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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-05-20 16:20:15Z
9 months ago
Previous (2025-05-20 15:49:48Z)

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 20, 2025, 16:18 UTC)


Major Updates from Recent Messages

  • Continued Russian Drone Activity: Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia, indicating a sustained aerial threat in these southern regions. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • Appointment of New Rector at Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics: The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration has introduced a new rector at HNURE, highlighting the university's role in strengthening defense capabilities, infrastructure restoration, and digital technology development, and affirming continued support from the administration. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
  • Medvedev Comments on New World Order and Ukraine Conflict: Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia, has made extensive comments at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum. He stated that the new world order will likely be based on the outcomes of the current conflict, viewing the Ukrainian crisis as the peak of NATO's destructive course. He claimed the new US administration prefers political-diplomatic solutions but needs to move beyond political contacts for trust. Medvedev asserted that the Ukraine conflict requires peace, not a truce, with mechanisms to prevent its recurrence. He controversially stated that there are no individuals in Ukraine authorized to sign a peace treaty and that any agreements with the current regime might be voided by future authorities, leading to renewed war. He argued that agreements should only be made with fully independent states. Medvedev presented the current situation as Ukraine's last chance to preserve some statehood under certain conditions, otherwise facing unconditional surrender, which he noted is favored by many in Russia. He called for new systems for monitoring and preventing military conflicts and expressed strong disapproval of the World Bank and IMF financing Kyiv, suggesting this should be examined by UN structures including the International Court. He warned that the presence of "coalition of the willing" troops in Ukraine, even after a settlement, would be considered a military threat with consequences. Medvedev concluded that the success of peace is measured by the population's quality of life post-conflict and affirmed that Russia is advancing on all fronts. (Басурин о главном)
  • Russian Embassy in UK Responds to Sanctions: The Russian Embassy in the UK has described the latest British sanctions as "unlawful restrictive measures" and an "aggressive attack," stating that such actions and attempts at ultimatums and threats cannot influence Russia's course. (ТАСС)
  • Attack on Russian Khmeimim Airbase in Syria: A Russian airbase in Khmeimim, Syria, was reportedly attacked by an unknown group. Russian sources claim at least two Russian fatalities and an unspecified number of injured. Ukrainian sources, citing Russian channels, mention the claimed elimination of three Uzbek individuals, without clarifying their role in Syria. Russia has not officially commented. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Rubio Comments on US and NATO Support for Ukraine: US Secretary of State Rubio stated that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. He also reiterated that the US has not stopped supplying weapons but a decision on new aid packages is not yet made. Rubio acknowledged that the conflict in Ukraine cannot be resolved militarily and must end through negotiations, and that the conflict is diverting Western resources from containing "more serious threats" in Asia. (Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, STERNENKO)
  • Czech Citizen Joins Russian Army and Seeks Czech Assistance: A citizen of the Czech Republic has reportedly joined the Russian army but is now seeking assistance from the Czech authorities. The Czech Ministry of Foreign Affairs warned against travel to Russia due to the tense security situation and limited consular assistance. Czech law prohibits citizens from serving in foreign armies without presidential permission. The circumstances of his joining the Russian army are unclear. (ASTRA)
  • European Commission Spokesperson on Future Russia-Ukraine Negotiations: A spokesperson for the European Commission, Paula Piño, reportedly stated that the next direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia could take place with the participation of the EU and the US. This was allegedly agreed upon after a phone call between US President Trump and European leaders on May 19th. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Russian Military Blogger Comments on "Info Fighter": A Russian military blogger shares a photo and commentary seemingly promoting an "info fighter" who is "ruthless to the enemies of the Reich," suggesting they are available for hire. This is likely satirical but reflects the ongoing information warfare. (Colonelcassad)
  • Russian Fighter-Bomber Aircraft Training: A Russian military blogger shares a video showcasing 12 Russian fighter-bomber aircraft flying in close formation during training exercises. The blogger, identified as a retired fighter-bomber pilot, emphasizes the precision and skill required for such maneuvers. (Fighterbomber)
  • Lithuanian President on NATO's Promise to Ukraine: Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda stated that if NATO does not fulfill its promise to accept Ukraine as a member, it would be a serious blow to the Alliance's reputation. He highlighted that NATO members have clearly stated Ukraine's membership prospects in recent summits. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Criminal Case Against Founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko) in Russia: A criminal case has been initiated against Galina Timchenko, the founder of the independent Russian media outlet Meduza (recognized as a "foreign agent" in Russia), for allegedly organizing the activities of an "undesirable organization." Russian investigative authorities claim she published online videos in September 2024 and March 2025 to "form protest sentiments among citizens" and "involve them in the activities of an undesirable organization." There is a report that a decision on declaring her wanted is being considered. (ASTRA, ТАСС)
  • Ukrainian General Staff Showcases Marksmen Training: The Ukrainian General Staff has shared photos showcasing intensive training of marksmen from the Regional Department of the Territorial Defense Forces "North." The training includes shooting from various positions, changing firing lines, camouflage, and working in pairs with an observer. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Positional Battles and Russian Advance Claims Near Siversk: Reports indicate positional battles in the Siversk area. Russian sources claim that Russian forces have advanced 1.5 km into the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske and have occupied new positions in the western part of the settlement. A geotagged video is provided as evidence, claiming it shows shelling of Russian positions by Ukrainian forces. (Сливочный каприз)
  • Fire at Enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, After Drone Attack: A strong fire is reported at two enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight "Geran-2" kamikaze drone strikes. Geocoordinates for the video recording location are provided. (Colonelcassad)
  • Domestic Incident in Russia (Kemerovo): A former "Wagner" group mercenary on leave has reportedly attacked an elderly woman with a knife in Kemerovo, causing multiple injuries, and attempted robbery. The individual was detained and had previously served a sentence for murder before joining "Wagner" and later signing a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
  • Russian Marine Infantry Activity Near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast: Russian marine infantry units from the 177th Separate Guards Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla are reportedly engaged in "burning out" forest belts with Ukrainian forces near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. (Два майора)
  • Ukrainian Mortar Team Activity (Third Assault Brigade): A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video featuring mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade, highlighting their work with 60mm mortars and the impact of their strikes, including hitting an enemy soldier in the head with a mine. The video emphasizes the skills required for mortar operations in the era of reconnaissance drones and the challenges of working close to the enemy. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
  • Russian Spies on Trial in Germany: Three German citizens with Russian passports are reportedly on trial in Munich, Germany, accused of spying for Russia. They are charged with working for Russian special services, gathering secret information, planning attacks on military infrastructure, preparing sabotage on railways, and collecting information on an oil refinery and the US military training center in Grafenwöhr, Bavaria, where Ukrainian soldiers trained on Abrams tanks. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Ukraine Seeks Halving of G7 Price Cap on Russian Oil: Ukraine's Deputy Foreign Minister, Andriy Sybiha, stated that Ukraine wants the G7 to lower the price cap on Russian oil to $30 per barrel, half of the current level, considering it a "reasonable" price. (РБК-Україна)
  • Appointment of Participant of "Time of Heroes" Program to Government Post in Nizhny Novgorod: Vladimir Anisimov, a participant in President Putin's "Time of Heroes" program and a veteran of the "Special Military Operation" awarded the Order of Courage, has been appointed Deputy Head of the Administration of the city of Nizhny Novgorod. His responsibilities will include supporting "SVO" participants and their families and patriotic education of youth. The report highlights his military background and the skills gained in the program. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
  • Video of Claimed Russian Missile Strike on Ukrainian Training Camp: A video is shared by Russian sources claiming to show a missile strike by an Iskander OTRK on a training camp for the 1st Separate Brigade of Special Purpose Territorial Defense Forces of Ukraine near Shostka, Sumy Oblast. Claimed Ukrainian casualties (up to 70 servicemen, including 20 instructors) and destruction of equipment (ammunition depot, up to 10 vehicles) are reported. The video shows a large group of people moving in formation just before the strike. (Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Ukrainian Soldier Captured: A video features a captured Ukrainian serviceman, identifying himself as Smirnov Oleksandr Mykolayovych from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade. He claims to have been called up less than a month prior and promised service in the rear due to heart problems, but was sent to the front after minimal training. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Russian Documentary Film about Mariupol: A Russian military blogger announces the release of a sequel to a documentary film about the "liberation" of Mariupol, focusing on the events and the claimed "complete and final defeat" of the Azov Battalion. This release coincides with the third anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation" according to Russian sources. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
  • Ukrainian General Staff Reports Russian Losses Since Year Start: The Ukrainian General Staff claims that Russian losses since the beginning of the year amount to 185,000 personnel. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Head of Russian Investigative Committee Comments on Migrants: The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee, Alexander Bastrykin, has made significant comments regarding migrants in Russia. He outlined requirements for employers of foreign workers (social package, year-long contracts, employer-funded return travel, no families) and highlighted concerns about a 15% rise in migrant crime since the start of 2025, lack of integration, presence of radical Islam supporters, and criminals. He advocates for changes in labor and migration legislation to protect the Russian population. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
  • Closure of Memorial Fund in Komi, Russia: The "Repentance" foundation in the Komi Republic, dedicated to preserving the memory of victims of political repression, has decided to cease operations due to a lack of funding from the authorities since 2021. Its work and materials will be transferred to archives and libraries. (Север.Реалии)
  • Russian Propaganda on "Fighting History" in Odesa: A Russian military blogger shares photos alleging that Ukrainian forces in Odesa are "continuing to fight with the history of the city," possibly referring to the removal of monuments or renaming of streets associated with the Soviet or Russian past. (Colonelcassad)
  • Russian Propaganda on Field Church: A Russian military blogger shares a video showcasing a mobile church established in a van ("буханка") and highlights support for it from the "People's Front" in Luhansk People's Republic. The video depicts a priest conducting services for Russian servicemen, linking religious faith with military service and humanitarian aid. (Басурин о главном)
  • Air Raid Alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Excluding City): An air raid alert has been declared in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city, due to a potential threat. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • KABs Reported on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts: Guided aerial bombs (KABs) are reported to be impacting Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Defense Council Meeting: The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reported on a meeting of the Defense Council, discussing security issues, fortification construction, mobilization, work of Military Medical Commissions, changes in requirements for shelters in educational institutions, and the results of an audit of fire hydrants. Positive results regarding "zonal alerts" in reducing alert duration in most districts were noted. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Medvedev on Trust in Ukrainian Settlement: Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia, stated that in the Ukrainian settlement, it is necessary to trust the guarantees and international documents that will be prepared. (ТАСС)
  • Zelenskyy Comments on Sanctions: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy commented on the 17th EU sanctions package and the UK's sanctions decisions, viewing them as steps in the right direction. He stressed the need for more sanctions on Russia's energy infrastructure, financial sector, and military industry to pressure Russia towards peace and make it feel the full price of aggression. He also mentioned continued work with the US on sanctions. (Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
  • Non-Military News (Moscow): A report on a non-military topic (microplastics in food) is shared. (Новости Москвы)
  • Support for Ukrainian Brigades in Zaporizhzhia: The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered quadcopters, unmanned aerial vehicles, and aerial complexes to two military brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction. The importance of drones for destroying enemy personnel, equipment, logistics, and warehouses is emphasized, highlighting daily supply as a priority for the region. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • Fundraising Appeal for Ukrainian Marine Brigade: A fundraising appeal is shared for the 37th Separate Marine Brigade, seeking 4964 UAH to close a collection. A flag from the brigade is offered as a gift for a single large donation. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
  • Video Claiming Elimination of Russian Soldier in Siversk Direction: A video, likely from a Ukrainian source (ABWEHR GRUPPE), claims to show the elimination of a Russian soldier ("katsap") in a field on the Siversk direction. The caption encourages donations to "rusoriz," likely a fundraising effort for military purposes. (STERNENKO)
  • Wall Street Journal Report on Zelenskyy-Trump Interaction: A Russian military blogger shares a report from the Wall Street Journal claiming that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump to his side was unsuccessful. It suggests that despite Zelenskyy agreeing to a proposed ceasefire and engaging in negotiations, Trump, after his conversation with Putin, shifted back to the Russian leader's proposed sequence of actions and softened his stance towards Moscow. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Germany Expects Trump to Pressure Russia for Ceasefire: The German Foreign Minister, Johann Wadephul, stated that Germany expects the US to pressure Russia for an immediate ceasefire without preconditions, noting Russia's failure to take this step. (РБК-Україна)
