Archived operational intelligence briefing
TIME: 271300Z JUN 25
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues offensive operations along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. RUF MoD officially claims the liberation of Novoserhiivka and Shevchenko, supported by RUF sources. UAF General Staff reports active clashes near Dyliyivka (Toretsk direction) and Pokrovsk direction, confirming active combat in these claimed areas. UAF drone footage shows dozens of RUF casualties from a "meat grinder" assault near Pokrovsk. Ukrainian source "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" confirms RUF control of Novoserhiivka in the Pokrovsk area. DeepState confirms map updates for this area. RUF "Операция Z" provides aerial drone footage confirming combat operations and destruction in SHEVCHENKO (DNR). RUF MoD video depicts 152-mm Msta-B howitzers of the 90th Guards Tank Division destroying an AFU stronghold in Krasnoarmeysk direction (Pokrovsk axis). RUF TASS reports RUF forces used "Geranium-2" (Shahed) to strike a temporary UAF deployment point near Novoekonomicheskoe in DNR. UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" provides FPV drone footage showing the destruction of a Russian BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. UAF Air Force reports KAB strikes on northern Donetsk Oblast. DeepState reports RUF advances in Shevchenko, near Burlatsky, Vilne Pole (Donetsk Oblast). RUF "Воин DV" provides video of special forces from the 14th Guards Brigade and 30th Separate Company destroying UAF vehicles in the Karl Marx (Mirne) area. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts first-person video of RUF storming an enemy strongpoint. RUF "Воин DV" provides video footage of FAB strikes by the 11th Guards Air Force and Air Defense Army on UAF strongholds of the 2nd Battalion, 141st Mechanized Brigade. New RUF "Сливочный каприз" photo message provides a tactical map for the Konstantinovka - Yablonovka area. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts FPV drone video from Pokrovsk area. "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" provides video of RUF FPV drones striking UAF personnel and vehicles in the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming over 10 KIA UAF personnel during a rotation attempt. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" (UAF source) provides drone footage showing RUF personnel "burning out" in forests and tree lines. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) provides new drone footage of fierce fighting near Pokrovsk. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts two photo messages captioned "Продвижение ВС РФ севернее Яблоновки на Константиновского направления," displaying a map overlay indicating Russian advances. RUF "Kotsnews" posts video of FAB strikes on UAF positions. STERNENKO (UAF Source) provides FPV drone video showing destruction of RUF personnel near Pokrovsk. УНН (UAF Source) reports Russian Federation forces are increasing assault operations in the Pokrovsk direction, confirming more than 40 combat engagements took place. UAF units successfully repelled 38 attacks in the Pokrovsk direction today. Enemy forces conducted 6 airstrikes in the Pokrovsk direction. UAF General Staff reports 40 combat engagements have taken place since 22:00. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video of RUF FPV drones destroying "Baba Yaga" type UAVs in the Southern Donetsk direction. Alex Parker Returns (RUF Source) posts a photo message claiming RUF liberated a major lithium deposit in the DNR (likely near Novoserhiivka/Shevchenko). RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts a tactical map for the Dzerzhinsk-Dyliyivka area. Colonelcassad provides a video showing drone reconnaissance/attack footage, likely by "Рубикон" unit. RUF "Воин DV" provides new video footage of a 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade FPV operator striking enemy equipment. Colonelcassad provides video of Russian Aerospace Forces striking UAF positions near Popovo Yar. RUF source TASS reports that Marochko stated RUF forces have entered Udachne in DNR and begun fighting for its liberation. TASS reports that sappers of the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) have neutralized over 60 explosive objects in Artemovsk (Bakhmut). RUF sources "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" provide photo messages related to the Velikonovoselovske direction. WarGonzo provides a frontal summary for the morning of 27.06.2025, which includes a tactical map of the Donetsk front indicating RUF advances and ongoing operations. WarGonzo also provides a tactical map for the Chasovoyarskoye direction. RUF "Воин DV" video shows artillery of the 36th Army conducting daily fire on enemy positions. Mash na Donbasse reports drones observed over Donetsk in Kuybyshevsky and Kyivsky districts. New RUF "Басурин о главном" video shows 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar system firing on UAF positions on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. RUF MoD Russia video claims the Tsentr Group of Forces’ Nona-K towed mortar crew destroyed a UAV command post of the AFU in Krasnoarmeysk direction (Pokrovsk axis). New "Операция Z" video (Военкоры Русской Весны) shows "Rubicon" unit mass burning enemy equipment. RUF TASS reports an RUF strike on a UAF temporary deployment point near Shakhove, DNR. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" reports fierce battles continuing north of Novoserhiivka, specifically in the areas of Molodetske and Udachne, and explicitly states that the important T0406 highway supplying the Ukrainian grouping in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) is under RUF fire control. Colonelcassad (RUF source) posts a photo message claiming the capture of Molodetske. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) RUF "Воин DV" video compilation shows the destruction of UAF heavy drones in the Shakhtyorsk direction, executed by special forces of the 14th Guards Brigade, 36th Army, and "Far Eastern Winds" units. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Colonelcassad (RUF source) posts multiple photo messages and videos related to positional confrontation and "Rubicon" unit operations in Donbas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE) Mash на Донбассе video shows dewatering operations from an underground structure in Chernihivska district, Donetsk. Народная милиция ДНР (RUF source) provides aerial video footage of explosions and targeting reticles near Popovo Yar. Воин DV (RUF source) provides aerial video showing an FPV drone strike on an enemy mortar in Karl Marx (Mirne). New RUF "Сливочный каприз" photo message provides a tactical map for Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) - Shevchenko - Belgium. Alex Parker Returns claims RUF has taken control of the second of four major lithium deposits in Ukraine, located near Shevchenko in Donetsk Oblast. NEW: UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Pokrovsk direction near Poltavka, Malynivka, Shevchenko Pershe, Myrne, Myrolubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Novomykolayivka, Kotlyarivka, Myrnohrad, Novoserhiyivka, Udachne, Oleksiyivka, Novoukrayinka, Kotlyne, Muravka, Zelenyy Kut and towards Volodymyrivka. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi reports that on the Pokrovsk direction, RUF has concentrated its largest grouping along the entire front line, estimated at approximately 111,000 personnel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Николаевский Ванёк (UAF source) reports an exclusive video of a Chinese prisoner taken on the Toretsk direction by the 82nd Air Assault Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UAF source) video shows a Russian armored vehicle bringing assault troops under Ukrainian artillery fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RUF source) posts photo messages with maps titled "Часов Яр – завершение близко" (Chasiv Yar – completion is near), indicating continued RUF focus on this axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video confirms border guards destroyed two enemy artillery pieces near Vovchansk (Kharkiv Oblast). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RUF source) video shows a drone strike targeting a Ukrainian temporary deployment point (PVD) of the 117th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade in the vicinity of Shakhove (Oktyabrskoe) in Dobropillya district. The accompanying text states Dobropillya was a key logistics hub for forces operating in Krasnoarmeysk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF РБК-Україна video shows UAF 44th Artillery Brigade engaging RUF D-30 and 2A65 Msta-B howitzers on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating successful counter-battery fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows night-time aerial reconnaissance footage on the Krasnoarmeysk direction (Pokrovsk axis), indicating continued RUF ISR and targeting efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Colonelcassad provides video of Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) striking UAF positions near Popovo Yar in the zone of the 68th Army Corps, aiming to disrupt UAF plans to hold positions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Басурин о главном posts a photo message celebrating the birthday of Eduard Basurin, a prominent DNR/RUF figure, likely for morale boosting and propaganda. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not tactically significant). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video displays drone footage from Sumy Oblast, showing damaged structures and an explosion, confirming RUF combat operations in the area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video shows a RUF soldier operating a drone, engaged in reconnaissance over a rural landscape, indicating continued RUF ISR efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts multiple photo messages of UAF soldiers, some with insignia of the 95th Airborne Brigade, engaged in what appears to be training or static display, promoting morale and readiness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Alex Parker Returns posts a personal video of a man speaking in Russian, referencing being taken to a "TCK" (territorial recruitment center), possibly indicating challenges with mobilization or dissatisfaction. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).
Luhansk Oblast: RUF sources continue to claim the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka), asserting that "LNR is completely liberated." The UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday near Tverdokhlibove, Ridkodub, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Hrekivka, Zelena Dolyny, Novyi Myr, Olhivka (Lyman direction). Mash on Donbas provides video of a hurricane in Luhansk. TASS reports at least 15 Ukrainian UAVs attacked the administration of Troitske district in Luhansk People's Republic (LPR). STERNENKO (UAF Source) provides photo messages from Troitske, Luhansk, confirming 15 drones destroyed the administration building. УНН (UAF Source) reports that UAF units repelled all enemy attacks in the Lyman direction. NEW: UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Lyman direction near Hrekivka, Novyy Myr, Ridkodub, and towards Olhivka, Seredne, Kolodyazi, Zelena Dolyna, Torske. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): RUF launched ballistic missiles against Dnipro city. UAF official sources confirm an increased casualty count: 22 dead and nearly 300 wounded. TASS reports RUF "Vostok" Group is actively advancing towards Dnipropetropsk Oblast. Dnipropetrovsk OGA confirms state initiatives for financial aid to families and the "Safe Community" forum. Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (UAF Source) photo message reports multiple FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol district. RUF has launched additional missiles towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports successful UAF AD against missiles heading towards Dnipro. Serhii Lysak (Head of Dnipropetrovsk OGA) reports continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol, Pokrovske, and Marhanets communities. ASTRA reports 4 people were injured in a Russian attack on Nikopol. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" claims strikes on industrial zones in Dnipropetrovsk. UAF Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports an increased death toll in Dnipro. UAF Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) released a video showcasing the police and emergency services' response. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target heading for Dnipro, and later Samara. RUF "Операция Z" reports strikes on enemy targets in Dnipropetrovsk and Samara. NEW: ASTRA reports 3 dead and 14 wounded in Samara (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) due to Russian missile attack. Colonelcassad reports several workshops of the Dnipropetrovsk Pipe Plant were completely destroyed by Iskander missiles on June 24. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Serhiy Lysak reports the death toll in Samara has risen to 5 (from 4 KIA previously reported) and 23 wounded (from 17 previously reported). Operatyvnyi ZSU and RBK-Ukraina echo this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (RUF source) claims two missile strikes on industrial zone in Novomoskovsk (Samara), alleging Western military equipment service. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Север.Реалии (RUF source) reports Russia attacked Samara for the second time this week, resulting in dead and wounded. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) and РБК-Україна (UAF source) confirm that June 28-29 are declared days of mourning in Samara due to the recent Russian attack. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Sumy Oblast: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi reports that the advance of Russian troops in the border areas of Sumy Oblast has been completely stopped this week, and the contact line is stabilized. The UAF General Staff reports UAF forces repelled 14 RUF assaults yesterday in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction. RUF source "Два майора" provides video of an aerial reconnaissance footage in the Sumy direction. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts drone footage showing "Anvar" detachment clearing the buffer zone in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. "Сливочный каприз" (RUF) posts a map labeled "Sumy - Alekseevka." UAF Air Force reports KAB strikes on Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video confirms FPV drone strike on Tatneft gas station in Pyatnitske, Belgorod Oblast. TASS (RUF source) photo message shows Medvedev stating that RF Armed Forces will not allow UAF to reappear in Kursk Oblast. "Повітряні Силі ЗС України" reports a group of enemy strike UAVs heading south in northern Sumy Oblast. Два майора (RUF Source) posts aerial footage with thermal imaging of explosions in Sumy direction, near Andreevka. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) provides video footage captioned "Воздушные бои в Сумской области: ВДВ завоёвывают господство в воздухе," showing aerial reconnaissance with targeting crosshairs and explosions on the ground. Colonelcassad provides new video footage of "trophy equipment" from the 83rd Guards Air Assault Brigade (VDV) operating in Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo provides a tactical map for the Sumy direction. RUF "Операция Z" reports a convoy of 20+ trucks with personnel and 5 BMP/BMD class armored vehicles moving from Crimea/Kherson towards Mariupol/Novozovsk/Taganrog/Rostov/Sumy. UAF Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in Sumy Oblast. UAF ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides video of FAB strikes destroying two buildings with RUF occupants in Kondrativka, Kursk Oblast. NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports RUF aviation launched guided aerial bombs (KABs) on Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports a high-speed target heading towards Stepanivka/Mykolaivka in Sumy Oblast. UAF Air Force reports activity of enemy UAVs in Sumy Oblast and deployment of countermeasures. UAF General Staff reports UAF forces repelled 28 Russian army assaults in Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) directions yesterday. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports missile danger in Sumy Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: РБК-Україна reports a high-speed target on the Sumy border. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: STERNENKO (UAF source) posts a photo message stating "Enemy complains about huge losses in Sumy region. Meat grinder reported." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UAF source) confirms a Telegram channel ("Білоруський силовик") reporting on "meat grinder" losses for RUF in Sumy Oblast, stating "all landings are covered in bodies." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UAF source) video shows a Ukrainian FPV drone intercepting a Russian Shahed in Sumy Oblast, filmed from the ground. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video displays drone footage from Sumy Oblast, showing damaged structures and an explosion, confirming RUF combat operations in the area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video shows a RUF soldier operating a drone, engaged in reconnaissance over a rural landscape, indicating continued RUF ISR efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Kharkiv Oblast: UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation airstrikes and clashes near Vovchansk, Kamyanka (South Slobozhansky direction) and near Stepova Novoselivka, Kruhlyakivka, Zelenti Hai, towards Pischane and Kurylivka (Kupyansk direction). RUF conducted at least 7 UAV strikes on Kharkiv city. Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleg Sinegubov participated in the "Safe Community" All-Ukrainian Forum. UAF "ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦" video shows Ukrainian infantry of the 58th Motorized Brigade undergoing training on identifying and understanding various anti-tank mines. Kharkiv Oblast Governor reports over 260 hectares of territory in Kharkiv Oblast demined in a week. UAF Air Force reports KAB strikes on Kharkiv Oblast. "Повітряні Силі ЗС України" warns of KABs over Kharkiv Oblast. UAF "ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦" provides video of new recruits of the 151st Separate Mechanized Brigade conducting live-fire training with an M60 machine gun. RUF "Colonelcassad" provides video showing drone operators of "Zapad" Group destroying a pickup truck and UAF personnel on the Krasnolymansk direction. УНН (UAF Source) reports over 113 square kilometers of territory in Kharkiv Oblast has been demined, and 9,936 explosive objects neutralized. УНН (UAF Source) reports UAF forces killed 250 Russian soldiers and destroyed 46 pieces of enemy military equipment in the Kharkiv direction in the last day. УНН (UAF Source) reports UAF forces repelled 3 attacks in the Kupyansk direction. Nikolaevskiy Vanek (UAF Source) reports 2 Shahed-type UAVs are flying over Kharkiv towards Zmiyiv. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" claims strikes on industrial zones in Kharkiv. ASTRA reports a drunk RUF soldier ran over a 16-year-old girl in Belgorod Oblast. NEW: RUF MoD and Kotsnews claim RUF forces liberated Novaya Kurglyakovka in Kharkiv Oblast. "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) echoes this claim with a map. UAF Operatyvnyi ZSU and RBK-Ukraina report Kharkiv's Industrial District was attacked by a RUF "Molniya" type drone. UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Kamyanka and clashes yesterday near Hlyboke, Zybyne, Vovchansk, Krasne Pershe, Kamyanka, Kindrashivka, Mala Shapkivka (South Slobozhansky direction), and near Holubivka, Kindrashivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Zelenyi Hai and towards Petropavlivka and Nova Kruhlyakivka (Kupyansk direction). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleg Synegubov reports the drone strike on Kharkiv's Industrial District hit a road. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Kharkiv ODA also reports transferring 14 Tesla Powerwall 2.0 systems for healthcare facilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report another drone strike on Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video confirms border guards destroyed two enemy artillery pieces near Vovchansk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (UAF source) reports signing a memorandum of cooperation with the Kharkiv Regional Organization of the Ukrainian Red Cross Society. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports missile danger in Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Сливочный каприз (RUF source) posts a tactical map for the Kupyansk - Hlushkivka area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Colonelcassad reports on the formation of the 16th Army Corps (A5147) in Kharkiv, indicating UAF force generation efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation airstrikes in Malynivka, Novoandriyivka, Kamyanske, Novooleksandrivka, Novopavlivka, Stepnohirsk. Explosions reported in Zaporizhzhia, two missile impacts, two wounded. UAF source "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" provides video showing a recent attack on a Russian fuel train in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Zaporizhzhia OMA confirms new drone interceptor systems beginning operation. ASTRA (UAF source) video confirms further attacks on RUF trains in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" posts a video from the Zaporizhzhia front. RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts a photo message and video captioned "Орехов - Малая Токmačka," showing extensive destruction of residential buildings. "Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine" reports threat of enemy strike UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports Russian forces are storming Kamyanske on the Zaporizhzhia front, advancing forward. DeepState reports RUF advances near Kamyanske. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports "All clear" for air raid alert, followed by a new alert. РБК-Україна reports fires and damage to non-residential buildings in Zaporizhzhia. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 6 UAVs hit Zaporizhzhia overnight. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration provides video of the aftermath. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 333 strikes on 14 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the last day. RUF "Операция Z" reports a large movement of equipment and ammunition on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating an imminent major RUF offensive. ASTRA reports a damaged industrial enterprise building in Zaporizhzhia. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" claims strikes on industrial zones in Zaporizhzhia. Zaporizhzhia OMA reports 79-year-old wounded in Huliaipole community. "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts a photo message with a tactical map and caption from Andryushchenko stating that RF is preparing a large-scale offensive on the Zaporizhzhia direction. TASS reports a UAF drone attacked a group of ZNPP staff 350 meters from the blocks, but no casualties. RUF "Операция Z" reports a UAF drone attack on ZNPP staff. NEW: UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Stepnohirsk, Prymorske, Mala Tokmachka, Kamyanske of Zaporizhzhia region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Zaporizhzhia OMA reports on a discussion about psychological readiness in communities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video shows a powerful strike on a Russian echelon near occupied Tokmak. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (UAF source) posts video showing a damaged residential building from October 2022 and its subsequent repair, likely to demonstrate resilience and rebuilding efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) video shows an FPV drone strike on a demined railway bridge in occupied Zaporizhzhia region, confirming successful disruption of a logistics route. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ASTRA (UAF source) video confirms Ukrainian military attack on a railway convoy in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) provides video footage of a drone attack on a railway train in the Tokmak area of occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The video includes a "RONIN" unit emblem and geolocation overlay, indicating a successful interdiction of supplies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF РБК-Україна video shows UAF 44th Artillery Brigade engaging RUF D-30 and 2A65 Msta-B howitzers on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating successful counter-battery fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photo messages highlighting the contributions of small and medium-sized businesses to the local economy despite the proximity of the front. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not militarily significant).
Kherson Oblast: UAF General Staff reports 2 Russian army assaults repelled in the Kherson direction. One civilian killed in RUF aviation strike on Tavriyske. Reported 3 killed and 13 wounded in Kherson Oblast due to RUF attacks overnight. RUF source "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" reports successful Lancet strike on UAF boat in Dnipro River. UAF "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" reports that a 5-person RUF delegation visited homes in occupied Kakhovka yesterday, marking "unowned" houses. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports threat of RUF strike UAVs in Kherson Oblast. RUF "Операция Z" reports a convoy of 20+ trucks with personnel and 5 BMP/BMD class armored vehicles moving from Crimea/Kherson towards Mariupol/Novozovsk/Taganrog/Rostov/Sumy. UAF Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports RUF maintains high intensity of shelling and unsuccessful assault attempts near Antonivsky Bridge and in the island zone. NEW: UAF General Staff reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Kozatske of Kherson region. UAF General Staff reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 5 Russian army assaults in Kherson direction yesterday. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report a strike on a critical energy facility in Kherson Oblast, causing power outages. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: STERNENKO (UAF source) reports on the head of Kherson OMA Prokudin stating RUF shelled an important energy facility in Kherson Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Операция Z (RUF source) reports on a critical energy facility attack in Kherson Oblast, supporting UAF reports of damage and power outages. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Odesa Oblast: Three employees were killed in a strike on a lyceum in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. RUF launched multiple UAVs from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast. UAF AD destroyed 17 Shahed-131/136 UAVs. RUF "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" video shows an explosion and fire in Odessa during a night attack. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) reports law enforcement detained an individual in Odesa who tried to buy information on MOD military developments for 40,000 UAH. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими posts a promotional photo message for a concert in Kyiv, indicating civilian events and public life continue despite conflict. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not militarily significant).
