Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 20, 2025, 12:03 UTC)
Major Updates from Recent Messages
EU Sanctions Update: The EU has approved its 17th package of sanctions against Russia, specifically targeting around 300 tankers of Russia's "shadow fleet," approximately 30 companies involved in sanctions evasion, and 75 individuals and companies linked to the military-industrial complex. The sanctions also address hybrid threats and human rights. Further sanctions are reportedly being prepared. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Russian Claims of Advances on Konstantinovka Direction: Russian sources claim significant tactical successes on the Konstantinovka direction, including reaching Novaya Poltavka on the highway connecting Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka. Russian forces reportedly are developing the offensive west and north of Novaya Poltavka, aiming to reach Konstantinovka from the west and potentially encircle Ukrainian forces. (Kotsnews)
DeepState Map Update: DeepState map has been updated, indicating Russian advances near Novodarivka, Zelene Pole, Yelyzavetivka, and Nove Pole. (✙DeepState✙🇺🇦)
Russian Internal Security and Migration Control: Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia to enhance law enforcement's ability to identify unlawful behavior. He also reported a significant increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens in the first quarter of 2025, including a substantial rise in particularly serious crimes and group criminality, and a 2.7-fold increase in terrorist crimes, citing the "Crocus City Hall" attack as an example. (ТАСС, Два майора)
Russian Military Training: Training exercises are being conducted at a military training ground in the Moscow Military District, focusing on skills needed in the "Special Military Operation" zone. Training includes countering UAVs (using shotguns, logs, and swings for evasion practice), FPV drone operation, assaulting fortified positions, engineering defenses against kamikaze drones, coordinated actions in small groups, communication, and medical evacuation. (WarGonzo)
Russian Claim of Storming Kotlyarivka in DNR: Russian servicemen of the "Center" group reportedly stormed Kotlyarivka in DNR, overcoming fortifications with ladders and consolidating in a forest belt, with the operation preceded by drone and sniper work. The claimed liberation of Kotlyarivka is seen as creating favorable conditions for further advancement towards Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk). (Colonelcassad)
Ukrainian Attempts to Attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast: Ukrainian forces are reportedly attempting to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, using Western equipment and infantry on ATVs, but are encountering ambushes and suffering losses. Russian sources claim to be pushing the front line back from the border. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка)
Water Supply System Modernization in Kryvyi Rih: Modernization of the water supply system is underway in a densely populated micro-district of Kryvyi Rih, with replacement of networks damaged by the Каховка HPP destruction and addressing issues of corrosion and hydraulic shocks. Multiple other large-scale water supply projects are also being implemented in the city and surrounding areas. (Олександр Вілкул)
Discussion of Potential Physical Violence Against Oleksiy Arestovych: A Ukrainian military blogger discusses potentially opening a small fundraising campaign to "correct the face" of Oleksiy Arestovych, referencing past incidents of physical violence against individuals. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Conviction of Activist for Arson of Military Commissariat: An activist, Alexey Rozhkov, who was reportedly illegally transferred from Kyrgyzstan to Russia, was sentenced to 16 years in prison for a "terrorist act" related to the arson of a military commissariat. (ASTRA)
Russian Claim of Russian Initiative in Prisoner Exchange: Maria Zakharova stated that the initiative for the prisoner exchange agreed upon in Istanbul was Russian. (ТАСС)
Russian Readiness for Continued Contacts and Peace Memorandum: Maria Zakharova stated that Russia is ready for continued contacts with the Ukrainian side and will propose that Kyiv work on a memorandum for movement towards a future peace treaty. (ТАСС)
Damage to Ukrainian Vehicle by FPV Drone: A Ukrainian source reports that a Mazda vehicle, recently transported from Germany, was hit by a Russian FPV drone after two months of operation, resulting in significant damage. No Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the incident. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Belgian Statement on Potential Troop Deployment to Ukraine: The Belgian Minister of Defense, Theo Francken, stated that Belgium is ready to send its troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" led by France and the UK, immediately after a ceasefire is concluded. (Два майора, РБК-Україна)
Russian Government Regulation of University Admissions: The State Duma has adopted a bill granting the government the authority to regulate the number of paid admissions to universities, aiming to limit paid admissions in specialties not in demand by the economy and address the deficit of qualified personnel. (ASTRA, ТАСС)
IT Camp for Children of Servicemembers in Tysmenytsia: An IT camp for children of military personnel took place in Tysmenytsia, focusing on IT basics, modern technologies, practical tasks, and teamwork. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
Suspected Arson at Russian Military Base: Suspected terrorists reportedly equipped firing points in a building near a Russian military base and opened fire on Russian servicemen, leading to combat. This occurred after the EU reportedly lifted sanctions against the "Saakashvili regime." (Alex Parker Returns)
Russian Propaganda on Crimean Icons: A Russian military blogger questions the appearance of the Russian coat of arms on the kremlin.ru website, suggesting that the crosses on the eagles' crowns have been replaced with "shy rhombuses," and linking this to claims of not abandoning Orthodox believers in Ukraine. (Военкор Котенок)
Cleanup Efforts in Makiivka Market: Following a previous report on garbage accumulation at a market in Makiivka, cleanup efforts have occurred, with more bins added, although the area is still not completely clean. (Mash на Донбассе)
Widespread Mobile Network and Internet Outage in Spain: A widespread outage of mobile network and internet services occurred across Spain, affecting major cities, attributed to a system failure at Telefónica. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Russian Government Regulation of Migrant Registration in Russia: The State Duma adopted a law on an experiment to introduce additional mechanisms for accounting for foreign citizens in Moscow and Moscow Oblast from September 1, 2025, to September 1, 2029, including mandatory registration via a mobile application that collects geolocation data. (ТАСС, Два майора)
Ukrainian Parliamentarians Propose Recognizing North Korea as Aggressor State: A draft resolution has been registered in the Ukrainian Parliament proposing an appeal to international organizations and national parliaments to recognize the Democratic People's Republic of Korea as an aggressor state. (Alex Parker Returns)
Strelkov's Assessment of Negotiation Attempts: Igor Strelkov (Girkin) commented on the situation, interpreting recent events as a failed "first attempt to make us capitulate on limited terms" and criticizing the current Russian leadership. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович)
Head of Investigative Committee Comments on Rising Islamist Entry into Russia: Alexander Bastrykin reportedly stated that the entry of Islamists into Russia is increasing. (Alex Parker Returns)
Video Allegedly Showing Failed Russian Attempt to Down Drone with Rifle: A video shared by a Ukrainian source, attributed to the 35th Marine Brigade, allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
EU Lifts Economic Sanctions on Syria (Excluding Assad Regime): EU countries agreed to lift all economic sanctions on Syria, except those related to the regime of former President Bashar al-Assad. (ASTRA)
