Sitrep 2025-07-03 16:06:02

SITREP // 031554Z JUL 25

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

Donetsk Oblast: RUF maintains high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. Claims of territorial gains, including Novoserhiivka, Shevchenko, Molodetske, Novoukrainka, and Novonikolaevka, are partially corroborated. RUF sources claim entry into Udachne and "liberation" of Chervona Zirka (Krasna Zirka), reinforced by new RUF video. RUF forces are approximately 2.5 km from the suburbs of Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours, with continued clashes near Popiv Yar, Myrne, Myrolubivka, Malynivka, Koptyeve, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Kotlyarivka, Horikhove, and Oleksiyivka. UAF drone footage shows high RUF casualties near Pokrovsk. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kurdumivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka, and towards Yablunivka. RUF control over a portion of Toretsk's ruins is confirmed, but UAF continues successful defense. Capture of an RUF soldier on the Toretsk direction by UAF 82nd Air Assault Brigade indicates active UAF defensive operations. RUF sources continue to indicate persistent focus on Chasiv Yar, claiming "completion is near". UAF General Staff confirms clashes near Chasiv Yar and towards Bila Hora. Russian forces have advanced into the Kanal microdistrict, establishing a foothold east of the canal. UAF units are conducting a tactical fighting withdrawal to more defensible, prepared positions on the western side. UAF drone footage shows strikes on trenches, fortified positions, and military vehicles in Rozdolivka and Chasiv Yar. RUF video shows a remote-controlled, tracked UGV equipped with a dual machine gun mount operating on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction. FPV drones of Russian forces are destroying UAF equipment and personnel on the outskirts of Konstantinovka. UAF sources confirm extensive destruction in Konstantinovka. UAF missile strike on Donetsk reported with smoke visible in the center and explosions. TASS confirmed at least 1 civilian death and 3 wounded from the strike on Donetsk. ASTRA reports three RUF servicemen were wounded in yesterday's strike on Donetsk. UAF Air Force reports RUF KAB/KAR launches from tactical aviation and threat of RUF strike UAVs (likely Shahed-type) in Donetsk Oblast. RUF video shows detailed drone reconnaissance footage of Ukrainian positions in Donbas, indicating advanced RUF ISR and targeting capabilities. UAF reports a successful strike on the command post of the 8th Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in occupied Donetsk Oblast on 30 JUN. Losses are being clarified. RUF video shows a FAB-500 strike on a UAF temporary deployment point in Novoyekonomicheskoye. UAF sources report successful strikes and high RUF casualties during tactical assaults by ATVs/motorcyclists in the Donetsk direction. BТУCOB ПЛЮС video shows a Russian soldier detonating an anti-personnel mine, indicating indiscriminate or reckless RUF tactics in mine-laden areas. TASS reports a Su-25 from the "Vostok" group destroyed a UAF strongpoint, indicating continued close air support for RUF ground units. Colonelcassad reports a Ka-52 helicopter engaged and shot down Ukrainian fixed-wing drones with Igla-V missiles. Сливочный каприз reports on a T-72 tank being destroyed near Borova-Druzhylivka by an FPV drone. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of an FPV drone destroying a BM-21 Grad MLRS. Підрозділ Shadow reports their UAV crew discovered an enemy artillery piece and ammunition storage, followed by friendly fire targeting and successful destruction. MoD Russia shares a video titled "00:00 A T-90 tank crew of the Tsentr Group of Forces neutralised an AFU machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction." This confirms continued T-90 operations and targeting of UAF strongpoints in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides "Оперативна інформація станом на 16:00 02.07.2025 щодо російського вторгнення" (Operational information as of 16:00 02.07.2025 regarding the Russian invasion). This is a general update, suggesting no major, immediate shifts in the frontline or enemy disposition since the last report, but confirming ongoing engagements. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video with caption "Потеря связи." (Loss of connection), showing an aerial view of a damaged building and an explosion. This indicates continued RUF drone reconnaissance and targeting, possibly in the Donetsk region. The caption "Loss of connection" could refer to a UAF comms jam or a technical issue with the RUF drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Семья, это артиллерия, бойцы работают на боевых машинах, которые поражают позиции противника на большом расстоянии." (Family, this is artillery, the fighters are working on combat vehicles that hit enemy positions that hit enemy positions at long range). This is a morale-boosting message highlighting RUF artillery capabilities. Басурин о главном shares a video encouraging subscription to his Telegram channel, which is a method for RUF-aligned sources to expand their information reach. Colonelcassad reports on the Russian MoD's summary of the "special military operation" as of July 2, 2025, which will provide RUF's official narrative of tactical successes. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of an alleged Russian soldier complaining about "prison-like" living conditions, lack of food, and being confined, appealing for help. This suggests potential internal RUF morale and logistical issues, or could be a UAF PSYOP. НгП раZVедка shares a photo message "Хороший фотограф на вес золота." (A good photographer is worth his weight in gold), featuring a soldier in tactical gear, likely a morale-boosting post or an appreciation for combat documentation. Colonelcassad shares a video of a soldier engaging in a combat scenario with the caption "Стальной характер!" (Steel character!), a morale-boosting post. Старше Эдды shares photos from a meeting with officers in Rostov-on-Don, celebrating "Veterans of Combat Operations Day" and praising their service. This is a morale-boosting and propaganda effort to glorify military service and maintain support for the conflict. Fighterbomber shares a video of a "Звено штурмовиков" (flight of attack aircraft), likely Su-25s, indicating continued RUF close air support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring a man identified as Shvartsman Aleksandr Anatolyevich, a POW from the 155th Separate Marine Brigade, discussing contract service and conditions. This indicates UAF is leveraging POWs for counter-propaganda about RUF recruitment. Два майора shares a video with a man speaking about something "актуалочка" (current/relevant), likely propaganda or a morale message. New video from Оперативний ЗСУ shows a large explosion with a mushroom cloud, indicating a powerful blast, possibly of a depot or storage facility. Another video from Оперативний ЗСУ shows a significant explosion in a forested area. A third video from Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a large-scale explosion affecting a highway. These videos likely depict the consequences of UAF strikes. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group showing coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates continued offensive operations and training on the "Vostok" axis. Воин DV shares a video showing an aerial drone view of what appears to be a Russian drone control post and a relay antenna, with subsequent targeting and destruction. This indicates continued RUF ISR and precision strike capabilities against UAF C2. DeepState reports UAF 241st Territorial Defense Brigade's RUBAK 'Vyriy' working against RUF in southeast Kamyanske, including drone strikes on positions and armored vehicles (BMPs). MoD Russia UAV operators destroyed an international MaxxPro armoured fighting vehicle of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Konstantinovka direction and a minibus with enemy manpower inside near Belokuzminovka. Операция Z shares Russian propaganda footage from a drone's perspective, showcasing alleged attacks on Ukrainian vehicles and positions (truck, personnel carrier). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a drone strike on a soldier in a field, indicating UAF drone activity. Explosions are reported in Khartsyzk, Donetsk Oblast, with multiple UAF and RUF sources reporting on a potential ammunition depot strike. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno claims the target was an ammunition depot for air defense, MLRS, and barrel artillery. Colonelcassad also reports a hit on a field ammunition depot near Khartsyzk. Alex Parker Returns claims a tactical nuclear weapon was used in Donetsk Oblast, this is highly unlikely and assessed as RUF disinformation. Военкор Котенок reports on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction with an annotated map. Colonelcassad reports a destroyed Ukrainian Humvee by RUF FPV drones in the Southern Donetsk direction. Сливочный каприз shares drone footage of destroyed buildings and troop movements, indicating ongoing military operations and damage in the area, likely Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launches guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports RUF has taken control of an AFU supply route in Krasnoarmiisk. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Colonelcassad shares video of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion destroying UAF vehicles and armored vehicles. New enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Donetsk Oblast. UAF resources engaged. Воин DV FPV operators from the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade continue to destroy enemy equipment near Oktyabrskoye. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора also report on the Zaporizhzhia front, with accompanying video. (030730Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (030805Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Poltavka, Mayak. (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Hlyboke, Zelene, Vovchansk, Milove, Ambarne and towards Mytrofanivka and Mala Shapkivka (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Stepova Novoselivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyy Hay and towards Petropavlika (Kupyansk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Ridkodub, Torske, Hrekivka, Hryhorivka, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Cherneschyna, Shandryholove, Seredne and Novyi Myr (Lyman direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Fedorivka and Vyyimka (Sieversk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Bondarne, Markove and near Chasiv Yar (Kramatorsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Toretsk, Dyliyivka, Scherbynivka, Petrivka, Rusyn Yar and towards Pleschiyivka (Toretsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Popiv Yar, Poltavka, Myrne, Novoekonomichne, Myrolubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Kotlyne, Novomykolayivka, Novoserhiyivka, Dachne, Oleksiyivka, Horikhove and towards Volodymyrivka, Novopavlivka, Razine, Molodetske (Pokrovsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Zaporizhzhya, Yalta, Myrne, Piddubne and Shevchenko (Novopavlivka direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Kamyanske (Orikhiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном states "Ukraine is drowning in blood: the reckless tactics of the Kyiv regime lead to catastrophic losses at the front." (030831Z JUL 25) This is RUF propaganda regarding UAF casualties. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports heavy fighting and assaults are ongoing for Chasiv Yar. (030901Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares video of heavily damaged urban areas with text overlays, likely depicting destruction in Donetsk Oblast. (030902Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of POW interrogation of Ivan Khamgueshev and Rustem Samiev, presumably Russian soldiers. (030955Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031005Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. (031006Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031007Z JUL 25) Kotsnews reports Russian army liberated Melove and Razino. (031141Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an explosion or impact within a treeline from Ukrainian drone footage in an unspecified location, suggesting continued UAF BDA operations. (031029Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports one woman wounded in Donetsk Oblast from shelling. (031057Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that an important object of the enemy military-industrial complex was hit. (031141Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that ammunition depots of Russian occupiers in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk Oblast were hit. (031153Z JUL 25) TASS reports a FAB strike destroying a UAF command post on the DNR border. (031206Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use and presence of 11th Guards Army Air Force and Air Defense, as well as 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of "Vostok" group. (031208Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a map with text on ongoing assault for Chasiv Yar. (031204Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports confirmed liquidation of RUF 8th Combined Arms Army acting commander, Lieutenant Colonel Ruslan Goryachkin, due to a successful missile strike on Donetsk on June 30. (031241Z JUL 25) Narodnaya militsiya DNR confirms destruction of a UAF mortar position near Rusyn Yar. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims destruction of 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk. Операция Z reports "Ожесточённые бои у Покровска: «🅾️тважные» днём и ночью жгут НАТОвскую технику, пехоту и артиллерию врага" (Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: "Brave" forces burn NATO equipment, enemy infantry and artillery day and night), with video showing drone footage targeting and destroying a truck, SUV, mortar position, and a UAV. (031436Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports destroyed Bushmaster, M113, and Mastiff vehicles on the Southern Donetsk direction. (031501Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on most claims and observations, MEDIUM for specific unverified territorial control/BDA, LOW for RUF veracity, LOW on tactical nuclear weapon claim).
Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction (including near Nadiya, Novoyehorivka, Ridkodub, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Hrekivka, Torske and towards Serebryanka and Hryhorivka). RUF claims regarding the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka) and complete "liberation of LNR." RUF sources later corrected, stating two more villages near the border need to be cleared. UAF drone attack on Luhansk confirmed, causing fires and active RUF air defense. TASS reports over 20 UAVs flew over Luhansk. RUF conducted a combined strike to disrupt UAF rotation near Nadiya. RUF claims UAF were "knocked out" from the majority of positions on the heights near Bilohorivka. TASS claims 35 UAVs shot down over LNR, debris fell on a fuel depot, and one civilian woman was wounded. Рыбарь reports on the "liberation" of Grekovka (Luhansk Oblast) and Novomikhailovka (Donetsk Oblast) by Russian forces. UAF General Staff reports clashes near Ridkodub, Torske, Hrekivka, Hryhorivka, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Cherneschyna, Shandryholove, Seredne and Novyi Myr (Lyman direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Mash на Донбассе reports an explosion in Luhansk (Shevchenko district) with accompanying video of a damaged building. (030909Z JUL 25) TASS reports one person killed and wounded in Luhansk explosion. (030937Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports on an explosion in Luhansk. (030935Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports one killed and several wounded in Luhansk explosion, likely a terrorist attack. (030938Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports two killed in Luhansk explosion, with military personnel present at the scene. (030940Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports two killed and one wounded in Luhansk explosion. (030941Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports a terrorist attack in central Luhansk, with one preliminary fatality. (030943Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares a video stating the terrorist attack in Luhansk occurred near a museum opening an exhibition on the Kursk operation. (030958Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports one killed and three wounded in Luhansk explosion. (031139Z JUL 25) Mash na Donbasse video shows a significant burst pipe or damage to an external heating or water pipe system in Lugansk. While the source attributes it to "aquadiiscoteca," the context of ongoing military operations in Ukraine raises the possibility that this damage could be a result of shelling or other military activity, impacting civilian infrastructure. (031206Z JUL 25) UAF sources confirm liquidation of former "mayor" of occupied Luhansk, Manolis Pilavov, via IED. (031237Z JUL 25) RUF sources also confirm Pilavov's death, attributing it to a "terrorist attack." (031238Z JUL 25) TASS reports on the situation at the explosion site in Luhansk. (031241Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad confirms the death of former Luhansk mayor Manolis Pilavov from a terrorist attack. Rybar video shows military personnel investigating a damaged building in Luhansk following an explosion. РБК-Україна reports former head of Luhansk occupation administration liquidated by SBU. Two Majora report death of former Luhansk mayor Manolis Pilavov from explosion near museum. Confidence: HIGH (on most claims and observations, LOW for unverified RUF territorial claims).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): RUF attacked Nikopol district overnight with heavy artillery and FPV drones; 12 RUF UAVs were shot down. 4 civilians wounded in Nikopol due to FPV drone attack. RUF claims strikes on railway infrastructure, fuel depots, ammunition warehouses, and logistics routes in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Kryvyi Rih: Confirmed Shahed attack on a military enlistment office (TCC), with 3 civilians wounded. RUF claims 114th Brigade "liberated" Dachne, with supporting video evidence. UAF Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD) claims Russians did not break through to Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with battles ongoing near the administrative border. UAF sources confirm overnight RUF drone strikes on farm enterprises in Pokrovske and Velikomykhailivka communities in Synelnykivskyi district. RUF channel "Операция Z" claims Russian forces "forced the Mokri Yaly river, breaking through into Poddubnoye and Voskresenka, advancing towards Dnipropetropavsk Oblast." RUF missile strike on Kamianske district, causing a fire and civilian casualties (killed and wounded), including agricultural infrastructure damage. RUF video shows Russian forces raising their flag in Chernovaya Zirka, DNR, near the Dnipropetrovsk border. UAF video features Ukrainian soldiers discussing high attrition rates. Colonel Zakharevych, commander of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, confirmed dead in Huliaipole, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Video showing RUF presence in Dachnoye (Dachne), Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, including flag raising and inspection of buildings. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photos/videos show RUF capturing Dachne and raising Russian flag. STERNENKO reports RUF forces have indeed entered Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and shows drone footage of an RUF dugout in Dachne, contradicting the UAF General Staff's previous denial to RBC-Ukraine. STERNENKO's latest message at 09:13Z re-confirms the "kamikaze entry" into Dachne. UAF General Staff, at 09:07Z, issued a statement contradicting RUF claims, stating that any small reconnaissance groups that managed to penetrate the administrative border were destroyed. They re-emphasize their denial at 09:11Z and RBC-Ukraine reports the UAF General Staff's denial at 09:20Z. This creates a direct and immediate intelligence contradiction that requires further collection. Оперативний ЗСУ video shows two alleged RUF soldiers who "were lucky to survive during penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast" speaking about surrender and defection to UAF, implying some RUF elements were contained or captured during penetration attempts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photo message (09:46Z) explicitly states "Dachne remains under the control of the Defense Forces - UAF General Staff." Воин DV video shows operators of the 5th Tank Guards Brigade conducting remote mining of a road near Voskresenka, confirming RUF intent to impede UAF movement in the area where they claim breakthroughs. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF units on that direction are clarifying the situation. Colonelcassad publishes a video claiming to show the "first captured Ukrainian soldier to surrender in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast" from the 79th Brigade, which RUF states is attempting to close the breakthrough in the southeastern part of Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Kadyrov_95 [Video message] Caption: Владислав Чернов — военнослужащий ВСУ, один из тех, кого силой забрали представители ТЦК, без надлежащей подготовки почти сразу отправили на линию боевого соприкосновения. Его, как и многих других, использовали как живой ресурс, без сочувствия, без понимания и без малейшего шанса на возвращение. (Propaganda video about alleged Ukrainian prisoner of war, Vladislav Чернов, who was supposedly forcibly mobilized by TCC and sent to the front without proper training.) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, possibly indicating AD activity. Олександр Вілкул (likely local Ukrainian official) posts photo messages with caption "ЗАКОНОМ НЕ ПРЕДБАЧЕНО, АЛЕ РОБИМО" (Not provided by law, but we are doing it) and various images of building interiors and exteriors. This likely refers to local initiatives for rebuilding or strengthening infrastructure, possibly related to defensive works or civilian shelters. This suggests local efforts to overcome limitations in legal/bureaucratic frameworks to support the war effort and civilian protection. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Дніпропетровська область (Синельниківський р-н) - загроза застосування авіаційних засобів ураження!" (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district) - threat of aerial weapon use!). This indicates continued RUF air activity and threat to the region. STERNENKO reports "За віцепрем’єра Олексія Чернишова внесли заставу у 120 млн грн." (120 million UAH bail posted for Vice Prime Minister Oleksiy Chernyshov). This is an internal Ukrainian legal development that impacts public perception of governance. Олександр Вілкул provides a briefing on the results of 02 JUL 25 for Kryvyi Rih. Colonelcassad reports that the deputy commander of the 110th Mechanized Brigade, Romanyuk, was also killed alongside Zakharevych in Huliaipole, indicating a significant decapitation strike. Военкор Котенок shares photo messages with the caption "Днепропетровское направление." The images display a rural, possibly forested or overgrown area with visible signs of recent ground disturbance and military activity, including what appears to be dugouts, trenches, or recently shelled areas. The context implies ongoing operations in the Dnipropetrovsk direction. TASS reports that Ukrainian forces have abandoned their positions in Dachne, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, according to Igor Kimakovsky, advisor to the head of the DNR. UAF Zaporizhzhia OVA reports a civilian woman injured in Polohy district due to RUF attack. Операция Z claims "Valiant" forces are breaking through towards Myrnohrad and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, further amplifying RUF claims of advance. Colonelcassad reports Russian soldier, Alexander Ershov, from the 80th Tank Regiment, claims capture of Petrovskoye and Yalta, and reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. This is a significant claim of deep penetration, requiring verification. UAF Army Aviation and Anti-Aircraft Missile Forces celebrate their day in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, indicating continued operational status despite combat. Олександр Вілкул reports 40 million passengers used public transport in Kryvyi Rih in the first half of the year, indicating a return to some normalcy and function of local administration despite the war. Олександр Вілкул (Olexandr Vilkul) posts photos celebrating Day of Army Aviation and Anti-Aircraft Missile Forces and Air Defense Missile Forces. (030717Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo message (030749Z JUL 25) claiming RUF missile strike on Huliaipole, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on 01 JUL. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in Chernihiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts, warning of potential targeting. (030822Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports "In the morning, the enemy attacked Velykomykhailivka community in Synelnykivskyi district with a KAB." (030843Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (030901Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports meeting with representatives of the International Committee of the Red Cross in Ukraine. (031133Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports the farewell ceremony for Colonel Serhii Zakharevych, commander of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, held in Uman. Rybar reports an Iskander strike destroyed the entire staff of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade in Huliaipole, confirming the liquidation of Commander Serhiy Zakharevych, Deputy Commander Dmytro Romanyuk, and Chief of Staff Valeriy Mirzayev, with estimated losses of 70 killed and 30 wounded. BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports UAF capture of 9 RUF soldiers from a failed offensive into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, further contradicting RUF claims of sustained penetration. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports "Ще 63 ветерани та родини полеглих захисників з Дніпропетровщини отримали можливість придбати житло. Перші сертифікати на нього разом із профільною міністеркою Наталією Калмиковою вручили власникам." (Another 63 veterans and families of fallen defenders from Dnipropetrovsk region received the opportunity to purchase housing. The first certificates were handed to the owners together with the relevant minister Nataliia Kalmykova.) (031444Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on civilian casualties, drone attacks, and RUF claims of presence in Dachne; MEDIUM on verified RUF control of Dachne given strong, persistent UAF denials; CRITICAL intelligence contradiction regarding broader RUF penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and associated UAF prisoner claims).
Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states Russian troops advance in border areas has been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. UAF General Staff reports repelling 22 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. UAF drone footage shows State Border Guard Service of Ukraine (ДПСУ) units "Prime" destroying enemy targets in the Kursk direction. RUF is conducting KAB launches and drone activity into Sumy Oblast. Konotop: MoD Russia claims "Geran-2 UAVs destroyed a temporary deployment area of the AFU 58th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade and a UAV depot." UAF drone footage shows several deceased Russian soldiers in a "demilitarized buffer zone" in Sumy Oblast. RUF claims a company of UAF soldiers was destroyed in Yunakivka. RUF claims a fight near Tyotkino with Russian paratroopers storming positions. RUF claims repelled UAF counterattacks in Sumy Oblast. UAF General Staff publishes a map showing the frontline in Sumy Oblast for the first time since February. RUF Msta-S howitzer crew destroyed UAF fortified positions and personnel near Yunakivka. UAVs from Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts are moving towards Poltava Oblast. STERNENKO [Video message] shows a reconnaissance drone being intercepted in Sumy Oblast by "Prime" forces. TASS reports video claiming drone operators of "Rubicon" center destroyed a Leopard 2A6 tank in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Швидкісна ціль на Сумщині." (High-speed target in Sumy Oblast.). This indicates potential continued aerial threat, likely a missile or fast-moving drone. РБК-Україна reports a passenger minibus was damaged by a drone attack in Sumy, indicating civilian impact. WarGonzo reports Russian tanks and artillery are breaking UAF logistics in Sumy Oblast, confirming RUF presence in the "grey zone" near the border. Два майора reports drone activity in Sumy direction, showing multiple explosions. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Сумська область - загроза застосування ворогом ударних БпЛА." (Sumy Oblast - threat of enemy strike UAVs.). STERNENKO reports "Загроза ударних БПЛА із північного сходу." (Threat of strike UAVs from the northeast.) TASS reports an outflow of population from Sumy, citing Russian security forces. Colonelcassad reports Ussuriysk paratroopers destroying UAF infantry in Sumy Oblast. TASS reports the 425th Separate Assault Regiment's 2nd Assault Company is almost entirely missing in action on the Sumy direction, according to security forces. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the southern part of Sumy Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. New enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Sumy Oblast. UAF resources engaged. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of RUF strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (030709Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a target in Sumy Oblast from Kursk direction, heading towards Bilopillia. (030719Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports an explosion in Konotop, Sumy Oblast, citing the mayor. (030721Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek warns of 8 "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) en route to/through Konotop. (030717Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek reports "minus" for mopeds in Konotop. (030734Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports explosion in Konotop, with the city under UAV attack. (030737Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Konotop under UAV attack. (030751Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports repelling 13 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. (030802Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. (030858Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031005Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031007Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a target in Sumy Oblast towards Mykolaivka. (031023Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a photo of military personnel in a rural area with a caption "Kursk Oblast", possibly indicating Russian border activity. (031029Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares another photo of military personnel in a rural area with a caption "Kursk Oblast", suggesting continued Russian presence near the border. (031029Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a map-based illustration, likely a tactical update for Kursk Oblast. (031029Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares video of a truck being destroyed in Sumy Oblast, likely by a UAF drone. (031143Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (031204Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares a video showcasing FPV drone footage of reconnaissance and strikes against military vehicles and settlements in Sumy Oblast, accompanied by a QR code for donations. This confirms continued UAF tactical drone operations and public fundraising. Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. STERNENKO donates to "Shahed Cutter" (AD system). (031501Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (031550Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on stabilized front line, UAF defensive successes, and ongoing RUF KAB/drone activity; MEDIUM on specific unverified HVT loss; MEDIUM for claimed Leopard destruction due to RUF source; MEDIUM on population outflow, as it is from a RUF source; MEDIUM on TASS claim of UAF losses, awaiting UAF confirmation).
Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes (Vilkhuvatka, Pidlyman) and ground clashes near Vovchansk, Hlyboke, Stroyivka and towards Kutkivka, and Kupyansk direction near Holubivka, Stepova Novoselivka and Zelenyi Hai. Vovchansk: RUF video confirms a TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system strike on the "butter extraction plant." Pisochyn: 8 people injured, including one child, from RUF drone attack. Korotych airfield: RUF claims strike on airfield. Clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Zelene, Hlyboke, Vovchanski Khutory, Krasne Pershe, Dovhenke and towards Petro-Ivanivka (South Slobozhansky direction) and Holubivka, Pischane and towards Novoosynove (Kupyansk direction). Kharkiv experienced a record number of Russian air attacks in June 2025. RUF video shows the destruction of a UAF L-119 howitzer in Kharkiv Oblast, Kupyansk direction. RUF claims forces have secured positions near Kondrashovka and occupied approximately 3 hectares near Petropavlovka. RUF claims security forces destroyed Ukrainian National Guard "Khartiya" brigade officers in Liptsy. Hostile UAV detected over Kharkiv. Explosion in Kharkiv, city under drone attack. One-story non-residential building on fire in Novobavarskyi district. One person killed, one wounded in Kharkiv Oblast from night attacks. RUF claims first use of "Chernika" loitering munitions on targets in Kharkiv. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) reports on the Kharkiv direction without specific details, indicating continued RUF focus on the area. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an air defense unit of the "Iron Brigade" successfully hunted down enemy targets yesterday, indicating continued defensive operations. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts a video showing a Ukrainian FPV drone successfully targeting and engaging a Russian "Orlan-10" reconnaissance drone on July 1st. Oleg Synyegubov, Head of Kharkiv OVA, reports on the operational situation in Kharkiv Oblast, detailing ongoing Russian attacks including shelling and drone strikes on residential buildings and critical infrastructure. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports Kharkiv communities received vehicles from the German government. РБК-Україна shares video of SFO soldiers showing a successful raid on Russians near the border, including a captured soldier. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "🛸 На Харківщині - ворожий розвідувальний БпЛА! Можлива робота ППО." (Kharkiv Oblast - enemy reconnaissance UAV! Possible air defense activity.). This indicates continued RUF ISR efforts and UAF AD response. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Пуски керованих авіаційних бомб ворожою тактичною авіацією на Харківщину зі сходу." (Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Kharkiv Oblast from the east). This confirms continued RUF glide bomb use on Kharkiv. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports "Двоє людей постраждали внаслідок атак ворожими FPV-дронами на Харківщині." (Two people injured as a result of enemy FPV drone attacks in Kharkiv Oblast). This indicates continued civilian targeting and the threat of FPV drones. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video titled "ССО провели наліт на групу росіян поблизу кордону" (SFO conducted a raid on a group of Russians near the border), which appears to show Ukrainian Special Operations Forces conducting an operation against Russian forces, including the capture of prisoners. This confirms successful UAF tactical action in border areas. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА posts "🏠 Родини Захисників з Харківщини отримали сертифікати на нове житло." (Families of Defenders from Kharkiv Oblast received certificates for new housing.). This indicates continued civilian support and social welfare efforts in the region, aimed at bolstering morale. Kadyrov_95 (Akhmat Special Forces 'Baty' Group) claims to have destroyed a Ukrainian dugout with personnel inside on the Kharkiv direction. "ZONA SVO" channel repeats this claim. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides an informational/recruitment video for "Khartia" unit, mentioning drone operators and EW specialists. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new UAV movement from Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of RUF reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports impact drones are observed in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports the destruction of a UAF T-64BV tank by "Rubicon" FPV drone operators in Kharkiv Oblast. TASS reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted more than 15 attacks near Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, losing about 250 soldiers and 12 armored vehicles in unsuccessful counterattacks. New RUF reports indicate that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an updated estimate of RUF combat losses (as of 03 JUL 25), with 1000 personnel killed or wounded in the last 24 hours. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports enemy strikes on 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast (Vovchansk, Chuhuiv, Kupiansk, Bohodukhiv districts). TASS reports UAF has reinforced its grouping in Bohuslavka, Kharkiv Oblast, with a new unit – the Unmanned Systems Forces. Air Force reports targets in Izium, Kharkiv Oblast. (030736Z JUL 25) Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk oblasts. (030745Z JUL 25) OTU Kharkiv provides an informational message, likely a summary of the situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. (030748Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Hlyboke, Zelene, Vovchansk, Milove, Ambarne and towards Mytrofanivka and Mala Shapkivka (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Stepova Novoselivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyy Hay and towards Petropavlika (Kupyansk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shares photos and text of AD forces. (030907Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shares photos and text on cooperation with Saxony, Germany. (030908Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (030911Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD statement on liberation of Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (030918Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Melovoye (Kharkov region) liberated. (030933Z JUL 25) Oleg Synehubov reports civilian male wounded in Savynska community due to explosion. (030932Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian males from Kharkiv fled to Romania through mountains. (030933Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports over 282 hectares of Kharkiv Oblast territory were demined in a week. (031132Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports destruction of an enemy assault group near Vovchansk, Kharkiv direction. (031237Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА posts photos of air defense personnel celebrating Air Defense Missile Forces Day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares video claiming "Liberated Melovoe in Kupyansk direction" showing RUF forces on a rooftop with flags. (031500Z JUL 25) TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on airstrikes, ground clashes, civilian casualties, and continued RUF offensive intent; HIGH on RUF intelligence regarding UAF drone training; HIGH on RUF volunteer fundraising for combat operations).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske on the Zaporizhzhia front. Battles for Kamyanske are in full swing. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kamyanske, and near Malynivka (Huliaipole direction). Kadyrovites (Chechen special forces) are being prepared for assaults on the Zaporizhzhia direction, with approximately 15 military trucks moving them to Enerhodar / Melitopol / Vasylivka area. RUF attack on an agricultural enterprise in Polohy district. Civilian vehicle engulfed in flames in Zaporizhzhia after a Russian attack. RUF launched 4 strikes on Zaporizhzhia and Zaporizhzhia district. A 56-year-old man was wounded in Polohy district. Complex night in Zaporizhzhia, with one district subjected to Shahed drone attacks. Over 400 shellings across the region, with 4 drones hitting an industrial enterprise and one Shahed hitting a residential area. RUF channel reports artillery of the 35th Army continues to work on "planned targets" in the Polohy direction. Two people wounded from an enemy attack on Polohy district. RUF posts multiple photos and videos confirming a night strike by "Geraniums" (Shahed drones) on industrial infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia. UAF operational information as of 08:00 (local time) and photos confirming UAF strikes on enemy locations. Colonel Serhiy Zakharevych, commander of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, killed in Huliaipole. RUF reports strike on the 110th Brigade in Huliaipole, claiming the death of the brigade commander and other officers. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on positive harvest forecasts for Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued agricultural activity despite hostilities. WarGonzo shares a video showing aerial reconnaissance or drone footage capturing ground-level activity in a wooded or brushy area of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating active military operations and RUF presence. Colonelcassad reports FSB detaining three residents of Zaporizhzhia Oblast for transferring funds to Ukrainian special services and military. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos of tax officials receiving awards in Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued civilian administration and morale-boosting events. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts "🚨УВАГА🚨" (ATTENTION) likely a warning for air threats. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 also posts photo messages about an upcoming Facebook and Instagram live stream and another about the head of Polohy district administration discussing the war's impact on communities, highlighting continued civilian administration and morale-boosting efforts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an educational project "ELITA UFUTURE" for schoolchildren, aimed at connecting students with enterprises, indicating efforts to support youth development and economic recovery. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a 70-year-old woman was wounded in Orikhiv from an enemy attack. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Операция Z reports RUF has secured positions in the center of Kamyanske and is cutting it into two parts. Военкор Котенок shares photo messages with the caption "Запорожское направление." The images depict a desolate, likely combat-affected landscape, characterized by bare trees, possibly indicating a forested area or tree line, with visible smoke or haze in the background. No specific military equipment or personnel are clearly identifiable. The presence of smoke or haze might suggest recent combat activity or ongoing fires. New UAF message "🚨УВАГА🚨" from Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration likely indicates ongoing air threat. New RUF video shows mortar fire and destruction of positions on the Zaporizhzhia direction. WarGonzo map indicates UAF offensive actions (grey drone icon) near Malaya Tokmachka and Shcherbaky, and offensive actions (red drone icon) near Stepove. UAF also conducting drone strikes (grey drone icon) near Stepove. RUF also making tactical advances indicated by red arrows north of Kamenskoye, near Shcherbaky, and north of Malaya Tokmachka. Два майора shares video of RUF forces in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030700Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports HUR showed unique footage of the destruction of RUF drone operators in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030708Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photos on veterans participating in Greco-Roman wrestling in Zaporizhzhia. (030704Z JUL 25) Zaporizhzhia OVA shares video celebrating Army Aviation Day. (030740Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Kamyanske (Orikhiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos and text of AD forces. (030916Z JUL 25) Воин DV reports 63rd Separate Special Forces Company, 35th Army annihilating UAF manpower in Polozhsky direction, and targeting vehicles and Starlink. (030938Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos of a construction site for a new underground school in Zaporizhzhia. (031005Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts "Імена, що назавжди залишаться поруч" (Names that will forever remain nearby), suggesting a memorial context. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares additional memorial photos. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares additional memorial photos. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares additional memorial photos. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares additional memorial photos. (031047Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of HUR destroying Russian drone operator positions in Zaporizhzhia direction, destroying 42 targets and identifying 90 positions. (031113Z JUL 25) Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація reports expanded social support for military personnel and their families. (031251Z JUL 25) Воин DV reports 68th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade continues to lose equipment near Novopavlovka, showing drone footage of destroyed MaxxPro and Novator vehicles. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration announces annual charity run 'Honoring Warriors, Running for Heroes'. STERNENKO shares drone footage of 'Kryla OMGA' special unit targeting RUF logistics at night. Оперативний ЗСУ reports "Бійці СОУ успішно взяли під контроль одну з ворожих позицій поблизу населеного пункту Кам’янське, Запорізька область" (SFO fighters successfully took control of one of the enemy positions near the settlement of Kamyanske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast) with video of personnel digging trenches. (031442Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 issued an air raid warning. (031450Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Запорізька область - ракетна небезпека!" (Zaporizhzhia Oblast - missile danger!). (031453Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is livestreaming. (031501Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports termination of air raid alert. (031538Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports all threats for Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv Oblasts terminated. (031540Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on civilian casualties, drone attacks, artillery activity, and Kadyrovite buildup; LOW on verified RUF control of Kamyanske; HIGH on civilian support and resilience efforts; HIGH on FSB operations in occupied territories).
Kherson Oblast: RUF and UAF reports indicate continued positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance. RUF photos indicate continued presence and focus. UAF posts photos of civilian infrastructure damaged by RUF shelling. RUF shelled the Central District of Kherson, killing one man and wounding another. A hospital in Kherson was attacked by RUF artillery yesterday around 23:00, resulting in 5 wounded patients and 3 wounded nurses. RUF claims "Dnipro" grouping artillery destroyed a UAF Grad MLRS. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an enemy helicopter conducting reconnaissance near the Black Sea coast. Два majora (RUF source) shares a video of a Russian military truck with an anti-aircraft gun operating in the Kherson direction. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs) reports a meeting with families of marine infantry brigades (34th, 35th, 36th, 37th, 39th Separate Marine Infantry Brigades) regarding soldiers captured or missing in action near Krynky. Сили оборони Півдня України (Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine) shares a video with the caption "Ворог продовжує обстрілювати цивільних та медичні заклади!" (The enemy continues to shell civilians and medical facilities!), showing the aftermath of shelling on a medical facility in Kherson. This confirms continued RUF targeting of civilian infrastructure. Colonelcassad reports a conviction in the Kherson Oblast Court for a Russian citizen transferring information to Ukrainian special services. UAF General Staff reports only one RUF ship in Black Sea and six in Azov, none with Kalibrs, indicating degraded RUF naval presence. Сили оборони Півдня України reports 16 enemy assaults repelled in the last 24 hours in Orikhiv and Kherson directions. RUF suffered losses of 135 personnel, 4 guns, 2 mortar launchers, 2 reconnaissance UAVs, 2 EW stations, 2 communication stations, 1 engineering vehicle, 1 boat, and 1 vehicle. RUF launched 10 Lancet UAVs, 1 tactical aircraft KAB strike, and 12 FPV drones, all targeting the Orikhiv direction. RUF continues to shell settlements on the right bank of the Dnipro, causing significant destruction. Два майора shares video of Russian forces in the Kherson direction. (030715Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 2 Russian army assaults (Kherson direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Два майора posts a video "This morning in Belgorod Oblast. People live in such conditions for years." (030849Z JUL 25) This refers to the situation in Russia, but implies continued cross-border shelling impacting civilian life. Николаевский Ванёк shares video of a captured RUF soldier from the Dachne area, likely from an offensive push into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (031149Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek shares new video depicting drone footage, likely a UAF drone, targeting and destroying an RLM-D 55Zh6M NEBO-M radar system. The video overlay displays Ukrainian text, reinforcing its origin. (031519Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, resulting in two confirmed civilian fatalities (a married couple) and four injured. 14 Shahed UAVs were destroyed by UAF AD. Odesa Coastal Logistics/Oil Refinery: RUF reports a "powerful strike and huge fire" at an enemy object near Odesa, with video evidence. TASS reports RUF struck an oil terminal supplying fuel to the Ukrainian Navy. NASA satellite data corroborates fires in the area of grain and fuel terminals. UAF Naval Forces report no Russian naval presence in Black Sea, 2 ships in Azov, 1 in Mediterranean (no missile carriers). UAF video shows destruction of an "aerial target (Geran)" over Odesa. Explosion of the "Vilamoura" tanker of Russia's "shadow fleet" in the Mediterranean Sea on June 27, citing GUR. RUF reports discovery of "Geranium" UAV debris in Odesa with unusual two-letter tail numbers. RUF drone attacks on Izmail district damaged port and tourist infrastructure. Rybar reports on strike results in Vilkovo, Odesa region, implying continued targeting of coastal areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF is suspected in a series of tanker explosions after they entered Russian ports. This suggests UAF is being attributed with kinetic actions against Russian maritime logistics, potentially expanding the maritime domain of conflict. RUF source "Два майора" reports Financial Times (FT) claims Ukrainian special services may be involved in blowing up Russian ships. Николаевский Ванёк reports 5 RUF "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) flying towards Odesa/Lymanka, warning of imminent loud events. This is followed by a report that 4 of the 5 drones were downed. РБК-Україна reports AD activity in Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports explosions in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports a UAV heading towards Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк confirms 1 drone remaining heading towards Odesa and then reports all drones from the sea are down. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa, citing Trukhanov. ASTRA shares photos of apartments burning in a residential high-rise in Odesa after an RUF attack, confirming civilian impact. РБК-Україна reports Odesa is under drone attack. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa. РБК-Україна reports five people were rescued from upper floors in Odesa after the attack. РБК-УкраїНА shares video footage showing firefighters and rescue operations in a damaged nine-story building in Odesa, including evacuation of civilians. The video confirms significant damage to the building and the ongoing emergency response by the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (ДСНС). РБК-Україна also shares photos of the aftermath of the Odesa attack, showing significant damage to residential areas. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm 3 civilians hospitalized after Odesa attack, indicating continuing impact. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares new photo and video messages showing the aftermath of the Odesa attack, including a large apartment building engulfed in flames and emergency services on scene. ASTRA reports 4 people injured in Odesa multi-story building attack, citing State Emergency Service of Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of the Odesa apartment building being hit. РБК-Україна reports 5 people, including 2 children, were injured in the attack on Odesa. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms 5 casualties, 2 children injured. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports 40 of 52 enemy UAVs were shot down. Север.Реалии shares photo messages depicting a multi-story residential building damaged by a drone hit in Odesa, confirming casualties. ASTRA reports the number of injured in Odesa attack increased to five. Сили оборони Півдня України (Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine) reports 10 Shahed-131/136 UAVs were destroyed in the southern operational zone over the past day. (030703Z JUL 25) Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine post images commemorating Army Aviation Day. (030740Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares images of apartment building on fire in Odesa from RUF shelling (030803Z JUL 25) Сили оборони Півдня України posts videos and photos showing the aftermath of a night attack on Odesa. (030842Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek reports ballistic missile threat to Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) Air Force reports high-speed target towards Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports explosion in Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports ballistic missile threat from Crimea for Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports Odesa under ballistic missile strike. (030953Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa. (030954Z JUL 25) Два майора shares photos of Odesa (030957Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports a missile strike in the Odesa port area with a huge smoke plume. (031006Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa, with possible repeated launches. (031008Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports two powerful explosions in Odesa port area. (031010Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces termination of ballistic missile threat. (031013Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure. (031035Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure and military cargo. (031048Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa after ballistic missile attack. (031116Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa due to strike on port infrastructure. (031116Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa. (031121Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports RUF attacked port infrastructure in Odesa with missiles. (031134Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured from the Iskander strike on Odesa port has risen to 6, including two Syrian citizens. (031152Z JUL 25) WarGonzo comments on "marine terrorism" and the VILAMOURA tanker explosion. (031241Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports "Другий за сьогодні приліт балістики в Одесі: над містом знову дим, — місцеві ЗМІ" (Second ballistic missile arrival in Odesa today: smoke over the city again, — local media). (031445Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Mykolaiv was struck by ballistic missiles (6 Iskanders) and Shahed UAVs overnight, with confirmed impacts on infrastructure. RUF claims destroyed Kulbakino airfield in Mykolaiv. RUF claims destroyed a large UAF live force deployment point near Snihurivka. Astra reports Russia attacked Ukraine with 114 drones and 4 S-300 missiles overnight. Confidence: HIGH (on attacks and civilian impacts; MEDIUM on specific RUF BDA claims).
Kyiv Oblast: Massed RUF overnight attack included cruise missiles passing Slavutych towards Kyiv. UAF AD was operating effectively. Two UAF Air Force pilots, Lieutenant Colonel Maksym Ustymenko and Oleksiy "Moonfish" Mes, killed while repelling the attack. UAF General Staff confirmed a massed missile-drone attack with over 500 air targets launched and 475 targets neutralized, with an additional 226 suppressed by EW. Ukrainian UAV manufacturer founder warns Kyiv may become "most vulnerable and dangerous" due to critical air defense deficit. Syrskyi states basic general training will be increased from 49 to 51 days, with two additional days for training against enemy strike UAVs. UAF General Staff posts photos from a meeting regarding countering Russian strike UAVs. KVA complains about lack of modular shelters despite 3.5 years of war. Zelenskiy signed documents for the ratification of the Agreement on the creation of a Special Tribunal regarding the crime of Russian aggression against Ukraine. KVM A (Kyiv City Military Administration) states that Klychko (Mayor of Kyiv) claims there are no powers to place mobile shelters in the capital. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) claims "Kyiv is in a panic due to the halt of US supplies." РБК-Україна reports "У Києві відбулась зустріч японської бізнес-делегації: основні напрямки співпраці в Україні" (A meeting of the Japanese business delegation took place in Kyiv: main areas of cooperation in Ukraine). This indicates continued international business engagement and confidence in Kyiv despite ongoing attacks. Zelenskyy states that details regarding US defense support and air defense components are being clarified at working levels between Ukraine and the US. He also mentioned preparing new agreements with Denmark and other partners for joint weapons production, including interceptor drones. KVM A (Kyiv City Military Administration) repeats Zelenskyy's statement, indicating aligned messaging. KVM A announces an air raid alert in Kyiv due to UAV threat. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV from Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast, and later confirms a UAV heading towards Kyiv from the east. РБК-Україна confirms the UAV movement. KVM A reports that air defense is operating in the capital. РБК-Україна confirms explosions and AD activity in Kyiv. KVM A announces the end of the air raid alert in Kyiv. ASTRA reports that Ukraine's Air Force states 40 of 52 enemy UAVs were neutralized overnight. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts photos showing air defense operations, emphasizing their efforts. (030710Z JUL 25) КМВА posts video commemorating Day of Army Aviation (030802Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports a farewell to deceased F-16 pilot Maksym Ustymenko in Kyiv. (030917Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos of the farewell ceremony for F-16 pilot Maksym Ustymenko in Kyiv. (031130Z JUL 25) Zelenskiy / Official shares video regarding agreement on Ukrainian-American cooperation for drone production. (031151Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports Ukraine signed a memorandum with US company Swift Beat (ex-Google CEO) for joint drone production, including interceptors. (031253Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of strike UAVs heading for Chernihiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports Zelensky announced the production of hundreds of thousands of "anti-Shahed" drones this year, confirmed by video evidence. Air Force reports enemy UAV approaching Kyiv from northeast. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports a single RUF UAV ("moped") flying towards Kyiv via Brovary. Kyiv City Military Administration announces air raid alert in Kyiv due to UAV threat. RBK-Ukraine confirms air raid alert in Kyiv. Operativny ZSU reports air raid alert in Kyiv due to enemy strike drone. RBK-Ukraine reports enemy drone over Kyiv, possible AD activity. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces "Відбій загрози застосування балістичного озброєння." (All clear for ballistic missile threat.) (031442Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new enemy UAV heading towards Chernihiv Oblast from Kyiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports movement on the red metro line in Kyiv is from Akademmistechko to Politekhnichnyi Instytut. (031534Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports movement on the green metro line in Kyiv is from Syrets to Pecherska and from Osokorky to Chervonyi Khutir. (031546Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Cherkasy Oblast: RUF attacked Smila with missiles and drones, resulting in 11 casualties, including 2 children, and damage to three nine-story buildings and a college. UAF AD shot down most incoming threats. Operativny ZSU photo message from SBU about an FSB agent exposed for helping prepare shelling of Cherkasy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports SBU exposed a 20-year-old student preparing new strikes on Cherkasy Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.
