Archived operational intelligence briefing
1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:
Donetsk Oblast: RUF continues to claim "liberation" of Perebudova and control over Dyleyevka, describing it as a "powerful fortified area" on the approaches to Konstantinovka, allowing "fire control" over UAF logistics. "Операция Z" published video claiming "Dyleevka is under our control." The UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) reports active clashes near Dyliyivka (Toretsk direction) and Pokrovsk direction (Promin, Novotoretske, Myrolubivka, Lysivka, Novoukrayinka, Novoserhiyivka, Udachne, Myrnohrad, Oleksiyivka, Popiv Yar, Malynivka, Koptyevye and towards Shakhove, Volodymyrivka, Molodetske, Serhiyivka, Novopavlivka), confirming active combat in these claimed areas. Rybar indicates RUF successes near Konstantinovka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports UAF Special Operations Forces destroyed a Russian assault group on the Pokrovsk direction. "Сливочный каприз" shared a photo captioned "24.06.25 Chasov Yar - Shevchenko" (likely Chasiv Yar area), indicating continued RUF focus on these critical sectors. Два майора published video from Konstantinovka direction, Yablonovka, showing drone strikes on enemy positions and assault actions by RUF soldiers. STERNENKO shared drone footage indicating Russian origin, showing a residential area in Donetsk Oblast with significant damage and an explosion, suggesting continued RUF strikes on civilian infrastructure within contested zones. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shared video of "BLACK SKY" unit of 3rd Separate Presidential Brigade "Spartan" striking RUF forces in western outskirts of Novoserhiivka, implying active UAF defense/counter-attack. "Сливочный каприз" also shared new photo captioned "24.06.25 Krasnoarmeysk - Novoekonomicheskoe" (Pokrovsk direction) and a video with "Rubicon" and MoD Russia logos showing a drone strike on a vehicle, which they claim caused a "200" (KIA). New alert for 16 UAVs heading towards Dobropillia/Druzhkivka. Colonelcassad shared video of RUF destroying a UAF AGS crew on the Konstantinovka direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports KAB launches on Donetsk Oblast. TASS reports FPV drone strikes by "Yug" group destroyed an American M119 howitzer and an ammunition depot in DNR. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (Paratrooper's Diary) shared video captioned "Поражение группы пехоты" (Defeat of an infantry group), showing aerial footage of explosions, likely from a drone strike, with a parachute and wings emblem, suggesting RUF airborne operations or targeting of UAF infantry. WarGonzo shared multiple photo messages with map overlays for Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions, showing claimed RUF advances and active combat zones. Народная милиция ДНР shared video of successful Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS RF) airstrikes on a UAF fortified area near Popov Yar, showing smoke plumes and cratering in agricultural fields. Операция Z reports that "Geraniums" struck a UAV assembly workshop at Kramatorsk airfield, with video evidence of the strike. Colonelcassad also shared a video captioned "Удар Герани с оптической системой наведения по цели ВСУ в аэропорту Краматорска," reinforcing this claim. Басурин о главном shared video and photos corroborating RUF strikes on the UAV assembly workshop at Kramatorsk airfield using "Geraniums". This indicates a persistent targeting effort by RUF against UAF drone production capabilities. "Сливочный каприз" shared a photo captioned "25.06.25 Великая Новосёлка - Ялта" (Great Novosilka - Yalta) which aligns with previous RUF claims of advancements in the Velyka Novosilka sector. Воин DV reported the "liberation" of Yalta by the "Vostok" Group of Forces, including video evidence. MoD Russia reports that the Vostok Group of Forces liberated Yalta (Donetsk People's Republic). Alex Parker Returns amplified this, referring to it as the "third liberated Yalta." Народная милиция ДНР shared video claiming destruction of UAF artillery and armored vehicles in Alekseyevka. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shared video of a successful UAF drone strike near Pokrovsk, targeting RUF personnel under camouflage nets. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RUF liberated Yalta, Donetsk People's Republic. TASS reports that the "liberation" of Yalta in DNR will allow RUF to take fire control of the UAF grouping in Novopavlivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which they describe as a key hub. РБК-Україна reports Konstantinovka is on the verge of a humanitarian catastrophe, citing Donetsk OVA, indicating severe civilian impact and potential RUF proximity. Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) and Kotsnews shared videos claiming the liberation of Yalta in DNR by "Vostok" Group of Forces, with footage showing a Russian flag being raised, thermal imagery of destroyed vehicles, and aftermath of combat. Z комитет + карта СВО shared multiple map overlays (June 13-25, 2025) for the "Bogatyrskoye Direction" showing claimed RUF advances (Komar, Bogatyr, Vesele), indicating ongoing RUF pressure in this sector. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shared video demonstrating successful strikes on enemy infantry attempting an assault. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared a video claiming "obliteration of Ukrainian Armed Forces infantry is going according to plan," displaying aerial footage of explosions hitting a wooded area and figures moving, suggesting ongoing RUF ground assaults and drone targeting against UAF infantry. Z комитет + карта СВО shared new map overlays (June 13-25, 2025) for the "Volnoye Pole" (Vesele Pole) direction, showing claimed RUF advances, indicating continued pressure on this axis. MoD Russia shared video of Vostok Group Grad MLRS crews eliminating enemy manpower and hardware in South Donetsk direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE – RUF claims on Perebudova, Dyleyevka; UAF confirms active combat; LOW CONFIDENCE – independent verification of RUF control over these settlements and the tactical implications for Konstantinovka; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - Rybar's claim, requires verification; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF successful action reported by Butusov Plus; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - "Сливочный каприз" photo, indicates activity in Chasiv Yar direction; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Два майора video of combat in Konstantinovka direction; HIGH CONFIDENCE - STERNENKO drone footage, indicates RUF strikes; HIGH CONFIDENCE - DeepState video of UAF strikes; HIGH CONFIDENCE - "Сливочный каприз" new photo/video). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF map claims, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video evidence, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF map overlays show claimed advances, but require independent verification of control). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video, implies ground action and drone support). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF map claims). NEW: Fighterbomber shared video of successful RUF strike on a UAF strongpoint near Sadki, showing a helicopter or similar aircraft hit by an explosion. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA, unverified by independent sources). NEW: Операция Z (Военкоры Русской Весны) shared video claiming "🅾️tvazhnye" (RUF forces) are continuously destroying NATO equipment, infantry, and artillery near Pokrovsk, with footage of BMP and self-propelled artillery identified as "SAU PALADIN." (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video, unverified BDA, propaganda). NEW: Colonelcassad shared 18+ video from Andreeka surroundings showing a deceased individual in camouflage with a rifle, suggesting recent combat and casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video, unverified). NEW: STERNENKO shared drone footage showing continued RUF active assaults on the Pokrovsk direction, using infantry and light transport. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA).
