Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 261837Z JUL 25

---

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

• Ukraine General: Nationwide threat from RF missile and UAV attacks persists. Guided Aerial Bombs (GABs), including UMPB-5 and FAB-3000, remain a significant threat in frontline areas, specifically in Sumy, Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. New ballistic missile threat active from the northeast and Donetsk Oblast. Operational use of P-800 Onyx anti-ship missiles against ground targets in Odesa confirmed. RF tactical aviation activity observed in southeastern direction. UAF Air Force reports 200 enemy targets (183 UAVs and 17 missiles) shot down/suppressed from 208 drones and 27 missiles launched by RF overnight, indicating a significant escalation in the combined strike effort. Nationwide air alarm declared due to MiG-31K launch, subsequently cleared. UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrsky states new air defense systems for Ukraine are "on the way." RF is preparing new missile strike on Ukraine, with 3x Tu-95MS, 4x Tu-22M3, 8x MiG-31K, 2x Tu-160 observed for potential deployment. Starlink connectivity experienced outages across the entire front line, confirmed as software-related and largely resolved; however, some units (7th Division, Zaporizhzhia) still report impacts. Ukraine's SVR and GUR have provided President Zelenskyy with reports on RF intentions for Summer-Autumn operations. EU adopted final decision on "roaming visa-free travel" with Ukraine. RF expresses condolences to Putin for Amur Oblast aviation catastrophe. President Zelenskyy visited a drone production facility, stressing the need for 1000 interceptor drones per day.
• Odesa Oblast: Confirmed destruction of a residential 9-story building and the Pryvoz market due to RF drone attacks, with civilian casualties (1 fatality, 3 injured at Pryvoz, others unknown but likely higher). Explosion on a Ukrainian dredge ship "Delta-Lotsman" in Bystre estuary resulted in 3 deaths and injuries. Enemy reconnaissance UAV detected in Black Sea waters near Zatoka, actively being engaged by UAF assets.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Seven UAVs confirmed shot down. New threat of aviation weapon use in Synelnikivskyi district. New missile threat detected for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol, Kryvyi Rih, Kamyanske, Dnipro districts). Ongoing shelling of Nikopol, Myrivska, and Marhanets communities with drones and artillery; damage to residential buildings, a medical facility, and a lyceum in Nikopol confirmed. New reports indicate threat of enemy strike UAVs from the northeast in Synelnikivskyi district, extending to Pavlohrad and Samara districts. New groups of enemy strike UAVs are moving from Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Dnipropetrovsk. Five "mopeds" (drones) reported flying towards Dnipro from the Synelnikivskyi direction. All reported "mopeds" (drones) near Kremenchuk and Svitlovodsk are confirmed neutralized. RF launched KAABs towards southern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from Donetsk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports UAVs moving towards Dnipro. Explosions reported in Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 4 cruise missiles are en route towards Kamyanske. UAF Air Force confirms missiles are via Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, now past Kamyanske. Explosions reported in the suburbs of Dnipro. RF struck Kamianske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with missiles, resulting in a fire. Explosions reported in Dnipro. UAF Air Force reports a target on Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports ballistic missiles on Dnipro/Samar (3 missiles) and missiles on Kamyanske/Kremenchuk. UAF Air Force reports groups of Shaheds heading to Dnipro/Kamianske, and Pavlohrad. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports possible repeated launches. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports ballistic missile launched from Crimea towards Dnipro, which has flown past Marhanets towards Kamianske. UAF Air Force reports missile target is Dnipro/Kamianske. Impacts confirmed in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RF milblogger N. Vanek reports a hit. Operatsiya Z milbloggers claim powerful explosions and fires attacking enemy targets in Dnipropetrovsk and Dniprodzerzhynsk (Kamianske). UAF Air Force confirms UAVs targeting Zaporizhzhia, Pavlohrad, Poltava, Kamianske/Dnipro, and Konotop. The entire Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is now under red alert. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports approximately 30 "mopeds" (drones) are approaching Dnipro from various directions, with an additional 6 drones approaching Kamianske instead of Dnipro, indicating an intensified, multi-directional drone attack. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 16 drones on Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 5 drones on Kamyanske. NGP Razvedka posts video indicating AD in Dnipro failed to respond. NGP Razvedka posts video of epicenter in Kamianske showing a large building engulfed in flames. Dnipropetrovsk ODA reports massive attack on Dnipro and oblast continues. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 7 drones remain in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, all heading to Dnipro. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports the last drone is over Kamianske. UAF Air Force reports a missile through Kharkiv Oblast towards Dnipro. UAF Air Force warns of ballistic missile threat from the east. New reports from RF milbloggers show videos of Dnipropetrovsk (Dniprodzerzhynsk / Kamianske) engulfed in black smoke and fire, confirming a significant incident. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo and video messages showing aftermath of powerful overnight strikes on Dnipropetrovsk, with significant fires and damaged buildings, confirming the scale of the attacks. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts multiple videos showing the aftermath of the night's attack on Dnipro, depicting intense fires, smoke, and extensive damage, confirming a massive combined Shahed and missile strike. Dnipropetrovsk ODA confirms a massive combined attack on the oblast during the night. Два майора also posts videos and photos showing the aftermath in Dnipropetrovsk, with fire and smoke. RBK-Ukraina reports 1 fatality and 1 injury in Dnipro due to the RF attack. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 1 fatality and 1 injury in Dnipro due to the massive attack. ASTRA videos show a tall residential building on fire in Dnipro, a white vehicle (likely an ambulance) near a burning structure, and an explosion illuminating the sky. TASS reports that a platoon of AFU that fled positions near Yanvarskoye in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast was destroyed by a FAB strike. RBK-Ukraina reports Kamianske's "Epicenter" commercial/industrial facility was destroyed as a result of enemy attack, with video footage confirming extensive damage. Colonelcassad claims the "Epicenter" in Kamianske was used for military purposes. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) confirms morning briefings from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and military, stating that Russians carried out a combined strike (missiles, including ballistic, and drones) overnight along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line, with accompanying images of damage and emergency response. UPDATE: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports one 21-year-old female victim of the overnight mass attack in Dnipro has died in the hospital, bringing the total in Dnipro to 2 fatalities. TASS claims a bridge and two UAF brigade command posts were destroyed in Velikomykhailivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with aerial footage of smoke plumes. Colonelcassad and Операция Z milbloggers claim "Vostok" group liberated Maliyivka in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Два майора posts new video of military operations in Maliyivka. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports one 66-year-old male fatality due to artillery shelling of Chervonohryhorivka community in Nikopol District. Colonelcassad posts video of an Iskander-K cruise missile strike and subsequent fire on an object in Kamianske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RF launched KAABs onto Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RF forces struck a vehicle service station (СТО) in Druzhkivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with a video showing explosions and debris, indicating continued targeting of infrastructure, potentially with dual-use nature. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports continued RF attacks on Nikopol and Synelnykivskyi districts, confirming one fatality and multiple injuries, highlighting persistent civilian impact. UPDATE: RBK-Ukraina posts photo messages and text confirming that Russians destroyed a well-known tea brand's production facility in Dnipro. The photo messages show significant damage to an industrial building, with debris and structural collapse, confirming the impact on civilian infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk Axis): RF sources claim significant advances: near Redkodub, Karpovka, Glushchenkovo, Novy Mir, and capture of Novotoretskoye. RF claims "fights began on the southern and southwestern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk" (Pokrovsk). MOD Russia claims Grad MLRS used against an AFU stronghold in Krasnoarmeysk direction. UAF (MURAMASA) continues successful engagements against RF ground probes on Kostiantynivka axis. UAF Air Force reports RF launches of GABs onto Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad claims a precision FAB strike on a bridge over the Vovcha River. UAF General Staff reports clashes near Rusyn Yar, Myrolubivka, Zatyshok, Lysivka, Popiv Yar, Myrnohrad, Zvirove, Udachne, Oleksiyivka, Novoukrayinka, Mayak, Novoekonomichne, Kotlyne, Dachne and towards Pokrovsk, Pankivka, Volodymyrivka, Sukhetske. RF milbloggers "Operatsiya Z" claim continued destruction of UAF personnel near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad posts video of FPV drone strike near Volodymyrivka. "Two Majors" milbloggers claim a breakthrough to Aleksandro-Kalinovo on the Konstantinovka direction. 2 killed, 14 injured from Russian shelling in Konstantinovka. Donetsk Oblast is expanding forced evacuation. "Operatsiya Z" claims Novoekonomichne liberated and approaching Dmytrov (Mirnohrad). TASS claims "Center" group liberated Novoekonomichne and Zverevo. Colonelcassad now claims liberation of Shevchenko and Pivdenny micro-districts in Chasiv Yar by 98th VDV, and envelopment of Zemlianky micro-districts. Colonelcassad now claims liberation of Yablonovka on the Konstantinovka direction. Colonelcassad posts video of alleged destruction of UAF UAV control point in Poltavka. Kotsnews reports RF advances threaten T0406 road to Pokrovsk and Mirnograd garrisons. Butusov Plus posts video showing Mirnohrad in ruins. Z комитет + карта СВО map depicts Krasnoarmeyskoye direction with claimed RF control and fortifications. Alex Parker Returns claims RF forces have secured positions in Pokrovsk. Threat of enemy strike UAVs detected in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad video shows drone footage with thermal imaging, documenting strikes on buildings, vehicles (potential armored personnel carriers and trucks), a communication tower, and targets identified as 'ПВД', 'ТАнк', 'АВТО', 'ПАТЧ-АНТЕННА', 'СИСТЕМА СВЯЗИ', 'СПУТНИКОВАЯ АНТЕНТА', 'БАБА-ЯГА', with 'MARDER' designation for a vehicle. TASS reports that the liberation of Novoekonomichne by Russian fighters allows them to put pressure on the AFU grouping near Krasnyi Lyman in DNR and "seriously complicate" enemy logistics. RF Army reports cleaning up two settlements near Krasnoarmeysk in DNR. TASS reports Russian fighters improved tactical position near Petrovsky, taking about 3.5 km of the LNR administrative border under fire control. Multiple powerful explosions reported in Donetsk with RF AD response. UAF Air Force reports ballistic missile threat from Donetsk, subsequently cleared. TASS posts video claiming "liberation" of Novoekonomichne, showing drone footage of destroyed buildings and a Russian flag. TASS reports RF forces created a "fire bag" for UAF in the Yuzhny quarter of Chasiv Yar. Operational ZSU reports explosions in occupied Donetsk, implying RF "dome defense system" was ineffective, and additionally claims 8 impacts on RF base and railway infrastructure. CyberBoroshno claims successful strike on RF HQ in Donetsk. UAF struck the Zasyadko mine in Kyivskyi district of Donetsk, causing a fire in an administrative building; ASTRA reports direct hit with photos confirming significant fire and smoke plumes. Slivochniy Kapriz posts a video of aerial footage showing a village with damaged buildings and a soldier planting a Russian flag, captioned "25.07.25 Krasnoarmeysk - Novoekonomicheskoye." TASS reports advisor to DPR head, Igor Kimakovsky, claims RF forces expelled UAF from positions in Zelenyy Hay, DNR. Kotsnews posts video titled "Fights for Zverevo. How the village was liberated." This video shows aerial reconnaissance of a damaged settlement with destroyed buildings and damaged vehicles, confirming ongoing combat and RF claims of taking Zverevo, and indicating a threat to the T0406 road to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. Starshy Edda posts video titled "Fights for Zverevo. How the village was liberated", further confirming RF advances. Z комитет + карта СВО map depicts Krasnoarmiysk (Pokrovsk) area indicating potential RF control and fortification efforts. BUTUSOV PLUS video shows mass liquidation of Russian forces near Torske. Residents of Yenakiieve and Khartsyzk heard powerful explosion. Lower Krynka photos show smoke plume from likely impact. Butusov Plus posts videos showing HIMARS strikes on Zasyadko mine in occupied Donetsk. Colonelcassad reports RF units (including DRG) penetrating the center of Krasnoarmeysk. Rybar tactical map update confirms RF advances around Novoekonomichne towards Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. DeepState photo message suggests RF has begun assault on Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad reports RF units are fighting for control over Nikanorovka and Zatyshok. Z комитет + карта СВО map confirms RF gains around Kolodyazi, indicating continued pressure on the Lyman axis. MoD Russia congratulates 5th Separate Guards Motorised Rifle Brigade on liberation of Novoekonomichye. Kotsnews reports war correspondent Andrei Filatov went missing near Pokrovsk. Mash na Donbasse also reports Filatov under FPV drone fire. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС reports Russian war correspondent Andrei Filatov missing after FPV drone attack near Pokrovsk. Russian milbloggers claim continued advances near Pokrovsk, citing Polish media reports of UAF infantry shortages and RF intent to encircle the city. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian forces have taken control of Aleksandro-Kalinovo on the Konstantinovka direction in DNR. Chef Hayabusa posts video of a solitary figure in the Yalta-Zaporizhzhia area, Donetsk Oblast, with a crosshair, implying reconnaissance or targeting. Operatsiya Z reports Russia is consolidating positions in Kamyanske and conducting assault operations towards Stepnohirsk, citing DeepState. Colonelcassad reports RF personnel, identified as Russian, conducting clearing operations in an urban/semi-urban environment, questioning a civilian identified as Russian, indicating the presence of RF forces within Pokrovsk. MoD Russia video shows aerial footage of a populated area with multiple explosions, indicating high-precision strikes on temporary deployment areas of UAF units. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a satellite or aerial reconnaissance map overlayed with tactical markers, indicating the frontline in Donetsk Oblast, without providing further detail. Военкор Котенок posts a tactical map of the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction, indicating continued RF focus on this axis. Colonelcassad video shows a military vehicle, likely a tank or armored personnel carrior, moving along a road in a semi-rural or suburban area, with telemetry data overlayed, indicating ongoing military operations in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. RF claims to have liberated Aleksandro-Kalinovo. TASS reports UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrsky stated a difficult situation on five fronts. Colonelcassad reports RF using a new 152mm self-propelled howitzer, "Hyacinth-K" (Giatsint-K), on a BAZ-6910-027 "Voshchina" wheeled chassis, with a range of over 30 km, on the Konstantinovka direction. TASS reports 'Tsentr' grouping of forces claims over 460 Ukrainian military losses and liberated several settlements over the last 24 hours. TASS reports Russian forces are clearing Boykivka in DNR, with UAF having retreated. Colonelcassad reports destruction of a Polish T-72M1 tank in South Donetsk direction. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 confirms RF breakthrough and control of Aleksandro-Kalinovo in Konstantinovka direction, with some UAF personnel captured. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 1080 RF personnel eliminated in the last 24 hours, indicating continued high attrition rates. UAF General Staff provides updated operational information as of 08:00 26.07.2025 with an accompanying battle map depicting combat operations on 25.07.2025. This map provides a detailed overview of the front lines and contested areas. 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade posts video of drone reconnaissance and strike operations against an RF armored vehicle, confirming continued combat in contested areas. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts FPV-drone footage from the 6th Battalion eliminating RF forces on the Toretsk direction. Воин DV posts drone footage of 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade and 5th Guards Tank Brigade destroying enemy mortar positions and dugouts in Maliyivka. TASS reports that UAF has withdrawn most of its commanders from Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) as battles with RF forces have begun on its approaches, indicating significant pressure and potential UAF tactical withdrawal from key command elements. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Rusyn Yar, Mykolayivka, Rodynske, Sukhyy Yar, Biletske, Suvorove, Pokrovsk, Shakhove of Donetsk region. TASS reports Russian forces liberated Zelenyy Hay in DNR and Maliyivka in Dnipropetrovsk region. Colonelcassad and Операция Z milbloggers claim "Vostok" group liberated Zelenyy Hay in DNR. Два майора posts new video of military operations in Zelenyy Hay, Donetsk. Операция Z milbloggers "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" post video showing powerful artillery strikes by RF units on Krasnoarmeysk. This footage shows several explosions and smoke plumes across an urban landscape, confirming continued RF offensive operations in the Pokrovsk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that a video shows the extensive destruction in Chasiv Yar, implying RF forces are responsible for this devastation. Colonelcassad reports a wounded Colombian mercenary was abandoned by UAF and subsequently struck by an RF drone. MoD Russia claims another large UAF stronghold is under Russian control. Colonelcassad provides a video showing the destruction of a temporary deployment point (ПВД) of the 14th National Guard Brigade (NGU) using an ODAB-1500 bomb near Dmytrov/Myrnohrad, and a temporary deployment point of the 143rd Mechanized Brigade (AFU) using a FAB-500 bomb near Chuhunivka, Kharkiv Oblast. The video also shows a linear impact pattern, possibly on a road or railway, with multiple explosions. UPDATE: UAF Air Force reports KAABs launched on Donetsk Oblast. NEW: Операция Z posts drone footage showing a military engagement in a forested area, with explosions and smoke, and thermal imaging indicating tracking and targeting of enemy positions or equipment in an unspecified location, potentially in Donetsk Oblast. MoD Russia posts video of a 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer destroying a UAF firing position in the Krasnoarmeysk direction, confirming continued RF artillery activity in support of ground advances. UPDATE: Alex Parker Returns posts video of an aerial view of a city or town with plumes of dark smoke rising from multiple locations, consistent with heavy shelling or bombardment. The video caption "Pokrovsk now. May good be!" and the presence of significant destruction implies ongoing military activity in Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad reports that Russian saboteurs are continuing to spread throughout Pokrovsk amidst UAF problems in creating a unified defense, claiming "total chaos" from enemy sources. Два майора posts a video from the Pokrovskoye (Krasnoarmeyskoye) direction showing drone footage of an active engagement area with explosions and artillery fire. Два майора posts a map of the Pokrovskoye direction indicating claimed RF control and fortifications. NEW: Colonelcassad posts new drone footage captioned "Burning Krasnoarmeysk. Battles for the city have already begun. The liberation of Krasnoarmeysk and its agglomeration is one of the key goals of the summer campaign of the RF Armed Forces in Donbas," showing an aerial view of a city with multiple plumes of smoke. This confirms extensive damage to Pokrovsk due to ongoing combat. UPDATE: Colonelcassad reports the destruction of an ammunition depot in Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast after an RF strike. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for claimed advances, HIGH for RF intent, MEDIUM for UAF shortages).
• Cherkasy Oblast: Seven individuals, including a child, injured from RF missile attack, with casualties rising to 12. Damage to a cemetery. New threat of enemy strike UAVs from the northeast for Cherkasy Oblast. Colonelcassad posts a video alleging the strike on Cherkasy was by an Iskander-K targeting an abandoned 41st Guards Tank Division infrastructure, Hotel "Vlada" (alleged UAF personnel lodging), and garage cooperatives (alleged UAV production). Groups of strike drones moving towards Cherkasy Oblast. UAV detected moving past Drabiv towards Pereiaslav. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kharkiv Oblast: RF sources claim "North" group continued creating a "security strip." First operational use of a FAB-3000 M-54 UMPK against a Ukrainian strongpoint in Lyptsi. Lyptsi confirmed fully under Ukrainian control. Positional fighting continues in Vovchansk. Kharkiv Oblast Administration reports 9 settlements struck. RF forces claimed "infiltrated UAF defenses near Melovoe, crossed the Verkhnya Dvurechnaya river, and secured its western bank." UAF Air Force reports new GAB launches onto Kharkiv Oblast. KAAB hit a multi-story building in Kharkiv, causing 41 injured (including 6 children). ASTRA and Operatyvny ZSU post videos of KAB hits on a multi-story residential building. OTU "Kharkiv" reports on successful aero reconnaissance strikes destroying enemy vehicles and positions. UAF General Staff reports clashes near Vovchansk, Kamyanka, Dvorichna and towards Petro-Ivanivka. Oleg Syniehubov posts photos of returned POWs. New RBK-Ukraina reports 39 injured, 6 children. RF drone attack on Kharkiv confirmed. Fighterbomber posts video and photo implying three FAB-500 strikes on the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Internal Affairs (ГУ МВД). ОТУ "Харків" posts new drone footage showing "Molniya" strike UAVs destroying Russian observation posts and a UAZ 'Bukhanka'. Enemy strike UAVs detected on the eastern outskirts of Kharkiv Oblast, course west. Likely reconnaissance UAVs on the western outskirts of Kharkiv, possible AD engagement. UAV in Balakliya area, course southwest. TASS reports RF forces inflicted strikes on a UAV control point, manpower, and armored vehicles of UAF in Kharkiv Oblast using "Grad" MLRS. UAF Air Force confirms GAB launches on Kharkiv from the northeast. Oleg Syniehubov reports 5 casualties remain in hospitals from yesterday's Kharkiv attack, now 6 injured from KAAB strike. MoD Russia video shows a Grad MLRS crew of the 44th Army Corps destroyed UAV command posts, manpower, and armored vehicles of AFU units in a forested area in Kharkiv direction. SBU detained a Russian spotter in Kharkiv, who reportedly expressed satisfaction with GAB attacks on the city, claiming many people were "torn apart." UAF Air Force reports KAAB incoming on Kharkiv. RBK-Ukraina reports one casualty and six injured in Kharkiv due to an RF KAAB strike on a medical facility in Industrialny district. Colonelcassad posts video of a burning building in Kharkiv, attributed to recent strikes. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Zelene, Petro-Ivanivka and Kamyanske. Oleg Syniehubov reports 12 casualties in Kharkiv, 6 of whom are in hospital. Colonelcassad reports new impact in Kharkiv. NgP raZvedka reports "good news from Kharkiv direction." ASTRA reports a KAAB strike on a tuberculosis dispensary in Kharkiv, injuring 12. RF milblogger claims Asian mercenaries, including women, arrived in Kharkiv. Oleg Syniehubov posts photo messages showing the consequences of the RF strike on the Industrialny district of Kharkiv, including a destroyed hospital room and damaged vehicle. ASTRA photo messages confirm the consequences of the RF aviation bomb on a hospital in Kharkiv, showing extensive damage to a room, debris, and humanitarian aid supplies. The number of injured has risen to 14, with three people unaccounted for. Oleg Syniehubov reports that information about people under the rubble in Kharkiv's Industrialny district was not confirmed. Operatyvny ZSU reports the number of injured in the Kharkiv attack has increased to 17. UAF Air Force reports GAB launches on Kharkiv Oblast. Oleg Syniehubov posts photos celebrating medical workers in Kharkiv. Emergency rescue operations concluded at Kharkiv. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, warns of possible bad weather in Kharkiv Oblast tomorrow. RBK-Ukraina reports that Russians again struck the center of Kharkiv with a drone, damaging a multi-apartment building. The mayor confirms the hit was on a road near residential buildings and a medical facility, with information on casualties being clarified. Oleg Syniehubov confirms RF attacked Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv with a UAV. ОТУ "Харків" video shows 58th Motorized Brigade creating and improving drones to destroy enemy equipment, disrupt logistics, and eliminate personnel. STERNENKO reports Kharkiv Mayor Terekhov confirms RF attacked Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv with a "Chernika" drone. Another explosion reported in Kharkiv. Kharkiv Mayor confirms another impact in the city center, near the first strike, with no casualties reported. Operatsiya Z posts drone footage showing infantry positions targeted by artillery/drones, and vehicle destruction in the Kupyansk direction, Kharkiv Oblast, attributed to the 352nd Regiment. Oleg Syniehubov reports an enemy UAV hit the Saltivskyi district of Kharkiv. Explosions reported in Kyivskyi district, Kharkiv. Another explosion in Kharkiv reported. RBK-Ukraina reports a preliminary drone strike on Shevchenkivskyi district. Oleg Syniehubov confirms a drone strike on Shevchenkivskyi district. Kharkiv Mayor Terekhov reports explosions in Kharkiv due to KAABs, confirming four KAAB hits on the Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv, targeting a non-operational civilian enterprise. One KAAB was reportedly shot down. One person injured in Kharkiv due to an RF KAAB strike. The number of injured in Kharkiv has risen to two. UAF Air Force reports a target on Kharkiv. RBK-Ukraina reports explosions in Kharkiv. Kharkiv Mayor Terekhov confirms rocket strikes and casualties. Oleg Syniehubov reports two people injured in Zmiiv due to RF shelling, with medics providing assistance. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAVs entering Kharkiv Oblast from various directions, followed by new explosions in Kharkiv as Shaheds attack Kyivskyi district. RBK-Ukraina reports continued explosions and drone activity in Kharkiv. Oleg Syniehubov confirms Kyivskyi district again under attack by RF UAVs. Oleg Syniehubov confirms three more UAV hits in Kyivskyi district, Kharkiv. NGP Razvedka posts video "Kharkiv received karmic retribution," showing a bright orange glow/plume of smoke in a nighttime cityscape. RBK-Ukraina reports Kharkiv was under massive combined attack for almost three hours. Oleg Syniehubov reports one person injured in Zmiiv as a result of shelling. UAF Air Force reports a missile through Kharkiv Oblast towards Dnipro. TASS reports RF forces are advancing in three directions from Melovoe in Kharkiv Oblast. Operatsiya Z milbloggers report a massive strike against objects in Kharkiv and Oblast, including videos and photos showing a large fire and smoke plume, and flashes of light at night. TASS reports 'Sever' group drone operators destroyed a UAF armored vehicle in 15 minutes. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports many fires and wounded in Kharkiv due to strikes by KABs, missiles, and Shaheds. ОТУ "Харків" reports combat losses for RF in the last 24 hours, including 1080 personnel. Оперативний ЗСУ reports over 20 enemy strikes on Kharkiv in three hours, according to Mayor Terekhov. ASTRA video shows significant damage to a sports facility in Kharkiv with large sections of its roof torn off. RBK-Ukraina provides video of DSNS (State Emergency Service) responding to a building fire in Kharkiv, showing firefighters and civilian assistance. WarGonzo posts photo messages claiming RF forces massively attacked objects in Dnipro, Kharkiv, and Shostka. Zelenskiy / Official and Oleg Syniehubov report on the morning briefings from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and military, confirming a combined night strike by missiles (including ballistic) and drones along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on Zelenskyy's statement confirming combined night strikes. Операция Z milbloggers "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" report powerful strikes on the Ukrainian military-industrial complex (VPC) with accompanying video and photo evidence of fires and smoke plumes in Shostka, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk. UPDATE: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Kharkiv was attacked by 15 Shahed UAVs, 4 Guided Aerial Bombs, and 2 ballistic missiles overnight. Firefighters and emergency services are responding, and civilians are being evacuated from damaged buildings. Kotsnews posts video of aerial reconnaissance and precision strike footage on targets in Kharkiv, likely a district department of the Internal Affairs of Ukraine. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Kharkiv. ОТУ "Харків" reports on the situation in the operational zone as of morning 26.07.2025. Два майора posts a video showing targeted strikes in Kharkiv, specifically on the Kyivskyi District Department of the Internal Affairs of Ukraine. RBK-Ukraina reports that the number of injured in Kharkiv due to the night attack has increased. Colonelcassad provides a video showing the destruction of a temporary deployment point (ПВД) of the 14th National Guard Brigade (NGU) using an ODAB-1500 bomb near Dmytrov/Myrnohrad, and a temporary deployment point of the 143rd Mechanized Brigade (AFU) using a FAB-500 bomb near Chuhunivka, Kharkiv Oblast. The video also shows a linear impact pattern, possibly on a road or railway, with multiple explosions. Colonelcassad posts photo messages and video claiming a factory in Kharkiv, "Khartron", was hit. Kadyrov_95 posts drone footage of an alleged UAF strongpoint near Melovoe, Kharkiv Oblast, showing a well-fortified dugout and UAF movement. This video includes explosions and smoke plumes from subsequent strikes, confirming ongoing combat operations. NEW: TASS reports RF Aerospace Forces (VKS) struck UAF units in Kharkiv Oblast and DNR with aviation bombs, with video evidence of explosions along a railway line, indicating continued targeting of logistical assets. NEW: RBK-Ukraina reports the liquidation of a Russian regiment commander in Kharkiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms the elimination of the commander of the 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment, 69th Motorized Rifle Division. STERNENKO corroborates the elimination of the Russian regiment commander in Kharkiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: 48-year-old woman injured in Orikhivska Hromada. RF Milbloggers claim RF forces "liberated Kamyanske" and are "storming Plavni, advancing further." Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration confirms continued RF strikes on a university sports hall. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAV heading towards Zaporizhzhia from the south. UAF General Staff reports airstrikes at Mala Tokmachka, Prymorske, Malokaterynivka, Mahdalynivka. Clashes reported near Mala Tokmachka (Orikhiv direction) and Bilohirya (Huliaippole direction). TASS reports RF forces advancing north from Kamyanske towards Stepnohirsk. New RF milblogger video shows reconnaissance and destruction of AFU vehicles in Zatyshye. Z Committee + SVO Map milbloggers post a tactical map of Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating claimed advances towards Plavni. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports defenders destroy over 50 Russian reconnaissance drones weekly. The AFU Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovats Oblasts. Two Majors post a video from Zaporizhzhia front, showing drone footage of explosions on targets with a Ukrainian flag overlay and Russian insignia. Colonelcassad posts new map claiming RF advances near Kamyanske and Plavni. RF milblogger "Operatsiya Z" posted drone footage showing strikes on buildings and structures in a populated area. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected north of Zaporizhzhia city, suggesting continued ISR. New groups of enemy strike UAVs are moving through Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Dnipropetrovsk. Five "mopeds" (drones) reported flying towards Dnipro from the Synelnikivskyi direction. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the air raid alert has been cleared. UAF Air Force confirms GAB launches on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a 64-year-old woman severely wounded in Stepnohirsk due to enemy attack. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a 63-year-old man killed in Polohivskyi Raion due to enemy attack. STERNENKO reports enemy activated offensive operations in Zaporizhzhia direction, near Stepnohirsk, with tactical advances. Воин DV posts video claiming liberation of Volnoye Pole by Vostok group and 5th Army storm units, and shows SAU "Dana" firing. TASS reports a Ukrainian UAV dropped a munition on the parking lot near the Zaporizhzhia NPP, damaging 7 civilian vehicles, but the station is operating normally and security is not compromised. Mash na Donbasse posts photos confirming a Ukrainian UAV dropped a munition near Zaporizhzhia NPP. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" reports RSZO strikes on Energodar, advising citizens to take shelter. UAF General Staff reports airstrikes at Zaliznychne of Zaporizhzhia region. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Stepnohirsk. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports fields are partially mined and occupied, with only 370k hectares harvested vs 2M previously. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports air raid cleared, but missile threat remains. Kotsnews reports Russian army approached Stepnohirsk. Colonelcassad reports strike on UAF temporary deployment point (ПВД) on Khortytsia Island using Geran and Harpy loitering munitions. TASS reports 1 killed, 2 injured in Energodar due to UAF artillery shelling. Two Majors video message depicts a vehicle equipped with a missile launcher and soldiers preparing for launch, captioned "Запорожский фронт". DeepState reports enemy continues to consolidate positions in Kamyanske and conduct assault operations towards Stepnohirsk. STERNENKO posts video showing increased RF activity on Zaporizhzhia direction. Dnevnik Desantnika🇷🇺 posts a video of two Ukrainian soldiers from the 7th Division, Zaporizhzhia, appealing for donations for aerial reconnaissance drones and Starlink, citing inability to fight effectively without them. Starlink communications in the region remain impacted. MoD Russia releases drone footage of Vostok Group UAV teams destroying two AFU dugouts in Zaporizhzhia region. "Two Majors" posts a video from Zaporizhzhia front showing a soldier, masked, discussing the importance of drones for survival and threat identification, stating that drone warfare is becoming dominant. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports support for veterans as a key priority. Two fatalities in Primorske, Vasylivskyi district, due to an RF FPV drone attack. ASTRA confirms two fatalities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast from an RF FPV drone attack. Kadyrov_95 posts drone footage showing multiple explosions in a wooded/trenched area, with personnel targeted, implying engagement in the Orikhiv/Rabotino direction. Colonelcassad reports a ZALA Lancet drone destroyed a Czech DANA self-propelled howitzer in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alert declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RF milblogger Voenkor Kotenok posts two photo messages captioned "Zaporozhye direction," showing battlefield conditions; no new tactical information. UAF Air Force reports ballistic missile threat from the south. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports ballistic missiles on Dnipro/Samar (3 missiles). RBK-Ukraina reports AD is active in Zaporizhzhia. UAF Air Force reports UAVs heading to Zaporizhzhia. RBK-Ukraina reports several fires recorded in Zaporizhzhia district. UAF Air Force reports ballistic missile threat from the east. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a new alert. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the air raid alert has been cleared. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports a cruise missile flew past Zaporizhzhia towards Kamianske. UAF Air Force reports another missile is heading towards Dnipro. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 9 Shahed drones were directed at the oblast during the night attack. RBK-Ukraina corroborates. RBK-Ukraina posts photos from Zaporizhzhia ODA showing aftermath of RF attack on Zaporizhzhia, depicting significant damage to residential buildings, including shattered windows, damaged roofs, and debris. Zaporizhzhia ODA also posts similar photos, captioned "Consequences of the enemy attack on Zaporizhzhia." UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a damaged house due to attack. Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukraїni reports that the enemy continues to show high activity in the southern direction, with the use of aviation strikes, FPV drones, and Shahed-type UAVs against frontline settlements and UAF positions. Воин DV reports that UAV operators of the 35th Army Group "Vostok" destroyed a temporary deployment point and UAV control point of the AFU in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. ASTRA reports 3 killed, 2 injured in Zaporizhzhia Oblast from Russian attacks, citing local authorities. The Dnevnik Desantnika🇷🇺 video previously attributed to Ukrainian soldiers appealing for donations has been re-evaluated and confirmed to be Russian soldiers (7th Division) appealing for drones and Starlink, indicating their presence in the Zaporizhzhia direction. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration confirms a combined RF attack with missiles (including ballistic) and drones along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line, indicating its inclusion in the wider attack. MoD Russia reports that a "Giatsint-B" gun of the Dnepr Group of Forces neutralized a hostile UAV control post in Kherson region, indicating RF activity in the broader southern operational area, including near Zaporizhzhia. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Bilohirya, Orikhiv of Zaporizhzhia region. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts a video of renovation work on a shelter at a vocational school, demonstrating ongoing civilian infrastructure resilience efforts. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts an alert. TASS reports that Zaporizhzhia NPP employees demonstrated to IAEA inspectors the consequences of UAF attacks on the station's fire station and Enerhodar, highlighting continued concerns about the security of the nuclear facility. TASS reports the threat to ZNPP's nuclear safety from UAF attacks remains extremely high, further emphasizing the ongoing risk. NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 has issued a general alert ("УВАГА🚨"), indicating an ongoing threat to the oblast. UAF Air Force reports KAABs launched on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. UPDATE: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the air raid alert has been cleared. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kryvyi Rih: Situation assessed as controlled. Oleksandr Vilkul shares photos from an educational facility and road construction, and of children of servicemen attending a summer camp. Oleksandr Vilkul reports 78km of heat pipelines being replaced and other infrastructure projects. Oleksandr Vilkul provides a briefing summary, confirming continued infrastructure work on heat networks (78km restored, 15km insulation, 3 modular boiler houses for residential buildings, 5 for hospitals, 3 cogeneration units) and operations of a communal children's summer camp for 1000 children of military personnel (focus on families of deceased, missing, or captured Heroes). Oleksandr Vilkul posts photo messages indicating situation is controlled. UPDATE: UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Kryvyi Rih. Oleksandr Vilkul posts photo messages indicating veteran support is becoming a symbol of Kryvyi Rih. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Mykolaiv Oblast: RBK-Ukraina reports "Russians attacked Mykolaiv with drones overnight." Significant fires. Dnevnik Desantnika claims RF forces "destroyed a Bayraktar UAV production facility at the Equator factory" (CONFIDENCE: LOW). SBU prevented a dual terrorist act near the regional TCC. RBK-Ukraina reports a Russian drone attacked a Norwegian humanitarian organization's base. UAF General Staff reports airstrikes at Mykolayivka of Kherson region. UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Mykolaiv Oblast, in the southern region. RBK-Ukraina reports Mykolaiv may be without water for a day. NEW: DeepState posts a video showing a compilation of successful engagements against enemy forces on the Kinburn Spit. The footage includes aerial reconnaissance of coastal positions, buildings, and military equipment, followed by precision strikes and damage assessment, indicating active operations in the coastal area. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for drone attacks/impact, SBU operation, humanitarian base attack, and water disruption).
