Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR) TIME: 071407Z AUG 25

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1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

• Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast: RF "Geran-2" UAV strike on railway station confirmed. 2 KIA, 13 WIA. Station closed, recovery efforts ongoing. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Chasiv Yar Axis (Donetsk Oblast): RF 98th VDV Div continues intensified assaults on 'Kanal' microdistrict and Ivanivske, supported by massed FAB/KAB. T-90M tanks (company-sized) newly identified. Intense close-quarters combat. RF claims "fire pressure" on Konstantinovka (critical logistics hub). RF drone footage claims destruction of UA mortar and ammunition pickup truck near Konstantinovka. RF proxy Yan Gagin (TASS) claims part of Ukrainian rear logistics support remained in "liberated Chasiv Yar," implying RF advances into Chasiv Yar proper and disruption of UA sustainment. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Chasiv Yar. RF milblogger claims UA command does not see anything critical in the Konstantinovka direction, despite being in a "semi-encirclement" in Katerynivka, Shcherbynivka, and Kleban-Byk, indicating continued RF pressure and propaganda intent. Russian forces are using motorcycles for assault on AFU positions as per MoD Russia video. RF MoD (Leningrad Military District's 11th Army Corps) reports FPV drone operators neutralized armored hardware and manpower of "mock enemy" at a training ground in Kaliningrad, indicating continued RF drone training and development. Colonelcassad video claims destruction of a forward deployment point (PVD) of the UA 93rd Separate Mechanized Brigade using a FAB-3000 with UMPK near Konstantinovka. This represents a significant strike on a UA position using a heavy, glide-capable bomb, consistent with RF’s intent to degrade UA logistics and strongholds in critical sectors. Narodnaya militsiya DNR reports 📹Уничтожение гаубицы «Д-20» ВСУ в районе Константиновки. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad reports RF is engaged in fighting in Katerynivka, Konstantinovka direction, with accompanying geospatial analysis image. RF proxy Yan Gagin (TASS) claims part of Ukrainian rear logistics support remained in "liberated Chasiv Yar," implying RF advances into Chasiv Yar proper and disruption of UA sustainment. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Chasiv Yar. RF milblogger claims UA command does not see anything critical in the Konstantinovka direction, despite being in a "semi-encirclement" in Katerynivka, Shcherbynivka, and Kleban-Byk, indicating continued RF pressure and propaganda intent. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM for specific geospatial claims, HIGH for reporting RF activity).
• Avdiivka-Pokrovsk Axis (Donetsk Oblast): CRITICAL: RF mechanized units have achieved significant tactical advance, with confirmed (DeepStateUA, STARFALL unit) entry into southeastern Ocheretyne and Rodynske. RF forces now entering Rodynske, north of Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. This advance severely threatens UA defensive lines and logistics. Pokrovsky direction is epicenter of fighting. RF claims "encirclement of Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad fortification area is in full swing." UA engaging RF at mine east of Rodynske. RF 'AIRNOMADS' (VDV) footage indicates personnel/vehicle movement on Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, confirming exploitation intent. RF military blogger reports increased pressure and flanking maneuvers on Pokrovsk direction. Ukrainian Rada MP Ruslan Gorbenko states UA position in Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) is "catastrophic" and RF has complicated UA logistics. RF video confirms tactical medicine and other supplies being delivered to assault units on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, confirming active sustainment for ongoing offensive. Colonelcassad video (02 AUG) claims FPV drone KVN struck and destroyed a masked UA T-64BV tank in Pokrovsk, implying continued RF targeting of UA armor. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Pokrovsk, Popiv Yar, Volodymyrivka, Boykivka, Suvorove, Kotlyne, Novoekonomichne, Muravka, Myrolubivka, Mykolayivka, Rodynske, Sukhetske, Dachne, Promin, Molodetske, Lysivka, Zvirove, Udachne, Novoukrayinka, Oleksiyivka and towards Novopavlivka. ASTRA reports 1 civilian KIA in Pokrovsk due to RF strike. An SBU operation has led to the detention of an agent reportedly assisting RF forces in breaking through to Pokrovsk. STERNENKO shares video of 'Shershni Dovbusha' FPV drones striking RF transport and occupiers on the Pokrovsk direction, confirming UA counter-operations. Shef Hayabusa shows video of Bilitske, Pokrovsk Raion, being destroyed by RF KABs on 05 AUG, confirming continued heavy RF air strikes. DPR People's Militia claims radio intercept between a UA National Guard 14th Brigade command post and positions on Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction, indicating RF intelligence gathering on UA C2. Colonelcassad shows video from RF Spetsnaz units operating on the Pokrovsk direction, confirming continued RF presence and offensive operations. Russian Military Bloggers (Операция Z) show video of RF forces 'Otvazhnye' (Brave) engaging UA vehicles and personnel near Pokrovsk, confirming continued heavy fighting and RF intent to attrition UA forces. RF military bloggers report "Work brothers" drone operators are "burning out militants in Pokrovsk." Shef Hayabusa provides aerial drone footage of significant damage to urban infrastructure near Pokrovsk, consistent with heavy shelling or air strikes. RF forces are distributing propaganda leaflets in Pokrovsk urging UA forces to surrender their positions (reported by 7th DSHV Corps, Operativny ZSU). This indicates RF is aware of UA morale issues or aims to create them, while continuing offensive pressure. UA sources confirm four UA soldiers, two wounded, held a position for 20 days in encirclement in the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting extreme conditions of combat and individual resilience or desperation. Colonelcassad has released a video discussing the "prospects of encirclement" on the Konstantinovka direction and showing what appears to be a mortar firing and its impact on a damaged structure. This reinforces the RF stated intent to isolate/encircle the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad area. STERNENKO provides video of UA CSO A FPV-drone operators destroying camouflaged RF equipment, including a UAZ van and possibly a tank or armored vehicle, on the Konstantinovka direction. This confirms successful UA counter-operations in a critical sector linked to the Pokrovsk axis. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages showing RF propaganda leaflets scattered in Pokrovsk, urging UA forces to surrender. This confirms RF ongoing information warfare efforts in critical sectors. RF milblogger "Операция Z" posts a video claiming to show Pokrovsk "from inside, through the eyes of Leopard tank crews," which is RF propaganda. UA General Staff reports on the operational situation as of 061600Z AUG 25. DeepStateUA posts photo messages confirming "Difficult situation in Pokrovsk," providing additional confirmation of the tactical pressure. Kotsnews posts video titled "Shcherbynivka will prepare," showing FPV drone footage of artillery strikes on a settlement, consistent with heavy shelling in the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo messages captioned "Krasnoarmeysk direction," indicating continued RF focus on this critical axis. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages of Krasnohorivka, depicting abandoned or damaged structures with graffiti, suggesting continued fighting or aftermath in the area. Colonelcassad reports RF is dispersing leaflets over Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) via drones. Colonelcassad has released drone footage of Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) showing significant damage to urban infrastructure and asserting the city will "soon be liberated." Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo of a road sign for "Donetsk Oblast" showing it in mines and barbed wire, indicating the proximity of front lines and the dangers in the area. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. RF forces have occupied Wastewater Treatment Facilities near Stepnohorsk Interchange. A new photo message from "Сливочный каприз" shows the Kamenskoye - Stepnohirsk area as of 07 AUG 25, suggesting continued focus on this axis and RF presence in the vicinity of the recently occupied Wastewater Treatment Facilities. TASS reports RF forces are in close proximity to Shandyholovo, Donetsk Oblast, and are initiating combat operations for its 'liberation.' RF milblogger video shows the 20th 'Immortal' Regiment destroying enemy forces and clearing a pocket near Dzerzhinsk. The video depicts intense artillery shelling and explosions on structures, consistent with heavy combat and destruction. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides multiple photo messages of Pokrovsk, indicating continued heavy damage and fighting in the area. Colonelcassad video of Tsentr Group's T-72B3 tank crew destroying a concealed enemy stronghold on the Donbas axis indicates continued RF ground combat operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Басурин о главном publishes multiple videos and captions showing drone footage of urban areas, damaged buildings, and explosions, asserting the "inevitable collapse of Ukrainian defense in Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk)." The videos include Russian soldiers operating artillery and a view from inside a military vehicle in a damaged urban environment, reinforcing the visual narrative of RF offensive operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the videos, MEDIUM for the claims of inevitable collapse).
  • NEW: РБК-Україна video shows drone footage of urban environments, identified as Pokrovsk, with visible destruction. The video explicitly states that Ukrainian forces are in "100% control of Pokrovsk," countering RF claims of encirclement. It also shows a drone targeting individuals or groups and provides an aerial overview of the town. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Druzhkivka (Donetsk Oblast): TASS reports RF military striking a TCC (Territorial Center of Recruitment and Social Support) using "Geran-2" UAVs in Druzhkivka. Video shows aerial view of a residential area with an explosion in the middle of a street, impacting a vehicle or small structure. Colonelcassad posts video showing claimed destruction of another TCC in Druzhkivka by a "Geran-2" UAV. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for RF claim and video; MEDIUM for veracity of target claim).
  • NEW: Colonelcassad reports multiple explosions in Druzhkivka, corroborated by video showing smoke plumes and civilian vehicles. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Zaporizhzhia Front: Continued localized ground engagements and significant aerial bombardment. RF strikes resulted in 2 KIA. RF shifted from large-scale mechanized assaults to repeated infiltration attempts by 8-10 man infantry groups near Robotyne, heavily supported by FPV drones for reconnaissance and direct fire. Lancet loitering munition use against UA artillery systematic and widespread. RF drone footage claims liquidation of UA positions on occupied left bank of Dnipro, Kherson Oblast. RF video claims assault on Stepnogorsk by RF SpN and paratroopers. Ballistic missile threat alert issued by Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and RBC-Ukraine, now lifted. Spokesperson for Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine, Vladyslav Voloshyn (RBC-Ukraine), reports RF conducting small assaults and regrouping in Zaporizhzhia direction. Explosions reported in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Ivan Fedorov, OBA Head). Air Force of Ukraine reports guided aerial bomb launches by enemy tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 2 KIA, 10 WIA (including 4 children) from a recent attack. RF aviation strike on Zaporizhzhia district previously reported 3 WIA, buildings damaged. ASTRA reports 2 KIA, 3 WIA in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to RF attacks over the past day. Воин DV video shows RF 35th Army 'Vostok' Group UAV operators striking UA personnel and vehicles in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports increased casualties to 12 WIA. Photo evidence provided of consequences of RF strike on Zaporizhzhia district, showing damaged buildings. RBC-Ukraine photo messages and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photo messages confirm 2 KIA and 12 WIA in Zaporizhzhia district from a recent attack, with photos showing damaged civilian structures (recreation base). Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Zaporizhzhia region, which may be target designators. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO confirm 4 FAB strikes by RF on a recreation base in Zaporizhzhia district, confirming previous reports of significant damage and casualties (2 KIA, 12 WIA). Ukrainian sources (Zelenskiy / Official, Oleg Syniehubov, Serhiy Lysak) are actively reporting on the humanitarian impact of these strikes, emphasizing the lack of military sense in targeting. Air Force of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAV activity in Dnipropetropovsk Oblast, which may be target designators. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows ongoing RF drone strikes and explosions around a ruined building in Zaporizhzhia, confirming continued RF targeting and combat. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 6 of 7 hospitalized adults from recreation complex strike are in surgery, confirming serious injuries. Север.Реалии posts photos confirming 2 KIA from RF strike on recreation base in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Southern Dnipropetrovsk region, indicating continued RF air operations targeting both regions. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration releases a video detailing the recovery of Zaporizhzhia residents from a "treacherous Russian attack," showing destroyed vehicles, damaged buildings, and eyewitness accounts, confirming the impact of previous strikes and ongoing humanitarian effects. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports an alert for ballistic missile threat from the south, now lifted. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration publishes video claiming RF consciously struck rescuers of the State Emergency Service in Huliaipole with a drone on August 3rd while they were extinguishing a fire, and RF published the footage themselves. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration confirms ongoing restoration efforts on a damaged apartment building in Zaporizhzhia. This indicates a focus on civilian infrastructure restoration and resilience. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy UAV activity in the northeast of Dnipropetropov Oblast (towards Pavlohrad from northeast), east of Dnipropetropov Oblast, and northeast of Zaporizhzhia city, with engagement of air defense assets. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows two RF paratroopers from 7th Airborne Division of Zaporizhzhia direction, requesting donations for drones and Starlink, indicating continued reliance on volunteer support for critical combat and communication equipment in this sector. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts multiple photo messages indicating the third wave of the "Pli-o-plic" project, focusing on strengthening partnerships within the Komysh-Zorya community. While not direct military action, this indicates ongoing civilian-military cooperation and resilience efforts within the oblast. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 38-year-old male KIA in Stepnohirsk due to enemy attack. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in southern Zaporizhzhia city. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the opening of a memorial plaque in Zaporizhzhia for fallen soldier Myroslav Afonin, indicating continued Ukrainian efforts to honor fallen servicemen and maintain public morale. RF claims UA artillery shelling of Zaporizhzhia NPP industrial zone. TASS reports windows broken in transport shop and print shop, no injuries. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration provides video of 35 quad bikes (ATVs) delivered to UA units in Zaporizhzhia, emphasizing their utility for reconnaissance, rapid deployment, evacuation, and supply. Операция Z reports Ukraine shelled the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP). ASTRA reports an RF strike on Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, resulted in one civilian KIA. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a Ukrainian air strike (with a "French baguette" – likely a euphemism for a glide bomb) on a building in Kamenskoye (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) allegedly used to accumulate "Putin's assault troops." TASS reports that IAEA experts will be notified on the morning of August 7 about the AFU artillery strike on ZNPP and shown the impact site. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the "Summary of the day 6 August," likely containing a general operational overview for RF forces. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts photo messages related to a construction site. This does not provide immediate military intelligence on battlefield geometry or force dispositions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows UAV operators of 7th Air Assault Division on Kamenskoye Zaporizhzhia direction destroying enemy manpower. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 mopeds flying towards Dnipro, with potential for explosions in Pavlohrad. Suspilne confirms explosions in Pavlohrad. Air Force of Ukraine updates on "Shahed" movement. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports another 5 mopeds flying towards Dnipro, predicting more explosions. Nikolaevskiy Vanek confirms these 5 mopeds are now over Dnipro. РБК-Україна confirms explosions also occurred in Dnipro. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV on the south of Dnipropetropovsk region heading North. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new mopeds approaching Kryvyi Rih slowly. Олександр Вілкул reports Shahed attack on Kryvyi Rih with series of explosions. РБК-Україна confirms explosions in Kryvyi Rih. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV threat for Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк reports only 1 drone remains. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports air alarm lifted. 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 reports an alarm, indicating an immediate threat, likely aerial. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the ballistic missile threat. РБК-Україна confirms the lifting of the ballistic missile threat. РБК-Україна reports a 62-year-old woman was killed in Huliaipole due to RF MLRS strike, as per Zaporizhzhia OMA. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts video from Zaporizhzhia front, Plovni (Плавни), showing drone footage of damaged urban/semi-urban area. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message claiming Масований терор Запорізької області - 723 удари за добу. 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 photo messages indicate fire and destruction after an attack, showing rubble and smoke, likely the aftermath of a recent strike in Zaporizhzhia. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, possibly indicating continued RF focus on this sector. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA report; MEDIUM for TASS claims, likely exaggerated; HIGH for UA Air Force warnings; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 on donations; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration on community project; HIGH for KIA report; HIGH for reconnaissance UAV; HIGH for memorial plaque; LOW for RF claims on ZNPP shelling veracity; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration video; LOW for Операция Z report on ZNPP shelling veracity; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for TASS report on ZNPP; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; LOW for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration photos military relevance; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video; HIGH for Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek report; HIGH for Suspilne report; HIGH for Air Force of Ukraine update; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek report; HIGH for Олександр Вілкул report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek report; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration report; HIGH for 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration photo messages; HIGH for АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report).
  • Ballistic missile threat from the south issued by Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RF forces struck the Samar TCC in Dnipropetrovsk. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kherson Oblast: RF (Dva Mayora) aerial footage shows artillery/missile strikes on residential area with significant destruction in Daryivka. RF drone footage claims liquidation of UA positions on occupied left bank of Dnipro, Kherson Oblast. UA tactical aviation reportedly struck a concentration of RF drone operators terrorizing civilians in Kherson region. RF proxy "Russian Kherson" claims Kyiv is evacuating civilians from the right bank of Dnipro for defense organization. TASS reports residents of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts are actively reporting UA coordinates to RF forces. Two Mayora video shows explosions near Antonovsky Bridge on RF-controlled side, likely RF shelling of UA positions. UA General Staff reports RF aviation conducted airstrikes at Olhivka, Kozatske, Daryivka of Kherson region. UA Southern Defense Forces report RF continues to attempt to gain foothold in Dnipro island zone. UA Southern Defense Forces also confirm inflicting significant losses on the enemy (photos of destroyed equipment and personnel). Fighterbomber reports a FAB-3000 strike near Kherson, indicating the deployment of very heavy aerial ordnance in the sector. Alex Parker Returns shares a video claiming Kadyrov's 72-year-old mother was awarded for "successful actions" in Kherson Oblast, which is likely propaganda. STERNENKO posts video claiming aftermath of strike on RF occupiers in Kherson direction, showing burning equipment and ammunition detonation. Silly Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine publish multiple photo/video messages showing destroyed RF military equipment and KIA personnel in Kherson Oblast, confirming UA success in inflicting losses. UA Air Force detected a location in occupied Oleshky, Kherson Oblast, where Russian drone operators, regularly terrorizing the right-bank Kherson region, were based. This location, a former sanitary-epidemiological station building used as a battalion-level command post, was struck by two aerial bombs, causing significant destruction and casualties. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports "Measures of the British in Kherson and Mykolaiv: rape women and evict peaceful people from homes." This is RF propaganda. Alex Parker Returns publishes a video claiming "testing of a new cluster cast iron in Kherson," showing an aerial bombardment of a building, causing a large explosion. The description claims 54 cumulative-fragmentation warheads are released, similar to an Iskander missile. This indicates potential new RF cluster munitions use or propaganda regarding their capabilities. RBC-Ukraine posts photos of the destroyed Kherson OMA building, confirming significant damage. Shef Hayabusa posts video of Kadyrov's mother being awarded for "services to Kherson region," which is RF propaganda. RF MoD reports Attack UAV operators of paratroopers from Ulyanovsk destroy motor vehicles and temporary deployment areas of the AFU on the right bank of Dnepr River in Kherson region. Video shows destroyed structures, vehicles (pickup, motorcycle), military equipment, explosions, and a damaged T-64BV tank. Николаевский Ванёк reports launch of a KAB on Kherson. Николаевский Ванёк reports second launch of a KAB on Kherson. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a photo message with the caption: "Kherson RMA for a second. Waiting for confirmation 🔥". ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that despite Russian strikes on the bridge to Korabelny district in Kherson, the structure is functioning, and Ukrainian military personnel remain on the island it connects to the city center, according to Southern Defense Forces spokesperson Colonel Voloshyn. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports high threat of enemy BECs (unmanned surface vehicles) by sea from Feodosia to Sochi, indicating RF concern for naval drone attacks in the Black Sea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages regarding repeated RF attempts to destroy the bridge to Korabelny district in Kherson today, stating that the bridge is still functioning. This provides updated information on previous reports of damage. Fighterbomber reports the score in the game Kherson bridge vs UMPK (glide bombs) has reached 6/0, implying RF claims of successful strikes on the bridge and its continued functionality. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of SSO operators hunting for BM-21 'Grad' MLRS, indicating UA counter-battery operations in an unspecified area, but relevant to the wider conflict. TASS reports that TCC employees in Kherson have become softer, fearing for their safety, according to the "Russian Kherson" underground organization. TASS reports an attack by unmanned boats on Novorossiysk, with sirens sounding along the coast. ASTRA reports explosions in Novorossiysk. TASS confirms the threat of attack by unmanned boats in Novorossiysk has been cancelled. Alex Parker Returns posts photo message claiming Russia is trying to occupy Kherson again by focusing strikes on key infrastructure and transport routes, citing CNN. Старше Эдды posts video claiming "Adventures of another group of suicides sent by the AFU command to the islands near Kherson." TASS reports that the Black Sea Fleet destroyed a Ukrainian unmanned boat in the Black Sea. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for RF strikes/footage; MEDIUM for UA claim; MEDIUM for RF proxy claim, likely propaganda; HIGH for TASS report on intel sharing; HIGH for Two Mayora video of Antonovsky Bridge; HIGH for UA report; HIGH for UA Southern Defense Forces report of RF losses; HIGH for FAB-3000 strike report; LOW for Alex Parker Returns video, likely propaganda/domestic news; HIGH for STERNENKO and Southern Defense Forces reports; HIGH for UA Air Force strike on Oleshky; LOW for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report, assessed as disinformation; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns video; MEDIUM for technical claims, likely exaggerated; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine on OMA; LOW for Shef Hayabusa on Kadyrov's mother military relevance; HIGH for RF MoD video and content; HIGH for KAB launches; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ photo message; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report and video; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photo message; HIGH for Fighterbomber report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ video; LOW for TASS report veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for Старше Эдды report; HIGH for TASS report).
  • NEW: Два майора video shows a compilation of drone attacks on Crimea, attributed to GUR MO, including targeting of naval assets, coastal infrastructure, air defense systems (Nebo-SVU, K-1 radar), and a command post at Ai-Petri. The video highlights successful evasion of a SU-30SM. This is a significant piece of RF counter-propaganda, confirming UA deep strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kharkiv Oblast: Active engagements persist. Vovchansk, Kupyansk, and Donetsk/Kharkiv regions under RF guided aerial bomb attacks. RF attacked Kupyansk with air bombs, 3 trapped in basement. RF (TASS, Marochko) previously claimed RF Army commenced "urban battles" in Kupyansk. UA (OTU "Kharkiv," 58th Separate Motorized Brigade) repelled RF attempts to assault former Hoptivka border crossing (04 AUG). RF military blogger (Операция Z / Военкоры Русской Весны) publishes drone footage of vehicles struck near Kupyansk. RF attacked Kharkiv city with a drone, targeting a gas station. 20-year-old female civilian injured in Kharkiv drone attack. Colonelcassad video claims FPV drones "VT-40" and "KVN" destroyed enemy transport and personnel (l/s) of UA Armed Forces, including a "Bukhanka" (UA van) filled with ammunition, in the Kharkiv direction. TASS reports women soldiers from UA leave recalled to Kharkiv Oblast for deployment. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Vovchansk and Fyholivka (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv direction) and near Radkivka, Holubivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Zahryzove and towards Novoplatonivka (Kupyansk direction). Kharkiv Oblast Administration Head Oleh Syniehubov reports Kharkiv city and 5 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were struck by RF yesterday. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Kharkiv region, which may be target designators. ASTRA reports a girl was injured in Kharkiv due to a Russian strike. Oleg Syniehubov posts photos of a meeting in Kharkiv Oblast, indicating continued governmental presence and efforts in the region. ОТУ "Kharkiv" reports on the operational situation in Kharkiv, confirming continued engagements. OTU "Kharkiv" shares video of 'STRIX' unit (4th Border Detachment) improving strike effectiveness against 11 targets. Kharkiv ODA Head Oleh Syniehubov warns of possible weather deterioration in Kharkiv Oblast. Oleg Syniehubov, Kharkiv ODA Head, posts photo messages of ongoing support for UA forces, showing aid being delivered. This confirms continued efforts to sustain troops. "Сливочный каприз" posts photo messages captioned "06.08.25 Kupyansk," depicting aerial views of partially destroyed urban or rural areas with multiple damaged structures, consistent with heavy shelling or aerial bombardment. This confirms ongoing combat and destruction in the Kupyansk direction. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs northeast of Chuhuiv. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy attack UAV in Kharkiv Oblast. Oleg Syniehubov (Kharkiv ODA Head) reports participation in 8th anniversary of Zolochiv community. Photos show a civilian/semi-official gathering. "Сливочный каприз" posts video showing aerial footage of a rural/forested landscape near Kupyansk-Sobolivka, including shell craters and a lone individual in military-style attire, indicating continued reconnaissance of a contested area. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts video of FPV drone strikes, captioned: "Combat classic of the combined forces of the Iron Brigade: drones with drops destroy occupiers hiding in forest thickets in Kharkiv Oblast." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a massive attack by RF regions with strike drones is expected from Kharkiv Oblast, indicating RF anticipates large-scale UA drone activity. РБК-Україна reports Russians attacked Sumy, with fires at the impact site, confirming recent RF strikes on Sumy. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on eastern Kharkiv region. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, possible air defense engagement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video confirms Radkivka, north of Kupyansk, under UA control. This indicates successful UA defensive operations and consolidation of control in this area, contradicting some RF claims of broad advances. TASS reports RF forces, having forded the Seversky Donets River, have regained part of the bank near Vovchansk. This suggests a localized RF advance and river crossing operation, indicating continued pressure on this axis and a potential threat to UA positions near the river. TASS reports that Russian force structures indicate up to 50% of Ukrainian assault groups in the Synelnikovo, Kharkiv Oblast, has been destroyed. TASS reports that UA forces are caught in a "fire bag" in Volchansk, as reported by Andrey Marochko. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports RF strikes on 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи на північ Харківщини! ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the operational situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo messages captioned "Купянское направление," providing a map indicating continued RF focus on this sector and ongoing military operations. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, posted photo messages indicating over 257 hectares of Kharkiv Oblast territory were demined in a week. Рыбарь posts photo messages titled "Купянск в полукотле?", indicating continued RF pressure and potential for encirclement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for all facts and movements; HIGH for RF supply delivery; HIGH for Colonelcassad video and claim of specific FPV drone type and target; HIGH for UA General Staff report; HIGH for ASTRA civilian casualty report; HIGH for SBU detention; HIGH for STERNENKO and Shef Hayabusa videos; MEDIUM for DPR People's Militia veracity of content, HIGH for indicator of RF activity; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; HIGH for Russian Military Bloggers video; HIGH for RF military blogger report on drone operations; HIGH for Shef Hayabusa video; HIGH for RF leaflet distribution; HIGH for UA soldiers holding position in encirclement, reported by ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAЇNЕ FIGHTS; HIGH for Syniehubov; HIGH for "Сливочный каприз"; HIGH for Air Force report; HIGH for Air Force warning; LOW for Syniehubov photos military relevance; HIGH for "Сливочный каприз" video; HIGH for ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 video; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Air Force of Ukraine report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video; HIGH for TASS report; MEDIUM for TASS report veracity; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА photo messages; HIGH for Рыбарь photo messages).
  • UPDATED: ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts video of 'STRIX' unit (4th Border Detachment) conducting drone strikes and requesting donations for EW and drones. This confirms continued UA counter-operations and persistent equipment needs for border defense units. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Oleg Syniehubov (Kharkiv ODA Head) reports on a working trip of President Zelenskyy to Sumy Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 posts photos showing Zelenskyy's working trip to Sumy Oblast, highlighting his engagement with military and local leadership. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Siversk Axis (Donetsk Oblast): UA (BUTUSOV PLUS) footage from 'Incognito' battalion (54th Sep Mech Bde) shows close-quarters drone combat. RF (TASS) claims taking Krasnyi Lyman and Siversk will reduce UA strikes on Kreminna. RF 103rd regiment claims advance towards Konstantinovka, engaging UA infantry. RF tactical aviation launched guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast. RF drone and artillery operators claim to have destroyed three UA UAV control points near Siversk. RF video showcases the "combat commonwealth" of ZALA Lancet UAVs and "Zoopark" radar system. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Hryhorivka and towards Siversk. UA General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Olhivka, Novyy Myr, Hluschenkove, Torske, Serebryanka, Hryhorivka, Kolodyazi and towards Cherneschyny, Seredne, Shandryholove and towards Cherneschyny, Seredne, Shandryholove (Lyman direction). TASS (Marochko) reports RF forces increased pressure on UA positions in southern Kremensky forests near Hryhorivka and Serebryanka. RBC-Ukraine reports the investigation into an RF military serviceman shooting a civilian in Donetsk Oblast has been launched. ASTRA shares video footage of the investigation into the Russian military serviceman who killed a civilian in Donetsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also shares video of the same incident, further confirming the investigation. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast, indicating continued heavy air support for RF ground operations. STERNENKO posts video showing UA "SPEAR Group B" continuing to hold back occupiers on the Siversk direction, including destruction of small RF vehicles with ATGMs, confirming UA defensive actions and successful engagements. A photo message from "Сливочный каприз" shows "Krasny Liman - Srednee" as of 06.08.25, indicating continued activity in this sector, potentially related to previous reports of pressure in southern Kremensky forests. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. "Сливочный каприз" posts photo message indicating activity in Konstantinovka - Bila Hora. DeepStateUA reports enemy advance in Serebryanske forestry. Операция Z reports RF forces are advancing along almost the entire Lyman direction, threatening UA with a new encirclement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports preliminary launches of X-101/55 cruise missiles from TU-160 aircraft, posing a broad threat. Военкор Котенок posts a photo message captioned "Krasnolimanskoye direction", providing additional confirmation of RF focus on this sector. Рыбарь posts a video titled "Liberation of Verkhnekamenskoye," indicating an RF claim of a significant tactical gain. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message showing a tactical map for the Krasnolimanskoye direction, indicating continued RF focus. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA combat/RF claims; MEDIUM for RF claims of specific targets destroyed veracity; HIGH for UA General Staff reports; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for ASTRA and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS videos; HIGH for Air Force report; HIGH for STERNENKO video; HIGH for photo message, context requires further analysis but indicates continued focus; HIGH for "Сливочный каприз" on Konstantinovka; HIGH for DeepStateUA report; MEDIUM for Операция Z report veracity of "new encirclement" claim, HIGH for indicator of RF activity; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок photo message; HIGH for Рыбарь report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 photo message).
  • Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast confirmed by Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: НгП раZVедка reports a precision strike on a training camp of the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade "Azov", indicating RF targeting of UA training infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • NEW: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи на Донеччину! (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Nikopol district attacked by UAVs and artillery. Civilian damage. UA OBA reports continued RF attacks on Nikopol, Pokrovsk, Marhanets communities with drones and artillery. TASS claims 20 personnel destroyed at UA command post in Novoselivka. TASS (Russian power structures) claim UA forces are retreating from positions in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapon use in Synelnykove district. Air Force of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAV activity in Dnipropetropovsk Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation towards Southern Dnipropetrovsk from Zaporizhzhia Oblast, confirming continued RF air operations targeting the region. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy UAV activity in the northeast of Dnipropetropov Oblast (towards Pavlohrad from northeast) and east of Dnipropetropov Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs southeast of Kryvyi Rih. Serhiy Lysak, Head of Dnipropetrovsk ODA, posts photo messages showing the evacuation of families with children, elderly, and less mobile individuals from frontline communities in Synelnykivsky district, noting the danger from explosions, drones, and KABs. This confirms continued humanitarian impact and ongoing efforts by UA authorities to mitigate it. Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetropovsk ODA) reports approximately seventy attacks across three districts of Dnipropetropavsk Oblast during the day, providing multiple photos of damaged civilian structures, indicating heavy RF bombardment. UA Dnipropetrovsk ODA Head Serhiy Lysak reports 3 KIA (2 men, 1 woman) in Nikopol due to artillery shelling. RBC-Ukraine reports that Russians killed two civilians and a rescuer in Nikopol. The accompanying photos show damaged civilian buildings and what appears to be a burned-out vehicle, confirming severe damage and casualties. STERNENKO posts photos showing 3 KIA, including a rescuer, due to RF artillery strike on Nikopol. ASTRA reports 3 KIA in Nikopol, including a rescuer, due to RF strike, with multiple photos of damaged structures and the deceased. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs from Sumy Oblast heading south towards Kharkiv and Poltava Oblasts. Explosions in Pavlohrad confirmed by Suspilne. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 mopeds flying towards Dnipro, potentially affecting the area. ❗️У Дніпрі знову гучно, - ОВА. Операция Z reports explosions and fires in Dnipropetropavsk from a massive attack. Multiple photos and videos from Операция Z depict large plumes of red smoke, fires, and urban destruction, consistent with significant attacks on Dnipropetropavsk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV on the north of Kherson Oblast moving towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in southern Dnipropetropovsk region heading North. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new mopeds approaching Kryvyi Rih slowly. Олександр Вілкул reports Shahed attack on Kryvyi Rih with series of explosions. РБК-Україна confirms explosions in Kryvyi Rih. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV threat for Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк reports only 1 drone remains. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that 33 UAVs were shot down overnight in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with photos showing damaged infrastructure. РБК-Україна reports that 4 people were injured in Dnipro due to a night drone attack, with fires and damage recorded, as per Serhiy Lysak. Colonelcassad [Photo message] Caption: Сервис NASA FIRMS зафиксировал тепловую аномалию на территории локомотивного депо ж/д станции "Нижнеднепровск-Узел" в н.п. Днепропетровск. РБК-Україна reports ❗️На Дніпропетровщині пролунали вибухи. Военкор Котенок reports Еще несколько кадров из Днепропетровской области, по которой этой ночью плотно работали "Герани". Операция Z reports massed drone attack on Kryvyi Rih. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message from Dnipropetropovsk Oblast Military Administration Head Serhiy Lysak, confirming four people were killed and eight wounded by RF attacks in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast yesterday, with photos of damaged residential areas and a burning vehicle. Военкор Котенок reports По предварительной информации, в Синельниково (Дніпропетровська область) этим утром прилетело по ТЦК. РБК-Україна photo messages indicate power grid damage in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, showing damaged electrical infrastructure, consistent with RF strikes. Олександр Вілкул (likely Head of Kryvyi Rih) posts multiple photo messages, captioned "ЗАКОНОМ НЕ ПЕРЕДБАЧЕНО, АЛЕ - РОБИМО," showing efforts to rebuild or reinforce civilian structures after attacks, indicating resilience. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA report; MEDIUM for TASS claims, likely exaggerated; HIGH for UA Air Force warnings; HIGH for Lysak report; HIGH for Serhiy Lysak report and photos; HIGH for Lysak report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report and photos; HIGH for STERNENKO photos; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Suspilne; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek; HIGH for ОВА report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Олександр Вілкул report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Николаевский Ванёк report; HIGH for 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Colonelcassad photo message; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for РБК-Україна photo messages; HIGH for Олександр Вілкул photo messages).
  • RF attacked «geraniums» railway infrastructure in Dnepropetrovsk region (WarGonzo, CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: UA Serhiy Lysak (Head of Dnipropetrovsk ODA) reports communities in the region have allocated over 2 billion UAH from their budgets to support the Security and Defense Forces this year. This indicates continued regional financial support for UA forces. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Sumy Oblast: UA achieved successes in liberating territory in Sumy Oblast and continues combat operations in Kursk Oblast. RF reports drone strikes by "Anvar" special detachment in Sumy border region. UA Border Guard Brigade "Steel Border" claims interception of 3 Supercam and 2 Zala drones in Sumy Oblast. Parts of Sumy temporarily without power due to RF attack. UA Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bomb launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. RF SpN "Anvar" claims to be burning UA equipment and positions near the border in support of RF advance. UA General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Khliborob of Sumy region. UA General Staff reports repelling 13 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Sumy region, which may be target designators. TASS (Vodolatsky) claims Ukrainian mobilized soldiers are caught in a "bag" between foreign mercenaries and RF forces in Sumy and Dnipropetrovsk regions, fearing surrender due to execution threats from UA. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAV activity in Sumy Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports activity of enemy UAVs north of Sumy city, with possible air defense engagement. An alarm is advised if detected. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports enemy UAV activity in Sumy Oblast (near Bilopillia), with engagement of air defense assets. Два майора shares video of RF reconnaissance/special forces unit operating in a wooded area on the Sumy direction, suggesting continued RF cross-border activity. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video of him visiting the command post of the 225th Separate Assault Regiment in Sumy Oblast, highlighting their role in the Kursk offensive last year and in replenishing the exchange fund with RF POWs. Accompanying photos show Zelenskyy interacting with military personnel. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video, captioned: "Today the competition among Russian cosmonauts-paratroopers flared up in earnest. Sumy front direction, footage of pilots of the 1st special operational detachment "UA_REG", who send a Russian soldier into eternal flight." Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA confirm Zelenskyy spoke with Trump from Sumy Oblast on the way from frontline brigades. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts multiple photos of Zelenskyy meeting with 225th Separate Assault Regiment in Sumy Oblast, reinforcing the previous report. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and Zelenskiy / Official release videos of Zelenskyy in Sumy Oblast visiting brigades, highlighting their defense and offensive operations in Kursk, and emphasizing the need for accelerating weapons and drone procurement. KMVA and Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv ODA, also share these videos, further confirming the visit and its messages. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a UAV threat for Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reiterates the UAV threat for Sumy Oblast with photo message. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos of Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Umerov on a working trip to Sumy Oblast. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video and photos of him meeting with territorial community heads in Sumy Oblast, discussing issues for frontline territories. Colonelcassad video shows "Anvar" special detachment clearing buffer zones in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts from Ukrainian militants, showing drone strikes on trenches and a transformer station. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs from Sumy Oblast heading south towards Kharkiv and Poltava Oblasts. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports on general "moped" (UAV) activity. Николаевский Ванёк: осталось 4 мопеда из всех; по мопедам на Днепр пока отбой; 1 остался, сейчас пролетает Синельниково; остаток по всем мопедам. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts tactical maps with text indicating UA forces are advancing in the Sumy direction. TASS reports UA forces are attempting to break through the flanks of advancing Russian troops near Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast; heavy fighting. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports БпЛА у центрі Сумщини ➡️ курсом на південний захід. РБК-Україна reports an explosion in Sumy. ASTRA reports an 88-year-old woman was wounded in a strike on Sumy Oblast. STERNENKO posts a YouTube assistant wanted ad, indicating continued efforts to enhance information outreach. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA action; MEDIUM for RF propaganda; HIGH for Air Force reports; HIGH for Air Force report of UAV activity; HIGH for AFU report; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official video and photos; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official, KMVA, and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, Zelenskiy / Official, KMVA, and Syniehubov videos; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warning; HIGH for РБК-Україна photo message; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Генеральний штаб ЗСУ photos; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official video and photos; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Nikolaevskiy Vanek report; HIGH for АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports; MEDIUM for TASS report veracity, HIGH for report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for STERNENKO report).
  • UPDATED: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи на Сумщину! This confirms continued RF use of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Luhansk People's Republic (LNR): RF reports 4 Svatovo water utility employees KIA, 2 WIA by UA UAV strike. Resident of Svatovo died after UA UAV attack. RF MoD video shows a Tornado-S MLRS crew of the Zapad Group of Forces striking temporary deployment areas and manpower clusters of AFU units in Luhansk People's Republic. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video emphasizing "Luhansk region - this is Ukrainian land," reaffirming sovereignty. DeepStateUA reports enemy advance in Serebryanske forestry. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages, captioned: "Again the AFU are hitting civilians in the LNR. In Svatovo, a Ukrainian FPV-drone attacked a civilian car." This is RF propaganda regarding UA targeting civilians, indicating continued information warfare efforts. MoD Russia reports ⚔️ The Giatsint-B guns of the 25th Combined Arms Army (Zapad Group of Forces) destroyed strongholds with manpower, a command post, and take-off points of the enemy's UAVs in the LPR. TASS reports RF FSB has detained a man in LNR for correcting UA strikes on Russian military personnel. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports ‼️🇷🇺Агент Киева задержан: В ЛНР житель Сватовского района передавал ВСУ данные о российской армии. STERNENKO posts photo messages claiming Russians created an online catalog for "selling" kidnapped Ukrainian children, including a flyer from LNR Ministry of Education and Science, indicating a continued focus on human rights violations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for DeepStateUA report; LOW for Colonelcassad photo message veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for MoD Russia report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for STERNENKO photo messages).
• Kursk Oblast (RF): UA continues combat operations in Kursk Oblast. RF (WarGonzo) reports "foreign terror" with mercenaries killing civilians, likely RF info op. RF SpN "Akhmat" unit 'Kursk' claims offensive action, mentioning crossing into 'Kurcha's region'. TASS reports Alexander Khinshtein, acting governor of Kursk, stated all participants in the "invasion" of Kursk Oblast will be punished. TASS reports 'Kursk residents lit lamps and laid out crane figures in memory of the victims of the Armed Forces of Ukraine invasion into the region'. TASS (Khinshtein) states "Ukrainian Armed Forces behaved like real occupiers" in Kursk Oblast. UA Operativny ZSU provides archival footage of SSO operations in Kursk region, including sabotage and engagements. UA General Staff commemorates August 6, 2024, as the start of the Kursk offensive operation, the first time full-scale war entered RF territory. UA Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states over 77,000 RF servicemen (including 4,000 DPRK citizens) killed and wounded, and 7236 units of RF equipment destroyed/damaged in the Kursk grouping of forces' area of responsibility over the past year. Дневник Десантника (RF) propaganda states "Тихий" and "Сибиль" saved civilians in Kursk during "enemy attack." Kotsnews shows images with caption "We trampled the best forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine into the ground. And our Russian soldier did it": how the Kursk region was liberated. Colonelcassad makes a statement on the "Anniversary of the Kursk adventure" and attributes RF success to a "cleverly planned General Staff operation with elements of military cunning (Operation Stream)." President Zelenskyy released a video highlighting Ukrainian active operations in Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts over the past year, emphasizing Ukraine's ability to "put Russia in its place" and respond to strikes. RBC-Ukraine shares the same video message of Zelenskyy on the anniversary of the Kursk operation. TASS video shows a public ceremony in Kursk where a stone monument is being unveiled, dedicated to "heroes who saved people during the "invasion" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine," reinforcing the RF propaganda narrative. Colonelcassad reports that Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states the UA offensive operation in Kursk Oblast has achieved most of its set goals, as defined by the state's highest leadership. TASS reports public ceremonies in Kursk commemorating "victims of the AFU invasion," including the planting of a rose alley. TASS also reports religious bells ringing across the Kursk eparchy in memory of the deceased. WarGonzo shares video of churches in Kursk Eparchy simultaneously ringing bells in memory of those killed during the "invasion" by AFU. Старше Эдды (RF milblogger) discusses the "anniversary of the battle in the Kursk border area, Kursk battle 2.0," acknowledging deep penetration by the enemy. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts video summarizing Ukrainian operations in Kursk and Sumy, including cross-border incursions, prisoner captures, and successful operations, reinforcing UA capabilities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that UA Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi stated Ukrainian forces "still maintain presence" in Glushkovsky district in Kursk region on the anniversary of the Kursk operation. This confirms continued UA presence on RF territory. TASS reports RF considers the Ukrainian invasion of Kursk Oblast a failure, citing Neue Zürcher Zeitung. This is RF propaganda attempting to downplay UA success. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video and photo messages of a public memorial event in Kursk at the "Kursk Arc" memorial, where a stone monument is being laid for "heroes who saved peaceful residents from AFU aggression." Individuals in military-style uniforms and religious clergy are present, reinforcing the RF "victim" narrative and domestic mobilization efforts. TASS posts video of a solemn ceremony involving a large bronze bell being struck and floral wreaths, further reinforcing RF's memorial efforts in Kursk. WarGonzo posts video and photo messages of a public gathering at night where red candles are arranged to form "August 6, 2024, We Remember" and bird shapes, again related to the Kursk memorial. Zelenskiy / Official (and also Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv ODA, sharing the same content) posts a video of him visiting the command post of the 2nd Airborne Assault Battalion of the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Halychyna Brigade, awarding state honors. He explicitly thanks them for their service, defense of Ukraine, and "for the Kursk operation and for very brave steps," confirming the brigade's involvement and success in the Kursk offensive. Multiple accompanying photos show Zelenskyy interacting with military personnel. Poddubny (RF milblogger) claims Zelenskyy's visit to the 225th Assault Regiment in Sumy Oblast comes "literally on the eve" of the unit's refusal to counter-attack in Sumy Oblast, attributing this to heavy losses during the "Kursk adventure." This is RF propaganda attempting to undermine UA morale and the significance of Zelenskyy's visit. KMVA (Kyiv City Military Administration) and Oleg Syniehubov (Head of Kharkiv ODA) share video and photos of the visit to the 225th Separate Assault Regiment's command post in Sumy Oblast, highlighting their role as "the first to enter Kursk region last year" and "significantly replenished our exchange fund [with POWs]," reinforcing the unit's offensive capabilities and success. Старше Эдды asks: "What is the main conclusion to be drawn on the anniversary of the AFU invasion of Kursk land?" This indicates continued RF focus on the Kursk narrative. DeepStateUA posts photo messages confirming that fighters of the 225th Separate Assault Regiment and 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade received awards from President Zelenskyy on the anniversary of the Kursk operation. Басурин о главном posts multiple photo messages captioned "Year of Courage: how Kursk land became a symbol of resilience and unity," displaying RF propaganda materials, possibly related to memorial events for the Kursk "invasion" anniversary. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, Zelenskiy / Official, KMVA, and Oleh Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv ODA, release videos of Zelenskyy in Sumy Oblast visiting brigades, highlighting their defense and offensive operations in Kursk, and emphasizing the need for accelerating weapons and drone procurement. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video and multiple photos confirming his visit to the 95th Separate Air Assault Polissia Brigade command post, thanking them for their participation in the Kursk operation and awarding state honors. This directly links the 95th Brigade to the Kursk offensive and reinforces UA success. Старше Эдды posts multiple videos and photos regarding the anniversary of the UA invasion into Kursk Oblast on August 6, 2024, claiming significant territorial occupation (1000 sq km, dozens of villages, Sudzha) during the first weeks. This is a significant RF propaganda effort to highlight the perceived threat and the scale of the incursion, and includes images and videos of what appears to be a destroyed tank and soldiers in a store, likely for internal consumption. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos of Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Umerov on a working trip to Sumy Oblast. Рыбарь posts videos and photo messages related to the anniversary of the UA invasion into Kursk Oblast, reiterating claims of significant occupied territory and featuring footage of a destroyed tank and soldiers in a store. Colonelcassad posts new video about the anniversary of the UA invasion into Kursk Oblast, featuring a priest from Sudzha and showing scenes of damage and aid. НгП раZVедка channel reports on the anniversary of Ukrainian terrorists invading Kursk Oblast, reinforcing RF narrative. Два майора reports Major Smolkotin Yury Alexandrovich, head of a border outpost on the Russian-Georgian border, was on a mission in Kursk Oblast. Филолог в засаде criticizes Russian "patriots" for downplaying problems, specifically the water supply situation in Donbas, and their role in framing the Kursk invasion, indicating internal RF criticism. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for UA action; MEDIUM for RF claims and specific unit actions; HIGH for Khinshtein statement and TASS propaganda; HIGH for UA SSO footage and General Staff commemoration; HIGH for Syrskyi statement; HIGH for RF propaganda; HIGH for Kotsnews propaganda; MEDIUM for Colonelcassad's operational claims veracity; HIGH for Zelenskyy video; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine video; HIGH for TASS video; HIGH for Colonelcassad report on Syrskyi; HIGH for TASS reports on Kursk memorials; HIGH for WarGonzo video; HIGH for Старше Эдды report; HIGH for Шеф Hayabusa; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО; LOW for TASS on failure veracity; HIGH for Операция Z; HIGH for TASS video; HIGH for WarGonzo video; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official video and photos; LOW for Poddubny claim veracity; HIGH for KMVA and Syniehubov content; HIGH for Старше Эдды question; HIGH for DeepStateUA photo messages; LOW for Басурин о главном photo messages veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, Zelenskiy / Official, KMVA, and Syniehubov videos; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official video and photos; LOW for Старше Эдды videos and photos veracity but HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for Генеральний штаб ЗСУ photos; HIGH for Рыбарь videos and photo messages; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; HIGH for НгП раZVедка report; HIGH for Два майора report; HIGH for Филолог в засаде report).
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad reports a new training ground is being equipped at the Voin Center in Kamchatka. While far from Ukraine, this indicates continued RF military training infrastructure development. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Rostov Oblast (RF): UA (Оперативний ЗСУ) claims RF PVO missile struck RF military unit 7km from Bataysk, Rostov Oblast. Video/photo evidence of large smoke plume. RF (ASTRA) also reports strong explosion. Explosion at military unit in Bataysk, Rostov Oblast, ~18:25 local time. Likely fratricide or malfunction. РБК-Україна reports 'Russians complain that unknown drones again attacked Trostyanska railway station in Rostov region. There is allegedly a fire'. ASTRA also reports 'Second strike on the territory of the Trostyanska railway station in Rostov region inflicted in the last 24 hours. A fire broke out'. Videos show significant fires. RF PVO forces repelled an attack in one city and three districts of Rostov Oblast. Nearly 200 people without power in Zolotyarevka Khutor due to UAV attack. Rostov Oblast Governor reports 'repelled attack of unknown drones this night'. "Операция Z / Военкоры Русской Весны" reports enemy attacked Rostov Oblast, with blurry footage of projectile/debris. RF MoD claims 51 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Russian regions (including Crimea) overnight. ASTRA confirms 51 UAVs downed. "Dnevnik Desantnika" (RF) claims 51 UAVs destroyed by PVO. Операция Z reports 51 Ukrainian drones downed over 5 RF regions (reiterating RF MoD claim). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video confirms strike on Tatsinskaya railway junction in Rostov Oblast, showing large explosion and fire. Sever.Realii reports 200 people in Rostov Oblast lost electricity due to drone attack. ASTRA reports fire in Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast after attack on railway station. РБК-Україна reports fire in Surovikino railway station due to unknown drone attack. TASS reports an aerial attack has been repelled in two districts of Rostov Oblast, with no casualties. ASTRA reports explosions in Novorossiysk. TASS confirms the threat of attack by unmanned boats in Novorossiysk has been cancelled. TASS and Оперативний ЗСУ report that RF MoD claims 82 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over regions of Russia overnight. ТАСС reports Силы ПВО с 06:20 до 10:35 мск сбили 43 украинских беспилотника над регионами России, сообщили в Минобороны РФ. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for original incident; HIGH for drone strike confirmation; HIGH for RF PVO report and power outage; HIGH for Governor report; HIGH for military blogger report; MEDIUM for RF MoD/ASTRA/Dnevnik Desantnika claims veracity, likely exaggerated on UA losses; HIGH for RF military blogger report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО video; HIGH for Sever.Realii report; HIGH for ASTRA reports; HIGH for РБК-УКРАЇНА reports; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for ТАСС report).
• Internal RF Analysis: RF attempts to conceal sensitive data from strategic industries due to sanctions. Chechen troops' performance discussed. Kadyrov ordered intensified efforts to combat slander/disinformation. RF recruitment video advertises 5.5M rubles for first year of service. Russia considering "limited air truce" or "goodwill gesture" for Trump, involving halt to drone/missile strikes, while continuing ground war. Peskov declined comment. Bloomberg report on RF "air truce" consideration confirmed via photo message. Putin extends volunteer support regime in Donbas and Novorossiya to all border regions. Video shows RF forces in combat operations with armored vehicles and infantry. RF military blogger reports father in FSO urgently called to meeting, told to pack "red buttons and drones," and buy iodine for two weeks. RF military blogger criticizes "air truce" idea. US State Department confirms Witkoff visit to RF "this week," agenda undisclosed. Mother and daughter sentenced to 12 years for "treason" in Sevastopol. Z-blogger "Trinadtsatiy" claims armed men are looking for him. Public collection for "frontline vehicles" by military bloggers confirms continued reliance on volunteer support for specific equipment. Video from 20th Army, Group 'Zapad', shows a tank with additional protection firing its main gun and in combat operations. Reuters reports Witkoff expects to meet with RF leadership on August 6. Donald Trump publicly stated he is trying to "get the US out of the military conflict in Ukraine" and that a meeting with Russia is scheduled for "tomorrow." TASS reports Trump said he didn't know about Ghislaine Maxwell's prison transfer. Операция Z / Военкоры Русской Весны reports US State Dept. urges no premature conclusions on sanctions and that Trump is set for diplomatic resolution. TASS reports Sergei Mironov proposes zeroing out mortgage rates for large families and gradual mortgage repayment for families with children. TASS reports Milonov called to stop alcohol delivery services. TASS reports Brad Pitt bought a mansion in Los Angeles for $12 million. In Tula Oblast, 4 KIA due to detonation of explosive device. Criminal case opened. TASS reports on a civilian legal proceeding regarding the "Tverskie terrorists Islomovye" (Crocus attack). TASS reports that the displacement of Kamchatka after an earthquake will not affect the peninsula's climate. TASS photo message claims pharmaceutical giants tried to hide the superiority of "Sputnik V" vaccine. TASS reports that passengers are entitled to free water, food, and hotel accommodation for long flight delays. TASS reports American actress Kelly Mack died. TASS reports scammers can steal logins/passwords via QR-code Wi-Fi in cafes. TASS reports Boris Chernyshov (Duma Deputy Speaker) proposed placing "frightening images" on IQOS packaging due to health concerns for young smokers. TASS reports US authorities auctioned off the yacht "Amadea," allegedly belonging to RF Senator Suleiman Kerimov. TASS reports average traffic fines in Russia decreased by 4% to 990 rubles in Q2. TASS (Peskov) states the record-long absence of a meeting between RF and US leaders is "nothing special" after the Biden administration. TASS reports an unknown man on a jet ski hit two girls in Primorye; one moderately injured. TASS reports bypass road construction began in Amur region after Lena highway collapse; to be completed by August 9. TASS reports a Ukrainian POW escaped from a unit to seek military-political asylum in Russia. This is likely an RF information operation. Colonelcassad releases video of RF ATGM/recoilless rifle teams destroying UA armored vehicles and firing positions using "roaming gun" tactics, reported by RF MoD. TASS reports China is unlikely to stop oil purchases from Russia despite Trump's threats, according to South China Morning Post experts. TASS confirms plane, presumably carrying a US special envoy, entered Russian airspace. ASTRA reports 4 KIA in Tula Oblast due to grenade explosion by previously convicted servicemember returned from war. News of Moscow Public Chamber proposing compensation for flight delays due to "carpet plan" suggests widespread impact of drone activity. New TASS report shows a civilian convoy with police escort, confirming routine internal traffic. News of IQOS packaging proposal is domestic policy. ASTRA releases video of Witkoff "walking" in Moscow, confirming his presence in the capital. RF media (Полиция Хабаровского края) releases video on cyber security and fraud prevention, indicating internal police focus on domestic issues. Новости Москвы reports a threefold increase in demand for AI directors in Russia, indicating a focus on technological development. TASS reports a magnitude 5.7 earthquake in Kamchatka (low military relevance). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 makes a general greeting to "family" (unclear military relevance). Операция Z reports 51 Ukrainian drones downed over 5 RF regions (reiterating RF MoD claim). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video confirms strike on Tatsinskaya railway junction in Rostov Oblast, showing large explosion and fire. Sever.Realii reports 200 people in Rostov Oblast lost electricity due to drone attack. Новости Москвы posts photo message for Alpha-Bank, not militarily relevant. TASS reports Max messenger app has successfully tested equipment for connecting to "Gosuslugi," confirming state control over digital communications. TASS reports on the conviction of Zarema Musaeva to 3 years and 11 months in a penal colony for "disorganization of the colony's activities," confirmed by Sever.Realii. This is an internal legal matter with no direct military relevance. Igor Artamonov, likely a regional official, posts photo messages regarding sports awards, indicating domestic social events with no military relevance. TASS reports a proposal to limit "aggressive imposition of services in tourist places," indicating domestic social policy. Colonelcassad posts photo messages for "aid collection for children in the SMO zone," reinforcing humanitarian aid efforts by RF milbloggers. Alex Parker Returns posts photo message with strong anti-Ukrainian rhetoric ("Wherever you kiss the Khokhol - it's a butt. Parker's axiom works flawlessly. And there was no one to refute it."), which is RF propaganda. TASS news update summarizing recent key events, including Witkoff-Putin meeting, Gagauzia resolution, Trump's tariffs on India, and a new standard for school uniform fabric. Операция Z reports on Russia's proposed "air truce" which would benefit Russia by allowing continued ground war. TASS reports Russian Interior Ministry warns about phishing sites requesting urgent/excessive data, indicating internal cyber security concerns. Mash na Donbashe reports a woman gave birth to a daughter from an SVO fighter a year after his death and then received survivor benefits, framed as a "wild" but explainable story, likely intended to romanticize military service and demonstrate state support for families. TASS reports Putin is participating in the opening of facilities for "Builder's Day" via video conference. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a video featuring a man claiming the Kamchatka volcanic eruption and earthquakes are due to "special operations of the USA and Ukraine," which is disinformation. TASS video shows Putin speaking about the dedication of builders restoring regions in Donbas and Novorossiya despite the difficult situation. Igor Artamonov posts a video of a newly reconstructed stadium in Izmalkovo, stating it was done at residents' request and funded by the oblast, highlighting civilian infrastructure development in RF. TASS posts a video of Putin signing documents and discussing positive public evaluations for governors, likely a domestic political message. Новости Москвы posts video about a woman housing 30 Maine Coon cats in a Moscow apartment, which is civilian content. TASS reports Stanislav Cherchesov discussed improving FC Akhmat's RPL standings (sports news). AV БогомаZ posts videos of Putin participating in a videoconference about infrastructure development, focusing on new bridge openings in border regions. No direct military elements, but highlights domestic investment and propaganda. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts two identical video messages with the caption: "We want Ukraine as a state to cease to exist. So that people leave from there, to put it mildly - into emigration. Or somewhere else far away. This is our goal," indicating extreme RF war aims and a genocidal intent against the Ukrainian state and population. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video featuring political analyst Bogdan Bezpalko discussing Russia's military capabilities and perceived intentions, asserting that the West underestimates Russia's potential and its ability to project power, mentioning the possibility of nuclear weapons and suggesting a failure to recognize this threat would lead to Russia dictating terms and dividing territories. This is a significant RF propagandist's statement about their strategic goals and capabilities. AV БогомаZ posts two videos of Putin attending a video conference for new bridge openings. Kotsnews posts photos with the caption "Remember, brother...", likely related to a fallen RF soldier. Новости Москвы reports the Moscow Exchange Index jumped 2.5%, reaching a monthly high, indicating economic stability or growth for RF. Два майора has posted two videos requesting donations for "frontline vehicles." Новости Москвы photo message and analysis states "Sex is necessary for a person to not get sick, - scientists," confirming continued domestic civilian content. ТАСС reports: Госдума осенью вернется к обсуждение ограничений продажи вейпов и электронных сигарет. Операция Z reports 951 participant of the SMO (Special Military Operation) has been nominated by United Russia (ruling party) for the 2025 elections. ТАСС reports the court recognized as legal the arrest of former Deputy Deputy Head of Rosgvardia Strigunov, accused of three episodes of receiving bribes and abuse of official powers. ТАСС reports hundreds of malicious websites using the RuStore brand were blocked last month. ТАСС reports group of LDPR deputies proposed banning price increases during emergencies. The RF milblogger "Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат»" shares a photo message that, while not militarily significant, is a meme reflecting an element of internal Russian military culture or sentiment regarding nuclear weapons. TASS reports Klyuchevsky volcano eruption on Kamchatka received the highest aviation danger code. Colonelcassad shares a video captioned "China accelerates pace in space space," displaying a vessel launching (likely a rocket recovery vessel) with text overlay "CHINA ARMY." This indicates RF's continued focus on China's military-industrial and technological advancements. Операция Z reports a US military personnel was detained in Texas for attempting to transfer data on Abrams tanks and US military operations to Russia. TASS reports a SBU agent was sentenced to 20 years for plotting an assassination attempt on the Russian Long-Range Aviation commander in 2024. The agent did not admit guilt. Полиция Хабаровского края posts two identical photo messages with the caption: "In Nikolaevsk-on-Amur, police initiated two criminal cases of fraud." The third image appears to be a graphic with text and illustrations, likely for public awareness or educational purposes related to cybersecurity, using an anonymous hacker mask motif to represent different entities making calls or requests via messaging applications. This indicates RF internal focus on combating civilian fraud and cyber security awareness campaigns. TASS reports China and Russia reduced trade volume by 8.1% in Jan-Jul to $125.8B. TASS video claims RF MoD Mi-28NM helicopters from Vostok group of forces destroyed UA armored vehicles. ТАСС reports that Myint Swe, acting president of Myanmar, has died. ТАСС reports two teenagers were detained in Novosibirsk Oblast for preparing to murder a serviceman with chemical substances, allegedly from Ukrainian special services. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. TASS reports 11 trains in the direction of Crimea are delayed, reason unknown. TASS reports Umrjon Soliev, who delivered weapons for the Crocus attack, intends to transfer money as compensation to victims to mitigate his punishment. TASS reports prohibition of free schooling for migrants contradicts RF Constitution. ТАСС reports former governor of Chelyabinsk Oblast, Boris Dubrovsky, is wanted on criminal charges by the Interior Ministry. ТАСС reports Минцифры до конца 2025 года проработает автоматическое получение положенных льгот участникам спецоперации, ветеранам боевых действий и членам их семей, сообщил Шадаев. ТАСС reports Мосгорсуд оставил в СИЗО главреда Telegram-канала Baza Глеба Трифонова. TASS reports Russian banks in Q2 reflected 38.7 million attempts to commit fraudulent operations – 1.5 times more than the average for the preceding four quarters.** Старше Эдды video discusses new Russian legislation on VPN usage and access to "forbidden" content, imposing fines for individuals and organizations, indicating stricter internet control. ТАСС reports on the first criminal case in Russia against a "dropover" for illegal financial activities, indicating continued internal financial security efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for original incident; HIGH for drone strike confirmation; HIGH for RF PVO report and power outage; HIGH for Governor report; HIGH for military blogger report; MEDIUM for RF MoD/ASTRA/Dnevnik Desantnika claims veracity, likely exaggerated on UA losses; HIGH for RF military blogger report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО video; HIGH for Sever.Realii report; HIGH for Max messenger; HIGH for Musaeva conviction; HIGH for Artamonov; HIGH for TASS on tourism; HIGH for Colonelcassad humanitarian aid; HIGH for Alex Parker propaganda; LOW for TASS news update military relevance; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for TASS report on phishing; LOW for Mash na Donbashe report military relevance, HIGH for info environment relevance; HIGH for TASS report on Putin; LOW for Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 video veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for TASS video on builders; HIGH for Igor Artamonov video; HIGH for TASS video on Putin and governors; LOW for Новости Москвы video military relevance; LOW for TASS reports on Cherchesov military relevance; HIGH for AV БогомаZ videos; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video messages; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video; HIGH for AV БогомаZ videos; HIGH for Kotsnews photos; HIGH for Новости Москвы report; HIGH for Два майора videos; LOW for Новости Москвы photo message and analysis military relevance; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report on RuStore; HIGH for ТАСС report on price increases; LOW for «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» photo message military relevance; HIGH for TASS report on volcano; HIGH for Colonelcassad video; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Полиция Хабаровского края photo messages; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS video and content; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report on teenagers; HIGH for ASTRA reports; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Старше Эдды video; HIGH for ТАСС report).
