Situation Report

SITUATION REPORT

TIME: 032354Z JUL 25

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

• Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours. RUF forces are approximately 2.5 km from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). RUF video shows continued FAB-500 strikes and UGV operations in the Pokrovsk direction. New RUF drone video shows targeting of UAF personnel in the Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) direction. UAF sources confirm explosions in Makiivka and Khartsyzk (occupied Donetsk), indicating UAF strikes. RUF sources claim advances in Chasiv Yar, with a video showing a Ukrainian Kozak armored vehicle being hit by a drone from the 37th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade in Karola Marksa (Myrne). UAF "Fakhivtsi" unit shares video of enemy destruction near Popovy Yar. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports successful FAB-1500 strikes on 67th Separate Mechanized Brigade (OMBR) forward base in Iskra and 39th Separate Rifle Battalion (OBRBO) with X-39 missile near Otradokamenka. "Операция Z" (RUF source) claims the "20th Immortal Regiment" is advancing on Kostiantynivka, suggesting a new offensive push towards the city. Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports RUF tactical aviation launches of KABs (glide bombs) towards Donetsk Oblast. New RUF sourced video (Operatsiya Z, Voenkory Russkoy Vesny) shows what appears to be multiple rocket launches or artillery fire from the Donetsk area, described as a "Massive missile strike on DPR." Another RUF video (Operativniy ZSU) shows the aftermath of an artillery strike in a wooded area with multiple deceased soldiers, indicating continued heavy fires on UAF positions. Colonelcassad confirms the use of TOS-1A "Solntsepyok" systems by the 1st Tank Army, demonstrating continued thermobaric fire support. UAF Air Force reports a target approaching Sloviansk. A RUF source ("Сливочный каприз") provides media (image/video) with location "Velika Novosilka - Karola Marksa (Myrne)" dated 04.04.25, possibly indicating RUF presence or activity in the Velyka Novosilka sector. Confidence: HIGH.

• Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction. The liquidation of former "mayor" of occupied Luhansk, Manolis Pilavov, via IED is confirmed, with RUF sources also confirming his death. Confidence: HIGH.

• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): Critical intelligence contradiction persists regarding RUF penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RUF claims "liberation" of Dachne and advancements towards Dnipropetropvsk Oblast, with supporting video of flag raising. However, UAF General Staff and other UAF sources strongly deny sustained RUF breakthroughs, stating any small reconnaissance groups were destroyed. UAF reports capture of 9 RUF soldiers from a failed offensive into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RUF missile strike on Kamianske district caused civilian casualties and agricultural infrastructure damage. UAF Air Force reports threat of RUF UAVs in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and a new alert warns of UAVs/missiles towards Dnipro. Confidence: CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE CONTRADICTION.

• Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states Russian advances in border areas have been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. UAF General Staff reports repelling 13-22 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. RUF continues KAB launches and drone activity into Sumy Oblast. A new video from "Два майора" (RUF source) shows aerial footage of multiple explosions in "Sumy direction, Khoten area," indicating active RUF fires. RUF sources claim a battle near Tyotkino with Russian paratroopers storming positions. New groups of enemy UAVs are entering Sumy Oblast airspace from the north, moving southwest. RUF sources claim UAF units looted homes in Khoten (25 km from Sumy). UAF Air Force reports new groups of RUF strike UAVs entering Sumy Oblast from the north. RBC-Ukraine confirms this threat. UAF Air Force reports KAB launches from RUF tactical aviation towards Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports repeated KAB launches by RUF tactical aviation towards Sumy Oblast. Confidence: HIGH (on stabilized front line, ongoing RUF activity); MEDIUM (on specific RUF claims of gains).

• Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes and ground clashes near Vovchansk and Kupyansk direction. RUF claims "liberation" of Melove in Kharkiv Oblast, with video evidence of flag raising by "North" Group forces. UAF reports a successful SFO raid near the border with a captured soldier and reports updated RUF combat losses (1000 personnel in 24 hours). UAF Air Force reports KAB launches from RUF tactical aviation towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east. New alerts warn of UAVs/missiles towards Kharkiv and Chuhuiv. Colonelcassad provides images dated June 2025 showing UAF engineering structures under construction in Izyumskyi District, Kunyevska rural community, Kharkiv Oblast. This indicates UAF is building defensive lines in the Kharkiv direction. Confidence: HIGH.

• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske, with "Операция Z" reporting RUF secured positions and is dividing the town. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kamyanske. Kadyrovites are being prepared for assaults on the Zaporizhzhia direction, with approximately 15 military trucks moving them to Enerhodar/Melitopol/Vasylivka area. UAF SFO units successfully took control of one enemy position near Kamyanske. "Два майора" (RUF source) posts a video titled "Zaporizhzhia front" but provides no additional information. TASS video shows captured NATO weapons being transferred to "Martyn Pushkar" detachment in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. RUF source "Операция Z" claims Russian Army has liberated most of Kamyanske. Military Intelligence Analysis of provided image shows a tactical map overlay for the Zaporizhzhia direction, left flank, but provides no new specific updates on territorial control or troop movements. Confidence: HIGH (on Kadyrovite buildup, SFO success); LOW (on verified RUF control of Kamyanske).

• Kherson Oblast: Positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance continue. RUF shelled Central District of Kherson, causing civilian casualties. UAF Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine report 16 enemy assaults repelled and significant RUF losses. Nikolaevsky Vanek shares a video depicting drone footage targeting and destroying an RLM-D 55Zh6M NEBO-M radar system. Colonelcassad (RUF source) claims a FAB-1500 strike on a 67th OMBR PVD in Iskra and an X-39 missile strike on 39th OBRBO in Otradokamenka. This is a new, specific targeting claim. Confidence: HIGH.

• Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, two civilian fatalities and multiple injuries confirmed. 14 Shahed UAVs destroyed by UAF AD. RUF reports "powerful strike and huge fire" at an enemy object near Odesa, targeting an oil terminal. A ballistic missile strike on Odesa port infrastructure resulted in two killed and three wounded civilians, later rising to six injured including two Syrian citizens. A second ballistic missile arrival reported. Colonelcassad posts video showing a second Iskander missile strike on Odesa port. Confidence: HIGH.

• Mykolaiv Oblast: Mykolaiv was struck by ballistic missiles (6 Iskanders) and Shahed UAVs overnight, with confirmed impacts on infrastructure. UAF Air Force reports current threat of RUF strike UAVs in Mykolaiv Oblast. UAF Air Force and RBC-Ukraine report new groups of RUF strike UAVs entering Mykolaiv Oblast from the south. Nikolaevsky Vanek provides an updated general count of "mopeds" (Shaheds), indicating ongoing threat. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports on overall Shahed drone count. Confidence: HIGH.

• Kyiv Oblast: Massed RUF overnight attack included cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and UAVs.

  • UAVs: UAF AD operating effectively, downing 40 of 52 enemy UAVs reported earlier. RUF sources claimed 20-25 "Geranium" impacts. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 14 "mopeds" (Shaheds) remaining in Kyiv Oblast. This indicates continued pressure on UAF AD despite earlier successes.
  • Ballistic Missiles: Multiple ballistic missile launches from Bryansk Oblast (RUF territory) towards Kyiv have been detected and reported by UAF Air Force and Nikolaevsky Vanek. "НгП раZVедка" (RUF source) confirms "Iskanders!" The Air Force reports "high-speed targets from the north" towards Kyiv. Multiple powerful explosions confirmed in Kyiv. RUF sources "Операция Z" and "Военкоры Русской Весны" claim "Rocket salvo on Kyiv: ballistics hit enemy targets, city ablaze."
  • Impacts/Damage: KMVA reports multiple consequences in Kyiv fixed at over 13 locations across Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Darnytskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts. This includes fires in a residential building courtyard and on a private house roof in Solomianskyi district, as well as a probable casualty in Sviatoshynskyi district. Earlier reports confirmed fires in a non-residential building in Solomianskyi District due to UAV attack.
  • Casualties: Casualties are being assessed in Solomianskyi and probable casualties in Sviatoshynskyi.
  • Two UAF Air Force pilots were killed while repelling an earlier attack. Confidence: HIGH.

