Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT

TIME: 200321Z AUG 25

---

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

• Donetsk Oblast (Chasiv Yar/Ivanivske Axis): RF forces (elements of 98th VDV Division) maintain a confirmed foothold in the eastern Kanal microdistrict of Chasiv Yar, continuing battalion-sized mechanized assaults. UA units executed tactical withdrawal to prepared defensive positions west of the initial line of contact. Clashes persist near Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, Oleksandra-Kalynove, and Pleschiyivka. UA 93rd Brigade "Kholodnyi Yar" successfully cleared and took control of Hruzke and Vesele near Dobropillya, capturing an RF prisoner, indicating localized UA counter-offensive success and stabilization in the Dobropillya area. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Orikhovo-Vasylivka and towards Bondarne in the Kramatorsk direction, as well as Bila Hora and Chasiv Yar. Rybar (RF source) animated maps indicate Russian advances around Chasov Yar and Katerinovka, with pushes towards Konstantinovka and along the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal, suggesting continued RF focus on consolidating and expanding territorial gains. OSUV "Dnipro" states Russians have occupied two settlements in Donetsk Oblast (unnamed). RF MoD reports Russian artillery destroyed a mortar and a UA UAV control point, likely in Donetsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) and Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) videos show Azov Brigade successfully repelling a powerful enemy attack and preventing consolidation in Katerynivka, Toretsk direction. This contradicts previous RF claims of gains and indicates effective UA defensive action. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts new video showing drones "clearing strongholds" and covering "our assault teams" in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. RF sources (RBC-Ukraine) report explosions in occupied Donetsk, with complaints of unknown drone attacks. ASTRA (UA source) reports explosions and a subsequent fire in Donetsk, citing local residents. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue in Donetsk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) has posted multiple photo messages that appear to be maps or operational summaries of activity in the Siversk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) posts new video showing 93rd Mechanized Brigade "Kholodnyi Yar" conducting clearance operations of the village of Vesele in the Dobropillya area, supported by tanks and multiple ground robotic systems equipped with machine guns. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video footage of the 85th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (OMCBR) operating on the Soledar direction, showing drone footage of a wooded area with debris and smoke from impacts, and a destroyed trench system. Zvиздец Мангусту (RF source) claims RF 36th OA forces (37th OMCBR, 336th Marine Brigade) are likely to force UA to abandon Maliyivka and are advancing from Shevchenko to Yanvarske, though with limited success. STERNENKO (UA source) posts new video showing the destruction of an enemy vehicle with ammunition in the Pokrovsk direction by "Predators of the Heights" tactical group. The video shows an aerial perspective of a vehicle targeted by a drone, resulting in explosions and a significant fire ("fire show"), confirming successful UA drone strike. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (UA source) posts a photo message claiming "successfully demobilized" RF personnel. Народная милиция ДНР (RF source) posts video claiming destruction of a UA 2S1 Self-Propelled Howitzer near Konstantinovka. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Predtechyne, Oleksandro-Shultyne and Bila Hora in Kramatorsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) photo message indicates UA forces are having success in several directions in Donetsk Oblast, specifically listing Hruzke, Rubizhne, Novovodyane, Petrivka, Vesele, and Zolotyi Kolodyaz cleared by elements of the 1st Azov Corps. This directly contradicts prior RF claims of gains and indicates UA regaining territory. ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZA (RF source) posts a strategic overview map of the Pokrovsk-Dobropillya direction. Воин DV (RF source) video shows drone footage of engagements on the South-Donetsk direction by the 57th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, depicting successful strikes on RF positions, equipment, and personnel. A photo message from "Сливочный каприз" (RF source) indicates current RF claimed positions between Dobropillya and Zolotyi Kolodyaz. Colonelcassad (RF source) has provided a photo message with no caption. TASS reports that RF forces struck UA units with FAB bombs in Myrnohrad and Ivanpillia, DNR. MoD Russia video shows aerial footage of an urban area, with multiple large explosions and plumes of smoke, indicating ongoing shelling or airstrikes in Donetsk People's Republic. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows a drone strike on a Russian motorcyclist in the Kurakhove direction. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims the assault on Konstantinovka has begun. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (UA source) video, captured from a thermal imaging perspective, shows what appears to be a ground vehicle or personnel moving across an open field, with an explosion occurring in the vicinity of the target. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video shows the 425th Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video showing captured Russian soldiers providing testimony confirms UA success. An Iskander-M missile strike has been reported in Sloviansk. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a photo message claiming RF forces are advancing on the Konstantinovka direction. Народная милиция ДНР (RF source) posts a video showing a BM-21 Grad MLRS firing and subsequent aerial footage of strikes on damaged buildings, claiming it is the 238th Artillery Brigade supporting the offensive. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts photo message and a map of the Druzhkivka/Konstantinovka directions. Підрозділ Shadow (UA source) video shows drone strike on RF positions, including thermal imaging confirmation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) photo message from "Mad'yar" claims Ukraine has completely destroyed the "Druzhba" oil pipeline. DeepState (UA Source) reports map has been updated. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts photo messages of the Konstantinovka direction. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports a KAB-250 strike with UMPK on AFU infrastructure near Rayskoe. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows an aerial view of a damaged building, likely in a conflict zone, with an explosion targeting the structure. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video provides an aerial view of a damaged train station building and surrounding railway infrastructure in Pokrovsk. The building shows significant signs of destruction, indicating it has been subjected to heavy shelling or bombing. The damage implies potential disruption to transportation and logistics. Colonelcassad (RF source) posted two videos of combat operations in Donbas, featuring drone footage of military targets and engagements, including armored vehicles (BTR, BBM), a communications antenna, and a dugout. This confirms ongoing high-intensity combat with diverse aerial assets employed. Colonelcassad has released new video showing "Adsky Krik" drone operators from the 114th Motorized Rifle Regiment, 5th Army, "Vostok" Group of Forces, destroying enemy armored vehicles, manpower, and drones in the South-Donetsk direction. TASS reports that Southern Grouping fighters destroyed a platoon of "Kholodnyi Yar" militants. Latest RF reporting indicates renewed strikes on Sloviansk. РБК-Україна (UA source) video shows the aftermath of an RF Iskander-M missile strike on Sloviansk, with significant damage to civilian buildings, impacting public morale and requiring immediate humanitarian response. TASS reports a robotic platform of the AFU was destroyed near Konstantinovka, DNR. МоD Russia (RF source) video shows a T-80BVM tank crew from the 'Tsentr' Group eliminating a UA stronghold in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Народная милиция ДНР (RF source) posts a video claiming "Annihilation of a UAV control point of the AFU in Dimitrov" (likely Dymytriv/Myrnohrad), showing drone footage of a dilapidated building complex. Операция Z (RF source) video shows combat footage from a first-person perspective, likely from a drone or vehicle-mounted camera, showing strikes on an "enemy BMP" and "enemy cover/shelter" near Pokrovsk. TASS (RF source) video shows artillery of the Southern Grouping destroying UA firing positions in Donetsk. Басурин о главном (RF source) video shows drone strike on RF positions. KABs are currently launched towards Donetsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video shows an FPV drone strike by the 'Hartsuz' group of the 49th Separate Assault Battalion 'Carpathian Sich' on an RF soldier in a damaged house in the Toretsk direction. MoD Russia (RF source) video claims "Vostok" Group of Forces liberated Aleksandrograd in DNR. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports RF MoD's summary of the SVO for 19 AUG 25. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows FPV-drone operators from the 80th separate reconnaissance battalion "Sparta," 51st Guards Combined Arms Army, detecting and striking a UA UAV control point near Dymytrov (Myrnohrad). This confirms RF's continued targeting of UA C2 and reconnaissance assets. TASS (RF source) video reports on Southern Group forces destroying a robotic platform ferrying ammunition to AFU, indicating RF continues to target UA logistics and automated systems. Воин DV (RF source) video shows a compilation of successful fire strikes against the 3rd Assault Brigade "Azov" of the AFU in the Pokrovsk direction by "Center" Group forces. This video shows drone footage of military operations, including an armored personnel carrier or troop transport moving along a dirt road, engaging targets, with visible explosions and smoke, as well as images of what appear to be mass graves or discarded equipment. This RF claim of significant BDA and success against a key UA assault brigade requires verification but indicates continued offensive pressure and a focus on eliminating high-value UA units. ASTRA (UA source) video shows a military Kamaz truck burning in occupied Donetsk. Cause is unknown. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Colonelcassad reports an M109 Paladin self-propelled howitzer was targeted and struck by FPV drones from "Rubicon" Center near Myrnohrad. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovskoe Direction): RF claims a "big breakthrough" and liberation of Iskra in DNR. RF forces have reportedly broken through into Zolotyi Kolodyaz, with ongoing fighting, and advanced up to 1.5km towards Sokil from Ocheretyne, threatening a key Ukrainian GLOC. UA sources report stabilization and successful destruction of enemy elements, and Ukrainian paratroopers clearing Pokrovsk of Russian DRGs. UA forces repelled enemy near Rubizhne, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Vesele, Vilne, Shakhove, Nykanorivka, and Sukhetske. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Poltavka, Volodymyrivka, Fedorivka, Novoekonomichne, Rodynske, Sukhetske, Promin, Pokrovsk, Zvirove, Udachne, Dachne, Novoukrayinka, Lysivka, Nykanorivka and towards Filiya in the Pokrovsk direction. Main Commander Oleksandr Syrskyi reports successful UA advances for the second consecutive day in Dobropillya and Pokrovsk directions, despite challenges. RF sources are consistently reporting heavy fighting and "destruction" of UA equipment/personal near Pokrovsk. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) posts photos and video confirming successful UA counter-DRG operations near Pokrovsk. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video of the 425th Regiment "SKALA" showing captured Russian soldiers providing testimony on their unit movements and lack of support. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports an attempted assault on Pokrovsk by RF forces utilizing motorcycles. TASS reports that an officer of the press center of the RF 'Vostok' grouping, Aleksei Yakovlev, stated their units have advanced into enemy defenses in Ivankiv, Poltavka, and Zeleny Gay. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted multiple photo messages summarizing the General Staff's report. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map of the Pokrovsk direction as of 18 AUG 25. TASS reports that the National Guard of Ukraine is relocating some units from Kharkiv Oblast to the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. TASS reports that Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi recognized the situation as difficult along the entire contact line, especially in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Mash на Донбассе (RF source) posts aerial video of military activity in Pokrovsk/Krasnoarmeysk area. РБК-Україна reports Commander Syrskyi commenting on RF forces near Dobropillya, stating "instead of 'forward, victory' - 'encirclement, end'," suggesting effective UA defense or counter-offensive actions. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) posts thermal imaging video claiming to show RF rocket artillery striking enemy strongholds in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України (UA source) reports liberation of Zolotyi Kolodyaz and Petrivka in Donetsk Oblast, supported by video evidence of soldiers and captured prisoners, directly countering RF claims of gains. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Poltavka, Vilne, Nove Shakhove, Zapovidne, Novoekonomichne, Myrolubivka, Novoukrayinka, Lysivka, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne and towards Volodymyrivka, Rodynske, Chervone Lymanu, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Molodetske in the Pokrovsk direction. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) provides a new General Staff update confirming that UA forces, including the 1st Azov Corps (ZSOU and NGU), have cleared the settlements of Hruzke, Rubizhne, Novovodyane, Petrivka, Vesele, and Zolotyi Kolodyaz in Donetsk Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA Source) reports on an RF military individual having shot a civilian in the Pokrovsk direction. MoD Russia (RF source) claims flamethrowers from the Tsentr Group wiped out a UA stronghold near Krasnoarmeysk. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports an RF military individual shot a civilian in Rodynske, Pokrovsk direction. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) video claims to show "Rubicon" breaking Ukrainian defenses near Krasnoarmeysk. Филолог в засаде (RF source) posted a video requesting donations for a "night bird" (likely DJI Mavic 3T) for artillery reconnaissance on the Pokrovskoe direction. Сливочный каприз (RF source) provided a photo message of their claimed positions between Dobropillya and Kucherov Yar as of 18 Aug 25. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports intense fighting for Udachne and Pervoye Maya. TASS reports that RF forces gained high tempo advance on Donetsk front, and will soon liberate Krasnoarmeysk and Konstantinovka. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) appeals for donations for "motorized rifle units and special forces" that are "actively advancing." A large map of Ukraine was displayed in the Oval Office during the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) and STERNENKO (UA source) post photo messages of the large map of Ukraine in the Oval Office. Rybar (RF source) posts a tactical map for the Pokrovsk-Mirnograd direction as of 18 AUG 25. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video message showing intense fighting and "holding key heights" on the Dobropillya direction. The video appears to be drone footage showing engagements between opposing forces, including vehicles being targeted and destroyed (BBM, "Baba-Yaga" drone, relay station, truck). This confirms ongoing high-intensity combat. Операция Z (RF source) video shows "Otvazhnye" burning a UA stronghold near Pokrovsk using "Tosochka" (TOS-1A). Rybar (RF source) video provides tactical analysis of "pocket" near Alekseevka and fighting for Udachnoe, indicating active combat and RF analytical focus on these areas. Сливочный каприз (RF source) photo message with caption "18.08.25 Krasnoarmeysk - Poltavka" provides an RF claimed tactical map of the Pokrovsk direction, which can be cross-referenced with UA reports of the fighting. A new RF claimed tactical map for the Pokrovsk direction as of 19 AUG 25, captioned "Krasnoarmeysk - Mayak," indicates continued RF focus on this axis. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) video shows RF rocket artillery strikes in the Krasnoarmeysk direction, confirming continued RF fire support for offensive operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video shows Ukrainian drone operators "sending occupiers to demobilization" in the Pokrovsk direction, showing footage of enemy movement and casualties and highlighting the effectiveness of the 414th UAV Brigade "Birds of Madyar." Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Dorozhnye, Fedorivka, Nykanorivka, Mayak, Rodynske, Novoekonomichne, Chervonyy Lyman, Promin, Pokrovsk, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Molodetske, Novoukrayinka, Chunyshyne, Volodymyrivka, Dachne, Lysivka and towards Balahan. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video shows soldiers from the 1st separate assault regiment "Da Vinci" material support company near Pokrovsk, thanking donors for funds to purchase two vehicles. This indicates UA is actively resupplying and adapting for combat in this critical sector. Воин DV (RF source) video claims a compilation of successful fire strikes against the 3rd Assault Brigade "Azov" of the AFU in the Pokrovsk direction by "Center" Group forces. This claim needs further verification but aligns with RF's stated offensive focus in this area. Rybar (RF source) has posted a tactical map for Pokrovsk, with the caption "Pokrovsk: line without line," providing an RF claimed view of the combat area as of 19 AUG 25. DeepState (UA Source) reports map has been updated. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk Direction): UA reports capture of an RF prisoner from 150th Division by Azov units, and significant RF losses in Azov's areas. Mandatory evacuation of families with children in Druzhkivka suggests anticipated RF advances or increased threat. Closure of Ukrposhta branches in Konstantinovka from August 19 further indicates increasing threat to this logistics hub. Clashes reported near Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, Oleksandra-Kalynove, and Pleschiyivka. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Pleschiyivka, Stepanivka, Yablunivka and Rusyn Yar in the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO (UA source) reports that Phoenix UAS tactical group is "cutting Russian logistics" in the Konstantinovka direction. Zvиздец Мангусту (RF source) claims RF 4th OMCBR continues to attack towards Delievka – Aleksandro-Shulgino and attempts to break through and consolidate in Belaya Hora. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Toretsk, Scherbynivka and towards Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleschiyivka, Rusyn Yar in thetsk direction, as well as Poltavka and Berestok. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts a tactical map for the Konstantinovka direction, indicating continued RF focus on this area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Luhansk Oblast (Siversk Direction): RF forces report combat operations with drone-guided artillery and ATGM teams. RF MoD claims destruction of AFU stronghold in Krasny Liman direction. RF aims to advance 2 km to close a "fire bag" for AFU in Kremensky forests. Russian forces reportedly broke through Ukrainian defense lines in the Lyman district. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Hryhorivka, Serebryanka, Siversk, Vyyimka, Fedorivka, Pereyizne and towards Siversk in the Siversk direction. RF MoD claims "liberation" of Kolodezi in Donetsk People's Republic (Luhansk direction). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 63rd Brigade utilizing three FPV drones to neutralize a Russian tank threatening Ukrainian positions east of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast. RF MoD confirms liberation of Kolodezi and Voronoye. Colonelcassad reports on mobile fire groups operating in Belgorod Oblast and Luhansk People's Republic. TASS reports that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, including foreign mercenaries, suffered 4,500 personnel losses in the past week on the Luhansk People's Republic borders, with the Southern Group of Forces inflicting the most damage. TASS claims that Kyiv has struck Lisichansk, LPR, more than 10 times in the past week, resulting in civilian casualties. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Luhansk direction as of 18 AUG 25. Сливочный каприз (RF source) posts a summary of combat operations between August 14-17, 2025, which likely includes the Luhansk direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Hryhorivka, Fedorivka and Vyyimka in the Siversk direction, as well as Serebrianka and Vyimka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) has provided a photo message of a tactical map for the Siversk direction. Mash na Donbasse reports over 1000 residents of Kamyshnoye and Gerasimovka without power due to a severe fire in LPR. Сливочный каприз (RF source) photo messages with caption "19.08.25 Siversk - Vyyemka" provides RF claimed tactical map of the Siversk direction. Сливочный каприз (RF source) video demonstrates active combat operations in the Siversk direction, including drone strikes on enemy positions and personnel, confirming ongoing high-intensity engagements. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video shows 63rd Mechanized Brigade destroying RF assault groups in the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad (RF source) has posted a tactical map for the Seversk direction as of 19 AUG 25, captioned "Series of successes," which highlights RF claimed gains. New intel indicates RF video footage of military vehicle (likely truck or personnel carrier) moving through wooded area. Target is tracked and "TARGET CAPTURED" (ЦЕЛЬ ЗАХВАЧЕНА) displayed in Russian. Rybar (RF source) has posted a tactical map depicting military activity in the Severky Donets direction, dated August 19, 2025, at 19:00, showing color-coded territorial control and combat areas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopolshchyna): Sustained RF artillery and FPV drone attacks on Nikopol and surrounding communities. RF claims control of all settlements at the junction of DNR and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast after liberation of Iskra. Extensive damage to civilian infrastructure in Nikopol confirmed. Ballistic missile strike on outskirts of Dnipro confirmed with damage to civilian property. Overnight drone attack on Pokrovska community, Synelnykivskyi district, caused fires at agricultural enterprises. RF MoD claims "liberation" of Voronoye in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetropavsk Regional State Administration) reports continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopolshchyna. A ballistic missile threat on Synelnykove and a high-speed target from the east on Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Explosions were heard in Pavlohrad. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports destruction of a UA T-72 tank by an FPV drone in Ivanivka, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected near Pavlohrad, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone (UAV) threat to Pavlohrad. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "powerful explosions" in Pavlohrad. TASS (RF source) claims UA forces in Iskra, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, killed an elderly female civilian. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropropetrovsk Regional State Administration) reports that RF struck Pavlohrad with a missile overnight, causing a fire. Воин DV (RF source) video footage from an aerial platform with thermal imaging, focused on a wooded area on the border of Dnipropetropavsk Oblast and DNR, targeting what appears to be personnel or equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims RF forces struck Pavlohrad Repair and Mechanical Plant and Technical Equipment Plant. MoD Russia (RF source) video of servicemen from the Vostok Group of Forces describing the liberation of Iskra in Donetsk People's Republic. Mash на Донbasse (RF source) posts a UA UAV attacked a gas station in Yenakiieve, DNR. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports that UA forces inflicted a successful strike on a gas station in Yenakiieve. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports a substation hit by a "Geran" drone in Mezhove, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts video of a burning power substation in Mezhove, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetropavsk Regional State Administration) reports continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol, Marhanets, and Pokrovske communities throughout the day. Photos show damaged civilian buildings. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of strike UAVs in eastern Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, heading towards Pavlohrad. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 1 "moped" (Shahed) heading towards Dnipro. UA Air Defense reports 7 enemy UAVs shot down over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. ASTRA (UA source) reports one person injured after Russian attacks in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports the "SKALA" Regiment conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts, confirming UA tactical gains. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) video claims destruction of a French "Caesar" self-propelled howitzer and an ammunition vehicle in the Dnipropetropavsk border region by "Vostok" Group of Forces, signaling continued RF focus on Western-supplied artillery. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video depicts a large building complex engulfed in flames and thick black smoke after overnight Shahed attacks in the Synelnykive district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a photo message showing a tactical map for the Dnipropetrovsk direction. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in eastern Dnipropetropavsk. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows a Lancet strike on a French CAESAR SPG in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, confirming the targeting and destruction of high-value Western-supplied artillery. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports aviation weapon threat for Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports an explosion in Pavlohrad. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkivskyi District): UA Air Force alerts for high-speed targets and KAB launches. RF claims improved position near Krasny Perviy, controlling ~6 km of road to Dvorechnaya. A substantial increase (estimated 40%) in Russian EW emissions has been detected in the Kharkiv sector, primarily targeting Ukrainian reconnaissance UAVs and degrading ISR capabilities. Continued RF reconnaissance UAVs in northern and eastern Kharkiv Oblast. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Kamyanka, Khatnye and Fyholivka in the South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv) direction, and also Hlyboke, Kamyanka, Ambarne. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were hit by enemy strikes in the past day. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "loud explosions" in Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports 11 casualties in Kharkiv from recent RF attack. Олег Синєгубов, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, reports 3 additional casualties, bringing total to 11. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates the 11 casualties. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration (UA source), provided multiple photo messages showing damaged civilian residential buildings. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "continuing to pound Kharkiv" with "powerful explosions." РБК-Україна reports an explosion heard in Kharkiv. Mayor Igor Terekhov confirms "Shahed" hits in Industrialnyi district. Oleg Syniehubov confirms two casualties (25-year-old male, 79-year-old female) from drone strike. Subsequent reports from Oleg Syniehubov indicate 10-year-old boy, 19-year-old girl, 46-year-old male, and 47-year-old female hospitalized. Mayor Igor Terekhov reports one fatality and five injured. Kharkiv now reports four fatalities (up from three), including a one-year-old child and a 55-year-old woman, and 17 injured (including 6 children). Oleg Syniehubov (Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration) reports 5 people are currently missing. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and РБК-УкраїНА (UA source) have released additional video footage showing the ongoing search and rescue operation. ASTRA (UA source) has released photos and a drone video showing the extensive destruction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports on the drone attack on a residential high-rise. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА reports a 16-year-old boy became the fourth victim. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports five fatalities. STERNENKO (UA source) corroborates five fatalities. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates five fatalities. Север.Реалії (UA source) reports at least four fatalities. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) reports enemy strikes on Kharkiv and 10 settlements. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) reports five fatalities and at least 30 injured. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 20. ASTRA (UA source) also reports 30 injured. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) posts video and photo messages of the aftermath. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) declares August 18 a day of mourning. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 20. ASTRA (UA source) reports the number of fatalities has increased to 6. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) confirms 6 fatalities. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts an informational message. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the number of fatalities has risen to 7. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates 7 fatalities. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) also confirms 7 fatalities. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts video of border guards liquidating 5 enemy targets. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and Рыбарь (RF source) both post video of a military convoy with RF and US flags. ASTRA (UA source) posts video of a Russian attack on Kharkiv from the city's mayor. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video of Kharkiv mayor showing morning Shahed strikes. РБК-УкраїНА (UA source) posts video of Kharkiv mayor showing the moment of a Russian strike. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts video of Kharkiv, claiming "Tests continue. Be good!". ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video showing the moment of an RF strike on a residential building. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video showing medics attempting to resuscitate a small child. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, reports an additional three people sought medical attention, bringing total to 23. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts multiple photo messages indicating effective UA drone reconnaissance by the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade. Oleg Syniehubov (Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration) has provided a photo message warning of fire danger. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on northern Kharkiv Oblast. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 24 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were hit by enemy strikes last week. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video footage of a series of impacts in Kharkiv. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports that "Khartia" drones successfully located and struck an RF camp in Kharkiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts three photo messages depicting a battle map of the Kharkiv direction. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) posts a photo message celebrating Ukrainian leadership. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video showing civilian structures being transported by trucks at night. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts a video of a formal gathering of international dignitaries, including Zelenskyy and Trump. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows drone operators of the 3rd Assault Brigade dropping munitions on RF in Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Kharkiv Oblast is under bomb strike and threat of strike UAVs. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports RF KAB strikes on Ruska Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows 3rd Assault Brigade drone operators striking RF positions in Kharkiv Oblast while peace talks are ongoing. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Kharkiv Oblast under bomb strike and UAV threat. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Kharkiv Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. A high-speed target is moving through Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, likely a cruise missile. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Another high-speed target reported in Kharkiv Oblast, same course. UA sources report 4 missiles from Kharkiv Oblast now over Poltava Oblast, heading towards Kremenchuk. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 16 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast sustained enemy strikes yesterday. TASS reports RF forces struck two UA locations in Khatnye and Chuhunivka, Kharkiv Oblast. Олексій Білошицький (UA source) video confirms ongoing rescue operations and significant damage in Kharkiv following drone strikes, highlighting continued RF attacks on civilian infrastructure. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts a photo of a multi-story residential building in Kharkiv, extensively damaged, implying a successful RF strike. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) reports a Russian serviceman will be tried in Kharkiv Oblast for shooting Ukrainian soldiers at the Vovchansk Aggregate Plant. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the new commander of the 13th NGU Brigade "Khartia" is Major Daniel "Cuba" Kitone. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) posts photos of humanitarian aid being delivered to military personnel on the Kharkiv direction. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows an FPV drone strike by RF "Sever" Group on a building with AFU militants in Tsapovka, Kharkiv Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 video shows 9 direct hits by "STRIX" unit on the South-Slobozhanskyi direction, with drone footage of targeted enemy positions, a communication tower, and a vehicle, confirming ongoing successful UA strikes. STERNENKO (UA source) reports on an FPV drone strike by RF forces on an emergency medical vehicle in Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast, indicating a continued disregard for protected civilian assets. ASTRA (UA source) and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) both confirm a Russian drone strike on an ambulance in Kupyansk, injuring two people. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts multiple photo messages of military training (obstacle course) for psychological and physical preparation. A group of UAVs from Kharkiv Oblast is now heading towards Poltava Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Chernihiv Oblast: UA Air Force alerts for enemy reconnaissance UAVs, high-speed targets, and threat of strike UAVs. "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes on a forward Ukrainian command post in Birino area confirmed. Ballistic missile impact in Honcharivske reported. RF claims destruction of a foreign mercenary legion's base. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Krasnyy Khutir of Chernihiv region, and Polushkyne, Karabany. Colonelcassad reports Kinzhal strike near Desna and Geran/Gerbera strikes near Semenivka (Chernihiv Oblast). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV threat to Brovary and Boryspil districts in Kyiv Oblast and a UAV threat to Kyiv. Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy UAVs on northern Chernihiv Oblast and in the Pryluky area. НгП раZVедка (RF source) claims "Geran" drones are "drilling" Chernihiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports enemy UAVs attacked Kyiv Oblast overnight, damaging a hangar in Boryspil district. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Chernihiv Oblast. MoD Russia (RF source) video claiming Geran-2 UAVs hit AFU special forces units of GUR near Zhadovo, Chernihiv region, and also an AFU forward command post near Birino. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (UA source) reports UAVs in central Chernihiv Oblast near Pryluky. Операция Z (RF source) posts video claiming Geran strikes hit GUR special forces in Chernihiv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV on northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. UA Air Force reports a UAV threat in Chernihiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims RF forces struck a training center in Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of strike UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for Chernihiv Oblast has been lifted. Latest UA Air Force reports an enemy UAV on Chernihiv Oblast. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports that RF drones attacked Chernihiv Oblast this morning, causing power outages in some settlements, confirming continued RF drone activity in the area and immediate civilian impact. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) corroborates that parts of Chernihiv Oblast are without electricity after the morning UAV attack, further confirming the immediate civilian impact. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports reconnaissance UAV activity in Chernihiv Oblast with interception measures engaged. An enemy reconnaissance UAV on Chernihiv Oblast, with interception measures engaged. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Nizhyn. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Unidentified UAV activity reported in northern Chernihiv Oblast. UAV heading towards Novgorod-Siverskyi, Borzna (Chernihiv Oblast). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kherson Oblast (Left Bank Dnieper): UA reports destruction of an RF ammunition depot and four vehicles on the left bank. RF claims Lancet strike destroyed US M-777 howitzer and Ukrainian Bogdana SPG on right bank. Ukrainian Navy radio intercepts confirm loss of Russian Su-30SM fighter jet southeast of Snake Island. UA forces repelled 4-6 Russian army assaults. UA source claims reconnaissance units entered "Novaya Kakhovka" on the Kherson direction and are shelling enemy defenses. Southern Ukraine Defense Forces report continued strikes on enemy deployment areas, fire positions, and rear areas in the southern operational zone. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports strikes on Khadzhibeevka and Usatove (Odesa region), specifically targeting "marine BECs" and a 330kv power substation. TASS (RF source) claims that the "Kyiv-appointed" administration of Kherson has long since left the city and is operating remotely from Mykolaiv. TASS reports that the AFU lost a Starlink satellite communication station and 17 UAV control points in the zone of responsibility of the 'Vostok' grouping in the past 24 hours. Два майора (RF source) posts thermal imaging footage claiming to show activity in Kherson at night. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) provides operational information for the Southern Defense Forces. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Kherson direction as of 18 AUG 25. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian army assaults in the Kherson direction, and also clashes near Antonivsky bridge, Dniprovske, and near Bilohrudyy island. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video of explosions and vehicle activity in the Kherson direction. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows artillerymen of the 49th Army hitting fortifications on the right bank of the Dnieper River in Kherson region. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) photo message provides operational information for the Southern Defense Forces as of 08:00 19 AUG 25, indicating continued UA monitoring and defense in the southern operational zone. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) photo message with caption "⚡️⚡️Сили оборони Півдня України продовжують уражати місця дислокації ворога, його вогневі позиції та тили." confirms ongoing UA deep strikes and counter-battery fire in the Southern operational zone. Mash на Донбассе (RF source) video shows a fire at a forestry enterprise near Chulakivka in Kherson Oblast, with plumes of smoke, confirming environmental impact from burning vegetation, likely related to conflict activity. Kotsnews (RF source) video depicts RF military medics operating in the Kherson direction, showcasing newly supplied evacuation equipment. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (UA source) video shows FPV operators of the "B.G" unit (Crimean SBU directorate) striking RF personnel on Kinburn Spit, confirming UA special operations and drone effectiveness in this area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Mykolaiv Oblast: РБК-Україна (UA source) reports an RF missile hit an ancient Jewish cemetery in Pervomaisk, Mykolaiv Oblast. This indicates continued RF targeting of civilian and cultural sites. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) also reports on the situation in Mykolaiv. RF activity has increased significantly in Mykolaiv Oblast. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports missile danger in Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic missile (later corrected to Smerch MLRS) targeting Bilozerka, Mykolaiv Oblast. UA Air Force reports a high-speed target in Mykolaiv Oblast. Another Smerch MLRS strike reported on Bilozerka. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Odesa Oblast: STERNENKO reports groups of strike UAVs in the north and near Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports an alert from Odesa Oblast Military Administration calling residents to shelters due to strike UAVs. STERNENKO reports Odesa is under a massive "Shahed" drone attack, with explosions heard. Николаевский Ванёк reports reduction in drone numbers near Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued drone threats in Velyka Balka-Nerubaiske and Radisne-Velykyi Dalnyk (Odesa Oblast). ASTRA reports a large fire in Odesa after a massive Shahed strike. Операция Z (RF source) posts multiple photo and video messages reporting "powerful strikes on enemy objects in Odesa, fires in the city." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports that RF drones struck a Nova Poshta terminal in Odesa. Дневник Десантника (RF source) claims that their strike UAVs hit "several objects" in Odesa overnight. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна (UA source) confirm an RF drone strike on a fuel and energy infrastructure object and a two-story building in the suburbs of Odesa. ASTRA reports a fire on a fuel and energy infrastructure object in Odesa Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) reports Odesa was attacked by Shaheds all night. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts video of the aftermath of strikes on an alleged SOCAR oil depot in Odesa Oblast. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims Geran drones destroyed a "giant fuel terminal" of SOCAR. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) reports 24 Shahed UAVs destroyed by Southern Defense Forces. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a map/graphic titled "Chronicle of strikes on the territory of Ukraine August 17 - August 18, 2025," which likely includes Odesa. Colonelcassad also posts video of an explosion with "kurs_odessa" watermark. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video claiming a massive Shahed attack on SOCAR oil depot in Odesa Oblast. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims "Azerbaijani fuel tanks extinguished." Colonelcassad (RF source) comments that overnight strikes in Odesa targeted Nova Poshta objects and SOCAR. Два майора (RF source) posts video of significant damage to industrial or storage tanks in Odesa. Colonelcassad (RF source) also posts video showing the aftermath of attacks on SOCAR in Odesa. Операция Z (RF source) provides photos of a large fire, likely in Odesa. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows a significant fire at the SOCAR oil depot. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts photos showing a large fire at the SOCAR oil depot in Odesa. Kotsnews (RF source) posts videos confirming significant damage and fires. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) also posts video of the aftermath of the SOCAR oil depot strike. Два майора (RF source) has posted a photo message regarding Romania's desire to expand joint Black Sea patrolling with Bulgaria and Turkey. Colonelcassad (RF source) provides a summary of strikes. WarGonzo (RF source) posted videos showing the aftermath of the SOCAR strike in Odesa. STERNENKO video shows aerial footage likely from a drone, observing an area with what appear to be defensive positions or fortifications. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha reacting to the RF strike on the SOCAR oil depot. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports ballistic missile arrival in Dobroslav. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target on Odesa Oblast, heading northwest. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video shows multiple plumes of black smoke rising from various urban locations, likely Odesa, implying significant fires/explosions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports the SBU uncovered an RF military intelligence agent group that coordinated shelling of Kyiv and carried out sabotage in Odesa Oblast. This indicates continued RF attempts at covert action in the region. An enemy reconnaissance UAV has been detected in the Black Sea waters near Odesa Oblast, with interception measures engaged. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims RF destroyed a UA radio point in Odesa Oblast using an Iskander missile. New intelligence indicates multiple ballistic missile launches towards Odesa Oblast. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirms missile threat to Odesa. Explosions have been heard in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of UAVs from Black Sea waters heading to Odesa Oblast. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports a "powerful Iskander strike" in Odesa destroyed a German IRIS-T SLM air defense system position. Николаевский Ванёк reports 17 "mopeds" (Shahed) from the sea heading towards/through Tatarbunary. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports ballistic missile arrival against a UA air defense position in Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк reports 20 "mopeds" from Tatarbunary heading to Izmailsky district, and that the first 6 "mopeds" are approaching Izmail. Powerful fire in Izmail (Odesa Oblast) after "Geran" (Shahed) activity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: "Night Storm over the Danube: Strike on AFU fuel arteries in Izmail" reported by RF source. This confirms the target of the previous Shahed activity in Izmail and its impact on UA logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports overnight enemy attacks on Izmail, Odesa Oblast, and Okhtyrka, Sumy Oblast, with fires successfully contained and no casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (РБК-Україна source) reports destroying 5 Shaheds overnight. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RF claims destruction of AFU ammunition depot. 578 RF strikes on 14 settlements over past day. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and also near Novoandriyivka in Orikhiv direction, and Prymorske, Novoandriyivka. A 64-year-old man was wounded in a hostile attack on Polohivskyi district. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Tolstoy, Komyshuvakha, Zelene Pole, Maliyivka, Myrne, Zaporizhzhke, Olhivske in the Novopavlivka direction, and also near Kamyanske and Novoandriyivka in the Orikhiv direction, as well as Zirka, Vilne Pole, Voskresenka, Shevchenko, Novodarivka, Olhivske, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Maliyivka, Shevchenko and towards Oleksandrohrad and Komyshuvakha. Colonelcassad reports VKC and missile forces conducted strikes on targets in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація reports air raid alert over. An air raid alert has been declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and has since been lifted. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) has re-declared an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapons use. UA Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia district. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports the air raid alert has been lifted. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) has re-declared an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a ballistic missile threat. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports ballistic missile activity towards Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target towards Zaporizhzhia. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports an explosion in Zaporizhzhia. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Zaporizhzhia is under ballistic missile attack. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports a second ballistic missile. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports a third explosion. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports repeated explosions. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports RF is attempting to strike critical infrastructure. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) corroborates RF attempts to strike critical infrastructure. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) confirms RF strikes on Zaporizhzhia, with two impacts and an in]crease in injured persons to four. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates two strikes. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the ballistic missile threat has been lifted. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports four injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also reports four injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports that 6 people, two in serious condition, have been hospitalized. ASTRA (UA source) also reports 6 injured. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates increasing casualties. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts photos from the State Emergency Service. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 7 injured. ASTRA (UA source) reports 17 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) confirms 17 injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also reports 17 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts photos showing damage. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Syrskyi stating Russia is concentrating troops and planning a large-scale offensive. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts video showing firefighters and emergency personnel clearing debris. STERNENKO (UA source) posts video of significant damage. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Zelenyy Hay, Tolstoy, Oleksandrohrad, Voskresenka, Maliyivka, Vilne Pole and Temyrivka in the Novopavlivka direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Novoandriyivka in the Orikhiv direction. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA) reports a man rescued from debris has died. РБК-Україна (UA) corroborates the death. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA) reports air raid alert lifted. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports 3 dead and 18 injured from the morning attack. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 23 people, injured by the enemy attack, are receiving medical assistance. РБК-Україна (UA) corroborates 23 injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) corroborates 23 injured. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates 23 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts video showing the aftermath of the missile strike. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video appealing for donations for drones and Starlink. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) posts photos showing the 44th Separate Artillery Brigade "Bogdana" successfully destroying enemy equipment. ASTRA (UA source) reports on an RF M113 APC with RF and US flags operating in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Два майора (RF source) posted a video claimed to be a tank strike in the Lukyanovskoe area of Zaporizhzhia. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports an increase in the number of injured persons to 27. РБК-Україна (UA) reports the number of injured has risen to 24. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) states that the Commander-in-Chief's statement about enemy intent to break through the Zaporizhzhia front and advance deep into Ukrainian territory was not new to them. Два майора (RF source) posted a drone video from the Zaporizhzhia front. РБК-Україна (UA) reports the number of injured in Zaporizhzhia increased to 30. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 30 injured. ASTRA (UA source) reports 30 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports Zaporizhzhia Oblast is a leader in drone procurement. ASTRA (UA source) reports up to 30 injured. Photos confirm significant damage to residential buildings. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports an air raid alert declared. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of ballistic weapons. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 33. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) declares an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (UA source) reports a threat of ballistic weapons use. Два майора (RF source) reports on current combat activity on the Zaporizhzhia front. The air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video appealing for donations. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video showing RF forces striking a UA tank in a wooded area near Lukyanovskoe, Zaporizhzhia direction. The video appears to be FPV drone footage, showing the drone's telemetry and a Russian watermark, indicating RF drone activity. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 3 dead and 33 injured in Zaporizhzhia from yesterday's enemy attack. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a "Minute of Silence" video, signifying continued mourning for casualties in Zaporizhzhia. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) video shows two RF servicemen from the 7th Airborne Division appealing for donations for drones and Starlink, suggesting ongoing logistical needs in the Zaporizhzhia direction. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has released a video confirming significant damage to civilian infrastructure, including residential and private buildings, and updated casualty figures to 3 fatalities and 34 injured after a Russian missile strike around 0900Z. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 video features officials discussing fire safety measures and environmental conditions in the Zaporizhzhia region, confirming increased fire risk and air quality issues due to ongoing conflict. A ballistic missile threat has been declared for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Воин DV (RF source) video shows 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade "Vostok" destroying enemy material and technical means, including Starlink terminals, in Zaporizhzhia. This confirms RF targeting of UA communication infrastructure and continued operations by this unit. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and РБК-Україна (UA source) reports that a train with cisterns was blown up between Urozhaine and Tokmak in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, impacting RF logistics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video and photos confirm a successful drone strike by the "Roniny" battalion of the 65th Separate Mechanized Brigade's unmanned systems battalion on an RF train with fuel cisterns and military ordnance near Molochansk (Tokmak direction). This confirms continued UA interdiction of RF logistics. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) photos corroborate the destruction of a railway depot with fuel near Tokmak, indicating a successful UA strike. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows an FPV drone flying over a railway line with a train, implying continued UA interest in targeting RF logistics. Олексій Білошицький (UA source) video shows emergency services responding to an incident in Zaporizhzhia, with visible smoke and debris, and an injured individual being assisted, confirming the humanitarian impact of recent RF strikes. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows a burning RF train in Zaporizhzhia, confirming the earlier reported destruction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a photo message to entrepreneurs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, possibly related to economic recovery or military support initiatives. ASTRA (UA source) video and photos confirm a UA drone strike on a Russian railway convoy in the occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The footage displays multiple damaged or burning railcars, some appearing to be fuel tanks, consistent with the reported incident. An air raid alert has been declared for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports the air raid alert has been lifted. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV entering Zaporizhzhia Oblast and heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia has been lifted. Two Mayors (RF source) video shows a tank or armored vehicle with Russian and possibly American flags on a structure in the distance, damaged vehicle, and a soldier speaking with Russian text overlay, indicating active combat. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) appeals for donations for "several units" of the 7th Airborne Division for drones and Starlink, reinforcing ongoing logistical needs. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports explosions in Zaporizhzhia. ASTRA (UA source) reports that the entire occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is without electricity, citing RF official Balitsky. TASS corroborates total power outage in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Два майора (RF source) reports the Zaporizhzhia Oblast governor stated the power outage was caused by UA UAV strikes. Mash на Донбассе reports electricity outage in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to UA UAV strike on a high-voltage line. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kupyansk Axis: Previous reports indicated a decisive shift of RF main effort with the capture of Ivanivka. RF continues strikes on settlements. UA reports successful tank sorties and drone operations against RF personnel and equipment. Commander of "Achilles" Regiment Fedorenko (UA source) reports RF plans to occupy Kupyansk by August 24. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports the first mechanized attack by RF on the left bank of Kupyansk in a long time. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map of the Kupyansk direction as of 18 AUG 25. STERNENKO (UA source) reports that 905 drones has been delivered to the Defense Forces in the last two days. Николаевский Ванёк reports a new "singing" RF prisoner was taken under Muravka, Donetsk Oblast, identified as Vladimir Sergeevich from the 35th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. TASS reports the head of Kharkiv VGA Ganchev claims Russian forces are encircling Kupyansk. Воин DV (RF source) video shows aerial footage of an ongoing military engagement impacting a rural or semi-rural landscape, with multiple explosions visible, confirming continued RF operations near Novosyolovka in the Kupyansk direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Holubivka, Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Moskovka and Zahryzove. TASS (RF source) reports that military expert Andrey Marochko states RF forces have started battles near Sobolevka and are advancing towards Blagodatovka near Kupyansk. Сливочный каприз (RF source) posts tactical maps for Kupyansk - Zaoskolye as of 19 AUG 25, implying active combat or planned operations in this specific area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Sumy Oblast: РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukrainian forces actively destroying the enemy in Sumy Oblast, pushing back Russians near Oleksiivka and Yunakivka. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video of a destroyed UA M577 command post vehicle in Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video showing an RF truck with ammunition epically destroyed by a Ukrainian drone on the way to Sumy Oblast. TASS reports that RF forces have improved their tactical position near Yunakovka, Sumy Oblast. Операция Z (RF source) thermal imagery video claims successful destruction of UA armored vehicles by Spetsnaz "Anvar" and VDV units supporting an offensive on Sumy. РБК-Україна reports a 57-year-old woman injured by a KAB strike on Novoslobidska community, Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new UAVs on northern Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports a missile strike on Sumy. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted photo messages confirming a missile strike on an educational institution. НгП раZVедка (RF source) posts a mocking caption suggesting RF strikes or activity in Shostka. RF reconnaissance UAVs are operating near Putyvl. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "loud explosions" in Sumy. РБК-Україна reports a series of explosions. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 new RF UAVs detected east of Bilopillya. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports continued RF attacks on Sumy. Colonelcassad shares video footage from the 68th Motorized Rifle Division, 6th Army, Western Military District. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy strike UAVs. UA Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs. TASS (RF source) claims that Ukrainian Armed Forces command in Sumy Oblast has committed all resources to outflank RF forces in Yunakivka. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video showing two individuals in a wooded area with abandoned cars and a quad bike, claiming it depicts RF forces marauding in border villages of Kursk Oblast. Kotsnews (RF source) posts video with caption "Syrsky: Kursk - best result among all major operations," which is an RF information operation. MoD Russia (RF source) video claiming a BM-21 Grad MLRS crew eliminated a manpower cluster. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) posts video of a Lancet loitering munition preparation and strike. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian army assaults in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction, with 7 repelled assaults. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. РБК-Україна (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. Alex Parker Returns (RF) claims the Sumy State University was hit by a "Flamingo missile." Два майора (RF source) posts video showing an RF FPV drone strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV on northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. RF activity on the Sumy direction, with an aerial view of an exploding vehicle. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) asserts that RF forces have been defeated in Sumy Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) posts a video of drone-guided artillery or air strikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) amplifies Syrsky's (misquoted) statements. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts a photo message showing activity on the Eastern Direction. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports a severe injury to an RF General in Kursk Oblast from a HIMARS strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video from local residents showing a visual confirmation of RF "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes on Sumy State University. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAV threat. TASS (RF source) claims that military expert Yan Gagin states AFU unsuccessfully counterattack. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows Uragan MLRS crews eliminating AFU armored vehicles. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows T-80BVM tanks of the Sever Group of Forces eliminating AFU hardware. RF has again attacked civilian infrastructure in Sumy. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast moving south. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of enemy UAVs on the north, east, and south of Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava Oblast. An explosion was heard in Sumy. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Sumy Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України (UA source) video indicates UA forces are expanding their buffer zone in the Sumy region. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) video shows two individuals in a wooded area, likely RF personnel, but content is general and not highly specific to Sumy operations. STERNENKO (UA source) posts a photo message with incendiary content, implying attacks on Russian border regions, which is a PSYOP. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a ballistic missile threat from the northeast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) posts a photo message showing a battlefield map for the Sumy direction, indicating active counterattacks by VSU and the use of SU-27 fighter jets for strikes on RF positions. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hirky of Sumy region. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in central Sumy Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts photo messages claiming foreign mercenaries were destroyed in Sumy Oblast. Старше Эдды (RF source) posts photo messages claiming Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups (SRG) attempted an infiltration into Bryansk Oblast, resulting in 3 killed and 3 captured (including a Ukrainian SOF captain) by SOBR and FSB. This RF claim indicates continued UA deep strike/reconnaissance efforts into RF territory. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) and Операция Z (RF source) repost images and claims regarding the alleged Ukrainian DRG in Bryansk Oblast. This indicates a coordinated RF information operation regarding perceived Ukrainian incursions. Colonelcassad (RF source) also reposts the claim regarding the alleged Ukrainian DRG in Bryansk Oblast, confirming widespread RF dissemination of this information. Colonelcassad (RF source) video claims to show the destruction of a temporary deployment point (PVD) and an armored fighting vehicle (BBM) of the 116th Territorial Defense Brigade (TrO) of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using a "Forpost" UAV in Obody, Sumy Oblast. This indicates continued RF targeting of UA rear assets. STERNENKO (UA source) reports on PERUN Industries operating in Sumy Oblast, likely an arms or drone manufacturing facility. New intel: KAB launches by RF tactical aviation reported on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a photo message showing a tactical map for the Sumy direction. The caption suggests ongoing combat activity in the area. STERNENKO (UA source) reports drone safety zones in multiple RF oblasts. TASS reports that law enforcement agencies claim that the occupation of part of Kursk Oblast by the Armed Forces of Ukraine was enabled by the embezzlement of funds during the construction of fortifications. This is a significant RF information operation, blaming corruption for military setbacks and indirectly acknowledging Ukrainian presence in Kursk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: New groups of UAVs reported entering Sumy Oblast, heading towards Khotyn. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports a massive enemy strike on a private sector area in Okhtyrka community, Sumy Oblast, with no casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Poltava Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Poltava Oblast moving towards Myrhorod. An enemy UAV is heading south from northern Sumy Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. РБК-Україна reports Poltava and its community are without electricity. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of enemy UAVs on the north, east, and south of Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava Oblast. Groups of strike UAVs reported moving towards Kremenchuk from east and north. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in Poltava Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. Explosions reported in Lubny. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports approximately 12 "mopeds" (Shahed drones) heading towards/through Kremenchuk, with two waves. Nikolaevskiy Vanek confirms 7 "mopeds" (Shahed drones) from the first and second waves are currently heading towards Kremenchuk. ASTRA reports a large number of explosions in Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast, following attacks on Lubny. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 2 ballistic missiles targeting Kremenchuk, aimed at energy infrastructure. Николаевский Ванёк reports that "mopeds" heading to Kremenchuk are currently "minus," indicating successful interception or re-routing. UA Air Force confirms cruise missiles heading for Kremenchuk. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 missiles are approaching Kremenchuk. Николаевский Ванёк reports "minus" on the missiles for Kremenchuk, indicating successful interception or re-routing. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that RF forces attacked Poltava Oblast overnight, and provides a photo of fire aftermath at the Kremenchuk oil refinery. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAЇНА FIGHTS (UA sources) report a massive overnight attack on Poltava Oblast by the enemy, as stated by the OVA. ASTRA (UA source) reports Russia massively attacked Poltava Oblast, causing power problems, citing local authorities. WarGonzo (RF source) photo messages confirm RF attacks on energy objects in Kremenchuk. РБК-Україна (UA source) photo message shows dense black smoke from Kremenchuk. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video confirms burning Azerbaijani oil tanks in Kremenchuk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) video claims dozens of "Geraniums" struck targets in Poltava Oblast, including gas transportation system facilities and the local oil refinery, confirming the attack's scope. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows the aftermath of a "terrorist attack" on Kremenchuk, with a large plume of dark smoke, confirming significant damage and ongoing civilian impact. ASTRA (UA source) videos and photos confirm extensive smoke over Kremenchuk after a "massive Russian attack," substantiating the environmental and infrastructure damage. Два майора (RF source) photo messages and text confirm the aftermath of overnight strikes on Kremenchuk, including a large smoke plume, confirming successful RF targeting from their perspective. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video and photo messages confirm significant smoke over Kremenchuk in the morning, further verifying the scale of the attack and its impact. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports on unexploded cluster munitions from Russian missiles found in Kremenchuk after the attack, indicating a severe civilian threat. Север.Реалии (UA source) photo and video messages confirm RF strikes on Kremenchuk and a fire at the local oil refinery. Военкор Котенок (RF source) videos confirm significant smoke plumes over Kremenchuk oil refinery, confirming the attack. STERNENKO (UA source) photo message confirms unexploded cluster munitions were found in Kremenchuk. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports that multiple RF drones attacked a gas transportation system facility in Poltava Oblast overnight, citing the Ministry of Energy. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video titled "Night of fear in Kremenchuk" depicts a large explosion and subsequent fire with a significant smoke plume, confirming substantial damage. Kotsnews (RF source) reports that the supply of Russian oil through the "Druzhba" pipeline to Hungary and Slovakia was suspended due to Ukrainian UAV attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) video confirms RF forces destroyed Kremenchuk Oil Refinery. Два майора (RF source) video also confirms strike on Kremenchuk Oil Refinery. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video, published by Russian media, shows the moment of an X-101 missile strike on the Kremenchuk oil refinery. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows epic footage of one of the night arrivals at the Kremenchuk oil refinery, confirming a successful strike. Басурин о главном (RF source) reports that RF "Geranium" (Shahed) strikes on Kremenchuk oil refinery and Azerbaijani oil processing facilities continue to burn. Groups of UAVs from Kharkiv Oblast are now heading towards Poltava Oblast. Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports a yellow alert "air danger regime" has been introduced in Lipetsk Oblast. Igor Artamonov (RF source) also reports a red alert "UAV attack threat" has been declared for Yelets, Yelets MR, Dolgorukovsky MR, Stanovlyansky MO, Izmalkovsky MO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: A UAV from Poltava Oblast is heading towards Myrhorod. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kyiv Oblast: КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reports a car explosion in Podilskyi district, Kyiv. STERNENKO (UA source) posts photos of the car explosion. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) provides multiple photo messages of a fire incident. Операция Z (RF source) posts video claiming "Ukrainian partisans" blew up a military vehicle. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) reports on a scheme to launder over 160 million UAH. Multiple photos and videos from KMVA show a large fire at a multi-story building. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports enemy UAVs attacked Kyiv Oblast overnight, damaging a hangar in Boryspil district. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV threat to Brovary and Boryspil districts in Kyiv Oblast and a UAV threat to Kyiv. Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy UAVs on northern Chernihiv Oblast and in the Pryluky area. НгП раZVедка (RF source) claims "Geran" drones are "drilling" Chernihiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports enemy UAVs attacked Kyiv Oblast overnight, damaging a hangar in Boryspil district. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts photo messages featuring soldiers from the 21st separate mechanized brigade. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a preliminary meeting regarding a terrorist act in Mykolaiv. The Presidential Brigade of Ukraine (UA source) posted a video showing a successful drone strike on two Russian soldiers and their motorcycle. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts a video of a Ukrainian soldier sitting amongst destroyed buildings. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reports an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the takeoff of a Russian MiG-31K. РБК-Україна (UA source) confirms the air raid alert. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) confirms the air raid alert. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) confirms the MiG-31K in the air. РБК-Україна (UA source) provides a map. STERNENKO (UA source) also confirms the MiG-31K takeoff. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat of MiG-31K has been lifted. An enemy strike UAV in Kyiv Oblast heading towards Brovary. KMVA reports an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the threat of ballistic weapons. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat of ballistic weapons has been lifted. The air raid alert in Kyiv has been lifted. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and Оперативний ЗСУ (UA sources) posts a "Minute of Silence" photo message, indicating continued solemn commemoration in Kyiv for fallen defenders. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts photo messages and text stating that the "Leleka 100" UAV helps the soldiers of the First Presidential Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Bureviy" accurately destroy the enemy, implying continued UA drone effectiveness in reconnaissance and targeting. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts a general message to Kyiv residents and businesses. This is an internal administrative message, not directly military intelligence. The Presidential Brigade of Ukraine (UA source) video showcases drone footage of strikes against enemy positions, including "occupiers" and "shelters," with thermal imaging, indicating ongoing successful UA targeting and combat operations. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV from Chernihiv Oblast moving into Boryspil district, Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in northern Kyiv Oblast, course towards Zhytomyr Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Overall Frontline: RF continues employment of FPV drone swarms and Lancet loitering munitions, with a reported 20% increase in Lancet strikes. UA inflicted significant personnel losses (1010 RF personnel in the last 24h, total 276,300 since year start; 890 RF personnel liquidated in the last 24 hours). UA deep strikes into RF territory include the Syzran Oil Refinery (Samara Oblast), Olya seaport (Astrakhan Oblast), the "Elastic" gunpowder workshop in Ryazan Oblast, and a drone attack on Azot chemical plant in Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai. 61 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed by UA. Prisoner exchange of 84 servicemen conducted. TASS reports Putin congratulated the Russian Geographical Society on its 180th anniversary. Rybar (RF source) posts a photo message which is likely an analytical overview. TASS reports on cyber activity against Russian organizations. TASS also reports Mikhail Ulyanov stating that the West should provide Russia with the same reliable security guarantees as Ukraine. Операция Z reports that Ukraine fears a verbal altercation between Zelenskyy and Trump. Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports a yellow alert "air danger regime" declared for all of Lipetsk Oblast. TASS quotes a Serbian sniper, Dejan Beric, stating that sniper scouts no longer conduct foot reconnaissance behind enemy lines. ТАСС (RF source) reports a "Carpet" plan has been introduced in Penza Oblast. The "Carpet" plan in Penza Oblast has been canceled. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video message from Sumy Oblast, showing military vehicle movement. TASS reports Polyansky's statement that the settlement process in Ukraine must consider the opinion of 7 million Ukrainians who sought refuge in Russia. Trump claims Zelenskyy can end the conflict by renouncing Crimea and NATO membership. Zelenskiy / Official reports arrival in Washington for meeting with President Trump and European leaders. Rybar (RF source) has posted an analytical overview. Два майора (RF source) also posted a summary of events. TASS reports that the Tambov airport has lifted restrictions. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) report estimated general combat losses of enemy personnel (+940 in the last 24h) and equipment. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts images of new Chinese anti-ship hypersonic missiles. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy is scheduled for 20:15 Kyiv time. RF MoD claims 23 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over RF and annexed Crimea overnight. TASS (RF source) and ASTRA (UA source, citing Kremlin media) report that the FSB prevented a second terrorist attack on the Crimean Bridge. Kotsnews (RF source) also reports on the thwarted Crimean Bridge attacks. TASS (RF source) reports 20 fatalities at an incident at the "Elastic" gunpowder workshop in Ryazan Oblast. Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports a red level UAV attack threat declared for Lipetsk. TASS (RF source) reports the Russian government plans to increase demand for housing. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video footage of sniper pairs of the 299th Yaroslavl Regiment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) and Два майора (RF source) are amplifying the FSB claims. TASS reports that Zelenskyy is ready to make concessions. WarGonzo and Kotsnews confirm the FSB reports. Басурин о главном (RF source) also amplifies the FSB claim. РБК-Україна reports an explosion of a car painted to look like a military vehicle in Kyiv. Два майора (RF source) posts a video of an APC moving across open terrain. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) posts a photo message advertising a bot. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a series of tactical maps. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts a photo message promoting his channel. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a technical diagram/illustration. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» (UA source) posts a photo message of their brigade emblem. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video appeal for donations. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Siversk direction. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Southern (Robotyne) direction. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Kherson direction. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Kharkiv direction. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts video claiming FSB prevented a second terrorist attack on the Crimean Bridge. Рыбарь (RF source) comments on the Crimean Bridge incident. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (UA source) posts a photo message of the 210th Assault Regiment pilots at work. Colonelcassad (RF source) comments on the Crimean Bridge incident. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a general warning. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 88 enemy UAVs shot down/suppressed. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also reports 88/140 enemy UAVs shot down/suppressed, and 0/4 Iskander-M missiles. РБК-Україна reports RF launched 4 ballistic missiles and 140 drones overnight. ТАСС (RF source) reports the Investigative Committee has qualified Ukraine's attempt to attack the Smolensk NPP as a terrorist act. Север.Реалии (UA source) reports the General Prosecutor's Office recognized a German foundation aiding fascism victims as "undesirable." 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України (UA source) provides a video report on enemy losses. Два майора (RF source) comments on Trump's actions. Рыбарь (RF source) posts on new Chinese military hardware. ASTRA (UA source) reports RF attacked Ukraine with 4 Iskander-M missiles and 140 drones overnight. Операция Z (RF source) amplifies The Guardian's report. Fighterbomber (RF source) mentions a new episode of "333". БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) posts multiple photo messages with a strong nationalist and anti-Russian message. РБК-Україна reports Syrskyi stating Russia's bravado about fighting for years is unfounded. Zvиздец Мангусту (RF source) posts a short overview. STERNENKO (UA source) posts a video of drones hitting enemy logistics and reconnaissance. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a general warning. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) has posted multiple photo messages about the detention of members of a criminal organization in Kyiv and Odesa. Colonelcassad (RF source) confirms 20 fatalities and 134 injured at the Ryazan gunpowder plant explosion. Kotsnews (RF source) posts "Selectivity of Kyiv and volunteers from everywhere." Басурин о главном (RF source) posts on Trump's statements. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) posts on Trump advising Zelenskyy. Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports the cancellation of the "red level" UAV attack threat in Lipetsk. MoD Russia claims an Iskander-M missile system destroyed a cluster of AFU personnel and hardware at a UAV pre-launch site. Два майора (RF source) posts video of civilian volunteers producing 3D-printed FPV anti-air drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims Kyiv showed its first "Flamingo" ballistic missile with a range of 3000km. TASS reports on Putin's meeting with the acting governor of Rostov Oblast. TASS (RF source) reports that a Ukrainian MP called for Zelenskyy's arrest. TASS (RF source) reports that 23 bodies have been recovered from the Ryazan gunpowder plant explosion site. TASS (RF source) reports on a phone call between Putin and Indian Prime Minister Modi. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukraine could continue importing gas from Azerbaijan. Operatyvnyi ZSU (UA source) reports that US Vice President Vance will be present at the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates Vance's presence. Fighterbomber (RF source) posts a video celebrating aviation day. TASS (RF source) reports on a phone call between Putin and Tajik President Rahmon. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted a video confirming the launch of "Flamingo" cruise missile production. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) has posted a photo message regarding a convicted military individual committing murder. Два майора (RF source) has posted a photo message with the caption "🇺🇸45 минут на Зелю🇺🇦." ТАСС (RF source) has provided a video of Tu-95MS strategic bombers performing a planned flight over the Barents Sea. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/ТИЕДОТТЕЕТ (RF/Disinformation source) has posted a photo message with a quote in Finnish from "Baltic Voice." Операция Z (RF source) has posted a photo message claiming Trump is listening to Putin. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted a photo message regarding details of the "Elastic" plant incident. Операция Z (RF source) has posted a photo message claiming the Ukrainian Foreign Minister responded rudely to Hungary's claims. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "High-precision strikes of the RF Armed Forces on key enemy objects." WarGonzo (RF source) posted a video showing an award ceremony for soldiers of the 44th Army Corps. WarGonzo (RF source) has also posted a photo message claiming North Korean tank crews are preparing for combat in Ukraine. Mash на Донбассе (RF source) reports the evacuation of residents from Olkhivski Dachi near Stanitsia Luhanska. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs launched on Sumy Oblast, northern Kharkiv Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. STERNENKO (UA source) posts video of YOKAI GROUP (UA) shooting down a new Russian V2U UAV. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) reports operational information as of 16:00, 18 AUG 25. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) posts a photo message claiming successful UAV strike on Nikolske oil pumping station in Tambov Oblast, RF. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborate the UA strike on Nikolske oil pumping station. TASS reports Putin and Zhaparov discussed the Alaska summit. TASS reports Putin expressed condolences to Modi for floods. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) posts a video of a mobilized RF soldier calling on United Russia members to go to the front. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts photo message claiming Trump will only meet Zelenskyy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) amplifies CNN's report. Рыбарь (RF source) posts a photo message, "Nothing personal." Операция Z (RF source) reports Deputy Commander of "Sever" Grouping General Abachev was severely wounded in Kursk Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) posts video showing drone pilots acting as infantry in combat. Zelenskiy / Official reports video message with General Kellogg. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts video on Zelenskyy sharing details. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts recruitment appeal for assault and reconnaissance units. TASS posts photo message summarizing news. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts a photo message on Trump's statement. TASS reports Lula da Silva acknowledged importance of Putin's info on Alaska summit. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts on a lawsuit. Kotsnews (RF source) provided a video of Zelenskyy arriving in Washington in a t-shirt. Операция Z (RF source) amplified the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga's statement. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump's intention to end the conflict. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Zelenskyy's statement on European peace. ТАСС (RF source) posted an image described as having a formal setting but content that I am restricted from analyzing. Colonelcassad (RF source) quotes Trump's lengthy social media post. Басурин о главном (RF source) claims heat helps RF fighters evade thermal imagers. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) criticizes Zelenskyy's attire. ТАСС (RF source) again reports Zelenskyy meeting Kellogg without a suit. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) references a 2022 event. MoD Russia (RF source) confirms a Tu-95MS strategic bomber flight. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reported on an RF Z-blogger "Thirteenth" being allegedly captured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posted the "first footage of the Flamingo cruise missile launch." Два майора (RF source) reports on Ukrainian media "fakes." Операция Z (RF source) repeats the claim that Trump is confident in resolving the war. TASS reports that Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto responded to Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Sybiha. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims Zelenskyy stated it's impossible to surrender territories. Colonelcassad (RF source) also amplifies Zelenskyy's statement. TASS reports that the US Permanent Representative to NATO said security guarantees for Ukraine do not necessarily mean the deployment of US troops. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) reports on the electronic summons registry becoming operational. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts photo messages about a "national messenger MAX". WarGonzo posts a video of Governor Solodov of Kamchatka. Colonelcassad posts a photo message with the caption ""Ляля" все. Жалеть не будем." Рыбарь posts an infographic titled "Вечные враги". Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows battlefield drone footage with multiple explosions. Воин DV (RF source) video shows a drone strike on what appears to be a tank. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video shows a captured RF soldier describing his deployment. TASS (RF source) reports European ambassadors in China may boycott a military parade. Rybar (RF source) has posted scanned documents. Rybar (RF source) posts a graphic titled "Delivery Service". ASTRA (UA source) posts photo and video messages showing the launch and alleged combat use of Ukraine's "Flamingo" missile. Басурин о главном (RF source) posts a photo with the caption "Grab your stuff and run!". Kotsnews (RF source) video shows a drone's first-person view. Два майора (RF source) posts photo message claiming US Army is moving to industrial-scale 3D printing. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts an article about Zelenskyy rejecting proposal. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) appeals for donations. DeepState (UA source) announces that the Ministry of Defense launched a unified platform for armament manufacturers. Zelenskiy / Official (UA source) posts a video message emphasizing "reliable and lasting peace." Oleg Syniehubov (UA source) posts the same video message. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports European Commission Head, NATO Secretary General, and UK Prime Minister arrived at the White House. TASS reports the White House asked Zelenskyy to wear a suit. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts videos of European leaders arriving. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Zelenskyy met with European leaders. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration (UA source) posts Zelenskyy's video message. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Axios claims Putin allegedly abandoned the demand to control all of Donetsk Oblast. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts a photo message claiming one hour left until the meeting. Два майора (RF source) reports Slovakia has stopped receiving Russian oil. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the Ukrainian delegation for the Zelenskyy-Trump meeting. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts a video message discussing the use of a captured AK rifle. Kotsnews (RF source) posts video showing European leaders arriving. ТАСС (RF source) states that any scenario involving NATO military contingents in Ukraine is unacceptable. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts a photo message confirming the Ukrainian delegation's arrival. Два майора (RF source) posts video of aerial support for assault operations. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts a photo message confirming the Ukrainian delegation's arrival. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the President of France has arrived. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts a video of Zelenskyy's statement. STERNENKO (UA source) photo message confirms the Ukrainian delegation's arrival. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts photos of additional European leaders. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) advertises their presence on "MAX". Два майора (RF source) posts photos from Washington. Операция Z (RF source) reports on their source "Revenge of Good Will." Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a derogatory statement about Zelenskyy. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video of RF drone operators from Buryatia operating Mavic 3 Pro drones. ASTRA (UA source) highlights a discrepancy in RF claims about a captured "M113" APC. TASS (RF source) reports that mobilized Ukrainian military personnel are intentionally harming themselves. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts a video claiming "Zelenskyy can destroy agreements." Zelenskyy has arrived at the White House. Ukraine's delegation has arrived at the White House. Colonelcassad claims the Ukrainian delegation brought a map. Trump expressed confidence in tripartite talks. Trump stated the war will end. Trump claimed peace can be agreed during combat operations. Trump said Europe would be the "first line of defense." ASTRA reports "Today will either be a deal or no deal. If not, support for Ukraine stops." Zelenskyy stated Ukraine is ready for elections. WarGonzo (RF source) posts a video with derogatory commentary. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows effective drone hunting operations. Олег Синєгубов (UA source) posts a photo message celebrating Ukrainian leadership. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports that Marjorie Taylor Green's husband apologized. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Trump stated a ceasefire is not being discussed. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video of Trump and Zelenskyy meeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video shows Trump stating he, Zelenskyy, and Putin all want the war to end. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump stating Ukraine will not be in NATO but will have security guarantees. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) mocks Zelenskyy's shoes. Kotsnews (RF source) uses derogatory caption. ASTRA (UA source) reports Trump stated ceasefire is not required. Два майора (RF source) reports Trump's statements. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) confirms Trump's statement on NATO. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump open to freezing conflict. ТАСС (RF source) reports Zelenskyy on arms procurement. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump on peace during combat. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reiterates Trump on no ceasefire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump on selling, not giving, weapons. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump's exaggerated claim of $350bn aid. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Trump on selling weapons. Colonelcassad (RF source) mocks Zelenskyy's election statement. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Trump on conditional support. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Trump on US troops. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump on US troops. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) mocks Zelenskyy's mood. Военкор Котенок (RF source) continues Trump quotes. ASTRA (UA source) reports Trump on NATO. Два майора (RF source) reports Trump on NATO. Операция Z (RF source) also reports Trump on NATO. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump on NATO paying for US weapons. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump on NATO defending Ukraine. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Zelenskyy on strong army. ASTRA (UA source) reports on RF murder suspect gone to war zone. Два майора (RF source) photo message showing European leaders waiting. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump will call Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump on NATO helping Ukraine. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump on Europe security guarantees. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Trump on liking both Ukrainians and Russians. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Trump on calling Putin. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reiterates Trump on peace. Новости Москвы (RF source) reports Trump on Ukraine not in NATO. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows journalist questioning Zelenskyy's attire. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Trump's ambiguity. РБК-Україна (UA source) video of Trump speaking. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video of Trump speaking. ASTRA (UA source) reports Trump on calling Putin. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump on liking Ukrainians and Russians. Два майора (RF source) reports Trump and Zelenskyy gone to closed talks. ASTRA (UA source) reports Trump on liking Ukrainians and Russians. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump on Europe security. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump on Putin's call and tripartite talks. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) confirms journalists out. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) confirms closed meeting. ТАСС (RF source) photo message summarizes Trump statements. РБК-Україна (UA source) video of press leaving. Colonelcassad (RF source) photo message summarizes Trump statements. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) mocks European leaders waiting. Два майора (RF source) video shows Zaporizhzhia front activity. Военкор Котенок (RF source) confirms open meeting ended. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) summarizes Trump statements. Басурин о главном (RF source) photo message summarizes Trump statements. Операция Z (RF source) reports Europe still unaware. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) photo message mocking Zelenskyy's expression. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) video on "classic" strikes. Colonelcassad (RF source) video of full Oval Office meeting. ASTRA (UA source) reports Trump praised Zelenskyy's suit. DeepState (UA source) reports public part of talks ended. Mash на Донбассе (RF source) video of Trump stating Ukraine will not be in NATO. Два майора (RF source) mocking Zelenskyy's reception. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (UA source) photo message on RF propaganda. TASS (RF source) reports Richard Black stated he hopes Moscow and Washington can become partners. TASS reports Dmitry Polyansky states Western countries are increasingly reluctant. TASS reports a massive Starlink outage. A joint statement after the closed Trump-Zelenskyy talks has been cancelled. РБК-Україна (UA source) and Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) confirm Trump and Zelenskyy completed their one-on-one meeting and proceeded to a larger meeting. STERNENKO (UA source) confirms the one-hour duration. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts photo message of the start of the joint meeting. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts photo message confirming the start of the joint meeting. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) and Два майора (RF source) post photo messages with derogatory captions. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Trump stating they are working to stop the killings. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump expressing confidence in a good call with Putin. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump stating he discussed many topics with Zelenskyy. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump's belief in peace based on the Alaska summit. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump stating Putin agreed to security guarantees for Ukraine. РБК-Україна (UA source) and Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) report Trump's statement about Putin agreeing to security guarantees and the need to discuss territory exchange based on current front lines. ТАСС (RF source) confirms Trump's statement on territory exchange. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows Trump discussing a trilateral meeting to end the war. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump optimistic about an agreement. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump doesn't believe in the threat of further RF aggression. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump's statement about a trilateral meeting. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Trump's optimism for an agreement. ТАСС (RF source) reports Zelenskyy discussed security guarantees. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Zelenskyy stating they will discuss territorial issues. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Zelenskyy confirming discussion of sensitive territorial questions. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump's confidence in reaching an agreement. ТАСС (RF source) reports Trump's confidence in a trilateral meeting. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump stating a thousand prisoners of war will be released immediately. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Zelenskyy announced discussions on security guarantees. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows Trump discussing Putin's agreement on security guarantees. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video of Trump commenting on Merz's tan. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports Trump's confidence in reaching all agreements today. Kotsnews (RF source) notes no "breakthrough" yet. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Merz cannot imagine a next meeting without a ceasefire. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump believes RF will no longer attack Ukraine. Рыбарь (RF source) posts summary of August 18. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine has released operational information as of 22:00, 18 AUG 25. Premier of Italy Giorgia Meloni states security talks will start with a proposal similar to NATO Article 5. Keir Starmer (UK PM) calls for reliable security guarantees. Trump states that within a week or two, it will be clear if peace can be achieved. Trump expresses confidence in releasing over a thousand POWs soon. RF MoD has published its #DailyFigure graphic. Macron proposes a four-way meeting. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video of Trump stating Putin wants a deal for him. Два майора (RF source) is conducting a fundraiser for "Frontline armor". КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno (UA source) posts photo message "Damn clouds". Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports 8 new "mopeds" (Shahed drones) near Dobropillya. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) photo message from "Mad'yar" claims Ukraine has completely destroyed the "Druzhba" oil pipeline. ТАСС (RF source) reports Russian stock market slowed decline. Підрозділ Shadow (UA source) video shows successful drone strike on RF positions. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows 3rd Assault Brigade drone operators striking RF positions. РБК-Україна (UA source) photo message reports Trump and Zelenskyy discussed tripartite meeting first. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Trump wants to call Putin immediately. Два майора (RF source) video reports no final press conference. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reiterates Trump's desire to call Putin. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAV groups in Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) photo message with a political/propaganda theme. Операция Z (RF source) reports Trump wants to call Putin immediately. РБК-Україна (UA source) photo message claims Defense Forces stopped work of "Druzhba" oil pipeline. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Trump wants to call Putin while Zelenskyy and European leaders are in White House. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno (UA source) reports "Ghosts" likely disabled "Around Noise". ASTRA (UA source) photo message of Trump and Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump and Zelenskyy discussed tripartite meeting first. STERNENKO (UA source) post: "Trump: I'll throw money at the Russos". Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches on Zaporizhzhia. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts photos from the open part of Trump's multilateral meeting. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Trump wants to call Putin immediately. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts map of Druzhkivka/Konstantinovka directions. Рыбарь (RF source) posts chronological summary. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) states Putin is the last person who wants the war to end. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports overall drone situation. Операция Z (RF source) posts video of Finnish President stating they found a solution. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Kharkiv Oblast under bomb strike. Kotsnews (RF source) posts on aiding family. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video showing Trump and Zelenskyy meeting. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports Zelenskyy will give Fox News interview. РБК-Україна (UA source) photo of Trump and Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video of Zelenskyy Fox News interview. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) photo message claiming "no too difficult questions". Takeoff of 2x Tu-95MS strategic bombers, indicating potential for new missile launches. RF sources confirm Trump's phone call with Putin and the initiation of preparation for a tripartite meeting. TASS reports Trump, European leaders, and Zelenskyy will hold another virtual meeting on Ukraine after the White House talks, as stated by NATO Secretary General Rutte. Zelenskyy confirmed the FT information regarding an arms deal with the US, and stated that Ukraine proposed to the US to purchase weapons worth $90 billion, including aircraft and air defense systems. Zelenskyy stated he believes they should meet with Putin unconditionally, but the question of territories will be left between him and Putin. Zelenskyy asserts security guarantees for Ukraine are planned to be formulated within 7-10 days. Macron stated EU leaders discussed with Trump strengthening sanctions against Russia if Moscow refuses to end the Ukrainian conflict, and that the West hopes for a trilateral meeting between Russia, USA, and Ukraine soon. Zelenskyy commented on the possibility of a foreign contingent in Ukraine. RF source (Операция Z, referencing Russkaya Vesna) reports Zelenskyy will not insist on a ceasefire as a condition for further negotiations with Russia. Finnish President Stubb states Putin's commitments cause uncertainty and explained why talks with Trump lasted so long. NATO Secretary General Rutte states there is an irreversible path for Ukraine into NATO, but membership is not currently being discussed. Rutte also stated that arms supplies from the US to Ukraine will continue through NATO countries. Rutte stated the question of Ukrainian territorial concessions was not discussed at the White House meeting. Dmitriev (RF source) called today's discussion on the settlement in Ukraine an important day in diplomacy. TASS reports Putin has spoken with nine foreign leaders, including Trump, in the three days since the Alaska summit, indicating active diplomatic engagement. Rubio states that non-European countries will also participate in formulating and ensuring security guarantees for Ukraine. TASS reports Zelenskyy thanked Trump 11 times in 4.5 minutes according to the Washington Post. Macron states the location for a bilateral meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy will be determined in the coming hours. TASS reports that European advisors will work with the US on security guarantees for Ukraine, citing DPA. TASS reports Apty Alaudinov (RF source) stated that Russia's superiority in UAVs allows them to destroy all Ukrainian Armed Forces resources. Operatsiya Z posts historical footage from the Battle of Shumshu, and a memorial ceremony, likely to draw parallels to current conflict. TASS reports Macron's statement considering US willingness to participate in Ukraine's security as progress. ASTRA (UA source) reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated: "Every Ukrainian child abducted by Russia must be returned to their families." TASS (RF source) reports that the Ukrainian crisis has become an expensive lesson for Europe, which has every reason to play a more active role in achieving peace, citing the Global Times. TASS (RF source) reports that two civilians were killed in "Crocus" while attempting to prevent attackers from shooting people, according to case materials. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports an additional 890 RF personnel liquidated in the last 24 hours, confirming continued high attrition on the RF side. TASS (RF source) reports 15 fatalities, including a child, and over 140 injured from UA strikes on RF regions over the past week. TASS (RF source) reports 23 UA UAVs were shot down over RF and annexed Crimea overnight, indicating persistent UA deep strike capabilities and RF air defense activity. TASS (RF source) claims UA forces struck major frontline Russian cities prior to the RF-US summit, framing UA actions as provocative and potentially aimed at disrupting diplomatic efforts. Два майора (RF source) posts a summary of the morning's events, indicating continued information dissemination. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts photos claiming that protective gear donated by supporters saved the lives of two RF assault unit soldiers from Buryatia in the "Vostok" Group of Forces, aimed at boosting morale and reinforcing the value of public support for military efforts. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates the General Staff's report of 890 RF personnel liquidated in the past 24 hours. RF MoD reports 23 UAVs shot down overnight. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) photo message confirms 890 RF personnel losses in last 24 hours. Рыбарь (RF source) video provides tactical analysis of "pocket" near Alekseevka and fighting for Udachnoe, indicating active combat and RF analytical focus on these areas. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) posts multiple photo messages of operational information as of 08:00 19 AUG 25, including a map and combat losses for RF, confirming active reporting and continued attrition. Воин DV (RF source) video shows 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade operators striking a pickup truck, personnel, and temporary positions in the Vremevsky direction within the 36th Army's AOR. TASS reports a robotic platform of the AFU was destroyed near Konstantinovka, DNR. Fighterbomber (RF source) photo message contains a political statement regarding the US-Ukraine-Europe meeting, reflecting RF narrative about the summit. Colonelcassad (RF source) photo message on Trump discussing negotiations with Putin against a map showing "new Russian regions and Crimea" is a clear RF information operation aiming to legitimize annexed territories. Fighterbomber (RF source) photo message reinforces the RF narrative about the diplomatic meeting. TASS (RF source) reports "Russian Post" was fined for violations related to funds for branch repairs, indicating internal Russian governance issues. Новости Москвы (RF source) reports the average old-age pension in Russia, a domestic social issue. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts a highly propagandistic and inflammatory text on the inevitability of the war. Colonelcassad (RF source) video features an RF serviceman discussing his service and his son's service, and the preparation of FPV drones, aiming to boost morale and highlight family commitment to the military. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) reports 236 enemy targets shot down/suppressed. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports 236/280 enemy targets shot down/suppressed. Военкор Котенок (RF source) reports that 23 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down overnight over Russian territory, stating all were of aircraft type. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the northeastern and southeastern directions. НгП раZVедка (RF source) video provides a summary of strikes on enemy targets, indicating continued RF kinetic operations. Kotsnews (RF source) video shows a damaged building, likely a civilian structure, and military personnel discussing the aftermath of a strike, with the title "Return Home," implying a narrative of liberation or return to normalcy in occupied territory. The footage is framed to evoke sympathy for RF personnel and portray their actions as positive. ТАСС (RF source) reports the Russian government supported the idea of suspending debt collection in "counter-terrorism operation operation zones and martial law," indicating domestic financial measures to support those affected by the conflict. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) post, "There should be no exchange of territories as part of the agreement on Ukraine," is a strong RF information operation against the idea of territorial concessions by Ukraine. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) photo messages showing a new documentary film are a UA information operation to boost morale and commemorate the conflict. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) photo messages on a "weekly author's column" are an RF information operation, likely providing pro-Kremlin analysis. Fighterbomber (RF source) video about buying bath brooms and branches is non-military and likely a personal advertisement or humorous content. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) photo messages about an obstacle course for psychological adaptation are a UA information operation to highlight troop training and resilience. Два майора (RF source) report on increased EU activity in Moldova, linking it to upcoming parliamentary elections, which is an RF information operation aimed at portraying Western interference in regional politics. Военкор Котенок (RF source) reports on an exhibition in Donetsk, indicating RF efforts to normalize life in occupied territories and promote cultural events. Старше Эдды (RF source) photo message with religious content is a non-military, general social post. Басурин о главном (RF source) photo message, "How sad it is that it takes years for brains to clear," is an RF propaganda message against the West or Ukraine. ТАСС (RF source) reports on souvenirs with Putin and Trump on Alaska, confirming RF information operation and propaganda to leverage the diplomatic event. ТАСС (RF source) photo messages of a T-shirt with Putin and Trump are propaganda. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) photo messages showing Trump with merchandise are propaganda aimed at ridiculing Zelenskyy. ТАСС (RF source) reports on Maria Zakharova's comments, which are part of RF's diplomatic and information warfare. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows 61st Separate Steppe Mechanized Brigade liquidating Russian forces via drone reconnaissance and strikes, confirming continued UA offensive drone capabilities. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports an exchange of killed personnel. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims a 19 RF / 1000 UA killed personnel exchange which is highly inflated and a clear RF PSYOP. The KoordShtab (UA source) confirms that 1000 bodies of fallen defenders were returned to Ukraine, contradicting the RF claim and confirming a significant number of UA losses, though not necessarily killed in the exchange process. ASTRA (UA source) also confirms the exchange of bodies between Russia and Ukraine. STERNENKO (UA source) corroborates the return of 1000 bodies of fallen defenders. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) also confirms Ukraine and Russia conducted an exchange of bodies of the fallen. Операция Z (RF source) provides a photo message re-amplifying the Russian claim that Russia received 19 bodies and Ukraine received 1000. TASS (RF source) reports Ukraine transmitted 1000 bodies of deceased servicemen to Russia, while Ukraine received 19 bodies. This is a reversal of previous TASS claims and contradicts other RF sources, indicating a coordinated but confused RF information operation. ASTRA (UA source) confirms Russia transmitted 1000 bodies to Ukraine, and Ukraine transmitted 19 bodies to Russia, indicating a confirmed, though asymmetrical, exchange. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) posts a photo confirming the exchange of bodies, and states 1000 Ukrainian and 19 Russian bodies were exchanged. This confirms the asymmetrical nature of the exchange. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) video shows a Mavic drone dropping ammunition onto an RF soldier who was attempting to surrender, with the caption "We don't abandon our own, we finish off our own," implying an RF drone strike on its own soldier. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video shows a person with a severe neck injury claiming that a "corpse" given to "Ukies" unexpectedly came to life. This is a highly graphic and likely fabricated RF information operation, aimed at demonizing Ukrainian forces or discrediting previous exchange reports. WarGonzo (RF source) reports on the exchange of bodies of the fallen between Russia and Ukraine, confirming 1000 Ukrainian and 19 Russian bodies. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) photo message and РБК-Україна (UA source) video message both quote Donald Trump claiming Ukraine was a "buffer" between Russia and Europe, and that "everything worked well until Biden intervened." Colonelcassad (RF source) video also features Donald Trump claiming Ukraine should not have entered into conflict with Russia, asserting Russia's military superiority and stating it was a mistake to start such a war. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports that the Ukrainian General Staff estimates RF losses from Ukrainian long-range drone strikes at $74 billion, over 4% of RF GDP. РБК-Україна (UA source) photo message claims Trump intentionally did not open a letter from Zelenskyy. TASS (RF source) reports that Alexander Milonov, brother of State Duma deputy Vitaly Milonov, who served as a volunteer scout in LPR, was killed in the special operation zone. TASS (RF source) reports on a State Duma proposal to introduce a single short number for reporting fraud calls, a domestic internal issue. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the dollar has strengthened after falling to a four-month low, a domestic economic issue. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) photo message reports that Switzerland has promised not to arrest Putin if he comes to Geneva for talks with Zelenskyy. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) posts operational information as of 16:00 19 AUG 25. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF source) reports on a deceased serviceman whose wife unexpectedly appeared, indicating a domestic legal/social issue. РБК-Україна (UA source) quotes Trump stating that for negotiations between Putin and Zelenskyy, "It takes two to tango." Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video showing a man wearing a t-shirt with a pro-Ukrainian slogan and a woman speaking to him in what appears to be an interview, suggesting a focus on political or social commentary rather than direct military intelligence. The conversation's subject matter is critical of the Russian government and its perceived shortcomings. Народная милиция ДНР (RF source) video provides a congratulatory message for "Motorized Rifle Troops Day" showcasing Russian military personnel, including footage from the "special military operation", tanks, and other armored vehicles, reinforcing military capabilities and morale. ASTRA (UA source) and STERNENKO (UA source) report the death of Alexander Milonov, brother of State Duma deputy Vitaly Milonov, from injuries sustained during "SVO". This confirms the death of a notable individual with ties to RF government. Басурин о главном (RF source) video shows an individual being interrogated about filming military targets in Luhansk Oblast, and assembling an IED for a business dispute, indicating continued RF internal security operations and efforts to expose alleged Ukrainian sabotage within occupied territories. This specific instance focuses on sabotage for non-military purposes, which is a new nuance for such reports. Операция Z (RF source) photo message claims Putin proposed to meet Zelenskyy in Moscow during his call with Trump, referencing AFP. This is a significant RF information operation aiming to control the narrative around peace talks. STERNENKO (UA source) and РБК-Україна (UA source) also report Putin's proposal to meet Zelenskyy in Moscow during the call with Trump. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also confirms Putin's proposal, labeling it as coming from "monkeys" and referencing AFP, showing UA's dismissive stance. Воин DV (RF source) video shows soldiers of the 394th Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment destroying enemy with precise munition drops from the air, indicating continued RF drone operations. Два майора (RF source) photo messages show general soldier life, not specific tactical intel. Two photo messages from Два майора are analysis of images, not raw intel. One image depicts two individuals, one civilian, one military, pixelated faces, civilian immigration matter, not military. The other image is of a diplomatic meeting, not military. Новости Москвы (RF source) video is of street musicians, not military. Рыбарь (RF source) posts tactical maps for Severodonetsk area (Luhansk Oblast) showing "series of successes," indicating continued RF offensive actions in this sector. AV БогомаZ (RF source) posts photo messages of a Polyclinic in Pochep, Bryansk Oblast, and an Ice Palace and Kindergarten in Pochep, highlighting local civilian infrastructure development which is non-military. MoD Russia (RF source) has posted a video showing drone operators using FPV drones to destroy AFU hardware. New intel: Germany working with partners on security guarantees for Ukraine (TASS). Alex Parker Returns posts photo messages that White House is preparing for a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy, and both have confirmed readiness for bilateral talks. Dnevnik Desantnika posts a "summary for the day" for August 19. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of "Frontier Cafe" in St. Petersburg, showing individuals in military camouflage interacting with a cashier. STERNENKO (UA source) video claims Yokai Group destroyed 15 enemy wings, and shows drone footage of ZALA Lancet and a "MOL" target, with static/interference. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts an infographic about a group of foreign mercenaries being liquidated in Ukraine, consistent with RF disinformation and PSYOP efforts targeting foreign fighters and bolstering RF claimed successes. MoD Russia posts its #DailyFigure graphic summarizing RF claimed UA losses. Рыбарь provides a daily summary. Politico reports the US is considering Hungary as a location for a potential Putin-Trump-Zelenskyy meeting. ASTRA (UA source) video depicts Ukrainian soldiers verbally abusing and assaulting Denis Nikitin, founder of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK), in Kyiv, suggesting internal friction within some groups supporting Ukraine. New information: Resumption of oil transit via Druzhba pipeline to Hungary reported by RF sources. TASS reports Ulyanov calls to end discussions about Western troops in Ukraine. The Times reports Britain and France are unlikely to send multi-thousand troops to Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports 2 billion rubles spent by Komi Republic on Rovensky (LNR) and provides a tactical analysis of an image. Kadyrov_95 posts video about construction in Grozny, Chechnya. Mash na Donbasse reports electricity outage in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to UA UAV strike on high-voltage line. TASS reports Ukraine evacuated over 52,000 people from Dnipropetropavsk Oblast and parts of DNR. Operation Z reports 10 European countries ready to send troops to Ukraine. TASS confirms resumption of oil supply via Druzhba pipeline to Hungary. Colonelcassad posts photo messages about Taliban operations in Afghanistan. Colonelcassad reports ballistic missile strike on UA air defense position in Odesa. Новости Москвы posts about apartment rentals via Gosuslugi. RBC-Ukraine reports Druzhba pipeline resumed operations after a strike on Nikolske station. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports that Zelenskyy will continue to play a game to prevent peace, according to former Ukrainian Prime Minister Azarov. This is a RF information operation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports Russia has patented a combined van for delivering food to military personnel. This indicates ongoing efforts by Russia to improve logistical support for its forces. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RBK-Ukraine reports that Trump compared Ukrainian Crimea to American Texas. This is a propaganda piece used by UA to highlight Trump's controversial remarks on Ukrainian territory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports the duration of the Alaska summit was due to progress in settlement discussions. This indicates RF framing of the diplomatic event to suggest successful dialogue from their perspective. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Russian police video shows law enforcement operation related to immigration, with focus on foreign citizens and illegal registration. Not military. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RF Telegram channel (НгП раZVедка) posts video titled "An hour of fun," showing a civilian protest interacting with a political leader cutout and Turkish flags. Not military. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Colonelcassad posts new video titled "Новая страница в беспилотных средствах поражения!" (A new page in unmanned means of destruction!). The video shows thermal imaging footage from an aerial perspective of a wooded area, with an explosion and subsequent smaller explosions or secondary impacts, along with multiple heat signatures on the ground (personnel/vehicles). A 'T.ME/RUSICH_ARMY' watermark is present. This indicates continued development and use of advanced drone-based strike capabilities by RF, specifically by a pro-Russian military group. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports on Ukraine's national bank data, claiming that Kyiv and its allies will not be able to purchase $90 billion worth of weapons from the US. This is a RF information operation aimed at undermining confidence in UA's ability to secure Western military aid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: China Daily editorial (TASS source) claims the US is pressuring Ukraine and Europe to soften their positions in negotiations. This is an information operation, likely from a pro-RF perspective, to portray US as manipulative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports that the yellow air danger alert in Lipetsk Oblast has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Germany: RBK-Ukraine reports that four Bundeswehr vehicles were burned by unknown individuals in Germany. This is a domestic security incident and not directly related to military operations in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Bryansk Oblast, RF: AV БогомаZ reports that seven enemy UAVs of aircraft type were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast by RF Air Defense. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows an Iskander strike, linked with ZALA UAV reconnaissance, destroying a UA long-range UAV launch site. This implies a combined RF ISR-strike capability targeting high-value UA drone assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Colonelcassad reports a RAM-2X UAV was shot down by Russian forces in Belgorod Oblast. This confirms continued UA drone activity into RF territory, specifically targeting Belgorod. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Vologograd Airport restrictions lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Tambov Airport temporarily restricted for flights. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Nizhny Novgorod Airport temporarily restricted for flights. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports restrictions at Nizhny Novgorod airport have been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Voronezh Oblast reports at least 7 UAVs shot down/suppressed. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Kharkiv Oblast: UAV detected near Borova. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Crimea: RBC-Ukraine reports that Russians have intensified mass "filtration measures" in Crimea. This indicates increased RF internal security operations in occupied territories, likely aimed at suppressing dissent or identifying individuals with ties to Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