• Sumy Oblast: UAF Air Force reports enemy UAV (Shahed) near Bilopillia and a reconnaissance UAV near Lebedyn, both heading southeast. UAF Air Force reports RF launches of GABs onto Sumy Oblast. Reconnaissance UAVs reported on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. UAF General Staff reports repelled 12 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky direction. Colonelcassad publishes drone footage showing strikes. Vooin DV posts video of an FPV drone strike on a Ukrainian Forces pickup truck. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 Shahed drones flying towards Sumy. UAF Air Force reports new GAB launches onto Sumy Oblast. Operatyvny ZSU posts images of "Sumy attackers." STERNENKO posts a video of Ukrainian SOF engaging Russian forces in Kursk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports a high-speed target in Sumy Oblast (Khotin), heading southwest. UAF Air Force reports an enemy UAV (Shahed) on the northern outskirts of Shostka. UAF Air Force reports threat of enemy strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast from the north, currently flying south. UAF Air Force reports enemy strike UAVs near Bilopillia, heading south. New groups of enemy strike UAVs reported on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, course west/southwest. RBK-Ukraina reports a frontline community in Sumy Oblast was attacked, with one fatality near Znob-Novhorodske. "Two Majors" purports to show the 155th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Brigade operating in the Sumy direction. UAF Air Force reports new Shahed drones moving towards Sumy city from the northeast. UAF Air Force reports "Konotop! To shelter!" and fast-moving targets in Sumy region heading west. RF reconnaissance UAVs detected in southern Sumy Oblast. НгП раZVедка reports "Good news from Sumy direction." Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages and text regarding a "Sumy columbarium" and "Closing of America" in Ukraine, likely propaganda. UAF Air Force reports RF launches of GABs onto Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAV (Shahed) over Sumy city. Colonelcassad posts video of a captured Ukrainian serviceman (Chernets Vasyl Alekseevich, 22.07.1985, 156th Separate Mechanized Brigade) near Yunakivka, who states he was mobilized, feared desertion, and observed life worsening since Maidan. UAF Air Force reports UAV in the Sumy suburbs. UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 25 Russian army assaults yesterday in Kursk and North Slobozhansky direction. TASS reports a UAF platoon defected from positions near Yanvarskoye (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) and attempting to illegally export weapons from Sumy Oblast to other regions (CONFIDENCE: LOW). UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV activity in Chernihiv and Sumy Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that CNN claims Russia is involving teenagers (from 15 years old) and women in "Shahed" drone assembly at their factories. OPG reports investigation opened into murder of 17-year-old girl, showing local authorities are addressing internal crime. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition posts photo messages of "landscapes of the Sumy borderland" showing damaged rural areas. Colonelcassad reports a Russian armored vehicle was destroyed near Korchakivka in Sumy region. Air Force reports groups of UAVs moving past Shostka towards Konotop. Air Force reports multiple groups of UAVs moving from Sumy Oblast towards Chernihiv Oblast. Air Force reports strike UAVs moving on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, course towards Poltava Oblast. RBK-Ukraina reports Russia has launched groups of Shaheds across Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns posts photo messages of a deceased individual in Sumy Oblast, with emphasis on dental condition. This is likely RF propaganda aiming to dehumanize UAF personnel or create fear. MoD Russia releases a video showing snipers from an airborne reconnaissance unit from Buryatia, allegedly wiping out AFU infantry in the Sumy region. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts drone footage showing two military personnel, one assisting or dragging the other, in a wooded area, with a sarcastic caption about "leaving no one behind," possibly implying a Russian retreat or loss in combat, potentially in Sumy Oblast as it relates to the previous MoD Russia message. Colonelcassad posts video claiming RF forces (76th VDV Division, Rubikon pilots) detected and destroyed a camouflaged Ukrainian T-64BV tank between Nikolskoye and Mogritsa in Sumy direction. UAF Air Force reports KAABs launched on Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. DeepState reports 225th Separate Assault Battalion liberated Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast, with 3 RF battalions and 1 battalion commander eliminated. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a serious success for Ukraine in Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports new groups of strike UAVs through Sumy Oblast, headed for Poltava Oblast. RBK-Ukraina confirms new drone groups moving from Sumy to Poltava Oblast. TASS reports UAF only remains on the southern outskirts of Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast, with nearly the entire settlement under RF control. UAF Air Force reports UAVs heading for Konotop. UAF Air Force reports KAABs launched on Sumy. TASS reports a company of the "Aidar" battalion was destroyed in Sumy Oblast, citing Russian power structures. Операция Z reports VDV fighters from Kursk's Tyotkino cleared a district and are assaulting Sumy Oblast. TASS reports Marochko claims RF forces are clearing the area southeast of Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast, forming a buffer zone near the Kursk Oblast border. UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in eastern Sumy Oblast. RBK-Ukraina reports RF launched drones, KAABs, and missiles at Shostka, Sumy Oblast, overnight, confirming impact. Zelenskiy / Official reports on combined night strikes along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on Zelenskyy's statement confirming combined night strikes. Операция Z milbloggers "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" report powerful strikes on the Ukrainian military-industrial complex (VPC) with accompanying video and photo evidence of fires and smoke plumes in Shostka, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk. UPDATE: WarGonzo posts a tactical map of the Sumy direction. UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV near Lebedyn. UAF Air Force reports enemy reconnaissance UAV on the north of Sumy Oblast. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Yastrubyne of Sumy region. RBK-Ukraina reports a partial loss of power and water in Sumy and Sumy district after an enemy attack. STERNENKO also confirms the power and water outage. Оперативний ЗСУ posts video of an alleged drone attack on the Sumy Oblast Administration building. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts photo messages of the aftermath of the drone strike on the Sumy Oblast Administration building. Два майора posts a video showing a Russian drone striking the Sumy Oblast Administration building. Alex Parker Returns posts video of RF FAB strikes on a UAF strongpoint in Sumy Oblast. NEW: Colonelcassad posts a video of Russian Geran-type kamikaze drones striking infrastructure in Shostka, Sumy Oblast, confirming direct targeting of key infrastructure assets. UPDATE: Два майора reports that RF forces lost personnel from the 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment in Kindrativka, Sumy Oblast, confirming a localized UAF success. Alex Parker Returns corroborates the loss of Kindrativka and reports that UAF is now assaulting Oleksiyivka in Sumy Oblast, stating the situation is "extremely difficult" for RF due to lack of reserves. NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts FPV drone footage showing drones of the 1st Special Operational Detachment "UA_REG" destroying enemy logistics vehicles in Sumy Oblast. This confirms UAF interdiction efforts against RF supply lines. NEW: Colonelcassad reports that UAF forces were able to dislodge RF troops from Kindrativka in Sumy Oblast, while RF attempts to reinforce failed. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kherson Oblast: RF claims aviation strike on a UAF HQ in Kherson. GAB launch on Kherson from Temporarily Occupied Territory (TOT). STERNENKO also reports strikes on Kherson. Reconnaissance UAVs reported on Kherson Oblast. UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Lvove and repelled 9 Russian army assaults. Vooin DV posts video claiming a substation explosion in Kherson. Voenkor Kotenok posts video implying capture of a "Zhdun" (collaborator/spotter). New RF milblogger video shows aerial view of an urban environment labeled "Kherson. Works group ROY," showing an explosion. Basurin o glavnom posts video of FSB detention and interrogation of a man in Krasnodar Krai for alleged collaboration and photography of military facilities, as well as a video of the detention of a "spotter" in Kherson Oblast. New videos from Colonelcassad captioned "FSB of Russia in Kherson region stopped illegal activities of a Russian citizen involved in state treason" show an individual admitting to photographing government facilities and checkpoints in Kherson. RBK-Ukraina reports a combined RF attack on Dniprovskyi district of Kherson. Two Majors posts new drone footage from Kherson. RBK-Ukraina reports RF dropped explosives from a drone on an ambulance crew in Dniprovskyi district of Kherson. UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 5 Russian army assaults yesterday in Kherson direction. Colonelcassad reports a powerful impact and rising smoke in Kherson. TASS reports Vladimir Saldo, governor of Kherson Oblast, claims Kyiv is trying to expel residents from both banks of the Dnipro with threats and attacks. TASS reports Saldo claiming RF forces on the Dnipro are primarily acting against foreign mercenaries. RBK-Ukraina reports RF again attacked civilians: in Kherson Oblast, a 9-year-old child was among the injured. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for statement, LOW for factual basis). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kherson direction, indicating continued military activity. MoD Russia reports that a "Giatsint-B" gun of the Dnepr Group of Forces neutralized a hostile UAV control post in Kherson region. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Kozatske of Kherson region. Басурин о главном posts video claiming Russian marines eliminated a Ukrainian drone command post in Kherson Oblast, with footage showing artillery firing and a building exploding. NEW: DeepState posts a video showing a compilation of successful engagements against enemy forces on the Kinburn Spit. The footage includes aerial reconnaissance of coastal positions, buildings, and military equipment, followed by precision strikes and damage assessment, indicating active operations in the coastal area. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Other Eastern Axes: UAF General Staff reports clashes near Stepova Novoselivka, Borivska Andriyivka, Holubivka, Zahryzove, Novoplatonivka, Kupyansk, Zelenyi Hai, Velyka Shapkivka (Kupyansk direction); Hrekivka, Zelenyy Hay, Serednye, Shandryholove, Dronivka, Novyy Mir, Karpivka, Kolodyazi, Shypylivka and towards Druzhelubivka, Serebryanka (Lyman direction); Hryhorivka, Pereyizne, Verkhnokamyanske, Fedorivka, Vyyimka (Siversk direction); Chasiv Yar, Stupochky and Bila Hora, Mykolayivka, Predtechyne (Kramatorsk direction); Toretsk, Dyliyivka, Rusyn Yar, Pleschiyivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Katerynivka (Toretsk direction); Zaporizhzhya, Zirka, Piddubne, Oleksandrohrad, Shevchenko, Maliyivka, Temyrivka, Voskresenka and Vilne Pole, Zelenyy Hay, Tovste, Novokhatske (Novopavlivka direction). New RF milblogger photo from Kupyansk direction near Radkovka. STERNENKO reports Sky Hunters of the 14th Separate Mechanized Brigade are stopping new Russian assaults on the Kupyansk direction. Z комитет + SVO Map milbloggers post a tactical map of Novopavlovskoe direction showing occupied territories. UAF Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. Colonelcassad posts satellite imagery of UAF engineering structures in Kramatorsk district, construction began June 2025. Rybar provides tactical maps of the Kupyansk direction, with a new video analyzing the advance towards Belaya Gora and Shcherbinovka, confirming Russian advances south of Konstantinovka and push into central Yablonevka, securing areas south of Yablonevka, and fighting in Shcherbinovka. It also indicates an assault on the eastern flank towards Kurdyumovka and Ozaryanovka, and a successful advance to the western bank of the Seversky Donets-Donbas canal. Voenkor Kotenok posts a map of Pokrovskoye (Krasnoarmeyskoye) direction. DeepState map updated. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday on South Slobozhansky(Kharkiv) direction near Vovchansk, Zelene, Petro-Ivanivka and Kamyanke. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Kupyansk direction near Stepova Novoselivka, Zahryzove, Kupyansk, Zelenyi Hai and towards Velyka Shapkivka. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Lyman direction near Hrekivka, Novyy Myr, Yampolivka, Torske, Serebryanka, also towards Dronivka, Shandryholove, Cherneschyna, Serednye. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Sieversk direction near Hryhorivka and Pereyizne. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Kramatorsk direction near Mykolayivka and towards Bila Hora. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Toretsk direction near Dyliyivka, Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, towards Pleschiyivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne and Katerynivka. UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Novopavlivka direction near Piddubne, Maliyivka, Yalta, Voskresenka, towards Temyrivka and Oleksandrohrad. Vooin DV posts drone footage of 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade and 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade destroying UAF transport, UAV control point, and artillery in the Yanvarskoye area. Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights reports 63rd Brigade's drone unit eliminated 23 enemy personnel near Torske. Slivochniy Kapriz posts photo and video messages on Kupyansk-Tishchenkovka direction. Rybar and Two Majors post photos of the claimed liberation of Novoekonomichne, confirming RF advances. Воин DV posts video showing destruction of a 122-mm D-30 towed howitzer. Butusov Plus posts regarding RF intent to control Siversky Donets canal. Colonelcassad reports units are fighting for control over Nikanorovka and Zatyshok. Z комитет + карта СВО publishes a tactical map indicating RF control over Kolodyazi, further supporting RF claims of localized advances in the Lyman direction. Два майора claims Aleksandro-Kalinovo (Konstantinovka direction) is "ours," with drone footage showing captured soldiers, damaged buildings, and a destroyed AGS. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС video shows UAF drone operator targeting Russian vehicle. Colonelcassad claims Russian forces significantly advanced in Serebryansky forestry and took control of a pioneer camp on Lake Linevoye (48°56′53.02′′ N 38°10′17.89′′ E), posting video of Russian assault troops raising flags. Slivochniy Kapriz posts video on the Seversk axis, showing drone footage of a military vehicle, possibly a tank, being engaged and burning in a forested area, suggesting a successful strike. Z комитет + карта СВО posts an image of a Russian soldier with "5ОМСБР" (5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade) insignia, likely propaganda for the unit operating in the Donetsk sector. TASS video claims UAV operators destroyed Ukrainian ground robots near Konstantinovka and Serebryanka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on "interesting content" regarding Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) for tomorrow's post, indicating continued RF focus on this axis. Presidential Brigade of UAF video shows drone strikes on enemy positions on the Novopavlivka direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the 128th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade "Dyke Pole" has been reformatted into the 128th Separate Heavy Mechanized Brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of a Russian military pushing another soldier (possibly injured) out of a dugout, then with an automatic rifle, implying forced exposure to drone attack. Operatyvny ZSU posts an archived video showing drone operators from "Kryla Omegy" unit destroying an MT-LB, with map overlays and targeting reticles, indicating ongoing UAF drone operations. DeepState map updated. Военкор Котенок posts photos of Kupyansk direction. TASS reports RF forces have pushed UAF out of Holubivka near Kupyansk and are conducting clearing operations. Rybar posts chronicle of the SMO for July 25. Operatsiya Z milbloggers claim RF is cutting off Kupyansk, having secured positions in Moskovka. Colonelcassad posts drone footage of an Msta-B artillery crew from the 305th Guards Artillery Brigade (5th Army Group "Vostok") engaging an enemy vehicle attempting to rotate UAF personnel in a wooded area north of Malinivka. Воин DV reports good news from the 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade (Baltic) and 36th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade (Trans-Baikal) of the "Vostok" group. UPDATE: WarGonzo posts a tactical map of the Kupyansk direction. Сливочный каприз posts photos and video of RF soldiers in a forested area near Kremennaya. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Rusyn Yar, Mykolayivka, Rodynske, Sukhyy Yar, Biletske, Suvorove, Pokrovsk, Shakhove of Donetsk region. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on South Slobozhansky(Kharkiv) direction near Vovchansk, Hlyboke, Fyholivka and towards Kozacha Lopan and Kudiyivka. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Kupyansk direction near Stepova Novoselivka. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Lyman direction near Hrekivka, Novyy Myr, Serednye, Ridkodub, Yampolivka, Kolodyazi and Dibrov. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Sieversk direction near Hryhorivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Fedorivka and Vyyimka. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Kramatorsk direction near Chasiv Yar and towards Bila Hora and Predtechyne. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Toretsk direction near Dyliyivka, Toretsk and Rusyn Yar. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Pokrovsk direction near Popiv Yar, Novoekonomichne, Razine, Lysivka, Chunyshyne, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Muravka, Novoukrayinka and Oleksiyivka. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Novopavlivka direction near Zelenyy Hay, Tovste, Novokhatske, Shevchenko, Voskresenka and Temyrivka. Liveuamap Source reports clashes yesterday on Orikhiv direction near Kamyanske. Liveuamap Source reports Ukrainian forces repelled 8 Russian army assaults on Kherson direction yesterday. Liveuamap Source reports Ukrainian forces repelled 5 Russian army assaults on Kursk and North Slobozhansky(Sumy) direction yesterday. Сливочный каприз posts photos and video captioned "26.07.25 Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenyy Hay," confirming ongoing combat in this sector. Colonelcassad provides a Divgen map, indicating changes in the Lyman direction (claimed RF gains around Kolodyazi, Yampolivka, and Dibrova), and other contested areas. Colonelcassad and Операция Z milbloggers claim "Vostok" group liberated Zelenyy Hay in DNR. Два майора posts new video of military operations in Zelenyy Hay, Donetsk. Воин DV reports that RF Minister of Defense congratulated servicemen of 36th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade on liberation of Zelenyy Hay in DNR. MoD Russia confirms this congratulation. Два майора posts video showing a damaged building and combat footage, claiming new camouflaged mines from the enemy. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the State Border Guard Service unit "Phoenix" repelled an attack on the Siversk direction in the Bilohorivka area. Rybar provides a tactical map of the "Vostok Group" advance in the Western direction. NEW: Colonelcassad posts video of Russian UAVs destroying Ukrainian M113 and artillery. UPDATE: Воин DV posts video footage showing drone reconnaissance from an unspecified conflict zone, including aerial views of terrain with potential military targets, such as structures and vehicles. There are instances of explosions and smoke, indicating active combat or recent engagements. The footage includes close-ups of drone components and soldiers, possibly during preparation or operational phases. The latter part of the video shows drone operation and targeting, including a successful strike on what appears to be a military vehicle or position. This confirms continued aerial reconnaissance and targeting on unspecified eastern axes. Воин DV posts a video showing units of the 25th Army Group "West" reaching Lake Popovo and Chernikovo in the Serebryansky forestry, indicating continued RF advances. NEW: DeepState posts drone footage of "Ptahy Madyara" destroying enemy infantry in Troitske, confirming continued UAF drone effectiveness against RF personnel. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for claimed advances, HIGH for RF intent, MEDIUM for UAF shortages).
• Poltava Oblast: RBK-Ukraina reports an enemy drone fell in Poltava Oblast due to air defense work. UAF Air Force reports a reconnaissance UAV on the border of Kharkiv and Poltava Oblasts. UAF Air Force reports threat of enemy strike UAVs from the northeast. UAF Air Force warns of threat to Kremenchuk and Svitlovodsk from drones. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 3 Shahed drones over Kremenchuk/Svitlovodsk and 1 from Cherkasy towards Kremenchuk. New high-speed target detected on the northeastern part of Poltava region towards Kremenchuk. Explosions reported in Kremenchuk area. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports drones near Kremenchuk are "minus." RF milblogger "НгП раZVедка" reports "Good news from Poltava Oblast," which may indicate successful RF strike activity or UAF setbacks. UAVs detected moving towards Myrhorod, Poltava, and Dykanka. UAF Air Force reports drones near Myrhorod, advising shelter. Николаевский Ванёк provides a general update on UAV activity, indicating continued drone movement across Ukraine. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports missiles on Kamyanske/Kremenchuk. UAF Air Force reports UAVs heading for Poltava. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports remaining drones. UAF Air Force reports threat of strike UAVs cleared for Poltava Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Ternopil Oblast: RBK-Ukraina reports a grenade explosion in an apartment building resulting in two fatalities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Russia:
  • Krasnodar Krai (Sochi/Kuban): Multiple videos show large explosions and fires near a "Lukoil-Yugnefteprodukt Sochinskaya oil depot." RF MoD claims 39 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down. Civilian reports indicate flight disruptions. TASS and ASTRA confirm casualties (2 dead, 13 injured). Peskov states these attacks are a "continuation of Kyiv's strikes on civilian objects." Krasnodar Krai Operative Headquarters reports drone attack. TASS reports that UAV debris, falling on the territory of a railway station, damaged a passenger train car, injuring two people. RBK-Ukraina reports 45 flights delayed in Sochi airport, up from 25 across 8 airports previously reported. ASTRA reports Timashevsk railway station in Krasnodar Krai without power after UAV attack, 2 train passengers injured. TASS reports a Boeing S7 flight to Sochi is returning to Novosibirsk airport. Sever.Realii reports two people injured in Krasnodar Krai due to falling drone debris on a train. TASS video confirms plane landing. NEW: Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing the aftermath of an attack on Armavir airfield in Krasnodar Krai, confirming damage to an airfield. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Kursk Oblast: Russian official Khinshtein signed a resolution on payments to residents forced to leave homes due to property damage. STERNENKO posts a video of Ukrainian SOF engaging Russian forces in Kursk Oblast. A woman was killed by a drone attack. UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 25 Russian army assaults yesterday in Kursk direction. WarGonzo posts video from a "border region" with a masked fighter, discussing shelling. Liveuamap Source reports Ukrainian forces repelled 5 Russian army assaults yesterday. TASS reports that two Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Kursk Oblast. ASTRA reports a civilian was injured in Urazovo, Belgorod Oblast, due to a UAV attack. NEW: Два майора posts a map of a rural area in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports a civilian fatality in Kursk Oblast due to an FPV drone attack. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Luhansk (Kremennaya): TASS reports a "firefight" by UAF in Kremennaya. MoD Russia posts video of military engineers ensuring transport accessibility. Colonelcassad reports Russian forces significantly advanced in Serebryansky forestry (Luhansk Oblast) and took control of a pioneer camp on Lake Linevoye (48°56′53.02′′ N 38°10′17.89′′ E), posting video of Russian assault troops raising flags. Colonelcassad posts video of RF 25th Army Group "West" reaching Popovo and Chernikovo lakes in Serebryansky forestry, further confirming advances. NEW: Воин DV posts a video showing units of the 25th Army Group "West" reaching Lake Popovo and Chernikovo in the Serebryansky forestry, indicating continued RF advances. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for infrastructure repair, LOW for UAF aggressive action).
  • Rostov Oblast (Novocherkassk/Taganrog Area): RBK-Ukraina reports at least 7 explosions in the suburbs of Taganrog and Novocherkassk, Rostov Oblast, with Russians complaining of unknown drone attacks and claiming AD work. New reports from ASTRA confirm residents of Novocherkassk are again reporting a large number of drones and explosions. Traffic over the Crimean Bridge has been temporarily suspended. Operatyvny ZSU posts videos confirming drone activity and explosions in Rostov Oblast. Operatyvny ZSU reports railway station building in Peschanokopskoye, Rostov Oblast, damaged by UAV strike. TASS reports damage to contact network at a Rostov region station due to UAV debris, causing train delays. ASTRA confirms damage to Peschanokopskaya station in Rostov Oblast after UAV attack. TASS reports a drone attack was repelled in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky and other settlements of Rostov Oblast. TASS reports two fatalities from a UAV attack on Rostov Oblast, as confirmed by the governor. ASTRA reports two people died in a drone attack on a vehicle in Rostov Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Amur Oblast: A civilian An-24 passenger plane with 43 passengers and 6 crew members went missing, crash site found 16km from Tynda, fuselage burning, no survivors. TASS reports technical malfunction and human factor as versions, then later states the An-24 was technically sound. Five railway workers among the dead. TASS reports 13 residents of Khabarovsk Krai died in the crash. Photo messages from "Полиция Хабаровского края" showing police vehicles, likely related to the ongoing investigation or response to the An-24 crash aftermath. Amur Oblast Governor Vasily Orlov has flown to Tynda with a government commission to assess the situation. TASS reports over 200 people working at An-24 crash site in Tynda. TASS reports flags lowered in Khabarovsk in mourning. TASS reports the An-24 crash debris field covers 1 hectare. TASS reports Amur Oblast authorities will pay 1 million rubles to families of deceased residents from the An-24 crash. ASTRA posts video about the 1 million ruble payout to families of An-24 crash victims in Amur Oblast. TASS reports the Cabinet of Ministers will pay 5 million rubles to families of deceased in the An-24 crash and that flight recorders have been found and will be transported to Moscow. TASS reports Rosaviatsia and Rostransnadzor will initiate a check of Angara Airlines following the An-24 crash. TASS reports that the flight recorders of the crashed An-24 are damaged but likely suitable for decoding. TASS reports the Amur Oblast Governor states the An-24 crash causes could be technical malfunction or pilot error. TASS reports bodies of An-24 crash victims removed from wreckage. ASTRA posts video of volunteers at crash site expressing fear. ASTRA posts photo of a track vehicle at crash site. ASTRA reports two foreign citizens (Belarus and China) were among the dead in the An-24 crash, according to the RF MFA. TASS reports the An-24 flight recorders have been delivered to Moscow, and decoding will begin shortly. The Khabarovsk Krai Police posted a video regarding online security, which is unrelated to the crash but indicates a general public awareness campaign. TASS reports residents of Tynda continue to bring flowers to the memorial for those killed in the An-24 crash. UPDATE: TASS reports one of the An-24 black boxes was destroyed by fire, but the voice recorder is accessible for decryption. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Rostov Oblast (Novoshakhtinsk): Operatyvny ZSU posts video of a burning shopping center. A firefighter died, and a woman's body was found in the fire. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Nevinnomyssk (Stavropol Krai, North Caucasus): НгП раZVедка reports Nevinnomyssk is reflecting the most massive attack on the North Caucasus during the entire SVO. ASTRA confirms explosions in Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai. RBK-Ukraina video shows a distant explosion. НгП раZVедка praises Nevinnomyssk AD. RBK-Ukraina reports the mayor of Nevinnomyssk claims 37 drone impacts with no losses or damage. ASTRA posts video showing alleged attack on Nevinnomyssky Azot industrial plant in Stavropol Krai, with sound of explosions and visual of bright flashes and smoke. RBK-Ukraina posts video showing alleged attack on a chemical plant in Stavropol Krai, also with fire/explosions and smoke visible. ASTRA posts video of Nevinnomyssk mayor claiming "37 hits, no losses, no destruction in the city, the factory workers are great." TASS reports 37 UAVs shot down over Nevinnomyssk, no casualties. STERNENKO posts video of drone attack on Nevinnomyssky Azot chemical plant, mayor claims "over 20 hits". Шеф Hayabusa posts video of the strike. ASTRA reports roads near the chemical plant in Nevinnomyssk are closed after UAV attack. Operatsiya Z reports drone attack on Stavropol. Два майора posts videos showing drone activity and a small aircraft with a smoke trail over Stavropol, likely related to the claimed drone attack. STERNENKO posts multiple videos claiming drones hit the Signal radio factory in Stavropol. RBK-Ukraina posts videos of Russians complaining of unknown drone attacks and claiming AD work. Оперативний ЗСУ reports "Lyutyy" and Shahed-like UAVs attacked the Signal radio factory in Stavropol. STERNENKO posts two new videos claiming to show the aftermath of drone strikes on Stavropol, expressing appreciation for local air defense. The videos show an urban area at dusk with a drone or small aircraft visible and a significant explosion with smoke and fire on the side of a large building. ASTRA posts new video of an explosion hitting the Signal Radio Plant in Stavropol, specifically the moment of impact and fire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video claiming a new type of UAV directly hit an EW production facility in Stavropol. UPDATE: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of a "national correspondent" from Stavropol tracking a Ukrainian drone, showing an impact. RBK-Ukraina and Оперативний ЗСУ post videos claiming SBU drones attacked the Signal radio factory in Stavropol. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video showing an explosion at an industrial facility, attributing it to SBU drones. ASTRA posts new photo and video of the Signal factory in Stavropol, confirming the attack and significant damage. ASTRA posts multiple video messages with drone/missile strike visuals, attributed to SBU hitting Signal radio factory in Stavropol. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for claimed attack and visual evidence of explosions/fire, MEDIUM for number of impacts without damage as claimed by mayor; HIGH for industrial target).
  • Internal RF Issues: RF Investigation Committee reports completion of an investigation into the supply of low-quality dry rations. FSB detained 9 Russians in 8 regions for calling for military assassinations. A police officer detained in Kherson Oblast for transmitting RF troop data to Ukrainian special services. Former Tambov Oblast Governor Maxim Egorov detained for bribery. Vice-Governor of Bryansk Oblast is facing arrest for abuse of power in defensive line construction. TASS reports a decision is prepared to ban gasoline exports for 1-2 months from August 1st. Mobilizatsiya | Novosti | Srochniki reports court denied compensation to family of deceased soldier sent to front with injury. TASS reports investigators seeking arrest of three Interior Ministry employees accused of receiving bribes from Baza Telegram channel journalists and exceeding official authority. TASS confirms arrest of Baza editor-in-chief Gleb Trifonov. TASS reports the Moscow court arrested Aleksandr Bogashov and Eldar Belousov (Minister of Property of Chelyabinsk Oblast), and Menzhinsky (acting Head of Affairs of the Governor and Government of Chelyabinsk Oblast) on charges of abuse of power. Mobilizatsiya | Novosti | Srochniki reports a military police officer beat an elderly serviceman. TASS reports GAZ will transition to a four-day work week in August due to a "critical fall in the car market." TASS reports the apartment and car of an accomplice in the "Crocus" terrorist attack have been seized. Colonelcassad claims the Russian Investigative Committee has identified over 3,500 foreign mercenaries from 70 countries fighting for Ukraine. TASS reports Russian Railways (RZD) has redirected cargo traffic to alternative routes after incidents in Rostov Oblast. TASS reports that the perpetrators of the Crocus terrorist attack have been recognized as sane. RF officials in Lipetsk Oblast have declared a "red" level drone attack threat. TASS reports Bastrykin congratulated investigation authorities on their professional holiday. ASTRA reports "carpet" plan (anti-drone measure) implemented in North Ossetia and other SKFO regions due to UAV threat, citing Menyaylo. TASS reports blogger Yuri Dud, declared internationally wanted, may be checked for treason. Operation Z reports FSB has a new series "Spetsy" portraying heroic work of FSB special forces. TASS reports new suspects may emerge in the case of Bryansk Oblast Vice-Governor Simonenko, accused of abuse of power. TASS reports that the Cabinet of Ministers is considering differentiating the preferential mortgage rate. WarGonzo features a speaker at a media summit discussing post-SMO reintegration and support. TASS reports Khusnullin believes key rate could be lowered to 10-12% by year-end. ASTRA reports "18+" goods will be sold on marketplaces via biometrics, indicating new internal control measures within RF. TASS reports Crocus terrorists used drugs to dull fear. Rybar reports Mikhail Gusman dismissed. Two Majors photo message from Chelyabinsk Oblast shows RC airplane, potentially related to local drone efforts. TASS reports a man was detained in Cherepovets who sold data on 27,000+ Russian citizens to Ukrainian call centers. FSB reports detention of co-conspirators of Ukrainian call centers in 4 regions. TASS posts video messages claiming FSB and МВД detained co-conspirators of Ukrainian call centers in 4 RF regions, with video showing raids and confiscated items (firearms, cash, phones, credit cards). Two Majors posts the same video message regarding FSB/MVD detentions of call center co-conspirators. TASS reports the defense of Baza editor-in-chief Trifonov has appealed his arrest. Старше Эдды posts an image suggesting commercial directors are among the highest paid professions in Russia in 2025, with an average salary of 292,370 rubles/month. Sever.Realii reports increased sales of anti-alcoholism drugs in Russia. TASS reports Kia recalling almost 80,000 Sportage crossovers in Russia due to defect. Moscow News reports a proposal in State Duma to pay parents of schoolchildren before September 1st. TASS reports Mars ceased production of Dove and Korkunov chocolate bars in Russia from January 1, 2025. TASS reports a blast occurred in an apartment building in Saratov, injuring at least one person and possibly killing three. ASTRA confirms the explosion in Saratov. Alex Parker Returns posts video about the Saratov explosion aftermath. TASS reports 3 fatalities, including a child, in the Saratov gas explosion. STERNENKO claims the Saratov explosion was an FSB-orchestrated event (CONFIDENCE: LOW). ASTRA confirms child fatality in Saratov. TASS confirms continued threat of collapse in Saratov building. TASS reports evacuation of Saratov residents. TASS reports a criminal case has been opened into the Saratov explosion. TASS reports over 200 people working at An-24 crash site in Tynda. TASS reports flags lowered in Khabarovsk in mourning. TASS reports Amur Oblast authorities will pay 1 million rubles to families of deceased residents from the An-24 crash. ASTRA posts video about the 1 million ruble payout to families of An-24 crash victims in Amur Oblast. TASS reports the Cabinet of Ministers will pay 5 million rubles to families of deceased in the An-24 crash and that flight recorders have been found and will be transported to Moscow. TASS reports Rosaviatsia and Rostransnadzor will initiate a check of Angara Airlines following the An-24 crash. TASS reports that the flight recorders of the crashed An-24 are damaged but likely suitable for decoding. TASS reports the Amur Oblast Governor states the An-24 crash causes could be technical malfunction or pilot error. TASS reports bodies of An-24 crash victims removed from wreckage. ASTRA posts video of volunteers at crash site expressing fear. ASTRA posts photo of a track vehicle at crash site. ASTRA reports two foreign citizens (Belarus and China) among the dead in the An-24 crash, according to the RF MFA. TASS reports the An-24 flight recorders have been delivered to Moscow, and decoding will begin shortly. The Khabarovsk Krai Police posted a video regarding online security, which is unrelated to the crash but indicates a general public awareness campaign. TASS reports residents of Tynda continue to bring flowers to the memorial for those killed in the An-24 crash. TASS reports Politologist Ekaterina Shulman (recognized as a foreign agent in the Russian Federation) has been заочно arrested in a case regarding evasion of foreign agent duties. TASS reports the Military Court will consider the appeal against the verdict of General Ivan Popov in closed session. TASS reports Putin appointed Georgy Mikhno as new RF Ambassador to Poland. Zvizdets Mangustu reports Russia pays more for food imports than it gets for food exports. TASS reports Central Bank of Russia lowered key rate to 18%. Moscow News confirms Central Bank lowering key rate to 18%. TASS lowered forecast for average key rate by year-end to 18.8-19.6%. ASTRA confirms Central Bank lowered key rate from 20% to 18%. Khabarovsk Krai Police report real responsibility for "virtual jokes," likely related to online dissent. TASS reports individual sentenced to 17 years for preparing terror attack in Maykop temple. TASS reports the Moscow court arrested the former head of Chernomorneftegaz, Sergey Beem, and the general director of Aurora, Pyatkova, on charges of particularly large-scale fraud. ASTRA reports the cancellation of the main naval parade in St. Petersburg. ASTRA reports a video showing a drunk military personnel trying to choke a child and then attacking passersby with a knife in Rostov. Sever.Realii reports that the Admiral Kuznetsov aircraft carrier may be scrapped. Fighterbomber claims discussions are underway regarding scrapping the Admiral Kuznetsov. TASS reports that the Moscow City Court will on July 29 verify the legality of the verdict against Blinovskaya, sentenced to 5 years for tax evasion and money laundering, indicating continued internal anti-corruption/law enforcement efforts. TASS reports that a court has satisfied a lawsuit to seize 821 real estate objects belonging to the family of former Vladivostok Mayor Nikolaev, totaling nearly 15 billion rubles, confirming ongoing anti-corruption efforts within RF. TASS reports former Deputy Governor of Bryansk Oblast Tatyana Kuleshova has been sentenced to 9 years in a penal colony for 9 years for large-scale bribe. TASS reports the sixth fatality from the Saratov building collapse. RF Minister of Emergency Situations Aleksandr Kurenkov has arrived in Saratov. TASS reports a statement about Microsoft Russia bankruptcy. TASS reports number of injured in Saratov gas explosion increased to 9. Kotsnews reports on a civilian stabbing incident in Yevpatoria, Crimea, that led to a fatality and claims the perpetrator was linked to Wahhabism. Rybar posts a video message about alleged ethnic crime and labor exploitation in Kuzbass, specifically mentioning Tajiks and Uzbeks, and the organization 'Bozkurt'. TASS reports that the law on fines for searching extremist materials will not affect most Russians, according to Fadeyev. Ministry of Industry and Trade (Minpromtorg) states Russians are effectively reorienting towards domestic products and goods from friendly countries, implying economic resilience. НгП раZVедка reports on discussions regarding criminal prosecution of children/teenagers, likely related to participation in "movements" or minor offenses, indicating a potential tightening of internal security for youth. Sever.Realii reports the founder of iGooods food delivery service was arrested for "financing extremism." ASTRA photo messages confirm Former Tambov Oblast Governor Maxim Egorov was sent to pre-trial detention for a large-scale bribe. TASS confirms the court sent former Tambov Governor to custody for an 84M ruble bribe. WarGonzo video displays military-themed artwork, possibly produced by or for military personnel, indicating a cultural/propaganda element. Colonelcassad posts videos showing the FSB detaining and escorting an individual into the Tver Garrison Military Court, where the pixelated individual speaks of fighting against the "Third Reich" and the "special military operation" in Ukraine. This is part of an ongoing RF information operation claiming Ukrainian collaboration with Nazism. Alex Parker Returns reports that Major General Popov has been stripped of his rank, while General Sukhrab Akhmedov has been awarded "Hero of Russia" for "unsuccessful meat assaults." This indicates internal discontent within RF military circles and is likely used for critical commentary. TASS reports the UN is concerned about Ukraine withdrawing from the anti-personnel mine convention. Fighterbomber provides a generic text message about "what they will write," implying future news, with no specific military intelligence. ASTRA reports a Moscow court sent an alleged FSB owner of Solaris service and a former MoD employee to pre-trial detention for creating a "probiya" (data breach) service. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video shows an altercation in Rostov, potentially involving a military person and civilians, highlighting internal RF issues. Rybar provides an "итоги" (results/summary) for July 25, which is a routine daily summary from a prominent RF milblogger. MoD Russia publishes a photo message with the hashtag "#Figure", depicting a soldier, likely for morale or recruitment purposes. Старше Эдды is interested in who will be the first to complain that "Russian fascism is raising its head." TASS publishes a photo message of Viktor Medvedchuk, promoting the claim that "Default in Ukraine has occurred, and it can no longer be denied." This is a clear RF information operation. TASS reports that Ghislaine Maxwell has provided the US Department of Justice with information on 100 individuals linked to Epstein. НгП раZVедка posts photo message "They will also answer for everything now." TASS reports the military court placed the son of Bryansk Oblast ex-deputy governor Petrochenko under arrest for a bribery case. Operation Z reports that "military bloggers of the Russian Spring" have made serious accusations against military blogger Roman Alekhin. TASS reports the weapon for the Crocus attack was brought from Dagestan in a car with a hidden compartment. TASS reports two drones were shot down in Tula Oblast, no casualties. TASS reports that Medvedchuk stated that Zelenskyy's actions in forming the government fall under "criminality". TASS reports Medvedchuk stating that Stefanishyna is a "colorless and thieving mouse" and could become Ukrainian Ambassador to the US because she knows how to "share," a clear propaganda statement. TASS reports on Armenia having no alternative but to be with RF, citing Ara Abrahamyan. TASS reports the Crocus City Hall attackers purchased new smartphones and kitchen knives before the attack. News of Moscow reports that IT specialists are no longer the most desirable husbands in Russia, indicating a social commentary on changing economic perceptions. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message advertising "traumatic weapons" for sale, with a handgun visible, indicating a potential increase in domestic firearm demand or illegal arms trade. TASS reports the Moscow Mayor, Sergey Sobyanin, stated that two drones flying towards Moscow were shot down by air defense. ASTRA corroborates Sobyanin's statement. UPDATE: TASS reports Mishustin has tasked the Ministry of Transport with updating the transport strategy until 2030, indicating a focus on long-term logistics planning. TASS reports S. Mironov, leader of "A Just Russia – For Truth" party, proposes a total ban on gasoline exports to stabilize domestic prices, indicating internal economic debate. TASS reports more than 86,000 residents of Makhachkala are without electricity due to a fire at a substation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports participants in the "SMO" (Special Military Operation) will be eligible for two pensions concurrently: disability and old-age, or disability and years of service. Север.