• Cherkasy Oblast: RUF attacked Smila with missiles and drones, resulting in 11 casualties, including 2 children, and damage to residential buildings and a college. SBU exposed an FSB agent preparing shelling. UAF Air Force reports threat of RUF UAVs on Cherkasy. New alerts warn of UAVs/missiles towards Cherkasy. Confidence: HIGH.

• Poltava Oblast: RUF drone attacks targeted a TCC (military enlistment office) building in Poltava, confirmed by multiple RUF and UAF sources. This strike resulted in 2 killed and 59 injured, including military personnel and civilians, and caused fires in the TCC and nearby buildings. UAF Air Force reports threat of RUF UAVs on Poltava and Kremenchuk. RBD-Ukraina reports 1 person injured from UAV debris in Poltava district, with damage to a car. New alerts warn of UAVs/missiles towards Poltava and Kremenchuk. RBC-Ukraine reports another person injured in Poltava district due to drone debris. UAF Air Force issues a "Poltava!" warning. Confidence: HIGH.

• Lviv Oblast: RUF video shows multiple missile/drone impacts and explosions at a refinery in Drohobych, Lviv Oblast. SBU detained an Air Force major suspected of espionage for Russia. Confidence: HIGH.

• Zhytomyr Oblast: RUF missile strike near Zhytomyr resulted in a large explosion, destroying two production facilities, killing 2 and injuring 82. The M-06 Kyiv - Chop highway was temporarily closed. UAF Air Force reports threat of RUF UAVs in Zhytomyr Oblast. New alerts warn of UAVs/missiles towards Zhytomyr. Confidence: HIGH.

• Kirovohrad Oblast: UAF Air Force reports threat of RUF UAVs in Kirovohrad Oblast. New alerts warn of UAVs/missiles towards Kryvyi Rih. UAF Air Force issues a "Kropyvnytskyi!" warning. Confidence: HIGH.

• Rivne Oblast: UAF Air Force reports current threat of RUF strike UAVs in Rivne Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.

• Vinnytsia Oblast: UAF Air Force reports current threat of RUF strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. "НгП раZVедка" (RUF source) states they "said two weeks ago that Vinnytsia is not very good," indicating pre-knowledge or anticipation of strikes. Confidence: HIGH.

• Russian Territory:

  • Deep Strikes (UAF): Confirmed successful UAF deep strikes on the Izhevsk "Kupol" plant (damaging four UAV production workshops, stopping operations), the "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast (sanctioned military-industrial complex), and Khalino airfield in Kursk (damaging aviation weapons storage complex). These attacks caused casualties, including one fatality and two injuries in Lipetsk, and led to temporary flight restrictions at multiple airports (Saratov, Ulyanovsk, Kazan, Nizhnekamsk, Izhevsk, Tambov, Samara). A powder factory in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, also caught fire due to a UAV strike, killing 3 and injuring 3. ASTRA (RUF source) reports today's UAV attack in Udmurtia preliminarily hit the "Rosrezerva" oil depot in Borok village. Mash on Donbas reports multiple explosions heard in Donetsk, Makeyevka, and Khartsyzsk. Temporary flight restrictions were re-imposed at Volgograd airport, then lifted. TASS (RUF source) reports that Ukrainian forces attempted to attack Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) with Storm Shadow missiles, but air defense systems engaged them. This suggests UAF deep strike capability targeting occupied territories. Alex Parker Returns (RUF source) posts a video of a person falling from a tall building in Anapa, which is civilian context but could be used by RUF to imply internal instability or UAF subversive activities if framed as such. Lipetsk Oblast, Russia, has implemented an "air danger" regime across its entire territory (Igor Artamonov, Governor of Lipetsk Oblast), indicating recent or anticipated UAV activity. Lipetsk Oblast Governor Igor Artamonov reports a UAV threat on Yelets and Yeletsky district.
  • High-Value Target (HVT) Loss (RUF): Multiple RUF and UAF sources confirm the liquidation of Mikhail Gudkov ("Varyag"), Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, along with his deputy, Colonel Shikhaliev, in Kursk Oblast from a missile strike on a field headquarters. RUF source "Colonelcassad" reports the liquidation of Roman Oryshchenko, described as a prominent "Nazi" and organizer of "Euromaidan self-defense," later a leader of "Plast."
  • Internal Security: FSB detained a 23-year-old Russian woman in St. Petersburg suspected of preparing an explosive device. An influential Azerbaijani "thief-in-law" (Vagif Suleymanov) was detained in Moscow, reported by RUF sources, linked to the Russia-Azerbaijan diplomatic spat. Rybar (RUF source) shares video of the detention. "НгП раZVедка" reports a second "thief-in-law," Zaur Shipilov, detained in Orenburg. ASTRA reports on an incident in Kemerovo involving a veteran killing a healthy dog instead of a sick one; while civilian, RUF sources may use this to imply internal instability or UAF subversive activities if framed as such. Alex Parker Returns provides a recruitment poster for the Russian Armed Forces, indicating ongoing domestic recruitment efforts. TASS reports a runaway UAF soldier, Aleksandr Postoenko, walked for over 20 days to surrender to Russian positions, likely for propaganda purposes.
  • Space Launch: TASS reports a Soyuz rocket launch (Progress MS-31 cargo ship) from Baikonur. While civilian, these launches often support dual-use capabilities. Basurin o glavnom (RUF source) provides a photo message of a Soyuz-2.1a rocket launch. Confidence: HIGH.

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

• Ukraine: European reports of temperatures up to +42°C suggest continued heat stress on personnel and equipment across Ukraine.
• Russia: North Atlantic cyclone "Cornelius" brought rain and colder temperatures to Moscow, but a heatwave of over +30C is expected by mid-next week. Temporary flight restrictions have been imposed and lifted at various airports due to drone activity. The Main Naval Parade in St. Petersburg on July 27 has been canceled for security reasons. "Aeroflot" is adjusting Tehran flight schedules due to Iran extending airport restrictions until July 10. Lipetsk Oblast has an "air danger" regime in effect. UAV threat on Yelets and Yeletsky district (Lipetsk Oblast). Confidence: HIGH.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

