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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-06-24 01:07:29Z
8 months ago
Previous (2025-06-24 00:48:22Z)

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 240107Z JUN 25


1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

  • Kharkiv City/Oblast: Sustained RUF strike UAV activity targeting Kharkiv. Mayor Ihor Terekhov reports 7x "Shahed"/Geran-2 UAVs launched at Kharkiv during the night. Previous reports indicated impacts in Nemyshlyanskyi District with significant fire and casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Kyiv Oblast: No new immediate threats reported for Kyiv Oblast in this update, though previous reports indicated inbound UAVs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Moscow, RF (Krasnogorsk): RUF sources ("Voenkor Russkoy Vesny" via "Операция Z") report a fire on the 17th floor of a building in Krasnogorsk due to an "enemy attack," with 2x casualties. This aligns with previous RUF claims of domestic UAV incidents. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claims).
  • Tehran, Iran: RUF-aligned sources (TASS) provide contradictory statements from Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi. Initially, TASS claims Araghchi stated "no agreement" with Israel on a ceasefire or military operations. Minutes later, TASS claims Araghchi stated "if Israel ceases strikes by 04:00 local time 24 June, Tehran will not retaliate." This indicates continued, deliberate RUF information manipulation regarding the Iran-Israel situation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

  • No significant changes to weather or environmental factors affecting operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

  • Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF):
    • Air Defense: UAF AD remains active, engaging RUF UAVs. Mayor Terekhov's report of 7x "Shaheds" indicates continued RUF attempts to saturate Kharkiv AD. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Russian Forces (RUF):
    • Kinetic Operations:
      • UAV Operations (Ukraine): RUF continues multi-vector strike UAV attacks on Kharkiv, deploying at least 7x "Shaheds." This demonstrates sustained capability and intent to conduct terror strikes and attrit UAF AD. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • UAV Operations (RF): RUF continues to report domestic UAV incidents (Krasnogorsk, Moscow Oblast) to bolster the internal threat narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - RUF claims).
    • Information Operations (IO):
      • Global Diversion - "Ceasefire" Narrative (Hyper-Contradictory and Manipulative): RUF-aligned sources (TASS) continue to exhibit extreme real-time contradictions regarding a fabricated "ceasefire" between Iran and Israel. The conflicting statements attributed to Iranian FM Araghchi (no agreement vs. conditional non-retaliation) demonstrate RUF's intent to maintain maximum ambiguity and confusion in the international information space. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • Domestic Threat Framing: RUF sources continue to report UAV impacts in Moscow Oblast (Krasnogorsk) to frame Russia as under attack, justifying internal actions and external aggression. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • Military Industrial Complex (MIC) Narrative: RUF-aligned sources (Colonelcassad) are promoting "Kalashnikov" producing new "KUBs" for export, indicating RUF's intent to project military manufacturing strength and capacity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
      • Domestic Propaganda/Prisoners of War (POW) Narrative: TASS is pushing narratives about "Kursk Oblast residents held in Ukraine" knowing they were being sought, attempting to portray Ukraine as detaining innocent civilians. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Immediate and independent verification of the current status of the "Iran-Israel" situation. Determine if there is any factual basis for the persistent RUF claims, or if this is entirely a fabrication. Assess the veracity and source of "explosions" in Tehran and the drone strike in Iraq as previously noted. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: ALL-SOURCE SIGINT, OSINT, HUMINT on international diplomatic/military channels, especially from non-RUF/Iranian/Iraqi sources).
  • CRITICAL: Detailed Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) for all UAV impacts in Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, particularly on the civilian enterprises/villages. Determine specific targets (civilian, critical infrastructure, military), munition types, and estimated casualties. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA teams, IMINT, SIGINT).
  • HIGH: Assess the nature of the "high-flying UAF targets" claimed by RUF over Chasiv Yar (previous report). Determine if these are reconnaissance UAVs, supply drones, or other assets, and assess the RUF counter-UAV capabilities demonstrated. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, IMINT, GEOINT, UAS INT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