  • UPDATED: General SVR makes a general greeting to subscribers, but provides no specific military intelligence content. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the message, LOW for military relevance).
  • UPDATED: Филолог в засаде makes a personal reflection about not being engaged in "practical work" and critiques Russian "patriots" for downplaying problems like the Donbas water supply, and for their role in framing the Kursk invasion. This indicates internal RF criticism of both leadership and other milbloggers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Moldova/Gagauzia: RF sources report on Head of Gagauzia's alleged imprisonment, framed as "political reprisal" by Zakharova. TASS reports Victor Vodolatsky's opinion that Eugenie Gutsul's verdict will allow Maia Sandu to pressure the local population to prevent mass protests. TASS reports Vodolatsky states Kyiv declared war on children by adding them to the Myrotvorets extremist website (referencing a long-standing RF info op). TASS reports the CEC of Bosnia and Herzegovina annulled the mandate of Republika Srpska head Dodik and ordered early elections, indicating broader political instability in the region that RF may seek to exploit. WarGonzo shares photo messages discussing the arrest of Gagauzia's Head, further confirming RF's focus on this region for propaganda. The Parliament of Gagauzia adopted a resolution demanding the release of Gutsul and an objective investigation into her case, reinforcing the political tensions and RF's narrative. TASS reports Tatiana Moskalkova appealed to the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights regarding the sentence handed down to Gagauzia's head. Басурин о главном reports Hungary's Foreign Minister stated Ukraine has no place in the EU and cannot be considered a civilized state. TASS reports that the UN Security Council will hold closed consultations on the situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina on August 7. TASS reports Gagauzia head's lawyer states children will not help postpone sentence execution. Рыбарь posts photo messages titled "In Gagauzia, they announced disobedience to Chisinau." TASS reports Moldovan police are conducting 78 searches in connection with illegal financing and corruption in elections, indicating ongoing internal political instability and legal actions. TASS reports Moldovan parliament deputies were not allowed to check the detention conditions of Gutsul in the pre-trial detention center. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for reports; MEDIUM for Vodolatsky's opinion as unverified political commentary; HIGH for TASS propaganda; HIGH for TASS report on BiH; HIGH for WarGonzo report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Басурин о главном report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Рыбарь photo message; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report).
• Belarus: UA reports Belarus seeking to change law on war, making "aggression against RF" a reason for mobilization. Belarus is considering implementing martial law due to the war in Ukraine. TASS reports the first echelon of RF military personnel and equipment has arrived in Belarus for joint "Zapad-2025" exercises in September, indicating preparations for large-scale military drills. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares photo messages and captions explicitly stating the arrival of RF soldiers and equipment in Belarus for "Zapad-2025," framing it as "killers, rapists, and looters" being welcomed, indicating UA propaganda countering this troop movement. Colonelcassad shares photo confirming the arrival of the first echelon of RF military personnel and equipment in Belarus for "Zapad-2025." Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts multiple photo messages confirming the arrival of Russian troops in Belarus for "Zapad-2025" exercises, with captions explicitly stating "Moscow is preparing something under the guise of military exercises." Воин DV posts photo messages indicating Russia and Belarus are in the final stage of preparing joint exercises. TASS reports Minsk is concerned by aggressive posture of Poland and Baltic states towards Belarus, as stated by Lukashenko, indicating a heightened political tension. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Воин DV photo message; HIGH for TASS report).
• India-Russia Relations: Indian NSA Ajit Doval in Moscow. RF Dep Def Min Fomin met Indian Ambassador to discuss bilateral defense cooperation. TASS reports that Trump's tariffs against India for Russian oil exports would harm the US, citing CNN. This is RF propaganda. RBC-Ukraine reports that Trump signed an order for additional 25% tariffs against India due to RF oil purchases. Оперативний ЗСУ and STERNENKO confirm Trump signed an order to impose additional 25% tariffs on goods from India. ASTRA reports Trump signed the order, citing media claims it's a response to Indian purchases of RF oil. Военкор Котенок also reports this, citing the White House statement. RBC-Ukraine reports that US may introduce additional duties against other countries importing oil from RF (not just raw crude). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on India for buying Russian oil. Оперативний ЗСУ reports India's Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) stated "US measures are unjust, unjustified, and illogical, and we will take necessary measures to protect our national interests," indicating India's direct public response to the US tariffs. RBC-Ukraine reports India's Prime Prime Minister will visit China for the first time in seven years, citing Reuters, which could indicate a diplomatic reorientation following US tariffs. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports India sharply reacted to the US imposing additional duties for the purchase of Russian oil, further confirming the diplomatic fallout. WarGonzo shares a photo message about why Trump did not wait for Witkoff from Moscow before imposing 25% tariffs against India, implying strategic calculation. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts photo messages stating that following US attacks, Russia and India signed a protocol on expanding industrial and technological cooperation, aimed at showing resilience and new alliances. Colonelcassad posts a photo message confirming Russia and India signed a protocol on expanding industrial and technological cooperation. Kotsnews reports New Delhi responded to Trump regarding the tariffs. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message reporting that the Indian government called the new American duties unfair, discriminatory, and unacceptable, highlighting India's continued stance. Colonelcassad reports that Indian Prime Prime Minister Narendra Modi will personally attend the next SCO summit in China, noting that US pressure on Beijing and Delhi creates a situation where cooperation between China and India may be simpler than with Washington. Kotsnews reports India stated expanding cooperation with Russia. TASS reports Trump does not exclude the possibility that the US will later cancel additional 25% duties against India for buying Russian oil. TASS reports Trump intends to introduce more secondary sanctions against RF trading partners. TASS reports despite Trump's expectations, US tariff wars may unite BRICS countries, according to Pushkov. This indicates RF's interpretation that US economic pressure could inadvertently strengthen its alliances. РБК-Україна reports Brazil's President plans to meet BRICS leaders to discuss a joint response to US tariffs. РБК-Україна reports Indian refineries are awaiting government orders to stop purchasing oil from RF, citing Reuters. Воин DV reports US has imposed sanctions on India. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts a photo message claiming Тарифная политика Трампа ставит под угрозу отношения США с Индией, — NYT. ТАСС reports Шойгу заявил на встрече с советником премьер-министра Индии по нацбезопасности Довалом, что Москве и Нью-Дели важно определить сроки новых полноформатных переговоров Путина и Моди. ТАСС reports India is waiting for Putin's visit at the end of August, hoping for a significant result from the meeting of the leaders of the two countries. TASS reports Поставщики Apple из Индии считают, что на местную продукцию, включая iPhone, не будут распространяться пошлины США, пишет Nikkei Asia. Alex Parker Returns video suggests that Indian NSA Ajit Doval's visit to Moscow, and Russian officials like Shoigu, imply continued strong ties despite US pressure, but the video itself is largely critical of Shoigu's perceived failures. Операция Z video shows a Russian official speaking about strong, reliable, and strategic ties between Russia and India, confirming the narrative pushed by RF. TASS reports that Trump's tariffs against India could negate 20 years of US foreign policy efforts, indicating RF's view on the negative impact of these sanctions on US influence. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for reports; LOW for veracity of CNN citation; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, ASTRA, Военкор Котенок; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report on India's MFA; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report on India PM visit; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for WarGonzo photo message; HIGH for Операция Z photo messages; HIGH for Colonelcassad photo message; HIGH for Kotsnews report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns photo message; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for Kotsnews report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Воин DV report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; LOW for Alex Parker Returns video veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for Операция Z video; HIGH for TASS report).
• Lithuania: "Gerbera" type drone with 2kg explosives fell in Lithuania last week. Два майора posts a photo message claiming "Baltics are ho-hols [derogatory term for Ukrainians] and are trying to milk rich partners using the Ukrainian scheme," which is RF propaganda. STERNENKO reports NATO spokesperson Alison Hart's statement after the Russian UAV entered Lithuanian territory, indicating NATO's awareness and concern regarding border incidents. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Odessa Oblast: Man detained for fatally wounding police officer. Reports 1 "moped" (UAV) approaching Izmail. Reports 15 "mopeds" in the sea, far from shore. Николаевский Ванёк reports 26 "mopeds" flying from Tatarbunary towards Izmail district. Subsequent report from Николаевский Ванёк states "quantity of mopeds decreased to 18." Николаевский Ванёк reports "отбой" (all clear) for mopeds. Air Force of Ukraine confirms "Відбій загрози ударних БпЛА" (All clear for attack UAV threat). Video shows large fire near Orlivka, Odessa Oblast due to "Shahed" strikes, visible from Romania. "Dnevnik Desantnika" (RF) claims RF Geran-2 UAVs struck a gas distribution station near Odessa overnight. "Dnevnik Desantnika" (RF) claims RF Geran-2 UAVs struck a gas distribution station near Odessa overnight. ДВУХ МАЙОРОВ (Dva Mayora), Военкор Котенок (Kotsnews), Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Операция Z, and РБК-Україна publish multiple videos and captions confirming widespread Russian drone strikes on gas infrastructure in Izmail district, Odessa Oblast, specifically mentioning the "Orlovka" gas compressor station near the Romanian border. These confirm previous reports of drone activity and target identification, showing significant fires and a consistent focus on energy infrastructure. Оперативний ЗСУ reports enemy attacked gas infrastructure in Izmail district, Odessa Oblast, with strike UAVs, citing the Odesa Oblast Military Administration. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy stated Russia struck a gas station in Odessa Oblast last night. Colonelcassad provides video footage of Romanians observing "Geran" kamikaze drone attacks on the "Orlovka" gas compressor station near the Romanian border in Odessa Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video showing the fire from the Odessa strike was visible from Romania, confirming the scale. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides photo and video messages confirming Shahed strikes on gas transportation infrastructure in Odessa Oblast. Басурин о главном shares multiple videos of large explosions and fires in Odesa Oblast, identifying them as combined strikes on infrastructure and military targets, providing further visual confirmation of the attacks. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a scheme for evading mobilization was exposed in Odesa, leading to detention of a trauma doctor, two civilians, and a serviceman. Оперативний ЗСУ and RBC-Ukraine reports that Russia attacked a gas transportation system (GTS) object in Odessa Oblast near the Ukrainian-Romanian border with dozens of UAVs. The Ukrainian Ministry of Energy confirms this target provides a diversified route for gas supply to Ukraine. "Два майора" and "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" have shared a map showing gas pipelines near Orlovka GIS, indicating continued RF focus on this energy infrastructure. Военкор Котенок confirms Ukrainian Ministry of Energy confirmed the gas compressor station in Odessa Oblast was hit, stating it's "the one that Gerans worked on at night." Alex Parker Returns posts videos claiming Румыны наблюдают за прилетами Геранек по газовому терминалу, через который на Украину хотели наладить поставки азербайджанского газа. Зафиксировано около 15 прилетов, хотя официально их не подтвердили. Быть добру! (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report).
• Mykolaiv Oblast: Threat of UAVs in Mykolaiv Oblast. Air Force warns of drone threat to Mykolaiv Oblast. UA Air Force confirms "відбій загрози застосування дронів" (all clear for drone threat). Николаевский Ванёк reports that clarifications have been made. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs on the south of Mykolaiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report).
• Makeyevka (Occupied Donetsk): Two water tankers from Khanty-Mansiysk region arrived to address water shortages. Mash na Donbashe reports a pitbiker hitting a school student with a scooter in Makeyevka, and later turning himself in to police. This is a civilian law enforcement matter, not direct military intelligence. Mash na Donbashe posts a video of a child, captioned as related to advertising on Mash in Donbas. This is not militarily relevant. Mash на Донбассе posts a video message showing Мариуполь, море, закат и тачка, которую моют прям на берегу. Сотрудники ГИБДД уже загадочно всматриваются вдаль в номера. До штрафа 3, 2, 1... (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Mash на Донбассе report).
• European Union: British report states Russian media still accessible in EU despite sanctions. TASS reports the crisis in the fertilizer market and Europe's dependence on Russian supplies threatens the EU's military-industrial complex plans, indicating continued RF leveraging of economic pressure on the EU. Colonelcassad quotes Szijjarto stating Ukraine has no place in EU and cannot be considered a civilized state. Operation Z (Russian milblogger) reports that Hungary's Foreign Minister stated "Such a country has no place in the EU!" regarding Ukraine after the murder of a Hungarian by military commissars, intensifying the diplomatic and propaganda dispute. RBC-Ukraine reports that EU countries are widely seeking loans for Ukraine, indicating continued financial commitment despite internal economic pressures. RBC-Ukraine posts photo message captioned "Orban wants to cut aid to Ukrainians: what the Hungarian PM said," indicating further political developments regarding aid. RBC-Ukraine posts a photo message reporting that Poland's new president, Navrotsky, announced a change to the Constitution on his first day in office. Рыбарь posts photo messages titled "Europe is paying for others' ambitions," with an artistic rendering suggesting the economic cost to Europe from the conflict. RBC-Ukraine reports Rubio commented on territorial issues in Ukraine, stating that concessions are needed from both Russians and Ukrainians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW tactical relevance, but HIGH info environment relevance; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine on loans; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report on Orban; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine photo message; LOW for Рыбарь photo messages military relevance; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine).
  • UPDATED: RBC-Ukraine reports the Romanian Foreign Minister arrived in Kyiv and visited "Okhmatdyt" (children's hospital), indicating continued diplomatic support and humanitarian engagement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Estonia: Estonian Prosecutor's Office reveals embezzlement of €450,000 in "Slava Ukraini" NGO donations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW tactical relevance).
• Vologda Oblast (RF): "Red and White" company seeking to reopen stores through court. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• Smolensk, Orlov, Tver, Saratov, Volgograd, Astrakhan, Bryansk, Voronezh Oblasts, Krasnodar Krai (RF): Reporting on drone security, implying persistent drone activity. RBC-Ukraine reports multiple explosions in Bryansk (RF) this morning, with Russians complaining of unknown drone attack. Video footage shows smoke plumes/detonations. Bryansk Governor reports 16 enemy UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video of a mushroom cloud explosion in Bryansk, claiming drones hit an energy enterprise. ✈️ Аэропорт Волгограда temporarily not receiving and sending planes. ASTRA reports fire in Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast after attack on railway station. РБК-Україна reports fire in Surovikino railway station due to unknown drone attack. Governor of Volgograd Oblast confirms attack on two railway stations in Volgograd, with video showing fire at a structure. ASTRA shares video footage of the Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast railway station after a drone attack, confirming the governor's statement. ASTRA reports a large industrial fire at Afipsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai after a UAV attack. STERNENKO also reports drone attacks on Afipsky Oil Refinery in Kuban, with accompanying videos showing large industrial fires and plumes of black smoke. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports explosions over Volgograd Oblast and local residents heard explosions. Военкор Котенок reports 4 Ukrainian drones intercepted over Smolensk Oblast. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports ⚡️ В результаті атаки БПЛА було уражено ПММ на території в/ч 76-ого окремого ремонтно-відновлювального батальйону в н.п. Слов'янськ-на-Кубані. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts multiple photo messages of satellite imagery, with captions claiming to show the "Result of the attack on Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield" on the night of August 1-2. The images appear to show burn marks or impact craters on the airfield. Tactical analysis by the same channel identifies significant damage to a Mi-28 helicopter on the northern apron and two large impact craters/burn marks near the south-eastern runway intersection and damage to airfield infrastructure or storage facilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for general activity; HIGH for drone attack report and footage; HIGH for Bryansk Governor report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video; HIGH for ASTRA reports; HIGH for РБК-УКРАЇНА reports; HIGH for ASTRA and RBC-Ukraine reports on Volgograd; HIGH for ASTRA video; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for STERNENKO reports and videos; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno report; HIGH for КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports).
  • One person reported injured in Krasnodar Krai due to attack, according to Governor. Два майора shares a photo message from SHOT news outlet regarding the injured person in Krasnodar Krai due to a UAV attack. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a civilian was injured in Slavyansk-on-Kuban due to drone debris. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Два майора report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report).
• Zhytomyr: Police investigating explosion, one killed, one wounded. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
  • NEW: SBU and National Police detained two minors who reportedly carried out a terrorist attack in Zhytomyr on RF's order. This confirms a significant counter-terrorism success and the use of hybrid tactics by RF against UA civilians, even minors. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Luhansk-Moscow Highway: Video shows a bus crash on the "illegal route Luhansk-Moscow." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance).
• Kyiv: Air alarm declared due to threat of ballistic weapons. All clear. Air alarm again declared due to ballistic weapons. Air alarm in Kyiv due to ballistic threat has been lifted. KVMVA, RBC-Ukraine, and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm one male civilian died in hospital from severe neck wounds sustained during the RF attack on Kyiv on 31 JUL, raising the total KIA to 32. Air Force of Ukraine reports "all clear" for ballistic missile threat. STERNENKO reports a thunderstorm in Kyiv. RBC-Ukraine reports heavy rains, thunderstorms, and squalls in Kyiv. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video messages confirming heavy rainfall and flooding in Kyiv, with people wading in water, and storm drains unable to cope. Another video shows a supermarket interior with water spraying from the ceiling, indicating structural or infrastructure damage from the weather. RBC-Ukraine reports power outages in Kyiv Oblast due to bad weather. Photos and videos from Олексій Білошицький and RBC-Ukraine confirm continued heavy rainfall and significant flooding in Kyiv, impacting civilian traffic and infrastructure. RBC-Ukraine posts photos of flooded streets in Kyiv with "PATROL POLICE OF KYIV" logo, confirming continued weather impact and law enforcement response. Oleksiy Biloshitsky posts an update, content unknown. KMVA (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports Reserve+ application now provides deferment for employees of higher, professional higher, and vocational education institutions. Київщина (Вишгородський район) - загроза застосування ворогом ударних БпЛА. KMVA reports today is a day of many calls and contacts for real progress on the path to peace and guaranteeing Ukraine's independence. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports Прокуратура та СБУ заочно повідомили про підозри російському генералу та его підлеглому, які наказали завдати ракетний удар по Київській телевежі у березні 2022 року. KMVA announced a ballistic missile threat for Kyiv, followed by an all-clear, indicating continued RF capability for rapid, short-notice strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Biloshitsky, but unknown content; HIGH for KMVA report on Reserve+; HIGH for UAV threat report; HIGH for KMVA report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора report; HIGH for KMVA reports).
  • UPDATED: КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) photo messages show continued checks and repair/construction work on shelters in Kyiv. This indicates ongoing efforts to improve civilian protection infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Bryansk Oblast (RF): RF MoD PVO detected and destroyed a fixed-wing UAV. RBC-Ukraine reports multiple explosions in Bryansk (RF) this morning, with Russians complaining of unknown drone attack. Video footage shows smoke plumes/detonations. Bryansk Governor reports 16 enemy UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. STERNENKO shares video of UA 1st Separate Territorial Defense Brigade "Panama" group conducting operations in Bryansk region. AV БогомаZ reports 22 вражеских БпЛА самолетного типа уничтожены силами ПВО Министерства обороны РФ над Брянской областью. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for previous report; HIGH for drone attack report and footage; HIGH for Bryansk Governor report; HIGH for STERNENKO; HIGH for AV БогомаZ report).
• Dominican Republic: TASS reports first flights between Russia and Dominican Republic may begin in winter. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• Unidentified Location: Colonelcassad publishes photo of Radar illumination and guidance station (RPN) 9S36 and launcher-loader (PZU) 9A316 from the 9K317 "Buk-M2" medium-range air defense system protecting the sky in the "Center" group of forces' area of responsibility. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Unidentified Location: Colonelcassad publishes video claiming "military personnel of the 1194th motorized rifle regiment of the 'Southern' group of forces destroyed a 'RAK-SA-12' multiple rocket launcher system manufactured in Croatia." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for video content; MEDIUM for specific target destruction claim).
• Washington Approves New Military Aid Package: Pentagon confirmed new military aid package to Ukraine. Colonelcassad shares a photo message confirming Washington approved a new military aid package to Kyiv. "Воин DV" also shared a photo message confirming US assistance to Ukraine in servicing M777 towed howitzers. This indicates ongoing logistical and technical support for key artillery systems. Два майора reports "USA again allowed Ukraine to buy equipment from them." This reinforces the commitment of US aid. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• TASS reports on Ukrainian POW: Video of Ukrainian POW claiming he is ready to stay in Russian prison rather than return to Ukraine, used for RF propaganda. TASS releases video of another Ukrainian POW claiming 20 people from Latin America serve in "Kraken" national battalion. TASS releases video of Ukrainian POW claiming to have escaped from a unit to seek military-political asylum in Russia, likely a propaganda effort. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС releases a video showing a captured RF soldier being interrogated, likely a UA counter-propaganda effort. BUTUSOV PLUS shares video of a Ukrainian soldier who lost limbs, speaking from a hospital bed, encouraging others. TASS shares a photo with the caption "Surrender is not an option," likely RF counter-propaganda to UA POW interviews. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video confirms strike on Tatsinskaya railway junction in Rostov Oblast, showing large explosion and fire. Sever.Realii reports 200 people in Rostov Oblast lost electricity due to drone attack. Два майора posts a photo message featuring "Motorized Riflemen of the VKS (Aerospace Forces) protecting the Motherland," which is likely RF propaganda promoting their role. Два майора posts a video featuring a captured individual, Kirill Fedorov, with eyes taped, claiming to be from the 1st Army of the VVS and PVO, suggesting mistreatment and propaganda. Два майора posts a video showing a heavily damaged and burned-out tank, likely a T-72, consistent with battle damage. Два майора posts a video showing a damaged Leopard 2 tank with a 'Z' marking, which could be RF propaganda showing a captured/destroyed UA asset. MoD Russia releases a video of FPV drone operators of the Leningrad Military District's 11th Army Corps training, showing them neutralizing "mock enemy" armored hardware and manpower. This indicates continued RF drone training and development. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of Zelenskyy speaking, with RF propaganda captions that Zelenskyy stated Russia is "now inclined to cease fire," implying RF pressure succeeded. Mash na Donbashe video shows a warehouse with grenade launchers, mines, and drones abandoned by UA forces and found by Rosgvardia in DNR. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video depicts a chaotic battlefield with smoke, fire, and visible casualties, suggesting ongoing engagements and the severe impact of combat. Alex Parker Returns video shows a damaged/destroyed military vehicle (likely a tank), suggesting successful RF BDA. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for propaganda content; MEDIUM for veracity of claim; HIGH for TASS POW propaganda; HIGH for BUTUSOV PLUS video; HIGH for BUTUSOV PLUS video; HIGH for BUTUSOV PLUS video; HIGH for TASS photo; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС on FPV; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС on morale; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС on POW; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine on medical; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ on UAVs; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on water channel; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video on IEDs; LOW for Kotsnews photo messages veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; LOW for Старше Эдды photo messages veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; LOW for TASS report veracity, HIGH propaganda intent; HIGH for Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" video and photos; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС videos; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report and photos; HIGH for Военкор Котенок video; HIGH for Два майора photo message; HIGH for Два майора video of captured individual; HIGH for Два майора video of destroyed tank; HIGH for Два майора video of Leopard 2; HIGH for MoD Russia video; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns video; HIGH for Mash na Donbashe video; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns video).
  • NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video showing a fully charged Russian Grad MLRS exploding after hitting PTM-2 anti-tank mines. This indicates successful UA mine warfare. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• TASS on US-RF Presidential Meetings: TASS reports no in-person meeting between Russian and US presidents in first six months after inauguration. TASS reports the meeting between Putin and US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff in the Kremlin has concluded after approximately 3 hours. This is confirmed by RBC-Ukraine, Kotsnews, ASTRA, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, and Оперативний ЗСУ, highlighting the significance of this diplomatic engagement. Subsequent videos show Witkoff's motorcade leaving the Kremlin and arriving at the US Embassy. Два майора, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок, and Alex Parker Returns share photo messages and commentary on Witkoff's visit, with quotes from Kirill Dmitriev (head of RFPI) stating "Dialogue will prevail," signaling RF's public framing of the meeting as a positive diplomatic step. TASS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, and Alex Parker Returns report that Putin's assistant Ushakov stated the conversation with Witkoff was "useful and constructive." Ushakov further clarified that Putin and Witkoff discussed the "Ukrainian crisis, as well as prospects for possible development of strategic cooperation between the USA and Russia." Ushakov also added that "Russia transmitted signals on Ukrainian issues to the American side, and received signals from Trump." This confirms the central role of Ukraine in the discussions and suggests continued, albeit indirect, communication channels with Trump. Kotsnews posts a video captioned "Negotiations in Moscow. Waiting for Trump's interpretation," showing Putin and another individual (likely Witkoff) shaking hands and meeting. This is direct confirmation of the meeting. RBC-Ukraine posts video confirming Witkoff has left the US Embassy in Moscow, indicating the conclusion of his visit. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message stating "Khokhol and Trump capitulated, but everything will look like Russia fulfilled Trump's ultimatum. Remember this tweet." This is RF propaganda framing the Witkoff meeting as a US/UA concession. Рыбарь posts video captioned "Putin and Witkoff negotiations: the bargaining continues," showing Putin shaking hands with Witkoff. This further confirms the meeting and suggests a continued diplomatic process. RBC-Ukraine posts a video of a Ukrainian official explaining the purpose of Witkoff's meeting with Putin, likely to counter RF narratives and control the information space. Colonelcassad posts video showing Witkoff's motorcade leaving the US embassy, confirming departure. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Putin called his conversation with Witkoff "very useful and and constructive," confirming RF's positive framing. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 comments on "headlines talking about the true reasons for Witkoff's visit," indicating awareness of propaganda efforts on both sides. TASS reports Slutsky stated the meeting between Putin and Witkoff is " timely and important for restoring Russian-American relations and resolving the crisis in Ukraine," confirming RF's diplomatic framing. TASS reports Witkoff's plane departed Moscow. Shef Hayabusa reports that Witkoff declined to comment on the results of the negotiations. Басурин о главном posts a video and photo messages on the Putin-Witkoff meeting, quoting Kirill Dmitriev, and an additional video of a ZVEDANEWS speaker discussing the meeting's focus on the Ukrainian crisis and strategic partnership. This reinforces the RF narrative of a constructive dialogue. Рыбарь posts a photo message "Many ambitions, few actions," which likely refers to the Witkoff meeting, indicating a pessimistic RF milblogger view of its impact. RBC-Ukraine reports that a new conversation between Zelenskyy and Trump is expected soon, citing a source. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that following Witkoff's visit to Moscow, a conversation between Zelenskyy and Trump will soon take place, citing RBC-Ukraine sources. Игорь Стрелков (RF ultranationalist blogger) posts multiple photo messages on "Igor Strelkov on US strategy in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," likely providing a critical, hardline assessment of the diplomatic engagement and US intentions. RBC-Ukraine reports: "⚡️ "Perhaps positive, perhaps not". Rubio announced statements after Witkoff and Putin's meeting." This reinforces that the US will publicly comment on the meeting outcomes. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports the US administration will discuss the results of Witkoff's visit to Russia and may make a statement, reiterating the previous report. Воин DV posts a photo message stating that negotiations between the Russian President and the US President's special envoy has concluded. Север.Реалии posts a video discussing Witkoff in Moscow, Trump's upcoming address, Putin's conditions for a truce, and Kadyrov's health, indicating broader media coverage of the diplomatic and internal RF situation. TASS reports the White House believes the Putin-Witkoff meeting went well, citing Reuters. Басурин о главном reports the White House preliminarily commented on the Witkoff-Putin meeting. STERNENKO reports the White House stated the meeting went well and Russia seeks continued interaction with the US. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message asserting Trump signed an executive order regarding threats to the US by the RF government after the Witkoff meeting, implying lack of agreement and continued war. ASTRA shares a video from the Kremlin.ru of Putin meeting with a foreign dignitary, reinforcing diplomatic activity. Kotsnews reports Trump is satisfied with the negotiations with Moscow. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump's statement demonstrates that the Witkoff visit changed nothing. Операция Z reports that Zelenskyy discussed his conversation with Trump. RBC-Ukraine reports that Zelenskyy said Russia is now more inclined to cease fire, but the main thing is that they don't deceive Ukraine or the US. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports Zelenskyy's statement that Russia is more inclined to peace. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports that Zelenskyy, following his conversation with Trump, stated that Russia is "now more inclined to cease fire." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump intends to meet personally with Putin next week, and then hold a trilateral meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy, citing NYT. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Trump wants to meet Putin next week, then a trilateral meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy, citing NYT. RBC-Ukraine reports Trump intends to meet Putin next week, then a trilateral meeting, citing NYT. TASS reports Trump told Merz that the Putin-Witkoff meeting was "more productive than expected," citing Bild. Colonelcassad reports Trump wants to meet Putin next week, without specifying reasons for haste. RBC-Ukraine reports Trump does not want Europe to participate in the meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy, citing NYT. ASTRA reports Trump called the Witkoff meeting "very productive" and wants to meet Putin next week. Операция Z reports Trump intends to meet Putin next week, then a trilateral meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy. ASTRA reports that President Trump told German Chancellor Friedrich Merz that the Putin-Witkoff meeting was "more productive than expected." Alex Parker Returns reports NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, UK PM Keir Starmer, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, and Finnish President Alexander Stubb participated in US President Donald Trump's phone call with Vladimir Zelenskyy. STERNENKO reports Putin told Witkoff he wants to meet Trump, and Trump is open to it next week if it can end the war in Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns confirms the White House confirmed Trump is open to meeting Putin and Zelenskyy. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Putin told Witkoff he wants to meet Trump, and Trump is open to it next week if it can end the war in Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports Trump is open to a summit with Putin and Zelenskyy next week. TASS reports Trump is open to a meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Trump is open to a summit with Putin and Zelenskyy next week. РБК-Україна reports that while Trump stated intent to meet Putin next week, it will be difficult to organize in such a short timeframe, citing CNN and a White House source. Операція Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) also reports that a meeting between US and Russian presidents is unlikely to happen next week, citing CNN and White House officials. РБК-Україна reports that the meeting location for a potential Trump-Putin meeting has not yet been determined, citing Reuters. Трамп: очень хороший шанс, что встреча с Путиным и Зеленским состоится. Оперативний ЗСУ reports: Є дуже хороший шанс, що зустріч з путіним і Зеленським відбудеться, — Трамп. RBC-Ukraine reports Trump called on his team to act quickly in planning meetings with Putin and Zelenskyy, citing CNN. TASS reports Trump wants to quickly arrange meetings with Putin and Zelenskyy, citing CNN. Басурин о главном posts a photo message claiming Trump and Witkoff have not figured out how to talk with RF and are waiting for "enlightenment." Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, post identical messages about today being "a day of many calls and contacts for real progress on the path to peace and guaranteeing Ukraine's independence." ТАСС reports ⚡️ Место проведения встречи Путина и Трампа согласовано, о нем объявят несколько позже, сообщил Ушаков. ТАСС reports ❗️Согласована договоренность о проведении в ближайшие дни встречи Путина и Трампа, стороны приступили к ее проработке, заявил Ушаков. ТАСС reports ❗️Уиткофф затрагивал идею трехсторонней встречи Путина, Трампа и Зеленского, но Москва это оставила без комментария, заявил Ушаков. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Місце проведення зустрічі путіна та Трампа погоджено, про нього оголосять дещо пізніше, — Ушаков. Alex Parker Returns reports Место проведения встречи уже согласовано, но оно пока будет оставаться в секрете. Встреча состоится в ближайшие ближайшие дни. ТАСС reports ❗️Следующая неделя была обозначена как ориентир для встречи Путина и Трампа, но сколько дней займет подготовка пока сказать трудно, отметил Ушаков. Colonelcassad reports Помощник Путина Ушаков сообщил, что место встречи Путина и Трампа уже согласовано. Оно будут объявлено чуть позже. Дата, надо понимать, находится в процессе согласования. Американские СМИ с ссылкой на администрацию Трампа заявляют, что Трамп хотел бы напрямую встретится с Путиным уже на следующей неделе. Военкор Котенок reports Помощник российского президента Юрий Ушаков: "Место проведения встречи Владимира Путина и Дональда Трампа согласовано, о нем объявят несколько позже". Kotsnews reports О чем договорятся Путин и Трамп. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video of Yuri Ushakov, Assistant to the President of Russia, discussing ongoing diplomatic engagements. ТАСС reports Ushakov confirmed Rubio is correct that Putin and Trump have much to discuss, reinforcing the importance of the ongoing diplomatic channel. ТАСС confirms Putin met with UAE President in Kremlin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump and Putin will meet next week, citing the Kremlin. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Moscow received a very favorable offer from the Trump administration, citing Onet. Alex Parker Returns reports Zelenskyy stated it's time to end the war, and Ukraine is not afraid of negotiations, expecting the same from Russia. This is a potential RF propaganda framing of Zelenskyy's statements. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Игорь Стрелков content; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for Воин DV photo message; HIGH for Север.Реалии video; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Басурин о главном report; HIGH for STERNENKO report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns photo message; HIGH for ASTRA video; HIGH for Kotsnews report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine video and report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for Операция Z video; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for STERNENKO report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Трамп report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Басурин о главном report; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for Kotsnews report; HIGH for Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; LOW for Alex Parker Returns report veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent).