• RUF Dispositions:
  • Donetsk: Continues high-intensity offensive, employing units from "Center" and "Vostok" groups, 30th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, and VDV (98th Guards Airborne Division, 247th Air Assault Regiment). Observed use of T-90 tanks, BMP-3s, TOS-1A, and BM-21 Grad MLRS. RUF claims "liberation" of Razino (Donetsk) and Melove (Kharkiv). MoD Russia published video claiming drone strikes on vehicles and camouflaged positions. Colonelcassad reports new batches of modernized BMP-3s with additional protection have been supplied to the MoD by Rostec. New claims of "20th Immortal Regiment" advancing on Kostiantynivka. Colonelcassad reports drone strikes on fortified positions by "Vostok" and "Southern" grouping of forces, indicating continued FPV/recon drone integration into ground assaults. Colonelcassad confirms active deployment and operation of TOS-1A "Solntsepyok" systems by the 1st Tank Army. Kotsnews provides video of Russian drone operators using thermal imaging for reconnaissance/targeting. Rybar posts an image map of the Kupyansk direction as of June 3, 2025, showing territorial control, and another map of the Kramatorsk direction as of July 3, 2025, providing a fresh overview of RUF dispositions. "Воин DV" provides video message with caption "EXCLUSIVE from #1_tank_army. Combat work of heavy flamethrowers," confirming continued TOS-1A activity. Colonelcassad provides photo collection "Z - in the zone of Special Military Operation," likely showcasing RUF personnel.
  • Zaporizhzhia: Kadyrovite (Chechen special forces) transfer to Enerhodar/Melitopol/Vasylivka area with 15 military trucks indicates a significant buildup for potential assault operations. Kadyrov_95 (RUF source) posts a video of a meeting on education, which is likely a propaganda effort to portray Kadyrov as engaged in civilian governance, potentially to deflect from military deployments. TASS video shows captured NATO weapons being transferred to "Martyn Pushkar" detachment in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. A tactical map overlay provided by "Военкор Котенок" shows the Zaporizhzhia direction (left flank), but lacks specific unit data or new movement indicators.
  • Force Generation: Continued recruitment for "African Corps" and contract soldiers (over 210,000 in H1 2025). North Korea intends to send up to 30,000 additional troops to assist Russia, with a DPRK military academy delegation visiting Russia. Public fundraising for BM-21 Grad MLRS by "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" indicates a capability gap being addressed by public donations. MoD Russia releases a "DailyFigure" image, likely a propaganda graphic on force generation or combat statistics (specifics unknown without image content). Alex Parker Returns provides a recruitment poster for the Russian Armed Forces, reinforcing the ongoing recruitment drive.
  • UAVs: Widespread use of Shahed (Geranium) UAVs for deep strikes, FPV drones for tactical engagements, and reconnaissance UAVs. RUF sources claim increased Geranium production. Demonstrated ability to target individual UAF personnel with FPV drones (Krasnoarmiisk direction) and a "Kozak" armored vehicle. RUF sources claim the use of "Parody" target drones over Kyiv to deplete UAF air defense. New waves of Shahed UAVs are currently impacting Vinnytsia, Rivne, Mykolaiv oblasts. "Два майора" posts a video claiming new types of strike UAVs have passed sea trials and are on combat duty for Crimea's defense, indicating development of naval/maritime UAVs. New groups of RUF strike UAVs are entering Mykolaiv and Sumy Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports approximately 130 strike UAVs currently in Ukrainian airspace. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 3 Shaheds passed Boryspil towards Kyiv. UAF Air Force reports updated information on enemy strike UAV movement. Nikolaevsky Vanek provides an updated general count of "mopeds" (Shaheds). Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 9 Shaheds around Kyiv/Irpin/Obukhiv/Brovary/Boryspil. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 15 "mopeds" course on/through Boyarka/Kyiv. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 23 "mopeds" either near or towards Kyiv. RUF sources (Операция Z, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка) claim a "huge swarm of strike drones" attacking Zhulyany airport, Kyiv, and report missile/drone impacts and a fire there. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports 43 "mopeds" in Kyiv Oblast, with the main cluster between Kyiv and Vasylkiv. RUF sources ("НгП раZVедка") are amplifying claims of "self-propelled bomber planes" hitting Kyiv and targeting multi-story buildings, potentially referring to large loitering munitions or glide bombs. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports Shahed count in Kyiv Oblast has decreased to 35, and further to 14. НгП раZVедка claims AD is not resisting and suggests "banks" (possibly implying ammunition or AD systems) have run out. НгП раZVедка claims another 30 rockets are en route to Kyiv. "Операция Z" and "Военкоры Русской Весны" claim "Geraniums" have encircled Kyiv with dozens of drones diving on the capital, accompanied by a map titled "All-Seeing Eye."
  • Ballistic Missiles: Multiple ballistic missile launches from Bryansk Oblast detected towards Kyiv. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports "another two rockets," and "more ballistic missiles," with "at least 2 rockets" from Bryansk. UAF Air Force confirms "Ballistic missile on Kyiv!" and "Another high-speed target from the north towards Kyiv." "НгП раZVедка" confirms "Now Iskanders!" "Операция Z" and "Военкоры Русской Весны" claim "Rocket salvo on Kyiv: ballistics hit enemy targets, city ablaze."
  • EW: Sophisticated and widespread EW capabilities, with continued reports of RUF forces employing EW systems and laser-based anti-UAV systems. Confidence: HIGH.
• Control Measures: RUF maintains extensive electronic warfare (EW) and layered air defense. Recent reports confirm 69 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Russian regions overnight. Mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast, likely for counter-UAV or security purposes. RUF sources report on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. The Russian government is implementing new legislation impacting digital platforms and administrative fines, potentially tightening information control. TASS reports RUF PVO working against UAF Storm Shadow missiles targeting DPR. TASS reports global legislative changes related to constitutional amendments are completed, with ~200 laws adopted. This indicates continued internal consolidation of power. Air danger regime implemented across Lipetsk Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

