, Colonelcassad) continue to present video evidence of soldiers utilizing tunnels. UAF General Staff (via ASTRA) has officially commented on the "Труба 3.0" pipeline infiltration, stating the exit from the pipeline under Kupiansk is controlled by Ukrainian defenders and does not lead directly into the city. This directly contradicts earlier RF and UAF initial reports of RF presence within Kupiansk and the statement from the head of Kupiansk MVA that "There are no Russians in Kupiansk." This remains a critical intelligence gap requiring immediate clarification and verification. "Два майора" shares a video described as showing Ukrainian soldiers moving through a tunnel with a sled, which could be an UAF counter-infiltration operation or mislabeled RF footage. Colonelcassad shares video purporting to show destruction of enemy equipment on the Kupiansk direction, featuring an ATV and military vehicles in agricultural fields, reinforcing claims of RF activity. Colonelcassad makes a sarcastic remark about a future metro line to Kupiansk in the context of Putin's Moscow metro opening, further reinforcing the IO narrative of RF presence in the city. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's recent statements (Zelenskiy / Official, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація) emphasize that UAF controls the front and RF claims of rapid advances in the east are "lies," directly addressing the narrative of RF breakthroughs. "Басурин о главном" (RF source) explicitly states, "Вопреки заявлениям украинской пропаганды, российская армия не ведёт широкомасштабного наступления по всему фронту," denying a broad offensive but implying localized actions. TASS (via Vitaliy Ganchev, head of the RF-controlled VCA) claims UAF has "practically left Kupiansk," with only "individual militants" holding well-fortified positions. This further reinforces the RF narrative of control and UAF retreat. Colonelcassad claims the elimination of UAF Senior Lieutenant Mykhailo Shchava during a counter-attack on the Kupiansk direction, implying UAF offensive efforts in the sector. (Confidence: MEDIUM - Due to conflicting reports on current RF presence within Kupiansk city limits; HIGH for initial infiltration tactic and UAF stated control of pipeline exit).
Lyman Axis (HIGH INTENSITY - Breakthrough Confirmed): RF claims of capturing Kolodyazi and practically dislodging UAF from Kirovsk persist and are assessed as highly likely. RF forces are reportedly clearing the outskirts of Krasny Liman near Torske and Kirovsk, and intensifying pressure on Zvanovka. UAF sources (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС) provide video evidence of Ukrainian fiber-optic FPV drones destroying Russian equipment and personnel in the enemy's rear on the Lyman direction. UAF Border Guards are documented operating S-60 anti-aircraft gun systems, effectively engaging air targets, indicating a responsive air defense posture on this axis. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares drone footage allegedly showing an artillery strike on Ukrainian positions within a residential area, indicating continued RF pressure and targeting in urban/semi-urban environments. "Народная милиция ДНР" shares drone footage of Ukrainian soldiers in a wooded area near Berestok, claiming the 238th Brigade destroyed a UAF Forward Deployment Point (PVD), suggesting localized RF advances. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of birds scavenging on Russian assault troops destroyed "a few hours ago" by drone operators of the 3rd Security Battalion, 101st Separate Brigade of the General Staff of Ukraine, near Chasiv Yar, implying effective UAF defensive actions and BDA in this broader eastern front sector. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares two photos captioned "Лиманское направление," one showing a soldier with equipment, the other an aerial shot of a rural area with smoke, but no specific operational details are immediately discernible. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports UAF infantry attacking near Karpovka, met by RF 59th Regiment. Drone footage shows a damaged building and a figure moving on a dirt road. (Confidence: HIGH)
Pokrovsk-Myrnograd Agglomeration (HIGH INTENSITY): Urban combat continues in Muravka and Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk). RF forces are consolidating positions in the Pokrovskoye - Novomykolaivka area. RF MoD officially stated "Vostok Group of Forces liberated Novonikolayevka (Dnepropetrovsk region)." UAF reports a Russian soldier committed suicide with an automatic rifle under Pokrovsk after receiving shrapnel wounds, indicating extremely low morale and severe combat stress among some RF personnel in this sector. ОСУВ "Дніпро" reports a record number of RF assaults on the Pokrovsk direction. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares video alleging destruction of NATO equipment, infantry, and enemy positions near Pokrovsk. (Confidence: HIGH)
Dnipropetrovsk Salient (EXPANDED - CONTESTED): RF forces ("Vostok" Grouping) have "liberated" Sosnovka and Novopetrovskoye, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and officially claim the liberation of Novomykolaivka, aiming to enhance encirclement of a UAF grouping in Velykomykhailivka. RF Uragan MLRS are actively targeting UAF positions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a "breakthrough of occupiers" into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, but a Ukrainian military official denies significant breakthroughs, stating UAF forces repelled 16 attacks, thwarted advances in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, and highlighted Russian fortifications and drone use. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that "ZSU liberated Filya in Dnipropetrovsk region," citing a spokesperson for OSUV "Dnipro," which if confirmed, directly counters previous RF claims of control and indicates a UAF counter-offensive. This introduces a new contradiction regarding the extent and success of RF advances in Dnipropetrovsk. TASS shares video footage claiming to show the "liberation of Novonikolayevka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast," which includes drone footage of explosions, damaged tanks, and Russian flags being displayed. This reinforces RF claims of control. Colonelcassad shares photos captioned "Днепропетровское направление: позиции ВСУ превратились в братскую могилу," aiming to portray significant UAF casualties and successful RF actions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a multi-story building is on fire in Dnipro after a ballistic missile strike. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. The air alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. TASS reports that the Kazan Higher Tank Command School has graduated 99 Heroes of the Soviet Union and RF, highlighting RF military heritage. (Confidence: MEDIUM - Due to conflicting UAF statements on the extent of the breakthrough, HIGH on RF intent and previous reported gains).