Poltava Oblast: Kremenchug: RUF video confirms a successful strike on the Kremenchug oil refinery. UAV groups are moving from Sumy Oblast to Poltava Oblast, heading south. Strike UAVs from Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts are moving towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new UAV movement from Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. РБК-Україна reports on updated data about the movement of strike drones from Air Force. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the southern part of Sumy Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. Explosions reported in Poltava. UAF Air Force reports UAVs heading towards Poltava from the north and west. RBK-Ukraine confirms drone activity near Poltava. Poltava City Council reports Poltava was under a massive attack by Russian drones. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over an urban area, followed by smoke and secondary explosions, with the caption claiming "Geraniums" (Shahed drones) struck a TCC building in Poltava. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Alex Parker Returns also reports the strike on the Poltava TCC building, framing it as a "new trend." STERNENKO reports explosions in Poltava from Shahed attacks. Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports RUF attacked a TCC building in Poltava. (030716Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photos of aftermath of strike on Poltava. (030801Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports 2 killed, 11 injured in Poltava. (030840Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports that military personnel are among the injured in Poltava. (030843Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports UAF confirmed 4 military personnel wounded from drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030921Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports 2 killed from RUF attack on Poltava TCC. (030923Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports on a video explaining why Russia attacks TCCs. (031004Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports 21 people sought medical attention in Poltava after the attack. (031106Z JUL 25) ASTRA shares video footage of the Poltava strike. (031135Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports 28 people sought medical attention in Poltava after the attack. (031137Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports 28 casualties in Poltava after the attack. (031138Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports 47 injured in Poltava, including police. (031208Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна confirms 47 injured in Poltava, including police. (031211Z JUL 25) Олександр Вілкул provides a briefing for Kryvyi Rih for 03 JUL 25. (031541Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on strikes and UAV activity; HIGH on UAF internal anti-corruption efforts).
Lviv Oblast: Drohobych: RUF video shows multiple missile/drone impacts and explosions at a refinery in Drohobych, Lviv Oblast. Freight train derailed in Rivne Oblast. Discovery of cluster munitions after an RUF attack in Lviv Oblast. ASTRA reports SBU detained an Air Force major in Lviv Oblast suspected of espionage for Russia. (030902Z JUL 25) Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs) reports a meeting with families of POWs and missing persons in Lviv, highlighting continued efforts to address humanitarian issues and support military families. (031031Z JUL 25) Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими shares additional photos of this meeting. (031031Z JUL 25) Coordination Staff for POW Affairs reports a meeting with families of the 67th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Confidence: HIGH.
Zhytomyr Oblast: Colonelcassad reports "В Житомире ракетные прилеты." (Missile strikes in Zhytomyr). This confirms RUF missile attacks impacting Zhytomyr Oblast, west of Kyiv. The accompanying video by Colonelcassad shows a significant explosion and plume of smoke near a gas station and warehouse, corroborated by РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ. New messages confirm a strong explosion in Zhytomyr, with media reports suggesting an impact at a gas station or fuel object, with associated photo and video evidence from multiple sources (РБК-Україна, Операция Z, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС). РБК-Україна reports multiple explosions at a gas station in Berezino village. Alex Parker Returns also reports explosions near Zhytomyr and that the explosion occurred at a warehouse of an industrial enterprise in Berezina, where heavy trucks were likely transporting ammunition. Multiple sources (ASTRA, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Операція Z, РБК-УкраїНА, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Военкор Котенок) confirm a large explosion in Zhytomyr or near the Zhytomyr-Kyiv highway, with initial reports pointing to a gas station and later conflicting reports suggesting a warehouse or ammunition depot. The M-06 Kyiv - Chop highway is closed due to the explosion. Casualties are reported but not yet confirmed. The impact affected civilian houses. UAF sources are verifying the exact site. РБК-Україна reports a video from a gas station near Zhytomyr. РБК-Україна reports the Zhytomyr OVA has published phone numbers for assistance in Berezino village, confirming civilian impact. Colonelcassad shares new video of the aftermath. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides video evidence, stating the epicenter was not the gas station itself. ASTRA reports a SOCAR gas station was damaged with casualties. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts video of the explosion near a McDonald's. Два майора shares multiple videos of the Zhytomyr explosions, showing vehicles burning on a highway. РБК-Україна reports that over 700 homes were de-energized due to the explosion near Zhytomyr. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that two production facilities were completely destroyed near Zhytomyr, with 2 killed and 15 injured. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the destruction of two production facilities. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in Zhytomyr has risen to 24. РБК-Україна confirms both Zhytomyr explosions occurred at a private enterprise. Старше Эдды claims the Zhytomyr explosion was at an ammunition depot on a furniture factory premises. Операция Z and Оперативний ЗСУ share new video messages of the aftermath of the Zhytomyr explosion, with RUF sources claiming it was a Polish factory and UAF sources showing distant explosions and an impacted industrial building. Movement on the Kyiv-Chop highway has been fully restored. Оперативний ЗСУ reports injured in Zhytomyr region increased to 82, with 2 killed. (030812Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares video detailing 82 injured in Zhytomyr. (030835Z JUL 25) Два майора shares dashcam video of explosion in urban area. (030930Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares video of yesterday's explosion on the M-06 highway near Zhytomyr, showing a massive mushroom cloud. (031102Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports furniture factory detonated in Zhytomyr. Confidence: HIGH (on explosions and civilian impact; MEDIUM on exact target; HIGH on casualty increase).
Russian Territory (Saratov / Engels / Ulyanovsk / Rostov Oblast / Kazan / Nizhnekamsk / Izhevsk / Nizhny Novgorod Oblast / Khabarovsk Krai / St. Petersburg / Ukhta / Moscow / Tambov / Voronezh / Lipetsk / Yelets / Samara / Kotovsk / Irkutsk): Saratov/Engels: Explosions and sirens reported. Three drones fell on the territory of the Saratov oil refinery this morning. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Saratov airport. Ulyanovsk: Temporary flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport. Rostov: RUF Air Defense destroyed UAVs over Rostov, Taganrog, and five districts of Rostov Oblast. Kazan: Temporary flight restrictions imposed at Kazan airport. Nizhnekamsk: Nizhnekamsk Airport suspended operations. RUF MoD claims 60 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Russian regions overnight. Izhevsk: Drone attack on a military enterprise in Izhevsk, specifically the electro-mechanical plant "Kupol" (produces Tor and Osa AD systems and drones for RUF army). Confirmed by SBU and UAF General Staff. Personnel evacuated, firefighters extinguishing fires. At least 9 people injured, rising to 45 injured, 3 killed, 35 hospitalized, 10 critical. ASTRA posts photos with caption "Четыре цеха по производству БПЛА повреждены на ижевском заводе «Купол» после вчерашней атаки. Работа предприятия остановлена" (Four UAV production workshops damaged at Izhevsk "Kupol" plant after yesterday's attack. Enterprise operation stopped). This confirms successful UAF deep strike and significant impact on RUF military industrial complex. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and STERNENKO confirm the damage to the Izhevsk 'Kupol' plant, specifically identifying it as a producer of Shahed and Harpya-A1 kamikaze drones, and confirming the SBU strike on July 1. ASTRA reports internet jamming in Izhevsk for two weeks prior to the attack, causing public complaints. Confidence: HIGH (on impact, MEDIUM for precise figures). Crimea: UJ-26 "Bober" UAVs attacked Russian radar systems, air defense, and a Su-30 aircraft in Crimea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС reports "В Криму ліквідовано Командувача Чорноморського флоту рф, – z-воєнкори." (Commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet liquidated in Crimea, - z-milbloggers). This indicates a significant UAF HVT targeting claim, albeit from a pro-Russian source. Confidence: MEDIUM (requires further verification). Nizhny Novgorod Oblast: An Su-34 fighter jet crashed. Navigator died. Pilots ejected. Main landing gear malfunction. Saratov oil refinery: UAF General Staff officially confirmed attack. TASS reports an ongoing criminal investigation into the head of "Forpost Baltiki Plus," Evgeny Kononov, for embezzlement from a Russian MoD contract in Kaliningrad Oblast. This indicates ongoing internal corruption issues. TASS reports a Headhunter mobile application failure, which could impact military recruitment or civilian labor movement. TASS reports Russian MoD claims ВС РФ за сутки поразили предприятие ВПК, цеха сборки БПЛА и места их хранения (VPC enterprise, UAV assembly workshops, and storage sites). Kotsnews reports Северяне уничтожили две вражеские ДРГ в окрестностях Горналя (Northern forces destroyed two enemy DRGs in the vicinity of Gornal). ASTRA reports a postgraduate student convicted for anti-war actions was released in St. Petersburg, indicating limited internal dissent is being contained. WarGonzo reports a monument to "Motorola" in Ukhta, glorifying separatist figures. TASS reports the former first deputy head of Khimki, Nikolay Minaev, was arrested in absentia for bribery exceeding 6 million rubles, further indicating internal anti-corruption efforts within Russia. ASTRA reports additional memorial plaques for war dead being installed in Saratov, noting a consistent increase in reported fatalities. Полиция Хабаровского края reports МВД awards for police officers saving a civilian, indicating continued domestic security focus and propaganda. Север.Реалии reports Russian companies sharply increased wage arrears. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. TASS reports "По делу о поставке некачественных бронежилетов в ВС РФ арестованы доли в фирмах, земля и счета связанных с главой ГК "Пикет" людей, передает корреспондент ТАСС." (In the case of supplying low-quality body armor to the Russian Armed Forces, shares in firms, land, and accounts of people connected with the head of "Piket" Group of Companies have been arrested, TASS correspondent reports). This indicates continued internal anti-corruption or efficiency investigations within the Russian military procurement system. Север.Реалии reports ""Верстка": с начала войны против Украины звания Героев России получили 459 участников боевых действий, из них 217 – посмертно" ("Verstka": Since the beginning of the war against Ukraine, 459 combatants have received the title of Hero of Russia, 217 of them posthumously). This provides data on RUF official recognition of military personnel and implicitly, the scale of their casualties. Moscow: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС reports "⚡️У центрі Москви прогриміли кілька вибухів — за словами очевидців, згоріло щонайменше два автомобілі." (⚡️Several explosions thundered in the center of Moscow - according to eyewitnesses, at least two cars burned down.). This indicates potential internal security incidents in Moscow. Операция Z reports "‼️🇷🇺🏴‍☠В центре Москвы взорвалась машина с 80-летним ветераном КГБ и его дочерью, которая также работала в спецслужбах, - СМИ" (‼️🇷🇺🏴‍☠In the center of Moscow, a car with an 80-year-old KGB veteran and his daughter, who also worked in special services, exploded, - media). This confirms an explosion in Moscow involving high-value, albeit retired, targets. TASS reports a new court arrest in the Ural murders case (Kamal Safarov), indicating continued domestic law enforcement activity. TASS also shares two new videos regarding the filming of a music video for "Intervision-25" in Moscow for the singer Shaman. This indicates continued efforts to maintain civilian normalcy and national cultural events. TASS reports a case of "detonation of a powder box" in Chelyabinsk, resulting in a man losing both hands, and criminal cases being opened. ASTRA reports seventh and eighth Azerbaijani figure arrested in Yekaterinburg in the murder case, confirming ongoing arrests that fuel diplomatic tensions. ASTRA also reports three 16-year-old schoolchildren are being held in Grozny police for seven months without charges, signaling human rights concerns. ASTRA shares a video of an urban explosion in Russia, with smoke from a building. ASTRA shares video of industrial fire/smoke with a drone overhead. ASTRA shares video of a street scene with military-looking truck. ASTRA shares various images of internal Russian life that does not hold military intelligence value. ASTRA also shares comments from Izhevsk residents complaining about internet jamming prior to the attack. TASS reports the CIA acknowledged its assessment of Russian interference in the 2016 US elections might have been politically motivated. TASS reports Russian airlines transported almost 50 million people in the first half of 2025. TASS reports Durov denies Telegram leaving Russia. Colonelcassad reports a Chinese journalist wounded in Kursk Oblast returned to work. TASS reports the MFA urges Russian citizens in Azerbaijan to be careful. Colonelcassad reports Rostec launched an ammunition plant in Venezuela. ASTRA reports a Belarusian blogger, Vlad Bumaga, was added to the Ukrainian "Myrotvorets" list. Alex Parker Returns shares video of an alleged "Wahhabist suicide bomber" in Naberezhnye Chelny. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares video of families planting trees in memory of missing servicemen. Colonelcassad reports the CIA officially disavowed accusations against Russia concerning the 2016 US election interference. MoD Russia shows a daily news update including claims of destroying a Ukrainian Humvee and a Leopard 2A6 tank. Colonelcassad describes the Izhevsk attack as a possible "Web" or "Luty" modernization. Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Oblast Governor) reports an air threat warning for Lipetsk Oblast. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone attack threat on Usmana and Dobrinsky districts. TASS reports that the Pentagon states the US had warned Ukraine in advance about the suspension of certain weapons supplies. TASS reports Russian calculations of UAF losses (over 265,000 killed and wounded in H1 2025). Colonelcassad reports continued mine clearance in Sudzha border area. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Tambov airport. ASTRA also confirms temporary flight restrictions at Tambov airport. ТАСС reports Russian AD destroyed over 5 drones over Voronezh Oblast, with no casualties. ASTRA reports roof damage to a private house in Voronezh Oblast after a UAV attack. РБК-Україна posts multiple videos of alleged unknown drones attacking Lipetsk Oblast, including views of industrial chimneys and city skylines with flashes, indicating continued deep strikes within Russia. ASTRA reports residents of Lipetsk and the surrounding oblast reported a large number of explosions. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, confirmed that drone debris fell on a private residential building in Lipetsk district, resulting in one fatality (female, born 1954) and two injuries. Colonelcassad shares photo messages stating that TsNIITOCHMASH (Central Research Institute for Precision Machine Building) has increased production of universal packaging for high-precision munitions actively used in the SVO zone. The images accompanying the messages show various rugged, waterproof, and impact-resistant cases, typically used for transporting sensitive equipment like high-precision munitions. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone strike on a building in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, causing damage to glazing in a residential section but no immediate casualties, with residents evacuated. This further confirms continued deep strikes inside Russian territory. TASS reports the arrest of the deputy head of Roshydromet, Natalia Radkova, in a large-scale fraud case, indicating continued anti-corruption efforts. ASTRA reports the governor of Lipetsk Oblast stated that drone debris fell on a private residential building, resulting in one fatality and two injuries, confirming civilian impact in Russia. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reports a fire caused by a drone falling on a parking lot of an enterprise in Yelets, which has been localized with no casualties reported. Igor Artamonov also reports continued red alert for drone attack in Yelets and Yelets district. TASS reports a fire at an enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, after a UAV fall, with no casualties reported. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of drones visiting Russia at night, with explosions reported in Lipetsk and Voronezh Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares video reporting an attack on the sanctioned "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets. ASTRA shares new video footage from Lipetsk night attacks. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions lifted at Tambov airport. TASS reports 3 killed and 3 injured in a fire at an enterprise in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast. TASS and ASTRA report temporary flight restrictions in Samara airport. Igor Artamonov reports cancellation of the "yellow" (moderate) level of missile danger in Lipetsk Oblast. TASS reports a patient attacked medical staff with a knife in Irkutsk, injuring two. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 69 enemy UAVs were destroyed by Russian AD overnight. TASS reports flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport. STERNENKO shares video of a UAV attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, showing smoke and damaged areas. RBK-Ukraine shares new footage and images of the aftermath of the attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets. RUF MFA spokesperson Maria Zakharova states work is underway to ensure consular access to Russian journalists arrested in Azerbaijan. RUF Governor of Lipetsk Oblast, Igor Artamonov, visited victims of the UAV attack, stating no temporary relocation centers were needed. Север.Реалии reports the Ministry of Defense stated 69 drones were shot down, and a woman died in Lipetsk Oblast after falling debris, confirming civilian casualties from UAF deep strikes. Igor Artamonov reports drone debris found in Lipetsk, Yelets, and Lipetsk district, confirming widespread UAF drone activity. ASTRA reports a 23-year-old Russian woman was detained in St. Petersburg by the FSB for attempting to plant an explosive device under a defense enterprise employee's car, indicating continued UAF attempts at sabotage within Russia. AV БогомаZ reports Ukrainian drone attack on Lomakovka, Starodubsky municipal district, indicating continued UAF cross-border strikes. TASS reports the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation is demanding the nationalization of the "Yuzhuralzoloto" company belonging to billionaire Konstantin Strukov. (030706Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports three killed and three injured in a fire at an enterprise in Tambov Oblast, citing the acting governor. (030711Z JUL 25) TASS reports mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast due to UAV attacks. (030743Z JUL 25) TASS reports a man arrested for attacking polyclinic staff, claiming he wanted to kill the doctor. (030732Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports Petersburg police detained a woman suspected of preparing a terrorist attack. (030808Z JUL 25) TASS reports property of head of construction supervision department of MoD Kozhevnikov has been arrested. (030807Z JUL 25) TASS reports Samara airport restrictions lifted. (030819Z JUL 25) Igor Strelkov comments on Izhevsk attack. (030815Z JUL 25) ASTRA shares a photo message that the Prosecutor General's Office is demanding nationalization of a gold company. (030829Z JUL 25) TASS reports 3 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Samara and Belgorod Oblasts. (030835Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports a woman (Yulia Moskovskaya) was detained for preparing a terrorist attack. (030841Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок shares photo message titled "Repressions against the Azerbaijani diaspora are gaining momentum." (030841Z JUL 25) МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts "Places for the names of the dead have run out on the stele in Saratov." (030850Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photo message on "Ukraine on the verge of defeat due to freezing of US aid." (030851Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) TASS reports MoD liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) TASS reports briefing from MoD on special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) Два майора reports MoD summary of the special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports powder factory fire in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, due to UAV strike. (030916Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports FSB detained a woman in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast for contact with Ukrainian special services and transferring information about an industrial enterprise. (030919Z JUL 25) TASS reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, was killed in Kursk Oblast. (030933Z JUL 25) TASS reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, was killed in Kursk Oblast. (030933Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast. (030938Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast. (030939Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast by missile strike on field headquarters, along with his deputy, Colonel Shikhaliev. (030939Z JUL 25) Kotsnews reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed. (030940Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports UAF liquidated Major General Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy in Kursk Oblast. (031031Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports UAF liquidated Major General Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy in Kursk Oblast. (030946Z JUL 25) Rybar reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed. (030947Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed in Kursk Oblast. (030950Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Major General Mikhail Gudkov killed in Kursk Oblast by missile strike. (030950Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reiterates Mikhail Gudkov's death and previous command of 155th Marine Brigade. (030953Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports Major General Mikhail Gudkov killed in Kursk Oblast. (030953Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a detained girl in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack against an employee of a defense enterprise. (031002Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns confirms this detention. (031002Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ulyanovsk airport restrictions lifted. (031013Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports the Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy died in the war in Ukraine. (031020Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a map showing changes in the last 24 hours. (031021Z JUL 25) Рыбарь shares a photo message titled "Electric chair for Armenia." (031021Z JUL 25) TASS reports the Central Bank has not discussed forced transfer of pension savings into long-term savings programs. (031032Z JUL 25) Новости Москвы reports a Russian won 100 million rubles in a lottery. (031057Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports that Nabiullina stated fears about a crisis in the Russian banking sector are completely unfounded. (031057Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports an oncologist was detained for justifying terrorism in St. Petersburg. (031059Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports the EU plans sanctions against judges and security forces involved in the case of Alexei Gorinov. (031132Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that an important object of the enemy military-industrial complex was hit. (031141Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports a strike on Khalino airfield in Kursk, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031152Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports due to drone attacks. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports an attack by UAV on one of the objects in Udmurtia. (031220Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a UAV attack on an object in Udmurtia. (031223Z JUL 25) TASS reports one of the drones attacking an object in Udmurtia hit technical facilities; consequences being eliminated. (031237Z JUL 25) TASS reports that Russia lost approximately 40% of its working-age population. (031238Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports a doctor-oncologist was detained for "justifying terrorism" due to Telegram comments in St. Petersburg. (031250Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports Russians are complaining about unknown drone attacks in Udmurtia, accompanied by videos showing sky and residential areas, suggesting a new deep strike target. Операция Z reports explosions and shooting in Izhevsk (Udmurtia) from drone attack. Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Governor) has held an operational meeting on the consequences of the night drone attack, confirming damage in Lipetsk district, Yelets, and Lipetsk city. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims "Geranium" drone strikes on 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk. Два майора reports two drones attacked Udmurtia, one hitting a technical facility. TASS reports concert by Emin (Azerbaijani-Russian singer) postponed in Kaliningrad, possibly related to Azerbaijan tensions. Two Majora video identifies Nebo-M radar system destroyed in Crimea. MoD Russia video shows "Geran" UAV precise strikes. Sever.Reali reports police broke teacher's arm in Ryazan after mistaking her for drug courier, indicating continued internal police issues. Colonelcassad shares video appeal for donations for RUF assault and reconnaissance units operating in the Southern Donetsk direction, indicating continued reliance on public funding. RBK-Ukraine shares video claiming UAF destroyed three Nebo-M key radars, implying successful SEAD operations and a significant degradation of RUF AD capabilities. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RUF destroyed a UAF UAV control point in Chernihiv Oblast, indicating continued RUF counter-UAS operations and deep strikes. TASS reports "Минкультуры РФ назвало фейком документы от имени ведомства, якобы вводящие ограничения на участие граждан Азербайджана в культурных событиях в России." (RF Ministry of Culture called fake documents on behalf of the agency, allegedly introducing restrictions on the participation of Azerbaijani citizens in cultural events in Russia.) (031434Z JUL 25) TASS reports "Отец двухлетнего малыша, которого бросили на пол в аэропорту Шереметьево, сообщил ТАСС, что сын узнал родителей, чувствует себя нормально, но пока не может ходить и говорить, в больнице с ним занимается логопед." (The father of a two-year-old child who was dropped on the floor at Sheremetyevo airport told TASS that his son recognized his parents, feels normal, but cannot yet walk or talk, and a speech therapist is working with him in the hospital.) (031438Z JUL 25) AV БогомаZ reports "Над территорией Брянской области благодаря подразделениям ПВО Министерства обороны РФ обнаружен и уничтожен беспилотный летательный аппарат самолетного типа." (Over the territory of Bryansk Oblast, a fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicle was detected and destroyed by units of the Russian Ministry of Defense Air Defense.) (031440Z JUL 25) Рыбарь shares a photo message "Молодежь бежит" (Youth is fleeing), depicting figures walking away from a city, with the caption "The further into the forest, the less youth." (031441Z JUL 25) TASS reports "Временные ограничения в аэропортах Ижевска и Нижнекамска сняты, сообщила Росавиация." (Temporary restrictions at Izhevsk and Nizhnekamsk airports have been lifted, Rosaviatsia reported.) (031449Z JUL 25) TASS reports "Нет никаких сомнений, что ЦБ в июле будет рассматривать снижение ключевой ставки шагом не менее 1 п. п., сообщил советник главы ЦБ." (There is no doubt that the Central Bank will consider reducing the key rate by at least 1 percentage point in July, the advisor to the head of the Central Bank said.) (031452Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031534Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031539Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports the main naval parade in St. Petersburg for Navy Day on July 27 has been canceled for security reasons. (031535Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on UAF deep strikes and RUF AD activity; MEDIUM on precise figures for shot-down UAVs; LOW on veracity of some RUF claims; HIGH on new RUF legislative measures impacting conscription/mobilization; HIGH on ASTRA report of casualties and wage arrears; HIGH on Lipetsk drone threat, HIGH on US warning to Ukraine, LOW on TASS UAF loss figures).