  • Air/Missile Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate robust capabilities in launching multi-vector, saturation UAV attacks against Ukrainian population centers (Kharkiv, Sumy Oblast), showcasing sustained offensive capacity. The launch of 7x "Shaheds" at Kharkiv in one wave underscores this. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Information Warfare Capabilities (MASTERFUL DECEPTION & NARRATIVE CONTROL; Escalation to "Dynamic Contradiction"): RUF's IO apparatus is demonstrating an escalated level of sophistication: actively fabricating contradictory statements in rapid succession, sometimes within minutes, even from the same attributed source (e.g., Iranian FM Araghchi). This is no longer just re-framing or expanding narratives; it is real-time, intentional self-contradiction designed to completely obscure truth and generate maximum global confusion. This directly supports the overarching "global conflict" pretext, now bolstered by attempts to draw in third-party statements (Trump, Qatar, previously) and new alleged events (Tehran, Iraq, previously). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Intentions: RUF intends to:
    • Sustain Kinetic Pressure and Terror: Continue UAV strikes on Ukrainian urban centers and villages to degrade infrastructure, attrit UAF AD, and terrorize civilian populations, particularly in Kharkiv and Sumy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Maximize Global Narrative Confusion and Distraction (Escalated Diversion via "Dynamic Contradiction"): The primary intention of RUF's highly contradictory and self-contradictory Middle East IO is to maximize global confusion and actively prevent any single truth from solidifying. By rapidly issuing conflicting statements, RUF aims to keep the international community perpetually off-balance, unable to discern reality, thereby creating a highly volatile narrative environment that can be leveraged as a pretext for further escalation in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Reinforce Domestic Threat and Justify Aggression: Reports of UAVs over Moscow, whether real or fabricated, are intended to bolster the domestic narrative of Russia being under attack and justify military actions in Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Project MIC Strength: Promote "Kalashnikov" export capabilities to project Russian military industrial strength. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

  • RUF: The most significant adaptation remains the rapid and deliberate deployment of directly contradictory IO narratives, sometimes within minutes, from the same attributed source, concerning the "Iran-Israel" situation and broader regional instability. This is a higher level of sophistication in disinformation, moving beyond simple fabrication to active, real-time narrative manipulation and self-reversal to prevent any single "truth" from forming. Continued multi-vector UAV attacks on geographically diverse targets (Kharkiv, Kyiv, Sumy) with immediate follow-up waves indicate an adaptation to stretch and attrit UAF AD. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • UAF: Continued rapid response to UAV threats with AD and public alerts. The challenge for UAF counter-IO remains adapting to the speed, self-contradictory nature, and expanding scope and attribution of RUF's narrative shifts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE - Adaptation, but facing a more complex threat).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

  • No new information regarding RUF or UAF logistics and sustainment status. Previous assessments remain valid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

  • RUF: Exceptional C2 over its information operations, capable of generating and disseminating highly complex, self-contradictory, and rapidly expanding narratives across multiple channels in real-time, now including internal contradictions and external attribution. Effective C2 in deploying and tracking different types of UAV groups (reconnaissance vs. strike) and managing multi-vector, multi-wave attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • UAF: Effective C2 in issuing real-time air raid alerts and initiating AD responses for new UAV threats. The C2 of UAF counter-IO needs to match the speed, agility, and breadth of RUF's rapidly evolving disinformation, particularly its use of internal contradictions and external figures to legitimize false narratives. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Immediate and independent verification of the current status of the "Iran-Israel" situation and the reported explosions/air defense activity in Tehran and the drone strike in Iraq. Determine if there is any factual basis for the persistent RUF claims of a ceasefire agreement, or if this is entirely a fabrication. Assess the veracity and source of "explosions" in Tehran and the drone strike in Iraq. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: ALL-SOURCE SIGINT, OSINT, HUMINT on international diplomatic/military channels, especially from non-RUF/Iranian/Iraqi sources).
  • CRITICAL: Detailed Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) for all UAV impacts in Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, particularly on the civilian enterprise/villages. Determine specific targets (civilian, critical infrastructure, military), munition types, and estimated casualties. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA teams, IMINT, SIGINT).
  • HIGH: Assess the nature of the "high-flying UAF targets" claimed by RUF over Chasiv Yar. Determine if these are reconnaissance UAVs, supply drones, or other assets, and assess the RUF counter-UAV capabilities demonstrated. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, IMINT, GEOINT, UAS INT).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

