Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 201427Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Southern Front (Odesa/Kherson): RUF continues strike UAV operations targeting Odesa. "Николаевский Ванёк" at 14:00Z reported two remaining UAVs near Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, heading towards Ovidiopol, noting potential for loud activity, indicating continued AD engagement. At 14:11Z, "Николаевский Ванёк" reports "по мопедам на сейчас минус," indicating successful neutralization of these specific UAV threats by UAF AD. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Donetsk): "Повітряні Сили ЗС України" at 14:06Z reports "Повторні пуски КАБ ворожою тактичною авіацією на Донеччину!", confirming continued aerial bombardment. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Southern Front (Zaporizhzhia): "Повітряні Сили ЗС України" at 14:10Z reports "Активність ворожої тактичної авіації на південно-східному напрямку!" followed by "Пуски КАБ ворожою тактичною авіацією на Запорізьку область." at 14:11Z, confirming ongoing RUF air activity and KAB strikes. "🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦" at 14:08Z issued an "🚨УВАГА🚨" alert, indicating an immediate threat. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: "Повітряні Сили ЗС України" at 14:13Z issued an alert for "Дніпропетровська область (Синельниківський р-н) - загроза застосування авіаційних засобів ураження!", indicating a new or extended threat area for RUF aerial munitions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Northern Front (Sumy): "Повітряні Сили ЗС України" at 14:25Z issued an alert "Швидкісна ціль на Сумщину!", followed by a critical alert at 14:27Z "Загроза застосування балістичного озброєння з північно-східного напрямку.", indicating a high-speed projectile, likely a ballistic missile, targeting Sumy Oblast. This confirms the elevated threat level on the Northern axis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Russian Deep Rear (Belgorod Oblast, Russia): "STERNENKO" at 14:04Z shares a video with the caption "РУБпАК Стрікс спалив у БНР вантажівку росіян, яка, палаючи, почала їхати💥", showing drone footage of a burning vehicle after an impact, indicating a successful UAF drone strike on a Russian logistical target inside Russian territory. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Russian Deep Rear (Iran/Israel Fabrication): RUF sources continue to amplify the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis." TASS at 14:16Z claims "Великобритания эвакуировала сотрудников своих дипмиссий в Иране на фоне обострения ирано-израильского конфликта," attempting to lend credibility to the crisis. Colonelcassad at 14:20Z disseminates videos and photos claiming "Марш «Гнев и Победа» против Израильской агрессии в иранском городе Боджнурд," showing a crowd of people, likely a protest or rally, implying popular support for anti-Israeli sentiment in Iran. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for fabrication and IO amplification).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No new significant reports affecting battlefield conditions.

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF):
  • Air Defense (AD): Actively engaged with RUF strike UAVs in Odesa region, successfully neutralizing at least two "mopeds." UAF AD units are responding to KAB threats in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia, and reacting to high-speed/ballistic threats on the Sumy axis and aviation threats in Dnipropetrovsk. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Drone Operations: UAF is conducting successful offensive drone operations into Russian territory, evidenced by the strike on a Russian truck in Belgorod Oblast. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Ground Forces (Sumy): "Николаевский Ванёк" at 14:21Z shares a video featuring a Ukrainian soldier from the 225th Separate Assault Regiment (OShP) confirming their ongoing operations to "выпиздовыванием руснявого мусора с Сумской области" (expelling Russian trash from Sumy Oblast), and appealing for donations for drone parts and batteries. This confirms active UAF engagement and resource needs in Sumy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Military Modernization: ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 at 14:17Z shares a video of a soldier from the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating the CZ BREN 2 assault rifle, promoting its capabilities. This reinforces the UAF's continued focus on modernizing small arms. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Counter-IO: Олексій Білошицький at 13:59Z posts "СПРОСТУВАННЯ!" (REFUTATION!), indicating active UAF efforts to counter disinformation, although the specific content refuted is not provided in detail by the system. РБК-Україна at 14:06Z features an expert opinion on China's cautious approach to supporting Iran, and by extension, Russia, a nuanced counter-narrative to RUF's geopolitical claims. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Security: КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) at 14:24Z reports on joint reinforced security control measures for cargo transportation in Kyiv and the surrounding region, involving Ukrtransbezpeka and military administrations. This indicates continued vigilance against internal threats or smuggling. РБК-Україна at 14:25Z reports the detention of the mayor of Berdychiv by police, indicating ongoing efforts against corruption or collaboration. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Russian Forces (RUF):
  • Air Operations: Continued KAB launches on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia. Tactical aviation activity on south-eastern direction. Persistent strike UAV threat to Odesa from new vectors, despite UAF AD successes. Ballistic missile threat confirmed to Sumy region from north-east. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Logistics/Personnel (Internal): "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" at 14:04Z posts about "Ежемесячная компенсационная выплата отдельным категориям мобилизованных," indicating efforts to manage military compensation and incentivize service. "МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники" at 14:07Z reports a "Депутат вымогал у вдовы военного деньги за эвакуацию тела," highlighting internal corruption issues that could impact morale and public trust. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Information Operations (IO):
    • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL ESCALATION CONTINUED): RUF continues to relentlessly amplify the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis." TASS at 14:16Z attempts to legitimize the crisis by reporting UK diplomatic mission evacuations from Iran. Colonelcassad at 14:20Z provides videos/photos of an "Iran Protest March against Israeli aggression in Bojnourd," attempting to show popular Iranian sentiment and justify the fabricated Iranian "strikes." The Russian channel "Рыбарь" at 14:02Z posted "📝Другая Америка📝", likely part of a narrative to portray internal US divisions. "Басурин о главном" at 14:06Z explicitly states "США пытаются разжечь ядерный пожар на Востоке," a direct accusation and continuation of nuclear blackmail. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for fabrication and IO).
    • Domestic & War Justification: Новости Москвы at 14:01Z shares a video showcasing how "Олимпийский" will look at SPIEF, projecting economic progress and normalcy. Alex Parker Returns at 14:00Z shares an advertisement for poker, likely a distraction or lifestyle promotion. "Зона СВО" at 14:01Z shares a video of a man expressing anger/frustration, possibly to depict a "mood" or distract. ТАСС at 14:04Z reports the designation of publicist Boris Stomakhin as a foreign agent, indicating continued suppression of dissent. "НгП раZVедка" at 14:02Z spreads a false claim "Хохлы хотели переименовать Одессу в Хаджибеевку," a common RUF trope to denigrate Ukrainian identity. TASS at 14:08Z reports on a new football coach for CSKA Moscow, a minor unrelated event used to fill news cycles. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора at 14:15Z and 14:17Z, respectively, post messages "О подразделениях СпН и вопросах, требующих неотлагательного внимания", indicating internal discussions within RUF regarding Special Forces and operational concerns, potentially to project internal strength or highlight issues they claim to be addressing. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS at 14:22Z reposts a claim that a "key White House official probably hides his Russian origin," attempting to sow distrust in Western governments. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for RUF IO activity).
    • Geopolitical Messaging: Операция Z at 14:05Z highlights the EU's refusal to lower the oil price cap on Russia as reported by Politico, attempting to frame this as a Western concession or lack of unity in sanctions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)

1.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Immediate BDA for the ballistic missile strike on Sumy Oblast. Determine target, impact, and damage. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, GEOINT, OSINT).
• HIGH: Characterize the capabilities of the new "speed target" on Sumy, specifically confirming if it's a new missile type or a re-tasked system. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: SIGINT, TECHINT).
• HIGH: Assess the impact and effectiveness of UAF drone strike on the Russian truck in Belgorod Oblast. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: IMINT, OSINT).
