Archived operational intelligence briefing
TIME: 140600Z AUG 25
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
Donetsk Oblast (Chasiv Yar/Ivanivske Axis): RF forces, specifically elements of the 98th Guards Airborne Division (VDV), continue to concentrate in forward assembly areas between Bakhmut and Ivanivske, indicative of imminent large-scale assault preparations. RF has secured a foothold in eastern Ivanivske, likely to fix UA forces and secure a southern flank for the main Chasiv Yar assault. Probing attacks towards eastern Chasiv Yar micro-district are ongoing. Air Force of Ukraine reports multiple Guided Aerial Bomb (KAB) launches by enemy tactical aviation targeting Donetsk Oblast. A "breakthrough" near Dobropillya by "young and prepared occupants" (93rd OMBR Chief Sergeant Vitaliy Pyasetsky) suggests new RF tactical gains or probing activity in a key rear area location previously not under direct threat. MoD Russia reports 122-mm 2S1 Gvozdika gun inflicted fire damage on enemy positions in Konstantinovka direction. Colonelcassad reports the Head of Donetsk OVA calling for evacuation from 14 settlements due to a Russian army "breakthrough" near Pokrovsk. This is a significant, unconfirmed RF claim. WarGonzo amplifies this narrative, claiming the situation under Pokrovsk for AFU is "a complete catastrophe." ASTRA reports on sewage flooding in Makeyevka, Donetsk Oblast, indicating civilian infrastructure degradation in occupied areas. Colonelcassad reports ISW (Institute for the Study of War) statement: Russian army set a yearly record for occupied territory per day. Air Force of Ukraine reports a group of enemy UAVs on the west of Donetsk Oblast, moving north-west. Colonelcassad reports a destroyed enemy BMP-1 in Kharkiv Oblast, with video from enemy perspective, implying successful RF engagement. TASS (00:35Z) indicates that after "liberating Chasov Yar," fighting has moved into the adjacent forest, where Russian forces are destroying "pedestrian groups" and "UAV control points." This implies a claimed RF advance beyond Chasiv Yar. TASS (03:35Z) reports Apty Alaudinov stating a "big breakthrough" on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, with significant RF advances. TASS (04:00Z) reports RF forces have pushed UA forces from positions near Sredneye in DNR and have begun clearing the village, confirming localized RF tactical gains. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Donetsk Oblast. Rybar (05:01Z) provides a video message titled "Liberation of Varachino and battles for Kondratovka," indicating continued RF offensive actions and claimed territorial gains. New information from ASTRA (05:48Z) reports photo damage to a 16-story residential building in Volgograd after drone attacks on August 13. This indicates the impact of UA deep strikes, though the previous Volgograd Oil Refinery strike is more militarily significant. The General Staff of AFU (05:59Z) provides photo messages, including a summary of enemy losses (24 UAVs shot down, 2 S-300/400 missiles used, 0 intercepted). This update confirms ongoing RF aerial attacks and UA's air defense response. Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) and RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) corroborate the RF aerial attack details, including the use of 2 S-300/400 missiles and 45 drones, with 24 drones shot down. This indicates significant RF aerial activity. Basurin o Glavnom (06:01Z) provides video of destroyed buildings and a damaged church, with text overlays about HIMARS strikes on a monastery. This is RF propaganda attempting to frame UA as targeting religious sites. Tsaplienko (06:02Z) reports a burning car in Belgorod, allegedly due to local air defense, which is consistent with the ongoing drone attacks there. ASTRA (06:03Z) corroborates the 45 drone and 2 S-300/400 missile attacks by Russia overnight. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for force concentration, tactical maneuvers, Ivanivske foothold, KAB launches, and Dobropillya breakthrough occurrence; MEDIUM for Dobropillya specific details and specific ISW report; LOW for Pokrovsk breakthrough itself, HIGH for RF information operation intent; HIGH for Makeyevka flooding; HIGH for RF reporting on ISW; HIGH for UAVs; HIGH for BMP-1 reporting, MEDIUM for location/context; MEDIUM for Chasiv Yar "liberation," HIGH for reported current combat zone; HIGH for TASS/Alaudinov Krasnoarmeysk claim; HIGH for TASS Sredneye report; HIGH for WarGonzo summary; HIGH for Rybar video, MEDIUM for veracity of claimed gains; HIGH for ASTRA Volgograd photo; HIGH for General Staff of AFU report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU report; HIGH for RBK-Ukraine report; HIGH for Basurin o Glavnom video; HIGH for Tsaplienko Belgorod video; HIGH for ASTRA (06:03Z) report).
Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovskoe Direction): UA source STERNENKO reports a critical "lack of infantry" ("піхоти нема") in the Pokrovsk direction, implying potential personnel shortages or issues with force deployment/morale, despite earlier RF claims of encirclement attempts. This directly contradicts RF information operations. UA source Tsaplienko reports video of a drone entering a fortified position on the Pokrovskoe direction, finding and liquidating an occupant, demonstrating continued UA FPV effectiveness despite camouflage. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports civilian assistance in Pokrovsk for identifying saboteurs, indicating ongoing internal security efforts in the area. RF source Voenkor Kotenok provides photos of Pokrovskoe/Krasnoarmeyskoye/Druzhkovskoye direction. Два майора provides photos from North of Pokrovsk claiming "no AFU fortifications?" implying RF forces are advancing into areas thought to be fortified, or engaging in information operations to undermine confidence in UA defenses. Rybar's map on the Pokrovsko-Mirnogradskoye direction confirms RF claims of increased activity and aims to display territorial control. Tsaplienko reports video of an elderly couple in Pokrovsk directing a Ukrainian drone to masked occupants who had infiltrated the city. This indicates active civilian cooperation with UA forces against RF infiltration tactics. TASS (03:35Z) reports Apty Alaudinov stating a "big breakthrough" on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, with significant RF advances. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Pokrovsk. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA source report; MEDIUM for implication of UA infantry shortage in specific area; HIGH for FPV effectiveness; HIGH for civilian assistance; MEDIUM for RF photo implications; HIGH for RF reporting on map, MEDIUM for ground truth depicted; HIGH for TASS/Alaudinov Krasnoarmeysk claim; HIGH for WarGonzo summary).
Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk Direction): UA source Mykolaivskyi Vaniok reports the capture of a new RF prisoner from the 150th Division by Azov units in the Toretsk direction. The prisoner's statement indicates difficult and dangerous conditions for RF personnel. RBK-Ukraine reports significant Russian losses in the areas of responsibility of the 1st Corps of the National Guard of Ukraine "Azov" in the Operational-Tactical Group "Donetsk". WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Toretsk. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for capture; MEDIUM for broader conditions; HIGH for RF losses; HIGH for WarGonzo summary).
