Archived operational intelligence briefing
RF forces maintain multi-axis pressure, with an emphasis on the Pokrovsk axis where urban combat continues in Muravka and Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk). RF forces of the "Vostok" Grouping have "liberated" Sosnovka and Novopetrovskoye, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, aiming to enhance encirclement of a UAF grouping in Velykomykhailivka. Combat is reported south of Stepnohirsk with active RF aviation support. On the Lyman axis, RF claims to be assaulting Zarechnoye and reports activity near Kolodyazi. Colonelcassad reports RF forces have established control over Kolodyazi and are advancing on the Krasny Liman direction. TASS further reports RF troops have "practically dislodged" UAF from Kirovsk on the Krasny Liman direction, with UAF suffering heavy losses, which, if true, would significantly consolidate RF control over this sector. TASS also reports RF forces are clearing the outskirts of Krasny Liman near Torske and Kirovsk. Intense combat continues near Krasny Liman, DPR, with the RF 103rd Regiment advancing towards Konstantinovka, now reportedly 7 km from the city. TASS claims RF forces have destroyed a UAF grouping trapped in northern Konstantinovka. On the Siverske direction, RF forces claim control of approximately 50% of Pereyizne and advances in the Kremensky forests, taking control of approximately 3 km of the administrative border. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" reports the 88th Assault Brigade has successfully assaulted and captured an enemy stronghold near Fedorovka on the Siverske direction, using 122mm artillery. RF UAVs are establishing "fire control" over UAF logistical routes near Krasny Liman and Izium-Barvinkove, and claim control of 1.5 km of a supply route in Kupyansk. RF claims "liberation" of Zelenyi Hai and fighting for Torske, indicating sustained offensive operations on the Lyman direction. RF forces have "expelled the enemy from Katerynivka" and continue to advance in the Konstantinovka direction, near Kleban-Byk and Pleshcheyevka, maintaining pressure on this critical UAF defensive axis. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) reports RF forces are advancing towards Konstantinovka, breaking through enemy defenses near Predtechino and Pleshcheyevka, confirming continued pressure on the Konstantinovka axis. Offensive action near Chasiv Yar involves airborne units engaging enemy infantry. Рыбарь (RF milblogger) provides a tactical analysis video documenting RF offensive operations and territorial gains in the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd agglomeration area between 24 AUG and 10 SEP 25, confirming sustained pressure and advances. "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" (UAF milblogger) claims Ukrainian Defense Forces (СОУ) have "cleared and liberated" the villages of Shakhove and Volodymyrivka on the Dobropillya direction. This, if verified, represents a UAF tactical success and potentially reverses some RF gains. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" (RF milblogger) projects the Special Military Operation (SVO) will conclude in 2027 with the capture of Odesa and Mykolaiv, indicating long-term RF strategic aspirations. TASS reports Russian forces have "practically dislodged" UAF from the settlement of Novomykolaivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, according to Russian security forces. This is a new and significant claim, indicating further RF advances and expansion of the Dnipropetropvsk salient. "Z комитет + карта СВО" shares multiple map images showing advances around Velykomykhailivka and Novoivanivka, reinforcing RF claims of continued pressure in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and Novopavlivka direction. DeepState map update indicates changes, requiring further analysis for specifics. "Два майора" (RF milblogger) and "Сливочный каприз" (RF milblogger) reinforce claims of RF capture of Novopetrovskoye, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing video evidence of artillery strikes and claimed M-777 destruction, with "Vostok" Grouping involved. "Сливочный каприз" shares video showing drone footage of a settlement under artillery bombardment (likely Krasnoarmeysk/Pokrovsk area, identified by caption 12.09.25 Красноармейска - Октябрьское(Шахово)), and now also Krasnoarmeysk - Vladimirovka (12.09.25). "Воин DV" (RF milblogger) shares drone footage of operators from the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, "Vostok" Grouping, engaged in active military activity targeting a dark-colored vehicle and what appears to be a motorcycle or smaller vehicle, followed by thermal imaging of multiple targets, explosions, and muzzle flashes, with individuals (likely soldiers) moving in the environment. This suggests active RF FPV drone operations and engagement of UAF light vehicles/personnel. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UAF milblogger) shares video depicting a coordinated assault on enemy trench positions on the Zaporizhzhia direction by SSO snipers, involving grenades and small arms fire in close-quarters combat, highlighting active UAF ground engagements. New video from БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shows Ukrainian soldiers from the '3rd Army Corps' in a rural environment conducting tactical movements, RPG use, and interaction with captured individuals, indicating active offensive/clearing operations. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) also shows a video from Bryansk-Chernihiv direction where "border guards" are destroying UAF equipment, infantry, and positions, including mortar positions, a fuel station, and communications antenna. This indicates active RF operations against UAF on border areas. Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF milblogger) reports that the "Shkval" battalion of the "Skelya" regiment conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF milblogger) reports the appearance of Russian FPV drones in the central part of Kramatorsk. Военкор Котенок (RF milblogger) shares aerial footage of Vovchansk showing widespread destruction and smoke plumes, attributed to combat on the Kharkiv direction. "Рыбарь" shares a map detailing RF forces "taking the East," specifically highlighting active ground combat on the eastern front (Confidence: HIGH). "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares a photo of RF airborne troops on the Konstantinovka direction, indicating continued RF pressure in this sector (Confidence: HIGH). "Воин DV" shares drone footage displaying aerial reconnaissance over urban and rural environments, showing military vehicles (trucks, ATV) with camouflage/protective measures, interspersed with Russian propaganda emblems and slogans. (Confidence: HIGH)
GSU reports indicate a significant concentration of RF forces and 130 combat engagements over the past 24 hours on the Kupiansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Marinka, and Shakhtarske directions, with UAF repelling numerous attacks. RF is attempting to advance near Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, and claims to have repelled a UAF counterattack on the left bank of the Vovcha River, occupying four technical buildings. RF Special Forces (14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, "Sida" detachment of AHMAT, "Anvar" detachment) are actively supporting ground assaults on the South Donetsk direction and conducting precision strikes against UAF artillery on the Sumy direction, with "Anvar" operating in buffer zones along the Kharkiv and Chernihiv borders. RF is reportedly bringing up reserves to Vovchansk. The Kherson-Mykolaiv highway is claimed to be under RF fire control. UAF forces successfully destroyed a bridge over the Siverskyi Donets river near Nova Tavolzhanka, Belgorod Oblast, Russia, using FPV drones and pre-planted mines, disrupting RF logistical movement. Widespread destruction in Vovchansk confirms heavy combat and significant damage. RF forces continue FPV drone operations targeting UAF logistics and personnel across multiple sectors. Drone footage indicates RF strikes on trenches, a command post, and a communications tower on the Rubtsovsk direction, with suggested electronic warfare activity against "STARLINK." RF forces are actively countering UAF attempts to regain Udachnoye, displaying a presence in previously contested structures. RF "Молния-2" UAVs reportedly struck a UAF temporary deployment point (PVD) in Sumy Oblast. RF UAV operators are disrupting UAF rotations in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. UAF reports one civilian killed in Polohy Raion due to enemy attacks. Oleg Sinegubov, Governor of Kharkiv Oblast, reports 18 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were subjected to enemy attacks over the past day, confirming widespread and persistent RF pressure in the region. "Воин DV" (RF milblogger) shares thermal drone footage of 35th Army Special Forces (Vostok Grouping) targeting UAF personnel with FPV drones and grenade drops in the Polohy direction, indicating continued RF FPV drone effectiveness and localized ground pressure. "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" (RF milblogger) shares video of army aviation operations in Kharkiv Oblast, Iziumskyi district, near Borovska Andriyivka, targeting areas in support of the 1st Tank Army's assault units, indicating concentrated RF air support for ground advances in this sector. "Народная милиция ДНР" shares video of RF 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion (ORB) destroying UAF communications antenna/Starlink in a rural area, confirming continued RF counter-C2 efforts. Liveuamap Source reports on daily clashes across South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv), Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Kherson directions, with UAF repelling numerous attacks, underscoring the widespread nature of combat. Colonelcassad reports FPV drone operators from "Sparta" battalion, 51st Guards Combined Arms Army, destroyed two UAF UAV control points and a communication antenna near Dimitrov. This is a significant claim regarding counter-UAF C2. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that during raid actions by "Morok" assault battalion, 225th Separate Assault Regiment, in the rear of the RF 810th Brigade, remote mining by "Pentagon" pilots stopped an RF attempt to intercept UAF. This suggests effective UAF counter-interdiction and FPV drone support for ground operations. Oleg Sinegubov, Governor of Kharkiv Oblast, reports RF attacked a civilian vehicle with a drone in Shevchenkivska community, confirming continued RF targeting of civilian transport. MoD Russia reports 215th Combined Arms Army's motorised rifle regiment (Zapad Group of Forces) conducting drills with AGS-17 Plamya at a training ground in the SVO zone, indicating continued RF combat training and the importance of AGS-17. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) reports "Работайте братья" showing "our little birds" (drones) invading Hryshyno, suggesting active RF drone operations in that area (likely Pokrovsk axis). "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shares a thermal drone video depicting a Russian soldier attempting to hide from a UAF drone operator (79th Airmobile Brigade), indicating active UAF drone hunter-killer operations and highlighting RF vulnerability. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) shares thermal imaging drone footage of a convoy attacked on a dirt road, which the caption attributes to "Anvar" special forces hunting UAF equipment and militants, supporting the Sumy offensive. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of Ukrainian snipers eliminating six Russian assault troops on the Toretsk front, Donetsk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF milblogger) reports that RF is increasingly using FPV "Zhduny" (waiting/ambush drones) in combat, with the video showing a Ukrainian soldier engaging a stationary target. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" posts videos showcasing new Russian "Kurier" (Courier) unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) with machine guns and mine-laying capabilities, and 'Fagot' remote-controlled robotic platforms with autocannons and mine-laying systems, indicating advanced robotic combat deployments. Colonelcassad reports on a destroyed dark-colored vehicle and a damaged two-story building (possibly a temporary deployment point, PVD) in Sumy Oblast, with three units of enemy (UAF) automotive equipment destroyed, attributed to Russian operators. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares video of a captured hexacopter "Baba Yaga" being operated by RF forces against its former owners, showcasing adaptive use of captured UAF equipment. Kadyrov_95 shares video footage of the 78th Motorized Rifle Regiment "Sever-Akhmat" conducting artillery strikes on enemy positions, demonstrating active combat operations. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares FPV drone footage showing a truck on a dirt road in a wooded area, indicating active RF reconnaissance and targeting operations in the Iziumskyi district of Kharkiv Oblast. "Оперативний ЗСУ" shares video showing a UAF MiG-29 conducting an aerial attack, described as "master class on dismantling the invaders' battalion headquarters" in Zaporizhzhia (Confidence: MEDIUM). "STERNENKO" shares drone footage indicating successful strikes by the 100th Separate Mechanized Brigade (OMBr) against an RF tank, armored fighting vehicle (BBBM), and personnel. The video also shows extensive damage to urban areas. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia shares a video of Russian military personnel preparing and deploying a multi-rotor drone in a dry, grassy field, suggesting reconnaissance or surveillance. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia reports that in Dnepropetrovsk region, operators of the Vostok Group's UAVs successfully overwhelmed control channels of an enemy heavy hexacopter. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces, along with the Antonovsky railway bridge over the Dnipro, have taken control of Alekseevsky Island. This indicates an RF advance in the Kherson direction, potentially securing key positions on the Dnipro River. (Confidence: MEDIUM) "Воин DV" shares archive footage of FPV drone operations on the South Donetsk direction, showing "Vostok" Grouping operators destroying engineering equipment and defensive positions. This reinforces RF's persistent use of FPV drones for tactical advantage. (Confidence: HIGH) RF milbloggers (Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z, Colonelcassad, «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат») are widely reporting that RF forces have penetrated Kupiansk via gas pipes ("Труба 3.0" tactic), describing a "whole underground artery" from Perviy Liman, used for moving assault groups on electric scooters and carts, with the journey taking 4 days. This suggests a highly adaptive and covert infiltration method, with a significant number of troops already dispersed in Kupiansk. (Confidence: HIGH) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UAF milblogger) reports RF struck a communal brigade in Kramatorsk, implying RF targeting of civilian infrastructure maintenance personnel. (Confidence: MEDIUM) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports RF killed civilians near Kramatorsk using a "Molniya" UAV. The accompanying video shows a car hit by an explosive strike on a dirt road. This is a grave allegation of a war crime. (Confidence: HIGH) Kotsnews and Рыбарь share drone footage, accompanied by map overlays (including "Deep State" watermark), showing a person, likely a soldier, in a trench or concealed position in a wooded area, possibly near Kupiansk. The "Купянский рывок" (Kupiansk Breakthrough) caption suggests these milbloggers are documenting RF advances or UAF defensive positions in the Kupiansk sector, confirming continued high-intensity combat in this area. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that Russian forces have advanced near Kupiansk and taken two railway stations under fire control, according to Марочко. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts video of drone footage from what appears to be a military operation near Hryshyno, depicting a motorcycle group, thermal imaging of a vehicle and skull icon, and later identifying a pickup truck and an artillery piece. The video seems to document reconnaissance and possible targeting activities. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces have taken control of forests southwest of Vovchansk. This indicates continued RF pressure and localized territorial gains in the Kharkiv direction. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces are advancing on Siversk in the DPR from three sides, intensifying pressure on UAF. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports RF forces have started battles for Zvanovka near Siversk in the DPR. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports the AFU went into deep defense in the Orikhiv direction, with RF claiming full control of the front line, destruction of UAF sabotage/reconnaissance groups, and pushing the enemy back, with "grey zones" also under RF control. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports the RF Armed Forces are clearing the outskirts of Krasny Liman near Torske and Kirovsk in the DPR. (Confidence: HIGH). STERNENKO (UAF milblogger) shares DeepState UA drone footage confirming RF forces crossing the Oskil River via gas pipes to infiltrate Kupiansk, with video evidence of a concealed individual in a wooded area near fields. (Confidence: HIGH) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UAF General Staff) issues operational information for 08:00 13.09.2025, including a combat map. This provides UAF's official assessment of the battlefield. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF milblogger) shares a summary of the UAF General Staff report for 08:00 13.09.2025, reinforcing the official UAF assessment. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS (03:37:53Z) reports RF Armed Forces, during a night assault, occupied UAF positions in a forest belt in the South Donetsk direction. Reported by a senior rifleman of the "Vostok" assault group with callsign Mamai. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS (03:47:01Z) reports a UAF group is surrounded in a forest area near Ambarnoye in Kharkiv Oblast. This was reported to TASS by Russian security forces. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (05:43:22Z) reports a significant fire at a plywood factory in Usolye-Sibirskoye, Irkutsk Oblast, Russia, covering 4000 sq.m. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS (05:54:00Z) reports Southern Group of Forces motorized rifle operators destroyed an R18 heavy drone, a vehicle, and UAF personnel on the Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka direction. (Confidence: HIGH) Kotsnews (05:53:06Z) shares drone footage of enemy assets, including a Gazelle vehicle, an armored fighting vehicle (BBBM), an ATV, and possibly a radio antenna, some burning or damaged. (Confidence: HIGH) Воин DV (05:39:06Z) shares drone footage of explosions, targeting of a structure, and a military truck on a dirt road, attributed to the 29th Army, "Vostok" Grouping, during offensive actions. (Confidence: HIGH) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (06:16:00Z) shares photo messages depicting the "Status of Casualties After Enemy Attacks" in Zaporizhzhia, indicating ongoing civilian impact from RF actions. (Confidence: HIGH) Сили оборони Півдня України (06:18:21Z) shares "Operational Information as of 08:00 13.09.2025," consistent with UAF official reporting. (Confidence: HIGH) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (06:22:24Z) shares video of RF T-80BVM tank crews from the "Center" Grouping of Forces operating on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, engaging enemy UAV launch points using "semi-direct fire" with continuous UAV correction. This confirms active RF tank operations, counter-UAV efforts, and adaptive fire control. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:27:02Z) reports "137 ENEMY UAVs SHOT DOWN/SUPPRESSED" as of 09:00 13.09.2025. This is a significant claim regarding UAF air defense effectiveness against a large-scale RF drone attack. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (06:28:58Z) reports "137/164 ENEMY UAVs AND 0/1 «ISKANDER-M»/KN-23 SHOT DOWN/SUPPRESSED", providing a more detailed breakdown. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (06:28:47Z) reports "RF launched 164 drones and attacked with an Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile overnight." This corroborates the scale of the RF attack and UAF air defense response. (Confidence: HIGH) ASTRA (06:29:47Z) reports "46 UN member states signed a statement on Russia's involvement in drones entering Polish airspace on the night of September 9-10," indicating continued international condemnation of RF actions. (Confidence: HIGH) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (06:31:06Z) claims "Polish military will arrive in Ukraine on September 18." This, if true, represents a significant escalation of international military presence and will be leveraged heavily by RF IO. (Confidence: MEDIUM) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (06:37:02Z) shares graphic video footage depicting multiple destroyed military vehicles (truck, motorcycles) and numerous casualties, some burned or dismembered, in a rural or wooded area. This suggests a recent high-casualty engagement. (Confidence: HIGH) Сливочный каприз (06:38:51Z) shares photo messages with the caption "13.09.25 Konstantinovka - Old Village," indicating continued RF presence and potential advances in this critical sector. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (07:03:01Z) reports that assault groups of the RF Armed Forces are indeed in Kupyansk, according to Ganchev. This confirms RF's infiltration of Kupyansk. (Confidence: HIGH) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (07:03:27Z) shares photo messages captioned "Activity of BECs in the Black Sea," potentially indicating increased RF surveillance or counter-USV operations. (Confidence: HIGH) Рыбарь (07:03:01Z) posts a "Summary for the morning of September 13, 2025," indicating a comprehensive overview of RF military operations. (Confidence: HIGH) WarGonzo (07:10:15Z) publishes a "Frontline summary for the morning of 13.09.25" with multiple tactical maps. These maps detail military control, combat actions, and settlements on the Donetsk Front (Pokrovskoye direction), South-Donetsk direction, and Kharkiv region. (Confidence: HIGH) Операция Z (07:09:58Z) and Военкор Котенок (07:23:17Z) continue to report on alleged "UAF terror" in Belgorod, with civilian casualties. TASS (07:11:02Z) also reports a civilian suffered concussion and shrapnel wounds from a drone detonation in Belgorod. (Confidence: HIGH) Воин DV (07:11:00Z) shares photo messages attributed to subscribers, likely showing RF military activity or observations from the field. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (07:13:20Z) reports that space vehicles launched from Plesetsk have reached their target orbit, according to RF MoD. (Confidence: HIGH) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (07:13:06Z) shares photo messages from the Sumy direction, potentially indicating RF presence or observations. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:16:50Z) reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Kharkiv Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (07:22:03Z) shares a photo message confirming "137 ENEMY UAVs SHOT DOWN/SUPPRESSED." (Confidence: HIGH) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (07:22:54Z) shares a photo message with the caption "Morning workouts. TacMed SOUTH," likely related to UAF medical training or operations. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (07:23:56Z) reports that headquarters of RF and Belarus have begun planning joint actions to destroy sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRGs) during "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:24:01Z) shares a satirical photo message with the caption "Thank you, Vladimir Vladimirovich!", likely mocking RF leadership over some perceived failure or absurdity. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad (07:26:57Z) shares photo messages depicting Prince Harry in Kyiv, with a caption making a derogatory reference to Ukrainian leadership and the British government. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia (07:30:19Z) shares a video showcasing Uragan MLRS of the "Vostok" Group of Forces neutralizing engineer fortifications, fire emplacements, and manpower of the enemy in Dnipropetrovsk region. (Confidence: HIGH) Олександр Вілкул (07:31:16Z) shares multiple photo messages of an award ceremony in Kryvyi Rih, related to "Kryvyi Rih – Sports City." (Confidence: HIGH) Николаевский Ванёк (07:31:13Z) shares a video showcasing scenes of everyday life and resilience in Mykolaiv, including destroyed military equipment. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (07:38:39Z) reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери «тіньового флоту» рф". This indicates further BDA and a significant operational impact on RF energy exports. (Confidence: HIGH) ASTRA (07:40:49Z) reports a woman in Belgorod received concussion and shrapnel wounds from a drone detonation, according to local authorities. This confirms civilian casualties from the ongoing drone attacks in Belgorod. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (07:44:26Z) also reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери "тіньового флоту" РФ", corroborating the previous message from Оперативний ЗСУ. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (07:45:36Z) shares a text message "❗️В мирних містах чудовий, тихий і спокійний ранок, але на фронті він далеко не такий," emphasizing the contrast between civilian life and front-line combat. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad (07:47:01Z) shares video footage captioned "Кадры со стороны противника" (Footage from the enemy side) showing destroyed military vehicles on a dirt road. This likely depicts UAF losses from RF operations. (Confidence: HIGH) Kotsnews (07:55:06Z) states "⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️Учения «Запад» и противоположные позиции," implying ongoing "West-2025" exercises and a commentary on opposing forces. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (07:57:02Z) shares video of Baltic Fleet forces practicing counter-sabotage operations against underwater saboteurs during "West-2025" exercises, including Ka-27 helicopters, patrol boats, landing craft, APC loading, naval gun mounts, and BM-21 Grad firing from a beach. This confirms further details of multi-domain exercise activities. (Confidence: HIGH) Операция Z (07:59:58Z) shares a video from "Военкоры Русской Весны" titled "‼️🇷🇺🇺🇦Подземный десант: Российские бойцы заходят в Купянск по трубам," with soldiers moving through a dark tunnel, claiming 4km length. This provides further visual confirmation of the "Труба 3.0" tactic and RF infiltration into Kupiansk. (Confidence: HIGH) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:00:59Z) also reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери «тіньового флоту» рф," providing additional corroboration of the Primorsk strike. (Confidence: HIGH) ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (07:51:56Z) reports "Map updated," indicating recent changes to the combat map which will need to be analyzed for specifics. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:50:43Z) reports "Ворожий БпЛА на сході Чернігівщини! Залучено засоби для їх збиття," confirming RF drone activity in Chernihiv Oblast and UAF air defense engagement. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (08:34:47Z) reports "Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia," indicating continued RF air support for ground operations or attacks on infrastructure. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (08:35:13Z) shares video of "Bastion coastal defence missile systems of Northern Fleet fire from coast of Zemlya Frantsa-Iosifa archipelago," confirming high-level military exercises involving long-range missile systems. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Alex Parker Returns (08:38:25Z) reports "Russians have already entered the residential areas of Kupyansk, DeepState stated. As usual, there's a lag of at least a week. And it's always like that for them." This reinforces the "Труба 3.0" infiltration tactic and highlights UAF's delayed public acknowledgment of RF advances. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: STERNENKO (08:40:18Z) reports "During yesterday's SBU special operation in Primorsk port, two tankers of the RF shadow fleet — Kusto and Cai Yun — were damaged, — Reuters." This provides further BDA on the UAF deep strike. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (08:42:06Z) reports "In Kharkiv Oblast, the RF Armed Forces struck an automotive company," indicating continued RF targeting of UAF logistics. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Сливочный каприз (08:45:12Z) shares photo messages with caption "13.09.25 Pokrovskoye - Novomykolaivka," indicating RF presence and potential advances in this critical sector. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Операция Z (08:49:58Z) reports "Russian Army liberated Novomykolaivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, — Ministry of Defense," reinforcing previous RF claims and indicating continued territorial gains. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:51:34Z) reports "RF troops attacked Kharkiv Oblast with aerial bombs and drones overnight," confirming continued RF air attacks on Kharkiv. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (08:53:43Z) reports "RF wants to buy back two S-400 air defense systems from Turkey, which it sold to the Turks in 2019 — media," suggesting potential RF air defense shortages or a desire to bolster systems. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (08:58:34Z) reports "Six drones destroyed over Belgorod Oblast, reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense," indicating continued UAF drone activity over RF territory and RF air defense responses. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (09:00:33Z) reports "As of 12.09, 9x Tu-95MS and 3x Tu-160 aircraft are near Ukraine at three airbases, - Tracking resource," indicating a significant concentration of RF strategic bombers near Ukraine. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:00:59Z) shares thermal imaging video of "military vehicles moving along [a] road," likely RF surveillance, suggesting active operations. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Военкор Котенок (09:03:20Z) states "Ukrainian information dumps started recognizing the entry of the RF Armed Forces into Kupyansk," indicating UAF's delayed public acknowledgment of RF advances in Kupiansk. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (09:03:31Z) shares video of "Tu-22m3 long-range bombers of Russian Aerospace Forces deliver air strike at mock enemy during Zapad 2025 exercise," confirming continued strategic bomber exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Colonelcassad (09:03:20Z) shares video of "Soyuz-2.1b" rocket launch from Plesetsk Cosmodrome for the RF Ministry of Defense, confirming a successful military space launch. (Confidence: HIGH)
Deep strikes persist on Ukrainian energy, industrial, and civilian infrastructure across 15 oblasts. Confirmed damage to the Sumy Oblast Administration (OVA) building, Ukrainian Government Headquarters in Kyiv, Sokil ice arena, Cabinet of Ministers building, and the Trypilska TPP. The death toll from the aviation bomb strike on Yarova, Donetsk Oblast, has risen to 25. Civilian casualties and damage from combined missile and drone attacks are confirmed in Vinnytsia (31 injured), Khmelnytskyi (sewing factory destroyed, 3 injured), Zhytomyr (1 killed, 5 injured), and Kramatorsk (central square, residential areas, market hit by drones). An energy object in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast has been hit by drones. Zaporizhzhia suffered a drone attack on a residential building, injuring two civilians, with four additional wounded reported from attacks on Prymorske and Zaporizhzhia. The 68-year-old man severely injured in a drone strike on Prymorske yesterday has died in hospital. Mykolaiv has experienced drone threats and explosions. Berdychiv (Zhytomyr Oblast) was hit by missile strikes. An enemy strike on an educational institution and the Holy Resurrection Cathedral in Sumy is confirmed. A "Shahed" drone hit one of Chernihiv's enterprises, causing a fire. Strikes on Nikopol region continued all day, affecting Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovsk, Myrove, and Chervonohryhorivka communities with artillery and drones. Acting Mayor of Sumy, Artem Kobzar, confirms two drone strikes on a non-residential building in Sumy, with casualty information being clarified. RBC-Ukraine reports RF struck a "promyslova zona" (industrial zone) on the outskirts of Sumy with drones. Explosions and a significant fire are reported at an oil depot in Smolensk Oblast and Primorsk port in Leningrad Oblast, attributed to UAF drone attacks. RBC-Ukraine reports an update, confirming one security guard killed under the rubble in Sumy. RBC-Ukraine reports RF launched missiles at Sumy Oblast, causing fatalities and destruction in residential areas, confirming continued RF missile targeting of civilian populations. RBC-Ukraine reports 2 people killed and 5 houses destroyed in a village in Sumy Oblast due to RF strike. ASTRA reports three people killed after a Russian attack in Sumy Oblast, as confirmed by local authorities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports two people killed and five injured in the village of Bytytsia, Sumy Oblast, as a result of a missile strike, confirming the ASTRA report and specifying the location. STERNENKO (UAF milblogger) and Sumy Oblast Military Administration (OVA) confirm one person killed in Sumy due to RF drone strike this morning. "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)" reports "Another tragedy in Nikopol region, caused by enemy terror." The accompanying images, however, do not show military targets or direct damage, but rather a neglected civilian vehicle. This implies an ongoing, if less severe, impact on civilian life from RF actions, though the immediate assessment of the photos indicates no direct military significance. "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" shares video of an alleged UAV strike on a Transneft oil pumping station "Vtorovo" in Vladimir Oblast, Russia, if verified, this represents a significant expansion of UAF deep strike range and target type. Colonelcassad reports FAB guided aerial bomb strikes on UAF positions in Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, indicating continued RF use of KABs on rear areas. TASS reports 1 killed, 6 wounded in Kherson Oblast due to UAF shelling, which RF will use for IO. ASTRA reports the woman killed in Belgorod this morning died from the impact of a "Pantsir" air defense missile booster, confirming RF air defense malfunction/collateral damage and contradicting earlier RF claims. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports an "explosive morning" in Leningrad Oblast, with videos of explosions, reinforcing previous UAF deep strike claims. Colonelcassad provides a "chronicle of strikes on Ukraine" for 11-12 September, indicating ongoing RF analysis and reporting of its own strike activities. "Alex Parker Returns" shares video of an alleged strike on a fuel object in Vladimir Oblast, further supporting the claim of a UAF deep strike on a Transneft oil pumping station and commenting on the lack of RF air defense. "Север.Реалии" reports that the woman killed in Belgorod was killed by a "Pantsir" air defense missile booster, reaffirming the ASTRA report. UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration's video highlights restoration work on energy facilities, construction of protective structures for transformers, and winter preparations in Zaporizhzhia, following enemy attacks. TASS reports a UAF drone attacked the Smolensk Nuclear Power Plant, hitting ancillary facilities and breaking several windows, but not affecting safety. Colonelcassad reports a UAF drone attack on the Smolensk Nuclear Power Plant. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) and "Военкор Котенок" also amplify the claim of UAF attacking the Smolensk NPP, framing it as "nuclear terrorism." ASTRA, citing SBU sources, confirms the strike on Primorsk oil loading port. Росатом (RF State Nuclear Energy Corporation) reports no damage to critical infrastructure at the Smolensk Nuclear Power Plant, only minor damage to a fence and an administrative building from a Ukrainian drone. This contradicts previous reports of ancillary facilities being hit, reducing the scope of potential damage and RF's previous claims of "nuclear terrorism" framing. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno (UAF milblogger) provides an analysis of the alleged UAF UAV strike on the Transneft oil pumping station "Vtorovo," concluding that a "Lyutyy" UAV hit a technological overpass with pipelines, signal, and power cables. This provides specific BDA and target information, increasing the confidence in the success and impact of the strike. ASTRA reports that two berths and an oil tanker were damaged in the Primorsk oil loading port after a UAV attack, providing additional BDA for the UAF deep strike. TASS reports the body of a third deceased person was discovered on Elbrus after a cable car accident, a civilian incident (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports one teenager died and two were injured in a pit bike collision with a truck in Stavropol, a civilian incident (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad shares a video which visually represents an animated scheme of strikes on the territory of Ukraine between September 11-12, 2025. This indicates a summary of recent RF strike operations (Confidence: HIGH). The new messages from ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (18:07:31, 18:07:31) show videos of a large industrial facility engulfed in flames and dark smoke. The timestamp and description suggest this may be additional BDA from a UAF deep strike, potentially in the Leningrad or Smolensk Oblasts as previously reported, or a new target. The scale of the fire indicates a significant incident.