• HIGH: Monitor RUF internal discussions regarding SpN units ("АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА", "Два майора") for insights into their current operational challenges or future plans. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, SIGINT).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/UAV Capabilities: RUF continues to possess high capabilities for multi-axis air attacks. The confirmed ballistic missile launch on Sumy signifies an escalation in precision strike capability on that axis, which was previously assessed as an MDCOA. KAB and UAV strikes remain a persistent threat, with RUF adapting vectors and maintaining BDA. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Ground Capabilities: RUF continues active reconnaissance and localized ground operations, particularly in sectors where UAF is actively engaged (e.g., Sumy border, Huliaipole-Malynivka as per previous ISR). (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Information Warfare Capabilities: RUF's IO apparatus has demonstrated continuous and unprecedented escalation, now attempting to legitimize its fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with claims of diplomatic evacuations and public protests. The explicit nuclear blackmail targeting the US (Басурин о главном) persists. RUF continues to integrate various tactics, including internal distractions and attempts to sow discord in Western governments. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Intentions: RUF intends to:
  • Continue multi-axis ground pressure, with a renewed emphasis on strategic strikes on the Northern axis (Sumy).
  • Degrade Ukrainian air defense and psychological resilience through persistent mass drone, KAB, and now confirmed ballistic missile strikes on urban areas and critical infrastructure.
  • CRITICAL: Successfully divert global attention and resources from Ukraine by relentlessly amplifying the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" narrative, attempting to lend it credibility through false claims of diplomatic actions and popular support. This aims to force international diplomatic re-prioritization, influence energy markets, and position Russia as a "mediator."
  • Control domestic narratives by projecting economic stability, consolidating power, and suppressing dissent, while exploiting any real or perceived internal Western divisions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• RUF: The most significant tactical change is the confirmed ballistic missile launch on Sumy Oblast. This aligns with the previously identified MDCOA and signals a heightened intent on this axis. RUF also continues to adapt its UAV attack vectors on Odesa. In the information domain, RUF's attempt to use "diplomatic evacuations" and "public protests" to legitimize its fabricated crisis marks a new level of sophistication. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for ballistic strike; MEDIUM for ground/air tactics; HIGH for IO).
• UAF: UAF has demonstrated effective AD responses to new RUF UAV vectors and successful offensive drone operations into Russian territory. UAF ground forces are actively engaged and defending in Sumy Oblast. UAF continues its efforts in internal security and counter-IO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• RUF: Continued high-intensity air and missile strikes indicate sustained access to munitions. Internal discussions regarding SpN units and ongoing efforts to manage military compensation suggest a focus on personnel sustainment and morale, despite reported corruption issues. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: UAF continues to demonstrate active efforts in military modernization and sustainment through training on new weapon systems and appealing for direct support for operational needs (e.g., drone parts for 225 OShP). Internal security measures are functioning. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• RUF: RUF C2 demonstrates highly coordinated multi-domain operations, particularly in its synchronized air/missile strikes and its complex and rapidly escalating information warfare campaign. The ballistic missile strike on Sumy and the continued, sophisticated IO campaign confirm robust and adaptive C2. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF: UAF C2 demonstrates effective coordination of defensive operations, emergency response, and rapid public communication regarding threats. Law enforcement and counter-intelligence continue to operate effectively. Active training on and adoption of new weapon systems suggests effective procurement and training C2. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.5. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Assess the specific directives and coordination mechanisms behind Russia's use of ballistic missiles on the Sumy axis.
• HIGH: Characterize the type and estimated origin of the ballistic missile targeting Sumy.
• HIGH: Analyze the observed operational patterns of RUF ground forces in Sumy in response to UAF's 225 OShP activities.

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• Defensive Posture: UAF maintains a defensive posture across all active fronts, with AD forces rapidly reacting to evolving threats, including ballistic missiles. UAF is actively engaged in ground defense operations in Sumy and continue modernization efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Vulnerability: Ballistic missile threats on a new axis (Sumy) represent a significant escalation and challenge to UAF AD. Persistent KAB and drone attacks continue to inflict damage and casualties. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Successes: Successful AD neutralization of RUF UAVs in Odesa. Effective UAF drone strike on a Russian logistics target in Belgorod. Continued active defense and interdiction by UAF ground forces in Sumy. Ongoing military modernization and internal security efforts. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Setbacks: Confirmed ballistic missile strike on Sumy Oblast. Persistent KAB strikes on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia, and aviation threats in Dnipropetrovsk. RUF's escalating and sophisticated IO, particularly the fabricated Middle East crisis with new, explicit claims aimed at legitimizing the narrative, remains a significant challenge to counter and risks diverting international support. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Air Defense/Counter-Missile: URGENT and CRITICAL requirement for advanced anti-ballistic missile defense systems, particularly for the Northern axis, and more multi-layered AD to protect urban centers and critical infrastructure from persistent, large-scale, and evolving RUF air threats. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Counter-UAV: Continued requirement for counter-UAV and EW systems, especially for new variants and in areas of active ground engagement (e.g., Sumy). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Military Sustainment: Ongoing requirement for direct support and procurement of operational supplies for frontline units (e.g., drone parts, batteries for 225 OShP). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• HIGH: Conduct rapid damage assessment (BDA) for Sumy from the ballistic missile attack to inform immediate response and humanitarian aid requirements.