Luhansk Oblast: RUF sources continue to claim the "liberation" of Petrovske (Hrekivka), asserting that "LNR is completely liberated." The UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) reports clashes yesterday near Tverdokhlibove, Ridkodub, Karpivka, Kolodyazi and towards Hrekivka, Zelena Dolyny, Novyi Myr, Olhivka (Lyman direction), indicating active combat in the broader area of Hrekivka/Petrovske. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the 3rd Assault Brigade is pushing occupiers out near Ridkodub. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shared video titled "The Third Assault is knocking out the occupiers in the area of Ridkodub!" Николаевский Ванёк also reports the 3rd Assault Brigade is "knockings out occupiers" near Ridkodub. Басурин (Basurin) claims RUF confidently advancing on Krasnolimansk direction with video of artillery fire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shared video of destruction of an enemy Grad MLRS system in Lyman direction, Donetsk Oblast by a UAV. Colonelcassad and Военкор Котенок posted aerial footage of the Serebryanskoye forestry, describing it as modern combat zone with "fiber optic cables" from FPV drones, indicating intense drone warfare in this sector. Оперативний ЗСУ also shared video of Serebryanskoye forest, describing it as "legendary" and "covered in fiber optics from drones," confirming intense drone warfare in this sector. TASS reports AFU controls less than 0.5% of Luhansk Oblast, citing Marochko. Rybar shares video on "Liberation of Grigorievka and battles for Verkhnekamenskoye." Colonelcassad reports on drone strikes by "Rubikon" unit of 144th division destroying an ammunition depot near Kolodezi. Kotsnews reports that "Starlink" has been banned in the LPR, indicating RUF efforts to control communication in occupied territories. Mash na Donbashe, Colonelcassad, and НгП раZVедка corroborate the Starlink ban in LNR. Два майора comments on the Starlink ban, suggesting RUF is reviewing its policies, reinforcing the intent to control information. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – RUF claims on Petrovske/Hrekivka, UAF confirms active combat; LOW CONFIDENCE – verification of RUF control over Petrovske/Hrekivka; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report of counter-action and supporting video; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - Basurin's claim, unverified; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Colonelcassad/Voenkor Kotenok reports on Serebryanskoye forestry, indicating active combat and high drone usage; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF video of Grad destruction; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Оперативний ЗСУ video on Serebryanskoye forest). (LOW CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF reports of Starlink ban).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnipro): RUF launched ballistic missiles against Dnipro city. Updated reports from UAF official sources and local administration confirm an increase in casualties: 20 dead and nearly 300 wounded. Оперативний ЗСУ states 15 dead and over 200 injured, citing OMA. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition reports four explosions in Dnipropetrovovsk industrial zone, likely Iskander. RUF sources claim a "powerful strike" was made against a "locomotive repair plant in Dnipropetrovovsk," framing it as a strike on UAF logistics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claimed RUF forces hit a "rocket and armored vehicle production plant" in Dnipropetrovsk. Zelenskiy / Official also shared video of a damaged passenger train, indicating a direct hit on railway infrastructure. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація explicitly states the passenger train "Odesa - Zaporizhzhia" was damaged. РБК-Україна reports an expert called the strike a "targeted attack or psychological terror," aimed at hitting moving objects like trains, making them difficult to intercept. Олексій Білошицький shared videos showing police officers providing first aid to an individual in a car accident in Dnipro, indicating continued civilian emergency response after the strike. Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reported continued enemy attacks on Nikopol region, specifically Nikopol, Marhanets, Myrove, Chervonohryhorivka, Pokrovsk communities, with associated damage photos. New UAV threat in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. New alert for UAV from Kharkiv Oblast towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. New alert for UAV from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports 20 dead and nearly 300 wounded from yesterday's Russian attack on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Олександр Вілкул reports Kryvyi Rih situation is controlled. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shared a video message with a static image and text "ДНІПРО SAMAR" and "ДЕНЬ ЖАЛОБИ" (Day of Mourning) commemorating victims. STERNENKO reports the number of victims of yesterday's Russian attack on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast has increased to 20. Олександр Вілкул shared photos showing the modernization of heating systems in Kryvyi Rih, indicating continued civilian infrastructure repair. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issued a new alert for ballistic missile threat from the eastern direction, specifically towards Poltava Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Zaporizhzhia Oblast. A UAF air raid alert for ballistic missile threat was later cancelled. Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) confirms the death toll in Dnipro has risen to 19. Оперативний ЗСУ corroborates this, reporting 19 dead in Dnipro and an additional 2 in Samara, with over 300 wounded. The earlier casualty figure of 20 dead cited by some sources is now updated to 19 in Dnipro and 2 in Samara (total 21 KIA in Oblast). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapon use in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, indicating continued RUF air activity. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared video depicting the aftermath of shelling, showing damaged cars and houses, and civilians receiving aid for repairs. This highlights continued civilian impact and the humanitarian response. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared new photos reporting FPV drone and artillery strikes on Nikopol district, including Nikopol, Pokrovsk, Myrivska, and Marhanets communities, resulting in civilian damage. This confirms continued RUF shelling of civilian areas. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a photo with the caption "Dnipropetrovsk direction," implying continued RUF focus or operations in this area. WarGonzo mentions "Dnipro" in the context of "Korean War," indicating continued RUF attention to this area and potentially leveraging it for propaganda analogies. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports Russian "Iskanders" creating "big problems" for Ukraine, likely in reference to the Dnipro strike, underscoring the missile's effectiveness for RUF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – UAF/Independent sources on impacts and casualties, including the increase to 21 KIA and over 300 wounded; HIGH CONFIDENCE – Civilian targeting; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE – RUF claims on specific military target within Dnipro, requires BDA; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Damage to passenger train confirmed; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Poddubny reporting on Iskander use; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claim on missile/armored vehicle plant, requires BDA; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Оперативний ЗСУ casualty update; HIGH CONFIDENCE - РБК-Україна expert analysis; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Олексій Білошицький video, shows civilian impact and response). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF Air Force report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF presence). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: Colonelcassad shared video captioned "Mogilization in Dnipropetrovsk is happening in accelerated, round-the-clock mode," showing individuals in military-style uniforms apprehending a civilian, indicating RUF propaganda regarding UAF mobilization and potentially forced conscription. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO).
Sumy Oblast: The UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) explicitly reports UAF forces repelled 10 RUF assaults yesterday in the Kursk and North Slobozhansky (Sumy) direction, confirming active combat and persistent RUF pressure in the border region. A new map from Z комитет + карта СВО on the Sumy direction (June 13-23, 2025) highlights territorial changes. STERNENKO shared video of defensive positions in Sumy region. Kotsnews reports on "the first report on the advance of the Russian Armed Forces in Sumy Oblast." Air Force of Ukraine reports KAB launches by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issued new alerts for KAB launches on Sumy Oblast at 18:22Z and 18:31Z. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a destroyed Abrams tank in Sumy Oblast due to Lancet. STERNENKO also shared video of "Wings to Hell" (UAF drone unit) destroying a "Buryat samurai" (RUF soldier) with a tactical net in Sumy Oblast. Старше Эдды (Starshe Eddy) published an "Exclusive. First report from the 'buffer zone' in Sumy Oblast," including multiple photos depicting a rural road, damaged houses, and debris, aiming to validate RUF claims of presence. Colonelcassad shared a series of photos under the caption "Exclusive. First report from the 'buffer zone' in Sumy Oblast," showing rural roads, damaged houses, and military personnel, attempting to corroborate RUF presence in the claimed buffer zone. Николаевский Ванёк reports a collection for transport for drone operators of 421st Separate UAV Battalion "Sapsan" on the Sumy direction. STERNENKO reports on "drone safety" in Kursk, Lipetsk, Belgorod, Saratov, Voronezh, Tambov, and Penza Oblasts. Igor Артамонов (Governor, Lipetsk Oblast) reported "UAV threat cancelled," indicating recent UAF drone activity and RUF AD response in Lipetsk Oblast. A new "yellow" air danger level was announced for all of Lipetsk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a video showing FPV drone activity in Sumy Oblast over deceased RUF personnel. New alert for UAVs in Sumy Oblast, moving southwest. New alert for 1 UAV heading towards Sumy city from the north. New alert for UAV towards Sumy city cancelled. ТАСС reports RUF advancing in Sumy Oblast using small groups to stretch enemy forces, citing Alaudinov. AV БогомаZ reports a RUF UAV was destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. Colonelcassad reports on demining operations in Kursk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new KAB launches on Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shared a photo message about the situation of UAF in Sumy, including a new GUR unit, indicating RUF monitoring and IO on the northern front. STERNENKO reports an ammunition depot is detonating in Transbaikal Krai (Zabaikalsky Krai) of Russia, on the territory of a military unit, with video evidence of explosions and smoke. Alex Parker Returns shared videos from Sumy Oblast depicting Special Operations Forces work and highlighting a "guerrilla" conflict. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports an FPV drone attack by UAF on a civilian KamAZ truck in Bilovsky district of Kursk Oblast, injuring a 52-year-old man. UAF Air Force reports activity of RUF tactical aviation in the northeastern direction (likely Sumy/Kharkiv). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a photo with the caption "Sumy direction," indicating continued RUF focus on this axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – UAF repelled assaults in Sumy/Kursk; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE – RUF claim of "buffer zone" in Sumy, active combat confirmed; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF defensive preparations in Sumy, RUF KAB strikes in Sumy; LOW CONFIDENCE - Abrams destruction claim, unverified; HIGH CONFIDENCE - STERNENKO drone footage; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - Starshe Eddy reporting and photos, intent is to confirm RUF presence; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Mykolaiv Vanok's report on UAF drone unit transport collection; HIGH CONFIDENCE - STERNENKO drone safety report; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Igor Artamonov's update on AD status; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Air Force of Ukraine KAB alerts). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF Air Force report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF report).