Reports indicate at least eight explosions in occupied Donetsk, with TASS claiming UAF missile attacks repelled. Mash on Donbas reports power outages in Kyivskyi district of Donetsk and damaged windows in a traumatology hospital and nearby residential buildings, with a new video claiming a multi-apartment building in Donetsk was hit, "presumably by NATO MLRS." UAF FPV drones reportedly attacked a civilian vehicle near Polyana, Starodubsky Municipal District, Belgorod Oblast, Russia. ASTRA reports 6 people were injured in attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Belgorod Oblast, with a Pyaterochka supermarket among the affected targets. An ammunition depot in occupied Luhansk is also reported to be exploding due to UAF drone strikes. An attack by over 30 UAVs was repelled in three municipalities of Rostov Oblast, causing damage to a private house and two cars, but no casualties. A massive drone attack was launched on Leningrad Oblast overnight, with a fire reported on a vessel in Primorsk port, which has since been extinguished. ASTRA reports a fire on a pumping station in Primorsk was also extinguished, without casualties. TASS reports one person killed and 24 injured over two days in Belgorod Oblast from UAF attacks. Russian MoD claims to have shot down 221 Ukrainian UAVs over Russian regions overnight, with 9 of them over the Moscow region. Russian Governor Gladkov (Belgorod Oblast) reports 1 killed, 24 injured in Belgorod Oblast over two days from UAF attacks. Bryansk Oblast Governor reports UAF strikes on a passenger minibus, injuring 5 people, including 2 "Bars-Bryansk" fighters. WarGonzo further clarifies seven people wounded in a mass drone attack on Bryansk Oblast. Mash on Donbas reports a large traffic jam towards Khartsyzk due to an accident, with a military-style truck present, potentially indicating local logistical disruption or increased security measures for RF forces. Поддубный (RF milblogger) reports two people killed in Belgorod Oblast due to UAF drone attacks over the past three days, specifically mentioning a woman killed this morning in Belgorod city, and overall 24 injured, reiterating and amplifying previous reports of civilian casualties. ASTRA reports the mayor of Belgorod confirms a woman killed by a UAF strike in Belgorod. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" (UAF milblogger) shares graphic video footage depicting the aftermath of what appears to be an artillery strike in a rural area, showing multiple deceased and dismembered individuals. The context implies high-casualty combat or indiscriminate targeting of personnel, further underscoring the brutality of the conflict. RBC-Ukraine reports that SBU drones have hit the Primorsk port, leading to suspension of oil shipments. This is a significant claim regarding the impact on RF energy exports. Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF milblogger) reports a shootout with two fatalities occurred in an auto service office in Lviv Oblast, confirming an internal security incident. Басурин о главном (RF milblogger) shares a map depicting alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions outside the SVO zone, claiming "terrorist war against civilians." Maria Zakharova (RF MFA spokesperson) confirms RF's narrative of Ukrainian "terrorist war" against Russian civilians, citing specific incidents in Belgorod, Bryansk, Moscow, and Voronezh regions, as well as alleged shelling in DPR/LPR. RBC-Україна reports on the possibility of a nuclear accident at the "Neutron Source" facility in Kharkiv due to RF strikes. Mash on Donbas reports that a house in Makeyevka, DPR, previously damaged, has now been declared unsafe. TASS reports two people, a married couple, were killed in a cable car accident on Elbrus, in Russia, a civilian incident. Север.Реалии (07:09:07Z) shares a quote from a civilian describing verbal aggression and threats from a "zombified" individual who supports the conflict, indicating internal social division and tension within Russia. (Confidence: HIGH)
UAV activity remains extremely high. UAF Air Force reports 62 of 66 enemy UAV targets were shot down/suppressed overnight. Groups of enemy UAVs are entering southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast from Temporarily Occupied Territories (TOT), course - north/northwest, and additional KABs are launched on Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. RF claims destruction of 225 Ukrainian UAVs, one Neptune guided missile, and three HIMARS MLRS rockets over the past day. RF reconnaissance UAVs are active in the Black Sea towards Odesa and in Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts. RF drones are confirmed active across central, western, and northern Ukraine. UAF Air Force reports guided aerial bombs launched on Donetsk Oblast and Sumy Oblast. A RF kamikaze drone "Upyr" was reported engaging a UAF interceptor drone near Prykolotne, Kharkiv. UAF 'Lazar' unit utilized FPV drones to destroy a bridge near Nova Tavolzhanka. A Ukrainian "Yozhka" drone was reportedly shot down near Lyman. Reconnaissance UAVs are reported in central Chernihiv Oblast. A captured Ukrainian reconnaissance drone ("Shark") was showcased, claimed to be destroyed by RF "Fever" fighters. UAF thermal imaging drone video shows a series of artillery strikes impacting Russian military positions in Kharkiv direction. RF drone footage showcases identification and engagement of various enemy assets including a pickup truck, a Leopard-1 tank, artillery, an unknown vehicle, and a 'BABA-YAGA' drone. UAF General Staff reports RF combat losses over the last 24 hours include 890 personnel. UAF General Staff reports 890 RF personnel eliminated over the past 24 hours (Sept 11-12). UAF General Staff provides a tactical map analysis of enemy failed attempts to advance. RF milblogger Colonelcassad presents video of FPV drone operations targeting UAF transport in forest belts of Chernihiv Oblast. Ukrainian Defense Forces (DSHV) share video of RF "motorcycle assaults," depicting both RF tactics and UAF counter-engagement. UAF Air Force reports 33 enemy UAVs shot down/suppressed, indicating continued air defense effectiveness against persistent RF drone attacks. RBC-Ukraine reports RF launched 40 drones overnight, including 20 Shaheds, with 33 shot down. RF milblogger Colonelcassad presents video evidence of RF snipers successfully downing Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" heavy strike drones on the Krasnoarmeysk direction. UAF 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" shares video of new advanced UAVs being deployed. Colonelcassad reports 221 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed by RF air defense overnight. This is a significant claim, almost matching the previous RF MOD claim. ASTRA reports the Ukrainian Air Force states Russia attacked with 40 drones overnight. UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in northern Chernihiv and Sumy Oblasts, indicating continued ISR pressure on the northern border. "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports air strike warnings for Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued aerial threat. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shares multiple videos depicting night-time explosions and missile trails, including an alleged UAV strike on Primorsk Port and a significant explosion in an urban/industrial area, reinforcing UAF deep strike claims. "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports new reconnaissance UAV activity on the north of Chernihiv and east of Sumy Oblasts, indicating persistent RF ISR. Kotsnews reports RF is testing a "heavy drone evading EW," potentially indicating new RF drone development. "Два майора" shares an image of an alleged Ukrainian drone payload, implying UAF drone attacks. UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports no information on destruction or casualties at 101, 102, 103, regarding current air raid activity in Zaporizhzhia. This confirms ongoing vigilance but no confirmed impact yet. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) shares video titled "Работайте братья" depicting RF drone operations, indicating active deployment of UAVs. Kotsnews shares drone footage of an artillery impact, showing a soldier moving through smoky terrain, underscoring ongoing combat. "Два майора" shares video of a Russian exhibition of UAVs and counter-drone technologies ("Дронница"), suggesting a significant investment in developing drone capabilities. MoD Russia reports that from 6 to 12 September, RF conducted one massive and six group strikes against Ukrainian defense industry, transport, and energy infrastructure, military airfields, and depots. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares new video footage from a drone's perspective, showing active combat operations with explosions and destruction of military vehicles in wooded and open areas, indicating continued RF drone surveillance and targeting. STERNENKO (UAF milblogger) reports 5 more enemy UAVs shot down, sharing drone footage of a small, white, fixed-wing UAV ("SKY RUSORIZ") flying over a rural area, indicating ongoing UAF counter-UAV efforts and potential fundraising for this project. "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a threat of aviation munition use in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykove district). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a strike UAV in northern Kherson Oblast moving southwest. Colonelcassad reports a hexacopter "Baba Yaga" was shot down by "Viking" operators with one precise strike, showing continued RF counter-UAV efforts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a threat of aviation munitions use for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. "Военкор Котенок" shares photo of wreckage of a Ukrainian Su-27, claimed to be shot down yesterday in Zaporizhzhia (Confidence: HIGH). "Военкор Котенок" provides an immediate assessment of the wreckage (Confidence: HIGH). "Оперативний ЗСУ" reports the air raid alert has been lifted for Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Confidence: HIGH). MoD Russia shares a video of Russian military personnel preparing and deploying a multi-rotor drone in a dry, grassy field, suggesting reconnaissance or surveillance. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia reports that in Dnepropetrovsk region, operators of the Vostok Group's UAVs successfully overwhelmed control channels of an enemy heavy hexacopter. (Confidence: HIGH) Підрозділ Shadow (UAF milblogger) shares video showing drone footage of Ukrainian forces engaged in combat operations against Russian soldiers in trench positions, with an explosion visible near the trench, indicating active engagements and UAF drone reconnaissance/targeting (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad shares an animated scheme of strikes on the territory of Ukraine between September 11-12, 2025, detailing Geran and UMPK (guided aerial bombs) targeting Sumy, Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. This provides a clear overview of RF's recent air/missile activity (Confidence: HIGH). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast moving west/south (18:12:23), indicating continued RF drone activity in the region. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts in Ukraine (18:14:54), indicating ongoing aerial threats in various regions. STERNENKO (UAF milblogger) reports on "Drone safety" in several Russian oblasts (Rostov, Smolensk, Kaluga, Voronezh, Saratov, Tambov, Volgograd, Belgorod, Bryansk, Kuban, and occupied Crimea), implying UAF drone activity or threats in these areas. (Confidence: MEDIUM) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of strike UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast moving westward. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна shares an updated map of enemy drone movements, indicating ongoing aerial threats. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia shares drone footage of military vehicles being targeted by FPV drones, including trucks and armored vehicles, with successful strikes visible. The video also shows a camouflaged armored vehicle under artillery strike. This confirms active RF FPV drone and artillery operations against UAF targets. (Confidence: HIGH) Kotsnews and Рыбарь share drone footage with map overlays indicating an overhead view of a wooded area, showing a soldier in a trench or concealed position. The captions "Купянский рывок" suggest this is related to RF operations or UAF defenses in the Kupiansk sector. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of strike UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast moving south, and others on the south of Mykolaiv Oblast heading towards Odesa. (Confidence: HIGH) RBC-Ukraine reports explosions in Odesa. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts an interview with a civilian, Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Gudkov, who describes being detained, threatened, and robbed by Russian soldiers in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH). РБК-Україна (00:15:16) reports almost 50 UN member states condemned RF drone attack on Poland, suggesting continued international support for Ukraine in diplomatic forums. UPDATE: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on Donetsk Oblast, strike UAVs in Kherson Oblast moving towards Mykolaiv Oblast, and KABs on Sumy Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH). РБК-Україна shares photo messages with a map of Ukraine indicating air alerts, showing strike UAVs in Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. (Confidence: HIGH).