Deep Rear (Sumi Oblast/Tatarstan/Belgorod/Kyiv Oblast/Chernihiv Oblast/Dnipropetrovsk Oblast/Zaporizhzhia Oblast/Volgograd): UA source Alex Parker Returns reports detention of four individuals in Tatarstan attempting to impersonate RF servicemen with "imitations" of Orlan-10 drones, suggesting either UA deep-strike reconnaissance attempts (possibly failed) or internal RF counter-intelligence targeting suspected drone activity. STERNENKO provides video evidence, stating "Russian police thought they were Ukrainian saboteurs." ASTRA also reports that police in Tatarstan detained men launching drones from a car after recent UAV attacks, confirming they were Russian cadets. Concurrently, RF sources (Kotsnews, Poddubny, Старше Эдды) report ongoing drone attacks on Belgorod, with dozens of targets engaged since 0800Z, confirming persistent UA long-range strike capabilities against RF border regions. Poddubny reports several dozen strike and reconnaissance drones were destroyed over Belgorod, resulting in civilian casualties but no fatalities, confirming the intensity and defensive success. Старше Эдды confirms "dozens of strike and reconnaissance drones" were destroyed over Belgorod Oblast, with "consequences on the ground" and "civilians injured, but no fatalities," indicating a significant and impactful UA drone attack and RF counter-UAS response. Operatsiya Z reports "Massive enemy attacks on Belgorod Oblast - civilians killed and wounded." This indicates a confirmed worsening of the situation for civilians in Belgorod, with casualties now reported as killed, not just injured. The accompanying videos/photos from Operatsiya Z appear to show damage to civilian buildings, confirming the impact of these strikes. Два майора (03:48Z) reports the Belgorod Oblast governor stating the government building was attacked, confirming a high-value civilian target was hit. ASTRA (03:48Z) provides video of Belgorod Governor Gladkov confirming the attack on the government building, with visible damage (broken masonry, debris), adding a human element. Поддубный (03:54Z) confirms the attack on the Belgorod government building was carried out by a drone. TASS claims Ukrainian servicemen are disappearing by platoons and companies near Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast, indicating claimed RF success in suppressing UA activity or capturing personnel in border areas. Air Force of Ukraine reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued RF ISR efforts. Air Force of Ukraine issues a warning for Sumy and Sumy district, indicating drone threats. RBK-Ukraine confirms this warning for drones of "undetermined type". Air Force of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV in Sumy, warning it could be a spotter for enemy fire. RBK-Ukraine reports an explosion in Sumy. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues an alert for Sumy and Konotop districts regarding the threat of aviation weapons. This is immediately followed by Air Force of Ukraine reporting KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy region. Air Force of Ukraine reports high-speed targets in Chernihiv Oblast moving southwest, and a high-speed target on Sumy moving towards Chernihiv, then another high-speed target from Sumy towards Chernihiv, and then one towards Desna (Chernihiv Oblast). Kiev City Military Administration (KMVA) announces air raid alert for Kyiv due to ballistic missile threat from the north (Bryansk direction, confirmed by AFU). RBK-Ukraine also reports an air raid alert in Kyiv and regions due to ballistic threat. KMVA reports the air raid alert for Kyiv has been lifted. RBK-Ukraine also confirms the air raid alert for Kyiv has been lifted. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy UAV in southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, warning it could be a spotter for enemy fire. Air Force of Ukraine reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, with means involved in shooting them down. Warning that these UAVs could be spotters for enemy fire. Zaporizhzhia OVA issues an alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Zaporizhzhia OVA reports the air raid alert has been lifted. RBK-Ukraine reports the ballistic threat has been lifted. Air Force of Ukraine reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, with means involved for shooting them down. Warning these UAVs can be spotters for enemy fire. Air Force of Ukraine reports threat of strike UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. TASS reports restrictions on work at Gagarin Airport in Saratov. KMVA reports air raid alert for Kyiv due to ballistic missile threat. Air Force of Ukraine reports ballistic missile threat from Kursk in areas with air raid alerts. Air Force of Ukraine reports high-speed target in Sumy Oblast heading towards Khotin. Air Force of Ukraine reports a UAV on the north of Sumy Oblast, moving south-east. RBK-Ukraine reports updated drone movement information. Air Force of Ukraine reports threat of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast and Chernihiv Oblast. ASTRA (00:54Z) and RBK-Ukraine (01:00Z) report a Ukrainian drone attack on the Volgograd Oil Refinery (NPP "Lukoil"), resulting in spilled and burning oil products. TASS (01:32Z) reports restrictions in Volgograd and Saratov airports have been lifted. TASS (02:15Z) reports a fighter from RF's "Nefrit" assault company, callsign "Belyi", recounts an encounter with a five-person Ukrainian ambush near Yanvarskoe, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, after infiltrating UA rear. This suggests continued RF deep reconnaissance/infiltration activity into UA rear. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports "good UAVs" attacked the Volgograd Oil Refinery with accompanying satellite imagery appearing to confirm a significant fire/damage, indicating successful UA deep strike and BDA. Air Force of Ukraine (03:37Z) reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy Oblasts, warning they could be spotters and urging attention to air raid alerts. Operatyvnyi ZSU (04:10Z) provides more detailed photo messages of the aftermath of the Volgograd Oil Refinery attack, including satellite imagery confirming severe damage and a large fire, reinforcing the success of the UA deep strike. New information indicates that RF MOD reports 44 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over regions of the Russian Federation overnight. TASS (04:45Z, 04:46Z, 04:47Z, 04:49Z, 04:51Z, 04:53Z, 05:10Z) reports RF FSB claims of destroying Ukrainian long-range missile production, including "Sapsan" missiles, and that these plants were created with Western European assistance, with Ukraine planning strikes deep into Russia with NATO permission. This indicates significant claimed RF deep strike success in July. Colonelcassad (05:17Z) directly confirms FSB's claim of striking four "Sapsan" missile production facilities in Ukraine, with specific mention of July strikes. TASS (05:18Z, 05:21Z, 05:23Z) provides full FSB commentary, reiterating claims of destroying missile production facilities and alleging German involvement in financing. Дневник Десантника (05:21Z) also amplifies this claim. Два майора (05:23Z) and Операция Z (05:30Z) further provide video commentary and satellite imagery/footage of the alleged strikes on Pavlohrad Chemical Plant, Pavlohrad Mechanical Plant, and Shostka State Chemical Products Plant, reinforcing RF claims of successful deep strikes on UA's military-industrial complex. Kotsnews (05:30Z) further details these "rocket operations." MoD Russia (05:30Z) confirms "mass and group strikes by air-, sea-, and ground-based precision weaponry as well as unmanned aerial vehicles at design bureaus, missile fuel production facilities, and missile weaponry assembly facilities of the Ukrainian defence industry" during July 2025. Рыбарь (05:38Z) also amplifies the FSB details. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Sumy. Оперативний ЗСУ (05:18Z) reports on the risk for Ukraine increasing during active phase of exercises in Belarus in September, and confirms continued Russian shelling of border areas in Sumy and Kharkiv regions. This source also indicates Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are attempting to cross the border, but are unsuccessful. ASTRA (05:18Z) reports three people injured in a drone attack on Belgorod, showing a car engulfed in flames, confirming ongoing UA deep strikes and their impact. РБК-Україна (05:20Z) reports the Belgorod government building was hit by an unknown drone, confirming a strike on a high-value civilian-military target. New information from ASTRA (05:48Z) reports photo damage to a 16-story residential building in Volgograd after drone attacks on August 13. This is further BDA on the successful UA deep strike. ASTRA (05:53Z) reports a child and a man were injured in a Russian missile strike in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued RF targeting of civilian areas. Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) reports 24 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed. Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) and RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) specify RF attacked with 2 S-300/400 missiles and 45 drones, with 24 drones shot down. Старше Эдды (05:57Z) reports Belgorod has been under massive enemy UAV attack for two days, with drones hitting residential areas, confirming persistent UA deep strikes and ongoing RF AD efforts. Operatsiya Z (06:00Z) amplifies reports of Belgorod under attack, with photos/videos claiming damage to civilian objects from UA UAVs. Tsaplienko (06:02Z) confirms smoke and fire in Belgorod, attributed to local air defense, further corroborating the intense drone activity. TASS (06:08Z) reports Belgorod Governor Gladkov confirming three people were injured in a UAV strike by AFU on Belgorod. This confirms civilian casualties from UA deep strikes. The General Staff of AFU (06:07Z) also reports 24 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM for Tatarstan detention and purpose; HIGH for Belgorod drone activity and RF engagement; HIGH for STERNENKO's report; HIGH for Tsaplienko FPV strike on Belgorod C2; HIGH for Operatsiya Z report of killed civilians in Belgorod; HIGH for Belgorod government building attack, ASTRA/Poddubny/2Mayors; MEDIUM for TASS report on Sumy disappearances, pending UA confirmation; HIGH for all UA Air Force/KMVA/RBK-Ukraine alerts and lifting; HIGH for Sumy explosion; HIGH for Saratov airport restrictions; HIGH for Volgograd NPP attack; HIGH for lifting of airport restrictions; MEDIUM for Yanvarskoe ambush, HIGH for reported infiltration; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU on Volgograd; HIGH for AFU recon UAV activity in Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU on Volgograd NPP aftermath; HIGH for RF MOD UAV shootdown claims; HIGH for TASS FSB claims of missile production destruction, HIGH for corroboration from Colonelcassad, TASS, Дневник Десантника, Два майора, Операция Z, Kotsnews, MoD Russia, Рыбарь; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU report on Belarus/border activity; HIGH for ASTRA Belgorod casualties; HIGH for РБК-Україна Belgorod government building; HIGH for WarGonzo summary, MEDIUM for veracity of claimed gains; HIGH for ASTRA Volgograd photo; HIGH for ASTRA Sumy civilian casualties; HIGH for Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) report; HIGH for RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) report; HIGH for Старше Эдды (05:57Z) report; HIGH for Operatsiya Z (06:00Z) Belgorod report; HIGH for Tsaplienko (06:02Z) Belgorod video; HIGH for TASS (06:08Z) Belgorod casualties; HIGH for General Staff of AFU (06:07Z) report).
