Archived operational intelligence briefing
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
OVERALL OPERATIONAL PICTURE: Russian Federation (RF) continues its multi-domain deep strike campaign with a particular focus on reconnaissance efforts in Northern, Eastern, and Southern Oblasts. Ground pressure in Eastern Ukraine remains highly contested. RF continues its internal information operations regarding military construction and is amplifying visual propaganda related to the Special Military Operation (SMO). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Northern Ukraine (Sumy Oblast): UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs (presumably Orlan-10 or similar platforms) operating near Sumy. These UAVs are explicitly identified as potential spotters for enemy strike assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - New confirmed reconnaissance activity with strike potential)
Eastern Ukraine (Kharkiv Oblast): UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs operating in Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Confirmed reconnaissance activity)
Southern Ukraine (Zaporizhzhia Oblast):
Eastern Ukraine (Donetsk Oblast): RF claims of control over Kamyshevakha and previous UAF claims of encirclement in Dobropillya remain unverified by new information. This area remains contested. Colonelcassad is amplifying general propaganda images from the "SMO zone," likely referring to this contested eastern front. (CRITICAL GAP - No new information to verify contested claims; RF is pushing general morale-boosting imagery.)
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
RF:
UAF:
1.4. Intelligence Gaps from Previous Report Addressed/Updated:
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
Capabilities:
Intentions:
Courses of Action (COA) Currently Observed:
2.2. Recent tactical changes or adaptations
2.3. Logistics and sustainment status
2.4. Command and control effectiveness
Ukrainian force posture and readiness: UAF forces are maintaining a high state of vigilance against aerial threats, with particularly effective detection and warning systems for reconnaissance UAVs. Readiness remains high. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Recent tactical successes or setbacks:
Resource requirements and constraints:
Propaganda and disinformation campaigns:
Public sentiment and morale factors:
International support and diplomatic developments:
Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):
Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):
Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:
IMMEDIATE: Enhance Counter-Reconnaissance and Pre-emptive Strike Capabilities in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts - FOCUS ON INTERDICTING SPOTTERS:
IMMEDIATE: Intensify All-Source ISR on RF Deep Strike Assets (UAVs, Cruise Missile Platforms) and Ground Force Movements in Eastern and Northern Axes, with Focus on Contested Areas and UAV Swarm C2/Launch Logistics for Multiple Axes, and RF Tactical Concealment:
IMMEDIATE: Assess and Mitigate Risks from Predicted Magnetic Storms:
HIGH: Proactive STRATCOM Campaign to Counter RF Disinformation (including exploitation of allied tensions, "peace talks" rhetoric, global military cooperation, and tactical innovations) and Advocate for Urgent, Broad IAMD Aid and Counter-ISR Support:
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