Archived operational intelligence briefing
INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT
TIME: 190540Z AUG 25
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
No new significant weather or environmental factors beyond previously noted challenging terrain (mud-covered vehicles), localized forest fires, and strong winds affecting drone operations. The large industrial fires in Syzran and the explosion at the Ryazan gunpowder workshop, and the attack on the Azot chemical plant will generate significant smoke and potential environmental contamination, impacting local air quality and visibility. RF KAB strike on Novoslobidska community, Sumy Oblast, around 22:00, injured a 57-year-old woman, indicating continued localized environmental impact from RF air strikes. The missile strike on Sumy and damage to an educational institution contributes to localized environmental impact. The RF strikes on Odesa targeting a Nova Poshta terminal (logistics/civilian) and a 330kv power substation in Usatove (critical infrastructure) will result in significant localized damage, fire, and potential power outages. The destruction visible in photos from Kharkiv Regional Military Administration confirms significant environmental damage in residential areas. Igor Artamonov (RF source) reports a "red level" UAV attack threat declared for the city of Lipetsk and several municipal districts, indicating direct environmental impact from active air defense operations and potential debris fall. This red level threat has since been canceled. TASS (RF source) reports temporary restrictions on flights at Tambov and Penza airports. The "Carpet" plan in Penza Oblast was activated and subsequently cancelled. Renewed Shahed strikes on Kharkiv have caused a fire in a residential building with risk of collapse, increasing humanitarian and environmental impact. The confirmed fatalities (seven) and 23 injured in Kharkiv due to RF drone strikes represents a severe humanitarian impact and will exacerbate environmental concerns due to widespread debris and damaged infrastructure. The missile strike on an educational institution in Sumy further contributes to public anger. Igor Artamonov reports the cancellation of the "yellow level" air danger alert for Lipetsk Oblast. The missile strike on Pavlohrad will cause localized damage and potential environmental contamination. The confirmed 24 fatalities at the "Elastic" gunpowder workshop in Ryazan Oblast indicate a severe environmental impact from the UA deep strike, including potential chemical contamination and significant debris. The RF drone strike on a fuel and energy infrastructure object in Odesa suburbs will cause significant localized environmental damage due to fire and potential spills. The explosion of a car in Kyiv, whether accidental or intentional, will contribute to localized environmental impact. The car explosion in Kyiv will cause localized environmental impact. Ballistic missile strikes on Zaporizhzhia will cause localized damage and potential environmental contamination. The impacts in Zaporizhzhia, with two confirmed strikes, indicate localized environmental damage. The severe damage to civilian residential buildings in Kharkiv, including the confirmed fatalities and injured, underscores a catastrophic humanitarian and environmental impact. The confirmed 24 fatalities at the Ryazan gunpowder plant explosion underscore the significant environmental damage from the UA deep strike. The significant fire at the SOCAR oil depot in Odesa will cause localized air pollution and potential water contamination. The reported fire in Olkhivski Dachi near Stanitsia Luhanska from burning fields indicates immediate environmental impact and civilian displacement. The reported heat helping RF forces evade UA thermal imagers on the Zaporizhzhia front indicates a localized environmental factor exploited by the enemy. The severe fire in Kamyshnoye and Gerasimovka (LPR) causing power outages indicates continued environmental impact and disruption of civilian services due to conflict. The video from МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники showing severe combat injuries highlights the direct human and environmental impact of combat. Further reports of fire and smoke in a forest area in Russia-occupied Ukraine suggest continued environmental damage. The report of Poltava and its community are without electricity confirms immediate environmental/infrastructure impact. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno (UA source) photo message "Damn clouds" could indicate weather conditions affecting drone operations. A threat of ballistic weapons from the south in areas where air raid alerts have been declared. Ballistic missile arrival in Dobroslav. A high-speed target on Odesa Oblast, heading northwest. A large fire is confirmed in Volgograd, Russia, at a hospital on the territory of an oil refinery due to a UAV attack, indicating environmental impact on Russian territory from UA deep strikes. The governor confirmed that both the oil refinery and the hospital roof are on fire. RF source reports yellow aviation danger code for Klyuchevskoy Volcano in Kamchatka. This is a natural environmental event, unrelated to combat, but reported by a RF news agency. The Kremenchuk Oil Refinery has been struck by RF forces, resulting in a powerful fire, indicating significant environmental damage and disruption to fuel supply for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) provides a photo showing fire and smoke rising from a large industrial complex at night, captioned "Russians attacked Poltava Oblast overnight," indicating a strike on critical infrastructure, likely the Kremenchuk oil refinery, confirming ongoing environmental impact. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA sources) report a massive overnight attack on Poltava Oblast by the enemy, as stated by the OVA, causing power outages. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) ASTRA (UA source) reports Russia massively attacked Poltava Oblast, causing power problems, citing local authorities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) WarGonzo (RF source) photo messages confirming RF attacks on energy objects in Kremenchuk, showing significant smoke, further confirm environmental impact. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) РБК-Україна (UA source) photo message shows dense black smoke from Kremenchuk, directly confirming severe environmental impact. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Alex Parker Returns (RF source) video confirms burning Azerbaijani oil tanks in Kremenchuk with thick black smoke, indicating significant environmental damage. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) video shows a large urban conflagration with thick smoke rising over residential buildings in Kremenchuk/Lubny, explicitly stating hits on the gas transportation system and oil refinery, confirming severe environmental and infrastructure damage. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