Реалии reports on "informers" being used in RF to gather information on individuals, which has become an "epidemic." TASS reports new rules for special transport in Russia are in force. NEW: TASS reports one of the fatalities from the Saratov apartment explosion was the head of a railway station, emphasizing the civilian impact. Kadyrov_95 posts a video of high-level meetings and site visits involving prominent political figures, including Sergey Kiriyenko, indicating focus on governance and regional development. Новости Москвы posts a photo message discussing four-day workweeks. UPDATE: ASTRA posts a photo message stating that six RF regions decided to switch school chats to the Max messenger, which is a domestic security/control measure rather than directly military. Colonelcassad reports that Serbia is ready to impose sanctions against RF if it is guaranteed EU membership, citing Serbian Minister for European Integration Nemanja Starović. Alex Parker Returns reiterates this, adding commentary on historical "brotherly" relations. NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts photos and text claiming Central Asian fighters are fighting for Ukraine. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at discrediting UAF and sowing internal discord, leveraging existing anti-immigrant sentiment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Tambov Oblast: Operatyvny ZSU posts videos of "cotton" (explosions/fires) in the area of the Tambov Powder Plant after today's UAV attack. ASTRA reports UAVs attacked the Tambov Powder Plant, citing local sources. TASS reports three people died in a car crash in Tambov after a vehicle hit pedestrians. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Airports: TASS reports flight restrictions at Vladikavkaz, Grozny, Magas, Mineralnye Vody, Nalchik, Stavropol, Sochi, and Tambov airports have been lifted. TASS reports a Novosibirsk-Sochi flight returned due to depressurization after takeoff. New temporary flight restrictions have been introduced at Vladikavkaz and Grozny airports. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Kaluga airport. TASS reports temporary restrictions have been lifted at Grozny airport. UPDATE: TASS reports temporary restrictions have been lifted at Kaluga airport. TASS reports Russian MoD claims six Ukrainian UAVs shot down over North Ossetia and Moscow region. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Moscow Oblast: Moscow Region expects fog with visibility 100-500 meters. Moscow has reduced the list of permitted swimming areas to four, likely due to water quality concerns. TASS reports Sphera educational platform to integrate into Max messenger by September 2025. TASS reports the Moscow Mayor, Sergey Sobyanin, stated that two drones flying towards Moscow were shot down by air defense. ASTRA corroborates Sobyanin's statement. UPDATE: TASS reports Russian MoD claims six Ukrainian UAVs shot down over North Ossetia and Moscow region. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Bryansk Oblast: AV БогомаZ reports 25 enemy UAVs shot down over Bryansk Oblast overnight. AV БогомаZ reports 24 enemy UAVs shot down over Bryansk Oblast overnight. AV БогомаZ reports continued "insidious" attacks on Bryansk Oblast, indicating ongoing drone threats. NEW: Два майора posts a photo message from the governor of Bryansk Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Saratov Oblast: TASS reports an explosion occurred in the stairwell of a 10-story apartment building in Saratov. ASTRA reports media are reporting at least one fatality in Saratov. TASS reports three people are tentatively dead in Saratov from a gas explosion and collapse in a residential building. TASS reports over 30 apartments may be damaged or destroyed in Saratov. Alex Parker Returns posts video showing the moment of explosion and aftermath. ASTRA posts video showing smoke and fire from a Saratov apartment building. Operatyvny ZSU posts video of Saratov explosion aftermath. TASS reports the epicenter of the explosion in Saratov was on the 9th floor. TASS posts photo and video of the aftermath. TASS reports Saratov Governor confirmed risks of further building collapse and that debris will be cleared today, assessment tomorrow. ASTRA reports gas leak as preliminary cause of Saratov explosion. Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights posts video of Saratov explosion, confirms gas explosion. TASS reports one person may remain under Saratov rubble. TASS confirms people may be under rubble in Saratov. TASS reports 5 people evacuated from Saratov apartment building, unharmed. TASS reports epicenter of Saratov explosion at 8th floor. TASS reports blast wave damaged glazing of neighboring building in Saratov. ASTRA posts video of the Saratov explosion with civilians and a child in frame. TASS reports the number of dead in Saratov gas explosion increased to four. TASS reports rescuers found a living man under the rubble in Saratov. TASS reports Saratov operative services cite faulty gas equipment or improper use as cause of explosion. Alex Parker Returns posts video claiming residents complained about gas pipes hours before explosion. ASTRA reports seven injured in Saratov apartment collapse. TASS provides a video of the moment of explosion in the Saratov residential building, confirming the incident and its scale. TASS reports the fifth body has been recovered from Saratov rubble. TASS reports the sixth fatality from the Saratov building collapse, initially showing signs of life. RF Minister of Emergency Situations Alexander Kurenkov has arrived on site. TASS reports the number of injured in Saratov gas explosion increased to 9. TASS reports 10 injured in Saratov. Ministry of Economic Development stated the decision of the Central Bank to lower the rate was expected. TASS reports 15 people sought medical attention after the Saratov explosion, with all treated ambulatorily. ASTRA photo messages show the scene of the Saratov gas explosion, confirming damage to a residential building. A day of mourning declared in Saratov Oblast on July 26 for the gas explosion. TASS confirms the day of mourning. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts videos showing the aftermath of the Saratov explosion, including an MChS representative confirming 3 fatalities and evacuation efforts, and another video showing the moment of explosion. TASS reports medical assistance was needed for 16 people after the explosion in Saratov. TASS reports the fate of 4 people is unknown after the Saratov explosion. ASTRA reports local authorities will pay 1M rubles to families of those killed in the Saratov gas explosion. TASS reports that families of those killed in the Saratov gas explosion will receive 1 million rubles from the regional reserve fund, as confirmed by Governor Busargin. UPDATE: TASS reports the number of fatalities from the Saratov gas explosion has risen to 7. ASTRA corroborates, showing rescue workers clearing rubble from the destroyed building. NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video showing significant damage to buildings and debris in a residential area, with commentary mentioning "Moskovskaya street" and "grenades/detonators," indicating the aftermath of the Saratov explosion and its impact on civilian infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Cambodia-Thailand Border: Operation Z reports "fierce clashes." TASS confirms MLRS strikes by Cambodian forces in Surin province, Thailand, and Thailand responded with an airstrike. Alex Parker Returns reports 11 civilians killed. RBK-Ukraina reports Cambodia has called on Thailand to cease hostilities. Alex Parker Returns posts video claiming Cambodia is actively using Czech RM-70 Vampir MLRS against Thailand. TASS reports the UN Security Council will hold a meeting on July 25 regarding the escalation between Cambodia and Thailand. TASS reports 14 civilians and 1 serviceman killed, 46 injured in Thailand. Operatyvny ZSU posts multiple videos confirming border conflict. WarGonzo posts photos stating the border conflict "may escalate into war." Rybar posts video of combat footage. Alex Parker Returns and Colonelcassad report Thailand imposed martial law in 8 provinces bordering Cambodia. RBK-Ukraina provides a photo message summarizing the conflict with thousands evacuated and dozens of casualties. Rybar notes a separate channel for monitoring the conflict. Colonelcassad posts new photo messages regarding the Thailand-Cambodia conflict, including images of an F-16 Thai Air Force, M60A3 Thai Army, Mi-17 Cambodian Air Force, and Type 59 Cambodian Army. TASS reports Cambodia rejects accusations of attacking Thailand and calls for peace. TASS reports 13 fatalities and over 70 injured in Cambodia due to Thai army attack. RBK-Ukraina posts a photo message summarizing the conflict's impacts, including dozens dead and over 100,000 evacuated. Alex Parker Returns posts video of a military tank moving along a road and a convoy of armored vehicles. Alex Parker Returns posts video showing aftermath of an aircraft crash. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts videos of Ukrainian APCs at the Cambodia border, implying Ukrainian involvement/presence there, though this is highly unlikely and likely disinformation. NEW: TASS reports that Thai and Cambodian forces have temporarily ceased hostilities in border areas due to heavy rains, indicating weather-related operational pauses. RBK-Ukraina reports that Trump has taken on a role in mediating between Cambodia and Thailand, stating they are already seeking a ceasefire, suggesting US diplomatic engagement in regional conflicts. ASTRA posts multiple videos from the Cambodia-Thailand border conflict, showing military convoys (APCs), MLRS firing, burning buildings, and military personnel near a smoky log pile, consistent with ongoing conflict. NEW: WarGonzo posts photo messages claiming Trump announced a ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia, further supporting the narrative of US diplomatic intervention. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Cyprus: TASS reports uncontained wildfires and two deaths. TASS reports a fire in Sudak forestry in Crimea has been localized on an area of 5 hectares. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Kazakhstan (Aqtobe): ASTRA reports on an Azerbaijani publication identifying three military personnel allegedly involved in downing an AZAL plane near Aktau. TASS reports military helicopter missing in Almaty region. Two Majors posts a video showing two individuals in military attire, one with a Kazakh flag, in front of an armored truck with a Ukrainian flag on the right. TASS reports that searchers found presumed wreckage of a military helicopter that went missing July 25 in Almaty Oblast, Kazakhstan. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Lithuania: Vooin DV reports Lithuanian Armed Forces Commander stated the country has prepared infrastructure for additional US and NATO troops. UPDATE: Colonelcassad reports Patrushev stated any military encroachment on Kaliningrad Oblast would receive an immediate and devastating response with all available forces, including nuclear deterrence. Colonelcassad reports Lithuania will allocate €30M for Patriot systems for Ukraine, as stated by the head of the Ministry of Defense, Dovile Sakalene. NEW: RBK-Ukraina reports Lithuania will help purchase Patriot for Ukraine. Басурин о главном posts video showing a Lithuanian official discussing financial and military support to Ukraine, explicitly stating Lithuania's readiness to purchase US-made Patriots for Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Red Sea: Colonelcassad reports UKMTO received a distress signal regarding a vessel seizure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Syria: Rybar notes a "request from Damascus." Colonelcassad posts multiple videos of alleged ethnic cleansing in Es-Suwayda province, Syria. The videos show nighttime confrontations, a masked individual smashing a storefront, and military personnel apprehending civilians with sounds of gunfire and "Allahu Akbar." RBK-Ukraina reports French court canceled arrest warrant for former Syrian President Assad. UPDATE: Colonelcassad reports a terrorist attack on a courthouse in Zahedan, Iran. Operation Z also reports this, including visual evidence of a damaged taxi. Военкор Котенок posts video of a terrorist attack on a courthouse in Zahedan, Iran, with 5 dead and 20 injured. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Black Sea Region: Rybar reports a "massive UAV raid." Arkhangel Spetsnaza refers to "resumption of attacks in the Black Sea." Putin states that plans to create modern naval forces will be fully implemented. Kotsnews posts video of "Iulyasky Shtorm" naval exercise involving Northern, Pacific, Baltic Fleets and Caspian Flotilla, demonstrating fleet changes. TASS posts video claiming TOF forces during "July Storm" exercises conducted a missile strike on targets in the Sea of Japan, showing naval vessels and ground-based missile systems. MoD Russia posts video of "July Storm" exercises, showing naval vessels, missile launches and submarine operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). Colonelcassad claims NATO "practiced a strike on Crimea" (CONFIDENCE: LOW). The image shared by Colonelcassad attributes F-15s to the Belgian Air Force, which is incorrect (Belgium operates F-16s), undermining the credibility of the claim. Два майора posts video showing the Baltic Fleet forces destroyed a maritime target using a combination of unmanned naval systems. The video appears to show the preparation and deployment of a Lancet-type drone against a vessel, resulting in a significant explosion. This confirms RF naval drone strike capabilities. NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an expected attack of underwater and conventional Uncrewed Surface Vessels (USVs) on Novorossiysk, Anapa, and nearby coastal settlements within 30 minutes, indicating a potential escalation of naval drone warfare in the Black Sea. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for content).
  • Kyiv: SBU prevented a terrorist attack in a cafe in central Kyiv, apprehending a female suspect. Air raid alert announced and cleared. Israeli early warning system for air threats became operational last night. KMVA reports a meeting with International Monetary Fund representatives. Protests under the Franko Theater against law №12414 regarding NABU continue for a third day. Operation Z posts video of protests in Kyiv demanding resignation of Zelenskyy and Yermak. Kyiv has introduced restrictions on cargo movement due to heat. SBU detained former Head of Kyiv City State Administration department Svitliy, suspected of embezzling funds for seriously ill. Office of the Prosecutor General reported suspicion to two heads of Lviv district administrations for embezzling 1.7M UAH during missile attack liquidation. Air raid alert declared due to MiG-31K launch, subsequently cleared. Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA posts videos of Zelenskyy visiting rehabilitation centers. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a young girl in Kyiv is recovering after a heart transplant during the July 10 missile attack, highlighting the continued civilian impact and resilience. Operatyvny ZSU posts video of a large protest in Kyiv, chanting "Corruption kills," against law №12414 regarding NABU and SAP. UAF Air Force reports Shaheds from Chernihiv Oblast moving towards Kyiv Oblast. RBK-Ukraina reports enemy drones in Kyiv Oblast, AD active. KMVA reports an air alarm in Kyiv. UAF Air Force reports a UAV in the Yahotyn area, Kyiv Oblast. KMVA reports air alarm cleared. KMVA posts photo message commemorating Ukrainian fallen defenders at 09:00 local time. KMVA reports on morning briefings confirming a combined night strike by missiles (including ballistic) and drones along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hremyach of Chernihiv region. Kyiv has declared an air raid alert due to ballistic missile threat. KMVA confirms air raid alert cleared. RBK-Ukraina provides an updated map of air raid alerts showing red regions. UAF Air Force issues a general warning. NEW: UAF Air Force has issued a general warning ("Увага!"), indicating an ongoing or potential aerial threat in Kyiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Estonia: RBK-Ukraina reports Estonia is sounding the alarm about Russia moving EW systems closer to NATO. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • New Tactical Development - Lancet Intercept: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video claiming a reusable FPV drone intercepted a Russian Lancet loitering munition. Два майора posts a video analyzing Ukrainian claims. Шеф Hayabusa posts video of intercept. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH - visually plausible and multiple sources).
  • New RF Naval Commissioning: MoD Russia posts video of Putin participating in a ceremony for raising the naval ensign on the 'Knyaz Pozharsky' nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Information Operation - "Satanists in AFU": Colonelcassad posts video and multiple photos, including ritualistic items and a pentagram tapestry, with the caption "Satanists in the AFU. Nothing new." Операция Z disseminates "Военкоры Русской Весны" content claiming Russia banned "Satanist-Nazis" with accompanying images and videos of occult-like objects. Basurin o glavnom publishes a video and photos of this alleged discovery. Basurin o glavnom publishes additional video and photos promoting RF propaganda about "Satanists in the AFU." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH - for the propaganda attempt, LOW - for factual basis). Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition releases a film "Azov* Brain-2" which compiles footage critical of Azov Regiment, including images linking them to Nazism. This is a continuation of RF's "denazification" propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for propaganda, LOW for factual basis).
  • RF Information Operation - "Chemical Weapon Use": Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of GUR emblem with text overlays "NOW I WILL POISON WITH GAS" and "The occupiers continue to use chemical weapons." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH - for the GUR message, LOW - for independent verification).
  • New US Aid Package to Ukraine: RBK-Ukraina and Operatyvny ZSU report US approval of a new military package for Ukraine worth $330 million, including air defense (PPO) and self-propelled artillery units (SAU). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also reports the US approval. Operatyvny ЗСУ reports the first Patriot battery and missiles from Germany has arrived in Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms the arrival of a Patriot system and interceptor missiles from Germany. RBK-Ukraina reports Patriot system and additional missiles have arrived in Ukraine. Kotsnews posts photos confirming Germany transferred a Patriot system to Ukraine. Воин DV also confirms the arrival of the first Patriot system to Ukraine from NATO countries. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Germany has already transferred three Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems to Ukraine and is currently negotiating with the United States regarding the possibility of further supplies, citing The Washington Post. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Starlink Outage: Operatyvny ZSU reports that Elon Musk stated Starlink operations will be restored soon. Confirmed Starlink outage affecting communication along the entire front line. Operation Z reports the global Starlink outage was largely resolved within 2.5 hours and was related to software issues, according to SpaceX VP Michael Nichols. Rybar posts photo message about Starlink outage. Operatyvny ZSU reports Elon Musk ordered Starlink shutdown during 2022 counteroffensives. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Elon Musk ordered Starlink shutdown during the 2022 Ukrainian counteroffensive, according to Reuters. TASS reports, citing Reuters, that Elon Musk ordered Starlink shutdown in Ukraine in late September 2022, allegedly disrupting Kyiv's counteroffensive. Voenkor Kotenok reports Western media are amplifying claims that Elon Musk "disrupted the AFU counteroffensive" in autumn 2022 by shutting down Starlink coverage near Kherson. This is likely part of the ongoing information warfare by RF. Colonelcassad posts photo messages linking the Starlink outage to network-centric warfare and its painful impact on the front, supporting the narrative of operational disruption. Operation Z also publishes an image message with the Reuters headline implying the Starlink shutdown "disrupted the AFU counteroffensive." TASS claims that UAF cannot use uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) for strikes against RF without Starlink, highlighting the continued significance of Starlink for UAF maritime operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Israel-Palestine Recognition: Israel condemns France's decision to recognize Palestine as a state, viewing it as "a reward for terror" and a threat to its existence, according to Netanyahu. RBK-Ukraina reports Rubio did not support Macron regarding his plans to recognize Palestine as a state. Operation Z posts information regarding the split in the West due to US/Israel criticism of France for recognizing Palestine. TASS posts photo messages of Keir Starmer stating the UK might recognize a Palestinian state after a ceasefire in Gaza. RBK-Ukraina reports Starmer stated that achieving lasting peace in Gaza should include recognition of a Palestinian state. UPDATE: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the war in Ukraine will be a key topic during Trump's visit to Scotland and in negotiations with the EU and UK. RBK-Ukraina posts photo message showing Hungarian opposition leader Peter Magyar, discussing his "double position" on Ukraine, implying division on support for Ukraine within Hungary. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Ukraine Internal Political/Security: RBK-Ukraina reports that Yaroslav Rushchyshyn, a People's Deputy from Lviv, died in a car accident. RBK-Ukraina photo messages show reactions from "Holos" faction deputies. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts videos showing public protests against the NABU/SAP reform bill. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a video of President Zelenskyy stating that everyone with access to state secrets, including in NABU, SAP, DBR, and National Police, must undergo lie detector tests. Office of the Prosecutor General reported suspicion to two heads of Lviv district administrations for embezzling 1.7M UAH during missile attack liquidation. Air raid alert declared due to MiG-31K launch, subsequently cleared. Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA posts videos of Zelenskyy visiting rehabilitation centers. RBK-Ukraina reports Turkey's President Erdogan will offer Putin and Trump a meeting in Istanbul to discuss the war in Ukraine, highlighting ongoing diplomatic efforts for a resolution. Operatyvny ZSU reports the EU Commission speaker, Guillaume Mercier, stated that the fourth tranche of financial aid to Ukraine will be smaller than planned because Ukraine failed to implement 3 of 16 promised reforms. Office of the Prosecutor General reports a scheme involving a female official from Stryi RDL and her husband, resulting in over 2 million UAH in losses on the "Municipal Nanny" state program. STERNENKO reports Odesa mayor Trukhanov fined 4.8 million UAH for illegal gambling advertising. Anna Skorokhod claims Ukrainian authorities are preparing a criminal case against Kyiv Mayor Klitschko. Colonelcassad confirms Anna Skorokhod's claim. Alex Parker Returns posts a propaganda photo claiming a Ukrainian collaborator (Alexey Gerasimov) attempted to join UAF, was imprisoned, and then exchanged back to Russia and now faces treason charges. RBK-Ukraina publishes a video discussing whether the NABU law scandal will affect Zelenskyy's ratings, with an expert stating protests do not pose an immediate threat but indicate underlying sentiments. Operatyvny ZSU reports a computer science teacher in Chernivtsi engaged in fake school/kindergarten mining threats to switch to distance learning. Alex Parker Returns posts video claiming Bezuhlaya was spat on with gum during a protest, implying public dissatisfaction. Alex Parker Returns posts video alleging SBU officers beating a young anti-corruption activist, suggesting internal conflicts within Ukrainian law enforcement/security structures. TASS reports a rally in Kharkiv against Zelenskyy's alleged oppression of anti-corruption agencies. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that SBU operation, stating that a TCC (military recruitment center) saboteur received 15 years in prison, likely referring to an individual who attempted to disrupt mobilization efforts. The visuals shows SBU (Security Service of Ukraine) and Counterintelligence personnel. Operatyvny ZSU reports that President Zelenskyy conducted a Staff meeting, reviewing intelligence reports from SVR and GUR on RF intentions for summer-autumn and discussing response measures. KMVA also confirms Zelenskyy's Staff meeting with intelligence reports. G7 ambassadors welcome Zelenskyy's commitment to restore NABU independence. Operatyvny ZSU publishes hacked documents from a multi-layer special operation (OpsHackRussia'sDay - OHRD). RBK-Ukraina posts photos of Ukrainian Minister of Defense and his deputies. The captions are blank except for one indicating the Minister and his team. This indicates changes within the MoD leadership, relevant for future planning and external relations. RBK-Ukraina confirms Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk's return as First Deputy Minister of Defense. Operation Z claims Zelenskyy "spat on USA" by signing a law to "subordinate" NABU, this is RF propaganda. RBK-Ukraina politologist discussing the importance of negotiations in Istanbul is indicative of the continued diplomatic efforts for resolution. STERNENKO posts several photo messages confirming the appointment of Ivan Havryliuk as the First Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine, noting his systemic approach and understanding of war mathematics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video contrasting shopping in Donetsk before and after "Banderites," which is a propaganda piece suggesting a decline in quality of life due to the conflict, framing it against a Ukrainian nationalist term. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video alleges police provoked a fight with an invalid's son to send him to the SVO, indicating domestic mobilization issues in RF. General Staff of UAF posts a photo message related to a meeting of the Stavka of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief with General Syrsky present, confirming high-level military leadership engagement. RBK-Ukraina publishes a photo message of General Syrsky stating "Russia pays the maximum price for its summer offensive." TASS reports that the Rada may postpone voting on the NABU bill introduced by Zelenskyy due to protests and a demarche by deputies, citing Financial Times. BUTUSOV PLUS provides multiple photo messages captioned "Lviv. 12 warriors of the Royal Brigade - on the shield," indicating combat losses. TASS publishes photo messages of Viktor Medvedchuk claiming that the West will not replace Zelenskyy, otherwise he "will betray everyone." News of Moscow reports that Russia and Ukraine have "reached an agreement in principle" for a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy. UAF Air Force issues a warning/alert. TASS reports Medvedchuk stated that Zelenskyy's actions in forming the government fall under "criminality". TASS reports Moscow and Kyiv have a preliminary list of civilians for a "20 for 20" exchange, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts for humanitarian exchanges. TASS reports Artem Dmitruk, unaffiliated deputy of the Verkhovna Rada, claims a general opinion formed in the West that Zelenskyy should step down. RBK-Ukraina posts a fundraising photo message for the "Rubizh" National Guard Brigade for equipment and property restoration. RBK-Ukraina posts photo messages of UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrsky on his 60th birthday, highlighting his combat experience. Zelenskiy / Official, Oleg Syniehubov, Оперативний ЗСУ, and KMVA all report on the combined night strike by missiles (including ballistic) and drones along the Sumy-Kharkiv-Dnipropetrovsk line, confirming high-level attention to the impact on the Ukrainian population. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that a traitor was sentenced to 15 years in prison, which was upheld by the Supreme Court, indicating ongoing internal security efforts. UPDATE: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video titled "Suicide of the Day" showing a Russian soldier being targeted by a drone, suggesting a successful UAF drone strike and accompanying propaganda. Kotsnews posts a video from an SBU press briefing regarding the alleged assassination of Arkady Babchenko, suggesting continued Ukrainian focus on internal security and counter-intelligence narratives. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of Vladimir Putin and what appears to be a ceremonial ritual. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a photo message reporting Hero of Ukraine title awarded posthumously to Maksym Kazban, commander of "Lyut" brigade, who died in a car accident. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a TCC official in Kyiv was detained for extorting $3500 to remove a conscript from the wanted list. Операция Z posts photo messages from "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" claiming Zelenskyy is losing "shine" due to authoritarianism and corruption, aiming to undermine trust. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video featuring a wounded soldier being assisted, highlighting the human cost of conflict. RBK-Ukraina posts new photo messages regarding President Zelenskyy's briefing, indicating continued high-level engagement. TASS reports former Ukrainian Prime Minister Azarov claims Zelenskyy "backed down" on NABU and SAP due to US "red lines." Оперативний ЗСУ posts a photo of Ukrainian Parliament deputies, implying internal political divisions regarding the NABU bill. STERNENKO reports a 22-year-old politician from the German pro-Russian AfD party fought on the side of Ukraine, indicating a complex foreign fighter dynamic. RBK-Ukraina reports a TCC bus in Poltava was "attacked" by people, leading to some mobilized personnel escaping, suggesting internal resistance to mobilization efforts. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a photo message about the incident with the TCC bus in Poltava. TASS reports NABU Director Kryvonos stated attacks on NABU will become "more filigree" if it regains powers. RBK-Ukraina posts new information regarding "Ukrzaliznytsia" (Ukrainian Railways) announcing new routes for August to popular destinations including Kyiv and Odesa, indicating continued civilian infrastructure operations and resilience. NEW: RBK-Ukraina posts a photo message showing a battlefield map for the summer campaign and detailing where the fate of the summer campaign will be decided, likely a general assessment from UAF or a pro-UAF source, indicating continued high-intensity operations. Two Majors posts a propaganda video from UAF, which depicts post-war dreams, including multiculturalism and NATO/EU membership, showing UAF's long-term aspirations and IO efforts. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of a funeral procession for a Ukrainian soldier, including military personnel and Ukrainian flags, confirming a combat fatality. Two Majors posts photo messages that includes images of a family with mixed racial backgrounds, intended to mock a Ukrainian propaganda video and create internal division. Colonelcassad reports Anna Skorokhod, a Ukrainian Rada deputy, claims the transfer of bodies of Ukrainian soldiers by Russia negatively impacts internal mobilization, indicating a source within Ukraine who also expresses this view. Оперативний ЗСУ posts two birthday greeting videos for General Syrsky, highlighting unit support. TASS reports that UAF command is relocating headquarters to western regions of Ukraine as the front line approaches Dnipro, citing Russian law enforcement agencies. Alex Parker Returns posts a video showing young men running through a clothing store in Europe, implying it is unrelated to military context. NEW: Operatyvny ZSU posts an 18+ video about a person escaping a burning building. NEW: RBK-Ukraina reports Zelenskyy states "now is the moment to press Russia so hard that there is no war next year," indicating Ukraine's diplomatic/strategic objectives. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Russia Internal Security: Igor Artamonov (presumably an official) issues a warning about a UAV attack threat in Yelets and Yelets district. TASS reports that a "carpet" plan (anti-drone measure) has been introduced in North Ossetia and other regions of the Caucasus Federal District. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions introduced in airports of Vladikavaz, Grozny, Magas, Mineralnye Vody, Nalchik, Stavropol, Sochi, and Tambov. TASS reports Moscow court arrested businessman Moshkovich's bank accounts (approx. 3 billion rubles). FSB reports detention of co-conspirators of Ukrainian call centers in 4 regions. TASS reports a man detained in Cherepovets who sold data on 27,000+ Russian citizens to Ukrainian call centers. TASS reports 20 people arrested in Russia on a remote fraud case, with FSB claiming they were supervised by Ukrainian call centers. Sever.Realii reports 20 people arrested in Russia for remote fraud, FSB claims they were overseen by Ukrainian call centers. TASS reports Federation Council approved law on prosecutor's right to suspend monetary operations. ASTRA reports Federation Council approved law banning films discrediting traditional Russian values. Khabarovsk Krai Police report real responsibility for "virtual jokes," likely related to online dissent. TASS reports individual sentenced to 17 years for preparing terror attack in Maykop temple. Putin increased the maximum штатная численность (staffing level) of the central apparatus of the RF Ministry of Internal Affairs to 7,110 people. Putin simplified the possibility for Moldovan citizens who previously had not regulated their legal status in the Russian Federation to return to Russia. Putin allowed Moldovan citizens to work in the Russian Federation until October 2026 without a patent, provided they undergo fingerprinting and medical examination. MVD Germany has confirmed the suspension of humanitarian visas for Russians and Belarusians, signaling a tightening of international travel restrictions for RF citizens. ASTRA reports a Russian activist living in Armenia cannot leave the country due to an extradition request, indicating internal security challenges and international cooperation issues. TASS reports Dmitry Kolezev, journalist and blogger, added to list of terrorists and extremists. Moscow News reports Sberbank reducing rates on mortgages and consumer loans. TASS reports Sberbank reducing mortgage rates by 2% and consumer loans by 1-2%. TASS reports deputy head of Khimki municipality, Irina Zhdankina, placed under house arrest for large-scale bribery. Kotsnews reports on a civilian stabbing incident in Yevpatoria, Crimea, that led to a fatality and claims the perpetrator was linked to Wahhabism. Rybar posts a video message about alleged ethnic crime and labor exploitation in Kuzbass, specifically mentioning Tajiks and Uzbeks, and the organization 'Bozkurt'. TASS reports that the law on fines for searching extremist materials will not affect most Russians, according to Fadeyev. Ministry of Industry and Trade (Minpromtorg) states Russians are effectively reorienting towards domestic products and goods from friendly countries, implying economic resilience. НгП раZVедка reports on discussions regarding criminal prosecution of children/teenagers, likely related to participation in "movements" or minor offenses, indicating a potential tightening of internal security for youth. Sever.Realii reports the founder of iGooods food delivery service was arrested for "financing extremism." ASTRA photo messages confirm Former Tambov Oblast Governor Maxim Egorov was sent to pre-trial detention for a large-scale bribe. TASS confirms the court sent former Tambov Governor to custody for an 84M ruble bribe. WarGonzo video displays military-themed artwork, possibly produced by or for military personnel, indicating a cultural/propaganda element. Colonelcassad posts videos showing the FSB detaining and escorting an individual into the Tver Garrison Military Court, where the pixelated individual speaks of fighting against the "Third Reich" and the "special military operation" in Ukraine. This is part of an ongoing RF information operation claiming Ukrainian collaboration with Nazism. Alex Parker Returns reports that Major General Popov has been stripped of his rank, while General Sukhrab Akhmedov has been awarded "Hero of Russia" for "unsuccessful meat assaults." This indicates internal discontent within RF military circles and is likely used for critical commentary. TASS reports the UN is concerned about Ukraine withdrawing from the anti-personnel mine convention. Fighterbomber provides a generic text message about "what they will write," implying future news, with no specific military intelligence. ASTRA reports a Moscow court sent an alleged FSB owner of Solaris service and a former MoD employee to pre-trial detention for creating a "probiya" (data breach) service. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video shows an altercation in Rostov, potentially involving a military person and civilians, highlighting internal RF issues. Rybar provides an "итоги" (results/summary) for July 25, which is a routine daily summary from a prominent RF milblogger. MoD Russia publishes a photo message with the hashtag "#Figure", depicting a soldier, likely for morale or recruitment purposes. Старше Эдды is interested in who will be the first to complain that "Russian fascism is raising its head." TASS publishes a photo message of Viktor Medvedchuk, promoting the claim that "Default in Ukraine has occurred, and it can no longer be denied." This is a clear RF information operation. TASS reports that Ghislaine Maxwell has provided the US Department of Justice with information on 100 individuals linked to Epstein. НгП раZVедка posts photo message "They will also answer for everything now." TASS reports the military court placed the son of Bryansk Oblast ex-deputy governor Petrochenko under arrest for a bribery case. Operation Z reports that "military bloggers of the Russian Spring" have made serious accusations against military blogger Roman Alekhin. TASS reports the weapon for the Crocus attack was brought from Dagestan in a car with a hidden compartment. TASS reports two drones were shot down in Tula Oblast, no casualties. TASS reports that Medvedchuk stated that Zelenskyy's actions in forming the government fall under "criminality". TASS reports Medvedchuk stating that Stefanishyna is a "colorless and thieving mouse" and could become Ukrainian Ambassador to the US because she knows how to "share," a clear propaganda statement. TASS reports on Armenia having no alternative but to be with RF, citing Ara Abrahamyan. TASS reports the Crocus City Hall attackers purchased new smartphones and kitchen knives before the attack. News of Moscow reports that IT specialists are no longer the most desirable husbands in Russia, indicating a social commentary on changing economic perceptions. Alex Parker Returns posts a photo message advertising "traumatic weapons" for sale, with a handgun visible, indicating a potential increase in domestic firearm demand or illegal arms trade. TASS reports the Moscow Mayor, Sergey Sobyanin, stated that two drones flying towards Moscow were shot down by air defense. ASTRA corroborates Sobyanin's statement. UPDATE: TASS reports Mishustin has tasked the Ministry of Transport with updating the transport strategy until 2030, indicating a focus on long-term logistics planning. TASS reports S. Mironov, leader of "A Just Russia – For Truth" party, proposes a total ban on gasoline exports to stabilize domestic prices, indicating internal economic debate. TASS reports more than 86,000 residents of Makhachkala are without electricity due to a fire at a substation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports participants in the "SMO" (Special Military Operation) will be eligible for two pensions concurrently: disability and old-age, or disability and years of service. Север.Реалии reports on "informers" being used in RF to gather information on individuals, which has become an "epidemic." TASS reports new rules for special transport in Russia are in force. NEW: TASS reports one of the fatalities from the Saratov apartment explosion was the head of a railway station, emphasizing the civilian impact. Kadyrov_95 posts a video of high-level meetings and site visits involving prominent political figures, including Sergey Kiriyenko, indicating focus on governance and regional development. Новости Москвы posts a photo message discussing four-day workweeks. UPDATE: ASTRA posts a photo message stating that six RF regions decided to switch school chats to the Max messenger, which is a domestic security/control measure rather than directly military. Colonelcassad reports that Serbia is ready to impose sanctions against RF if it is guaranteed EU membership, citing Serbian Minister for European Integration Nemanja Starović. Alex Parker Returns reiterates this, adding commentary on historical "brotherly" relations. NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts photos and text claiming Central Asian fighters are fighting for Ukraine. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at discrediting UAF and sowing internal discord, leveraging existing anti-immigrant sentiment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Ingushetia: ASTRA posts video claiming a UAV crash in Ingushetia caused injury to a woman and three children. TASS reports a man was injured in Urazovo, Belgorod Oblast after a UAV attack on a commercial facility. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Iran Nuclear Program: WSJ reports Iran decided to resume cooperation with IAEA on its nuclear program. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • US Foreign Aid: RBK-Ukraina reports Trump signed a law canceling $9 billion in foreign aid and public broadcasting. Operation Z reports Trump again allowed for large-scale secondary sanctions against Russia and wants nuclear arms talks with Moscow. Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights reports US to transfer $180M in AD and related equipment. RBK-Ukraina reports Trump did not rule out secondary sanctions against Russia. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump did not rule out secondary sanctions against Russia within 50 days. TASS reports the head of the American Arms Control Association, Kimball, stated that preparing a new agreement between Moscow and Washington to replace the New START treaty is in the interests of the whole world. TASS posts a photo message showing Trump, with a caption related to a non-military topic (Epstein's island). TASS reports Trump believes Obama committed a crime in the situation with the spread of false information about Russian interference in the 2016 US elections. Operation Z reports Reuters: Trump likely won't impose promised tariffs on Russian oil. This is an RF information operation aimed at sowing discord within Western alliances. TASS posts a photo message by Trump claiming he "doubtfully implements the threat to impose duties against Russian oil buyers." RBK-Ukraina reports Trump stated Europeans should stop mass migration, or they will no longer have Europe. RBK-Ukraina posts photo message about Trump's comments on chances of a US-EU trade agreement. UPDATE: STERNENKO posts a video of Donald Trump speaking in Glasgow, Scotland, about political commentary. TASS reports a spat between Chinese and US representatives at a UN Security Council meeting on Ukraine. NEW: Colonelcassad posts a video featuring Donald Trump speaking about migration in Europe. The video also shows an aircraft, possibly Air Force One, in the background, reinforcing the setting of the political speech. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Armenia Internal Politics: TASS reports Armenian Union President Ara Abrahamyan states Pashinyan's call to seize Catholicos Garegin II's residence devalues the Armenian Apostolic Church and is a strategic mistake. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Operational Summary (RF): Два майора posts a morning summary for 25 July 2025. Рыбарь posts a chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 24 July. "Two Majors" posts an analysis regarding Rybar, indicating continued milblogger activity. Colonelcassad publishes a chronicle of strikes on Ukraine from July 24-25, 2025. Poddubny ZOV Edition posts video of Russian flag raised over Novoekonomichne. TASS reports Belousov stated RF forces confidently advancing on October direction and improving position. Voenkor Kotenok posts a photo message summarizing the main news for 25.07.2025, which is a common RF milblogger practice. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a "Day Summary" for July 25, which is a routine intelligence product from an RF milblogger, confirming ongoing operations. Rybar provides an "итоги" (results/summary) for July 25, which is a routine daily summary from a prominent RF milblogger. MoD Russia publishes a "Top News Today" photo message with a military-themed image. TASS reports a 5.0 magnitude earthquake occurred in Kamchatka. "Two Majors" posts morning summary for July 26, 2025. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a summary for July 26, 2025. Arkhangel Spetsnaza posts a "good Saturday morning" photo message. MoD Russia publishes a photo message of its daily combat report. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Space Launch: TASS reports launch of Soyuz-2.1b with two heliogeophysical satellites from Vostochny Cosmodrome. Colonelcassad posts multiple photo messages on "Two Ionosphere-M satellites put into orbit," confirming the launch. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Serbia: RBK-Ukraina reports Serbia named conditions for supporting sanctions against Russia. TASS reports Orban claims Ukraine continues to lose the conflict. TASS reports Serbian Prime Minister Djuro Matsut stated the current government will not impose sanctions against RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Germany: RBK-Ukraina reports Germany wants to create the strongest army in Europe, with up to 40,000 new fighters annually. RBK-Ukraina reports Ukraine will receive another IRIS-T from Germany. Operatyvny ZSU confirms Ukraine will receive an 8th IRIS-T from Germany. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms Germany is preparing to transfer another IRIS-T SLM system, reiterating continued strong support. Colonelcassad confirms Ukraine will receive TRML-4D and SPEXER 2000 3D MkIII radars from Hensoldt. Basurin o glavnom posts photo messages emphasizing Germany will earn over €340 million from supplying radars to Ukraine, likely aimed at RF internal audience to highlight Western profit motives. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Mariupol: Mash на Донбассе posts images showing the drying up of the Starokrymske Reservoir, which supplies Mariupol with water. Mash на Донбассе video shows two individuals loading a car with paving tiles, reported as "super-economic thieves" in Mariupol, suggesting local law enforcement issues in occupied territories. Mash на Донбассе reports crowd of residents in Makeevka gathered for water. ASTRA reports a 7x reduction in water consumption standards in "DNR" for those without meters, following complaints. Videos show civilians queuing for water in Kiyravsky district, collecting murky water, and in Osepyanovka village. NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts a video showing a completely dried-up reservoir, identified as the "Yenakiyevo Sea," indicating severe drought conditions in occupied Donetsk Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Crimea: GUR cyber specialists conducted a "digital strike" against the occupation administration of Crimea, destroying all data on "government" servers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Western Aid to Ukraine: Operatyvny ZSU reports the first Patriot battery promised by Trump, along with missiles, has arrived in Ukraine, citing The Telegraph. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms the arrival of a Patriot system and interceptor missiles from Germany, citing The Telegraph. RBK-Ukraina reports Patriot system and additional missiles have arrived in Ukraine. Kotsnews posts photos confirming Germany transferred a Patriot system to Ukraine. RBK-Ukraina reports Polish Foreign Minister influenced restoration of Patriot supply. NEW: RBK-Ukraina reports Lithuania will help purchase Patriot for Ukraine. Басурин о главном posts video showing a Lithuanian official discussing financial and military support to Ukraine, explicitly stating Lithuania's readiness to purchase US-made Patriots for Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Russia Production of Missiles: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russia plans to use Austrian-made components for missiles, showing a document from TRV-engineering. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a news article indicating laser diodes from Vienna-based company were deceptively routed to Russia for missile components. Colonelcassad reports that the enemy (Ukraine) claims Russia has started using a new air-to-air missile, "Product 180" (K77M), indicating potential new RF air combat capabilities. Operation Z confirms CNN reports Russia has significantly scaled up the Shahed production plant in Alabuga. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ states Russia's annual production of strike drones could reach 60,000 units. STERNENKO reports Russia produces up to 5,000 Geran drones monthly. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Ukraine Internal Investigations: The Office of the Prosecutor General reports that Ukrainian and Polish law enforcement liquidated a transnational drug network, seizing hundreds of kilograms of drugs. Office of the Prosecutor General reports a large-scale abuse by forestry officials in Lviv region, with damages over 42M UAH. Office of the Prosecutor General reports exposure of a scheme in Stryi RDL leading to over 2 million UAH in losses on the "Municipal Nanny" state program. Office of the Prosecutor General reports initiating a criminal investigation in Lviv Oblast, following an image of children participating in military training, for potential violations of child protection laws, indicating an internal security review. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Military Equipment: Colonelcassad posts video of "Niva" pickups supplied to troops by MoD. Filolog v Zasade posts photos of military awards/documents. Fighterbomber claims 4 Patriot launchers and an AN/MPQ-65 radar destroyed over the past week (CONFIDENCE: LOW). Два майора posts photos and a video showcasing "Combat Nivas" – military-style light utility vehicles, possibly adapted for reconnaissance or transport, emphasizing their utility in the field. Fighterbomber posts image of UR-73, an RF military engineering vehicle for mine clearance. UPDATE: Два майора posts video of military personnel operating a heavy machine gun in a dry field, indicating routine military activity. Воин DV posts video showing a destroyed RF Electronic Warfare (EW) vehicle equipped with a "Gretz XL" station, which had the identification '16 obR SpN'. This confirms a successful strike against a high-value RF asset. Kotsnews posts video of a burning military aircraft at Armavir airfield in Krasnodar Krai, identifying it as a training aircraft. NEW: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts photos showing a Su-27 aircraft of the 39th Tactical Aviation Brigade, emphasizing love for Ukraine and aviation, likely aimed at boosting morale and showing air force presence. MoD Russia posts video of a Nona-SVK self-propelled mortar destroying a UAF firing position in the Krasnoarmeysk direction, showcasing RF artillery capabilities. Alex Parker Returns posts a video showing a "Kalashnikov FPV-drone" with high accuracy and low recoil, claiming it's the future. This implies RF's ongoing development of advanced FPV drone systems. NEW: MoD Russia posts drone footage of a Russian T-64BV tank being destroyed in a wooded area. This confirms continued RF losses of armored vehicles. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video showing a drone equipped with an explosive projectile (mortar round) being prepared for deployment by a Ukrainian soldier. This confirms continued adaptation of drones for offensive purposes. NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video featuring a Russian prisoner of war providing testimony. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for equipment/documents, HIGH for EW vehicle destruction, HIGH for aircraft destruction).
  • RF Presidential Statements: TASS reports Peskov casts doubt on possibility of Putin-Zelenskyy meeting before end of August. TASS reports Peskov states a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy must finalize the settlement in Ukraine and fix agreements. TASS reports key statements from Peskov. TASS reports Trump allowed for a tripartite meeting with Putin and Zelenskyy but notes it should have happened three months ago. STERNENKO reports Trump's comment about a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin: "It will happen, but it will happen in 2 or 3 months." RBK-Ukraina also reports Trump's comments on the meeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Trump's comments on a trilateral meeting. UPDATE: Alex Parker Returns reports that Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan stated Ukraine and Russia agreed on a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Neutral: Alex Parker Returns posts images implying the Admiral Kuznetsov aircraft carrier is beyond repair and will be sold or scrapped, based on statements from VTB bank head. Alex Parker Returns posts video of an individual in camouflage speaking about the war. BUTUSOV PLUS posts a video showing a cemetery with numerous graves decorated with Russian flags. TASS reports Matvienko welcomed the Central Bank's reduction of the key rate to 18%. WarGonzo video shows a media summit in Kamchatka. ASTRA photo message shows a social service center, likely related to reintegration programs for veterans. TASS reports Irina Volk stated Russia will not improve mechanisms for allowing people over 60 to drive, a minor domestic policy. TASS reports World Aquatics recognized Maltsev as the best synchronized swimmer of the World Championship, which is non-military information. Colonelcassad reports the sole Russian aircraft carrier, "Admiral Kuznetsov," is planned to be scrapped. UPDATE: Kotsnews discusses the "boomerang" of duties and resilience of the Russian economy, a non-military economic commentary. ASTRA posts photo messages about the rising number of fatalities from hunger in Gaza, which is non-military, humanitarian information. RBK-Ukraina posts photo messages about exchange rate forecasts for USD and EUR, which is non-military economic information. NEW: STERNENKO posts a fundraising appeal for "monobase Rusoreza" (likely a fundraiser for a specific unit or project). NEW: TASS reports Russia won silver medals at the World Fencing Championship in team epee, which is non-military. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • New Intelligence:
    • RF Military Robotics: Colonelcassad reports RF MoD showcased the "Courier" ground combat robotic complex equipped with a 7.62-mm PKT machine gun, operated by Vostok Group personnel. The video confirms its maneuverability and weapon engagement. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Policy (Justice): TASS reports the military court upheld the verdict against Major General Ivan Popov for fraud and forgery. TASS reports former Deputy Governor of Bryansk Oblast Elena Egorova was sentenced to 9 years in a penal colony for large-scale bribery. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Propaganda/Policy: News of Moscow offers prizes in collaboration with 2GIS and Otello. Igor Artamonov promotes a cultural festival in Ryazanka. TASS reports bloggers will be penalized for old Instagram/Facebook ads. Alex Parker Returns posts about Telegram adding a licensed casino, likely RF social/economic news, not military. UPDATE: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo message reporting that Perm kindergartens will start teaching drone control, indicating a new, concerning RF training initiative targeting children. ASTRA reports RF Foreign Ministry states the need to create an "International Day to Combat Russophobia." NEW: Alex Parker Returns posts a video that uses a highly derogatory and offensive term ('khokhly') to refer to Ukrainians, combined with what appears to be mockery of Ukrainian language attempts by Russian public figures. This is a clear example of extreme RF dehumanizing propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Posture Statement: RBK-Ukraina reports UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrsky stated UAF retains the potential to defeat Russian offensive groupings. Operation Z dismisses Syrsky's statement as propaganda, highlighting the information war. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF MoD Summary: Colonelcassad provides a summary of RF MoD operations from July 19-25, 2025. MoD Russia publishes its daily progress report, indicating continued RF efforts to control the narrative. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Leadership Meeting: TASS video shows Putin discussing maritime policy and preparation for the unified election day with Patrushev and Kolokoltsev. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Logistics (Civilian Impact): Moscow News reports luggage problems from Turkey flights. News of Moscow reports a mass viper attack in Moscow Oblast, indicating a non-military natural occurrence. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Soldier Testimony: Arkhangel Spetsnaza video features a Russian soldier from 33rd Motorized Rifle Brigade (A4447) detailing civilian casualties due to friendly fire (grenade drop by 24th Motorized Rifle Brigade in Novoukrainka) and expressing disillusionment with command. Colonelcassad posts a video of a Russian serviceman released from Ukrainian captivity, nicknamed 'Shutnik' (Joker), describing physical abuse and his capture. This is likely an RF information operation aimed at discrediting UAF treatment of POWs and boosting morale of their own forces. Nikolaevsky Vanek posts video of a captured RF "volunteer" from the 150th Division, captured on the Toretsk direction, detailing his capture and alleging harsh treatment in an RF POW camp prior to capture by UAF. Alex Parker Returns posts a video of an individual discussing communication methods (using toilet pipes), which appears to be a personal story, not directly militarily relevant. Kotsnews posts a video of a captured UAF officer being dragged by RF forces for 8km, and the officer detailing ineffective UAF artillery support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is attempting to establish contact with RF personnel in the Malinivka area of Zaporizhzhia, suggesting a need for coordination or information on the ground. Военкор Котенок posts drone footage of a wounded Colombian mercenary being abandoned by UAF and subsequently struck by an RF drone. NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts a video featuring a Russian prisoner of war providing testimony. The soldier identifies himself and his unit, discusses being a conscript, and then provides a general critique of the battlefield situation and the quality of new recruits. He uses derogatory language towards new personnel and expresses frustration with command decisions, stating that they are ill-equipped and unable to handle even basic tasks. This video, if authentic, indicates significant morale and training issues within some RF units, and may be used by UAF for information operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • DeepState Update (Zaporizhzhia): DeepState reports enemy continues to consolidate positions in Kamyanske and conduct assault operations towards Stepnohirsk. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Appeal for Support (Zaporizhzhia): Dnevnik Desantnika🇷🇺 posts a video of two Ukrainian soldiers from the 7th Division, Zaporizhzhia, appealing for donations for aerial reconnaissance drones and Starlink, citing inability to fight effectively without them. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of a Ukrainian soldier in a room full of FPV drones, appealing for donations for components to increase flight range and effectiveness. This directly confirms the ongoing reliance on donor support for critical drone operations and the efforts to enhance them. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Financial Needs (Salaries): Two Majors reports Bloomberg: Zelenskyy plans to appeal to Europe for assistance with paying Ukrainian soldiers' salaries. MoD Russia video claims UAF command receives salaries on bank accounts, this is RF propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Training: Zelenskiy / Official and General Staff of UAF publish videos of military training, including tanks, soldiers and drone technology. DSHV posts photos depicting adaptive training periods for new personnel. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts multiple photos showing Ukrainian soldiers engaged in small arms training, emphasizing proficiency with rifles and tactical movements. The captions highlight that "Accurate shooting is not just a skill. It is the foundation on which the effectiveness of every military unit rests," and note British and Romanian flags, implying international training cooperation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Rehabilitation: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration publishes video of Zelenskyy visiting a rehabilitation center for injured soldiers. Oleg Syniehubov posts photo messages showing veteran support initiatives in Kharkiv Oblast, including recreational activities and rehabilitation facilities, pursuant to President Zelenskyy's directive. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Propaganda ("Satanists"): Basurin o glavnom publishes a video and photos promoting RF propaganda about "Satanists in the AFU." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for propaganda effort, LOW for factual basis). Basurin o glavnom publishes photos from "History Day," depicting historical figures and events relevant to Russian nationalist narratives. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Damage Assessment (Saratov): TASS video shows crane removing damaged vehicle from Saratov explosion site. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Weather in Ukraine: RBK-Ukraina publishes a weather map for Ukraine. RBK-Ukraina posts a weather map showing anticipated heat, thunderstorms, and hail in Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Claims of Progress (Donetsk): MoD Russia video shows "Tsentr Group" forcing enemy out of Donetsk People's Republic. MoD Russia posts video claiming another large stronghold of Ukrainian formations is under Russian control. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF POW Support: Coordination Staff for POWs publishes photos of a meeting with families of captured or missing servicemen from the 131st Battalion, 112th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade. RBK-Ukraina posts photos indicating that Ukraine has started burying prisoners of war who died in the Il-76 crash near Belgorod. This confirms the repatriation of bodies and the start of formal burials for the deceased POWs. Operatsiya Z milbloggers report Ukraine recognized that captured AFU personnel were on board the downed Il-76 in Belgorod Oblast, likely acknowledging repatriation for burial. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Economic Discussion: TASS video of Nabiullina discussing inflation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF UAV Tactics: Kotsnews publishes a photo message claiming "Gerans" have learned new complex maneuvers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ukrainian Internal Affairs: Oleksiy Biloshitsky publishes photo messages about new road signs. Oleksiy Biloshitsky posts video depicting Ukrainian special forces with medical evacuation equipment, highlighting efforts to improve casualty extraction. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Recruitment: Colonelcassad is promoting a recruitment drive for the BARS-13 volunteer detachment. Arkhangel Spetsnaza posts about VDV Day collection. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Affairs (Activist): ASTRA reports that a Russian activist in Armenia is unable to leave the country due to an extradition request. ASTRA reports a Perm activist, recently deported from the US, was sent to pre-trial detention in Russia and added to the list of "terrorists and extremists," indicating internal suppression of dissent. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Security (Looting): Colonelcassad posts videos of individuals smashing a glass storefront, looting, and being apprehended by military-style personnel in what is claimed to be ethnic cleansing in Es-Suwayda, Syria. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Policy (Microsoft): TASS reports Microsoft's Russian subsidiary has filed for bankruptcy. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Policy (Justice): TASS reports journalist Dmitry Kolezev (labeled foreign agent) added to list of terrorists and extremists. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Policy (Financial): Moscow News reports Sberbank reducing rates on mortgages and consumer loans. TASS reports Sberbank reducing mortgage rates by 2% and consumer loans by 1-2%. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Policy (Corruption): TASS reports deputy head of Khimki municipality, Irina Zhdankina, placed under house arrest for large-scale bribery. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Drone Production Target: Operatyvny ZSU and RBK-Ukraina report Zelenskyy aims for Ukraine to produce at least 1000 interceptor drones per day. Zelenskyy video shows him at a 3D printer manufacturing facility. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Internal Affairs (Corruption): STERNENKO reports Odesa mayor Trukhanov fined 4.8 million UAH for illegal gambling advertising. General Staff of UAF announces new online course "Stop Corruption. Authorized Persons" in the Army+ application. Office of the Prosecutor General reports on a criminal investigation in Lviv Oblast regarding potential child protection violations in military training. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Military Morale/Welfare: Mobilizatsiya | Novosti | Srochniki posts photos and video of a wounded Russian soldier, Andrei Naidenov, who returned to ruins of his home and requires housing. UPDATE: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video showing a German Shepherd playing with a kitten, captioned "Budni frontovykh kotikov," likely aiming to boost morale. Мобилизация | Новости | Срочники posts video of a wounded soldier recovering, aiming to boost morale. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Air Operations (New Threat): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports RF is preparing new missile strike on Ukraine, with 3x Tu-95MS, 4x Tu-22M3, 8x MiG-31K, 2x Tu-160 observed. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Milblogger Commentary: НгП раZVедка reports "distracted by an hour of fun," likely referring to the recent drone attacks in Russia, indicating RF milbloggers are adapting their narrative to acknowledge but downplay the impact of Ukrainian strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Military Leadership/Ideology: Igor Strelkov's statement "Do what you must - what is destined will happen" reflects a fatalistic but determined mindset among some RF hardliners. Igor Strelkov reiterates his stance that the situation is developing according to the scenario, implying a pre-ordained course of events. NEW: Igor Strelkov posts a message on the "reasons for the collapse of the 'national-patriotic forces'," indicating continued internal critique from hardline elements within RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Milblogger Casualty: Voenkor Kotenok reports war correspondent Andrei Filatov went missing near Pokrovsk. Mash na Donbasse also reports Filatov under FPV drone fire. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС reports Russian war correspondent Andrei Filatov missing after FPV drone attack near Pokrovsk. ASTRA also confirms Filatov's disappearance. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts photos confirming war correspondent Andrei Filatov went missing near Pokrovsk after an FPV drone attack, citing Z-channels. Филолог в засаде reports that Filatov's motorcycle was hit by a drone and he is out of contact. Alex Parker Returns reports that Alexey Mil'chikov announced the death of reporter Filatov at the front. Fighterbomber claims Filatov "decided to stage a kidnapping." UPDATE: ASTRA reports that RF war correspondent Andrei Filatov has published a post after his disappearance, claiming it was a "troll" to provoke opponents. Alex Parker Returns provides more details on Filatov's "troll" operation, emphasizing it was a concerted effort to mislead. Mash na Donbasse video confirms that RF war correspondent Filatov is alive and the incident was a "troll" operation against Ukrainians. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts new video of a soldier on motorcycle, claiming this is Filatov. Филолог в засаде confirms Filatov is alive and that the "disappearance" was a planned event, aimed at provoking UAF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ukraine Internal Political Divisions: Anna Skorokhod claims Ukrainian authorities are preparing a criminal case against Kyiv Mayor Klitschko. Colonelcassad confirms Anna Skorokhod's claim. TASS reports Medvedchuk claims Zelenskyy was deceived by American Senator Graham due to his "ignorance," continuing the RF information operation to undermine Zelenskyy and create internal divisions. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a photo of Ukrainian Parliament deputies, implying internal political divisions regarding the NABU bill. Colonelcassad reports Anna Skorokhod, a Ukrainian Rada deputy, claims the transfer of bodies of Ukrainian soldiers by Russia negatively impacts internal mobilization, indicating a source within Ukraine who also expresses this view. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Internal Security (Kuzbass): Rybar video message reports alleged ethnic crime and labor exploitation in the Kuzbass region, specifically mentioning Tajiks and Uzbeks, and the organization 'Bozkurt'. This indicates internal security challenges for RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Legal/Propaganda (Extremist Materials): TASS reports that the law on fines for searching extremist materials will not affect most Russians, according to Fadeyev. This statement aims to calm public fears about new censorship laws. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Propaganda ("Great Russian Culture"): STERNENKO posts a video titled "Great Russian Culture" showing apparent combat footage of Ukrainian drone strikes on RF personnel, using sarcasm to undermine RF cultural claims. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • US Action in Syria: RBK-Ukraina reports US liquidated a senior ISIS leader in Syria. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH)
    • RF Military Equipment (Light Vehicles): Rybar posts video and photo messages of "Combat Nivas" (modified Lada Niva vehicles) being used by RF forces, highlighting continued improvisation and use of civilian vehicles for military purposes. UPDATE: Два майора posts video of military personnel operating a heavy machine gun in a dry field, indicating routine military activity. Два майора posts video of "Espanyola" special forces marines demonstrating firearms, which may indicate specialized unit tactical adaptations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Ammunition Logisitcs: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of a soldier preparing RPG-7 rounds and loading them onto a pickup truck for frontline delivery, demonstrating ongoing UAF logistics for close-combat munitions. The video caption states the soldier "stepped on a 'petal' (mine) when exiting positions," which is contradictory to the visual content of a soldier loading RPG-7 rounds onto a pickup. This requires re-evaluation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for visual, LOW for accompanying text). Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of a drone equipped with an unguided rocket or mortar round, demonstrating its adaptation for combat and likely dropping ordnance. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video showing a Ukrainian soldier preparing a drone for flight. The drone is carrying what appears to be a mortar round, which is then launched from the drone, causing an explosion on the ground. This confirms the use of drones as improvised bomb carriers for offensive strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Reconnaissance & Strike: Воин DV posts a drone video showing a military vehicle transporting personnel being hit by a precision strike, demonstrating RF reconnaissance and strike capabilities against UAF light transport. TASS reports RF MoD published footage of a Senator armored vehicle destruction, indicating continued targeting of UAF transport. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Soldier Morale/Daily Life: Два майора posts a series of photos under the rubric "Soldier's Daily Life," depicting RF soldiers in various settings: dugouts, observing terrain, with weapons. These provide insight into their living conditions and routines. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Turkish Drone Carrier (ALPIN-2): Два майора posts photos and video of a new modification of the Turkish ALPiN-2 unmanned helicopter, now capable of carrying smaller drones ("drone carrier"), indicating continued development in drone warfare and potential for deployment by various actors, including RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Diplomatic Initiative (UNSC): TASS reports RF requested a UNSC meeting on July 31 to discuss attempts to disrupt Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul. A UN source confirmed to TASS that the UNSC meeting on Ukraine, requested by RF, will take place on July 31. Basurin o glavnom video shows a UN Security Council meeting, featuring RF's representative critiquing Ukraine's actions and policies. This indicates RF's continued use of international platforms for information warfare. TASS reports a spat between Chinese and US representatives at a UN Security Council meeting on Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Geopolitical Activity (Transcaucasia): WarGonzo reports increased military-political activity in Transcaucasia, stating the region is becoming "another front of global confrontation." (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Strategic Bomber Redeployment: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports redeployment of one Tu-95MS aircraft from Olenya airbase to Engels-2 for X-101 cruise missile loading. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ukrainian Local Governance: STERNENKO reports a community in Odesa Oblast renamed streets after fallen Ukrainian military personnel and liberation movement figures. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Mobilization Issues (Wounded personnel): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Sрочники posts video and photos alleging "cripples are being sent to the front," showing individuals with apparent injuries or disabilities in military settings, suggesting forced or inappropriate mobilization of unfit personnel. UPDATE: Мобилизация | Новости | Срочники posts video of a wounded soldier recovering, aiming to boost morale. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
    • International Reactions (Trump on Palestine): RBK-Ukraina posts photo messages about Trump's strong criticism of Macron's plan to recognize Palestine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Drone Operations (ISR/Strike): Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts photos showing UAF drones conducting ISR, highlighting their "good photography" capabilities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video showing UAF border guards targeting RF "Zala," "Supercam," "Orlan," and "Molniya" drones, demonstrating active counter-UAS operations and indicating the types of RF drones encountered. Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of a SBU Special Operations Group Alpha (CSO "A") intercepting a Russian "Orion" reconnaissance/strike UAV, stating it is the largest target intercepted by Ukrainian drones to date, further validating UAF AD/counter-UAS capabilities. STERNENKO posts video of 1129th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment destroying 17 enemy "wings" (drones), with video footage indicating successful engagements. The video also shows a "LOW BATTERY" indicator, highlighting operational limitations. NEW: Colonelcassad posts videos allegedly showing Ukrainian forces destroying Russian military assets. UPDATE: Николаевский Ванёк posts a video featuring five Ukrainian military personnel in combat attire, with flags identifying them as the "ARMY OF THE SKY" and "BLACK RAVEN 93RD BRIGADE," a drone unit. The video highlights their operations in "hot spots" and requests support. This confirms active UAF drone operations and continued need for public support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video footage taken by an SBU drone, showing successful strikes against multiple RF military targets, including armored vehicles and trenches. The footage captures direct hits and explosions, indicating effective UAF drone operations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts a series of photos illustrating "How unit strength is created," showing soldiers in various training scenarios, emphasizing teamwork and readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Zaporizhzhia Regional Summary (UAF): Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration provides a weekly video summary: over 3300 RF attacks (2 deaths, 10 injured, 200+ buildings damaged), delivery of 32M UAH in FPV drones/quadcopters/comms to 14 brigades, diplomatic visits, and business development initiatives. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ukrainian Volunteer Support: Operatyvny ZSU posts video of 137th Battalion soldiers thanking subscribers for three DJI Mavic 3 drones, demonstrating continued volunteer and civilian support for UAF units. The background shows Ukrainian, Australian, and British flags, suggesting international solidarity. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • RF Vehicle Destruction: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of a Russian military truck ("bukhanka") burning after being hit, with personnel evacuating, implying a successful UAF strike. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of a destroyed RF GAZ-66 truck, with the caption implying loss of an Electronic Warfare system. Colonelcassad posts video of drone operators from 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade and 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade destroying RF transport, UAV control points, and artillery near Yanvarskoye. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UAF Drone Strike Footage: Operatyvny ZSU posts drone footage showing multiple strikes on terrain and damaged structures, including a vehicle, indicating active UAF drone strike operations. Operatyvny ZSU posts a fundraising video for equipment for the 112th Territorial Defense Brigade's UAV strike unit (RUbpAK). ОТУ "Харків" posts new video of a "Baba Yaga" drone strike on enemy shelter. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UPDATES from RBK-Ukraina: Updates on drone movement from RBK-Ukraina indicate continued, persistent RF drone activity. ASTRA photo messages regarding EU roaming for Moldova and Ukraine are non-military but reflect international relations. Photo messages about average human age and genetics are non-military. RBK-Ukraina posts a fundraising appeal for medical evacuation vehicles. RBK-Ukraina provides a photo message indicating updates on enemy drone movement. NEW: RBK-Ukraina posts a photo message about RF's "meat tactics" near Pokrovsk, citing UAF, indicating the nature of RF assaults. NEW: RBK-Ukraina posts a video of President Zelenskyy's address, emphasizing the need to pressure Russia to end the war by next year. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UPDATES from BUTUSOV PLUS: Photo messages with offensive/derogatory language towards RF indicate an active Ukrainian information operation. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС posts a video featuring a wounded soldier being assisted, suggesting humanitarian or medical aspects of the conflict. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС posts images showing the devastation of Chasiv Yar. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts videos of conscripts complaining about poor conditions in Russia's military, implying low morale and potential issues with forced mobilization. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UPDATES from Дневник Десантника🇷🇺: Promotion of "Paratrooper brotherhood and family" is morale-boosting for RF. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a "Good morning" message, likely for morale. A #Рассуждалка (reasoning/discussion) post is present, indicating internal commentary. The Dnevnik Desantnika🇷🇺 video previously attributed to Ukrainian soldiers appealing for donations has been re-evaluated and confirmed to be Russian soldiers (7th Division) appealing for drones and Starlink. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video claiming the "Epicenter" in Kamianske was used as a military warehouse, supporting RF's narrative. NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a daily summary for July 26. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UPDATES from Два майора: Fundraising video for "Frontline Armor" confirms continued need for donations for RF forces. Operatyvny ZSU's video "Russian millionaire inhales last free portions of air" is likely propaganda. Colonelcassad's use of UAF loss figures from "WarTears" is an RF propaganda tactic. Operatyvny ZSU's video "Как мух ляпалкой" suggests a strong Ukrainian strike. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan confirmed an "agreement in principle" for a leaders' summit in Istanbul. Два майора posts multiple videos and photos depicting significant damage and fires in Dnipropetrovsk, with captions indicating it's the aftermath of an attack on the region. A photo message titled "📝О чём говорит Рыбарь📝" indicates discussion about Rybar's reports. Два майора posts a video featuring a targeted strike in Kharkiv on the Kyivskyi District Department of the Internal Affairs of Ukraine. Два майора posts photo messages under the rubric "Soldier's Daily Life", showing RF personnel in various settings. Два майора posts video of "Espanyola" special forces marines demonstrating firearms, which may indicate specialized unit tactical adaptations. NEW: Два майора posts an interview with an Azerbaijani official, Hikmet Hajiyev, indicating continued diplomatic engagement related to the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • UPDATES from Operatsiya Z: Operations Z reports principle agreement on summit of leaders and desire to reach consensus, citing Turkish FM. Operatsiya Z milbloggers report powerful explosions and fires on enemy targets in Dnipropetrovsk and Dniprodzerzhynsk (Kamianske). RF milblogger N. Vanek posts a video with repeating text and blurry lights, likely a visual of explosions or fire. Colonelcassad posts video of a large Chinese drone system demonstrating firefighting or large-scale dispersal capability, framed as a "new trend." TASS posts a photo message of Viktor Medvedchuk claiming many Ukrainians are grateful to RF for strikes on TCCs. RBK-Ukraina publishes photos from Kamianske Mayor Bilousov showing the aftermath of RF attacks on the city, including extensive damage and smoke, confirming significant impact. RF Milbloggers "Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" report the Polish Foreign Minister has criticized Zelenskyy over the NABU and SAP law. Операция Z posts video of Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) dropping guided bombs on concentrations of UAF forces attempting to contain the RF breakthrough into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Операция Z posts a fundraising video appealing for thermal imagers, stating they save lives at night. Colonelcassad posts video of a Russian soldier with callsign 'Skvorets' discussing military service, battlefield conditions, and perceived enemy weaknesses, aimed at morale boosting. Военкор Котенок shares commentary on "experts" far from the front. Операция Z milbloggers "Voenkory Русской Весны" report powerful strikes on the Ukrainian military-industrial complex (VPC) with accompanying video and photo evidence of fires and smoke plumes in Shostka, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk. Операция Z posts photo messages from "Voenkory Русской Весны" claiming Zelenskyy is losing "shine" due to authoritarianism and corruption. Операция Z posts a photo message claiming a Japanese magazine predicts Zelenskyy will be replaced by Trump, further undermining his legitimacy. Операция Z posts a video featuring a news report on Ukraine's mobilization of retired military personnel, highlighting a manpower issue. NEW: Операция Z posts a video featuring a foreign fighter, identified as 'Erik' from Poland, who is part of the 'Foreign Legion' in Ukraine, discussing his disillusionment, historical grievances, and criticism of Zelenskyy, which is likely an RF information operation aimed at undermining foreign support and internal Ukrainian cohesion. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Neutral: NGP Razvedka posts an image of a screenshot from a messaging application, likely Telegram, showing a message from a user named "Stas". The content of the message is in Russian and translates to: "it's a lie - there is Kharkiv and it is in first place." This message is not militarily relevant. TASS reports an Amur tiger was hit by a car in Primorye, and an investigation is underway. Fighterbomber posts video from the cockpit of a Mi-24 Hind helicopter flying low over water and agricultural land, indicating ongoing VKS activity. UAF 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura" posts video of a Ukrainian Mi-8 helicopter flying over rural landscape, indicating operational activity. Colonelcassad posts two video messages and text regarding Chinese training, showing a full-scale mock-up of a US Navy aircraft carrier and destroyers in a desert environment, likely for missile testing. This indicates Chinese long-range precision strike capabilities. Новости Москвы posts a video of a festival for the "Day of the Baptism of Rus," promoting national unity. Fighterbomber posts a video of an IL-76 aircraft taking off in a desert environment. НгП раZVедка states "I believe I owe the audience an apology," indicating a possible retraction or correction of previous information. WarGonzo posts a video and discussion about "modern armor" and a "Hedgehog Plate Carrier," likely a review or promotion of military equipment. NEW: Kotsnews posts photo messages regarding a poll about a Russian poet, which is not militarily relevant. Rybar posts a photo message about the UK's stance on Trump, which is geopolitical but not directly military. RBK-Ukraina posts photo messages about a meeting between the Pope and a Russian Metropolitan, which is a neutral religious and diplomatic event. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Ukrainian Forces (Anatoliy Shtefan "Shtirlits"): Posts photo collages of six individuals captioned "😱😱😱 успешно демобилизированы:" suggesting claimed RF casualties. Оперативний ЗСУ and KMVA post photo messages commemorating Ukrainian fallen defenders at 09:00 local time. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts photo collages of claimed RF casualties. UPDATE: Alex Parker Returns posts images showing what appear to be deceased individuals with injuries, along with text claiming they are "pigs" and that they "did not disappoint," which is likely Ukrainian propaganda aimed at dehumanizing RF casualties and boosting morale. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ posts a photo message featuring a puppy and a vehicle, potentially indicating the presence of Ukrainian forces in a rural setting and attempts at humanizing soldiers. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM - for claimed RF casualties, HIGH for propaganda intent).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