• HIGH: Assess the overall impact of UAF drone strikes into Russian territory on RUF logistics and morale.

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian:
  • Extreme Diversion (CRITICAL): RUF is now attempting to legitimize its fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" with claims of UK diplomatic evacuations and staged "protest marches" in Iran, further deepening the deception. The explicit nuclear blackmail targeting the US continues. This is a deliberate and dangerous strategy to create a global crisis that demands international attention, potentially shifts resources/focus away from Ukraine, and provides direct economic/geopolitical benefits to Russia.
  • Domestic Control & War Justification: Russia continues to project economic progress and normalcy (SPIEF), manage military compensation, and suppress dissent. Narratives attempting to undermine Western governments by alleging hidden Russian origins are also present.
  • Geopolitical Manipulation: RUF highlights EU's refusal to lower the oil price cap as a sign of Western weakness or a benefit to Russia, linking it to the fabricated Middle East crisis. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukrainian:
  • Transparency & Call for Action: UAF leadership and regional authorities continue to immediately report on RUF attacks, including the ballistic missile strike on Sumy, condemning these actions and calling for increased international support. Active counter-narrative efforts are ongoing, including debunking false claims and offering nuanced geopolitical analysis.
  • Morale & Resilience: Highlighting active UAF ground operations (225 OShP in Sumy) and military modernization efforts (CZ BREN 2) aims to boost domestic morale and project strength. Continued efforts to expose internal corruption (Berdychiv mayor detention) demonstrate good governance. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Ballistic missile strikes introduce a new level of threat and anxiety, particularly in regions previously less affected. However, transparent reporting, active defense, and visible government and military actions (e.g., 225 OShP operations, anti-corruption efforts) aim to maintain public resilience. Direct appeals for support (e.g., 225 OShP drone parts) indicate active citizen engagement. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: State-controlled narratives emphasizing economic stability and geopolitical influence are designed to maintain public support. Reports of corruption (deputy extorting widow) could negatively impact morale if widely known, but active suppression of dissent aims to control information flow. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Diversion Effectiveness (CRITICAL): RUF's relentless and escalating "Iran-Israel crisis" fabrication, now with attempts to legitimize it through fabricated diplomatic/public reactions, represents a highly effective and dangerous strategy to distract international partners and potentially fragment diplomatic and military support for Ukraine. The UK's claimed diplomatic evacuations (even if based on fabricated crisis) directly illustrate the potential for real-world diplomatic consequences from RUF's IO campaign. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Sanctions (Response to IO): The US expanding sanctions against Iran (РБК-Україна at 14:19Z) is a real-world development that could be leveraged by RUF's IO to further amplify its fabricated Iran-Israel conflict narrative, irrespective of its actual cause. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.4. Intelligence Gaps/Collection Requirements:

• CRITICAL: Quantify the extent to which the "Iran-Israel crisis" narrative, particularly its new attempts at legitimation, is impacting international diplomatic responses and the delivery of military/financial aid to Ukraine.
• HIGH: Monitor international media and diplomatic statements for any shift in focus or resources influenced by RUF's nuclear blackmail and new claims of military actions/diplomatic reactions in the fabricated Middle East crisis.

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Sustained Attritional Ground Operations: RUF will continue localized ground pressure in Eastern (Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar) and Southern (Huliaipole-Malynivka) sectors.