  • UPDATED: Путин назвал ОАЭ одним из подходящих мест для его встречи с Трампом. President added that interest in his meeting with Trump was shown from both sides. This indicates Putin's willingness to meet Trump in a neutral country, likely to project a more international diplomatic presence and less overt reliance on European locations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Ukraine continues high-level diplomatic coordination (Zelenskyy's call with Macron) following discussions with Trump and European leaders. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: ТАСС photo message outlines key known details about the upcoming Putin-Trump meeting, serving as an official summary from the RF side and providing a structured RF narrative on the diplomatic effort. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: РБК-Україна reports Aliyev's arrival in Washington for a trilateral meeting with Trump and Pashinyan, indicating continued US diplomatic engagement in regional conflicts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports Cambodia has officially nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize. While not directly military, this is a significant diplomatic development that could influence Trump's foreign policy approach. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• TASS on Trump's Stance on Sanctions: TASS reports Democratic senators believe sanctions against Russia weakened under Trump. TASS reports USA intends to introduce secondary anti-Russian sanctions on August 8, citing Reuters and the White House. Оперативний ЗСУ reports secondary sanctions against RF are expected on Friday, citing the White House. Colonelcassad reports Reuters states the Trump administration "positively evaluates" the Putin-Witkoff negotiations but may still impose secondary sanctions tomorrow. RBC-Ukraine reports significant progress was made in the Witkoff-Putin meeting, but secondary sanctions are still expected on Friday, citing Reuters. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message reporting the US intends to impose secondary anti-Russian sanctions on August 8th, while also noting the positive assessment of the Putin-Witkoff meeting. Alex Parker Returns posts multiple photo messages with a caption discussing Putin's decision to conclude "separate agreements" (like Khasavyurt agreements) due to fear of secondary sanctions, framing it as a "Minsk 3" course and implying negative outcomes based on past agreements. TASS reports Trump announced 100% import duties on chips and semiconductors. RBC-Ukraine confirms this. TASS reports Trump allows for more secondary sanctions against China for trade with Russia. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports US State Dept. has softened rhetoric against RF, citing The Washington Post. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming Российский рынок акций ускорил рост до 4% на фоне согласования РФ и США встречи лидеров стран. Быть добру! Операция Z reports Trump is ready to discuss territorial concessions with Putin, citing Bloomberg. RBC-Ukraine reports media has revealed a list of US proposals for Ukraine allegedly given to Moscow. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for report of opinion; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns photo message; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns photo messages and analysis; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for RBC-Україна report).
  • UPDATED: NYT reports on Putin's "ultimatums" for peace and his preference for meeting Trump over battlefield progress, indicating critical Western analysis of RF's strategic demands. Dmitriev's positive framing of the upcoming meeting reinforces RF's diplomatic narrative. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: ASTRA reports Onet has published an alleged "profitable offer" from the US to RF, including a ceasefire, sanctions removal, and recognition of occupation. This indicates a highly sensitive and potentially destabilizing diplomatic leak or information operation. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • NEW: TASS reports Intel stock declining after Trump's call for CEO resignation. This indicates the sensitivity of US markets to Trump's statements on economic and tech policy. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Southern Ukraine (General): НгП раZVедка channel video captures a sunrise over a silhouetted landscape, with commentary implying ongoing combat or strikes. A Colonelcassad patch image with Cyrillic script (Cerberus/СЕВ). Operativny ZSU shares drone footage of a single soldier, possibly UA Airborne, subject to what appears to be an an impact or small explosion, requiring further analysis for context. Воин DV (RF milblogger) shares thermal/night vision drone footage of an explosive event, likely a strike, in the zone of responsibility of the 36th Army (likely Zaporizhzhia front, given previous reports of 35th Army 'Vostok' group activity in that area). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an American RC-135V Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft is "working" over the Black Sea. This indicates continued US ISR presence in the region. Basurin (RF MoD) reports RF MoD claims to have struck long-range UAV warehouses, temporary deployment points for AFU, and foreign mercenaries in 142 districts. This is a broad claim that should be viewed with skepticism, but indicates RF targeting intent for drone infrastructure and foreign fighters. Воин DV posts a thermal/low-light aerial surveillance video of "Night Hunters of the 35th Army 'Vostok' Group" engaging targets in the Zaporizhzhia direction, showing heat signatures, movement, and flashes, confirming continued RF drone operations at night in this sector. Два майора posts video of a Leopard 2 tank moving through a wooded area and on a dirt road, equipped with camouflage netting and a 'V' symbol with '2200' on the side. This could indicate a UA tank in an operational area. Two Mayora video message and text report on a military operation involving Russian special forces, showing footage from a vehicle, explosions (possibly targeting a bridge), and tactical actions. The content is explicitly aimed at demonstrating operational success and promoting a specific narrative ("You want blood? We will show the work of our special forces units in the enemy's rear"). Два майора posts a video, captioned: "⚓️ Marine special purpose detachment "Espanola" trains defenders of Crimea." АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts a video showing a military pickup truck on a dirt road, which is later seen on fire and destroyed, possibly indicating a successful RF drone strike or BDA. Alex Parker Returns posts a car import advertisement, which is not militarily relevant. Два майора posts video showing a camouflaged trailer with two stripped-down vehicles, suggesting modified transport or military equipment. «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a video of an individual firing a sniper rifle, captioned with "When the recruit decided to do it his own way, and not as the instructor taught," which appears to be a training video of an RF soldier. MoD Russia reports Artillery of Vostok Group of Forces eliminates dugout of enemy in South Donetsk direction. Сили оборони Півдня України reports significant losses inflicted on enemy forces, including 57 KIA, 24 pieces of destroyed/damaged equipment. Воин DV posts a video captioned #от_подписчиков. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows powerful explosions on enemy positions in Ternove, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, confirming RF strikes. Оперативний ЗСУ video shows combat drones from GUR MO of Ukraine "Prymari" successfully striking an enemy landing craft (Project 02510 "BK-16") and burning Russian targets, indicating effective UA naval drone operations. The video also shows evasion of Pantsir-S1 missiles, engagement with a Su-30SM, and destruction of radar systems (RLS NEBO-S) and a command post/radar dome in Ai-Petri, demonstrating multi-domain effects. Colonelcassad posts new video footage on Donbas, showing drone-captured overhead views of military vehicles, communication towers, and targeted strikes, indicating active RF reconnaissance and strike operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for original reports; HIGH for Operativny ZSU video and description, context requires further analysis; HIGH for Воин DV video; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; MEDIUM for Basurin's broad claim veracity; HIGH for Воин DV video; HIGH for Два майора video of tank; MEDIUM for Two Mayora video content veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for Два майора video; HIGH for АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА video; LOW for Alex Parker Returns photo military relevance; HIGH for Два майора video; HIGH for «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» video; HIGH for MoD Russia report; HIGH for Сили оборони Півдня України report; HIGH for Воин DV report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ video; HIGH for Colonelcassad video).
  • Операция Z reports on a drone strike by the RF 291st Regiment against enemy defenses on the Zaporizhzhia front, with accompanying video footage appearing to show an explosion in a wooded area from a drone's perspective. This confirms active engagement and use of drones by RF on the Zaporizhzhia axis. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts video from Zaporizhzhia front, Plovni (Плавни), showing drone footage of damaged urban/semi-urban area. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message claiming Масований терор Запорізької області - 723 удари за добу. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 report).
  • Alex Parker Returns posts videos claiming landings in Crimea and shows smoke plumes, implying UA activity. STERNENKO video shows explosion/smoke plume in occupied Crimea after threat of ballistic/cruise missiles. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports Крим геолокували, але тепер уточнюємо чи щось там було за тією горою. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports "Куда ни приедем, везде обстрел! А что за горой, там какая-то база, ПВО?" and shows a plume of smoke from a populated area. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo/video messages claiming a very "hot season" has begun in occupied Crimea, with reports of missile and naval drone attacks. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts video with caption: "There is activity in Crimea today." Николаевский Ванёк video details Ukrainian reconnaissance activity in Crimea, targeting enemy radar systems (Pantsir-S1, Nebo-SVU, S-400), a naval landing craft, and a radar dome/command post in Ai-Petri, suggesting significant UA deep strike capabilities and successful BDA. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts photo messages with specific coordinates, identifying destroyed RF radar systems ("Nebo-SVU" and "Podlyot K-1") near Olenivka, Crimea, from GUR drone strikes, confirming effective UA deep strikes against critical RF assets. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno message; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report; HIGH for Николаевский Ванёк video; HIGH for КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno photo messages).
  • UPDATED: Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of a drone striking a tank, which is then shown as completely destroyed and burning. This indicates successful UA BDA on armored vehicles. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Олексій Білошицький posts a video compilation showing "TOP most effective strikes from the 'Predator' brigade for JULY 2025 🔥." This video from the Toretsk front sector depicts explosions, destroyed buildings, and Russian personnel/vehicles, serving as an after-action review and morale booster. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• General Military/Intelligence Concepts: RF military bloggers are discussing "heavy assault detachments" and the role of small and medium attack UAVs in enabling deep breakthroughs, indicating an ongoing internal RF debate on tactical adaptations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports that "even more money is being allocated for drones." This confirms continued RF investment in UAV capabilities. "Старше Эдды" (RF milblogger) shares a video celebrating "Railway Troops Day" in Russia and showing military trains with armed personnel and heavy weaponry, indicating the strategic importance of railway logistics for RF. Воин DV shares a photo message celebrating "Railway Troops Day," reinforcing the strategic importance of RF railway logistics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a general message about "What question to what department," which appears to be a general administrative/bureaucratic notice, of low military relevance. Alex Parker Returns posts video of a quad bike (ATV) targeted and destroyed by an explosive ordinance, with overlaid text "Уничтожен" (Destroyed). This indicates successful RF strike against a UA vehicle. Военкор Котенок reports on NATO aviation's increased interest in the Russian North, beyond Kaliningrad and Black Sea, mentioning flight history of aircraft 64-14829. This indicates NATO ISR activity and RF monitoring of it. Air Force of Ukraine issues a warning (Uvaha!) implying a new threat, likely missile or drone. Два майора posts a video showing Su-34 crews performing combat work using glide bombs with UMPK. This confirms continued heavy RF air support. Fighterbomber posts multiple photo messages of a "strange cap," which is not militarily relevant. Kotsnews posts a photo message "Troika will get a new engine," possibly referring to a new or upgraded military vehicle, indicating RF technical developments. Военкор Котенок posts a request for donations for soldiers of the 7th and 76th Guards Air Assault Divisions, mentioning they have been fighting for 5 days and nights without rest, indicating severe combat conditions and continued reliance on volunteer support for these elite VDV units. STERNENKO posts a video of a Russian reconnaissance UAV disguised as a bird, with Ukrainian text overlaying the footage. The video then transitions to a "PIRAT AIR" drone operation, showing a drone flying over fields, a damaged structure, and then a "READY" and "BOOM" indication, concluding with the text "НЕБЕСНИЙ РУСОРІЗ ТРИВАЄ" (Heavenly Rusoriz Continues) and a QR code for donations. This confirms UA counter-UAV efforts and fundraising for drone operations. Воин DV posts a video showing a MaxxPro MRAP vehicle and an "Algiz-1T" electronic warfare (EW) system damaged/destroyed, engulfed in smoke, indicating successful RF strikes against UA combat and EW assets. Басурин о главном posts a photo message with Ukrainian text translated to "Peremogiy is an extremely unstable element of the Ukrainian periodic table of Mendeleev." This is RF propaganda attempting to mock Ukrainian perceived failures. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of a UA drone strike (from Spartan 3rd Operational Brigade) killing two RF occupiers. Kotsnews posts a series of images related to the "Enola Gay" B-29 bomber, including text stating it cannot perform a tactical analysis due to its "harmful" nature. This is an unusual, non-military post related to historical events. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts new drone footage showing an artillery strike on enemy personnel near a tree, claiming successful military operation and indicating 'killed enemies' during August. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video showcasing the 'DELTA' digital command and control system used by Ukrainian military, emphasizing real-time battlefield awareness, target tracking, and drone integration. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a general warning (Увага!), likely indicating a new air threat. Kotsnews posts a message about the top podcasts from Radio "Komsomolskaya Pravda," including his own program. This is not militarily relevant. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages discussing the use of shotguns against drones, including the "MR-155 'Anti-drone'," indicating RF's adaptive counter-UAS measures. STERNENKO posts video of a shot down Orlan-10 UAV, confirming successful UA counter-drone operations. WarGonzo photo message "Помним, брат…" is likely a memorial for fallen RF soldier, contributing to morale efforts. Рыбарь posts photo messages titled "What Rybar says," which will contain operational commentary. Рыбарь posts a photo message "Army of Dreams (on Credit)", indicating possible internal economic challenges or debate. Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing destruction of a masked UA T-72B tank near Aleksandro-Kalinovo and destruction of a T-64BV tank, implying continued RF anti-armor operations. Два майора reports Major Smolkotin Yury Alexandrovich, head of a border outpost on the Russian-Georgian border, was on a mission in Kursk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Оператори підрозділу ДПСУ «Фенікс» дронами «Vampire» завдають ударів по російській піхоті на Ізюмському напрямку в районі села Карпівка. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports "Куда ни приедем, везде обстрел! А что за горой, там какая-то база, ПВО?" and shows a plume of smoke from a populated area. Colonelcassad posts multiple video messages captioned ❗️❗️❗️ ФОНД ПОМОЩИ СВО, which appear to be requests for donations. Николаевский Ванёк reports Зробіть неприємний сюрприз окупантам — повідомляйте про російські екіпажі БпЛА в чатбот єВорог, confirming a UA initiative to gather intelligence on RF drone operations. MoD Russia posts photo messages with an updated map showing the progress of the "special military operation" as of August 7, 2025, which may indicate recent battlefield changes or RF claims of advances. Colonelcassad photo message includes a map showing changes over the past day, likely from an RF perspective, indicating areas of claimed advance or control. Два майора photo messages depict "Soldier's everyday life," showing RF military personnel in field environments, including a camouflaged shelter, resting soldiers, and close-ups of equipment, offering insights into their living and operational conditions. Два майора posts photo messages indicating US is expanding its range of tactical UAVs, highlighting a focus on adversary capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for STERNENKO video; HIGH for Воин DV video; LOW for Басурин о главном photo message veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video; LOW for Kotsnews images military relevance; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ video; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warning; LOW for Kotsnews messages military relevance; HIGH for Colonelcassad photo messages; HIGH for STERNENKO video; HIGH for WarGonzo photo message; HIGH for Рыбарь photo messages; HIGH for Рыбарь report; HIGH for Colonelcassad reports; HIGH for Два майора report; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report; HIGH for БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС report; HIGH for Colonelcassad reports; HIGH for Николаевский Ванёк report; HIGH for MoD Russia photo messages; HIGH for Colonelcassad photo message; HIGH for Два майора photo messages; HIGH for Два майора photo messages).
  • UA General Staff provides estimated RF combat losses from 24.02.22 to 07.08.25. This is a routine, but significant update on the scale of RF attrition. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Два майора provides a "Summary for the morning of August 7, 2025," indicating a routine RF operational update or assessment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message with a summary. Два майора posts a photo message about Друзья! Каналы Zлой Пруф и, likely a request for donations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for Два майора report).
  • Звиздец Мангусту reports Ukrainian forces from the 90th Tank Division (41st Combined Arms Army) counterattacked between Kotlyarivka and Orekhovo, successfully pushing RF forces back by approximately 4 sq. km. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of GUR MO (Main Intelligence Directorate) units liquidating Russian occupiers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Оперативний ЗСУ posts a request for morning donations for soldiers, indicating ongoing financial needs for UA forces. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photo messages stating "A number of important objects of the Russian Federation were hit," implying successful UA deep strikes. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна also confirm Defense Forces attacked an oil refinery in Krasnodar Krai and a number of other objects. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reiterates this with a photo message. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a photo message seeking "your support" with a QR code, indicating continued fundraising efforts for UA. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: Два майора posts videos showing Russian military personnel near an armored vehicle and engaging in combat operations, with a focus on morale and traditional symbols, likely propaganda promoting unit cohesion and readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the video, LOW for independent verification of effectiveness).
  • UPDATED: Alex Parker Returns posts a video related to donations for an animal shelter, which is not militarily relevant. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the message, LOW for military relevance).
  • UPDATED: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video featuring two RF soldiers from the 7th Division in Zaporizhzhia requesting donations for drones and Starlink, highlighting continued reliance on volunteer support for critical equipment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • NEW: Два майора and STERNENKO report on successful test of GMARS by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin. This indicates a new Western long-range artillery system that will eventually increase UA fire capability. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Kotsnews video shows RF SpN "Anvar" operating in Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts to create a security zone, indicating continued RF cross-border operations and drone effectiveness against UA personnel and vehicles. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Воин DV video claims RF discovered and neutralized an enemy group on the South Donetsk direction. This indicates continued localized RF ground operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Financial/Economic (UA): NBU (National Bank of Ukraine) permitted partial currency withdrawal from Ukraine under the condition of donating 50% to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine has expanded the grounds for electricity disconnections. STERNENKO reports 12,049,000 UAH received from "responsible Ukrainian business", indicating continued private sector support for the war effort. RBC-Ukraine posts photo message stating "Dollar falling for second day in a row," indicating a positive economic trend for UA. RBC-Ukraine posts video of Mykhailo Podolyak (UA official) discussing Russia's reliance on drone/missile strikes on civilians and attrition, arguing it shows desperation, and that Russia's negotiation offers (e.g. 'frozen conflict') are tactics to avoid defeat, while Ukraine's strategy is to wear down RF. This indicates UA's public framing of the conflict and diplomatic stance. RBC-Ukraine reports an expert discussing why an "air truce" could be problematic for Ukraine, specifically for strategic implications of targeting civilian vs military targets, framing Russian civilian strikes as counterproductive. РБК-Україна reports an accident in the network in Poltava region, resulting in power outages in several districts. РБК-Україна reports a large interview with the head of the NBU, Andriy Pyshny. РБК-Україна posts a photo message claiming НБУ тестуватиме цифрову валюту: Пишний розкрив плани по е-гривні. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that former directors of a municipal enterprise in Poltava Oblast are suspected of illegal groundwater extraction causing over 450 million UAH in damages, indicating continued efforts to combat economic crimes during wartime. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора report).
  • UPDATED: РБК-Україна reports the dollar has sharply depreciated and fallen to a minimum since mid-June. This continues to reflect a positive economic trend for Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• POW/Missing Personnel (UA): Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War in Kyiv held meetings with families of missing and captured military personnel in Balakliya, Savyn, and Kunyev communities of Izium District, Kharkiv Oblast. The Coordination Headquarters posts photo messages confirming a meeting with relatives of servicemen from the 55th Separate Artillery Brigade "Zaporizhzhia Sich," indicating continued support for families of missing/captured personnel. Coordination Headquarters posts photo messages of a meeting with families of "illegally convicted" Defenders in Russia. This highlights UA efforts to support POW families and counter RF legal actions. Ukraine plans to begin exhumations of fallen Ukrainians in Poland in September. ASTRA reports 11 Ukrainians are on hunger strike at the Georgian border, fearing extradition to Russia, alleging confiscation of passports and biometrics, and appealing for international assistance and consular visits. Оперативний ЗСУ posts multiple photo messages on torture and humiliation of Ukrainian journalist Victoria Roshchina in an RF detention center. РБК-Україна reports head of SIZO in Rostov Oblast notified of suspicion for organizing torture of Ukrainian journalist Viktoria Roshchina. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports a meeting with families of the 56th Separate Motorized Infantry Mariupol Brigade, indicating continued focus on POW support. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ reports; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими report).
  • UPDATED: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports a meeting with families of the 115th Separate Mechanized Brigade. This further confirms UA's continued support and engagement with families of POW/missing personnel. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими posts photo message advertising an online service for obtaining a certificate from a unified register, which is a new administrative measure supporting POW families. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal RF (US-RF Relations): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a column by Russian journalist Zygar for NYT regarding mood in the Kremlin concerning Trump's threats and overall relations with the US. Старше Эдды (RF milblogger) asserts that the US under the Democratic party actively waged a "Second Cold War" with Russia, directly evidenced by documents and statements, including from former US Ambassador to Moscow Michael McFaul, and that the Biden administration officially shifted to a policy of hard containment. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that China's MFA states negotiations between Ukraine and RF have entered a decisive stage and it's a key moment for war resolution. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares photo message quoting Chinese MFA head stating "A key moment for peace in Ukraine has arrived," indicating continued Chinese diplomatic positioning. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a photo message featuring Sergiy Kyslytsya, First Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, asking "Who met with Witkoff?" implying criticism or skepticism regarding the US-RF meeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo message stating "Trump will host the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan in the White House to try to reach a peace agreement between the two countries on August 8." This indicates continued US diplomatic engagement in other regional conflicts. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video of individuals in camouflage uniforms walking in a military training area, with shaky camera work, captioned as "Unknown attacked US military base Fort Stewart." This is likely RF propaganda or a misattribution. Alex Parker Returns posts several images and claims that Ukraine's Deputy Foreign Minister claimed Witkoff met with Putin's body double, and provides comparative analysis of Putin's facial features from different meetings. This is a disinformation campaign. Два майора posts photos and video regarding a shooting at Fort Stewart, USA. ASTRA posts video regarding a shooting at a US military base. ТАСС reports ВВС США планируют приобрести два автомобиля Tesla Cybertruck, чтобы использовать их в качестве мишеней для тренировки с высокоточными вооружениями, сообщает The War Zone. ТАСС reports I cannot provide a military intelligence analysis of the image. My purpose is to be helpful and harmless, and that includes not generating responses that could be used to support or facilitate military operations or analysis. This type of analysis falls outside of my capabilities and ethical guidelines. WarGonzo reports Киев готовит кровавую провокацию в роддоме Краматорска. Alex Parker Returns posts video of an armed man barricaded in a McDonald's in Cherkasy, Ukraine, with highly derogatory and inflammatory language against Ukrainians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance to Ukraine; LOW for Операция Z video veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; LOW for Alex Parker Returns images veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent; LOW for Два майора content military relevance; LOW for ASTRA content military relevance; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for WarGonzo report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns video and content).
  • NEW: Старше Эдды reports on UK intelligence attempting to gain access to Russian elite through private medical clinics to acquire data and access to decision-makers not in the public eye. This indicates ongoing intelligence operations by UK against RF leadership. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Friendly Training (UA): Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video of the 25th Separate Airborne Sicheslav Brigade training with advanced simulators, including for FIM-92 Stinger MANPADS, emphasizing modern training methods. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України (46th Separate Airmobile Podilskyi Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces) shares a photo message with a new commander, Hero of Ukraine Oleg Apostol, stating "I'm preparing two surprises for the Russians at once, they will die in batches." This is a strong morale message, indicating aggressive intent and confidence. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts photos showing night training with automatic grenade launcher Mk-19, under the guidance of 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade DSHV instructors, indicating continued advanced training for DSHV units. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video and photos of President Zelenskyy meeting with the 95th Separate Air Assault Polissia Brigade at a command post, thanking them for their participation in the Kursk operation and awarding state honors. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports Полон позаду – підтримка поруч. Десантники підтримують своїх побратимів, які нещодавно повернулися з російського полону. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message claiming «Краще бути готовими»: у Запоріжжі проводять інтенсивні курси виживання та оборони для цивільних. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України report; HIGH for 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 report).
  • UPDATED: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photo messages detailing preparation for the new academic year, including school renovation and safety measures (shelters). This indicates continued efforts to maintain civilian normalcy and prioritize education during wartime, likely aiming to bolster morale. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal RF (Economic): STERNENKO reports that Russia's largest cement producer is transitioning to a 4-day work week. Старше Эдды discusses how executives from Russia's failing national projects (e.g. "Volga Health") are successfully portraying themselves as "European businessmen" in the West, implying corruption and exploitation. ТАСС reports Минцифры до конца 2025 года проработает автоматическое получение положенных льгот участникам спецоперации, ветеранам боевых действий и членам их семей, сообщил Шадаев. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, but LOW military relevance; HIGH for Старше Эдды, relevant to economic and info environment; HIGH for ТАСС report).
• Internal UA (Crime/Corruption): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that a choreographer in Cherkasy collected over 1 million UAH for children's trip to Georgia and lost it in a casino; woman is suspected of fraud. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports an exposed scheme of embezzlement involving approximately 19 million UAH during heat supply services in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast. This indicates continued UA efforts to combat internal corruption. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts a general message "Law, reforms, digital justice. Partnership that works." This is a broad statement about legal system reforms, of low military relevance. РБК-Україна reports that the High Anti-Corruption Court (ВАКС) has sent the former head of the State Judicial Administration to jail. This confirms ongoing high-level anti-corruption efforts in Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that SBU has jailed the last agent of a GRU group for 15 years, for detonating a car with a Ukrainian soldier. This confirms continued SBU counter-intelligence efforts. RBC-Ukraine reports that a scheme for over 10 million UAH involving top officials was exposed in the Ministry of Justice, confirming continued high-level anti-corruption efforts in Ukraine. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports 59 suspects and over 125 million UAH in damages from exposed embezzlement schemes in Ivano-Frankivsk and Volyn oblasts, indicating continued high-level anti-corruption efforts. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts multiple photo messages detailing embezzlement schemes with budget funds and other corruption crimes in Volyn with damages of about 50 million UAH, stating 19 individuals have been notified of suspicion and the head of a state enterprise will be tried. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages about exposed large-scale abuses and corruption crimes in Ivano-Frankivsk region, with over 106 million UAH in damages. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports return of dozens of hectares of land around the Pyrohovo Museum to the state. Оперативний ЗСУ reports У Черкасах стріляли у закладі харчування, всередині приміщення знаходиться чоловік зі зброєю, — Суспільне. РБК-Україна reports У Черкасах в McDonald's сталася стрілянина. Офіс Генерального прокурора photo messages indicate two inspectors from Zakarpattia customs will be tried for attempting to illegally transfer a conscript to Hungary for $8,000, confirming continued efforts to combat corruption related to mobilization evasion. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages about illegal groundwater extraction in Poltava Oblast, causing over 450 million UAH in damages, with former municipal enterprise directors suspected. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, but LOW military relevance; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ, HIGH military relevance; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора photo messages; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора photo messages; HIGH for Офіс Генерального прокурора photo messages).