• RF (Amur Oblast): Taiga and mountainous terrain complicate search efforts for An-24 crash. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF (Volgograd Oblast): Hurricane downed 8 high-voltage power line poles, leaving parts of settlements without electricity and water. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF (Moscow/Moscow Oblast): "Tropical rains" have reached Moscow, with severe flooding impacting urban infrastructure. Moscow region expects fog with visibility 100-500 meters. Moscow has reduced the list of permitted swimming areas to four, likely due to water quality concerns following heavy rains/flooding. News of Moscow reports a mass viper attack in Moscow Oblast, indicating a non-military natural occurrence. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Cyprus: Significant wildfires raging. A fire in Sudak forestry in Crimea has been localized on an area of 5 hectares. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kyiv: Heat has led to cargo transport restrictions. Ukrhydrometcenter predicts thunderstorms with squalls 15-20 m/s in Kyiv for the next hour and until the end of July 25. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• General: Widespread reports confirm a global Starlink outage affecting communication along the entire front line in Ukraine. SpaceX has confirmed a service outage. Recent updates indicate the Starlink outage was software-related and largely resolved within 2.5 hours. While resolved, the incident highlights a persistent vulnerability. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Mariupol: The drying up of the Starokrymske Reservoir indicates significant environmental and humanitarian impacts. Mash на Донбассе reports crowd of residents in Makeevka gathered for water. ASTRA reports a 7x reduction in water consumption standards in "DNR" for those without meters, following complaints. Videos show civilians queuing for water in Kiyravsky district, collecting murky water, and in Osepyanovka village. NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts a video showing a completely dried-up reservoir, identified as the "Yenakiyevo Sea," indicating severe drought conditions in occupied Donetsk Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• RF (Saratov Oblast): Threat of further building collapse after gas explosion. TASS reports over 30 apartments may be damaged or destroyed in Saratov. TASS reports blast wave damaged glazing of neighboring building in Saratov. RF Governor declared regional state of emergency. RF Minister of Emergency Situations Aleksandr Kurenkov has arrived in Saratov. TASS reports 9 injured, increasing the humanitarian impact. ASTRA photo messages confirm the number of injured in Saratov gas explosion has risen to 15. TASS reports that families of those killed in the Saratov gas explosion will receive 1 million rubles from the regional reserve fund, highlighting the humanitarian response to the incident. UPDATE: ASTRA posts video of rescue workers clearing rubble from the damaged building, indicating continued recovery efforts. NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a video showing significant damage to buildings and debris in a residential area, with commentary mentioning "Moskovskaya street" and "grenades/detonators," indicating the aftermath of the Saratov explosion and its impact on civilian infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Donetsk Oblast: Butusov Plus posts videos showing civilians queuing for water, indicating potential water shortages due to infrastructure damage. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a video showing civilians gathering at night on a dirt road, likely waiting for water, implying water shortages in Donetsk. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts video depicting a long queue of civilians collecting water in Donetsk, highlighting severe degradation of living conditions. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts video of a large crowd of civilians at night. The caption "Water!!!" implies water scarcity. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Kharkiv Oblast: Oleg Syniehubov reports over 186 hectares of Kharkiv Oblast territory have been demined in the past week, indicating ongoing efforts to mitigate the long-term environmental and safety impact of hostilities. Oleg Syniehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional State Administration, warns of possible bad weather in Kharkiv Oblast tomorrow. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports many fires in Kharkiv due to strikes. Оперативний ЗСУ reports over 20 enemy strikes on Kharkiv. RBK-Ukraina provides video of DSNS (State Emergency Service) responding to a building fire in Kharkiv, indicating ongoing efforts to manage the aftermath of strikes. UPDATE: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on significant fires and damage in Kharkiv. STERNENKO posts a video of rescuers protecting a woman during a Shahed attack in Kharkiv, highlighting dangers to civilians. RBK-Ukraina posts video of rescuers protecting a woman during a night shelling of Kharkiv. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Ukraine General: RBK-Ukraina publishes weather map showing heat up to +40 degrees and heavy rains. RBK-Ukraina posts a weather map showing anticipated heat, thunderstorms, and hail in Ukraine. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Cambodia-Thailand Border: TASS reports that Thai and Cambodian forces have temporarily ceased hostilities in border areas due to heavy rains, indicating weather-related operational pauses. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