  • Defensive Posture: UAF AD remains active and responsive, issuing alerts for new UAV threats and engaging targets in Kharkiv and other Oblasts, demonstrating continued vigilance and adaptive threat assessment. The reported launches of 7x "Shaheds" at Kharkiv underscores the persistent threat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Operational Capability: UAF continues to demonstrate capability in detecting and responding to RUF aerial activity, enabling timely AD responses and public warnings. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Information Counter-Offensive (CRITICAL ADAPTATION REQUIRED): While UAF public messaging on domestic threats remains transparent, the rapid, contradictory, and now self-contradictory nature of RUF's global IO, increasingly featuring external attribution, poses an evolving and significant challenge. UAF needs to accelerate its counter-IO response to maintain narrative integrity against a multi-pronged, real-time, and deliberately confusing disinformation assault. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

  • Successes:
    • Air Defense Effectiveness: Timely issuance of alerts and active engagement against new RUF UAV groups in Kharkiv. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Public Safety Messaging: Continuous, real-time public warnings from Kharkiv authorities on inbound threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Setbacks:
    • Information Vulnerability (PERSISTENT, EVOLVING & EXPANDING to "Dynamic Contradiction"): The rapid and direct self-contradiction in RUF's IO regarding the Middle East, coupled with the introduction of new alleged events (Tehran explosions, Iraq drone strike - previous report) and external attribution (Trump, Qatar - previous report), presents an escalated and significant challenge. The enemy's deliberate act of issuing contradictory statements from the same source aims to create maximum confusion, making effective debunking extremely difficult as the "truth" is constantly shifting. The reported casualties in Kharkiv and Sumy are direct setbacks for civilian protection efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Civilian Casualties: UAV strikes in Kharkiv and Sumy causing casualties, including a child (previous report), indicate an inability to prevent all impacts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

  • Information Security: URGENT and CONTINUOUS need to update and enforce protocols for rigorous, real-time verification of all international geopolitical news, especially those attributed to foreign leaders or concerning sensitive global events, AND especially those emerging from RUF or RUF-aligned sources. This must include explicit guidance on how to counter rapidly shifting, self-contradictory, and expanding disinformation campaigns that incorporate external actors/statements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Air Defense: Continued high demand for AD assets to counter persistent, multi-vector, and now multi-wave RUF strike UAV threats, particularly in urban areas like Kharkiv, around Kyiv, and for Sumy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Emergency Services/Medical: Strain on emergency services and medical personnel in Kharkiv and Sumy due to sustained UAV strikes causing civilian casualties and damage. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • NONE.