Ukrainian Initiative to Hunt Russian Air Defense on Occupied Territories: An information campaign using the "eVorog" chatbot is being promoted to encourage citizens in occupied territories to report the location of Russian air defense systems. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»)
Updated Situation
The operational environment remains defined by intense ground combat across key sectors in eastern and southern Ukraine, a persistent and geographically extensive Russian aerial campaign primarily utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic and political maneuvering. Significant recent updates highlight continued Russian ground pressure and claimed tactical gains in Donetsk Oblast, particularly on the Konstantinovka direction and near Kotlyarivka, as well as renewed Ukrainian attempts to attack in the border regions of Kursk Oblast, which are reportedly being repelled by Russian forces. The EU has imposed new sanctions targeting Russia's "shadow fleet" and entities related to sanctions evasion and the military-industrial complex, signaling continued international economic pressure. Russia's internal focus on tightening control over migrants through proposed mandatory biometric registration and reporting increased crime rates among foreign citizens underscores domestic security concerns. Reports on Russian military training incorporating modern warfare elements like drone countermeasures indicate adaptation efforts. Diplomatic discourse continues to be complex, with differing narratives surrounding recent high-level conversations and stated positions on negotiations. The humanitarian impact of the conflict is highlighted by reports of damaged infrastructure in Ukraine requiring modernization due to previous attacks.
Changes to the Situation from New Messages:
New EU Sanctions Package (17th): A significant change is the formal approval of the EU's 17th sanctions package against Russia. This package specifically targets around 300 tankers of Russia's "shadow fleet," approximately 30 companies involved in sanctions evasion, and 75 individuals and companies linked to the military-industrial complex. The sanctions also address hybrid threats and human rights. This represents a continued and potentially escalating application of international economic pressure on Russia, aimed at hindering its ability to finance and conduct the war, particularly by targeting its maritime trade and support networks for the military effort. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Russian Claims of Advances on Konstantinovka Direction: Russian sources are claiming significant tactical successes on the Konstantinovka direction, specifically reaching Novaya Poltavka on the highway connecting Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka. They report developing the offensive west and north of Novaya Poltavka, aiming to reach Konstantinovka from the west and potentially encircle Ukrainian forces. This is a claim of a notable localized gain that, if verified, could have strategic implications for the control of key logistical routes and further Russian objectives in Donetsk Oblast. (Kotsnews)
DeepState Map Update (Russian Advances): The DeepState map has been updated, indicating Russian advances near Novodarivka, Zelene Pole, Yelyzavetivka, and Nove Pole. These are specific, localized changes to the front line, providing visual confirmation of claimed Russian territorial gains in these areas. (✙DeepState✙🇺🇦)
Russian Internal Security and Migration Control Measures: Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia, citing an increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens and a significant rise in terrorist crimes (referencing the Crocus City Hall attack). This indicates a strategic focus on internal security and control over migrant populations, potentially influenced by recent events and aimed at addressing perceived threats. (ТАСС, Два майора)
Russian Military Training Adapting to Modern Warfare: Training exercises at a Moscow Military District training ground are focusing on countering UAVs using various methods (including shotguns, logs, and swings for evasion), FPV drone operation, assaulting fortified positions, engineering defenses, communication, and medical evacuation. This indicates a strategic effort to adapt Russian military training to the realities of modern warfare, particularly the pervasive use of drones and the need for resilient tactical operations. (WarGonzo)
Russian Claim of Storming Kotlyarivka in DNR: Russian servicemen of the "Center" group reportedly stormed Kotlyarivka in DNR, utilizing ladders to overcome fortifications and consolidating in a forest belt after prior drone and sniper work. The claimed liberation of Kotlyarivka is presented as creating favorable conditions for further advancement towards Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk). This is a specific tactical claim that contributes to the Russian narrative of incremental gains in Donetsk Oblast and highlights the tactics employed in assaulting fortified positions. (Colonelcassad)
Ukrainian Attempts to Attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast and Russian Defense: Reports indicate continued Ukrainian attempts to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, reportedly using Western equipment and infantry on ATVs. These attacks are allegedly encountering Russian ambushes and suffering losses. Russian sources claim to be pushing the front line back from the border in this area. This indicates ongoing Ukrainian activity in Russian border regions and active Russian defensive operations in response. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка)
Water Supply System Modernization in Kryvyi Rih Addressing Previous Damage: Modernization of the water supply system is underway in Kryvyi Rih, including replacing networks damaged by the Каховка HPP destruction and addressing issues like corrosion and hydraulic shocks. Multiple other large-scale water supply projects are also being implemented. This highlights ongoing efforts to repair and modernize critical civilian infrastructure in Ukraine that has been impacted by the conflict, and addresses long-term resilience and service provision for a large population. (Олександр Вілкул)
Discussion of Potential Physical Violence Against Oleksiy Arestovych: A Ukrainian military blogger discussing potentially opening a fundraising campaign to physically assault Oleksiy Arestovych reflects internal political discourse and tensions within Ukraine. While not directly a military operational issue, it indicates social and political dynamics influenced by the conflict. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Conviction for Arson of Military Commissariat in Russia: An activist, Alexey Rozhkov, was sentenced to 16 years in prison for a "terrorist act" related to the arson of a military commissariat in Russia. This highlights legal consequences for actions against military infrastructure within Russia and the severity with which such actions are being prosecuted. (ASTRA)
Russian Claim of Initiative in Prisoner Exchange: Maria Zakharova's statement that the initiative for the Istanbul prisoner exchange was Russian is a claim aimed at portraying Russia as proactively seeking humanitarian solutions and engaging in diplomatic efforts. (ТАСС)
Russian Readiness for Continued Contacts and Peace Memorandum: Maria Zakharova's statement that Russia is ready for continued contacts with Ukraine and will propose a memorandum for movement towards a future peace treaty signals a stated Russian willingness to engage in further diplomatic discussions, albeit on their proposed terms and timeline. (ТАСС)
Damage to Ukrainian Vehicle by Russian FPV Drone: A Ukrainian source reporting that a Ukrainian vehicle was damaged by a Russian FPV drone highlights the continued effectiveness of Russian FPV drones against Ukrainian vehicles and the ongoing challenges faced by Ukrainian forces with equipment losses due to these systems. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Belgian Statement on Potential Troop Deployment to Ukraine: The statement by the Belgian Minister of Defense that Belgium is ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire is concluded is a significant statement from a NATO and EU member state indicating a potential future commitment of military personnel to Ukraine, albeit contingent on a ceasefire. This could influence strategic planning on both sides regarding post-conflict security arrangements and the potential for international troop presence. (Два майора, РБК-Україна)