Kharkiv Oblast: UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Hremyach of Chernihiv region, Vovchanski Khutory, Artilne, Zybyne of Kharkiv region, Popiv Yar of Donetsk region. Clashes yesterday near Vovchansk and Kamyanka (South Slobozhansky direction) and near Stepova Novoselivka, Kruhlyakivka, Zelenti Hai, towards Pischane and Kurylivka (Kupyansk direction). MoD Russia published video of Grad MLRS strike near the border in Kharkiv region. Привид Хортиці (Ghost of Khortytsia) shared video of UAF drone operations targeting enemy positions and a boat in Slobozhanshchyna, demonstrating UAF counter-action capabilities. Colonelcassad shared video claiming destruction of an enemy UAV control point in Kharkiv Oblast (likely a UAF asset). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared video of 3rd Separate Tank "Iron" Brigade destroying RUF forces, captioned "These are our heavens, this is our land!", and a new FPV drone video targeting an RUF UAZ vehicle ("bukhanka"). New KAB launches by RUF tactical aviation in eastern Kharkiv Oblast. Операция Z shared video claiming "Thunder" (RUF drone unit) burning enemy equipment near Kupyansk. New alert for several groups of UAVs in eastern Kharkiv Oblast heading west. New alert for UAV in Kharkiv city. New alerts for 6 UAVs from Bilhorod towards Kharkiv, and several groups from the north towards Kharkiv city. Explosions reported in Kharkiv city, striking a civilian enterprise. RUF launched at least 7 strikes on Kharkiv city. New alert for UAVs in Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk. New alerts for UAVs towards Kharkiv city cancelled. RUF UAV strike reported to have hit a civilian enterprise in Kyivskyi district of Kharkiv. Another hit was recorded in Shevchenkivskyi district. Total of four Geran-2 UAVs struck a civilian enterprise in Kyivskyi district. РБК-Україна reports Kharkiv was attacked by seven Shahed-type drones. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports 64-year-old man wounded in Kharkiv attack. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reports RUF also struck Kupyansk overnight. РБК-Україна reports RUF also struck Kupyansk with KABs overnight. New video from Colonelcassad showing FPV drone strike on UAF pickup truck in Kupyansk vicinity. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 7 Shahed UAVs struck Kyivskyi district in Kharkiv. Воин DV shared video claiming 14th Guards Spetsnaz Brigade hit a UAV control point in Shakhtarsk direction. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shared multiple photos from his visit with Ukraine's Minister of Education and Science, Oksen Lisovyi, in Kharkiv Oblast, inspecting construction/renovation sites. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new KAB launches on Kharkiv Oblast. ASTRA reports that Russian forces struck Kharkiv overnight, injuring a pensioner, with associated photos of damaged buildings, smoke, and firefighting efforts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new KAB launches on Kharkiv Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a video of a Russian "Molniya" (Lightning) loitering munition being intercepted/destroyed, with the Khartia unit logo. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС also shared the video of the "Molniya" being destroyed. Colonelcassad shared a video from the Vovchansk (Volchansk) direction, appealing for support for RUF assault troops. Николаевский Ванёк reports ballistic missile heading to Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a high-speed target on Izium, Kharkiv Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports successful interception of the missile targeting Chuhuiv. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that SBU and National Police detained a Russian agent in Kharkiv who allegedly passed a mined scooter to UAF personnel as "volunteer aid." Oleg Sinegubov, Governor of Kharkiv Oblast, shared photos from a visit to defense industry facilities in the region, emphasizing their importance for frontline support. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared multiple photos of infantry from the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade training with modern combat equipment, indicating ongoing UAF readiness and adaptation. Colonelcassad shared exclusive footage of alleged destruction of UAF personnel and military equipment in the "buffer zone" across Kharkiv, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts, showing drone surveillance and strikes, indicating continued RUF operations in these border regions. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА reported on "Єдиних новин" about shelling and drone attacks in Kharkiv region, confirming continued RUF aggression and its impact on civilian areas. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shared a video showing UAF aviation and Rocket and Artillery Forces actively working, with footage of strikes on armored vehicles, personnel concentrations in Chasiv Yar and Vovchansk, and an enemy command post in Shipylivka, demonstrating active UAF counter-action. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shared photos indicating the Kharkiv OVA will allocate over 108 million UAH for housing for family-type children's homes, demonstrating continued efforts to support civilians. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – UAF official reports on RUF airstrikes and clashes; HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF MLRS activity in Kharkiv; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF drone operations in Kharkiv; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - RUF claim of UAV control point destruction; HIGH CONFIDENCE - ОТУ "Харків" videos). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Оперативний ЗСУ shared a video showing a 92nd Separate Assault Brigade soldier shooting down a RUF FPV drone with a shotgun as it attempted to hit a UAF pickup truck transporting personnel. This highlights continued UAF ingenuity and adaptive counter-drone tactics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF training report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video evidence). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF civilian support efforts). Сливочный каприз shared a photo captioned "25.06.25 Волчанск," indicating continued RUF presence and operations in the Vovchansk sector. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF report). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared photos captioned "Харьковское направление," reinforcing continued RUF focus on this axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF report). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shared video of 3rd Assault Brigade drones preparing "a large batch of Russian scrap metal," demonstrating successful UAF strikes on RUF heavy equipment, weapons, and logistics in Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a video titled "Daily routine of defenders," showing infantry combat, suggesting active engagement on the Kharkiv axis. The video is from the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade, confirming active UAF presence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF combat footage). NEW: Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shared photos of a meeting with leaders of Sweden, Denmark, Norway, and Finland, confirming continued international diplomatic engagement and support for Ukraine, specifically for Kharkiv Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). NEW: MoD Russia shared video of Tornado-S MLRS crews inflicting fire damage on UAF formations in Kharkiv direction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA, unverified). NEW: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claimed successful strike on a UAF command post and UAV control point in Sosnovka, Kharkiv region. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA, unverified by independent sources).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) reports RUF aviation conducted airstrikes at Malynivka, Novoandriyivka, Kamyanske, Novooleksandrivka, Novopavlivka, Stepnohirsk of Zaporizhzhia region. UAF Air Force reports activity of RUF reconnaissance UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is scaling up protection for Defense Forces by constructing new anti-drone tunnels for logistics routes. Air Force of Ukraine reports missile danger and KAB launches in Zaporizhzhia. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issued an alert for ballistic missile threat from the southern direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shared video of 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade operators downing a Russian "Orlan-30" reconnaissance UAV near Zaporizhzhia with an FPV drone. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration) reports RUF conducted an airstrike on one of the settlements in Polohy district. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 also shared photos of housing restoration in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, graduation ceremonies, and a photo postcard titled "Melitopol is Ukraine." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posted a photo with the caption "Zaporozhye direction," implying continued RUF focus or operations in this area. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition claimed a British mercenary was killed near Mali Shcherbaky during a UAF attempt to recapture the area. New KAB launches by RUF tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Mash na Donbashe reports part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast without power due to UAF strike. New UAV in Zaporizhzhia Oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk (Synelnykivskyi district). New alert for UAV from the south heading towards Zaporizhzhia city. New fast target on Zaporizhzhia. Explosions reported in Zaporizhzhia, with damage. Two missiles impacted Zaporizhzhia. РБК-Україна reports two people wounded in Zaporizhzhia strikes. Air raid alert cancelled in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 4 strikes on Zaporizhzhia, 2 wounded, with video evidence of damaged civilian infrastructure. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 9 private homes damaged by missile strikes on Zaporizhzhia. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares video of a private house impacted by an explosion. WarGonzo shared multiple photo messages with map overlays for the Zaporizhzhia Front. Два майора published a video of a tactical drone strike in Zaporizhzhia region. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 posted a new photo message with the caption "🪂 Запорожское направление." 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video showcasing the delivery of military aid, including generators, drones (DJI Mavic), and possibly Starlink terminals, to Ukrainian forces on the Zaporizhzhia direction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 469 strikes on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in the past day. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 issued a new alert for a ballistic missile threat from the eastern direction. UAF air raid alert was later cancelled. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video showing administrative staff working in a bomb shelter for ID card/passport services. Воин DV shared video captioned "11th Guards Air Force and Air Defense Army keeps pace with ground colleagues and regularly irons out AFU positions, this time in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, near Poltavka," showing aerial footage of explosions, indicating continued RUF airstrikes and artillery fire in the region. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports almost 900 subscribers are without power due to an enemy attack on Zaporizhzhia district, confirming ongoing infrastructure damage. TASS reports RUF military expert Marochko stating that RUF has liberated Yalta (DNR) because UAF units cannot consolidate positions after taking Zaporizhzhia. This is a contradictory RUF claim aimed at discrediting UAF operational capacity on a different axis. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy UAV over Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with assets engaged to shoot it down. This signifies continued RUF reconnaissance. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that brigades of "Zaporizhzhiaoblenergo" have restored power to subscribers affected by the enemy attack, demonstrating civilian resilience and restoration efforts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video showcasing the handover of new specialized vehicles (auto loaders, bunker trucks, vans) to communal services and frontline communities, funded by the Ukrainian government and Germany, highlighting efforts to restore infrastructure after RUF attacks. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a video showing the 148th Zhytomyr Separate Artillery Brigade effectively striking RUF artillery, positions, and personnel, demonstrating continued UAF counter-battery and targeting capabilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – UAF official reports; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official reports on AD alerts; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF counter-UAV action and supporting video; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Zaporizhzhia OMA on airstrike; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Zaporizhzhia OMA on housing restoration; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Zaporizhzhia OMA on graduation ceremony; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Zaporizhzhia OMA on Melitopol; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 photo). (LOW CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, requires verification). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF map claims, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF presence). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF logistical support). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF report on widespread damage). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF air defense engagement). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared photos of President Zelenskyy's meeting with former US President Trump in The Hague, reinforcing the strong diplomatic support for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 also shared video of Zelenskyy meeting with leaders of E5 format countries (Germany, France, UK, Italy, Poland) and NATO Secretary General, highlighting multilateral support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report). NEW: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video of the swimming program for veterans, indicating UAF efforts for veteran rehabilitation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF official report).
