Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain

• Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues high-intensity offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. RUF claims include the capture of Novoserhiivka, Shevchenko, Molodetske, and breakthroughs on the outskirts of Pokrovsk towards Belhiyka, with the T0406 highway reportedly under RUF fire control. RUF also claims entry into Udachne and "liberation" of Chervona Zirka (Krasna Zirka), with RUF MoD officially confirming "liberation" of Chervona Zirka, reinforced by new RUF video. UAF General Staff confirms Pokrovsk remains the hottest direction, repelling 41 assaults in the last 24 hours. UAF drone footage shows high RUF casualties near Pokrovsk, including an "unsuccessful attack by motorcyclists." Interrogation of a captured Chinese mercenary from RUF's 102nd Regiment, 150th Division, near Toretsk, is confirmed. RUF sources continue to indicate persistent focus on Chasiv Yar, claiming "completion is near". RUF "WarGonzo" posts "special report" on 4th Brigade operations towards Konstantinovka and Dyleevka, showing ground movement, tactical discussions, and drone footage. RUF FPV drone strike on a UAF 2S1 self-propelled artillery gun confirmed by Colonelcassad. TASS reports military expert Marochko states the liberation of Chervona Zirka allows RUF to create a bridgehead for advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (RUF-aligned analytical judgment). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claims and offensive tempo; MEDIUM - on verified RUF control of all claimed areas; HIGH - on UAF defensive posture and attrition).

  • RUF "Два майора" posts a video of a remote-controlled, tracked UGV equipped with a dual machine gun mount operating on the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction, showing it moving through damaged urban terrain and operating its weapons system. It appears to have mine-carrying capacity. This indicates RUF is deploying novel robotic platforms in this key sector. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video content and RUF deployment of UGV; MEDIUM - on immediate operational impact).
  • UAF "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" reports elimination of two RUF personnel and shows aerial footage of a RUF soldier killed by a strike in Donbas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України" releases video of captured Russian soldiers (Ivan Khamgushiev and Rustem Samiev) admitting to engaging UAF positions and being treated well. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "РБК-Україна" (likely UAF source quoting RUF) reports RF employing "meat assaults" near Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka, quoting ЦПД. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Два майора" refers to a "casualty card" in a weekly column, indicating RUF is tracking casualties internally. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Народная милиция ДНР" posts video claiming to show "heavy drone 'Baba Yaga' VSU" (likely a UAF heavy drone) conducting reconnaissance/attack, with Russian unit insignia overlaid, suggesting capture/repurpose or IO. It claims RUF aviation "swept away" UAF positions near Popiv Yar. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim and video existence, LOW - on authenticity of RUF claim of UAF drone/action). "Народная милиция ДНР" posts video claiming "Destruction of a Ukrainian Armed Forces militant by a 132nd Brigade UAV crew" showing an FPV drone strike on a vehicle, with Russian emblem and "Ukrainian combatant" overlay. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video, MEDIUM - on accurate attribution/target).
  • RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts photo/video from Velyka Novosilka - Chervona Zirka area, showing drone footage of damaged buildings with Russian flags, suggesting recent RUF presence/control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on content, MEDIUM - on veracity of control). "Сливочный каприз" posts a bar/line chart and a table titled "Tempo of offensive operations of the Russian Armed Forces in the SVO zone" and "Advancement of the Russian Armed Forces, km² per day," claiming sustained RUF advances from July 2023 to July 2024. This is RUF self-reported data for IO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF IO, LOW - on objective veracity of km² data).
  • Air Force of AFU reports RUF tactical aviation launching KABs on Donetsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Fighterbomber" (RUF) posts thermal/night vision aerial footage of an explosion in a wooded area, claiming "Today the best one neatly worked with four UMPK FAB-500-PD on a Ukrainian Armed Forces strongpoint." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video existence and RUF claim, MEDIUM - on specific location/impact).
  • UAF "ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦" reports destruction of a Russian 'Msta' self-propelled howitzer and two occupiers by 3rd Separate Tank Iron Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України" reports successful drone strikes on enemy UAV operators and positions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Воин DV" shows video of successful FPV drone strikes against multiple RUF vehicles, including armored personnel carriers and trucks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video content, but contradicts RUF narrative, likely UAF success misattributed by sender). "Воин DV" posts video of successful UAF FPV drone strikes against multiple RUF vehicles (van, trucks) and positions. The caption explicitly attributes these to RUF Special Forces, but the content clearly shows RUF targets being hit, suggesting either a misattribution or an attempt to claim UAF successes. New RUF "MoD Russia" video shows drone footage from Vostok and Yug Groups of Forces targeting fortified positions and dugouts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF "Воин DV" posts video claiming "Lair of khokhols was previously blown up by IED, comparable in power to an anti-tank mine." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim and video, LOW - on veracity/target).