Siversk Direction (INCREASED PRESSURE): RF forces claim control of approximately 50% of Pereyizne and advances in the Kremensky forests. TASS reports RF forces are advancing on Siversk from three sides and have started battles for Zvanovka. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares a photo of the Siversk direction, but without specific operational details. (Confidence: HIGH)
Kharkiv Direction (ACTIVE): RF forces have taken control of forests southwest of Vovchansk. RF Special Forces ("Anvar") are operating in buffer zones along the Kharkiv and Chernihiv borders. TASS reports a UAF group is surrounded near Ambarnoye. TASS reports two civilians injured in Belgorod due to a UAF drone attack on an apartment building, continuing RF claims of UAF strikes on civilian infrastructure. WarGonzo shares images claiming UAF attacked Belgorod, hitting a bus and residential building. UAF Koordynatsiinyi Shtab is conducting meetings with families of missing soldiers in Izium, Oskil, and Borova communities, indicating ongoing humanitarian efforts in this war-affected region. Рыбарь reports a massive drone attack by Ukrainian formations on Belgorod over the last four days, noting mostly homemade aircraft-type drones. ASTRA reports a Ukrainian drone crashed into a residential building in Belgorod, injuring two people, citing local authorities, supporting earlier RF claims. РБК-Україна reports RF forces used KABs and rocket artillery during debris clearance in Borova, indicating continued targeting of civilian areas during humanitarian operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares extensive video showing widespread destruction in Vovchansk, attributed to "the horde," highlighting the devastating impact of RF operations on urban centers. STERNENKO reports that Novem Group special unit Balista destroyed an RF vehicle with two Russian paratroopers in the Sumy direction, indicating continued UAF offensive action in border areas. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH)
South Donetsk Direction (LOCALIZED ADVANCES): RF "Vostok" assault groups occupied UAF positions in a forest belt during a night assault. "Операция Z" (Русская Весна) reports a successful strike on a UAF 35th Marine Brigade dugout with provisions, indicating continued RF pressure. "Воин DV" (RF milblogger) shares video of drone-deployed munitions targeting fortified positions, likely trenches, in vegetated terrain, indicative of continued RF precision targeting. Colonelcassad shares video of a large strike on a dugout of the UAF 35th Separate Marine Brigade. "Воин DV" reiterates "The liberation of Donbas continues!", reinforcing the overall RF objective in the region. Colonelcassad shares a video depicting the aftermath of a strike on a UAF Forward Deployment Point (PVD) in Novodonetskoye, with damaged buildings and a burnt-out pickup truck, confirming RF targeting of UAF rear areas. (Confidence: HIGH)
Orikhiv Direction (RF DEFENSIVE): TASS reports UAF went into deep defense in the Orikhiv direction, with RF claiming full control of the front line, destruction of UAF sabotage/reconnaissance groups, and pushing the enemy back. "Басурин о главном" (RF source) notes that the Zaporizhzhia direction is difficult for advances due to prepared defenses and minefields, supporting the assessment of a UAF defensive posture. Kadyrov_95 reports that servicemen of the 270th Motorized Rifle Regiment "AKHMAT-Caucasus" successfully attacked enemy positions near Malaya Tokmachka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. This indicates localized RF offensive action in this sector. (Confidence: HIGH)
Zaporizhzhia Direction (UAF DRONE DEPLOYMENT): Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a significant increase in drone deployment (FPV and Mavic series) to the Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting their crucial role in reconnaissance, support, and strike missions. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares video of FPV drone duels on the Zaporizhzhia front, confirming high drone activity and engagements. UAF Air Force reports an enemy UAV (unspecified type) on the Zaporizhzhia axis, heading west. UAF Air Force reports a ballistic missile threat from Crimea, with a high-speed target on Zaporizhzhia, moving towards Dnipro. Explosions were subsequently reported in Dnipro. Photo shared by "Сливочный каприз" shows Stehnohirsk on 13.09.25 without specific operational details. Colonelcassad shares video of FPV drone duels on Zaporizhzhia. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia. Air alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. (Confidence: HIGH)