• Current Conditions: No new significant weather events. Previous reports of challenging terrain (mud-covered vehicles), localized forest fires, and strong winds affecting drone operations persist.
• Impact from Attacks: Large industrial fires from UA deep strikes (Syzran Oil Refinery, Ryazan gunpowder workshop, Azot chemical plant, Nikolske oil pumping station) and RF strikes (Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, SOCAR oil depot in Odesa, gas transportation system in Poltava Oblast) are generating significant smoke and potential environmental contamination, impacting local air quality and visibility. This also includes localized damage and power outages in Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, Kharkiv, and occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblasts due to RF drone and missile attacks on civilian and energy infrastructure. The finding of unexploded cluster munitions in Kremenchuk poses an ongoing environmental and safety hazard. The burning of the Kremenchuk oil refinery from RF "Geranium" (Shahed) strikes is explicitly highlighted as ongoing. ASTRA and TASS report total power outage in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to UA UAV strikes, according to RF official Balitsky. Mash na Donbasse reports electricity outage in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to UA UAV strike on a high-voltage line. Powerful fire in Izmail (Odesa Oblast) after "Geran" (Shahed) activity, confirmed to be a strike on fuel arteries. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Humanitarian Impact: Confirmed fatalities and injured personnel (7 fatalities, 23 injured in Kharkiv; 3 fatalities, 34 injured in Zaporizhzhia) from RF strikes on civilian residential areas underscore severe humanitarian and environmental impacts. RF missile strike on a Jewish cemetery in Pervomaisk, Mykolaiv Oblast, highlights disregard for civilian and cultural sites. Water shortages in Donetsk further highlight civilian suffering due to infrastructure damage. New civilian fatality reported in Nikopol due to RF shelling, one woman killed. Multiple ballistic missile launches towards Odesa, indicating continued RF targeting of population centers. TASS reports Ukraine evacuated over 52,000 people from Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Other Factors: RF reports of heat aiding RF forces in evading UA thermal imagers on the Zaporizhzhia front, suggesting localized environmental exploitation. Solar flares expected to intensify magnetic storms, potentially affecting satellite communications, GPS, and radio signals (C2/ISR). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Current Air Alerts: RF is attacking Ukraine with Shahed drones (Air Raid Map shows red highlights across Ukraine). KABs launched towards Donetsk Oblast. Reconnaissance UAVs reported in central Sumy Oblast, eastern Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, northern Donetsk Oblast, and Chernihiv Oblast (heading towards Nizhyn), with an enemy strike UAV from Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, and another UAV from Chernihiv Oblast moving into Boryspil district, Kyiv Oblast. Aviation weapon threat declared for Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. A UAV is reported heading towards Pavlohrad. Multiple groups of UAVs reported from Dnipropetropavsk Oblast towards Donetsk Oblast. KAB launches by RF tactical aviation reported on Sumy Oblast. Ballistic missile threats to Odesa are immediate and require rapid air defense responses. Renewed explosions in Zaporizhzhia, coupled with reports of total power outage in occupied parts of the oblast, require immediate damage assessment and response. Izmail (Odesa Oblast) and Dunaisske are under attack from Shahed drones, which are now reportedly "minus." Air danger regime has been introduced in Lipetsk Oblast (yellow alert) and Yelets/surrounding areas (red alert for UAV attack threat). Air traffic restrictions implemented in Samara, Saratov, and Volgograd airports due to UAV threats. New air traffic restrictions in Tambov and Nizhny Novgorod airports due to UAV threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: RF Rospotrebnadzor names main epidemiological threats in Russia, which could indicate a potential public health concern impacting RF personnel strength or logistical focus. (LOW CONFIDENCE)