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" posts drone footage showing successful strikes on various RUF targets, including a ZSU-23-4 Shilka anti-aircraft vehicle, a tank, a BMP, a mortar, a Ural truck, and a 'bukhanka' vehicle. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" posts video claiming "Lethal accuracy! Russian UAV operators' control point receives three aerial bombs from a MiG-29 on the Southern direction of the front." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video, MEDIUM - on specific target and platform attribution). UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" posts video of a cemetery with many graves adorned with Russian flags, captioned "First, second, third rows - everywhere military. Earlier, old people were buried here, now only young guys." This is a UAF IO effort to highlight RUF casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Kotsnews" reports "Russian army liberated Chervona Zirka." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" posts video claiming "Night aerial battles in the sky on the western borders of the DPR. Heavy enemy drones tried to attack our firing positions, but FPV drone crews, on constant duty, promptly reacted to approaching air targets. All shot down." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim, LOW - on veracity of "all shot down" and "heavy enemy drones").
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts video showing two Russian soldiers surrendering to Ukrainian drones on the Donetsk direction. "Reconnaissance officers of the 122nd separate battalion of the 133rd Territorial Defense Brigade noticed 'losses hiding in the tree line,' but instead of grenades, dropped water and a note with instructions. Both occupiers clearly did not want to test fate and obediently followed the Ukrainian birds." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Z комитет + карта СВО" posts map images with the caption "Grigorovka," implying RUF presence or operations in that area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim, LOW - on veracity of control).
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video titled "11th Guards Army of the Air Force and Air Defense continues to iron the enemy in the offensive zone of the 'Vostok' group of forces. This time, the boys in the area of Voskresenka got hit." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim, MEDIUM - on veracity of "ironing" and enemy losses). "Colonelcassad" posts video titled "In these minutes, Ussuri paratroopers repel a Ukrainian Armed Forces attack in the 'buffer zone.' 'Leopard' is burning." This claims a UAF attack in the 'buffer zone' (likely Sumy/Kharkiv) and destruction of a Leopard tank. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim, LOW - on veracity given lack of other reports of Leopard losses and UAF offensive).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts video: "Motorcycles and 'bukhankas', popular transport among the occupiers, drive poorly but burn well in the Kupyansk area due to devastating strikes of FPV drones of border guards of the 'Phoenix' unit." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Два майора" posts drone footage on the Pokrovsk direction, showing explosions and smoke, indicating ongoing intense combat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Z комитет + карта СВО" posts new tactical map images for the Toretsk and Konstantinovskoye directions, showing updated control zones and fortifications, particularly near Toretsk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF map content, LOW - on objective veracity of RUF gains).
  • RUF "Воин DV" [Video] claims an IED comparable to an anti-tank mine blew up "lair of khokhols." Video shows drone footage of destroyed village/town, with explosions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video existence, LOW on veracity/target).
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" [Video] shows UAF FPV drone strike on a Russian motorcyclist. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Multiple UAF photo messages show results of an unsuccessful attack by RUF motorcyclists near Pokrovsk, reinforcing UAF interdiction success. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "STERNENKO" [Video] shows drone footage of military operations, including reconnaissance and FPV strikes, emphasizing Ukrainian capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "MoD Russia" [Video] shows drone footage of strikes on targets and Russian personnel displaying flag in a village. Confirms Chervona Zirka under Russian control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Два майора" [Video] shows individuals in a room with many drones, followed by aerial reconnaissance footage of a damaged urban environment. Indicates RUF focus on drone warfare capabilities and impact of conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF "Два майора" video shows a "nest of wounded" in a trench, providing a glimpse into forward RUF positions and casualty collection points. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Басурин о главном" [Video] Analysis of military situation, mentions liberation of settlements, progress of Russian forces, strategic importance of high ground, and Turkey's role. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates a focus on justifying RUF advances and highlighting their strategic perspective. RUF "Басурин о главном" video shows aerial footage of explosions and destruction in Donbas, claiming RUF continues to destroy UAF and liberate DNR territory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" [Video] "Пацаны, я вас не увидел нах*й!" - RUF soldier expressing frustration, likely indicating poor unit cohesion or lack of support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video shows Ukrainian defenders capturing a group of Russian "businessmen" from the 132nd Gorlovka Motorized Rifle Brigade on the Toretsk direction, indicating successful prisoner taking. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" [Video] Shows ground-level perspective from a moving vehicle, with a motorcycle visible on the ground. Audio of spoken Russian, suggesting military operation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This could be related to the prior reports of UAF targeting motorcyclist assaults.