• UAF: Air defense (AD) remains on high alert nationwide, actively engaging and responding to missile and UAV threats (7 UAVs shot down over Dnipropetrovsk, 90 of 103 RF UAVs downed overnight, plus 1 cruise missile; now 54/61 enemy UAVs and 0/2 Iskander-M/KN-23 suppressed). UPDATE: UAF Air Force reports 200 enemy targets (183 UAVs and 17 missiles) shot down/suppressed from 208 drones and 27 missiles launched by RF overnight, indicating significant AD activity and success. Emergency services are actively responding to significant civilian infrastructure damage and casualties. UAF General Staff provides updated RF loss figures and situational reports (172 combat engagements, 980 personnel, 2 AD systems). Ukrainian units continue fundraising for equipment. Ukrainian forces (MURAMASA, STERNENKO) continue successful drone strikes. Coordination Staff for POWs confirmed a successful prisoner exchange. Zelenskiy / Official reports Russia launched 103 attack drones and 4 missiles overnight. DSHV confirm return of paratroopers. RBK-Ukraina reports Ukraine is scaling up production of explosives. General Staff announces "Ballistics" (armor/equipment manufacturer) as a new partner in "Army+" program. General Prosecutor's Office reports detention of a deserting serviceman for attempted robbery. Oleg Syniehubov posts photos of returned POWs. President Zelenskyy approved a draft law strengthening law enforcement, anti-corruption bodies, and protecting them from Russian influence. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration posts drone footage demonstrating weekly destruction of over 50 Russian reconnaissance drones. STERNENKO posts a video of Ukrainian SOF (SSO A) engaging Russian forces in Kursk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports a new ballistic missile threat from the northeast. Butusov Plus posts videos from SBU's "A" Special Operations Center, claiming over 2100 Russian soldiers eliminated in less than a month through industrial-scale drone operations. Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukraїni post video of drone strikes by 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade. ОТУ "ХАРКІВ" posts new drone footage showing "Molniya" strike UAVs destroying Russian observation posts and a UAZ 'Bukhanka'. "Ukrzaliznytsia" is strengthening document control during train boarding. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video claiming a reusable FPV drone intercepted a Russian Lancet. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German HENSOLDT will produce TRML-4D and SPEXER 2000 radars for Ukraine for €340 million. New US aid package for $330M approved, including AD and SAU. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video and confirms localization of German Vector drone production in Ukraine. The global Starlink outage will significantly impact UAF communication and drone operations. Operatyvny ZSU posts a video of a fighter jet performing maneuvers, with a watermark 'AIR_FIGHTER'. UAF Air Force reports reconnaissance UAVs north of Zaporizhzhia and in central Sumy Oblast, stating that assets are engaged to shoot them down. The Starlink outage has been largely resolved, but communications remain affected for some units ("Dnevnik Desantnika"). Nikolaevsky Vanek reports that all "mopeds" (drones) detected in Poltava Oblast near Kremenchuk and Svitlovodsk are confirmed neutralized. UAF Air Force reports enemy UAV (Shahed) over Sumy city. UAF Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. UAF Air Force confirms GAB launches on Zaporizhzhia and Kharkiv Oblasts. UAF General Staff provides updated operational information as of 08:00 25.07.2025, with a map depicting combat operations on 24.07.2025, showing contested areas and enemy advances in Orikhiv and Lyman directions. UAF Air Force reports ballistic missile threat from Donetsk, which has been cleared. UAF General Staff provides an updated summary as of 08:00 25.07.2025 (photo message). Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports air raid alert cleared. UAF Air Force reports ballistic missile threat cleared. STERNENKO posts a message implying continued need for drone donations. Office of the Prosecutor General reports over 100M UAH transferred to ARMA from corruption case. Operatyvny ZSU posts a video titled "Occupiers must be killed and you can help with that!" likely a call to action/recruitment. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration promotes handball for veterans. Шеф Hayabusa posts a photo message of the frontline on Pokrovsk direction. Operatyvny ZSU reports the SBU detained another FSB agent who helped RF shell Kharkiv, with photos showing the detention. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Air Defense forces shot down 54 out of 63 enemy UAVs overnight. GUR cyber specialists conducted a "digital strike" against the occupation administration of Crimea, destroying all data on "government" servers. UAF General Staff posts photo messages promoting teamwork. Coordination Staff for POWs posts a video of a returning POW, promoting his story. RBK-Ukraina reports Zelenskyy stated Russia is "getting smacked" near Pokrovsk. Operatyvny ZSU reports the first Patriot battery and missiles from Germany has arrived in Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms the arrival of a Patriot system and missiles from Germany. RBK-Ukraina reports Patriot system and additional missiles have arrived in Ukraine. RBK-Ukraina reports Ukraine will receive another IRIS-T from Germany. Operatyvny ZSU confirms Ukraine will receive an 8th IRIS-T from Germany. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of two Russian soldiers surrendering near Vovchansk. The Office of the Prosecutor General reports that Ukrainian and Polish law enforcement liquidated a transnational drug network, seizing hundreds of kilograms of drugs. UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Zaliznychne of Zaporizhzhia region, Kherson and Mykolayivka of Kherson region. UAF General Staff provides detailed updates on yesterday's clashes: South Slobozhansky(Kharkiv) direction near Vovchansk, Zelene, Petro-Ivanivka and Kamyanke; Kupyansk direction near Stepova Novoselivka, Zahryzove, Kupyansk, Zelenyi Hai and towards Velyka Shapkivka; Lyman direction near Hrekivka, Novyy Myr, Yampolivka, Torske, Serebryanka, also towards Dronivka, Shandryholove, Cherneschyna, Serednye; Sieversk direction near Hryhorivka and Pereyizne; Kramatorsk direction near Mykolayivka and towards Bila Hora; Toretsk direction near Dyliyivka, Toretsk, Rusyn Yar, towards Pleschiyivka, Oleksandro-Shultyne and Katerynivka; Pokrovsk direction near Myrne, Myrnohrad, Novoekonomichne, Lysivka, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Dachne, Promin, also towards Volodymyrivka, Rodynske and Pokrovsk; Novopavlivka direction near Piddubne, Maliyivka, Yalta, Voskresenka, towards Temyrivka and Oleksandrohrad; Orikhiv direction near Stepnohirsk; Kherson direction Ukrainian forces have repelled 5 Russian army assaults; Kursk and North Slobozhansky(Sumy) direction Ukrainian forces have repelled 25 Russian army assaults. BUTUSOV ПЛЮС video shows mass liquidation of Russian forces near Torske. Operatyvny ZSU reports Col. Kyrylo Veres, Hero of Ukraine, is one of the most popular military figures. Coordination Staff for POWs reports outreach to families of servicemen in Vinnytsia Oblast. RBK-Ukraina reports PM Shmyhal outlined 3 key needs of UAF for EU discussions. STERNENKO claims 1129 Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down 9 enemy wings. RBK-Ukraina, Operatyvny ZSU report Zelenskyy approved extension of martial law and mobilization for three months (until November 5th). Operatyvny ZSU reports 118th Separate Mechanized Brigade repelled attack in the south, destroying 1 tank, 3 BMPs, 4 trucks and eliminating 38 personnel. Military Intelligence analysis report on a Patriot battery confirms Germany's transfer. Military Intelligence analysis report on 17 AK UAF preparing for combat from Arkhangel Spetsnaza. General Staff of UAF photo message shows a soldier in military attire with helmet and goggles, suggesting operational readiness. Zelenskiy / Official and KMVA posts videos of Zelenskyy visiting rehabilitation centers. RBK-Ukraina reports the Polish prosecutor's office has launched an investigation into a Polish citizen who showed his participation in the war on the side of Russia on TikTok. KMVA and Oleg Syniehubov publish new videos of military training, showing tanks, soldiers, and drone technology, emphasizing professional and effective preparation. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration publishes video of Zelenskyy visiting a rehabilitation center for injured soldiers. Coordination Staff for POWs publishes photos of meeting with families of 131st Battalion, 112th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade, servicemen who are POWs or missing. Office of the Prosecutor General reports the detention of an organizer of a bribery scheme to evade mobilization in Zakarpattia Oblast. UAF General Staff posts photo messages indicating NATO meetings. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Syrsky stated new AD systems are coming. Zelenskiy / Official and Operatyvny ZSU report Zelenskyy aims for 1000 interceptor drones per day; Zelenskyy video shows him at drone interceptor production facility, inspecting 3D printers and component assembly. General Staff of UAF announces new online course "Stop Corruption. Authorized Persons" in the Army+ application. STERNENKO reports Odesa mayor Trukhanov fined 4.8 million UAH for illegal gambling advertising. OPG reports a murder investigation opened by Sumy Oblast Prosecutor. Office of the Prosecutor General reports initiating a criminal investigation in Lviv Oblast, following an image of children participating in military training, for potential violations of child protection laws. Operatyvny ZSU posts a video of a UAF soldier loading RPG-7 rounds onto a pickup truck. Operatyvny ZSU posts a video showing military apprehension, vehicles, and medical attention. While the accompanying text states a soldier stepped on a mine, the video's content suggests a different operation, possibly personnel recovery or capture. UAF General Staff posts photo messages emphasizing "We are a fundamentally different army than four years ago" and displaying #NATO and US/UA flags, reflecting continued integration and professionalization. Operatyvny ZSU posts a video of soldiers from the 137th Battalion thanking supporters for three DJI Mavic 3 drones. This highlights the continued reliance on volunteer and civilian support for critical equipment. STERNENKO posts a video of "effective demining" involving an explosion, possibly indicating a targeted strike on an RF position, emphasizing the concept of "barrier trauma" for the enemy. NEW: UAF is actively targeting RF logistical routes with FPV drones in Sumy Oblast, confirmed by BUTUSOV PLUS. NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the elimination of Colonel Lebedev, commander of the 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment, 69th Motorized Rifle Division, who commanded assault operations towards Velykyi Burluk from Belgorod Oblast. This confirms a significant UAF intelligence and strike success. STERNENKO corroborates this report. NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ posts a video of Ukrainian President Zelenskyy addressing the nation about military operations, drone capabilities, front line successes, sanctions, and diplomatic efforts, conveying a message of resilience and determination. Oleg Syniehubov also shares a video of Zelenskyy discussing intelligence reports on the effectiveness of sanctions and the need to press Russia to end the war by next year. NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts photo messages showing the training of "Skala" assault forces, indicating continued UAF offensive training. NEW: ASTRA reports Germany has transferred three Patriot air defense systems to Ukraine, confirming a significant increase in UAF AD capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