• Capabilities:
  • Ground Offensive: Sustained high-intensity ground assaults, particularly along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, and in Chasiv Yar. Use of combined arms tactics, including T-90 tanks, new BMP-3 deliveries, and MT-LBs. Demonstrated ability to advance in Chasiv Yar, with claims of hitting a Kozak vehicle. New claims of an advance on Kostiantynivka indicate continued expansion of offensive efforts in Donetsk Oblast. Confirmed active use of TOS-1A thermobaric systems by the 1st Tank Army, capable of devastating effects on fortified positions.
  • Air-Dropped Ordnance: Continued extensive use of FAB-500/1500 with UMPK glide kits to suppress and destroy Ukrainian defenses, including recent launches on Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. Confirmed use of FAB-1500 against UAF positions in Iskra. Confirmed KAB launches towards Sumy Oblast. Repeated KAB launches on Sumy Oblast.
  • UAV Operations: Highly developed and integrated UAV capabilities for ISR, FPV strikes, and deep strikes. Use of remote-controlled UGVs. Confirmed increased production and deployment of Geranium drones. Demonstrated ability to target individual UAF personnel with FPV drones (Krasnoarmiisk direction) and armored vehicles. Massed wave of UAVs currently impacting central and western Ukraine, with 14 Shaheds still active in Kyiv Oblast. RUF claims use of "Parody" target drones to exhaust UAF AD. Introduction of "new types of strike UAVs" for naval defense (Crimea) indicates further diversification of RUF drone capabilities. Approximately 130 strike UAVs currently in Ukrainian airspace, demonstrating RUF's capacity for massed drone attacks. RUF sources claim a "huge swarm of strike drones" attacking Zhulyany airport. RUF sources continue to promote aggressive claims of widespread drone/missile strikes on Kyiv. RUF claims of 20-25 Geranium impacts in Kyiv, in addition to missiles, and assertions that AD is not resisting, indicating continued attempt to overwhelm AD. Claims of "another 30 rockets" inbound for Kyiv show sustained high-intensity targeting. "Операция Z" claims "Geraniums" encircled Kyiv with dozens of drones.
  • EW: Sophisticated and widespread EW capabilities.
  • Precision Strikes: Demonstrated long-range precision strikes against critical infrastructure, military targets, and command posts, including military-industrial facilities (Izhevsk, Energiya), TCCs (Poltava), and airfields (Khalino). Capability to target oil depots in deep rear (Udmurtia). Confirmed use of X-39 missile against a UAF battalion in Otradokamenka. The current massed UAV and ballistic missile attack on Kyiv supports this. Confirmed second Iskander strike on Odesa port infrastructure. MiG-31K take-off indicated potential for further precision missile strikes across Ukraine, though that threat was later cleared. RUF sources claimed Kinzhal strikes on Kyiv, later the MiG-31K threat was cleared. RUF sources (Colonelcassad, Операция Z) claim "missile and drone impacts" on Zhulyany airport area. Colonelcassad claims widespread impacts in Kyiv and 7 other oblasts. RUF sources ("НгП раZVедка") are claiming multiple "peaceful rockets" and that "the city of Kyiv has been torn apart by self-propelled bomber planes," highly exaggerated and propagandistic claims. RUF sources continuing to claim large numbers of impacts and rockets on Kyiv. Confirmed launches of ballistic missiles from Bryansk Oblast towards Kyiv, with multiple explosions in Kyiv. "НгП раZVедка" explicitly claims "Now Iskanders!"
  • Special Forces: Active Spetsnaz operations and internal security operations (FSB detentions, detention of "thieves-in-law" in Moscow and Orenburg).