Kherson Oblast: UAF General Staff (GeneralStaffZSU) reports Ukrainian forces have repelled 3 Russian army assaults in the Kherson direction. "Два майора" shared video of FPV drone and UAV-KT combat work by 127th Separate Reconnaissance Brigade in Kherson direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reported that RUF began to disconnect mobile internet in the occupied part of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports UAF "tigers" captured another prisoner on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a photo/map of the "Kherson direction." АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared a video claiming the "Espanyola" special forces marine detachment thwarted UAF landing plans on Crimea. MoD Russia released video showing signalmen of the 49th Army, Dnepr Group of Forces, in Kherson region. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА also shared video of an FPV drone. ТАСС reports Saldo (RUF-appointed governor) states AFU conducting massive attack by aircraft-type UAVs on Kherson Oblast. Операция Z shared video captioned "The enemy is attacking Kazan and Kherson region." Два майора is conducting a "collection for Kherson direction." New alert for 3 UAVs flying past Oleksandrivka, towards Pravdyne/Posad-Pokrovske. New alert for UAVs in southern Mykolaiv Oblast heading northeast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a large UAF unit was destroyed by missile strikes in Kherson direction. MoD Russia shared video of civilian evacuation from Bahatyr. Kotsnews shared multiple videos of civilian evacuation from Bahatyr. Воин DV shared video claiming "Baltic brothers" from the 336th Guards Marine Brigade struck a UAF vehicle during personnel disembarkation, showing thermal footage of explosions. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a RUF UAV in Mykolaiv Oblast that "may be a spotter for enemy weapons." This indicates ongoing RUF reconnaissance and targeting efforts in southern Ukraine. Colonelcassad shared a video purportedly showing a civilian woman expressing gratitude and relief at the arrival of Russian military forces, likely in a recently occupied or contested settlement, suggesting RUF propaganda efforts to legitimize their presence. STERNENKO shared drone footage showing UAF Southern Defense Forces destroying RUF forces in Kherson Oblast, with footage of an industrial structure, infrared views of heat signatures, and a vessel on water being targeted. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – UAF official report; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE – RUF combat footage, unverified BDA by UAF; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF reporting on RUF internet shutdown; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF capture of prisoner; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 photo/map of Kherson direction, indicating continued RUF focus; MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА video, unverified BDA, likely propaganda; HIGH CONFIDENCE - MoD Russia video on Kherson; HIGH CONFIDENCE - АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА new video; HIGH CONFIDENCE - TASS report on Kherson UAV attack). (HIGH CONFIDENCE – RUF acknowledgement). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO, confirms RUF presence and evacuation efforts). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF Air Force report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). NEW: MoD Russia shared a video featuring a captured Ukrainian serviceman discussing command's attitude towards soldiers, alleging tattoos with nationalistic symbols on instructors and soldiers being sent to the front without weapons if disciplined. This is RUF information warfare aimed at undermining UAF morale and promoting desertion. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO).
Odesa Oblast: STERNENKO reports that Vasya Lomachenko is upset due to the Russian strike on a lyceum in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that three employees were killed in the strike on the lyceum in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS also named the three killed employees. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issued new alert for "Several groups of UAVs in the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast." New report of 14 UAVs in the Black Sea, and two of them north of Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. Николаевский Ванёк reports 2 UAVs were shot down near Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. New alert for UAVs heading towards Odesa Oblast (Sarata). New alert for UAVs from Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast (Vylkove). New alert for UAVs from Black Sea towards southern Odesa Oblast. New alert for 6 UAVs from Black Sea towards Primorske/Tatarbunary, Odesa Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 9 UAVs heading to Vylkove. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in Vylkove. Николаевский Ванёк reports that out of 16 UAVs towards Vylkove, 7 remain. РБК-Україна reports explosions in Vylkove. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports RUF forces struck a UAF military unit in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. Сили оборони Півдня України reports 17 Shahed-131/136 UAVs were destroyed in the operational zone of "South" Group of Forces over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a Shahed UAV strike on infrastructure in Vylkove. РБК-Україна reports initial details of RUF attack on Vylkove, saying "enemy tries to leave the city without water." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shared a video showing UAF drone operators of the "SICARIO" unit destroying a bridge in the southern direction using bomb drops from a hexacopter, indicating UAF efforts to disrupt RUF logistics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports successful UAF air defense against Shahed drones, including an F-16 using an AIM-9 Sidewinder and a Mi-24 helicopter using machine gun fire, demonstrating multi-layered UAF air defense capabilities. Colonelcassad shared multiple videos claiming missile strikes by RUF on ammunition depots in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Odesa Oblast, showing large explosions and smoke plumes from a distance, indicating continued RUF targeting of UAF logistics in the region. РБК-Україна reports "Russians started using white radio-controlled 'Shaheds'," implying a new or modified RUF drone variant, which could pose a targeting challenge. STERNENKO shared drone footage showing the Phoenix border detachment destroying Russian logistics in Donetsk Oblast, specifically trucks, implying broader UAF logistical interdiction efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF reporting on strike). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF video evidence, unverified BDA). (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - RUF claims of new drone type, requires technical verification). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF BDA).