Ukrainian HUR (Main Intelligence Directorate) units successfully struck and disabled an RF Black Sea Fleet vessel (Project MPSV07) near Novorossiysk. Russian channels are circulating video of a missile attack on artillery depots of RF's "Dnipro" Grouping of Forces located in Sonyachna Dolyna near Sudak in occupied Crimea. Ukrainian "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" shares multiple videos and text suggesting successful UAF drone attacks causing fires and explosions in Smolensk and Leningrad Oblasts, including a LUKOIL facility and Primorsk. The 46th Separate Airmobile Podilsky Brigade of the UAF DSHV shares photos celebrating a soldier who "burned 16 tanks and returned every time after being wounded," an internal UAF morale-boosting message. Colonelcassad shares video claiming an optical fiber FPV drone "VT-40" destroyed a storage site of 155mm M203A1 propelling charges, with a stated range of 30km. This, if verified, demonstrates effective RF counter-battery intelligence and drone-based targeting of UAF artillery logistics. "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" and TASS report new batches of BMP-3s with enhanced protection kits and BMD-2s (after overhaul and modernization) have been delivered to RF troops, indicating sustained military production and improved armored vehicle capabilities. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) provides a series of photos under the caption "#Филия," which are tactical map screenshots of the Novopavlovsk direction. These images appear to depict Russian advances and territorial control in this area, indicating ongoing offensive operations or consolidation of gains, though the specific details of the map legend and symbols are not fully discernable without further context. "Воин DV" (RF milblogger) provides video footage claiming the "liberation" of Novopetrovskoye, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, by "Vostok" Grouping, with supporting drone footage of artillery strikes and claimed M-777 destruction. TASS provides video of Northern Fleet deployments for "West-2025" exercises, showcasing frigates, destroyers, and submarines, highlighting large-scale naval activity. "Операция Z" (RusVesna) shares video of alleged liberation of Novopetrovskoye, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, by RF MOD, reinforcing Colonelcassad's claim. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the 141st Mechanized Brigade has received Croatian M-84 tanks, indicating continued Western military aid and UAF modernization. TASS reports the Pacific Fleet has started planned exercises with nuclear submarines and Bastion coastal missile systems, indicating further large-scale RF naval exercises. "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" shares video of a military chaplain interacting with soldiers, offering spiritual support in combat zones, indicating efforts to boost morale through religious means. MoD Russia shares video of Northern Fleet forces deployed in near-shore and off-shore maritime zones for Zapad 2025, confirming naval component of the exercises. "Сливочный каприз" shares charts indicating the "Pace of offensive operation of the Russian Armed Forces in the SMO zone," claiming advances of up to 40 km² per day, providing RF's internal assessment of offensive tempo. Colonelcassad reports an ongoing criminal case against former head of RF Ministry of Defense military representation, Andrei Tyurin, for abuse of power in state defense orders. "Сливочный каприз" shares drone footage of a settlement under artillery bombardment (Krasnoarmeysk/Pokrovsk area), confirming continued ground pressure. "Воин DV" comments on Ukraine's delayed admission of territorial losses, indicating RF's view of UAF's information control. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF milblogger) shares video showing armored personnel carriers (APCs) or infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) moving in formation through wooded and open terrain, an attack helicopter (Ka-52 or Mi-28) in flight, a Tu-160 strategic bomber on a runway, and naval operations with warships, a hovercraft, and a submarine, with the caption "Кадры начала учений "Запад-2025"", confirming the commencement of large-scale military exercises involving multiple RF service branches. "Два майора" (RF milblogger) and "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" (RF milblogger) make public appeals for donations for their respective units, suggesting direct support for their operations. Colonelcassad posts a video about a "Collection for the 4th auto column," showcasing the restoration and modification of a civilian vehicle (likely a Niva) with military-inspired paint and "Z" symbols, indicating ongoing volunteer efforts to supply vehicles for RF forces. "Воин DV" shares a video from the Zaporizhzhia direction featuring a soldier with the callsign "Kizovsky," showing the work of an evacuation group under fire, including destroyed military equipment and bodies of deceased soldiers, with a Turkish self-loading rifle (AKdal MKA-1919) identified in the footage. This highlights intense combat and ongoing efforts to retrieve casualties and equipment. "Старше Эдды" shares a video titled "Svoi. Douglas — Cortes: on the work of reactive artillery and loyalty to the Russian army," which likely features RF reactive artillery in action and promotes loyalty narratives. "Старше Эдды" also shares a video from Senior Lieutenant Ivan Kurbatov of the 90th Tank Division, from a tank in a combat zone, delivering a patriotic message to Moscow. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video depicting Ukrainian soldiers carrying a body on a stretcher through wooded and open terrain, implying ongoing casualty evacuation operations. "Оперативний ЗСУ" shares a video showing a UAF MiG-29 conducting an aerial attack, described as "master class on dismantling the invaders' battalion headquarters" in Zaporizhzhia (Confidence: MEDIUM). "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" shares a video depicting drone thermal imaging footage of a moving vehicle at night, with a crosshair reticle, suggesting active surveillance or targeting. (Confidence: HIGH) "Игорь Артамонов" shares video depicting civilian development projects, including school construction and kindergarten renovation, unrelated to military operations. (Confidence: HIGH) "Басурин о главном" shares video of a Russian Ministry of Defense meeting discussing economical management principles and digitalization, featuring Shoigu and Belousov, focused on internal efficiency. (Confidence: HIGH) "Два майора" shares video of mobile groups of marine special forces with FPV drones protecting the coast of Crimea from uncrewed surface vessels (BEC) and other threats at night, showing drone deployment and monitoring. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad shares video of Lada Niva vehicles being painted in matte green camouflage, indicating ongoing volunteer efforts to supply modified civilian vehicles for RF forces. (Confidence: HIGH). MoD Russia shares a video detailing servicemen of the 37th Separate Guards Motorised Rifle Brigade (Vostok Group of Forces) liberating Novopetrovskoye (Dnepropetrovsk region) during offensive operations. This confirms unit involvement in a key territorial gain (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad (18:17:02) shares graphic photo messages of alleged UAF serviceman remains in the border zone. While I cannot analyze the content directly, the presence of such imagery from an RF milblogger aims to fuel IO narratives of UAF losses and atrocities. ТАСС (18:23:46) shares a video of rescuers evacuating a third body from a cable car accident on Elbrus. This is a civilian incident, but RF milbloggers may use such events to show the resilience of Russian emergency services or to divert attention. Kadyrov_95 (18:26:17) shares a video of the opening of a newly renovated highway from Grozny. This civilian infrastructure project aims to project normalcy, economic development, and positive governance, serving as internal morale-boosting IO. Zelenskiy / Official (18:28:53) and КМВА (18:29:22) share videos of President Zelenskyy meeting with advisors from UK, Germany, France, and Italy to discuss support and security guarantees. This confirms high-level diplomatic efforts to secure continued Western aid. Два майора (18:33:00) shares video of thermal imaging from a drone, showing multiple explosions and artillery impacts in the Siverske direction. This indicates active RF artillery and drone operations in that area, likely targeting UAF positions or concentrations.
UPDATE: Оперативний ЗСУ (18:10:05) highlights an urgent need for a retranslator for the 72nd Brigade on the Kupiansk direction, indicating potential communication and C2 challenges for this UAF unit. The UAF General Staff (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 18:17:55, Оперативний ЗСУ 18:30:14) is considering implementing mobile network shutdowns or internet slowdowns during air raid alerts, a significant control measure impacting friendly forces and civilian population alike. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (18:42:02) shares drone footage of a destroyed and burning vehicle, identifying it as a civilian vehicle struck by an RF "Molniya" kamikaze drone near Kramatorsk. This highlights the ongoing threat to civilian movement and confirms RF's disregard for non-combatants. DeepState (18:54:31) and Оперативний ЗСУ (19:01:50, 19:03:35) reveal RF forces utilizing gas pipes to cross the Oskil River and infiltrate Kupiansk, demonstrating an adaptive and covert infiltration tactic that UAF forces will need to counter. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (19:00:57) shares an interview with the former mayor of Kherson, Volodymyr Mykolaenko, discussing perceived failures in the initial defense of Kherson, which may be relevant for UAF internal reviews and accountability. TASS reports RF forces have taken control of Alekseevsky Island along with the Antonovsky railway bridge over the Dnipro. This indicates an RF advance in the Kherson direction, potentially securing key positions on the Dnipro River. (Confidence: MEDIUM) "Воин DV" shares archive footage of FPV drone operations on the South Donetsk direction, showing "Vostok" Grouping operators destroying engineering equipment and defensive positions. This reinforces RF's persistent use of FPV drones for tactical advantage. (Confidence: HIGH) RF milbloggers (Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z, Colonelcassad, «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат») are widely reporting that RF forces have penetrated Kupiansk via gas pipes ("Труба 3.0" tactic), describing a "whole underground artery" from Perviy Liman, used for moving assault groups on electric scooters and carts, with the journey taking 4 days. This suggests a highly adaptive and covert infiltration method, with a significant number of troops already dispersed in Kupiansk. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia shares drone footage of military vehicles being targeted by FPV drones, including trucks and armored vehicles, with successful strikes visible. The video also shows a camouflaged armored vehicle under artillery strike. This confirms active RF FPV drone and artillery operations against UAF targets. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that the USA has imposed restrictions against entities in several countries, accusing them of supplying various products to the Russian Federation. This indicates continued Western economic pressure on Russia. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video featuring a young Polish volunteer, Wojciech Antoni, serving in the 25th Airborne Brigade in Ukraine. This highlights the presence of foreign fighters and cross-border solidarity against RF aggression. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that the majority of UN countries did not sign a statement on RF's involvement in the UAV incident in Poland. This is an RF IO attempt to counter accusations and sow doubt about its responsibility. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS shares a photo message stating that the Central Election Commission (CEC) will analyze electoral legislation and prepare proposals for its improvement after the unified voting day. This is a domestic RF IO message aimed at projecting democratic process and good governance. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that Russian forces have advanced near Kupiansk and taken two railway stations under fire control, according to Марочко. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports US authorities believe Kirk's killer acted alone. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad posts photo messages and text regarding Poland's reaction to alleged Russian UAV incursions, highlighting the "Why us?" sentiment and perceived NATO preparations. (Confidence: HIGH). Операция Z (RusVesna) reports the majority of UN countries did not support Poland's accusations against Russia regarding UAV incursions. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports the USA stated to other G7 countries that they should impose duties against buyers of Russian oil. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad posts video of drone footage from what appears to be a military operation near Hryshyno, depicting a motorcycle group, thermal imaging of a vehicle and skull icon, and later identifying a pickup truck and an artillery piece. The video seems to document reconnaissance and possible targeting activities. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces have taken control of forests southwest of Vovchansk. This indicates continued RF pressure and localized territorial gains in the Kharkiv direction. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces are advancing on Siversk in the DPR from three sides, intensifying pressure on UAF. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad (00:28:01) posts photo messages with the caption "Убийство Кирка по новостным заголовкам" (Kirk's Murder by News Headlines). This indicates RF milbloggers are leveraging the Kirk assassination for IO, likely to sow distrust in Western narratives or exploit internal US political events. UPDATE: TASS reports that residents of Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kyiv-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts are being mobilized into the UAF more frequently than others. This suggests targeted mobilization efforts by UAF in these regions, which RF will use for IO. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad (01:03:01) reports TCC officers beat a man in Dnipro, sharing video. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS (03:28:24Z) reports that the military commandant of a railway station, Mikhail Demidov, prevented the destruction of an RF ammunition train. This suggests an active UAF interdiction attempt against a critical RF logistical asset. (Confidence: HIGH)
Conditions remained generally clear and favorable for air operations, including missile and UAV strikes across most of Ukraine. Localized heavy rainfall caused significant flooding in Kyiv. Expected thunderstorms in Kharkiv could temporarily impact local air operations. Storm weather is reported in Donetsk. RF tactical aviation is actively launching KABs on Sumy, Donetsk, and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. A ballistic missile threat from the northeast has been reported and subsequently lifted for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RF reconnaissance UAVs are active in the Black Sea towards Odesa and in Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts. RF drones are confirmed active across central, western, and northern Ukraine. Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is under missile threat, with drone attacks confirmed on Synelnykove. A nationwide air raid alert was active due to the launch of an RF MiG-31K, a carrier of the "Kinzhal" aeroballistic missile, which was subsequently lifted. Fields and dry grass caught fire on the outskirts of Yenakiieve, potentially impacting visibility. Over 201 hectares of Kharkiv Oblast territory demined in a week. Krasnodar airport has reopened for civilian flights for the first time since the start of the war, indicating an improving logistical environment in southern RF. A Mi-8 helicopter made a hard landing in Kaliningrad due to bad weather. Poland has closed its border with Belarus, with military personnel deploying barricades and concertina wire. Air defense forces are active against UAVs over the southwestern part of Leningrad Oblast, and Pulkovo airport has implemented a "Carpet" plan (airspace closure). Enemy UAVs are detected in eastern Sumy Oblast, moving west. Additional UAVs heading towards Moscow have been destroyed. Pulkovo airport has warned of possible schedule adjustments. Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation are reported in Sumy Oblast. Enemy strike UAVs are detected in the Kakhovka region (Kherson Oblast), moving towards Mykolaiv Oblast. Over 20 UAVs have been destroyed over Leningrad Oblast, with debris fall recorded in Tosno. Enemy drones are approaching Kharkiv from the east. Air defense is active in Kyiv Oblast. Restrictions have been imposed in the airports of Ivanovo, Pskov, Yaroslavl, and St. Petersburg overnight. Enemy UAVs are detected in the northeastern part of Sumy Oblast. An explosion has been heard in Sumy, followed by several more explosions amidst drone activity. A ballistic missile threat from Kursk Oblast has been issued and subsequently lifted. The fire on a vessel in Primorsk port has been extinguished. "West-2025" joint exercises of Belarusian and Russian armed forces have started on training grounds in both countries and in the Baltic and Barents Seas. TASS reports "Pobeda" airline is adjusting flight schedules due to temporary restrictions at Pulkovo airport and Leningrad Oblast airspace, with some flights delayed. ASTRA reports 28 flights delayed, 13 cancelled, and 11 diverted at Pulkovo airport due to drone attacks. UAF Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports that flight restrictions have been lifted at the airports of Ivanovo and Yaroslavl. TASS reports that flight service for departures has resumed at Pulkovo airport. UAF Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation in Donetsk Oblast, indicating persistent air support for ground operations. "Север.Реалии" reports Pskov Governor has moved information about drone attacks to the state messenger Max, possibly indicating increased sensitivity or control over public information regarding deep strikes. "Новости Москвы" reports geomagetic disturbances from a new coronal hole may last up to 6 days, which could potentially impact satellite communications or other electronic systems. "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" issues an air raid alert and "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports KABs on Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued RF use of guided aerial bombs in the area, likely for close air support of ground operations. TASS reports earthquake in Bishkek, likely unrelated to conflict, but can serve as a distraction for RF population. TASS reports Pskov airport restrictions have been lifted, indicating a return to normalcy for this civilian air hub, previously impacted by UAF deep strikes. TASS and Новости Москвы report a record dry start to autumn in Moscow, which could impact agriculture and increase fire risk, but has no direct military significance at this time. UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia city has been lifted, but missile danger for the region persists, indicating localized and ongoing threats. UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the air raid alert has been fully lifted, indicating a temporary cessation of immediate aerial threats in the region. UAF Air Force reports enemy attack UAVs heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast from northern Kherson Oblast. TASS reports the Northern Fleet has deployed forces in the Arctic Ocean for "West-2025" exercises. Germany's MFA summoned the Russian ambassador regarding the drone incident in Poland, highlighting the diplomatic severity of these events. Mash on Donbas reports explosions over Donetsk and active air defense, indicating continued aerial threats in the occupied territories. TASS reports Aeroflot has opened ticket sales for direct flights from Krasnodar for international programs, confirming further normalization of air travel from this southern RF hub. "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" issues a threat of aviation munition use in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykove district). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сиили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a threat of aviation munitions use for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Новости Москвы reports anticipated frosts down to -2°C in some areas of Moscow region, which could impact ground operations and personnel comfort in the coming days. STERNENKO (UAF milblogger) reports that Poland, Latvia, and Lithuania have partially closed their airspace, indicating a direct response to recent RF drone incursions and heightened regional security. "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" reports the air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted (Confidence: HIGH). ASTRA reports that Lithuania and Estonia have closed their airspace for the duration of the Russian-Belarusian military exercises "West-2025." (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast moving west/south (Confidence: HIGH). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a ballistic missile threat from the east (Confidence: HIGH). РБК-Україна reports a high-speed target in Kharkiv Oblast moving west (Confidence: HIGH). AV БогомаZ reports that RF MOD air defense units detected and suppressed a UAF UAV over Bryansk Oblast (Confidence: HIGH). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:10:24) reports the lifting of a ballistic missile threat, likely for Zaporizhzhia given the previous alert, indicating a temporary cessation of immediate aerial danger in that region. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (18:10:59) confirms the air raid alert has been lifted, supporting the Air Force report for Zaporizhzhia.