Luhansk Oblast (Siversk Direction): RF sources (Дневник Десантника) report combat operations by "3rd Shock" (likely 3rd Shock Army or a formation designated as such) involving drone-guided artillery or direct fire engagements in a wooded area, with confirmed hits. MoD Russia reports a Metis ATGM team of the Zapad Group of Forces destroyed an AFU stronghold in the Krasny Liman direction. This indicates continued, albeit localized, RF offensive pressure on the Siversk/Krasny Liman axis. RF source Сливочный каприз reports on the Krasny Liman - Kirovsk (Zarechnoye) direction, indicating continued RF focus on this area. TASS (05:28Z) reports Marochko stating that Russian military needs to advance approximately 2 km to close a "fire bag" for AFU in Kremensky forests of LPR, indicating a specific tactical objective and ongoing encirclement efforts. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Krasny Liman (Lyman). (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM for specific unit involvement; HIGH for ongoing combat activity and ATGM strike; HIGH for RF reporting on Krasny Liman - Kirovsk direction; HIGH for TASS Marochko report; HIGH for WarGonzo summary).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopolshchyna): UA source Serhii Lysak reports sustained RF artillery and FPV drone attacks throughout the day targeting Nikopol, Myrivska, Pokrovska, Marhanetska, and Chervonohryhorivska communities. This indicates continued RF pressure on civilian areas and the use of FPV drones in a general fire support role. Colonelcassad reports exclusive footage of the defeat of the 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade (OMBr) in the Dnipropetrovsk direction, implying significant RF strike capability against UA forces. This is corroborated by Russian Z-channels (Операция Z). Два майора provides a video of a drone preparing for an much in the Dnipropetrovsk direction, confirming continued RF UAS operations in the area. Воин DV reports that drone operators of the 36th Guards Motor Rifle Brigade, 29th Army, "Vostok" Group of Forces, are destroying enemy manpower in the vicinity of Iskra, on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Video footage shows thermal imaging and optical views of successful engagements against UA personnel, including confirmed hits. This is a new, specific RF claim of tactical success involving drone use. Air Force of Ukraine (03:37Z) reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, warning they could be spotters. New information indicates that RF attacks on Nikopolshchyna continued overnight. Воин DV (05:26Z) reports "Operators of the 64th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 35th Army of the "Vostok" Group of Forces killed a large number of 'frags' (kills) over the past day," with accompanying thermal/IR footage of a vehicle being struck, implying continued active engagement and success for RF drone operators. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Zaporizhzhia (bordering Dnipropetrovsk). New information from Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) reports a delegation led by the Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský visited Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. While not directly military, this indicates continued diplomatic support and engagement with the region, suggesting resilience despite attacks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for Nikopolshchyna attacks; HIGH for 72nd OMBr defeat, pending UA confirmation; HIGH for RF UAS operations; HIGH for Воин DV report, MEDIUM for specific details of engagement; HIGH for AFU recon UAV activity in Dnipropetrovsk; HIGH for continued Nikopolshchyna attacks; HIGH for Воин DV (05:26Z) report; HIGH for WarGonzo summary; HIGH for Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) report).
Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkivskyi District): UA Air Force issues a "Warning! Kharkivskyi district!" alert, indicating potential immediate threat, likely missile or drone. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, posts about meeting youth, indicating normal civilian administration activities, but provides no military updates. OTU "Kharkiv" reports on the "STRIKS" unit of the 4th Border Guard Detachment increasing the effectiveness of strikes, suggesting successful UA drone operations in the area. Дневник Десантника provides a satellite image labeled "Kharkiv direction" which suggests RF continues to monitor and potentially prepare operations in this area. Air Force of Ukraine reports activity of reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, with means involved for shooting them down. Warning these UAVs can be spotters for enemy fire. TASS reports Russian servicemen, having improved their position near Krasny Perviy, have taken control of approximately 6 km of the road leading to Dvorechnaya, Kharkiv Oblast. This is a new, significant RF claim of territorial advance on the Kupyansk/Kharkiv axis. Олег Синєгубов (05:21Z) provides an update stating "Over the past day, 6 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were subjected to enemy strikes," indicating continued RF fire pressure on civilian areas. Оперативний ЗСУ (05:18Z) reports on continued Russian shelling of border areas in Sumy and Kharkiv regions, and that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups are attempting to cross the border. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Kharkiv. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for warning; HIGH for Syniehubov's civilian engagement; HIGH for UA drone operations; HIGH for RF ISR on Kharkiv direction; HIGH for TASS report, MEDIUM for veracity of claimed advance; HIGH for Oleg Syniehubov (05:21Z) update; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ (05:18Z) report; HIGH for WarGonzo summary).
Chernihiv Oblast: Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in the Chernihiv region, with possible air defense activity. Warns this UAV is a potential spotter for enemy fire. Colonelcassad provides a photo claiming to show what was hit by a missile strike on August 12 in Chernihiv Oblast, suggesting RF continues to target this region. High-speed targets detected in Chernihiv Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports threat of strike UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
Kherson Oblast (Left Bank Dnieper): UA source Tsaplienko reports an RF ammunition depot was destroyed on the left bank of the Dnieper River in Kherson Oblast, accompanied by video of a large fire and explosions. Tsaplienko also reports border guards destroying an RF floating craft and four vehicles in the southern direction, indicating continued UA interdiction operations in the south. Два майора provides video of captured UA POWs in the Kherson direction, suggesting RF captures in this area. Colonelcassad reports "Ulyanovsk paratroopers" (likely elements of the 106th Guards Airborne Division or 31st Guards Air Assault Brigade) using "Msta-B" howitzers with "Krasnopol" precision-guided munitions to destroy UAV control points and manpower in Kherson Oblast. The accompanying video shows artillery firing and aerial views of impacts on a wooded area and a settlement, indicating a precision strike capability against specific targets. TASS (02:02Z) reports an RF Lancet strike destroyed an American M-777 howitzer and a Ukrainian Bogdana self-propelled artillery unit on the right bank of the Dnieper in Kherson Oblast. Сили оборони Півдня України (05:33Z) reports that "Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine continue to strike enemy concentrations, their rear bases, and firing positions. Over the past day, the enemy suffered significant losses," without specifying locations but likely including Kherson Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for ammo depot destruction; HIGH for interdiction; MEDIUM for POW capture, pending UA confirmation; MEDIUM for specific unit, HIGH for precision artillery strike capability; HIGH for TASS reporting Lancet strike on M-777 and Bogdana, MEDIUM for BDA; HIGH for Сили оборони Півдня України report).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Colonelcassad reports the destruction of an AFU ammunition depot in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, accompanied by video of a large explosion. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a Lancet strike UAV in the Lozove-Mezenivka area. Zaporizhzhia OVA issues an alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Zaporizhzhia OVA reports the air raid alert has been lifted. Colonelcassad reports an incident where a man in Zaporizhzhia shot a "busificator" (enforcer of mobilization) during an attempt at "busification" (forcible conscription). Colonelcassad (01:03Z) reports on a Russian tank making a path for infantry through a minefield in the Zaporizhzhia direction, implying continued RF ground operations and mine-clearing tactics. Colonelcassad posts video titled "Effective counter-battery warfare", likely showcasing RF artillery or drone strikes against UA positions or equipment, reinforcing RF's claim of effective targeting. Air Force of Ukraine (04:04Z) reports an enemy UAV in Zaporizhzhia district, warning it could be a spotter for enemy fire and urging caution during air raid alerts. WarGonzo (05:08Z) provides a "Frontline summary for the morning of 14.08.25" with map images, reinforcing RF claims of continued offensive operations in various directions, including Zaporizhzhia. New information from Дневник Десантника (06:04Z) indicates Ukrainian soldiers from the 7th division of Zaporizhzhia direction are requesting drones and Starlink, highlighting resource needs in the area. Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) reports a visit by Czech Foreign Minister and Ukrainian MFA Deputy Head to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, signaling continued international support for regions bordering Zaporizhzhia. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for ammo depot destruction; HIGH for Lancet activity; HIGH for alerts; MEDIUM for "busificator" incident; HIGH for reporting, MEDIUM for BDA; HIGH for Colonelcassad counter-battery video; HIGH for AFU UAV warning; HIGH for WarGonzo summary; HIGH for Дневник Десантника (06:04Z) report; HIGH for Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) report).