Other Axes (UAF General Staff Reports):
RF Territory (Various Regions): ASTRA and RUF MoD via TASS claimed Russian air defense forces destroyed 34 Ukrainian UAVs over various regions of Russia, with TASS specifically claiming 18 UAVs shot down in three hours. TASS later updated this, claiming 22 Ukrainian UAVs shot down over various regions of Russia in 3.5 hours (also reported by ASTRA). TASS reports that Russian AD forces from 13:00 to 15:00 MSK destroyed 8 Ukrainian UAVs over Voronezh, Kursk, and Samara Oblasts, indicating continued UAF deep strikes and RUF AD activity. Igor Artamonov (Governor, Lipetsk Oblast) reports a UAV threat in Usmansky and Dobrinsky districts, now "cancelled." A new "yellow" air danger level was announced for all of Lipetsk Oblast at 04:01:46Z JUN 25. Igor Artamonov reports the "yellow" air danger level for Lipetsk Oblast has been canceled. Оперативний ЗСУ shared photos claiming 8 RUF oil depots after drone attacks by UAV forces. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shows video of a RUF soldier killed by UAF drone. РБК-Україна reports RUF has dropped almost 100 bombs on its own and occupied territories since the beginning of the year. STERNENKO shared video of "Novem Group" destroying RUF logistics in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports "Aeroflot" is adjusting flight schedules to Kazan, Samara, and Saratov due to restrictions. ASTRA confirms "Aeroflot" flight adjustments. AV БогомаZ (Governor, Bryansk Oblast) reports "Over the territory of Bryansk Oblast, air defense forces of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation detected and destroyed an aircraft-type unmanned aerial vehicle." AV БогомаZ (Governor of Bryansk Oblast) posted photos about road network development in Bryansk Oblast. Colonelcassad reports that Putin posthumously awarded the Order of Courage to Pavel Mishin, a train driver killed in a bridge collapse in Bryansk Oblast. ASTRA reports 8 UAVs shot down in Ulyanovsk Oblast with internet restricted in the region. Рыбарь shares video message captioned "Organization and conduct of an ambush on enemy transport." ASTRA reported on a new initiative in St. Petersburg where "participants of the war with Ukraine will instill 'traditional values' in schoolchildren." Kotsnews claimed "Kyiv continues to hold 32 Kursky residents hostage." Новости Москвы shared videos of heavy rain and strong winds in Moscow. Операция Z (Military Correspondents of Russian Spring) posted video of aftermath of an alleged enemy attempt to destroy "Espanyola" marine detachment. НгП раZVедка shared video depicting a security operation with a civilian vehicle, individuals in a wooded area (one armed), an incapacitated individual, an FSB vehicle, and electronic equipment with IED components and X-ray imagery of ammunition. This indicates ongoing internal security concerns and counter-sabotage operations within RF territory. Colonelcassad reports the detention of two Moldovan intelligence agents in Moscow with tasks against Russian security. Alex Parker Returns corroborates this. This suggests heightened counter-intelligence activities and perceived foreign interference. MoD Russia reports the Russian Aerospace Forces received another batch of Su-35S aircraft. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 corroborates this with photos and video of new Su-35S aircraft, indicating continued Russian military-industrial output and force modernization, despite sanctions. Fighterbomber also shared video titled "About Su-35," showcasing the aircraft's capabilities and reinforcing reports of continued production. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a military unit in Chita, Siberia, has multiple fires and ongoing detonation for several hours, with fire aviation deployed, indicating a significant incident, possibly an ammunition depot explosion. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Britain will transfer 350 advanced air defense missiles to Ukraine, purchased from frozen Russian assets, indicating continued western support using novel financing methods. ASTRA reports two servicemen robbed and assaulted a passerby in Moscow, highlighting potential disciplinary issues within the RF armed forces. Рыбарь shared a video titled "Combatting Ukrainian Terrorism," showing FSB vehicle and security operations, indicating ongoing internal security concerns within RF. AV БогомаZ (Governor of Bryansk Oblast) shared photos from an exhibition "Bryansk Oblast: Territory of Development," attended by high-ranking political and military figures, aiming to project stability and development in a border region. Colonelcassad shared a video honoring Radislav Khugaev, a sergeant posthumously awarded "Hero of Russia" for actions in Mariupol, indicating ongoing RUF propaganda to boost morale and glorify military service. Военкор Котенок reported on Pacific Fleet combat training, implying readiness across all RF military branches. Север.Реалии reports a Moscow court sentenced the founder of "Dissernet" to 5 years for extremism financing, indicating increased internal repression. ASTRA reports a warehouse with ammunition caught fire in Transbaikalia due to natural fires, with several videos and photos showing smoke, explosions, and emergency response, indicating a significant accidental loss of materiel. Alex Parker Returns reported on Putin's participation in the BRICS summit via video link due to ICC requirements in Brazil, highlighting RF's continued international engagement challenges. ТАСС reports that Russian AD destroyed 10 Ukrainian UAVs over Voronezh, Tambov, Kursk, Saratov, Penza, and Rostov Oblasts between 15:00 and 17:00 MSK, confirming continued UAF deep strikes and RUF AD activity. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shared photo messages regarding "blocked access to favorite sites," which may indicate increasing internet censorship or restrictions within RF territory. Alex Parker Returns shared a video featuring Timur Gromov, a veteran of the 'SVO,' discussing difficulties finding employment after service, which suggests potential re-socialization challenges for Russian veterans and possible societal rejection, impacting morale and future recruitment. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a fire in Dzerzhinsk, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, at the "Zarya" plant, involving chemical containers. This, if intentional, would represent another UAF deep strike against RF industrial targets. Gleb Nikitin (Governor of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast) shared photos of opening a new federal Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology laboratory, attempting to project stability and scientific advancement despite potential industrial incidents. ASTRA reports the arrest of activist Akim Tuktarov in Ufa, highlighting continued internal political repression within Russia. ТАСС reports that an MMA fighter was sentenced to life in prison for killing a MAJI inspector in Zaryadye, which, while a domestic crime, could reflect on internal social issues and the rule of law within RF. Новости Москвы reports increasing complaints of harassment against women in central Moscow, involving unwanted physical contact and filming, highlighting potential social unrest or crime issues within the RF capital. ASTRA reports that St. Petersburg local historian Dmitry