International: ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports on Chinese blocking Guam, which if true, signifies an increased level of international military tension in the Pacific. Kotsnews reports Russian MFA warned citizens about travel to Azerbaijan. Alex Parker Returns shares a video featuring a female spokesperson from the Russian MFA discussing relations. РБК-Україна reports "Лукашенко відпустив ще 16 людей після візиту Келлога" (Lukashenka released another 16 people after Kellogg's visit). This could be a diplomatic gesture by Belarus, possibly linked to its relationship with Russia or its internal political dynamics. ТАСС reports "Посол России в Азербайджане был вызван в МИД республики, сообщил азербайджанский МИД." (Russian Ambassador to Azerbaijan was summoned to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the republic, the Azerbaijani Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported). ТАСС further reports "Вызванному в МИД Азербайджана послу РФ выражен протест в связи с недружественными шагами российской стороны, сообщил МИД республики." (Protest expressed to the Russian Ambassador summoned to the Azerbaijani Ministry of Foreign Affairs in connection with unfriendly steps by the Russian side, the republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported). ТАСС also reports "От россиян в Азербайджане поступили жалобы на применение физического насилия, проверки документов, визиты неизвестных лиц, сообщили в пососольстве РФ." (Complaints received from Russians in Azerbaijan about physical violence, document checks, visits by unknown persons, reported the Russian Embassy). ТАСС reports "Азербайджан не ответил на ноты с требованием предоставить консульский доступ к арестованным россиянам, рассказали в пососольстве РФ в Баку." (Azerbaijan has not responded to notes demanding consular access to arrested Russians, the Russian Embassy in Baku said). These collectively confirm a significant diplomatic spat between Russia and Azerbaijan, likely related to the ongoing arrests of Azerbaijanis in Russia. Военкор Котенок and Операция Z amplify these reports, confirming the narrative is being pushed by RUF-aligned sources. РБК-Україна reports "У Німеччині піймали росіян на пропаганді через інтернет-ЗМІ" (Russians caught in Germany on propaganda through online media). This indicates continued RUF information operations targeting European countries. Colonelcassad reports "Занимавшуюся похищениями нелегальных мигрантов банду граждан Украины ликвидировали в Польше, сообщает польское радио RFM." (A gang of Ukrainian citizens involved in abducting illegal migrants was liquidated in Poland, Polish radio RFM reports). This is likely an RUF information operation designed to discredit Ukrainian citizens and potentially sow discord between Ukraine and its EU partners. Rybar reports on strike results in Vilkovo, Odesa region, implying continued targeting of coastal areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF is suspected in a series of tanker explosions after they entered Russian ports. This suggests UAF is being attributed with kinetic actions against Russian maritime logistics, potentially expanding the maritime domain of conflict. RUF source "Два майора" reports Financial Times (FT) claims Ukrainian special services may be involved in blowing up Russian ships. Николаевский Ванёк reports 5 RUF "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) flying towards Odesa/Lymanka, warning of imminent loud events. This is followed by a report that 4 of the 5 drones were downed. РБК-Україна reports AD activity in Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports explosions in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports a UAV heading towards Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк confirms 1 drone remaining heading towards Odesa and then reports all drones from the sea are down. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa, citing Trukhanov. ASTRA shares photos of apartments burning in a residential high-rise in Odesa after an RUF attack, confirming civilian impact. РБК-Україна reports Odesa is under drone attack. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa. РБК-Україна reports five people were rescued from upper floors in Odesa after the attack. РБК-УкраїНА shares video footage showing firefighters and rescue operations in a damaged nine-story building in Odesa, including evacuation of civilians. The video confirms significant damage to the building and the ongoing emergency response by the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (ДСНС). РБК-Україна also shares photos of the aftermath of the Odesa attack, showing significant damage to residential areas. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm 3 civilians hospitalized after Odesa attack, indicating continuing impact. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares new photo and video messages showing the aftermath of the Odesa attack, including a large apartment building engulfed in flames and emergency services on scene. ASTRA reports 4 people injured in Odesa multi-story building attack, citing State Emergency Service of Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of the Odesa apartment building being hit. РБК-Україна reports 5 people, including 2 children, were injured in the attack on Odesa. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms 5 casualties, 2 children injured. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports 40 of 52 enemy UAVs were shot down. Север.Реалии shares photo messages depicting a multi-story residential building damaged by a drone hit in Odesa, confirming casualties. ASTRA reports the number of injured in Odesa attack increased to five. Сили оборони Півдня України (Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine) reports 10 Shahed-131/136 UAVs were destroyed in the southern operational zone over the past day. (030703Z JUL 25) Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine post images commemorating Army Aviation Day. (030740Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares images of apartment building on fire in Odesa from RUF shelling (030803Z JUL 25) Сили оборони Півдня України posts videos and photos showing the aftermath of a night attack on Odesa. (030842Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek reports ballistic missile threat to Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) Air Force reports high-speed target towards Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports explosion in Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports ballistic missile threat from Crimea for Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports Odesa under ballistic missile strike. (030953Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa. (030954Z JUL 25) Два майора shares photos of Odesa (030957Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports a missile strike in the Odesa port area with a huge smoke plume. (031006Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa, with possible repeated launches. (031008Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports two powerful explosions in Odesa port area. (031010Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces termination of ballistic missile threat. (031013Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure. (031035Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure and military cargo. (031048Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa after ballistic missile attack. (031116Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa due to strike on port infrastructure. (031116Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports two killed and three wounded in Odesa. (031121Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports RUF attacked port infrastructure in Odesa with missiles. (031134Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured from the Iskander strike on Odesa port has risen to 6, including two Syrian citizens. (031152Z JUL 25) WarGonzo comments on "marine terrorism" and the VILAMOURA tanker explosion. (031241Z JUL 25) Zelenskiy / Official states "Спілкування з представниками медіа спільно з Прем’єр-міністеркою Данії Метте Фредеріксен, Президентом Європейської ради Антоніу Коштою та Президенткою Європейської комісії Урсулою фон дер Ляєн." (Communication with media representatives together with Prime Minister of Denmark Mette Frederiksen, President of the European Council António Costa and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen). (031434Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reiterates Zelenskyy's statement (031436Z JUL 25). РБК-Україна reports "Данія висловила підтримку вступу України до Євросоюзу" (Denmark expressed support for Ukraine's accession to the European Union). (031448Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video "ЗСУ, можливо, отримають більше дронів: Україна і американська компанія Swift Beat уклали меморандум" (UAF may receive more drones: Ukraine and American company Swift Beat signed a memorandum). (031451Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports "Ми розраховуємо на продовження американської підтримки, бо є певні позиції, які Європа не може надати, - Зеленський" (We expect continued American support, because there are certain positions that Europe cannot provide, - Zelenskyy). (031453Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photo of Zelenskyy and Trump with text "Ukraine needs a meeting with Trump and Putin to achieve peace." (031520Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Putin and Trump are currently in a phone conversation. (031548Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

Ukraine: European reports of temperatures up to +42°C suggest potential heat stress on personnel and equipment across Ukraine. Confidence: HIGH.
Russia: North Atlantic cyclone "Cornelius" arrived in Moscow, bringing 3 days of rain and colder temperatures. Discernible earthquake in Kamchatka. TASS reports Putin joked about the coming winter, referring to summer weather. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Tambov airport, as reported by TASS and ASTRA, likely due to weather or AD activity. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Saratov airport. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reports a "Red" (High) level alert for UAV attack has been cancelled in the region. TASS reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been lifted at Tambov airport. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Samara airport. TASS reports flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport, likely due to UAV activity or weather. Новости Москвы confirms Day of the City in Moscow will be held on September 13-14, implying preparations for a large public event which could be affected by weather. The Governor of Bryansk Oblast (RUF) posted a message. (030659Z JUL 25) Новости Москвы reports heatwave of over +30C expected in Moscow by mid-next week. (030906Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ulyanovsk airport restrictions lifted. (031013Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports 5,000 people evacuated in Crete due to wildfires, which is not directly relevant to Ukrainian operations. Moscow News reports a train smoking at Kaluzhskaya station, indicating a civilian transport incident. TASS reports "Временные ограничения в аэропортах Ижевска и Нижнекамска сняты, сообщила Росавиация." (Temporary restrictions at Izhevsk and Nizhnekamsk airports have been lifted, Rosaviatsia reported.) (031449Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

RUF Dispositions:
- Donetsk: High-intensity offensive continues on Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. Confirmed presence of units from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups, 30th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, and VDV (98th Guards Airborne Division confirmed in Chasiv Yar, 247th Air Assault Regiment). TASS reports the "Vostok" grouping destroyed 17 UAV control points and advanced in Zeleny Pol, Novod Rozv, and Vesele areas, claiming destruction of two APCs, two BMPs, one MT-LB, and one artillery piece. TASS video reports a Su-25 of the RUF VKS destroyed a UAF strongpoint in the "Vostok" zone, indicating continued air support. Colonelcassad reports Ka-52 helicopter operations engaging Ukrainian drones. MoD Russia shares a video titled "00:00 A T-90 tank crew of the Tsentr Group of Forces neutralised an an AFU machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction." This confirms continued T-90 operations and targeting of UAF strongpoints in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group showing coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates continued offensive operations and training on the "Vostok" axis. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows mortar fire and destruction of positions on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating continued use of such systems. TASS reports that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar, confirming continued VDV operations. Два майора provides a general morning summary for July 3, indicating continued RUF operational reporting. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ivanovske paratroopers "liberated" Nikolaevka on the Chasiv Yar direction. Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction, including Russian soldiers in combat gear, indicating ground forces presence. (030805Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports heavy fighting and assaults are ongoing for Chasiv Yar. (030901Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD statement on liberation of Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (030918Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Russian forces continue to advance in the Donetsk direction. (031102Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares thermal footage of a convoy and explosion, possibly showing RUF operations. (031105Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use and presence of 11th Guards Army Air Force and Air Defense, as well as 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of "Vostok" group. (031208Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad video shows a BTR-4 being targeted and hit by a drone near Suvorovo, indicating continued anti-armor drone operations. (031220Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows a BM-21 Grad MLRS firing. (031237Z JUL 25) Narodnaya militsiya DNR confirms destruction of a UAF mortar position near Rusyn Yar. WarGonzo shares video of RUF artillery operations, focusing on the precision and speed of targeting, indicating continued emphasis on artillery capabilities. BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of UAF capturing 9 RUF soldiers from the 425th Separate Motorized Rifle Battalion "Skala" during a failed RUF offensive near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing direct evidence of combat effectiveness against RUF ground units. Операция Z reports "Ожесточённые бои у Покровска: «🅾️тважные» днём и ночью жгут НАТОвскую технику, пехоту и артиллерию врага" (Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: "Brave" forces burn NATO equipment, enemy infantry and artillery day and night), with video showing drone footage targeting and destroying a truck, SUV, mortar position, and a UAV. (031436Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad confirms that in addition to the brigade commander and deputy commander, the chief of staff of the 110th Mechanized Brigade was also liquidated in Huliaipole, rendering the brigade "effectively decapitated," and expects more obituaries of senior officers. (031439Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports destroyed Bushmaster, M113, and Mastiff vehicles on the Southern Donetsk direction. (031501Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a general greeting. (031534Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Zaporizhzhia: Kadyrovite (Chechen special forces) transfer to Enerhodar/Melitopol/Vasylivka area with 15 military trucks indicates a significant buildup for potential assault operations. Confidence: HIGH.
- ASTRA reports five Su-34 fighter jets were damaged in a UAV attack on a military airfield in Volgograd Oblast on June 27. Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF video shows operators of RUF "Bars-31" drone unit destroying a truck with a UAF anti-aircraft gun. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports Russian air defense shot down three Storm Shadow missiles, three HIMARS projectiles, and 173 UAVs in the last 24 hours. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports Lukashenka's statement about "Oreshnik" deployment in Belarus by year-end. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports "High-Precision Systems" holding shipped a new batch of BMP-3s to the Ministry of Defense. Kotsnews shares a video "Новая партия боевых машин пехоты БМP-3 отправилась в войска." (A new batch of BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles went to the troops.), confirming these deliveries. Colonelcassad shares video of new BMP-3 deliveries from Rostec. (030746Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF is actively recruiting for the "African Corps," indicating continued intent to deploy foreign/mercenary forces, potentially in Africa or involving African personnel in Ukraine. Операция Z shares graphic video of RUF African Corps and Mali army fighting "Al-Qaeda", indicating RUF deployment/proxy operations in Africa. Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) is appealing for donations to acquire a BM-21 Grad MLRS to counter UAF drones and for combat missions, indicating a reliance on public funding for heavy equipment and a perceived need for enhanced counter-UAS capabilities beyond existing systems. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video confirms receipt of Mavic 3 drones from public donations, indicating success in these fundraising efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a new video appeal for donations for "Paratroopers." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Good morning airborne family!" indicating continued morale boosting and daily reporting. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" posts a video with a caption "Сбор для Десантников🪂" (Collection for Paratroopers), confirming continued reliance on public funding for specific unit needs. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS video reports "Geran-2 UAV operators destroyed a temporary deployment point of the AFU in Yablonovka." This confirms continued RUF use of Shahed drones for tactical strikes on UAF positions. MoD Russia video shows precise Geran UAV strikes. Confidence: HIGH.
- Воин DV video shows drone strikes on UAF personnel and vehicles by the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, confirming continued RUF special forces operations utilizing drone assets for precision strikes and BDA. Воин DV shares photo messages with the caption "Гвардии сержант Мэргэн Будаев, старший разведчик-снайпер 14-й гв. отдельной бригады армейского спецназа России." The images display a Russian soldier in tactical tactical gear, including a helmet with NVG mount, tactical vest, and camouflage uniform, armed with a sniper rifle. The soldier's presence and equipment indicate participation in ongoing military operations. The content identifies the individual as a senior scout-sniper from the 14th Guards Separate Brigade of Army Special Forces. The visible equipment, including the sniper rifle, suggests continued focus on specialized infantry capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. Воин DV shares new video of a 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade operator discovering and destroying a UAF vehicle on the Shakhtyorsk direction, implying continued RUF special forces activity. "Воин DV" shares a new video, captioned "Очередной эмоциональный рассказ от украинского военнопленного" (Another emotional story from a Ukrainian prisoner of war), showing a captured UAF soldier being used for propaganda. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Практика на порохе: учебный — только патрон. Остальное по-настоящему," showing military training or combat footage with soldiers and vehicles, including use of smoke grenades and potential explosives, suggesting continued combat readiness and training. Воин DV shares two new videos, captioned #ГероиСпецоперацииV, showing a Russian soldier discussing his combat experience. (030758Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of a deputy political officer for the 'Wolves' DRShBr discussing a formative combat experience. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports the Federation Council approved a law allowing stateless persons to serve by contract in the RF Armed Forces. This is a significant change in force generation policy. Confidence: HIGH.
- Оперативний ЗСУ reports North Korea will send up to 30,000 additional troops to assist Russia, which would be a substantial external force contribution. Операция Z amplifies this report, stating "🇰🇵🤝🇷🇺КНДР намерена отправить в Россию еще 25-30 000 военных в ближайшие месяцы, - CNN" (North Korea intends to send another 25-30,000 troops to Russia in the coming months, - CNN). This indicates RUF-aligned sources are promoting this narrative. Воин DV posts a photo message "Делегация военной академии КНДР отправилась в Россию" (Delegation of the DPRK Military Academy went to Russia), indicating continued military cooperation. Confidence: HIGH.
- МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники video shows a Russian soldier in uniform, potentially for propaganda or recruitment, aligning with force generation efforts. Confidence: HIGH.
- Воин DV video shows drone operators of the 5th Tank Guards Brigade conducting remote mining of a road in Voskresenka, confirming new RUF tactics for area denial. Confidence: HIGH.
- Народная милиция ДНР photo message initiates a "Large summer collection of aid for children of Donbas and the SVO zone," indicating continued humanitarian/influence operations in occupied territories. Народная милиция ДНР video messages indicate ongoing volunteer efforts to provide humanitarian aid to personnel in the SVO zone and civilian populations in Donetsk and Rostov-on-Don, including medical equipment, PPE, and food. This reflects continued domestic support and logistical efforts. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports the Russian MoD claims over 1,235 UAF military personnel lost in the last 24 hours. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an updated estimate of RUF combat losses (as of 03 JUL 25), with 1000 personnel killed or wounded in the last 24 hours. "Оперативний ЗСУ" posts a photo message "😱 успешно демобилизирован:" with imagery implying a deceased enemy soldier. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts a photo message "😱 успешно демобилизирован:", implying successful UAF BDA on RUF losses. (031040Z JUL 25) Confidence: LOW (self-serving RUF claim, no independent verification).
- Два майора (RUF source) shares a "Good morning!" message, implying a positive morale state among some RUF-aligned personnel. Confidence: LOW (generic sentiment).
- Басурин о главном reports that a Leopard 2A6 tank was captured by RUF forces. Confidence: MEDIUM (requires visual corroboration and context).
- MoD Russia publishes photo messages on the progress of the special military operation as of July 2, 2025, suggesting continued reporting on their tactical advancements. (031144Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Fighterbomber posts a photo of a "swan" (likely a Tu-160 bomber), which could be a propaganda image to boost morale or signal continued strategic air power. Fighterbomber shares video of an aircraft in a field. (031133Z JUL 25) Fighterbomber shares another video of an aircraft being towed by a tractor. (031133Z JUL 25) Confidence: MEDIUM.