Kupyansk Axis: The previous daily report indicated a decisive shift of RF main effort to the Kupyansk axis, with capture of Ivanivka and intensified preparatory fire. This area is now considered the primary focus of RF offensive operations. Олег Синєгубов (05:21Z) reports on RF strikes on 6 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast, consistent with pressure on the Kupyansk axis. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
Overall Frontline: RF continues to employ FPV drone swarms and Lancet loitering munitions, with a reported 20% increase in Lancet strikes in the last 24 hours. RF sources (Воин DV) claim successful destruction of UA drone repeater stations and command posts, indicating RF counter-UAS efforts. UA source BUTUSOV PLUS provides video evidence of an FPV drone strike against RF soldiers in a fortified position, demonstrating continued UA FPV effectiveness despite camouflage. Дневник Десантника reports that in Novomykolaivka, Donetsk Oblast, RF forces struck a UAV point of the 93rd Brigade. MoD Russia also released a video showing strikes against Ukrainian assets, including 'LELEKA-100' and 'SHARK-M' drones, and 'BERGEPANZER 2' and 'KOZAK' vehicles, implying continued effective targeting. STERNENKO provides video showing UA special forces downing 6 drones in the Zaporizhzhia direction, demonstrating UA counter-UAS effectiveness. Poddubny reports continued UA artillery fire on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant industrial zone, claiming no damage or casualties. Colonelcassad also shares a rich selection of recent strikes by operators of the 14th Guards Special Purpose Brigade on AFU vehicles in the Novoselovka area. STERNENKO reports a drone strike by "Strike Group 81 Apache" against an RF vehicle in a wooded area, resulting in an explosion. This highlights continued UA drone effectiveness. Rybar's daily summary map confirms ongoing combat zones, missile/artillery strikes, aviation strikes, and power outages. General Staff of AFU provides operational information for 22:00 13.08.2025 (local time), indicating continued combat operations. Tsaplienko reports an FPV drone being caught in "Yahoza" (razor wire) and "Putanka" (tangled wire) nets, which are designed to counter drones. This demonstrates an effective UA passive defense measure against FPV drones. Two Mayors provides a video showing RF soldiers engaging a UA drone, with visible impacts, suggesting continued small-arms and active engagement of UA UAS. Colonelcassad provides a video titled "Laser weapon on guard of Russian sky," showing a thermal/night vision footage of an object exploding in the sky, implying a potential advanced counter-UAS capability or information operation. Colonelcassad reports Ukrainian special forces have once again lost their UAV control points in Dimitrov. TASS reports Senior Sergeant Oleg Batyrev destroyed an approaching FPV drone, saving personnel. Colonelcassad reports training exercises on shooting down drones with shotguns/rifles in Donbas, featuring a Russian practical shooting champion. This indicates RF adaptation and training to counter FPV drones at a tactical level. Colonelcassad's animated video shows RF strikes on Ukraine on August 12-13, focusing on UMPK and Geran/Gerber drones across Sumy, Dnepropetrovsk, Donbas, Kharkiv, Kherson, Poltava, and Zaporizhzhia. This indicates ongoing, widespread strike activity. Colonelcassad's video shows combat engagement involving RF Su-34 fighter-bombers and UA air defense, with ground target detonations. НгП раZVедка provides a "night trash post" video about the most "useless profession," implying a cynical view of some roles, but without direct military relevance. Colonelcassad (02:35Z) shares a photo message with the caption "Z - в зоне проведения Специальной Военной Операции" and multiple accompanying photos, likely for internal morale boosting or general frontline imagery, but without specific tactical details. Рыбарь (03:31Z) provides a summary of SVO operations for August 13. Fighterbomber (04:03Z) posts a photo message captioned "Good morning, country!", likely a morale booster showing a military aircraft, though no specific tactical details are discernible. Colonelcassad (04:03Z) posts a video message with an indistinct caption, likely general combat footage or propaganda. New information from UA General Staff reports approximately 990 RF personnel losses in the last 24 hours, alongside other equipment losses. General Staff of AFU (05:01Z) provides updated operational information as of 08:00Z 14.08.25 with multiple photo messages. This indicates continued combat operations and UA reporting on them. STERNENKO (05:01Z) posts a message "The day will be better if you hit the russocutter in the morning!", indicating continued UA offensive mindset and FPV drone activity. Сили оборони Півдня України (05:18Z) provides updated operational information as of 08:00Z 14.08.25, indicating continued combat reporting. Оперативний ЗСУ (05:35Z) provides a General Staff summary as of 08:00Z, with a map showing 56 offensive actions stopped by UA. ОТУ "Харків" (05:35Z) reports General combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 14.08.25 (approximate), reinforcing UA's claims of inflicting significant attrition. New information from BUTUSOV PLUS (05:48Z) includes a video with a civilian expressing frustration over water shortages and harvest, which indicates civilian hardship but no direct military significance. Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) reports 24 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed. Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) and RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) corroborate the RF attack with 2 S-300/400 missiles and 45 drones, 24 of which were shot down. This confirms persistent RF aerial attacks and UA's defensive effectiveness. KMVA (05:59Z) and Zaporizhzhia OVA (06:00Z) issue calls for a minute of silence to honor fallen defenders, indicating continued focus on morale and remembrance. General Staff of AFU (05:59Z, 06:07Z) reports 24 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed, with 47 total air attack assets. This indicates consistent UA air defense activity and effectiveness against persistent RF aerial threats. Шеф Hayabusa (06:00Z) provides a photo of Volgograd oil refinery on fire, reinforcing successful UA deep strike BDA. Операція Z (06:00Z) amplifies claims of UA drone attacks on Belgorod civilian objects with photos/videos, confirming the impact of UA deep strikes and RF's information operation. Шеф Hayabusa (05:54Z) provides a video of a Russian woman complaining about communication restrictions on Telegram/WhatsApp, implying the impact of RF internal security measures on civilians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UAV/loitering munition use and increased frequency; MEDIUM for claimed RF counter-UAS effectiveness and 93rd Brigade UAV point strike, pending BDA; HIGH for UA FPV strike; HIGH for UA counter-UAS; HIGH for ZNPP shelling, but RF source, requires UA verification; HIGH for 14th Guards strikes; HIGH for STERNENKO drone strike; HIGH for Rybar's map; HIGH for AFU General Staff report; HIGH for Yahoza/Putanka effectiveness; HIGH for RF engagement of UA UAS; LOW for "laser weapon" veracity, MEDIUM for counter-UAS claim, HIGH for IO intent; MEDIUM for Dimitrov UAV C2 strike, PENDING BDA; HIGH for RF claim on Batyrev, MEDIUM for veracity; HIGH for RF training; HIGH for RF reporting on strikes, MEDIUM for accuracy of depicted targets/results; HIGH for Su-34 engagement; HIGH for post, LOW for direct military relevance; HIGH for Colonelcassad Z photos, LOW for direct military relevance beyond general frontline activity; HIGH for Rybar SVO summary; HIGH for Fighterbomber post; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; HIGH for UA General Staff loss report; HIGH for General Staff update; HIGH for STERNENKO post; HIGH for Сили оборони Півдня України report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ General Staff summary; HIGH for ОТУ "Харків" enemy losses; HIGH for BUTUSOV PLUS civilian video; HIGH for Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) report; HIGH for RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) report; HIGH for KMVA (05:59Z) report; HIGH for General Staff of AFU (05:59Z) report; HIGH for Шеф Hayabusa (06:00Z) photo; HIGH for Операція Z (06:00Z) Belgorod report; HIGH for Шеф Hayabusa (05:54Z) video).