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

• Donetsk Oblast (Chasiv Yar/Ivanivske Axis): RF (elements of 98th VDV Division) maintain a foothold in eastern Kanal microdistrict, conducting battalion-sized mechanized assaults. UA units tactically withdrew to prepared defensive positions. UA 93rd Brigade conducting clearance operations in Hruzke and Vesele (Dobropillya area) with tank and robotic support. UA Azov Brigade actively repelling RF attacks in Katerynivka. RF 85th OMCBR in Soledar direction. RF 36th OA forces (37th OMCBR, 336th Marine Brigade) pressing towards Maliyivka, Shevchenko, and Yanvarske. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RF claims destruction of a UA M109 Paladin self-propelled howitzer near Myrnohrad by FPV drones from "Rubicon" Center. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovskoe Direction): RF claims "big breakthrough" and liberation of Iskra, with advances up to 1.5km towards Sokil from Ocheretyne. UA forces (1st Azov Corps) cleared Hruzke, Rubizhne, Novovodyane, Petrivka, Vesele, and Zolotyi Kolodyaz, directly countering RF claims. UA Commander Syrskyi reports successful UA advances in Dobropillya and Pokrovsk directions. TASS reports RF 'Vostok' grouping advanced into Ivankiv, Poltavka, and Zeleny Gay. Ukrainian National Guard relocating units from Kharkiv to Pokrovsk direction. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows 60th Separate Mechanized Brigade (OMBR) successfully destroying a camouflaged RF tank using an FPV drone (Vidarr), after aerial reconnaissance identified the target. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk Direction): UA reports capture of an RF prisoner (150th Division) and significant RF losses in Azov's areas. Mandatory evacuation in Druzhkivka and closure of Ukrposhta branches in Konstantinovka indicate anticipated RF advances. RF 4th OMCBR continues attacks towards Delievka – Aleksandro-Shulgino. Slivochny Kapriz (RF source) provides a map of RF claimed positions for the Konstantinovka - Aleksandro-Shultino direction as of 19 AUG 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Luhansk Oblast (Siversk Direction): RF reports combat operations with drone-guided artillery and ATGM teams, aiming to close a "fire bag" for AFU in Kremensky forests. Russian forces reportedly broke through Ukrainian defense lines in the Lyman district. UA 63rd Brigade successfully utilizing FPV drones to neutralize RF tanks. Rybar (RF source) posts tactical maps for Severodonetsk area showing "series of successes," indicating continued RF offensive actions in this sector. Colonelcassad (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Seversk direction showing RF claimed "series of successes" as of 19 AUG 25. New RF video shows military vehicle movement and successful targeting ("TARGET CAPTURED") in Krasny Lyman direction, suggesting gradual expansion of RF control. Rybar (RF source) has posted a tactical map depicting military activity in the Severky Donets direction, dated August 19, 2025, at 19:00, showing color-coded territorial control and combat areas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopolshchyna): Sustained RF artillery and FPV drone attacks on Nikopol and surrounding communities. RF claims control of all settlements at the junction of DNR and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast after liberation of Iskra. UA Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts. RF targeting high-value Western-supplied artillery (French CAESAR SPG) with Lancet strikes. A UAV is reported heading towards Pavlohrad. RF shelling of Nikopol injured rescuers and killed a civilian woman. An explosion has been reported in Pavlohrad (RBC-Ukraine). TASS reports Ukraine evacuated over 52,000 people from Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkivskyi District): RF claims improved position near Krasny Perviy, controlling ~6 km of road to Dvorechnaya. Significant increase (40%) in RF EW emissions has been detected in the Kharkiv sector primarily targeting Ukrainian reconnaissance UAVs and degrading ISR capabilities. UA "Khartia" drones successfully located and struck an RF camp. UA 3rd Assault Brigade drone operators striking RF positions. UA ОТУ "Харків" reports 9 direct hits by "STRIX" unit on South-Slobozhanskyi direction. New commander for 13th NGU Brigade "Khartia," Major Daniel "Cuba" Kitone. RF FPV drone strike on an emergency medical vehicle in Kupyansk reported. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts multiple photo messages of military training (obstacle course) for psychological and physical preparation. New UAV activity reported near Borova. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Chernihiv Oblast: RF "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes confirmed on a forward Ukrainian command post in Birino. RF claims destruction of a foreign mercenary legion's base. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes. RF drones attacked Chernihiv Oblast, causing power outages. A RF "Forpost" UAV allegedly destroyed a UA temporary deployment point and armored vehicle in Obody, Sumy Oblast, indicating RF operations in border areas. Ongoing enemy UAV activity in northern Chernihiv Oblast, with some heading towards Novgorod-Siverskyi and Borzna. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kherson Oblast (Left Bank Dnieper): UA reports destruction of an RF ammunition depot and four vehicles on the left bank. UA reconnaissance units claim entry into "Novaya Kakhovka." UA Southern Defense Forces report continued strikes on enemy deployment areas and fire positions. RF claims Lancet strike destroyed US M-777 howitzer and Ukrainian Bogdana SPG on right bank. FPV operators of "B.G" unit (Crimean SBU directorate) striking RF personnel on Kinburn Spit. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Mykolaiv Oblast: RF missile hit an ancient Jewish cemetery in Pervomaisk. IMMEDIATE THREAT: Missile danger declared for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts. Ballistic missile (later corrected to Smerch MLRS) targeting Bilozerka, Mykolaiv Oblast. High-speed target confirmed in Mykolaiv Oblast. Another Smerch MLRS strike reported on Bilozerka. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Odesa Oblast: Odesa under massive "Shahed" drone attack, with confirmed strikes on a Nova Poshta terminal and SOCAR oil depot. UA Southern Defense Forces report 24 Shahed UAVs destroyed. RF military intelligence agent group uncovered by SBU, coordinating shelling of Kyiv and sabotage in Odesa Oblast. RF claims Iskander strike destroyed a UA radio point in Odesa Oblast. STERNENKO (UA source) video claims Yokai Group destroyed 15 enemy wings, and shows drone footage of ZALA Lancet and a "MOL" target, with static/interference. Multiple ballistic missile launches towards Odesa. Explosions heard in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of UAVs from Black Sea waters heading to Odesa Oblast. НгП раZVедка (RF source) claims an Iskander strike destroyed a German IRIS-T SLM air defense system position in Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк reports 17 "mopeds" (Shahed) from the sea heading towards/through Tatarbunary. Colonelcassad reports ballistic missile strike on a UA air defense position in Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк reports 20 "mopeds" from Tatarbunary heading to Izmailsky district, with 6 approaching Izmail. Powerful fire in Izmail (Odesa Oblast) after "Geran" (Shahed) activity, confirmed as a strike on fuel arteries. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports overnight enemy attacks on Izmail, Odesa Oblast, and Okhtyrka, Sumy Oblast, with fires successfully contained and no casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (РБК-Україна source) reports destroying 5 Shaheds overnight. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RF claims destruction of AFU ammunition depot. 578 RF strikes on 14 settlements over past day. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and also near Novoandriyivka in Orikhiv direction, and Prymorske, Novoandriyivka. A 64-year-old man was wounded in a hostile attack on Polohivskyi district. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Tolstoy, Komyshuvakha, Zelene Pole, Maliyivka, Myrne, Zaporizhzhke, Olhivske in the Novopavlivka direction, and also near Kamyanske and Novoandriyivka in the Orikhiv direction, as well as Zirka, Vilne Pole, Voskresenka, Shevchenko, Novodarivka, Olhivske, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Maliyivka, Shevchenko and towards Oleksandrohrad and Komyshuvakha. Colonelcassad reports VKC and missile forces conducted strikes on targets in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Total power outage in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to UA UAV strikes on high-voltage lines. TASS reports power outage did not affect ZNPP operation. Colonelcassad reports RF's 57th Motor Rifle Brigade "Vostok" destroying UA material and technical means, including Starlink terminals. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kupyansk Axis: Previous reports indicated a decisive shift of RF main effort with the capture of Ivanivka. RF continues strikes on settlements. UA reports successful tank sorties and drone operations against RF personnel and equipment. Commander of "Achilles" Regiment Fedorenko (UA source) reports RF plans to occupy Kupyansk by August 24. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports the first mechanized attack by RF on the left bank of Kupyansk in a long time. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map of the Kupyansk direction as of 18 AUG 25. STERNENKO (UA source) reports that 905 drones has been delivered to the Defense Forces in the last two days. Николаевский Ванёк reports a new "singing" RF prisoner was taken under Muravka, Donetsk Oblast, identified as Vladimir Sergeevich from the 35th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. TASS reports the head of Kharkiv VGA Ganchev claims Russian forces are encircling Kupyansk. Воин DV (RF source) video shows aerial footage of an ongoing military engagement impacting a rural or semi-rural landscape, with multiple explosions visible, confirming continued RF operations near Novosyolovka in the Kupyansk direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Holubivka, Kupyansk, Petropavlivka, Moskovka and Zahryzove. TASS (RF source) reports that military expert Andrey Marochko states RF forces have started battles near Sobolevka and are advancing towards Blagodatovka near Kupyansk. Сливочный каприз (RF source) posts tactical maps for Kupyansk - Zaoskolye as of 19 AUG 25, implying active combat or planned operations in this specific area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Sumy Oblast: РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukrainian forces actively destroying the enemy in Sumy Oblast, pushing back Russians near Oleksiivka and Yunakivka. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video of a destroyed UA M577 command post vehicle in Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video showing an RF truck with ammunition epically destroyed by a Ukrainian drone on the way to Sumy Oblast. TASS reports that RF forces have improved their tactical position near Yunakovka, Sumy Oblast. Операция Z (RF source) thermal imagery video claims successful destruction of UA armored vehicles by Spetsnaz "Anvar" and VDV units supporting an offensive on Sumy. РБК-Україна reports a 57-year-old woman injured by a KAB strike on Novoslobidska community, Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new UAVs on northern Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports a missile strike on Sumy. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted photo messages confirming a missile strike on an educational institution. НгП раZVедка (RF source) posts a mocking caption suggesting RF strikes or activity in Shostka. RF reconnaissance UAVs are operating near Putyvl. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "loud explosions" in Sumy. РБК-Україна reports a series of explosions. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 new RF UAVs detected east of Bilopillya. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports continued RF attacks on Sumy. Colonelcassad shares video footage from the 68th Motorized Rifle Division, 6th Army, Western Military District. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy strike UAVs. UA Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs. TASS (RF source) claims that Ukrainian Armed Forces command in Sumy Oblast has committed all resources to outflank RF forces in Yunakivka. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video showing two individuals in a wooded area with abandoned cars and a quad bike, claiming it depicts RF forces marauding in border villages of Kursk Oblast. Kotsnews (RF source) posts video with caption "Syrsky: Kursk - best result among all major operations," which is an RF information operation. MoD Russia (RF source) video claiming a BM-21 Grad MLRS crew eliminated a manpower cluster. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) posts video of a Lancet loitering munition preparation and strike. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian army assaults in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction, with 7 repelled assaults. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. РБК-Україна (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. Alex Parker Returns (RF) claims the Sumy State University was hit by a "Flamingo missile." Два майора (RF source) posts video showing an RF FPV drone strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV on northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. RF activity on the Sumy direction, with an aerial view of an exploding vehicle. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) asserts that RF forces have been defeated in Sumy Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) posts a video of drone-guided artillery or air strikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) amplifies Syrsky's (misquoted) statements. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts a photo message showing activity on the Eastern Direction. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports a severe injury to an RF General in Kursk Oblast from a HIMARS strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video from local residents showing a visual confirmation of RF "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes on Sumy State University. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAV threat. TASS (RF source) claims that military expert Yan Gagin states AFU unsuccessfully counterattack. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows Uragan MLRS crews eliminating AFU armored vehicles. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows T-80BVM tanks of the Sever Group of Forces eliminating AFU hardware. RF has again attacked civilian infrastructure in Sumy. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast moving south. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of enemy UAVs on the north, east, and south of Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava Oblast. An explosion was heard in Sumy. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Sumy Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України (UA source) video indicates UA forces are expanding their buffer zone in the Sumy region. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) video shows two individuals in a wooded area, likely RF personnel, but content is general and not highly specific to Sumy operations. STERNENKO (UA source) posts a photo message with incendiary content, implying attacks on Russian border regions, which is a PSYOP. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a ballistic missile threat from the northeast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) posts a photo message showing a battlefield map for the Sumy direction, indicating active counterattacks by VSU and the use of SU-27 fighter jets for strikes on RF positions. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hirky of Sumy region. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in central Sumy Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts photo messages claiming foreign mercenaries were destroyed in Sumy Oblast. Старше Эдды (RF source) posts photo messages claiming Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups (SRG) attempted an infiltration into Bryansk Oblast, resulting in 3 killed and 3 captured (including a Ukrainian SOF captain) by SOBR and FSB. This RF claim indicates continued UA deep strike/reconnaissance efforts into RF territory. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) and Операция Z (RF source) repost images and claims regarding the alleged Ukrainian DRG in Bryansk Oblast. This indicates a coordinated RF information operation regarding perceived Ukrainian incursions. Colonelcassad (RF source) also reposts the claim regarding the alleged Ukrainian DRG in Bryansk Oblast, confirming widespread RF dissemination of this information. Colonelcassad (RF source) video claims to show the destruction of a temporary deployment point (PVD) and an armored fighting vehicle (BBM) of the 116th Territorial Defense Brigade (TrO) of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using a "Forpost" UAV in Obody, Sumy Oblast. This indicates continued RF targeting of UA rear assets. STERNENKO (UA source) reports on PERUN Industries operating in Sumy Oblast, likely an arms or drone manufacturing facility. New intel: KAB launches by RF tactical aviation reported on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a photo message showing a tactical map for the Sumy direction. The caption suggests ongoing combat activity in the area. STERNENKO (UA source) reports drone safety zones in multiple RF oblasts. TASS reports that law enforcement agencies claim that the occupation of part of Kursk Oblast by the Armed Forces of Ukraine was enabled by the embezzlement of funds during the construction of fortifications. This is a significant RF information operation, blaming corruption for military setbacks and indirectly acknowledging Ukrainian presence in Kursk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: New groups of UAVs reported entering Sumy Oblast, heading towards Khotyn. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports a massive enemy strike on a private sector area in Okhtyrka community, Sumy Oblast, with no casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Poltava Oblast: Poltava and its community without electricity after massive overnight attack. RF drones attacked a gas transportation system facility and Kremenchuk oil refinery, causing extensive fires and smoke plumes. Unexploded cluster munitions found in Kremenchuk. Supply of Russian oil through "Druzhba" pipeline to Hungary and Slovakia suspended due to UA UAV attacks (now reportedly resumed). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: A UAV from Poltava Oblast is heading towards Myrhorod. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Kyiv Oblast: Car explosion in Podilskyi district, Kyiv, claimed by RF as "Ukrainian partisans" blowing up a military vehicle. Enemy UAVs attacked Kyiv Oblast overnight, damaging a hangar in Boryspil district. Multiple air raid alerts due to MiG-31K takeoffs and ballistic missile threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Overall Frontline: RF continues employment of FPV drone swarms and Lancet loitering munitions, with a reported 20% increase in Lancet strikes. UA inflicted significant personnel losses (1010 RF personnel in the last 24h, total 276,300 since year start; 890 RF personnel liquidated in the last 24 hours). UA deep strikes into RF territory: Syzran Oil Refinery, Olya seaport, "Elastic" gunpowder workshop (Ryazan Oblast, 23 fatalities), Azot chemical plant, and Nikolske oil pumping station (Tambov Oblast). 88/140 enemy UAVs and 0/4 Iskander-M missiles reportedly shot down/suppressed by UA. RF MoD claims 23 UA UAVs shot down over RF and annexed Crimea. Prisoner exchange of 1000 UA bodies for 19 RF bodies conducted. Negotiations regarding peace and security guarantees are ongoing between Trump, Zelenskyy, and European leaders, with Putin reportedly open to meeting Zelenskyy in Moscow. Trump expresses optimism about conflict resolution and a potential prisoner exchange. Germany is working with partners on security guarantees for Ukraine. Russia's superiority in UAVs is a claimed factor by RF sources. ASTRA (UA source) reports Ukrainian soldiers verbally abusing and assaulting Denis Nikitin, founder of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK), in Kyiv, indicating potential internal friction. Resumption of oil transit via Druzhba pipeline to Hungary reported by RF sources. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports that Zelenskyy will continue to play a game to prevent peace, according to former Ukrainian Prime Minister Azarov. This is a RF information operation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports Russia has patented a combined van for delivering food to military personnel. This indicates ongoing efforts by Russia to improve logistical support for its forces. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RBK-Ukraine reports that Trump compared Ukrainian Crimea to American Texas. This is a propaganda piece used by UA to highlight Trump's controversial remarks on Ukrainian territory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports the duration of the Alaska summit was due to progress in settlement discussions. This indicates RF framing of the diplomatic event to suggest successful dialogue from their perspective. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Russian police video shows law enforcement operation related to immigration, with focus on foreign citizens and illegal registration. Not military. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RF Telegram channel (НгП раZVедка) posts video titled "An hour of fun," showing a civilian protest interacting with a political leader cutout and Turkish flags. Not military. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Colonelcassad posts new video titled "Новая страница в беспилотных средствах поражения!" (A new page in unmanned means of destruction!). The video shows thermal imaging footage from an aerial perspective of a wooded area, with an explosion and subsequent smaller explosions or secondary impacts, along with multiple heat signatures on the ground (personnel/vehicles). A 'T.ME/RUSICH_ARMY' watermark is present. This indicates continued development and use of advanced drone-based strike capabilities by RF, specifically by a pro-Russian military group. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports on Ukraine's national bank data, claiming that Kyiv and its allies will not be able to purchase $90 billion worth of weapons from the US. This is a RF information operation aimed at undermining confidence in UA's ability to secure Western military aid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: China Daily editorial (TASS source) claims the US is pressuring Ukraine and Europe to soften their positions in negotiations. This is an information operation, likely from a pro-RF perspective, to portray US as manipulative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports that the yellow air danger alert in Lipetsk Oblast has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Germany: RBK-Ukraine reports that four Bundeswehr vehicles were burned by unknown individuals in Germany. This is a domestic security incident and not directly related to military operations in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Bryansk Oblast, RF: AV БогомаZ reports that seven enemy UAVs of aircraft type were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast by RF Air Defense. Colonelcassad (RF source) video shows an Iskander strike, linked with ZALA UAV reconnaissance, destroying a UA long-range UAV launch site. This implies a combined RF ISR-strike capability targeting high-value UA drone assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Colonelcassad reports a RAM-2X UAV was shot down by Russian forces in Belgorod Oblast. This confirms continued UA drone activity into RF territory, specifically targeting Belgorod. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Vologograd Airport restrictions lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Tambov Airport temporarily restricted for flights. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Nizhny Novgorod Airport temporarily restricted for flights. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports restrictions at Nizhny Novgorod airport have been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Voronezh Oblast reports at least 7 UAVs shot down/suppressed. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Kharkiv Oblast: UAV detected near Borova. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Crimea: RBC-Ukraine reports that Russians have intensified mass "filtration measures" in Crimea. This indicates increased RF internal security operations in occupied territories, likely aimed at suppressing dissent or identifying individuals with ties to Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

• Capabilities:
  • Air-Ground Integration: Continued and increased use of FAB-500 glide bombs (Chasiv Yar) and KABs (Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, Kharkiv) for pre-assault preparation and deep strikes against civilian infrastructure. The shift to sustained bombardment at Chasiv Yar indicates high confidence in their air superiority and targeting capabilities in that sector. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • UAV Offensive Operations: Widespread deployment of FPV drone swarms and Lancet loitering munitions across the frontline, with a reported 20% increase in Lancet strikes. RF effectively uses these for reconnaissance, targeting, and direct fire support, as evidenced by destruction of UA vehicles, strongholds, and UAV control points. Colonelcassad's latest video showcasing an Iskander strike linked with ZALA UAV reconnaissance against a UA long-range UAV launch site further highlights advanced RF ISR-strike coordination. RF video shows "Teacher" (likely an EW operator/system) instructing and preventing enemy drones. This suggests RF is investing in personnel and technology to counter UA drone threats, further enhancing their anti-UAV capabilities. The new Colonelcassad video (August 20, 02:16:02) reinforces continued development and use of advanced drone-based strike capabilities, specifically by pro-Russian military groups. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Electronic Warfare (EW): First-time identification of advanced Russian EW systems (Shipovnik-Aero and Pole-21) along the northern border (Sumy Oblast). This represents a significant capability enhancement aimed at degrading Ukrainian ISR and C2 capabilities, particularly UAV operations. The detected 40% increase in EW emissions in Kharkiv corroborates this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ground Assault Tactics: RF continues to employ battalion-sized mechanized assaults (Chasiv Yar) and small, well-equipped assault groups (8-10 personnel) immediately following intense aerial/artillery preparation. This demonstrates adaptability in tactical execution, aiming for rapid penetration of defensive lines. RF units, including 98th VDV, 85th OMCBR, 36th OA (37th OMCBR, 336th Marine Brigade), and 'Vostok' Group, are active. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Long-Range Strike: Continued use of ballistic missiles (Iskander-M on Sloviansk, Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, Pavlohrad) and cruise missiles (Kremenchuk oil refinery, gas transportation systems) to target civilian infrastructure, logistics hubs, and military assets deep within Ukrainian territory. Tu-95MS strategic bomber flights indicate ongoing preparation for large-scale missile launches. The new Smerch MLRS strikes on Mykolaiv Oblast indicate a shift in the kinetic threat to this region, previously less affected by such strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Artillery and MLRS: Continued heavy reliance on conventional and rocket artillery (BM-21 Grad, Uragan MLRS, TOS-1A "Tosochka") for fire support, particularly in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Intentions:
  • Consolidate and Expand in Donbas: RF primary intention is to consolidate territorial gains around Chasiv Yar, pushing towards the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal, and to advance on the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka axis to seize key logistics hubs and further expand control in Donetsk Oblast. The explicit RF claims of advancing on Konstantinovka and liberating Krasnoarmeysk indicate this intent. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Degrade Ukrainian Military Potential: Continued systematic targeting of Ukrainian C2 (UAV control points, radio points), logistics (ammunition depots, robotic platforms), and high-value Western-supplied assets (CAESAR SPG, M-777 howitzer, Bogdana SPG, M109 Paladin). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Disrupt Ukrainian Infrastructure and Morale: Sustained missile and drone attacks on critical civilian infrastructure (energy facilities, oil depots, train stations, fuel arteries) and residential areas in various oblasts (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Poltava, Odesa, Chernihiv, Mykolaiv, Sumy) aim to degrade Ukrainian economic stability, disrupt logistics, and break civilian morale. The strike on fuel arteries in Izmail further supports this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Probe and Fix Forces on Northern Border: Increased DRG activity and EW deployment along the Sumy-Chernihiv border likely serve to probe Ukrainian defenses, gather intelligence, and potentially fix Ukrainian forces in the north, preventing their redeployment to more active Donbas fronts. It is unclear if this presages a larger offensive. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
  • International Diplomatic Leverage: Putin's proposal to meet Zelenskyy in Moscow during the call with Trump, and Trump's subsequent public statements, indicate RF's intention to leverage diplomatic developments to shape the conflict narrative and potentially achieve a favorable negotiated outcome that legitimizes current territorial gains. TASS's report about Azarov allowing for an increased level of RF delegation (Lavrov) suggests RF's willingness to escalate diplomatic engagement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Security in Occupied Territories: Increased "filtration measures" in Crimea indicate RF's intent to suppress dissent and tighten control over occupied territories. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Courses of Action (COAs):
  • COA 1 (MLCOA - Donbas Offensive Focus): Continue high-intensity offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast, specifically on the Chasiv Yar-Konstantinovka-Pokrovsk axis. This will involve:
    • Sustained battalion-sized mechanized assaults, heavily supported by glide bombs and FPV drones, to breach and exploit Ukrainian defensive lines.
    • Prioritization of capturing Konstantinovka and Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) to sever key Ukrainian GLOCs.
    • Continued deep strikes against Ukrainian logistics and C2 nodes in support of ground operations.
    • Continuation of the "fire bag" effort in Kremensky forests (Lyman district).
    • Confidence: HIGH
  • COA 2 (MDCOA - Northern Diversion/Offensive): Initiate a larger, multi-battalion cross-border offensive from Sumy/Chernihiv Oblasts towards strategic objectives (e.g., Kupyansk, Romny, Kyiv axis). This would be preceded by:
    • Intensified EW and reconnaissance efforts to degrade Ukrainian defenses and intelligence.
    • Increased DRG activity to disrupt rear areas and prepare the ground for main force penetration.
    • Aims to draw significant Ukrainian reserves from the Donbas front and alleviate pressure on RF forces there.
    • Confidence: MEDIUM
  • COA 3 (Hybrid Attrition and Diplomatic Maneuver): Maintain current operational tempo with localized ground assaults and continued long-range strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure, while focusing efforts on information operations and diplomatic initiatives to pressure Ukraine into territorial concessions.
    • Increased emphasis on targeting Western-supplied equipment and logistics.
    • Sustained information campaigns to undermine international support for Ukraine and shape public opinion.
    • Exploitation of perceived divisions within the Western alliance.
    • Confidence: HIGH