UPDATE: The UAF Air Force (18:12:23) reports strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast are moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, indicating a continued aerial threat. An updated map of air raid alerts in Ukraine from РБК-Україна (18:14:54) shows ongoing aerial threats in various regions. TASS (18:56:06) reports KAB launches on Sumy Oblast, indicating continued RF aerial bombardment. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of strike UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast moving westward. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна shares an updated map of enemy drone movements, indicating ongoing aerial threats. (Confidence: HIGH) Prolonged geomagnetic storms are expected to begin on Sunday, potentially lasting up to six days. This could significantly impact satellite communications, GPS, and other electronic systems critical for both friendly and enemy operations. (Confidence: MEDIUM) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of strike UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast moving south, and others on the south of Mykolaiv Oblast heading towards Odesa. (Confidence: HIGH) RBC-Ukraine reports explosions in Odesa. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad posts an interview with a civilian, Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Gudkov, who describes being detained, threatened, and robbed by Russian soldiers in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS (00:22:01) reports that August temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere were the third highest on record. This is a general environmental factor but does not directly impact current military operations. UPDATE: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on Donetsk Oblast, strike UAVs in Kherson Oblast moving towards Mykolaiv Oblast, and KABs on Sumy Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH). РБК-Україна shares photo messages with a map of Ukraine indicating air alerts, showing strike UAVs in Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. (Confidence: HIGH).
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (01:40:48Z) reports Strike UAVs in Zaporizhzhia moving towards Kirovohrad Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (01:46:56Z) confirms strike UAVs in Zaporizhzhia moving towards Kirovohrad Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (01:55:13Z) shares a photo message with the caption "😱 RF will not stop at Poland? Ukraine at the UN announced where to expect enemy drones next." (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (01:55:14Z) shares an image of a man in a suit, gesturing, likely a Ukrainian representative at the UN. (Confidence: HIGH) Colonelcassad (02:03:01Z, 02:03:02Z) shares video messages detailing Chinese Air Force combat training for fighter and refueling aircraft. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (02:03:37Z, 02:03:38Z) shares a video message with a Russian tank battalion commander claiming UAF is in deep defense in the Orikhiv direction, with RF controlling the front line and grey zones. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (02:16:08Z) reports temporary restrictions at Volgograd and Yaroslavl airports. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (02:30:16Z) reports a successful launch of "Soyuz-2.1b" from Plesetsk Cosmodrome for the RF Ministry of Defense. (Confidence: HIGH) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (03:14:31Z) reports air raid alert lifted for Zaporizhzhia. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (03:18:04Z) reports a tsunami threat on Kamchatka after a 6.3 magnitude earthquake. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (03:22:59Z, 03:23:00Z) reports a 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Kamchatka, Russia, and a tsunami warning. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (03:29:37Z) reports fire localized on an area of 4 thousand sq. meters in Priangarye (Irkutsk Oblast). (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (03:58:32Z) reports a residential building was damaged by UAV debris fall in Volgograd Oblast, with no destructions, fires, or casualties reported. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (04:02:26Z, 04:02:27Z) shares video messages of Bastion complexes from Franz Josef Land striking conditional enemy targets with Oniks missiles as part of "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (05:04:24Z, 05:04:25Z) reports Tu-22M3 strategic bombers conducted a simulated bombing run during "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (05:06:35Z) reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure at airports in Samara and Saratov. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:21:00Z) reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in the Sumy area, with possible air defense activity. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ (06:41:19Z) reports a 7.4 magnitude earthquake in Kamchatka and a tsunami threat. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:43:17Z) reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (07:09:36Z) shares a video interview with Gennady Onishchenko discussing the upcoming peak of influenza and ARVI incidence in Russia from January to March, highlighting a public health concern. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:16:50Z) reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RF tactical aviation on Kharkiv Oblast. (Confidence: HIGH) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:50:43Z) reports "Ворожий БпЛА на сході Чернігівщини! Залучено засоби для їх збиття," confirming RF drone activity in Chernihiv Oblast and UAF air defense engagement. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (08:34:47Z) reports "Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia," indicating continued RF air support for ground operations or attacks on infrastructure. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (08:35:13Z) shares video of "Bastion coastal defence missile systems of Northern Fleet fire from coast of Zemlya Frantsa-Iosifa archipelago," confirming high-level military exercises involving long-range missile systems. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:51:34Z) reports "RF troops attacked Kharkiv Oblast with aerial bombs and drones overnight," confirming continued RF air attacks on Kharkiv. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (08:58:34Z) reports "Six drones destroyed over Belgorod Oblast, reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense," indicating continued UAF drone activity over RF territory and RF air defense responses. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (09:00:33Z) reports "As of 12.09, 9x Tu-95MS and 3x Tu-160 aircraft are near Ukraine at three airbases, - Tracking resource," indicating a significant concentration of RF strategic bombers near Ukraine. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (09:03:31Z) shares video of "Tu-22m3 long-range bombers of Russian Aerospace Forces deliver air strike at mock enemy during Zapad 2025 exercise," confirming continued strategic bomber exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Colonelcassad (09:03:20Z) shares video of "Soyuz-2.1b" rocket launch from Plesetsk Cosmodrome for the RF Ministry of Defense, confirming a successful military space launch. (Confidence: HIGH)
UPDATE: Оперативний ЗСУ (18:10:05) highlights an urgent need for a retranslator for the 72nd Brigade on the Kupiansk direction, indicating potential communication and C2 challenges for this UAF unit. The UAF General Staff (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 18:17:55, Оперативний ЗСУ 18:30:14) is considering implementing mobile network shutdowns or internet slowdowns during air raid alerts, a significant control measure impacting friendly forces and civilian population alike. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (18:42:02) shares drone footage of a destroyed and burning vehicle, identifying it as a civilian vehicle struck by an RF "Molniya" kamikaze drone near Kramatorsk. This highlights the ongoing threat to civilian movement and confirms RF's disregard for non-combatants. DeepState (18:54:31) and Оперативний ЗСУ (19:01:50, 19:03:35) reveal RF forces utilizing gas pipes to cross the Oskil River and infiltrate Kupiansk, demonstrating an adaptive and covert infiltration tactic that UAF forces will need to counter. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (19:00:57) shares an interview with the former mayor of Kherson, Volodymyr Mykolaenko, discussing perceived failures in the initial defense of Kherson, which may be relevant for UAF internal reviews and accountability. TASS reports RF forces have taken control of Alekseevsky Island along with the Antonovsky railway bridge over the Dnipro. This indicates an RF advance in the Kherson direction, potentially securing key positions on the Dnipro River. (Confidence: MEDIUM) "Воин DV" shares archive footage of FPV drone operations on the South Donetsk direction, showing "Vostok" Grouping operators destroying engineering equipment and defensive positions. This reinforces RF's persistent use of FPV drones for tactical advantage. (Confidence: HIGH) RF milbloggers (Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z, Colonelcassad, «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат») are widely reporting that RF forces have penetrated Kupiansk via gas pipes ("Труба 3.0" tactic), describing a "whole underground artery" from Perviy Liman, used for moving assault groups on electric scooters and carts, with the journey taking 4 days. This suggests a highly adaptive and covert infiltration method, with a significant number of troops already dispersed in Kupiansk. (Confidence: HIGH) MoD Russia shares drone footage of military vehicles being targeted by FPV drones, including trucks and armored vehicles, with successful strikes visible. The video also shows a camouflaged armored vehicle under artillery strike. This confirms active RF FPV drone and artillery operations against UAF targets. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that the USA has imposed restrictions against entities in several countries, accusing them of supplying various products to the Russian Federation. This indicates continued Western economic pressure on Russia. (Confidence: HIGH) Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video featuring a young Polish volunteer, Wojciech Antoni, serving in the 25th Airborne Brigade in Ukraine. This highlights the presence of foreign fighters and cross-border solidarity against RF aggression. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that the majority of UN countries did not sign a statement on RF's involvement in the UAV incident in Poland. This is an RF IO attempt to counter accusations and sow doubt about its responsibility. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS shares a photo message stating that the Central Election Commission (CEC) will analyze electoral legislation and prepare proposals for its improvement after the unified voting day. This is a domestic RF IO message aimed at projecting democratic process and good governance. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that Russian forces have advanced near Kupiansk and taken two railway stations under fire control, according to Марочко. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports US authorities believe Kirk's killer acted alone. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad posts photo messages and text regarding Poland's reaction to alleged Russian UAV incursions, highlighting the "Why us?" sentiment and perceived NATO preparations. (Confidence: HIGH). Операция Z (RusVesna) reports the majority of UN countries did not support Poland's accusations against Russia regarding UAV incursions. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS reports the USA stated to other G7 countries that they should impose duties against buyers of Russian oil. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad posts video of drone footage from what appears to be a military operation near Hryshyno, depicting a motorcycle group, thermal imaging of a vehicle and skull icon, and later identifying a pickup truck and an artillery piece. The video seems to document reconnaissance and possible targeting activities. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces have taken control of forests southwest of Vovchansk. This indicates continued RF pressure and localized territorial gains in the Kharkiv direction. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports RF forces are advancing on Siversk in the DPR from three sides, intensifying pressure on UAF. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad (00:28:01) posts photo messages with the caption "Убийство Кирка по новостным заголовкам" (Kirk's Murder by News Headlines). This indicates RF milbloggers are leveraging the Kirk assassination for IO, likely to sow distrust in Western narratives or exploit internal US political events. UPDATE: TASS reports that residents of Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kyiv-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts are being mobilized into the UAF more frequently than others. This suggests targeted mobilization efforts by UAF in these regions, which RF will use for IO. (Confidence: HIGH). Colonelcassad (01:03:01) reports TCC officers beat a man in Dnipro, sharing video. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS (03:28:24Z) reports that the military commandant of a railway station, Mikhail Demidov, prevented the destruction of an RF ammunition train. This suggests an active UAF interdiction attempt against a critical RF logistical asset. (Confidence: HIGH)
03:37:53Z, ТАСС: RF Armed Forces, during a night assault, occupied UAF positions in a forest belt in the South Donetsk direction. Reported by a senior rifleman of the "Vostok" assault group with callsign Mamai. (Confidence: HIGH)
03:47:01Z, ТАСС: A UAF group is surrounded in a forest area near Ambarnoye in Kharkiv Oblast. This was reported to TASS by Russian security forces. (Confidence: HIGH)
04:02:26Z, ТАСС: Bastion complexes from Franz Josef Land struck conditional enemy targets with Oniks missiles as part of "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH)
04:10:16Z, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦: A 38-year-old woman sustained injuries due to enemy shelling in Zaporizhzhia Raion. (Confidence: HIGH)
04:15:33Z, РБК-Україна: A military drone was washed ashore on a beach in Bulgaria. (Confidence: MEDIUM)
04:30:05Z, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА): Aggressor targeted Nikopol Raion with FPV drones and artillery, attacking the district center and Marhanets community. Photo message shows damage consistent with shelling. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports Tu-22M3 strategic bombers conducted a simulated bombing run during "West-2025" exercises, demonstrating long-range aviation capabilities. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure at airports in Samara and Saratov. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС reports a new defendant in the criminal case of Bryansk Vice-Governor Simonenko. (Confidence: HIGH) TASS reports that restrictions on air travel have been lifted at Volgograd airport. (Confidence: HIGH) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video message about the arrest of former head of the RF Ministry of Defense military representation, Andrei Tyurin, by the Investigative Committee, implying continued internal anti-corruption efforts. (Confidence: HIGH) Операция Z (RusVesna) reports that RF air defense shot down 42 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across Russian territories. (Confidence: HIGH) Fighterbomber (RF milblogger) shares a "Good morning" image, indicating routine communication. (Confidence: HIGH) Николаевский Ванёк (UAF milblogger) posts a greeting for Mykolaiv, potentially for a local holiday or significant date, indicating local morale boosting. (Confidence: HIGH) ASTRA reports an attack on an observer for an independent candidate in Voronezh Oblast, suggesting internal political instability or suppression of dissent in RF. (Confidence: HIGH) РБК-Україна (05:37:58Z) reports former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson arrived in Odesa for an unannounced visit. (Confidence: HIGH) «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» (05:37:54Z) shares a video showcasing a captured Soviet-era 122mm D-30 howitzer, refurbished and operated by the Akhmat battalion, as a trophy. (Confidence: HIGH) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (05:58:01Z) reports the story of a Russian prisoner who allegedly killed his commander, dealt with a pedophile, and surrendered twice. (Confidence: HIGH) ТАСС (06:03:52Z) reports that restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been lifted at Yaroslavl airport. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:39:56Z) issued a warning for aviation munition launches on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Alex Parker Returns (06:44:53Z) and Военкор Котенок (07:00:03Z) share videos depicting what appears to be RF soldiers moving through an underground pipeline, confirming the "Труба 3.0" tactic for infiltrating Kupyansk. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Два майора (06:50:12Z) also confirms RF infiltration of Kupyansk via gas pipes. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (07:03:01Z) officially confirms RF assault groups are in Kupyansk. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: WarGonzo (07:10:15Z) publishes a "Frontline summary for the morning of 13.09.25" with multiple tactical maps. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (07:21:16Z) shares a video of the 72nd Brigade requesting a retranslator on the Kupiansk front, indicating a C2 vulnerability. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (07:23:56Z) reports that RF and Belarusian headquarters have begun planning joint actions to destroy DRGs as part of "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (07:30:19Z) shares a video of Uragan MLRS of the "Vostok" Group of Forces neutralizing enemy fortifications, fire emplacements, and manpower in Dnipropetrovsk region. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (07:38:39Z) reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери «тіньового флоту» рф". (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ASTRA (07:40:49Z) reports a woman in Belgorod received concussion and shrapnel wounds from a drone detonation, according to local authorities. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: РБК-Україна (07:44:26Z) also reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери "тіньового флоту" РФ". (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (07:45:36Z) shares a text message "❗️В мирних містах чудовий, тихий і спокійний ранок, але на фронті він далеко не такий." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Colonelcassad (07:47:01Z) shares video footage captioned "Кадры со стороны противника" showing destroyed military vehicles on a dirt road. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Kotsnews (07:55:06Z) states "⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️Учения «Запад» и противоположные позиции," implying ongoing "West-2025" exercises and a commentary on opposing forces. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (07:57:02Z) shares video of Baltic Fleet forces practicing counter-sabotage operations against underwater saboteurs during "West-2025" exercises. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Операция Z (07:59:58Z) shares a video from "Военкоры Русской Весны" titled "‼️🇷🇺🇺🇦Подземный десант: Российские бойцы заходят в Купянск по трубам," with soldiers moving through a dark tunnel. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:00:59Z) also reports "Нові деталі атаки безпілотників СБУ на порт Приморськ: уражено два танкери «тіньового флоту» рф". (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (07:51:56Z) reports "Map updated." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:50:43Z) reports "Ворожий БпЛА на сході Чернігівщини! Залучено засоби для їх збиття." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (08:34:47Z) reports "Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (08:35:13Z) shares video of "Bastion coastal defence missile systems of Northern Fleet fire from coast of Zemlya Frantsa-Iosifa archipelago." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Alex Parker Returns (08:38:25Z) reports "Russians have already entered the residential areas of Kupyansk, DeepState stated." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: STERNENKO (08:40:18Z) reports "During yesterday's SBU special operation in Primorsk port, two tankers of the RF shadow fleet — Kusto and Cai Yun — were damaged." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (08:42:06Z) reports "In Kharkiv Oblast, the RF Armed Forces struck an automotive company." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Сливочный каприз (08:45:12Z) shares photo messages with caption "13.09.25 Pokrovskoye - Novomykolaivka." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: AV БогомаZ (08:47:05Z) shares photo messages showing "Minister of Construction and Housing and Communal Services of the Russian Federation Irek Fayzullin visited our border territories." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Colonelcassad (08:47:01Z) shares video of "Ministry of Defense of Kyrgyzstan showed a video with preparations for the CSTO military exercises 'Rubezh-2025'." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (08:47:19Z) reports "NATO launched operation 'Eastern Sentry' (Eastern Sentry), the stated goal of which is to strengthen defense on the border with Russia after the drone incident on Polish territory." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Операция Z (08:49:58Z) reports "Russian Army liberated Novomykolaivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, — Ministry of Defense." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:51:34Z) reports "RF troops attacked Kharkiv Oblast with aerial bombs and drones overnight." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (08:53:16Z) shares video of 114th Brigade soldiers "near the Kupyansk front" requesting a translator and equipment, reinforcing Operativny ZSU's previous report. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (08:53:43Z) reports "RF wants to buy back two S-400 air defense systems from Turkey, which it sold to the Turks in 2019 — media." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: РБК-Україна (08:55:47Z) shares video about "Operation Eastern Sentry" in Poland, specifically showing a French Air Force Airbus A400M Atlas landing, confirming NATO's defensive posture. (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ТАСС (08:58:34Z) reports "Six drones destroyed over Belgorod Oblast, reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (09:00:33Z) reports "As of 12.09, 9x Tu-95MS and 3x Tu-160 aircraft are near Ukraine at three airbases, - Tracking resource." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:00:59Z) shares thermal imaging video of "military vehicles moving along [a] road." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Военкор Котенок (09:03:20Z) states "Ukrainian information dumps started recognizing the entry of the RF Armed Forces into Kupyansk." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: MoD Russia (09:03:31Z) shares video of "Tu-22m3 long-range bombers of Russian Aerospace Forces deliver air strike at mock enemy during Zapad 2025 exercise." (Confidence: HIGH) NEW: Colonelcassad (09:03:20Z) shares video of "Soyuz-2.1b" rocket launch from Plesetsk Cosmodrome for the RF Ministry of Defense. (Confidence: HIGH)
UAF:
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 1): What are the specific details and insights from the UAF General Staff operational information and combat maps for 08:00 13.09.2025? This requires a deep dive into the maps to identify confirmed RF advances, UAF defensive lines, and areas of high combat intensity not yet explicitly detailed in open source. (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 2): What are the specific capabilities and operational readiness demonstrated by the Tu-22M3 strategic bombers during the "West-2025" exercises? What specific munition types were used in the simulated bombing run? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 3): What is the full BDA (Battle Damage Assessment) of the UAF drone strikes on the oil depot in Smolensk Oblast and Primorsk port in Leningrad Oblast, and the Transneft oil pumping station "Vtorovo" in Vladimir Oblast? Specifically, what facilities were hit (e.g., storage tanks, pumping stations, vessels), what is the estimated damage, and what is the operational impact on RF military/energy logistics? (This includes verifying the new industrial facility fire from ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (18:07:31) as part of these strikes or a new incident). Specifically, for the Primorsk attack, confirm the BDA regarding the two "shadow fleet" tankers, their type, flag state, and operational status following the strike (Оперативний ЗСУ 07:38:39Z, РБК-Україна 07:44:26Z, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 08:00:59Z, STERNENKO 08:40:18Z). (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 4): What are the specific capabilities and operational readiness demonstrated by the RF Baltic Fleet in counter-sabotage operations during "West-2025" exercises (ТАСС 07:57:02Z)? What specific technologies or tactics were employed against underwater saboteurs, and what are their implications for UAF special operations in maritime environments? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 5): What are the specific capabilities, deployment status, and tactical implications of the alleged "underground artery" and infiltration tactics ("Труба 3.0") used by RF forces to penetrate Kupiansk via gas pipes? What UAF units are currently engaged with these infiltrated forces, and what immediate countermeasures are being implemented? This includes precise tactical context, specific location, and confirmed unit affiliation of the soldier in the trench in the Kupiansk wooded area footage shared by Kotsnews, Рыбарь, and STERNENKO. The new video from Операция Z (07:59:58Z) provides further visual evidence of RF infiltration; specifically, what are the details of the tunnel and its capacity, and what intelligence does the "Оперативний інформа" watermark signify? (Reinforced by Alex Parker Returns 08:38:25Z and Военкор Котенок 09:03:20Z highlighting UAF's delayed recognition). (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 6): What is the verifiable BDA of the RF claim of destroying a UAF grouping trapped in northern Konstantinovka? What UAF units were involved, and what is the impact on the overall UAF defensive posture in the Konstantinovka direction? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 7): What is the verifiable BDA and specific location of the RF "Vostok" assault group's night assault and occupation of UAF positions in a forest belt in the South Donetsk direction? What UAF units were displaced, and what is the current UAF posture in the area? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 8): What is the verifiable status and precise location of the UAF group allegedly surrounded in a forest area near Ambarnoye in Kharkiv Oblast? What RF forces are involved in this encirclement, and what are the immediate threats to the UAF group? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 9): What are the military and strategic implications of the "West-2025" exercises featuring Bastion complexes launching Oniks missiles from Franz Josef Land in an Arctic environment? What is the range and target of these missiles, and how does this impact RF's Arctic defense and power projection capabilities? (Reinforced by MoD Russia 08:35:13Z). (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 10): What is the specific BDA, casualties, and impact on local infrastructure of the FPV drone and artillery attacks in Nikopol Raion and Marhanets community, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast? What specific RF units were involved in these attacks? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 11): What is the full BDA of the fire at the plywood factory in Usolye-Sibirskoye, Irkutsk Oblast? Is there any evidence of UAF deep strike involvement or is this an internal Russian industrial incident? What are the potential military-economic implications if the factory had dual-use production capabilities? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 12): What is the verifiable BDA and tactical significance of the RF Southern Group of Forces' claimed destruction of an R18 heavy drone, a vehicle, and UAF personnel on the Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka direction? What UAF unit was operating the R18 drone, and what was the impact on their operations? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 13): What is the military intelligence value of the captured D-30 howitzer being operated by RF Akhmat battalion? What is the operational status of this specific piece, and what does this indicate about RF's ability to repurpose captured UAF heavy artillery? What specific engagement led to its capture? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 14): What is the specific type, capabilities, and current deployment status of the "Electronic Intelligence Device 'Chuyka 3.0'" for which "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" is collecting funds? What specific RF EW/SIGINT threats is it designed to counter? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 15): What is the full context and veracity of the Russian prisoner's story reported by БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, including alleged murder of his commander, dealing with a pedophile, and two surrenders? What unit was he from, and what actionable intelligence has he provided to UAF? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 16): What are the specific capabilities, deployment status, and tactical implications of the NEW RF UGVs ("Kurier", "Fagot")? What are immediate UAF countermeasures? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 17): What is the verified number, composition, and specific deployment of Polish military personnel expected to arrive in Ukraine on September 18th? What is their role, and what are the implications for the overall security situation and RF's military calculations? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 18): What is the full scope and BDA of the Atesh agents' reconnaissance of the RF solid-propellant missile defense plant? What specific missile types are produced there, and what is the operational impact of this intelligence on UAF targeting priorities? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 19): What is the specific context and BDA of the graphic footage shared by БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (06:37:02Z) depicting destroyed military vehicles and numerous casualties? What RF unit was affected, and what was the tactical impact of this engagement? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 20): What are the specific details and insights from the WarGonzo "Frontline summary for the morning of 13.09.25" tactical maps for the Donetsk Front (Pokrovskoye direction), South-Donetsk direction, and Kharkiv region? This requires a deep dive into the maps to identify confirmed RF advances, UAF defensive lines, and areas of high combat intensity not yet explicitly detailed in open source. (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 21): What is the specific content and implications of the RF MoD report regarding space vehicles reaching target orbit after launch from Plesetsk? What type of satellites were launched, what are their capabilities, and how will they impact RF ISR, communications, or navigation capabilities in the SVO zone? (Reinforced by TASS 07:13:20Z and Colonelcassad 09:03:20Z). (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 22): What is the specific context and military intelligence value of the RF and Belarusian headquarters planning joint actions to destroy DRGs during "West-2025" exercises? Does this indicate a new focus on counter-insurgency operations or a preparation for potential cross-border DRG incursions by UAF/Belarusian opposition? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 23): What are the specific details of RF's purported interest in repurchasing S-400 systems from Turkey (Оперативний ЗСУ 08:53:43Z)? What is the motivation, and what are the implications for RF air defense capabilities or for Turkey's strategic alignment? (Confidence: HIGH)
CRITICAL (PRIORITY 24): What is the specific concentration, type, and operational readiness of the 9x Tu-95MS and 3x Tu-160 aircraft reported near Ukraine at three airbases (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS 09:00:33Z)? What are the implications for potential large-scale air/missile strikes or strategic power projection? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH: What is the exact damage assessment and long-term operational impact of the HUR strike on the RF Black Sea Fleet Project MPSV07 vessel near Novorossiysk? How long will repairs take, and how does this affect RF maritime operations in the Black Sea?
HIGH: What is the specific target and BDA of the allegedly destroyed ammunition depot in occupied Luhansk, and what UAF assets were responsible for this strike?
HIGH: What is the exact status and operational implications of RF control over Kolodyazi on the Krasny Liman direction? What UAF units were defending, and what are the immediate RF intentions following this alleged capture?
HIGH: What is the specific military significance of the traffic jam reported towards Khartsyzk, including the presence of military-style trucks? Does this indicate a RF logistical movement, increased security, or a response to an incident?
HIGH: What is the confirmed success rate and methodology of RF snipers against UAF "Baba Yaga" drones? What counter-measures are effective against this new RF tactical adaptation?
HIGH: What is the full impact and the intent behind RF FSB detaining a Russian citizen in Klimovsk for allegedly financing UAF and planning to join combat? Is this an isolated incident or part of a broader internal security crackdown?
HIGH: What is the specific impact of the observed geomagetic disturbances on military C2, ISR, or navigation systems for both UAF and RF forces?
HIGH: What is the verifiable BDA and context of the RF FAB guided aerial bomb strikes on UAF positions in Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast?
HIGH: What specific capabilities are being tested in RF's "heavy drone evading EW"? What is its current stage of development and potential deployment timeline?
HIGH: What is the specific impact of the internal RF investigation and charges against the ex-commander of a military unit in Lviv Oblast regarding million-dollar damages during army bed procurement? How does this impact UAF procurement and anti-corruption efforts?
HIGH: What is the effectiveness of UAF's 79th Airmobile Brigade's drone hunter-killer operations against camouflaged RF soldiers, as depicted in the БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video? What counter-measures are RF soldiers employing?
HIGH: What is the verifiable BDA of the RF drone exhibition ("Дронница")? What new technologies were showcased, and what are their potential military implications?
HIGH: What is the specific implications for RF naval operations in the Arctic Ocean from the Northern Fleet deployments during "West-2025"?
HIGH: What is the full context and impact of the "Воин DV" comment on Ukraine's delayed admission of territorial losses?