• Escalated Air and Missile Strikes on Northern/Southern Axes: RUF will likely increase the frequency and intensity of high-speed/ballistic missile strikes on the Sumy axis and other northern targets, in addition to continued mass drone and KAB attacks against urban areas (Odesa, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk), adapting new threat vectors. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Intensified Hybrid Warfare (Information Operations): RUF will maintain and further intensify its extreme information warfare campaign. The "Iran-Israel crisis" narrative will continue to be amplified with more audacious fabrications, including further attempts to legitimize the crisis through false reports of diplomatic/economic/military actions by third parties. Nuclear blackmail rhetoric will persist. Russia will continue to present itself as a responsible "mediator" in this manufactured crisis and directly claim economic/geopolitical benefits from it. Expect further attempts to deflect from war crimes and reinforce internal security through further arrests and legal actions. Increased emphasis on high economic performance and military-civilian industrial integration for the domestic audience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Focus on Domestic Stability: RUF will continue to prioritize domestic messaging emphasizing normalcy and economic stability (using SPIEF as a platform) while suppressing internal opposition. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Coordinated Strategic Offensive with High-Impact IO Event and Cyberattack: RUF launches a multi-echelon ground offensive on the Sumy axis, aiming for a rapid breakthrough towards strategically significant objectives (e.g., Sumy city), while simultaneously orchestrating a highly publicized, potentially false-flag "event" related to the fabricated "Iran-Israel crisis" involving a major act of "cyber-terrorism" or "infrastructure attack" on a Western target (e.g., a critical European port or energy hub) or a global financial institution, which is then immediately attributed to "Iranian" or "Israeli" actors. This event would be heavily amplified by RUF IO to maximize global chaos and divert attention, forcing international diplomatic re-prioritization and calls for a wider "peacekeeping" intervention, thus pressuring Ukraine and its allies into unfavorable "negotiations" while the northern offensive attempts a strategic breakthrough. This would be supported by a concentrated air and ballistic missile campaign to degrade UAF C2 and AD in the target sector. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 12-24 hours):
  • RUF: Expect continued ground reconnaissance/localized assaults, persistent air/drone threats to urban areas, particularly Odesa from new vectors. High probability of further ballistic missile or high-speed target activity on the Sumy axis. Further, more specific amplification of the "Iran-Israel crisis" with more dangerous and elaborate fabrications.
  • UAF Decision Point: Maintain highest AD readiness, particularly in Odesa, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Sumy, adapting to new threat vectors and ballistic missile threats. Prepare for continued and escalated RUF information operations, especially direct claims of strikes in the fabricated crisis and dehumanizing rhetoric, and reinforce counter-IO efforts with immediate and robust debunking. Rapidly investigate and confirm/deny reports of deep strikes on Russian territory.
• Short-term (Next 24-72 hours):
  • RUF: Likely continued high-intensity ground and air pressure. RUF IO will seek new "developments" in its fabricated Middle East narrative, potentially linked to Russia's "mediation" offers or new false-flag events, and will continue to exploit the dehumanizing narratives. Attempts to exploit perceived UAF vulnerabilities or international distraction.
  • UAF Decision Point: Prioritize ISR on the Sumy/Kharkiv/Kupiansk axis for early warning of any significant force buildup or shifts indicating the MDCOA. Engage international partners to directly counter the explicit fabrication of military actions in the "Iran-Israel crisis" and its dehumanizing elements, ensuring continued focus and support for Ukraine, emphasizing the global destabilization risk of RUF's IO campaign and its direct economic/geopolitical benefits to Russia.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Prioritize all-source ISR on the Sumy axis, with a specific focus on RUF force dispositions, logistics, and any indicators of a major offensive or strategic maneuver (MDCOA). This includes identifying unit IDs, lines of communication, and potential staging areas. Conduct immediate BDA for the ballistic missile strike. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: All-source intelligence, GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT).
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Intensify OSINT and HUMINT efforts to understand the internal dynamics of RUF's decision-making regarding the extreme escalation of the "Iran-Israel crisis" narrative and nuclear blackmail, particularly how international diplomatic responses to this fabrication are being perceived and exploited by RUF. Focus on identifying and exposing new fabricated imagery and especially new false claims of specific military strikes on named civilian/government targets and the new, utterly dehumanizing narratives. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT).