Vitushkin was sentenced to 1 year in a penal colony for "rehabilitation of Nazism," indicating continued strict enforcement of controversial laws and suppression of dissent. ТАСС reports a court in Tula Oblast arrested a suspect in the murder of a sports college director and lawyer, highlighting internal crime issues in Russia. AV БогомаZ (Governor of Bryansk Oblast) shared a video showcasing an exhibition about the region's development, including industrial achievements (locomotives, tractors), agricultural production, and military equipment (MLRS, drones), aiming to project stability and national resilience in a border region subject to UAF attacks. Colonelcassad shared videos of Rostec developing a robot for laser demining, highlighting RF's continued investment in military technology and potentially addressing internal security challenges. (HIGH CONFIDENCE – RUF claims, RUF internal reporting on UAV threats; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF claims on oil depot strikes; HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF combat footage; HIGH CONFIDENCE - RBC-Ukraine report on RUF dropping bombs on own territory; HIGH CONFIDENCE - STERNENKO video of strike on RUF logistics in Kursk; HIGH CONFIDENCE - TASS/ASTRA reports on Aeroflot flight adjustments; HIGH CONFIDENCE - AV БогомаZ post on road development; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Igor Artamonov's update; HIGH CONFIDENCE - Colonelcassad report on Bryansk incident; HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA on Ulyanovsk UAVs). (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - Rybar video, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (LOW CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claim, unverified BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO, confirms military unit fire). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - UAF reports on aid). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF BDA). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF AD activity). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF propaganda). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal reporting). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal reporting). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Russian legal action). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA report, suggests significant loss of RUF materiel). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Alex Parker Returns report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - TASS report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Alex Parker Returns video, impacts veteran morale). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Оперативний ЗСУ report, unverified cause). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Gleb Nikitin report, propaganda). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA report, internal repression). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - TASS report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Новости Москвы reports). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - TASS report). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - AV БогомаZ video). (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF technology development). NEW: ASTRA reports the Governor of Transbaikalia confirmed a fire and ammunition detonation at a weapons depot in Bolshaya Tura. This corroborates previous reports and is a confirmed significant loss of RUF materiel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - ASTRA report). NEW: TASS reports Nilov will continue to work as an independent deputy after exclusion from LDPR, indicating internal political maneuvering. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal political reporting). NEW: Глеб Никитин (Governor of Nizhny Novgorod Oblast) shared photos of "Nizhny Novgorod opera divas" being among the best in the world, a civilian cultural report aimed at projecting normalcy and positive regional development in Russia. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal IO). NEW: Kotsnews shared a political cartoon related to a "Vecherniy Zvon" (Evening Bell), which is RUF information warfare. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: Alex Parker Returns shared a video featuring Russian servicemen seeking support for the "SVO," aimed at boosting morale and fundraising. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: Рыбарь shared a comic captioned "Once near Staromayorskoye," a form of RUF information warfare/propaganda. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared photos of a "patch 'Archangel Spetsnaz'" featuring a wolf, likely for morale or propaganda purposes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: TASS shared a photo message about Maria Zakharova calling to remember how US authorities shape investment climate, indicating RUF attempts to influence narratives on international economic relations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: Kadyrov_95 shared a video from a Russian practical shooting championship, highlighting Chechen team's success. This is aimed at promoting a warrior culture and martial prowess within RF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF IO). NEW: КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno indicates a "start" in 15 minutes and then "Starting," likely related to a cyber operation. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE - UAF cyber activity). NEW: TASS and ASTRA reported that 18 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over RF regions in three hours. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF AD activity). NEW: AV БогомаZ reports seven UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF AD activity). NEW: TASS reports the FAS will investigate Wildberries regarding their banking practices, indicating internal economic oversight. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal economic reporting). NEW: TASS reports on a criminal case against blogger Alex Leslie for incitement to rape, indicating internal crime issues. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF internal crime reporting).
1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors Affecting Operations:
1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:
2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:
3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:
3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:
3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:
4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:
RUF Dominant Narrative:
UAF Counter-Narrative:
Disinformation Impact: RUF's ability to quickly pivot and formalize pretexts (Krokus) demonstrates a dangerous level of narrative control. The prior fabricated Israel-Iran crisis successfully diverted significant international attention for a critical 24-hour period. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:
4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:
5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):
5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):
5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:
Intelligence & Special Operations:
Air Defense & Force Protection:
Ground Forces:
Information Operations & Diplomatic:
END OF REPORT
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