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

  • Russian (CRITICAL - NOW IN "DYNAMIC CONTRADICTION & EXPANDED SCOPE WITH EXTERNAL ATTRIBUTION" PHASE of Fabricated Global Conflict):
    • Hyper-Contradictory Global Diversion (Intensified and Self-Contradictory): RUF is now pushing not just diametrically opposed narratives, but actively introducing self-contradictory statements from the same attributed source (e.g., Iranian FM Araghchi) in rapid succession concerning the "Iran-Israel" situation. This aims for maximum disorientation, paralysis of analysis, and to provide new "data points" for its narrative of widespread global instability. This is in addition to previously noted attempts to incorporate statements from international figures (e.g., Donald Trump, Qatar) and alleged new events (Tehran explosions, Iraq drone strike).
    • Impact: This multi-layered, self-contradictory, and expanding approach, now with internal inconsistencies and external attribution, aims to create maximum confusion, paralyze analysis, and ensure no single truth can take hold, thereby achieving sustained distraction from Ukraine and setting conditions for potential false-flag operations or justifications for further RUF aggression. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Domestic Threat Framing: Reports of UAVs downed over Moscow (Krasnogorsk) reinforce the domestic narrative of Russia being under threat, justifying military actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • MIC Propaganda: Promotion of "Kalashnikov" exports of "KUBs" aims to project an image of Russian military industrial strength and resilience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ukrainian (CRITICAL VULNERABILITY, requiring accelerated and multi-pronged adaptation):
    • Persistent Amplification of Unverified Claims (Compounded by Self-Contradiction): The speed, breadth, and now self-contradictory nature with which RUF can pivot and re-insert false narratives means Ukrainian media remains severely vulnerable if it does not immediately and forcefully debunk each new iteration and new alleged event of RUF's fabrications. The previous directive for stricter verification is more critical than ever, now needing to apply to a wider range of international "news" emerging from RUF sources, especially those falsely attributed to third parties or containing internal contradictions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
    • Public Safety Messaging & Operational Updates: Air Force of Ukraine and Kharkiv authorities (Terekhov, Syniehubov) continue to report on UAV threats and strikes, maintaining transparency in threat reporting to the public. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

  • Ukrainian: Continued UAV strikes in Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, especially with casualties and property damage, will sustain public anxiety. The extreme, rapidly shifting, and self-contradictory narratives from RUF regarding the Middle East and wider global events, now falsely attributed to external figures, will likely cause significant confusion if not immediately and decisively clarified by official Ukrainian sources. The public's ability to discern truth amidst this high-tempo, multi-layered disinformation environment will be severely tested. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Russian: The domestic audience is being fed a narrative of both external threats (UAVs over Moscow) and global diplomatic "successes" (ceasefire claims), now with external validation, that can quickly flip to renewed conflict, compounded by reports of new regional instability (Tehran, Iraq). This controlled ambiguity, now with expanding scope and external "validation," allows the Kremlin to adapt its narrative to justify any future actions, including potential escalation in Ukraine, under the guise of responding to global events. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

  • Global Diversion (CRITICAL, HYPER-DYNAMIC, SELF-CONTRADICTORY, EXPANDING WITH EXTERNAL ATTRIBUTION): RUF is actively attempting to control and weaponize the narrative of its fabricated "Iran-Israel/US War," now expanding to include new alleged events (explosions in Tehran, drone strike in Iraq) and falsely attributing "ceasefire" claims to international figures like Donald Trump and Qatar. The continuous, self-contradictory shifts and new inputs are designed to sow maximum confusion among international partners, consume diplomatic bandwidth, and potentially create a pretext for further RUF actions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Risk of Misinformation Impact: If international media or diplomatic channels fail to immediately and decisively counter RUF's rapidly evolving, self-contradictory, and expanding narratives, especially those with false external attribution, there is a significant risk of this misinformation influencing policy decisions or public opinion in ways that inadvertently benefit RUF. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Assessing the real-world impact of Russia's rapidly shifting and now directly conflicting and self-contradictory IO narratives with external attribution concerning the fabricated "US-Iran War" / "Israel-Iran" conflict and the claims of explosions in Tehran and drone strike in Iraq. Monitor international diplomatic and media channels for any traction or confusion caused by this narrative that could impact policy or support for Ukraine. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT on diplomatic channels, direct engagement with partner intelligence agencies).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

  • Continued UAV Saturation, High-Tempo Ground Attrition, and Hyper-Dynamic/Self-Contradictory Global IO with External Attribution: RUF will likely continue high-volume, multi-wave strike UAV attacks on Kharkiv, Sumy, Kramatorsk, and other northern/central Ukrainian cities, aiming to overwhelm UAF AD, inflict terror, and cause casualties/damage. Ground operations on the Pokrovsk-Siversk axis will maintain high intensity, focusing on systematic attrition and incremental gains. On the information front, RUF will sustain its hyper-dynamic, self-contradictory, and expanding narrative regarding the "Iran-Israel" situation and broader regional instability, increasingly incorporating and misattributing statements from international figures (e.g., Trump, Qatar) to maintain global confusion and provide strategic cover. The major ground offensive on the Sumy axis remains probable, and the current IO is designed to provide maximum strategic cover for it. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