- Воин DV posts two video messages with the caption #ГероиСпецоперацииV, likely featuring Russian soldiers or showcasing their actions, reinforcing positive morale and propaganda efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows Russian snipers from the 49th Army operating in a forested area, using suppressed weapons and thermal/night vision, indicating continued specialized RUF operations. Два майора (RUF source) shares a video of a Russian military truck with a mounted anti-aircraft gun (likely ZU-23-2) in the Kherson direction, indicating continued use of older equipment and tactical adaptability in various sectors. Kadyrov_95 [Video message] Caption: Владислав Чернов — военнослужащий ВСУ, один из тех, кого силой забрали представители ТЦК, без надлежащей подготовки почти сразу отправили на линию боевого боевого соприкосновения. Его, как и многих других, использовали как живой ресурс, без сочувствия, без понимания and без малейшего шанса на возвращение. (Propaganda video about alleged Ukrainian prisoner of war, Vladislav Chernov, who was supposedly forcibly mobilized by TCC and sent to the front without proper training.) TASS reports Medvev claims over 210,000 contract soldiers joined Russian Armed Forces in first half of 2025. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts morale patches for "Wolfling 45" unit. Colonelcassad shares video of FSB detaining individuals in Zaporizhzhia Oblast for funding UAF. Colonelcassad shares video of Dmitry Medvedev discussing military recruitment numbers, indicating ongoing force generation efforts. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shows a video of new BMP-3 deliveries to the troops. MoD Russia's Grad MLRS crews of the 25th Combined Arms Army destroyed a UAV command post and manpower clusters of the AFU. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video showcasing a camouflaged tank (likely T-90M or T-72B3 series) in a training exercise, possibly promoting Rostec capabilities. This indicates continued RUF efforts to highlight military modernization and readiness. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides "Оперативна інформація станом на 16:00 02.07.2025 щодо російського вторгнення" (Operational information as of 16:00 02.07.2025 regarding the Russian invasion). This is a general update, suggesting no major, immediate shifts in the frontline or enemy disposition since the last report, but confirming ongoing engagements. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video with caption "Потеря связи." (Loss of connection), showing an aerial view of a damaged building and an explosion. This indicates continued RUF drone reconnaissance and targeting, possibly in the Donetsk region. The caption "Loss of connection" could refer to a UAF comms jam or a technical issue with the RUF drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Семья, это артиллерия, бойцы работают на боевых машинах, которые поражают позиции противника на большом расстоянии." (Family, this is artillery, the fighters are working on combat vehicles that hit enemy positions that hit enemy positions at long range). This is a morale-boosting message highlighting RUF artillery capabilities. Басурин о главном shares a video encouraging subscription to his Telegram channel, which is a method for RUF-aligned sources to expand their information reach. Colonelcassad reports on the Russian MoD's summary of the "special military operation" as of July 2, 2025, which will provide RUF's official narrative of tactical successes. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of an alleged Russian soldier complaining about "prison-like" living conditions, lack of food, and being confined, appealing for help. This suggests potential internal RUF morale and logistical issues, or could be a UAF PSYOP. НгП раZVедка shares a photo message "Хороший фотограф на вес золота." (A good photographer is worth his weight in gold), featuring a soldier in tactical gear, likely a morale-boosting post or an appreciation for combat documentation. Colonelcassad shares a video of a soldier engaging in a combat scenario with the caption "Стальной характер!" (Steel character!), a morale-boosting post. Старше Эдды shares photos from a meeting with officers in Rostov-on-Don, celebrating "Veterans of Combat Operations Day" and praising their service. This is a morale-boosting and propaganda effort to glorify military service and maintain support for the conflict. Fighterbomber shares a video of a "Звено штурмовиков" (flight of attack aircraft), likely Su-25s, indicating continued RUF close air support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring a man identified as Shvartsman Aleksandr Анатольевич, a POW from the 155th Separate Marine Brigade, discussing contract service and conditions. This indicates UAF is leveraging POWs for counter-propaganda about RUF recruitment. Два майора shares a video with a man speaking about something "актуалочка" (current/relevant), likely propaganda or a morale message. Rybar posts two new videos of what appears to be RUF soldiers in a training environment, likely tank crews, with the caption "Учеба на чужих ошибках" (Learning from others' mistakes). This could imply RUF is adapting its training based on lessons learned from combat. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition shares new video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group demonstrating coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates RUF's continued focus on improving offensive armored tactics. MoD Russia shows a video featuring a captured Ukrainian serviceman discussing conscription practices, including taking everyone into the AFU, even from funerals, and medics and drivers being sent to consolidation troops. Воин DV operators of "Boоtur" BARS-2 unit destroyed a Ukrainian tank by drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a summary for July 2. Colonelcassad posts a video of a civilian Lada being converted into a military "buggy," indicating grassroots vehicle modifications for combat use. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used on the front. Воин DV shares a video of a 37th Brigade guardsman carrying a wounded comrade, indicating combat operations. MoD Russia shows a photo update with "Top News Today," including a claim of destroying a Ukrainian Humvee and a Leopard 2A6 tank. Colonelcassad reports the destruction of the Ukrainian armored vehicle "Novator." Colonelcassad shares a video of an emotional speech from a captured Ukrainian serviceman. Воин DV posts video of drone operators destroying a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad shares video of a military vehicle being hit by a precision munition and catching fire. Fighterbomber shares a photo message "Доброе утро, страна!" which is a generic morale booster for Russian population. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of RUF soldiers in wheelchairs seeking new volunteers, likely a morale booster/propaganda attempt highlighting 'resilience' while simultaneously showing the devastating human cost. Kotsnews shares a video on recruitment for the African Corps, including military training footage and equipment. (030700Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of individuals on ATVs, possibly reconnaissance or patrol. (030701Z JUL 25) MoD Russia shares a video of an Orlan UAV aiming artillery at a target, potentially a Lancet loitering munition, including command post monitoring. (030711Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of a civilian child being apprehended, context unclear (law enforcement or child welfare). (030713Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of new BMP-3 deliveries from Rostec. (030746Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos about support fund for SVO. (030805Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of soldiers in the field. (030805Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts a video "This is, undoubtedly, a success!" showing a child being apprehended near a vehicle. (030833Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video titled "The stage of acceptance of the Russian occupier," showing a soldier in a wooded area. This implies RUF ground forces are still active and possibly encountering significant UAF resistance leading to demoralization. (030850Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports captured Russians from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade giving testimony against a comrade accused of executing a Ukrainian prisoner. (030906Z JUL 25) Kadyrov_95 posts a video celebrating the Day of State Traffic Inspectorate, featuring a parade of police vehicles and personnel. (030906Z JUL 25) MoD Russia daily summary. (030936Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports Russian troops liberated Razino and Melove. (030942Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian MoD struck UAF ammunition depot near Kramatorsk with Geran-2 UAV. (030952Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of three POWs being interrogated. (030955Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares a video of an alleged Wagner Group fighter speaking about the war. (031003Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts statement that strikes on TCC are Russia's attempt to disrupt mobilization, but the process is unstoppable. (031008Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Два майора shares multiple photo messages with a caption "Будни солдата" (Soldier's everyday life), depicting RUF soldiers in various settings, likely for morale or propaganda. (031034Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video showing camouflage uniforms and an ammunition crate from a 'Kherson Herald' source. (031102Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares aerial reconnaissance video of a person in camouflage near concertina wire in a forested area, implying military activity. (031121Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of 'Rubicon' drone operations in Donbas, showing targeting of BTR, communication systems, and personnel. (031121Z JUL 25) MoD Russia shares video of signalmen of 25th Combined Arms Army. (031138Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports a collection drive for assault and reconnaissance units in Southern Donetsk direction, reinforcing their focus. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares video claiming RUF destroyed a UAF UAV control point in Chernihiv Oblast, supporting their ongoing counter-UAS and deep strike efforts. TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video on the "Liberation of Melove," showing Russian forces raising flags. (031521Z JUL 25) Два майора posts a series of photos under the caption "Soldier's Everyday Life", showing Russian soldiers in various operational contexts, indicating continued combat activities. (031534Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo messages under the caption "Heroes of 'Potok' told about their feat", featuring images of soldiers, likely highlighting Russian special forces operations. (031535Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of captured UAF soldiers near Komar, with one soldier expressing doubt about future combat. (031548Z JUL 25) Два майора shares a graphic video on combat medics, likely to highlight the harsh realities of the front and the work of medical personnel. (031550Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Control Measures: RUF continues to use extensive electronic warfare (EW) to suppress UAF communications and drone operations, alongside layered air defense to protect its assets. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KAB/KAR) into Donetsk Oblast, indicating continued air support and UAF vulnerability to these weapons. Colonelcassad shares video of Russian artillerymen thanking volunteers for an EW system to counter FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Перехват радиообмена 425 ОШП «Скала» в районе Красноармейска" (Interception of radio exchange of 425th Separate Assault Regiment "Skala" in the Krasnoarmeysk area). This indicates active RUF SIGINT and the use of intercepted communications for intelligence or propaganda. Mash на Донбассе posts a video "Украинские дроны частенько отправляются обратно к своим бывшим владельцам." (Ukrainian drones often go back to their former owners.), implying successful RUF EW or drone capture tactics. ASTRA reports internet jamming in Izhevsk for two weeks prior to the attack, indicating a defensive adaptation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts a video questioning "ПВО? РЭБ? Анатолий?", suggesting a focus on air defense and EW. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used by RUF. Полиция Хабаровского края reports МВД awards for police officers saving a civilian, indicating continued domestic security focus and propaganda. Полиция Хабаровского края video shows a Russian police official discussing the first stage of a "Illegal-2025" operation targeting migration law violations in Khabarovsk Krai. Полиция Хабаровского края shares new video messages related to police activity, likely emphasizing domestic security and control. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. This implies RUF is actively conducting SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) operations and using drones for this purpose. Два майора's video from Kherson direction shows a thermal imaging view from a drone and sounds of small arms fire, indicating RUF counter-UAS operations, likely targeting UAF drones. Полиция Хабаровского края shares two videos related to a domestic scam, not directly military. (030700Z JUL 25) Moscow News posts photos of traffic police cars equipped with systems for identifying drivers without licenses. (030728Z JUL 25) TASS reports mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast due to UAV attacks. (030743Z JUL 25) TASS reports 3 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Samara and Belgorod Oblasts. (030835Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports on the roof of a dormitory in Tula being restored after a UAV attack. (030909Z JUL 25) WarGonzo shares video of "frontline traffic lights" warning drivers about enemy drones, suggesting adapted control measures in border areas. (031110Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin arriving at a forum, indicating continued high-level governance. (031222Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing technological development. (031246Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing scientific and technological initiatives. (031251Z JUL 25) Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Governor) has held an operational meeting on the consequences of the night drone attack, confirming damage in Lipetsk district, Yelets, and Lipetsk city. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports conviction of a woman for correcting RUF missile and drone attacks, sentenced to 15 years. RBK-Ukraine shares video claiming UAF destroyed three Nebo-M key radars, implying successful SEAD operations and a significant degradation of RUF AD capabilities. Confidence: HIGH.

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

Capabilities:
- Ground Offensive: Demonstrated capability for sustained high-intensity ground assaults, particularly along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, and in Chasiv Yar, utilizing combined arms tactics. Observed use of MT-LBs with infantry in assault, suggesting adaptation to high casualties among light assault groups. Confirmed use of Grad MLRS in the Pokrovsk direction. TASS video reports a Su-25 from the "Vostok" group destroyed a UAF strongpoint, demonstrating continued air-ground integration. Воин DV video shows remote mining by drone operators, indicating a new area denial capability. MoD Russia video shows BM-21 Grad MLRS crews destroying a UAV command post and manpower clusters of the AFU. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares video of a camouflaged tank, likely for training, suggesting continued focus on armored operations. MoD Russia video shows a T-90 tank crew neutralizing a UAF machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction, confirming continued effective armored operations. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares new video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group demonstrating coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates RUF's continued focus on improving offensive armored tactics. DeepState reports successful drone strikes on RUF positions and BMPs in Kamyanske. Воин DV video shows RUF forces storming trenches and using FPV drones in Donbas. Colonelcassad shows a video of "Hunters for dronovodov" indicating RUF counter-UAS capabilities. Операция Z shares Russian propaganda footage from a drone's perspective, showcasing alleged attacks on Ukrainian vehicles and positions (truck, personnel carrier). Rybar shares video of nighttime military operations, indicating capability for night assaults. Colonelcassad's video of a civilian Lada converted into a military buggy indicates adaptable, low-cost vehicle modifications for tactical use. Colonelcassad reports destruction of a Ukrainian Humvee and Novator armored vehicle. Воин DV reports drone operators destroying a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad confirms another military vehicle destroyed by precision munition. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. TASS reports that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar, confirming continued VDV operations. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides an immediate assessment message, suggesting active monitoring of operations. Операция Z claims "Valiant" forces breaking through towards Myrnohrad and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. TASS reports RUF has taken control of an AFU supply route in Krasnoarmiisk. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Colonelcassad's video of Alexander Ershov, 80th Tank Regiment, details tactical maneuvers and the "liberation of Petrovskoye in DPR," including close-quarters combat, destruction of enemy vehicles, and flanking maneuvers, confirming effective assault tactics. WarGonzo displays RUF tactical advances on the Zaporizhzhia map, indicating continued ground offensive. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Colonelcassad shares video of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion destroying UAF vehicles and armored vehicles. Воин DV FPV operators from the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade continue to destroy enemy equipment near Oktyabrskoye, and shares tactical drone footage. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора shares drone footage of military activity in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора shares drone footage of individuals moving across terrain in the Kherson direction. (030715Z JUL 25) Two Majors share video of damaged buildings and debris in Zaporizhzhia. (030730Z JUL 25) Rybar provides a morning summary for July 3. (030729Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction, including Russian soldiers in combat gear, indicating ground forces presence. (030805Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video titled "The stage of acceptance of the Russian occupier," showing a soldier in a wooded area. This implies RUF ground forces are still active and possibly encountering significant UAF resistance leading to demoralization. (030850Z JUL 25) WarGonzo shares a video titled "Buffer Zone: Border Security is Forged in Artillery Fire," showing military personnel operating artillery. This indicates continued RUF ground operations and artillery use. (030911Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) TASS reports MoD liberated Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (030911Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD summary of the special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Russian forces continue to advance in the Donetsk direction. (031102Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares thermal footage of a convoy and explosion, possibly showing RUF operations. (031105Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use and presence of 11th Guards Army Air Force and Air Defense, as well as 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of "Vostok" group. (031208Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad video shows a BTR-4 being targeted and hit by a drone near Suvorovo, indicating continued anti-armor drone operations. (031220Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows a BM-21 Grad MLRS firing. (031237Z JUL 25) Narodnaya militsiya DNR confirms destruction of a UAF mortar position near Rusyn Yar. WarGonzo shares video of RUF artillery operations, focusing on the precision and speed of targeting, indicating continued emphasis on artillery capabilities. BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of UAF capturing 9 RUF soldiers from the 425th Separate Motorized Rifle Battalion "Skala" during a failed RUF offensive near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing direct evidence of combat effectiveness against RUF ground units. Операция Z reports "Ожесточённые бои у Покровска: «🅾️тважные» днём и ночью жгут НАТОвскую технику, пехоту и артиллерию врага" (Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: "Brave" forces burn NATO equipment, enemy infantry and artillery day and night), with video showing drone footage targeting and destroying a truck, SUV, mortar position, and a UAV. (031436Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video on the "Liberation of Melove," showing Russian forces raising flags. (031521Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Air-Dropped Ordnance: Continued extensive use of FAB-500/1500 with UMPK glide kits. UAF Air Force reports continued launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation into Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new launches of guided aerial bombs on Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports "В Житомире ракетные прилеты." (Missile strikes in Zhytomyr). This confirms RUF missile strike capability against targets deep in Ukraine. Multiple sources confirm a large explosion in Zhytomyr from a probable RUF missile strike. Colonelcassad confirms an airstrike on a bridge over the Vovcha River near Iskra. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports renewed activity of RUF tactical aviation in eastern and north-eastern directions, indicating continued aerial threat. РБК-Україна reports Air Force has updated information on the movement of strike drones. New message from РБК-Україна reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in eastern Kharkiv Oblast. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launches guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast, confirming continued air-delivered threat. Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk oblasts. (030745Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Poltavka, Mayak of Donetsk region, Kozatske of Kherson region. (030802Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports "In the morning, the enemy attacked Velykomykhailivka community in Synelnykivskyi district with a KAB." (030843Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. (030858Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (030901Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. (031006Z JUL 25) TASS reports a FAB strike destroying a UAF command post on the DNR border. (031206Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use. (031208Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shows video of the destruction of 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk due to "Geranium" drone strikes. Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.
- UAV Operations: Highly developed and integrated UAV capabilities for ISR, FPV strikes, and deep strikes. Deployment of a remote-controlled, tracked UGV with a dual machine gun gun mount on the Pokrovsk direction. Claimed increased production of Geranium drones. Colonelcassad video shows Ka-52 helicopter engaging and shooting down Ukrainian fixed-wing drones with Igla-V missiles, suggesting an anti-drone air-to-air capability. Budanov (HUR) indicates that Russia has a second developer of CRPA antennas for Shaheds, implying redundancy in their drone development. Colonelcassad shares video of Russian artillerymen receiving an EW system, indicating adaptive procurement of counter-drone technology from civilian sources. Воин DV shares video from the 38th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade showing a soldier shooting down an enemy drone with small arms fire, indicating a tactical adaptation to counter-UAS roles at close range. Colonelcassad reports Russian naval forces successfully destroying enemy BECs and drones in the Black Sea, indicating adaptive counter-drone capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА video shows explosion and damaged building from an aerial view, suggesting continued effective RUF drone targeting capabilities. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in Kharkiv Oblast, indicating continued RUF ISR and targeting capabilities. Kadyrov_95 video shows Akhmat Special Forces using drones for strikes. Воин DV video shows FPV drone usage in trench assaults. Colonelcassad's "Hunters for dronovodov" video implies active counter-drone units. Два майора's video shows aerial footage with multiple explosions, indicating continued RUF drone ISR and targeting. Воин DV drone operators destroyed a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used on the front. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the movement of 5 "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) towards Odesa/Lymanka and their subsequent downing by AD. Colonelcassad reports Ussuriysk paratroopers' UAV operators destroyed a UAF strongpoint with personnel in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued adaptation of drone usage for infantry support and direct strikes. Операция Z shares new videos showing alleged attacks on Lipetsk, attributed to Ukraine, indicating continued and perhaps intensified deep strike UAV operations. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone strike on a building in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. New messages from Оперативний ЗСУ confirm a 9-story building in Odesa was hit by a UAV, injuring 4. Igor Artamonov reports a fire caused by a drone falling on a parking lot of an enterprise in Yelets, which has been localized with no casualties reported. Igor Artamonov also reports continued red alert for drone attack in Yelets and Yelets district. Оперативний ЗСУ shares new video messages of drone activity over Russia, with explosions reported in Lipetsk and Voronezh Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares video reporting an attack on the sanctioned "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets. ASTRA shares new videos of Lipetsk night attacks. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. This implies RUF is actively conducting SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) operations and using drones for this purpose. Операция Z's new video shows RUF artillerymen from the south of Donetsk focused on countering enemy drones and needing thermal imagers for night operations, highlighting continued RUF focus on counter-UAS capabilities. Воин DV reports a 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade operator discovered and destroyed a UAF vehicle on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Два майора's video from Kherson direction shows effective counter-drone activity by the 81st Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment, 70th Motor Rifle Division. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 52 drones were launched by RUF, with 40 neutralized, indicating continued high volume of drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 69 enemy UAVs were destroyed by Russian AD overnight. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Chernihiv, Sumy, and Donetsk oblasts. STERNENKO reports intentions to purchase more Shahed interceptors. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over Poltava, claiming "Geraniums" hit a TCC building, indicative of RUF's continued deep strike drone capabilities against military and administrative targets. Alex Parker Returns also reports a strike on the Poltava TCC building. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030715Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) Air Force reports significant activity of various enemy UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (030750Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in Chernihiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts. (030822Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares video of drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030911Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports UAF confirmed 4 military personnel wounded from drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030921Z JUL 25) Север.Реалії reports 2 killed from RUF attack on Poltava TCC. (030923Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian MoD struck UAF ammunition depot near Kramatorsk with Geran-2 UAV. (030952Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031005Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031007Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном shares video showing thermal camera view of precise Geranium strikes. (031108Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Turkey has joined the drone coalition for the Kyiv regime. (031111Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of HUR destroying Russian drone operator positions in Zaporizhzhia direction, destroying 42 targets and identifying 90 positions. (031113Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (031204Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports due to drone attacks. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports an attack by UAV on one of the objects in Udmurtia. (031220Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a UAV attack on an object in Udmurtia. (031223Z JUL 25) Сили оборони Півдня України reports Border Guard Service successfully targeted an enemy vehicle and communication system with a drone. (031243Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports Russians complaining about drone attacks in Udmurtia. Операция Z confirms explosions and shooting in Izhevsk due to drone attack. Два майора reports two drones attacked Udmurtia, one hitting a technical facility. Kotsnews reports on volunteers studying captured equipment and creating drones, showing UGV assembly and testing. Air Force reports enemy UAV approaching Kyiv from northeast. Nikolaevsky Vanek reports a single RUF UAV ("moped") flying towards Kyiv via Brovary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares video claiming RUF destroyed a UAF UAV control point in Chernihiv Oblast, indicating continued RUF counter-UAS operations and deep strikes. Air Force reports threat of ballistic missile use from Crimea. Nikolaevsky Vanek shares new video depicting drone footage, likely a UAF drone, targeting and destroying an RLM-D 55Zh6M NEBO-M radar system. The video overlay displays Ukrainian text, reinforcing its origin. (031519Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (031550Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- EW: Sophisticated and widespread EW capabilities, significantly impacting UAF C2 and ISR. Mash на Донбассе posts a video "Украинские дроны частенько отправляются обратно к своим бывшим владельцам." (Ukrainian drones often go back to their former owners.), implying successful RUF EW or drone capture tactics. Colonelcassad's "Hunters for dronovodov" video implies active RUF counter-drone efforts including EW. ASTRA reports internet jamming in Izhevsk prior to the attack, indicating a defensive adaptation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts a video questioning "ПВО? РЭБ? Анатолий?", suggesting a focus on air defense and EW. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used by RUF. Полиция Хабаровского края reports МВД awards for police officers saving a civilian, indicating continued domestic security focus and propaganda. Полиция Хабаровского края video shows a Russian police official discussing the first stage of a "Illegal-2025" operation targeting migration law violations in Khabarovsk Krai. Полиция Хабаровского края shares new video messages related to police activity, likely emphasizing domestic security and control. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. This implies RUF is actively conducting SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) operations and using drones for this purpose. Два майора's video from Kherson direction shows a thermal imaging view from a drone and sounds of small arms fire, indicating RUF counter-UAS operations, likely targeting UAF drones. Полиция Хабаровского края shares two videos related to a domestic scam, not directly military. (030700Z JUL 25) Moscow News posts photos of traffic police cars equipped with systems for identifying drivers without licenses. (030728Z JUL 25) TASS reports mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast due to UAV attacks. (030743Z JUL 25) TASS reports 3 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Samara and Belgorod Oblasts. (030835Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports on the roof of a dormitory in Tula being restored after a UAV attack. (030909Z JUL 25) WarGonzo shares video of "frontline traffic lights" warning drivers about enemy drones, suggesting adapted control measures in border areas. (031110Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin arriving at a forum, indicating continued high-level governance. (031222Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing technological development. (031246Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing scientific and technological initiatives. (031251Z JUL 25) Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Governor) has held an operational meeting on the consequences of the night drone attack, confirming damage in Lipetsk district, Yelets, and Lipetsk city. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports conviction of a woman for correcting RUF missile and drone attacks, sentenced to 15 years. RBK-Ukraine shares video claiming UAF destroyed three Nebo-M key radars, implying successful SEAD operations and a significant degradation of RUF AD capabilities. Confidence: HIGH.