Deep Strikes (UAF): UAF HUR units successfully struck an RF Black Sea Fleet vessel (Project MPSV07) near Novorossiysk. SBU drones successfully attacked Primorsk port, damaging two "shadow fleet" tankers and impacting oil shipments. A Transneft oil pumping station "Vtorovo" in Vladimir Oblast was also hit. "Оперативний ЗСУ" reports a warehouse fire at "Cherdak" personal storage facility in Podmoskovye (Moscow Oblast), potentially indicative of internal sabotage or negligence. РБК-Україна reports that SSO attacked dozens of targets in Russia and occupied territories over the summer, including airfields, factories, and a ship. This highlights a sustained and multi-faceted deep strike campaign. "Оперативний ЗСУ" and РБК-Україна report that the Novo-Ufimsky refinery in Bashkortostan was hit by drones, causing a fire. STERNENKO also shares video of the fire, implying UAF involvement. РБК-Україна shares video detailing successful SSO strikes against Russian logistics in Crimea, specifically a fuel train near Dzhankoi, involving explosions and fires at industrial areas/transportation infrastructure. "Оперативний ЗСУ" and "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" provide video confirmation of an explosion and fire at the Novo-Ufimsky refinery. STERNENKO also shares a video summarizing SSO operations during "Black Summer" including strikes on airfields, factories, ships, and other targets. Alex Parker Returns and ASTRA confirm the strike on the Novo-Ufimsky refinery, noting its location approximately 1400 km from Ukraine, confirming the extended range of UAF deep strike capabilities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also shares video of the strike. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares video of successful strikes against a Russian artillery piece in Kursk, a command post/personal in Luhansk, and a command point in Donetsk. РБК-Україна, Операция Z, Военкор Котенок, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, and ASTRA confirm the drone attack on the Novo-Ufimsky refinery ("Bashneft-Novoil" facility), with КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno specifically reporting a hit on the technological overpass. Colonelcassad reports a UAV strike on an industrial enterprise in Gubakha, Perm Krai. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ provide further video and source confirmation of the HUR strike on Ufa. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports the destruction of two RF Pantsir-S1 air defense systems by Ukrainian drones, one in Luhansk and one in Donetsk Oblast, citing "Досьє шпіона," with a supporting video for the Luhansk strike. Оперативний ЗСУ adds "Суспільне" as a source for the HUR strike on Ufa. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights the "Метафракс" alcohol plant in Perm Krai as a potentially significant target for a UAV strike. ASTRA reports a UAV strike on a perm enterprise, confirming the Gubakha incident. Операция Z reports an explosion on railway tracks in Oryol Oblast, claiming casualties. Оперативний ЗСУ corroborates the Oryol incident, claiming probable sabotage. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares new video and photo evidence of the drone attack on the Novo-Ufimsky refinery ("Башнафти"), stating the distance to the Ukrainian border is 1220 km, and showing significant fires and explosions. Alex Parker Returns shares information from Oryol Oblast Governor Andrey Klychkov confirming two killed and one wounded in an explosion on railway tracks in Maloarkhangelsk – Glazunovka. "Підрозділ Shadow" shares video of a drone-guided artillery strike on an RF position, implying continued UAF deep strikes or effective targeting. "Военкор Котенок" provides clarification on the Oryol railway explosion, indicating ongoing RF assessment. ASTRA reports that the two killed in the Oryol railway explosion were Rosgvardia personnel. ASTRA reports that train movement on the section in Oryol Oblast was rerouted, as stated by Moscow Railway. "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" shares a video of a "biker-mercenary" being targeted, implying continued UAF drone effectiveness against RF personnel. (Confidence: HIGH)
Deep Strikes (RF): RF aviation is launching guided aerial bombs (KABs) on Sumy, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv Oblasts. A mass drone attack was launched overnight against Ukraine (164 UAVs, 1 Iskander-M/KN-23 missile), with 137 UAVs and the missile reportedly shot down by UAF. RF continues drone attacks on Belgorod Oblast (6 drones destroyed, civilian injuries). A mass drone strike also hit Sloviansk. TASS reports RF struck a UAF UAV launch site near Kramatorsk with an Iskander OTRK. ASTRA reports at least 3 killed and 6 wounded in shelling of Konstantinovka, Donetsk Oblast, by RF forces. MoD Russia releases video of an Iskander-M tactical missile system striking a UAF training and launching site for long-range fixed-wing UAVs, providing visual confirmation of precision strike capabilities. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports Konstantinovka is under enemy artillery and aviation bomb fire. "Два майора" shares a video of alleged combat on the Konstantinovka direction, showing drone footage with military vehicles and possible engagements, including a Ukrainian flag. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the Donetsk region. UAF Air Force issues alerts ("Увага!"), indicating an ongoing air threat. Another alert shortly after suggests continued vigilance. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the Kherson region. Colonelcassad provides an animated scheme of alleged RF strikes across Ukraine from 12-13 September 2025. UAF Air Force reports an enemy UAV (Shahed-type) on the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. UAF Air Force reports a threat of ballistic missile application from the south. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Ukrainian MP (Kostenko) warns of a potential RF strike on the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament) in Kyiv, which could incapacitate the country if it occurs during a session. UAF Air Force has issued a new "Увага!" (Attention!) alert, indicating an ongoing or renewed aerial threat. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" reports "В Славянске Геранями поражены пункты дислокации ВСУ" (In Sloviansk, Geraniums hit UAF deployment points). MoD Russia shares video of drone strikes, likely artillery or mortar, on damaged structures and open fields, showcasing targeting and assessment of indirect fire. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAVs in the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAVs in Northern Chernihiv Oblast, moving towards the central part of the region, indicating a new aerial threat axis. UAF Air Force reports a ballistic missile threat from Crimea, with a high-speed target on Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipro. "Николаевский Ванёк" confirms "ballistics on Zaporizhzhia!!!" and "flew further to Dnipro!!!" with a warning of a potential repeat launch. Explosions were subsequently reported in Dnipro. UAF Air Force reports continued launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports that the threat of ballistic missile use has been lifted. Zaporizhzhia OVA reports the air alert has been lifted. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. UAF Air Force issues a new "Увага!" alert. Colonelcassad reports a series of explosions near Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, near a fuel depot, with no air raid alert prior. This is corroborated by TASS, "Операция Z", and "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" with various videos of explosions and fires. UAF Air Force reports a hostile UAV in the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH)
RF Exercises: "West-2025" exercises are underway, involving Northern and Pacific Fleets (frigates, destroyers, submarines, strategic bombers). Bastion coastal defense missile systems fired Oniks missiles from Franz Josef Land. MoD Russia reports Russian troops arriving in Kyrgyzstan to participate in "Rubezh 2025" exercises, indicating broader CSTO military cooperation and force projection into Central Asia. Colonelcassad and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provide video of a military convoy with a large ballistic missile system (likely Iskander OTRK) near the Polish border in Kaliningrad Oblast, demonstrating strategic power projection and deterrence to NATO. Fighterbomber shares video of a UPAB-1500 guided aerial bomb in action against what appears to be a pontoon bridge or crossing, showcasing continued use of precision guided munitions. Colonelcassad shares video of T-90MS tank production, transport, and exhibition, promoting RF military industrial capacity. Putin visiting the new National Space Center in Moscow, highlighting Russian technological advancements in space. MoD Russia releases video of Pacific Fleet exercises, showing an Oniks missile hitting a sea-based target. MoD Russia also releases video of "Zapad 2025" exercises, showing Baltic Fleet forces eliminating mock enemy underwater sabotage groups. STERNENKO and КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno also share video of the Iskander OTRK convoy near Kaliningrad, reinforcing its significance as a demonstration of force. MoD Russia releases video appearing to show an amphibious assault training scenario, involving helicopters, naval vessels, landing craft, armored vehicles, and shore-based rocket artillery. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares the same video of the Iskander OTRK convoy near the Polish border, framing it as "scaring Poland." Fighterbomber shares a video showing a helicopter flying over water, possibly reconnaissance or a maritime patrol. MoD Russia releases video of 120-mm mortars of the Moscow Military District eliminating firing emplacements of a mock enemy at the Borisovsky training ground in Belarus as part of "Zapad 2025," confirming ground component training in Belarus. TASS shares video of MiG-31 crews practicing air strikes as part of "Zapad-2025," showcasing strategic aviation readiness. MoD Russia releases video of Ka-52m helicopters eliminating firing positions and armored vehicles of a mock enemy during "Zapad 2025," demonstrating advanced attack helicopter capabilities. TASS reports a planned launch of the "Soyuz MS-28" crewed spacecraft to the ISS from Baikonur on November 27. Colonelcassad shares video of BMP-3 and BMD-2 being transferred to troops ahead of Tanker's Day, indicating continued equipment deliveries. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of an OTRK Iskander convoy in Kaliningrad, corroborating previous reports. "Два майора" shares new video of a military convoy with a TEL system near the Polish border in Kaliningrad Oblast, further corroborating these strategic movements. "Два майора" also shares video of the launch of an RS-24 Yars strategic missile, emphasizing Russia's nuclear deterrent. MoD Russia shares video of Northern Fleet Arctic group engaging amphibious assault detachments of a mock enemy as part of Zapad 2025, demonstrating Arctic naval readiness. TASS reports that the "Progress MS-32" spacecraft successfully docked with the ISS, delivering equipment for semiconductor synthesis and a new EVA suit. This highlights RF's continued space capabilities and dual-use technology advancements. TASS shares video confirming the docking of "Progress MS-32" with the ISS, noting it was standard. Alex Parker Returns shares video of a military convoy (tanks/heavy armored vehicles) on transporters moving on a multi-lane road during twilight, likely related to exercises. MoD Russia reports MiG-31 aircraft with Kinzhal missiles flying over Barents Sea during Zapad 2025 exercises. ASTRA shares video of Iskander-M convoy near Polish border. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a video of a military convoy, including tanks and support vehicles, moving on a multi-lane road, consistent with RF force movements during exercises. TASS reports that the Kazan Higher Tank Command School has graduated 99 Heroes of the Soviet Union and RF, which is a propaganda piece for Tanker's Day. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Bild alleges Putin and Lukashenko are rehearsing nuclear war and an attack on NATO during "Zapad-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH)
NATO Exercises: "Операция Z" (Русская Весна) and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report that NATO has commenced large-scale exercises involving the transfer of troops and equipment to Lithuania, as announced by the Alliance's Joint Force Command in the Netherlands. This likely refers to "Grand Eagle 25." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS explicitly reports "NATO launched 'Eastern Sentry' operation to protect the airspace of Poland and the Baltic States after the attack on Poland by Russian UAVs," providing video evidence of French military aircraft. РБК-Україна reports that Poland has again scrambled aviation due to Russian drones over Ukraine. STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, ASTRA, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS all report that Poland and its allies have again raised aviation due to drones near the border, specifically over Volyn, with ground-based air defense systems on highest alert. РБК-Україна and TASS report that Lublin airport and the surrounding area in eastern Poland has been temporarily closed due to Polish and NATO air operations in response to a "UAV threat in western Ukraine." This indicates a continued high state of alert and active response by NATO. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that a Russian UAV has entered Romanian airspace. РБК-Україна confirms air raid alerts in Romania due to Russian drones, with multiple reports. Оперативний ЗСУ and STERNENKO also confirm Russian UAV entry into Romanian territory. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Оперативний ЗСУ report air raid alerts in Eastern Poland. Colonelcassad also reports Romanians warned of "possible falling objects from the air," reinforcing the cross-border drone incident. РБК-Україна reports that Romanian F-16s did not shoot down the Russian drone, indicating a potential evasion or non-engagement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also reports that Romanian F-16s did not liquidate the Russian UAV. РБК-Україна reports the air operation in Polish airspace has ceased, with ground-based air defense systems returning to standard mode. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms the joint Polish and allied air operation has ended. ASTRA reports air raid sirens and air attack threats in Poland. Zelenskiy / Official, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm that a Russian drone entered Romanian airspace (10 km deep, 50 minutes presence), causing military aviation to be scrambled. Операция Z (via "Военкоры Русской Весны") reports that Romanian F-16s did not shoot down the Russian drone. Colonelcassad quotes Rubio stating the need for facts and consultations on the Polish UAV incident. Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski notes that "security guarantees for Ukraine mean the readiness, in case of a new Russian attack, to fight the Russians." "Два майора" shares a photo of Kit Kellogg in Kyiv, questioning why the GUR building has not been bombed by RF. "Операция Z" reports NATO allies are concerned about Trump's lack of harsh reaction to Russian drones over Poland. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) cites a Washington Post report claiming Trump's demands for NATO countries to impose tariffs on Russian oil buyers could complicate pressure on Putin, highlighting perceived divisions within the alliance. Colonelcassad shares photos captioned #новости #нато #сво #черноеморе, implying NATO activity in the Black Sea region. (Confidence: HIGH)
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