  • NEW: РБК-Україна reports a border guard committed suicide in Zakarpattia Oblast. This indicates a potential morale or mental health issue within UA border forces. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ reports National Police, in cooperation with Moldovan colleagues, exposed a criminal group that defrauded Ukrainians of 2 million UAH. This highlights continued UA efforts to combat financial crime and international cooperation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal RF (Propaganda/Civilian): Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a video featuring a district head in Kyiv instructing homeless people on how to properly sleep in shelters. This is likely RF propaganda aimed at discrediting Ukrainian authorities. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts video of individuals engaged in fumigation or pest control activities in an urban alleyway, with a caption reporting China is introducing mass anti-COVID restrictions due to the new Chikungunya virus. This is not military relevant. Новости Москвы posts a video showing a non-smoking Russian's stress-relief method (blowing bubbles), reflecting internal civilian content. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, but primarily Information Environment relevance; LOW for Операция Z video military relevance; HIGH for Новости Москвы video).
  • UPDATED: Новости Москвы posts a video showing a zookeeper interacting with penguins at a zoo, which is purely civilian content. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the video, LOW for military relevance).
  • NEW: Colonelcassad continues to post general messages without military relevance ("Выпуск № 42: 1260 дней СВО."). These appear to be routine updates or reflections. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the messages, LOW for military relevance).
  • NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a photo message with strong anti-Armenian/pro-Russian nationalist rhetoric regarding Armenia's independence. This is RF propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts a video with highly derogatory and inflammatory language against Ukrainians, showcasing extreme RF propaganda targeting a specific incident in Dnipro. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a video featuring a Rada MP complaining about the quality of Western military aid, which is RF propaganda aimed at undermining confidence in UA's partners. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal RF (Diplomatic/Symbolic): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of Witkoff's motorcade with children's song "Tick-tock, the clocks are ticking" from the cartoon "Fixies" playing. This is a symbolic gesture by UA media, likely mocking the RF-US diplomatic meeting. TASS reports that the King of Malaysia has arrived at the Kremlin for a meeting with Putin, further confirmed by Colonelcassad with video showing the meeting. This indicates continued diplomatic engagements by RF beyond the US. Новости Москвы posts video of blooming hydrangeas in Alexandrovsky Garden, purely civilian content. TASS reports on the first "Kometa" sea passenger vessel arriving in Sukhum (Abkhazia) from Sochi after 32 years, met by Кириенко (likely Sergey Kiriyenko, First Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Administration of Russia), signifying renewed civilian transport links that could also have dual-use potential or symbolize renewed influence. TASS further shares video of this event. ТАСС reports Предстоящая встреча Путина и Трампа может стать исторической, считает Дмитриев. ТАСС reports President of UAE Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan arrived in Russia with an official visit. Kadyrov_95 video shows a formal arrival ceremony for the UAE President in Russia, confirming continued high-level diplomatic engagements. TASS and Colonelcassad confirm Putin is holding negotiations with the UAE President in the Kremlin, highlighting a significant diplomatic event. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance; HIGH for TASS report and video; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Kadyrov_95 video; HIGH for TASS and Colonelcassad reports).
• Internal RF (Civilian): TASS reports Putin awarded Order "For Merit in Culture and Art" to two Russian People's Artists. TASS reports Moscow Zoo successfully took blood from a polar bear voluntarily for the first time in history. This is domestic civilian news, of no military relevance. TASS reports the "Kometa" sea passenger vessel has made its first test voyage from Sochi to Sukhumi. This indicates development of civilian transport infrastructure, of low military relevance. Новости Москвы posts video of critically high river levels in the Moscow region due to heavy rains, indicating localized environmental impact. WarGonzo posts photo messages from Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, related to a media summit. This is domestic news, of low military relevance. Alex Parker Returns posts a video about buying car tires, which is not militarily relevant. TASS reports Vladimir Safronov, People's Artist of the Russian Federation, died, likely from cardiac arrest. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of a priest speaking about mass migration, mentioning Sharia and Russian law, indicating internal social/religious discourse. ТАСС reports: Школа не может заставить родителей покупать определенную форму, заявила ТАСС депутат Татьяна Буцкая. TASS reports Kaluga airport has temporary restrictions. Север.Реалии reports a car hit two women at a bus stop in St. Petersburg, one died. TASS reports new bill in State Duma to prohibit schools from forcing parents to buy specific uniforms. Новости Москвы reports 🏍️ Рейд «Мотобезопасность» пройдёт в Москве 8-10 августа. ТАСС reports ✈️ Экипаж самолета "Уральских авиалиний" принял решение об уходе на запасной аэродром и приземлился в Астрахани, сообщили в авиакомпании. Новости Москвы reports 🥶 До +10°С температура в Москве может опускаться по ночам с сегодняшнего дня. Новости Москвы posts photo message for 📱 Функция «Друзья на карте» в 2ГИС помогает не теряться в городе. TASS reports the passing of Eldar Shengelaia, a Georgian film director. This is a civilian event, low military relevance. Новости Москвы posts photo message for 🚘 Carsharing in Moscow will start working with Mos ID verification from September 1, — Sobyanin. TASS reports a court in Sochi arrested a second defendant in an alcohol poisoning case until October 4, a civilian law enforcement matter. Север.Реалии reports that a murderer who communicated with his victim's relatives on her behalf went to war in St. Petersburg, indicating a concerning trend of criminals joining the military, impacting RF force quality. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance; HIGH for TASS report; LOW for Alex Parker Returns video military relevance; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Север.Реалии report; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Новости Москвы report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for Новости Москвы report; HIGH for Новости Москвы photo message; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Новости Москвы photo message; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for Север.Реалии report).
  • UPDATED: TASS reports six Russians were injured in a traffic accident in Karaman province, Turkey, and are receiving medical attention. This is a civilian incident, not militarily relevant. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • NEW: TASS reports on a new "Dronobus" complex for launching fiber-optic drones, presented in Russia, indicating development in niche drone technology. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports on a proposed law in the State Duma to cancel fines for car tinting and tuning, indicating a domestic policy focus. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports on a proposed law to prohibit construction of multi-apartment buildings in settlements with infrastructure deficit, indicating domestic social policy. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Новости Москвы posts video about "Spanish slugs" having "flooded Moscow and the region again." This is purely civilian news, low military relevance. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports the Ministry of Internal Affairs has been requested to check Guf's album "Gorod Dorog" for drug propaganda. This indicates domestic social and legal policy focus. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports the body of ex-"Dom-2" participant Polina Malinina was found in Nizhny Novgorod. This is a civilian criminal investigation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Unidentified Location (Internal RF): Colonelcassad posts a photo of a whiteboard with a list of names/nicknames and unit designations. This is likely a unit roster or a list of personnel relevant to the military blogger, providing insight into internal RF military organization or individual tracking. Colonelcassad posts photo of Rouzbeh Vadi, identified as a Mossad spy, executed today by Iran's judicial system. This is external intelligence news, relevant to broader geopolitical context. Два майора posts multiple photos under the caption "Soldier's everyday life," showing what appears to be military personnel in a field environment, some in full combat gear, possibly eating, resting, or performing tasks, with one image showing a shelter with camouflage netting, and another of soldiers resting on a truck. This provides some insight into RF soldier conditions. Два майора posts a photo message discussing US-Japan narrative around the 80th anniversary of Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings, claiming US media frames it as saving lives, and downplaying Soviet entry into WWII in Far East, indicating RF information operation on historical narratives. WarGonzo posts a photo message discussing how the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki prevented the creation of a Japanese People's Republic. Colonelcassad posts new video messages showing a truck carrying a significant amount of barbed wire/razor wire, indicating preparation for defensive positions or fortification efforts. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages captioned "Moments of the SMO. Frontline weekdays," showing various scenes of RF soldiers in the field, including a trench, a soldier using a radio, and equipment, indicating continued combat operations and routine. These posts are likely for internal morale and to show the "reality" of the war. Басурин о главном reports Rostec began serial production of equipment for neural networks with an innovative cooling system. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 🪂 Экс-замглаве Росгвардии Стригунову предъявлено обвинение в получении взяток. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts photo messages with text about social services. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message claiming "Another Kremlin Murzilka has been exposed," referring to a pro-Russian figure, indicating continued UA information operations against RF internal figures. «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a photo message with the caption: Russia is a country of heroes! (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Два майора photos; HIGH for Два майора photo message; HIGH for WarGonzo photo message; HIGH for Colonelcassad video messages; HIGH for Colonelcassad photo messages and content; HIGH for Басурин о главном report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; LOW for АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА photo messages military relevance; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns photo message; HIGH for «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» photo message).
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad provides multiple static images of statistical reports (likely spreadsheets/charts) related to military equipment losses and deliveries, particularly for tanks, over a 360-day period ("Выпуск № 42: 1260 дней СВО"). While not tactical visuals, these represent RF internal data compilation efforts, likely for internal reporting or propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the data presentation, LOW for independent verification of accuracy).
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages from the "Rubikon Center," which include graphics on UAV models, target types, number of "strikes," and publications over time. This indicates an internal RF data collection and analysis effort related to drone operations, likely for internal reporting or propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Старше Эдды posts an analysis of Soviet historiography concerning the Crimean War, which is a domestic intellectual discussion, not directly military. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Narodnaya militsiya DNR shares a video of "Culture of DNR," which appears to be a civilian concert, indicating efforts to maintain normalcy or promote local culture. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS news update photo message summarizes key events, including Putin-Trump meeting, legal changes, criminal cases, and drug propaganda checks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal UA (Deported Citizens): RBC-Ukraine reports almost 100 deported Ukrainians stranded at the Georgian border, with MFA trying to unblock transit through Moldova. This highlights the humanitarian impact of the conflict and the challenges for UA citizens abroad. ASTRA reports 11 Ukrainians are on hunger strike at the Georgian border, fearing extradition to Russia, alleging confiscation of passports and biometrics, and appealing for international assistance and consular visits. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for ASTRA report).
• Internal RF (Morale): Kotsnews reports a Ukrainian paratrooper commander criticizing the state of the AFU, which is RF propaganda. STERNENKO posts a photo message "Rusoriz needs reinforcement!" accompanied by a photo of people with their backs turned raising hands. The photo content is unclear but the caption implies a call for action or support, potentially for a combat unit. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts RF propaganda, framed as "Обстановка глазами хохлов (перевод с мовы)," which is a derogatory term for Ukrainians, indicating continued RF efforts to dehumanize and mock UA. Военкор Котенок posts a request for donations for soldiers of the 7th and 76th Guards Air Assault Divisions, stating they have been fighting for 5 days and nights without rest. This indicates extreme fatigue and continued reliance on volunteer support for these elite VDV units. Два майора posts a photo message about the anniversary of the invasion, likely referring to the Kursk offensive by UA forces, which serves as a domestic narrative focus point. Два майора posts a video which appears to be a music video with a somber and dramatic theme, possibly related to wartime experience, with lyrics about struggle, loss, and resilience. This is a new development in RF's public messaging and morale-boosting efforts. Военкор Котенок posts a story about Guido Huber, a "Russian German" who moved to Russia and volunteered for the SMO, framed as a true man who did not succumb to Western propaganda, indicating RF's use of individual narratives for morale and recruitment. Два майора reports Major Smolkotin Yury Alexandrovich, head of a border outpost on the Russian-Georgian border, was on a mission in Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок posts a request for assistance from a "subscriber," likely a call for donations or support. It includes images of medical supplies and a Russian passport. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for propaganda; LOW for veracity; HIGH for STERNENKO, context requires further analysis but implies morale/support; LOW for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 veracity; HIGH for Военкор Котенок; HIGH for Два майора photo message; HIGH for Два майора video; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for Два майора report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report).
  • NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts a video of a man speaking Russian, with heavily derogatory and dehumanizing language about a legless Ukrainian veteran, and criticizing Ukrainian police. This is a clear RF propaganda effort to dehumanize UA soldiers and sow discord within Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Colonelcassad posts photo messages for a donation drive targeting "assault troops and reconnaissance units operating in the South Donetsk direction," indicating specific unit needs and fundraising efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: WarGonzo shares a video featuring "Mif" discussing personal experiences of conflict in Mariupol, including a harrowing account of a mother being shot during evacuation. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at shaping narratives about the conflict's impact on civilians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Pskov Oblast (RF): Север.Реалии reports a road in a Pskov village turned into a swamp, with officials advising residents to wait for good weather. This indicates localized infrastructure issues in RF rear areas dues to environmental factors. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• US-Ukraine Presidential Call: RBC-Ukraine and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm that a phone conversation between President Zelenskyy and Donald Trump is currently underway. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the Zelenskyy-Trump conversation has concluded, citing Kyiv Post. RBC-Ukraine reports the Trump-Zelenskyy conversation has concluded, citing Reuters. RBC-Ukraine reports Trump stated significant progress was made at the Witkoff-Putin meeting, implying the call with Zelenskyy may have been related. Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA confirm Zelenskyy spoke with Trump from Sumy Oblast on the way from frontline brigades. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and Zelenskiy / Official release videos of Zelenskyy in Sumy Oblast visiting brigades, highlighting their defense and offensive operations in Kursk, and emphasizing the need for accelerating weapons and drone procurement. KMVA and Oleh Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv ODA, also share these videos, further confirming the visit and its messages. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy discussing pressure being applied to Russia and emphasizing the need to not be misled, suggesting a strategic communication effort during ongoing military operations. Colonelcassad reports that CNN claims Trump has instructed his entourage to accelerate the organization of direct negotiations between Trump and Putin. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, post identical messages about today being "a day of many calls and contacts for real progress on the path to peace and guaranteeing Ukraine's independence." ТАСС reports ⚡️ Место проведения встречи Путина и Трампа согласовано, о нем объявят несколько позже, сообщил Ушаков. ТАСС reports ❗️Согласована договоренность о проведении в ближайшие дни встречи Путина и Трампа, стороны приступили к ее проработке, заявил Ушаков. ТАСС reports ❗️Уиткофф затрагивал идею трехсторонней встречи Путина, Трампа и Зеленского, но Москва это оставила без комментария, заявил Ушаков. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Місце проведення зустрічі путіна та Трампа погоджено, про нього оголосять дещо пізніше, — Ушаков. Alex Parker Returns reports Место проведения встречи уже согласовано, но оно пока будет оставаться в секрете. Встреча состоится в ближайшие ближайшие дни. ТАСС reports ❗️Следующая неделя была обозначена как ориентир для встречи Путина и Трампа, но сколько дней займет подготовка пока сказать трудно, отметил Ушаков. Colonelcassad reports Помощник Путина Ушаков сообщил, что место встречи Путина и Трампа уже согласовано. Оно будут объявлено чуть позже. Дата, надо понимать, находится в процессе согласования. Американские СМИ с ссылкой на администрацию Трампа заявляют, что Трамп хотел бы напрямую встретится с Путиным уже на следующей неделе. Военкор Котенок reports Помощник российского президента Юрий Ушаков: "Место проведения встречи Владимира Путина и Дональда Трампа согласовано, о нем объявят несколько позже". РБК-Україна reports Zelenskyy stated several possible formats for leader-level meetings are being discussed: two bilateral and one trilateral. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy states security advisors will hold an online meeting today to coordinate views between Ukraine, Europe, and the US, indicating continued high-level diplomatic engagement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for RBC-Ukraine report; LOW for RBC-Ukraine report veracity; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA reports; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, Zelenskiy / Official, KMVA, and Syniehubov videos; HIGH for ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report; HIGH for Alex Parker Returns report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for Военкор Котенок report; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ report).
  • UPDATED: Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy has stated that a real ceasefire is needed and Ukraine is ready for it, but Russia has not provided a clear public response. This highlights Ukraine's stance on peace talks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Oleg Syniehubov and 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 posts identical messages about President Zelenskyy's working trip to Sumy Oblast, underscoring high-level leadership engagement in the border regions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Zaporizhzhia Educational Ceremony: UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts multiple photo messages and captions about a ceremony in Zaporizhzhia honoring students who successfully passed the national multi-subject test. This indicates efforts to maintain civilian normalcy and highlight educational achievements despite the conflict, aiming to bolster local morale and project resilience. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts photos related to training Zaporizhzhia entrepreneurs on grant applications. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance but HIGH info environment relevance; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration photos).
• Ukraine COVID-19 Strain: RBC-Ukraine reports a new coronavirus strain, Stratus, has been detected in Ukraine, accompanied by a microscopic image of the virus. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports a new coronavirus strain, Stratus, has been detected in Ukraine, spreading very quickly, with image of virus. ТАСС reports Rosoptrebnadzor is monitoring information about the Chikungunya fever outbreak in China's Guangdong province, with risks of import to RF. This suggests RF is monitoring global health threats. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance, but HIGH public health relevance; HIGH for Операция Z report; HIGH for ТАСС report).
• RF Internal Repression: ASTRA reports the co-founder of the "Movement of Conscious Refusers" was detained again by security forces after court, indicating continued RF repression of anti-war/mobilization sentiment. Colonelcassad reports a Crimean resident was sentenced to 18 years in prison for transmitting information to the AFU about a Feodosia oil depot attacked in autumn 2024. This confirms continued RF counter-intelligence efforts and severe penalties. Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing detention of teenagers preparing to murder a serviceman in Novosibirsk Oblast. TASS reports former governor of Chelyabinsk Oblast, Boris Dubrovsky, is wanted on criminal charges by the Interior Ministry. ASTRA reports Житель Нижнего Новгорода получил четыре года колонии за обсуждение запуска воздушных шариков. Север.Реалии reports В Карелии художницу Ирину Быстрову приговорили к четырем годам условно по делу о "фейках" об армии. ТАСС reports Суд Москвы приговорил на сроки от 3 до 7 лет фигурантов дела о краже имущества у Чубайса, передает корреспондент ТАСС. ТАСС reports Мосгорсуд оставил в СИЗО главреда Telegram-канала Baza Глеба Трифонова. ASTRA posts a photo message reporting that Boris Dubrovsky, former governor of Chelyabinsk Oblast, has been put on the wanted list. TASS reports Journalist Dmitry Kuznets of "Meduza" has been placed on the wanted list under a criminal article, according to the Ministry of Internal Affairs database. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance, but HIGH info environment relevance; HIGH for Colonelcassad report; HIGH for Colonelcassad reports; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for Север.Реалии report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ТАСС report; HIGH for ASTRA report; HIGH for TASS report).
  • UPDATED: ASTRA reports the Rector of Polytechnic University referred to applicants from "SVO participants" quotas as "honorably problematic contingent," indicating potential internal issues with the quality or integration of returning military personnel into civilian society. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: ASTRA posts a video of a cafe in Belgorod offering a dessert shaped like a "shelter from Ukraine," highlighting the public's adaptation to and marketing of the conflict's realities in border regions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the video, LOW for military relevance).
  • UPDATED: STERNENKO reports SBU warns that RF special services are recruiting elderly people for terrorist acts, indicating a new modus operandi for hybrid warfare. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Север.Реалии reports on an attorney forced to sign false testimony regarding correspondence with an "SBU agent" and an artist receiving a suspended sentence for "fakes" about the army. This indicates continued RF repression of dissent and attempts to fabricate evidence. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• UA Internal Support: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of four soldiers making a public appeal for donations for military equipment repair, specifying the 37th Separate Mechanized Battalion of the 114th Brigade, highlighting continued reliance on public support for equipment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal UA - DELTA System: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video showcasing the 'DELTA' digital command and control system utilized by the Ukrainian military, demonstrating real-time battlefield awareness and targeting. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Airspace Monitoring: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, and Sumy oblasts, with possible air defense engagement. РБК-Україна posts current air raid map. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine updates on "Shahed" movement. РБК-Україна posts an immediate assessment photo message on drone movement. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a general warning. РБК-Україна reports This image appears to be a screenshot of a Telegram chat, likely from a Ukrainian military or news source, reporting on drone activity. Based on the content, a tactical analysis can be conducted. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports ⚠ Увага! Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs on the south of Mykolaiv Oblast, near the southern coast of Odessa Oblast, in the north of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk Oblasts, which may be target designators. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in the northwest of Chernihiv Oblast, which may be target designators. Assets deployed for engagement. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issued an "Attention!" warning, indicating potential new air threat. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports air alarm lifted. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports lifting of ballistic missile threat. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for РБК-Україна report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration report; HIGH for Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report).
  • UPDATED: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a general "Attention!" warning, indicating a new air threat. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast: Shef Hayabusa reports a drone strike hit a Ukrposhta (Ukrainian Postal Service) vehicle near Kramatorsk, killing the head of the mobile post office and wounding the driver. This is a civilian casualty incident. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Donetsk City (Occupied): Shef Hayabusa posts videos of civilian life in occupied Donetsk, with cynical/sarcastic captions about "how good life has become." One video shows a woman mopping up floodwater, implying poor infrastructure. Another shows an elderly woman collecting murky water from a stream, implying water shortages or poor quality. These are clear UA information operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• LNR: TASS reports RF FSB has detained a man in LNR for correcting UA strikes on Russian military personnel. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports ‼️🇷🇺Агент Киева задержан: В ЛНР житель Сватовского района передавал ВСУ данные о российской армии. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Операция Z report).
• US Cyber-Attack: TASS reports hackers breached the electronic registration system of US federal courts, stealing data on criminal cases and figures. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance).
• RF MoD Claims on UA Drones: Colonelcassad reports 82 UA fixed-wing UAVs were destroyed/intercepted overnight by RF PVO. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports minus 16 Starlinks and 59 AFU control points were destroyed in 24 hours. MoD Russia photo messages highlight the "progress of special military operation," possibly related to claimed drone downings or other tactical successes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for claim, MEDIUM for veracity; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report; HIGH for MoD Russia photo messages).
  • NEW: STERNENKO reports "Posipaky" unit shot down two "Delta" drones, which GUR MO recently discussed. The video also highlights Chinese electronics in the downed drones. This confirms UA's successful counter-drone operations and efforts to expose RF's reliance on foreign components. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF Railway Incident (Krasnodar Krai): TASS reports 7 passenger trains delayed due to an incident between Velichkovka and Angelinskaya stations in Krasnodar Krai. ASTRA reports UAV fragments damaged railway contact network in Krasnodar Krai. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports В результаті атаки по залізничній інфраструктурі уражено об'єкт Чирської дистанції колії (Чирская дистанция пути). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for incident, HIGH for cause; HIGH for КіберБорошно | CyberBoroboshno report).
• Afipsky Oil Refinery (Krasnodar Krai): КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno provides photo messages and tactical analysis claiming the furnace part of the gas/gas condensate processing unit was hit at Afipsky Oil Refinery. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms the fire at the technological unit for processing gas and gas condensate. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirm Defense Forces attacked an oil refinery in Krasnodar Krai and other targets. ASTRA photo messages confirm the UA General Staff's report on the strike against the Afipsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for ASTRA photo messages).
• RF POWs (Dnipropetrovsk): TASS reports RF military structures claim commanders of two UA brigades in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast refused to evacuate wounded personnel after FAB strikes. TASS further claims no officers among the POWs Kyiv refused to exchange (70% soldiers/sailors), and 15% were mobilized. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports На днепропетровском направлении уничтожено несколько батальонов 31-й бригады ВСУ. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for TASS report, LOW for veracity; LOW for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent).
• Umrjon Soliev (Crocus attack): TASS reports Umrjon Soliev, who delivered weapons for the Crocus attack, intends to transfer money as compensation to victims to mitigate his punishment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• Kyiv City Military Administration reports a UAV threat for Vyshhorod district, Kyiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• SBU detained another RF agent who was guiding aerial bombs on Sloviansk. (Оперативний ЗСУ, CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Colonelcassad posts video and photo messages of RF strikes on Dnipropetropavsk, with cynical caption "How beautiful Dnipropetropavsk has become after talks with Witkoff." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for content, HIGH for propaganda intent).
• Mash na Donbashe video shows a warehouse with grenade launchers, mines, and drones abandoned by UA forces and found by Rosgvardia in DNR. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF claims UA attempting to break through flanks near Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast; heavy fighting. (TASS, CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM for veracity, HIGH for report).
• Brazil's President plans to meet BRICS leaders to discuss joint response to US tariffs. (Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z, CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF Rosoboronexport is negotiating to establish production of AI-based equipment for neural networks in friendly countries. (Басурин о главном, CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kotsnews reports today is Poddubny's "second birthday," which is not militarily relevant, likely a personal or milblogger event. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• UA: Оперативний ЗСУ reports В Україні зʼявиться перша державна інфраструктура для розвитку ШІ — запускаємо AI Factory, — Федоров. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Север.Реалии reports Как минимум в 16 регионах России людям, живущим с ВИЧ, отказались проводить тесты на вирусную нагрузку. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• Cherkasy (UA): Оперативний ЗСУ reports У Черкасах стріляли у закладі харчування, всередині приміщення знаходиться чоловік зі зброєю, — Суспільне. РБК-Україна reports У Черкасах в McDonald's сталася стрілянина. Alex Parker Returns posts video of an armed man barricaded in a McDonald's in Cherkasy, Ukraine, with highly derogatory and inflammatory language against Ukrainians. Оперативний ЗСУ reports medical personnel evacuated an injured man from a McDonald's in Cherkasy, while РБК-Україна reports it was a shooter who self-inflicted wounds. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) provides multiple videos showing the incident, including security forces, a medical evacuation, and entry into the McDonald's. Оперативний ЗСУ photo messages depict law enforcement and emergency services at the scene of the McDonald's shooting in Cherkasy, confirming the incident and ongoing response. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Оперативний ЗСУ photo messages).
• Belgorod Oblast (RF): ASTRA reports Три человека ранены в результате атаки дронов на Белгородскую область, — губернатор. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Equatorial Guinea (Global): Рыбарь posts video titled 📝Теряем темпы📝 discussing a geopolitical struggle for energy resources, focusing on the roles of the UK and China, and Russia's apparent withdrawal or indecisiveness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW direct military relevance to Ukraine).
• Economic Impact (RF): ТАСС reports Индекс Мосбиржи превысил 2 900 пунктов впервые с 6 июня 2025 года на фоне согласования РФ и США встречи лидеров стран, следует из данных торгов. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• RF Diplomatic Event: ТАСС reports В Москве началось прощание с Борисом Юханановым. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• RF Atmospheric Event: ТАСС reports Самая сильная за последние два месяца магнитная буря ожидается на Земле 8 августа. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• Sochi, Krasnodar Krai (RF): TASS reports In Sochi, one of the figures in the cha-cha poisoning case has been arrested until October 4. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).
• NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts a video with a stylized image of a soldier and drone footage showing a heavily damaged urban residential structure, indicating the aftermath of a strike and likely used for propaganda purposes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Олександр Вілкул posts multiple photos of UA soldiers of the 129th Brigade. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Путин заявил, что в целом не имеет ничего против проведения встречи с Зеленским. (Alex Parker Returns, CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Colonelcassad video shows Putin commenting on upcoming meeting with Trump. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: TASS reports RF Transport Ministry is working to increase number of Russian airports accepting flights from UAE. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RF Telegram channel) shares a video featuring a mother of mobilized soldiers appealing to Putin for their release after being captured. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at domestic morale, but could indicate broader concerns about POWs. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: ASTRA reports a Russian "senator" Basuk claimed the verdict against Moldovan politician Gutsul means continuation of "SMO" in Ukraine. This is RF propaganda linking regional political events to the war. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video (UA) titled "Russian death factory: loading of Putin's cranes is in full swing - day and night," showing body bags being loaded into a military vehicle, with cynical commentary about dead Russian soldiers and unfulfilled promises. This is UA counter-propaganda targeting RF morale and recruitment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Alex Parker Returns (RF milblogger) posts a cynical video about Witkoff ordering a "cheburek" on Russian TV, mocking the diplomatic encounter. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: ТАСС reports Russia's withdrawal from CFE Treaty allows it to deploy "Oreshnik" complexes in allied countries for security. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Филолог в засаде shares a comment from a subscriber about military police activity on roads in frontline areas, suggesting increased internal control or mobilization efforts by RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Putin refused a meeting with Zelenskyy, citing Bild. This contradicts earlier reports of openness to a meeting and suggests shifting positions or media spin. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Рыбарь posts photo messages "Revenge is served cold," with unspecified content, likely a general commentary on the conflict. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: AV БогомаZ posts photos of an awards ceremony for "Day of the Builder," domestic RF event highlighting reconstruction efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows aftermath of attack on a building in Zaporizhzhia direction. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Басурин о главном posts a humorous video, likely to de-stress or entertain his audience. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH, LOW military relevance).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

• No new significant weather or environmental factors reported for frontline operations. Previous conditions likely persist (summer, hot, variable rainfall). Continued drone operations on both sides indicate favorable visibility for aerial ISR and strikes. Heavy rains, thunderstorms, and squalls are reported in Kyiv, and Kharkiv ODA warns of possible weather deterioration in Kharkiv Oblast. These conditions could temporarily impact ground operations, drone flights, and logistics in these specific areas, increasing challenges for both sides. Reports of heavy rains and flooding in Kyiv, leading to submerged cars and supermarket damage from water, confirm significant localized weather impact. Power outages in Kyiv Oblast are also attributed to the weather. Continued reports and visual evidence of heavy rainfall and flooding in Kyiv underscore the ongoing impact of weather on urban infrastructure and civilian life. Photos of flooded Kyiv streets from Patrol Police confirm continued significant weather impact on the capital. Videos of critically high river levels in the Moscow region due to heavy rains confirm localized severe weather in RF rear areas, which could impact internal logistics/transportation, though no direct military impact is reported. TASS reports a large forest fire in southern France (14k+ hectares), not directly militarily relevant to Ukraine. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a video featuring a man claiming the Kamchatka volcanic eruption and earthquakes are due to "special operations of the USA and Ukraine," which is disinformation. This is a new, unfounded environmental claim used for propaganda. РБК-Україна reports an accident in the network in Poltava region, resulting in power outages in several districts, indicating localized weather or technical issues impacting infrastructure. Shef Hayabusa's videos from Donetsk depicting floodwaters and water collection from a stream imply current or recent heavy rainfall and infrastructure issues in occupied areas, highlighting potential future humanitarian needs. TASS reports Klyuchevsky volcano eruption on Kamchatka received the highest aviation danger code. TASS reports that Klyuchevskaya Sopka volcano's activity could threaten international aviation. TASS reports RF authorities deny a submarine was damaged by an earthquake on Kamchatka. ТАСС reports Самая сильная за последние два месяца магнитная буря ожидается на Земле 8 августа. While a magnetic storm is a natural phenomenon, depending on its severity, it could potentially impact communications, navigation (GPS), and satellite operations, thus indirectly affecting military activities. Новости Москвы reports 🤯Самая сильная за последние два месяца магнитная буря ожидается завтра and provides a TACTICAL ANALYSIS OF GEOMAGNETIC STORM FORECAST by News of Moscow. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for new Shef Hayabusa videos; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for TASS report on volcano; HIGH for TASS report; HIGH for ТАСС report and potential impact; HIGH for Новости Москвы report).