- Precision Strikes: Demonstrated capability for long-range precision strikes against critical infrastructure and military targets across Ukraine. TASS reports Russian MoD claims striking a military-industrial complex enterprise, UAV assembly workshops, and storage sites. Colonelcassad reports on the strike on a military-industrial complex enterprise, UAV assembly workshops, and storage sites. Colonelcassad (RUF source) claims a missile strike on an industrial zone in Kramatorsk on June 28 liquidated UAF Colonel Dmytro Vorona. This indicates continued RUF HVT targeting capability. Підрозділ Shadow reports their UAV crew discovered an enemy artillery piece and ammunition storage, followed by friendly fire targeting and successful destruction, implying successful RUF precision strikes against UAF artillery. Colonelcassad reports "В Житомире ракетные прилеты." (Missile strikes in Zhytomyr). This confirms RUF's ability to conduct precision strikes deep within Ukrainian territory. New messages corroborate a strong explosion in Zhytomyr, likely successful RUF deep strike (РБК-Україна, Операция Z, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС). ASTRA and STERNENKO confirm damage to Izhevsk Kupol plant. Alex Parker Returns claims the Zhytomyr strike was on a warehouse with weaponry. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 confirms the Zhytomyr epicenter was not a gas station, implying a more significant target. ASTRA reports a SOCAR gas station was damaged with casualties near Zhytomyr. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА confirms the Zhytomyr explosion. MoD Russia UAV operators destroyed a MaxxPro and a minibus with manpower. Explosions are reported in Khartsyzk, Donetsk Oblast, with multiple UAF and RUF sources reporting on a potential ammunition depot strike, and КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno claiming the target was an ammunition depot for AD, MLRS, and barrel artillery. Colonelcassad also reports a hit on a field ammunition depot near Khartsyzk. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Операция Z claims the Zhytomyr explosion was at a Polish factory (Buczynski) and caused widespread destruction. STERNENKO shares video of a UAV attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, showing smoke and damaged areas, confirming UAF deep strike capabilities. RBK-Ukraine shares new footage and images of the aftermath of the attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over Poltava, claiming "Geraniums" hit a TCC building, indicative of RUF's continued deep strike capabilities against military and administrative infrastructure. Alex Parker Returns also reports a strike on the Poltava TCC building. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030715Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of SBU drones destroying Russian ammunition depots near Khartsyzk. (030801Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photos of aftermath of strike on Poltava. (030801Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares video of drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030911Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports powder factory fire in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, due to UAV strike. (030916Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports UAF confirmed 4 military personnel wounded from drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030921Z JUL 25) Север.Реалії reports 2 killed from RUF attack on Poltava TCC. (030923Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian MoD struck UAF ammunition depot near Kramatorsk with Geran-2 UAV. (030952Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном shares video showing thermal camera view of precise Geranium strikes. (031108Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares video of strike on Poltava TCC. (031113Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that an important object of the enemy military-industrial complex was hit. (031141Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports a strike on Khalino airfield in Kursk, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031152Z JUL 25) TASS reports a FAB strike destroying a UAF command post on the DNR border. (031206Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports due to drone attacks. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports an attack by UAV on one of the objects in Udmurtia. (031220Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a UAV attack on an object in Udmurtia. (031223Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition shows video of "Geranium" drone strikes on 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk. Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031534Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031539Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Special Forces: Active Spetsnaz operations targeting UAF logistics and C2. Kotsnews reports destruction of two RUF DRGs in Gornal, implying active RUF reconnaissance/sabotage in border areas. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows Russian snipers from the 49th Army operating, indicating continued specialized tactical capabilities. РБК-Україна shares video of SFO soldiers showing a successful raid near the border, including prisoner capture, indicating RUF special forces presence in border areas and potential for engaging UAF SFO. New messages from Воин DV confirm special forces (14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade) operations in conjunction with motorized rifle brigades (37th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade) to detect and destroy UAF UAV control points, demonstrating coordinated RUF Spetsnaz and drone operations. Kadyrov_95 video shows Akhmat Special Forces 'Baty' Group conducting drone strikes on Ukrainian dugouts. Alex Parker Returns shares video of an alleged "Wahhabist suicide bomber" in Naberezhnye Chelny. Два майора shares video of OMON detaining an individual, indicating internal security operations. Colonelcassad reports a conviction in the Kherson Oblast Court for a Russian citizen transferring information to Ukrainian special services. TASS reports on the Crocus City Hall terrorists being under influence of drugs during the attack, which RUF may try to exploit to discredit terrorists or provide an explanation. Полиция Хабаровского края posts an image related to traffic police anniversary, implying continued domestic policing and order enforcement. Полиция Хабаровского края video shows a Russian police official discussing the first stage of a "Illegal-2025" operation targeting migration law violations in Khabarovsk Krai. The video depicts police operations at construction sites and against individuals suspected of migration law violations. This confirms an ongoing focus on internal security and control over migrant populations, which can be leveraged for various internal and external messaging purposes. TASS reports the arrest of the deputy head of Roshydromet, Natalia Radkova, in a large-scale fraud case, indicating continued anti-corruption efforts. Полиция Хабаровского края shares new video messages related to police activity, reinforcing domestic security focus. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports "A wave of mass arrests swept through Russia," which indicates heightened internal security measures. TASS reports a fire at a Tambov Oblast enterprise killed 3 and injured 3. TASS reports a patient attacked medical staff with a knife in Irkutsk. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reports the completion of a pre-trial investigation into tax evasion by a group of individuals totaling UAH 29 million, indicating internal legal processes within Ukraine, which could be framed by RUF as internal instability. TASS reports the FSB detained a 23-year-old Russian woman in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack on orders from Kyiv, implying continued RUF counter-terrorist operations against alleged UAF agents within Russia. ASTRA also confirms this detention. TASS reports the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation is demanding the nationalization of the "Yuzhuralzoloto" company belonging to billionaire Konstantin Strukov. (030706Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports three killed and three injured in a fire at an enterprise in Tambov Oblast, citing the acting governor. (030711Z JUL 25) Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages on prosecutors exposing a former married couple working for the FSB RF. (030711Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports SBU detained a Ukrainian Air Force major who was an FSB "mole." (030711Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of a child being apprehended, context unclear (law enforcement or child welfare). (030713Z JUL 25) TASS reports a man arrested for attacking polyclinic staff, claiming he wanted to kill the doctor. (030732Z JUL 25) BТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on Putin sending a 64-year-old serial killer to the front from jail. (030729Z JUL 25) TASS reports property of head of construction supervision department of MoD Kozhevnikov has been arrested. (030807Z JUL 25) ASTRA shares a photo message that the Prosecutor General's Office is demanding nationalization of a gold company. (030829Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports on the son of an Azerbaijani diaspora figure who resisted law enforcement in Yekaterinburg. (030903Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports on military crimes in Gaza, used for information operations. (030903Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports FSB detained a woman in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast for contact with Ukrainian special services and transferring information about an industrial enterprise. (030919Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a detained girl in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack against an employee of a defense enterprise. (031002Z JUL 25) Офіс Генерального прокурора reports liquidation of the "Krasnobalivski" criminal group. (031100Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports National Police liquidated the "Krasnobalivski" criminal organization. (031121Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports a woman had her arm broken by police in Ryazan after being mistaken for a drug courier, indicating continued internal police brutality and potential public discontent. (031211Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports an oncologist was detained for "justifying terrorism." (031250Z JUL 25) Sever.Reali reports police broke teacher's arm in Ryazan after mistaking her for drug courier, indicating continued internal police issues. Kotsnews shares photo messages regarding the "Heroes of Potok", celebrating an operation where 600 Russian soldiers crawled 15 km along a gas pipeline behind Ukrainian forces in March, indicating potential for continued covert infiltration operations. (031535Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports on a Moscow district head allegedly paying over a million rubles to falsely obtain combat veteran status, indicating corruption within the Russian system. (031536Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- New Weapon Systems: Stated intent to deploy "Oreshnik" (new weapon system) in Belarus by year-end. Confidence: HIGH.
- Mine Clearance: Demonstrated capability to use robotic complexes (Uran-6) for mine clearance in border areas. Colonelcassad reports continued mine clearance in Sudzha border area. Confidence: HIGH.
- New Armored Vehicle Deliveries: "High-Precision Systems" (Rostec subsidiary) has shipped a new batch of BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles to the MoD. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shows a video confirming these deliveries. Kotsnews shares a video "Новая партия боевых машин пехоты БМP-3 отправилась в войска." (A new batch of BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles went to the troops.), confirming these deliveries. Colonelcassad shares video of new BMP-3 deliveries from Rostec. (030746Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- New Capability (African Corps Recruitment): Recruitment for the "African Corps" signals RUF's intent to diversify its combat personnel. Kotsnews shares two videos of recruitment for the African Corps, including military training footage and equipment. (030700Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares graphic video of RUF African Corps and Mali army fighting "Al-Qaeda", indicating RUF deployment/proxy operations in Africa. Confidence: HIGH.
- New Capability (Publicly Funded Grad MLRS): The appeal for funds to acquire a BM-21 Grad MLRS suggests a capability gap being addressed through public funding. Confidence: HIGH.
- ASTRA reports Russia attacked Ukraine with 114 drones and 4 S-300 missiles overnight. Confidence: HIGH.
- Оперативний ЗСУ reports North Korea will send up to 30,000 additional troops, which, if materialized, significantly boosts RUF's personnel capabilities. Операция Z amplifies this report from CNN. Воин DV posts about a DPRK military academy delegation visiting Russia, indicating continued military-technical cooperation. Два майора reports Western experts suggest 20,000 troops is a more realistic figure for DPRK deployment. Confidence: HIGH.
- New Capability (Captured Western Equipment): Claims of capturing a Leopard 2A6 tank, if verified, could indicate RUF's intent to exploit Western equipment for intelligence purposes or propaganda. MoD Russia shows a daily news update including claims of destroying a Ukrainian Humvee and a Leopard 2A6 tank. Confidence: MEDIUM.
- TASS reports Medvev claims over 210,000 contract soldiers joined Russian Armed Forces in first half of 2025, indicating significant force generation capability. Kotsnews reports Medvedev's statement. Confidence: HIGH.
- Colonelcassad reports Russian Navy's success in destroying several enemy BEC (unmanned surface vessels) in the Black Sea and shooting down a batch of Ukrainian drones over Crimea. Confidence: HIGH.
- Internal Security Operations: Mash na Donbashe shares a video showing a significant cache of weapons (drugs, automatic rifle, TNT, grenades) found by police in Korsun, DNR. This indicates ongoing internal security operations to disarm the population in occupied territories. TASS reports detonation of powder in Chelyabinsk, indicating ongoing domestic security incidents related to explosives. ASTRA reports arrests of Azerbaijanis in Yekaterinburg in a murder case, indicating domestic law enforcement operations. ASTRA also reports three schoolchildren held in Grozny, indicating internal security enforcement. Alex Parker Returns shares video of an alleged "Wahhabist suicide bomber" in Naberezhnye Chelny. Два майора shares video of OMON detaining an individual, indicating internal security operations. Colonelcassad reports a conviction in the Kherson Oblast Court for a Russian citizen transferring information to Ukrainian special services. TASS reports on the preparation of Crocus City Hall terrorists in Turkey and Afghanistan. Полиция Хабаровского края posts an image related to traffic police anniversary, implying continued domestic policing and order enforcement. Полиция Хабаровского края video shows a Russian police official discussing the first stage of a "Illegal-2025" operation targeting migration law violations in Khabarovsk Krai. The video depicts police operations at construction sites and against individuals suspected of migration law violations. This confirms an ongoing focus on internal security and control over migrant populations, which can be leveraged for various internal and external messaging purposes. TASS reports the arrest of the deputy head of Roshydromet, Natalia Radkova, in a large-scale fraud case, indicating continued anti-corruption efforts. Полиция Хабаровского края shares new video messages related to police activity, reinforcing domestic security focus. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports "A wave of mass arrests swept through Russia," which indicates heightened internal security measures. TASS reports a fire at a Tambov Oblast enterprise killed 3 and injured 3. TASS reports a patient attacked medical staff with a knife in Irkutsk. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reports the completion of a pre-trial investigation into tax evasion by a group of individuals totaling UAH 29 million, indicating internal legal processes within Ukraine, which could be framed by RUF as internal instability. TASS reports the FSB detained a 23-year-old Russian woman in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack on orders from Kyiv, implying continued RUF counter-terrorist operations against alleged UAF agents within Russia. ASTRA also confirms this detention. TASS reports the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation is demanding the nationalization of the "Yuzhuralzoloto" company belonging to billionaire Konstantin Strukov. (030706Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports three killed and three injured in a fire at an enterprise in Tambov Oblast, citing the acting governor. (030711Z JUL 25) Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages on prosecutors exposing a former married couple working for the FSB RF. (030711Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports SBU detained a Ukrainian Air Force major who was an FSB "mole." (030711Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of a child being apprehended, context unclear (law enforcement or child welfare). (030713Z JUL 25) TASS reports a man arrested for attacking polyclinic staff, claiming he wanted to kill the doctor. (030732Z JUL 25) BТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on Putin sending a 64-year-old serial killer to the front from jail. (030729Z JUL 25) TASS reports property of head of construction supervision department of MoD Kozhevnikov has been arrested. (030807Z JUL 25) ASTRA shares a photo message that the Prosecutor General's Office is demanding nationalization of a gold company. (030829Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports on the son of an Azerbaijani diaspora figure who resisted law enforcement in Yekaterinburg. (030903Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports on military crimes in Gaza, used for information operations. (030903Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports FSB detained a woman in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast for contact with Ukrainian special services and transferring information about an industrial enterprise. (030919Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a detained girl in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack against an employee of a defense enterprise. (031002Z JUL 25) Офіс Генерального прокурора reports liquidation of the "Krasnobalivski" criminal group. (031100Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports National Police liquidated the "Krasnobalivski" criminal organization. (031121Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports a woman had her arm broken by police in Ryazan after being mistaken for a drug courier, indicating continued internal police brutality and potential public discontent. (031211Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports an oncologist was detained for "justifying terrorism." (031250Z JUL 25) Sever.Reali reports police broke teacher's arm in Ryazan after mistaking her for drug courier, indicating continued internal police issues. Confidence: HIGH.
Intentions:
- Territorial Control: Primary intention remains the complete capture of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, with a focus on Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and Chasiv Yar. New claims of deep penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dachne, Petrovskoye, Yalta, Zirka-Poddubnoe) indicate an intent to broaden the offensive beyond the traditional Donbas axes. TASS reports MoD liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) TASS reports MoD liberated Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (030911Z JUL 25) Kotsnews reports Russian army liberated Melove and Razino. (031141Z JUL 25) TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video on the "Liberation of Melove," showing Russian forces raising flags. (031521Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Strategic Depth: Establishment of "buffer zones" in border regions (Sumy, Kharkiv). Confidence: HIGH.
- Infrastructure Degradation: Continued degradation of Ukraine's military-industrial complex, energy infrastructure, and logistics. Colonelcassad reports RUF strikes on enterprise of the military-industrial complex, UAV assembly workshops, storage sites, ammunition and military-technical property depots, and temporary deployment points of AFU formations and foreign mercenaries in 139 areas. ASTRA confirming the damage to Izhevsk's Kupol plant (UAV production) indicates RUF's intent to target military-industrial targets. The Zhytomyr strike, whether on a gas station or a warehouse/ammunition depot, reinforces the intent to strike logistics/infrastructure targets. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over Poltava, claiming "Geraniums" hit a TCC building, indicative of RUF's continued intent to target military and administrative infrastructure. Alex Parker Returns also reports a strike on the Poltava TCC building. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030715Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of SBU drones destroying Russian ammunition depots near Khartsyzk. (030801Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photos of aftermath of strike on Poltava. (030801Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares video of drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030911Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports powder factory fire in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, due to UAV strike. (030916Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports UAF confirmed 4 military personnel wounded from drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030921Z JUL 25) Север.Реалії reports 2 killed from RUF attack on Poltava TCC. (030923Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian MoD struck UAF ammunition depot near Kramatorsk with Geran-2 UAV. (030952Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном shares video showing thermal camera view of precise Geranium strikes. (031108Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares video of strike on Poltava TCC. (031113Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that an important object of the enemy military-industrial complex was hit. (031141Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF General Staff confirmed a strike on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (031145Z JUL 25) КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports a strike on Khalino airfield in Kursk, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031152Z JUL 25) TASS reports a FAB strike destroying a UAF command post on the DNR border. (031206Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports due to drone attacks. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports an attack by UAV on one of the objects in Udmurtia. (031220Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a UAV attack on an object in Udmurtia. (031223Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition shows video of "Geranium" drone strikes on 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk. Оперативний ЗСУ reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031534Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports UAF successfully struck Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, damaging an aviation weapons storage complex and possibly a Pantsir-S1. (031539Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Information Dominance: Maintain and escalate information warfare to shape narratives, demoralize UAF, and influence international opinion. TASS reports the Washington Post stating Ukrainian officials were "caught off guard" by the US aid suspension, indicating RUF intent to amplify perceived disarray within Ukraine regarding aid. ASTRA's report on alleged torture of a Ukrainian serviceman (burnt inscription "Glory to Russia") is a clear psychological operation (PSYOP) likely intended to intimidate and demoralize UAF personnel and sow fear among the Ukrainian populace. Операция Z's video claiming a Slovak ex-Minister of Defense "fled to Canada" to avoid accountability for ammunition provided to UAF is an information operation aimed at discrediting foreign support for Ukraine. TASS reports Putin supports dialogue even with those with significant disagreements, aiming to project Russia's diplomatic openness while maintaining its interests. Операция Z highlights Kyiv summoning a US diplomat over the arms supply halt, emphasizing perceived Ukrainian weakness and US unreliability. WarGonzo reports on a monument to "Motorola" in Ukhta, glorifying separatist figures. TASS reports Maria Zakharova's statement that the prospect of creating a NATO-like military organization based on the EU would be a threat to Russia, indicating intent to deter deeper European military integration. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, an RUF source, discusses the US suspension of arms supplies to Ukraine, presenting it as either a US attempt to pressure Kyiv into negotiations or to compel EU countries to purchase more US weapons, framing it as a win-win for the US. This aims to discredit the sincerity of US aid. Kotsnews is promoting a boycott of Azerbaijani products, mirroring a previous campaign against Latvian goods, indicating an intent to leverage economic pressure for political goals related to ongoing diplomatic tensions. Alex Parker Returns reports Peskov stating that Moscow sees Kyiv attempting to imbalance Russia-Azerbaijan relations and provoke tension, further indicating RUF intent to deflect blame and control narratives related to diplomatic disputes. Kadyrov_95 [Video message] Caption: Владислав Чернов — военнослужащий ВСУ, один из тех, кого силой забрали представители ТЦК, без надлежащей подготовки почти сразу отправили на линию боевого боевого соприкосновения. Его, как и многих других, использовали как живой ресурс, без сочувствия, без понимания and без малейшего шанса на возвращение. (This message directly attempts to undermine Ukrainian morale and recruitment by highlighting alleged forced conscription and lack of training, aiming to portray the Ukrainian military as uncaring of its personnel. This is a clear PSYOP targeting UAF recruitment and public support.) Alex Parker Returns shares a photo message implying Medvedev's silence on Azerbaijan tensions, likely intended to generate speculation or criticism. Операция Z reports The Washington Post analysis of Russian activation of offensive in Donetsk and Sumy, framed to reinforce narrative of successful Russian offensives. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo message claiming US is leaving the war, directly amplifying a narrative of abandonment. Alex Parker Returns shares photo messages claiming Zelensky stripped citizenship from Metropolitan Onufriy, framed as "military dictator" attacking Orthodoxy. This is a deliberate RUF attempt to sow religious discord and delegitimize Ukrainian leadership. Colonelcassad also shares a similar sentiment. Операция Z reports The New York Times as stating that the cessation of US arms supplies is a clear signal that the United States is beginning to withdraw from the war in Ukraine. Kotsnews reports "СМИ: К сентябрю у Украины закончится американское оружие" (Media: Ukraine will run out of American weapons by September). This is a direct information operation to demoralize Ukraine and pressure Western allies. TASS reports "Приостановка поставок оружия США Киеву указывает на выход Вашингона из конфликта, пишет NYT." (Suspension of US arms supplies to Kyiv indicates Washington's withdrawal from the conflict, NYT writes). This is RUF amplification of Western media reports to support their narrative of Western abandonment. Операция Z reports "Российского посла в Баку вызвали в МИД Азербайджана, ему выражен протест в связи с "недружественными действиями" и "шагами российской стороны, подрывающие отношениям между двумя странами"." (Russian ambassador to Baku summoned to Azerbaijani MFA, protest expressed due to "unfriendly actions" and "steps by the Russian side undermining relations between the two countries"). This confirms RUF's intent to highlight and possibly exploit diplomatic tensions. TASS reports Maria Zakharova's briefing statements, which include ongoing diplomatic issues with Azerbaijan and concerns over the treatment of Russian citizens. This reinforces RUF's intent to use these issues for diplomatic pressure and internal narrative. ASTRA reports "Зеленский лишил гражданства Украины главы Украинской православной церкви Московского патриархата Онуфрий" (Zelensky stripped Ukrainian citizenship from the head of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate Onufriy). This is a highly polarizing action that RUF will exploit to sow religious and political discord within Ukraine and justify its "protection" narrative. НгП раZVедка amplifies the NYT report that the US is leaving the conflict, a core RUF information operation. Colonelcassad amplifies complaints from Russians in Azerbaijan, fueling the diplomatic dispute narrative. Военкор Котенок reports "Россияне в Азербайджане, в т.ч. туристы, жалуются на насилие, визиты неизвестных лиц, представляющихся полицией, прессинг, задержания и т.д." (Russians in Azerbaijan, including tourists, complain about violence, visits from unknown persons posing as police, pressure, detentions, etc.). This is a clear attempt to create a narrative of Azerbaijani hostility towards Russians, justifying RUF's diplomatic stance. Операция Z shares a photo message containing a highly derogatory reference to an alleged speechwriter for Zelensky, aiming to discredit and dehumanize Ukrainian leadership. TASS reports that a Ukrainian blogger, Vlad Bumaga, was added to the Ukrainian "Myrotvorets" list. This is an RUF information operation to discredit Ukrainian civil society efforts against pro-Russian elements. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts "🤔🇺🇦Как вяжутся логически выражения "это война" и "в результате подлого удара"???" (🤔🇺🇦How do the expressions "this is war" and "as a result of a cowardly blow" logically combine???). This appears to be an RUF-aligned source attempting to create a false dichotomy or criticize Ukrainian rhetoric as inconsistent, as part of an ongoing information operation. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts "😎🇺🇦русня, та ладно вам скулить, у вас флота всё равно нет уже, нахрена вам командующий?)" (😎🇺🇦Russians, come on, stop whining, you don't have a fleet anyway, why do you need a commander?). This is a clear attempt to mock and demoralize RUF, especially following the reports of a Black Sea Fleet Commander being liquidated, indicating UAF intent to exploit perceived RUF vulnerabilities. TASS posts new videos of a Russian singer (Shaman) filming a music video for "Intervision-25", signaling intent to use cultural events for morale boosting and national identity. Alex Parker Returns reports a quote from Marianna Bezuhla, a Ukrainian MP, stating "The USA is no longer an ally of Ukraine," which is a clear RUF information operation to sow discord. Colonelcassad reports NATO Secretary General supported the suspension of US arms supplies, implying Western disunity. Rybar's "Reputation over Peace" message likely pertains to this information operation. TASS reports the CIA acknowledging its 2016 election interference assessment may have been politically motivated. Colonelcassad reports the CIA officially disavowed accusations against Russia concerning the 2016 US election interference. Rybar shares a video on "Price of normalization of relations," which can be interpreted as a demand for concessions from the West. Two majors share an image of a "Crisis of Russia and Azerbaijan," indicating continued intent to frame this as an ongoing issue. ASTRA reports Vlad Bumaga added to "Myrotvorets," which RUF will exploit to portray Ukraine as repressive. Операция Z pushes the narrative of a "genocide" by OUN and UPA against Poles, fueling historical revisionism and discord. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС (citing NYT) reports absence of new US sanctions allowed Russia to resume supply of military goods. TASS reports that the Pentagon states the US had warned Ukraine in advance about the suspension of certain weapons supplies. This aims to mitigate the surprise/damage control narrative from UAF. TASS reports Orban believes Zelensky still has time to turn towards peace in his policy. Alex Parker Returns posts a video mocking Zelensky, calling him a "military dictator" and using the metro in Kryvyi Rih as a sarcastic example of his priorities compared to Kyiv. Colonelcassad shares a photo message about the flow chart "Why the war is not ending? Because they profit from it." TASS reports SBU adding Russian artists and politicians to its розыск database, which RUF can use for propaganda. TASS reports American guards in Gaza opening fire on Palestinians, which RUF can use to highlight alleged Western human rights abuses. Операция Z shares new videos showing alleged attacks on Lipetsk, attributed to Ukraine. ASTRA shares a video of Lipetsk residents reporting numerous explosions. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reported that drone debris fell on a private residential building, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. TASS reports the Kiev leadership expects European countries to buy weapons for Ukraine from the US, citing Politico. Rybar reports on the Middle East crisis, which will be leveraged to highlight regional instability not tied to Ukraine. TASS reports Qatar's offer to mediate will be used by RUF to project diplomatic openness. Два майора's morning summary indicates continued centralized control over RUF information dissemination. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides new morning summaries, indicating UAF's continued transparent reporting strategy. Басурин о главном shares a historical "Pravda" newspaper from 1941, implying a long-term historical narrative and justification for current actions. Басурин о главном video states "For the US and the West, every meter liberated by the Russian army is painful," aiming to justify Russian actions and mock Western reaction. Басурин о главном also states the West will continue to build "Anti-Russia," implying a long-term struggle. Операция Z reports that Budanov has effectively admitted to the loss of Ukrainian territories, which is an RUF information operation to demoralize Ukraine. ASTRA shares a political cartoon from Hungary featuring Zelenskyy, implying foreign interference in Ukrainian information space. Operational Z reports a Pentagon spokesperson discussing the US decision on arms supplies to Ukraine, emphasizing the decision-making process by the President and Secretary. The Economist reports Ukraine faces "reckoning" due to the cessation of US arms supplies, which RUF will certainly amplify to demoralize Ukraine and highlight the supposed unsustainability of Western aid. Rybar shares a photo message discussing how the British government is looking for money to increase military spending, indicating RUF monitoring of NATO defense initiatives. Alex Parker Returns shares a video claiming that the Head of Tatarstan materialized in Turkey during the conflict with Azerbaijan, implying potential disloyalty or complex geopolitical maneuverings, which could be an RUF information operation to sow distrust. TASS reports that Maria Zakharova stated that relations between Russia and Azerbaijan are strategic and that some forces do not like this, indicating continued RUF attempts to control the narrative around the diplomatic spat. Kotsnews reports on "Trump's speaking silence and tanker explosions," implying a link between US political developments and UAF kinetic actions against Russian maritime assets, aiming to stir conspiracy theories. РБК-Україна reports the US State Department assures that not all arms supplies to Ukraine have been stopped, directly countering prevailing concerns about US aid. Alex Parker Returns publishes photos and videos (030700Z JUL 25) with a general address to subscribers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a political cartoon regarding Ursula von der Leyen's confidence vote in the European Parliament, indicating RUF monitoring and commentary on European politics. (030704Z JUL 25) Филолог в засаде provides a warning to Russian citizens against traveling to countries with "muddy-slippery politics," especially those "unfriendly," citing the Azerbaijan situation. (030717Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports that the US has changed priorities in arms supplies not only for Ukraine, but for other countries as well, citing CBS. (030720Z JUL 25) Rybar shares a photo message on British threats of sanctions against Kazakhstan. (030734Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine shares image of Zelensky and Trump possibly having a phone call. (030742Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports Ukraine wants to get permission to purchase US weapons at Europe's expense. (030748Z JUL 25) WarGonzo reports on information regarding cessation of arms supplies for AFU. (030822Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares photo messages with caption "I will be your Russia Iqbal" implying narrative on Azerbaijan. (030805Z JUL 25) Kotsnews states "I don't understand the attacks on Zakharova regarding the situation with Azerbaijan." (030838Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок shares photo message titled "Repressions against the Azerbaijani diaspora are gaining momentum." (030841Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares political humor message with text "Now about the situation on the couch front of "Independent". (030818Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photo message about Ursula von der Leyen being threatened with a vote of no confidence. (030819Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares photo message on Politico reporting Pentagon decision to suspend arms supply to Ukraine was unexpected. (030820Z JUL 25) TASS reports Diogo Jota, football player, died in a car accident. (030820Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports average salary in Ukraine to reach 40,000 UAH. (030859Z JUL 25) Рыбарь shares video message of a Ukrainian POW being interviewed (part of a propaganda effort from "Tyraspol"). (030901Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports Peskov comments on next round of negotiations in Istanbul. (030910Z JUL 25) Рыбарь reports on possibility of ceasefire in Gaza. (030919Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports FSB detained a woman in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast for contact with Ukrainian special services and transferring information about an industrial enterprise. (030919Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Zelensky arrived in Denmark for a visit. (030946Z JUL 25) TASS reports protest by supporters of Gutsul outside court building in Chisinau. (030943Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video of an individual climbing a fence, related to a criminal incident in Leningrad Oblast. (030945Z JUL 25) Janus Putkonen shares video from a Russian special operation exhibition in Kursk at a museum in Luhansk. (030955Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ingushetia Interior Ministry denies searches related to embezzlement. (030958Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video that a terrorist attack in Luhansk occurred near a museum opening an exhibition on the Kursk operation. (030958Z JUL 25) Два майора suggests retraining psychologists for SVO combatants. (031001Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video from a Wagner Group fighter discussing leadership and war. (031003Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts statement that strikes on TCC are Russia's attempt to disrupt mobilization, but the process is unstoppable. (031008Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports Trump and Zelensky will discuss suspension of arms supplies during a phone call on Friday. (031100Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares that Hungarian Prime Prime Minister Viktor Orban called on Zelensky to choose the path of peace. (031101Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports that the Russian Embassy in Tel Aviv reported no obstacles for Russians to visit Israel due to "relative stabilization of the situation." (031114Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Sweden will provide Ukraine with $130 million in military aid. (031115Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares an analytical article on how Europe is responding to Trump's challenge regarding defense and what Ukraine can expect. (031119Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a photo message implying US and Ukraine are working to organize a phone call between Trump and Zelensky. (031117Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports the EU plans sanctions against judges and security forces involved in the case of Alexei Gorinov. (031132Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports an Iskander missile hit the Odesa sea port. (031148Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports RUF attacked port infrastructure in Odesa with missiles. (031134Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video on conflict between China and Japan over territory. (031148Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports the number of injured from the Iskander strike on Odesa port has risen to 6, including two Syrian citizens. (031152Z JUL 25) Zelenskiy / Official shares video regarding agreement on Ukrainian-American cooperation for drone production. (031151Z JUL 25) Старше Эдды comments on Maria Zakharova's statement regarding Russia-Azerbaijan strategic partnership. (031205Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном shares a political cartoon on "Bridge to Sicily," implying Italy's perceived attempt to avoid military spending or aid. (031207Z JUL 25) TASS reports the defense of Gutsul presented evidence of violations by the prosecution, indicating continued legal challenges in Moldova. (031214Z JUL 25) Два майора reports a deputy in Yugra was stripped of salary for calling the region "homeland of Uzbeks," indicating an internal Russian political/ethnic issue. (031216Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports Sweden is allocating $130M in aid to Ukraine. (031222Z JUL 25) TASS reports the Russian Prosecutor General's Office and Azerbaijani counterparts are in regular contact regarding current agenda, addressing the diplomatic spat. (031244Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports residents of Salekhard laid flowers at monuments to journalists, likely propaganda for the conflict. (031246Z JUL 25) НгП раZVедка posts a strongly negative opinion on a Belarusian political figure and his association with "ultraliberal garbage," indicating a continued RUF information operation to discredit opposition figures. (031251Z JUL 25) TASS reports Putin will have a phone call with Trump today. Операция Z confirms Putin-Trump call. TASS reports former Luhansk mayor Manolis Pilavov was wanted in Ukraine. TASS reports Moldovan leader Gutsul accused the judge in her party financing case of bias. TASS reports 5,000 people evacuated in Crete due to wildfires. РБК-Україна reports Trump announced a call with Putin in 20 minutes, confirming it will start at 17:00 MSK. Операция Z shares graphic video of RUF African Corps and Mali army fighting "Al-Qaeda", indicating RUF deployment/proxy operations in Africa. Alex Parker Returns shares video from Putin's public forum, indicating his continued public appearances. Janus Putkonen reports "Operation Flow" where 600 Russian soldiers crawled 15 km along a gas pipeline behind Kyiv's forces in March, indicating potential for continued covert infiltration operations. Zelenskiy / Official states "НАЖИВО. Спілкування з представниками медіа спільно з Прем’єр-міністеркою Данії Метте Фредеріксен, Президентом Європейської ради Антоніу Коштою та Президенткою Європейської комісії Урсулою фон дер Ляєн." (LIVE. Communication with media representatives together with Prime Minister of Denmark Mette Frederiksen, President of the European Council António Costa and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen.) (031434Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports "Данія висловила підтримку вступу України до Євросоюзу" (Denmark expressed support for Ukraine's accession to the European Union). (031448Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video on Ukraine and American company Swift Beat signing a memorandum, potentially for drone production. (031451Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports "Ми розраховуємо на продовження американської підтримки, бо є певні позиції, які Європа не може надати, - Зеленський" (We expect continued American support, because there are certain positions that Europe cannot provide, - Zelenskyy). (031453Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photo of Zelenskyy and Trump with text "Ukraine needs a meeting with Trump and Putin to achieve peace." (031520Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Zelensky is asking Trump for attention after US froze military aid. (031545Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports that if there are gaps in US support, Denmark will make maximum efforts to fill them. (031544Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Putin and Trump are currently in a phone conversation. (031548Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on most reports; LOW for unverified ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ claim).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations

Ukraine: European reports of temperatures up to +42°C suggest potential heat stress on personnel and equipment across Ukraine. Confidence: HIGH.
Russia: North Atlantic cyclone "Cornelius" arrived in Moscow, bringing 3 days of rain and colder temperatures. Discernible earthquake in Kamchatka. TASS reports Putin joked about the coming winter, referring to summer weather. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Tambov airport, as reported by TASS and ASTRA, likely due to weather or AD activity. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Saratov airport. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reports a "Red" (High) level alert for UAV attack has been cancelled in the region. TASS reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been lifted at Tambov airport. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Samara airport. TASS reports flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport, likely due to UAV activity or weather. Новости Москвы confirms Day of the City in Moscow will be held on September 13-14, implying preparations for a large public event which could be affected by weather. The Governor of Bryansk Oblast (RUF) posted a message. (030659Z JUL 25) Новости Москвы reports heatwave of over +30C expected in Moscow by mid-next week. (030906Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ulyanovsk airport restrictions lifted. (031013Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports temporary flight restrictions at Nizhnekamsk and Izhevsk airports. (031218Z JUL 25) TASS reports 5,000 people evacuated in Crete due to wildfires, which is not directly relevant to Ukrainian operations. Moscow News reports a train smoking at Kaluzhskaya station, indicating a civilian transport incident. TASS reports "Временные ограничения в аэропортах Ижевска и Нижнекамска сняты, сообщила Росавиация." (Temporary restrictions at Izhevsk and Nizhnekamsk airports have been lifted, Rosaviatsia reported.) (031449Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports the main naval parade in St. Petersburg for Navy Day on July 27 has been canceled for security reasons. (031535Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports the cancellation of the Main Naval Parade in St. Petersburg due to security measures. (031546Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures

RUF Dispositions:
- Donetsk: High-intensity offensive continues on Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. Confirmed presence of units from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups, 30th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, and VDV (98th Guards Airborne Division confirmed in Chasiv Yar, 247th Air Assault Regiment). TASS reports the "Vostok" grouping destroyed 17 UAV control points and advanced in Zeleny Pol, Novod Rozv, and Vesele areas, claiming destruction of two APCs, two BMPs, one MT-LB, and one artillery piece. TASS video reports a Su-25 of the RUF VKS destroyed a UAF strongpoint in the "Vostok" zone, indicating continued air support. Colonelcassad reports Ka-52 helicopter operations engaging Ukrainian drones. MoD Russia shares a video titled "00:00 A T-90 tank crew of the Tsentr Group of Forces neutralised an an AFU machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction." This confirms continued T-90 operations and targeting of UAF strongpoints in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group showing coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates continued offensive operations and training on the "Vostok" axis. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows mortar fire and destruction of positions on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating continued use of such systems. TASS reports that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar, confirming continued VDV operations. Два майора provides a general morning summary for July 3, indicating continued RUF operational reporting. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ivanovske paratroopers "liberated" Nikolaevka on the Chasiv Yar direction. Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction, including Russian soldiers in combat gear, indicating ground forces presence. (030805Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports heavy fighting and assaults are ongoing for Chasiv Yar. (030901Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD statement on liberation of Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (030918Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Russian forces continue to advance in the Donetsk direction. (031102Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares thermal footage of a convoy and explosion, possibly showing RUF operations. (031105Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use and presence of 11th Guards Army Air Force and Air Defense, as well as 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of "Vostok" group. (031208Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad video shows a BTR-4 being targeted and hit by a drone near Suvorovo, indicating continued anti-armor drone operations. (031220Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows a BM-21 Grad MLRS firing. (031237Z JUL 25) Narodnaya militsiya DNR confirms destruction of a UAF mortar position near Rusyn Yar. WarGonzo shares video of RUF artillery operations, focusing on the precision and speed of targeting, indicating continued emphasis on artillery capabilities. BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of UAF capturing 9 RUF soldiers from the 425th Separate Motorized Rifle Battalion "Skala" during a failed RUF offensive near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing direct evidence of combat effectiveness against RUF ground units. Операция Z reports "Ожесточённые бои у Покровска: «🅾️тважные» днём и ночью жгут НАТОвскую технику, пехоту и артиллерию врага" (Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: "Brave" forces burn NATO equipment, enemy infantry and artillery day and night), with video showing drone footage targeting and destroying a truck, SUV, mortar position, and a UAV. (031436Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad confirms that in addition to the brigade commander and deputy commander, the chief of staff of the 110th Mechanized Brigade was also liquidated in Huliaipole, rendering the brigade "effectively decapitated," and expects more obituaries of senior officers. (031439Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports destroyed Bushmaster, M113, and Mastiff vehicles on the Southern Donetsk direction. (031501Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a general greeting. (031534Z JUL 25) Два майора posts a series of photos under the caption "Soldier's Everyday Life", showing Russian soldiers in various operational contexts, indicating continued combat activities. (031534Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo messages under the caption "Heroes of 'Potok' told about their feat", featuring images of soldiers, likely highlighting Russian special forces operations. (031535Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of captured UAF soldiers near Komar, with one soldier expressing doubt about future combat. (031548Z JUL 25) Два майора shares a graphic video on combat medics, likely to highlight the harsh realities of the front and the work of medical personnel. (031550Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Zaporizhzhia: Kadyrovite (Chechen special forces) transfer to Enerhodar/Melitopol/Vasylivka area with 15 military trucks indicates a significant buildup for potential assault operations. Confidence: HIGH.
- ASTRA reports five Su-34 fighter jets were damaged in a UAV attack on a military airfield in Volgograd Oblast on June 27. Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF video shows operators of RUF "Bars-31" drone unit destroying a truck with a UAF anti-aircraft gun. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports Russian air defense shot down three Storm Shadow missiles, three HIMARS projectiles, and 173 UAVs in the last 24 hours. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports Lukashenka's statement about "Oreshnik" deployment in Belarus by year-end. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports "High-Precision Systems" holding shipped a new batch of BMP-3s to the Ministry of Defense. Kotsnews shares a video "Новая партия боевых машин пехоты БМP-3 отправилась в войска." (A new batch of BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles went to the troops.), confirming these deliveries. Colonelcassad shares video of new BMP-3 deliveries from Rostec. (030746Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF is actively recruiting for the "African Corps," indicating continued intent to deploy foreign/mercenary forces, potentially in Africa or involving African personnel in Ukraine. Операция Z shares graphic video of RUF African Corps and Mali army fighting "Al-Qaeda", indicating RUF deployment/proxy operations in Africa. Confidence: HIGH.
- RUF (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) is appealing for donations to acquire a BM-21 Grad MLRS to counter UAF drones and for combat missions, indicating a reliance on public funding for heavy equipment and a perceived need for enhanced counter-UAS capabilities beyond existing systems. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video confirms receipt of Mavic 3 drones from public donations, indicating success in these fundraising efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a new video appeal for donations for "Paratroopers." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Good morning airborne family!" indicating continued morale boosting and daily reporting. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" posts a video with a caption "Сбор для Десантников🪂" (Collection for Paratroopers), confirming continued reliance on public funding for specific unit needs. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS video reports "Geran-2 UAV operators destroyed a temporary deployment point of the AFU in Yablonovka." This confirms continued RUF use of Shahed drones for tactical strikes on UAF positions. MoD Russia video shows precise Geran UAV strikes. Confidence: HIGH.
- Воин DV video shows drone strikes on UAF personnel and vehicles by the 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, confirming continued RUF special forces operations utilizing drone assets for precision strikes and BDA. Воин DV shares photo messages with the caption "Гвардии сержант Мэргэн Будаев, старший разведчик-снайпер 14-й гв. отдельной бригады армейского спецназа России." The images display a Russian soldier in tactical tactical gear, including a helmet with NVG mount, tactical vest, and camouflage uniform, armed with a sniper rifle. The soldier's presence and equipment indicate participation in ongoing military operations. The content identifies the individual as a senior scout-sniper from the 14th Guards Separate Brigade of Army Special Forces. The visible equipment, including the sniper rifle, suggests continued focus on specialized infantry capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. Воин DV shares new video of a 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade operator discovering and destroying a UAF vehicle on the Shakhtyorsk direction, implying continued RUF special forces activity. "Воин DV" shares a new video, captioned "Очередной эмоциональный рассказ от украинского военнопленного" (Another emotional story from a Ukrainian prisoner of war), showing a captured UAF soldier being used for propaganda. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Практика на порохе: учебный — только патрон. Остальное по-настоящему," showing military training or combat footage with soldiers and vehicles, including use of smoke grenades and potential explosives, suggesting continued combat readiness and training. Воин DV shares two new videos, captioned #ГероиСпецоперацииV, showing a Russian soldier discussing his combat experience. (030758Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of a deputy political officer for the 'Wolves' DRShBr discussing a formative combat experience. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports the Federation Council approved a law allowing stateless persons to serve by contract in the RF Armed Forces. This is a significant change in force generation policy. Confidence: HIGH.
- Оперативний ЗСУ reports North Korea will send up to 30,000 additional troops to assist Russia, which would be a substantial external force contribution. Операция Z amplifies this report, stating "🇰🇵🤝🇷🇺КНДР намерена отправить в Россию еще 25-30 000 военных в ближайшие месяцы, - CNN" (North Korea intends to send another 25-30,000 troops to Russia in the coming months, - CNN). This indicates RUF-aligned sources are promoting this narrative. Воин DV posts a photo message "Делегация военной академии КНДР отправилась в Россию" (Delegation of the DPRK Military Academy went to Russia), indicating continued military cooperation. Confidence: HIGH.
- МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники video shows a Russian soldier in uniform, potentially for propaganda or recruitment, aligning with force generation efforts. Confidence: HIGH.
- Воин DV video shows drone operators of the 5th Tank Guards Brigade conducting remote mining of a road in Voskresenka, confirming new RUF tactics for area denial. Confidence: HIGH.
- Народная милиция ДНР photo message initiates a "Large summer collection of aid for children of Donbas and the SVO zone," indicating continued humanitarian/influence operations in occupied territories. Народная милиция ДНР video messages indicate ongoing volunteer efforts to provide humanitarian aid to personnel in the SVO zone and civilian populations in Donetsk and Rostov-on-Don, including medical equipment, PPE, and food. This reflects continued domestic support and logistical efforts. Confidence: HIGH.
- TASS reports the Russian MoD claims over 1,235 UAF military personnel lost in the last 24 hours. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an updated estimate of RUF combat losses (as of 03 JUL 25), with 1000 personnel killed or wounded in the last 24 hours. "Оперативний ЗСУ" posts a photo message "😱 успешно демобилизирован:" with imagery implying a deceased enemy soldier. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" posts a photo message "😱 успешно демобилизирован:", implying successful UAF BDA on RUF losses. (031040Z JUL 25) Confidence: LOW (self-serving RUF claim, no independent verification).