RF Deep Rear (Volgograd/Saratov/Kamchatka/Khabarovsk): TASS reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure at Volgograd airport, as reported by Rosaviatsiya, indicating potential security concerns or drone activity affecting civil aviation. ASTRA also reports this. TASS reports restrictions on work introduced at Gagarin Airport in Saratov. TASS (01:32Z) reports restrictions in Volgograd and Saratov airports have been lifted. TASS reports the eruption of Klyuchevskaya Sopka volcano in Kamchatka has ended, with a slag cone forming in the crater. This is an environmental update, not directly military. TASS also reports over 40 aftershocks in Kamchatka over 24 hours. TASS reports a Kamchatka guide was sentenced to 4.5 years for the death of nine people on Klyuchevsky volcano in September 2022. This is a domestic legal matter, not directly military. Полиция Хабаровского края reports a celebration of 175th anniversary of Nikolayevsk-on-Amur with solemn presentation of Russian Federation passports. This indicates continued RF efforts to normalize and integrate regions within its territory, not directly military. STERNENKO provides new photo and video messages confirming the drone attack on the Volgograd Oil Refinery. New information from ASTRA (05:48Z) reports photo damage to a 16-story residential building in Volgograd after drone attacks on August 13. Шеф Hayabusa (06:00Z) provides a photo of Volgograd oil refinery on fire, confirming the significant damage. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for all reports; HIGH for STERNENKO confirmation of Volgograd NPP attack; HIGH for ASTRA Volgograd photo; HIGH for Шеф Hayabusa (06:00Z) photo).
Other: TASS reports 15 police officers injured in evening protests in Serbia. TASS reports Vucic announced 64 injured in attacks on ruling party offices in Novi Sad. TASS reports first deputy chairman of the State Duma committee proposed federal-level gifts for newborns, indicating internal social policy focus. TASS reports French "Paris Saint-Germain" footballers defeated English "Tottenham" in a penalty shootout for the UEFA Super Cup. This is a sports news update, not directly military. RBK-Ukraine reports anti-government protests in Serbia for the second day in a row. Videos accompanying the message show crowds, fireworks/explosions, riot police, and individuals carrying blunt objects/sticks. TASS reports that police officers guarding the Crocus Concert Hall in Moscow during the terrorist attack were unarmed, according to case materials. TASS reports Kim Yo Jong, Deputy Head of the Workers' Party of Korea Central Committee, stated that North Korean authorities will enshrine in the constitution their unwillingness to improve relations with South Korea. TASS (00:25Z) indicates that Trump stated crime levels in Washington are among the highest in the world. Colonelcassad (00:45Z) reports a resident of Kaluga region was sentenced to eight years for financing a terrorist organization (Islamic State), with a video confession. TASS (01:15Z) reports that the order of calculating vacation pay will change in Russia from September 1, now quarterly and annual bonuses will be taken into account. TASS (01:20Z) reports that the appeal against the verdict of Timur Ivanov in the case of embezzlement and withdrawal of money from the bank will be considered on August 25. Colonelcassad (01:21Z) amplifies a TASS report about veteran Yevgeny Znamensky, who sat next to Putin and Xi Jinping at a parade, celebrating his 100th birthday. TASS (01:36Z) reports that starting from 2026, Russians will be prohibited from taking out more than one loan simultaneously from microfinance organizations (MFOs). TASS (02:01Z) reports the General Prosecutor's Office demands seizure of property worth 68 million rubles from former investigator of the Investigative Committee in the Merlion case, indicating continued internal anti-corruption efforts. Colonelcassad (02:03Z) reports on the launch of eight low-orbit "Xingwang" satellites by China, which is a space development, not directly military. TASS (02:32Z) releases a video of Scott Ritter discussing his anger at the US for distorting the history of WWII and downplaying Russia's role in the 1945 victory. This is a clear RF information operation leveraging an Western pro-Russian voice to criticize Western historical narratives and elevate Russia's historical importance. RBK-Ukraine reports Bitcoin has set a new historical record, exceeding $123,500. This is a financial news update, not directly military. RBK-Ukraine (03:28Z) reports Poland has signed a $3.8 billion agreement with the US to modernize F-16s. TASS (03:29Z) reports one of the Crocus City Hall terrorists previously took out microloans to buy smartphones. TASS (03:40Z) reports a court in St. Petersburg banned the distribution of five songs by the group "Leningrad" in Russia. Два майора (03:55Z) posts a video message captioned "Before Alaska," showing three individuals in a studio setting, discussing the upcoming high-level international meetings. This is likely an RF information operation preparing the domestic audience for potential summit outcomes or framing diplomatic efforts. TASS (03:56Z) posts a photo message with Vyacheslav Volodin stating that relations between Russia and North Korea have strengthened thanks to Putin and Kim Jong Un, reinforcing the narrative of growing anti-Western alliances. New information from TASS indicates a video message discussing the "Zoomer generation" and their demands in the labor market. This has no direct military relevance. Kotsnews (05:00Z) posts "Negotiations in Alaska. No illusions," providing immediate RF commentary on the upcoming summit, indicating continued focus on this diplomatic event. Басурин о главном (05:15Z) posts religious holiday greetings, indicating internal social messaging but no military significance. TASS (05:33Z) reports Scott Ritter stating he knows Russian Hero Captain Vladislav Golovin from the Mariupol battle, a morale-boosting IO leveraging a Western pro-Russian voice. New information from TASS (05:49Z) reports Russian singer Maxim Fadeev's opinion on AI in music, which has no military relevance. Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:53Z) reports President Zelenskyy will meet UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer in London today, indicating ongoing high-level diplomatic engagement. TASS (05:58Z) reports Russian Prosecutor General's Office declared activities of the German NGO "Demokrati-JA e.V." undesirable in Russia, indicating continued RF internal security measures and pressure on foreign entities. TASS (06:07Z) reports on schemes used by fraudsters during school preparation period, which has no direct military relevance. Operatyvnyi ZSU (06:09Z) reports over 60 people and 15 police officers injured in protests in Serbia overnight, confirming significant civil unrest in the region. The General Prosecutor's Office (06:10Z) reports suspicions against the head of the Kyiv City State Administration and former head of a communal enterprise, indicating continued anti-corruption efforts in Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for all reports; LOW for direct military relevance of Zoomer video; HIGH for Kotsnews comment on Alaska talks; LOW for military relevance of Basurin post; HIGH for TASS Scott Ritter report; LOW for military relevance of TASS AI report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU Zelenskyy/Starmer report; HIGH for TASS German NGO report; LOW for military relevance of TASS fraud report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU Serbia protests; HIGH for General Prosecutor's Office Kyiv report).