Russian Government Regulation of University Admissions: The State Duma's adoption of a bill granting the government authority to regulate paid admissions to universities, aiming to limit paid admissions in specialties not in demand and address personnel deficit, reflects a strategic shift in Russian education policy aimed at aligning university output with perceived economic and national needs, likely influenced by the demands of the conflict and broader economic goals. (ASTRA, ТАСС)
IT Camp for Children of Servicemembers in Tysmenytsia: The IT camp for children of military personnel in Tysmenytsia highlights support initiatives for military families in Ukraine and investments in developing skills for the future workforce, potentially influenced by the long-term impacts of the conflict on families. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
Suspected Arson at Russian Military Base: The report of suspected terrorists equipping firing points near a Russian military base and opening fire on servicemen, occurring after the EU reportedly lifted sanctions against the "Saakashvili regime," suggests a potential internal security incident or attack on Russian military facilities. The link to the EU lifting sanctions is presented as a potential motivation or context for this incident. (Alex Parker Returns)
Russian Propaganda on Crimean Icons: A Russian military blogger questioning the appearance of the Russian coat of arms on kremlin.ru, suggesting the replacement of crosses with "shy rhombuses" and linking it to claims of not abandoning Orthodox believers in Ukraine, is a clear example of information operation attempting to create a narrative related to the conflict and religious symbols, potentially aimed at questioning official symbols and linking them to perceived betrayals of Orthodox identity in Ukraine. (Военкор Котенок)
Cleanup Efforts in Makiivka Market: The report of cleanup efforts and the addition of more bins at a market in Makiivka, despite ongoing issues with cleanliness, while seemingly minor, indicates ongoing efforts to address civilian life and conditions in occupied territories. (Mash на Донбассе)
Widespread Mobile Network and Internet Outage in Spain: A widespread outage of mobile network and internet services across major Spanish cities, attributed to a system failure, is a significant infrastructure issue in a European country. While the reported cause is technical, such incidents can raise broader concerns about critical infrastructure resilience. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Russian Government Regulation of Migrant Registration: The State Duma's adoption of a law on an experiment for mandatory migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast via a mobile application that collects geolocation data reflects increased state control over migrant populations in Russia, potentially for security or demographic reasons, likely influenced by perceived security threats and criminal activity as highlighted by Bastrykin. (ТАСС, Два майора)
Ukrainian Parliamentarians Propose Recognizing North Korea as Aggressor State: A draft resolution in the Ukrainian Parliament proposing an appeal to international organizations and national parliaments to recognize North Korea as an aggressor state is a significant diplomatic initiative aimed at garnering international condemnation of North Korea, likely due to concerns about its support for Russia. (Alex Parker Returns)
Strelkov's Assessment of Negotiation Attempts: Igor Strelkov (Girkin)'s commentary on the situation, interpreting recent events as a failed "first attempt to make us capitulate on limited terms" and criticizing the Russian leadership, provides commentary from a prominent figure within the Russian nationalist/military blogger community, offering a critical perspective on the Russian leadership and negotiation efforts from a hardline stance. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович)
Head of Investigative Committee Comments on Rising Islamist Entry into Russia: Alexander Bastrykin's statement that the entry of Islamists into Russia is increasing highlights internal security concerns and potential demographic shifts in Russia, which could have broader social and political implications. (Alex Parker Returns)
Video Allegedly Showing Failed Russian Attempt to Down Drone with Rifle: A video allegedly showing a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle provides anecdotal evidence of the close-quarters interactions with drones on the battlefield and the challenges faced by personnel in countering them, highlighting the tactical environment. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС)
EU Lifts Economic Sanctions on Syria (Excluding Assad Regime): EU countries agreeing to lift economic sanctions on Syria (excluding the Assad regime) is a diplomatic development related to Syria, potentially influencing regional dynamics. (ASTRA)
Ukrainian Initiative to Hunt Russian Air Defense: The promotion of an information campaign using the "eVorog" chatbot to encourage citizens in occupied territories to report the location of Russian air defense systems demonstrates Ukraine's ongoing efforts to gather intelligence and target Russian military assets in occupied areas, leveraging civilian reporting. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»)
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
Donetsk Oblast (Novodarivka, Zelene Pole, Yelyzavetivka, Nove Pole, Kotlyarivka, Konstantinovka direction, Pokrovsk, Krasnoarmeysk, Soledar direction, Donetsk city): Site of intense ground combat. DeepState map indicates Russian advances near Novodarivka, Zelene Pole, Yelyzavetivka, and Nove Pole. Russian forces claim significant tactical successes on the Konstantinovka direction, reaching Novaya Poltavka and developing their offensive. Russian servicemen reportedly stormed Kotlyarivka in DNR. Russian military bloggers claim successful drone strikes on the Soledar direction. Mash na Donbasse reports a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack hospital No. 24 in Donetsk city. (✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, Kotsnews, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Mash на Донбассе)
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Tetkino): Location of Ukrainian attempts to attack, reportedly using Western equipment and infantry on ATVs, encountering Russian ambushes and suffering losses. Russian sources claim to be pushing the front line back from the border. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка)
Spain (Madrid, Barcelona, Valencia, Seville): Location of widespread mobile network and internet outage. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Russia (Moscow, Moscow Oblast, Ivanovo, St. Petersburg, Khabarovsk Krai, Sosnovoborsk, Krasnoyarsk Krai, Vologda Oblast, Oryol): Location of internal Russian issues, including proposed migrant registration experiment, increased reported crime among foreigners, internal security concerns, military training exercises, legal proceedings, and commentary from the head of the Investigative Committee. Suspected arson at a Russian military base and convictions for actions against military infrastructure are also reported. (ТАСС, Два майора, Alex Parker Returns, Север.Реалии, ASTRA, Полиция Хабаровского края, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Басурин о главном, Рыбарь, Стрелков Игорь Иванович, Новости Москвы, Военкор Котенок)
Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (Vasylkiv, Obukhivskyi district, Fastivskyi district, Holosiivskyi district, Solomianskyi district): Previously affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack resulting in casualties and damage. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, КМВА, РБК-Україна, ASTRA, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Военкор Котенок, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Sumy Oblast (Velyka Pysarivka, Velykopysarivska community): Affected by Russian attacks damaging infrastructure and causing civilian casualties. (РБК-Україна, Офіс Генерального прокурора, ASTRA)