Donetsk Oblast (Chasiv Yar/Ivanivske Axis): RF forces (elements of 98th VDV Division) maintain foothold in eastern Kanal microdistrict, conducting battalion-sized mechanized assaults. UA units executed tactical withdrawal to prepared defensive positions west of the initial line of contact. Clashes persist near Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, Oleksandra-Kalynove, and Pleschiyivka. UA 93rd Brigade conducting clearance operations in Hruzke and Vesele (Dobropillya area) with tank and robotic support. RF 85th OMCBR operating in Soledar direction. RF 36th OA forces (37th OMCBR, 336th Marine Brigade) pressing towards Maliyivka, Shevchenko, and Yanvarske. UA Azov Brigade actively repelling RF attacks in Katerynivka, Toretsk direction. RF striking Myrnohrad and Ivanpillia with FAB bombs. RF MoD video confirms aerial strikes on urban areas in Donetsk People's Republic. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows a drone strike on an RF motorcyclist in Kurakhove direction. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims the assault on Konstantinovka has begun. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (UA source) video indicates UA targeting of RF ground elements with precision strikes. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Regiment "SKALA" successfully conducted an offensive operation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) video showing captured Russian soldiers providing testimony confirms UA success. An Iskander-M strike on Sloviansk has been reported. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts photo message claiming RF forces are advancing on Konstantinovka direction. Народная милиция ДНР (RF source) video confirms Grad MLRS fire and subsequent strikes from RF forces. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts map of the Druzhkivka/Konstantinovka directions. Підрозділ Shadow (UA source) video shows successful drone strike on RF positions, including thermal imaging confirmation. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows damaged building and explosion, indicating ongoing military engagement. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video confirming ongoing intense fighting and holding of key heights in Dobropillya direction. The video confirms active combat operations with drone footage showing targeted vehicles. Colonelcassad has released new video showing "Adsky Krik" drone operators from the 114th Motorized Rifle Regiment, 5th Army, "Vostok" Group of Forces, destroying enemy armored vehicles, manpower, and drones in the South-Donetsk direction. TASS reports that RF MoD claims Southern Grouping fighters destroyed a platoon of "Kholodnyi Yar" militants. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Latest RF reporting indicates renewed strikes on Sloviansk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) TASS reports a robotic platform of the AFU was destroyed near Konstantinovka, DNR, indicating RF continues to target UA automated systems. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovskoe Direction): RF claims "big breakthrough" and liberation of Iskra. RF advanced up to 1.5km towards Sokil from Ocheretyne. UA forces cleared Hruzke, Rubizhne, Novovodyane, Petrivka, Vesele, and Zolotyi Kolodyaz (1st Azov Corps). UA forces repelled enemy near Rubizhne, Zolotyi Kolodyaz, Vesele, Vilne, Shakhove, Nykanorivka, and Sukhetske. UA Commander Syrskyi reports successful UA advances in Dobropillya and Pokrovsk directions. TASS reports RF 'Vostok' grouping advanced into Ivankiv, Poltavka, and Zeleny Gay. TASS reports Ukrainian National Guard relocating units from Kharkiv to Pokrovsk direction. RF Tsentr Group flamethrower units reportedly active near Krasnoarmeysk. RF artillery reconnaissance seeking "night bird" drones. RF claiming positions between Dobropillya and Kucherov Yar. Intense fighting reported for Udachne and Pervoye Maya. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition (RF source) appeals for donations for "motorized rifle units and special forces" that are "actively advancing." A large map of Ukraine was observed in the Oval Office during the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting. Rybar (RF source) posts a tactical map for the Pokrovsk-Mirnograd direction as of 18 AUG 25. Операция Z (RF source) video shows "Otvazhnye" burning a UA stronghold near Pokrovsk using "Tosochka" (TOS-1A). (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Rybar (RF source) video provides tactical analysis of "pocket" near Alekseevka and fighting for Udachnoe, indicating active combat and RF analytical focus on these areas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk Direction): UA reports capture of an RF prisoner from 150th Division by Azov units, and significant RF losses in Azov's areas. Mandatory evacuation of families with children in Druzhkivka suggests anticipated RF advances or increased threat. Closure of Ukrposhta branches in Konstantinovka from August 19 further indicates increasing threat to this logistics hub. Clashes reported near Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, Oleksandra-Kalynove, and Pleschiyivka. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Pleschiyivka, Stepanivka, Yablunivka and Rusyn Yar in the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO (UA source) reports that Phoenix UAS tactical group is "cutting Russian logistics" in the Konstantinovka direction. Zvиздец Мангусту (RF source) claims RF 4th OMCBR continues to attack towards Delievka – Aleksandro-Shulgino and attempts to break through and consolidate in Belaya Gora. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Toretsk, Scherbynivka and towards Oleksandro-Shultyne, Pleschiyivka, Rusyn Yar in thetsk direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Luhansk Oblast (Siversk Direction): RF forces report combat operations with drone-guided artillery and ATGM teams. RF MoD claims destruction of AFU stronghold in Krasny Liman direction. RF aims to advance 2 km to close a "fire bag" for AFU in Kremensky forests. Russian forces reportedly broke through Ukrainian defense lines in the Lyman district. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Hryhorivka, Serebryanka, Siversk, Vyyimka, Fedorivka, Pereyizne and towards Siversk in the Siversk direction. RF MoD claims "liberation" of Kolodezi in Donetsk People's Republic (Luhansk direction). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 63rd Brigade utilizing three FPV drones to neutralize a Russian tank threatening Ukrainian positions east of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast. RF MoD confirms liberation of Kolodezi and Voronoye. Colonelcassad reports on mobile fire groups operating in Belgorod Oblast and Luhansk People's Republic. TASS reports that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, including foreign mercenaries, suffered 4,500 personnel losses in the past week on the Luhansk People's Republic borders, with the Southern Group of Forces inflicting the most damage. TASS claims that Kyiv has struck Lisichansk, LPR, more than 10 times in the past week, resulting in civilian casualties. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map of the Luhansk direction as of 18 AUG 25. Сливочный каприз (RF source) posts a summary of combat operations between August 14-17, 2025, which likely includes the Luhansk direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Hryhorivka, Fedorivka and Vyyimka in the Siversk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) has provided a photo message of a tactical map for the Siversk direction. Mash na Donbasse reports over 1,000 residents of Kamyshnoye and Gerasimovka without power due to a severe fire in LPR. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopolshchyna): Sustained RF artillery and FPV drone attacks on Nikopol and surrounding communities. RF claims control of all settlements at the junction of DNR and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after liberation of Iskra. Extensive damage to civilian infrastructure in Nikopol confirmed. Ballistic missile strike on outskirts of Dnipro confirmed with damage to civilian property. Overnight drone attack on Pokrovska community, Synelnykivskyi district, caused fires at agricultural enterprises. RF MoD claims "liberation" of Voronoye in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetrovsk Regional State Administration) reports continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopolshchyna. A ballistic missile threat on Synelnykove and a high-speed target from the east on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Explosions were heard in Pavlohrad. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports destruction of a UA T-72 tank by an FPV drone in Ivanivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected near Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a drone (UAV) threat to Pavlohrad. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "powerful explosions" in Pavlohrad. TASS (RF source) claims UA forces in Iskra, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, killed an elderly female civilian. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropropetrovsk Regional State Administration) reports that RF struck Pavlohrad with a missile overnight, causing a fire. Воин DV (RF source) video footage from an aerial platform with thermal imaging, focused on a wooded area on the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and DNR, targeting what appears to be personnel or equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims RF forces struck Pavlohrad Repair and Mechanical Plant and Technical Equipment Plant. MoD Russia (RF source) video of servicemen from the Vostok Group of Forces describing the liberation of Iskra in Donetsk People's Republic. Mash на Донбассе (RF source) posts a UA UAV attacked a gas station in Yenakiieve, DNR. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports that UA forces inflicted a successful strike on a gas station in Yenakiieve. Colonelcassad (RF source) reports a substation hit by a "Geran" drone in Mezhove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts video of a burning power substation in Mezhove, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetrovsk Regional State Administration) reports continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol, Marhanets, and Pokrovske communities throughout the day. Photos show damaged civilian buildings. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports Regiment "SKALA" conducted a successful offensive operation on the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of strike UAVs in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading towards Pavlohrad. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 1 "moped" (Shahed) heading towards Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UA Air Defense reports 7 enemy UAVs shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) ASTRA (UA source) reports one person injured after Russian attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkivskyi District): UA Air Force alerts for high-speed targets and KAB launches. RF claims improved position near Krasny Perviy, controlling ~6 km of road to Dvorechnaya. A substantial increase (estimated 40%) in Russian EW emissions has been detected in the Kharkiv sector, primarily targeting Ukrainian reconnaissance UAVs and degrading ISR capabilities. Continued RF reconnaissance UAVs in northern and eastern Kharkiv Oblast. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Kamyanka, Khatnye and Fyholivka in the South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv) direction. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were hit by enemy strikes in the past day. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "loud explosions" in Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports 11 casualties in Kharkiv from recent RF attack. Олег Синєгубов, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, reports 3 additional casualties, bringing total to 11. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates the 11 casualties. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration (UA source), provided multiple photo messages showing damaged civilian residential buildings. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "continuing to pound Kharkiv" with "powerful explosions." РБК-Україна reports an explosion heard in Kharkiv. Mayor Igor Terekhov confirms "Shahed" hits in Industrialnyi district. Oleg Syniehubov confirms two casualties (25-year-old male, 79-year-old female) from drone strike. Subsequent reports from Oleg Syniehubov indicate 10-year-old boy, 19-year-old girl, 46-year-old male, and 47-year-old female hospitalized. Mayor Igor Terekhov reports one fatality and five injured. Kharkiv now reports four fatalities (up from three), including a one-year-old child and a 55-year-old woman, and 17 injured (including 6 children). Oleg Syniehubov (Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration) reports 5 people are currently missing. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and РБК-УкраїНА (UA source) have released additional video footage showing the ongoing search and rescue operation. ASTRA (UA source) has released photos and a drone video showing the extensive destruction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports on the drone attack on a residential high-rise. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА reports a 16-year-old boy became the fourth victim. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports five fatalities. STERNENKO (UA source) corroborates five fatalities. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates five fatalities. Север.Реалии (UA source) reports at least four fatalities. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) reports enemy strikes on Kharkiv and 10 settlements. Офіс Генерального прокурора (UA source) reports five fatalities and at least 30 injured. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 20. ASTRA (UA source) also reports 30 injured. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) posts video and photo messages of the aftermath. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) declares August 18 a day of mourning. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 20. ASTRA (UA source) reports the number of fatalities has increased to 6. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) confirms 6 fatalities. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts an informational message. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the number of fatalities has risen to 7. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates 7 fatalities. Oleg Syniehubov, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) also confirms 7 fatalities. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts video of border guards liquidating 5 enemy targets. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) and Рыбарь (RF source) both post video of a military convoy with RF and US flags. ASTRA (UA source) posts video of a Russian attack on Kharkiv from the city's mayor. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video of Kharkiv mayor showing morning Shahed strikes. РБК-УкраїНА (UA source) posts video of Kharkiv mayor showing the moment of a Russian strike. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts video of Kharkiv, claiming "Tests continue. Be good!". ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video showing the moment of an RF strike on a residential building. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video showing medics attempting to resuscitate a small child. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, reports an additional three people sought medical attention, bringing total to 23. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts multiple photo messages indicating effective UA drone reconnaissance by the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade. Oleg Syniehubov (Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration) has provided a photo message warning of fire danger. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on northern Kharkiv Oblast. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 24 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were hit by enemy strikes last week. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video footage of a series of impacts in Kharkiv. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports that "Khartia" drones successfully located and struck an RF camp in Kharkiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts three photo messages depicting a battle map of the Kharkiv direction. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (UA source) posts a photo message celebrating Ukrainian leadership. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) video showing civilian structures being transported by trucks at night. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) posts a video of a formal gathering of international dignitaries, including Zelenskyy and Trump. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows drone operators of the 3rd Assault Brigade dropping munitions on RF in Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Kharkiv Oblast is under bomb strike and threat of strike UAVs. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports RF KAB strikes on Ruska Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) video shows 3rd Assault Brigade drone operators striking RF positions in Kharkiv Oblast while peace talks are ongoing. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Kharkiv Oblast under bomb strike and UAV threat. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Kharkiv Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. A high-speed target is moving through Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, likely a cruise missile. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Another high-speed target reported in Kharkiv Oblast, same course. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) UA sources report 4 missiles from Kharkiv Oblast now over Poltava Oblast, heading towards Kremenchuk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) photo message details total RF losses, indicating continued UA monitoring of attrition. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 16 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast sustained enemy strikes yesterday. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Chernihiv Oblast: UA Air Force alerts for enemy reconnaissance UAVs, high-speed targets, and threat of strike UAVs. "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes on a forward Ukrainian command post in Birino area confirmed. Ballistic missile impact in Honcharivske reported. RF claims destruction of a foreign mercenary legion's base. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Krasnyy Khutir of Chernihiv region. Colonelcassad reports Kinzhal strike near Desna and Geran/Gerbera strikes near Semenivka (Chernihiv Oblast). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV threat to Brovary and Boryspil districts in Kyiv Oblast and a UAV threat to Kyiv. Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy UAVs on northern Chernihiv Oblast and in the Pryluky area. НгП раZVедка (RF source) claims "Geran" drones are "drilling" Chernihiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports enemy UAVs attacked Kyiv Oblast overnight, damaging a hangar in Boryspil district. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Chernihiv Oblast. MoD Russia (RF source) video claiming Geran-2 UAVs hit AFU special forces units of GUR near Zhadovo, Chernihiv region. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (UA source) reports UAVs in central Chernihiv Oblast near Pryluky. Операция Z (RF source) posts video claiming Geran strikes hit GUR special forces in Chernihiv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV on northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. UA Air Force reports a UAV threat in Chernihiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) claims RF forces struck a training center in Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of strike UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for Chernihiv Oblast has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Latest UA Air Force reports an enemy UAV on Chernihiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Kherson Oblast (Left Bank Dnieper): UA reports destruction of an RF ammunition depot and four vehicles on the left bank. RF claims Lancet strike destroyed US M-777 howitzer and Ukrainian Bogdana SPG on right bank. Ukrainian Navy radio intercepts confirm loss of Russian Su-30SM fighter jet southeast of Snake Island. UA forces repelled 4-6 Russian army assaults. UA source claims reconnaissance units entered "Novaya Kakhovka" on the Kherson direction and are shelling enemy defenses. Southern Ukraine Defense Forces report continued strikes on enemy deployment areas, fire positions, and rear areas in the southern operational zone. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports strikes on Khadzhibeevka and Usatove (Odesa region), specifically targeting "marine BECs" and a 330kv power substation. TASS (RF source) claims that the "Kyiv-appointed" administration of Kherson has long since left the city and is operating remotely from Mykolaiv. TASS reports that the AFU lost a Starlink satellite communication station and 17 UAV control points in the zone of responsibility of the 'Vostok' grouping in the past 24 hours. Два майора (RF source) posts thermal imaging footage claiming to show activity in Kherson at night. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) provides operational information for the Southern Defense Forces. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map for the Kherson direction as of 18 AUG 25. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian army assaults in the Kherson direction. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video of explosions and vehicle activity in the Kherson direction. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows artillerymen of the 49th Army hitting fortifications on the right bank of the Dnieper River in Kherson region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Odesa Oblast: STERNENKO reports groups of strike UAVs in the north and near Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports an alert from Odesa Oblast Military Administration calling residents to shelters due to strike UAVs. STERNENKO reports Odesa is under a massive "Shahed" drone attack, with explosions heard. Николаевский Ванёк reports reduction in drone numbers near Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued drone threats in Velyka Balka-Nerubaiske and Radisne-Velykyi Dalnyk (Odesa Oblast). ASTRA reports a large fire in Odesa after a massive Shahed strike. Операция Z (RF source) posts multiple photo and video messages reporting "powerful strikes on enemy objects in Odesa, fires in the city." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports that RF drones struck a Nova Poshta terminal in Odesa. Дневник Десантника (RF source) claims that their strike UAVs hit "several objects" in Odesa overnight. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна (UA source) confirm an RF drone strike on a fuel and energy infrastructure object and a two-story building in the suburbs of Odesa. ASTRA reports a fire on a fuel and energy infrastructure object in Odesa Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) reports Odesa was attacked by Shaheds all night. Военкор Котенок (RF source) posts video of the aftermath of strikes on an alleged SOCAR oil depot in Odesa Oblast. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims Geran drones destroyed a "giant fuel terminal" of SOCAR. Сили оборони Півдня України (UA source) reports 24 Shahed UAVs destroyed by Southern Defense Forces. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a map/graphic titled "Chronicle of strikes on the territory of Ukraine August 17 - August 18, 2025," which likely includes Odesa. Colonelcassad also posts video of an explosion with "kurs_odessa" watermark. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video claiming a massive Shahed attack on SOCAR oil depot in Odesa Oblast. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) claims "Azerbaijani fuel tanks extinguished." Colonelcassad (RF source) comments that overnight strikes in Odesa targeted Nova Poshta objects and SOCAR. Два майора (RF source) posts video of significant damage to industrial or storage tanks in Odesa. Colonelcassad (RF source) also posts video showing the aftermath of attacks on SOCAR in Odesa. Операция Z (RF source) provides photos of a large fire, likely in Odesa. STERNENKO (UA source) video shows a significant fire at the SOCAR oil depot. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts photos showing a large fire at the SOCAR oil depot in Odesa. Kotsnews (RF source) posts videos confirming significant damage and fires. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) also posts video of the aftermath of the SOCAR oil depot strike. Два майора (RF source) has posted a photo message regarding Romania's desire to expand joint Black Sea patrolling with Bulgaria and Turkey. Colonelcassad (RF source) provides a summary of strikes. WarGonzo (RF source) posted videos showing the aftermath of the SOCAR strike in Odesa. STERNENKO video shows aerial footage likely from a drone, observing an area with what appear to be defensive positions or fortifications. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha reacting to the RF strike on the SOCAR oil depot. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports ballistic missile arrival in Dobroslav. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target on Odesa Oblast, heading northwest. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RF claims destruction of AFU ammunition depot. 578 RF strikes on 14 settlements over past day. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast. A 64-year-old man was wounded in a hostile attack on Polohivskyi district. General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports clashes yesterday near Tolstoy, Komyshuvakha, Zelene Pole, Maliyivka, Myrne, Zaporizhzhke, Olhivske in the Novopavlivka direction. Colonelcassad reports VKC and missile forces conducted strikes on targets in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація reports air raid alert over. An air raid alert has been declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and has since been lifted. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) has re-declared an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapons use. UA Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia district. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports the air raid alert has been lifted. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) has re-declared an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a ballistic missile threat. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports ballistic missile activity towards Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target towards Zaporizhzhia. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports an explosion in Zaporizhzhia. STERNENKO (UA source) reports Zaporizhzhia is under ballistic missile attack. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports a second ballistic missile. Николаевский Ванёк (UA source) reports a third explosion. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports repeated explosions. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports RF is attempting to strike critical infrastructure. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) corroborates RF attempts to strike critical infrastructure. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) confirms RF strikes on Zaporizhzhia, with two impacts and an increase in injured persons to four. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates two strikes. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the ballistic missile threat has been lifted. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports four injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also reports four injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports that 6 people, two in serious condition, have been hospitalized. ASTRA (UA source) also reports 6 injured. РБК-Україна (UA source) corroborates increasing casualties. РБК-Україна (UA source) posts photos from the State Emergency Service. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 7 injured. ASTRA (UA source) reports 17 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) confirms 17 injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) also reports 17 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts photos showing damage. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) reports Syrskyi stating Russia is concentrating troops and planning a large-scale offensive. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts video showing firefighters and emergency personnel clearing debris. STERNENKO (UA source) posts video of significant damage. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Zelenyy Hay, Tolstoy, Oleksandrohrad, Voskresenka, Maliyivka, Vilne Pole and Temyrivka in the Novopavlivka direction. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports clashes yesterday near Novoandriyivka in the Orikhiv direction. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA) reports a man rescued from debris has died. РБК-Україна (UA) corroborates the death. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA) reports air raid alert lifted. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports 3 dead and 18 injured from the morning attack. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 23 people, injured by the enemy attack, are receiving medical assistance. РБК-Україна (UA) corroborates 23 injured. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) corroborates 23 injured. ASTRA (UA source) corroborates 23 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) posts video showing the aftermath of the missile strike. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video appealing for donations for drones and Starlink. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) posts photos showing the 44th Separate Artillery Brigade "Bogdana" successfully destroying enemy equipment. ASTRA (UA source) reports on an RF M113 APC with RF and US flags operating in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Два майора (RF source) posted a video claimed to be a tank strike in the Lukyanovskoe area of Zaporizhzhia. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports an increase in the number of injured persons to 27. РБК-Україна (UA) reports the number of injured has risen to 24. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) states that the Commander-in-Chief's statement about enemy intent to break through the Zaporizhzhia front and advance deep into Ukrainian territory was not new to them. Два майора (RF source) posted a drone video from the Zaporizhzhia front. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports the number of injured in Zaporizhzhia increased to 30. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports 30 injured. ASTRA (UA source) reports 30 injured. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports Zaporizhzhia Oblast is a leader in drone procurement. ASTRA (UA source) reports up to 30 injured. Photos confirm significant damage to residential buildings. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) reports an air raid alert declared. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of ballistic weapons. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) reports the number of injured has increased to 33. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (UA source) declares an air raid alert. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (UA source) reports a threat of ballistic weapons use. Два майора (RF source) reports on current combat activity on the Zaporizhzhia front. The air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video appealing for donations. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video showing RF forces striking a UA tank in a wooded area near Lukyanovskoe, Zaporizhzhia direction. The video appears to be FPV drone footage, showing the drone's telemetry and a Russian watermark, indicating RF drone activity. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 3 dead and 33 injured in Zaporizhzhia from yesterday's enemy attack. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Kupyansk Axis: Previous reports indicated a decisive shift of RF main effort with the capture of Ivanivka. RF continues strikes on settlements. UA reports successful tank sorties and drone operations against RF personnel and equipment. Commander of "Achilles" Regiment Fedorenko (UA source) reports RF plans to occupy Kupyansk by August 24. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UA source) reports the first mechanized attack by RF on the left bank of Kupyansk in a long time. WarGonzo (RF source) provides a tactical map of the Kupyansk direction as of 18 AUG 25. STERNENKO (UA source) reports that 905 drones has been delivered to the Defense Forces in the last two days. Николаевский Ванёк reports a new "singing" RF prisoner was taken under Muravka, Donetsk Oblast, identified as Vladimir Sergeevich from the 35th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade. TASS reports the head of Kharkiv VGA Ganchev claims Russian forces are encircling Kupyansk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Sumy Oblast: РБК-Україна (UA source) reports Ukrainian forces actively destroying the enemy in Sumy Oblast, pushing back Russians near Oleksiivka and Yunakivka. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts video of a destroyed UA M577 command post vehicle in Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts video showing an RF truck with ammunition epically destroyed by a Ukrainian drone on the way to Sumy Oblast. TASS reports that RF forces have improved their tactical position near Yunakovka, Sumy Oblast. Операция Z (RF source) thermal imagery video claims successful destruction of UA armored vehicles by Spetsnaz "Anvar" and VDV units supporting an offensive on Sumy. РБК-Україна reports a 57-year-old woman injured by a KAB strike on Novoslobidska community, Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new UAVs on northern Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports a missile strike on Sumy. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) has posted photo messages confirming a missile strike on an educational institution. НгП раZVедка (RF source) posts a mocking caption suggesting RF strikes or activity in Shostka. RF reconnaissance UAVs are operating near Putyvl. НгП раZVедка (RF source) reports "loud explosions" in Sumy. РБК-Україна (UA source) reports a series of explosions. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 new RF UAVs detected east of Bilopillya. KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation continue. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports continued RF attacks on Sumy. Colonelcassad shares video footage from the 68th Motorized Rifle Division, 6th Army, Western Military District. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy strike UAVs. UA Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs. TASS (RF source) claims that Ukrainian Armed Forces command in Sumy Oblast has committed all resources to outflank RF forces in Yunakivka. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA source) posts video showing two individuals in a wooded area with abandoned cars and a quad bike, claiming it depicts RF forces marauding in border villages of Kursk Oblast. Kotsnews (RF source) posts video with caption "Syrsky: Kursk - best result among all major operations," which is an RF information operation. MoD Russia (RF source) video claiming a BM-21 Grad MLRS crew eliminated a manpower cluster. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) posts video of a Lancet loitering munition preparation and strike. Liveuamap Source (UA) reports Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian army assaults in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction. Оперативний ЗСУ (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. РБК-Україна (UA) posts photos of the ruined Sumy State University. Alex Parker Returns (RF) claims the Sumy State University was hit by a "Flamingo missile." Два майора (RF source) posts video showing an RF FPV drone strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy strike UAV on northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. RF activity on the Sumy direction, with an aerial view of an exploding vehicle. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UA source) asserts that RF forces have been defeated in Sumy Oblast. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (UA source) posts a video of drone-guided artillery or air strikes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) amplifies Syrsky's (misquoted) statements. ОТУ "Харків" (UA source) posts a photo message showing activity on the Eastern Direction. Alex Parker Returns (RF source) reports a severe injury to an RF General in Kursk Oblast from a HIMARS strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KABs on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad (RF source) posts a video from local residents showing a visual confirmation of RF "Geran" (Shahed) drone strikes on Sumy State University. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAV threat. TASS (RF source) reports RF military expert Yan Gagin claiming AFU unsuccessfully counterattack. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows Uragan MLRS crews eliminating AFU armored vehicles. MoD Russia (RF source) video shows T-80BVM tanks of the Sever Group of Forces eliminating AFU hardware. RF has again attacked civilian infrastructure in Sumy. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast moving south. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of enemy UAVs on the north, east, and south of Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava Oblast. An explosion was heard in Sumy. Groups of enemy strike UAVs in the northern part of Sumy Oblast, primarily heading towards Kremenchuk. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України (UA source) video indicates UA forces are expanding their buffer zone in the Sumy region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RF source) video shows two individuals in a wooded area, likely RF personnel, but content is general and not highly specific to Sumy operations. (LOW CONFIDENCE)
Strategic Air Activity: Takeoff of 2x Tu-95MS strategic bombers, indicating potential for new missile launches. These have completed pre-launch maneuvers near Engels, indicating imminent missile launches. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports new pre-launch maneuvers by 2x Tu-95MS aircraft in Volgograd Governorate. As of 190159Z AUG 25, no missiles from Tu-95MS aircraft have been observed by UA sources. UA Air Force has confirmed cruise missiles heading for Kremenchuk. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 missiles are approaching Kremenchuk. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports "minus" on the missiles for Kremenchuk, indicating successful interception or re-routing. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RF source) posts a video of a truck-mounted MLRS firing multiple salvos, followed by drone footage of impacts, confirming active RF artillery and drone support for ground operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Fighterbomber (RF source) posts an image with "Good morning, country!", which is a typical RF morning aviation photo message, likely indicating ongoing air operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
UAV Movement: Multiple groups of RF strike UAVs reported across northeastern Ukraine (Sumy, Poltava, Kharkiv, northern Dnipropetrovsk, northern Zaporizhzhia), predominantly heading towards Kremenchuk. A separate UAV group is heading towards Brovary in Kyiv Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports approximately 17 "mopeds" heading towards/through Kremenchuk, confirming the third wave, with 5 remaining drones. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 1 "moped" (Shahed) heading towards Dnipro. A UAV is also reported heading to Zaporizhzhia from the north. This suggests a coordinated large-scale drone attack targeting central Ukraine, possibly energy or logistics infrastructure. TASS reports air defense forces are repelling a massive UAV attack on Volgograd Oblast. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that enemy strike UAVs are still being detected in Ukraine's airspace. The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the threat for all regions has been lifted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RF MoD reports 23 UAVs shot down overnight. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Diplomatic Control Measures: Negotiations between Trump, Zelenskyy, and European leaders are ongoing in the White House. RF sources confirm Trump's phone call with Putin and the initiation of preparation for a tripartite meeting (US-RF-UA) to discuss the conflict. Trump has publicly outlined his conditions for peace, including no NATO membership for Ukraine, the concept of selling rather than giving weapons, and discussing territory exchange based on current front lines. Zelenskyy has reaffirmed Ukraine's stance against territorial concessions and for peace based on a strong security system. Zelenskyy has also stated he wants to meet Putin without preconditions to discuss territorial issues bilaterally. NATO Secretary General Rutte stated that a virtual meeting of the "coalition of the willing" will take place on August 19. Rutte also confirmed that US arms supplies to Ukraine will continue through NATO countries, and that the question of Ukrainian territorial concessions was not discussed at the White House meeting. Macron confirmed discussions on strengthening sanctions against Russia if the conflict does not end. Macron stated that territory exchange was not discussed. Rutte clarified that deployment of foreign troops in Ukraine was not discussed. Rutte remains unclear on the seriousness of Trump administration's security guarantee promises. Zelenskiy / Official released a video summary of the Washington negotiations, highlighting discussions with President Trump, battlefield situation, and steps towards peace, and multi-format meetings with European leaders and the US President. TASS reports that European advisors will work with the US on security guarantees for Ukraine. TASS reports Macron views US willingness to participate in Ukraine's security as progress. ASTRA (UA source) reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated: "Every Ukrainian child abducted by Russia must be returned to their families." TASS (RF source) reports that the Ukrainian crisis has become an expensive lesson for Europe, which has every reason to play a more active role in achieving peace, citing the Global Times. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). РБК-Україна (UA source) reports that US State Secretary Marco Rubio discussed a new mechanism for providing American weapons to Ukraine, indicating ongoing commitment to military aid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UA source) posts a video of NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stating that President Trump was instrumental in breaking the deadlock with Putin, highlighting Trump's unique role in diplomacy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) TASS (RF source) reports that a Chinese expert believes the Putin-Trump meeting in Alaska created conditions for Ukraine negotiations, aiming to frame RF as proactive in seeking peace. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RF Propaganda) РБК-Україна (UA source) reports US State Secretary Rubio stating that non-European countries will also participate in developing security guarantees for Ukraine, indicating a broader international commitment to Ukraine's security beyond just Europe. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) ASTRA (UA source) posts a video of French President Emmanuel Macron stating that Russia cannot be trusted without security guarantees due to past actions (Georgia 2008, Crimea 2014), emphasizing the importance of robust security commitments. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) РБК-Україна (UA source) posts a photo message of Zelenskyy thanking Melania Trump for her attention to the issue of Ukrainian children abducted by Russia, highlighting a humanitarian aspect of the diplomatic engagement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Два майора (RF source) posts a video from British Sky News discussing Crimea's historical ties to Russia, signaling an RF information operation aimed at shaping the narrative around Crimea's status. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RF Propaganda) Prime Minister of Japan Shigeru Ishiba states for the first time that innocent people are dying due to the conflict in Ukraine and Russia, commenting on the Trump-Zelenskyy-European leaders negotiations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) TASS reports that the talks between Trump, European leaders, and Zelenskyy showed the world order is changing, citing The Globe and Mail, which is part of RF's information operation to portray a shifting global power balance favorable to them. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) РБК-Україна (UA source) reports NATO Secretary General Rutte stated that 30 countries have been developing security guarantees for Ukraine for several months, indicating ongoing, broad international support despite public statements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
New UAV Activity: Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 new "mopeds" (Shahed drones) heading towards/through Belozerske/Dobropillya. This indicates continued, geographically dispersed UAV activity targeting civilian areas or reconnaissance. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
White House Video Release: The White House has released video footage of Zelenskyy and European leaders arriving in Washington, emphasizing the diplomatic nature of the visit. RBC-Ukraine has released a photo from the White House showing Trump on a phone call with Putin, confirming the direct communication channel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Операция Z (RF source) posts a White House photo of Trump's phone call with Putin, confirming the direct communication channel and leveraging it for RF narrative control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Yerbak Photo Release: Andriy Yermak has posted a photo from the Washington meeting, indicating high-level Ukrainian participation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
General Air Threat Lifted: The Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has reported that the threat for all regions has been lifted as of 190257Z AUG 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
UA Leadership Video Update: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has posted a video message from President Zelenskyy summarizing the Washington negotiations. Zelenskyy mentions discussing many issues with President Trump, including the battlefield situation and steps towards peace. He also notes several meetings in formats with European leaders and the US President. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Ryazan Gunpowder Plant Fatalities: TASS and ASTRA (UA source) report the number of fatalities at the "Elastic" gunpowder workshop in Ryazan Oblast has increased to 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Zelenskyy on Bilateral/Trilateral Meetings: Operatyvnyi ZSU reports Zelenskyy stated that Russia initially proposed a bilateral Ukraine-RF meeting, followed by a trilateral one. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
US State Secretary Rubio on Security Guarantees: RBC-Ukraine reports US State Secretary Marco Rubio stated that after the war, Ukraine will be able to conclude security agreements with various countries. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
RF Housing Benefits: TASS reports that the Russian government supported expanding housing benefits for military personnel with children with disabilities, indicating a domestic policy aimed at supporting military families. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
RF MoD Daily Figure: Минобороны России (RF source) has released its daily figure graphic, providing updated statistics on perceived Ukrainian losses, serving as a propaganda tool. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Kryvyi Rih Situation: Олександр Вілкул (UA source) reports the situation in Kryvyi Rih is controlled as of morning 19 AUG 25. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
Colonelcassad (RF) Photo Messages: Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages under the caption "Moments of the SVO. Frontline daily life," depicting RF personnel, equipment, and combat situations. This provides visual confirmation of ongoing RF operations and forces, serving as morale-boosting content for the RF audience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
TASS on Vaping Ban: TASS reports on a proposal to ban vaping in Russia, which is a domestic social policy issue, unrelated to the conflict, but indicates internal governance and attempts to project normalcy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
RBC Ukraine News Graphic: РБК-Україна (UA source) presents a general news graphic summarizing overnight events. (LOW CONFIDENCE - No military content.)
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations
2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status
2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points
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