  • Rapid Escalation Based on Fabricated Global Incident (False Flag with International Blame): RUF will orchestrate or decisively exploit a major, high-impact false-flag event, either in Iran or a neighboring country, or against a Russian asset (e.g., "nuclear incident" or "terrorist attack" blamed on Ukraine/West/NATO). This would be presented as a direct consequence of the fabricated "global war" that RUF has so painstakingly constructed, potentially falsely attributing blame to international actors (e.g., US, Israel) to further polarize global opinion. This would serve as the immediate, highly emotional pretext for a massive, synchronized multi-front ground offensive on the Sumy and Kharkiv axes, combined with a surge of long-range missile and drone attacks targeting Kyiv's government district and other critical national infrastructure. This MDCOA aims to achieve a decisive breakthrough in Ukraine while the international community is disoriented and diverted by the fabricated global crisis and falsely attributed blame. (MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

  • Immediate (Next 0-6 hours, starting from 240107Z JUN 25):
    • RUF: Expect continued RUF strike UAV activity in northeastern (Kharkiv, Sumy) and central Ukraine (Kyiv Oblast), potentially with additional waves targeting previously hit areas. Expect rapid, potentially hourly, shifts in RUF's "Iran-Israel" narrative, including self-contradictory statements from the same sources, and introduction of new alleged events, now with increased attempts at external attribution (e.g., more "explosions" or "incidents" in the Middle East).
    • UAF Decision Point: Maintain maximum AD readiness in targeted oblasts, particularly for follow-up waves on Kharkiv and Sumy. Immediately issue public warnings and coordinated official statements debunking the latest RUF narratives on the Middle East and newly alleged events, emphasizing the factual contradictions, the lack of independent verification, and RUF's intent to deceive and distract. Crucially, address the false external attribution attempts (e.g., Trump, Qatar) head-on, and highlight the self-contradictory nature of RUF's messaging as a deliberate deception tactic. Proactively warn Kramatorsk residents and ensure comprehensive BDA is initiated in Kharkiv and Sumy.
  • Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
    • RUF: RUF will attempt to generate maximum strategic effect from its complex and expanding IO campaign, potentially using it as a justification for a major ground offensive on the Sumy axis. Expect intensified pressure on the Pokrovsk-Siversk axis.
    • UAF Decision Point: Maintain maximum alert for a major ground offensive on the Sumy and Kharkiv axes. Continue to aggressively and pre-emptively counter RUF's multi-layered, expanding, and self-contradictory IO, specifically addressing their attempts to co-opt external figures to legitimize false narratives, ensuring all official channels and media consistently disseminate verified information that exposes RUF's deceptive practices to both domestic and international audiences. Proactively engage international partners with real-time intelligence on RUF's evolving and expanding IO tactics, highlighting the false external attributions and internal contradictions.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Surge all-source ISR to Kharkiv, Sumy, Kyiv, and Kramatorsk Oblasts to provide real-time targeting intelligence for UAF AD against incoming UAVs, especially any new waves. Prioritize BDA for all impacts, focusing on casualty identification and specific target assessment (military vs. civilian).
  2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Reinforce the "Narrative Decryption Cell" (NDC) to analyze and rapidly counter RUF's hyper-dynamic, contradictory, and expanding, self-contradictory IO regarding the Middle East and other global events, specifically focusing on RUF's attempts to falsely attribute claims to external actors/nations and its use of internally contradictory messaging. The NDC must be able to:
    • Fact-check and debunk RUF's rapidly shifting claims and newly alleged events within minutes, explicitly naming any falsely attributed sources (e.g., "RUF is falsely claiming Trump said X, when he said Y, or said nothing at all about this"). Simultaneously, highlight the internal contradictions in RUF's own messaging as evidence of deliberate deception.
    • Develop pre-approved counter-narratives that expose RUF's deception, not just the false information, by explaining why RUF is doing this (e.g., to create a pretext for escalation in Ukraine, to disorient international partners, to shift blame).
    • Disseminate these counter-narratives immediately through all official Ukrainian and partner channels, including proactive outreach to major international news outlets and social media platforms.
  3. HIGH: Conduct detailed forensic analysis of any confirmed strikes/explosions in Tehran or Iraq, or any alleged "drone shootdowns" to identify the actors, methods, and implications. This is critical to inform counter-IO and diplomatic responses.
  4. HIGH: Prioritize SIGINT and GEOINT on RUF FPV and reconnaissance drone operations in the Chasiv Yar area to identify their capabilities and tactics against UAF targets.