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations

• Increased Glide Bomb Intensity: In Chasiv Yar, RF has shifted from intermittent to sustained use of FAB-500 glide bombs, indicating a tactical adaptation to overwhelm defenses and pre-position ground units for rapid exploitation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Targeting of Civilian Infrastructure for Strategic Effect: Recent massive drone attacks on oil refineries and gas infrastructure in Poltava and Odesa, coupled with reports of associated power outages, suggest a renewed focus on systematically crippling Ukrainian energy security and economy, rather than solely military targets. The confirmed strike on fuel arteries in Izmail further supports this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• EW Expansion: The deployment of Shipovnik-Aero and Pole-21 systems in the northern sectors is a significant adaptation in the electronic warfare domain, indicating an effort to counter Ukraine's drone advantage and blind its ISR. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Increased DRG Activity (Northern Border): The observed increase in cross-border probing by Russian DRGs in Sumy Oblast suggests a re-evaluation of the threat from this axis, potentially as a diversionary tactic or precursor to larger operations. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
• Targeting of Humanitarian/Civilian Movement Assets: The reported FPV drone strike on an emergency medical vehicle in Kupyansk indicates a concerning tactical shift towards targeting non-combatant assets, likely to degrade medical evacuation and humanitarian efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Targeting of Automated Systems: RF forces are actively targeting robotic platforms used by AFU for logistics, confirming a tactical adaptation to counter emerging UA capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Integrated ISR-Strike Capabilities: The use of ZALA UAV for reconnaissance to enable Iskander-M missile strikes against UA UAV launch sites highlights RF's growing sophistication in integrating reconnaissance and precision strike assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Increased MLRS Use in Southern Oblasts: The shift from ballistic missiles to Smerch MLRS for strikes on Mykolaiv Oblast indicates a tactical adjustment, potentially to conserve ballistic missile stocks or exploit vulnerabilities in UA air defense against MLRS. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
• Targeting Civilian Airports/Transportation Hubs: The temporary restrictions on Volgograd, Tambov, and Nizhny Novgorod airports indicate that RF is actively responding to and adapting its air defense and air traffic control measures based on perceived or actual UAV threats. This is a defensive adaptation in response to UA deep strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Enhanced Drone Capabilities: The new Colonelcassad video (August 20, 02:16:02) showing "A new page in unmanned means of destruction!" with thermal imaging and explosions suggests continued RF investment in and tactical adaptation of advanced drone-based strike capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• New Weaponry & Tactics: RF's claimed destruction of an M109 Paladin by FPV drones in Myrnohrad (Colonelcassad, 03:06:01) indicates continued adaptation of FPV drones for engaging high-value, armored targets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status

• Fuel and Energy: UA drone strikes on RF oil refineries (Syzran) and oil pumping stations (Nikolske) demonstrate continued UA efforts to degrade RF fuel supply. The temporary suspension of oil transit via Druzhba pipeline to Hungary (now resumed) highlights the vulnerability of RF energy infrastructure to deep strikes. RF strikes on Kremenchuk oil refinery and SOCAR oil depot in Odesa show reciprocal efforts to impact UA energy supply. The confirmed strike on fuel arteries in Izmail indicates ongoing RF efforts to target UA fuel logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Ammunition & Supplies: UA reports successful destruction of RF ammunition depots (Kherson left bank) and a train with fuel cisterns and military ordnance (Zaporizhzhia/Tokmak direction), indicating successful interdiction of RF supply lines. RF claims destruction of UA ammunition depots and robotic platforms ferrying ammunition. This indicates both sides are actively targeting the other's logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Personnel Sustainment: Reports of 890-940 RF personnel liquidated in the last 24 hours, alongside total estimated losses of 276,300, indicate persistent high attrition rates for RF. RF attempts to secure donations for drones and Starlink from within Russia (7th Airborne Division) suggest ongoing logistical needs and a reliance on non-governmental support. The claims of foreign mercenaries being liquidated aligns with RF narratives to downplay their own losses and externalize blame. RF efforts to patent a combined van for military food delivery suggest a focus on improving logistical support for their troops. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Transport and Movement: Air traffic restrictions in Samara, Saratov, Volgograd, Tambov, and Nizhny Novgorod airports indicate temporary disruptions to RF air movements, likely due to UAV threats. Damage to Pokrovsk train station implies potential disruption to Ukrainian rail logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Financial Sustainment: TASS reporting on increased pipeline gas exports to China (21.3% increase from Jan-Aug) and the value of these exports ($5.69bn) suggests Russia is maintaining or increasing some key revenue streams, which directly contributes to its ability to sustain military operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports that Ukraine and its allies will not be able to purchase $90 billion worth of weapons from the US, citing National Bank of Ukraine data. While an RF information operation, it suggests potential for financial constraints on UA if not fully funded, thus indirectly impacting RF's own logistical needs in response. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness

• RF C2: RF forces continue to coordinate large-scale air and ground operations, suggesting effective C2 despite some tactical setbacks. RF claims of destroying UA UAV control points (Donetsk, Myrnohrad) indicate an effort to degrade UA C2 and ISR. The coordinated information operations surrounding the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting suggest a centralized RF C2 for media and diplomatic narratives. The reported Iskander-ZALA strike against a UA UAV launch site indicates effective, integrated C2 for high-value targeting. The EW video from Colonelcassad ("Teacher" EW company) shows RF focusing on C2 of EW operations. The release of restrictions at Samara and Saratov airports indicates that RF civil aviation C2 is able to adapt and respond to perceived threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UA C2: Ukrainian forces demonstrate effective coordination in repelling assaults, conducting clearance operations, and executing deep strikes. The rapid response to drone threats and successful interceptions suggest robust air defense C2. The uncovering of an RF military intelligence agent group in Odesa by SBU highlights ongoing counter-intelligence efforts to protect UA C2. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• EW Impact: The new Russian EW systems pose a significant threat to Ukrainian drone-based ISR and C2, potentially leading to localized communication blackouts and degraded targeting capabilities for UA. This could impact the effectiveness of drone-guided operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Internal RF C2: The TASS report on ex-General Shamarin's testimony in a second criminal case against General Ogloblin, both related to bribery, suggests ongoing internal investigations and challenges within the RF military and judicial system. This could indicate efforts to address corruption or consolidate power, potentially affecting morale and efficiency within their ranks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Political C2: Lavrov's public statements regarding North Korean fighters in Kursk Oblast (while demonstrably false and an information operation) indicate a centralized political C2 guiding RF's international messaging, even when absurd. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness

• Defensive Posture: UA maintains a resilient defensive posture across the frontline, particularly in Chasiv Yar where units tactically withdrew to prepared positions. Defensive efforts are strong in Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk directions, with reported repelled attacks and localized counter-offensives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Offensive Operations: UA forces are conducting localized offensive operations, successfully clearing and taking control of Hruzke and Vesele (Dobropillya area) and Zolotyi Kolodyaz and Petrivka (Donetsk Oblast). The "SKALA" Regiment conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetropavsk and Donetsk Oblasts. UA reconnaissance units claim entry into "Novaya Kakhovka." These indicate continued capacity for limited advances and retention of offensive initiative in certain sectors. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UAV Capabilities: UA forces continue to demonstrate high proficiency in drone operations, including FPV drone strikes for precision targeting of RF vehicles, personnel, and logistics, and reconnaissance (e.g., "Predators of the Heights," "Roniny" battalion, "Birds of Madyar," "Yokai Group," "STRIX" unit, "Leleka 100"). The reported delivery of 905 drones to Defense Forces in two days indicates robust supply and integration of UAVs. UA is also reporting development and launch of "Flamingo" cruise missile production. Continued operation of RAM-2X UAVs for deep strikes into RF territory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Artillery and Long-Range Strike: UA forces are actively engaging RF targets with artillery (44th Separate Artillery Brigade "Bogdana" successfully destroying enemy equipment) and successfully conducting deep strikes into RF territory against oil refineries, seaports, and gunpowder workshops. This confirms persistent long-range strike capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Training and Adaptation: UA units are conducting military training (obstacle courses) for psychological and physical preparation, indicating ongoing efforts to maintain combat readiness and resilience. New photo messages from 46th Separate Airmobile Podilsky Brigade confirm ongoing training and development of future commanders, emphasizing the importance of FPV drone operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Force Relocation: The relocation of National Guard of Ukraine units from Kharkiv Oblast to the Pokrovsk direction indicates strategic adaptation to shifting RF main efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Air Defense Response: Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report destroying 5 Shaheds overnight, demonstrating effective sector-specific air defense capabilities against drone attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks

• Successes:
  • Territorial Gains: UA successfully cleared Hruzke, Vesele, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Rubizhne, Novovodyane, and Petrivka in Donetsk Oblast. The "SKALA" Regiment's successful offensive operation on the Dnipropetropavsk/Donetsk border. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Personnel Attrition: RF personnel losses are consistently high (890-940 per day reported), indicating effective UA defensive and offensive actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Logistics Interdiction: Successful drone strikes on an RF train with fuel cisterns and military ordnance near Tokmak, and the Nikolske oil pumping station in Tambov Oblast, demonstrate effective UA interdiction of RF logistics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Air Defense: Successful interception of 88/140 enemy UAVs and all 4 Iskander-M missiles overnight demonstrates effective UA air defense capabilities, particularly against drone swarms. Successful interception of "mopeds" targeting Izmail/Danube. The downing of a RAM-2X UAV by Russian forces in Belgorod indicates continued UA deep strike capabilities. The destruction of 5 Shaheds overnight by Naval Forces also confirms ongoing air defense success. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Counter-DRG Operations: Successful clearance of Pokrovsk of Russian DRGs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Damage Control/Civilian Protection: Rapid response to fires in Izmail (Odesa Oblast) and Okhtyrka (Sumy Oblast) with reported no casualties demonstrates effective civilian protection and damage control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Setbacks:
  • Tactical Withdrawal in Chasiv Yar: UA units executed a tactical withdrawal from parts of the Kanal microdistrict in Chasiv Yar due to intense RF pressure, including heavy glide bomb use. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Civilian Casualties and Infrastructure Damage: Significant civilian fatalities and injuries (7 fatalities, 23 injured in Kharkiv; 3 fatalities, 34 injured in Zaporizhzhia) and extensive damage to civilian infrastructure (residential buildings, energy facilities, post offices, cultural sites like the Jewish cemetery, train station, fuel arteries in Izmail and oil depot in Odesa) from RF strikes highlight vulnerability to long-range attacks. Overnight attacks on Okhtyrka and Izmail, while contained without casualties, still represent disruptions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • EW Degradation: The new RF EW systems on the northern border are reportedly degrading UA ISR capabilities, posing a challenge to drone operations in those areas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Loss of Equipment: RF claims destruction of UA M577 command post vehicle, T-72 tank, French CAESAR SPG, US M-777 howitzer, Ukrainian Bogdana SPG, robotic platforms, and an M109 Paladin, indicating successful RF targeting of UA assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Increased Kinetic Threat in Mykolaiv: Recent Smerch MLRS strikes on Mykolaiv Oblast indicate a renewed and immediate threat to population centers in this region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Security in Crimea: The intensified "filtration measures" by RF in Crimea may indicate successful UA intelligence gathering or covert operations in the occupied peninsula, leading to a crackdown. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Financial Constraints: RF claims (TASS, National Bank of Ukraine data) that Ukraine and its allies cannot purchase $90 billion in weapons, if accurate, represent a significant financial constraint on future military procurement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints

• Air Defense: Continued high demand for effective mobile air defense systems capable of countering glide bombs, ballistic missiles, and sustained Shahed drone attacks, especially in urban centers and critical infrastructure areas. The high interception rate for drones is positive, but the sheer volume of attacks necessitates continuous replenishment and improvement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Counter-EW Capabilities: Urgent requirement for specialized counter-EW equipment and training to mitigate the impact of newly deployed Russian EW systems on UAV operations and C2, particularly in northern sectors. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Ammunition & Logistics: Ongoing need for artillery ammunition, spare parts, and fuel to sustain offensive and defensive operations. The successful interdiction of RF logistics is positive, but UA must ensure its own supply lines remain secure. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Humanitarian Aid: Significant resources are required for humanitarian assistance, medical support, and reconstruction in areas affected by RF strikes on civilian infrastructure, particularly in Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Sumy (Okhtyrka), and Odesa (Izmail). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Donor Support: Continued and expedited international military aid is critical for maintaining current operational tempo and enabling future offensive actions, as evidenced by the gratitude expressed by UA units for donations. Ukraine's proposal to purchase $90 billion worth of weapons from the US highlights massive future needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Military Aid Discrepancy: The TASS report claiming Zelenskyy's request for $90 billion in arms exceeds all previous US military aid received since the start of the conflict indicates a significant resource requirement and potential constraint if this aid is not fully realized. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns

• RF Propaganda:
  • Victim Blaming/False Flags: RF claims of "Ukrainian partisans" blowing up a military vehicle in Kyiv; blaming corruption for UA occupation of parts of Kursk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Exaggerated Successes/Casualties: RF claims of "big breakthrough" in Pokrovskoe, liberation of settlements, and highly inflated UA casualty figures (e.g., 1000 UA bodies for 19 RF in prisoner exchange) aim to demoralize UA and inflate RF capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Legitimization of Annexed Territories: Colonelcassad's use of maps showing "new Russian regions and Crimea" during diplomatic discussions is a clear attempt to normalize and legitimize these territories. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Discrediting Western Support: RF narratives surrounding Trump's statements ("Ukraine will not be in NATO," "Europe would be the 'first line of defense'," "selling, not giving, weapons," "Trump: I'll throw money at the Russos") aim to sow doubt about Western commitment and unity. Trump's claims regarding Iran's nuclear capabilities and US arms sales to Europe with a 10% markup are likely attempts to shape a narrative beneficial to him and cast a negative light on current US foreign policy and military aid structures. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) TASS claims that Kyiv and its allies will not be able to purchase $90 billion worth of weapons, further attempting to discredit Western support. China Daily (TASS source) claiming US pressure on Ukraine and Europe to soften negotiating positions is another attempt to portray US as manipulative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Cohesion: RF media celebrating "Motorized Rifle Troops Day" and showing soldiers' personal appeals for donations (7th Airborne Division) are internal PSYOPs to boost morale and foster public support for the war effort. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Denial of Environmental Impact: Russian Rospotrebnadzor claiming no deviations in Black/Azov Sea water samples after oil spill incidents. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Controlling Diplomatic Narrative: Putin's proposal to meet Zelenskyy in Moscow is a significant RF information operation aiming to control the narrative around peace talks, framing Russia as open to dialogue on its terms. The possibility of raising the delegation level to Lavrov further supports this. TASS leveraging Azarov's statements about Zelenskyy "playing a game" to prevent peace aligns with this narrative. TASS's framing of the duration of the Alaska summit as "due to progress in settlement discussions" is an RF information operation to convey a sense of diplomatic success. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Exploitation of Trump's Statements: RF sources (TASS) are amplifying Trump's statements about Crimea being "very beautiful" and twice "in the ocean," likely to highlight perceived American disinterest or ignorance regarding Ukrainian territorial integrity. RBK-Ukraine reporting Trump comparing Ukrainian Crimea to American Texas is part of this trend. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Targeting of Military Training and Personnel: Colonelcassad's video "Teacher" learning to defeat enemy drones, while seemingly internal, contributes to the overall narrative of RF forces adapting and improving, thereby subtly undermining confidence in UA's drone superiority. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RF Telegram channels are running a coordinated information attack to discredit the Russian messenger MAX, portraying it as being targeted by "Ukrainian provocateurs, oppositionists who fled from Russia, and representatives of the extremist LGBT movement." This is a domestic information operation aimed at controlling the information space and demonizing perceived internal and external opposition. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: RF is amplifying a video of a popular rap artist reading a prayer and chanting "Glory to Russia!" at a concert. This is a clear PSYOP aimed at boosting morale and reinforcing patriotic sentiment among the Russian population by linking popular culture with state ideology and religious themes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: Lavrov's false claim of North Korean fighters' "feats" in Kursk Oblast is a deliberate disinformation effort, likely to exaggerate the scale of the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk or create a false narrative of international support for RF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• UA Counter-Propaganda:
  • Highlighting RF Atrocities: Videos of Azov Brigade repelling attacks and captured RF prisoners, alongside reports of civilian casualties and targeting of cultural sites (Jewish cemetery), are used to expose RF brutality. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Showcasing UA Successes: Photos and videos of UA clearance operations, successful drone strikes, and prisoner captures aim to boost national morale and demonstrate combat effectiveness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Emphasizing Resilience: Images of damaged Sumy State University and ongoing search/rescue operations in Kharkiv/Zaporizhzhia highlight the human cost of RF aggression and fuel resolve. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Transparency/Fact-Checking: Direct contradiction of RF territorial claims (e.g., Zolotyi Kolodyaz) and providing casualty figures (RF personnel liquidated) to maintain credibility. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Diplomatic Messaging: Zelenskyy's statements emphasizing "reliable and lasting peace" and discussions on security guarantees aim to reinforce international support and counter RF narratives of a frozen conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Promoting Training and Adaptability: Photo messages from the 46th Separate Airmobile Podilsky Brigade about training future commanders and sharing FPV combat experience reinforce UA's commitment to continuous improvement and adaptation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Hybrid Tactics: RF's coordinated information operations around the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, including rapid dissemination of selectively quoted or misquoted statements, demonstrate advanced hybrid warfare techniques aimed at influencing the diplomatic landscape and international public opinion. The conflicting reports on the body exchange highlight a confused or rapidly shifting RF information strategy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors

• Ukrainian Public:
  • Resilience and Mourning: Despite sustained attacks on civilian centers (Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Sumy, Mykolaiv), leading to fatalities and injuries, Ukrainian public sentiment appears to be largely resilient, albeit marked by mourning for losses (e.g., "Minute of Silence" messages). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Evacuations: Mandatory evacuations in Druzhkivka and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast indicate civilian response to heightened threat levels, impacting local populations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Trust in Leadership: Continued public support for military actions and leadership (e.g., celebratory messages for Zelenskyy and the military) suggests maintained morale. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Security Concerns: The video showing TCC (Territorial Recruitment Center) officers chasing a car with children in Vinnytsia Oblast, while potentially an isolated incident, could negatively impact public trust in local authorities and recruitment efforts if widespread. The video depicting Ukrainian soldiers verbally abusing and assaulting Denis Nikitin, if widely publicized, could impact public perception of internal cohesion and adherence to rule of law. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
  • Occupied Territories: Intensified "filtration measures" in Crimea (RBC-Ukraine) suggest a populace that is perceived as a security risk by the occupying forces, which could indicate underlying resistance or disaffection. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Russian Public:
  • Propaganda Consumption: RF narratives (e.g., "Buryatia Will Win," "Return Home" video for occupied territories, blaming corruption for setbacks, patriotic rap concerts) aim to maintain morale and support for the "special military operation." (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Domestic Impact: The Ryazan gunpowder plant explosion (23 fatalities) and power outages in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast could impact public perception of domestic security and governmental effectiveness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Military Appeals for Donations: Repeated appeals for donations for drones and Starlink (7th Airborne Division) indicate that military units rely on public support, which could suggest gaps in official supply chains, potentially impacting public confidence in the military. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports that calls to extend school financial support to all families are being discussed. This indicates a focus on domestic social issues and public welfare, which could be aimed at maintaining internal stability and public satisfaction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NEW: TASS reports on General Prosecutor's lawsuit against ex-deputy Magomed Gadzhiev for asset seizure. This, if widely known, could fuel public discontent regarding corruption or raise questions about the integrity of officials. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
• International Sentiment:
  • Continued Support for Ukraine: Germany, Italy, UK, and NATO continue to discuss security guarantees and arms supplies, indicating continued international support despite diplomatic complexities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Focus on Diplomacy: The Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, coupled with Macron's proposal for a four-way meeting and Putin's expressed readiness to meet Zelenskyy, highlight a growing international emphasis on diplomatic resolution, though with differing approaches. The CNN report suggesting Hungary and Switzerland as potential locations for the next summit indicates sustained international focus on a diplomatic solution. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Concern over Humanitarian Impact: International reports highlighting civilian casualties and infrastructure damage reinforce calls for peace and accountability. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • EU/NATO Expansion: NATO Secretary General Rutte's statement on an "irreversible path" for Ukraine into NATO reinforces long-term strategic alignment despite current membership discussions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments

• US-Ukraine-Europe Summit: High-level talks in Washington between Trump, Zelenskyy, and European leaders (President of EC, NATO SG, UK PM, French President, Italian PM). Key outcomes and statements:
  • Trump expresses optimism for conflict resolution, confidence in calling Putin, and a tripartite meeting. He suggests peace can be achieved during combat, that Ukraine will not be in NATO but will have security guarantees, and that Europe would be the "first line of defense." He also mentioned a release of "a thousand prisoners of war." He emphasized selling rather than giving weapons. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Zelenskyy confirmed discussions on security guarantees (to be formulated in 7-10 days) and territorial issues, expressing readiness for elections. He affirmed unconditional meeting with Putin but leaving territory to be discussed between them. He proposed to purchase $90 billion in weapons from the US. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Macron discussed strengthening sanctions against Russia if it refuses peace and expressed hope for a trilateral meeting. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • NATO Secretary General Rutte stated an "irreversible path" for Ukraine into NATO, continued arms supplies through NATO countries, and confirmed territorial concessions were not discussed. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Overall, the summit concluded without a joint statement, indicating ongoing complexities and potential divergences in approach among participants, despite stated optimism for peace. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Russia's Diplomatic Engagement: Putin has spoken with nine foreign leaders in three days, indicating active diplomatic engagement, leveraging perceived international divisions and seeking to shape the narrative around peace talks. His proposal to meet Zelenskyy in Moscow is a key diplomatic maneuver. TASS's report of Azarov suggesting Lavrov's participation in future talks with Kyiv further underscores Russia's intent to elevate the diplomatic discourse on its terms. TASS's framing of the Alaska summit's duration as due to "progress in settlement discussions" is part of this diplomatic messaging. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• International Commitments: Germany is working with partners on security guarantees for Ukraine. Italy proposes security talks similar to NATO Article 5. Keir Starmer calls for reliable security guarantees. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Challenges and Tensions:
  • NATO Membership: While an "irreversible path" to NATO is acknowledged, direct membership is not currently on the table, which could be a point of contention for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Territorial Concessions: Trump's statement on discussing "territory exchange based on current front lines" is highly sensitive for Ukraine and directly contradicted by Zelenskyy's stated position (impossible to surrender territories). This will be a critical and likely contentious point in any future negotiations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Discord (Ukraine): The reported abuse of RDK founder Denis Nikitin by Ukrainian soldiers in Kyiv, if widely publicized, could impact international perceptions of internal cohesion and adherence to rule of law. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
  • US Arms Sales Markup: The statement by "Minister of Finance Bessent" (likely a misidentification or fabricated source given the unusual name for a finance minister) claiming the US sells arms to Europeans, who then sell to Ukraine with a 10% markup, is a likely Russian disinformation attempt to sow discord among allies and discredit US aid efforts. (LOW CONFIDENCE, as source is likely fabricated/misleading)
• NEW: Japan's significant increase (372%) in LNG imports from Russia in July 2025 compared to 2024 (TASS) indicates a potential economic-diplomatic shift, possibly driven by energy security concerns despite broader international sanctions. This demonstrates that economic realities can supersede geopolitical alignments for some states. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Russia proposes creating a digital platform for free legal assistance, a domestic initiative not directly military but aimed at social stability. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: Russia's new regulation on business trips from September indicates internal economic and administrative adjustments. Not directly military. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: TASS reports Witkoff stating Alaska summit duration was due to progress in settlement discussions. This is an RF framing of diplomatic success. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• NEW: TASS reports that Ukrainian ex-PM Azarov states "Kyiv regime already lost Donbas 11 years ago" indicates continued RF diplomatic messaging focused on legitimizing their control of Donbas and framing it as a long-term reality. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)

• Donbas Consolidation and Offensive: RF will continue to focus its main effort on consolidating and expanding its control in Donetsk Oblast. This will involve relentless, mechanized assaults in Chasiv Yar, supported by heavy glide bomb strikes, aimed at securing the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal line. Simultaneously, pressure will be maintained on the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka axis with the objective of capturing these strategic towns to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and deepen their penetration into Donbas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Sustained Long-Range Strikes: RF will maintain a high tempo of missile and Shahed drone attacks across Ukraine, particularly targeting energy infrastructure, transportation nodes, and urban centers. The intent is to continue degrading Ukraine's economic capacity, civilian morale, and to disrupt military logistics. Increased MLRS strikes on Mykolaiv Oblast are likely to continue as part of this campaign. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Northern Border Probing and EW Exploitation: RF will actively employ EW systems along the Sumy-Chernihiv border to degrade Ukrainian UAV capabilities and test defensive responses. Continued reconnaissance and low-intensity probing attacks by DRGs are expected. This will likely serve as a shaping operation to fix Ukrainian forces in the north, rather than an immediate large-scale invasion, but the threat of opportunistic larger raids remains. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
• Hybrid Warfare and Diplomatic Leverage: Russia will actively pursue information operations to influence international perception of the conflict and leverage diplomatic discussions (e.g., direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting, tripartite talks, raising negotiation delegation levels) to achieve a settlement favorable to Moscow, likely involving territorial concessions. RF will continue to exploit and amplify any statements from foreign leaders that support their narrative or create divisions within the Western alliance, including Trump's controversial remarks on Crimea. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Internal Information Control: RF will likely intensify efforts to control domestic information, using propaganda to discredit perceived internal and external threats (e.g., targeting of the MAX messenger) and promote nationalistic narratives (e.g., patriotic concerts). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Tightening Control in Occupied Territories: RF will continue and potentially intensify "filtration measures" and other security operations in occupied territories, particularly Crimea, to suppress pro-Ukrainian sentiment and prevent insurgent activities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)

• Large-Scale Northern Offensive: RF initiates a multi-corps, cross-border offensive from the Sumy-Chernihiv axis aimed at a deep penetration into Ukraine, potentially towards Kyiv or central Ukraine. This would involve a significant redeployment of forces, synchronized with intense EW and cyber attacks, designed to collapse Ukrainian defenses and force a large-scale redeployment of forces from the eastern and southern fronts. This would seek to cut Ukrainian supply lines from the west and encircle or outflank existing defensive positions. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
• Breakthrough in Donbas Leading to Operational Encirclement: RF achieves a decisive breakthrough on the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka axis, potentially cutting off significant Ukrainian forces in the Donbas. This would involve overwhelming Ukrainian defenses through combined-arms operations, including heavy air support and specialized assault units, leading to a rapid collapse of defensive lines and an operational encirclement. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)
• Targeting of Strategic Communication/Leadership: RF conducts a highly coordinated long-range strike campaign specifically targeting key Ukrainian military command and control nodes, and/or political leadership (beyond current patterns of civilian infrastructure targeting). This would aim to decapitate Ukrainian decision-making and cause widespread disruption. (LOW CONFIDENCE)

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points

• Immediate (Next 24-48 hours):
  • Chasiv Yar: Expect continued RF battalion-sized mechanized assaults against the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal line, heavily supported by FAB-500 glide bombs. Decision Point: If RF secures significant crossing points on the canal, UA will need to decide on further defensive withdrawals or commitment of reserves for counter-attack.
  • Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka: Continued heavy fighting, with RF likely attempting further localized advances and consolidating gains. Decision Point: If RF advances threaten the main GLOCs to Pokrovsk, UA must decide on reinforcing the axis or adjusting logistical routes.
  • Northern Border: Continued reconnaissance and EW activity. Potential for small-scale cross-border raids by RF DRGs. UAV activity in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts. New groups of UAVs entering Sumy Oblast, heading towards Khotyn. Decision Point: UA command must assess whether increased EW and DRG activity signifies a shaping operation for a larger offensive, necessitating redeployment of reserves or increased defensive posture.
  • Air Strikes: Expect ongoing RF missile and drone strikes targeting Ukrainian infrastructure (especially energy and transport) in Poltava, Odesa (Izmail), Sumy (Okhtyrka), and Mykolaiv Oblasts. A UAV is currently heading towards Myrhorod (Poltava Oblast). Decision Point: UA Air Defense must prioritize asset allocation to protect critical infrastructure vs. frontline units, particularly in Mykolaiv given the shift to MLRS and the confirmed strike on fuel arteries in Izmail.
  • Airspace Restrictions (RF): Lifting of restrictions at Samara, Saratov, and Nizhny Novgorod airports indicates a short-term reduction in perceived immediate UAV threat to those areas. However, temporary restrictions in Tambov and reported UAV activity in Voronezh suggest the threat remains dynamic and geographically dispersed. Decision Point: UA must assess if the lifted restrictions create new opportunities for deep strikes into RF territory.
• Mid-Term (Next 7-10 days):
  • Security Guarantees: Zelenskyy anticipates security guarantees to be formulated. Decision Point: The nature and strength of these guarantees will influence Ukraine's diplomatic stance and operational planning.
  • Diplomatic Initiative: Intensification of discussions regarding a potential trilateral meeting between Putin, Trump, and Zelenskyy, with potential locations like Hungary and Switzerland being considered. Decision Point: Ukraine must decide on its red lines for territorial concessions and NATO membership in any peace talks, especially if RF increases its negotiation delegation.
  • Kupyansk: Commander of "Achilles" Regiment Fedorenko (UA source) reports RF plans to occupy Kupyansk by August 24. Decision Point: UA will need to decide on the level of resources to commit to defend Kupyansk.

6. INTELLIGENCE GAPS AND COLLECTION REQUIREMENTS

• Intelligence Gap: Full scope and capabilities of newly deployed RF EW systems (Shipovnik-Aero, Pole-21) along the northern border.
  • Collection Requirement: HUMINT/SIGINT collection focused on identifying technical specifications, operational range, and typical deployment patterns of these EW systems. UAV reconnaissance missions specifically designed to trigger and map EW emission zones.
• Intelligence Gap: Strategic intent behind RF's increased activity on the Sumy-Chernihiv axis. Is it a feint or a prelude to a larger offensive?
  • Collection Requirement: Increased ISR (UAV, satellite imagery, ELINT) coverage on RF force concentrations, logistical buildup, and troop movements in Belgorod, Kursk, and Bryansk Oblasts. Focus on changes in ground line of communication (GLOC) and forward supply dumps. HUMINT from cross-border DRG activity on RF order of battle and objectives.
• Intelligence Gap: Assessment of RF second-echelon forces' readiness and composition for exploiting potential breakthroughs in Donetsk Oblast.
  • Collection Requirement: Targeted ISR (especially SAR and electro-optical) to identify staging areas, vehicle concentrations, and personnel movements behind current RF frontline positions in Donbas. Intercept RF communications for indications of readiness status.
• Intelligence Gap: Full extent of damage and operational impact on RF's energy and gunpowder production capabilities from recent UA deep strikes.
  • Collection Requirement: Post-strike BDA (Bomb Damage Assessment) using satellite imagery and OSINT analysis of local reports to ascertain long-term impact on production and supply. Verify the nature and source of claims regarding US arms sales markups.
• Intelligence Gap: Specific targeting parameters and available ammunition for Smerch MLRS now being actively used against Mykolaiv Oblast.
  • Collection Requirement: HUMINT/TECHINT from intercepted fragments or captured systems to determine exact munition types and ranges. IMINT analysis of strike locations to infer intended targets.
• Intelligence Gap: Detailed assessment of damage and recovery time for fuel and energy infrastructure in Izmail following the recent strike.
  • Collection Requirement: Satellite imagery and local reporting to assess the extent of damage to fuel storage and distribution networks. Estimate impact on port operations and riverine logistics.
• NEW Intelligence Gap: Impact of Japanese LNG imports on Russia's energy export revenue and its implications for Russia's war funding.
  • Collection Requirement: Economic intelligence analysis of Japanese energy market data, global LNG prices, and Russia's overall energy export volumes to assess the financial impact.
• NEW Intelligence Gap: Detailed information on the intensified "filtration measures" in Crimea: their scope, methods, and specific targets.
  • Collection Requirement: HUMINT from within occupied Crimea regarding arrests, interrogations, and specific criteria for detention. OSINT monitoring of local social media and news for reports of human rights abuses or changes in public movement.
• NEW Intelligence Gap: Full extent of damage to the power grid in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast after UA UAV strikes.
  • Collection Requirement: Satellite imagery (before/after) of high-voltage lines and substations. OSINT monitoring of local reports and RF official statements on repair timelines and impact on civilian life.
• NEW Intelligence Gap: Verification of the RF claim regarding the destruction of a UA M109 Paladin howitzer near Myrnohrad by FPV drones.
  • Collection Requirement: IMINT analysis of the provided video footage, cross-referencing with other available imagery of the area, and HUMINT from UA forces in the Myrnohrad area.
• NEW Intelligence Gap: Verification of RF claims regarding Ukraine's financial inability to purchase $90 billion in US weapons.
  • Collection Requirement: Economic intelligence analysis of Ukrainian national bank data and international financial reports. HUMINT from Ukrainian financial and government officials.

7. RECOMMENDATIONS

• Tactical Level:
  • Chasiv Yar: Prioritize allocation of man-portable air defense systems (MANPADS) and mobile SHORAD (Short-Range Air Defense) to frontline units to specifically counter glide bombs. Intensify counter-battery fire against RF artillery and MLRS systems supporting ground assaults. Conduct targeted FPV drone and precision artillery strikes against RF assault groups immediately upon detection following pre-assault bombardments.
  • Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka Axis: Establish and reinforce robust mobile defense groups capable of rapid response to RF breakthroughs. Pre-position anti-tank and anti-personnel minefields along likely avenues of approach towards Pokrovsk. Secure and harden alternative GLOCs into the area to mitigate disruptions from RF advances.
  • Northern Border (Sumy/Chernihiv): Implement enhanced counter-EW measures, including operational procedures for UAVs in degraded environments, alternative communication methods, and active jamming of RF EW sources. Increase ground reconnaissance patrols (dismounted and UAV) to detect and interdict RF DRGs. Establish deeper, layered defensive positions with overwatch to deny RF freedom of movement if larger incursions occur. Continue training on countering enemy drone tactics and systems, as highlighted by UA internal training efforts.
  • Mykolaiv Oblast: Implement immediate air defense and early warning protocols for Smerch MLRS strikes, including public alerts and rapid shelter instructions. Reinforce localized air defense capabilities with a focus on countering rocket artillery. Conduct rapid BDA on strike locations to assess RF targeting priorities.
  • Odesa Oblast (Izmail): Enhance air defense coverage for critical infrastructure, particularly fuel storage and port facilities. Implement emergency contingency plans for alternative fuel supply routes if current infrastructure is severely degraded.
• Operational Level:
  • Force Prioritization: Re-evaluate force allocation between the eastern (Donbas), northern (Sumy-Chernihiv), and southern (Mykolaiv, Odesa) fronts based on the evolving threat assessment. Consider strategic reserves to rapidly reinforce any sector experiencing a major RF breakthrough or increased kinetic threat.
  • Integrated Air Defense: Develop and deploy an integrated, multi-layered air defense system that can dynamically re-task assets (manned aircraft, missile systems, EW platforms) to counter simultaneous ballistic missile, cruise missile, and drone threats across multiple regions, now including a significant MLRS threat in Mykolaiv. Focus on protecting high-value energy and transportation infrastructure.
  • Logistics Protection: Implement enhanced security measures for critical logistics hubs, including rail networks and supply depots, especially in Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, given recent successful UA interdiction of RF logistics. Ensure robust fuel supply chains, particularly in southern regions impacted by recent strikes.
  • Counter-UAS Doctrine: Develop and disseminate updated Counter-UAS (C-UAS) doctrine to all units, emphasizing passive detection, distributed air defense, and integration of small arms and specialized C-UAS equipment. Incorporate lessons learned from RF EW adaptations.
• Strategic Level:
  • International Engagement: Maintain open channels for diplomatic engagement with key international partners to secure continued military and financial aid. Clearly communicate Ukraine's non-negotiable territorial integrity and sovereignty in any peace talks, countering RF narratives of territorial exchange and proposals for meetings on RF territory that implicitly legitimize current occupations. Address RF's opportunistic use of Trump's statements on Crimea to further its propaganda efforts. Proactively communicate the reality of Ukrainian military aid requirements, contrasting Zelenskyy's stated needs with any RF claims of financial inability to purchase such aid.
  • Strategic Communications: Continue robust strategic communications to highlight RF atrocities against civilians and infrastructure, reinforcing international condemnation and maintaining public support both domestically and abroad. Counter RF disinformation efforts, especially regarding the outcome of diplomatic meetings, alleged internal issues within Ukraine, and any claims that discredit Western aid efforts. Highlight ongoing UA training and adaptability to maintain morale and international confidence. Actively monitor and counter RF's domestic information operations, such as the discrediting of messenger apps or the promotion of patriotic concerts, to prevent their narratives from gaining international traction or impacting Ukrainian morale. Address and counter RF's intensified "filtration measures" in Crimea through public statements and international advocacy. Actively expose and counter the demonstrably false claims from RF officials like Lavrov regarding North Korean forces in Kursk.
  • Resilience Planning: Develop comprehensive plans for civilian support, medical care, and infrastructure repair in anticipation of continued RF strikes. Focus on decentralization of critical services to enhance resilience.
  • Diplomatic Leveraging: Analyze Japan's increased LNG imports from Russia for potential diplomatic opportunities or challenges. Consider how this economic activity might influence broader international support for sanctions or Ukraine.

//END REPORT//