Archived operational intelligence briefing
SITUATION REPORT
TIME: 031754Z JUL 25
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, with persistent clashes. UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours. RUF forces are approximately 2.5 km from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). In Chasiv Yar, RUF maintains a foothold in the Kanal microdistrict, with UAF conducting a tactical fighting withdrawal to prepared positions west of the canal. UAF drone footage indicates high RUF casualties near Pokrovsk and ongoing UAF strikes in Rozdolivka and Chasiv Yar. RUF video shows continued FAB-500 strikes and UGV operations in the Pokrovsk direction. Confidence: HIGH.
Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction. RUF claims of complete "liberation of LNR" persist but are contradicted by RUF sources and UAF reports of ongoing clashes. The liquidation of former "mayor" of occupied Luhansk, Manolis Pilavov, via IED is confirmed, with RUF sources also confirming his death. Confidence: HIGH.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): Critical intelligence contradiction persists regarding RUF penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RUF claims "liberation" of Dachne and advancements towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with supporting video of flag raising. However, UAF General Staff and other UAF sources strongly deny sustained RUF breakthroughs, stating any small reconnaissance groups were destroyed. UAF reports capture of 9 RUF soldiers from a failed offensive into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. RUF missile strike on Kamianske district caused civilian casualties and agricultural infrastructure damage. Significant RUF losses in the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade (Commander, Deputy, Chief of Staff) due to a missile strike in Huliaipole are confirmed by both sides. Confidence: CRITICAL INTELLIGENCE CONTRADICTION.
Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states Russian advances in border areas have been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. UAF General Staff reports repelling 13-22 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. RUF continues KAB launches and drone activity into Sumy Oblast. A new video from "Два майора" (RUF source) shows aerial footage of multiple explosions in "Sumy direction, Khoten area," indicating active RUF fires. RUF sources claim a battle near Tyotkino with Russian paratroopers storming positions. New groups of enemy UAVs are entering Sumy Oblast airspace. Confidence: HIGH (on stabilized front line, ongoing RUF activity); MEDIUM (on specific RUF claims of gains).
Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes and ground clashes near Vovchansk and Kupyansk direction. RUF claims "liberation" of Melove in Kharkiv Oblast, with video evidence of flag raising by "North" Group forces. UAF reports a successful SFO raid near the border with a captured soldier and reports updated RUF combat losses (1000 personnel in 24 hours). Confidence: HIGH.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske, with "Операция Z" reporting RUF secured positions and is dividing the town. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kamyanske. Kadyrovites are being prepared for assaults on the Zaporizhzhia direction, with approximately 15 military trucks moving them to Enerhodar/Melitopol/Vasylivka area. UAF SFO units successfully took control of one enemy position near Kamyanske. Confidence: HIGH (on Kadyrovite buildup, SFO success); LOW (on verified RUF control of Kamyanske).
Kherson Oblast: Positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance continue. RUF shelled Central District of Kherson, causing civilian casualties. UAF Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine report 16 enemy assaults repelled and significant RUF losses. Nikolaevsky Vanek shares a video depicting drone footage targeting and destroying an RLM-D 55Zh6M NEBO-M radar system. Confidence: HIGH.
Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, two civilian fatalities and multiple injuries confirmed. 14 Shahed UAVs destroyed by UAF AD. RUF reports "powerful strike and huge fire" at an enemy object near Odesa, targeting an oil terminal. A ballistic missile strike on Odesa port infrastructure resulted in two killed and three wounded civilians, later rising to six injured including two Syrian citizens. A second ballistic missile arrival reported. Confidence: HIGH.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Mykolaiv was struck by ballistic missiles (6 Iskanders) and Shahed UAVs overnight, with confirmed impacts on infrastructure. Confidence: HIGH.
Kyiv Oblast: Massed RUF overnight attack included cruise missiles and UAVs. UAF AD operating effectively, downing 40 of 52 enemy UAVs. Two UAF Air Force pilots killed while repelling the attack. Fragments of an enemy drone fell on open ground in Solomianskyi district, Kyiv, confirmed by KVM A. Air raid alerts continue. Confidence: HIGH.
Cherkasy Oblast: RUF attacked Smila with missiles and drones, resulting in 11 casualties, including 2 children, and damage to residential buildings and a college. SBU exposed an FSB agent preparing shelling. Confidence: HIGH.
Poltava Oblast: RUF drone attacks targeted a TCC (military enlistment office) building in Poltava, confirmed by multiple RUF and UAF sources. This strike resulted in 2 killed and 59 injured, including military personnel and civilians, and caused fires in the TCC and nearby buildings. Confidence: HIGH.
Lviv Oblast: RUF video shows multiple missile/drone impacts and explosions at a refinery in Drohobych, Lviv Oblast. SBU detained an Air Force major suspected of espionage for Russia. Confidence: HIGH.
Zhytomyr Oblast: RUF missile strike near Zhytomyr resulted in a large explosion, destroying two production facilities, killing 2 and injuring 82. The M-06 Kyiv - Chop highway was temporarily closed. Confidence: HIGH.
Russian Territory:
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
Capabilities:
Intentions:
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points
END OF REPORT
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