  • RUF "Kotsnews" [Video] "Epic footage from Vovchansk" shows military operations, including ground troops, aircraft, artillery/missile launches, and industrial/military complex hit by explosions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms ongoing intense combat in Vovchansk. RUF "Kotsnews" video on Zaporizhzhia direction shows aerial footage of explosions in buildings, implying RUF strikes on UAF positions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Воин DV" claims FPV operator from 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade destroyed enemy resupply/rotation near Oktyabrskoye. Shows drone footage with damaged road/bridge, vehicles. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim/video existence, MEDIUM on veracity). This shows RUF's continued reliance on FPV drones for interdiction.
  • RUF "Два майора" [Video] shows aerial view of explosions in a village, captioned "Zaporozhye front, Belogorye, Pologovsky district." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Confirms RUF shelling in Zaporizhzhia.
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" [Video] "Project 'Lynx' continues perfecting mobile air defense systems..." shows pickup trucks with GShG machine guns. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms RUF's adaptation to counter UAV threats.
  • RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" [Video] shows thermal footage of what RUF claims is UAF personnel capture, with text overlay "Capture of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim/video, LOW on veracity/attribution). This is an IO effort by RUF.
  • UAF "STERNENKO" video shows 55th Separate Artillery Brigade (55 OABr) striking RUF targets on the Pokrovsk axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" video shows BAE Systems integrating a German 155mm gun onto the M109 self-propelled howitzer. This indicates ongoing Western military aid and modernization of UAF artillery. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "MoD Russia" video claims the Dnepr Group's Msta-B gun crew destroyed an AFU observation post in Kherson region, showing the artillery piece firing and subsequent explosions in a populated area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim/video, MEDIUM on veracity/target type).
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video claims SBU special forces destroying a Russian EW system (R-934) and other targets, showing drone strikes with explosions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Воин DV" video claims fire damage to enemy strongpoints with personnel near Chervone on the Huliaipole direction by 38th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, 35th Army. Video shows drone footage with explosions and thermal imagery of heat signatures. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity/target). This confirms RUF offensive activity in the Zaporizhzhia sector.
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims destruction of enemy UAV control point using LMUR (Light Multipurpose Unified Missile). Video shows thermal imagery of a building being hit and exploding. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity/target). This indicates RUF is targeting UAF C2 for drones.
  • RUF "Два майора" video shows activity near Pysarivka and Khoten on the Sumy direction, implying continued RUF presence and activity in border areas. Video shows drone footage of vehicles (possibly HUMVEE) being targeted and destroyed with tactical overlays. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on video, MEDIUM on veracity of RUF attribution/target). This suggests RUF ground activity or drone strikes in the Sumy border region.
  • RUF "Alex Parker Returns" photo claims liberation of Dachne, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, stating it is the "first settlement" there. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity as Dachne is a common settlement name and the previous RUF claim about Chervona Zirka creating a bridgehead towards Dnipropetrovsk was an analytical judgment, not a tactical claim of control). This is a significant and likely false RUF claim of further penetration into Ukraine. RUF "Старше Эдды" posts a highly aggressive, crude photo message claiming Russian forces have entered Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, reinforcing the "Dachne" claim. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF IO, LOW on veracity).
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" photos claim RUF advance near Hryhorivka, Kalynivka, and Chasiv Yar, with tactical map overlays. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and maps, LOW on objective veracity). This supports the ongoing RUF focus on Chasiv Yar. RUF "Colonelcassad" photos show severe destruction in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk direction), claiming the front is 2km away and battles are near Lysovka, Zverevo, and Belhiyka. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on observation of destruction, MEDIUM on proximity claims).
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" video claims destruction of occupiers on the left bank of Kherson with GBU62 from a MiG-29 crew. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity of GBU62/MiG-29 attribution). This indicates continued UAF deep strikes into occupied Kherson.
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" video shows a "frontline buggy" of Pacific Fleet Marines, a modified civilian vehicle with camouflage and anti-drone equipment, implying RUF is adapting civilian vehicles for military use and self-defense against drones. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Alex Parker Returns" video shows TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems operating in Vovchansk. Video shows large explosions at an industrial complex. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms the continued heavy use of TOS-1A by RUF in Vovchansk, which is devastating to urban environments.
  • UAF "✙DeepState✙🇺🇦" video claims a Ukrainian MiG-29 destroyed a Russian battalion command post in Nesterianka, showing an airstrike on a building. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF claim and video, MEDIUM on specific target identification and platform).
  • RUF "Рыбарь" posts photos claiming a "new munition for strikes on rear areas," showing images of a FAB-type bomb with a UMPK. This is RUF IO highlighting extended range glide bombs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF IO, LOW on "newest").
  • RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" video shows aerial footage of strikes on hangars/buildings in the Zaporizhzhia direction, claiming their drones ("Molnii") are destroying UAF "necessary but useless" structures. This suggests RUF is actively targeting UAF logistical/storage points. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity of target type).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" video shows emergency services, including police and medical personnel, responding to an incident at a 21-story building in Odesa. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates continued RUF strikes on civilian infrastructure.