1.4. Battlefield Environment and Terrain Factors

• RF (Amur Oblast): Taiga and mountainous terrain continue to complicate search and rescue efforts for the An-24 crash, indicating difficult accessibility. (FACT: Terrain impact on operations).
• RF (Moscow/Moscow Oblast): "Tropical rains" and severe flooding in Moscow impact urban infrastructure and mobility. Fog with low visibility (100-500 meters) expected in Moscow region. Reduced permitted swimming areas likely due to water quality. Mass viper attack reported, indicating a non-military environmental concern. (FACT: Environmental impact on civilian life/infrastructure).
• Cyprus: Uncontained wildfires continue to pose a threat, with two reported fatalities. A fire in Sudak forestry (Crimea) localized. (FACT: Environmental impact on civilian life/infrastructure, minor military impact in Crimea).
• Kyiv: Heat-induced cargo transport restrictions and anticipated thunderstorms with squalls (15-20 m/s) will affect logistics and potentially urban operations for the next 24 hours. (FACT: Weather impact on logistics/operations).
• General: The global Starlink outage, though largely resolved, highlighted the vulnerability of critical communication infrastructure to software issues or other disruptions. This remains a key vulnerability for UAF operational tempo, despite temporary resolution. (FACT: Infrastructure vulnerability).
• Mariupol: The drying up of Starokrymske Reservoir, confirmed by "Mash na Donbasse," directly impacts water supply for Mariupol and surrounding areas. Reports of reduced water consumption standards and civilians queuing for murky water confirm a humanitarian crisis. NEW: Mash на Донбассе posts a video showing a completely dried-up reservoir, identified as the "Yenakiyevo Sea," indicating severe drought conditions in occupied Donetsk Oblast. (FACT: Environmental impact on humanitarian situation, affecting civilian morale and requiring resources).
• RF (Saratov Oblast): The gas explosion in Saratov has led to significant structural damage, risk of further collapse, and 7 fatalities, necessitating ongoing rescue and recovery efforts. The incident highlights potential vulnerabilities in civilian infrastructure within RF. (FACT: Civilian infrastructure damage, humanitarian impact).
• Donetsk Oblast: Persistent reports of water shortages and civilians queuing for water in Donetsk indicate severe degradation of living conditions due to conflict-related infrastructure damage. (FACT: Humanitarian impact on civilian life).
• Kharkiv Oblast: Continued demining efforts are addressing long-term environmental and safety impacts. Warnings of possible bad weather will affect air operations and ground mobility. Heavy RF strikes have caused significant fires and damage, requiring ongoing emergency response. (FACT: Environmental impact and ongoing humanitarian response).
• Ukraine General: Widespread heat (+40 degrees) and anticipated thunderstorms with hail will impact military operations across the country, affecting personnel performance, equipment, and air operations. (FACT: Weather impact on operations).
• Cambodia-Thailand Border: Heavy rains have temporarily ceased hostilities, demonstrating the significant impact of weather on combat operations. (FACT: Weather impact on military operations).
• Sumy Oblast: UAF FPV drone operations targeting RF logistics in wooded areas indicate the terrain and vegetation enable successful drone strikes against vulnerable supply routes. (JUDGMENT: Terrain supports UAF drone interdiction).

1.5. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

• UAF:
  • Air Defense (AD): High alert status nationwide, with significant success in intercepting RF missiles and UAVs (200 of 235 launched targets suppressed overnight). This indicates improved AD effectiveness. New AD systems are "on the way" (Syrsky), reinforcing future capabilities. Patriot systems from Germany have arrived (multiple sources).
  • Ground Operations: UAF continues active defense and localized counter-engagements across all major axes. Specific successes include:
    • Elimination of RF regiment commander in Kharkiv Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Successful drone strikes against RF logistics (Sumy Oblast), armored vehicles, and personnel (Toretsk, Troitske, Orikhiv/Rabotino directions).
    • Repelled 172 combat engagements yesterday, demonstrating defensive resilience.
    • Repelled 25 RF assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky directions, and 5 in Kherson direction.
    • The 225th Separate Assault Battalion liberated Kindrativka (Sumy Oblast), eliminating 3 RF battalions and 1 battalion commander, representing a localized tactical success.
    • Successful interdiction of RF armored assault near Vuhledar (12-15 vehicles destroyed).
    • UAF border guards actively target RF reconnaissance drones, indicating effective counter-UAS.
  • Cyber Operations: GUR cyber specialists successfully destroyed data on "government" servers of the occupation administration in Crimea, indicating continued multi-domain operations.
  • Force Generation/Logistics: Continued reliance on volunteer and civilian support for equipment (drones, medical evacuation vehicles). Zelenskyy's stated goal of 1000 interceptor drones/day indicates a focus on domestic production and counter-UAS. "Ukrzaliznytsia" is strengthening document control, suggesting measures to mitigate infiltration or evasion. "Ballistics" (armor/equipment manufacturer) partnering with "Army+" program indicates efforts to enhance soldier protection.
  • Internal Security: SBU prevented a terrorist attack in Kyiv and detained FSB agents in Kharkiv. Ongoing efforts against corruption in local administration and military recruitment centers.
  • Training & Readiness: Videos and photos confirm ongoing UAF military training, including small arms proficiency and adaptive training for new personnel, with international cooperation (British, Romanian flags observed). Emphasis on professionalization and NATO integration. "Skala" assault forces training indicates continued offensive preparation.
  • Morale/Welfare: Initiatives for veteran support and rehabilitation facilities are ongoing. Coordination Staff for POWs continues efforts with families of captured/missing personnel, including burial of Il-76 crash POWs.
  • Command & Control: President Zelenskyy held Staff meetings with SVR and GUR, confirming high-level strategic intelligence review. General Syrsky's statements indicate active involvement in operational planning.
• RF:
  • Offensive Operations: Concentrated on the Donetsk axis, particularly around Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) and Chasiv Yar.
    • Pokrovsk: RF claims significant advances (Novoekonomichne, Zverevo, Aleksandro-Kalinovo, Zelenyy Hay). Visuals confirm extensive damage and ongoing combat in Pokrovsk. RF saboteurs are reportedly infiltrating Pokrovsk, contributing to "total chaos" and undermining UAF unified defense. RF is using "meat tactics" near Pokrovsk according to UAF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Chasiv Yar: Elements of the 98th VDV Division are regrouping for a large-scale assault. Claims of liberating Shevchenko and Pivdenny micro-districts and enveloping Zemlianky micro-districts. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Other Eastern Axes: Claimed advances near Kolodyazi, Yampolivka, and Dibrova (Lyman direction), and Holubivka (Kupyansk direction). Fighting continues on Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, and Novopavlivka directions.
  • Air Operations: Continuing large-scale combined missile and UAV attacks nationwide, with specific threats in Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. New ballistic missile threat from northeast and Donetsk. Tactical aviation remains active, employing GABs (FAB-3000 used near Lyptsi). RF is preparing a new missile strike package with significant bomber deployment.
  • Electronic Warfare (EW): Significant increase in EW activity, particularly on the Chasiv Yar axis, degrading UAF UAS operations.
  • Ground Forces: Reports indicate continued use of traditional and new artillery (Hyacinth-K). Employing both smaller assault groups and large armored columns (though the latter failed at Vuhledar). Modifying civilian vehicles for military use ("Combat Nivas"). Developing new FPV drone systems ("Kalashnikov FPV-drone").
  • Logistics & Sustainment: Concerns over low-quality dry rations reported. Continued reliance on rail for logistics, as evidenced by targeting of railway infrastructure.
  • Internal Security: Continued arrests for "state treason," "extremism," and fraud. Increased focus on internal control measures (e.g., biometrics for purchases, school chats on domestic messengers).
  • Force Generation: Claims of high UAF losses (1080 personnel eliminated per UAF Gen Staff, RF claims 460 losses for 'Tsentr' group). Reports suggest forced mobilization of unfit personnel. Promotion of volunteer detachments (BARS-13). Some RF soldiers captured, confirming presence of Central Asian fighters (likely for IO).
  • Naval Operations: Commissioning of new nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine 'Knyaz Pozharsky'. Ongoing naval exercises ("July Storm"). Anticipation of USV attacks on Black Sea ports (Novorossiysk, Anapa).
  • Production: Significantly scaled up Shahed production (Alabuga factory). Annual strike drone production could reach 60,000 units (UAF assessment), or 5,000 Gerans monthly (STERNENKO). Plans to use Austrian-made components for missiles.
  • Leadership/Command: Putin engaged in discussions on maritime policy and elections. Internal dissent observed among milbloggers (Strelkov's critique of "national-patriotic forces"). Reports of internal military discontent regarding general promotions (Popov/Akhmedov).
  • Humanitarian Aid/Public Relations (Chechnya): Kadyrov's fund distributing food packages in Chechnya serves as a public relations effort, likely aimed at demonstrating stability and care for the population. (FACT: PR effort).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

• Capabilities:

  • Air Assets: RF continues to employ a robust aerial strike capability utilizing a mix of ballistic missiles (P-800 Onyx, Iskander-K, new threats), cruise missiles (Kh-101, observed loading at Engels-2), and a high volume of Shahed-type UAVs. RF tactical aviation effectively uses Guided Aerial Bombs (GABs/KABs) including the powerful FAB-3000 M-54 UMPK, to strike frontline strongpoints and urban areas, demonstrating a high payload capability. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Electronic Warfare (EW): Demonstrated significantly enhanced EW capabilities, particularly on the Chasiv Yar axis, effectively degrading UAF UAS operations (reconnaissance, FPV drones). This is a critical development. RF has also been observed to destroy UAF EW vehicles. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Artillery & MLRS: Continued heavy reliance on artillery (2S1 Gvozdika, new 152mm "Hyacinth-K" howitzer) and MLRS (Grad) to support ground advances and strike UAF positions and infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Ground Maneuver: Capable of conducting both small, agile assault groups (e.g., against UAF positions in Chasiv Yar) and larger, mechanized assaults. However, recent large-scale armored assault near Vuhledar revealed significant deficiencies in combined arms coordination and anti-tank suppression, leading to heavy losses. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Drone Production & Usage: Russia has significantly scaled up domestic production of Shahed-type drones (Alabuga factory), with estimates of up to 5,000 Gerans per month or 60,000 strike drones annually. This enables sustained, high-volume drone attacks across Ukraine. RF is also developing advanced FPV drone systems ("Kalashnikov FPV-drone") and operating a diverse range of reconnaissance UAVs (Zala, Supercam, Orlan, Molniya). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Naval: Commissioned a new nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, 'Knyaz Pozharsky', signaling long-term strategic naval development. Conducts large-scale naval exercises, demonstrating various fleet capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Internal Security & Control: Actively cracking down on perceived internal dissent, corruption, and "foreign agents." Implementing increased surveillance and control measures through technology and legal frameworks. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Intentions:

  • Strategic Objective: Continue the "Special Military Operation" with the stated goal of "denazification" and "demilitarization" of Ukraine, aimed at regime change or significant territorial control. The current focus on Donetsk suggests an intention to fully occupy the oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Offensive Operations: Maintain sustained offensive pressure on key axes, particularly Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) and Chasiv Yar, with the goal of achieving significant territorial gains before the end of summer/autumn. Intent to encircle Pokrovsk is evident. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Degrade Ukrainian Capability: Continue systematic strikes against Ukrainian military-industrial complex (VPC), military facilities, logistical nodes, and civilian infrastructure to degrade Ukraine's ability to resist and sustain operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Information Warfare: Sustain and amplify information operations (IO) to sow internal discord within Ukraine (e.g., corruption allegations against leadership, mobilization issues), undermine international support, and boost domestic morale. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Buffer Zone Creation: Intent to establish a buffer zone along the Sumy border with Kursk Oblast. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Energy and Water Infrastructure: Continue targeting critical civilian infrastructure, particularly energy and water, to exert pressure on the population and government. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Courses of Action (COA):

  • COA 1 (Most Likely): Sustained Multi-pronged Offensive on Donetsk Axis with Intensified Deep Strikes. RF will continue concentrating forces for a concerted ground assault on Chasiv Yar, preceded by intensified air and artillery bombardment, and leveraging their enhanced EW capabilities to blind UAF defenses. Concurrently, RF forces will continue their incremental advances towards Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, employing "meat tactics" and special reconnaissance groups (DRGs) to exploit UAF weaknesses and encircle key settlements. Deep strikes against Ukrainian industrial, military, and logistical targets in Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, and Sumy Oblasts will continue, aiming to deplete UAF resources and degrade morale. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
    • Indicators: Continued high volume of GAB/missile/UAV launches; observed regrouping of VDV elements near Chasiv Yar; continued RF claims of incremental territorial gains in Donetsk; persistent reports of RF ground assaults in Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar; and sustained RF EW activity.
  • COA 2 (Less Likely, but possible): Renewed Large-Scale Mechanized Offensive on Secondary Axis. Following an assessment of the Vuhledar failure, RF leadership may attempt to learn lessons and conduct another large-scale armored assault on a different secondary axis (e.g., Zaporizhzhia) once forces are reconstituted and lessons are integrated. This would likely involve a renewed focus on combined arms coordination and dedicated SEAD/DEAD efforts against UAF anti-tank positions. However, given recent tactical failures, this is less probable in the immediate term. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • COA 3 (Hybrid/Asymmetric Expansion): Increased Border Incursions and Hybrid Warfare Elements. Beyond direct frontline engagement, RF may intensify cross-border incursions into Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, targeting border communities and infrastructure, expanding the "security strip" narrative. This could be coupled with increased sabotage and reconnaissance efforts deeper into Ukraine, leveraging captured personnel for intelligence. Cyberattacks and information operations will remain a constant component. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations

• Increased EW Integration: The most significant adaptation is the heightened and effective integration of EW systems, particularly around Chasiv Yar. This directly impacts UAF's primary ISR and strike assets (UAS). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• FAB-3000 Deployment: First operational use of the FAB-3000 M-54 UMPK (glide bomb) near Lyptsi indicates a new, heavy-payload air-delivered munition being employed to destroy fortified UAF positions. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Persistent Air-Land Coordination: RF continues to effectively coordinate tactical aviation and GABs with ground advances, providing close air support and suppressing UAF defenses ahead of assaults. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• "Meat Tactics" Persistence: Despite heavy losses, RF continues to employ human-wave or "meat assault" tactics, particularly in urban or heavily fortified areas like Pokrovsk, relying on numerical superiority. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• DRG/Saboteur Infiltration: Reports of Russian DRGs and saboteurs penetrating urban centers (Pokrovsk) suggest a shift towards more asymmetrical ground tactics to create chaos and disrupt UAF defense lines. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Drone Production Scaling: Significant increase in domestic drone production indicates adaptation to a drone-centric battlefield, allowing for high-volume, low-cost engagements. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Lessons from Failure: The decisive defeat of a large-scale armored assault at Vuhledar suggests RF has not yet fully adapted its combined arms coordination for larger offensive operations, indicating a persistent tactical weakness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status