United States (Washington D.C.): Location of discussions related to Ukrainian migrants and potential free trade agreements. (Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Dnipro (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Location of a criminal case related to online fraud. (Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Makiivka (DNR): Location of cleanup efforts at a market. (Mash на Донбассе)
Italy: Location of government providing military aid to Ukraine. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
Kupiansk (Kharkiv Oblast): Location of a Russian aviation bomb strike. (Colonelcassad)
Odesa Oblast: Location of missile danger alert. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Kryvyi Rih: Location of water supply system modernization. (Олександр Вілкул)
Tysmenytsia: Location of an IT camp for children of servicemembers. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
North Korea: Subject of a proposed Ukrainian parliamentary resolution. (Alex Parker Returns)
Syria: Subject of lifted EU economic sanctions (excluding the regime). (ASTRA)
Istanbul (Turkey): Location of prisoner exchange discussions. (ТАСС)
Barents Sea: Location of Russian naval drill. (MoD Russia)
Black and Azov Seas: Current status of Russian naval carriers reported. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
Mediterranean Sea: Location of Russian naval carriers. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Crimean Peninsula (АР Крим): Location of Russian military depot reportedly impacted by a Ukrainian drone attack. (Рыбарь)
Belgium: Location of statements regarding potential troop deployment to Ukraine. (Два майора, РБК-Україна)
Kyrgyzstan: Location from where an activist was allegedly illegally transferred to Russia. (ASTRA)
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. A large-scale attack utilizing 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones occurred overnight (previously reported). Ukrainian air defense forces shot down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost (previously reported). One drone is reportedly still in the air (previously reported). The attack affected Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Donetsk Oblasts (previously reported). Casualties and damage from the drone attack have been reported in Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). Downed drone debris has been found in Kyiv (previously reported). Damage to window glazing in a residential building in Solomianskyi district of Kyiv has been reported (previously reported). Russian forces used 2960 kamikaze drones over the past day (previously reported). Russian forces also used 2 Shahed and 10 Geran-2 drones in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day (previously reported). Russian military bloggers claim a successful drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot in Novaya Poltavka (previously reported). Russian military bloggers suggest Vasylkiv was a specific target of the overnight Kyiv attack (previously reported). Five drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in the evening (previously reported). Russia claims downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 2960 kamikaze drones were used by Russia over the past day, and an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying successful Ukrainian air defense or EW against these systems (previously reported). The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russia attacked with 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones overnight, shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost. One drone is still in the air (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 273 drones were released by Russia overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 locationally lost. One drone is still in the air, and shares a video of civilians sheltering in the Kyiv Metro during the attack (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Russia attacked Ukraine with 273 UAVs of various types overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 locationally lost imitator drones (previously reported). ASTRA reports the Ukrainian Air Force stated that 83 Russian drones were shot down overnight with 128 locationally lost (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports Russia released 273 drones overnight with 88 shot down and 128 locationally lost and shares visuals of the consequences of the drone attack in Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). Два майора reports 273 drones were released by Russia overnight and suggests Vasylkiv was a specific target (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a successful Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot and personnel in Novaya Poltavka (previously reported). Сергій Лисак reports five drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in the evening (previously reported). ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on the use of drones by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying Ukrainian UAV usage (previously reported). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the enemy attacked with 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones overnight, confirming shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost, with 1 enemy UAV still in the air as of 08:00 (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier (previously reported). Рыбарь mentions the impact of a Ukrainian drone attack on a military depot in Crimea (previously reported). ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones over Belgorod Oblast in the morning (previously reported). СТЕРНЕНКО shares photos and commentary claiming that the "katsaps" have a new type of ground robotic system (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on the record number of drones used by Russia overnight (273 "Gerans," including decoys) and the attack on Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast, noting Ukrainian reports and photographic/video evidence of targets hit (previously reported). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Ukrainian air defense failed to repel the overnight attack on the capital region and claims the main strike was on the airbase in Vasylkiv (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports strikes on the airbase in Vasylkiv, noting a fire map shows a strong fire (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports destruction of 2 reconnaissance UAVs (Supercam and Zala), 3 antenna control UAVs, and 1 communication antenna in the Southern direction (previously reported). Воин DV claims UAV operators destroyed a group in Bogatyr on the Shakhtersky direction (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for drone detectors and EW equipment (previously reported). Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors (previously reported). Военкор Котенок reports on the massive overnight "Geran" drone attack (273 drones) and preliminary strikes on Vasylkiv airfield (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian changes in Shahed tactics and production, aiming to increase speed and bypass EW, and a new production facility in Izhevsk (previously reported). Воин DV reports Russian strikes disabled a Ukrainian UAV control point near Alekseevka and hit two ground UAV control antennas near Otradnoye, Zelenyy Kut, and Novoukrainka (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces used 102 kamikaze drones and Ukrainian forces destroyed 79 UAVs and 25 units of special equipment over the past day (previously reported). Mash на Донбассе reports a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack hospital No. 24 in Donetsk. New reports from АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА indicate Russian drone activity on the front, with drones being launched one after another for strikes. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА). A Ukrainian source reports a Ukrainian vehicle was damaged by a Russian FPV drone. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukraine is promoting an initiative to hunt Russian air defense on occupied territories using a chatbot, including providing information on identifying key Russian air defense systems (OSA, Pantsir S-1, Tor, Buk). (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»).
