Archived operational intelligence briefing
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. RUF claims of territorial gains, including Novoserhiivka, Shevchenko, Molodetske, Novoukrainka, and Novonikolaevka, are partially corroborated. RUF sources claim entry into Udachne and "liberation" of Chervona Zirka (Krasna Zirka), reinforced by new RUF video. RUF forces are approximately 2.5 km from the suburbs of Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours, with continued clashes near Popiv Yar, Myrne, Myrolubivka, Malynivka, Koptyeve, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Kotlyarivka, Horikhove, and Oleksiyivka. UAF drone footage shows high RUF casualties near Pokrovsk. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kurdumivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka, and towards Yablunivka. RUF control over a portion of Toretsk's ruins is confirmed, but UAF continues successful defense. Capture of an RUF soldier on the Toretsk direction by UAF 82nd Air Assault Brigade indicates active UAF defensive operations. RUF sources continue to indicate persistent focus on Chasiv Yar, claiming "completion is near". UAF General Staff confirms clashes near Chasiv Yar and towards Bila Hora. Russian forces have advanced into the Kanal microdistrict, establishing a foothold east of the canal. UAF units are conducting a tactical fighting withdrawal to more defensible, prepared positions on the western side. UAF drone footage shows strikes on trenches, fortified positions, and military vehicles in Rozdolivka and Chasiv Yar. RUF video shows a remote-controlled, tracked UGV equipped with a dual machine gun mount operating on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction. FPV drones of Russian forces are destroying UAF equipment and personnel on the outskirts of Konstantinovka. UAF sources confirm extensive destruction in Konstantinovka. UAF missile strike on Donetsk reported with smoke visible in the center and explosions. TASS confirmed at least 1 civilian death and 3 wounded from the strike on Donetsk. ASTRA reports three RUF servicemen were wounded in yesterday's strike on Donetsk. UAF Air Force reports RUF KAB/KAR launches from tactical aviation and threat of RUF strike UAVs (likely Shahed-type) in Donetsk Oblast. RUF video shows detailed drone reconnaissance footage of Ukrainian positions in Donbas, indicating advanced RUF ISR and targeting capabilities. UAF reports a successful strike on the command post of the 8th Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in occupied Donetsk Oblast on 30 JUN. Losses are being clarified. RUF video shows a FAB-500 strike on a UAF temporary deployment point in Novoyekonomicheskoye. UAF sources report successful strikes and high RUF casualties during tactical assaults by ATVs/motorcyclists in the Donetsk direction. BТУCOB ПЛЮС video shows a Russian soldier detonating an anti-personnel mine, indicating indiscriminate or reckless RUF tactics in mine-laden areas. TASS reports a Su-25 from the "Vostok" group destroyed a UAF strongpoint, indicating continued close air support for RUF ground units. Colonelcassad reports a Ka-52 helicopter engaged and shot down Ukrainian fixed-wing drones with Igla-V missiles. Сливочный каприз reports on a T-72 tank being destroyed near Borova-Druzhylivka by an FPV drone. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of an FPV drone destroying a BM-21 Grad MLRS. Підрозділ Shadow reports their UAV crew discovered an enemy artillery piece and ammunition storage, followed by friendly fire targeting and successful destruction. MoD Russia shares a video titled "00:00 A T-90 tank crew of the Tsentr Group of Forces neutralised an AFU machine-gun emplacement in Krasnoarmeysk direction." This confirms continued T-90 operations and targeting of UAF strongpoints in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides "Оперативна інформація станом на 16:00 02.07.2025 щодо російського вторгнення" (Operational information as of 16:00 02.07.2025 regarding the Russian invasion). This is a general update, suggesting no major, immediate shifts in the frontline or enemy disposition since the last report, but confirming ongoing engagements. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video with caption "Потеря связи." (Loss of connection), showing an aerial view of a damaged building and an explosion. This indicates continued RUF drone reconnaissance and targeting, possibly in the Donetsk region. The caption "Loss of connection" could refer to a UAF comms jam or a technical issue with the RUF drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts "Семья, это артиллерия, бойцы работают на боевых машинах, которые поражают позиции противника на большом расстоянии." (Family, this is artillery, the fighters are working on combat vehicles that hit enemy positions that hit enemy positions at long range). This is a morale-boosting message highlighting RUF artillery capabilities. Басурин о главном shares a video encouraging subscription to his Telegram channel, which is a method for RUF-aligned sources to expand their information reach. Colonelcassad reports on the Russian MoD's summary of the "special military operation" as of July 2, 2025, which will provide RUF's official narrative of tactical successes. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of an alleged Russian soldier complaining about "prison-like" living conditions, lack of food, and being confined, appealing for help. This suggests potential internal RUF morale and logistical issues, or could be a UAF PSYOP. НгП раZVедка shares a photo message "Хороший фотограф на вес золота." (A good photographer is worth his weight in gold), featuring a soldier in tactical gear, likely a morale-boosting post or an appreciation for combat documentation. Colonelcassad shares a video of a soldier engaging in a combat scenario with the caption "Стальной характер!" (Steel character!), a morale-boosting post. Старше Эдды shares photos from a meeting with officers in Rostov-on-Don, celebrating "Veterans of Combat Operations Day" and praising their service. This is a morale-boosting and propaganda effort to glorify military service and maintain support for the conflict. Fighterbomber shares a video of a "Звено штурмовиков" (flight of attack aircraft), likely Su-25s, indicating continued RUF close air support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring a man identified as Shvartsman Aleksandr Anatolyevich, a POW from the 155th Separate Marine Brigade, discussing contract service and conditions. This indicates UAF is leveraging POWs for counter-propaganda about RUF recruitment. Два майора shares a video with a man speaking about something "актуалочка" (current/relevant), likely propaganda or a morale message. New video from Оперативний ЗСУ shows a large explosion with a mushroom cloud, indicating a powerful blast, possibly of a depot or storage facility. Another video from Оперативний ЗСУ shows a significant explosion in a forested area. A third video from Оперативний ЗСУ confirms a large-scale explosion affecting a highway. These videos likely depict the consequences of UAF strikes. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of tank crews from the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group showing coordinated movement and firing while advancing. This indicates continued offensive operations and training on the "Vostok" axis. Воин DV shares a video showing an aerial drone view of what appears to be a Russian drone control post and a relay antenna, with subsequent targeting and destruction. This indicates continued RUF ISR and precision strike capabilities against UAF C2. DeepState reports UAF 241st Territorial Defense Brigade's RUBAK 'Vyriy' working against RUF in southeast Kamyanske, including drone strikes on positions and armored vehicles (BMPs). MoD Russia UAV operators destroyed an international MaxxPro armoured fighting vehicle of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Konstantinovka direction and a minibus with enemy manpower inside near Belokuzminovka. Операция Z shares Russian propaganda footage from a drone's perspective, showcasing alleged attacks on Ukrainian vehicles and positions (truck, personnel carrier). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a drone strike on a soldier in a field, indicating UAF drone activity. Explosions are reported in Khartsyzk, Donetsk Oblast, with multiple UAF and RUF sources reporting on a potential ammunition depot strike. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno claims the target was an ammunition depot for air defense, MLRS, and barrel artillery. Colonelcassad also reports a hit on a field ammunition depot near Khartsyzk. Alex Parker Returns claims a tactical nuclear weapon was used in Donetsk Oblast, this is highly unlikely and assessed as RUF disinformation. Военкор Котенок reports on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction with an annotated map. Colonelcassad reports a destroyed Ukrainian Humvee by RUF FPV drones in the Southern Donetsk direction. Сливочный каприз shares drone footage of destroyed buildings and troop movements, indicating ongoing military operations and damage in the area, likely Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports that artillery crews of the "Center" group destroyed a UAF forward command post in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video "Идем на Покровск: Результаты работы FPV группировки ЦЕНТР" (Going to Pokrovsk: Results of the FPV group Center's work), showing FPV drone strikes on an armored personnel carrier, a camera system on a tower, and an enemy shelter. New RUF video shows drone-operated mortar system firing on targets in a village from Zaporizhzhia direction, highlighting continued RUF use of such systems and continued destruction. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launches guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports RUF has taken control of an AFU supply route in Krasnoarmiisk. Zvиздец Мангусту reports elements of RUF's 36th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 29th Combined Arms Army, have deeply penetrated the flank defending Pokrovsk and Novopavlovsk axes along the southern bank of the Vovcha river, capturing Zaporizhzhia and Yalta, with advanced units reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. Воин DV shares video showing a drone targeting and successfully striking an enemy ATV. Colonelcassad shares video of the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion destroying UAF vehicles and armored vehicles. New enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Donetsk Oblast. UAF resources engaged. Воин DV FPV operators from the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade continue to destroy enemy equipment near Oktyabrskoye. (030700Z JUL 25) Два майора also report on the Zaporizhzhia front, with accompanying video. (030730Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР shares video of destroyed UAF vehicle and armored vehicles near Poltavka. (030804Z JUL 25) Kotsnews shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (030805Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Poltavka, Mayak. (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Hlyboke, Zelene, Vovchansk, Milove, Ambarne and towards Mytrofanivka and Mala Shapkivka (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Stepova Novoselivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyy Hay and towards Petropavlika (Kupyansk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Ridkodub, Torske, Hrekivka, Hryhorivka, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Cherneschyna, Shandryholove, Seredne and Novyi Myr (Lyman direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Fedorivka and Vyyimka (Sieversk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Bondarne, Markove and near Chasiv Yar (Kramatorsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Toretsk, Dyliyivka, Scherbynivka, Petrivka, Rusyn Yar and towards Pleschiyivka (Toretsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Popiv Yar, Poltavka, Myrne, Novoekonomichne, Myrolubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Kotlyne, Novomykolayivka, Novoserhiyivka, Dachne, Oleksiyivka, Horikhove and towards Volodymyrivka, Novopavlivka, Razine, Molodetske (Pokrovsk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Zaporizhzhya, Yalta, Myrne, Piddubne and Shevchenko (Novopavlivka direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes near Kamyanske (Orikhiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Басурин о главном states "Ukraine is drowning in blood: the reckless tactics of the Kyiv regime lead to catastrophic losses at the front." (030831Z JUL 25) This is RUF propaganda regarding UAF casualties. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports heavy fighting and assaults are ongoing for Chasiv Yar. (030901Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares video of heavily damaged urban areas with text overlays, likely depicting destruction in Donetsk Oblast. (030902Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Razino (Donetsk People's Republic) liberated. (030935Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video of POW interrogation of Ivan Khamgueshev and Rustem Samiev, presumably Russian soldiers. (030955Z JUL 25) Народная милиция ДНР reports an FPV drone of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position. (031002Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031005Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. (031006Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031007Z JUL 25) Kotsnews reports Russian army liberated Melove and Razino. (031141Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photo report on battles in Konstantinovka direction. (031023Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an explosion or impact within a treeline from Ukrainian drone footage in an unspecified location, suggesting continued UAF BDA operations. (031029Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on most claims and observations, MEDIUM for specific unverified territorial control/BDA, LOW for RUF veracity, LOW on tactical nuclear weapon claim).
Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction (including near Nadiya, Novoyehorivka, Ridkodub, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Hrekivka, Torske and towards Serebryanka and Hryhorivka). RUF claims regarding the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka) and complete "liberation of LNR." RUF sources later corrected, stating two more villages near the border need to be cleared. UAF drone attack on Luhansk confirmed, causing fires and active RUF air defense. TASS reports over 20 UAVs flew over Luhansk. RUF conducted a combined strike to disrupt UAF rotation near Nadiya. RUF claims UAF were "knocked out" from the majority of positions on the heights near Bilohorivka. TASS claims 35 UAVs shot down over LNR, debris fell on a fuel depot, and one civilian woman was wounded. Рыбарь reports on the "liberation" of Grekovka (Luhansk Oblast) and Novomikhailovka (Donetsk Oblast) by Russian forces. UAF General Staff reports clashes near Ridkodub, Torske, Hrekivka, Hryhorivka, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Cherneschyna, Shandryholove, Seredne and Novyi Myr (Lyman direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Mash на Донбассе reports an explosion in Luhansk (Shevchenko district) with accompanying video of a damaged building. (030909Z JUL 25) TASS reports one person killed and wounded in Luhansk explosion. (030937Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports on an explosion in Luhansk. (030935Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports one killed and several wounded in Luhansk explosion, likely a terrorist attack. (030938Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports two killed in Luhansk explosion, with military personnel present at the scene. (030940Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports two killed and one wounded in Luhansk explosion. (030941Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports a terrorist attack in central Luhansk, with one preliminary fatality. (030943Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares a video stating the terrorist attack in Luhansk occurred near a museum opening an exhibition on the Kursk operation. (030958Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on most claims and observations, LOW for unverified RUF territorial claims).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): RUF attacked Nikopol district overnight with heavy artillery and FPV drones; 12 RUF UAVs were shot down. 4 civilians wounded in Nikopol due to FPV drone attack. RUF claims strikes on railway infrastructure, fuel depots, ammunition warehouses, and logistics routes in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Kryvyi Rih: Confirmed Shahed attack on a military enlistment office (TCC), with 3 civilians wounded. RUF claims 114th Brigade "liberated" Dachne, with supporting video evidence. UAF Center for Countering Disinformation (CPD) claims Russians did not break through to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with battles ongoing near the administrative border. UAF sources confirm overnight RUF drone strikes on farm enterprises in Pokrovske and Velikomykhailivka communities in Synelnykivskyi district. RUF channel "Операция Z" claims Russian forces "forced the Mokri Yaly river, breaking through into Poddubnoye and Voskresenka, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast." RUF missile strike on Kamianske district, causing a fire and civilian casualties (killed and wounded), including agricultural infrastructure damage. RUF video shows Russian forces raising their flag in Chernovaya Zirka, DNR, near the Dnipropetrovsk border. UAF video features Ukrainian soldiers discussing high attrition rates. Colonel Zakharevych, commander of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, confirmed dead in Huliaipole, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Video showing RUF presence in Dachnoye (Dachne), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, including flag raising and inspection of buildings. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photos/videos show RUF capturing Dachne and raising Russian flag. STERNENKO reports RUF forces have indeed entered Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and shows drone footage of an RUF dugout in Dachne, contradicting the UAF General Staff's previous denial to RBC-Ukraine. STERNENKO's latest message at 09:13Z re-confirms the "kamikaze entry" into Dachne. UAF General Staff, at 09:07Z, issued a statement contradicting RUF claims, stating that any small reconnaissance groups that managed to penetrate the administrative border were destroyed. They re-emphasize their denial at 09:11Z and RBC-Ukraine reports the UAF General Staff's denial at 09:20Z. This creates a direct and immediate intelligence contradiction that requires further collection. Оперативний ЗСУ video shows two alleged RUF soldiers who "were lucky to survive during penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast" speaking about surrender and defection to UAF, implying some RUF elements were contained or captured during penetration attempts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS photo message (09:46Z) explicitly states "Dachne remains under the control of the Defense Forces - UAF General Staff." Воин DV video shows operators of the 5th Tank Guards Brigade conducting remote mining of a road near Voskresenka, confirming RUF intent to impede UAF movement in the area where they claim breakthroughs. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF units on that direction are clarifying the situation. Colonelcassad publishes a video claiming to show the "first captured Ukrainian soldier to surrender in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast" from the 79th Brigade, which RUF states is attempting to close the breakthrough in the southeastern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Kadyrov_95 [Video message] Caption: Владислав Чернов — военнослужащий ВСУ, один из тех, кого силой забрали представители ТЦК, без надлежащей подготовки почти сразу отправили на линию боевого соприкосновения. Его, как и многих других, использовали как живой ресурс, без сочувствия, без понимания и без малейшего шанса на возвращение. (Propaganda video about alleged Ukrainian prisoner of war, Vladislav Чернов, who was supposedly forcibly mobilized by TCC and sent to the front without proper training.) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, possibly indicating AD activity. Олександр Вілкул (likely local Ukrainian official) posts photo messages with caption "ЗАКОНОМ НЕ ПРЕДБАЧЕНО, АЛЕ РОБИМО" (Not provided by law, but we are doing it) and various images of building interiors and exteriors. This likely refers to local initiatives for rebuilding or strengthening infrastructure, possibly related to defensive works or civilian shelters. This suggests local efforts to overcome limitations in legal/bureaucratic frameworks to support the war effort and civilian protection. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Дніпропетровська область (Синельниківський р-н) - загроза застосування авіаційних засобів ураження!" (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district) - threat of aerial weapon use!). This indicates continued RUF air activity and threat to the region. STERNENKO reports "За віцепрем’єра Олексія Чернишова внесли заставу у 120 млн грн." (120 million UAH bail posted for Vice Prime Minister Oleksiy Chernyshov). This is an internal Ukrainian legal development that impacts public perception of governance. Олександр Вілкул provides a briefing on the results of 02 JUL 25 for Kryvyi Rih. Colonelcassad reports that the deputy commander of the 110th Mechanized Brigade, Romanyuk, was also killed alongside Zakharevych in Huliaipole, indicating a significant decapitation strike. Военкор Котенок shares photo messages with the caption "Днепропетровское направление." The images display a rural, possibly forested or overgrown area with visible signs of recent ground disturbance and military activity, including what appears to be dugouts, trenches, or recently shelled areas. The context implies ongoing operations in the Dnipropetrovsk direction. TASS reports that Ukrainian forces have abandoned their positions in Dachne, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, according to Igor Kimakovsky, advisor to the head of the DNR. UAF Zaporizhzhia OVA reports a civilian woman injured in Polohy district due to RUF attack. Операция Z claims "Valiant" forces are breaking through towards Myrnohrad and Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, further amplifying RUF claims of advance. Colonelcassad reports Russian soldier, Alexander Ershov, from the 80th Tank Regiment, claims capture of Petrovskoye and Yalta, and reaching Zirka – Poddubnoye. This is a significant claim of deep penetration, requiring verification. UAF Army Aviation and Anti-Aircraft Missile Forces celebrate their day in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, indicating continued operational status despite combat. Олександр Вілкул reports 40 million passengers used public transport in Kryvyi Rih in the first half of the year, indicating a return to some normalcy and function of local administration despite the war. Олександр Вілкул (Olexandr Vilkul) posts photos celebrating Day of Army Aviation and Anti-Aircraft Missile Forces and Air Defense Missile Forces. (030717Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo message (030749Z JUL 25) claiming RUF missile strike on Huliaipole, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on 01 JUL. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAV in Chernihiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts, warning of potential targeting. (030822Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports "In the morning, the enemy attacked Velykomykhailivka community in Synelnykivskyi district with a KAB." (030843Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (030901Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on civilian casualties, drone attacks, and RUF claims of presence in Dachne; MEDIUM on verified RUF control of Dachne given strong, persistent UAF denials; CRITICAL intelligence contradiction regarding broader RUF penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and associated UAF prisoner claims).
Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states Russian troops advance in border areas has been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. UAF General Staff reports repelling 22 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. UAF drone footage shows State Border Guard Service of Ukraine (ДПСУ) units "Prime" destroying enemy targets in the Kursk direction. RUF is conducting KAB launches and drone activity into Sumy Oblast. Konotop: MoD Russia claims "Geran-2 UAVs destroyed a temporary deployment area of the AFU 58th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade and a UAV depot." UAF drone footage shows several deceased Russian soldiers in a "demilitarized buffer zone" in Sumy Oblast. RUF claims a company of UAF soldiers was destroyed in Yunakivka. RUF claims a fight near Tyotkino with Russian paratroopers storming positions. RUF claims repelled UAF counterattacks in Sumy Oblast. UAF General Staff publishes a map showing the frontline in Sumy Oblast for the first time since February. RUF Msta-S howitzer crew destroyed UAF fortified positions and personnel near Yunakivka. UAVs from Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts are moving towards Poltava Oblast. STERNENKO [Video message] shows a reconnaissance drone being intercepted in Sumy Oblast by "Prime" forces. TASS reports video claiming drone operators of "Rubicon" center destroyed a Leopard 2A6 tank in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Швидкісна ціль на Сумщині." (High-speed target in Sumy Oblast.). This indicates potential continued aerial threat, likely a missile or fast-moving drone. РБК-Україна reports a passenger minibus was damaged by a drone attack in Sumy, indicating civilian impact. WarGonzo reports Russian tanks and artillery are breaking UAF logistics in Sumy Oblast, confirming RUF presence in the "grey zone" near the border. Два майора reports drone activity in Sumy direction, showing multiple explosions. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Сумська область - загроза застосування ворогом ударних БпЛА." (Sumy Oblast - threat of enemy strike UAVs.). STERNENKO reports "Загроза ударних БПЛА із північного сходу." (Threat of strike UAVs from the northeast.) TASS reports an outflow of population from Sumy, citing Russian security forces. Colonelcassad reports Ussuriysk paratroopers destroying UAF infantry in Sumy Oblast. TASS reports the 425th Separate Assault Regiment's 2nd Assault Company is almost entirely missing in action on the Sumy direction, according to security forces. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the southern part of Sumy Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. New enemy reconnaissance UAVs detected in Sumy Oblast. UAF resources engaged. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of RUF strike UAVs in Sumy Oblast. (030709Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a target in Sumy Oblast from Kursk direction, heading towards Bilopillia. (030719Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports an explosion in Konotop, Sumy Oblast, citing the mayor. (030721Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek warns of 8 "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) en route to/through Konotop. (030717Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek reports "minus" for mopeds in Konotop. (030734Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports explosion in Konotop, with the city under UAV attack. (030737Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Konotop under UAV attack. (030751Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports repelling 13 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. (030802Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. (030858Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031005Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports significant activity of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and over the Black Sea, with engagement of defense assets. (031007Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a target in Sumy Oblast towards Mykolaivka. (031023Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a photo of military personnel in a rural area with a caption "Kursk Oblast", possibly indicating Russian border activity. (031029Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares another photo of military personnel in a rural area with a caption "Kursk Oblast", suggesting continued Russian presence near the border. (031029Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a map-based illustration, likely a tactical update for Kursk Oblast. (031029Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on stabilized front line, UAF defensive successes, and ongoing RUF KAB/drone activity; MEDIUM on specific unverified HVT loss; MEDIUM for claimed Leopard destruction due to RUF source; MEDIUM on population outflow, as it is from a RUF source; MEDIUM on TASS claim of UAF losses, awaiting UAF confirmation).
Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes (Vilkhuvatka, Pidlyman) and ground clashes near Vovchansk, Hlyboke, Stroyivka and towards Kutkivka, and Kupyansk direction near Holubivka, Stepova Novoselivka and Zelenyi Hai. Vovchansk: RUF video confirms a TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system strike on the "butter extraction plant." Pisochyn: 8 people injured, including one child, from RUF drone attack. Korotych airfield: RUF claims strike on airfield. Clashes yesterday near Vovchansk, Zelene, Hlyboke, Vovchanski Khutory, Krasne Pershe, Dovhenke and towards Petro-Ivanivka (South Slobozhansky direction) and Holubivka, Pischane and towards Novoosynove (Kupyansk direction). Kharkiv experienced a record number of Russian air attacks in June 2025. RUF video shows the destruction of a UAF L-119 howitzer in Kharkiv Oblast, Kupyansk direction. RUF claims forces have secured positions near Kondrashovka and occupied approximately 3 hectares near Petropavlovka. RUF claims security forces destroyed Ukrainian National Guard "Khartiya" brigade officers in Liptsy. Hostile UAV detected over Kharkiv. Explosion in Kharkiv, city under drone attack. One-story non-residential building on fire in Novobavarskyi district. One person killed, one wounded in Kharkiv Oblast from night attacks. RUF claims first use of "Chernika" loitering munitions on targets in Kharkiv. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) reports on the Kharkiv direction without specific details, indicating continued RUF focus on the area. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an air defense unit of the "Iron Brigade" successfully hunted down enemy targets yesterday, indicating continued defensive operations. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 posts a video showing a Ukrainian FPV drone successfully targeting and engaging a Russian "Orlan-10" reconnaissance drone on July 1st. Oleg Synyegubov, Head of Kharkiv OVA, reports on the operational situation in Kharkiv Oblast, detailing ongoing Russian attacks including shelling and drone strikes on residential buildings and critical infrastructure. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports Kharkiv communities received vehicles from the German government. РБК-Україна shares video of SFO soldiers showing a successful raid on Russians near the border, including a captured soldier. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "🛸 На Харківщині - ворожий розвідувальний БпЛА! Можлива робота ППО." (Kharkiv Oblast - enemy reconnaissance UAV! Possible air defense activity.). This indicates continued RUF ISR efforts and UAF AD response. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Пуски керованих авіаційних бомб ворожою тактичною авіацією на Харківщину зі сходу." (Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Kharkiv Oblast from the east). This confirms continued RUF glide bomb use on Kharkiv. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports "Двоє людей постраждали внаслідок атак ворожими FPV-дронами на Харківщині." (Two people injured as a result of enemy FPV drone attacks in Kharkiv Oblast). This indicates continued civilian targeting and the threat of FPV drones. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video titled "ССО провели наліт на групу росіян поблизу кордону" (SFO conducted a raid on a group of Russians near the border), which appears to show Ukrainian Special Operations Forces conducting an operation against Russian forces, including the capture of prisoners. This confirms successful UAF tactical action in border areas. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА posts "🏠 Родини Захисників з Харківщини отримали сертифікати на нове житло." (Families of Defenders from Kharkiv Oblast received certificates for new housing.). This indicates continued civilian support and social welfare efforts in the region, aimed at bolstering morale. Kadyrov_95 (Akhmat Special Forces 'Baty' Group) claims to have destroyed a Ukrainian dugout with personnel inside on the Kharkiv direction. "ZONA SVO" channel repeats this claim. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 provides an informational/recruitment video for "Khartia" unit, mentioning drone operators and EW specialists. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new UAV movement from Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of RUF reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports impact drones are observed in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports the destruction of a UAF T-64BV tank by "Rubicon" FPV drone operators in Kharkiv Oblast. TASS reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted more than 15 attacks near Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast, losing about 250 soldiers and 12 armored vehicles in unsuccessful counterattacks. New RUF reports indicate that Ivanovske paratroopers destroyed a UAF observation post in a residential building in Chasiv Yar. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports an updated estimate of RUF combat losses (as of 03 JUL 25), with 1000 personnel killed or wounded in the last 24 hours. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports enemy strikes on 4 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast (Vovchansk, Chuhuiv, Kupiansk, Bohodukhiv districts). TASS reports UAF has reinforced its grouping in Bohuslavka, Kharkiv Oblast, with a new unit – the Unmanned Systems Forces. Air Force reports targets in Izium, Kharkiv Oblast. (030736Z JUL 25) Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk oblasts. (030745Z JUL 25) OTU Kharkiv provides an informational message, likely a summary of the situation in the Kharkiv operational zone. (030748Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Hlyboke, Zelene, Vovchansk, Milove, Ambarne and towards Mytrofanivka and Mala Shapkivka (South Slobozhansky/Kharkiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Stepova Novoselivka, Kolisnykivka, Zahryzove, Zelenyy Hay and towards Petropavlika (Kupyansk direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shares photos and text of AD forces. (030907Z JUL 25) Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shares photos and text on cooperation with Saxony, Germany. (030908Z JUL 25) TASS reports Russian forces liberated Melove in Kharkiv Oblast. (030911Z JUL 25) Два майора reports Russian MoD statement on liberation of Melove, Kharkiv Oblast. (030918Z JUL 25) MoD Russia reports Melovoye (Kharkov region) liberated. (030933Z JUL 25) Oleg Synehubov reports civilian male wounded in Savynska community due to explosion. (030932Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian males from Kharkiv fled to Romania through mountains. (030933Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on airstrikes, ground clashes, civilian casualties, and continued RUF offensive intent; HIGH on RUF intelligence regarding UAF drone training; HIGH on RUF volunteer fundraising for combat operations).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske on the Zaporizhzhia front. Battles for Kamyanske are in full swing. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kamyanske, and near Malynivka (Huliaipole direction). Kadyrovites (Chechen special forces) are being prepared for assaults on the Zaporizhzhia direction, with approximately 15 military trucks moving them to Enerhodar / Melitopol / Vasylivka area. RUF attack on an agricultural enterprise in Polohy district. Civilian vehicle engulfed in flames in Zaporizhzhia after a Russian attack. RUF launched 4 strikes on Zaporizhzhia and Zaporizhzhia district. A 56-year-old man was wounded in Polohy district. Complex night in Zaporizhzhia, with one district subjected to Shahed drone attacks. Over 400 shellings across the region, with 4 drones hitting an industrial enterprise and one Shahed hitting a residential area. RUF channel reports artillery of the 35th Army continues to work on "planned targets" in the Polohy direction. Two people wounded from an enemy attack on Polohy district. RUF posts multiple photos and videos confirming a night strike by "Geraniums" (Shahed drones) on industrial infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia. UAF operational information as of 08:00 (local time) and photos confirming UAF strikes on enemy locations. Colonel Serhiy Zakharevych, commander of the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade, killed in Huliaipole. RUF reports strike on the 110th Brigade in Huliaipole, claiming the death of the brigade commander and other officers. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on positive harvest forecasts for Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued agricultural activity despite hostilities. WarGonzo shares a video showing aerial reconnaissance or drone footage capturing ground-level activity in a wooded or brushy area of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating active military operations and RUF presence. Colonelcassad reports FSB detaining three residents of Zaporizhzhia Oblast for transferring funds to Ukrainian special services and military. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos of tax officials receiving awards in Zaporizhzhia, indicating continued civilian administration and morale-boosting events. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts "🚨УВАГА🚨" (ATTENTION) likely a warning for air threats. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 also posts photo messages about an upcoming Facebook and Instagram live stream and another about the head of Polohy district administration discussing the war's impact on communities, highlighting continued civilian administration and morale-boosting efforts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an educational project "ELITA UFUTURE" for schoolchildren, aimed at connecting students with enterprises, indicating efforts to support youth development and economic recovery. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a 70-year-old woman was wounded in Orikhiv from an enemy attack. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by RUF tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Операция Z reports RUF has secured positions in the center of Kamyanske and is cutting it into two parts. Военкор Котенок shares photo messages with the caption "Запорожское направление." The images depict a desolate, likely combat-affected landscape, characterized by bare trees, possibly indicating a forested area or tree line, with visible smoke or haze in the background. No specific military equipment or personnel are clearly identifiable. The presence of smoke or haze might suggest recent combat activity or ongoing fires. New UAF message "🚨УВАГА🚨" from Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration likely indicates ongoing air threat. New RUF video shows mortar fire and destruction of positions on the Zaporizhzhia direction. WarGonzo map indicates UAF offensive actions (grey drone icon) near Malaya Tokmachka and Shcherbaky, and offensive actions (red drone icon) near Stepove. UAF also conducting drone strikes (grey drone icon) near Stepove. RUF also making tactical advances indicated by red arrows north of Kamenskoye, near Shcherbaky, and north of Malaya Tokmachka. Два майора shares video of RUF forces in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030700Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports HUR showed unique footage of the destruction of RUF drone operators in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (030708Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photos on veterans participating in Greco-Roman wrestling in Zaporizhzhia. (030704Z JUL 25) Zaporizhzhia OVA shares video celebrating Army Aviation Day. (030740Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Kamyanske (Orikhiv direction). (030802Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos and text of AD forces. (030916Z JUL 25) Воин DV reports 63rd Separate Special Forces Company, 35th Army annihilating UAF manpower in Polozhsky direction, and targeting vehicles and Starlink. (030938Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos of a construction site for a new underground school in Zaporizhzhia. (031005Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photos with a caption "Імена, що назавжди залишаться поруч" (Names that will forever remain nearby), suggesting a memorial context. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo of memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares another photo related to memorial efforts. (031047Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on civilian casualties, drone attacks, artillery activity, and Kadyrovite buildup; LOW on verified RUF control of Kamyanske; HIGH on civilian support and resilience efforts; HIGH on FSB operations in occupied territories).
Kherson Oblast: RUF and UAF reports indicate continued positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance. RUF photos indicate continued presence and focus. UAF posts photos of civilian infrastructure damaged by RUF shelling. RUF shelled the Central District of Kherson, killing one man and wounding another. A hospital in Kherson was attacked by RUF artillery yesterday around 23:00, resulting in 5 wounded patients and 3 wounded nurses. RUF claims "Dnipro" grouping artillery destroyed a UAF Grad MLRS. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an enemy helicopter conducting reconnaissance near the Black Sea coast. Два majora (RUF source) shares a video of a Russian military truck with an anti-aircraft gun operating in the Kherson direction. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs) reports a meeting with families of marine infantry brigades (34th, 35th, 36th, 37th, 39th Separate Marine Infantry Brigades) regarding soldiers captured or missing in action near Krynky. Сили оборони Півдня України (Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine) shares a video with the caption "Ворог продовжує обстрілювати цивільних та медичні заклади!" (The enemy continues to shell civilians and medical facilities!), showing the aftermath of shelling on a medical facility in Kherson. This confirms continued RUF targeting of civilian infrastructure. Colonelcassad reports a conviction in the Kherson Oblast Court for a Russian citizen transferring information to Ukrainian special services. UAF General Staff reports only one RUF ship in Black Sea and six in Azov, none with Kalibrs, indicating degraded RUF naval presence. Сили оборони Півдня України reports 16 enemy assaults repelled in the last 24 hours in Orikhiv and Kherson directions. RUF suffered losses of 135 personnel, 4 guns, 2 mortar launchers, 2 reconnaissance UAVs, 2 EW stations, 2 communication stations, 1 engineering vehicle, 1 boat, and 1 vehicle. RUF launched 10 Lancet UAVs, 1 tactical aircraft KAB strike, and 12 FPV drones, all targeting the Orikhiv direction. RUF continues to shell settlements on the right bank of the Dnipro, causing significant destruction. Два майора shares video of Russian forces in the Kherson direction. (030715Z JUL 25) UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 2 Russian army assaults (Kherson direction). (030802Z JUL 25) Два майора posts a video "This morning in Belgorod Oblast. People live in such conditions for years." (030849Z JUL 25) This refers to the situation in Russia, but implies continued cross-border shelling impacting civilian life. Confidence: HIGH.
Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, resulting in two confirmed civilian fatalities (a married couple) and four injured. 14 Shahed UAVs were destroyed by UAF AD. Odesa Coastal Logistics/Oil Refinery: RUF reports a "powerful strike and huge fire" at an enemy object near Odesa, with video evidence. TASS reports RUF struck an oil terminal supplying fuel to the Ukrainian Navy. NASA satellite data corroborates fires in the area of grain and fuel terminals. UAF Naval Forces report no Russian naval presence in Black Sea, 2 ships in Azov, 1 in Mediterranean (no missile carriers). UAF video shows destruction of an "aerial target (Geran)" over Odesa. Explosion of the "Vilamoura" tanker of Russia's "shadow fleet" in the Mediterranean Sea on June 27, citing GUR. RUF reports discovery of "Geranium" UAV debris in Odesa with unusual two-letter tail numbers. RUF drone attacks on Izmail district damaged port and tourist infrastructure. Rybar reports on strike results in Vilkovo, Odesa region, implying continued targeting of coastal areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF is suspected in a series of tanker explosions after they entered Russian ports. This suggests UAF is being attributed with kinetic actions against Russian maritime logistics, potentially expanding the maritime domain of conflict. RUF source "Два майора" reports Financial Times (FT) claims Ukrainian special services may be involved in blowing up Russian ships. Николаевский Ванёк reports 5 RUF "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) flying towards Odesa/Lymanka, warning of imminent loud events. This is followed by a report that 4 of the 5 drones were downed. РБК-Україна reports AD activity in Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports explosions in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports a UAV heading towards Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк confirms 1 drone remaining heading towards Odesa and then reports all drones from the sea are down. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa, citing Trukhanov. ASTRA shares photos of apartments burning in a residential high-rise in Odesa after an RUF attack, confirming civilian impact. РБК-Україна reports Odesa is under drone attack. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa. РБК-Україна reports five people were rescued from upper floors in Odesa after the attack. РБК-Україна shares video footage showing firefighters and rescue operations in a damaged nine-story building in Odesa, including evacuation of civilians. The video confirms significant damage to the building and the ongoing emergency response by the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (ДСНС). РБК-Україна also shares photos of the aftermath of the Odesa attack, showing significant damage to residential areas. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Оперативний ЗСУ confirm 3 civilians hospitalized after Odesa attack, indicating continuing impact. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares new photo and video messages showing the aftermath of the Odesa attack, including a large apartment building engulfed in flames and emergency services on scene. ASTRA reports 4 people injured in Odesa multi-story building attack, citing State Emergency Service of Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of the Odesa apartment building being hit. РБК-Україна reports 5 people, including 2 children, were injured in the attack on Odesa. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms 5 casualties, 2 children injured. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports 40 of 52 enemy UAVs were shot down. Север.Реалии shares photo messages depicting a multi-story residential building damaged by a drone hit in Odesa, confirming casualties. ASTRA reports the number of injured in Odesa attack increased to five. Сили оборони Півдня України (Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine) reports 10 Shahed-131/136 UAVs were destroyed in the southern operational zone over the past day. (030703Z JUL 25) Defense Forces of Southern Ukraine post images commemorating Army Aviation Day. (030740Z JUL 25) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares images of apartment building on fire in Odesa from RUF shelling (030803Z JUL 25) Сили оборони Півдня України posts videos and photos showing the aftermath of a night attack on Odesa. (030842Z JUL 25) Nikolaevsky Vanek reports ballistic missile threat to Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) Air Force reports high-speed target towards Odesa. (030951Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports explosion in Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports ballistic missile threat from Crimea for Odesa. (030952Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports Odesa under ballistic missile strike. (030953Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa. (030954Z JUL 25) Два майора shares photos of Odesa (030957Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports a missile strike in the Odesa port area with a huge smoke plume. (031006Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ballistic missile strike in Odesa, with possible repeated launches. (031008Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports two powerful explosions in Odesa port area. (031010Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces termination of ballistic missile threat. (031013Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure. (031035Z JUL 25) Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares photos of the Odesa port area after missile strike, confirming target as port infrastructure and military cargo. (031048Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Mykolaiv was struck by ballistic missiles (6 Iskanders) and Shahed UAVs overnight, with confirmed impacts on infrastructure. RUF claims destroyed Kulbakino airfield in Mykolaiv. RUF claims destroyed a large UAF live force deployment point near Snihurivka. Astra reports Russia attacked Ukraine with 114 drones and 4 S-300 missiles overnight. Confidence: HIGH (on attacks and civilian impacts; MEDIUM on specific RUF BDA claims).