• Ammunition & Materiel: RF continues to maintain sufficient ammunition supplies to support high-intensity artillery and missile strikes across multiple axes. The increased production of drones (5,000 Gerans/month, 60,000/year) indicates a robust and scaling domestic production capacity for UAVs, reducing reliance on external sources. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Fuel & Transport: Targeting of railway infrastructure in RF border regions (Rostov Oblast) suggests UAF is attempting to disrupt RF logistical supply lines, though the extent of the impact is unclear. The planned ban on gasoline exports indicates potential internal fuel supply concerns or a strategic decision to prioritize military needs. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
• Personnel: High reported attrition rates (1080 RF personnel eliminated in last 24 hours by UAF estimates) likely necessitate continuous mobilization efforts. Concerns about "cripples being sent to the front" and low morale among some conscripts point to potential issues with personnel quality and retention, possibly due to forced mobilization. Recruitment drives for volunteer detachments continue. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for attrition, MEDIUM for quality/morale impact).
• Equipment: RF is introducing new and adapted equipment, such as the "Hyacinth-K" howitzer and "Combat Nivas," indicating efforts to upgrade and diversify their arsenal. Destruction of high-value EW assets (Gretz XL) indicates some materiel losses for RF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness

• Centralized Control: RF operations remain highly centralized under the strategic direction of the Ministry of Defense and General Staff, with direct involvement from high-level political leadership. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Tactical Coordination Deficiencies: The Vuhledar armored assault failure demonstrates ongoing tactical-level coordination issues, particularly in combined arms operations and effective suppression of UAF anti-tank capabilities. This suggests a disconnect between strategic directives and effective execution at the operational and tactical levels. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• EW Command Integration: The successful and intensified EW operations, especially near Chasiv Yar, indicate effective command and control of these specialized assets, suggesting a learning curve and improved integration into offensive operations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Information Control: RF maintains tight control over internal information narratives, leveraging state media and milbloggers to project a favorable image of the "SMO" and counter Western/Ukrainian narratives. The "troll" operation with Filatov indicates sophisticated information manipulation. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal Dissent (Limited): While there are isolated instances of criticism from milbloggers (Strelkov) and reports of discontent among conscripts and recently captured RF soldiers, these do not appear to significantly disrupt overall C2 effectiveness at present. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness

• Defensive Operations: UAF maintains a strong defensive posture, especially in critical sectors like Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk. Effective defense against numerous RF assaults (172 engagements, 25 in Kursk/Sumy, 5 in Kherson) demonstrates continued resilience and combat readiness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Air Defense (AD): AD capabilities are improving, as evidenced by high interception rates (200/235 targets, 54/63 UAVs). The arrival of Patriot systems from Germany significantly boosts long-range AD capabilities, with more systems (IRIS-T, additional Patriots) expected. This enhances defense of critical infrastructure and troop concentrations. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• UAS Capabilities: UAF continues to effectively employ UAS for ISR, FPV strike, and anti-UAS operations, actively countering RF reconnaissance and strike drones. The interception of a Lancet loitering munition by an FPV drone highlights innovative defensive tactics. UAF's goal of 1000 interceptor drones/day signifies a strategic focus on domestic production and drone warfare. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Logistics & Sustainment: Ukrainian forces remain reliant on foreign military aid and robust domestic volunteer/civilian support for critical equipment (drones, medical evacuation vehicles). Challenges in paying soldiers' salaries (Bloomberg report) could impact long-term morale and retention. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Force Generation: Mobilization efforts are ongoing, with martial law extended until November 5th. Isolated incidents of resistance to mobilization (Poltava TCC bus attack) suggest some internal friction. The reported high RF attrition rate (1080 personnel eliminated) benefits UAF in terms of relative force ratios. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
• Training and Professionalization: Ongoing training programs, including international cooperation, contribute to UAF's professionalization and combat effectiveness. The training of "Skala" assault forces indicates continued emphasis on offensive capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Cyber Warfare: GUR's successful digital strike against Crimean occupation servers demonstrates continued offensive cyber capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Internal Security: SBU remains active in counter-sabotage and anti-corruption efforts. While internal political divisions exist (NABU bill protests, Klitschko allegations), they do not appear to significantly degrade UAF combat effectiveness. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks

• Successes:

  • High AD Interception Rates: UAF Air Force successfully intercepted a significant majority of RF drones and missiles, mitigating damage and casualties during mass strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Vuhledar Armored Assault Repulsion: Decisively repelled a large-scale RF armored assault, inflicting significant materiel losses (12-15 vehicles) and demonstrating effective anti-tank defense. This is a notable tactical victory. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Kindrativka Liberation (Sumy Oblast): The 225th Separate Assault Battalion liberated Kindrativka, eliminating 3 RF battalions and a commander, indicating a successful localized offensive. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Targeting RF Logistics: Successful FPV drone strikes on RF logistical vehicles in Sumy Oblast demonstrate effective interdiction capabilities. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Regiment Commander Elimination: Liquidation of Colonel Lebedev, commander of the 83rd Motorized Rifle Regiment, 69th Motorized Rifle Division, in Kharkiv Oblast is a significant loss for RF and a UAF success. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Lancet Interception: The reported interception of an RF Lancet loitering munition by an FPV drone demonstrates an innovative and effective counter-UAS tactic. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Cyber Operations in Crimea: GUR's digital strike against Crimean occupation servers. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • UAS Offensive Adaptation: Confirmed use of drones equipped with mortar rounds for offensive strikes. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• Setbacks:

  • Continued Civilian Casualties & Infrastructure Damage: Despite AD efforts, RF combined strikes continue to inflict civilian casualties and damage critical infrastructure in major cities (Dnipro, Kharkiv, Odesa, Cherkasy, Sumy), leading to humanitarian impacts (fatalities, injuries, water/power outages). (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Starlink Outage Impact: Although resolved, the widespread Starlink outage highlights a critical vulnerability to UAF communications and drone operations, particularly for frontline units. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF EW Effectiveness: The significant increase in RF EW capabilities, especially around Chasiv Yar, is degrading UAF UAS effectiveness, representing a tactical challenge that needs urgent countermeasures. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Territorial Losses in Donetsk: RF claims of liberating multiple settlements in Donetsk Oblast (Novoekonomichne, Zverevo, Aleksandro-Kalinovo, Zelenyy Hay) and advancing on Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar indicate ongoing, albeit incremental, territorial losses for UAF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH for claimed RF advances, MEDIUM for full UAF retreat).
  • Persistent Pressure on Pokrovsk/Chasiv Yar: UAF forces in these areas remain under severe and sustained pressure, facing constant assaults and heavy bombardment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints

• Air Defense Assets: Continued high demand for additional modern AD systems and interceptor missiles (Patriot, IRIS-T, SAU), as confirmed by Syrsky's statements and new aid packages. Critical to protect urban centers and frontline forces from RF air and missile strikes. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• UAS Capabilities: Urgent need for increased supply and domestic production of FPV drones and reconnaissance UAVs to counter RF EW and maintain ISR/strike superiority. Starlink connectivity remains vital and must be secured against future disruptions. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• Counter-EW Capabilities: Immediate requirement for effective counter-EW systems and tactics to mitigate the impact of RF's enhanced EW capabilities on UAF drones. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• Artillery Ammunition: Continuous demand for artillery ammunition to match RF fire rates and support defensive and offensive operations. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• Manpower: Continued mobilization efforts are necessary to sustain forces and replace losses, but this faces internal resistance and quality challenges. Financial support for soldier salaries is crucial. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• Logistical Protection: Need for improved protection of logistical routes and nodes from RF air strikes and DRG activity. (REQUIREMENT: MEDIUM).
• Medical & Rehabilitation: Ongoing need for medical supplies, evacuation vehicles, and rehabilitation services for wounded personnel. (REQUIREMENT: HIGH).
• Heavy Equipment: Requirement for armored vehicles and self-propelled artillery units as part of aid packages to replenish losses and support offensive potential. (REQUIREMENT: MEDIUM).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns

• RF Narratives:

  • "Denazification" & "Satanists in AFU": RF continues to push narratives linking UAF to Nazism and "Satanism" (evidenced by staged or fabricated discoveries of ritualistic items), aiming to dehumanize UAF and justify military actions to domestic and international audiences. RF also attempts to portray Central Asian fighters as mercenaries fighting for Ukraine, likely to sow discord. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Ukrainian Default" & Western Disunity: RF media (Medvedchuk) repeatedly claims Ukraine is in default and that Western support is fracturing, seeking to undermine confidence in Ukraine's stability and alliances. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Kyiv's Attacks on Civilians": RF consistently blames Ukraine for attacks on civilian targets (e.g., Sochi oil depot, ZNPP drone incident), attempting to shift blame and portray Ukraine as a terrorist state. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "AFU Attrition & Leadership Weakness": RF milbloggers frequently highlight UAF personnel losses and alleged internal political divisions (e.g., against Zelenskyy, NABU scandal) to undermine UAF morale and legitimacy. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Foreign Mercenaries": RF continues to emphasize the presence and alleged mistreatment of foreign fighters, potentially to deter further foreign involvement and discredit UAF. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Glorifying RF Military Successes": Extensive promotion of claimed territorial gains, destruction of UAF equipment, and "liberation" of settlements, often with drone footage, to boost domestic morale and legitimize the offensive. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Humanitarian Aid" (Kadyrov): Distribution of aid in Chechnya and other regions is used for internal PR, projecting a caring and stable government. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Filatov Troll Operation": The staged disappearance and reappearance of war correspondent Filatov was a deliberate information operation to provoke and gather intelligence on UAF reactions, showcasing RF's hybrid tactics. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • "Chemical Weapon Use" (GUR message): GUR's internal message about RF's continued use of chemical weapons, if disseminated, aims to highlight RF's non-compliance with international norms. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH - for GUR's message intent, LOW - for independent verification of chemical weapon use).
  • Dehumanization of Ukrainians: The use of derogatory terms like 'khokhly' by RF sources demonstrates a continued effort to dehumanize Ukrainians in propaganda. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

• UAF Counter-Narratives:

  • RF Attrition: UAF consistently reports high RF personnel losses (1080/day), aiming to counter RF narratives of success and highlight the cost of their offensive. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • RF Brutality/Destruction: Emphasis on the destruction of Ukrainian cities (Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk) and civilian casualties (Dnipro, Kharkiv, Odesa) to highlight RF war crimes and rally international support. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Resilience and Unity: Promoting stories of UAF successes (Vuhledar, Kindrativka), military training, and volunteer support to boost domestic morale and demonstrate continued capacity to resist. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Anti-Corruption Efforts: Highlighting internal investigations and arrests (TCC officials, local administrators) to demonstrate commitment to good governance, especially important for international aid. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • International Support: Emphasizing ongoing military and financial aid from Western partners (US, Germany, Lithuania) to counter RF claims of Western disunity. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Russian Internal Issues: Drawing attention to RF internal problems (corruption, mobilization issues, social discontent, POWs' negative experiences) to undermine RF's image of stability. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors

• Ukrainian Public:
  • Resilience Amidst Attacks: High levels of resilience observed despite widespread missile and drone attacks causing casualties and damage. Emergency services and local administrations continue to function, providing aid. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Continued Support for UAF: Strong public support for UAF units, demonstrated by ongoing volunteer fundraising for drones and equipment. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Concerns over Mobilization: Isolated incidents (Poltava TCC bus) and discussions regarding mobilization practices suggest some public apprehension, though this is not widespread resistance. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Anti-Corruption Sentiments: Protests against the NABU/SAP reform bill and other corruption allegations indicate public demand for accountability and good governance, crucial for maintaining trust and international support. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Water Shortages: Severe water shortages in occupied Mariupol and parts of Donetsk are likely causing significant hardship and degrading civilian morale in these areas. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Russian Public:
  • Increased Drone Attack Awareness: Civilian reports and regional alerts (Krasnodar Krai, Rostov, Stavropol, Tambov, Saratov) confirm increasing awareness and direct impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on RF territory, including critical infrastructure. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Internal Stability Concerns: Corruption arrests of high-level officials, security measures (biometrics, school chat control), and reports of internal dissent (Popov/Akhmedov, Strelkov's critique, POW testimonies about poor treatment/leadership) indicate potential for internal instability, though likely contained by the FSB. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Economic Pressures: Discussions about gasoline export bans and key rate reductions suggest economic concerns are impacting daily life. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Morale Boosting: State media and milbloggers actively work to boost military and civilian morale through propaganda about "heroic" actions, equipment, and aid distribution. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Humanitarian Disasters (internal): Civilian fatalities and extensive damage from incidents like the Saratov gas explosion and Amur An-24 crash are causing local grief and requiring significant state response, but the narrative generally frames these as non-war-related. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments

• Support for Ukraine:
  • Military Aid: New US aid package ($330M for AD, SAU) and confirmed arrival of Patriot and IRIS-T systems from Germany (3 Patriot systems transferred, 8th IRIS-T on the way) demonstrate continued, substantial military support. Lithuania's pledge to help purchase Patriots further expands the support coalition. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Financial Aid: While the EU's fourth tranche of financial aid may be smaller due to Ukraine's reform implementation, overall financial support continues. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Diplomatic Engagement: G7 ambassadors welcome Zelenskyy's commitment to NABU independence, indicating sustained pressure for reforms as a condition for aid. Discussions about a potential Putin-Zelenskyy meeting (Erdogan, Trump) indicate ongoing diplomatic efforts for resolution. Zelenskyy's recent address emphasizes the diplomatic goal of ending the war by next year. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • EU Integration: EU's final decision on "roaming visa-free travel" with Ukraine is a symbolic step toward integration. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
• Support for Russia:
  • Arms Supply (Implied): Reports of Austrian components in RF missiles suggest continued circumventing of sanctions through third parties. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Diplomatic Pressure/Information Sharing: RF continues to use platforms like the UNSC to push its narrative and counter Western accusations, leading to diplomatic spats. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Limited Direct Military Support: No new direct military support from major allies confirmed in this period.
• Geopolitical Dynamics:
  • Israel-Palestine Recognition: France's recognition of Palestine creates a rift within Western alliances, which RF may seek to exploit. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Thailand-Cambodia Conflict: The temporary ceasefire brokered by Trump indicates US diplomatic engagement in regional conflicts, which could divert attention or resources, but also highlights US influence. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • NATO Expansion/Posture: Estonia's warning about RF EW systems near NATO borders and Lithuania's infrastructure preparation for NATO troops indicate continued alliance adaptation to RF threat. Patrushev's nuclear deterrence statement regarding Kaliningrad is a warning to NATO. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Germany's Military Buildup: Germany's intent to build the strongest army in Europe and annual recruitment goals signal a long-term shift in European security posture. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)

• MLCOA 1: Continued Concentrated Offensive on Donetsk Axis with Enhanced Deep Strikes. RF will sustain and intensify offensive operations aimed at capturing Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk. This will involve large-scale use of GABs and artillery to soften defenses, followed by ground assaults, likely employing "meat tactics" and small unit infiltration. Concurrently, expect sustained and heavy combined missile and drone strikes (Shaheds, ballistic, cruise) targeting urban centers, military-industrial facilities, and logistical hubs across Ukraine (Dnipro, Kharkiv, Sumy, Zaporizhzhia) to degrade UAF's ability to reinforce frontline positions and maintain civilian morale. RF will leverage its improved EW capabilities to disrupt UAF drone ISR and strike missions, particularly in areas of active ground advance. (CONFIDENCE: HIGH).
  • Indicators: Continued high volume of GAB/missile/UAV launches; observed regrouping of VDV elements near Chasiv Yar; continued RF claims of incremental territorial gains in Donetsk; persistent reports of RF ground assaults in Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar; and sustained RF EW activity.
• MLCOA 2: Increased Cross-Border Harassment and Asymmetric Actions on Northern Front. RF will likely increase limited cross-border probing, shelling, and drone activity in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, aiming to fix UAF forces in border areas and create a "security strip." This will be complemented by continued attempts at infiltration by DRGs for reconnaissance and sabotage, particularly targeting logistical routes and critical infrastructure within Ukraine's interior. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Indicators: Continued reports of shelling and drone activity in Sumy/Chernihiv; RF propaganda emphasizing border security; UAF reports of repelled assaults in Kursk/North Slobozhansky directions; and continued attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics.

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)

• MDCOA 1: Large-Scale Breakthrough on a Critical Axis (e.g., Pokrovsk) Leading to Operational Encirclement. RF could achieve a significant operational breakthrough on the Pokrovsk axis, leading to the rapid encirclement or collapse of a major UAF defensive line. This would entail a well-coordinated, multi-echelon assault supported by overwhelming fires, effective EW, and potentially a successful suppression of UAF anti-tank defenses (lessons learned from Vuhledar applied). Such a breakthrough would threaten UAF's ability to maintain a coherent defensive front in Donetsk and open avenues for deeper exploitation. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Indicators: Sustained high rate of RF advances over several days; significant UAF withdrawals or collapses; reports of large, unattritted RF armored columns exploiting gains; and RF achieving sustained air superiority or local air dominance.
• MDCOA 2: Major Naval Drone and Missile Attack on Black Sea Ports, Coupled with Hybrid Naval Operations. RF could launch a highly coordinated, multi-wave attack involving newly developed underwater and conventional USVs, coupled with anti-ship missiles (e.g., Onyx) and aerial drones, against critical Black Sea ports (e.g., Odesa, Novorossiysk, Anapa, other Ukrainian and RF facilities). This could aim to severely disrupt Ukrainian maritime logistics and exports, potentially escalating the conflict at sea and creating a multi-front pressure point. Simultaneously, RF could increase its naval drone-carrying capabilities (Turkish ALPIN-2 modifications) for offensive operations. (CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM).
  • Indicators: Confirmation of additional USV/underwater drone deployments by RF; increased intelligence chatter regarding naval targets; large-scale preparatory naval exercises in the Black Sea beyond routine; and simultaneous attacks on Ukrainian port infrastructure and RF Black Sea Fleet assets (false flag or deliberate strikes).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points

• Immediate (0-24 hours):
  • High-Volume Combined Strikes: Expect continued high-volume combined missile and drone attacks targeting Ukrainian rear areas and military-industrial complex sites. Decision Point: UAF must decide on resource allocation for AD and rapid response for civilian protection.
  • Intensified Ground Assaults (Donetsk): Expect continued RF ground assaults on Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar. Decision Point: UAF command will need to allocate reserves and fire support to these critical sectors to prevent breakthroughs.
• Short-Term (24-72 hours):
  • RF Offensive Culmination/Reconstitution (Avdiivka): RF forces west of Avdiivka will likely continue consolidating gains and fortifying positions. Decision Point: UAF can exploit this operational pause by targeting RF engineering efforts and logistics.
  • Response to EW Threat: UAF must rapidly develop and implement counter-EW tactics and technologies to restore drone effectiveness, particularly around Chasiv Yar. Decision Point: Prioritize EW countermeasure development and deployment.
  • Assessment of Vuhledar Implications: RF will be analyzing the Vuhledar failure; UAF must anticipate whether they will attempt a similar large-scale armored assault elsewhere after adapting tactics or revert to attritional infantry attacks. Decision Point: Assess RF's adaptations for future armored assaults.
• Mid-Term (72 hours - 1 week):
  • Sustained Offensive: RF will likely continue summer/autumn offensive operations on the Donetsk axis, aiming for significant gains. Decision Point: UAF must maintain a flexible defense, utilizing reserves and Western aid to counter RF thrusts.
  • International Aid Integration: New Patriot systems and other Western aid will need to be rapidly integrated into UAF AD and ground forces. Decision Point: Allocate resources for rapid training and deployment of new systems.

---

6. INTELLIGENCE GAPS

• RF EW Capabilities: Specific frequencies, power outputs, and effective ranges of new RF EW systems on Chasiv Yar axis.
• RF Command Structure & Doctrine (Post-Vuhledar): Assessment of any changes in RF's operational planning and command directives for large-scale armored assaults following the Vuhledar failure.
• RF Drone Production & Supply Chain: Detailed intelligence on the specific components, foreign suppliers, and choke points for RF's scaled-up drone production.
• RF Casualties & Morale: Granular data on the impact of recent UAF attrition on specific RF units and their morale, beyond general numbers, especially regarding the quality of new recruits and internal discontent following recent POW testimonies.
• Long-Range Missile Inventory: Current RF inventory levels for high-precision long-range missiles (ballistic, cruise) and their production rates to sustain current strike tempo.
• Sub-Surface USV Capabilities: Confirmation and detailed capabilities of RF's underwater USV program, if any, and its potential for deployment in the Black Sea.

7. COLLECTION REQUIREMENTS

• ISR (IMINT/SIGINT):
  • Task Satellite Imagery and UAV Reconnaissance: Prioritize imagery of Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk axes to identify RF force concentrations, defensive preparations, and logistical nodes.
  • SIGINT Augmentation: Enhance SIGINT collection on Chasiv Yar axis to pinpoint new RF EW emitters, communication nodes, and their operational patterns.
  • Black Sea Maritime Reconnaissance: Increase maritime ISR (UAV, satellite, naval) to detect any unusual RF naval activity, particularly concerning USV deployment or staging for amphibious operations.
  • Border Region Surveillance: Intensify ISR along Sumy and Chernihiv borders to detect cross-border incursions, DRG activity, and changes in RF force posture.
• HUMINT:
  • Prisoner of War (POW) Interrogations: Prioritize interrogation of recently captured RF personnel, especially from units involved in the Vuhledar assault and new recruits, to gain insights into:
    • Tactical decision-making and command climate within RF units.
    • Effectiveness of UAF anti-tank tactics.
    • Logistical challenges and morale issues, specifically concerning quality of new recruits and treatment in RF POW camps.
    • Awareness and impact of UAF drone operations.
  • Sources & Agents: Develop and exploit sources within occupied territories to monitor RF force movements, defensive construction, and civilian sentiment, and to identify the presence and activities of any foreign fighters on the RF side.
• OSINT/MASINT:
  • Social Media Monitoring: Continuously monitor RF milbloggers for discussions on tactical adaptations, equipment performance (especially EW and new drones), and internal military discontent, paying close attention to any claims of "troll" operations or propaganda successes.
  • Open Source Analysis: Scrutinize Russian state media and official statements for subtle shifts in narrative or policy that could indicate changes in strategic intent or capabilities, especially concerning their objectives for ending the war.
  • MASINT (Measurements and Signatures Intelligence): Analyze technical characteristics of new RF EW signals to identify specific systems and their operational parameters for countermeasure development.

8. ACTIONABLE RECOMMENDATIONS

1. Counter-EW Operations (Chasiv Yar):

   • Recommendation: Immediately task UAF long-range precision fires (HIMARS/GMLRS, artillery) against confirmed RF EW emitter locations identified by SIGINT. Implement dynamic re-tasking of counter-UAS systems to areas with high EW activity.
   • Purpose: Degrade RF's ability to disrupt UAF drone operations, restoring critical ISR and FPV strike capabilities for defense of Chasiv Yar.

2. Exploit RF Operational Pause (Avdiivka Axis):

   • Recommendation: Intensify artillery and drone strikes against RF engineering and fortification efforts west of Avdiivka (Ocheretyne, Novobakhmutivka). Prioritize targeting of personnel, construction equipment, and ammunition dumps.
   • Purpose: Disrupt RF consolidation efforts, prevent effective defensive line establishment, and inflict casualties during their reconstitution phase.

3. Information Operations (Vuhledar Success & RF Morale):

   • Recommendation: Rapidly disseminate high-quality visual evidence (drone footage, after-action reports) of the failed RF armored assault at Vuhledar through all available UAF and international media channels. Emphasize RF's heavy losses and tactical failures. Simultaneously, widely distribute captured RF POW testimonies regarding poor conditions and leadership failures to further degrade RF morale.
   • Purpose: Degrade RF morale, boost UAF domestic and international support, and demonstrate effective UAF defensive capabilities.

4. Strengthen Anti-Tank Defenses (Chasiv Yar/Pokrovsk):

   • Recommendation: Reinforce forward defensive lines with additional mobile anti-tank guided missile (ATGM) teams. Pre-position anti-tank obstacles, and expand minefields along anticipated RF armored avenues of approach, particularly focusing on choke points and urban-rural interfaces.
   • Purpose: Attrit anticipated RF armored assaults and inflict heavy materiel losses, slowing their advance and increasing their operational costs.

5. Prioritize Air Defense Deployment:

   • Recommendation: Expedite the deployment and integration of newly arrived Patriot and IRIS-T systems to protect critical infrastructure in major cities (e.g., Dnipro, Kharkiv) and strategic military assets.
   • Purpose: Reduce civilian casualties, protect military-industrial capacity, and free up existing short-range AD assets for frontline troop protection.