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaged in countering Russian aerial threats, with successful interceptions reported across various oblasts, including Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and the east, north, and center of the country (previously reported). Downed drone debris has been found in Kyiv (previously reported). Russia claims downing of Ukrainian UAVs over border regions (previously reported). The Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost out of 273 released by Russia overnight (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 88 out of 273 drones were shot down and 128 locationally lost (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 88 out of 273 UAVs were shot down and 128 locationally lost imitator drones (previously reported). ASTRA reports the Ukrainian Air Force stated that 83 Russian drones were shot down overnight with 128 locationally lost (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ further details the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv (previously reported). КМВА reports the finding of downed enemy UAV debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district (previously reported). Два майора includes commentary and visuals purportedly showing Ukrainian air defense work during the attack on Vasylkiv (previously reported). Сергій Лисак reports five drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in the evening (previously reported). ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on the use of drones by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying successful Ukrainian air defense or EW against these systems (previously reported). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost out of 273 released by Russia overnight (previously reported). ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones over Belgorod Oblast in the morning (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for drone detectors and EW equipment (previously reported). Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors (previously reported). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Ukrainian air defense failed to repel the overnight attack on the capital region (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 79 UAVs and an EW asset over the past day (previously reported). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle, highlighting challenges in countering drones at close range. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukraine is promoting an initiative to hunt Russian air defense on occupied territories using a chatbot, including providing information on identifying key Russian air defense systems (OSA, Pantsir S-1, Tor, Buk) and where they might be located, to support targeting efforts. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian soldiers on the Donetsk direction thanking for an electronic warfare system "Pokrov" that reportedly effectively deflects enemy drones. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА).
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. Russian forces conducted 4735 shellings, including 122 from MLRS, over the past day (previously reported). In the Kursk direction, 224 artillery shellings and 3 MLRS were reported over the past day (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 4735 shellings, including 122 from MLRS, over the past day (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 224 artillery shellings and 3 MLRS in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on damage from Russian shelling in Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 38 artillery systems and 1 MLRS were lost by Russian forces over the past day (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports destruction of 3 artillery pieces and 2 mortars in the Southern direction (previously reported). Liveuamap Source reports 224 artillery shellings (including 3 MLRS) in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted 538 shellings and Ukrainian forces destroyed 2 artillery systems over the past day (previously reported). Воин DV reports artillery units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army are conducting strikes on Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtersky direction (previously reported). Ukrainian forces are attempting to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, which likely involves mutual artillery fire in the border region. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка).
Aviation Activity: Russian forces conducted 75 aviation strikes, dropping 106 guided aerial bombs, over the past day (previously reported). Specific areas targeted included Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts (previously reported). In the Kursk direction, 15 aviation strikes and 20 guided bombs were reported over the past day (previously reported). Russian forces used 4 KABs in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 75 aviation strikes, dropping 106 guided aerial bombs, over the past day, and lists specific targeted areas (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 15 aviation strikes and 20 guided bombs in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports 4 KABs were used by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northeastern and eastern directions, along with the threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KABs) on Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports that a drop tank fell off a "Strizhi" aircraft in Chelyabinsk, a domestic Russian military aviation incident (previously reported). Liveuamap Source reports Russian aviation strikes at multiple locations across Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts over the past day, and 15 aviation strikes with 20 guided bombs in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted three airstrikes with 5 KABs over the past day (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapons for Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously reported). Russian aviation reportedly dropped an ODAB-1500 volume-detonating aerial bomb with a UMPK on a Ukrainian position in Kupiansk. (Colonelcassad).
Ballistic Missile Activity: Alleged use of ballistic missiles by Houthi forces against Israel (previously reported). A missile danger alert was issued for Odesa Oblast (previously reported). (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine).
Naval Activity: No new reports on naval engagements or carrier movements in the Black or Azov Seas (previously reported). The reported maritime incident in New York is not directly related to the conflict (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on Russian oil transshipment activities in the Mediterranean Sea near Gibraltar and shares photos of Russian oil transshipment activities near Gibraltar and mentions a Kalibr missile carrier, indicating the presence of a Russian warship in the area (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports destruction of 3 boats in the Southern direction (previously reported). The EU has approved sanctions targeting around 300 tankers of Russia's "shadow fleet." (Север.Реалии, ТАСС). A Russian naval search and strike drill was conducted in the Barents Sea (previously reported). (MoD Russia). The UK has sanctioned 18 vessels in Russia's "shadow fleet" (previously reported). (ТАСС, ASTRA).
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Diplomatic efforts continue, with the US linking potential sanctions against Russia to a lack of progress in negotiations with Ukraine. Both sides are reportedly preparing documents outlining ceasefire conditions. An ISW assessment suggests the Kremlin is delaying negotiations and preparing for a prolonged war. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the discussion between US Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, including the US linking sanctions to negotiation progress and both sides preparing ceasefire documents (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on the same discussion (previously reported). РБК-Україна provides a summary of overnight news, including the US confirmation that Russia will prepare a ceasefire document and Ukraine will prepare an identical document (previously reported). ISW provides an assessment suggesting the Kremlin is intentionally delaying negotiations and preparing for a prolonged war, viewing territorial claims as prerequisites for a ceasefire (previously reported). Рыбарь provides an extensive summary of the current situation, including interpretations of the recent Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul, framing them as Russia asserting its position based on battlefield successes and readiness for prolonged conflict (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns attempts to link the death of a Ukrainian casualty to a statement allegedly made by Russian negotiator Medinsky at the Istanbul talks, which is an information operation (previously reported). Басурин о главном discusses the composition of negotiation groups, "trolling" by Medinsky, the concept of a security zone, prisoner exchange, Russia's clear negotiation position, differences between current and past negotiations, the legitimacy of Zelenskyy, Trump's role, the condition for a ceasefire (full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from "historical regions of Russia"), Russia's readiness to fight until all tasks are completed, the long-term threat to Russian territory, army reshuffles, successes on the front, how Ukraine's government will stop its military, the continued fighting as long as there is a "decision-making center" and European arms production, the complexity of negotiations, Putin's statement on the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War, Russia's readiness to fight versus Europe's, Russia's economic potential and partners, and the assertion that Russia is on the right path (previously reported). ТАСС reports that Russian President Putin stated to journalist Zarubin that the result of the "special military operation" should be long-term peace and protection of the interests of Russian-speaking residents of Ukraine, achieved by eliminating the causes of the crisis (previously reported). Дмитрий Медведев commented on the recent negotiations, suggesting that unsuccessful talks could lead to a "more terrible stage of war" with new weapons and participants (previously reported). New reports from Оперативний ЗСУ (citing Axios), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (citing Axios), and РБК-Україна (citing Axios) detail a conversation between Trump, Zelenskyy, and five European leaders after the Trump-Putin call, where European leaders were reportedly surprised or shocked by Trump's statements that Putin agreed to direct negotiations and that he opposed new sanctions against Russia.TASS reports Maria Zakharova stated Russia is ready for continued contacts with the Ukrainian side and will propose that Kyiv work on a memorandum for movement towards a future peace treaty.TASS reports Maria Zakharova claimed the initiative for the prisoner exchange agreed upon in Istanbul was Russian. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, ТАСС). Strelkov commented on negotiation attempts, viewing them negatively. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович).
International Pressure: The US is linking progress in negotiations to potential further sanctions against Russia. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the US Congress will advance a bill on sanctions against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations with Ukraine (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on the US linking sanctions to negotiation progress (previously reported). A significant change is the approval of the EU's 17th sanctions package against Russia, targeting the "shadow fleet," sanctions evasion, and military-industrial complex.Further sanctions are reportedly being prepared.New reports indicate Trump reportedly told EU leaders he opposed new sanctions against Russia after his conversation with Putin.The EU has introduced sanctions against the head of Kamaz. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны).
Internal Russian Politics: Internal legal proceedings, incidents of vandalism, and reports on military engineers are present in reporting (previously reported). Colonelcassad features a Russian military engineer who participated in the Victory Parade (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on an event in Moscow where an alley was planted in memory of fallen war correspondents (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА promotes their project and seeks subscriptions (previously reported). ТАСС reports on a proposal in the State Duma regarding fast food advertising warnings (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a new type of scam targeting Moscow residents (previously reported). ТАСС reports on individual housing construction in Russia (previously reported). ТАСС reports Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Osmakov stating that Russians have a better attitude towards domestic brands (previously reported). Глеб Никитин shares photos and commentary on restoration efforts in Purekh (previously reported). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show members of the "Russian community" failing a Russian history test for migrants, using this to mock alleged "denazifiers" in Ukraine (previously reported). Басурин о главном discusses internal Russian issues (previously reported). Дмитрий Медведев commented on the recent negotiations (previously reported). Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia and reported a significant increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens, including terrorist crimes. (ТАСС, Два майора). ASTRA reports security forces conducted searches at the offices of the "Bars" TV channel in Ivanovo and at the home of its chief editor, Sergey Kustov, related to "defamation" over a publication concerning missing servicemen. (ASTRA). Alex Parker Returns reports the detention in St. Petersburg of a staff member of the Holy Trinity Alexander Svirsky Monastery in connection with an interregional group involved in child pornography. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports the State Duma adopted a bill granting the government the authority to regulate the number of paid admissions to universities. (ТАСС, Новости Москвы). TASS reports over 2,300 people have been recognized as victims in the criminal case related to the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall. (ТАСС). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns). A Russian military blogger questions the appearance of the Russian coat of arms on kremlin.ru, suggesting replaced crosses with "shy rhombuses." (Военкор Котенок). TASS reports government regulation of migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast. (ТАСС). Alexander Bastrykin commented on rising Islamist entry into Russia. (Alex Parker Returns). A conviction for arson of a military commissariat is reported. (ASTRA). Strelkov offered a critical assessment of Russian leadership. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович).
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated regarding ceasefire conditions. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Ukraine and Russia are preparing their versions of documents with a vision of the conditions for a ceasefire (previously reported). Рыбарь provides an extensive summary of the current situation, including interpretations of the recent Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns attempts to link the death of a Ukrainian casualty to a statement allegedly made by Russian negotiator Medinsky at the Istanbul talks, which is an information operation (previously reported). Басурин о главном discusses the composition of negotiation groups, "trolling" by Medinsky, prisoner exchange, Russia's clear negotiation position, and differences between current and past negotiations (previously reported). Дмитрий Медведев commented on the recent negotiations (previously reported). New reports from Оперативний ЗСУ (citing Axios), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (citing Axios), and РБК-Україна (citing Axios) detail a conversation between Trump, Zelenskyy, and five European leaders after the Trump-Putin call, highlighting differing perspectives on negotiations and sanctions.TASS reports Maria Zakharova stated Russia is ready for continued contacts with the Ukrainian side and will propose that Kyiv work on a memorandum for movement towards a future peace treaty.TASS reports Maria Zakharova claimed the initiative for the prisoner exchange agreed upon in Istanbul was Russian. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, ТАСС). Strelkov commented on negotiation attempts, viewing them negatively. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович). Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has reportedly proposed a free trade agreement between Ukraine and the US in a letter to former President Trump. (РБК-Україна). Maria Zakharova commented on the results of the conversation between Putin and Trump. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad).
Eurovision 2025: The outcome of the Eurovision contest is reported (previously reported). РБК-Україна provides a summary of overnight news, including the Eurovision outcome (previously reported).
International Incidents: A maritime incident in New York is reported (previously reported). ТАСС reports on a maritime incident in New York where a Mexican Navy sailing vessel collided with the Brooklyn Bridge, resulting in injuries (previously reported). РБК-Україна provides a summary of overnight news, including the maritime incident in New York (implicitly as it is a major overnight event) (previously reported). ТАСС reports two people died and 17 were injured after the collision (previously reported). Басурин о главном reports on the maritime incident in New York involving a Mexican Navy sailing vessel colliding with the Brooklyn Bridge, providing details on casualties (2 dead, 19 injured, 4 severely) and attributing the cause to loss of control (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns provides a pro-Russian interpretation of the New York incident (previously reported).
Middle East Tensions: Alleged Houthi ballistic missile attack on Israel reported (previously reported).
Energy Security: Turkey announces the discovery of a giant new gas field in the Black Sea (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports that Turkish President Erdogan announced the discovery of a giant new gas field in the Black Sea (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on Russian oil transshipment activities in the Mediterranean Sea near Gibraltar and shares photos of Russian oil transshipment activities near Gibraltar and mentions a Kalibr missile carrier (previously reported).
ISW Assessment: ISW provides an assessment of the Kremlin's negotiation strategy (previously reported). ISW provides an assessment suggesting the Kremlin is intentionally delaying negotiations and preparing for a prolonged war, viewing territorial claims as prerequisites for a ceasefire (previously reported).
Commemoration of Fallen Ukrainian Defender: КМВА commemorates the memory of Dmytro Ocheretyan, a Ukrainian defender who died in 2022 (previously reported). КМВА commemorates the memory of Dmytro Ocheretyan (previously reported).
Commemorative Practices in Ukraine: Ukrainian regional and military sources highlight the daily minute of silence for those who died in the war (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a post marking the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine on May 18th (previously reported).
Polish Presidential Election: Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна provide analysis of the first round of the Polish presidential election, highlighting candidates' stances on support for Ukraine (previously reported). STERNENKO provides an analysis of the first round of presidential elections in Poland, highlighting the leading candidates and their reported stances towards Ukraine (previously reported).
Romanian Presidential Election: Оперативний ЗСУ provides analysis of the second round of the Romanian presidential election, highlighting the candidates and their stances towards Ukraine (previously reported). STERNENKO provides an analysis of the second round of presidential elections in Romania, highlighting the leading candidates and their reported stances towards Ukraine (pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian) (previously reported).
Cultural Diplomacy: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival, including Ukrainian veterans, aiming to raise international awareness and support (previously reported). РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican (previously reported).
Commemoration of Crimean Tatar Deportation: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shares a video commemorating the deportation of Crimean Tatars in 1944 and highlighting their ongoing fight for a free Ukrainian peninsula (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also share similar posts and infographics (previously reported). ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People and the Day of Remembrance of Victims of Political Repressions, emphasizing the historical context and continued struggle (previously reported).
Report on Potential Post-Conflict Arms Trafficking: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Swiss NGO (GITOC) report suggesting a massive inflow of weapons into Europe after the end of the conflict in Ukraine and the potential for war-acquired skills to be used by organized crime (previously reported).
Vatican: РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here (previously reported).
Disruptions in Spain: A widespread mobile network and internet outage occurred in Spain. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны).
Belgium-Ukraine Relations:New reports indicate that the Belgian Minister of Defense stated Belgium is ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire, indicating potential future military support. (Два майора, РБК-Україна).
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
Internal Security: Reports of explosions and a fire at a machine-testing station in Podolsk, Moscow region (previously reported). Internal legal proceedings, incidents of vandalism, and military aviation incidents are ongoing (previously reported). Ukrainian drone attacks in border regions (previously reported). ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). TASS claims destroying part of the "Aidar" battalion on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (previously reported). ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones over Belgorod Oblast in the morning (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports that a drop tank fell off a "Strizhi" aircraft in Chelyabinsk, a domestic Russian military aviation incident (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a new type of scam targeting Moscow residents (previously reported). Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia and reported a significant increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens, including terrorist crimes. (ТАСС, Два майора). ASTRA reports security forces conducted searches at the offices of the "Bars" TV channel in Ivanovo and at the home of its chief editor, Sergey Kustov, related to "defamation" over a publication concerning missing servicemen. (ASTRA). Alex Parker Returns reports the detention in St. Petersburg of a staff member of the Holy Trinity Alexander Svirsky Monastery in connection with an interregional group involved in child pornography. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports over 2,300 people have been recognized as victims in the criminal case related to the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall. (TASS). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports government regulation of migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast. (TASS). Alexander Bastrykin commented on rising Islamist entry into Russia. (Alex Parker Returns). A conviction for arson of a military commissariat is reported. (ASTRA). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС).