Kyiv Oblast: Massed RUF overnight attack included cruise missiles passing Slavutych towards Kyiv. UAF AD was operating effectively. Two UAF Air Force pilots, Lieutenant Colonel Maksym Ustymenko and Oleksiy "Moonfish" Mes, killed while repelling the attack. UAF General Staff confirmed a massed missile-drone attack with over 500 air targets launched and 475 targets neutralized, with an additional 226 suppressed by EW. Ukrainian UAV manufacturer founder warns Kyiv may become "most vulnerable and dangerous" due to critical air defense deficit. Syrskyi states basic general training will be increased from 49 to 51 days, with two additional days for training against enemy strike UAVs. UAF General Staff posts photos from a meeting regarding countering Russian strike UAVs. KVA complains about lack of modular shelters despite 3.5 years of war. Zelenskiy signed documents for the ratification of the Agreement on the creation of a Special Tribunal regarding the crime of Russian aggression against Ukraine. KVM A (Kyiv City Military Administration) states that Klychko (Mayor of Kyiv) claims there are no powers to place mobile shelters in the capital. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) claims "Kyiv is in a panic due to the halt of US supplies." РБК-Україна reports "У Києві відбулась зустріч японської бізнес-делегації: основні напрямки співпраці в Україні" (A meeting of the Japanese business delegation took place in Kyiv: main areas of cooperation in Ukraine). This indicates continued international business engagement and confidence in Kyiv despite ongoing attacks. Zelenskyy states that details regarding US defense support and air defense components are being clarified at working levels between Ukraine and the US. He also mentioned preparing new agreements with Denmark and other partners for joint weapons production, including interceptor drones. KVM A (Kyiv City Military Administration) repeats Zelenskyy's statement, indicating aligned messaging. KVM A announces an air raid alert in Kyiv due to UAV threat. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV from Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast, and later confirms a UAV heading towards Kyiv from the east. РБК-Україна confirms the UAV movement. KVM A reports that air defense is operating in the capital. РБК-Україна confirms explosions and AD activity in Kyiv. KVM A announces the end of the air raid alert in Kyiv. ASTRA reports that Ukraine's Air Force states 40 of 52 enemy UAVs were neutralized overnight. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) posts photos showing air defense operations, emphasizing their efforts. (030710Z JUL 25) КМВА posts video commemorating Day of Army Aviation (030802Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports a farewell to deceased F-16 pilot Maksym Ustymenko in Kyiv. (030917Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos of the farewell ceremony for F-16 pilot Maksym Ustymenko in Kyiv. (031130Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Cherkasy Oblast: RUF attacked Smila with missiles and drones, resulting in 11 casualties, including 2 children, and damage to three nine-story buildings and a college. UAF AD shot down most incoming threats. Operativny ZSU photo message from SBU about an FSB agent exposed for helping prepare shelling of Cherkasy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports SBU exposed a 20-year-old student preparing new strikes on Cherkasy Oblast. Confidence: HIGH.
Poltava Oblast: Kremenchug: RUF video confirms a successful strike on the Kremenchug oil refinery. UAV groups are moving from Sumy Oblast to Poltava Oblast, heading south. Strike UAVs from Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts are moving towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new UAV movement from Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. РБК-Україна reports on updated data about the movement of strike drones from Air Force. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the southern part of Sumy Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. Explosions reported in Poltava. UAF Air Force reports UAVs heading towards Poltava from the north and west. RBK-Ukraine confirms drone activity near Poltava. Poltava City Council reports Poltava was under a massive attack by Russian drones. Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition shares a video of an aerial explosion over an urban area, followed by smoke and secondary explosions, with the caption claiming "Geraniums" (Shahed drones) struck a TCC building in Poltava. Colonelcassad confirms the Poltava strike with a video of a large smoke plume, stating "Geraniums" hit a "local lair of man-catchers" (referring to TCC). Alex Parker Returns also reports the strike on the Poltava TCC building, framing it as a "new trend." STERNENKO reports explosions in Poltava from Shahed attacks. Два майора shares videos of a "Geranium" impact on a TCC building in Poltava. (030706Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports RUF attacked a TCC building in Poltava. (030716Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video confirming three Shaheds hit the Poltava TCC with fatalities and injuries. (030719Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ confirms an RUF strike on Poltava's TCC, causing a fire. (030720Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports fatalities and injuries from the Poltava TCC strike, including civilians. (030721Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares videos of strikes on the Poltava TCC. (030723Z JUL 25) Voenkor Kotenok shares video of "Geraniums" distributing "gifts" to Poltava residents. (030730Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares dashcam footage of the Poltava TCC strike. (030735Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030741Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports 2 killed and 11 wounded in Poltava. (030743Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 2 killed and 11 wounded after hits on TCC and nearby buildings in Poltava. (030758Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares photos of aftermath of strike on Poltava. (030801Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports 2 killed, 11 injured in Poltava. (030840Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports that military personnel are among the injured in Poltava. (030843Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports UAF confirmed 4 military personnel wounded from drone strike on Poltava TCC. (030921Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports 2 killed from RUF attack on Poltava TCC. (030923Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports on a video explaining why Russia attacks TCCs. (031004Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on strikes and UAV activity; HIGH on UAF internal anti-corruption efforts).
Lviv Oblast: Drohobych: RUF video shows multiple missile/drone impacts and explosions at a refinery in Drohobych, Lviv Oblast. Freight train derailed in Rivne Oblast. Discovery of cluster munitions after an RUF attack in Lviv Oblast. ASTRA reports SBU detained an Air Force major in Lviv Oblast suspected of espionage for Russia. (030902Z JUL 25) Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs) reports a meeting with families of POWs and missing persons in Lviv, highlighting continued efforts to address humanitarian issues and support military families. (031031Z JUL 25) Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими shares additional photos of this meeting. (031031Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
Zhytomyr Oblast: Colonelcassad reports "В Житомире ракетные прилеты." (Missile strikes in Zhytomyr). This confirms RUF missile attacks impacting Zhytomyr Oblast, west of Kyiv. The accompanying video by Colonelcassad shows a significant explosion and plume of smoke near a gas station and warehouse, corroborated by РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ. New messages confirm a strong explosion in Zhytomyr, with media reports suggesting an impact at a gas station or fuel object, with associated photo and video evidence from multiple sources (РБК-Україна, Операция Z, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС). РБК-Україна reports multiple explosions at a gas station in Berezino village. Alex Parker Returns also reports explosions near Zhytomyr and that the explosion occurred at a warehouse of an industrial enterprise in Berezina, where heavy trucks were likely transporting ammunition. Multiple sources (ASTRA, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Операція Z, РБК-Україна, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Военкор Котенок) confirm a large explosion in Zhytomyr or near the Zhytomyr-Kyiv highway, with initial reports pointing to a gas station and later conflicting reports suggesting a warehouse or ammunition depot. The M-06 Kyiv - Chop highway is closed due to the explosion. Casualties are reported but not yet confirmed. The impact affected civilian houses. UAF sources are verifying the exact site. РБК-Україна reports a video from a gas station near Zhytomyr. РБК-Україна reports the Zhytomyr OVA has published phone numbers for assistance in Berezino village, confirming civilian impact. Colonelcassad shares new video of the aftermath. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides video evidence, stating the epicenter was not the gas station itself. ASTRA reports a SOCAR gas station was damaged with casualties. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА posts video of the explosion near a McDonald's. Два майора shares multiple videos of the Zhytomyr explosions, showing vehicles burning on a highway. РБК-Україна reports that over 700 homes were de-energized due to the explosion near Zhytomyr. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that two production facilities were completely destroyed near Zhytomyr, with 2 killed and 15 injured. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the destruction of two production facilities. РБК-Україна reports the number of injured in Zhytomyr has risen to 24. РБК-Україна confirms both Zhytomyr explosions occurred at a private enterprise. Старше Эдды claims the Zhytomyr explosion was at an ammunition depot on a furniture factory premises. Операция Z and Оперативний ЗСУ share new video messages of the aftermath of the Zhytomyr explosion, with RUF sources claiming it was a Polish factory and UAF sources showing distant explosions and an impacted industrial building. Movement on the Kyiv-Chop highway has been fully restored. Оперативний ЗСУ reports injured in Zhytomyr region increased to 82, with 2 killed. (030812Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна shares video detailing 82 injured in Zhytomyr. (030835Z JUL 25) Два майора shares dashcam video of explosion in urban area. (030930Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on explosions and civilian impact; MEDIUM on exact target; HIGH on casualty increase).
Russian Territory (Saratov / Engels / Ulyanovsk / Rostov Oblast / Kazan / Nizhnekamsk / Izhevsk / Nizhny Novgorod Oblast / Khabarovsk Krai / St. Petersburg / Ukhta / Moscow / Tambov / Voronezh / Lipetsk / Yelets / Samara / Kotovsk / Irkutsk): Saratov/Engels: Explosions and sirens reported. Three drones fell on the territory of the Saratov oil refinery this morning. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Saratov airport. Ulyanovsk: Temporary flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport. Rostov: RUF Air Defense destroyed UAVs over Rostov, Taganrog, and five districts of Rostov Oblast. Kazan: Temporary flight restrictions imposed at Kazan airport. Nizhnekamsk: Nizhnekamsk Airport suspended operations. RUF MoD claims 60 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over Russian regions overnight. Izhevsk: Drone attack on a military enterprise in Izhevsk, specifically the electro-mechanical plant "Kupol" (produces Tor and Osa AD systems and drones for RUF army). Confirmed by SBU and UAF General Staff. Personnel evacuated, firefighters extinguishing fires. At least 9 people injured, rising to 45 injured, 3 killed, 35 hospitalized, 10 critical. ASTRA posts photos with caption "Четыре цеха по производству БПЛА повреждены на ижевском заводе «Купол» после вчерашней атаки. Работа предприятия остановлена" (Four UAV production workshops damaged at Izhevsk "Kupol" plant after yesterday's attack. Enterprise operation stopped). This confirms successful UAF deep strike and significant impact on RUF military industrial complex. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and STERNENKO confirm the damage to the Izhevsk 'Kupol' plant, specifically identifying it as a producer of Shahed and Harpya-A1 kamikaze drones, and confirming the SBU strike on July 1. ASTRA reports internet jamming in Izhevsk for two weeks prior to the attack, causing public complaints. Confidence: HIGH (on impact, MEDIUM for precise figures). Crimea: UJ-26 "Bober" UAVs attacked Russian radar systems, air defense, and a Su-30 aircraft in Crimea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС reports "В Криму ліквідовано Командувача Чорноморського флоту рф, – z-воєнкори." (Commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet liquidated in Crimea, - z-milbloggers). This indicates a significant UAF HVT targeting claim, albeit from a pro-Russian source. Confidence: MEDIUM (requires further verification). Nizhny Novgorod Oblast: An Su-34 fighter jet crashed. Navigator died. Pilots ejected. Main landing gear malfunction. Saratov oil refinery: UAF General Staff officially confirmed attack. TASS reports an ongoing criminal investigation into the head of "Forpost Baltiki Plus," Evgeny Kononov, for embezzlement from a Russian MoD contract in Kaliningrad Oblast. This indicates ongoing internal corruption issues. TASS reports a Headhunter mobile application failure, which could impact military recruitment or civilian labor movement. TASS reports Russian MoD claims ВС РФ за сутки поразили предприятие ВПК, цеха сборки БПЛА и места их хранения (VPC enterprise, UAV assembly workshops, and storage sites). Kotsnews reports Северяне уничтожили две вражеские ДРГ в окрестностях Горналя (Northern forces destroyed two enemy DRGs in the vicinity of Gornal). ASTRA reports a postgraduate student convicted for anti-war actions was released in St. Petersburg, indicating limited internal dissent is being contained. WarGonzo reports a monument to "Motorola" in Ukhta, glorifying separatist figures. TASS reports the former first deputy head of Khimki, Nikolay Minaev, was arrested in absentia for bribery exceeding 6 million rubles, further indicating internal anti-corruption efforts within Russia. ASTRA reports additional memorial plaques for war dead being installed in Saratov, noting a consistent increase in reported fatalities. Полиция Хабаровского края reports МВД awards for police officers saving a civilian, indicating continued domestic security focus and propaganda. Север.Реалии reports Russian companies sharply increased wage arrears. Воин DV shares a thermal/IR video of multiple explosions, indicating RUF artillery or air strikes. TASS reports "По делу о поставке некачественных бронежилетов в ВС РФ арестованы доли в фирмах, земля и счета связанных с главой ГК "Пикет" людей, передает корреспондент ТАСС." (In the case of supplying low-quality body armor to the Russian Armed Forces, shares in firms, land, and accounts of people connected with the head of "Piket" Group of Companies have been arrested, TASS correspondent reports). This indicates continued internal anti-corruption or efficiency investigations within the Russian military procurement system. Север.Реалии reports ""Верстка": с начала войны против Украины звания Героев России получили 459 участников боевых действий, из них 217 – посмертно" ("Verstka": Since the beginning of the war against Ukraine, 459 combatants have received the title of Hero of Russia, 217 of them posthumously). This provides data on RUF official recognition of military personnel and implicitly, the scale of their casualties. Moscow: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС reports "⚡️У центрі Москви прогриміли кілька вибухів — за словами очевидців, згоріло щонайменше два автомобілі." (⚡️Several explosions thundered in the center of Moscow - according to eyewitnesses, at least two cars burned down.). This indicates potential internal security incidents in Moscow. Операция Z reports "‼️🇷🇺🏴☠В центре Москвы взорвалась машина с 80-летним ветераном КГБ и его дочерью, которая также работала в спецслужбах, - СМИ" (‼️🇷🇺🏴☠In the center of Moscow, a car with an 80-year-old KGB veteran and his daughter, who also worked in special services, exploded, - media). This confirms an explosion in Moscow involving high-value, albeit retired, targets. TASS reports a new court arrest in the Ural murders case (Kamal Safarov), indicating continued domestic law enforcement activity. TASS also shares two new videos regarding the filming of a music video for "Intervision-25" in Moscow for the singer Shaman. This indicates continued efforts to maintain civilian normalcy and national cultural events. TASS reports a case of "detonation of a powder box" in Chelyabinsk, resulting in a man losing both hands, and criminal cases being opened. ASTRA reports seventh and eighth Azerbaijani figure arrested in Yekaterinburg in the murder case, confirming ongoing arrests that fuel diplomatic tensions. ASTRA also reports three 16-year-old schoolchildren are being held in Grozny police for seven months without charges, signaling human rights concerns. ASTRA shares a video of an urban explosion in Russia, with smoke from a building. ASTRA shares video of industrial fire/smoke with a drone overhead. ASTRA shares video of a street scene with military-looking truck. ASTRA shares various images of internal Russian life that does not hold military intelligence value. ASTRA also shares comments from Izhevsk residents complaining about internet jamming prior to the attack. TASS reports the CIA acknowledged its assessment of Russian interference in the 2016 US elections might have been politically motivated. TASS reports Russian airlines transported almost 50 million people in the first half of 2025. TASS reports Durov denies Telegram leaving Russia. Colonelcassad reports a Chinese journalist wounded in Kursk Oblast returned to work. TASS reports the MFA urges Russian citizens in Azerbaijan to be careful. Colonelcassad reports Rostec launched an ammunition plant in Venezuela. ASTRA reports a Belarusian blogger, Vlad Bumaga, was added to the Ukrainian "Myrotvorets" list. Alex Parker Returns shares video of an alleged "Wahhabist suicide bomber" in Naberezhnye Chelny. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares video of families planting trees in memory of missing servicemen. Colonelcassad reports the CIA officially disavowed accusations against Russia concerning the 2016 US election interference. MoD Russia shows a daily news update including claims of destroying a Ukrainian Humvee and a Leopard 2A6 tank. Colonelcassad describes the Izhevsk attack as a possible "Web" or "Luty" modernization. Igor Artamonov (Lipetsk Oblast Governor) reports an air threat warning for Lipetsk Oblast. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone attack threat on Usmana and Dobrinsky districts. TASS reports that the Pentagon states the US had warned Ukraine in advance about the suspension of certain weapons supplies. TASS reports Russian calculations of UAF losses (over 265,000 killed and wounded in H1 2025). Colonelcassad reports continued mine clearance in Sudzha border area. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Tambov airport. ASTRA also confirms temporary flight restrictions at Tambov airport. ТАСС reports Russian AD destroyed over 5 drones over Voronezh Oblast, with no casualties. ASTRA reports roof damage to a private house in Voronezh Oblast after a UAV attack. РБК-Україна posts multiple videos of alleged unknown drones attacking Lipetsk Oblast, including views of industrial chimneys and city skylines with flashes, indicating continued deep strikes within Russia. ASTRA reports residents of Lipetsk and the surrounding oblast reported a large number of explosions. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, confirmed that drone debris fell on a private residential building in Lipetsk district, resulting in one fatality (female, born 1954) and two injuries. Colonelcassad shares photo messages stating that TsNIITOCHMASH (Central Research Institute for Precision Machine Building) has increased production of universal packaging for high-precision munitions actively used in the SVO zone. The images accompanying the messages show various rugged, waterproof, and impact-resistant cases, typically used for transporting sensitive equipment like high-precision munitions. Igor Artamonov also reports a drone strike on a building in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, causing damage to glazing in a residential section but no immediate casualties, with residents evacuated. This further confirms continued deep strikes inside Russian territory. TASS reports the arrest of the deputy head of Roshydromet, Natalia Radkova, in a large-scale fraud case, indicating continued anti-corruption efforts. ASTRA reports the governor of Lipetsk Oblast stated that drone debris fell on a private residential building, resulting in one fatality and two injuries, confirming civilian impact in Russia. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reports a fire caused by a drone falling on a parking lot of an enterprise in Yelets, which has been localized with no casualties reported. Igor Artamonov also reports continued red alert for drone attack in Yelets and Yelets district. TASS reports a fire at an enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, after a UAV fall, with no casualties reported. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video of drones visiting Russia at night, with explosions reported in Lipetsk and Voronezh Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE ФІГХТС shares video reporting an attack on the sanctioned "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets. ASTRA shares new video footage from Lipetsk night attacks. TASS reports RUF AD destroyed 69 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Russian regions. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions lifted at Tambov airport. TASS reports 3 killed and 3 injured in a fire at an enterprise in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast. TASS and ASTRA report temporary flight restrictions in Samara airport. Igor Artamonov reports cancellation of the "yellow" (moderate) level of missile danger in Lipetsk Oblast. TASS reports a patient attacked medical staff with a knife in Irkutsk, injuring two. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 69 enemy UAVs were destroyed by Russian AD overnight. TASS reports flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport. STERNENKO shares video of a UAV attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, showing smoke and damaged areas. RBK-Ukraine shares new footage and images of the aftermath of the attack on the "Energiya" plant in Yelets. RUF MFA spokesperson Maria Zakharova states work is underway to ensure consular access to Russian journalists arrested in Azerbaijan. RUF Governor of Lipetsk Oblast, Igor Artamonov, visited victims of the UAV attack, stating no temporary relocation centers were needed. Север.Реалии reports the Ministry of Defense stated 69 drones were shot down, and a woman died in Lipetsk Oblast after falling debris, confirming civilian casualties from UAF deep strikes. Igor Artamonov reports drone debris found in Lipetsk, Yelets, and Lipetsk district, confirming widespread UAF drone activity. ASTRA reports a 23-year-old Russian woman was detained in St. Petersburg by the FSB for attempting to plant an explosive device under a defense enterprise employee's car, indicating continued UAF attempts at sabotage within Russia. AV БогомаZ reports Ukrainian drone attack on Lomakovka, Starodubsky municipal district, indicating continued UAF cross-border strikes. TASS reports the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation is demanding the nationalization of the "Yuzhuralzoloto" company belonging to billionaire Konstantin Strukov. (030706Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports three killed and three injured in a fire at an enterprise in Tambov Oblast, citing the acting governor. (030711Z JUL 25) TASS reports mobile internet will be restricted in Rostov Oblast due to UAV attacks. (030743Z JUL 25) TASS reports a man arrested for attacking polyclinic staff, claiming he wanted to kill the doctor. (030732Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports Petersburg police detained a woman suspected of preparing a terrorist attack. (030808Z JUL 25) TASS reports property of head of construction supervision department of MoD Kozhevnikov has been arrested. (030807Z JUL 25) TASS reports Samara airport restrictions lifted. (030819Z JUL 25) Igor Strelkov comments on Izhevsk attack. (030815Z JUL 25) ASTRA shares a photo message that the Prosecutor General's Office is demanding nationalization of a gold company. (030829Z JUL 25) TASS reports 3 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Samara and Belgorod Oblasts. (030835Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports a woman (Yulia Moskovskaya) was detained for preparing a terrorist attack. (030841Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок shares photo message titled "Repressions against the Azerbaijani diaspora are gaining momentum." (030841Z JUL 25) МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts "Places for the names of the dead have run out on the stele in Saratov." (030850Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photo message on "Ukraine on the verge of defeat due to freezing of US aid." (030851Z JUL 25) БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports drones attacked "Energiya" enterprise in Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast. (030859Z JUL 25) TASS reports MoD liberated Razin in DPR. (030910Z JUL 25) TASS reports briefing from MoD on special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) Два майора reports MoD summary of the special military operation. (030913Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports powder factory fire in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, due to UAV strike. (030916Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports FSB detained a woman in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast for contact with Ukrainian special services and transferring information about an industrial enterprise. (030919Z JUL 25) TASS reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, was killed in Kursk Oblast. (030933Z JUL 25) TASS reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, was killed in Kursk Oblast. (030933Z JUL 25) ASTRA reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast. (030938Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast. (030939Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reports Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, killed in Kursk Oblast by missile strike on field headquarters, along with his deputy, Colonel Shikhaliev. (030939Z JUL 25) Kotsnews reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed. (030940Z JUL 25) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports UAF liquidated Major General Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy in Kursk Oblast. (031031Z JUL 25) STERNENKO reports UAF liquidated Major General Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy in Kursk Oblast. (030946Z JUL 25) Rybar reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed. (030947Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy killed in Kursk Oblast. (030950Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad reports Major General Mikhail Gudkov killed in Kursk Oblast by missile strike. (030950Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns reiterates Mikhail Gudkov's death and previous command of 155th Marine Brigade. (030953Z JUL 25) Операция Z reports Major General Mikhail Gudkov killed in Kursk Oblast. (030953Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a detained girl in St. Petersburg who was preparing a terrorist attack against an employee of a defense enterprise. (031002Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns confirms this detention. (031002Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ulyanovsk airport restrictions lifted. (031013Z JUL 25) Север.Реалии reports the Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy died in the war in Ukraine. (031020Z JUL 25) Colonelcassad shares a map showing changes in the last 24 hours. (031021Z JUL 25) Рыбарь shares a photo message titled "Electric chair for Armenia." (031021Z JUL 25) TASS reports the Central Bank has not discussed forced transfer of pension savings into long-term savings programs. (031032Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on UAF deep strikes and RUF AD activity; MEDIUM on precise figures for shot-down UAVs; LOW on veracity of some RUF claims; HIGH on new RUF legislative measures impacting conscription/mobilization; HIGH on ASTRA report of casualties and wage arrears; HIGH on Lipetsk drone threat, HIGH on US warning to Ukraine, LOW on TASS UAF loss figures).
International: ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports on Chinese blocking Guam, which if true, signifies an increased level of international military tension in the Pacific. Kotsnews reports Russian MFA warned citizens about travel to Azerbaijan. Alex Parker Returns shares a video featuring a female spokesperson from the Russian MFA discussing relations. РБК-Україна reports "Лукашенко відпустив ще 16 людей після візиту Келлога" (Lukashenka released another 16 people after Kellogg's visit). This could be a diplomatic gesture by Belarus, possibly linked to its relationship with Russia or its internal political dynamics. ТАСС reports "Посол России в Азербайджане был вызван в МИД республики, сообщил азербайджанский МИД." (Russian Ambassador to Azerbaijan was summoned to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the republic, the Azerbaijani Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported). ТАСС further reports "Вызванному в МИД Азербайджана послу РФ выражен протест в связи с недружественными шагами российской стороны, сообщил МИД республики." (Protest expressed to the Russian Ambassador summoned to the Azerbaijani Ministry of Foreign Affairs in connection with unfriendly steps by the Russian side, the republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported). ТАСС also reports "От россиян в Азербайджане поступили жалобы на применение физического насилия, проверки документов, визиты неизвестных лиц, сообщили в пососольстве РФ." (Complaints received from Russians in Azerbaijan about physical violence, document checks, visits by unknown persons, reported the Russian Embassy). ТАСС reports "Азербайджан не ответил на ноты с требованием предоставить консульский доступ к арестованным россиянам, рассказали в пососольстве РФ в Баку." (Azerbaijan has not responded to notes demanding consular access to arrested Russians, the Russian Embassy in Baku said). These collectively confirm a significant diplomatic spat between Russia and Azerbaijan, likely related to the ongoing arrests of Azerbaijanis in Russia. Военкор Котенок and Операция Z amplify these reports, confirming the narrative is being pushed by RUF-aligned sources. РБК-Україна reports "У Німеччині піймали росіян на пропаганді через інтернет-ЗМІ" (Russians caught in Germany on propaganda through online media). This indicates continued RUF information operations targeting European countries. Colonelcassad reports "Занимавшуюся похищениями нелегальных мигрантов банду граждан Украины ликвидировали в Польше, сообщает польское радио RFM." (A gang of Ukrainian citizens involved in abducting illegal migrants was liquidated in Poland, Polish radio RFM reports). This is likely an RUF information operation designed to discredit Ukrainian citizens and potentially sow discord between Ukraine and its EU partners. Rybar reports on strike results in Vilkovo, Odesa region, implying continued targeting of coastal areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 indicates that UAF is suspected in a series of tanker explosions after they entered Russian ports. This suggests UAF is being attributed with kinetic actions against Russian maritime logistics, potentially expanding the maritime domain of conflict. RUF source "Два майора" reports Financial Times (FT) claims Ukrainian special services may be involved in blowing up Russian ships. Николаевский Ванёк reports 5 RUF "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs) flying towards Odesa/Lymanka, warning of imminent loud events. This is followed by a report that 4 of the 5 drones were downed. РБК-Україна reports AD activity in Odesa Oblast. РБК-Україна reports explosions in Odesa. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports a UAV heading towards Odesa. Николаевский Ванёк confirms 1 drone remaining heading towards Odesa and then reports all drones from the sea are down. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa, citing Trukhanov. ASTRA shares photos of apartments burning in a residential high-rise in Odesa after an RUF attack, confirming civilian impact. РБК-Україна reports Odesa is under drone attack. РБК-Україна reports damage to residential buildings in Odesa. РБК-Україна reports five people were rescued from upper floors in Odesa after the attack. РБК-Україна shares video footage showing firefighters and rescue operations in a damaged nine-story building in Odesa, including evacuation of civilians. The video confirms significant damage to the building and the ongoing emergency response by the State Emergency Service of Ukraine (ДСНС). РБК-Україна also shares photos of the aftermath of the Odesa attack, showing significant damage to residential areas. TASS reports that the Kiev leadership expects European countries to buy weapons for Ukraine from the US, citing Politico. Rybar reports on the crisis in the Middle East as of July 2. TASS reports Qatar is ready to facilitate resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, relying on diplomacy. Colonelcassad shares an infographic about the US 2nd Multi-Domain Task Force in Wiesbaden, Germany, indicating RUF monitoring of NATO developments. Басурин о главном discusses how the West will continue to build "Anti-Russia" even if Ukraine is reduced to two regions, indicating a long-term geopolitical struggle. ASTRA shares a photo message stating that Hungarian authorities used a caricature of Zelenskyy in a campaign against the opposition, indicating foreign interference in Ukrainian information space. Два майора reports that the West has intensified preparations for parliamentary elections in Moldova, indicating continued regional geopolitical focus. The Economist reports Ukraine faces "reckoning" due to the cessation of US arms supplies. Operational Z reports the decision on the fate of arms supplies to Ukraine lies with Trump and Heggset, framing it as a US political political decision. Rybar shares a photo message discussing how the British government is looking for money to increase military spending, indicating RUF monitoring of NATO defense initiatives. Alex Parker Returns shares a video claiming that the Head of Tatarstan materialized in Turkey during the conflict with Azerbaijan, implying potential disloyalty or complex geopolitical maneuverings, which could be an RUF information operation to sow distrust. TASS reports that Maria Zakharova stated that relations between Russia and Azerbaijan are strategic and that some forces do not like this, indicating continued RUF attempts to control the narrative around the diplomatic spat. Kotsnews reports on "Trump's speaking silence and tanker explosions," implying a link between US political developments and UAF kinetic actions against Russian maritime assets, aiming to stir conspiracy theories. РБК-Україна reports the US State Department assures that not all arms supplies to Ukraine have been stopped, directly countering prevailing concerns about US aid. Alex Parker Returns publishes photos and videos (030700Z JUL 25) with a general address to subscribers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts a political cartoon regarding Ursula von der Leyen's confidence vote in the European Parliament, indicating RUF monitoring and commentary on European politics. (030704Z JUL 25) Филолог в засаде provides a warning to Russian citizens against traveling to countries with "muddy-slippery politics," especially those "unfriendly," citing the Azerbaijan situation as an example of potential hostage-taking and transfer to Ukrainian special services. This is a clear information operation by RUF-aligned sources to discourage travel to certain countries and fuel distrust. (030717Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports that the US has changed priorities in arms supplies not only for Ukraine, but for other countries as well, citing CBS. (030720Z JUL 25) Rybar shares a photo message on British threats of sanctions against Kazakhstan. (030734Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine shares image of Zelensky and Trump possibly having a phone call. (030742Z JUL 25) Operativny ZSU reports Ukraine wants to get permission to purchase US weapons at Europe's expense. (030748Z JUL 25) WarGonzo reports on information regarding cessation of arms supplies for AFU. (030822Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares photo messages with caption "I will be your Russia Iqbal" implying narrative on Azerbaijan. (030805Z JUL 25) Kotsnews states "I don't understand the attacks on Zakharova regarding the situation with Azerbaijan." (030838Z JUL 25) Военкор Котенок shares photo message titled "Repressions against the Azerbaijani diaspora are gaining momentum." (030841Z JUL 25) Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares political humor message with text "Now about the situation on the couch front of "Independent". (030818Z JUL 25) Операция Z shares photo message about Ursula von der Leyen being threatened with a vote of no confidence. (030819Z JUL 25) STERNENKO shares photo message on Politico reporting Pentagon decision to suspend arms supply to Ukraine was unexpected. (030820Z JUL 25) TASS reports Diogo Jota, football player, died in a car accident. (030820Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports average salary in Ukraine to reach 40,000 UAH. (030859Z JUL 25) Рыбарь shares video message of a Ukrainian POW being interviewed (part of a propaganda effort from "Tyraspol"). (030901Z JUL 25) ТАСС reports Peskov comments on next round of negotiations in Istanbul. (030910Z JUL 25) Рыбарь reports on possibility of ceasefire in Gaza. (030919Z JUL 25) RBK-Ukraine reports Zelensky arrived in Denmark for a visit. (030946Z JUL 25) TASS reports protest by supporters of Gutsul outside court building in Chisinau. (030943Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video of an individual climbing a fence, related to a criminal incident in Leningrad Oblast. (030945Z JUL 25) Janus Putkonen shares video from a Russian special operation exhibition in Kursk at a museum in Luhansk. (030955Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ingushetia Interior Ministry denies searches related to embezzlement. (030958Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video that a terrorist attack in Luhansk occurred near a museum opening an exhibition on the Kursk operation. (030958Z JUL 25) Два майора suggests retraining psychologists for SVO combatants. (031001Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares video from a Wagner Group fighter discussing leadership and war. (031003Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns posts statement that strikes on TCC are Russia's attempt to disrupt mobilization, but the process is unstoppable. (031008Z JUL 25) Alex Parker Returns shares an image with the caption "Geraniums have become the main strike force of our country." (031259Z JUL 25) Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares video of a pilot/engineer from the Separate Presidential Brigade explaining how to greet military personnel. (031305Z JUL 25) Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announces termination of ballistic missile threat for all oblasts. (031603Z JUL 25) Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 officially confirms the death of Major General Gudkov. (031558Z JUL 25) TASS reports a lawsuit to nationalize "Yuzhuralzoloto" involves eight individuals and five companies. (031712Z JUL 25) Opera Z shares photo message of Russian MFA spokesperson Zakharova discussing consular access for detained Russians in Azerbaijan. (031042Z JUL 25) Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a phone call between Zelensky and Trump for Friday. (031042Z JUL 25) РБК-Україна reports on a phone call between Zelensky and Trump for Friday. (031045Z JUL 25) TASS reports that consular officers have been granted access to 13 detained Russian citizens in Azerbaijan. (031042Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH (on most reports; LOW for unverified ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ claim).
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
Ukraine: European reports of temperatures up to +42°C suggest potential heat stress on personnel and equipment across Ukraine. Confidence: HIGH.
Russia: North Atlantic cyclone "Cornelius" arrived in Moscow, bringing 3 days of rain and colder temperatures. Discernible earthquake in Kamchatka. TASS reports Putin joked about the coming winter, referring to summer weather. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Tambov airport, as reported by TASS and ASTRA, likely due to weather or AD activity. Temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been imposed at Saratov airport. Igor Artamonov, Lipetsk Oblast Governor, reports a "Red" (High) level alert for UAV attack has been cancelled in the region. TASS reports temporary restrictions on aircraft reception and departure have been lifted at Tambov airport. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Samara airport. TASS reports flight restrictions at Ulyanovsk airport, likely due to UAV activity or weather. Новости Москвы confirms Day of the City in Moscow will be held on September 13-14, implying preparations for a large public event which could be affected by weather. The Governor of Bryansk Oblast (RUF) posted a message. (030659Z JUL 25) Новости Москвы reports heatwave of over +30C expected in Moscow by mid-next week. (030906Z JUL 25) TASS reports Ulyanovsk airport restrictions lifted. (031013Z JUL 25) Confidence: HIGH.
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations
2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status
2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness
Force Posture: UAF General Staff confirms holding defensive lines in Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Lyman, Chasiv Yar, and Kharkiv. Tactical fighting withdrawal near Chasiv Yar Kanal microdistrict indicates adaptive defensive maneuvers to preserve forces. UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states Russian troops advance in border areas (Sumy) has been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized, indicating successful defensive operations and readiness in those sectors. The UAF General Staff issuing immediate denials of RUF penetration into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dachne) signals efforts to maintain public confidence and control the information space regarding frontline stability. Continued meetings between the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of POWs and families of missing soldiers underscore ongoing efforts to support military personnel and their families, crucial for morale. The formation of the Unmanned Systems Forces indicates UAF's commitment to modernizing and adapting to the evolving nature of warfare. Confidence: HIGH.
Readiness: UAF air defense remains active and effective, having shot down numerous Shahed UAVs (14 over Odesa, 12 over Nikopol) and intercepted cruise missiles over Kyiv. UAF drone units (ДПСУ units "Prime", UAF 241st Territorial Defense Brigade's RUBAK 'Vyriy', ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦) demonstrate continued operational readiness and effectiveness in ISR, strike, and counter-UAS roles. The UAF General Staff announcing increased basic general training (from 49 to 51 days, with two additional days for training against enemy strike UAVs) suggests an adaptation to the current threat environment and an intent to improve readiness against UAVs. Zelenskiy's statements about clarifying US defense support and preparing new agreements for joint weapons production with partners (Denmark) indicates efforts to secure long-term readiness and sustainment. The celebration of Army Aviation and Anti-Aircraft Missile Forces Day in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast suggests continued operational status and morale-boosting efforts. Confidence: HIGH.
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points
We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.
Learn more in our Privacy Policy.