Kyiv Oblast: RUF "Операция Z" and "НгП раZVедка" claim that destroyed multi-story buildings and casualties in Kyiv are a result of UAF air defense operations. UAF "РБК-Україна" reports completion of emergency recovery work at the attack site. RUF "Два майора" shares video of a person walking in an urban courtyard in Kyiv, suggesting continued RUF surveillance. "Оперативний ЗСУ" reports SBU has sentenced a "Rashist" (Russian) in absentia to life imprisonment. Kyiv City Military Administration (KMVA) posts video of an event related to a Russian missile strike on Solomianskyi district. "Офіс Генерального прокурора" provides video footage of an incident in Kyiv, showing a sudden explosion near a parked car. KMVA posts multiple photo messages showing ongoing cleanup. РБК-Україна reports that the air defense system is working in Kyiv Oblast. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reports air raid alerts in Kyiv due to UAV threat. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy UAV on the outskirts of Kyiv. НгП раZVедка (RUF Source) posts a photo message stating "Kyiv is not needed. It will be LOUD there very soon." РБК-Україна reports "explosions heard in Kyiv." Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports a MiG-31K in the air from Savasleyka, with possible launches. РБК-Україна reports air raid alert across all of Ukraine. UAF sources report missiles (likely Kinzhals) heading towards Starokostiantyniv in Khmelnytskyi Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports a Kinzhal hit in Starokostiantyniv and later "minus" on Kinzhals. РБК-Україна reports continued explosions in Kyiv and AD activity, likely against UAVs. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports 2 Shahed-type UAVs are flying over Kyiv, heading west. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports cruise missiles entering Bila Tserkva district (Kyiv Oblast). KMVA reports air raid alert has been lifted for Kyiv. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" claims strikes on weapon/ammunition warehouses in Boryspil and Hostomel near Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports that Kyiv Oblast was under massive drone and missile attack overnight. KMVA (Kyiv City Military Administration) posted several photo messages related to "initiatives promoting the recovery and adaptation of military personnel." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: НгП раZVедка (RUF source) video shows RUF soldiers in a cramped, dimly lit structure, suggesting continued presence in combat zones. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Офіс Генерального прокурора (UAF source) reports that prosecutors secured a life sentence for a Russian military serviceman who killed a civilian in Kyiv Oblast and simulated the execution of four others. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Офіс Генерального прокурора posts a photo message announcing suspicion of illegal enrichment to a former deputy head of the Supreme Commercial Court, indicating continued efforts to combat high-level corruption. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Other Axes (UAF General Staff Reports):
RF Territory (Various Regions): RF MoD claims 50 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over various regions overnight. ASTRA reports 8 UAVs shot down in Ulyanovsk Oblast with internet restricted. A significant fire and ammunition detonation at a weapons depot in Bolshaya Tura, Transbaikalia, due to natural fires. UAF claims 8 RUF oil depots hit by drone attacks. TASS reports the detention of a woman in Novorossiysk for transmitting data on the Russian Navy and air defense to Ukraine. UAF source "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" provides video and photos of burning military trucks at a military facility in Erfurt, Germany. TASS reports the "RZD Passengers" application is temporarily unavailable due to technical reasons. "Север.Реалии" reports that St. Petersburg will spend 148 million rubles to equip classes for "Fundamentals of Homeland Security." TASS reports a Chinese journalist was wounded in Kursk Oblast during a UAF strike. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video confirms FPV drone strike on Tatneft gas station in Pyatnitske, Belgorod Oblast. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts drone footage showing "Anvar" detachment clearing the buffer zone in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. RUF "Два майора" reports an attack by enemy (UAF) on a gas station in Volokonovsky district, Belgorod Oblast. TASS reports Medvedev stated that RF Armed Forces will not allow UAF to reappear in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports three people wounded in Bryansk after a UAF UAV strike. Два майора (RUF Source) posts aerial footage with thermal imaging of explosions and targeting reticles in Sumy direction, near Andreevka. Операция Z (RUF Source) posts drone footage showing RUF reconnaissance units destroying UAF infantry and firing points near Tyotkino, Kursk Oblast border. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video of RUF FPV drones destroying "Baba Yaga" type UAVs in the Southern Donetsk direction. Alex Parker Returns (RUF Source) posts a photo message claiming RUF liberated a major lithium deposit in the DNR. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video showing Russian military personnel preparing and deploying an FPV drone. TASS reports a court placed the former head of Rosimushchestvo (Federal Agency for State Property Management) in Udmurtia under arrest. RUF "МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники" reports a new sector of graves at a cemetery in Izhevsk. RUF "Рыбарь" posts videos implying detentions and control. TASS reports the German Ambassador to Russia will be summoned. ASTRA reports FSB detained an elderly ship worker in Novorossiysk. TASS reports an ongoing prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine under Istanbul agreements. RUF "МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники" posts video of a Russian deputy stating men go to war due to poverty. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports The Washington Post stated Ukraine's economy is on the verge of collapse. TASS reports Deputy Secretary of Russia's Security Council, Yuri Kokov, stated that Ukrainian special services are using Central Asian migrants to create networks of sleeper cells. TASS reports Putin has arrived in Belarus for a two-day visit. ASTRA reports a military deserter in Udmurtia opened fire on police and fled into the forest. UAF "РБК-Україна" photo message highlights "Peklo" missile-drones on the front. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (UAF source) video highlights "Operation Interflex." Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) GUR reports striking Russian S-400 system in Crimea using a drone, with video evidence. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (GUR) (UAF source) reports their "Ghosts" special unit struck critical and expensive S-400 Triumph AD system components in occupied Crimea using drones. ASTRA (RUF source) posts video about a UAF drone strike on a missile fuel warehouse in Bryansk. TASS reports 16 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over various regions of the RF and the Black Sea. ТАСС reports 39 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Russian regions overnight. TASS reports a massive UAV attack was repelled in Volzhsky and two districts of Volgograd Oblast. TASS reports temporary movement restrictions on the bridge over the Don River in Kalachevsky district, Volgograd Oblast. Rostov Oblast interim governor reports AD activity overnight with no casualties. TASS reports temporary flight restrictions at Volgograd airport have been lifted. ASTRA reports that the Ministry of Culture of Transbaikalia obliged its employees to search for volunteers for the war against Ukraine. RUF "Два майора" is recruiting for the "African Corps" from the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. RUF "Военкор Котенок" posts a video of an FSB interrogation of a detained individual in Crimea, claiming he confessed to working for SSU. NEW: TASS reports the German Ambassador to Russia has been summoned to the Russian Foreign Ministry to announce retaliatory measures for the persecution of Russian journalists. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). STERNENKO (UAF Source) provides video of Ua_Reg Team neutralizing Russian artillery in Kursk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: TASS reports the US Ambassador to Russia, Lynne Tracy, has completed her work and is leaving Moscow. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: TASS reports a court arrested a former bank employee in Chelyabinsk on bribery charges. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ASTRA reports a resident of Chelyabinsk was detained for a two-year-old Telegram comment where she called Russian military "murderers" and "fascists." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: TASS reports a Gnesinka student was detained in Moscow for threatening a pro-rector. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) provides a video of a former Ukrainian instructor discussing why he stopped his work, which can be interpreted as RUF propaganda showing disgruntlement within UAF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) posts multiple photo messages and videos related to demining operations in the Sudzha border area of Kursk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники (RUF source) posts photo messages stating "Conscripts continue to die in Kursk Oblast." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ТАСС reports Mikhail Voevodin, former head of VSMPO-AVISMA corporation, was arrested on charges of large-scale fraud. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Игорь Артамонов (RUF source) reports Lipetsk Oblast will receive federal funding for modernization of housing and utilities sector. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not militarily significant). NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) provides video of interrogation of a Crimean resident detained for collecting SBU data on military units on the peninsula. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Mash на Донбассе (RUF source) video shows a hospital worker transmitting personal data about patients from Melitopol to Ukrainian special services. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ТАСС (RUF source) video shows the German Ambassador arriving at the Russian Foreign Ministry. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Fighterbomber (RUF source) posts a photo message featuring a "Boris Beetle micro-copy testing new watches" which appears to be a personal/humorous post, no military significance. (LOW CONFIDENCE). NEW: ТАСС (RUF source) photo message shows Putin meeting with the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi in Minsk, indicating continued diplomatic engagement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Рыбарь (RUF source) posts an analysis titled "China looked at the 13-day war," suggesting a focus on international military assessments. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (RUF source) posts photo messages featuring a "Wolfling 45" patch, likely a morale-boosting item. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not tactically significant). NEW: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (RUF source) posts a video appealing for donations for VDV (Airborne Forces), specifically for Mavic 3T and Mavic 3 Pro drones, night/day reconnaissance, and forward position supplies. The video features soldiers with Serbian and Russian flags, identifying as "One color, one faith, one Russia." (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) posts a video titled "Collection for 200 motorcycles," showing military trucks being loaded with dual-sport motorcycles, indicating logistical support for ground forces. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Два майора (RUF source) posted a video which appears to be a forced or staged message from a Russian prisoner of war, claiming good treatment and no family pressure. This is a common propaganda tactic to counter narratives of poor POW treatment and internal family pressure. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Север.Реалии (RUF source) reports on the death of pianist Pavel Kushnir in pre-trial detention. While not directly military, it indicates continued internal human rights issues in Russia. (LOW CONFIDENCE). NEW: Рыбарь (RUF source) posts satellite images of Engels-2 Air Base, Saratov Oblast, showing Tu-160 aircraft and claiming "Tires instead of shelters", suggesting a Russian attempt to protect strategic bombers from drone attacks using improvised methods. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ТАСС (RUF source) video shows FSB officers examining cash and documents under UV light, consistent with an anti-corruption or financial crime investigation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ТАСС (RUF source) reports the arrest of Oleg Milyuta, a Petersburg legislative assembly deputy, on bribery charges of 14.7 million rubles, along with other local officials. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Alex Parker Returns video appears to show a civilian being questioned about TCK (mobilization center) visits, likely used for propaganda purposes. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Север.Реалии posts a photo message with "Realii.Weekly" and a flame icon, indicating a media publication, without military significance. (LOW CONFIDENCE).
Vinnitsia Oblast: НгП раZVедка (RUF source) makes a derogatory comment about Vinnitsia being a "subsidized" area. Nikolaevskiy Vanek reports that a "moped" (Shahed) is approaching Starokon (likely Starokostiantyniv), and later reports 2 missiles and 2 "mopeds" (Shaheds) from Vinnytsia Oblast heading towards Starokon. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Khmelnytskyi Oblast: UAF sources (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Силі ЗС України) report missiles (likely Kinzhals) are heading towards Starokostiantyniv. Николаевский Ванёк reports a Kinzhal hit in Starokostiantyniv and later "minus" on Kinzhals. "Suspilne" confirms explosions in the area. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) claims hypersonic "Kinzhals" struck the UAF airfield in Khmelnytskyi Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Ванёк reports 3 Shahed-type UAVs are approaching Starokostiantyniv. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of RUF UAVs on the outskirts of Starokostiantyniv. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that 2 Kalibr cruise missiles and 22 Shahed UAVs were shot down over Khmelnytskyi Oblast overnight. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Armenia: TASS reports that priests and believers are preventing Armenian National Security Service special forces from detaining Archbishop Mikael. Alex Parker Returns claims Armenian National Security Service special forces stormed the residence of the head of the Armenian Church and detained priests. ASTRA reports security forces came to the residence of the Catholicos. Два майора claims an "inside" report that the Catholicos refusal to "look at Pashinyan's penis" provoked authorities to send special forces. TASS reports Service Nationale de securite directs new forces from Yerevan to Echmiadzin to detain Archbishop Mikael. NEW: TASS provides new video of Armenian believers preventing a new attempt by security forces to break into Holy Etchmiadzin. TASS video shows Armenian security forces leaving Holy Etchmiadzin. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Alex Parker Returns provides video of the confrontation between a crowd and law enforcement at the Catholicos's residence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: TASS reports Armenia's Investigative Committee opened a criminal case for citizens obstructing the detention of Archbishop Mikael. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Басурин о главном (RUF source) comments on Pashinyan's actions against the Armenian church. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Два майора (RUF source) makes an analytical comment framing the Armenian situation against "freedom" narratives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: TASS video shows a press gathering with journalists surrounding Archbishop Mikael, who is walking, indicating continued public interest and legal proceedings. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Ingushetia, RF: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that an explosive device detonated near a police college building in Nazran, Ingushetia. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