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" video claims the 3rd Assault Brigade destroyed a rare RUF ZSU-23-4 Shilka, tank, BMP, mortar, Ural truck, 'bukhanka', and infantry. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates effective UAF strikes against RUF armored vehicles and personnel.
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video shows a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian soldier near a tanker. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates ongoing UAF drone effectiveness.
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" video shows Ukrainian forces capturing multiple prisoners from the RUF 132nd Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This is valuable for intelligence.
  • RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) [Video] confirms brutal combat near Pokrovsk, with RUF claiming destruction of NATO equipment, infantry, and artillery. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on video, MEDIUM on veracity of claims).
  • RUF "Два майора" [Video] shows aerial footage and military overlays, captioned "Pokrovsky (Krasnoarmeysky) direction". (HIGH CONFIDENCE on video, MEDIUM on veracity of content). This indicates continued RUF focus and combat in this area.
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" [Video] shows drone footage of successful strikes against RUF targets on the Lyman direction, performed by the "VIDARR" battalion of the 60th Separate Mechanized Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms UAF drone effectiveness and ongoing combat in the Lyman area.
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" [Video] claims UAF eliminated a Russian UAV command post on the Pokrovsk direction, destroying munitions and technical equipment. The video shows an aerial view of a building being hit and exploding, with significant secondary explosions, followed by severe destruction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates a successful UAF strike on a critical RUF C2 node.
  • Colonelcassad posts an analytical map illustrating RUF efforts to create a "northern pincer" to envelop the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) urban agglomeration. This suggests a strategic objective to cut off UAF logistics and positions from the north and northwest, potentially rendering the current UAF defensive lines untenable. The map shows current RUF positions north of Krasnoarmeysk and indicates key roads that would come under fire control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF stated intent and analysis, MEDIUM on feasibility of rapid execution given UAF resistance).
  • STERNENKO posts a video showing the destruction of a Russian MT-LB armored personnel carrier. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates ongoing UAF anti-armor efforts.
  • NEW: UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" [Video] shows Ukrainian soldiers on motorcycles, conducting training. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates UAF is also training on motorcycle tactics, potentially for fast movement or reconnaissance.
  • NEW: RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) [Photo message] claims "Otvazhnye" (Brave Ones, likely Russian VDV or assault units) broke through and occupied part of Novoekonomicheskoe near Myrnohrad. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity and confirmed control). This is a new, significant RUF claim of advance on the Donetsk axis.
  • NEW: Colonelcassad [Photo message] shows an evacuated German Leopard 2A6 tank from the Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) direction, equipped with Kontakt-1 explosive reactive armor and improvised cage armor ("nedomangal"). The tank appears damaged. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms a UAF Leopard 2A6 tank has been damaged/disabled and recovered by RUF, likely for propaganda purposes.
  • NEW: RUF "Два майора" [Video] shows three individuals in military attire with rifles, wearing body armor and helmets in a wooded area. A logo "ДВА МАЙОРА" is present. The video concludes with a close-up of a Russian double-headed eagle emblem. This is likely a recruitment or propaganda message for a military unit. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Luhansk Oblast: UAF General Staff reports all enemy attacks repelled in the Lyman direction (including near Lypove, Shyykivka, Novoserhiyivka, Ridkodub, Torske and towards Hluschenkove, Hrekivka, Shandryholove, Novyi Myr). RUF claims continue regarding the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka) and complete "liberation of LNR." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on UAF defensive success; MEDIUM - on RUF claims of control).