3. HIGH: Increase monitoring of RUF reconnaissance and combat activity in the Huliaipole-Malynivka sector (Zaporizhzhia) to assess intent. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: GEOINT, IMINT, SIGINT).
4. HIGH: Accelerate efforts to identify and neutralize internal pro-Russian propagandists and collaboration networks, building on recent SBU successes and anticipating new RUF judicial measures and media crackdowns.

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain highest AD alert posture in Sumy, Odesa, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts due to ongoing mass drone, KAB, and now ballistic missile threats. Prioritize defense against ballistic missile threats on the Northern axis. Adapt AD to new threat vectors towards Odesa from Kherson via Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi. Prioritize defense of civilian populations and critical infrastructure.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the deployment and integration of advanced counter-UAV and EW systems capable of countering AI-enabled, direct RF-controlled, and fiber-optic drones, especially those with claimed "new tandem munition."
3. URGENT: Reinforce AD systems and EW capabilities along the Sumy and Kharkiv axes to counter increased RUF air and missile activity and protect ground forces from air attack, especially in the event of an MDCOA. Prioritize defenses against tactical aviation.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain robust defensive posture and combat readiness across all Eastern Front axes, particularly Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and areas of RUF pressure in Kharkiv Oblast, with a specific focus on strengthening defenses around Kupiansk.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Prepare and position flexible reserves for rapid deployment to the Sumy/Kharkiv/Kupiansk axis in case of a major RUF ground offensive (MDCOA). Also, maintain readiness for increased activity in southern Ukraine.
3. ONGOING: Continue to inflict maximum personnel and equipment losses on RUF through effective defensive operations, counter-battery fire, and precision strikes, exploiting reported RUF attritional challenges. Maintain active defense and interdiction operations in border regions (e.g., Sumy), leveraging successful drone strikes into Russian territory.
4. HIGH: Expedite the training and fielding of domestic artillery systems like the "Bohdana" and the adoption of modern small arms like the CZ BREN 2 to improve UAF combat effectiveness and reduce reliance on external suppliers. Prioritize sustainment needs for active units (e.g., 225 OShP).

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, globally coordinated information campaign to directly counter Russia's persistent and escalating fabrication of the "Iran-Israel crisis," particularly the explicit nuclear blackmail and new, false claims attempting to legitimize the crisis through fabricated diplomatic/public reactions. Provide irrefutable evidence of the deception, highlighting the psychological and diplomatic manipulation. Explicitly link this to a Russian strategy to divert aid and attention from Ukraine and destabilize global security, and to directly benefit from geopolitical instability.
2. URGENT: Proactively address the civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from ballistic missile, KAB, and drone attacks in Sumy, Odesa, Kharkiv, and Donetsk through transparent communication, calling for stronger international responses and humanitarian aid, while highlighting the deliberate targeting of civilians as war crimes. Publicize government reconstruction efforts (e.g., eVidnovlennya) to demonstrate resilience.
3. URGENT: Engage international partners to re-focus attention and aid specifically on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, explicitly countering any narrative that shifts focus to fabricated crises or Russian "mediation" offers. Emphasize the long-term threat of Russia's hybrid warfare to global stability and the direct link between this destabilization and the war in Ukraine.
4. ONGOING: Continue to document and disseminate evidence of RUF war crimes (e.g., civilian casualties) and internal issues (e.g., corruption) to maintain international pressure and discredit RUF's narratives. Counter RUF attempts to mock UAF fortifications with verified imagery and public statements about their defensive capabilities. Highlight RUF's reliance on China for MIC support.
5. HIGH: Highlight and promote UAF's modernization efforts (e.g., Smart Force Academy, Bohdana, CZ BREN 2) and successful POW exchanges to project strength and efficiency to both domestic and international audiences.
6. HIGH: Proactively counter Russian efforts to sow discord within international alliances, particularly concerning Ukraine's EU accession and other regional issues, and expose Russian attempts to undermine Western governments by alleging hidden connections.

END OF REPORT.