  • Lavrov Arrives in Armenia: Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has arrived in Armenia for a working visit. (ТАСС)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat across key sectors in eastern and southern Ukraine, a persistent and geographically widespread Russian aerial campaign primarily utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic and political maneuvering. Significant recent updates highlight continued Russian ground pressure and claimed tactical gains in Donetsk Oblast, particularly on the Konstantinovka direction (including claimed breakthrough to Nova Poltavka and advances towards Konstantinovka aiming to take logistics under fire control and encircle a Ukrainian grouping) and the Pokrovsk direction (claimed tactical advances on the left flank in multiple settlements and fighting near Greenovka). Russian sources also claim advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske near Siversk in Donetsk Oblast. Renewed Ukrainian attempts to attack in the border regions of Kursk Oblast are reportedly being repelled by Russian forces with Ukrainian losses from mines and drone operators, with Russian sources claiming significant Ukrainian casualties near Tetkino. Russian forces are also claiming advances on the Sumy direction near Loknya and Yunakovka, aiming to expand the buffer zone, utilizing heavy weather to their advantage against Ukrainian UAVs. Russian marine infantry is reportedly engaged near Myropillya in Sumy Oblast. The EU has imposed new sanctions targeting Russia's "shadow fleet" and entities related to sanctions evasion, the military-industrial complex, and individuals accused of disseminating Russian influence, including specific journalists and activists, and is preparing its 18th sanctions package. Russia's internal focus on tightening control over migrants through proposed mandatory biometric registration and reporting increased crime rates among foreign citizens underscores domestic security concerns, alongside efforts to identify and send Russian citizens who have not registered for military service to the front, with 20,000 reportedly already at the front. Russian forces are claiming that their FPV drones with RPG warheads are now reaching the suburbs of Kharkiv, indicating an increased range and adapted payload for these systems. A Russian military blogger claims that Russian forces have "practically cleared" Toretsk, although anticipating Ukrainian counterattacks, suggesting a potential shift in the front line in this area. Reports on Russian military training incorporating modern warfare elements like drone countermeasures and robotic platforms indicate adaptation efforts. Diplomatic discourse continues to be complex, with differing narratives surrounding recent high-level conversations and stated positions on negotiations, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's discussion with the German Chancellor emphasizing the need for unity among partners to find a solution for a just peace and coordinating contacts and steps, and also a conversation with the Norwegian Prime Minister discussing financial aid for Ukraine and the possibility of increasing the share for drone production. Reports from US media suggest potential US plans to deport Ukrainians, adding a new layer to the geopolitical and humanitarian considerations. Reports also indicate surprise and disappointment among European leaders after a call between Trump and Putin regarding the lack of agreement on a ceasefire or new sanctions, highlighting differing international perspectives on the path forward, while reports also suggest that Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and allow Moscow and Kyiv to negotiate directly, and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them. The humanitarian impact of the conflict is highlighted by reports of damaged infrastructure in Ukraine requiring modernization due to previous attacks and ongoing civilian casualties, including a recent drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy Oblast causing injuries and reports clarifying a Ukrainian citizen's conviction in Sumy Oblast was for illegal weapons possession, not for actions related to defending a village by mining a road. The increasing use of robotic systems for battlefield support, such as the successful medical evacuation by a Ukrainian National Guard brigade, indicates technological adaptation in response to the operational environment. The ongoing fundraising efforts for FPV drones on the Ukrainian and Russian sides highlight the continued demand for these systems and the role of public support in acquiring them. Russian air force activity in the Barents Sea indicates continued strategic posturing. Internal issues within Russia, including criminal activity by servicemen on leave, discussions on radicalism and migration policies, fundraising for military equipment, and political commentary on social issues, remain relevant to the broader context, now including concerns about foreign influence through a religious organization and low public perception of the US as an enemy. A naval incident involving the detention of an oil tanker by Russia in the Baltic Sea introduces a new element of regional tension and maritime security concerns. Ukraine is pursuing international recognition of North Korea as an aggressor state, indicating concerns about potential support for adversaries. A Russian military official reports significant export achievements for the Russian military-industrial complex, highlighting its continued economic and strategic strength. A Russian military blogger provides an update on the Kherson direction, detailing positional battles and the extensive use of drones for resupply and countering enemy UAVs. A report from "Important Stories" claims that around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave over two years of the war, highlighting potential personnel issues for Russia. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have struck military airfield infrastructure and a UAV production workshop in Ukraine over the past day, and reports ongoing aerial munition threats and UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and the UN Development Programme (UNDP) are cooperating on humanitarian issues, with UNDP providing vehicles for palliative care, while the Oblast Administration is also forming a youth council. Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction claim to have destroyed a Russian reconnaissance drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims downing of Ukrainian aerial assets (JDAMs and drones) and provides claimed Ukrainian personnel losses across various Groups of Forces. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has thanked the EU for the 17th sanctions package and discussed the 18th. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reports a conviction for state treason in Donetsk Oblast. A Russian military blogger commemorates the 2nd anniversary of the "liberation" of Artemovsk (Bakhmut), highlighting its significance for Russia. New messages highlight speculation about potential US pressure on Russia from (former) President Trump. Russian sources commemorate the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation," framing it as a symbol of restoration. Ukrainian sources clarify a civilian's conviction in Sumy Oblast was for illegal weapons storage, not related to village defense. A Finnish source interprets peculiar AIS data near Finland as potential Russian spoofing activity. Ukrainian MP raises concerns about the lack of new funding for US military aid to Ukraine. Ukrainian MP reports significant statistics on illegal border crossings and mobilization evasion, noting potential negative impacts on aid to the military. Medvedev reiterates a hardline stance, stating Ukraine faces unconditional surrender without peace and lacks authorized negotiators, also dismissing the ICC. Russian Deputy Justice Minister humorously emphasizes the broad reach of the "foreign agent" law. Ukrainian military blogger releases a film on the Vuhledar battle. Russian sources claim Ukrainian attempts to break through in Kursk Oblast were repelled with losses, including from mines and drones, while also claiming Russian advances in Sumy Oblast near Loknya and Yunakovka to expand the buffer zone, linking these to Ukrainian evacuations. Russian military bloggers report Russian FPV drones with RPG warheads are reaching Kharkiv suburbs. A Russian military blogger claims Russian forces have "practically cleared" Toretsk but anticipate Ukrainian counterattacks. The Ukrainian Prosecutor's Office has secured the return of a historical church to state ownership. Medvedev proposes a registry of colonial damage for developing countries. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle acquired with reader support being used in combat. Russian military bloggers report significant Russian advances on the Konstantinovka direction, claiming a breakthrough to Nova Poltavka and further advances aimed at encircling a Ukrainian grouping and taking Konstantinovka logistics under fire control. A Russian official reports on reconstruction efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast. Medvedev comments that the "coalition of the willing" aims to introduce an occupation regime and draw parties into a larger conflict. The Russian Ministry of Defense provides its daily report on claimed operational progress and Ukrainian losses across all fronts. The European Commission reportedly stated that the next direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations should include Europe and the US. WarGonzo comments on a new documentary series about the battle for Mariupol from the perspective of the "Somali" battalion. A candidate in the Polish presidential election expresses willingness to not support Ukraine's NATO membership to gain political support. The Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen. The Ukrainian General Staff shares a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember explaining his motivation. A Russian military blogger provocatively comments on Medvedev's statement about the lack of authorized Ukrainian negotiators, suggesting military action to "fix this problem." Russian Minister of Defense Belousov has inspected the "Center" grouping of forces and received reports on the use of modern UAVs. A Ukrainian GUR unit reportedly evacuated a damaged M1224 MaxxPro armored vehicle from the Kupiansk direction. Reports highlight significant statistics on illegal border crossings and mobilization evasion in Ukraine. An alleged grenade incident in Moscow Oblast involving returning Russian servicemen is reported. Reports from Russian and Arab media indicate an attack on the Russian Khmeimim military base in Syria with claimed casualties. Russian official claims identification and deployment of 20,000 naturalized migrants for military service at the front and comments on rising crime and radicalization among migrants. According to a Ukrainian source citing a Russian report, Putin discussed alleged Ukrainian attacks and terrorism threats in Moscow with Trump. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. Russian Ministry of Defense claims strikes on military airfield infrastructure and a UAV production workshop in Ukraine. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration and UNDP are cooperating, with UNDP providing vehicles for palliative care, and the Oblast Administration is forming a youth council. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of a Russian reconnaissance drone in the Southern direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims downing of JDAMs and drones and provides claimed Ukrainian losses. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy thanks the EU for the 17th sanctions package and discusses the 18th. A conviction for state treason is reported in Donetsk Oblast. A Russian military blogger commemorates the 2nd anniversary of the "liberation" of Artemovsk (Bakhmut). A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy in Russia. The EU will begin preparing its 18th sanctions package today. Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention in Russia. A Russian military blogger reports on claimed Russian tactical successes and Ukrainian losses on the Southern Donetsk direction, including destruction of equipment and UAVs. A Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea and the need for countermeasures. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot batteries for Ukraine. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants. A Ukrainian military blogger claims the exposure of fake generals at a Ukrainian National Award ceremony. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed support for Ukraine, including financial aid and drone production, and peace efforts with the Norwegian Prime Minister. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast. A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone. An air raid alert and threat of aerial munitions are reported in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the broad application of the "foreign agent" law. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase starting June 1st. A program to support veteran business has been launched in Ukraine. Around 1000 students have been expelled from a university in Lutsk for evading mobilization. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia, indicating a sustained aerial threat in these southern regions. A new rector has been appointed at Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics, highlighting the university's role in defense and recovery. Medvedev has made extensive comments on the new world order, the Ukraine conflict resolution, and Russia's stance on negotiations, including claiming no authorized Ukrainian negotiators and advocating for unconditional surrender if peace is refused. The Russian Embassy in the UK has responded to new sanctions, calling them unlawful and aggressive and asserting they won't change Russia's course. A Russian airbase in Khmeimim, Syria, was reportedly attacked with claimed casualties. US Secretary of State Rubio commented on US and NATO efforts to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine, reiterating that a military solution is not possible and the conflict must end with negotiations, while noting the conflict diverts resources from threats in Asia. A Czech citizen has reportedly joined the Russian army and is now seeking Czech assistance, highlighting potential legal and international issues. A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stated that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call. A Russian military blogger made a satirical comment about an "info fighter" available for hire. A video showcases training of Russian fighter-bomber aircraft in close formation. Lithuanian President stated that denying Ukraine NATO membership after promises would harm the Alliance's reputation. A criminal case has been initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko) in Russia for alleged activity of an "undesirable organization." The Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen. Reports indicate positional battles and Russian advance claims near Siversk, with claimed advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske. A strong fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight drone strikes. A former "Wagner" mercenary on leave in Kemerovo, Russia, reportedly attacked an elderly woman with a knife and attempted robbery. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. A video features Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade, highlighting their work and effectiveness. Three German citizens with Russian passports are reportedly on trial in Germany accused of spying for Russia, including planning attacks on military infrastructure and gathering information on an oil refinery and a US military training center where Ukrainians trained. Ukraine is seeking a significant reduction (to $30) in the G7 price cap on Russian oil. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education.

  • New claimed Russian Iskander strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka, Sumy Oblast, with claimed high Ukrainian casualties and destruction of equipment, is reported by Russian sources, including video. This, if verified, indicates successful Russian targeting of Ukrainian training infrastructure and personnel in a border region.
  • Video featuring a captured Ukrainian serviceman from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade claiming minimal training before deployment and broken promises regarding his posting. This provides insight into potential recruitment, training, and deployment practices within the Ukrainian military from a captured soldier's perspective and could be used in Russian information operations.
  • Russian documentary film about Mariupol released to coincide with the third anniversary of its claimed "liberation," is a continuation of Russian efforts to solidify their narrative regarding the conflict, particularly focusing on a significant past battle and the portrayal of Ukrainian forces.
  • Ukrainian General Staff claims 185,000 Russian personnel losses since the start of the year. This provides a Ukrainian perspective on the cumulative impact of the fighting on Russian forces.
  • Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants in Russia, highlighting concerns about rising crime, lack of integration, and presence of radical elements, and advocating for stricter controls. This indicates a focus on internal security and social issues within Russia, potentially linked to the conflict and its societal impacts.
  • Closure of a memorial fund for victims of political repression in the Komi Republic, Russia, due to lack of funding from authorities. This suggests potential shifts in state priorities and support for organizations dealing with historical memory in Russia.
  • Russian propaganda alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. This indicates Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian actions regarding decommunization or de-russification and portray them negatively.
  • Russian propaganda showcasing a mobile field church for servicemen. This highlights Russian efforts to utilize religious faith to support military personnel and bolster morale.
  • Air raid alert declared in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding the city) due to a potential threat. This indicates ongoing Russian military activity posing a threat to communities in this region.
  • KABs reported on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. This confirms continued use of guided aerial bombs by Russian forces on key frontlines and southern regions.
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Defense Council meeting discusses security, fortifications, mobilization, and shelters. This highlights ongoing efforts by Ukrainian regional authorities to address defense, mobilization, and civilian protection issues in response to the conflict.
  • Medvedev reiterates the need to trust future international documents and guarantees in the Ukrainian settlement. This emphasizes Russia's position on the importance of legally binding agreements in any future resolution.
  • President Zelenskyy comments on the 17th EU and UK sanctions packages, urging more sanctions on Russia's energy, finance, and military industry. This underscores Ukraine's strategic objective of increasing economic pressure on Russia to end the aggression.
  • Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration delivers drones to brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction, emphasizing their importance and prioritizing daily supply. This highlights Ukraine's focus on utilizing and acquiring drones for tactical and operational effectiveness.
  • Fundraising appeal for a Ukrainian Marine Brigade with a flag offered as a gift. This indicates continued reliance on public support for military needs and efforts to connect donors with military units.
  • Video claiming elimination of a Russian soldier in the Siversk direction. This is a tactical report and potentially propaganda showcasing claimed Ukrainian success in this area.
  • Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claiming Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. This, if accurate, suggests a potential shift in US diplomatic approach following the Trump-Putin call and could impact future negotiations, while also serving as Russian propaganda to highlight perceived divisions between Ukraine and its partners.
  • Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. This highlights the differing expectations among international partners regarding the outcome of US diplomatic engagement with Russia and underscores the continued desire for de-escalation from some Western nations.
  • Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov arrives in Armenia. This is a diplomatic development indicating Russia's engagement with other countries, potentially relevant to regional security or broader geopolitical maneuvering.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

  • Donetsk Oblast (Udachnoye, Kotlino, Leontovichy (Pershe Travnya), Zverevo, Greenovka area of Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka direction, Kotlyarivka, Vilne Pole, Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, Dyliyivka, Pleshcheyevka, Toretsk, Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk), Nova Poltavka, Shevchenko Pershe, Koptievo, Rusyn Yar, Popov Yar, Poltavka, Zorya, Stara Mykolaivka, Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mariynka, Predtechino, Minkovka, Grigorovka, Koptevo, Razino, Grodovka, Petrovskogo, Dobropillia, Vuhledar, Artemovsk (Bakhmut), Shakhtyorsk direction, Vremevsky direction, Siversk, Verkhnokamyanske, Verkhnokamyanka): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian sources claim tactical advances on the Pokrovsk direction (left flank, attacking Udachnoye, Kotlino, Leontovichy, Zverevo, fighting near Greenovka) and the Konstantinovka direction, including claimed breakthrough to Nova Poltavka and further advances towards Shevchenko Pershe, Koptievo, Rusyn Yar, Popov Yar, Poltavka, Zorya, and Stara Mykolaivka, aiming to take Konstantinovka logistics under fire control and encircle a Ukrainian grouping. A Russian military blogger claims Russian forces have "practically cleared" Toretsk but anticipate Ukrainian counterattacks. Reports indicate positional battles in the Siversk area, with Russian sources claiming advances of 1.5 km into the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske and occupation of new positions in the western part, supported by a geotagged video claiming to show Ukrainian shelling of Russian positions. Ongoing combat is reported in Dyliyivka and towards Pleshcheyevka. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by various Russian Groups of Forces (Yug, Tsentr, Vostok) in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel in multiple locations in Donetsk Oblast, including near Markovo, Predtechino, Minkovka, Grigorovka, Koptevo, Razino, Krasnoarmeysk, Grodovka, Petrovskogo, Novaya Poltavka, Novoukrainka, and potentially Toretsk, with claimed significant Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. Commemoration of the 2nd anniversary of the "liberation" of Artemovsk (Bakhmut) by a Russian military blogger highlights the strategic significance of this area. Ukrainian forces claimed elimination of Russian soldiers who filmed a fake video claiming to capture Vilne Pole. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reports a resident of Dobropillia sentenced to 15 years for state treason for providing coordinates of Ukrainian military positions. Ukrainian military blogger releases a film on the Vuhledar battle. Russian FPV drones are reportedly reaching the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. Russian sources claim continued penetration of Ukrainian defenses and advances on the Shakhtyorsk and Vremevsky directions, with claimed liberation of some areas and occupation of buildings, and successful counter-battery work and use of FPV drones disrupting Ukrainian logistics and communications. Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work and effectiveness. KABs are reported on Donetsk Oblast. A video, likely from a Ukrainian source, claims to show the elimination of a Russian soldier in a field on the Siversk direction. (Военкор Котенок, РБК-Україна, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, sashakots, ТАСС, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad, Воин DV, Сливочный каприз, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, STERNENKO)
  • Sumy Oblast (Loknya, Yunakovka, Belovody, Maryino, Bunyakino, Ryzhevka, Atinskoye, Belopolye, Bessalovka, Shostka, Sumy, Myropillya): Affected by Russian claimed ground advances, aerial activity, and marine infantry operations. Russian sources claim their units are close to fully controlling Loknya and are about 200 meters from Yunakovka, also reporting battles for Belovody and claimed liberation of Maryino, linking these successes to Ukrainian evacuation announcements in 202 settlements. Russian forces are reportedly continuing to advance in Loknya towards Yunakovka to expand the buffer zone. Russian military Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Sever Group of Forces in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel near Bunyakino, Ryzhevka, Atinskoye, Belopolye, and Bessalovka in Sumy region, with claimed Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. A Ukrainian source clarifies a civilian's conviction here was for illegal weapons possession, not actions related to village defense. A ballistic missile threat and strike have been reported in Shostka (previously reported). A drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy caused injuries. Russian forces are reportedly utilizing heavy weather (rain, fog) to their advantage as it hinders Ukrainian UAV use. A missile has been reported on Sumy Oblast. A KAB/KAR strike is reported on Sumy Oblast. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka, with claimed high Ukrainian casualties. (Военкор Котенок, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, РБК-Україна, Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк, Военкор Котенок, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkiv direction, Kharkiv suburbs, Kupyansk, Sobolevka, Чугуївський район, Шевченківський район): Affected by Russian aerial and ground assaults and academic developments. Russian FPV drones with RPG warheads are reportedly reaching Kharkiv suburbs. Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian T-64 tank by FPV drone operators on the Kharkiv direction. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Zapad Group of Forces in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel near Kupyansk and Sobolevka, with claimed Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. A Ukrainian source reports a drone attack in Шевченківський район. An artillery shelling in Kupyansk caused civilian casualties and stress. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration has introduced a new rector at Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics. (ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, MoD Russia, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns)
  • Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Sudzha area, Краснооктябрьский, Волфино, Novy Put, Tetkino, Glushkovo, Borisovka, Russkoye Porechnoye, Tetkino): Location of claimed Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counter-DRG operations. Russian sources claim Ukrainian DRGs supported by artillery attempted to penetrate Russian territory near Krasnooktyabrsky and Volfino overnight, and near Novy Put, which were reportedly repelled with Ukrainian losses, including some killed by mines and a significant number destroyed by drone operators, and some taken prisoner. Russian sources are also highlighting alleged Ukrainian shelling of a hospital in Tetkino. Ukrainian forces are claiming to use FPV drones for strikes on Russian police targets in Glushkovo and claiming destruction of a field ammunition depot and telecom towers. Russian sources claim a Ukrainian drone attack on civilians in Borisovka. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, with a ditch claimed to be filled with the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers ("occupiers"). (Басурин о главном, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Southern Donetsk Direction: Russian sources claim continued penetration of Ukrainian defenses, with specific claimed advances on the Shakhtyorsk and Vremevsky directions (including claimed liberation of some areas and occupation of buildings). Ukrainian forces reportedly counterattacked in these areas, which were repelled by Russian forces with claimed destruction of Ukrainian equipment by FPV drones and Lancet (previously reported). Russian forces claim to have disrupted Ukrainian logistics and communications through systematic work by artillery and FPV drones in the Ukrainian rear. Russian sources claim Ukrainian confirmed losses over the past day on this direction include 5 units of equipment (including a "Gvozdika" SAU and 4 vehicles), a Starlink terminal, an EW station, a resupply point, and 42 UAVs. Russian military blogger discusses claimed Ukrainian command and control issues in this area (previously reported). Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Vostok Group of Forces in hitting Ukrainian manpower and hardware near Novoukrainka (Donetsk People's Republic), with claimed Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. (Воин DV, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia)
  • Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Gulyaypole, Chervonoye, Novoandreyevka, Zaporizhzhia, northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Orikhiv): Affected by Russian attacks, humanitarian efforts, and drone activity. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Vostok Group of Forces in hitting Ukrainian manpower and hardware near Gulyaypole and Chervonoye. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Dnepr Group of Forces in engaging Ukrainian formations near Novoandreyevka. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and the UN Development Programme (UNDP) have held a meeting and UNDP has provided two vehicles for palliative care to city hospitals in Zaporizhzhia. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has formed a youth council. An air raid alert has been declared in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city) due to the threat of aerial munitions, which has since been lifted. Ukrainian forces report enemy UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with means for shooting them down being engaged. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Zaporizhzhia. KABs are reported on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered drones to brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction. (MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • Kherson Oblast (Otradokamenka, Kherson, Dnipro islands): Affected by Russian attacks and Ukrainian actions. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes by the Dnepr Group of Forces in engaging Ukrainian formations close to Otradokamenka. Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction claim to have destroyed a Russian reconnaissance drone. Ukrainian sources report an incident in Izium where mercenaries and "Nazi representatives" are reportedly leaving, and access to forest and river areas is restricted for locals, potentially indicating changes in troop disposition or security measures in this area. A video features a captured Ukrainian serviceman from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade. (MoD Russia, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Chernihiv Oblast: Affected by Russian artillery shelling from Russian territory and aerial activity. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Syria (Khmeimim airbase, Latakia): Location of a reported attack on a Russian military base, with claims of casualties on both sides. (Военкор Котенок, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Netherlands (Den Helder): Location of a conference on Ukrainian military communications attended by Ukrainian representatives (previously reported). (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Russia (Moscow, Bryansk Oblast, Crimea, Belgorod Oblast, Voronezh, Khabarovsk Krai, Ufa, Naushki (Buryatia), Krasnodar, Novorossiysk, Kabardino-Balkaria, Bryanka (Luhansk Oblast - occupied), Saint Petersburg International Legal Forum, Kemerovo, Losino-Petrovsky (Moscow Oblast), Borisovka, Russkoye Porechnoye (Kursk Oblast), Oryol, Luhansk, Tetkino (Kursk Oblast), Nizhny Novgorod): Various internal issues, including legal proceedings, security concerns, recruitment, and propaganda efforts. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing four JDAM guided bombs and 89 fixed-wing drones over the past day across various locations in Russia. Russian Ministry of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine since the start of the operation. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping. A Russian official reports on reconstruction efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast. Dmitry Medvedev makes various political statements, including comments on the new world order and Ukraine conflict resolution at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum. Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the "foreign agent" law, emphasizing its broad interpretation. Russian military blogger promotes a new film about the "Special Military Operation" (previously reported). A naval incident involving the detention of an oil tanker by Russia in the Baltic Sea is reported. An activist convicted for arson of a military commissariat is sentenced. Maria Zakharova makes statements on prisoner exchange and peace memorandum. Incident of violence by a convicted servicemember on leave in Kemerovo is reported. A Russian military blogger discusses the risk of radicalism and against nikabs in Kabardino-Balkaria. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. An alleged grenade incident in Losino-Petrovsky, Moscow Oblast, involving returning Russian servicemen is reported, with claimed fatalities and injuries. Russian official claims identification and deployment of 20,000 naturalized migrants for military service at the front and comments on rising crime and radicalization among migrants. According to a Ukrainian source citing a Russian report, Putin discussed alleged Ukrainian attacks and terrorism threats in Moscow during a call with former US President Trump. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy. A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. There was a fire in a residential building in Oryol. Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast. A drug dealer was arrested in Luhansk with 2.5 kg of synthetic drugs. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase starting June 1st. A criminal case has been initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko). A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants. The "Repentance" fund in Komi has closed due to lack of funding. Russian propaganda is alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has arrived in Armenia. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, ASTRA, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Полиция Хабаровского края, Рыбарь, Alex Parker Returns, AV БогомаZ, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, WarGonzo, Басурин о главном, ASTRA, ТАСС, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Colonelcassad, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Mash на Донbasse, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Север.Реалии)
  • Baltic Sea: Location of a naval incident involving the detention of an oil tanker by Russia. Potential location of AIS spoofing activity. (ASTRA, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia))
  • Mediterranean Sea: Location of a Russian missile carrier, with recorded missile launches (previously reported). (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Poland: Political developments related to the presidential election and a candidate's stance on Ukraine's NATO membership. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Czech Republic: Agreement with Ukraine on cooperation in F-16 pilot training and defense industry integration (previously reported). A Czech citizen has reportedly joined the Russian army and is seeking assistance from Czech authorities. (РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
  • Liberia: Flag state of the oil tanker detained by Russia. (ASTRA)
  • Greece: Nationality of the company owning the oil tanker detained by Russia. (ASTRA)
  • North Korea: Ukraine is pursuing international recognition as an aggressor state. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Finland: Location near potential AIS spoofing activity. (Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia))
  • Romania: Domestic law enacted allowing the downing of illegal drones and military operations in peacetime (previously reported). (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Italy: Discussions between Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and the Italian Prime Minister (previously reported). (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official)
  • USA: Involvement in diplomatic discussions and potential sanctions. Reports of potential US plans to deport Ukrainians. Discussions between Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio (previously reported). Reported Trump-Putin call (previously reported). Reports of surprise and disappointment among European leaders after a Trump-Putin call. Reports that Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and allow Moscow and Kyiv to negotiate directly, and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump in these negotiations (previously reported). A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, Alex Parker Returns, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
  • Ukraine: Widespread aerial attacks across multiple oblasts. Areas include Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts, and the Sumy/Chernihiv border (previously reported). A missile has been reported on Sumy Oblast. KABs are reported on Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. Fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, after alleged drone strikes. Ukrainian mortar operators are active. Ukrainian spies are on trial in Germany. Ukraine is seeking a lower price cap on Russian oil. A video claims elimination of a Russian soldier in the Siversk direction. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, STERNENKO)