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

  1. URGENT: Maintain heightened AD readiness and continuous engagement capabilities in Kharkiv, Sumy, Kyiv, and Kramatorsk Oblasts against persistent, multi-vector, and multi-wave RUF strike UAV threats. Prioritize intercept capabilities against both current and potential new UAV designs. Ensure rapid re-engagement capabilities after initial waves.
  2. URGENT: Review and strengthen force protection measures for all critical civilian and military infrastructure in major urban centers, particularly those previously targeted by RUF UAVs (e.g., civilian enterprises, hospitals, villages). Enhance security around critical infrastructure to prevent follow-up strikes.

6.3. Ground Forces:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum alert on the Sumy and Kharkiv axes for a major RUF ground offensive. Pre-position reserves for rapid counter-attack and reinforce existing defensive lines. Disperse personnel and equipment to minimize vulnerability to UAV strikes.
  2. URGENT: Intensify counter-drone and anti-reconnaissance measures across all northern and eastern fronts, given the persistent RUF UAV activity, including FPV drones.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an immediate, aggressive, and continuously adaptive and expanding, multi-domain counter-IO campaign specifically targeting RUF's contradictory and broadening narratives for the fabricated Middle East/global conflict, with particular emphasis on debunking false external attribution AND its self-contradictory messaging.
    • Issue a clear, enforceable directive to all Ukrainian media outlets: DO NOT AMPLIFY ANY UNVERIFIED CLAIMS from RUF or RUF-aligned sources, especially regarding international geopolitical events, alleged incidents in other countries, or attributed to foreign leaders. ALL SUCH CLAIMS MUST BE RIGOROUSLY INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED AND IMMEDIATELY DEBUNKED IF FALSE. When debunking, explicitly state the source (RUF/RUF-aligned) and its history of disinformation, highlight the false attribution attempt, and point out any internal contradictions in RUF's own messaging as proof of deliberate deception. Emphasize that inadvertently aiding enemy propaganda is a severe national security risk.
    • Proactively frame RUF's contradictory and expanding Middle East/global instability narrative as a deliberate psychological operation designed to distract from its atrocities in Ukraine and create a pretext for further aggression. Explain the "why" behind the lies in clear, concise terms for a global audience, explicitly pointing out the use of external figures and self-contradiction as deceptive tactics.
    • Leverage international media and diplomatic channels to expose RUF's real-time, highly manipulative disinformation tactics, including the introduction of new alleged events, false attribution, and internal contradictions. Share raw intelligence on the speed, nature, and scope of RUF's narrative shifts to demonstrate its malicious intent.
  2. URGENT: Intensify diplomatic engagement with international partners, providing real-time intelligence updates on RUF's evolving and expanding IO tactics, specifically their use of external attribution and internal contradictions, and its implications for global stability and continued support for Ukraine. Coordinate a unified international message that decisively rejects Russia's fabrications and highlights their intended function as strategic cover for operations in Ukraine.

END OF REPORT

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