Situation Report

INTELLIGENCE SITUATION REPORT (ISR)

TIME: 190825Z JUN 25 CLASSIFICATION: SECRET // NOFORN REPORTING UNIT: G2 ANALYST, UAF HIGH COMMAND

1. SITUATION OVERVIEW

1.1. Battlefield Geometry and Key Terrain:

• Northern Front (Sumy): Air Force of Ukraine reports Russian KAB launches targeting Sumy Oblast, indicating continued air support for potential ground operations or further efforts to degrade UAF defensive capabilities. This aligns with previous intelligence regarding Russian claims of territorial gains in Sumy and Kharkiv, though verification remains critical. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Eastern Front (Donetsk): Russian MoD claims Grad MLRS and UAV operators from "Tsentr" Group of Forces are supporting assault detachments in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. This confirms ongoing active ground engagement and integrated fire support. DPR "Narodnaya militsiya" claims destruction of UAF communication antennas and fuel supplies by the 68th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion ("Leshy 68 ORB"), indicating persistent Russian efforts to disrupt UAF C2 and logistics in the East. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for RU activity, MEDIUM for RU BDA claims). Unspecified photo message from "Сливочный каприз" showing "Krasny Liman - Torskoye" suggests ongoing activity in this sector, likely reconnaissance or localized engagements, but lacks specific tactical detail. (LOW CONFIDENCE on specific activity).
• Southern Front (Black Sea/Zaporizhzhia/Kherson): "Два майора" posted a video titled "Black Sea. West of Crimea" showing a map with naval assets and a small highlighted vessel, possibly a drone or combat boat. This indicates continued Russian naval presence and potential for surface/unmanned vessel operations in the Black Sea, particularly off Crimea. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports "missile danger," indicating ongoing Russian targeting of the region. TASS, citing Sal'do, continues to propagate the narrative of Kherson being a "ghost city" due to Ukrainian actions, maintaining the information campaign on the southern front. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for naval activity; HIGH for missile threat; HIGH for RU IO).
• Deep Rear (Russia): Russian MoD claims seven Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over five Russian regions, indicating continued UAF deep strike attempts. Rosaviatsiya implemented temporary flight restrictions at Orenburg airport, suggesting another potential drone threat or security measure. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for UAF deep strike attempts and RU flight restrictions).
• International/Middle East (IO Focus): Extensive new content from Russian milbloggers (ЦАПЛІЄНКО, Операция Z, Военкор Котенок, Рыбарь) and TASS continues to focus on the alleged Iranian missile/drone strikes on Israel, including claims of strikes on "Soroka" hospital in Beer Sheva and the Tel Aviv stock exchange, and alleged Israeli AD failures. This is a critical amplification of the strategic diversion and nuclear rhetoric previously identified. TASS reports on IRGC claims of hitting an Israeli command-reconnaissance center "near a hospital." TASS also reports on Rosatom not excluding the evacuation of personnel from Bushehr NPP, further escalating the nuclear narrative. (HIGH CONFIDENCE for RU IO amplification). Confirmed passage of HMS Queen Elizabeth through the Suez Canal towards Yemen/Iran is reported by "Военкор Котенок," highlighting real-world military movements in the region that Russia is leveraging. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

1.2. Weather and Environmental Factors:

• No new specific weather or environmental updates affecting combat operations.
• Kharkiv Oblast administration reports over 243 hectares were demined over the week, indicating ongoing post-conflict environmental remediation efforts, which are essential for long-term recovery but not immediately combat-relevant. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

1.3. Current Force Dispositions and Control Measures:

• Ukrainian Forces (UAF): UAF AD remains active, as evidenced by KAB launches on Sumy and missile danger in Zaporizhzhia. President Zelenskyy visited the site of the Kyiv residential building strike, honoring victims and reaffirming support for affected civilians. UAF counter-intelligence (SBU, National Police) continues to disrupt internal threats, including an FBI-wanted hacker. UAF leadership remains engaged in public communication. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian Forces (RUF): Continue KAB launches (Sumy) and missile threats (Zaporizhzhia). RUF ground forces are actively engaged in Donetsk (Krasnoarmeysk direction), utilizing MLRS and UAV support. RUF naval assets are active in the Black Sea. Russia's MoD continues to report UAF deep strike interdictions. RUF maintains a high tempo in the information environment, aggressively amplifying fabricated Middle East narratives and attempting to delegitimize President Zelenskyy. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Internal Political/Economic (RU/UA): Ukrainian Rada supported the resignation of MP Dovgy (RBC-Ukraine, Operatyvnyi ZSU). TASS reports on a conviction for treason in Moscow and "Yandex Taxi" lowering child travel costs. DTEK in Ukraine secured 3 billion UAH for energy storage facilities. These are domestic developments with indirect military implications (stability, resilience, resource allocation). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2. ENEMY ANALYSIS

2.1. Enemy Capabilities, Intentions, and Courses of Action:

• Air/Missile/UAV Capabilities: RUF continues to employ KABs (Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk) and likely other aviation assets (Dnipropetrovsk threat) to target Ukrainian areas, consistent with a strategy of terror and degradation. The MoD's claimed destruction of 7 UAF UAVs indicates an active air defense posture within Russia. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ground Capabilities: Russian MoD footage of Grad MLRS and UAV operations in Krasnoarmeysk direction (Donetsk) confirms a combined-arms approach in ground offensives, integrating fire support and reconnaissance for tactical engagements. Claims of destroying UAF comms antennas and fuel supplies highlight an intent to systematically degrade UAF combat effectiveness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Naval Capabilities: The "Два майора" video suggests continued Russian naval activity in the Black Sea, possibly including reconnaissance or offensive operations with small vessels/drones. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).
• Logistics & Support: Colonelcassad's videos show Russian soldiers receiving supplies (body armor, medical kits, food) from "FOND POMOSCHI SVO" and "Organizatsiya Vechy," specifically mentioning the 810th Brigade and Kursk region. This reconfirms the continued reliance on decentralized, volunteer-based fundraising and supply chains to supplement official logistics, especially at the tactical level. It also confirms activity of Russian forces in the Kursk region. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Hybrid/Information Warfare (CRITICAL ESCALATION): Russia's IO campaign has intensified its strategic diversion efforts regarding the Middle East. New elements and extreme amplifications include:
  • Direct Attribution of Attacks: IRGC claims (via TASS) of "combined strategic missile and drone" strikes on Israel, including "high-precision strike on a command-reconnaissance center... near a hospital." This is an attempt to inject an explicit military dimension into the narrative and link civilian facilities to military targets, a tactic often used by Russia regarding Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Nuclear Blackmail/Threat: TASS reporting on Rosatom not excluding personnel evacuation from Bushehr NPP and statements that a strike on Bushehr would be "comparable to Chernobyl" constitute a direct and dangerous escalation of nuclear rhetoric, designed to induce global panic and distract from Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns' previous rhetoric (nuclear warheads, dirty bombs) is now being echoed by official/quasi-official Russian channels regarding nuclear facilities. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Delegitimization of Zelenskyy (CRITICAL): Putin's direct statement (via Kotsnews) that he is ready to meet Zelenskyy but questions his "legitimacy" is a significant, direct political attack aimed at undermining international recognition of the Ukrainian government and framing Zelenskyy as an obstacle to peace. This is a deliberate attempt to erode diplomatic support and create divisions. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Discrediting Ukraine/West: Claims of Israeli AD failures (propagated by "Операция Z", "Рыбарь", "Военкор Котенок") serve to undermine confidence in Western-supplied military technology. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
  • Internal Messaging: TASS and Sal'do's claims about Kherson being a "ghost city" due to Ukraine's actions continue the narrative of Ukrainian responsibility for civilian suffering. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.2. Recent Tactical Changes or Adaptations:

• Increased Air Activity in Northern Sectors: Continued KAB launches on Sumy suggest an adapted focus on weakening UAF defenses and civilian infrastructure in areas bordering Russia, potentially in preparation for ground actions. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).
• Direct Presidential IO Engagement: Putin's direct statement questioning Zelenskyy's legitimacy marks a new, higher-level tactical adaptation in Russia's political information warfare, escalating the attempt to undermine Ukrainian sovereignty. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Shift in Nuclear Rhetoric: The official Rosatom comments via TASS, explicitly linking potential Middle East conflict to a "Chernobyl-like" event at Bushehr NPP, signifies a dangerous adaptation in the use of nuclear blackmail in the information domain. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Adaptation in IO Targeting: The specific claims of strikes near hospitals and on stock exchanges in Israel, combined with claims of Israeli AD failures, indicate an adaptation to target high-impact civilian/economic nodes in the Middle East narrative to maximize global shock and distraction. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Continued Reliance on Volunteer Logistics for Tactical Units: The persistent calls for donations and showcasing of aid delivery to specific units confirm that this decentralized system remains a critical adaptation for supporting Russian forces, suggesting systemic gaps in official supply chains at the lower echelons. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.3. Logistics and Sustainment Status:

• Continued reliance on "FOND POMOSCHI SVO" and "Organizatsiya Vechy" for supplying Russian tactical units (810th Brigade, Kursk) indicates ongoing, localized logistical shortfalls. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• The reported passage of HMS Queen Elizabeth through the Suez Canal suggests critical naval logistics routes are active in the broader region, though not directly impacting Russian/Ukrainian conflict logistics, it is a significant geopolitical development Russia is leveraging in its IO. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

2.4. Command and Control Effectiveness:

• The continued coordination of KAB strikes, MLRS fire, and UAV operations in Krasnoarmeysk indicates effective tactical-level C2 for Russian ground forces.
• The synchronized and escalating information campaign across multiple state and milblogger channels (including direct statements from Putin and Rosatom) demonstrates a highly centralized and effective strategic C2 over Russia's information warfare apparatus. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• The detection of seven UAF UAVs over five Russian regions suggests an organized response by Russian AD C2 to UAF deep strikes. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3. FRIENDLY FORCES

3.1. Ukrainian Force Posture and Readiness:

• UAF AD remains active, issuing warnings for KABs in Sumy and missile threats in Zaporizhzhia, indicating continuous vigilance and response readiness. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF counter-intelligence (SBU, National Police) demonstrates continued effectiveness in disrupting internal threats, as shown by the detention of an FBI-wanted hacker, contributing to national security and resilience. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• UAF leadership (President Zelenskyy's visit to Kyiv residential strike site) maintains public engagement and morale support in the face of Russian terror attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukraine continues efforts to rebuild critical infrastructure and bolster energy security, exemplified by DTEK securing financing for energy storage facilities, demonstrating resilience and long-term planning. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Demining efforts in Kharkiv indicate ongoing stabilization and reclamation of liberated territories. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.2. Recent Tactical Successes or Setbacks:

• Success: Continued UAF deep strike attempts into Russia (7 UAVs claimed destroyed) demonstrate persistent offensive reach and intent to disrupt Russian operations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). UAF counter-intelligence successes further disrupt Russian influence. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Setback: Continued Russian KAB strikes (Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk) and missile threats (Zaporizhzhia) pose ongoing threats to civilian life and infrastructure, indicating persistent vulnerability. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• New Challenge (Information Domain): Putin's direct questioning of Zelenskyy's legitimacy and the escalated nuclear rhetoric in the Middle East narrative represent significant new challenges in the information domain, aiming to undermine Ukraine's standing and divert global attention. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

3.3. Resource Requirements and Constraints:

• Continued urgent need for robust air defense systems, particularly anti-drone and anti-missile capabilities, to counter persistent Russian air attacks and protect civilian centers.
• Resources are required for ongoing demining operations in liberated areas to ensure long-term stability and reconstruction.
• Increased efforts and resources are needed to counter the escalating and increasingly malicious Russian information warfare, especially the nuclear rhetoric and attacks on presidential legitimacy.

4. INFORMATION ENVIRONMENT

4.1. Propaganda and Disinformation Campaigns:

• Russian (CRITICAL LEVEL, EXTREME FABRICATION/NUCLEAR BLACKMAIL):
  • Middle East Diversion & Fabrication (HEIGHTENED): Russian milbloggers (ЦАПЛІЄНКО, Операция Z, Военкор Котенок, Рыбарь) and TASS are in full sync, heavily promoting narratives of Iranian "strategic missile and drone" strikes on Israel, including specific, likely fabricated, targets like "Soroka" hospital in Beer Sheva and the Tel Aviv stock exchange. Claims of Israeli AD failures are widely disseminated to undermine Western military technology. The focus is to paint a picture of widespread destruction and a new regional war, forcing global attention away from Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Nuclear Blackmail (NEW LEVEL OF ESCALATION): TASS, citing Rosatom, explicitly states a strike on Iran's Bushehr NPP would be "comparable to Chernobyl," and they do not exclude personnel evacuation. This is a direct, state-level nuclear blackmail tactic, leveraging the regional tensions to create global panic and pressure. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Delegitimization of Zelenskyy (NEW STRATEGIC LEVEL): Putin's direct public statement questioning Zelenskyy's "legitimacy" as President is a highly significant development. This is a deliberate, top-down attempt to undermine the international recognition of the Ukrainian government and disrupt any potential peace negotiations by questioning the authority of Ukraine's leader. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Blame-Shifting for Civilian Suffering: Sal'do's interview on TASS, claiming Kherson is a "ghost city" due to Ukraine, continues the long-standing narrative of blaming Ukraine for the war's consequences. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Messaging & Morale: Colonelcassad's videos showcasing aid to Russian soldiers via volunteer funds aims to boost morale and show support for troops, while implicitly acknowledging ongoing supply needs. (HIGH CONFIDENCE). TASS reporting on domestic matters (Yandex Taxi prices, court convictions) serves to project normalcy and internal control. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Ukrainian:
  • Counter-Terrorism & Victim Support: President Zelenskyy's visit to the Kyiv residential strike site, with public statements of condolences and continued assistance, directly counters Russian terror tactics and reinforces national unity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Counter-Intelligence Success: The public announcement of the detention of an FBI-wanted hacker by Ukrainian police highlights Ukraine's commitment to rule of law and international cooperation, countering Russian narratives of a failed state. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Resilience and Rebuilding: Reporting on DTEK's energy storage projects emphasizes Ukraine's efforts towards energy independence and resilience in the face of Russian attacks. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
  • Internal Political Legitimacy: The Rada's formal procedure for MP Dovgy's resignation demonstrates adherence to democratic processes, implicitly countering Russian claims of illegitimate governance. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).

4.2. Public Sentiment and Morale Factors:

• Ukrainian: Civilian morale will be tested by ongoing KAB/missile threats and casualties (Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk), but Zelenskyy's direct engagement with victims, and continued successes in counter-intelligence and infrastructure projects, contribute to resilience. Public awareness of Russia's escalating and fabricated Middle East narratives may reinforce resolve against Russian aggression. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Russian: The intense focus on the Middle East, coupled with extreme nuclear rhetoric, is likely designed to divert public attention from the Ukraine conflict and internal issues. While some may be distracted, the explicit nuclear threats could also generate internal anxiety. The constant emphasis on "aid" for soldiers via private funds, alongside official claims of success, creates a mixed message. Putin's direct attack on Zelenskyy's legitimacy aims to reinforce the domestic narrative of an illegitimate Ukrainian government, justifying continued conflict. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE).

4.3. International Support and Diplomatic Developments:

• Russia's aggressive and fabricated Middle East narrative, now directly incorporating nuclear blackmail (Bushehr NPP, Chernobyl comparisons), is a deliberate attempt to force international actors to prioritize a perceived immediate, global crisis. This aims to dilute support and attention for Ukraine. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• Putin's questioning of Zelenskyy's legitimacy is a direct diplomatic offensive to undermine international recognition of the Ukrainian government and complicate future peace negotiations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• TASS reporting on Peskov's comments regarding conditions for a potential Trump-Putin-Zelenskyy meeting suggests Russia's intent to control the narrative around peace talks, framing them as complex and requiring prior concessions (implicitly from Ukraine/West). (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• The confirmed passage of HMS Queen Elizabeth through the Suez Canal is a real-world military development that adds to the perceived urgency of the Middle East situation, which Russia is exploiting. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• The "Russian spy network in Argentina" report (ASTRA) highlights continued Russian global intelligence activities that could strain diplomatic relations. (HIGH CONFIDENCE).
• The SpaceX Starship 36 explosion, while unrelated, can briefly divert global media attention, subtly benefiting Russia's efforts to shift focus. (LOW RELEVANCE, but noted).

5. PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

5.1. Most Likely Enemy Courses of Action (MLCOA):

• Intensified Air/Artillery/UAV Attacks: RUF will continue systematic KAB launches on Sumy and other northern regions, along with missile/drone strikes on Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk, aiming to degrade UAF defenses, infrastructure, and morale. The use of advanced UAVs for reconnaissance and targeting will become more prevalent. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Sustained Ground Pressure (Donetsk): RUF will maintain high-intensity ground assaults along the Donetsk axes (Krasnoarmeysk direction, Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka), leveraging MLRS and UAV support to achieve localized gains and exhaust UAF defenders. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Escalated Information Warfare (Nuclear & Delegitimization Focus): Russia's IO apparatus will continue its multi-layered, highly fabricated campaign to distract from Ukraine, now with a prominent and extremely dangerous focus on nuclear rhetoric related to the Middle East. They will also significantly amplify direct attacks on President Zelenskyy's legitimacy to undermine Ukraine's international standing and unity. (HIGH CONFIDENCE)
• Naval Pressure in Black Sea: RUF will maintain naval presence and reconnaissance/strike operations in the Black Sea, particularly west of Crimea, likely with continued use of unmanned vessels. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE)

5.2. Most Dangerous Enemy Courses of Action (MDCOA):

• Major Offensive on Sumy Axis, Masked by Nuclear IO: RUF initiates a large-scale, multi-echelon ground offensive on the Sumy axis, leveraging the current peak of the fabricated Middle East crisis (including the explicit nuclear threats) to maximize global distraction. This offensive would likely be preceded by intensified KAB and missile strikes against UAF C2, logistics, and AD in the northern sector, supported by advanced UAV reconnaissance. (MEDIUM CONFIDENCE, increased due to extreme IO and confirmed KAB launches on Sumy).
• False Flag Nuclear Incident/Escalation: Given the explicit nuclear rhetoric regarding Bushehr NPP and previous "dirty bomb" claims, Russia could attempt a false flag incident involving CBRN materials in Ukraine or the Middle East. This would be designed to create a catastrophic global crisis, deflect blame onto Ukraine or the West, and fundamentally alter the geopolitical landscape, making it impossible to focus on Ukraine. (LOW-MEDIUM CONFIDENCE, due to demonstrated willingness to fabricate and escalate nuclear rhetoric).
• Direct Attack on International Shipping in Black Sea: RUF conducts a deliberate, high-profile attack on commercial shipping in the Black Sea (beyond the conflict zone), leveraging its claimed naval activity, to further destabilize global trade and create a maritime crisis that draws international resources away from supporting Ukraine. (LOW CONFIDENCE, but possible given prior threats to shipping and demonstrated naval assets).

5.3. Timeline Estimates and Decision Points:

• Immediate (Next 24-48 hours): Expect continued Russian air/artillery/UAV strikes across Ukraine, particularly in Sumy and Zaporizhzhia. Expect a surge in Russian IO amplifying the Middle East conflict with further nuclear rhetoric and attacks on Zelenskyy's legitimacy.
  • Critical Decision Point: Rapid, coordinated international response to counter Russia's nuclear rhetoric and delegitimization campaign against Zelenskyy. This requires unified diplomatic messaging and widespread factual debunking.
• Short-term (Next 72 hours): Continued monitoring for Russian ground force shifts or escalations, particularly in Sumy Oblast and along the Black Sea coast/Crimea.
  • UAF Decision Point: Rapid assessment of impact of continued KAB strikes on Sumy and adjustment of AD posture accordingly. Evaluate effectiveness of countermeasures against advanced Russian drones if more are identified.
• Ongoing: Continuous monitoring of Russian internal political and economic developments for their impact on resource allocation and long-term strategy.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS

6.1. Intelligence & Special Operations:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Continue all-source ISR on Sumy Oblast and the Kursk border region. Focus on any pre-positioning of ground forces, logistical build-ups, and changes in Russian command structure that could indicate preparations for a major offensive. Prioritize HUMINT and SIGINT on any Russian internal discussions regarding such operations. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT, overhead ISR, ground reconnaissance.)
2. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain real-time monitoring and analysis of Russian information operations regarding the Middle East and nuclear rhetoric. Specifically track channels like TASS, Alex Parker Returns, WarGonzo, ЦАПЛІЄНКО, Операция Z, Kotsnews, and Рыбарь. Identify specific narratives, visual content (especially false flags or manipulated imagery), and key influencers. Immediately flag any new direct nuclear threats or false flag claims. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, SIGINT.)
3. URGENT/HIGH: Intensify counter-intelligence operations focused on identifying and neutralizing Russian agents or collaborators involved in intelligence gathering on UAF high-value assets and critical infrastructure, particularly in light of the SBU success and the advanced "Shahed" drone capabilities. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: HUMINT, SIGINT, OSINT, forensics.)
4. URGENT/HIGH: Conduct immediate forensic and technical analysis of any newly captured Russian UAVs, especially for AI modules, direct radio control, or enhanced reconnaissance capabilities. Disseminate findings immediately to AD and EW units. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: Technical Intelligence, Reverse Engineering.)
5. ONGOING: Systematically collect and verify all evidence of Russian targeting of civilian infrastructure and casualties from KAB and missile strikes. Document for international accountability and use in counter-propaganda. (COLLECTION REQUIREMENT: OSINT, HUMINT, local authority reports.)

6.2. Air Defense & Force Protection:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain maximum AD alert posture across all major population centers and critical infrastructure, particularly Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia. Prioritize interceptors against KABs and any incoming missile threats.
2. URGENT/CRITICAL: Accelerate the development, procurement, and deployment of advanced counter-UAV and electronic warfare (EW) systems capable of jamming, spoofing, or neutralizing sophisticated drones, including those with direct radio control or AI modules. Integrate these into layered AD systems.
3. URGENT: Reinforce anti-drone corridors and passive defenses in northern and eastern border regions, especially Sumy, to mitigate the impact of increased KAB launches.
4. URGENT: Enhance force protection measures for civilian populations, including updated air raid warning systems and accessible shelters, in regions under persistent air attack.

6.3. Ground Forces:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Maintain robust defensive postures on the Donetsk axes (Krasnoarmeysk, Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka), preparing to repel combined-arms assaults with MLRS and UAV support. Adapt tactics to counter persistent Russian tactical drone operations.
2. URGENT: Develop and refine contingency plans for a potential major ground offensive on the Sumy axis. This includes pre-positioning reserves, identifying key defensive lines, and conducting counter-mobility operations. Conduct localized reconnaissance to confirm or deny any significant Russian build-up.
3. URGENT: Monitor Russian naval movements in the Black Sea, particularly west of Crimea, for any indicators of amphibious operations or increased threat to Ukrainian coastal areas.
4. ONGOING: Continue to leverage UAF deep strike capabilities to disrupt Russian logistics, C2 nodes, and force concentrations. Prioritize targeting of known drone launch sites, particularly those associated with advanced UAVs.

6.4. Information Operations & Diplomatic:

1. IMMEDIATE/CRITICAL: Launch an unprecedented, rapid, and globally coordinated IO and diplomatic campaign to expose and condemn Russia's extreme fabrications regarding the Middle East and its dangerous nuclear rhetoric.
   • Explicitly debunk all false claims (e.g., Tel Aviv stock exchange, Soroka hospital strikes, Israeli AD failures) with verifiable evidence.
   • Strongly condemn Russia's use of nuclear blackmail regarding the Bushehr NPP. Highlight the irresponsibility and destabilizing nature of such statements.
   • Forcefully counter Putin's attempts to delegitimize President Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian government to the international community. Reaffirm Zelenskyy's legitimacy as the democratically elected leader.
   • Ensure all messaging is consistent, multilateral, and translated for global reach. Engage with international media, governments, and civil society directly.
2. URGENT: Proactively disseminate verified information on Russian war crimes and civilian casualties, particularly from KAB and missile strikes, to maintain international focus on Russia's aggression in Ukraine.
3. URGENT: Publicly highlight and explain the technological advancements in Russian UAVs (e.g., AI-enabled Shaheds) to international partners, underscoring the urgent need for more advanced AD and EW support for Ukraine.
4. ONGOING: Counter Russian narratives blaming Ukraine for the war's consequences (e.g., "Kherson ghost city") by presenting accurate information on the impact of Russian occupation and aggression.
5. ONGOING: Continue to highlight instances of Ukrainian resilience, such as energy infrastructure development and counter-intelligence successes, to maintain domestic and international morale and confidence.

END OF REPORT.