  • Turkey (Istanbul): Location of potential direct negotiations (previously reported). (TASS)
  • Germany: Discussions between Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Russian spies are on trial in Germany. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Norway: Discussions between Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre. (Zelenskiy / Official)
  • Lutsk (Ukraine): Location where around 1000 students were reportedly expelled from a university for evading mobilization. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykove, Dnipro, Nikopol district, Pavlohrad district): KABs are reported on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove after alleged drone strikes. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro. Nikopol district and Pavlohradskyi district were attacked by drones and artillery. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Armenia: Location of Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's working visit. (ТАСС)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

  • Drone Activity: Extremely high and widespread. Russian forces used an estimated 2904 kamikaze drones over the past day (previously reported). Ukrainian forces lost an estimated 118 operational-tactical level UAVs to Russian forces over the past day (previously reported). Russian FPV drones with RPG warheads are reportedly reaching Kharkiv suburbs. Ukrainian forces are claiming to use FPV drones for strikes on Russian police targets in Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast, and claiming destruction of a field ammunition depot and telecom towers on the Kursk direction. Russian sources claim Ukrainian confirmed losses on the Southern Donetsk direction include 42 UAVs. Russian sources claim downing 89 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. Russian drone operators are claimed to have destroyed a significant number of Ukrainian personnel during claimed Ukrainian attempts to break through in Kursk Oblast. Russian forces are reportedly utilizing heavy weather (rain, fog) to their advantage as it hinders Ukrainian UAV use. Russian Minister of Defense reports claimed successes in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel, likely involving drone use. Russian Minister of Defense reports claimed destruction of a Ukrainian T-64 tank by FPV drone operators on the Kharkiv direction. Russian Minister of Defense reports claimed destruction of a UAV production workshop. Russian Minister of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine since the start of the operation include 57,807 unmanned aerial vehicles. Russian Minister of Defense reports Russian Minister of Defense Belousov received reports on the use of modern UAVs. Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen, which could involve countering drones. Ukrainian General Staff shares a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember whose motivation includes "extinguishing the occupiers," implying combat activity that could involve drone use. Potential AIS spoofing activity near Finland could involve drones or other electronic means. Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction claim to have destroyed a Russian reconnaissance drone. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea and the need for countermeasures. Ukrainian forces report enemy UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with means for shooting them down being engaged. A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. A strong fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight "Geran-2" kamikaze drone strikes. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work and effectiveness. Nikopol district and Pavlohradskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast were attacked by drones. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered quadcopters, UAVs, and aerial complexes to two military brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction, prioritizing their daily supply. A fundraising appeal is shared for a Ukrainian Marine Brigade, indirectly supporting drone acquisition. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Воин DV, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, Военкор Котенок, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/ТIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
  • Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense is actively engaged in countering Russian drone and missile attacks. Russian air defense is reportedly active in Russian border regions and occupied Crimea, and against Ukrainian drones and JDAMs. Russian sources claim to have repelled a Ukrainian air-dropped bomb strike near Novopol on the Southern Donetsk direction (previously reported) and destroyed Ukrainian UAVs over various locations in Russia. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing four JDAM guided bombs and 89 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. Russian Minister of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine since the start of the operation include 605 anti-aircraft missile systems. The newly enacted law in Romania allowing the downing of illegal drones and military operations on Romanian territory in peacetime is relevant to air defense in a neighboring country (previously reported). Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat and states that countering them requires modern technical means. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. Ukrainian forces report enemy UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with means for shooting them down being engaged. Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding city) indicates potential air defense activity. (Воин DV, AV БогомаZ, ASTRA, ТАСС, MoD Russia, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 124 guided aerial bombs dropped by the aggressor over the past day (previously reported), and 16 guided bombs used on the Kursk direction (previously reported). Russian aviation conducted KAB strikes on Berestok, Zorya, Myrnohrad (Pokrovsk direction), and Piddubne and Tolstoy (Novopavlivka direction) (previously reported). Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing four JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Russian Ministry of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine since the start of the operation include 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs (cumulative figure over the week). KABs are reported on Sumy, Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. KABs are reported on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Pavlohradskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast was attacked by KABs. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, MoD Russia, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active in frontline and border areas, conducting strikes with guided aerial bombs and potentially other munitions. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 78 aviation strikes by the aggressor over the past day (previously reported), including air strikes on various locations. 8 aviation strikes were conducted on the Kursk direction (previously reported). Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel, likely involving aviation. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed engagement of military airfield facilities and a UAV production workshop. Russian Ministry of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine since the start of the operation include 662 aircraft and 283 helicopters. Russian Minister of Defense reports Russian Minister of Defense Belousov received reports on the situation, implying ongoing aviation activity. Russian air force activity in the Barents Sea with Tu-95ms bombers is reported, indicating continued strategic air force presence. Tactical aviation activity is reported on the northeastern, eastern and southeastern directions. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, MoD Russia, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Fighterbomber, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • Naval Activity: No enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 19, 2025 (previously reported). 3 enemy ships, including 1 Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles, are present in the Mediterranean Sea (previously reported). A naval incident involving the detention of an oil tanker by Russia in the Baltic Sea is reported. Potential AIS spoofing activity near Finland in the Baltic Sea is reported, suggesting unusual maritime activity in the region. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea and the need for countermeasures. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ASTRA, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), Два майора)
  • Ballistic Missile Activity: A ballistic missile threat and strike have been reported in Shostka, Sumy Oblast (previously reported). A missile has been reported on Sumy Oblast. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka using an Iskander OTRK. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 5134 shellings by the aggressor, including 116 from MLRS, over the past day (previously reported). 139 artillery shellings (including 3 MLRS) were conducted on the Kursk direction (previously reported). Ukrainian forces claim to have conducted missile strikes on a post office building in Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast, where Russian military personnel were allegedly located. Russian forces claim to have disrupted Ukrainian logistics and communications on the Southern Donetsk direction through systematic work by artillery. Russian sources report Ukrainian forces attempting to break through into Kursk Oblast with support from artillery. Russian forces are reportedly using artillery in Sumy Oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed successes in hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel, including artillery pieces and MLRS combat vehicles (cumulative figure). A recent artillery shelling in Kupyansk caused civilian casualties and stress. Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work with 60mm mortars. Nikopol district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast was attacked by artillery. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Воин DV, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Воин DV, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

  • Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Diplomatic efforts continue, though significant differences persist in stated positions. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy discussed coordinated positions and potential platforms for negotiations with the Italian Prime Minister (previously reported), the German Chancellor, and the Norwegian Prime Minister, highlighting the importance of partners having full information and discussing Norway's readiness to help achieve a just and lasting peace. Russian sources claim Russian President Trump told Putin that Russia is preparing proposals for a ceasefire and asked Putin to present a "negotiable option" (previously reported). Medvedev stated that if Ukraine refuses peace, it will face a path to unconditional surrender and that the current Ukraine lacks individuals authorized to conclude a peace treaty, also dismissing the ICC, and commented on the new world order and conflict resolution at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum, asserting that agreements should only be made with fully independent states and warning against the presence of a "coalition of the willing" after a settlement. European and US participation in future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations is reportedly being pushed for by the European Commission and reportedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call. A Russian military blogger comments on Medvedev's statement regarding Ukrainian authority to conclude a peace treaty, hinting at potential military means to "fix this problem." Speculation exists regarding potential US pressure on Russia from (former) President Trump. Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump in these negotiations (previously reported). US Secretary of State Rubio commented on the need for negotiations to end the conflict. A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stating that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call, suggests a potential framework for future talks. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. Medvedev states that in the Ukrainian settlement, it is necessary to trust the guarantees and international documents that will be prepared. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
  • International Pressure: The EU has approved the 17th sanctions package against Russia (previously reported) and announced preparation for the 18th package focusing on energy and financial sectors. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy thanked the President of the European Commission for the 17th package and discussed the 18th. Ukraine is pursuing international recognition of North Korea as an aggressor state. Dmitry Medvedev proposes a registry of colonial damage for developing countries, aimed at promoting an anti-Western narrative. Dmitry Medvedev states that the "coalition of the willing" aims to introduce an occupation regime in Ukraine and draw parties into a new, larger conflict, framing international support for Ukraine as aggression. The newly enacted law in Romania allowing the downing of illegal drones and military operations in peacetime is a measure taken by a NATO member potentially in response to regional security concerns (previously reported). Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them, which has significant strategic implications for the future of international support for Ukraine. The EU has reportedly imposed new sanctions against Russia targeting individuals involved in fabricating cases against activists, in connection with the repression against Navalny and his team. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. Ukraine is seeking a significant reduction (to $30) in the G7 price cap on Russian oil. The Russian Embassy in the UK has responded to new sanctions, calling them unlawful and aggressive and asserting they won't change Russia's course. Russian spies are on trial in Germany. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. President Zelenskyy comments on the 17th EU and UK sanctions packages, urging more sanctions. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, DeepState✙🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Internal Russian Politics: Internal legal proceedings continue, including high-profile arrests and requests to extend arrests (previously reported). Proposed law on banning charitable collections to personal cards is being discussed (previously reported). Discussions on rising Islamist entry into Russia are present (previously reported). Reports on Russian internal security efforts and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service are present, with claimed numbers identified and sent to the front, including claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front. A Russian official reports on reconstruction efforts in occupied territories (Bryanka). Dmitry Medvedev makes various political statements, including comments on the new world order and Ukraine conflict resolution at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum. Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the "foreign agent" law, emphasizing its broad interpretation. Russian military blogger promotes a new film about the "Special Military Operation" (previously reported). Incident of violence by a convicted servicemember on leave in Kemerovo is reported. A Russian military blogger discusses the risk of radicalism and against nikabs. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy. A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. There was a fire in a residential building in Oryol. Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants. A drug dealer was arrested in Luhansk with 2.5 kg of synthetic drugs. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase starting June 1st. A criminal case has been initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko). A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education of youth. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants. The "Repentance" fund in Komi has closed due to lack of funding from authorities. Russian propaganda is alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has arrived in Armenia. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, ASTRA, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Рыбарь, Alex Parker Returns, AV БогомаZ, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, WarGonzo, Басурин о главном, ASTRA, ТАСС, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Colonelcassad, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Mash на Donbass, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Север.Реалии)
  • Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct and indirect diplomatic exchanges continue regarding potential negotiation frameworks and conditions. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy discussed potential platforms for negotiations with Russia with the Italian Prime Minister (previously reported), the German Chancellor, and the Norwegian Prime Minister. Russian sources claim Russian President Trump told Putin that Russia is preparing proposals for a ceasefire (previously reported). Medvedev stated Russia's position on Ukraine's future without peace and the lack of authorized Ukrainian negotiators, and commented on the new world order and Ukraine conflict resolution at the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum. European and US participation in future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations is reportedly being pushed for and reportedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call. A Russian military blogger comments on Medvedev's statement regarding Ukrainian authority to conclude a peace treaty. Russian sources commemorate the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation," framing it as a symbol of restoration in occupied territories. Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump (previously reported). US Secretary of State Rubio commented on the need for negotiations to end the conflict. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Medvedev states that in the Ukrainian settlement, it is necessary to trust the guarantees and international documents that will be prepared. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС)
