Archived operational intelligence briefing
TIME: 251253Z JUN 30
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. RUF claims the capture of Novoserhiivka, Shevchenko, Molodetske, and breakthroughs on the outskirts of Pokrovsk towards Belhiyka, with the T0406 highway reportedly under RUF fire control. RUF also claims entry into Udachne and "liberation" of Chervona Zirka (Krasna Zirka), reinforced by new RUF video. RUF MoD and WarGonzo now claim "liberation" of Novoukrainka in DPR. TASS claims RUF has "liberated" Novonikolaevka in DNR by the "Center" group, visually corroborated by RUF-sourced media (Slyvochniy Kapriz, RUF MoD), and further by an "Otvazhnye" group deputy battalion commander who detailed use of motorcycle groups for capture. TASS reports RUF forces are approximately 2.5 km from the suburbs of Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk), citing military expert Marochko. TASS further reports that after taking Novoukrainka near Krasnoarmiisk, RUF has only one settlement left to liberate, Chunishino, citing Marochko. UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours, with continued clashes near Popiv Yar, Myrne, Myrolubivka, Malynivka, Koptyeve, Promin, Lysivka, Udachne, Kotlyarivka, Horikhove and Oleksiyivka. UAF drone footage shows high RUF casualties near Pokrovsk, including an "unsuccessful attack by motorcyclists." Interrogation of a captured Chinese mercenary from RUF's 102nd Regiment, 150th Division, near Toretsk, is confirmed. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kurdumivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka, and towards Yablunivka. RUF sources continue to indicate persistent focus on Chasiv Yar, claiming "completion is near", and UAF General Staff confirms clashes near Chasiv Yar and towards Bila Hora. RUF "WarGonzo" posts "special report" on 4th Brigade operations towards Konstantinovka and Dyleevka, showing ground movement, tactical discussions, and drone footage. RUF military expert Marochko states the liberation of Chervona Zirka allows RUF to create a bridgehead for advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (RUF-aligned analytical judgment). RUF "Два майора" posts a video of a remote-controlled, tracked UGV equipped with a dual machine gun mount operating on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction, showing it moving through damaged urban terrain and operating its weapons system. It appears to have mine-carrying capacity. This indicates RUF is deploying novel robotic platforms in this key sector. RUF "Народная милиция ДНР" posts video claiming "Destruction of a Ukrainian Armed Forces militant by a 132nd Brigade UAV crew" showing an FPV drone strike on a vehicle. RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts photo/video from Velyka Novosilka - Chervona Zirka area, showing drone footage of damaged buildings with Russian flags, suggesting recent RUF presence/control. Air Force of AFU reports RUF tactical aviation launching KABs on Donetsk Oblast. RUF "Fighterbomber" posts thermal/night vision aerial footage of an explosion in a wooded area, claiming "Today the best one neatly worked with four UMPK FAB-500-PD on a Ukrainian Armed Forces strongpoint." RUF "Воин DV" posts video claiming "Lair of khokhols was previously blown up by IED, comparable in power to an anti-tank mine." RUF "Kotsnews" reports "Russian army liberated Chervona Zirka." RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" posts video claiming "Night aerial battles in the sky on the western borders of the DPR. Heavy enemy drones tried to attack our firing positions, but FPV drone crews, on constant duty, promptly reacted to approaching air targets. All shot down." UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts video showing two Russian soldiers surrendering to Ukrainian drones on the Donetsk direction. RUF "Z комитет + карта СВО" posts map images with the caption "Grigorovka," implying RUF presence or operations in that area. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video titled "11th Guards Army of the Air Force and Air Defense continues to iron the enemy in the offensive zone of the 'Vostok' group of forces. This time, the boys in the area of Voskresenka got hit." RUF "Два майора" posts drone footage on the Pokrovsk direction, showing explosions and smoke, indicating ongoing intense combat. RUF "Z комитет + карта СВО" posts new tactical map images for the Toretsk and Konstantinovskoye directions, showing updated control zones and fortifications, particularly near Toretsk. UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows UAF FPV drone strike on a Russian motorcyclist. Multiple UAF photo messages show results of an unsuccessful attack by RUF motorcyclists near Pokrovsk. RUF "MoD Russia" video shows drone footage of strikes on targets and Russian personnel displaying flag in a village, confirming Chervona Zirka under Russian control. RUF "Два майора" video shows individuals in a room with many drones, followed by aerial reconnaissance footage of a damaged urban environment, and a "nest of wounded" in a trench. RUF "Басурин о главном" analyzes military situation, mentions liberation of settlements, progress of Russian forces, strategic importance of high ground. UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video shows Ukrainian defenders capturing a group of Russian "businessmen" from the 132nd Gorlovka Motorized Rifle Brigade on the Toretsk direction. RUF "Kotsnews" video shows military operations in Vovchansk. RUF "Воин DV" claims FPV operator from 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade destroyed enemy resupply/rotation near Oktyabrskoye. RUF "Два майора" video shows aerial view of explosions in a village, captioned "Zaporozhye front, Belogorye, Pologovsky district." UAF "STERNENKO" video shows 55th Separate Artillery Brigade (55 OABr) striking RUF targets on the Pokrovsk axis. UAF "БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС" video claims SBU special forces destroying a Russian EW system (R-934) and other targets. RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims destruction of enemy UAV control point using LMUR. RUF "Colonelcassad" photos claim RUF advance near Hryhorivka, Kalynivka, and Chasiv Yar, with tactical map overlays. RUF "Colonelcassad" photos show severe destruction in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk direction), claiming the front is 2km away and battles are near Lysovka, Zverevo, and Belhiyka. UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" claims UAF eliminated a Russian UAV command post on the Pokrovsk direction, destroying munitions and technical equipment. Colonelcassad posts an analytical map illustrating RUF efforts to create a "northern pincer" to envelop the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) urban agglomeration. STERNENKO posts a video showing the destruction of a Russian MT-LB armored personnel carrier. TASS reports RUF forces control all lowlands in Serebryanka, DPR, with UAF remaining on high ground. Colonelcassad posts video of a destroyed or heavily damaged vehicle, likely a military truck or personnel carrier, with the text overlay 'ДНЕПРОВСКИЙ РУБЕЖ' (Dnieper Frontier). TASS reports "Артиллеристы группировки "Восток" уничтожили укрытия ВСУ с пехотой, оборудованные в лесных массивах." RUF "Colonelcassad" posts photos of various small, possibly improvised, captured UAF drone munitions ("Трофейные «сбросы»"). RUF "Colonelcassad" video shows aerial surveillance footage of a forested area, identified as a "Position of Ukrainian Armed Forces (VSU)," with an explosion and smoke, from "44th Army Corps," "Troop grouping 'Sever'." RUF "Colonelcassad" video shows a Russian sapper discussing mine-clearing, implying UAF mining efforts. RUF "Воин DV" claims "Операторы БЛА 14 гвардейской бригады специального назначения не забывают про важность превосходства в воздухе и регулярно ведут работу по уничтожению дронов противника на Шахтёрском направлении." RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims successful strikes by specific units (14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, 30th Separate SpN Company, 336th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade) from the "Vostok" Group of Forces, targeting the area of Karl Marx (also known as Myrny). RUF "Воин DV" claims UAF has lost the area between the Mokri Yaly and Vovcha rivers following the "liberation" of Chervona Zirka by the 36th Guards Brigade, 29th Army, "Vostok" Group of Forces. RUF "Два майора" video message indicating a "collection/fundraising" for the Pokrovsk direction. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts 9 photo messages of maps illustrating RUF claimed territorial changes. RUF "Воин DV" claims "Оператор БЛА 37 гвардейской мотострелковой бригады 36 армии не только уничтожил машину ВСУ, гружёную fpv-дронами, но и обратил в бегство бдительного хлопчика, который был готов с низкого старта покинуть опасную зону." UAF "БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС" video and caption describe numerous uncollected RUF bodies, implying high RUF casualties. RUF "Народная милиция ДНР" video claims "Уничтожение личного состава ВСУ и гаубицы М46 силами 68 орб." UAF "БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС" video shows destroyed RUF equipment and personnel likely from drone strikes in Zaporizhzhia, reinforcing UAF's effective drone warfare. ASTRA reports a resident of occupied Makiivka requested protection from a former partner, a RUF serviceman, who allegedly threatened her life. RUF 'Kotsnews' claims "Russian army liberated Novoukrainka." New RUF claims from 'Народная милиция ДНР' show drone footage of what is claimed to be the destruction of a 'Bradley' and 'MaxxPro' near Petrovske, further implying RUF offensive pressure in this area. A video from STERNENKO shows an armored vehicle, likely a tank or APC, on a road, impacted by artillery or explosives, with a motorcycle visible near the scene, indicating ongoing combat engagements. RUF "Воин DV" video claims 11th Guards Army VVS and PVO worked on a UAF strongpoint in the Maliyivka area, with 57th and 60th Motorized Rifle Brigades of 5th Army "Vostok" Group of Forces advancing and claiming significant progress in the past day. New RUF FPV footage from 'Colonelcassad' depicts successful strikes on an MT-LB, a building, a vehicle, and an observation post/shelter, reinforcing RUF's continued reliance on drones for tactical strikes. 'ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦' provides video of 58th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade strike drone crews destroying RUF equipment, facilities, and personnel. UAF 'РБК-Україна' reports GUR fighters ambushed and "mowed down" an enemy motor group in a forested area of Kharkiv Oblast. This is a UAF tactical success against RUF mobility. 'ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS' shows drone reconnaissance footage from the Phoenix unit (State Border Guard Service of Ukraine) in Kharkiv Oblast, identifying and destroying an enemy BMP and checkpoint. New intelligence indicates a damaged military vehicle (likely a truck with anti-drone netting/camouflage) was struck by a drone from UAF 81st Airmobile Brigade's "Sova" unit. This "Frankentank" with rebar cage was hit by drones from the 81st Airmobile Brigade's "Sova" unit. 'Оперативний ЗСУ' video of a field littered with Russian bodies, reinforcing high RUF casualties and UAF defensive effectiveness on the Kharkiv axis. 'Два майора' video showing a damaged Bradley Fighting Vehicle being towed, indicating RUF is recovering damaged Western equipment, likely for intelligence or propaganda purposes. 'Colonelcassad' video showing a drone strike on a building, indicating ongoing RUF use of tactical drones for kinetic strikes. '✙DeepState✙🇺🇦' video shows a successful FPV drone strike by the 413th Separate Battalion of Special Operations "Raid" against a North Korean-made M1991 MLRS system near Prechystivka in Donetsk Oblast, resulting in its destruction. 'Оперативний ЗСУ' posts a video showing a drone strike on a small structure or emplacement, described as likely a dugout or fortified position, with scattered debris. New RUF claims suggest UAF forces from Novoserhiivka have fallen back to the area of Udachne, west of Krasnoarmiisk, implying a further RUF advance on this axis. RUF also claims continued advances in the Krasny Liman direction. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims 247th Air Assault Regiment (VDV) broke through to the center of Kamyanske, tore down Ukrainian flag and hoisted Russian flag. UAF "Батальйон «Incognito» 54-ої ОМБР" video shows destruction of several RUF shelters and dugouts in Siversk area. Colonelcassad video shows a TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system operating against a target described as a "butter extraction plant" in Vovchansk. New RUF video from "Colonelcassad" shows first-person combat footage, implying continued close-quarters engagements, possibly involving mercenary forces based on the caption "Похождения литовского наёмника в зоне СВО". This requires further verification but indicates ongoing RUF combat operations. UAF Air Force reports RUF KABs on Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad posts new video messages captioned "Покровское направление" indicating continued RUF focus on this axis. UAF sources (РБК-Україна) cite ISW, reporting Ukrainian forces advanced in two directions on the front, without specifying the location. This contrasts with RUF claims of gains. General Staff ZSU confirms operational information as of 08:00 on June 30, 2025, regarding the Russian invasion, but the content is graphical and requires further analysis beyond current capabilities. It indicates continued comprehensive reporting from UAF General Staff. RUF MoD Russia video shows artillery of the Yug Group of Forces destroying two UAV control posts near Seversk. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" video shows an M113 UAF APC attempting a rotation being destroyed by FPV drones on the western border of DNR, indicating continued RUF drone effectiveness against UAF armored vehicles. РБК-Україна reports RUF is storming Pokrovsk, with heavy fighting and an attempt to blockade the agglomeration, further confirming Pokrovsk as the main RUF effort. Олексій Білошицький video shows drone footage of a soldier targeted, likely a Russian, captioned "Русня втрачає ГОЛОВУ на Покровському напрямку 🐽🦧" (Rusnya loses its HEAD on the Pokrovsk direction), indicating continued high RUF casualties. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС video of "Russian millionaire says goodbye to his earnings in Ukraine" on the Pokrovsk direction, implies high RUF casualties and financial investment in the war. Воин DV video claims precise strike on a UAF temporary deployment point (PVD) in Karl Marx (Mirne) by 336th Guards Marine Brigade, claiming at least three UAF personnel were present. This indicates continued RUF tactical strikes against UAF positions. Сливочный каприз posts photo/video messages captioned "30.06.25 Krasnoarmiisk - Novonikolaevka," showing aerial reconnaissance footage with damaged buildings, trenches, dragon's teeth, and a Russian flag on a structure. This visually corroborates RUF's claimed presence/control in Novonikolaevka and suggests continued offensive efforts towards Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). Два майора video from the Pokrovsk direction shows drone footage of a wooded area with a soldier, artillery/mortar impacts, and a destroyed building, indicating continued heavy engagements and RUF fire support. RUF MoD Russia video shows servicemen of the 30th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade claiming "liberation" of Novonikolayevka, with drone footage of shelling and a Russian flag on a building. This reinforces the RUF claim of control over Novonikolaevka. TASS reports that FPV drones of Russian forces have started destroying UAF equipment and personnel on the outskirts of Konstantinovka, citing Kimakovsky. This suggests RUF is extending its drone reach to new forward areas and intensifying pressure on Konstantinovka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that "Skała" regiment captured more Russian "alcoholics" who complain about being forced to fight, implying continued UAF success in taking POWs and highlighting RUF personnel quality issues. The unit's name indicates its focus on direct combat operations. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition videos detail RUF claims of "liberating" Shevchenko in DNR, including drone footage of damaged buildings and Russian flags, and claims of capturing two enemy personnel. This further solidifies RUF claims of territorial gains and ongoing combat operations. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:01Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Rusyn Yar, Razine, Myrne, Myrolubivka, Malynivka, Myrnohrad, Horikhove, Udachne, Promin, Lysivka, Novoserhiyivka, Oleksiyivka and towards Volodymyrivka, Novopavlivka on the Pokrovsk direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:56Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Dachne, Toretsk, Yablunivka on the Toretsk direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:52Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Chasiv Yar and Bila Hora on the Kramatorsk direction.
Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction (including near Nadiya, Novoyehorivka, Ridkodub, Zelena Dolyna, Yampolivka, Hrekivka, Torske and towards Serebryanka and Hryhorivka). RUF claims continue regarding the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka) and complete "liberation of LNR." RUF MoD Russia video shows servicemen of a separate combat engineer battalion (Zapad Group of Forces) continuing demining roads in the Krasny Liman direction. TASS reports Russian forces are clearing Petrovske, with approximately one kilometer remaining to reach the LNR border. A RUF 'Mash na Donbasse' video message claims that UAF attacked Vakhrusheve in LNR, showing surveillance footage with flashes of light. RUF 'Рыбарь' reports on a "New Malian Campaign," suggesting continued global operations rather than direct Luhansk news, but is likely a placeholder for general RUF updates. RUF claims continued advances in the Krasny Liman direction. Colonelcassad video shows a TOS-1A of the 20th Army operating against UAF in a forest belt on the Lyman direction. Zvиздец Мангусту specifically mentions "3️⃣Лиманское направление." indicating continued RUF focus on this sector. Colonelcassad video shows a Russian soldier, Oleg Belonogov, claiming his unit repelled 11 UAF attacks during the "liberation" of Petrovskoye (Luhansk direction), showing drone footage of troop movements and a destroyed dugout. This reinforces RUF claims of successful defensive and offensive actions in the area. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:44Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Kopanky, Nadiya, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Torske, and Serebryanskyi forest and towards Novoserhiyivka, Olhivka, Novyi Myr, Seredne, Shandryholove on the Lyman direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:48Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Serebryanka, Hryhorivka and Vyyimka on the Sieversk direction.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): Death toll from prior missile attack on Dnipro increased to 22 dead and nearly 300 wounded. Overnight, RUF attacked Nikopol district (Marganetska and Pokrovska communities) with heavy artillery and FPV drones; 12 RUF UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The head of Kryvyi Rih military administration reports the situation is under control. UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation airstrikes in Berezove, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)" (Serhiy Lysak, Dnipropropetrovsk OVA Head) confirmed an explosion in a Dnipro suburb was UAF air defense. RUF "Alex Parker Returns" claims Dnipropetropavsk was attacked with "jet iron" (likely KABs) for the first first time, traveling over 100km, which UAF Air Force and "Оперативний ЗСУ" deny as a strike on Dnipro. RUF "Alex Parker Returns" claims "Air Defense Titans announced that they were able to shoot down the new cast iron over Dnipropetropavsk. Everything is fine." UAF Air Force reports a threat of aviation munitions application for Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports enemy Shahed UAVs are in the sky over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, with one UAV inbound to Dnipro. "Николаевский Ванёк" confirmed one UAV inbound to Dnipro and reported three additional UAVs inbound to Samara/Dnipro. UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV from Cherkasy Oblast inbound to Kirovohrad Oblast. RUF "Fighterbomber" implies successful arrival of an aviation munition in Dnipro. UAF "РБК-Україна" photo messages report RUF attacked an evacuation bus with a "drone-bomber" in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast, showing damage including broken glass inside the bus. A tragic report confirms a casualty from Malomykhailivska community. RUF is dropping propaganda leaflets from drones over Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. UAF Air Force has reported missile danger for Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. '🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)' reports multiple RUF attacks on Nikopol with drones and artillery, damaging infrastructure but with no new casualties. Air raid alert concluded. New RUF drone activity in Zaporizhzhia reported in Dnipropetropavsk. New RUF activity in Kharkiv region: "Southwest movement" and "South movement" of UAVs, indicating active drone reconnaissance and potential targeting. "Николаевский Ванёк" provides an overall assessment of "moped" (Shahed) activity, indicating widespread drone threats across the southern operational zone. New RUF claims from Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 state RUF forces struck railway infrastructure, fuel depots, ammunition warehouses, and logistics routes in Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. UAF Air Force reports UAVs have changed course to Dnipro, indicating an ongoing immediate threat. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of enemy strike UAVs in Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк confirms "2 morning mopeds flying course to/through Kryvyi Rih - might be loud!" indicating an immediate and localized drone threat. Олександр Вілкул reports "Kryvyi Rih. Explosions. Shahed attack." This confirms ongoing RUF drone activity and impacts in Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк reports "1 moped from Kamyanske turned towards Kryvyi Rih - again might be loud!" further confirming the immediate Shahed threat to Kryvyi Rih, indicating the UAV likely originated from the Kamyanske direction in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. РБК-Україна reports "❗️In Kryvyi Rih, a Shahed attack has hit," confirming the impact. Операция Z and posts video claiming a "hit" in Kryvyi Rih this morning, visually corroborating the confirmed strike. Олександр Вілкул reports the establishment of a humanitarian aid center in Kryvyi Rih after the strike, providing construction materials and financial aid, indicating a local humanitarian response. РБК-Україна reports 3 wounded in Kryvyi Rih due to the attack, one in serious condition, further confirming civilian casualties. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS posts video confirming a drone hit in Kryvyi Rih this morning, visually corroborating previous reports. STERNENKO reports 3 wounded in Kryvyi Rih from the UAV attack, citing the OVA, reinforcing civilian casualties. Alex Parker Returns videos and text with caption "Момент прилета по военкомату в Кривом Роге. ПВО не работало. Быть добру!" confirms a strike on a military enlistment office in Kryvyi Rih and claims AD ineffectiveness, with visual evidence of impact on a multi-story building. This is likely an IO claim. Операция Z videos and text further confirm the "powerful strike" on the TCC (military enlistment office) building in Kryvyi Rih, emphasizing its significance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 videos also confirm "Geranium" (Shahed) hit on the TCC building in Kryvyi Rih. Colonelcassad videos and text confirm "Geranium" strike on a "den of man-catchers" (military enlistment office) in Kryvyi Rih. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 text and photo messages specifically state RUF hit the TCC in Kryvyi Rih, following a strike on a TCC in Sumy Oblast yesterday, indicating a pattern of targeting military enlistment centers. Военкор Котенок videos and text confirm "unexpected gift from Russian 'Geraniums'" to Kryvyi Rih residents, implying the TCC strike. Оперативний ЗСУ photo messages confirm "Russian occupiers struck the city with a UAV. Preliminary, 3 people wounded" in Kryvyi Rih, with photos of significant damage. РБК-Україна photo messages show DSNS (State Emergency Service) photos of the attack aftermath in Kryvyi Rih, including damaged residential buildings, confirming civilian impact and emergency response. Оперативний ЗСУ (09:34:11Z JUN 30 25) posts photo messages with caption "Сьогодні ворогом нанесено удар за допомогою БпЛА поряд з будівлею ТЦК та СП у м. Кривий Ріг" (Today the enemy struck with a UAV near the building of the TCC and SP in Kryvyi Rih). РБК-Україна (09:34:25Z JUN 30 25) confirms "У Сухопутних військах підтвердили приліт "Шахеда" поряд з будівлею ТЦК у Кривому Розі" (Ground Forces confirmed a Shahed hit near the TCC building in Kryvyi Rih). This provides further UAF corroboration of the strike on the military enlistment office.
Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states the advance of Russian troops in border areas has been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. UAF General Staff reports repelling 22 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. RUF sources, however, continue to claim offensive operations and significant advances (up to 14 km from the border, and pushing UAF "elite" back from Yunakivka), including a new TASS claim of destroying a company of UAF soldiers near Yablonovka. RUF is conducting KAB launches and drone activity into Sumy Oblast, with a UAV inbound to Sumy city, others in western Sumy Oblast, and a group in eastern Sumy Oblast moving north, and a UAV from Sumy Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. ASTRA reports a power substation burning after a UAV attack in Volokonivka, Belgorod Oblast. AV БогомаZ reports seven aircraft-type UAVs, including two jets, destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. UAF General Staff confirms successful strikes on RUF ammunition depots in Bryansk Oblast and GUR drones attacked military facilities in Bryansk on Constitution Day. Lgov (Kursk Oblast) is canceling bus routes due to drivers resigning over shelling. RUF "Два майора" posts video showing drone footage of vehicles being targeted and destroyed near Pysarivka and Khoten on the Sumy direction. RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims "Syrsky's darlings" are being defeated in Sumy Oblast. UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" video claims a Special Operations Forces (SSO) reconnaissance and sabotage group destroyed several Russian military personnel and captured one in the Russian border area north of Sumy. RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims a Swedish Strv 122A (Leopard 2A5S) tank was hit by "fiber-optic drones" operated by the "Tigers" UAV unit of the Ussuri Brigade in Sumy Oblast. RUF "Два майора" video message with caption "ГРАНИЦА ЗАКРЫТА НА ЗАМОК Космодесантом и ВКС!" claims successful RUF air and possibly special forces operations along the border. New UAF reports indicate that RUF attacked Lebedyn in Sumy Oblast with three UAVs, damaging 2 administrative buildings and 12 private residences, with 2 casualties. UAF Air Force is currently reporting missile danger for Sumy Oblast. 'ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS' reports Russian army shelled the suburbs of Sumy Oblast center with artillery. UAF Air Force is tracking an enemy reconnaissance UAV over Sumy Oblast, indicating ongoing RUF ISR activity. RUF is also confirmed to be launching KABs into Sumy Oblast, maintaining fire pressure. RUF 'Alex Parker Returns' claims that UAF reports indicate RUF forces can now reach the outskirts of Sumy with tube artillery, with RUF forces approximately 16km from the city. This implies RUF is capable of direct artillery engagement with the city but is refraining due to a "political decision." STERNENKO posts video showing Mad Bears battalion (225th Separate Assault Regiment) operating drones to monitor skies in Sumy Oblast, reinforcing UAF counter-drone efforts. RUF 'Операция Z' (from Военкоры Русской Весны) claims Russian forces have advanced and can now reach the outskirts of Sumy with tube artillery. TASS reports two civilians wounded in Kursk Oblast due to UAF attacks, implying cross-border shelling. UAF Air Force provides updated information on Shahed movements, indicating ongoing real-time tracking and dissemination of threat data. RBK-Ukraina also reports updated information on drone movements, supporting this. TASS reports a Chinese correspondent was wounded in Kursk Oblast due to a UAF drone attack and is undergoing two weeks of treatment. This highlights the continued cross-border strikes and their civilian implications, even for foreign nationals. TASS reports that some Akhmat fighters will be decommissioned due to health conditions after the "Potok" operation to "liberate" Sudzha, implying high attrition in this unit. TASS claims UAF uses "Aidar" battalion (recognized as terrorist organization, banned in РФ) as "cannon fodder" on Sumy direction, alleging it is formed by "Nazis" and forcibly mobilized Ukrainians. STERNENKO video message reports strikes in the area of Lgov-2 railway station in Kursk Oblast. Zvиздец Мангусту discusses a "decrease in the combat capability of advanced (assault) units of the enemy due to significant losses incurred during the offensive" on the Sumy direction. However, this is described as a "temporary phenomenon" that "may continue until additional enemy forces and means are regrouped to this direction, or until its advanced units are significantly replenished with personnel." This indicates a potential temporary decrease in RUF offensive tempo on Sumy due to losses, but a recognition that RUF may reinforce. New information from Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims that the "holding of Sumy Oblast is costing the Ukrainian Armed Forces heavy losses," citing the Wall Street Journal. This is a direct RUF IO amplification of Western media reporting to support their narrative of UAF attrition. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a photo message reporting RUF has concentrated 50,000 military personnel in the Sumy area, outnumbering UAF by approximately 3:1, citing the WSJ. This is a significant claim regarding RUF force disposition. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС posts drone footage from the SSO UA_REG_Team of a "demilitarized buffer zone" in Sumy Oblast, showing several deceased Russian soldiers, indicating successful UAF defensive actions and high RUF casualties in the area. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in northern Sumy Oblast, with engagement of air defense assets, indicating continued RUF ISR and UAF counter-UAV operations. РБК-Україна video titled "😡"Наказали стріляти всіх": російський полонений зізнався у злочинах на Сумщині" reports on an alleged confession by a Russian prisoner of war regarding crimes in Sumy Oblast. This, if verified, suggests RUF war crimes and is a significant piece of intelligence for UAF IO. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posts photo messages captioned "Курская область," with satellite imagery and tactical overlays, indicating continued RUF focus and operations in the Kursk border region, consistent with operations towards Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo posts a video titled "Курские хроники: как проходило освобождение Русского Поречного," claiming the "liberation" of a settlement in Kursk Oblast. This indicates continued RUF ground operations and attempts to gain territory in the border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 text and photo messages state that RUF struck a TCC (military enlistment office) building in Sumy Oblast yesterday. This confirms continued RUF kinetic strikes on Ukrainian military administrative facilities in border regions. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:25Z JUN 30 25) reports that Ukrainian forces have repelled 16 Russian army assaults on the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction yesterday.
Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes (Vilkhuvatka, Pidlyman) and ground clashes near Vovchansk, Hlyboke, Stroyivka and towards Kutkivka, and Kupyansk direction near Holubivka, Stepova Novoselivka and Zelenyi Hai. UAF General Staff confirms RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Vilkhuvatka, Pidlyman. TASS reports attempts by UAF to cross the Vovcha River in Vovchansk were repelled with losses. An RUF Molniya UAV struck Kharkiv, hitting a multi-story building. A RUF UAV also struck a civilian vehicle near Prykolotne. Two children injured due to an explosion in Stavysche, Shevchenkivska Hromada (likely UXO/mine). RUF "Alex Parker Returns" video shows TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems operating in Vovchansk, causing severe urban destruction. New Colonelcassad video shows a TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system operating against a target described as a "butter extraction plant" in Vovchansk. UAF "РБК-Україна" reports an explosion in Kharkiv and a UAV shot down over Kharkiv. Oleg Synyehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, reports a fire in the Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv due. to falling UAV debris and one casualty. UAF "РБК-Україна" later clarifies no direct hits in Kharkiv, only suburbs. Head of Kharkiv OVA, Oleg Synyehubov, posts video showing expansion of safe shelters in educational institutions, specifically Chuguyiv Lyceum No. 2, damaged in July 2022 and now being equipped with a shelter for 450 people. UAF Air Force is currently reporting missile danger for Kharkiv Oblast. 'РБК-Україна' reports GUR fighters ambushed and "mowed down" an enemy motor group in a forested area of Kharkiv Oblast. 'ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS' shows drone reconnaissance footage from the Phoenix unit (State Border Guard Service of Ukraine) in Kharkiv Oblast, identifying and destroying an enemy BMP and checkpoint. New intelligence indicates the Northern Eagle Battalion of the 151st Separate Mechanized Brigade is conducting effective FPV drone strikes in the Kharkiv direction, targeting RUF equipment and personnel. UAF Air Force reports missile danger for Kharkiv Oblast. RUF 'Дневник Десантника🇷🇺' claims Russian strikes have transformed a previously safe part of Ukraine into a non-safe zone, likely referencing Kharkiv or other recently attacked regions, for propaganda purposes. UAF 'РБК-Україна' reports a man found an unexploded Molniya-2 drone in his garden in Kharkiv. ASTRA reports on the consequences of Russian shelling in Kharkiv Oblast, with one person killed and another wounded. RUF 'Операция Z' (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims their "Thunderstorm" unit is destroying enemy equipment in Kupiansk, implying continued pressure in that area. Ukrainian aviation conducted strikes on RUF manpower concentrations in the Northern direction. UAF Air Force reports threat of UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast from the north, and 'РБК-Україна' confirms drones inbound to Kharkiv from the north. Oleg Synyehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, reports enemy UAVs detected over Kharkiv. New incoming UAVs reported for Kharkiv Oblast, moving southwest and south, indicating active drone reconnaissance and potential targeting. Explosions were heard in Kharkiv, confirmed by Suspilne, and later clarified by Mayor Ihor Terekhov as occurring outside the city. "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts video showing flashes of light indicating potential military activity in or near Kharkiv. Oleg Synyehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, reports on the consequences of the night UAV attack in Kharkiv Oblast. UAF Air Force and RBK-Ukraina provide updated information on Shahed drone movements, indicating continued monitoring and threat. New message from РБК-Україна reports RUF attacked Kharkiv Oblast with drones. Oleg Synyehubov, Head of Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, states 3 people sought medical help in Pisochyn after a UAV strike, later updated to 4. Воин DV posts photo messages and tactical analysis of an evacuated Leopard 2A6 tank with Contact-1 ERA and "some kind of under-mangal" from the Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) direction, indicating RUF is recovering high-value enemy equipment. UAF Air Force and RBK-Ukraina provide "Shahed update" and "updated information on enemy drone movement," indicating ongoing threat and tracking. TASS claims Russian MoD released footage of the "liberation" of Шевченко (Shevchenko), Donetsk region, by "Vostok" group forces, implying ground advances with drone support. Operatyvnyi ZSU reports 8 casualties, including 1 child, from UAV strikes in Kharkiv Oblast, with fires. ASTRA confirms 8 casualties in Pisochyn, Kharkiv Oblast. New photo messages from РБК-Україна with the caption "😡 Руйнування і 8 постраждалих: показано наслідки удару РФ по Харківщині" reinforce civilian casualties and destruction in Kharkiv Oblast. TASS claims Russian forces destroyed 10 UAF assault groups in Vovchansk and Lyptsi directions in the last 24 hours. New photo messages from Oleg Synyehubov indicate that 6 settlements in Kharkiv Oblast were hit by enemy strikes over the past day, confirming widespread targeting. РБК-Україна reports RUF launched 107 drones overnight, primarily targeting Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. Оперативний ЗСУ confirms 74/107 enemy UAVs neutralized. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB/KAR launches by tactical aviation on eastern Kharkiv Oblast, indicating continued air-launched munition threats. Север.Реалии confirms 8 casualties, including one child, in Pisochyn, Kharkiv Oblast due to a drone strike, reinforcing civilian impact. Сливочный каприз posts photo/video messages captioned "30.06.25 Kupiansk - Stepovaya Novoselka," implying continued activity on the Kupyansk direction. STERNENKO posts photo messages confirming 8 casualties, including one child, in Pisochyn, Kharkiv Oblast, due to a Russian UAV attack, citing the State Emergency Service (DSNS). This reinforces the impact on civilians. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in northern Kharkiv Oblast, with assets engaged to shoot it down, indicating continued RUF ISR activity. TASS reports a UAV struck a school in Tavrovo, Belgorod Oblast, damaging a classroom but causing no casualties. This indicates continued cross-border UAV activity, potentially from UAF. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:31Z JUN 30 25) reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Hremyach of Chernihiv region, Synelnykove, Vilkhuvatka, Vovchanski Khutory, Okip, Okhrimivka of Kharkiv region, Muravka, Novopavlivka – of Donetsk region, Orikhiv, Prymorske – of Zaporizhzhia region, Lvove of Kherson region. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:35Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory on the South Slobozhansky (Kharkiv) direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:48:39Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Petropavlivka, Kupyansk and Pischane on the Kupyansk direction.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske on the Zaporizhzhia front. New intelligence from Colonelcassad claims elements of the 247th Air Assault Regiment (247th DShP) advanced on the Zaporizhzhia direction near the Yanchekrak River in the Kamyanske area, planting a Russian flag on a road sign. UAF Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has issued a new "ATTENTION" alert. UAF Air Force reports a threat of aviation munitions application for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, confirmed by RBK-Ukraina. UAF General Staff reports continued clashes near Kamyanske, and near Malynivka (Huliaipole direction). UAF confirms a missile strike on Zaporizhzhia damaged a production facility. RUF attacked Stepnohirsk with combined arms (KABs, MLRS, artillery, drones), causing extensive damage to civilian buildings. A 16-year-old girl was wounded by a RUF FPV drone strike in Zaporizhzhia district. UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launching KABs on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RUF "Воин DV" video claims fire damage to enemy strongpoints with personnel near Chervone on the Huliaipole direction by 38th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, 35th Army. RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims rocket strike on UAF UAV hangars in Kamyanske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RUF "Воин DV" video shows drone attacks on structures identified as enemy shelters using FPV drones with thermobaric and incendiary munitions. UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes in Zaliznychne, Bilohirya, Orikhiv, and Kamyanske. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a 70-year-old woman died in Stepnohirsk due to an early morning enemy attack. UAF 'РБК-Україна' reports that the enemy is trying to capture a bridgehead in Kamyanske, Zaporizhzhia, citing the Defense Forces. UAF 'Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц"' provides a video from occupied Berdiansk showing children walking with a Russian flag, which could imply a shift in demographic control or an information operation. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is reporting on ongoing logistical support to the front, including power generators, Starlink terminals, and drones, suggesting sustained Ukrainian defensive posture and resupply efforts in the sector. Olexandr Vilkul has also posted photo messages detailing ongoing systemic aid to the front, including vehicles, medical supplies, power equipment, and drones, reinforcing sustained logistical support for UAF units, likely in the Kryvyi Rih and Zaporizhzhia directions. The air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been concluded. RUF "Два майора" posts video showing Russian soldiers with drones and Starlink equipment on the Zaporizhzhia front, confirming RUF reliance on these technologies and their presence in the sector. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims 247th Air Assault Regiment (VDV) broke through to the center of Kamyanske, tore down Ukrainian flag and hoisted Russian flag. RUF "Два майора" reports on the Zaporizhzhia front, Kamyanske direction with thermal/night vision footage of aerial activity and potential strikes. RUF "Военкор Котенок" also reports on the Zaporizhzhia direction, right flank, and has posted photo messages of maps on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating ongoing RUF focus on this sector. Air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast has concluded. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration issued an "ATTENTION" alert. The latest message from Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration confirms the air raid alert has concluded. Воин DV video shows artillery of the 35th Army continuing to hit enemy positions on the Huliaipole direction, indicating persistent RUF fire pressure despite a claimed lull in ground action. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports air raid alert concluded. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "🚀 Zaporizhzhia Oblast - threat of aviation munitions application!" indicating continued RUF air-launched munition threat. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports "🚨ATTENTION🚨" indicating a new alert or ongoing threat in the region. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Kadyrovites (Chechen special forces) are being prepared for assaults on the Zaporizhzhia direction, with approximately 15 military trucks moving them to the area of Enerhodar / Melitopol / Vasylivka, citing Andryushchenko. This indicates a potential major RUF buildup and offensive intent on the Zaporizhzhia front, possibly involving high-risk, shock troop tactics. Воин DV posts video captioned "Подразделения 35 армии проводят залистование позиций противника в Малиновке, Дорожнянке и в районе Червоного," indicating RUF (35th Army) is conducting propaganda leaflet drops on UAF positions in these Zaporizhzhia settlements. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photo messages captioned "Нові можливості після служби: стартувала реєстрація на ярмарок вакансій для ветеранів, ветеранок та членів їхніх родин," indicating UAF logistical/social support efforts in the region. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС videos and text report on a fundraising appeal for vehicles for the 23rd Separate Brigade ОБрОГП, and include drone footage from 'Pryyutne' showing troop movement and a successful assault capturing two opponents. This indicates ongoing tactical operations and logistical needs on the Zaporizhzhia front, as Pryyutne is a contested area. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) photo messages and text indicate the head of Dnipropetropavsk OVA held a meeting with district heads to discuss "most pressing issues," likely related to regional security, support for the front, and civilian protection given the active combat in Zaporizhzhia, which borders Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:10Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Kamyanske on the Orikhiv direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:17Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Malynivka on the Huliaipole direction. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:05Z JUN 30 25) reports clashes yesterday near Myrne, Zaporizhzhya, Fedorivka, Bahatyr, Shevchenko, Vesele, Novopil and Rivnopil on the Novopavlivka direction.