Lebanon/Israel: NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) posts photo messages and captions indicating Israeli Air Force strikes on Southern Lebanon. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues offensive operations, notably on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. Confirmed capture of Novoserhiivka and Shevchenko. RUF consolidating gains in Yalta and Dyleyevka. UAF is actively defending and conducting localized counter-attacks, inflicting high RUF casualties. RUF artillery and drone strikes continue. UAF "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video confirms successful FPV drone strike against RUF "Grad" MLRS. UAF Air Force reports KAB strikes targeting northern Donetsk. UAF "Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України" releases video of 78th Separate Assault Regiment conducting trench assaults. RUF "Воин DV" provides video of special forces from the 14th Guards Brigade and 30th Separate Company destroying UAF vehicles in the Karl Marx (Mirne) area. RUF "Colonelcassad" video of first-person assault on an enemy strongpoint. RUF "Воин DV" video of FAB strikes on UAF 141st Mechanized Brigade strongholds. RUF "Colonelcassad" reporting on "Southern Donetsk Direction Situation." RUF "Сливочный каприз" map of Konstantinovka-Yablonovka suggests active RUF planning. RUF "Colonelcassad" video shows FPV drone strike on UAF pickup near Pokrovsk. DeepState map updates confirm RUF advances in Shevchenko, Burlatsky, and Vilne Pole. RUF "Операция Z" video shows thermal/night vision drone footage of UAF infantry and vehicles targeted in Kupyansk. "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" provides thermal/night vision video of RUF FPV drones striking UAF personnel and a vehicle in the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming over 10 KIA. "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" (UAF source) provides drone footage showing successful UAF engagements against RUF personnel. RUF "Операция Z" (Военкоры Русской Весны) provides new drone footage of fierce fighting near Pokrovsk. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts two photo messages captioned "Продвижение ВС РФ севернее Яблоновки на Константиновского направления," providing a map illustrating RUF ground advances. RUF "MoD Russia" video shows servicemen of 6th Motorised Rifle Division (Yug Group of Forces) honing skills with infantry fighting vehicles and tanks in rear area. RUF "Kotsnews" posts video of FAB strikes on UAF positions. Два майора (RUF Source) posts video from "Константиновское направление. От элиты Армии России: от штурмовиков" showing an assault detachment. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video showing reconnaissance from 69th Separate Brigade targeting and destroying a camouflaged UAF T-72M1 tank with two FPV drones. Операция Z (RUF Source) posts drone footage showing RUF reconnaissance units destroying UAF infantry and firing points near Tyotkino, Kursk Oblast border. УНН (UAF Source) reports Russian Federation forces are increasing assault operations in the Pokrovsk direction (40+ engagements, 38 repelled) and 6 airstrikes. UAF repelled 4 engagements in Siversk direction and 5 in Kramatorsk. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video of RUF FPV drones destroying "Baba Yaga" type UAVs. Alex Parker Returns (RUF Source) posts a photo message claiming RUF liberated a major lithium deposit. Colonelcassad (RUF Source) posts video showing Russian military personnel preparing and deploying an FPV drone. RUF "Colonelcassad" posts multiple photo messages of destroyed, damaged, and captured Ukrainian armored vehicles. RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts a tactical map for the Dzerzhinsk-Dyliyivka area. Colonelcassad provides a video showing drone reconnaissance/attack footage, possibly by "Рубикон" unit. RUF "Воин DV" provides new video footage of a 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade FPV operator striking enemy equipment. Colonelcassad posts a video of Special Forces soldiers from the Siversk direction expressing gratitude for a DJI Mavic 3 Pro quadcopter. Colonelcassad provides video of Russian Aerospace Forces striking UAF positions near Popovo Yar. RUF source TASS reports that Marochko stated RUF forces have entered Udachne in DNR. TASS reports that sappers of the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) have neutralized over 60 explosive objects in Artemovsk (Bakhmut). RUF sources "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" provide photo messages related to the Velikonovoselovske direction. WarGonzo provides a frontal summary for the morning of 27.06.2025, with tactical maps of Donetsk and Chasovoyarskoye directions. RUF "Воин DV" video shows artillery of the 36th Army conducting daily fire. New RUF "Басурин о главном" video shows 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar system firing on UAF positions on the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. RUF MoD Russia video claims the Tsentr Group of Forces’ Nona-K towed mortar crew destroyed a UAV command post. New "Операция Z" video (Военкоры Русской Весны) shows "Rubicon" unit mass burning enemy equipment. New "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" video shows UAF "fishing" for RUF drones. UAF Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports RUF maintains high intensity of shelling and unsuccessful assault attempts near Antonivsky Bridge. RUF Воин DV provides video of 'Heroes of Special Operation V' capturing Yalta. RUF Kotsnews provides drone footage compilation showing a 'Bradley' IFV and other destroyed enemy equipment. RUF "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" explicitly reports that fierce fighting continues north of Novoserhiivka, specifically in the areas of Molodetske and Udachne, and states that the important T0406 highway supplying the Ukrainian grouping in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) is now under RUF fire control. Mash на Донбассе video shows dewatering operations from an underground structure in Chernihivska district, Donetsk. Народная милиция ДНР (RUF source) provides aerial video footage of explosions near Popovo Yar. Воин DV (RUF source) provides aerial video showing an FPV drone strike on an enemy mortar in Karl Marx (Mirne). New RUF "Сливочный каприз" photo message provides a tactical map for Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) - Shevchenko - Belgium. Alex Parker Returns claims RUF has taken control of the second of four major lithium deposits in Ukraine. NEW: UAF General Staff reports clashes yesterday at Toretsk direction near Toretsk, Dachne, Scherbynivka, Oleksandro-Kalynove, Dyliyivka, Romanivka, Yablunivka and Rusyn Yar. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi reports RUF has concentrated its largest grouping, approximately 111,000 personnel, on the Pokrovsk direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF "Военкор Котенок" also reports the liberation of Shevchenko, stating it includes the second of four major lithium deposits in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). RUF "Colonelcassad" posts photo messages indicating positional confrontation, and video of "Rubicon" unit operations in Donbas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Николаевский Ванёк (UAF source) reports an exclusive video of a Chinese prisoner taken on the Toretsk direction by the 82nd Air Assault Brigade. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (UAF source) video shows a Russian armored vehicle bringing assault troops under Ukrainian artillery fire, then retreating. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Воин DV (RUF source) video compilation shows the destruction of UAF heavy drones in the Shakhtyorsk direction, executed by special forces of the 14th Guards Brigade, 36th Army, and "Far Eastern Winds" units. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) FPV drone video shows destruction of a RUF Kamaz truck. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗ (RUF source) posts a photo message and map titled "Часов Яр – завершение близко," indicating ongoing operations towards Chasiv Yar. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Басурин о главном (RUF source) posts video of "Дикой дивизии Донбасса" (Wild Division of Donbas) naming an APC after a Telegram channel, signaling morale/recognition efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) video shows individuals in military-style camouflage apprehending and escorting a person, suggesting a security operation in Crimea. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Colonelcassad (RUF source) video shows RUF soldiers in a dugout/trench singing/chanting, suggesting morale-boosting activities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Воин DV (RUF source) posts a video compilation captioned with emojis, showing tactical footage of Russian forces in what appears to be a combat zone, with explosions and engagements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF РБК-Україна video shows UAF 44th Artillery Brigade engaging RUF D-30 and 2A65 Msta-B howitzers on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating successful counter-battery fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 video shows night-time aerial reconnaissance footage on the Krasnoarmeysk direction (Pokrovsk axis), indicating continued RUF ISR and targeting efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Colonelcassad provides video of Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) striking UAF positions near Popovo Yar in the zone of the 68th Army Corps, aiming to disrupt UAF plans to hold positions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Басурин о главном posts a photo message celebrating the birthday of Eduard Basurin, a prominent DNR/RUF figure, likely for morale boosting and propaganda. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not tactically significant). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video displays drone footage from Sumy Oblast, showing damaged structures and an explosion, confirming RUF combat operations in the area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF «Зона СВО» video shows a RUF soldier operating a drone, engaged in reconnaissance over a rural landscape, indicating continued RUF ISR efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України posts multiple photo messages of UAF soldiers, some with insignia of the 95th Airborne Brigade, engaged in what appears to be training or static display, promoting morale and readiness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: RUF Alex Parker Returns video appears to show a civilian being questioned about TCK (mobilization center) visits, likely used for propaganda purposes. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: RUF aviation airstrikes continue. UAF source "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" provides video showing a recent attack on a Russian fuel train. Zaporizhzhia OMA confirms new drone interceptor systems beginning operation. RUF "Сливочный каприз" posts a photo message and video captioned "Орехов - Малая Токmačka," showing extensive destruction. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) reports Russian forces are storming Kamyanske. DeepState reports RUF advances near Kamyanske. RUF "Операция Z" reports a large movement of equipment and ammunition on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating an imminent major RUF offensive. "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" posts a photo message with a tactical map and caption from Andryushchenko stating that RF is preparing a large-scale offensive on the Zaporizhzhia direction. TASS reports a UAF drone attacked a group of ZNPP staff. RUF "Операция Z" reports a UAF drone attack on ZNPP staff. ASTRA reports the detention of a hospital employee in occupied Melitopol for allegedly transmitting patient data to Ukraine. NEW: Zaporizhzhia OMA reports on a discussion about psychological readiness in communities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (UAF source) video shows a powerful strike on a Russian echelon near occupied Tokmak. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (UAF source) posts video showcasing the rebuilding of a residential building damaged in October 2022. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) video shows an FPV drone strike on a demined railway bridge in occupied Zaporizhzhia region, confirming successful disruption of a logistics route. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: ASTRA (UAF source) video confirms Ukrainian military attack on a railway convoy in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ (UAF source) provides video footage of a drone attack on a railway train in the Tokmak area of occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The video includes a "RONIN" unit emblem and geolocation overlay, indicating a successful interdiction of supplies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF РБК-Україна video shows UAF 44th Artillery Brigade engaging RUF D-30 and 2A65 Msta-B howitzers on the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicating successful counter-battery fire. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 posts photo messages highlighting the contributions of small and medium-sized businesses to the local economy despite the proximity of the front. (LOW CONFIDENCE - not militarily significant).
Kherson Oblast: UAF General Staff reports 2 Russian army assaults repelled. UAF "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" reports RUF delegation marking "unowned" houses in occupied Kakhovka. UAF Silly oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports RUF maintains high intensity of shelling and unsuccessful assault attempts near Antonivsky Bridge and in the island zone. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report a strike on a critical energy facility in Kherson Oblast, causing power outages. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: STERNENKO (UAF source) reports on the head of Kherson OMA Prokudin stating RUF shelled an important energy facility in Kherson Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: Операция Z (RUF source) reports on a critical energy facility attack in Kherson Oblast, supporting UAF reports of damage and power outages. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). NEW: UAF Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 video shows two RUF soldiers discussing their deployment to Donbas and their length of service, likely an internal UAF capture or observation, providing insights into RUF personnel conditions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
1.4. Key Changes from Previous Reports
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action
Capabilities:
Intentions:
2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations
2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status
2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns
RUF Narratives:
UAF Narratives:
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors
Ukrainian Public Sentiment:
Russian Public Sentiment:
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments
Support for Ukraine:
Support for Russia:
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA)
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA)
Intelligence & Special Operations:
Air Defense & Force Protection:
Ground Forces:
Information Operations & Diplomatic:
END OF REPORT
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