  • Ukraine-Netherlands Cooperation: Representatives of the Ukrainian Armed Forces participated in a conference on Ukrainian military communications hosted by the Royal Netherlands Navy, highlighting military cooperation and information sharing (previously reported). (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • US-Ukraine Relations: Ukrainian GUR unit evacuated a damaged US-made M1224 MaxxPro armored vehicle from the Kupiansk direction (previously reported). Reports indicate potential US plans to deport Ukrainians (previously reported). Reports indicate surprise and disappointment among European leaders after a call between Trump and Putin regarding the lack of agreement on a ceasefire or new sanctions (previously reported). Speculation exists regarding potential pressure from (former) US President Trump on Russia concerning negotiations. Concerns are raised regarding future US military aid to Ukraine, although deliveries haven't stopped. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed his conversation with Trump and European leaders with the German Chancellor and the Norwegian Prime Minister. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine and commented on the need for negotiations to end the conflict and the diversion of Western resources from threats in Asia. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump (previously reported). Russian spies on trial in Germany are accused of gathering information on a US military training center where Ukrainians trained. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (Николаевский Ванёк, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
  • Trump-Putin Interaction: Russian sources claim Russian President Trump told Putin that Russia is preparing proposals for a ceasefire and asked Putin to present a "negotiable option" (previously reported). Reports indicate surprise and disappointment among European leaders after a call between Trump and Putin (previously reported). Speculation exists regarding potential pressure from (former) US President Trump on Russia concerning negotiations. According to a Ukrainian source citing a Russian report, Putin discussed alleged Ukrainian attacks and terrorism threats in Moscow with Trump (previously reported). Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin (previously reported). Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed his conversation with Trump and European leaders with the German Chancellor and the Norwegian Prime Minister. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump (previously reported). A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stated that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
  • EU Sanctions: The EU has approved the 17th sanctions package against Russia (previously reported) and announced preparation for the 18th package focusing on energy and financial sectors. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy thanked the President of the European Commission for the 17th package and discussed the 18th. The EU has reportedly imposed new sanctions against Russia targeting individuals involved in fabricating cases against activists, in connection with the repression against Navalny and his team. The EU will begin preparing its 18th sanctions package today. President Zelenskyy comments on the 17th EU sanctions package, urging more. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, DeepState✙🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна)
  • UK Sanctions: DeepState reports that the UK has announced significant new sanctions against Russia (previously reported). The Russian Embassy in the UK has responded to new sanctions, calling them unlawful and aggressive and asserting they won't change Russia's course. President Zelenskyy comments on the UK's sanctions decisions. (DeepState✙🇺🇦, ТАСС, Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
  • North Korea-Ukraine: Ukraine is pursuing international recognition of North Korea as an aggressor state due to its military cooperation with Russia. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • Poland: Political developments related to the presidential election and a candidate's stance on Ukraine's NATO membership, indicating a potential point of divergence within Polish political discourse regarding support for Ukraine's Euro-Atlantic integration. Lithuanian President stated that denying Ukraine NATO membership after promises would harm the Alliance's reputation. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Romania: A domestic law has been enacted allowing the downing of illegal drones and military operations on Romanian territory in peacetime (previously reported). (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Cultural Heritage Preservation (Ukraine): A domestic legal development regarding the return of a historical church to state ownership has occurred. Russian propaganda is alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa, which relates to cultural heritage. (Офіс Генерального прокурора, Colonelcassad)
  • Illegal Border Crossing and Mobilization Evasion (Ukraine): Reports highlight significant challenges in preventing illegal border crossings and mobilization evasion, and potentially issues with the legal system's effectiveness in prosecuting such cases, along with unintended consequences of policy changes. Around 1000 students have been reportedly expelled from a university in Lutsk for evading mobilization. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Judicial System (Ukraine): The Prosecutor General's Office reports a conviction for state treason in Donetsk Oblast. A Ukrainian source clarifies a civilian's conviction in Sumy Oblast was for illegal weapons possession. Reports highlight challenges with the legal system's effectiveness in prosecuting illegal border crossing and mobilization evasion cases. A Ukrainian military blogger claims the exposure of fake generals at a Ukrainian National Award ceremony, raising questions about the integrity of some official processes. (Офіс Генерального прокурора, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц")
  • Speculation on US Pressure on Russia: Speculation exists regarding potential pressure from (former) US President Trump on Russia concerning negotiations. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump (previously reported). A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
  • Ukraine-Germany Relations: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed his conversation with Trump and European leaders with the German Chancellor, and discussed cooperation on Ukraine's post-war recovery. Russian spies on trial in Germany are accused of spying for Russia, including planning attacks on military infrastructure and gathering information on a US military training center where Ukrainians trained. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Ukraine-Norway Relations: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed support for Ukraine, including financial aid and drone production, and peace efforts with the Norwegian Prime Minister. (Zelenskiy / Official)
  • Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
    • Internal Security: Internal legal proceedings continue, including high-profile arrests and requests to extend arrests (previously reported). Proposed law on banning charitable collections to personal cards is being discussed (previously reported). Discussions on rising Islamist entry into Russia are present (previously reported). Reports on Russian internal security efforts and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service are present, with claimed numbers identified and sent to the front, including claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front. Incident of violence by a convicted servicemember on leave in Kemerovo is reported. Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the "foreign agent" law, emphasizing its broad interpretation. Reported attack on Khmeimim airbase in Syria, with claimed casualties on both sides. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. There was a fire in a residential building in Oryol. Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants. A drug dealer was arrested in Luhansk with 2.5 kg of synthetic drugs. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase starting June 1st. A criminal case has been initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko). A former "Wagner" mercenary on leave in Kemerovo reportedly attacked an elderly woman with a knife and attempted robbery. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants, raising concerns about rising crime, lack of integration, and presence of radical elements. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, ASTRA, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Рыбарь, Alex Parker Returns, Военкор Котенок, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ТАСС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Mash на Donbasse, Басурин о главном, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
    • Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting offensive operations, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements on multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. They are utilizing extensive aerial and artillery assets, including a high number of strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs). Russian forces are claiming that their FPV drones with RPG warheads are now reaching the suburbs of Kharkiv. Russian forces claim downing of Ukrainian UAVs and JDAMs. Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat across multiple fronts, including making claimed advances and disrupting Ukrainian logistics and communications with artillery and FPV drones. Russian official claims recruitment of 20,000 naturalized migrants for military service at the front. Experiencing reported attacks on military bases (Syria, with claimed casualties). Claiming to have repelled Ukrainian attempts to break through in Kursk Oblast with losses for Ukraine, including some killed by mines and a significant number destroyed by drone operators, and some taken prisoner, with Russian sources claiming high Ukrainian losses near Tetkino. Russian Minister of Defense reports claimed operational progress and Ukrainian losses. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping. A Russian military blogger claims Russian forces have "practically cleared" Toretsk but anticipate Ukrainian counterattacks. Russian sources are reportedly utilizing heavy weather (rain, fog) to their advantage to hinder Ukrainian UAV use. Russian Ministry of Defense claims strikes on military airfield infrastructure and a UAV production workshop in Ukraine. Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea. Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. Russian sources claim advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske near Siversk. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Fighterbomber, Alex Parker Returns, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Рыбарь, ASTRA, Военкор Котенок, MoD Russia, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, sashakots, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Воин DV, Сливочный каприз, Fighterbomber, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
    • Casualties: Civilian casualties reported in Sumy Oblast due to a ballistic missile strike (previously reported). Claims of civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast within a Russian information operation (previously reported). Reports of Russian military casualties in an attack on Khmeimim airbase in Syria, with claimed casualties on both sides. Reports of Ukrainian personnel losses on the Southern Donetsk direction according to Russian sources. Claims of significant Ukrainian losses in Sumy Oblast by Russian sources. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed Ukrainian personnel losses across various Groups of Forces over the past day. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces attempting to break through in Kursk Oblast were repelled with losses, including some killed by mines and a significant number destroyed by drone operators, and some taken prisoner, with Russian sources claiming high Ukrainian losses near Tetkino. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A recent artillery shelling in Kupyansk caused civilian casualties and stress. A drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy caused injuries. Claims of hitting an enemy soldier in the head with a mortar mine by Ukrainian forces. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian casualties from a missile strike on a training camp near Shostka. The Ukrainian General Staff claims 185,000 Russian personnel losses since the start of the year. (Николаевский Ванёк, Басурин о главном, Военкор Котенок, Воин DV, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, Два майора, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, РБК-Україна, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
    • Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian sources continue to promote narratives of military success and criticize Ukrainian actions, including claimed advances, the commemoration of the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation," and highlighting internal incidents. Medvedev's statement on Ukraine's path to unconditional surrender and lack of authorized negotiators is part of this, as are his comments on the new world order and conflict resolution. Russian sources claim to be disrupting Ukrainian logistics and communications. Russian military blogger discusses claimed use of Russian "Albatros" reconnaissance drones (previously reported). Russian sources claim the use of FPV drones with RPG warheads in Kharkiv suburbs. Russian sources claim to have liberated Maryino and are fighting for Belovody and advancing near Loknya and Yunakovka in Sumy Oblast, linking these to Ukrainian evacuation announcements. A Russian military blogger discusses potential strategic implications of taking Bogatyr (previously reported). Russian sources discuss internal issues like migration and radicalism. Russian Minister of Defense reports on claimed operational progress and Ukrainian losses, which serves as a major information operation. WarGonzo promotes a new film about the "Special Military Operation" and the battle for Mariupol, utilizing personal narratives. Russian military blogger comments on Medvedev's statement regarding Ukrainian authority to conclude a peace treaty, hinting at potential military means to "fix this problem." Commemoration of Mariupol's "liberation" is reinforced by Russian sources. Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, which could be used in Russian information operations. A VTsIOM poll indicating a low public perception of the US as an enemy in Russia could be used for internal propaganda. A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." Moscow and Moscow Oblast experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures, framed as reducing crime. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants, supporting narratives about the need for tighter control. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, and a ditch filled with bodies, a clear propaganda effort. A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone, which can be used for propaganda by highlighting successful strikes. A Russian military blogger commented on an "info fighter" available for hire. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp and report high Ukrainian casualties. A video featuring a captured Ukrainian soldier is shared. A Russian documentary film about Mariupol is released. Russian propaganda alleges Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance, serving as Russian propaganda. (Воин DV, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Alex Parker Returns, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Fighterbomber, MoD Russia, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, sashakots, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/ТIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), Старше Эдды, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ТАСС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Басурин о главном, Colonelcassad, Fighterbomber, Оперативний ЗСУ, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
    • Judicial System: Internal legal proceedings against individuals continue, including high-profile arrests and requests to extend arrests (previously reported). Proposed law on banning charitable collections to personal cards is being discussed in the State Duma (previously reported). Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the "foreign agent" law, emphasizing its broad interpretation. An activist convicted for arson of a military commissariat is sentenced. The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention. A drug dealer was arrested in Luhansk. A criminal case has been initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko). A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. The "Repentance" fund in Komi has closed due to lack of funding from authorities. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Alex Parker Returns, ASTRA, Mash на Donbasse, ASTRA, ТАСС, АSTRA, Север.Реалии)
    • Social Policy: Proposed law on banning charitable collections to personal cards is being discussed in the State Duma (previously reported). Discussions on migration policies and rising Islamist entry into Russia are present. Reports on Russian internal security efforts and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service are present, with claimed numbers identified and sent to the front. Incident of violence by a convicted servicemember on leave is reported. A Russian military blogger discusses the risk of radicalism and against nikabs. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy in Russia. Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education of youth. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants, raising concerns about rising crime, lack of integration, and presence of radical elements. (Север.Реалии, Рыбарь, Alex Parker Returns, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
    • Military Recruitment: Reports on Russian internal security efforts and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service, with claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front. A video features a captured Ukrainian serviceman claiming minimal training before deployment. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
    • Reconstruction Efforts in Occupied Territories: Russian sources commemorate the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation" and state the intention to rebuild it (previously reported), highlighting reconstruction efforts in occupied territories. Reports on recovery and modernization efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast are present. A Russian documentary film about Mariupol is released, highlighting the claimed "restoration" of the city. (Colonelcassad, AV БогомаZ, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
    • Incident in Syria: Reported attack on Khmeimim airbase, with claimed casualties on both sides. (Военкор Котенок, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Оперативний ЗСУ)
    • Military Inspection: Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Kotsnews, Kotsnews)
    • Desertion: A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave over two years of the war. (РБК-Україна)
    • Public Opinion: A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy in Russia. (Новости Москвы)
    • Academic Appointments: A new rector has been appointed at Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
    • Appointments of Veterans to Government Posts: A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
    • Memorialization: The "Repentance" fund in Komi, dedicated to victims of political repression, has closed due to lack of funding from authorities. (Север.Реалии)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

  • Military Support (Ukraine): International military aid continues, including the confirmed shipment of Abrams tanks from Australia (previously reported). Fundraising for FPV drones is ongoing and discussed by a Russian military blogger reporting on Russian forces launching drones from a Magura boat. Ukraine is actively engaged in defense and counter-drone operations. Ukrainian GUR unit evacuated a damaged US-made armored vehicle from the Kupiansk direction (previously reported). Ukrainian representatives participated in a conference on Ukrainian military communications in the Netherlands (previously reported). Ukraine is pursuing international recognition of North Korea as an aggressor state, potentially impacting military cooperation with Russia. Ukraine and the Czech Republic have agreed to cooperate on the training of Ukrainian F-16 pilots and strengthen defense industry integration (previously reported). Concerns are raised regarding future US military aid to Ukraine, although deliveries haven't stopped. Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen. Ukrainian General Staff shares a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember who joined the military. Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine. A program to support veteran business has been launched in Ukraine (previously reported). Ukrainian mortar operators are featured in a video highlighting their work. Ukraine is seeking a lower price cap on Russian oil. Russian spies on trial in Germany are accused of gathering information on a US military training center where Ukrainians trained on Abrams tanks. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered quadcopters, UAVs, and aerial complexes to two military brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction. A fundraising appeal is shared for a Ukrainian Marine Brigade. (STERNENKO, Николаевский Ванёк, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
  • Military Support (Russia): Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing extensive aerial assets, artillery, and potentially MLRS, indicating ongoing military support for their operations. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support (previously reported). Fundraising for equipment is ongoing, with a Russian military blogger promoting a collection for artillerymen on the Konstantinovka direction. Reports on Russian internal security efforts and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service are present, with claimed numbers identified and sent to the front, including claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front. Reports on recovery and modernization efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast are present. Russian Ministry of Defense reports on claimed operational progress and Ukrainian losses, implying ongoing Russian military capabilities and support. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church for servicemen, highlighting support for military personnel. (Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ASTRA, AV БогомаZ, MoD Russia, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Два майора, Fighterbomber, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Басурин о главном)
  • Civilian Support (Ukraine): Civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure reported due to Russian strikes (previously reported). Evacuation announcements in Sumy Oblast are present. Commemoration of fallen defenders and historical events (previously reported). Support from regional administrations (previously reported). Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration and UNDP held a meeting and UNDP provided vehicles for palliative care. A Ukrainian source clarifies a civilian's conviction here was for illegal weapons possession. A recent artillery shelling in Kupyansk caused civilian casualties and stress. A drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy caused injuries. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration has formed a youth council to represent the interests of young people and encourage them to stay in Zaporizhzhia. A program to support veteran business has been launched in Ukraine (previously reported). The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing shelter requirements in educational institutions. (Николаевский Ванёк, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ASTRA, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, РБК-Україна, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Civilian Support (Russia): Civilian casualties reported in Belgorod Oblast due to claimed Ukrainian drone attack (previously reported). Claims of civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast within a Russian information operation (previously reported). Proposed law on banning charitable collections to personal cards is being discussed, potentially impacting civilian support efforts (previously reported). Reports on reconstruction efforts in occupied territories are present. There was a fire in a residential building in Oryol. The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for patriotic education of youth. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church, highlighting support for military personnel and potentially indirectly for their families. (Север.Реалии, AV БогомаZ, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Басурин о главном)
  • Support for Military Personnel (Russia): Proposed law on increasing pensions for dependents (previously reported). Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support (previously reported). Fundraising for equipment is ongoing, with a Russian military blogger promoting a collection for artillerymen. Reports on recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service are present. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. An alleged grenade incident in Moscow Oblast involving returning Russian servicemen is reported, with claimed fatalities and injuries. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping and presents state awards to servicemen. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church for servicemen. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ASTRA, Colonelcassad, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Басурин о главном)
  • Humanitarian Support: Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration and UNDP held a meeting and UNDP provided vehicles for palliative care. A drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy caused injuries. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Reconstruction: Reports on recovery and modernization efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast, including repair of energy, housing, and social facilities are present. Russian sources commemorate the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation" and state the intention to rebuild it (previously reported), highlighting reconstruction efforts in occupied territories. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration affirmed continued support for HNURE in post-war reconstruction. A Russian documentary film about Mariupol highlights reconstruction efforts. (AV БогомаZ, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
  • Medical Support: UNDP provided two vehicles for palliative care to city hospitals in Zaporizhzhia. The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing the work of Military Medical Commissions. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Judicial System (Ukraine): A Ukrainian source clarifies a civilian's conviction in Sumy Oblast was for illegal weapons possession, which can impact the narrative around civilian involvement in the conflict. (РБК-Україна)
  • Illegal Border Crossing and Mobilization Evasion (Ukraine): Reports highlight significant challenges in preventing illegal border crossings and mobilization evasion, and potentially issues with the legal system's effectiveness in prosecuting such cases, along with unintended consequences of policy changes. Around 1000 students have been reportedly expelled from a university in Lutsk for evading mobilization. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Cultural Heritage Preservation (Ukraine): A domestic legal development regarding the return of a historical church to state ownership has occurred, highlighting efforts to preserve cultural heritage during the conflict. Russian propaganda is alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. (Офіс Генерального прокурора, Colonelcassad)
  • Military Training (Ukraine): Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen, indicating ongoing efforts to enhance military capabilities. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Recruitment (Ukraine): Ukrainian General Staff shares a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember who joined the military, serving as a recruitment effort. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Veteran Support (Ukraine): A new comprehensive program to support and strengthen veteran business has been launched in Ukraine (previously reported). (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Academic Support (Ukraine): The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration affirmed continued support for Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics in both wartime and post-war periods, highlighting the importance of education for defense and recovery. The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing shelter requirements in educational institutions. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

  • Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults and a large-scale drone and artillery attack across multiple fronts and oblasts. Engaging Russian aerial targets with air defense systems, with successful engagements reported. Inflicting claimed significant personnel and equipment losses on Russian forces according to Russian sources, but also experiencing claimed high losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, according to Russian sources. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from widespread Russian aerial and artillery attacks. Repelling Russian assaults. Evacuated a damaged US-made armored vehicle from the Kupiansk direction (previously reported). Claiming strikes on Russian military and police targets in Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast, and claiming destruction of a field ammunition depot and telecom towers on the Kursk direction. Ukrainian representatives participated in a conference on Ukrainian military communications in the Netherlands (previously reported). Ukraine is pursuing international recognition of North Korea as an aggressor state. Ukraine and the Czech Republic have agreed to cooperate on the training of Ukrainian F-16 pilots and strengthen defense industry integration (previously reported). Concerns are raised regarding future US military aid. Reports highlight challenges with illegal border crossing and mobilization evasion, with around 1000 students reportedly expelled for evasion. Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen. Ukrainian General Staff shares a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember who joined the military. Ukrainian military blogger releases a film on the Vuhledar battle. Ukrainian military blogger claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for counterattack actions in the Toretsk area (previously reported), evidenced by increased strikes on Russian rear areas and the detection of armored vehicles (previously reported). Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction claim to have destroyed a Russian reconnaissance drone. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat and states that countering them requires modern technical means and that experience exists but needs to be expanded (previously reported). A Ukrainian military blogger claims the exposure of fake generals at a Ukrainian National Award ceremony (previously reported). A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone. Ukrainian forces report enemy UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with means for shooting them down being engaged. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work and effectiveness. Ukrainian spies are on trial in Germany. Nikopol district and Pavlohradskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast were attacked by drones and artillery, indicating Ukrainian presence in these areas. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered quadcopters, UAVs, and aerial complexes to two military brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction, prioritizing their daily supply. A fundraising appeal is shared for a Ukrainian Marine Brigade. A video claims elimination of a Russian soldier in the Siversk direction. A video features a captured Ukrainian serviceman from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade, providing potential insights into Ukrainian personnel. The Ukrainian General Staff claims 185,000 Russian personnel losses since the start of the year. The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing mobilization and the work of Military Medical Commissions. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Два майора, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц", БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults, claiming tactical successes, and utilizing extensive aerial assets, particularly a large number of strike drones, across numerous Ukrainian oblasts. Utilizing artillery and potentially MLRS and aviation in border regions. Engaging in extensive information operations and propaganda, including promoting a narrative of Ukrainian "atrocities" and highlighting internal incidents. Russia claims to have stabilized the frontline and created conditions for further advances in Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). Russia is employing strike UAVs and artillery support in tactical operations (previously reported). Russia claims the destruction of Ukrainian drone control points and a Starlink station (previously reported). Russia claims the destruction of a Ukrainian boat on the Dnieper River (previously reported). Tragically, the ongoing Russian drone attack has resulted in casualties and damage in Kyiv Oblast, including a fire at a feed mill (previously reported). ТАСС reports Russian forces are systematically destroying Ukrainian strongholds near Rekodub, DNR, and have made advances north and south of the settlement (previously reported). КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reports active air defense in Kyiv Oblast and over Kyiv against incoming drones and that the enemy UAV attack on the outskirts of Kyiv continues and the threat to the capital remains (previously reported). РБК-Україна corroborates the reports of air defense working in Kyiv Oblast and Kyiv and shares updated information regarding drone movement and the continuation of the attack (previously reported). РБК-Україна also reports casualties and damage in Obukhivskyi district and a fire in Fastivskyi district as a result of the drone attack and the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about an ongoing large-scale enemy strike UAV attack across numerous oblasts, stating there are a large number of enemy drones over Kyiv and Cherkasy Oblasts and providing detailed information on drone groups across multiple oblasts, including Vinnytsia, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, and Zhytomyr (previously reported). Their latest update reports a group of UAVs in Kyiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv, a UAV in northern Cherkasy Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast, and a UAV in southern Kyiv Oblast heading north (previously reported). Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across multiple oblasts (previously reported). Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, with a ditch claimed to be filled with the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers ("occupiers"). Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. Russian sources claim advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske near Siversk. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka, with claimed high Ukrainian casualties and destruction of equipment. A Russian documentary film about Mariupol is released. Russian propaganda is alleging Ukrainian forces are "fighting history" in Odesa. Russian propaganda is showcasing a mobile field church for servicemen. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on migrants, raising concerns about rising crime, lack of integration, and presence of radical elements. The "Repentance" fund in Komi has closed due to lack of funding from authorities. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Fighterbomber, Alex Parker Returns, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Рыбарь, ASTRA, Военкор Котенок, MoD Russia, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, sashakots, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Воин DV, Сливочный каприз, Fighterbomber, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Север.Реалии, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном)
  • Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is facilitating negotiations. The US is engaging separately with Ukraine and its Vice President met with Zelenskyy (previously reported). Speculation on former US President Trump's involvement continues. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine (including a new package from Belgium and potential transfers from Italy - previously reported) and conducting military exercises near Russian and Belarusian borders (previously reported). The Vatican is offering mediation and the new Pope has called for peace negotiations (previously reported). Other international leaders are engaging with Ukraine, including the German Chancellor and the Norwegian Prime Minister. Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them (previously reported). Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine and commented on the need for negotiations to end the conflict and the diversion of Western resources from threats in Asia. A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stated that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call. Lithuanian President stated that denying Ukraine NATO membership after promises would harm the Alliance's reputation. Three German citizens with Russian passports are reportedly on trial in Germany accused of spying for Russia, including planning attacks on military infrastructure and gathering information on an oil refinery and a US military training center where Ukrainians trained. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has arrived in Armenia. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Военкор Котенок, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/ТIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
  • Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike, reconnaissance, FPV, "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, copter-type, with RPG warheads). Employment of guided aerial bombs (KABs), artillery, MLRS, and potentially missiles. Use of armored vehicles (M-113, Senator, M1224 MaxxPro), likely tanks and motorcycles in assaults (previously reported). Ukrainian forces are evacuating damaged Western-supplied equipment (previously reported). Russian forces are claiming to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and communications with artillery and FPV drones. Russian air defense claimed to have shot down JDAM guided bombs. Ukrainian forces claim strikes on Russian police vehicle boxes with FPV drones (previously reported), and claiming destruction of a field ammunition depot and telecom towers on the Kursk direction. Russian forces are reportedly utilizing heavy weather (rain, fog) to their advantage to hinder Ukrainian UAVs. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces attempting to break through in Kursk Oblast used DRGs and artillery and suffered losses from mines and drone operators. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses, including tanks, armored fighting vehicles, and artillery pieces. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of a Ukrainian T-64 tank by FPV drone operators on the Kharkiv direction. Russian Ministry of Defense reports claimed engagement of military airfield facilities and a UAV production workshop. Russian Ministry of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine across various categories of equipment. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping and receives reports on the use of modern UAVs. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. Ukrainian General Staff showcases intensive training of marksmen. Ukrainian military blogger claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for counterattack actions in the Toretsk area (previously reported) and are using armored vehicles (previously reported). Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction claim to have destroyed a Russian reconnaissance drone. Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea and the need for countermeasures (previously reported). Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction with a "Krasnopol" guided shell. Ukrainian forces report enemy UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, with means for shooting them down being engaged. A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone. Russian sources claim advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske near Siversk are supported by a geotagged video claiming to show Ukrainian shelling of Russian positions, implying the use of artillery. Russian fighter-bomber training is showcased in a video. A strong fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight "Geran-2" kamikaze drone strikes. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work with 60mm mortars. Ukraine is seeking a lower price cap on Russian oil, which could impact Russia's ability to fund its military. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. Nikopol district and Pavlohradskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast were attacked by drones and artillery. KABs are reported on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration has delivered quadcopters, UAVs, and aerial complexes to two military brigades on the Zaporizhzhia direction. A fundraising appeal is shared for a Ukrainian Marine Brigade, potentially supporting equipment acquisition. A video claims elimination of a Russian soldier in the Siversk direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Николаевский Ванёк, Воин DV, ТАСС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Военкор Котенок, MoD Russia, Басурин о главном, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - СӘHKEЕТ/ТIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Два майора, Воин DV, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Сливочный каприз, Fighterbomber, Colonelcassad, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, РБК-Україна, Два майора, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, STERNENKO)
  • Russian Military Personnel: Reports on recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service, with claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front. Incident of criminal activity by a servicemember on leave in Kemerovo is reported. Claims of Ukrainian personnel losses by Russian sources. Claims of significant losses among Ukrainian forces in Sumy Oblast by Russian sources. A Russian soldier reportedly claimed to repel a Ukrainian drone with his hand (previously reported). Reports of Russian military casualties in an attack on Khmeimim airbase in Syria, with claimed casualties on both sides. Russian Minister of Defense reports claimed Ukrainian personnel losses across various Groups of Forces over the past day. Russian Minister of Defense reports cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine in personnel. Russian Minister of Defense inspects the "Center" grouping. A Russian military blogger reports on a rifle used in combat, acquired with reader support. Russian military blogger discusses claimed Ukrainian command and control issues on the Southern Donetsk direction, including Ukrainian units getting captured. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces attempting to break through in Kursk Oblast were repelled with losses, including some killed by mines and a significant number destroyed by drone operators, and some taken prisoner, with Russian sources claiming high Ukrainian losses near Tetkino and a ditch filled with bodies. A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave. A former "Wagner" mercenary on leave in Kemerovo reportedly attacked an elderly woman with a knife and attempted robbery. Russian marine infantry units are reportedly engaged near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast. Russian sources claim high Ukrainian casualties from a missile strike on a training camp near Shostka. A video features a captured Ukrainian serviceman from the 810th Separate Marine Brigade. The Ukrainian General Staff claims 185,000 Russian personnel losses since the start of the year. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran has been appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education of youth. The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing mobilization and the work of Military Medical Commissions. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ASTRA, Воин DV, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Военкор Котенок, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Басурин о главном, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Оперативний ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

  • The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, with reported Russian advances on the Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka directions (high numbers of engagements) and Russian sources claiming tactical control of Toretsk while anticipating Ukrainian counterattacks, along with claimed breakthrough to Nova Poltavka and further advances towards Konstantinovka aiming to take logistics under fire control and encircle a Ukrainian grouping, and claimed advances and Ukrainian losses on the Southern Donetsk and Shakhtyorsk directions, is a critical strategic development. Russian sources also claiming advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske near Siversk further indicates their objective of gaining ground in eastern Ukraine. These actions indicate Russia's persistent strategic objective of gaining ground in eastern Ukraine and potentially encircling or threatening key Ukrainian groupings. The claimed advances and highway cut, if confirmed, represent significant tactical gains with potential strategic implications for logistics and troop positioning. Ukrainian defense and counterattacks, as reported by the General Staff (previously reported) and Russian sources (Southern Donetsk, Toretsk, Tetkino), are strategically crucial for preventing Russian breakthroughs and inflicting attrition. The Ukrainian General Staff's detailed report on combat engagements by direction (previously reported) is essential for assessing the overall strategic picture. Russian Ministry of Defense reports on claimed successes across various Groups of Forces underscore the strategic focus on degrading Ukrainian forces. The commemoration of the 2nd anniversary of the "liberation" of Artemovsk (Bakhmut) highlights its strategic significance for Russia. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, sashakots, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Старше Эдды, Сливочный каприз)
  • The large-scale Russian aerial and artillery campaign across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, including the reported ballistic missile strike in Sumy Oblast (previously reported), the widespread use of guided aerial bombs (KABs) on frontline areas and reported strikes on Sumy, Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and the claimed use of FPV drones with RPG warheads in Kharkiv suburbs, highlights Russia's strategic approach of degrading Ukrainian infrastructure and military capabilities while also impacting civilian areas. The reported use of FPV drones with RPG warheads in Kharkiv suburbs indicates an adaptation in Russian tactics to target urban and suburban environments, posing an increased threat to both military and civilian targets. A recent artillery shelling in Kupyansk caused civilian casualties and stress, underscoring the impact on civilians. A drone attack on a humanitarian aid distribution point in Sumy caused injuries, highlighting the humanitarian impact. The Ukrainian General Staff's report on the scale of Russian aerial and artillery activity (previously reported) is a key strategic indicator. Russian Ministry of Defense reporting on claimed downing of Ukrainian aerial assets and targeting of military facilities and a UAV production workshop indicates a strategic focus on air superiority and degrading Ukrainian capabilities, along with ongoing threats and UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast. A Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat and states that countering them requires modern technical means and that experience exists but needs to be expanded (previously reported), highlighting the strategic importance of maritime drone warfare. Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia, indicating a sustained aerial threat to these southern regions. A strong fire is reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight "Geran-2" kamikaze drone strikes, underscoring the impact of these aerial attacks on infrastructure. Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade are featured in a video highlighting their work and effectiveness, including claimed strikes on enemy personnel, which contributes to the strategic objective of inflicting casualties. Nikopol district and Pavlohradskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast were attacked by drones and artillery, indicating a continued threat to these areas. KABs are reported on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, ТАСС, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonelcassad, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • The reported Russian claims of advances and liberation of settlements in Sumy Oblast (Maryino, Loknya) and ongoing battles for Belovody and near Yunakovka, along with Russian forces continuing to advance in Loknya towards Yunakovka to expand the buffer zone, are strategically significant as they indicate Russian ground pressure in border regions outside of the main Donbas front. If these claims are verified, they could represent Russian efforts to create buffer zones, divert Ukrainian resources, or open new axes of advance. The link made by Russian sources between these claimed advances and Ukrainian evacuation announcements in Sumy Oblast reinforces the narrative of Russian success and its impact on the civilian population. The Russian Ministry of Defense reporting on claimed successes by the Sever Group of Forces in Sumy region further emphasizes this strategic direction. A missile and KAB/KAR strike reported on Sumy Oblast indicates continued targeting of this region. Russian marine infantry units reportedly engaged near Myropillya in Sumy Oblast indicates continued Russian military activity in this border region. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka with claimed high Ukrainian casualties, indicating a strategic focus on degrading Ukrainian training capabilities in border regions. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Alex Parker Returns, Басурин о главном, MoD Russia, Военкор Котенок, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • The ongoing diplomatic discussions, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's engagement with the Italian Prime Minister (previously reported), the German Chancellor, the US Vice President and Secretary of State (previously reported), the reported Trump-Putin conversation (previously reported), and the push for European and US participation in future Russia-Ukraine negotiations, underscore the continued strategic efforts to find a diplomatic resolution or leverage international support. The differing perspectives on negotiations, with Ukraine emphasizing a ceasefire and honest diplomacy and Russia stating a path to unconditional surrender without peace and the lack of authorized Ukrainian negotiators, and Medvedev's extensive comments on the new world order and conflict resolution, highlight the significant gap between the parties and the challenges of achieving a diplomatic breakthrough. The discussion of the 18th EU sanctions package indicates continued strategic economic pressure on Russia. Speculation exists regarding potential pressure from (former) US President Trump on Russia concerning negotiations, introducing a new layer of uncertainty into the diplomatic landscape. Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them, which has significant strategic implications for the future of international support for Ukraine. A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump in these negotiations (previously reported). Discussions between Zelenskyy and the Norwegian Prime Minister regarding financial aid and drone production indicate ongoing efforts to secure international support for military capabilities and peace efforts. US Secretary of State Rubio's comments on the need for negotiations to end the conflict and the diversion of Western resources from threats in Asia provide a US perspective on the strategic rationale for seeking a resolution. A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stating that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call, suggests a potential framework for future talks. A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claiming that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance, if accurate, suggests a potential shift in US diplomatic approach following the Trump-Putin call and could impact future negotiations, while also serving as Russian propaganda. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire, highlighting differing expectations among international partners. Medvedev states that in the Ukrainian settlement, it is necessary to trust the guarantees and international documents that will be prepared, emphasizing Russia's position on the importance of legally binding agreements. (Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Zelenskiy / Official, Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Басурин о главном, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, ТАСС)
  • The reported Russian military claims of disrupting Ukrainian logistics and communications on the Southern Donetsk direction through systematic use of artillery and FPV drones are strategically relevant. Targeting these critical support functions is aimed at degrading Ukraine's ability to sustain combat operations effectively in the area. Claims of destroying Starlink terminals and EW stations highlight the strategic importance of these specific assets. Russian Ministry of Defense reports on claimed successes across various Groups of Forces, including hitting Ukrainian manpower and materiel, further indicate a strategic focus on degrading Ukrainian capabilities. (Воин DV, MoD Russia)
  • The reports on Russian internal security efforts, including the identification and recruitment of naturalized citizens for military service, with claims of 80,000 identified and 20,000 sent to the front, are strategically significant for understanding Russia's efforts to maintain its manpower pool for the conflict. The reported numbers, if accurate, indicate a reliance on this demographic to fill military ranks. Discussions on crime rates among migrants and rising Islamist entry (previously reported) also highlight internal stability concerns for the Russian government. Russian Ministry of Defense reporting on claimed Ukrainian personnel losses also relates to the strategic balance of forces. A report claiming around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave further highlights potential personnel issues for Russia. Moscow and Moscow Oblast experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures, framed as reducing crime, and the Head of the Russian Investigative Committee commenting on crime and radicalization among migrants underscore this strategic concern with internal stability and control. A criminal case initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko) for alleged activity of an "undesirable organization" indicates Russia's strategic focus on controlling information and suppressing dissent. A former "Wagner" mercenary on leave in Kemerovo reportedly attacking an elderly woman highlights potential social issues related to the reintegration of former combatants, which has strategic implications for internal security. A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education, indicates efforts to integrate veterans into public life and utilize them for strategic social objectives. The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee's comments on migrants raise concerns about rising crime, lack of integration, and presence of radical elements. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, Рыбарь, ASTRA, MoD Russia, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном, ASTRA, ТАСС, АСТРА, Рыбарь, РБК-Україна, Новости Москвы, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
  • The Ukrainian GUR unit's evacuation of a damaged US-made M1224 MaxxPro armored vehicle from the Kupiansk direction highlights the strategic importance of logistics, maintenance, and recovery of military equipment, particularly valuable Western-supplied assets. The ability to recover and repair damaged vehicles contributes to maintaining overall force strength and operational capability. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • The commemoration of the 3rd anniversary of Mariupol's "liberation" and the stated intention to rebuild it by Russian sources (previously reported), reinforced by new reports highlighting the city as a symbol of restoration in "liberated regions" and showcasing historical and recent footage, and the release of a new documentary film about the battle for Mariupol, is a significant propaganda effort with strategic objectives. This aims to highlight a key Russian military success, normalize Russian control over occupied territories, and portray a narrative of reconstruction and return to normalcy under Russian rule. Reports on reconstruction efforts in Bryanka, Luhansk Oblast are present, serving a similar strategic purpose. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration affirming continued support for HNURE in post-war reconstruction highlights Ukraine's strategic focus on education and recovery in conflict-affected areas. (Colonelcassad, AV БогомаZ, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, WarGonzo, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
  • The participation of Ukrainian military representatives in a conference on Ukrainian military communications in the Netherlands (previously reported) is strategically relevant. This highlights Ukraine's focus on strategic communication, countering Russian propaganda, and engaging with international partners to shape narratives and maintain support. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • The proposed law in the Russian State Duma to ban charitable collections on personal cards (previously reported), while framed as combating fraud, could have strategic implications by potentially impacting volunteer networks that provide support for various causes, including potentially those related to the conflict or humanitarian aid. (Север.Реалии)
  • The reported attack on the Russian Khmeimim airbase in Syria, with claimed casualties on both sides, is strategically relevant as it highlights potential security challenges for Russia in areas where it maintains a military presence outside of Ukraine. It also underscores the involvement of various actors and the complex security landscape in the Middle East. (Военкор Котенок, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • The Ukrainian General Staff's comprehensive operational update (as of 16:00) providing detailed numbers of combat engagements, Russian strikes (artillery, aviation, KABs, MLRS), and locations of activity across multiple fronts (previously reported) offers a crucial strategic overview of the current situation. This data is vital for assessing the intensity of fighting in different sectors, identifying Russian operational priorities, and informing strategic resource allocation and planning. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • UNDP providing vehicles for palliative care in Zaporizhzhia highlights ongoing international humanitarian support and efforts to address civilian needs in conflict-affected areas. This is strategically important for maintaining civilian well-being and stability in the region. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration forming a youth council also indicates efforts to address the needs and concerns of young people in the region, which has long-term strategic implications for the population and recovery. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • Ukraine and the Czech Republic agreeing to cooperate on F-16 pilot training and strengthen defense industry integration (previously reported) is a strategic development for enhancing Ukraine's aerial capabilities and long-term defense production with international support. A Czech citizen reportedly joining the Russian army and seeking Czech assistance highlights the complexity of individual motivations and potential legal issues in the context of the conflict, which can have minor strategic implications for international relations and consular services. (РБК-Україна, ASTRA)
  • The newly enacted law in Romania allowing the downing of illegal drones and military operations on Romanian territory in peacetime is strategically relevant for regional security in a NATO member country bordering Ukraine (previously reported). This indicates a proactive approach to addressing potential threats emanating from the conflict. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Reports highlighting significant challenges in preventing illegal border crossings and mobilization evasion in Ukraine are strategically important as they relate to manpower availability and internal security. The reported statistics and issues with prosecution indicate potential vulnerabilities in the mobilization process and the need for enhanced border control measures. The unintended consequences of policy changes, like the closure of the "Shlyakh" program, also have strategic implications for logistical support for the military. The reported expulsion of around 1000 students for evading mobilization underscores the scale of this issue and its direct impact on military recruitment. The Head of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Administration reports on a Defense Council meeting discussing mobilization and the work of Military Medical Commissions, highlighting ongoing efforts to address these issues. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Два майора, Два майора, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
  • Ukrainian General Staff showcasing intensive training of marksmen is strategically relevant as it indicates ongoing efforts to enhance specialized military capabilities, which are crucial for tactical effectiveness and can contribute to the overall strategic defense. Russian sources claim a missile strike on a Ukrainian training camp near Shostka, which, if accurate, would represent a strategic blow to Ukrainian training efforts. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • Ukrainian General Staff sharing a video featuring an 18-year-old servicemember is a strategic communication effort aimed at recruitment and bolstering morale by highlighting the motivations of young soldiers and promoting a narrative of patriotic defense. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • A Ukrainian source clarifying a civilian's conviction in Sumy Oblast was for illegal weapons possession, not for actions related to defending a village by mining a road, provides a different perspective on a previously reported event and highlights the importance of accurate information in the contested information environment. (РБК-Україна)
  • A candidate in the Polish presidential election expressing willingness to not support Ukraine's NATO membership is a politically significant development that could have strategic implications for regional security and alliances, depending on the outcome of the election. Lithuanian President stated that denying Ukraine NATO membership after promises would harm the Alliance's reputation, reinforcing the importance of NATO's stance on Ukrainian membership for regional stability. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • Russian Minister of Defense inspecting the "Center" grouping and receiving reports on UAVs indicates ongoing high-level command oversight and a strategic focus on the effective use of drones in military operations. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Kotsnews, Kotsnews)
  • Potential AIS spoofing activity near Finland in the Baltic Sea is strategically relevant as it suggests the use of electronic warfare tactics in a key maritime region, potentially aimed at confusing surveillance or obscuring actual vessel movements. (Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja Kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/ТIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia))
  • Reports suggest Trump warned Europe he would exit negotiations regarding Ukraine and stated he cannot promise to increase pressure on Putin, leading to concern among European officials that support and funding now fall on them, which has significant strategic implications for the future of international support for Ukraine (previously reported). A Wall Street Journal report, shared by a Russian military blogger, claims that Zelenskyy's attempt to sway Trump failed and Trump shifted towards Russia's proposals and softened his stance. Germany expects Trump to pressure Russia for a ceasefire. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна)
  • According to a Ukrainian source citing a Russian report, Putin discussed alleged Ukrainian attacks and terrorism threats in Moscow with Trump (previously reported), indicating that Moscow is attempting to frame Ukrainian actions in a way that justifies its own actions and potentially seeks to influence international perceptions. (РБК-Україна)
  • A report claims around 50,000 Russian soldiers have been declared deserters or absent without leave over two years of the war, highlighting potential personnel issues for Russia. (РБК-Україна)
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense claims strikes on military airfield infrastructure and a UAV production workshop in Ukraine over the past day, indicating continued targeting of Ukrainian military and production capabilities. The report of ongoing aerial munition threats and UAV activity in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast indicates continued targeting of this region. (MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
  • A VTsIOM poll indicates a low public perception of the US as an enemy in Russia, which could be strategically relevant for understanding internal Russian sentiment and the effectiveness of information campaigns. (Новости Москвы)
  • A human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army," highlighting Russia's efforts to suppress dissent and control information in occupied territories. (ASTRA)
  • There was a fire in a residential building in Oryol, an internal Russian event. (ТАСС)
  • The EU will begin preparing its 18th sanctions package today. This is a strategic move to maintain economic pressure on Russia. (РБК-Україна)
  • Moscow and Moscow Oblast are experimenting with enhanced migrant control measures. This is a domestic security measure with potential strategic implications for internal stability and manpower. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
  • The leader of the "incels" movement has been released from pre-trial detention in Russia. This is an internal legal and social development, the strategic implications of which are unclear at this time. (ASTRA, ТАСС)
  • A Russian military blogger reports on claimed Russian tactical successes and Ukrainian losses on the Southern Donetsk direction. This is a tactical update with potential strategic implications if the claimed advances are significant. (Colonelcassad, Воин DV)
  • A Ukrainian military blogger reports on footage showing Russian forces launching FPV and "wing-type" kamikaze drones from a Magura unmanned boat, noting their use in the Black Sea and the need for countermeasures (previously reported). This highlights the strategic adaptation of both sides in naval and drone warfare. (Два майора)
  • Marco Rubio states that the US is working with NATO partners to find additional Patriot batteries for Ukraine. This is a strategically important effort to enhance Ukraine's air defense capabilities. (Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
  • The Head of the Russian Investigative Committee comments on crime and radicalization among migrants. This is a domestic security issue with potential strategic implications for internal stability and manpower. (Басурин о главном)
  • A Ukrainian military blogger claims the exposure of fake generals at a Ukrainian National Award ceremony (previously reported). This is an internal Ukrainian issue with potential implications for trust in official structures and information. (Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц")
  • Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has discussed support for Ukraine, including financial aid and drone production, and peace efforts with the Norwegian Prime Minister. This is a strategic effort to secure international support for military capabilities and peace. (Zelenskiy / Official)
  • Russian sources claim high Ukrainian losses in fighting near Tetkino, Kursk Oblast. This is a tactical claim with potential strategic implications for Ukrainian manpower and the situation in border regions if verified. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
  • A Ukrainian military blogger shares a video of Russian equipment hit by a "Baba Yaga" drone. This is a tactical report highlighting the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone strikes. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
  • An air raid alert and threat of aerial munitions are reported in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. This indicates ongoing Russian targeting of this region. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • Russian artillery reportedly struck Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtyorsk direction. This is a tactical report indicating continued Russian artillery fire on this front. (Воин DV)
  • Russian Deputy Justice Minister comments on the broad application of the "foreign agent" law. This is a domestic legal comment with strategic implications for freedom of expression and control of information in Russia. (ТАСС)
  • The cost of public transportation in Moscow will increase starting June 1st. This is a domestic economic and social issue, the strategic implications of which are likely minimal. (Новости Москвы)
  • A program to support veteran business has been launched in Ukraine (previously reported). This is a domestic support initiative with potential long-term strategic implications for veteran reintegration and economic stability. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
  • Around 1000 students have been expelled from a university in Lutsk for evading mobilization. This highlights a significant issue related to mobilization and manpower in Ukraine, with direct strategic implications. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • A Ukrainian source assesses that the Trump-Putin conversation was unfavorable for Ukraine and Europe and that Putin "outplayed" Trump (previously reported). This is a political assessment with potential strategic implications for international relations and the peace process. (РБК-Україна)
  • Russian drones are reported to be moving towards Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. This indicates a sustained aerial threat to these southern regions. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
  • A new rector has been appointed at Kharkiv National University of Radioelectronics, highlighting the university's role in defense and recovery. This domestic administrative development has potential strategic implications for education, technological development, and post-war reconstruction. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
  • Medvedev's extensive comments on the new world order, the Ukraine conflict resolution, and Russia's stance on negotiations, including claiming no authorized Ukrainian negotiators and advocating for unconditional surrender if peace is refused, are significant strategic statements reflecting Russia's hardline position and potential objectives in any future settlement. (Басурин о главном)
  • The Russian Embassy in the UK responding to new sanctions, calling them unlawful and aggressive and asserting they won't change Russia's course, is a diplomatic response to international pressure and a reiteration of Russia's defiance. (ТАСС)
  • A Russian airbase in Khmeimim, Syria, reportedly attacked with claimed casualties, highlights potential security challenges for Russia in other areas and the complex regional security landscape. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
  • US Secretary of State Rubio's comments on US and NATO efforts to find additional Patriot systems for Ukraine, reiterating that a military solution is not possible and the conflict must end with negotiations, while noting the conflict diverts resources from threats in Asia, provide insight into the US strategic thinking regarding support for Ukraine and broader geopolitical priorities. (Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, STERNENKO)
  • A Czech citizen reportedly joining the Russian army and seeking Czech assistance is a minor international incident but highlights potential legal and diplomatic complexities arising from individual involvement in the conflict. (ASTRA)
  • A European Commission spokesperson reportedly stating that future direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations could include the EU and US, allegedly agreed upon after a Trump-European leaders call, suggests a potential shift or formalization in the framework for future diplomatic engagement. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • A Russian military blogger making a satirical comment about an "info fighter" available for hire reflects the ongoing information warfare and the commodification of propaganda efforts within the Russian information space. (Colonelcassad)
  • A video showcasing training of Russian fighter-bomber aircraft in close formation highlights Russian military capabilities and training standards in its air force. (Fighterbomber)
  • Lithuanian President stating that denying Ukraine NATO membership after promises would harm the Alliance's reputation is a statement reinforcing the importance of NATO's open door policy and commitments to Ukraine, which has strategic implications for Alliance unity and future expansion. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
  • A criminal case initiated against the founder of Meduza (Galina Timchenko) in Russia for alleged activity of an "undesirable organization" is a strategic move by the Russian government to suppress independent media and control information flow, particularly concerning narratives related to the conflict. (ASTRA, ТАСС)
  • Reports indicating positional battles and Russian advance claims near Siversk, with claimed advances in the residential area of Verkhnokamyanske, are tactical developments with potential strategic implications for control of territory in Donetsk Oblast. (Сливочный каприз)
  • A strong fire reported at enterprises in Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, following alleged overnight drone strikes, highlights the continued targeting of industrial infrastructure by Russia, with strategic implications for Ukraine's economic and logistical capabilities. (Colonelcassad)
  • A former "Wagner" mercenary on leave in Kemerovo, Russia, reportedly attacking an elderly woman with a knife and attempting robbery, highlights potential social and security issues related to the reintegration of former combatants, with indirect strategic implications for internal stability. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
  • Russian marine infantry units reportedly engaged in "burning out" forest belts with Ukrainian forces near Myropillya, Sumy Oblast, indicates continued Russian military activity and tactics in this border region, potentially related to clearing operations or expanding control. (Два майора)
  • A video featuring Ukrainian mortar operators from the Third Assault Brigade, highlighting their work and effectiveness, is a strategic communication effort to showcase Ukrainian military capabilities and morale, particularly in specialized units. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
  • Three German citizens with Russian passports reportedly on trial in Germany accused of spying for Russia, including planning attacks on military infrastructure and gathering information on an oil refinery and a US military training center where Ukrainians trained, highlights the extent of alleged Russian espionage activities targeting Western countries and support for Ukraine, with significant counterintelligence and strategic implications for NATO security. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
  • Ukraine seeking a significant reduction (to $30) in the G7 price cap on Russian oil is a strategic economic objective aimed at reducing Russia's revenue from energy exports, thereby limiting its ability to finance the war effort. (РБК-Україна)
  • A participant of the "Time of Heroes" program and "SVO" veteran appointed to a government post in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, responsible for supporting veterans and patriotic education, is a strategic move by the Russian government to integrate veterans into public life, utilize their experience for social objectives, and promote a narrative of support for the military and patriotic values. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
  • Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's working visit to Armenia is a diplomatic development. (ТАСС)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

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