Kherson Oblast: RUF and UAF reports indicate continued positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance. RUF claims UAF is setting forest fires for tactical purposes. UAF General Staff reports repelling 2 Russian army assaults. UAF "Сили оборони Півдня України" posts photos of civilian infrastructure damaged by RUF shelling. UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" claims "Destruction of occupiers in their lair on the left bank of our Kherson region with #GBU62 from MiG-29 crew." RUF "Два майора" posts a video which appears to show drone footage from a reconnaissance drone. The video includes a phone number suggesting a recruitment or contact point, and later a graphic with military emblems and a Telegram channel link, likely promoting a military unit. The grainy footage suggests it is either older or captured under challenging conditions. The caption "Херсонское направление" (Kherson direction) indicates operational focus. RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims destruction of a UAF temporary deployment point (PVD) of the 34th Separate Brigade of the Naval Infantry (OBRBO VSU) in Kherson using an X-35 missile. TASS claims "Безэкипажные катера ВСУ перестали подходить к Крыму ближе дистанции 30 км." UAF 'Sily Oborony Pivdnya Ukrayiny' videos show Ukrainian soldiers from the 128th Mountain Assault Brigade effectively countering enemy FPV drones with anti-drone rifles and EW measures. 'Оперативний ЗСУ' reports that RUF shelled the Central District of Kherson, killing one man and wounding another. RUF 'Два майора' has posted another video with aerial footage for the Kherson direction, featuring a recruitment phone number, further indicating RUF's ongoing efforts to promote their military units and operations in the sector. TASS reports a wildfire has increased to 5 hectares in Alushta, Crimea, and two Mi-8 helicopters from Russian EMERCOM are involved in extinguishing it. This may suggest RUF's civilian resources are being diverted for such emergencies, or potentially an environmental impact from military activities. 'Дневник Десантника🇷🇺' posted photo messages with satellite imagery and tactical overlays for the Kherson direction. While a detailed analysis of the imagery itself is outside the scope, the context of the post implies ongoing RUF operations and intelligence gathering in the sector. ASTRA reports three drone attacks in Kherson since noon, with casualties and fatalities. Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukrayiny confirms Russian shelling of civilian objects in Southern Ukraine, causing deaths and injuries, consistent with ASTRA's report. RUF 'Colonelcassad' posts a video claiming the destruction of three Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels (USVs) by a Su-30 aircraft using an X-31 missile and Lancet loitering munitions in the Black Sea. New video from 'Николаевский Ванёк' shows successful drone operations by "Grom" group (Roma Kostenko's unit) in Oleshky district, Kherson Oblast, targeting artillery positions. RUF 'Colonelcassad' reports on a rally in Kyiv by relatives of missing UAF personnel from Krynky, highlighting continued RUF IO efforts. A RUF "Dnieper" grouping combatant claims UAF is lacking ammunition, food, water, and communication in this sector. UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" shares video of heavy strike drones dropping 122mm and 155mm shells on RUF artillery and shelters on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports explosions and gunfire in Crimea, claiming enemy attack. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Kherson. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "🚀 KAB/KAR launches by tactical aviation on Kherson Oblast," indicating continued RUF air-launched munition activity on the southern front. Сили оборони Півдня України posts photo messages with caption "На Південному напрямку ворог не змінює тактику та інтенсивність обстрілів... Попри це, окупанти продовжують вдаватися до штурмів наших позицій," indicating continued RUF ground assaults and shelling without significant tactical changes on the Southern axis. UAF General Staff (Liveuamap Source, 09:49:21Z JUN 30 25) reports that Ukrainian forces have repelled 5 Russian army assaults on the Kherson direction yesterday.
Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, resulting in two confirmed civilian fatalities (a married couple) and four injured. 14 Shahed UAVs were destroyed by UAF AD in the Southern operational zone. A RUF reconnaissance UAV was detected in the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. Localized street shooting reported in Odesa's Soborna Square, with one casualty. Colonelcassad video shows a physical altercation in Odesa related to "man-catchers" (military enlistment officers) and a woman intervening, indicating social tension. UAF "Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц"" video shows a UAF Mi-8 army aviation helicopter successfully engaging a Shahed drone. STERNENKO reports on a situation involving Odesa Mayor Trukhanov and a military serviceman, with Trukhanov (claimed to be a Russian citizen) questioning the serviceman why he's not "in the trench." New intelligence from STERNENKO reports Azerbaijan has banned all Russian cultural events. RUF Alex Parker Returns is propagating disinformation campaigns regarding Azerbaijan's stance and alleged "Russophobia." "Николаевский Ванёк" provides an updated "general on mopeds" report, indicating continued widespread Shahed threat assessment across the southern operational zone, including Odesa. New messages from UAF Air Force and RBK-Ukraina confirm a group of RUF strike UAVs in the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. "Николаевский Ванёк" explicitly states "Одесса - походу все 12 мопедов с моря к вам" (Odesa - looks like all 12 mopeds from the sea are heading to you), confirming a concentrated and immediate drone threat. UAF Air Force confirms new groups of RUF strike UAVs from the Black Sea towards Chornomorsk. "Николаевский Ванёк" clarifies the threat is also for Chornomorsk, Velykodolynske, and Oleksandrivka. Later, "Николаевский Ванёк" reports "на сейчас по мопедам везде минус" (as of now, all mopeds are down everywhere). Colonelcassad posts video message "Кадры могилизации на Украине. "Свобода" шагает по стране. Хмельницкий, Одесса," showing what appears to be military enlistment officers in Odesa, reinforcing RUF propaganda on forced mobilization. Air Force of AFU and RBK-Ukraina report new enemy strike UAVs in the Black Sea, course - Odesa Oblast. Nikolaevsky Vanyok states there are currently about 10 "mopeds" in the sea, currently circling south of Tendrovska Spit. This indicates a renewed, active drone threat to Odesa from the Black Sea. Latest updates confirm one UAV inbound to Chornomorsk/Velykodolynske from a group of 10 circling south of Tendrovska Spit, with the remaining 9 also heading in that direction. UAF Air Force and RBK-Ukraina confirm groups of strike UAVs from the Black Sea towards Chornomorsk. RUF (Операция Z) reports a "powerful strike and huge fire" at an enemy object near Odesa, with video showing large, intense fires. Ukrainian Navy reports no enemy ships in Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 30 JUN 25. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Odesa. New reports from Colonelcassad claim "Geranium" (Shahed) strikes successfully hit coastal logistics in Odesa Oblast, specifically a large logistics center in Sovinyon, allegedly destroying foreign supplies for military chemical production, causing a fire and pungent smoke. Colonelcassad provides video and photo messages of "Пожарище после удара по Одессе," showing large fires and smoke, confirming significant damage following a RUF strike. ASTRA confirms NASA satellite data indicates fires in the area of grain and fuel terminals in Odesa, strongly corroborating the RUF strike claims. Операция Z posts new video messages captioned "Новые кадры после ночных ударов "Шахедов" в Одессе" (New footage after night Shahed strikes in Odesa), indicating further RUF BDA and propaganda on the strike's aftermath. Операция Z also posts a video showing an air defense engagement, likely in Odesa, further supporting ongoing AD efforts in the area. Офіс Генерального прокурора posts photo messages and text indicating "Prosecutors in Odesa Oblast exposed two agents of the Russian Federation: the woman was notified of suspicion, her accomplice will be tried." This indicates successful UAF counter-intelligence operations against RUF infiltration in Odesa. Оперативний ЗСУ video and photo messages state "SBU detained an agent couple who helped the Rashists shell Odesa," reinforcing the counter-intelligence success and revealing RUF's use of local agents for targeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also posts photo messages confirming "SBU detained an agent couple who helped the Rashists shell Odesa," further corroborating the counter-intelligence operation. Colonelcassad videos and photo messages and text specifically claim "Geranium-2" (Shahed) drone strikes hit an oil refinery in Burlachya Balka, Odesa Oblast, showing significant fire and smoke. This confirms a new target for RUF deep strikes in Odesa and validates the continued use of Shaheds against critical infrastructure.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Mykolaiv was struck by ballistic missiles (6 Iskanders: 3 cluster, 3 HE-frag) and Shahed UAVs overnight, with confirmed impacts on infrastructure and a Shahed hitting an infrastructure object. UAF AD reported multiple successful UAV interceptions ("minus 4," "another minus 4"). Ukraine's Southern Defense Forces confirmed a massed missile strike on Mykolaiv and Zaporizhzhia. RUF 'Дневник Десантника🇷🇺' claims Russian forces destroyed Kulbakino airfield in Mykolaiv. TASS reports RUF Air Defense destroyed two Ukrainian UAVs over the Sea of Azov. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Mykolaiv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "🚀 Mykolaiv Oblast - threat of aviation munitions application!" indicating continued RUF air-launched munition threats to the region.
Kyiv Oblast: The massed RUF overnight attack included cruise missiles passing Slavutych towards Kyiv, and a UAV over Kyiv/Obolon. UAF AD was operating effectively, with alerts now concluded. Two UAF Air Force pilots, Lieutenant Colonel Maksym Ustymenko and Oleksiy "Moonfish" Mes, were killed overnight while repelling the massed attack, with RUF claiming Ustymenko's F-16 was shot down. Civilians sheltered in Kyiv metro. UAF General Staff confirmed a massed missile-drone attack with over 500 air targets launched and 475 targets neutralized, with an additional 226 suppressed by EW. KMVA also confirmed the widespread RUF attacks. RUF 'Дневник Десантника🇷🇺' claims a NATO F-16 fighter jet was shot down tonight, likely referring to the reported loss of Lieutenant Colonel Maksym Ustymenko. RUF 'Басурин о главном' posts an image claiming "UAF Air Force lost another F-16." This is likely part of the ongoing RUF information campaign regarding the reported UAF pilot losses. 'Оперативний ЗСУ' confirms President Zelenskyy posthumously awarded the title Hero of Ukraine with the Order of the Golden Star to F-16 pilot Maksym Ustymenko, killed last night. STERNENKO, ASTRA, Air Force of Armed Forces of Ukraine, and KMVA all confirm Zelenskyy's posthumous award to Ustymenko. UAF 'Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц"' confirms Colonel Maksym Ustymenko posthumously received Hero of Ukraine. RUF 'Alex Parker Returns' propagates a narrative questioning why the F-16 pilot was made a hero instead of the Patriot AD crew, implying that the F-16 was shot down by friendly fire. RUF 'Fighterbomber' propagates a narrative suggesting "every pilot of Ukraine" will be a hero, implying high UAF pilot losses. President Zelenskyy explicitly confirmed the loss of pilot Maksym Ustymenko, stating he was killed defending Ukrainian skies from a massive Russian attack involving over 500 strike drones and missiles, most of which were shot down. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Kyiv. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) photo messages confirm KMVA and Memorial Platform are honoring fallen defenders from Kyiv, reinforcing the human cost of the conflict.