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

• RF:
  • Donetsk Axis: Main effort remains on the Pokrovsk direction with continued exploitation of the Ocheretyne salient, aiming for Rodynske. Intense, attritional assaults on Chasiv Yar, supported by T-90M tanks (company-sized). Forces appear to be consolidating gains in Rodynske. Propaganda leaflets indicate attempts to demoralize UA forces in Pokrovsk. Continued strikes on Druzhkivka TCC. RF milblogger claims UA command does not see anything critical in the Konstantinovka direction despite being in "semi-encirclement," indicating continued RF pressure and propaganda intent. RF claims UA artillery shelling of Zaporizhzhia NPP industrial zone. Two Mayora video indicates Russian special forces are active in the enemy's rear. Photos of Krasnohorivka suggest continued presence and operations in that vicinity. RF propaganda claiming UA losses on the lists and targeting civilians in Svatovo. Colonelcassad's new drone footage of Pokrovsk indicates continued RF focus on this city. RF MoD video shows Vostok Group of Forces assaulting positions on motorbikes. RF MoD reports FPV drone operators from the Leningrad Military District's 11th Army Corps are training. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a summary of the day's operations. Два майора posts a photo message promoting "Motorized Riflemen of the VKS" and videos showing a captured UA soldier, a destroyed T-72, and a damaged Leopard 2, indicating RF's focus on combat successes and propaganda. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast. Операция Z reports RF advancing along almost the entire Lyman direction, threatening UA with a new encirclement. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows UAV operators of 7th Air Assault Division on Kamenskoye Zaporizhzhia direction destroying enemy manpower. RF has occupied Wastewater Treatment Facilities near Stepnohorsk Interchange. A new photo message from "Сливочный каприз" shows the Kamenskoye - Stepnohirsk area as of 07 AUG 25, suggesting continued focus on this axis and RF presence in the vicinity of the recently occupied Wastewater Treatment Facilities. Военкор Котенок posts a photo message captioned "Krasnolimanskoye direction", providing additional confirmation of RF focus on this sector. Colonelcassad posts new video messages showing a truck carrying a significant amount of barbed wire/razor wire, indicating preparation for defensive positions or fortification efforts. Colonelcassad video claims destruction of a forward deployment point (PVD) of the UA 93rd Separate Mechanized Brigade using a FAB-3000 with UMPK near Konstantinovka. This indicates a continued focus on degrading UA strongholds and logistics in the Konstantinovka area. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports RF forces are in close proximity to Shandyholovo, Donetsk Oblast, and are initiating combat operations for its 'liberation.' RF milblogger video shows the 20th 'Immortal' Regiment destroying enemy forces and clearing a pocket near Dzerzhinsk. The video depicts intense artillery shelling and explosions on structures, consistent with heavy combat and destruction. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides multiple photo messages of Pokrovsk, indicating continued heavy damage and fighting in the area. Рыбарь posts a video titled "Liberation of Verkhnekamenskoye," indicating an RF claim of a significant tactical gain in the Siversk/Lyman direction. Colonelcassad posts video of RF 51st Army's continuous hunt for "Baba Yaga" drones, showing elimination of UAVs, indicating active counter-UAV operations. MoD Russia reports Artillery of Vostok Group of Forces eliminates dugout of enemy in South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing destruction of a masked UA T-72B tank near Aleksandro-Kalinovo and destruction of a T-64BV tank, implying continued RF anti-armor operations. Narodnaya militsiya DNR reports 📹Уничтожение гаубицы «Д-20» ВСУ в районе Константиновки. MoD Russia reports ⚔️ The Giatsint-B guns of the 25th Combined Arms Army (Zapad Group of Forces) destroyed strongholds with manpower, a command post, and take-off points of the enemy's UAVs in the LPR. MoD Russia video shows a Tsentr Group T-72B3 tank crew destroying a concealed enemy stronghold, confirming armored vehicle operations and targeting of fortified positions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad reports RF is engaged in fighting in Katerynivka, Konstantinovka direction, with accompanying geospatial analysis image. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM). Басурин о главном publishes multiple videos and captions showing drone footage of urban areas, damaged buildings, and explosions, asserting the "inevitable collapse of Ukrainian defense in Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk)." The videos include Russian soldiers operating artillery and a view from inside a military vehicle in a damaged urban environment, reinforcing the visual narrative of RF offensive operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the videos, MEDIUM for the claims of inevitable collapse). Воин DV video claims RF discovered and neutralized an enemy group on the South Donetsk direction. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Colonelcassad posts photos for a donation drive targeting "assault troops and reconnaissance units operating in the South Donetsk direction," indicating specific unit needs and fundraising efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Narodnaya militsiya DNR shares a video for "#КультураДНР", which appears to be a civilian concert, indicating efforts to maintain normalcy or promote local culture. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Zaporizhzhia Front: Shifted to small-unit (8-10 man) infantry infiltration attacks, heavily reliant on FPV drones and Lancet loitering munitions. Request for volunteer donations for drones and Starlink suggests ongoing equipment needs. Casualties confirmed in Stepnohirsk. Continued night drone operations by 35th Army 'Vostok' Group. Donations for 7th and 76th Guards Air Assault Divisions indicate these VDV units are heavily engaged. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts photo messages related to a construction site, which are civilian in nature. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 mopeds flying towards Dnipro, potentially affecting Pavlohrad. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports another 5 mopeds flying towards Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek confirms these 5 mopeds are now over Dnipro. Николаевский Ванёк: осталось 4 мопеда из всех; по мопедам на Днепр пока отбой; 1 остался, сейчас пролетает Синельниково; остаток по всем мопедам. Операция Z reports explosions and fires in Dnipropetropavsk from a massive attack. Multiple photos and videos from Операция Z depict large plumes of red smoke, fires, and urban destruction, consistent with significant attacks on Dnipropetropavsk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV on the north of Kherson Oblast moving towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV in southern Dnipropetropovsk region heading North. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new mopeds approaching Kryvyi Rih slowly. Олександр Вілкул reports Shahed attack on Kryvyi Rih with series of explosions. РБК-Україна confirms explosions in Kryvyi Rih. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV threat for Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк reports only 1 drone remains. 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦 reports an alarm, indicating an immediate threat, likely aerial. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports an alert. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of ballistic weapons from the south. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports drone strike by 291st Regiment on Zaporizhzhia front, moving towards Orekhov. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the ballistic missile threat. РБК-Україна confirms the lifting of the ballistic missile threat. РБК-Україна reports a 62-year-old woman was killed in Huliaipole due to RF MLRS strike, as per Zaporizhzhia OMA. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts video from Zaporizhzhia front, Plovni (Плавни), showing drone footage of damaged urban/semi-urban area. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message claiming Масований терор Запорізької області - 723 удари за добу. Зеленський / Офіційний posts photos of civilian damage and casualties in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts photos of civilian damage and casualties in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kherson Oblast (Left Bank): Continued efforts to liquidate UA positions and localized assaults (Stepnogorsk). Potential new cluster munition use. RF MoD reports Attack UAV operators targeting UA vehicles and positions on the right bank of Dnepr. KAB launches on Kherson continue. Española Marine special purpose detachment training confirmed in Crimea. UA reports the bridge to Korabelny district in Kherson is functioning despite strikes, and UA forces remain on the island. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports high threat of enemy BECs by sea from Feodosia to Sochi, indicating RF concern for naval drone attacks in the Black Sea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photos reporting renewed RF attempts to destroy the Korabelny district bridge. Fighterbomber claims RF has hit Kherson bridge 6 times with UMPK. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of SSO operators hunting for BM-21 'Grad' MLRS, relevant to the wider conflict. TASS reports that TCC employees in Kherson have become softer, fearing for their safety, according to the "Russian Kherson" underground organization. TASS reports an attack by unmanned boats on Novorossiysk, with sirens sounding along the coast. Alex Parker Returns posts photo message claiming Russia is trying to occupy Kherson again by focusing strikes on key infrastructure and transport routes, citing CNN. Alex Parker Returns posts videos claiming landings in Crimea and shows smoke plumes, implying UA activity and RF response. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo/video messages claiming a very "hot season" has begun in occupied Crimea, with reports of missile and naval drone attacks. Сили оборони Півдня України reports significant losses inflicted on enemy forces, including 57 KIA, 24 pieces of destroyed/damaged equipment. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports "Куда ни приедем, везде обстрел! А что за горой, там какая-то база, ПВО?" and shows a plume of smoke from a populated area in Crimea. Старше Эдды posts video claiming "Adventures of another group of suicides sent by the AFU command to the islands near Kherson." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kharkiv/Kupyansk/Siversk: Persistent localized attacks and guided aerial bomb strikes. Continued heavy shelling/bombardment in Kupyansk area. Kharkov ODA confirms ongoing support for troops. New RF UAV activity reported in Kharkiv Oblast. "Сливочный каприз" video indicates continued reconnaissance of contested areas near Kupyansk-Sobolivka. Enemy advance reported in Serebryanske forestry. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RF anticipates massive UA drone attack from Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports RF attacked Sumy, causing fires. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs on eastern Kharkiv region. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, possible air defense engagement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports preliminary launches of X-101/55 cruise missiles from TU-160 aircraft, indicating broad strategic disruption intent. Colonelcassad video shows "Anvar" special detachment clearing buffer zones in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts from Ukrainian militants, showing drone strikes on trenches and a transformer station. Рыбарь reports on Kupyansk direction, implying continued focus. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS video shows Radkivka, north of Kupyansk, under UA control. TASS reports RF forces, having forded the Seversky Donets River, have regained part of the bank near Vovchansk. This suggests a localized RF advance and river crossing operation, indicating continued pressure on this axis and a potential threat to UA positions near the river. TASS reports that Russian force structures indicate up to 50% of Ukrainian assault groups in the Synelnikovo, Kharkiv Oblast, has been destroyed. TASS reports that UA forces are caught in a "fire bag" in Volchansk, as reported by Andrey Marochko. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports RF strikes on 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast, with photos of damage. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи на північ Харківщини! ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the operational situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo messages captioned "Купянское направление," providing a map indicating continued RF focus on this sector and ongoing military operations. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition video indicates Russian SpN "Anvar" unit is operating in Chernihiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts, working to create a security zone along the Russian border, and eliminate enemy forces. The video features drone footage showing strikes on dugouts and vehicles. Рыбарь posts photo messages indicating Kupyansk is in a "semi-cauldron," suggesting continued RF encirclement efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Border Regions (Kursk/Bryansk/Rostov/Sumy): RF maintains defensive posture while continuing to frame UA cross-border operations as "invasion" for domestic propaganda. Air defense highly active. UAV activity noted north of Sumy city, and in northeast/east Dnipropetropov and northeast Zaporizhzhia, with engagement of air defense. RF reconnaissance/special forces active in Sumy direction, as shown in Воин DV photo message. Crimean border guards are at combat posts. Public memorial events for "heroes" who resisted "AFU aggression" in Kursk reinforce the victim narrative. Poddubny's claim of the 225th Assault Regiment's refusal to fight is a new propaganda narrative. Басурин о главном posts new RF propaganda related to the Kursk anniversary. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues UAV threat for Sumy Oblast, confirmed by РБК-Україна. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Старше Эдды posts videos and photos claiming significant UA occupation of Kursk Oblast during the 2024 invasion, reinforcing RF victim narrative. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos of Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Umerov on a working trip to Sumy Oblast. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video and photos of him meeting with territorial community heads in Sumy Oblast, discussing issues for frontline territories. Colonelcassad reports three figures sentenced up to 20 years for drone attacks on railway lines in Belgorod and Bryansk oblasts, indicating RF focus on deterring cross-border drone attacks on critical infrastructure. Рыбарь posts videos and photo messages related to the anniversary of the UA invasion into Kursk Oblast, reiterating claims of significant occupied territory and featuring footage of a destroyed tank and soldiers in a store. ✈️ Аэропорт Волгограда temporarily not receiving or sending planes. ASTRA reports fire in Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast after attack on railway station. РБК-Україна reports fire in Surovikino railway station due to unknown drone attack. TASS reports an aerial attack has been repelled in two districts of Rostov Oblast, with no casualties. Governor of Volgograd Oblast confirms attack on two railway stations in Volgograd, with video showing fire at a structure. TASS reports attack repelled in Volgograd Oblast, fire at railway station. ASTRA shares video footage of the Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast railway station after a drone attack, confirming the governor's statement. ASTRA reports a large industrial fire at Afipsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai after a UAV attack. STERNENKO also reports drone attacks on Afipsky Oil Refinery in Kuban, with accompanying videos showing large industrial fires and plumes of black smoke. TASS and Оперативний ЗСУ report that RF MoD claims 82 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over regions of Russia overnight. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. Kadyrov_95 posts video of "Aida" Akhmat Spetsnaz group conducting FPV drone operations in Sumy direction against UA positions. ASTRA reports Три человека ранены в результате атаки дронов на Белгородскую область, — губернатор. AV БогомаZ reports 22 вражеских БпЛА самолетного типа уничтожены силами ПВО Министерства обороны РФ над Брянской областью. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • One person reported injured in Krasnodar Krai due to attack, according to Governor. Два майора shares a photo message from SHOT news outlet regarding the injured person in Krasnodar Krai due to a UAV attack. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a civilian was injured in Slavyansk-on-Kuban due to drone debris. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for Два майора report; HIGH for Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report).
  • Rear Areas: Continued internal security operations (arrests for treason, embezzlement, industrial fraud, railway terrorism, airfield attacks, search for armed serviceman in Chelyabinsk). RF is actively engaging in commemorative events in Kursk to reinforce the "victim" narrative. RF is preparing for "Zapad-2025" exercises in Belarus, with initial troop and equipment deployments confirmed and framed as preparations for a "surprise." Rosgvardia security units are reportedly being sent to the war zone, indicating a widening of recruitment pools or a need for specialized internal security forces on the front. Military railway units are celebrated, underscoring their importance. Memorials to Wagner PMC fighters are being promoted. Colonelcassad reports Iran's execution of a Mossad spy. RF is considering a "limited air truce" for Trump, while continuing ground war. TASS reports on the first "Kometa" sea passenger vessel arriving in Sukhum (Abkhazia) from Sochi. Internal cyber security concerns are noted. Putin's participation in domestic events via video conference suggests a focus on projecting normalcy. "Soldier's everyday life" photos show RF soldier conditions. TASS video shows Putin speaking about the dedication of builders restoring regions in Donbas and Novorossiya despite the difficult situation, and a video of Putin signing documents and discussing positive public evaluations for governors, indicating focus on internal stability and messaging. New reconstructed stadium in Izmalkovo demonstrates civilian infrastructure development. New "Movement of Conscious Refusers" arrest confirms internal repression. TASS reports Stanislav Cherchesov discussed improving FC Akhmat's RPL standings. Alex Parker Returns video on migration indicates continued focus on internal social issues. Два майора's new photo message indicates RF is running an information operation regarding the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings. WarGonzo's new photo message discussing Hiroshima/Nagasaki also confirms this. AV БогомаZ posts two videos of Putin participating in a videoconference about infrastructure development. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts videos expressing RF war aims for Ukraine to cease to exist and its people to emigrate, and a political analyst's view on underestimating Russia's potential and its ability to project power, mentioning the possibility of nuclear weapons and suggesting a failure to recognize this threat would lead to Russia dictating terms and dividing territories. These explicitly state RF's extreme long-term intentions. AV БогомаZ posts two videos of Putin attending a video conference for new bridge openings. Kotsnews posts photos with the caption "Remember, brother...", likely related to a fallen RF soldier. Новости Москвы reports the Moscow Exchange Index jumped 2.5%, reaching a monthly high. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages discussing the use of shotguns against drones, including the "MR-155 'Anti-drone'," indicating RF's adaptive counter-UAS measures. Два майора has posted two videos requesting donations for "frontline vehicles." Новости Москвы photo message and analysis states "Sex is necessary for a person to not get sick, - scientists," confirming continued domestic civilian content. The RF milblogger "Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат»" shares a photo message that, while not militarily significant, is a meme reflecting an element of internal Russian military culture or sentiment regarding nuclear weapons. TASS reports Klyuchevsky volcano eruption on Kamchatka received the highest aviation danger code. Colonelcassad shares a video captioned "China accelerates pace in space space," displaying a vessel launching (likely a rocket recovery vessel) with text overlay "CHINA ARMY." This indicates RF's continued focus on China's military-industrial and technological advancements. Операция Z reports a US military personnel was detained in Texas for attempting to transfer data on Abrams tanks and US military operations to Russia. TASS reports a SBU agent was sentenced to 20 years for plotting an assassination attempt on the Russian Long-Range Aviation commander in 2024. The agent did not admit guilt. Полиция Хабаровского края posts two identical photo messages with the caption: "In Nikolaevsk-on-Amur, police initiated two criminal cases of fraud." The third image appears to be a graphic with text and illustrations, likely for public awareness or educational purposes related to cybersecurity, using an anonymous hacker mask motif to represent different entities making calls or requests via messaging applications. This indicates RF internal focus on combating civilian fraud and cyber security awareness campaigns. TASS reports China and Russia reduced trade volume by 8.1% in Jan-Jul to $125.8B. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages captioned "Moments of the SMO. Frontline weekdays," showing various scenes of RF soldiers in the field, including a trench, a soldier using a radio, and equipment, indicating continued combat operations and routine. These posts are likely for internal morale and to show the "reality" of the war. ТАСС reports that Myint Swe, acting president of Myanmar, has died. ТАСС reports two teenagers were detained in Novosibirsk Oblast for preparing to murder a serviceman with chemical substances, allegedly from Ukrainian special services. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. TASS reports 11 trains in the direction of Crimea are delayed, reason unknown. TASS reports Umrjon Soliev, who delivered weapons for the Crocus attack, intends to transfer money as compensation to victims to mitigate his punishment. TASS reports prohibition of free schooling for migrants contradicts RF Constitution. ТАСС reports former governor of Chelyabinsk Oblast, Boris Dubrovsky, is wanted on criminal charges by the Interior Ministry. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 🪂 Экс-замглаве Росгвардии Стригунову предъявлено обвинение в получении взяток. TASS reports Rosobrnadzor will work on organizing test unified state exams and main state exams in each region, available to everyone regardless of their place of residence. ТАСС reports Minsk цифры will work until the end of 2025 to automate the receipt of benefits for participants of the special operation, combat veterans, and their families, Shadaev reported. ТАСС reports Moscow City Court kept Baza Telegram channel editor-in-chief Gleb Trifonov in pre-trial detention. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts photo messages with text about social services. ТАСС reports In Sochi, one of the figures in the cha-cha poisoning case has been arrested until October 4. Новости Москвы posts photo message for 🚘 Carsharing in Moscow will start working with Mos ID verification from September 1, — Sobyanin. TASS reports Journalist Dmitry Kuznets of "Meduza" has been placed on the wanted list under a criminal article, according to the Ministry of Internal Affairs database. ТАСС reports on the first criminal case in Russia against a "dropover" for illegal financial activities, indicating continued internal financial security efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad continues to post general messages without military relevance ("Выпуск № 42: 1260 дней СВО."). These appear to be routine updates or reflections. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the messages, LOW for military relevance). Два майора posts photos under the caption "Frontline Armor," showing Russian soldiers with a tank and distributing talismans, indicating morale-boosting efforts and unit readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Сливочный каприз has released a photo message with a caption showing "06.08.25 SVO Zone - Pace of the Offensive," indicating internal RF monitoring and reporting on their operational tempo. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the report, MEDIUM for the veracity of claims within it).
  • NEW: Басурин о главном posts a video showing highlights from Putin's statements, likely for internal consumption and propaganda purposes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the video, LOW for independent verification of statements).
  • NEW: AV БогомаZ has multiple photo messages related to a "Day of the Builder" event, showing officials inspecting road construction projects and receiving awards. This indicates continued focus on domestic infrastructure development and public messaging around it. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• UA:
  • Active Defense: Ukrainian forces are maintaining a tenacious defense, particularly on the Pokrovsk axis, despite significant RF pressure and tactical advances. The reported 20-day encirclement stand by four soldiers highlights exceptional resilience. Successful counter-attacks (90th Tank Division pushing back RF by 4 sq. km near Kotlyarivka/Orekhovo) demonstrate continued offensive capability within defensive operations. UA General Staff reports confirm continued clashes and defensive actions across multiple axes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts multiple photos of operational information as of 08:00 07.08.2025 regarding the Russian invasion, providing updated tactical situation across various directions, including areas where UA maintains defense. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Оператори підрозділу ДПСУ «Фенікс» дронами «Vampire» завдають ударів по російській піхоті на Ізюмському напрямку в районі села Карпівка. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the operational situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Offensive Posture: UA maintains an offensive posture in Kursk Oblast, demonstrating initiative and ability to project power into RF territory. Confirmed SSO operations in RF territory (airfield sabotage) indicate readiness for high-risk deep strikes. New DSHV commander announces aggressive surprises. UA operations in Bryansk confirmed. Zelenskyy's visit to the 225th Separate Assault Regiment in Sumy Oblast and the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade (Halychyna) reinforces the offensive posture in the border region and highlights successful engagements. DeepStateUA photo messages confirm awards for 225th Assault Regiment and 80th Airborne Assault Brigade fighters on Kursk operation anniversary. Zelenskyy spoke with Trump from Sumy Oblast while visiting frontline brigades. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the 225th regiment may scale up to a brigade, indicating offensive potential. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos of Zelenskyy, Syrskyi, and Umerov on a working trip to Sumy Oblast. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video and photos of him meeting with territorial community heads in Sumy Oblast, discussing issues for frontline territories. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts satellite imagery confirming damage to a Mi-28 helicopter and other infrastructure at Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield from a UA strike on Aug 1-2. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts tactical maps with text indicating UA forces are advancing in the Sumy direction. STERNENKO posts video footage of Phoenix Border Detachment disrupting RF logistics on the Konstantinovka direction, showing vehicles and personnel moving, and impacts. This highlights UA's continued efforts to target RF supply lines. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Deep Strikes: Continued drone attacks on RF territory (Rostov, Bryansk) and strategic infrastructure (Odessa Oblast gas compressor station near Romanian border). Deep penetration capabilities against RF military facilities (e.g. Mi-28 helicopter incident). Development of new UAVs copied from Russian designs ("Bliskavka" from "Molniya-2"). Successful targeting of RF reconnaissance UAV disguised as a bird. UA air strike on a building in Kamenskoye (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) allegedly used to accumulate "Putin's assault troops." UA drone strike killing two RF occupiers. New drone footage showing artillery strike on enemy personnel. STERNENKO posts video of a shot down Orlan-10 UAV, confirming successful UA counter-drone operations. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of SSO operators hunting for BM-21 'Grad' MLRS, indicating UA counter-battery operations. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts satellite imagery confirming damage to a Mi-28 helicopter and other infrastructure at Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield from a UA strike on Aug 1-2. This is a confirmed significant UA deep strike success. ASTRA reports a large industrial fire at Afipsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai after a UAV attack. STERNENKO also reports drone attacks on Afipsky Oil Refinery in Kuban, with accompanying videos showing large industrial fires and plumes of black smoke. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of GUR MO (Main Intelligence Directorate) units liquidating Russian occupiers. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo/video messages claiming a very "hot season" has begun in occupied Crimea, with reports of missile and naval drone attacks. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports "This is not all about the night's attacks," indicating more BDA to come. STERNENKO video shows explosion/smoke plume in occupied Crimea after threat of ballistic/cruise missiles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports "Куда ни приедем, везде обстрел! А что за горой, там какая-то база, ПВО?" and shows a plume of smoke from a populated area in Crimea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts video of successful RF drone strike against UA vehicle. Оперативний ЗСУ video shows GUR MO "Prymary" combat drones successfully striking an enemy landing craft (Project 02510 "BK-16"), radar systems (RLS NEBO-S), and a command post/radar dome in Ai-Petri, confirming multi-domain deep strike capabilities in Crimea. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno confirms the destruction of Podlot and Nebo radar systems by GUR in Crimea, corroborating the previous report. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts photo messages with specific coordinates, identifying destroyed RF radar systems ("Nebo-SVU" and "Podlyot K-1") near Olenivka, Crimea, from GUR drone strikes, confirming effective UA deep strikes against critical RF assets. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Internal Security: SBU conducting operations against RF collaborators (Pokrovsk) and exposing mobilization evasion schemes (Odessa). Coordination efforts for POW/missing personnel are ongoing, including families of "illegally convicted" Defenders in Russia. New SBU information on RF internal security successes shows continued intelligence gathering by UA on RF internal affairs. UA General Prosecutor's office is fighting internal corruption at high levels (former State Judicial Administration head, Ivano-Frankivsk embezzlement, Ministry of Justice, new Volyn embezzlement, new Ivano-Frankivsk embezzlement reports). Reserve+ application now facilitates deferments for education staff. Zelenskyy has appointed SBU heads in two oblasts (Poltava and Kirovohrad). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that the head of SIZO No. 2 in Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, has been notified of suspicion for organizing torture against journalist Viktoria Roshchina. SBU detained another RF agent who was guiding aerial bombs on Sloviansk. РБК-Україна reports head of SIZO in Rostov Oblast notified of suspicion for organizing torture of Ukrainian journalist Viktoria Roshchina. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports Прокуратура та СБУ заочно повідомили про підозри російському генералу та его підлеглому, які наказали завдати ракетний удар по Київській телевежі у березні 2022 року. РБК-Україна reports from September 1, TCC employees are obliged to wear body cameras and conduct video recording during document checks or summons. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Shmyhal stated that from September 1, all TCC employees must wear body cameras. РБК-Україна photo messages show police detaining a man for a shooting at a McDonald's in Cherkasy, confirming ongoing law enforcement activities. Офіс Генерального прокурора photo messages indicate two inspectors from Zakarpattia customs will be tried for attempting to illegally transfer a conscript to Hungary for $8,000, confirming continued efforts to combat corruption related to mobilization evasion. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages about illegal groundwater extraction in Poltava Oblast, causing over 450 million UAH in damages, with former municipal enterprise directors suspected. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Training/Readiness: The 25th Separate Airborne Sicheslav Brigade is training with advanced simulators (Stinger MANPADS), indicating ongoing efforts to maintain and improve combat readiness. US assistance for M777 howitzer maintenance is critical for artillery readiness. New DSHV commander announces aggressive surprises. 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade DSHV conducting night training with Mk-19 grenade launchers. OPERATIVNY ZSU video shows DELTA system as a critical component of C2. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares a video and photos of President Zelenskyy meeting with the 95th Separate Air Assault Polissia Brigade at a command post, thanking them for their participation in the Kursk operation and awarding state honors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports 354 Russian drones were shot down in July by the Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports Полон позаду – підтримка поруч. Десантники підтримують своїх побратимів, які нещодавно повернулися з російського полону. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts a video message claiming «Краще бути готовими»: у Запоріжжі проводять інтенсивні курси виживання та оборони для цивільних. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Civilian Resilience/Reconstruction: Active efforts in Zaporizhzhia to restore damaged civilian infrastructure and "Pli-o-plic" project indicate a focus on supporting the civilian population and maintaining societal function under fire. Evacuation efforts in Dnipropetrovsk indicate continued humanitarian support and planning for civilian safety. Memorial plaques for fallen soldiers are used to maintain morale. Delivery of 35 ATVs to UA units in Zaporizhzhia indicates support for operational mobility. Reports of damage to the Severesky Donets-Donbas canal indicate continued efforts to assess and address critical infrastructure damage. New educational ceremony in Zaporizhzhia highlights efforts to maintain normalcy. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts photo messages related to a construction site, which are civilian in nature. UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts photos related to training Zaporizhzhia entrepreneurs on grant applications. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts multiple photo messages indicating У Дніпрі приводять до ладу те, що вночі понівечив ворог. Задіяні всі відповідні служби. Дякую кожному, хто надає допомогу мешканцям у такий важкий момент. Zelenskiy / Офіційний and 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) posts photo messages highlighting civilian casualties in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, reinforcing the humanitarian impact. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH; HIGH for UA Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration photos; HIGH for 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) report; HIGH for Zelenskiy / Офіційний and 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) photo messages).
  • Logistical Planning: UA planning exhumations of fallen Ukrainians in Poland. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Communication: High-level phone conversation between Zelenskyy and Trump currently underway, now concluded. Zelenskyy has confirmed the call. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of Zelenskyy speaking on strategic communication. Zelenskiy / Official posts a video and photos of him meeting with territorial community heads in Sumy Oblast, discussing issues for frontline territories. Shef Hayabusa posts videos of civilian life in occupied Donetsk, with cynical/sarcastic captions about "how good life has become." One video shows a woman mopping up floodwater, implying poor infrastructure. Another shows an elderly woman collecting murky water from a stream, implying water shortages or poor quality. These are clear UA information operations. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, post identical messages about today being "a day of many calls and contacts for real progress on the path to peace and guaranteeing Ukraine's independence." KMVA reports today is a day of many calls and contacts for real progress on the path to peace and guaranteeing Ukraine's independence. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy states security advisors will hold an online meeting today to coordinate views between Ukraine, Europe, and the US, indicating continued high-level diplomatic engagement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Humanitarian Concerns: 11 Ukrainians are on hunger strike at the Georgian border, fearing extradition to Russia. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Propaganda Counter: Coordination Headquarters directly addressing RF info campaign on POW exchanges. RBC-Ukraine reports Medinsky's statement on POWs is fake. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts video of Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast, showing damage likely from a UA strike, effectively countering RF narratives of invincibility. Оперативний ЗСУ posts multiple photo messages on torture and humiliation of Ukrainian journalist Victoria Roshchina in an RF detention center. STERNENKO reports Ні на який мир росіяни не підуть. Їхня мета — знищення України. І вона незмінна. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UA Internal Support: New video of soldiers appealing for equipment repair highlights continued reliance on public support for equipment. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno posts messages about subscriptions and potential scammers. Два майора posts a photo message and video of a workshop producing drones for Ukrainian forces in the Sumy direction, emphasizing their intent to attack the enemy. This indicates active UA domestic drone production. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a request for morning donations for soldiers, indicating ongoing financial needs for UA forces. STERNENKO reports +705 FPV-дронів закупили за минулу добу завдяки вам! Серед них 20 перехоплювачів шахедів!🚀. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Airspace Monitoring: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports active reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropopetrovsk, Kharkiv, and Sumy oblasts, with possible air defense engagement. РБК-Україна posts current air raid map. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine updates on "Shahed" movement. РБК-Україна posts an immediate assessment photo message on drone movement. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV on the south of Dnipropetropovsk region heading North. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new mopeds approaching Kryvyi Rih slowly. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAV threat for Kryvyi Rih. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a general warning. РБК-Україна reports This image appears to be a screenshot of a Telegram chat, likely from a Ukrainian military or news source, reporting on drone activity. Based on the content, a tactical analysis can be conducted. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports ⚠ Увага! Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs on the south of Mykolaiv Oblast, near the southern coast of Odessa Oblast, in the north of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk Oblasts, which may be target designators. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports БпЛА у центрі Сумщини ➡️ курсом на південний захід. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in the northwest of Chernihiv Oblast, which may be target designators. Assets deployed for engagement. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues an "Attention!" warning, indicating potential new air threat. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Responding to Refugee Aid Cuts: RBC-Ukraine reports Germany will reduce social benefits for newly arrived Ukrainian refugees. UA will need to adapt its response to this, potentially through diplomatic channels or by preparing for increased internal humanitarian burden. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that 33 UAVs were shot down overnight in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with photos showing damaged infrastructure. Север.Реалии reports Russian forces massively struck Dnipropetropavsk Oblast with drones, injuring 4 people in Dnipro. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • General Staff Reports: Liveuamap Source provides multiple detailed General Staff reports for various directions (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Kherson, Kursk and North Slobozhansky/Sumy). These reports confirm continued clashes and UA defensive actions across the front. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UA AI Development: Оперативний ЗСУ reports В Україні зʼявиться перша державна інфраструктура для розвитку ШІ — запускаємо AI Factory, — Федоров. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of the National Police and Moldovan counterparts exposing a criminal group that defrauded Ukrainians. This indicates UA is actively working to combat internal crime and maintain rule of law. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Олександр Вілкул posts multiple photos of UA soldiers of the 129th Brigade, emphasizing their deployment to the front. This provides insight into UA force disposition and unit morale. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: AV БогомаZ posts a photo message showing a medal, and a military intelligence analysis of it is not possible as it does not relate to military operations, equipment, or terrain. This is a domestic civilian recognition. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

• Capabilities:

  • Ground: RF retains capability for mechanized breakthroughs, as demonstrated by the Ocheretyne advance. The deployment of T-90M tanks indicates availability of modern armor for key offensive axes. Adaptability to small-unit infantry tactics supported by extensive drone and EW capabilities is a key strength on the Southern Front. Rosgvardia security units being deployed to the war may indicate a broader commitment of internal security forces or a need for specialized internal security forces on the front. RF reconnaissance and special forces units demonstrate continued cross-border activity in Sumy direction, including special operations in the enemy's rear. Potential new cluster munition use in Kherson. The RF MoD's claim of destroying a Croatian-made MLRS suggests an ongoing capability to target and destroy advanced UA systems. RF armored advances shown in RF propaganda, although origin of footage is contested. New reports on "Troika" receiving new engine suggests ongoing efforts to upgrade military vehicles. Donations for 7th and 76th Guards Air Assault Divisions indicate that these VDV units are heavily engaged and reliant on external support. RF continues to utilize MaxxPro MRAPs and Algiz-1T EW systems, but can incur losses to them. Potential for adapted weaponry/IEDs (Дневник Десантника). Española Marine special purpose detachment training confirmed in Crimea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА video indicates successful RF drone strikes against UA military vehicles. MoD Russia video shows assaults on motorbikes, indicating light, mobile assault groups. RF MoD reports FPV drone operators from the Leningrad Military District's 11th Army Corps are training. Два майора posts videos showing a destroyed T-72 tank and a damaged Leopard 2 tank, indicating RF's capability to inflict damage on UA armor. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages discussing the use of shotguns against drones, including the "MR-155 'Anti-drone'," indicating RF's adaptive counter-UAS measures. Два майора posts video showing a camouflaged trailer with two stripped-down vehicles, suggesting modified transport or military equipment. «Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат» posts a video of an individual firing a sniper rifle, captioned with "When the recruit decided to do it his own way, and not as the instructor taught," which appears to be a training video of an RF soldier. Colonelcassad posts new video messages showing a truck carrying a significant amount of barbed wire/razor wire, indicating preparation for defensive positions or fortification efforts. Операция Z reports on a drone strike by the RF 291st Regiment against enemy defenses on the Zaporizhzhia front, with accompanying video footage appearing to show an explosion in a wooded area from a drone's perspective. RF milblogger video shows the 20th 'Immortal' Regiment destroying enemy forces and clearing a pocket near Dzerzhinsk, indicating continued effective ground combat operations. Рыбарь posts a video titled "Liberation of Verkhnekamenskoye," indicating an RF claim of a significant tactical gain in the Siversk/Lyman direction. MoD Russia reports Artillery of Vostok Group of Forces eliminates dugout of enemy in South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing destruction of a masked UA T-72B tank near Aleksandro-Kalinovo and destruction of a T-64BV tank, implying continued RF anti-armor operations. Mash na Donbashe video shows a warehouse with grenade launchers, mines, and drones abandoned by UA forces and found by Rosgvardia in DNR. Narodnaya militsiya DNR reports 📹Уничтожение гаубицы «Д-20» ВСУ в районе Константиновки. MoD Russia reports ⚔️ The Giatsint-B guns of the 25th Combined Arms Army (Zapad Group of Forces) destroyed strongholds with manpower, a command post, and take-off points of the enemy's UAVs in the LPR. MoD Russia video shows a Tsentr Group T-72B3 tank crew destroying a concealed enemy stronghold, confirming armored vehicle operations and targeting of fortified positions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: Два майора posts photos showing Russian soldiers with a tank, distributing talismans, indicating continued morale-boosting and unit readiness efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: AV БогомаZ is posting photos showing meetings between officials and military personnel, indicating a focus on coordination and support for military efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Сливочный каприз has released a photo message with a caption showing "06.08.25 SVO Zone - Pace of the Offensive," indicating internal RF monitoring and reporting on their operational tempo. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the report, MEDIUM for the veracity of claims within it).

• Naval: The reported attack by unmanned boats on Novorossiysk, if confirmed as a UA strike, highlights a significant threat to RF naval assets and infrastructure in the Black Sea. RF is actively responding with siren alarms. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo/video messages claiming a very "hot season" has begun in occupied Crimea, with reports of missile and naval drone attacks. UPDATED: TASS reports Black Sea Fleet destroyed a Ukrainian unmanned boat in Black Sea. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the attack, LOW for definitive attribution at this time).

• Air/Fires: Continued high-volume use of FAB/KAB glide bombs provides significant destructive power from standoff range, confirmed by "Два майора" video of Su-34s. Systematic and widespread use of FPV drones and Lancet loitering munitions demonstrates effective ISR-to-strike linkage, particularly against UA artillery. RF has demonstrated ability to conduct mass drone attacks against strategic infrastructure (Odessa GTS, Dnipropetropavsk civilian areas, Krasnodar Krai). Increased budget for drones will bolster this. RF MoD claims of striking long-range UAV warehouses indicate capability and intent to counter UA drone operations. RF continues launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast and Sumy Oblast. Kotsnews video shows FPV drone footage of artillery strikes. RF also claims UA artillery shelling of Zaporizhzhia NPP industrial zone, and Операция Z confirmed UA shelling of ZNPP (though veracity is LOW). Heavy bombardment of Dnipropetropavsk Oblast (70 attacks reported). RF disguising reconnaissance UAVs as birds suggests attempts to evade detection. Air Force of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast and eastern Kharkiv region. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports preliminary launches of X-101/55 cruise missiles from TU-160 aircraft, indicating broad strategic disruption intent. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs from Sumy Oblast heading south towards Kharkiv and Poltava Oblasts. Colonelcassad video claims destruction of a forward deployment point (PVD) of the UA 93rd Separate Mechanized Brigade using a FAB-3000 with UMPK near Konstantinovka. This confirms RF's capability to use heavy glide bombs against high-value tactical targets. TASS video claims RF MoD Mi-28NM helicopters from Vostok group of forces destroyed UA armored vehicles, indicating continued effective rotary-wing strike capabilities. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that 33 UAVs were shot down overnight in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, indicating high volume of RF drone attacks. ASTRA reports Ukraine was attacked by 112 UAVs, as per UA Air Force. WarGonzo reports RF attacked railway infrastructure in Dnepropetropvsk region with "Geraniums." Colonelcassad [Photo message] Caption: Сервис NASA FIRMS зафиксировал тепловую аномалию на территории локомотивного депо ж/д станции "Нижнеднепровск-Узел" в н.п. Днепропетровск. Colonelcassad posts video and photo messages of RF strikes on Dnipropetropavsk, with cynical caption "How beautiful Dnipropetropavsk has become after talks with Witkoff." This indicates RF's continued use of air/missile strikes for both military and psychological impact. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы на Донеччину! (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

• EW: RF EW remains a significant threat, capable of disrupting UA drone operations and GPS-guided systems, exemplified by request for removal of jamming devices for domestic transport. Loss of Algiz-1T EW system confirmed by RF milbloggers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports minus 16 Starlinks and 59 AFU control points were destroyed in 24 hours. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

• Logistics: RF continues to sustain active offensive operations, confirmed by ongoing tactical medicine and supply deliveries to assault units in the Pokrovsk direction. Military railway troops are recognized as a key component of RF logistics, despite its vulnerability to UA deep strikes. Attacks on railway stations in Volgograd and Krasnodar Krai confirm these vulnerabilities. "Kometa" sea passenger service re-established from Sochi to Sukhum. TASS reports the opening of light vehicle traffic bypassing the collapse on the "Lena" highway in Amur region, indicating RF's capability to rapidly mitigate infrastructure damage and maintain internal logistical routes. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. This confirms an attack on an RF military unit which may impact its logistics. TASS reports 7 passenger trains delayed due to an incident between Velichkovka and Angelinskaya stations in Krasnodar Krai. ASTRA reports UAV fragments damaged railway contact network in Krasnodar Krai. TASS reports 11 trains in the direction of Crimea are delayed, reason unknown. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports В результаті атаки по залізничній інфраструктурі уражено об'єкт Чирської дистанції колії (Чирская дистанция пути). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

• C2: RF is actively using radio intercepts for intelligence gathering on UA C2 (DPR People's Militia claim regarding UA National Guard 14th Brigade). RF also demonstrated capability for internal counter-espionage against UA (Feodosia arrest, Kaliningrad arrest, SBU agent in Russia). Colonelcassad reports a Crimean resident was sentenced for transmitting information about the Feodosia oil depot, confirming RF counter-intelligence capabilities. The arrest of a US military personnel for attempting to transfer Abrams tank data to Russia is a significant RF intelligence success. ТАСС reports the court recognized as legal the arrest of former Deputy Deputy Head of Rosgvardia Strigunov, accused of three episodes of receiving bribes and abuse of official powers. This indicates continued internal anti-corruption efforts. TASS reports FSB in LNR has detained a man for correcting UA strikes on Russian military personnel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 🪂 Экс-замглаве Росгвардии Стригунову предъявлено обвинение в получении взяток. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition posts video of Yuri Ushakov, Assistant to the President of Russia, discussing ongoing diplomatic engagements, confirming top-level RF C2 on diplomatic matters. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

• Mobilization: RF continues to generate forces through volunteer recruitment, including from Chechnya, and is now deploying Rosgvardia units to the front. Reports of illegal mobilization (Debaltsevo) indicate a coercive element to their force generation, which may lead to less effective personnel. An armed serviceman is being sought in Chelyabinsk, potentially indicating issues with returning personnel. TASS report on UA command not granting leave to forcibly mobilized Ukrainians is RF propaganda to undermine UA morale, but could also indicate RF's own internal struggles with personnel retention. New ASTRA report indicates continued RF repression of anti-mobilization sentiment. Операция Z reports 951 participant of the SMO (Special Military Operation) has been nominated by United Russia (ruling party) for the 2025 elections. This indicates a political strategy to integrate veterans into civil leadership. ТАСС reports two teenagers were detained in Novosibirsk Oblast for preparing to murder a serviceman with chemical substances, allegedly from Ukrainian special services. This indicates RF's internal security focus on preventing assassinations and counter-terrorism. TASS reports RF military structures claim commanders of two UA brigades in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast refused to evacuate wounded personnel after FAB strikes, and that among the UA POWs refused for exchange, no officers are present, with 70% being soldiers/sailors and 15% mobilized. This is RF propaganda aimed at demoralizing UA forces and recruitment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for Kadyrov; HIGH for ASTRA; HIGH for search; LOW for TASS veracity, HIGH for propaganda intent).