- Два майора (RUF source) shares a "Good morning!" message, implying a positive morale state among some RUF-aligned personnel. Confidence: LOW (generic sentiment).
- Басурин о главном reports that a Leopard 2A6 tank was captured by RUF forces. Confidence: MEDIUM (requires visual corroboration and context).
- MoD Russia publishes photo messages on the progress of the special military operation as of July 2, 2025, suggesting continued reporting on their tactical advancements. (031144Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Fighterbomber posts a photo of a "swan" (likely a Tu-160 bomber), which could be a propaganda image to boost morale or signal continued strategic air power. Fighterbomber shares video of an aircraft in a field. (031133Z JUL 25) Fighterbomber shares another video of an aircraft being towed by a tractor. (031133Z JUL 25) Confidence: MEDIUM.
- Воин DV posts two video messages with the caption #ГероиСпецоперацииV, likely featuring Russian soldiers or showcasing their actions, reinforcing positive morale and propaganda efforts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows Russian snipers from the 49th Army operating in a forested area, using suppressed weapons and thermal/night vision, indicating continued specialized RUF operations. Два майора (RUF source) shares a video of a Russian military truck with a mounted anti-aircraft gun (likely ZU-23-2) in the Kherson direction, indicating continued use of older equipment and tactical adaptability in various sectors. Kadyrov_95 [Video message] Caption: Владислав Чернов — военнослужащий ВСУ, один из тех, кого силой забрали представители ТЦК, без надлежащей подготовки почти сразу отправили на линию боевого боевого соприкосновения. Его, как и многих других, использовали как живой ресурс, без сочувствия, без понимания and без малейшего шанса на возвращение. (Propaganda video about alleged Ukrainian prisoner of war, Vladislav Chernov, who was supposedly forcibly mobilized by TCC and sent to the front without proper training.) TASS reports Medvev claims over 210,000 contract soldiers joined Russian Armed Forces in first half of 2025. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts morale patches for "Wolfling 45" unit. Colonelcassad shares video of FSB detaining individuals in Zaporizhzhia Oblast for funding UAF. Colonelcassad shares video of Dmitry Medvedev discussing military recruitment numbers, indicating ongoing force generation efforts. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shows a video of new BMP-3 deliveries to the troops. MoD Russia's Grad MLRS crews of the 25th Combined Arms Army destroyed a UAV command post and manpower clusters of the AFU. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video showcasing a camouflaged tank (likely T-90M or T-72B3 series) in a training exercise, possibly promoting Rostec capabilities. This indicates continued RUF efforts to highlight military modernization and readiness. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides "Оперативна інформація станом на 16:00 02.07.2025 щодо російського вторгнення" (Operational information as of 16:00 02.07.2025 regarding the Russian invasion). This is a general update, suggesting no major, immediate shifts in the frontline or enemy disposition since the last report, but confirming ongoing engagements. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video with caption "Потеря связи." (Loss of connection), showing an aerial view of a damaged building and an explosion. This indicates continued RUF drone reconnaissance and targeting, possibly in the Donetsk region. The caption "Loss of connection" could refer to a UAF comms jam or a technical issue with the RUF drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Семья, это артиллерия, бойцы работают на боевых машинах, которые поражают позиции противника на большом расстоянии." (Family, this is artillery, the fighters are working on combat vehicles that hit enemy positions that hit enemy positions at long range). This is a morale-boosting message highlighting RUF artillery capabilities. Басурин о главном shares a video encouraging subscription to his Telegram channel, which is a method for RUF-aligned sources to expand their information reach. Colonelcassad reports on the Russian MoD's summary of the "special military operation" as of July 2, 2025, which will provide RUF's official narrative of tactical successes. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of an alleged Russian soldier complaining about "prison-like" living conditions, lack of food, and being confined, appealing for help. This suggests potential internal RUF morale and logistical issues, or could be a UAF PSYOP. НгП раZVедка shares a photo message "Хороший фотограф на вес золота." (A good photographer is worth his weight in gold), featuring a soldier in tactical gear, likely a morale-boosting post or an appreciation for combat documentation. Colonelcassad shares a video of a soldier engaging in a combat scenario with the caption "Стальной характер!" (Steel character!), a morale-boosting post. Старше Эдды shares photos from a meeting with officers in Rostov-on-Don, celebrating "Veterans of Combat Operations Day" and praising their service. This is a morale-boosting and propaganda effort to glorify military service and maintain support for the conflict. Fighterbomber shares a video of a "Звено штурмовиков" (flight of attack aircraft), likely Su-25s, indicating continued RUF close air support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring a man identified as Shvartsman Aleksandr Анатольевич, a POW from the 155th Separate Marine Brigade, discussing contract service and conditions. This indicates UAF is leveraging POWs for counter-propaganda about RUF recruitment. Два майора shares a video with a man speaking about something "актуалочка" (current/relevant), likely propaganda or a morale message. Rybar posts two new videos of what appears to be RUF soldiers in a training environment, likely tank crews, with the caption "Учеба на чужих ошибках" (Learning from others' mistakes). This could imply RUF is adapting its training based on lessons learned from combat. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition shares new video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group demonstrating coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates RUF's continued focus on improving offensive armored tactics. MoD Russia shows a video featuring a captured Ukrainian serviceman discussing conscription practices, including taking everyone into the AFU, even from funerals, and medics and drivers being sent to consolidation troops. Воин DV operators of "Boоtur" BARS-2 unit destroyed a Ukrainian tank by drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a summary for July 2. Colonelcassad posts a video of a civilian Lada being converted into a military "buggy," indicating grassroots vehicle modifications for combat use. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used on the front. Воин DV shares a video of a 37th Brigade guardsman carrying a wounded comrade, indicating combat operations. MoD Russia shows a photo update with "Top News Today," including a claim of destroying a Ukrainian Humvee and a Leopard 2A6 tank. Colonelcassad reports the destruction of the Ukrainian armored vehicle "Novator." Colonelcassad shares a video of an emotional speech from a captured Ukrainian serviceman. Воин DV posts video of drone operators destroying a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad shares video of a military vehicle being hit by a precision munition and catching fire. Fighterbomber shares a photo message "Доброе утро, страна!" which is a generic morale booster for Russian population. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of RUF soldiers in wheelchairs seeking new volunteers, likely a morale booster/propaganda attempt highlighting 'resilience' while simultaneously showing the devastating human cost. Kotsnews shares a video on recruitment for the African Corps, including military training footage and equipment. (030700Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of individuals on ATVs, possibly reconnaissance or patrol. (030701Z JUL 25) MoD Russia shares a video of an Orlan UAV aiming artillery at a target, potentially a Lancet loitering munition, including command post monitoring. (030711Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of a civilian child being apprehended, context unclear (law enforcement or child welfare). (030713Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of new BMP-3 deliveries from Rostec. (030746Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos about support fund for SVO. (030805Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of soldiers in the field. (030805Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts a video "This is, undoubtedly, a success!" showing a child being apprehended near a vehicle. (030833Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video titled "The stage of acceptance of the Russian occupier," showing a soldier in a wooded area. This implies RUF ground forces are still active and possibly encountering significant UAF resistance leading to demoralization. (030850Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports captured Russians from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade giving testimony against a comrade accused of executing a Ukrainian prisoner. (030906Z JUL 25) Kadyrov_95 posts a video celebrating the Day of State Traffic Inspectorate, featuring a parade of police vehicles and personnel. (030906Z JUL 25) MoD Russia daily summary. (030936Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports Russian troops liberated Razino and Melove. (030942Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian MoD struck UAF ammunition depot near Kramatorsk with Geran-2 UAV. (030952Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts a video of three POWs being interrogated. (030955Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares a video of an alleged Wagner Group fighter speaking about the war. (031003Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts statement that strikes on TCC are Russia's attempt to disrupt mobilization, but the process is unstoppable. (031008Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Два майора shares multiple photo messages with a caption "Будни солдата" (Soldier's everyday life), depicting RUF soldiers in various settings, likely for morale or propaganda. (031034Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video showing camouflage uniforms and an ammunition crate from a 'Kherson Herald' source. (031102Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares aerial reconnaissance video of a person in camouflage near concertina wire in a forested area, implying military activity. (031121Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares video of 'Rubicon' drone operations in Donbas, showing targeting of BTR, communication systems, and personnel. (031121Z JUL 25) MoD Russia shares video of signalmen of 25th Combined Arms Army. (031138Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports a collection drive for assault and reconnaissance units in Southern Donetsk direction, reinforcing their focus. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares video claiming RUF destroyed a UAF UAV control point in Chernihiv Oblast, supporting their ongoing counter-UAS and deep strike efforts. TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video on the "Liberation of Melove," showing Russian forces raising flags. (031521Z JUL 25) Два майора posts a series of photos under the caption "Soldier's Everyday Life", showing Russian soldiers in various operational contexts, indicating continued combat activities. (031534Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo messages under the caption "Heroes of 'Potok' told about their feat", featuring images of soldiers, likely highlighting Russian special forces operations. (031535Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video of captured UAF soldiers near Komar, with one soldier expressing doubt about future combat. (031548Z JUL 25) Два майора shares a graphic video on combat medics, likely to highlight the harsh realities of the front and the work of medical personnel. (031550Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Control Measures: RUF continues to use extensive electronic warfare (EW) to suppress UAF communications and drone operations, alongside layered air defense to protect its assets. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KAB/KAR) into Donetsk Oblast, indicating continued air support and UAF vulnerability to these weapons. Colonelcassad shares video of Russian artillerymen thanking volunteers for an EW system to counter FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Перехват радиообмена 425 ОШП «Скала» в районе Красноармейска" (Interception of radio exchange of 425th Separate Assault Regiment "Skala" in the Krasnoarmeysk area). This indicates active RUF SIGINT and the use of intercepted communications for intelligence or propaganda. Mash на Донбассе posts a video "Украинские дроны частенько отправляются обратно к своим бывшим владельцам." (Ukrainian drones often go back to their former owners.), implying successful RUF EW or drone capture tactics. ASTRA reports internet jamming in Izhevsk for two weeks prior to the attack, indicating a defensive adaptation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts a video questioning "ПВО? РЭБ? Анатолий?", suggesting a focus on air defense and EW. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used by RUF. Полиция Хабаровского края reports МВД awards for police officers saving a civilian, indicating continued domestic security focus and propaganda. Полиция Хабаровского края video shows a Russian police official discussing the first stage of a "Illegal-2025" operation targeting migration law violations in Khabarovsk Krai. Полиция Хабаровского края shares new video messages related to police activity, likely emphasizing domestic security and control. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. This implies RUF is actively conducting SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) operations and using drones for this purpose. Два майора's video from Kherson direction shows a thermal imaging view from a drone and sounds of small arms fire, indicating RUF counter-UAS operations, likely targeting UAF drones. Полиция Хабаровского края shares two videos related to a domestic scam, not directly military. (030700Z JUL 25) Moscow News posts photos of traffic police cars equipped with systems for identifying drivers without licenses. (030728Z JUL 25) TASS reports mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast due to UAV attacks. (030743Z JUL 25) TASS reports 3 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Samara and Belgorod Oblasts. (030835Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports on the roof of a dormitory in Tula being restored after a UAV attack. (030909Z JUL 25) WarGonzo shares video of "frontline traffic lights" warning drivers about enemy drones, suggesting adapted control measures in border areas. (031110Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin arriving at a forum, indicating continued high-level governance. (031222Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing technological development. (031246Z JUL 25) TASS video shows Putin at a forum discussing scientific and technological initiatives. (031251Z JUL 25) Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Governor) has held an operational meeting on the consequences of the night drone attack, confirming damage in Lipetsk district, Yelets, and Lipetsk city. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports conviction of a woman for correcting RUF missile and drone attacks, sentenced to 15 years. RBK-Ukraine shares video claiming UAF destroyed three Nebo-M key radars, implying successful SEAD operations and a significant degradation of RUF AD capabilities. Confidence: HIGH.

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action

Capabilities:
- Ground Offensive: Demonstrated capability for sustained high-intensity ground assaults, particularly along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, and in Chasiv Yar, utilizing combined arms tactics. Observed use of MT-LBs with infantry in assault, suggesting adaptation to high casualties among light assault groups. Confirmed use of Grad MLRS in the Pokrovsk direction. TASS video reports a Su-25 from the "Vostok" group destroyed a UAF strongpoint, demonstrating continued air-ground integration. Воин DV video shows remote mining by drone operators, indicating a new area denial capability. MoD Russia video shows BM-21 Grad MLRS crews destroying a UAV command post and manpower clusters of the AFU. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares video of a camouflaged tank, likely for training, suggesting continued focus on armored operations. MoD Russia video shows a T-90 tank crew neutralizing a UAF machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction, confirming continued effective armored operations. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares new video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group demonstrating coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates RUF's continued focus on improving offensive armored tactics. DeepState reports successful drone strikes on RUF positions and BMPs in Kamyanske. Воин DV video shows RUF forces storming trenches and using FPV drones in Donbas. Colonelcassad shows a video of "Hunters for dronovodov" indicating RUF counter-UAS capabilities. Операция Z shares Russian propaganda footage from a drone's perspective, showcasing alleged attacks on Ukrainian vehicles and positions (truck, personnel carrier). Rybar shares video of nighttime military operations, indicating capability for night assaults. Colonelcassad's video of a civilian Lada converted into a military buggy indicates adaptable, low-cost vehicle modifications for tactical use. Colonelcassad reports destruction of a Ukrainian Humvee and Novator armored vehicle. Воин DV reports drone operators destroying a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad confirms another military vehicle destroyed by precision munition. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. TASS reports that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar, confirming continued VDV operations. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Russian soldier and claims he prevented an enemy DRG attack. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides an immediate assessment message, suggesting active monitoring of operations. Операция Z claims "Valiant" forces breaking through towards Myrnohrad and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. TASS reports RUF has taken control of an AFU supply route in Krasnoarmiisk. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Colonelcassad's video of Alexander Ershov, 80th Tank Regiment, details tactical maneuvers and the "liberation of Petrovskoye in DPR," including close-quarters combat, destruction of enemy vehicles, and flanking maneuvers, confirming effective assault tactics. WarGonzo displays RUF tactical advances on the Zaporizhzhia map, indicating continued ground offensive. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Colonelcassad shares video of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion destroying UAF vehicles and armored vehicles. Воин DV FPV operators from the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade continue to destroy enemy equipment near Oktyabrskoye, and shares tactical drone footage. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора shares drone footage of military activity in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора shares drone footage of individuals moving across terrain in the Kherson direction. (030715Z JUL 25) Two Majors share video of damaged buildings and debris in Zaporizhzhia. (030730Z JUL 25) Rybar provides a morning summary for July 3. (030729Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction, including Russian soldiers in combat gear, indicating ground forces presence. (030805Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video titled "The stage of acceptance of the Russian occupier," showing a soldier in a wooded area. This implies RUF ground forces are still active and possibly encountering significant UAF resistance leading to demoralization. (030850Z JUL 25) WarGonzo shares a video titled "Buffer Zone: Border Security is Forged in Artillery Fire," showing military personnel operating artillery. This indicates continued RUF ground operations and artillery use. (030911Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) TASS reports MoD liberated Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (030911Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD summary of the special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Russian forces continue to advance in the Donetsk direction. (031102Z JUL 25) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares thermal footage of a convoy and explosion, possibly showing RUF operations. (031105Z JUL 25) Два майора video shows military personnel with a truck-mounted MLRS, confirming "active battery" and "storm battery," indicating readiness. (031203Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use and presence of 11th Guards Army Air Force and Air Defense, as well as 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of "Vostok" group. (031208Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad video shows a BTR-4 being targeted and hit by a drone near Suvorovo, indicating continued anti-armor drone operations. (031220Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows a BM-21 Grad MLRS firing. (031237Z JUL 25) Narodnaya militsiya DNR confirms destruction of a UAF mortar position near Rusyn Yar. WarGonzo shares video of RUF artillery operations, focusing on the precision and speed of targeting, indicating continued emphasis on artillery capabilities. BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video of UAF capturing 9 RUF soldiers from the 425th Separate Motorized Rifle Battalion "Skala" during a failed RUF offensive near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing direct evidence of combat effectiveness against RUF ground units. Операция Z reports "Ожесточённые бои у Покровска: «🅾️тважные» днём и ночью жгут НАТОвскую технику, пехоту и артиллерию врага" (Fierce battles near Pokrovsk: "Brave" forces burn NATO equipment, enemy infantry and artillery day and night), with video showing drone footage targeting and destroying a truck, SUV, mortar position, and a UAV. (031436Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition reports the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade has been "effectively decapitated" by a missile strike in Huliaipole, claiming the liquidation of the brigade's chief of staff Valeriy Mirzayev and deputy commander Dmytro Romanyuk, in addition to Colonel Serhii Zakharevych. (031520Z JUL 25) TASS shares new video of "North" Group forces in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (031518Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a video on the "Liberation of Melove," showing Russian forces raising flags. (031521Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares video and photo messages claiming the Russian flag was raised over Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (031551Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video and photo messages claiming the administration building in Melove, Kharkiv Oblast, has been liberated and the Russian flag raised. (031552Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
- Air-Dropped Ordnance: Continued extensive use of FAB-500/1500 with UMPK glide kits. UAF Air Force reports continued launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation into Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new launches of guided aerial bombs on Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports "В Житомире ракетные прилеты." (Missile strikes in Zhytomyr). This confirms RUF missile strike capability against targets deep in Ukraine. Multiple sources confirm a large explosion in Zhytomyr from a probable RUF missile strike. Colonelcassad confirms an airstrike on a bridge over the Vovcha River near Iskra. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports renewed activity of RUF tactical aviation in eastern and north-eastern directions, indicating continued aerial threat. РБК-Україна reports Air Force has updated information on the movement of strike drones. New message from РБК-Україна reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in eastern Kharkiv Oblast. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launches guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast, confirming continued air-delivered threat. Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk oblasts. (030745Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Poltavka, Mayak of Donetsk region, Kozatske of Kherson region. (030802Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports "In the morning, the enemy attacked Velykomykhailivka community in Synelnykivskyi district with a KAB." (030843Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. (030858Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (030901Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. (031006Z JUL 25) TASS reports a FAB strike destroying a UAF command post on the DNR border. (031206Z JUL 25) Воин DV shares aerial video of FAB strikes on Maliivka, confirming continued air-delivered ordnance use. (031208Z JUL 25) Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shows video of the destruction of 56th Separate Mechanized Brigade ammunition depot near Kramatorsk due to "Geranium" drone strikes. Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.
- UAV Operations: Highly developed and integrated UAV capabilities for ISR, FPV strikes, and deep strikes. Deployment of a remote-controlled, tracked UGV with a dual machine gun gun mount on the Pokrovsk direction. Claimed increased production of Geranium drones. Colonelcassad video shows Ka-52 helicopter engaging and shooting down Ukrainian fixed-wing drones with Igla-V missiles, suggesting an anti-drone air-to-air capability. Budanov (HUR) indicates that Russia has a second developer of CRPA antennas for Shaheds, implying redundancy in their drone development. Colonelcassad shares video of Russian artillerymen receiving an EW system, indicating adaptive procurement of counter-drone technology from civilian sources. Воин DV shares video from the 38th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade showing a soldier shooting down an enemy drone with small arms fire, indicating a tactical adaptation to counter-UAS roles at close range. Colonelcassad reports Russian naval forces successfully destroying enemy BECs and drones in the Black Sea, indicating adaptive counter-drone capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА video shows explosion and damaged building from an aerial view, suggesting continued effective RUF drone targeting capabilities. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in Kharkiv Oblast, indicating continued RUF ISR and targeting capabilities. Kadyrov_95 video shows Akhmat Special Forces using drones for strikes. Воин DV video shows FPV drone usage in trench assaults. Colonelcassad's "Hunters for dronovodov" video implies active counter-drone units. Два майора's video shows aerial footage with multiple explosions, indicating continued RUF drone ISR and targeting. Воин DV drone operators destroyed a Ukrainian tank. Colonelcassad reports on a new laser-based anti-UAV system being used on the front. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the movement of 5 "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) towards Odesa/Lymanka and their subsequent downing by AD. Colonelcassad reports Ussuriysk paratroopers' UAV operators destroyed a UAF strongpoint with personnel in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued adaptation of drone usage for infantry support and direct strikes. Операция Z shares new videos showing alleged attacks on Lipetsk, attributed to Ukraine, indicating continued and perhaps intensified deep strike UAV operations. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone strike on a building in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. New messages from Оперативний ЗСУ confirm a 9-story building in Odesa was hit by a UAV, injuring 4. Igor Artamonov reports a fire caused by a drone falling on a parking lot of an enterprise in Yelets, which has been localized with no casualties reported. Igor Artamonov also reports continued red alert for drone attack in Yelets and Yelets district. Оперативний ЗСУ shares new video messages of drone activity over Russia, with explosions reported in Lipetsk and Voronezh Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares video reporting an attack on the sanctioned "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets. ASTRA shares new videos of Lipetsk night attacks. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. Colonelcassad (RUF source) reports on "Rubicon" combat groups targeting air defense systems. This implies RUF is actively conducting SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) operations and using drones for this purpose. Операция Z's new video shows RUF artillerymen from the south of Donetsk focused on countering enemy drones and needing thermal imagers for night operations, highlighting continued RUF focus on counter-UAS capabilities. Воин DV reports a 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade operator discovered and destroyed a UAF vehicle on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Два майора's video from Kherson direction shows effective counter-drone activity by the 81st Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment, 70th Motor Rifle Division. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 52 drones were launched by RUF, with 40 neutralized, indicating continued high volume of drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 69 enemy UAVs were destroyed by Russian AD overnight. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Chernihiv, Sumy, and Donetsk oblasts. STERNENKO reports intentions to purchase more Shahed interceptors. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over Poltava, claiming "Geraniums" hit a TCC building, indicative of RUF's continued deep strike drone capabilities against military and administrative targets. Alex Parker Returns also reports a strike on the Poltava TCC building. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030715Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) Air Force reports significant activity of various enemy UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (030750Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in Chernihiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts. (030822Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares video of drone strike on Pol

Situation Report

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS