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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-06-21 17:54:58Z
8 months ago
Previous (2025-06-21 17:25:01Z)

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 211754Z JUN 25

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

  • Sumy Oblast: Continued RUF UAV activity remains a concern. Previous reports noted damage to civilian infrastructure from KAB and artillery. "Два майора" reports on "Kursk border section, Tyotkino salient," indicating continued RUF focus on border security against UAF cross-border raids and potential shaping operations for an offensive. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Chernihiv Oblast: Confirmed multiple Shahed-type UAV impacts in Nizhyn, with over 10 explosions reported. This indicates RUF's continued capability and intent to strike deep into central-northern Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Kharkiv Oblast (Chuhuiv region): Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General confirms a civilian fatality (elderly man) from an enemy UAV attack in the Chuhuiv region. This underscores the persistent threat to civilian populations from RUF drone operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: RBC-Ukraine reports six police officers attacked by an FPV drone. This signifies RUF's continued and adaptable targeting of non-combatant personnel (Law Enforcement) and the prevalence of FPV drone threats across the contact line. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Donetsk Oblast (Avdiivka): "Старше Эдды" (RUF milblogger) posts a video depicting destruction in Avdiivka, highlighting military personnel and a Russian flag being planted. This reinforces the narrative of RUF control and the severe destruction in the area. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Kherson Oblast: RBC-Ukraine reports water supply interruptions in Kherson due to enemy shelling, confirming continued RUF kinetic pressure on liberated territories and civilian infrastructure. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast): Previous report confirmed a massive combined-arms strike on strategic energy infrastructure. This remains a significant impact on Ukraine's energy grid. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

  • Current conditions remain favorable for continued UAV and air operations, as evidenced by persistent RUF drone activity across multiple oblasts. No significant changes reported that would impede current operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

  • Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
    • Air Defense: Continues to engage RUF UAVs, with a new alert for a Shahed in eastern Kyiv Oblast moving west. However, impacts in Nizhyn and an FPV drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk indicate AD saturation, gaps, or adaptable RUF tactics. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Drone Capabilities: "Два майора" posts video of an "Española Sea Skates" (likely UAF FPV drone unit) preparing a fixed-wing UAV, demonstrating ongoing UAF drone operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Николаевский Ванёк" notes "remainder on this batch of mopeds" (drones) suggesting sustained, publicly-funded procurement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Support Services: "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" highlights a team of dentist-doctors from a UAF unit deploying, indicating the continued provision of essential support services for UAF personnel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Readiness: UAF continues to demonstrate active defense and adaptation. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Russian Forces (RUF):
    • Air/Missile/Drone Operations: Confirmed continued Shahed-type UAV strikes (Kyiv Oblast, Nizhyn). New reporting on FPV drone attacks on police in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast indicates flexible and opportunistic targeting. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" posts a video, likely from a drone, showing a UAF HMMWV convoy in Kursk Oblast, suggesting RUF drone reconnaissance and targeting efforts against UAF cross-border movements. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" shows drone footage of a munition drop on a "Veterinary" target and a UAF "Roshel Senator" APC near "Berilovka," confirming continued RUF drone-guided strikes on UAF assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Ground Forces: "Два майора" mentions "Kursk border section, Tyotkino salient," indicating continued RUF defensive posture and concern regarding cross-border raids. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). "Старше Эдды" shows footage from Avdiivka, implying RUF control and presence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Information Operations (CRITICAL):
      • Amplified Middle East Fabrication: RUF milbloggers are intensifying the fabricated Iran-Israel conflict narrative. "WarGonzo" claims "US bombers with 'bunker busters' deployed from airbases." "Colonelcassad" posts a fabricated video of "Israeli Apache helicopter pursuing Iranian Shahed-136 drone over Israel." "Kotsnews" posts a poll screenshot about "sudden Donald" (Trump) and Iran, suggesting continued RUF attempts to frame a US-Iran conflict. "Операция Z" quotes "Russian Spring War Correspondents" on a criminal lawsuit in Germany against Merz for "Nazi words about Israeli attack on Iran," further muddying the waters with irrelevant political drama linked to the fabricated conflict. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on RUF propagating this narrative; EXTREMELY LOW CONFIDENCE on veracity).
      • Belarusian "Humanitarian" Narrative: RBC-Ukraine reports "among those pardoned by Lukashenko are citizens of Poland, Estonia, and Latvia," confirming the international dimension of Lukashenko's pardons and continued efforts to improve Belarus's image. "Север.Реалии" reports on an "ex-detainee Belarusian journalist Ihar Karnei" and "ASTRA" reports on "Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya heard her husband Siarhei Tsikhanouski's voice for the first time in 4.5 years," suggesting a coordinated narrative about Belarusian "humanitarian gestures" and political prisoner releases. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on Lukashenko's action and RUF/Belarusian state media narrative; LOW on the "US President's request" being the primary driver).
      • Historical Revisionism/Anti-Western Narrative: "Оперативний ЗСУ" posts a video drawing parallels between the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact (1939-1941) and events in Ukraine (2014), comparing Putin to Hitler. This is a UAF counter-IO effort highlighting historical aggression and the cyclical nature of Russian imperialism. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on UAF messaging; HIGH CONFIDENCE on historical interpretation).
      • Domestic Messaging/Historical Revisionism (RUF): "Colonelcassad" posts images of a monument to Soviet border guards in Brest, Belarus, dedicated to WWII. This aligns with Russia's continued emphasis on WWII narratives and "shared" history with Belarus for internal cohesion and legitimizing current aggression. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
      • Monetization/Scams: "Alex Parker Returns" posts a message on "how to start earning from 300k a month in crypto," indicating a continued side-trend of monetization or scamming by some RUF-affiliated channels. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Assess the specific targets of the Shahed attacks on Nizhyn (Chernihiv Oblast) and the FPV drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Determine if these were military installations, critical infrastructure, or solely civilian areas. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: BDA, IMINT, HUMINT).
  • CRITICAL: Monitor US and international media/diplomatic responses to Russia's escalated "Iran-Israel conflict" fabrication, particularly the claim of US B-2 deployment and "bunker busters." Determine if this narrative is gaining any traction or being officially debunked. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, DIPLOMATIC SIGINT).
  • HIGH: Investigate the veracity of RUF drone footage claiming to target UAF convoys in Kursk Oblast and UAF APCs near Berilovka. Confirm locations and impact. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, IMINT).
  • HIGH: Verify any new RUF territorial gains or significant tactical changes on the Sumy/Kursk border section beyond general statements. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, SIGINT, HUMINT).
  • MEDIUM: Assess the broader impact of RUF's flexible FPV drone targeting tactics on UAF law enforcement and civilian personnel operating near the front lines. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, BDA).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

  • Ground Capabilities: RUF maintains offensive capabilities on the Donetsk axis and continues to project capabilities to defend against cross-border raids in the Sumy/Kursk region. They utilize drone reconnaissance to track UAF movements near the border. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Air/Drone Capabilities: RUF continues to demonstrate extensive Shahed-type UAV capabilities for deep strikes and adaptable FPV drone capabilities for localized, opportunistic targeting of personnel and equipment. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Information Warfare Capabilities (CRITICAL ESCALATION): RUF IO is now generating increasingly elaborate, multi-faceted fabrications to manipulate the international information environment. They are actively:
    • Deepening Global Crisis Fabrications with "Evidence": The Iran-Israel conflict narrative is being amplified with fabricated "evidence" (e.g., Apache helicopter pursuing Shahed) and specific (false) claims about US military actions (B-2 bombers with "bunker busters"). This aims to absorb global attention and resources. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Diversion through Peripheral Narratives: Introducing fabricated legal challenges (e.g., lawsuit against Merz) linked to the core fabricated conflict to add layers of complexity and perceived legitimacy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Exploiting Diplomatic Avenues for Influence: Lukashenko's pardons, framed as humanitarian gestures and linked to Western influence, are used to improve Belarus's international image and potentially open new channels. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Counter-UAF Messaging: Utilizing drone footage of UAF movements to project successful reconnaissance and targeting. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Intentions: RUF intends to:
    • Sustain Kinetic Pressure: Continue drone and artillery strikes against civilian infrastructure and urban centers, particularly in northern and eastern Ukraine, and to target UAF personnel and equipment with FPV drones. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Dominate Information Environment: Continue to control the information narrative by fabricating global crises, diverting international attention, and undermining support for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Internal Cohesion: Maintain internal morale and public support for the war through narratives of military prowess and external threats, leveraging historical revisionism. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Exploit Diplomatic Avenues for Influence: Utilize seemingly humanitarian or diplomatic gestures (e.g., Belarus pardons) to improve international standing or pursue hidden agendas. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

  • RUF: The most significant adaptation remains the amplification and detailing of the "Iran-Israel conflict" fabrication, now including specific (false) claims about US military deployments and fabricated video "evidence." This indicates a strategic shift towards making their fabricated crisis more "real" and impactful on the international stage. The FPV drone attack on police officers in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast demonstrates adaptable and opportunistic targeting beyond frontline military assets. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF: Continued innovation in drone technology and rapid, public-supported resource generation for drones. Continued provision of essential support services. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

  • RUF: Continued high tempo of Shahed and FPV operations suggests sustained production or resupply of UAVs. Their ability to conduct combined-arms strikes (as seen in Kremenchuk, previous report) indicates maintained ammunition and missile stockpiles. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF: Rapid public funding for drones and demonstrated domestic drone development highlight robust, decentralized, and adaptable logistical and sustainment efforts. Continued focus on medical and support services. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

  • RUF: RUF C2 remains effective in coordinating persistent multi-vector drone strikes and managing a complex, multi-layered information warfare campaign that now attempts to directly influence international policy through elaborate fabrications and "evidence." (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • UAF: UAF C2 demonstrates effective coordination of AD and ongoing adaptation/innovation in drone warfare, leveraging public support for resource generation, and maintaining essential support services. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Assess the potential for any real-world operational changes or resource shifts by the US/NATO in response to Russia's fabricated Middle East crisis. Determine if any (even temporary) diversion of assets or attention has occurred. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, GEOINT, SIGINT).
  • HIGH: Evaluate the consistency and reach of RUF's FPV drone targeting of non-military personnel (e.g., police). Determine if this is an emerging pattern or isolated incident. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT, TECHINT).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

  • Defensive Posture: UAF maintains a nationwide air defense posture against persistent drone threats, particularly in northern and central regions, and robust defensive operations on ground axes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Readiness: UAF is demonstrating a high degree of adaptability and innovation in drone warfare, actively developing new systems and leveraging public support for rapid force generation. Essential support services are maintained. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

  • Successes: Continued development and deployment of advanced drones (e.g., fixed-wing reconnaissance UAVs). Rapid and successful public fundraising for critical drone supplies. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). Continued defensive holding on ground axes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Setbacks: Civilian fatalities and infrastructure damage from RUF UAV strikes (Chuhuiv, Nizhyn, Kherson) underscore the ongoing challenges in complete air defense coverage and the protection of urban areas and liberated territories. The FPV drone attack on police in Dnipropetrovsk highlights the persistent threat to non-combatant personnel. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

  • Air Defense (Layered): Continued and enhanced layered AD systems are critical, particularly for northern and central regions, to counter persistent Shahed and other UAV threats, which continue to cause civilian casualties and damage. Need for systems effective against low-flying, slow-moving, and small FPV drones.
  • Counter-Disinformation (Proactive/Global): Urgent need for a proactive and globally coordinated counter-disinformation strategy to combat Russia's increasingly elaborate and dangerous fabrications, which are designed to create geopolitical diversions and influence international policy.
  • ISR/BDA (Targeting Analysis): Enhanced ISR and BDA capabilities are needed to quickly and accurately assess the impact of RUF strikes, identify target patterns (including FPV drone targets), and inform AD adjustments.

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • MEDIUM: Quantify the rate of UAF drone system deployment and utilization from initiatives like public fundraising and domestic production, to assess long-term capabilities and operational impact. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, TECHINT).
  • MEDIUM: Assess the psychological and operational impact of FPV drone attacks on law enforcement and first responders to inform training and equipment needs. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT).

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

  • Russian (CRITICAL ESCALATION):
    • Hyper-Fabricated Global Conflict with "Evidence": The Iran-Israel conflict narrative is now highly sophisticated, leveraging false claims of US B-2 bomber deployments with "bunker busters" and fabricated "visual evidence" (e.g., Apache vs. Shahed) to simulate an imminent global crisis. This is a direct attempt to force policy shifts and divert attention. (HIGH CONFIDENCE on intent and execution).
    • Exploiting Discord: Narratives suggesting alleged US-Russia UN resolution coordination (previous report) and fabricated legal cases aim to undermine trust and cohesion within the Ukrainian alliance. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Internal Reinforcement: Showcasing border security efforts and historical monuments (Brest) reinforces narratives of Russian strength, historical grievance, and military legitimacy for a domestic audience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Belarusian Image Laundering: The Lukashenko pardon narrative, framed as a humanitarian act involving Western pressure, seeks to improve Belarus'ss international standing and open diplomatic channels. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Ukrainian:
    • Transparency of Casualties: Reporting on civilian deaths (Chuhuiv) and damage (Nizhyn, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk) maintains transparency and highlights the human cost of the war. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Innovation & Resilience: Showcasing new drone operations and public fundraising success emphasizes Ukrainian ingenuity and national unity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
    • Historical Counter-Narrative: Directly comparing Putin's actions to historical aggression (Molotov-Ribbentrop, Hitler) is a strong counter-IO measure aimed at discrediting Russian justifications and appealing to historical memory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

  • Ukrainian: Civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from drone and artillery strikes continue to be a source of trauma and distress. However, public support for the military, as evidenced by rapid fundraising, remains high. UAF innovations in drone technology and the visibility of support services could boost confidence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Russian: The amplified global crisis narratives, showcasing of military training, and historical commemorations are likely designed to distract the Russian public from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and reinforce a sense of national importance and external threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

  • Unprecedented Disinformation Threat: RUF's increasingly elaborate and specific fabrications about global events (Iran-Israel, US B-2 bombers) pose an unprecedented challenge to the international information environment and could genuinely confuse or misdirect international actors. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Belarusian Diplomatic Maneuvers: Lukashenko's pardon of prisoners, framed as a response to US request and including foreign citizens, is a clear diplomatic attempt to improve relations and potentially open new channels with Western nations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

  • CRITICAL: Assess the immediate and short-term impact of Russia's false flag narratives (e.g., Iran-Israel, US B-2s with "bunker busters") on the public and policy discourse in key Western nations. Are there any signs of confusion, policy shifts, or media outlets lending credence to these fabrications? (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, DIPLOMATIC SIGINT).
  • HIGH: Monitor any official or unofficial reactions from Poland, Estonia, and Latvia regarding the pardons of their citizens in Belarus. This is crucial to understanding the diplomatic implications of Lukashenko's move. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: DIPLOMATIC SIGINT, OSINT).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

  • Sustained Attritional Warfare with Hyper-Aggressive and Detailed Hybrid Operations: RUF will continue high-intensity ground assaults on key Eastern axes (Donetsk, particularly Pokrovsk), supported by persistent KAB and UAV strikes. Concurrently, RUF will escalate its information warfare by generating even more elaborate, "evidence-backed" fabrications of global crises, aiming to saturate the international information space, divert attention, and create pretexts for its own actions. Expect further deep UAV strikes against civilian infrastructure and urban centers in northern and central Ukraine (e.g., Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, Kyiv Oblasts) and continued adaptable FPV drone targeting of personnel. RUF will continue to use seemingly humanitarian gestures (like the Belarus pardons) as diplomatic cover or to achieve other strategic goals. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

  • Major Offensive Preceded by Strategic Deception and Cyber-Attacks: RUF launches a major ground offensive in Sumy Oblast, coordinated with intensified missile and drone strikes (including potentially new types of munitions or tactics) across northern and central Ukraine, particularly targeting critical infrastructure (energy, logistics, C2) and command elements. This would be preceded by or synchronized with a major, globally impactful false flag operation (e.g., a fabricated 'provocation' by Ukraine or a Western power on Russian territory, perhaps linked to the fabricated Iran-Israel narrative) designed to create a strong international diversion or justification for its offensive. Simultaneously, expect significant cyber-attacks against Ukrainian critical infrastructure or government systems to disrupt C2 and civilian resilience. (MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE, given the pattern of escalated IO and persistent kinetic pressure).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

  • Immediate (Next 6-12 hours):
    • RUF: Expect continued Shahed-type UAV activity, particularly along northern and central vectors. RUF IO will continue to amplify the fabricated Iran-Israel conflict narrative, possibly introducing new "evidence" or "developments." Ground fighting will remain intense on the Donetsk axis. RUF drone reconnaissance will continue along the Sumy/Kursk border.
    • UAF Decision Point: Maintain maximum AD readiness for northern and central oblasts, focusing on drone threats (Shaheds, FPVs). Rapidly issue public warnings and debunks for RUF's latest, most audacious IO fabrications, particularly those trying to link to US military actions.
  • Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
    • RUF: Potential for intensified ground probing and shaping operations in Sumy Oblast. Persistent kinetic pressure on urban centers via UAVs and artillery. RUF IO will likely attempt to sustain the momentum of its fabricated global crises and potentially introduce new narratives aimed at undermining US-Ukraine relations or legitimizing further actions.
    • UAF Decision Point: Evaluate the need for redeploying additional air defense assets to northern and central regions to counter persistent drone threats. Intensify counter-disinformation efforts by engaging international media and partners directly to expose RUF's fabrications and their dangerous implications. Continue to accelerate domestic drone production and development.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Establish a dedicated, multi-source (OSINT, CYBERINT, HUMINT, DIPLOMATIC SIGINT) intelligence cell focused solely on monitoring, analyzing, and pre-empting Russia's increasingly sophisticated and aggressive information warfare campaigns. This cell must be capable of rapid forensic debunking and public exposure of all RUF fabrications, particularly the "Iran-Israel conflict" and any attempts to link it to kinetic events in Ukraine or third countries, including specific claims about US military actions.
  2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Increase ISR collection on RUF ground forces in Sumy Oblast and along the Kursk border section, with a specific focus on indicators of major offensive preparations. Prioritize real-time data flow to ground commanders and verify all RUF claims of UAF movements or incursions. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, SIGINT, HUMINT).
  3. URGENT: Investigate the veracity and potential for exploitation of any narratives that could damage US-Ukraine relations. Coordinate with US counterparts to understand and pre-empt RUF attempts to sow discord.

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum air defense readiness across all oblasts, with specific reinforcement of northern (Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv) and central (Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk) air defense sectors. Prioritize resources for countering Shahed-type UAVs, KABs, and adaptable FPV drones that target civilian populations, critical infrastructure, and non-combatant personnel (e.g., police).
  2. URGENT: Review and update force protection guidance for civilian populations and law enforcement in frequently targeted areas (Chuhuiv, Nizhyn, Sumy, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk) regarding drone and artillery threats, emphasizing immediate sheltering procedures and FPV drone avoidance.
  3. ONGOING: Accelerate the deployment of passive and active counter-UAV and EW systems to frontline units, critical civilian infrastructure, and key law enforcement/emergency services. Continue to innovate in drone interception technologies.

6.3. Ground Forces:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain a robust strategic reserve prepared for rapid deployment to the Sumy axis. Conduct regular readiness drills for northern defense units.
  2. URGENT: Continue high-intensity defensive operations on the Donetsk axis (Pokrovsk/Mirnohrad), inflicting maximum attrition on RUF forces and preventing any further breakthroughs.
  3. ONGOING: Accelerate the integration and deployment of advanced Ukrainian-developed drone systems (e.g., fixed-wing reconnaissance UAVs, FPVs) across ground units to enhance reconnaissance, strike, and support capabilities. Ensure robust protection for drone teams.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

  1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unparalleled, globally coordinated IO and diplomatic campaign to expose and denounce Russia's increasingly elaborate and dangerous tactic of fabricating international crises with false "evidence." Directly address the false claims about US military actions and their potential to mislead international actors. Proactively share intelligence with key allies on these deceptive practices.
  2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Publicly highlight all instances of RUF strikes causing civilian casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure (e.g., Chuhuiv, Nizhyn, Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk FPV attack on police) as evidence of war crimes and continued terror tactics. Provide evidence to international legal bodies.
  3. URGENT: Actively promote Ukraine's innovation in defense technology (e.g., new drone developments) and the strong unity between the military and civilian population (e.g., successful fundraising, support services) to demonstrate resilience and long-term capabilities.
  4. ONGOING: Counter all RUF narratives aimed at demoralizing UAF or creating disunity with Western partners. Emphasize the strength and steadfastness of international support for Ukraine, and actively counter Russian historical revisionism.
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