• Counter-Intelligence/Internal Security: Demonstrated capability to arrest individuals for espionage (Kaliningrad, Feodosia, Saltykovsky), expose large-scale fraud/embzzlement within state-linked entities (Dagnyefteprodukt), and prosecute those involved in railway terrorism/UAV attacks on airfields. Potential internal discipline issues are indicated by the alleged abuse of a captured RF soldier. Search for armed serviceman indicates internal control issues. Execution of a suspected Mossad spy in Iran by Iran indicates RF's broader geopolitical intelligence concerns. The imprisonment of Zarema Musaeva for "attacking an FSIN employee" is an example of RF's internal repression. RF Interior Ministry warning about phishing sites. Romanticizing post-mortem births of SVO fighters' children. Putin's participation in domestic events via video conference aims to project normalcy. "Soldier's everyday life" photos show RF soldier conditions. Putin signing documents and discussing positive public evaluations for governors are intended to project internal stability and strong C2. New reconstructed stadium in Izmalkovo demonstrates civilian infrastructure development. New "Movement of Conscious Refusers" arrest confirms internal repression. TASS reports Stanislav Cherchesov discussed improving FC Akhmat's RPL standings. Alex Parker Returns video on migration indicates continued focus on internal social issues. Два майора's new photo message indicates RF is running an information operation regarding the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings. WarGonzo's new photo message discussing Hiroshima/Nagasaki also confirms this. AV БогомаZ posts two videos of Putin participating in a videoconference about infrastructure development. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts videos expressing RF war aims for Ukraine to cease to exist and its people to emigrate, and a political analyst's view on underestimating Russia's potential and its ability to project power, mentioning the possibility of nuclear weapons and suggesting a failure to recognize this threat would lead to Russia dictating terms and dividing territories. These explicitly state RF's extreme long-term intentions. AV БогомаZ posts two videos of Putin attending a video conference for new bridge openings. Kotsnews posts photos with the caption "Remember, brother...", likely related to a fallen RF soldier. Новости Москвы reports the Moscow Exchange Index jumped 2.5%, reaching a monthly high. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages discussing the use of shotguns against drones, including the "MR-155 'Anti-drone'," indicating RF's adaptive counter-UAS measures. Два майора has posted two videos requesting donations for "frontline vehicles." Новости Москвы photo message and analysis states "Sex is necessary for a person to not get sick, - scientists," confirming continued domestic civilian content. The RF milblogger "Триколор» 🇷🇺 СпН «Ахмат»" shares a photo message that, while not militarily significant, is a meme reflecting an element of internal Russian military culture or sentiment regarding nuclear weapons. TASS reports Klyuchevsky volcano eruption on Kamchatka received the highest aviation danger code. Colonelcassad shares a video captioned "China accelerates pace in space space," displaying a vessel launching (likely a rocket recovery vessel) with text overlay "CHINA ARMY." This indicates RF's continued focus on China's military-industrial and technological advancements. Операция Z reports a US military personnel was detained in Texas for attempting to transfer data on Abrams tanks and US military operations to Russia. TASS reports a SBU agent was sentenced to 20 years for plotting an assassination attempt on the Russian Long-Range Aviation commander in 2024. The agent did not admit guilt. Полиция Хабаровского края posts two identical photo messages with the caption: "In Nikolaevsk-on-Amur, police initiated two criminal cases of fraud." The third image appears to be a graphic with text and illustrations, likely for public awareness or educational purposes related to cybersecurity, using an anonymous hacker mask motif to represent different entities making calls or requests via messaging applications. This indicates RF internal focus on combating civilian fraud and cyber security awareness campaigns. TASS reports China and Russia reduced trade volume by 8.1% in Jan-Jul to $125.8B. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages captioned "Moments of the SMO. Frontline weekdays," showing various scenes of RF soldiers in the field, including a trench, a soldier using a radio, and equipment, indicating continued combat operations and routine. These posts are likely for internal morale and to show the "reality" of the war. ТАСС reports that Myint Swe, acting president of Myanmar, has died. ТАСС reports two teenagers were detained in Novosibirsk Oblast for preparing to murder a serviceman with chemical substances, allegedly from Ukrainian special services. ASTRA reports military unit 61661 is on fire in Slavyansk-on-Kuban after a UAV attack, confirmed by local emergency services and reader reports. РБК-Україна reports drones attacked a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban, Krasnodar Krai, causing a fire. TASS reports 11 trains in the direction of Crimea are delayed, reason unknown. TASS reports Umrjon Soliev, who delivered weapons for the Crocus attack, intends to transfer money as compensation to victims to mitigate his punishment. TASS reports prohibition of free schooling for migrants contradicts RF Constitution. ТАСС reports former governor of Chelyabinsk Oblast, Boris Dubrovsky, is wanted on criminal charges by the Interior Ministry. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 🪂 Экс-замглаве Росгвардии Стригунову предъявлено обвинение в получении взяток. TASS reports Rosobrnadzor will work on organizing test unified state exams and main state exams in each region, available to everyone regardless of their place of residence. ТАСС reports Minsk цифры will work until the end of 2025 to automate the receipt of benefits for participants of the special operation, combat veterans, and their families, Shadaev reported. ТАСС reports Moscow City Court kept Baza Telegram channel editor-in-chief Gleb Trifonov in pre-trial detention. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts photo messages with text about social services. ТАСС reports In Sochi, one of the figures in the cha-cha poisoning case has been arrested until October 4. Новости Москвы posts photo message for 🚘 Carsharing in Moscow will start working with Mos ID verification from September 1, — Sobyanin. TASS reports Journalist Dmitry Kuznets of "Meduza" has been placed on the wanted list under a criminal article, according to the Ministry of Internal Affairs database. ТАСС reports on the first criminal case in Russia against a "dropover" for illegal financial activities, indicating continued internal financial security efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

  • UPDATED: Colonelcassad continues to post general messages without military relevance ("Выпуск № 42: 1260 дней СВО."). These appear to be routine updates or reflections. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for the messages, LOW for military relevance). Два майора posts photos under the caption "Frontline Armor," showing Russian soldiers with a tank and distributing talismans, indicating morale-boosting efforts and unit readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: AV БогомаZ is posting photos showing meetings between officials and military personnel, indicating a focus on coordination and support for military efforts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports the Ministry of Internal Affairs has been requested to check Guf's album "Gorod Dorog" for drug propaganda. This indicates domestic social and legal policy focus. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: TASS reports the body of ex-"Dom-2" participant Polina Malinina was found in Nizhny Novgorod. This is a civilian criminal investigation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Intentions:

  • Strategic: RF's core strategic intention remains the destruction of the Ukrainian state and the forced emigration or subjugation of its population, as explicitly stated by RF propagandists. They seek to dictate terms and divide territories. The "limited air truce" proposal is likely a ploy to gain concessions or to present RF as willing to negotiate while continuing ground operations. Preparation for "Zapad-2025" in Belarus indicates a long-term strategic posture of military readiness and potential for future escalations or large-scale exercises on NATO's borders. The focus on domestic infrastructure projects and social policies indicates RF's intent to project internal stability and resilience despite the ongoing conflict and sanctions. RF leadership believes a meeting with Trump, rather than battlefield progress, is their best chance for victory, indicating a strong focus on diplomatic leverage.
  • Operational/Tactical: RF intends to continue high-intensity, attritional offensive operations on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar axes to achieve tactical breakthroughs and encircle key UA logistics hubs. This includes continued use of heavy air-dropped ordnance (FAB/KAB) and thermobaric weapons to soften defenses. On the Southern Front, the intent is to wear down UA forces through small-unit infiltration, supported by widespread FPV drone and Lancet strikes against artillery. Cross-border activity in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts aims to fix UA forces and create buffer zones. Persistent drone attacks on critical Ukrainian civilian infrastructure and military recruitment centers indicate an intent to degrade Ukraine's ability to sustain the war effort and to inflict psychological pressure. Continued counter-intelligence operations aim to disrupt UA intelligence gathering and sabotage. The proposed territorial discussions signal RF's intent to negotiate from a position of strength and secure territorial gains. RF is targeting UA training camps, indicating intent to degrade UA force generation.
  • NEW: Putin stating he is "not against" meeting Zelenskyy, despite earlier reports, indicates a continued diplomatic opening from RF, likely to appear reasonable while pushing their own terms. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: WarGonzo shares a video featuring "Mif" discussing personal experiences of conflict in Mariupol, including a harrowing account of a mother being shot during evacuation. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at shaping narratives about the conflict's impact on civilians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Courses of Action (COA):

  • COA 1 (Continuation of Current Offensives): RF will maintain high-intensity assaults on Pokrovsk (including Rodynske) and Chasiv Yar axes. They will continue to leverage overwhelming fire support (FAB/KAB, TOS-1A) and drone swarms to achieve incremental territorial gains and attrit Ukrainian forces. The primary effort will remain the encirclement and capture of key logistics hubs like Konstantinovka, with Rodynske as an immediate objective for the Pokrovsk grouping. This will be characterized by sustained, attritional ground assaults.
    • Confidence: HIGH. This aligns with observed force dispositions, current tactical adaptations, and explicit RF milblogger commentary.
  • COA 2 (Renewed Northern Push): RF may launch a renewed, possibly larger, offensive north of Kharkiv towards Lyptsi to draw UA reserves from critical axes, leveraging new MRR deployments and bridging capabilities. This could be a feint or a genuine attempt to create a new salient. This is the Most Dangerous Course of Action (MDCOA) for the Kharkiv axis.
  • COA 3 (Hybrid Escalation in Border Regions): RF will intensify cross-border incursions and hybrid operations (e.g., sabotage, drone attacks) in Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts to create buffer zones and further disrupt UA logistics and C2, potentially coupled with intensified EW. This could involve small-scale ground probes or increased long-range strikes from RF territory.
  • COA 4 (Diplomatic Maneuver for Territorial Concessions): RF will continue to engage in diplomatic signaling (e.g., through Witkoff, Trump's statements) to suggest a willingness for peace talks, but only on terms that involve territorial concessions from Ukraine. This is a concurrent COA that aims to achieve strategic objectives without battlefield losses.
  • NEW: RF will likely utilize the upcoming "Zapad-2025" exercises as a display of force and a potential staging ground for future, larger-scale operations or as a tool for political coercion against NATO's eastern flank. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations

• RF:
  • Increased Use of Thermobaric Systems (TOS-1A) in Urban Combat: Confirmed systematic use in Chasiv Yar, indicating a willingness to cause massive destruction to breach heavily fortified urban positions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Shift to Small-Unit Infiltration in Zaporizhzhia: Adaptation from large-scale mechanized assaults to smaller, drone-supported infantry groups for localized gains and attrition. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Motorcycle Assaults: Use of motorcycles for assault on AFU positions (MoD Russia video), indicating adaptation for speed and maneuver in specific terrain. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Enhanced Counter-UAV Measures: Continued discussions and deployment of measures like "MR-155 'Anti-drone'" shotguns, indicating an adaptive response to UA drone threats. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Increased Emphasis on Information Warfare/Propaganda: Renewed efforts to demoralize UA forces through leaflets (Pokrovsk), control narratives about POWs, and shape international perceptions of peace talks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Internal Defense Industry Corruption: Exposure of embezzlement in state defense orders suggests internal weaknesses in RF's military-industrial complex. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Increased focus on internal security/counter-terrorism against pro-UA elements and saboteurs. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: Direct targeting of UA training camps indicates an adaptation to degrade UA force generation directly, rather than solely at the front. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM)
  • UPDATED: Development of fiber-optic drones ("Dronobus") indicates a new area of technological adaptation in UAV capabilities, potentially for reconnaissance or short-range strikes in contested environments without relying on traditional RF/GPS signals. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: Discussion among RF analysts regarding deploying "Oreshnik" missile complexes in allied countries suggests a potential strategic shift in force projection post-CFE Treaty, impacting regional security dynamics. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: The SBU's detention of two minors for a terrorist act in Zhytomyr on RF's orders indicates RF's adaptation to using more deniable and vulnerable civilian assets for hybrid warfare. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status

• RF:
  • Sustainment for Offensives: Confirmed delivery of tactical medicine and supplies to assault units in Pokrovsk indicates that RF logistical lines are effectively supporting active offensive operations.
  • Rail Infrastructure Importance: Celebration of "Railway Troops Day" and prosecution of railway terrorists underline the critical role of rail logistics for RF, despite its vulnerability to UA deep strikes. Attacks on railway stations in Volgograd and Krasnodar Krai confirm these vulnerabilities.
  • Volunteer Support for Equipment: Continued requests for donations for drones and Starlink (7th Airborne Division in Zaporizhzhia) and "frontline vehicles" by military bloggers indicate continued reliance on non-state funding for critical combat equipment for some units. This could indicate gaps in official supply chains or a desire for specialized, rapidly procurable items.
  • Industrial Corruption: Embezzlement cases in the defense sector (Nizhny Novgorod Oblast) suggest ongoing challenges with corruption impacting state defense orders.
  • Internal Logistics Resilience: Rapid mitigation of highway collapse in Amur region demonstrates RF's capability to rapidly mitigate infrastructure damage and maintain internal logistical routes even under unforeseen circumstances.
  • Donations: Military bloggers continuing to request donations for "frontline vehicles" and other equipment implies that official supply chains may not be fully meeting demand, particularly for advanced or specialized items. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness

• RF:
  • Centralized Decision-Making: Putin's direct engagement in domestic and diplomatic events via video conference, as well as high-level meetings (Witkoff, UAE President), demonstrate a centralized and active command.
  • Information Control: The rapid dissemination of propaganda (e.g., Kursk anniversary narrative, POW claims, Witkoff meeting framing) through state media and milbloggers indicates effective, albeit manipulative, information control.
  • Intelligence Gathering: Claims of radio intercepts of UA C2 (DPR People's Militia) suggest continued RF SIGINT capabilities. Successful counter-espionage operations against UA agents (SBU agent detention in Russia, Crimean resident sentenced) demonstrate effective internal security and counter-intelligence.
  • Adaptability: The rapid shift in tactics on the Zaporizhzhia front and the internal debates among milbloggers on UAV employment suggest some level of adaptive thinking within the RF military hierarchy.
  • Challenges: The search for an armed serviceman in Chelyabinsk and reports of legal issues involving former high-ranking officials (Rosgvardia) indicate some internal discipline or integrity challenges.
  • Impact of UA Deep Strikes: The review of "diplomatic strikes" by Zelenskyy and top UA officials suggests UA deep strikes are having a discernible impact on RF's military machine, which RF C2 will need to assess and respond to. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness

• Active Defense: Ukrainian forces are maintaining a tenacious defense, particularly on the Pokrovsk axis, despite heavy pressure and RF breakthroughs. The reported 20-day encirclement stand by four soldiers highlights exceptional resilience. Successful counter-attacks (90th Tank Division pushing back RF by 4 sq. km near Kotlyarivka/Orekhovo) demonstrate continued offensive capability within defensive operations. UA General Staff reports confirm continued clashes and defensive actions across multiple axes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts multiple photos of operational information as of 08:00 07.08.2025 regarding the Russian invasion, providing updated tactical situation across various directions, including areas where UA maintains defense. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Оператори підрозділу ДПСУ «Фенікс» дронами «Vampire» завдають ударів по російській піхоті на Ізюмському напрямку в районі села Карпівка. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the operational situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Offensive Posture in Border Regions: Ukraine continues active combat operations in Kursk Oblast, demonstrating the ability to project power into RF territory and maintain initiative. Zelenskyy's visits to frontline brigades in Sumy Oblast and awards for "Kursk operation" participants reinforce this offensive intent. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Deep Strike Capabilities: UA is consistently conducting effective deep strikes against RF military infrastructure and logistics within RF territory and occupied Crimea (e.g., Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield, Afipsky Oil Refinery, Slavyansk-on-Kuban military unit, Crimea radar systems/landing craft). The meeting on "dipstryky" indicates a strategic assessment of these operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Training and Modernization: Continued training with advanced simulators (Stinger MANPADS) and night combat drills (Mk-19 grenade launchers) indicate a commitment to modernizing and improving combat readiness. US assistance with M777 howitzer maintenance is critical for artillery effectiveness. International training in the UK (Operation INTERFLEX) further boosts readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Mobility and Adaptability: Delivery of ATVs in Zaporizhzhia indicates efforts to enhance mobility for reconnaissance, rapid deployment, and logistics. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Internal Security Operations: SBU continues effective counter-collaboration and counter-intelligence operations. Prosecutor General's office is actively combating high-level corruption and crimes. New measures for TCC employees (body cameras) aim to improve transparency and accountability in mobilization. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• Resilience: Civilian-military cooperation initiatives (Zaporizhzhia "Pli-o-plic"), reconstruction efforts, and evacuation planning highlight strong civilian resilience and governmental efforts to mitigate humanitarian impact. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• UPDATED: Communities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast have allocated over 2 billion UAH from their budgets to support the Security and Defense Forces, demonstrating continued regional financial commitment to the war effort. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
• NEW: GMARS launch system test by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin indicates a new, potentially powerful, long-range artillery system that will eventually enhance UA fire capabilities upon delivery. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: Олександр Вілкул posts multiple photos of UA soldiers of the 129th Brigade, indicating their deployment and readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• NEW: РБК-Україна video reports Ukrainian forces have 100% control of Pokrovsk, contradicting RF claims and showcasing successful defensive operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks

• Successes:

  • Effective Deep Strikes in Crimea: GUR MO's "Prymary" combat drones successfully struck an air defense base at Ai-Petri, several radar stations (Nebo-SVU, Podlyot K-1), and a Russian landing craft. This represents a significant multi-domain strike against high-value RF assets. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • AFU Counter-attack in Donetsk: Ukrainian 90th Tank Division (41st Combined Arms Army) successfully pushed RF forces back by approximately 4 sq. km between Kotlyarivka and Orekhovo. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Defense of Radkivka (Kupyansk direction): Confirmed UA control of Radkivka indicates successful defensive operations, despite RF claims of broad advances. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Airfield/Oil Refinery Strikes: Confirmed damage to Mi-28 helicopter at Primorsko-Akhtarsk airfield and large fires at Afipsky Oil Refinery and a military unit in Slavyansk-on-Kuban from UA drone attacks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Counter-UAV Operations: Successful shooting down of Orlan-10 UAVs and identification of disguised RF reconnaissance drones. UPDATED: STERNENKO reports shooting down two "Delta" drones, indicating a specific counter to recently revealed Russian reconnaissance UAVs. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • SBU Counter-Intelligence: Detention of an RF agent guiding aerial bombs on Sloviansk and an agent assisting breakthroughs to Pokrovsk. NEW: SBU and National Police detained two minors who reportedly carried out a terrorist act in Zhytomyr on RF's order. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Corruption Crackdown: Continued high-level arrests and investigations for embezzlement and illegal activities within Ukrainian state structures. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Logistics Interdiction: Phoenix Border Detachment is effectively disrupting RF logistics on the Konstantinovka direction, as shown in STERNENKO's video. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Diplomatic Coordination: Zelenskyy's call with Macron to discuss Trump's conversation with European leaders demonstrates effective high-level diplomatic coordination. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • UPDATED: Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of a drone striking a tank, which is then shown as completely completely destroyed and burning. This indicates successful UA BDA on armored vehicles. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UPDATED: Олексій Білошицький posts a video compilation showing "TOP most effective strikes from the 'Predator' brigade for JULY 2025 🔥." This video from the Toretsk front sector depicts explosions, destroyed buildings, and Russian personnel/vehicles, serving as an after-action review and morale booster. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video showing a Russian Grad MLRS destroyed by PTM-2 anti-tank mines, indicating effective UA mine warfare. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NEW: The National Police, in cooperation with Moldovan colleagues, exposed a criminal group that defrauded Ukrainians of 2 million UAH. This is a success in combating organized crime. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Setbacks:

  • RF Tactical Advances in Pokrovsk Axis: RF confirmed entry into southeastern Ocheretyne and Rodynske, severely threatening UA defensive lines and logistics towards Pokrovsk. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Increased Pressure on Chasiv Yar: Intensified RF assaults with TOS-1A thermobaric systems inflict heavy casualties and destruction. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Civilian Casualties/Infrastructure Damage: Continued RF missile/drone strikes causing significant civilian casualties (e.g., Zaporizhzhia recreation base, Lozova railway station, Druzhkivka TCC, Sumy, Nikopol, Kramatorsk postal service) and infrastructure damage. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • Humanitarian Challenges: Stranded deported Ukrainians at the Georgian border and potential reduction in German social benefits for refugees highlight ongoing humanitarian burdens. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
  • RF Strike on Training Camp: Precision strike on a training camp of the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade "Azov" could impact UA force readiness. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM)
  • UPDATED: Border guard suicide in Zakarpattia Oblast highlights potential morale or mental health challenges within UA border forces. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints

• Requirements:

  • Air Defense: Continued need for advanced air defense systems (SAMs, MANPADS) to counter RF guided aerial bombs, Shahed drones, and tactical aviation, particularly for civilian infrastructure protection.
  • Counter-Battery Capabilities: Persistent need for effective counter-battery systems (e.g., Grad hunting SSO units, artillery) to suppress RF fires.
  • ISR/Targeting Support: Continued requirement for ISR assets and real-time targeting data to identify and strike high-value RF assets and deep targets.
  • Drone Systems (FPV, Reconnaissance): Ongoing need for FPV drones for close combat, and reconnaissance UAVs for battlefield awareness, supported by domestic production and volunteer efforts.
  • Logistical Sustainment: Continuous flow of Western military aid (e.g., M777 howitzer maintenance, new aid packages) is crucial for maintaining combat effectiveness. Domestic production (e.g., drones) is also vital.
  • Humanitarian Aid: Continued international and domestic support for displaced persons, medical care, and civilian infrastructure restoration.

• Constraints:

  • Manpower Attrition: Sustained high-intensity combat on multiple axes, coupled with civilian casualties and forced mobilizations, places ongoing strain on manpower.
  • Equipment Losses: Despite aid, losses of armor, artillery, and EW systems require constant replenishment.
  • Financial Constraints: Dependence on foreign financial aid and domestic fundraising (e.g., for drones) indicates financial strain.
  • Infrastructure Damage: Continued RF strikes on railway, energy, and civilian infrastructure create ongoing challenges for logistics, power, and public services.
  • Internal Corruption: Efforts to combat corruption divert resources and attention, though essential for long-term stability.

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns

• RF Propaganda:
  • "Victim" Narrative (Kursk): RF continues to frame UA cross-border operations as an "invasion" and uses memorial events (Kursk) to reinforce a narrative of Russian victimhood and heroism in defense.
  • Demoralization of UA Forces: Claims of UA soldiers caught in "fire bags" (Vovchansk), refusal to evacuate wounded (Dnipropetrovsk), and POWs choosing to stay in Russia are direct attempts to undermine UA morale and cohesion. Leaflets urging surrender in Pokrovsk are part of this effort.
  • Discrediting UA Authorities: Videos depicting a Kyiv district head instructing homeless people and claims of forced mobilization by TCCs (Kherson) aim to erode trust in Ukrainian governance. NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts a video with highly derogatory and inflammatory language about a legless Ukrainian veteran, criticizing Ukrainian police. NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shares a video featuring a Rada MP complaining about the quality of Western military aid, which is RF propaganda aimed at undermining confidence in UA's partners.
  • Exaggerated Successes/Denial of Failures: RF milbloggers frequently claim "liberation" of villages and large numbers of UA drone downings, often without verifiable evidence, to inflate successes and downplay UA deep strikes.
  • Justification of Strikes: RF claims UA artillery shelling of ZNPP aims to justify their own attacks and shift blame.
  • Exploiting Internal Vulnerabilities: Highlighting alleged Ukrainian corruption (e.g., SBU agent detentions) and internal socio-economic issues serves to portray Ukraine as a failing state.
  • Geopolitical Framing: Framing the Witkoff meeting as a US/UA "capitulation" and Russia making an "acceptable offer" aims to present RF as diplomatically strong and control the narrative around peace talks. Portraying US tariffs on India as harmful to US influence seeks to undermine US standing.
  • Nuclear Weapons Threat: Bezpalko's statement on Russia's willingness to use nuclear weapons is a clear escalation of information warfare aimed at psychological coercion.
  • Historical Revisionism: The RF information operation on the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings attempts to reframe historical events in a way that benefits Russia's current geopolitical narrative.
  • Extreme War Aims: Explicit statements about RF's goal to eliminate Ukraine as a state and force emigration are designed to instill fear and justify extreme actions.
  • Health Disinformation: Claims about Kamchatka volcanic eruptions being due to US/UA special operations are clear disinformation attempts.
  • UPDATED: RF milbloggers are using