  • RUF MoD Russia video shows servicemen of a separate combat engineer battalion (Zapad Group of Forces) continuing demining roads in the Krasny Liman direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Mash на Донбассе" reports 4 people died in a minibus accident on a highway in Luhansk People's Republic (LNR). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on reporting, LOW - on direct military relevance, but indicates civilian presence in active conflict zone). RUF "Mash на Донбассе" video shows a civilian in Luhansk vandalizing benches, which is a civilian incident. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): Death toll from missile attack on Dnipro increased to 22 dead and nearly 300 wounded. Iskander strikes reportedly destroyed workshops of the Dnipropetrovsk Pipe Plant. Days of mourning declared in Samara. New explosion reported in Dnipro. UAF Air Force reports a KAB course on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, originating from Zaporizhzhia. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF source "Alex Parker Returns" claims Dnipropetrovsk was attacked with "jet iron" (likely referring to guided aerial bombs, FAB/KABs) for the first time, traveling over 100km. UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" reports a Russian KAB flew "almost to Dnipro." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity of "first time"). UAF Air Force and "Оперативний ЗСУ" deny reports of a KAB strike on Dnipro, indicating these were false alarms or RUF IO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

  • UAF "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)" (Serhiy Lysak, Dnipropetrovsk OVA Head) confirms "The explosion heard in the Dnipro suburb is the work of our air defense." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports "Near Dnipro, air defense shot down the newest Grom-1 missile-bomb," citing Lysak. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Alex Parker Returns" posts video of a Su-34 and a munition, claiming the "cast iron that attacked Dnipropetrovsk was without a jet engine. This is a new UMPK, which in the future will increase the flight range of cast iron up to 200 km. Currently, good Russian people have managed to bring the range up to 120 km." This is an RUF claim to demonstrate increased range of guided bombs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim and IO, LOW - on veracity of "newest" and implied precision, MEDIUM - on potential for increased range for some UMPK variants). RUF "Alex Parker Returns" also claims "Air Defense Titans announced that they were able to shoot down the new cast iron over Dnipropetrovsk. Everything is fine." This is RUF attempting to take credit for UAF AD success in a sarcastic tone. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" reports "Air Force commented on the 'KAB attack on Dnipro'," likely referring to the denial. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) [Photo message] Claims "Dnepropetrovsk possibly attacked by newest Grom-1 missile-bomb." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity, as UAF denied this). This is a clear RUF IO attempt to boast about a new weapon and create fear, despite UAF AD success.
  • RUF "Alex Parker Returns" photo claims "first settlement" Dachne liberated in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity given lack of UAF confirmation and strategic implications). RUF "Старше Эдды" posts a highly aggressive, crude photo message claiming Russian forces have entered Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF IO, LOW on veracity).
  • UAF Air Force reports a threat of aviation munitions application for Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)" [Photo messages] report new RUF attacks with drones and artillery on Nikopol district, including Nikopol city and surrounding communities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms continued RUF shelling of civilian areas.
  • RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" states "FABs began to reach Dnipropetrovsk." This aligns with previous RUF IO efforts to claim extended range for guided bombs and highlights continued RUF targeting of the oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim/IO, MEDIUM on veracity of consistent targeting, given previous UAF AD successes).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" video shows a civilian official from Cherkasy Oblast speaking about gas mask procurement. The context suggests a local government briefing on preparedness for potential hazards, likely chemical or biological, related to the ongoing conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)" reports enemy Shahed UAVs are in the sky over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates continued RUF drone attacks.
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV from the north inbound to Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: "Николаевский Ванёк" confirms one UAV inbound to Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: UAF "РБК-Україна" reports explosions heard in Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: "Николаевский Ванёк" reports three additional UAVs inbound to Samara/Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV from Cherkasy Oblast inbound to Kirovohrad Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: RUF "Fighterbomber" posts a text message implying the successful arrival of an aviation munition in Dnipro. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim, LOW on veracity given previous UAF AD denials).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports KAB launches from RUF tactical aviation in Eastern Kharkiv Oblast and Sumy Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV from Cherkasy is inbound to the city. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi states the advance of Russian troops in border areas has been completely stopped and the contact line stabilized. RUF sources, however, continue to claim offensive operations and significant advances (up to 14 km from the border, and pushing UAF "elite" back from Yunakivka). UAF General Staff reports repelling 17 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on UAF stabilization; MEDIUM - on conflicting RUF claims of advances).

  • TASS reports RUF AD shot down 8 Ukrainian UAVs over Oryol, Bryansk, and Crimea. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "AV БогомаZ" reports three aircraft-type UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Another message from AV БогомаZ confirms an additional two aircraft-type UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • ASTRA reports 13 UAVs shot down over RF and Crimea this morning by RUF MoD. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • ASTRA reports a power substation is burning after a UAV attack in Volokonivka, Belgorod Oblast. Video shows significant smoke and fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" posts thermal footage claiming "The enemy again throws heavy equipment to its doom on the Glushkovo direction - Northerners repel the attack, destroying occupiers and armored vehicles." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF claim/video, LOW - on veracity of enemy losses).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports "GUR drones attacked military facilities in Bryansk on Ukraine's Constitution Day, - sources." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on UAF claim). UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts video showing smoke from a multi-story building, captioned "⚡️ A military object was hit in Bryansk," supporting the UAF claim of a strike. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" also reports GUR drones attacked military facilities in Bryansk on Constitution Day. STERNENKO video also shows smoke rising from a distant location and from a multi-story residential building in Bryansk, reinforcing UAF claims of strikes on military objects. UAF "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" also reports on "some movement" in Bryansk, mentioning air defense consequences. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • ASTRA reports "120th arsenal of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense in Bryansk was attacked this morning by UAVs, - Ukrainian media." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on reporting, MEDIUM - on confirmation of target).
  • UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation activity in the northeast direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Два майора" [Photo message] from "Kursk Oblast, acting governor" shows a map with route information, distance 9.64 km. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates RUF maintaining presence and potentially planning operations in Kursk border areas.
  • RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" [Photo message] from "Kursk Oblast" shows a tactical map of Kursk Oblast, likely for internal RUF use. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This reinforces the RUF focus on border areas.
  • RUF "Два майора" video shows drone footage of vehicles being targeted and destroyed near Pysarivka and Khoten on the Sumy direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on video, MEDIUM on veracity of RUF attribution/target). This is RUF claiming a successful strike in the Sumy border region.
  • Colonelcassad [Video] claims "Syrsky's darlings" are being defeated in Sumy Oblast. Video shows drone footage with thermal imaging of personnel in a wooded area, an explosion, and smoke. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, LOW on veracity).
  • UAF Air Force reports a threat of attack UAVs for Sumy Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF Air Force reports a UAV is inbound for Sumy city. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF Air Force reports a UAV is tracking from Sumy Oblast into Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF Air Force reports a UAV from the north heading towards Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) [Video] claims "paratroopers stormed positions and destroyed AFU infantry after a series of drone strikes on the Sumy front." The video shows drone footage of wooded areas, explosions, and overlaid Russian flags. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video; LOW on veracity of claimed outcome).
  • UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" [Video] claims a Special Operations Forces (SSO) reconnaissance and sabotage group destroyed a group of Russian occupiers in the rear on the Kursk-Sumy direction and took one soldier prisoner. The video appears to be a simulation or training exercise, rather than live combat footage. (LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity of "live combat" claim due to video nature; HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF SSO intent to conduct such operations).
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" presents an interrogation video of a RUF POW, Burakov Pavlo Serhiyovich from the 3rd Company, 155th Separate Marine Brigade (likely 155th Naval Infantry Brigade), who surrendered in Sumy Oblast. He expresses regret that he could not surrender with his equipment to receive an additional reward. This is valuable HUMINT and highlights UAF's continued efforts to encourage surrenders. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: RUF "Colonelcassad" posts 18+ landscape photos of Sumy border region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on content).
  • NEW: ASTRA reports Lgov (Kursk Oblast) is canceling bus routes due to drivers resigning over shelling. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates a direct civilian impact of UAF cross-border strikes.
  • NEW: UAF General Staff confirms successful strikes on RUF ammunition depots in Bryansk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This is corroborated by UAF "РБК-Україна" and "Оперативний ЗСУ" and "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: RUF "Два майора" shares a video from the Sumy direction, Andreevka area, showing drone footage of explosions and drone telemetry. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on content, MEDIUM on veracity of RUF attribution/target).
  • NEW: RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video claiming destruction of Ukrainian combatants and military equipment in Chernihiv and Sumy Oblasts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, LOW on veracity of claimed destruction).
  • NEW: RUF "Два майора" [Video message] with caption "ГРАНИЦА ЗАКРЫТА НА ЗАМОК Космодесантом и ВКС!" shows aerial footage of missile/rocket fire and explosions. The caption implies successful RUF air and possibly special forces operations along the border, securing it against UAF incursions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video content, LOW on veracity of "border closed" given UAF cross-border activity).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV is inbound to Sumy city. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Kharkiv Oblast: RUF continues aviation airstrikes (Okhrimivka, Dovhenke) and ground clashes near Vovchansk (including Fyholivka and towards Petro-Ivanivka) and Kupyansk (near Pischane, Kindrashivka and towards Novoplatonivka and Petropavlivka). RUF claims of taking Novaya Kurglyakovka in Kharkiv Oblast. UAF reports continued demining efforts. Two children injured due to an explosion in Stavysche, Shevchenkivska Hromada. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on continued heavy combat in Vovchansk; HIGH - on civilian impact).

  • UAF "Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА" posts a graphic celebrating Constitution Day, indicating leadership engagement, and "systemic cooperation with the volunteer community." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА" also posts a video celebrating Constitution Day, featuring President Zelenskyy and a solemn military ceremony. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" reports on 3rd Assault Brigade showing Russian prisoners of war working on the reconstruction of Izium. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" reports RUF drone freely operated over Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, correcting strike on industrial zone. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" posts video titled "Chronicle of strikes on the territory of Ukraine 27-28 June 2025," showing large fires/explosions, specifically citing "News Odesa" watermark, but context suggests it is likely from prior Odesa strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video existence, LOW - on direct correlation to 27-28 June strikes based solely on this video, MEDIUM - on RUF intent to show widespread destruction).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports "In Kharkiv region, two children were blown up by an unknown object." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This is likely a result of UXO or mine contamination.