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
Ukrainian Forces: Maintain a defensive posture in Donetsk Oblast, specifically around Chasiv Yar. UA leadership, including President Zelenskyy, maintains a firm diplomatic stance on territorial integrity and conditions for peace talks, reiterating that territorial questions cannot be discussed without Ukraine and its Constitution (UA source ASTRA, RBK-Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ). UA sources publicly acknowledge tactical challenges (e.g., infantry shortages in Pokrovsk). UA forces continue drone operations into RF territory, with a new radio intercept of RF forces reported by STERNENKO, suggesting ongoing UA SIGINT. UA helicopter pilots are reportedly engaging RF "Shaheds" at close range (UA source Tsaplienko), indicating adaptation to counter drone threats. UA Cabinet of Ministers proposes changes to mobilization deferment rules for students and educators, and changes to booking rules for agricultural enterprises in frontline areas (RBK-Ukraine), indicating ongoing manpower and economic mobilization adjustments. General Prosecutor's Office reports 22 suspicions handed to Kyiv City State Administration officials, communal enterprises, and entrepreneurs for over 230 million UAH damages (Official Prosecutor's Office), signaling continued internal anti-corruption efforts. RBK-Ukraine reports that a Member of Parliament from the banned OPZZh (Opposition Platform — For Life) party, Khrystenko, has been declared wanted, indicating ongoing de-oligarchization/de-Russification efforts. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, engaged in a public event celebrating youth, indicating efforts to maintain civilian morale and normalcy in rear areas. Zaporizhzhia OVA reported the delivery of new specialized equipment (excavators, tractors) to communities in Zaporizhzhia, indicating ongoing efforts to support civilian infrastructure. UA border guards are conducting successful interdiction operations in the Southern direction. UA airborne forces are preparing Ukrainian soil for autumn sowing, indicating continued agricultural efforts (Оперативний ЗСУ). RBK-Ukraine reports on proposal to fine citizens for violating curfew, indicating efforts to maintain public order and possibly reinforce mobilization efforts. UA's Tsaplienko reports the US is actively studying the experience of the Ukrainian army, indicating continued cooperation and learning from UA. Zelenskyy (via his official channel and Kyiv/Zaporizhzhia OVAs) reiterates support for Trump's peace efforts on the condition that the path to peace is not determined without Ukraine, and that negotiations occur under a ceasefire. RBK-Ukraine reports on proposals from Prime Minister Shmyhal to increase leave and payments for military personnel released from captivity. Tsaplienko highlights the use of "Yahoza" (razor wire) and "Putanka" (tangled wire) nets as effective passive defense against FPV drones. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports on athlete's victory at Sambo World Championship 2022, emphasizing Ukrainian pride, but no direct military relevance. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports success of "good UAVs" attacking the Volgograd Oil Refinery with accompanying satellite imagery, demonstrating effective UA C2 and deep strike capability. RBK-Ukraine (03:28Z) reports Poland has signed a $3.8 billion agreement with the US to modernize F-16s, indicating continued international support for UA's long-term defense capabilities. Оперативний ЗСУ (04:04Z) reports the French Foreign Minister Barrot stating that the US will participate in providing security guarantees developed by the "Coalition of the Willing" (France, UK, Germany), reinforcing international commitment to UA's security. New information from UA General Staff reports approximately 990 RF personnel losses in the last 24 hours. This indicates UA forces are inflicting significant attrition on RF personnel. General Staff of AFU (05:01Z) provides updated operational information as of 08:00Z 14.08.25 with multiple photo messages. This indicates continued combat operations and UA reporting on them. STERNENKO (05:01Z) posts a message "The day will be better if you hit the russocutter in the morning!", indicating continued UA offensive mindset and FPV drone activity. Сили оборони Півдня України (05:18Z) provides updated operational information as of 08:00Z 14.08.25 with photo messages and reports continued strikes on enemy concentrations, rear bases, and firing positions, and significant losses inflicted on the enemy. Оперативний ЗСУ (05:18Z) reports a spokesman for the State Border Guard Service (DPSU) Demyanenko stating that the risk for Ukraine may increase during active phase of exercises in Belarus in September. This source also reports on Russian shelling of border areas in Sumy and Kharkiv regions and unsuccessful attempts by Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups to cross the border. РБК-Україна (05:34Z) reports Trump stated to European leaders that he will not discuss territorial issues with Putin, a positive diplomatic development for UA. Оперативний ЗСУ (05:35Z) provides a General Staff summary as of 08:00Z, stating that 56 offensive actions by the aggressor were stopped, indicating effective UA defense. ОТУ "Харків" (05:35Z) provides approximate general combat losses of the enemy, reinforcing UA's claims of inflicting significant attrition. New information from Оперативний ЗСУ (05:53Z) reports President Zelenskyy will meet UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer in London, indicating continued high-level diplomatic efforts. Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) reports 24 enemy UAVs were shot down/suppressed, indicating effective UA air defense. Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) and RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) report UA shot down 24 out of 45 drones and both S-300/400 missiles were not intercepted, indicating continued, though not perfect, AD effectiveness. KMVA (05:59Z) and Zaporizhzhia OVA (06:00Z) issue calls for a minute of silence for fallen defenders, reinforcing morale and remembrance efforts. General Staff of AFU (05:59Z, 06:07Z) reports 24 enemy UAVs shot down out of 47 total air attack assets, confirming UA AD activity. Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) reports a delegation led by the Czech Foreign Minister visited Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, indicating continued international support. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for defensive posture, diplomatic stance, and cross-border drone operations; MEDIUM for tactical challenges; HIGH for SIGINT and helicopter counter-drone tactics; HIGH for manpower/economic adjustments; HIGH for internal legal actions; HIGH for SSO capabilities; HIGH for de-oligarchization efforts; HIGH for civilian morale efforts; HIGH for infrastructure delivery; HIGH for interdiction; HIGH for agricultural efforts; HIGH for curfew proposal; HIGH for US studying UA; HIGH for Zelenskyy's stance on Trump; HIGH for POW support; HIGH for passive defense; HIGH for sports news, LOW for military impact; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU on Volgograd; HIGH for Poland F-16 deal; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU on French FM statement; HIGH for UA General Staff loss report; HIGH for General Staff update; HIGH for STERNENKO post; HIGH for Сили оборони Півдня України report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:18Z) report; HIGH for РБК-Україна (05:34Z) Trump report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:35Z) General Staff summary; HIGH for ОТУ "Харків" enemy losses; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:53Z) report; HIGH for Air Force of Ukraine (05:56Z) report; HIGH for Operatyvnyi ZSU (05:58Z) report; HIGH for RBK-Ukraine (05:58Z) report; HIGH for KMVA (05:59Z) report; HIGH for General Staff of AFU (05:59Z) report; HIGH for Zaporizhzhia OVA (06:00Z) report; HIGH for General Staff of AFU (06:07Z) report; HIGH for Serhii Lysak (06:05Z) report).
Russian Forces: Concentrating elite VDV units and deploying advanced EW systems near Bakhmut/Chasiv Yar. Repositioning S-300 battalions for potential surface-to-surface roles, increasing threat to UA rear areas. Intensifying artillery, including TOS-1A thermobaric systems. RF Defense Minister Belousov is meeting with military correspondents to discuss drone production, supplies, and social support for servicemen, indicating an internal focus on sustainment and morale. Video from Два Майора shows this meeting, confirming the MoD engagement with military correspondents. RF forces are actively engaging UA drones (Belgorod, claimed counter-UAS strikes). RF source Zvezdets Mangust claims RF command has moved "a number of units and formations from the North" to the Southern and Southern part of Eastern operational zones, indicating possible reinforcement of these axes or redeployment ahead of expected UA activity. RF source Voenkor Kotenok video features RF soldiers requesting Mavic 3 and Mavic 3 Pro drones, indicating a continued need for specific UAS models for reconnaissance and fire adjustment. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ provides a video showing field dental clinics for RF personnel, indicating ongoing medical support for frontline troops. Два майора is still requesting charitable support for forces, as shown by their video with a power bank, which suggests persistent logistical needs. TASS reports Northern Fleet has begun exercises involving 2,000 military personnel, up to 14 ships and submarines in Barents and White Seas, practicing defense of the Northern Sea Route infrastructure, indicating a focus on Arctic operations and strategic force projection. Operatsiya Z reports detention of an "Orlan" reconnaissance UAV crew for the MoD, suggesting ongoing internal security concerns or operational mishaps within RF forces. ASTRA reports RF police detained Russian cadets launching drones in Tatarstan. STERNENKO reports a "drone safety" alert for multiple RF oblasts (Bryansk, Voronezh, Lipetsk, Tambov, Saratov, Volgograd, Rostov, northwest Crimea, and Kuban), indicating widespread RF concern and ongoing UA drone activity. RF source Дневник Десантника reports a large drone collection for multiple units of the 7th Airborne Assault Division in the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating continued reliance on and demand for UAS. «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts an image with a soldier and the caption "Russia — country of heroes!", serving as a morale booster. Tsaplienko shares an image of what appears to be a security tower near Valdai, claiming "Kremlin dictator fears air threat," implying RF is increasing security around high-value targets due to UA drone attacks. Два майора is soliciting donations for "Frontline Armor" (likely vehicle or personnel protection), indicating ongoing material needs for RF forces. The accompanying video shows a modified vehicle (possibly for EW or communications) with a radar-like structure, suggesting continued development and deployment of specialized equipment. RF's Parliament speaker Volodin has arrived in Pyongyang, North Korea, leading a Russian delegation, indicating continued efforts to strengthen diplomatic and potentially military-technical ties. НгП раZVедка provides an update indicating that ballistic missile strikes on Ukraine will continue regardless of US diplomatic initiatives, reinforcing RF's intent to maintain military pressure. Colonelcassad shares a video depicting an alleged abduction of a man and a woman in Lutsk, claiming such incidents are common at night and aimed at forced conscription, amplifying fears of "meat grinder" deployment. MoD Russia shares a "Top News Today" image, likely part of an internal information campaign. Rybar's post with a caption "Blitzkrieg in the sector - to be?", implying significant RF offensive preparations. Operatsiya Z highlights a statement from the "Coalition of the Willing" implying opposition to any limitations on the AFU as part of a settlement, which RF can spin as Western intransigence. RBK-Ukraine reports on Zelenskyy's readiness for a one-on-one with Putin, citing sources, indicating diplomatic efforts by UA. ASTRA reports anti-government protests in Serbia, mentioning "unknowns with bats" clashing with protesters. While not directly military, this indicates regional instability and could be leveraged by RF. Operatyvnyi ZSU shares photos and a caption referring to a "Katsap" (derogatory term for Russian) trying to cosplay a Terminator-2 scene, indicating UA's use of dark humor and dehumanization in IO. Operatyvnyi ZSU shares a statement from the 1st Corps of NGU "Azov", which likely relates to unit activities or morale. TASS reports a group of deputies will introduce a bill on the use of AI in campaign materials, indicating RF's intent to formalize and control AI use in information operations. Colonelcassad's video shows training exercises on shooting down drones with shotguns/rifles in Donbas, featuring a Russian practical shooting champion. This indicates adaptive training for tactical counter-UAS. TASS reports Senior Sergeant Oleg Batyrev destroyed an approaching FPV drone, saving personnel. Operatsiya Z (Voenkory Russkoy Vesny) reports on mass riots and clashes with police in the capital of Serbia and neighboring cities. TASS reports ex-Prime Minister of Ukraine Nikolai Azarov states Zelenskyy will not remain in power if Ukrainian conflict is settled and will be held accountable for his crimes. TASS reports ex-PM of Ukraine Nikolai Azarov stated that Kyiv refused to extend the contract for the transit of Russian gas due to instructions from the West. Colonelcassad's video shows combat engagement involving RF Su-34 fighter-bombers and UA air defense, with ground target detonations. Operatsiya Z reports Polish President calls for imprisonment for symbols of OUN-UPA, an RF information operation aimed at creating discord between Poland and Ukraine. TASS reports Scott Ritter discussing FBI searches of his home. НгП раZVедка's "night trash post" could contribute to demoralizing narratives. TASS reports Ukrainian soldier Alexey Levchenko stated he surrendered to Russian servicemen on the advice of his parents. This is a clear RF information operation aimed at demoralizing Ukrainian troops and encouraging surrender by highlighting the desire for family reunion and avoiding mobilization. TASS reports Trump is ready to provide security guarantees to Ukraine, but not within NATO, citing Politico. TASS features Serbian sniper Dejan Berić, a "volunteer" in the Russian army, stating Serbian volunteers continue fighting despite threats of imprisonment in their homeland. He claims prosecution is for fighting for Russia and against neo-Nazism. Operatsiya Z reports the SVR (Russian Foreign Intelligence Service) claims Brussels and Kyiv are preparing a change of power in Budapest to get rid of Orbán. TASS reports on an interview with Scott Ritter where he claims that NATO's eastward expansion has stopped and will not resume, and that Russia wants a return to the 1997 NATO configuration. Colonelcassad provides a video featuring an alleged RF serviceman, "Major," who claims to have been liberated from Ukrainian captivity, detailing alleged mistreatment. TASS reports an interview with ex-Prime Minister of Ukraine Mykola Azarov, where he states that the "denazification" of Ukraine remains relevant and is being carried out "on the line of combat contact." TASS reports North Korea will enshrine in the constitution the lack of desire to improve relations with South Korea. TASS (00:15Z) indicates that captured Ukrainian soldier Alexey Levchenko claims his brigade consists of "disabled and mentally ill people." TASS (00:35Z) indicates that a commander of an Airborne Reconnaissance Battalion (callsign Manul) stating that after "liberating Chasov Yar," fighting has moved into the adjacent forest, where Russian forces are destroying "pedestrian groups" and "UAV control points." TASS (01:01Z) indicates that ex-PM Azarov claims Trump will force Zelensky to withdraw troops from Donbas if he wants. Colonelcassad (01:03Z) reports a Russian tank making a path for infantry through a minefield in Zaporizhzhia. TASS (01:11Z) reports Apty Alaudinov stating that AFU are gathering resources on the border of Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts to distract Russian forces from the offensive. Colonelcassad (01:21Z) amplifies a TASS report about veteran Yevgeny Znamensky, who sat next to Putin and Xi Jinping at a parade, celebrating his 100th birthday. This is likely part of a domestic morale-boosting effort, linking the current regime to historical victories and perceived stability. TASS (01:56Z) reports Britain refused the idea of deploying a military contingent to Ukraine within the "coalition of the willing" initiative (The Times). This indicates a potential constraint on Western military support. Полиция Хабаровского края (02:00Z) reports on the ceremonial awarding of Russian Federation passports in Nikolayevsk-on-Amur, indicating continued efforts to consolidate control and normalize annexed territories. TASS (02:01Z) reports on confiscation of property worth 68 million rubles from former investigator of the Investigative Committee in the Merlion case, indicating continued internal anti-corruption actions which RF can use to project good governance. TASS (02:02Z) reports an RF Lancet strike destroyed an American M-777 howitzer and a Ukrainian Bogdana self-propelled artillery unit on the right bank of the Dnieper in Kherson Oblast. This is an RF claim of successful precision strike. Colonelcassad (02:03Z) reports on China's successful launch of low-orbit satellites. TASS (02:06Z) reports ex-PM Azarov stating that the fact of the upcoming Putin-Trump meeting, from which peace in Ukraine depends, is already a breakthrough. TASS (02:15Z) reports a fighter from RF's "Nefrit" assault company, callsign "Belyi", recounts an encounter with a five-person Ukrainian ambush near Yanvarskoe, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, after infiltrating UA rear. This suggests continued RF deep reconnaissance/infiltration activity into UA rear. Colonelcassad (02:35Z) shares multiple photos with the caption "Z - в зоне проведения Специальной Военной Операции" and multiple accompanying photos, likely for internal morale boosting or general frontline imagery, but without specific tactical details. Воин DV reports that drone operators of the 36th Guards Motor Rifle Brigade, 29th Army, "Vostok" Group of Forces, are destroying enemy manpower in the vicinity of Iskra, on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. This is a new, specific RF claim of tactical success involving drone use. TASS reports a medic from the 37th brigade of the "Vostok" group saved almost 400 Russian servicemen in the special operation zone, emphasizing RF personnel sustainment and morale. TASS publishes multiple photo messages and video of souvenir shops in Anchorage preparing for the Putin-Trump meeting, including Matryoshka dolls. This confirms RF's focus on information operations around the potential summit, leveraging popular symbols to normalize the event and link it to Russian culture. TASS (03:01Z) publishes a video message with ex-PM Azarov stating there is no need for Zelenskyy's presence in Alaska as he is merely a "puppet." This is a new, direct RF information operation to delegitimize Zelenskyy's role in negotiations. TASS reports Russian servicemen, having improved their position near Krasny Perviy, have taken control of approximately 6 km of the road leading to Dvorechnaya, Kharkiv Oblast. This is a new, significant RF claim of territorial advance on the Kupyansk/Kharkiv axis. Дневник Десантника (03:31Z) shares photos of VDV personnel ("Airborne brotherhood, family"), reinforcing morale and internal cohesion. TASS (03:37Z) reports WhatsApp's response to call restrictions, stating they will do "everything possible" to ensure access to end-to-end encrypted communication, indicating an ongoing friction point between RF state control and global tech companies. Два майора (03:37Z) shares a video with a military-themed song, contributing to morale-boosting and patriotic messaging. Два майора (03:55Z) posts a video message captioned "Before Alaska," showing three individuals in a studio setting, discussing the upcoming high-level international meetings. This confirms RF's focus on information operations around the summit. TASS (03:56Z) posts a photo message with Vyacheslav Volodin stating that relations between Russia and North Korea have strengthened thanks to Putin and Kim Jong Un, reinforcing the narrative of growing anti-Western alliances. TASS (04:01Z) reports that Trump expressed concerns that Zelenskyy could disrupt negotiations on the Ukrainian settlement at the initial stage if he participated in the RF-US summit, citing the Wall Street Journal. This is a new RF information operation to discredit Zelenskyy's role in negotiations. New information from TASS indicates a video message discussing the "Zoomer generation" and their demands in the labor market. This has no direct military relevance. New information from Полиция Хабаровского края reports police solved a series of thefts from an express delivery warehouse. This indicates ongoing internal security/criminal issues in RF territory, but is not directly military. TASS (04:45Z, 04:46Z, 04:47Z, 04:49Z, 04:51Z, 04:53Z, 05:10Z) reports RF FSB claims of destroying Ukrainian long-range missile production facilities. This is a significant RF claim of successful deep strike and a clear information operation to project capability and deter further UA long-range strikes. Rybar (05:01Z) provides a video message titled "Liberation of Varachino and battles for Kondratovka," showing claimed RF advances, reinforcing RF operational efforts. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ (05:01Z) posts a photo message "Good morning, dear subscribers!", a general morale booster. Colonelcassad (05:03Z) posts a video message "How I spent the summer," highlighting a student interning at a military hospital assisting VDV medics, a clear morale-boosting propaganda piece aimed at showcasing dedication and service within RF forces. Басурин о главном (05:15Z) posts religious holiday greetings, indicating internal social messaging but no military significance. Colonelcassad (05:17Z) confirms FSB's claim of striking four "Sapsan" missile production facilities. TASS (05:18Z, 05:21Z, 05:23Z) provides full FSB commentary, reiterating claims of destroying missile production facilities and alleging German involvement in financing. Дневник Десантника (05:21Z) also amplifies this claim. Два майора (05:23Z) and Операция Z (05:30Z) further provide video commentary and satellite imagery/footage of the alleged strikes on Pavlohrad Chemical Plant, Pavlohrad Mechanical Plant, and Shostka State Chemical Products Plant, reinforcing RF claims of successful deep strikes on UA's military-industrial complex. Kotsnews (05:30Z) further details these "rocket operations." MoD Russia (05:30Z) confirms "mass and group strikes by air-, sea-, and ground-based precision weaponry as well as unmanned aerial vehicles at design bureaus, missile fuel production facilities, and missile weaponry assembly facilities of the Ukrainian defence industry" during July 2025. Поддубный (05:30Z) reports three civilians injured in a drone attack on Belgorod, reinforcing the narrative of UA attacks and civilian impact. Рыбарь (05:38Z) also amplifies the FSB details. New information from TASS (05:49Z) reports Russian singer Maxim Fadeev's opinion on AI in music, which has no military relevance. Colonelcassad (05:49Z) reports targets of RF strikes in connection with missile production, corroborating previous FSB claims. TASS (05:52Z) provides a photo message of an FSB map showing the possible range of "Sapsan" missiles and confirming their production was hit, reinforcing the previous claims. TASS (05:58Z) reports Russian Prosecutor General's Office declared activities of the German NGO "Demokrati-JA e.V." undesirable in Russia, indicating continued RF internal security measures and pressure on foreign entities. Fighterbomber (06:01Z) reports "aviation week continues," suggesting ongoing RF air activity. Voenkor Kotenok (06:03Z) makes a cynical comment about Zelenskyy, indicating continued RF efforts to demoralize UA leadership and troops. Дневник Десантника (06:04Z) reports a large collection for several units of the 7th Air Assault Division, highlighting RF reliance on drones and logistical needs. TASS (06:07Z) reports on schemes used by fraudsters during school preparation period, which has no direct military relevance. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for force concentration, EW/S-300 deployment, internal discussions, active counter-UAS, and claims of troop redeployment; HIGH for confirmation of MoD meeting; HIGH for RF drone requests; HIGH for field dental clinics; HIGH for persistent logistical needs; HIGH for Northern Fleet exercises; HIGH for Orlan crew detention; HIGH for Tatarstan cadets; HIGH for drone safety alert; HIGH for 7th Airborne demand; HIGH for morale booster; HIGH for Valdai tower; HIGH for "Frontline Armor" requests; HIGH for Volodin's visit; HIGH for continued strikes; MEDIUM for Lutsk abductions, HIGH for IO intent; HIGH for Top News; HIGH for "Blitzkrieg" IO; HIGH for "Coalition of Willing" IO; HIGH for Zelenskyy's readiness; HIGH for Serbia protests, but not direct military; HIGH for UA humor; HIGH for Azov statement; HIGH for AI bill; HIGH for RF training; HIGH for Batyrev report; HIGH for Serbia riots; HIGH for Azarov on Zelenskyy's future; HIGH for Azarov on gas transit; HIGH for Su-34 engagement; HIGH for OUN-UPA IO; HIGH for Ritter on FBI; HIGH for Levchenko surrender IO; HIGH for Trump security guarantees; HIGH for Berić IO; HIGH for SVR on Hungary; HIGH for Ritter on NATO; HIGH for RF POW mistreatment IO; HIGH for Azarov on "denazification"; HIGH for NK constitution; HIGH for Levchenko brigade claims; HIGH for Chasiv Yar combat details; HIGH for Azarov's Trump claim; HIGH for tank report; HIGH for Alaudinov's claim; HIGH for Znamensky report and IO intent; HIGH for UK refusal to deploy troops; HIGH for passport distribution in Khabarovsk; HIGH for Merlion case; HIGH for Lancet strike on UA artillery, MEDIUM for BDA; HIGH for China satellite launch; HIGH for Azarov's statement on Putin-Trump meeting; HIGH for Yanvarskoe ambush report, MEDIUM for specific details; HIGH for Colonelcassad Z photos, LOW for direct military relevance beyond general frontline activity; HIGH for Воин DV report, MEDIUM for specific details; HIGH for TASS medic report; HIGH for TASS Anchorage souvenir IO; HIGH for TASS Azarov "puppet" IO; HIGH for TASS Krasny Perviy advance; HIGH for Дневник Десантника VDV photos; HIGH for TASS WhatsApp report; HIGH for Два майора military song; HIGH for Два майора Alaska video; HIGH for TASS Volodin/NK photo; HIGH for TASS Trump/Zelenskyy disruption claim; LOW for direct military relevance of Zoomer video; LOW for direct military relevance of Khabarovsk police report; HIGH for TASS FSB missile claims, HIGH for Rybar video; HIGH for ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ photo; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; LOW for military relevance of Basurin post; HIGH for Colonelcassad (05:17Z) FSB confirmation; HIGH for TASS (05:18Z, 05:21Z, 05:23Z) FSB commentary; HIGH for Дневник Десантника (05:21Z) amplification; HIGH for Два майора (05:23Z) video; HIGH for Операция Z (05:30Z) video; HIGH for Kotsnews (05:30Z) details; HIGH for MoD Russia (05:30Z) confirmation; HIGH for Поддубный (05:30Z) Belgorod report; HIGH for Рыбарь (05:38Z) FSB details; LOW for military relevance of TASS AI report; HIGH for Colonelcassad (05:49Z) report; HIGH for TASS (05:52Z) FSB map; HIGH for TASS (05:58Z) German NGO report; HIGH for Fighterbomber (06:01Z) report; HIGH for Voenkor Kotenok (06:03Z) report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника (06:04Z) report; LOW for military relevance of TASS fraud report).
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns
RF Propaganda:
UA Counter-Propaganda:
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