Cherkasy Oblast: RUF attacked Smila with missiles and drones, resulting in 11 casualties, including 2 children, and damage to three nine-story buildings and a college. UAF AD shot down most incoming threats. UAF 'ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS' and 'Оперативний ЗСУ' provide photo messages of a crater from a Russian missile strike in a residential area of Smila, Cherkasy Oblast, reinforcing civilian impact. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Cherkasy.
Ternopil Oblast: UAF Air Force reports a Shahed UAV inbound to Ternopil city and a group of cruise missiles in Ternopil Oblast heading west. "Николаевский Ванёк" reported two more Shahed UAVs on Ternopil and several cruise missiles entered Ternopil Oblast. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Ternopil.
Poltava Oblast: RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video capturing a night scene with an industrial complex (likely a refinery) illuminated by multiple explosions or flares, claiming "More footage of night strikes on the Kremenchug oil refinery in Poltava region." This confirms a successful RUF strike on critical infrastructure. UAF Air Force reports threat of UAVs from the northeast. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Poltava. New information from UAF Air Force indicates a UAV inbound to Pavlohrad from the south, affecting Dnipropetropavsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of enemy strike UAVs in Poltava Oblast.
Lviv Oblast: UAF Air Force reports a UAV inbound towards Lviv city, with air defense working. "Николаевский Ванёк" reported two Shaheds on course for Lviv and three Shaheds on course for Mykolaiv (Lviv Oblast). RUF "НгП раZVедка" directly expressed intent to strike Lviv. UAF Air Force reports a cruise missile on Lviv Oblast, with missiles passing Burshtyn towards Stryi/Drohobych, and some turning towards Lviv. "Николаевский Ванёк" reported "minus" on missiles on Lviv and Drohobych. РБК-Україна reports RUF attacked critical infrastructure in Lviv Oblast with drones and cruise missiles, specifically Drohobych district. UAF 'РБК-Україна' urges residents of Drohobych to stay indoors following the night attack, and 'ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS' reports on this as well. RUF 'Операция Z' claims a significant enemy object is burning in Lviv Oblast, and residents are asked to stay indoors. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video showing multiple missile/drone impacts and explosions at a refinery in Drohobych, Lviv Oblast, confirming a successful RUF strike. UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Lviv. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports initiating the collection of over 174 million UAH from developers in Lviv Oblast to local budgets. This indicates financial measures, likely to aid recovery or local development, but not direct military impact.
Belarus: KGB Belarus claims successful "Harpoon" operation, preventing FPV drone attack on strategic objects planned from within Belarus, and apprehending organizer. RUF "Операция Z" reiterates this claim. TASS reports "КГБ Белоруссии разоблачил группу, которая планировала атаковать стратегические объекты республики, сообщил телеканал ОНТ." (KGB of Belarus exposed a group that planned to attack strategic objects of the republic, OHT TV channel reported.) UAF General Staff includes operational information but lacks specific text to extract details relevant to Belarus. TASS reports FSB stating that individuals detained in Crimea transmitted data on the location of a military object in Yalta and a "Pantsir-S" complex to the SBU. This implies a successful FSB counter-intelligence operation and reveals ongoing UAF intelligence collection efforts in Crimea, likely using human agents. TASS video shows "Footage of the detention of an SBU agent," further reinforcing the FSB's claims of successful counter-intelligence operations in Crimea against Ukrainian agents. ТАСС reports Armenia and the EU have officially begun discussing cooperation in the defense sphere, as stated by Armenia's Foreign Minister. This indicates a potential shift in Armenia's foreign policy and security alignment away from Russia, which is strategically significant.
1.1.1. New Key Terrain Adjustments:
1.1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors affecting Operations
1.1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
1.2. Key Terrain Adjustments (Summary of Confirmed and Claimed Changes)
1.3. New RUF Force Elements / Equipment:
1.4. Notable UAF Achievements (Non-Combat):
1.5. New UAF Tactical Advances:
1.6. New Intelligence (2025-06-30 07:58:58 - 12:23:24):
US Internal Security Incident: Photo messages from РБК-Україна indicate a shooting incident in the US during a wildfire response.
Iranian Nuclear Program Assessment: TASS reports a Washington Post article claiming Iranian officials assessed US strikes on their nuclear facilities as less powerful than expected. This indicates continued intelligence focus on Iran's nuclear program and US capabilities, with potential long-term implications for regional stability, but no immediate direct impact on the Ukraine conflict. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also reports on this, stating "Intercepted conversation of Iranian officials indicates significantly less damage from US attack." This suggests UAF/Western intelligence has insight into Iranian assessments. TASS reports Washington proposed resuming nuclear talks with Tehran, with no date set, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts with Iran. TASS reports US informed Iran via mediators that it does not intend to change political regime in Iran, aimed at de-escalation. TASS reports Iran intends to continue negotiations with the "Eurotroika" (EU3), but the date is not set. This confirms ongoing diplomatic efforts regarding Iran's nuclear program.
RUF Historical Narrative (Medinsky): TASS reports Medinsky stating the historical fate of Russia and Ukraine is united, and they are one people. This is a direct, high-level RUF information operation aimed at denying Ukrainian sovereignty and cultural distinctiveness, serving as a foundational element of their war justification.
RUF FSB Propaganda: Video message from "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" purports to show an FSB operative training on a public beach. This is likely RUF counter-intelligence or propaganda aiming to project strength and confidence, potentially to mock UAF intelligence (SBU head "Maliuk" is mentioned). Its actual intelligence value is low without further context. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts a mocking video claiming "Other great special forces of the second army could not resist, seeing the video from the FSB, and also began to lay out episodes of the secret training of assault aircraft," showing soldiers in training, suggesting internal RUF propaganda competition or mockery.
Russian Internal Funding for Infrastructure: TASS reports the Russian government approved an airport construction/reconstruction fee from airlines. This indicates internal resource mobilization for infrastructure projects, possibly to support long-term military logistics or civilian air travel, indirectly supporting the war effort by improving domestic resilience. Новости Москвы reports that Russia plans to increase the cost of driver's license documents from September, indicating another internal revenue generation measure. Новости Москвы (10:15:01Z JUN 30 25) advertises apartment sales in Moscow with low payments, suggesting a domestic focus on housing and economic stability.
US-India Trade Agreement: TASS reports Politico sources indicate US and India may sign a comprehensive trade agreement this fall. This reflects broader international economic alignments, but no immediate direct impact on the conflict.
Ukrainian Internal Corruption Narrative: "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) features a purported Ukrainian National Guard battalion commander discussing corruption issues in Ukraine, specifically regarding fortifications. This is likely a RUF information operation aiming to sow distrust within Ukrainian society and military by highlighting perceived internal weaknesses.
RUF VDV Esprit de Corps: "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" new photo messages with caption "🪂 Десантное братство, семья.🫡" are standard military internal communication reinforcing unit cohesion and pride.
RUF Morning Summary: "Два майора" provides a new morning summary ("#Сводка на утро 30 июня 2025 года"), indicating continued RUF military blogger activity and information dissemination.
Ukrainian Navy Black/Azov Sea Status: UAF General Staff and RBK-Ukraina confirm that as of 06:00 30 JUN 25, there are no enemy ships in the Black and Azov Seas.
UAF General Staff Enemy Losses Update: UAF General Staff provides updated approximate total combat losses of RUF from 24 FEB 22 to 30 JUN 25. New update specifies 1070 RUF personnel and 3 aircraft eliminated in the last 24 hours. UAF Air Force confirms 74 enemy UAVs were neutralized. Оперативний ЗСУ and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reiterate this figure.
Russian Internal Security (Biometrics): New "Новости Москвы" report indicates the second phase of an experiment for foreigners entering Russia with biometric data submission has begun. This is a measure to enhance internal security and control over foreign nationals.
Ukrainian Government Speculation: RBK-Ukraina reports on political speculation about the potential dismissal of Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal and several ministers. РБК-Україна repeats this photo message and query, implying continued internal political discussions and instability. РБК-Україна posts photo messages about currency exchange rates, indicating focus on economic stability.
Russian Internal Affairs (Perm): TASS reports the Perm region prosecutor's office is monitoring mass poisoning in an entertainment venue. This is a domestic law enforcement issue, not militarily relevant.
RUF Domestic Crime/Morale (Smolensk Oblast): ASTRA reports a Russian serviceman, who fled the war, killed an acquaintance in Smolensk Oblast. This is a domestic crime incident, but its connection to a deserting soldier implies potential morale or disciplinary issues within RUF ranks, although it is an isolated event. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (09:47:25Z JUN 30 25) also posts about this incident, confirming the report.
RUF IO (Kharkiv Civilian Evacuation): TASS reports a Russian woman evacuated her brother from Kharkiv, alleging he surrendered to Russian forces, implying a narrative of Ukrainian civilians seeking Russian protection. This is a clear RUF information operation.
RUF General Military/Geopolitical Overview: RUF Rybar provides an overview of the Middle East crisis for June 28-29. While not directly about Ukraine, it signifies their continued broader geopolitical focus and analysis. Рыбарь also specifically mentions "Напряжение в Азиатско-Тихоокеанском регионе 27-29 июня," indicating a broader geopolitical focus beyond Ukraine. Рыбарь provides photo message of "African Fishing Features", suggesting continued global operations or assessments beyond Ukraine, likely related to foreign mercenary groups.
Ukrainian Court Conviction: TASS reports a Ukrainian court заочно (in absentia) sentenced blogger Akim Apachev to 12 years with property confiscation. This indicates Ukraine's legal actions against perceived collaborators or pro-RUF propagandists. ASTRA also posts photo messages confirming this conviction, further reinforcing its veracity. TASS reports that Russian blogger Dmitry Puchkov (Goblin) was sentenced in absentia to 10 years in prison by a Ukrainian court, indicating continued Ukrainian legal actions against perceived collaborators and propagandists. ASTRA (09:12:23Z JUN 30 25) also reports on the conviction of Dmitry "Goblin" Puchkov, confirming it with additional details.
Russian Internal Politics/Rebranding: Воин DV mentions "Борис Корчевников решил переименовать площадь Ленина в Донецке," which is an internal RUF-controlled area initiative, indicating efforts at de-communization or nationalistic rebranding in occupied territories. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 posts photo messages with a mocking caption regarding the "rise of Donetsk under the urinal," implying internal conflict or issues within occupied Donetsk related to "rebranding."
Russian Internal Economy (Moscow Couriers): Новости Москвы reports a 46% increase in courier salaries in Moscow over the year, reaching 135,000₽. This indicates growth in the domestic service sector, though it has no direct military impact.
Russian Internal Security (Volgograd): TASS reports an extremist community, including four teenagers, was suppressed in Volgograd, with explosives seized, indicating ongoing internal security concerns for Russia. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 also posts about this detention, reinforcing the report. TASS (09:15:08Z JUN 30 25) reports that "Volgograd teenage extremists burned a copy of the Victory Banner and desecrated a memorial wall of a shipbuilding plant with Nazi symbols," citing the FSB. This provides additional context on internal extremist activity and RUF's narrative framing.
Russian Internal Security (Amur Oblast): Операция Z video shows the apprehension of a man attempting to set fire to a military enlistment office in Amur Oblast, confirming internal opposition to mobilization efforts.
Russian Political Elite Lifestyle: Север.Реалии reports on the wedding of Kadyrov-junior, who drives a Mercedes prohibited for import into Russia. This highlights potential corruption or exceptions for elites, which could impact domestic morale. Север.Реалии reports Russia's Supreme Court ruled against registering war participants for elections if they cannot submit documents personally, which may highlight bureaucratic hurdles or preferential treatment impacting public perception. Север.Реалии reports that in Belgorod Oblast, property of residents who left due to shelling will not be restored until the end of the war, indicating punitive measures for internal displacement and potential impact on public sentiment and internal migration. ТАСС (09:29:01Z JUN 30 25) reports "Имущество уехавших за границу белгородцев будут восстанавливать после спецоперации, сообщил губернатор региона Вячеслав Гладков." This corroborates the earlier report from Север.Реалии and confirms the policy of delaying property restoration for displaced residents in Belgorod.
RUF Internal Affairs (DNR): Mash на Донбассе video reports on the arrest of two poachers caught illegally catching and selling endangered sturgeon in DNR. This is domestic law enforcement activity in occupied territory, not militarily relevant.
RUF Economic Analysis: Kotsnews posts an article on "Growth of defense spending and Russian LNG exports." This is an internal Russian economic analysis, indicating continued focus on military expenditure and energy exports as key economic drivers. ТАСС photo messages and text quote German Gref (Sberbank CEO) stating 2026 will be a difficult year for Russian banks and business. This indicates a candid assessment of economic challenges within Russia, potentially influencing long-term stability. Оперативний ЗСУ (09:09:02Z JUN 30 25) reports "На росії знижується виробництво труб, які в основному використовуються при будівництві магістральних нафто і газопроводів" (In Russia, the production of pipes, mainly used in the construction of main oil and gas pipelines, is decreasing). This suggests a potential bottleneck or impact on Russia's energy infrastructure projects, with indirect long-term economic implications. ТАСС (10:01:25Z JUN 30 25) reports that the Russian Central Bank may consider a more significant interest rate hike in July if inflation slows. This indicates internal economic management. ТАСС (10:27:07Z JUN 30 25) reports the Russian Central Bank expects the digital ruble to become customary in 5-7 years, indicating a long-term economic strategy.
RUF Counter-Intelligence against UAF: Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports that Russia is creating fake websites and Telegram channels to gather information from relatives of Ukrainian prisoners of war and missing persons, attempting to extort money or data for blackmail. This highlights a persistent and malicious RUF counter-intelligence and hybrid warfare tactic.
Russian Police Activity: Полиция Хабаровского края posts photo messages with police officers and prayer emojis. This is likely a public relations or morale-boosting post for domestic law enforcement, not directly militarily relevant.
Finnish Pro-RUF Narratives: Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTТЕT (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) posts a video titled "Return from Midsummer vacation to the MV-Lehti editorial office in Lugansk," depicting scenic views and Russian symbolism. This indicates continued pro-RUF propaganda efforts by foreign (Finnish) actors from occupied territories, likely for a foreign audience. Janus Putkonen posts a message reflecting on the world's "descent into war madness," suggesting continued pro-RUF philosophical propaganda, likely for a Western audience. Janus Putkonen posts "Kiitos, Victor Orban. 🙏" (Thank you, Victor Orban), explicitly indicating support for Hungarian leadership, likely due to his perceived pro-Russian stance, and reinforcing pro-RUF IO efforts to highlight internal EU divisions. Janus Putkonen (09:53:24Z JUN 30 25) posts photo messages with a caption in Finnish "Vapauden kattila" myydään Lontoon huutokaupassa. This is a clear RUF-aligned disinformation piece attempting to rewrite the history of the Maidan Revolution and discredit Ukrainian sovereignty by portraying it as a Western-orchestrated event.
Estonian Minister Discrediting (RUF IO): Colonelcassad posts a video mocking the Estonian Minister of Education and Science for failing a simple math question. This is a direct RUF IO tactic aimed at discrediting and ridiculing Western officials and their governments.
Canadian Tax Policy: TASS reports Canada canceling digital services tax to advance trade talks with the US. This is an international economic development, not directly relevant to military operations in Ukraine.
Russian Internal Dissidence: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники posts photo and video messages of a serviceman conducting a protest in Khakassia against municipal reform, implying internal dissent within Russia that could potentially affect military morale or internal stability.
Russian Court Ruling: ТАСС videos and text report a court sentencing a man to 19 years for murder in Ryazan. This is a domestic law enforcement matter, not militarily relevant.
Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Talks: ТАСС reports Armenia is ready to start discussions with Azerbaijan on the location and date for signing a peace agreement. This indicates active diplomatic efforts to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, which has geopolitical implications for Russia's influence in the South Caucasus. ТАСС (09:43:01Z JUN 30 25) reports "В МВД Азербайджана заявили о проведении операции в офисе информационного агентства "Sputnik Азербайджан"," indicating a direct action by Azerbaijan against a RUF media outlet, suggesting heightened tensions. STERNENKO (09:47:25Z JUN 30 25) video discusses "загострюється конфлікт між росією та Азербайджаном" (the conflict between Russia and Azerbaijan is escalating) following the detention and alleged killing of Azerbaijanis in Yekaterinburg. This highlights a significant and escalating diplomatic/ethnic tension. ТАСС (09:48:15Z JUN 30 25) reports "Москалькова попросила Генпрокуратуру проверить задержания членов азербайджанской диаспоры в Екатеринбурге после обращения к ней омбудсмена Азербайджана," indicating Russian attempts at damage control in response to the escalating tensions. Старше Эдды (09:59:33Z JUN 30 25) and ASTRA (09:59:50Z JUN 30 25) report on searches in the office of "Sputnik-Azerbaijan" in Baku, with Старше Эдды explicitly framing it as a "path of confrontation" for Azerbaijan. Военкор Котенок (10:02:35Z JUN 30 25) captions multiple photo messages "ДЕМАРШ АЗЕРБАЙДЖАНА!" directly contributing to this narrative. WarGonzo (10:07:04Z JUN 30 25) also reports on the "Sputnik-Azerbaijan" searches. Оперативний ЗСУ (10:12:36Z JUN 30 25) reports on "police operation" in the "pro-Russian agency 'Sputnik-Azerbaijan'," aligning with UAF narrative. Старше Эдды (10:13:12Z JUN 30 25) further comments on the "wave of Russophobia" in Azerbaijani media, reinforcing the RUF perspective of escalating tensions. Alex Parker Returns (10:42:46Z JUN 30 25) reinforces the diplomatic tension with Peskov's statement. ТАСС (10:46:37Z JUN 30 25) and (10:47:17Z JUN 30 25) report on Zakharova's statements, confirming the diplomatic friction. ТАСС (10:49:01Z JUN 30 25) reports on Russian concerns about contact with journalists in Baku, showing continued diplomatic efforts. WarGonzo (10:50:29Z JUN 30 25) further comments on the "raid on Sputnik office in Baku," framing it as aggressive action by Azerbaijan. Alex Parker Returns (11:43:39Z JUN 30 25): Claims two FSB officers working at Sputnik Azerbaijan were detained in Baku by the Azerbaijani Investigative Committee, accused of espionage. This further escalates the diplomatic crisis. Confidence: HIGH
New: UN Secretary General's Statement: TASS (09:00:47Z JUN 30 25) reports that UN Secretary General António Guterres called the increase in military spending by states, while reducing spending on international cooperation and humanitarian aid, "strange." This is a diplomatic observation on global trends, reflecting on the broader context of international relations and resource allocation, with indirect relevance to the Ukraine conflict by highlighting the global shift towards military investment.
New: India Boeing Crash: TASS (09:09:04Z JUN 30 25) reports that the cause of a Boeing aircraft crash in western India could have been an act of sabotage, citing the Indian Minister of Civil Aviation. This is a global aviation incident, not directly militarily relevant to Ukraine.
New: WarGonzo on Prokhanov: WarGonzo (09:15:06Z JUN 30 25) posts a message titled "Как Проханов оборонял Дом писателей в 1991 году" (How Prokhranov defended the Writers' House in 1991). This is likely a historical/political commentary from a pro-RUF military blogger, possibly aimed at drawing parallels or reinforcing certain narratives about historical events and Russian identity. It is an internal Russian information piece, not directly military intelligence.
New: RUF Video on UAV Countermeasures: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (09:19:01Z JUN 30 25) has a video with the caption "Веревка, шайба, гайка и магнит- минус один вражеский дрон" (Rope, washer, nut and magnet - minus one enemy drone). While the video content is not analyzable, the caption suggests RUF is employing improvised or low-tech methods for counter-UAV measures, indicating resourcefulness or potentially a shortage of more sophisticated systems.
New: Russian Starlink Ban (Iran): Colonelcassad (09:22:24Z JUN 30 25) reports Iran's Parliament has banned Starlink, with severe penalties. This could indicate a broader trend among non-Western aligned states to control internet access and prevent foreign influence, a development of interest for RUF's own efforts to establish a domestic messenger service.
New: Alexander Mitta Health Report: TASS (09:22:55Z JUN 30 25) reports the son of Alexander Mitta denied information about his father losing consciousness. This is a domestic celebrity health update, not militarily relevant.
New: Rybar on "Moles": Рыбарь (09:34:06Z JUN 30 25) posts photo messages captioned "А был ли крот?" (Was there a mole?). The content discusses intelligence operations, likely involving infiltration or counter-intelligence narratives. This is part of the ongoing information environment, possibly a RUF IO effort to sow suspicion or promote their intelligence successes.
New: Moscow Incident: Alex Parker Returns (09:48:15Z JUN 30 25) video shows a "significant fire with dense black smoke billowing from a location within an urban environment" in Moscow, captioned "В Москве неразбериха. Предварительно хлопок." (In Moscow, confusion. Preliminary pop). This suggests a significant incident in the Russian capital, likely a fire or explosion, though the cause is unconfirmed. Colonelcassad (09:58:53Z JUN 30 25) and РБК-Україна (10:00:45Z JUN 30 25) also report on this, with ТАСС (10:09:31Z JUN 30 25) attributing it to a diesel boiler.
New: Russian Restrictions on EU Media: ТАСС (10:12:11Z JUN 30 25) reports Russia is restricting access to 15 EU media web resources in response to EU sanctions. ТАСС (10:13:31Z JUN 30 25) further states Russia will review this if EU lifts restrictions on Russian media.
New: Russian Internal Dissent/Youth: Север.Реалии (10:10:20Z JUN 30 25) reports a criminal case in Tolyatti against teenagers who sang the Ukrainian anthem and "Batko nash Bandera" after a school graduation. This indicates continued internal dissent and ideological resistance to the war within Russia, particularly among youth.
New: Peskov on Azerbaijan: ТАСС (10:05:01Z JUN 30 25) video shows Peskov commenting on the situation with Azerbaijan, indicating high-level Kremlin engagement with the escalating diplomatic tensions.
New: EU Rearmament Narrative: Военкор Котенок (10:08:51Z JUN 30 25) reports "Перевооружение ЕС может стать для него исторической ошибкой - СМИ" (EU rearmament could be a historical mistake for it - media). This is likely a RUF IO narrative attempting to discourage or delegitimize European military strengthening.
New: British Protests against Ukraine Aid (RUF IO): Операция Z (10:50:58Z JUN 30 25) posts photo messages from "Военкоры Русской Весны" about protests in Britain against aid to Ukraine, with unions demanding focus on economy, not war. This is a clear RUF IO effort to highlight perceived Western disunity and economic strain from supporting Ukraine.
New: WarGonzo on Lindsey Graham (RUF IO): WarGonzo (11:03:06Z JUN 30 25): "Антироссийские санкции от Линдси Грэма: блеф или реальная угроза?" (Anti-Russian sanctions from Lindsey Graham: bluff or real threat?). This is a RUF information operation leveraging Western political statements to generate discussion and potentially sow discord. Confidence: HIGH (as IO)
New: Новости Москвы on "Interns" Son (Domestic Crime): Новости Москвы (11:12:25Z JUN 30 25): "👨⚖️ Сына Купитмана из Интернов приговорили к двум годам за дропперство" (Kupitman's son from Interns sentenced to two years for dropping). This refers to a domestic crime event in Russia, unrelated to the conflict. Confidence: HIGH (on event, LOW on military relevance)
New: SVR RF on EU Sanctions (TASS, 11:39:51Z JUN 30 25): Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) claims EU experts warn about the harm of new anti-Russian sanctions, but European officials ignore them, "sawing off the branch they are sitting on." This is a RUF IO attempting to discredit EU decision-making and sow discord within the EU by highlighting internal disagreements. Confidence: HIGH (as IO).
New: German FM on Putin's Peace Claims (РБК-Україна, 11:41:18Z JUN 30 25 - 11:41:19Z JUN 30 25): German Foreign Minister states that "when Putin speaks of peace today, it is pure mockery and ridicule." This highlights a strong unified Western stance rejecting RUF peace narratives. Confidence: HIGH.
New: Sibiga on Frozen Russian Assets (РБК-Україна, 11:47:50Z JUN 30 25 - 11:47:51Z JUN 30 25): Ukrainian official Sibiga notes an "evolution" in European countries' position regarding frozen Russian assets, implying progress towards their use for Ukraine's benefit. Confidence: HIGH.
New: Russian Milblogger on Serbian Protests (Рыбарь, 11:47:26Z JUN 30 25): Rybar offers a nuanced view of protests in Serbia, noting the involvement of "young Serbian patriots" who are traditionally pro-Russian but also nationalistic, distinct from a "color revolution" narrative. This indicates a more sophisticated RUF IO understanding of regional dynamics. Confidence: HIGH (as IO).
New: Geranium-2 Strikes (Операция Z, 11:49:58Z JUN 30 25): Video message captioned "‼️🇷🇺💥 «Герани-2» нанесли точечные удары по позициям ВСУ под Конотопом" (Geranium-2 conducted pinpoint strikes on AFU positions near Konotop). This is a new visual confirmation of RUF deep strike capabilities and BDA. Confidence: HIGH.
New: RUF Tactical Aviation (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 12:00:08Z JUN 30 25): Reports "Активність ворожої тактичної авіації на східному напрямку!" (Enemy tactical aviation activity in the eastern direction!). This indicates continued RUF air support and reconnaissance in the eastern operational zone. Confidence: HIGH
New: Russian Prosecution of Journalist (ТАСС, 12:03:04Z JUN 30 25): Photo messages report Moscow Prosecutor's Office is seeking criminal charges against journalist Yuri Dud (labeled a foreign agent) for violating foreign agent rules. This is a domestic legal matter in Russia, indicative of tightened information control. Confidence: HIGH
New: ASTRA on Journalist Prosecution (ASTRA, 12:05:56Z JUN 30 25): Photo messages confirm Moscow Prosecutor's Office is seeking criminal charges against Yuri Dud, corroborating the TASS report. Confidence: HIGH
New: Moscow Incident "Tactical Analysis" Refusal (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, 12:04:42Z JUN 30 25): A message from Oleg Synyehubov, head of Kharkiv OVA, refuses to provide a military intelligence analysis of an image depicting a fire, stating it's a civilian incident. While the content is a refusal, it highlights a distinction between civilian and military reporting, and the prior content from this sender did show impacts of RUF strikes on civilian areas. Confidence: HIGH (on the refusal, which indirectly validates the nature of the image as non-military-operational).
New: Dva Maiora "Tactical Analysis" Refusal (Два майора, 12:04:24Z JUN 30 25): A message from "Два майора" also refuses to provide a tactical analysis of an image, stating it cannot perform such analysis. This is a milblogger post refusing to perform analysis. Confidence: HIGH (on the refusal).
New: STERNENKO "Tactical Analysis" Refusal (STERNENKO, 12:20:11Z JUN 30 25): Multiple messages from STERNENKO refuse to conduct tactical analysis of images, stating it is outside ethical guidelines. This is a UAF-aligned milblogger post refusing to perform analysis. Confidence: HIGH (on the refusal).
New: Rybar "Tactical Analysis" Refusal (Рыбарь, 12:21:05Z JUN 30 25): A message from "Рыбарь" refuses to provide tactical analysis of an image, stating it cannot analyze harmful content. This is a RUF-aligned milblogger post refusing to perform analysis. Confidence: HIGH (on the refusal).
New: ASTRA "Tactical Analysis" Refusal (ASTRA, 12:21:12Z JUN 30 25): A message from ASTRA refuses to conduct tactical analysis of an image, stating it contains no military subjects. Confidence: HIGH (on the refusal).
New: Kotsnews (12:31:40Z JUN 30 25): Claims "Украинцы казнили минимум 26 российских пленных." This is a significant RUF information operation aiming to accuse UAF of war crimes. Confidence: HIGH (as IO).
New: TASS (12:53:25Z JUN 30 25): Reports "Союзмульфитфильм" registers trademark "Chebub." This is a domestic cultural/economic event, no military relevance. Confidence: HIGH (on event, LOW on military relevance).
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
Capabilities:
Intentions:
Courses of Action (Implied):
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