  • Office of the Prosecutor General reports "Prosecutor's Office together with the police exposed a criminal organization led by the former deputy mayor of Kharkiv. Suspected of embezzling 5.4 million hryvnias of budget funds allocated for fortifications." "РБК-Україна" video shows footage of the detention of the former deputy mayor of Kharkiv related to this case. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on report, indicates internal corruption challenges for UAF).
  • UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation activity in the eastern direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF Air Force reports КАБ launches on Northern Kharkiv Oblast and an enemy UAV inbound for Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF Air Force confirms an enemy UAV is flying in northern Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Alex Parker Returns" video shows TOS-1A heavy flamethrower systems operating in Vovchansk, with large explosions at an industrial complex. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms the continued heavy use of TOS-1A by RUF in Vovchansk, causing severe urban destruction.
  • UAF "Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими" reports on field meetings in Lozova district, Kharkiv Oblast, with families of missing and captured military personnel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This highlights the ongoing humanitarian impact of the conflict and the efforts to support affected families.
  • RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" reports the former Deputy Mayor of Kharkiv was detained for embezzlement on fortification construction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" [Photo message] reports a man in Kharkiv threatened to blow up a shopping center with a grenade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE, LOW military relevance beyond internal security).
  • Oleg Synyehubov, head of Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, reports on ongoing shelling and attacks, emphasizing restoration of infrastructure and protection of civilians. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports an explosion in Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms RUF strikes on the city.
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports a UAV was shot down over Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Oleg Synyehubov, Head of Kharkiv Oblast Administration, reports a fire in the Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv due to falling UAV debris. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "РБК-Україна" confirms this report. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Igor Terekhov, Kharkiv Mayor, also confirms a strike in the Kyivskyi district and a private house fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Synehubov further clarifies that a private house roof is burning. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "РБК-Україна" confirms one casualty in Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "РБК-Україна" later clarifies that there were no direct hits in Kharkiv, only in the suburbs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports a UAV from the north inbound to Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: "Николаевский Ванёк" confirms one UAV inbound to Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: RUF "Басурин о главном" shares video titled "Epic footage from Vovchansk" which likely confirms continued intense combat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on video, MEDIUM on veracity of RUF claims).
  • NEW: UAF "Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports KAB launches from RUF tactical aviation in Eastern Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF claims breakthrough to the center of Kamyanske on the Zaporizhzhia front. UAF continues to report heavy shelling and some RUF advances. UAF 65th Separate Motorized Brigade reports eliminating two RUF personnel in Zaporizhzhia direction. UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" video shows officials in front of Ukrainian flags for Constitution Day, reinforcing morale. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on ongoing shelling; MEDIUM - on RUF claims of breakthrough).

  • UAF Air Force reports RUF tactical aviation launching KABs on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. New report confirms repeated KAB launches on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. UAF Air Force reports RUF reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration shows video of awards being presented to families of fallen soldiers for Constitution Day. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Air raid alert ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" reports "As a result of enemy attack, a child was wounded." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" also posts a photo message celebrating a local boxer, an example of civilian life/morale content. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "STERNENKO" posts drone footage of Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming "Another train was hit in Zaporizhzhia!" (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on video, MEDIUM - on specific target hit).
  • UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" [Photo messages] emphasize the role of Ukrainian people in writing history and upholding the Constitution through their actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports a 16-year-old girl wounded by enemy FPV drone strike in Zaporizhzhia district. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" reports a transfer of military equipment to a National Guard unit on the Zaporizhzhia direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" video shows officials in front of Ukrainian flags and discussing the importance of relations with Poland. This implies continued focus on international support for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Воин DV" video claims fire damage to enemy strongpoints with personnel near Chervone on the Huliaipole direction by 38th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, 35th Army. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity/target). This confirms RUF offensive activity in the Zaporizhzhia sector.
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" [Video] claims rocket strike on UAF UAV hangars in Kamyanske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity/target). This indicates RUF is actively targeting UAF drone infrastructure in the area.
  • UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" [Photo messages] show commemoration of fallen defenders in Zaporizhzhia on Constitution Day. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This is a morale-boosting and remembrance effort.
  • RUF "Воин DV" [Video] shows drone attacks on structures identified as enemy shelters using FPV drones with thermobaric and incendiary munitions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates continued RUF drone effectiveness.
  • NEW: UAF "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" reports an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

• Kherson Oblast: RUF and UAF reports indicate continued positional fighting, shelling, and aerial reconnaissance. RUF claims UAF is setting forest fires for tactical purposes. UAF General Staff reports repelling 2 Russian army assaults. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on positional fighting; LOW - on RUF claims of UAF setting fires).