HIGH: What is the full BDA and contextual information for the image of three Russian soldiers in "Два майора"'s video, given their expressions of gratitude for donations? What specific armored vehicle was donated, and what is its operational status?
HIGH: What is the military significance of AV БогомаZ's photo message? Is it related to combat operations or purely internal messaging?
HIGH: What are the specific military intelligence value of the multiple photo messages of EW personnel shared by "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)"? Are there any identifiable equipment or unit markings?
HIGH: What is the specific military intelligence value of the "СТИКЕРПАК «АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА»" photo messages? Are these for morale, recruitment, or commercial purposes?
HIGH: What is the tactical significance of the "Кокаиновый мост" (Cocaine Bridge) map shared by Рыбарь? Does it imply RF counter-narcotics operations or an IO narrative related to UAF/Western illicit activities?
HIGH: What is the full impact and the intent behind the "First ban on leaving the country due to the electronic register of subpoenas" reported by МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники? Does this indicate a new phase of RF mobilization or stricter enforcement?
HIGH: What is the current status of Dmitry Bykov's case, accused of spreading false information about RF shelling of Kharkiv? What evidence is being presented by TASS?
HIGH: What is the specific context and impact of "РБК-Україна" reporting on the departure abroad of young Ukrainian men (18-22) and its effect on business? Does this indicate a new mobilization trend or social concern?
HIGH: What is the full context and impact of the internal RF IO concern raised by "Два майора" regarding "United Russia" candidates and diaspora leaders in regional elections? Does this indicate internal political friction relevant to the war effort?
HIGH: What is the full significance of the memorial plaque for fallen defender Oleksandr Dokukin in Zaporizhzhia? What unit was he from, and does this indicate a recent casualty or a commemorative act?
HIGH: What are the specific items seized in the "scheme of fictitious employment in 'fake' educational institutions to evade mobilization" in Kyiv, as reported by Офіс Генерального прокурора? Do they reveal any organizational structure or patterns?
HIGH: What is the status of the 38 US M1A2 Abrams tanks reported to have arrived in Poland? Are they fully operational, and what are their intended deployment and role?
HIGH: What is the specific military intelligence value of the civilian development projects (school, medical post, sports complex, greenhouse) in Zhurinichi, Bryansk Oblast, shared by AV БогомаZ? Are these located in close proximity to military installations or border areas?
HIGH: What is the current status of the damaged house in Makeyevka, DPR, that was declared unsafe? Was the damage recent due to conflict, or an older issue that has only now been officially recognized?
HIGH: What is the military significance of the RF MoD's summary of the SVO from 6-12 SEP, particularly regarding any new claims or changes in assessment of UAF capabilities and intentions? (Colonelcassad message)
HIGH: What is the full military significance and BDA of the drone thermal imaging footage shared by "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗA" (17:01:38) showing a moving vehicle at night with a crosshair reticle? What type of vehicle was it, and was it targeted?
HIGH: What is the military intelligence value of the civilian development projects detailed by "Игорь Артамонов" (16:54:04)? Are these projects indicative of a broader RF strategy to integrate occupied territories or specific border regions?
HIGH: What is the full scope and tactical implications of the discussion by Shoigu and Belousov on economical management and digitalization within the RF MoD (Басурин о главном 16:53:41)? How will these changes impact RF's sustained war effort?
HIGH: What are the precise details and implications of the NATO general's statement that "Operation Eastern Guardian" does not include integration with Ukrainian air defense (РБК-Україна 16:58:10)? Does this represent a shift in NATO policy or a clarification, and how does it affect UAF's long-term air defense strategy?
HIGH (NEW): What is the current disposition and immediate objective of the RF UAVs detected over Chernihiv Oblast moving towards Kyiv Oblast (Vyshhorod district)? What UAF air defense assets are engaged? (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine message)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and operational implications of RF arbitral court introducing bankruptcy proceedings against Russian assets of Volkswagen AG? Does this indicate broader state seizure of foreign assets, and what is the potential impact on RF's industrial and economic capacity to sustain the war? (ТАСС message)
HIGH (NEW): What is the precise nature and duration of the "Резерв+" app functional limitations? Is this a technical issue, a security measure, or an update related to mobilization? What is the impact on UAF mobilization efforts and public perception? (РБК-Україна message)
HIGH (NEW): What is the full operational and intelligence value of the "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" weekly summary video? Are there any identifiable military units mentioned or specific tactical developments beyond the humanitarian aid and infrastructure efforts? (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 message 16:24:29)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific military intelligence value of the drone footage from "Воин DV" (16:36:59)? Are the camouflaged vehicles and ATVs specifically identified RF assets, and what is the current threat level posed by such movements?
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and BDA of the "enemy heavy hexacopter" whose control channels were reportedly overwhelmed by RF "Vostok" Group's UAV operators in Dnepropetrovsk region (MoD Russia 16:37:49)? What UAF unit was operating it, and what was its mission?
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific capabilities and deployment status of RF mobile groups of marine special forces with FPV drones for coastal defense in Crimea, as shown in the "Два майора" video (16:59:03)? What is their primary mission and effectiveness against USV threats?
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific operational implications of the expanded military cooperation between Poland and Ukraine, specifically regarding the 47 billion Euro SAFE European instrument for joint defense projects, as reported by Оперативний ЗСУ (17:31:54)? What specific projects are envisioned, and what is the timeline for implementation?
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the multiple photo messages by Oleg Sinegubov (Харківської ОДА) celebrating athletes and coaches on Physical Culture and Sports Day (17:17:46)? Is this a morale-boosting effort for military personnel or a broader civilian IO?
HIGH (NEW): What is the full BDA and specific outcomes of the UAF drone engagement with Russian soldiers in trench positions in the video shared by Підрозділ Shadow (17:48:09)? What RF unit was affected, and what was the extent of personnel/equipment losses?
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific regions and targets identified in Colonelcassad's animated scheme of strikes on Ukraine (17:50:01), and what is the specific BDA for these strikes between September 11-12, 2025? Does this confirm or contradict other strike reports?
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific evidence for the claim by Басурин о главном (17:45:09) that RF operators in Dnepropetrovsk region "retrained" a UAF hexacopter, and what are the tactical implications if RF can regularly repurpose captured UAF drones?
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the US imposing restrictions against entities in several countries accused of supplying various products to the Russian Federation, as reported by TASS (21:24:01)? What specific products or entities are targeted, and what is the anticipated impact on RF's access to critical supplies for its war effort?
HIGH (NEW): What is the full context and specific intent of the UAF video featuring a young Polish volunteer, Wojciech Antoni, serving in the 25th Airborne Brigade in Ukraine, as shared by Оперативний ЗСУ (21:29:41)? Is this part of a broader recruitment campaign for foreign fighters, or primarily an IO effort to highlight international solidarity?
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the РБК-Україна photo message about Trump and Putin meeting in Malaysia in October? Is there any indication of US or RF intent to use this for diplomatic breakthroughs or is it primarily an IO event? (РБК-Україна message 21:46:01)
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the TASS report about the confiscation of 68 million rubles from an ex-investigator in Russia? Does this indicate broader anti-corruption efforts within RF or a specific political purging? (TASS message 21:47:01)
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the Операция Z (RusVesna) video claiming Trump has started a powerful persecution of George Soros? Is this a concerted RF IO effort to leverage US internal politics for anti-Western propaganda? (Операция Z message 21:56:09)
HIGH (NEW): What are the full implications of Ahmed ash-Shaara's (Syria) statement about maintaining ties with Russia, as reported by TASS (21:57:01) and Colonelcassad (22:01:29)? Does this signal renewed or strengthened military cooperation with Syria, and how might this affect RF's deployment options or regional influence?
HIGH (NEW): What is the precise nature of the document images posted by Colonelcassad (22:18:01-22:18:02)? While the content isn't directly analyzable, the sheer volume of images suggests a potential leak or a deliberate information dump aimed at a specific narrative. (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the full military significance of RF's strategic focus on the Arctic, including the role of autonomous stations like 'Snezhnika' and resource development? What are the dual-use military intelligence applications of the scientific research being conducted? (Операция Z 23:40:04).
HIGH (NEW): What is the verifiable context and BDA of Donald Trump's renewed promise to "deal with Soros," as reported by TASS (23:43:59)? How will this be leveraged by RF IO to impact US domestic politics and international perceptions?
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and military significance of the РБК-Україна (00:15:16) report that almost 50 UN member states condemned RF drone attack on Poland? What specific UN forum or resolution is being referred to, and what are the implications for Russia's diplomatic isolation?
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the TASS report that residents of Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kyiv-controlled parts of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts are being mobilized into the UAF more frequently than others? What are the specific numbers or percentages, and what does this indicate about UAF's overall mobilization strategy and manpower challenges? (TASS 00:46:01).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of Colonelcassad's video messages about Chinese Air Force combat training (02:03:01Z, 02:03:02Z)? Does this signal potential Chinese military aid to Russia, or is it merely observation of general military developments?
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the residential building damage from UAV debris in Volgograd Oblast? What type of UAV caused the damage, and was it a UAF deep strike or an RF air defense malfunction? (TASS 03:58:32Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific Russian Ministry of Defense unit or command responsible for the claim of 42 Ukrainian UAVs shot down overnight? (ТАСС 04:09:14Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the immediate context and message behind Николаевский Ванёк's greeting for Mykolaiv? Is it a local holiday or a morale-boosting message tied to recent events? (Николаевский Ванёк 05:08:16Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the immediate context and message behind Fighterbomber's "Good morning, country!" photo message? Is it a standard daily post or linked to recent events? (Fighterbomber 05:30:40Z, 05:30:41Z).
HIGH (NEW): What are the immediate implications of the alleged attack on an observer for an independent candidate in Voronezh Oblast? Does this indicate growing internal dissent, political instability, or active suppression of opposition in RF regions bordering Ukraine? (ASTRA 05:25:30Z, 05:25:31Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the full military significance of Boris Johnson's unannounced visit to Odesa? What is the purpose of the visit, and what specific forms of support or diplomatic messages are being exchanged? (РБК-Україна 05:37:58Z)
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of Dorothy Shea's statement regarding NATO defense? Does this signal a stronger US commitment or a response to recent RF incursions/IO? (Оперативний ЗСУ 06:12:21Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of Dmitry Vydrin's statement on drone effectiveness, and is this part of an RF IO campaign to downplay UAF deep strike capabilities? (Басурин о главном 06:13:57Z).
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific discussions and outcomes of the G7 meeting regarding sanctions and duties against countries supporting Russia? What is the timeline for implementation, and what countries are targeted? (ТАСС 06:14:41Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of G. Nikitin's photo messages about local elections in Nizhny Novgorod? Does this indicate an RF effort to project normalcy and democratic process despite the ongoing conflict? (Глеб Никитин 06:15:54Z, 06:15:55Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the "Operational Information" from the Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine? Does it provide specific BDA or new tactical information? (Сили оборони Півдня України 06:18:21Z, 06:18:22Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the Russian milblogger "Операция Z" reporting on Poland's "800+" program changes for Ukrainian refugees? Is this an attempt to sow discord or highlight perceived Polish anti-Ukrainian sentiment? (Операция Z 06:19:58Z, 06:19:59Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of STERNENKO's video of Donald Trump and its caption regarding Charlie Kirk's murder? Is this an attempt to leverage US internal politics for UAF IO, or a reaction to RF IO? (STERNENKO 06:20:04Z, 06:20:05Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of Steve Gill's statement that no one in the EU/NATO is ready to send troops to Ukraine? Is this an RF IO attempt to undermine Western resolve, or a genuine assessment? (ТАСС 06:21:02Z).
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific targets and capabilities of the RF T-80BVM tanks on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, and what is the effectiveness of their "semi-direct fire" with UAV correction against UAF UAV launch points? What is the specific RF unit involved? (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition 06:22:24Z, 06:22:25Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the "ARCHANGEL SPECIAL FORCES STICKER PACK" being advertised? Is this for unit fundraising, recruitment, or broader propaganda? (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА 06:23:13Z, 06:23:14Z, 06:23:47Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the full BDA and operational context of the RF drone and missile attack overnight, specifically regarding the 164 drones and 1 Iskander-M/KN-23 missile? What types of targets were hit, and what is the impact on Ukrainian infrastructure? (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine 06:27:02Z, Оперативний ЗСУ 06:28:58Z, РБК-Україна 06:28:47Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and message behind Рыбарь's "145 million for surrender" message? Is this a new RF IO campaign to encourage UAF surrender, and what evidence is it based on? (Рыбарь 06:28:02Z, 06:28:03Z).
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific military intelligence value of the US sanctions against companies supplying goods to Russia, announced by РБК-Україна (07:01:18Z)? Which companies and countries are targeted, and what is the projected impact on RF's military-industrial complex and war-sustaining capabilities?
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific capabilities and operational readiness of the mobile air defense groups being equipped in Rostov Oblast, as shown in Colonelcassad's video (07:01:35Z)? What types of heavy machine guns are mounted on the pickup trucks, and what is their effectiveness against UAF drones?
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and intent behind the TASS report (07:01:01Z) of a three-year-old Russian child being added to the "Mirotvorets" database? Is this a fabricated story, and how will RF leverage it for propaganda against Ukraine?
HIGH (NEW): What is the full context and military intelligence value of the quote from Север.Реалии (07:09:07Z) regarding verbal aggression and threats from a "zombified" individual supporting the conflict within Russia? Does this indicate rising internal social tensions or a specific internal security threat to perceived "pacifists-Ukrainians"? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and military intelligence value of the Colonelcassad (07:26:57Z) photos and caption about Prince Harry in Kyiv? Is this part of a broader RF IO campaign to delegitimize Western support by associating it with perceived scandals or to mock diplomatic visits? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific context and military intelligence value of the БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:24:01Z) satirical photo message "Thank you, Vladimir Vladimirovich!"? What specific event or RF failure is it satirizing, and how does it contribute to UAF morale or counter-IO? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the video from Colonelcassad (07:47:01Z) showing destroyed military vehicles on a dirt road, captioned "Кадры со стороны противника"? What type of vehicles are destroyed, and where was this engagement? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What are the specific details of the DeepState map update (07:51:56Z)? What changes are indicated in battlefield geometry, force dispositions, or control of key terrain? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What are the capabilities and operational status of the enemy UAV detected in eastern Chernihiv Oblast (Повітряні Сили ЗС України 07:50:43Z)? What UAF assets are engaged in its interception? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific target and BDA of the RF strike on the "automotive company" in Kharkiv Oblast (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 08:42:06Z)? Was this a military or civilian target, and what is the impact on UAF logistics? (Confidence: HIGH)
HIGH (NEW): What is the specific content and military intelligence value of the thermal imaging video from АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (09:00:59Z) showing "military vehicles moving along [a] road"? Can the vehicle types be identified, and what is their operational context? (Confidence: HIGH)
MEDIUM (NEW): What are the implications of the anticipated frosts (-2°C) in some areas of Moscow region for RF military logistics and personnel? (Новости Москвы message)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the intelligence value of Pavel Durov's statement on Charlie Kirk's death, as amplified by ASTRA? Is there any specific element that could be leveraged for IO or counter-IO? (ASTRA message)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the civilian development projects detailed by "Игорь Артамонов" (16:54:04)? Are these projects indicative of a broader RF strategy to integrate occupied territories or specific border regions?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What are the specific details of the drone surveillance and targeting operations, including thermal imaging, conducted by RF units as shown in the "Сливочный каприз" video (17:26:50)? What specific types of enemy vehicles were identified (e.g., SAU M109 Paladin, MRAP), and what was the outcome of the engagements?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military significance and message of the "Geranium" drone image shared by Alex Parker Returns (17:18:42), and how does it relate to RF IO campaigns?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What are the specific discussions and outcomes between Ukrainian PM Shmyhal and General Kellogg regarding the transfer of new Patriot systems to Ukraine, as reported by РБК-Україна (17:17:27)? What is the timeline for potential delivery, and what are the specific capabilities of these "new" Patriot systems?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the Alex Parker Returns photo message (17:13:23) showing a UN General Assembly vote, with the caption claiming Russia and Ukraine united against Israeli "occupiers, murderers, and bloodsuckers"? Is this a genuine alignment on a specific issue, or an RF IO attempt to create a false narrative of unity?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the "Вакуум власти" (Vacuum of Power) message from Рыбарь (17:14:02)? Does it refer to a specific political situation in Ukraine, Russia, or elsewhere, and what are its potential implications?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What are the specific details of the extended arrest of Artemiy Ostanin, the comedian accused of inciting hatred against SVO participants, as reported by TASS (17:14:56), Colonelcassad (17:15:09), and Alex Parker Returns (17:31:00)? What is the full extent of the charges, and how is this case being used for RF internal IO?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What is the military intelligence value of FBI Director Kash Patel's statement regarding Charlie Kirk, as shared by STERNENKO (17:15:22)? Is this being leveraged by UAF for IO to reinforce Western commitment or to counter RF disinformation about the incident?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the direct military relevance of the reported award of the Order of Kutuzov to the Stavropol Airborne Assault Regiment (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 17:41:01)? What specific actions led to this award, and does it indicate heightened operational tempo or success for this unit?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What is the precise nature of Donald Trump's "patience running out" statement regarding Putin, as reported by Военкор Котенок (17:46:40)? Is this a direct quote, or an interpretation, and how might it influence RF's decision-making or IO?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the full context and impact of the video shared by БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (17:57:01) showing an RF "SVO participant" after a prisoner exchange, claiming to be unfit for service but being sent back to the front? What is the RF unit of the soldier, and what are the implications for RF mobilization and troop morale?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the discussion by TASS (18:03:01) regarding former Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov's corruption charges? Does this internal RF corruption indicate systemic weaknesses in logistics or procurement that UAF could exploit?
MEDIUM (NEW):: What are the specific implications of the expected prolonged geomagnetic storms for military operations, particularly regarding communications, navigation, and ISR systems for both RF and UAF? (TASS 21:19:01)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the precise legal basis and potential impact of the EU's intention to tighten visa policy for Russian citizens? Will this include all citizens or specific categories? (ТАСС 04:27:01Z).
MEDIUM (NEW): What are the implications of the earthquake and tsunami threat in Kamchatka, Russia (Оперативний ЗСУ 06:41:19Z)? Does this divert RF resources or create new logistical challenges for the Far East?
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the TASS (07:22:27Z) report regarding charges against a leader of Saakashvili's party for publicly calling for the overthrow of power in Georgia? Does this indicate renewed political instability in Georgia, and what are the potential implications for the broader Black Sea region and RF's strategic interests? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the TASS (07:29:01Z) report regarding LDPR deputies' proposal to increase pension supplements for citizens over 80 and Group I invalids to the level of the minimum wage? Is this a standard social welfare proposal, or does it indicate internal pressure on the Russian government to address social issues amidst the conflict? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the tactical significance of the content shared by Филолог в засаде (07:40:11Z, 07:40:57Z), specifically the repeated title "Проблемы практической реализации дронного компонента в действующей армии" (Problems of Practical Implementation of the Drone Component in the Active Army)? Does this reflect internal RF discussions about drone effectiveness, and what insights can be gained from this repeated message? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What are the specific details and BDA of the drone attack on Belgorod, where a woman sustained a concussion and shrapnel wounds (ASTRA 07:40:49Z)? What type of drone was used, what was its origin, and what is the impact on civilian morale in Belgorod? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the video from Новости Москвы (07:51:15Z) showing a parade of subway trains on the Moscow Ring Line? Is this a routine event, or does it serve a specific IO purpose during the "West-2025" exercises or ongoing conflict? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the specific context and military intelligence value of the content shared by Fighterbomber (08:41:48Z) about an "Il" aircraft playing the role of an "adversary" in a film? Does this indicate ongoing RF military training, or a specific propaganda effort, and what assets are involved? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
MEDIUM (NEW): What is the full context and military intelligence value of Рыбарь's (08:39:01Z) photo message captioned "The crisis loop is tightening"? What specific crises are being referred to, and what are the implications for RF's strategic outlook? (Confidence: MEDIUM)
LOW (NEW): What are the implications of the reported increase in basic food product prices in Ukraine, and the relative decrease in cabbage prices, for civilian morale and economic stability?
LOW (NEW): What is the precise nature and impact of the reported "geomagnetic disturbances" on military operations or communication systems?
LOW (NEW): What is the full scope and intent of the State Duma's proposal to equate vapes to narcotics?
LOW (NEW): What is the precise nature of the technical work causing temporary unavailability of the Alfa-Bank mobile application, and does it indicate any underlying cyber vulnerabilities?
LOW (NEW): What is the full context and impact of the Coordination Staff for POWs meeting with families of the 36th Separate Marine Brigade? What specific information or support was provided, and what are the key concerns of the families?
LOW (NEW):: What are the specific actions being taken by the Coordination Staff for POWs in terms of public messaging, and what is their intended effect on families of missing persons and POWs?
LOW (NEW): What is the significance of the Peterburg artist's administrative arrest in Vyborg due to lack of space in a Petersburg insulator, as reported by "Север.Реалии"? Does this reflect systemic issues in RF's judicial or detention system?
LOW (NEW): What is the specific impact of the Central Bank of Russia lowering the key rate to 16%, and Nabiullina's statements on inflation and housing prices, on the broader RF economy and its ability to sustain the war effort?
LOW (NEW): What is the military significance of TASS reporting on a cable car accident on Elbrus resulting in fatalities?
LOW (NEW): What is the exact purpose and military significance of the images shared by "Полиция Хабаровского края" that do not depict military activity, but instead religious ceremonies, crypts, and civilian handshakes?
LOW (NEW):: What is the military significance of RF Human Rights Council head Fadeev discussing returning to oral exams in schools due to AI use? Does this indicate a broader RF concern about the impact of AI on education or a specific security concern?
LOW (NEW): What is the full context and impact of the VChK-OGPU report on catastrophic water supply issues in occupied Donetsk Oblast and the potential for a social explosion? Does this represent a significant internal weakness for RF control?
LOW (NEW): What are the specific goals and intended impact of Zelenskyy's statement about how to stop the war?
LOW (NEW): What are the specific context and message behind Zelenskyy's humorous comparison of Kellogg's to air defense?
LOW (NEW):: What are the specific details and implications of the RF State Duma considering a bill for year-round conscription?
LOW (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the cat image shared by Два майора? (Два майора message).
LOW (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the Басурин о главном messages containing images of a nursery or medical facility? (Басурин о главном messages).
LOW (NEW):: What is the intelligence value of Alex Parker Returns' "Апчхи" photo message? (Alex Parker Returns message).
LOW (NEW):: What is the intelligence value of Alex Parker Returns' photo message about Tyler Robinson's father, and the dining scene? (Alex Parker Returns message).
LOW (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the Басурин о главном messages recommending other channels? (Басурин о главном message).
LOW (NEW):: What is the intelligence value of the Colonelcassad message about Telegram bot failures and "bot counter-offensives" in comments? Does this reveal internal RF IO vulnerabilities or technical issues? (Colonelcassad message 16:10:08)
LOW (NEW): What is the military significance of the civilian traffic incident in Stavropol reported by TASS? (TASS message 16:26:01)
LOW (NEW): What are the specific implications of Israel rejecting a UN GA resolution on a two-state solution? How does this influence RF or UAF diplomatic efforts or international support? (TASS message 16:33:03)
LOW (NEW): What are the details of "Time for Friday repression" message from Colonelcassad? Is this military, political, or social in nature? (Colonelcassad message 16:33:01)
LOW (NEW): What are the specific details regarding the "Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Weekly summary" video from 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦? Specifically, are there any identifiable military units mentioned or significant tactical developments beyond the humanitarian aid and infrastructure efforts? (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 message 16:24:29)
LOW (NEW): What is the military significance of the announcement from РБК-Україна about Sibiga announcing exhumations of Ukrainian victims of the Volyn tragedy in Poland? Is this likely to impact current military operations or primarily a diplomatic/historical issue? (РБК-Україна message 16:32:57)
LOW (NEW): What is the tactical significance of the drone footage showing a small toy airplane with text overlays satirizing Russian drone attacks, as shared by "Janus Putkonen" (16:50:33)? Is this a widespread IO tactic in Poland, and what is its effectiveness?
LOW (NEW):: What is the specific context and military intelligence value of the downed commercial quadcopter with "Терроризировать" (Terrorize) written on it, found in a cemetery, as shown in "Janus Putkonen"'s video (16:50:33)? Was this drone successfully intercepted by UAF, and what was its intended mission?
LOW (NEW):: What is the military intelligence value of Oleg Sinegubov's (Харківської ОДА) multiple photo messages celebrating athletes and coaches (17:17:46)? Is this a broader civilian morale-boosting effort or is there a direct link to military personnel or readiness?
LOW (NEW): What is the significance of the TASS report (21:30:15) that the majority of UN countries did not sign a statement on RF's involvement in the UAV incident in Poland? Does this indicate weakening international consensus against RF, or is it a limited diplomatic development without broader implications? What is the specific content of the statement that was not signed?
LOW (NEW): What is the military intelligence value of the TASS photo message (21:33:34) regarding the RF Central Election Commission's analysis of electoral legislation? Is this a standard post-election process, or does it signal potential changes to electoral law that could impact mobilization or future referendums?
LOW (NEW): What is the intelligence value of the "Клуб Алиева" (Aliyev's Club) in Russia, as reported by Операция Z (23:08:30)? Is this a political or social movement, and what are its implications for internal Russian stability or foreign relations with Azerbaijan? TASS (00:10:17) reports that scammers are using "Госуслуги" (Russian government services portal) to steal codes under the pretext of confirming residency. This is a domestic internal security/cyber crime issue with no direct military intelligence value at this time. UPDATE: Colonelcassad (01:03:01) reports TCC officers beat a man in Dnipro, sharing video. (Confidence: HIGH). TASS (03:09:13Z) shares photo messages related to the criminal case of ex-Deputy Minister of Defense Timur Ivanov, showing "personalized watches with the engraving 'There is only one Timur Ivanov like this'". This is an internal RF anti-corruption/propaganda effort, not directly military but could signal internal power struggles. (Confidence: LOW) TASS (03:14:34Z) reports that the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade recommends that regional authorities abandon the "pejorative" name "medovukha" (mead). This is a purely civilian, domestic cultural/economic issue with no direct military intelligence value. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: ТАСС (06:43:01Z) shares photo messages about schoolchildren workload. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Новости Москвы (06:45:35Z) reports on alcoholism in Chukotka. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Новости Москвы (07:02:58Z) reports on a Moscow metro station renaming. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: ТАСС (07:09:36Z) shares a video interview with Gennady Onishchenko discussing the upcoming peak of influenza and ARVI incidence in Russia from January to March, highlighting a public health concern, but with no direct military intelligence value. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: ТАСС (07:15:01Z) reports that elections in RF regions are proceeding normally, according to Pamfilova, an IO message to project stability. TASS (07:15:45Z) also reports 100 hacker attacks on online voting infrastructure, indicating cyber threats but also RF efforts to downplay their impact. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Олександр Вілкул (07:31:16Z) shares photo messages from Kryvyi Rih celebrating sports achievements, a civilian event with no direct military intelligence value. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (07:59:33Z) shares multiple photo messages related to Ukraine's Physical Culture and Sports Day, which is a civilian event and has no direct military intelligence value. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Zelenskiy / Official (08:33:23Z) provides a series of responses indicating inability to conduct military analysis on provided photo messages, likely due to their non-military content. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (08:33:46Z) shares photo messages about the "Fifth Summit of First Ladies and Gentlemen" in Kyiv, a civilian diplomatic event. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: РБК-Україна (08:37:43Z) reports "UN General Assembly supported the creation of Palestine, but without Hamas," indicating a diplomatic development with no direct military impact on Ukraine. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Военкор Котенок (08:42:58Z) shares multiple photo messages appearing to be personal, civilian documents (medical forms, receipts, passports), with no discernible military intelligence value. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Alex Parker Returns (08:47:32Z) shares photo messages and text about "Abu-bandits" (referring to individuals of North Caucasian origin) arrested for a brawl in a train, indicating an internal security/criminal incident in Russia. (Confidence: LOW) NEW: Новости Москвы (08:49:44Z) reports "Atmospheric pressure in Moscow rose to 763 mm Hg," which is a civilian weather report. (Confidence: LOW)
Capabilities:
Intentions:
Courses of Action (COA): (No change from previous MLCOAs/MDCOAs, but added detail based on new messages).
Successes:
Setbacks:
RF Narratives:
UAF Counter-Narratives:
Ukrainian Public:
Russian Public:
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