  • UAF "Сили оборони Півдня України" posts photos of civilian infrastructure damaged by RUF shelling in Kherson Oblast, with a caption stating "Russian occupiers do not stop cynically shelling peaceful residents of Kherson region, terrorizing the civilian population daily." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Два майора" [Video] shows drone footage and military personnel, indicating focus on drone warfare. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" [Video] shows Ukrainian flag raised over occupied Kherson region by 34th Marine Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" [Video] claims "Destruction of occupiers in their lair on the left bank of our Kherson region with #GBU62 from MiG-29 crew." (HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF claim/video, MEDIUM on veracity of GBU62/MiG-29 attribution). This indicates UAF is attempting deep strikes on RUF positions in occupied Kherson.
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" video claims destruction of occupiers on the left bank of Kherson with GBU62 from a MiG-29 crew. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity of GBU62/MiG-29 attribution). This indicates continued UAF deep strikes into occupied Kherson.
  • RUF "Colonelcassad" video claims destruction of a UAF temporary deployment point (PVD) of the 34th Separate Brigade of the Naval Infantry (OBRBO VSU) in Kherson using an X-35 missile. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF claim and video, MEDIUM on veracity/target). This highlights RUF's continued targeting of UAF strongpoints in the region.

• Odesa Oblast: Significant overnight RUF Shahed UAV attacks. A multi-story residential building was hit, resulting in two confirmed civilian fatalities (a married couple) and four injured. Multiple Shahed UAVs were destroyed by UAF AD. Localized street shooting reported in Odesa's Soborna Square, with one casualty. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on RUF attacks and civilian casualties).

  • STERNENKO reports the identities of the deceased civilians in Odesa. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • ASTRA confirms a teacher and her husband died in Odesa as a result of the Russian multi-story building attack, citing the mayor. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" [Photo message] "Russians killed a teacher and her husband during a drone attack on Odesa." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This reinforces the impact on civilians and acts as UAF IO.
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" video shows emergency services responding to a strike on a 21-story building in Odesa. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms the civilian impact.
  • UAF "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" [Video] shows police response to the Odesa attack, depicting emergency personnel and victims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This further emphasizes the civilian impact and the scale of the emergency.
  • "Николаевский Ванёк" reports a general alert for "mopeds" (Shahed UAVs). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • NEW: UAF "Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц"" video shows the destruction of a "Geran" (Shahed) UAV in Odesa on 27.06. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This confirms UAF AD effectiveness.

• Kyiv Oblast: Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv Oblast has ended. UAF confirms celebrating Constitution Day. "РБК-Україна" video shows President Zelenskyy's full address for Constitution Day. "Zelenskiy / Official" video shows Zelenskyy and Duda honoring fallen defenders, reinforcing international support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on UAF AD success; HIGH - on Constitution Day celebrations).

  • UAF "Олексій Білошицький" posts video montage celebrating Constitution Day, featuring military and police personnel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" shares a music video about "For Ukraine!", emphasizing the fight for freedom. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF "Оперативний ЗСУ" also posts video of Zelenskyy and military personnel celebrating Constitution Day. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" reports on new dog ownership rules in Kyiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - indicates civilian life continues). UAF "РБК-Україна" releases video on the storage of Ukraine's Constitution. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • KMVA (Kyiv City Military Administration) reports "LIVE. Constitution Day of Ukraine." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Zelenskiy / Official also reports "LIVE. Constitution Day of Ukraine." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Zelenskiy / Official" posts video of himself and other dignitaries at a Constitution Day ceremony, including military band and flag. "Zelenskiy / Official" posts a series of photos related to Constitution Day, showing Zelenskyy, military personnel, and civilians, reinforcing the theme of national unity and military service. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "✙DeepState✙🇺🇦" posts a photo message celebrating Constitution Day with the caption "📖 It works when it is adhered to and respected." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) posts an image claiming "Kyiv bookstore 'Sens' decided to 'edit' the Constitution on the day of the Basic Law of Ukraine," likely an IO attempt to discredit UAF's celebration of Constitution Day. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - on IO content).
  • UAF "STERNENKO" [Video] shows Constitution Day celebrations by Ukrainian forces and public. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація)" [Video] shows Constitution Day celebrations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • "Zelenskiy / Official" video shows President Zelenskyy meeting with Polish President Andrzej Duda, emphasizing diplomatic cooperation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF General Staff photos show President Zelenskyy presenting combat flags to commanders of the 300th Training Tank Regiment, 5th Separate Signal Regiment, and 534th Separate Engineer-Sapper Battalion of the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade. This signifies recognition and morale boosting. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • "✙DeepState✙🇺🇦" photo indicates controversy regarding an "Armia Krajowa" (Polish Home Army) flag displayed by a security guard during Duda's visit, a sensitive historical issue that RUF could exploit for IO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF "РБК-Україна" video shows heavy hail and thunderstorms in Kyiv, causing localized flooding. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). This indicates a civilian-related weather event.
  • UAF "РБК-