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing aviation, artillery, and drones (previously reported). Russia claims to have stabilized the frontline and created conditions for further advances in Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). Tactical operations involving artillery support and strike UAVs are being highlighted (previously reported). Russia also claims the destruction of Ukrainian drone control points and a Starlink station (previously reported). A Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system is featured (previously reported). Russia claims a successful drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot (previously reported). Russia claims advances near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff provides a comprehensive report on Russian military activity over the past day, including 167 combat engagements, 75 aviation strikes, 106 guided aerial bombs, 2960 kamikaze drones, and 4735 shellings (including 122 MLRS) (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 14 combat engagements, 15 aviation strikes, 20 guided bombs, and 224 artillery shellings (including 3 MLRS) in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). Colonelcassad features a Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system in the "Special Military Operation" zone (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a successful Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot and personnel in Novaya Poltavka on the Krasnoarmeysk direction (previously reported). TASS reports Russian claims of advances near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) (previously reported). ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on the use of drones by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying Ukrainian UAV usage (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports estimated Russian losses over the past day (previously reported). Два майора suggests Vasylkiv was a specific target of the overnight attack on Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). Fighterbomber shares commentary supporting the idea that Vasylkiv airbase was a specific target of the overnight attack and claims that Ukrainian reporting confirms at least 57 drones hit their targets (previously reported). TASS claims destroying part of the "Aidar" battalion on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northeastern and eastern directions, along with the threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts (previously reported). Воин DV claims strikes by the 35th Combined Arms Army near Huliaipole (previously reported). Colonelcassad claims the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones (previously reported). Рыбарь provides a summary of the frontline situation, claiming Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (creation of a buffer zone), near Krasnyi Lyman, on the Konstantinovka direction (taking several villages), approaching the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and capturing Bogatyr and Volnoye Pole on the South Donetsk direction, and achieving success in Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia front. They also describe intense fighting and logistical challenges on the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, ongoing high-intensity battles on the Sieversk direction and near Chasiv Yar, and the impact of a Ukrainian drone attack on a military depot in Crimea (previously reported). This represents a Russian perspective on their military performance. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the enemy attacked with 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones overnight (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KABs) on Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). СТЕРНЕНКО shares photos and commentary claiming that the "katsaps" have a new type of ground robotic system (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for various units and equipment on the Siversk and Dzerzhynsk directions and a separate appeal for transport and EW equipment on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video highlighting practice on training grounds, focusing on the transition from rifle to pistol (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares information from Концерн «Калашников» on the presentation of a new all-season field uniform set (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on the record number of drones used by Russia overnight (previously reported). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Ukrainian air defense failed to repel the overnight attack on the capital region and claims the main strike was on the airbase in Vasylkiv (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports strikes on the airbase in Vasylkiv (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports enemy losses in the Southern direction, including personnel, equipment, and destroyed shelters and ammunition/fuel depots (previously reported). Воин DV claims UAV operators destroyed a group in Bogatyr on the Shakhtersky direction and that artillery units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army are conducting strikes on Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtersky direction and units of the 29th Combined Arms Army continued striking targets near Otradnoye, Zelenyy Kut, and Novoukrainka overnight, destroying three pickups, disabling a UAV control point near Alekseevka, hitting two ground UAV control antennas, and damaging an M113 APC near Novoukrainka (previously reported). Сливочный каприз reports positional battles near Borova and claims Russian advances south of Hrekivka (previously reported). Liveuamap Source provides a detailed breakdown of combat engagements across all these directions over the past day (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports on the preparation of Su-34E aircraft in desert camouflage for transfer to an African country, noting differences in electronic warfare systems compared to models supplied to the Russian Aerospace Forces (previously reported). Два майора shares a video claiming destruction of Ukrainian vehicles (pickups and M113 APCs) on the Konstantinovka direction (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted three airstrikes with 5 KABs, used 102 kamikaze drones, and carried out 538 shellings, and Ukrainian forces destroyed 104 units of weapons and military equipment over the past day (previously reported). Военкор Котенок reports on the massive overnight "Geran" drone attack (273 drones) and preliminary strikes on Vasylkiv airfield (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian changes in Shahed tactics and production, aiming to increase speed and bypass EW, and a new production facility in Izhevsk (previously reported). Mash на Донбассе reports a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack hospital No. 24 in Donetsk (previously reported). Russian forces reportedly stormed Kotlyarivka in DNR. (Colonelcassad). Russian sources claim Russian forces successfully hunted down Ukrainian UAVs, listing various types. (Басурин о главном). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukrainian forces are attempting to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian soldiers on the Donetsk direction thanking for an electronic warfare system "Pokrov" that reportedly effectively deflects enemy drones. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА).
Casualties: Tragically, the ongoing Russian drone attack has resulted in one fatality and three injuries in Obukhivskyi district, Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a fatality and injuries in Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). STERNENKO reports a fatality and injuries in Obukhivskyi district (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ further details the casualties in Obukhivskyi district (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports on the casualties in Kyiv Oblast and provides details on the fatality (woman born in 1997) and injuries (three individuals born in 1966, 1964, and a child born in 2019) in Obukhivskyi district (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian personnel losses over the past day: 1130 (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports estimated Russian personnel losses over the past day: 1130 (previously reported). TASS reports two people died and 17 were injured after the maritime incident in New York (previously reported). КМВА commemorates Dmytro Ocheretyan, a Ukrainian defender who died in 2022 (previously reported). Басурин о главном reports on the maritime incident in New York involving a Mexican Navy sailing vessel colliding with the Brooklyn Bridge, providing details on casualties (2 dead, 19 injured, 4 severely) (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports 76 occupant losses in the Southern direction (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns attempts to link the death of a Ukrainian casualty (referencing Sergiy Kyslytsya's post) to a statement allegedly made by Russian negotiator Medinsky at the Istanbul talks (previously reported). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a 28-year-old woman killed and three injured (two adults and a 4-year-old boy) in Obukhivskyi district, Kyiv Oblast, as a result of the overnight drone attack (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports 65 Russian personnel losses (31 irreversible losses) over the past day (previously reported). A Ukrainian source reports no Ukrainian soldiers were killed in a vehicle hit by a Russian FPV drone. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦). A graphic video allegedly shows a Russian soldier lighting a cigarette from a comrade who is on fire after a Ukrainian strike. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS).
Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian sources continue to promote narratives of military success and criticize Ukrainian actions (previously reported). The claimed capture of Volnoye Pole is being used to promote a narrative of Russian military success (previously reported). Russia claims to have destroyed Ukrainian drone control points and a Starlink station (previously reported). A Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system is featured (previously reported). Russia claims a successful drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot (previously reported). Russia claims advances near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) (previously reported). Colonelcassad features a Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system in the "Special Military Operation" zone (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a Russian perspective on the discussion between US Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a successful Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot and personnel in Novaya Poltavka and shares a video (previously reported). TASS reports Russian claims of advances near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) (previously reported). Два майора shares commentary from @lost_armour suggesting Vasylkiv was a specific target of the overnight Kyiv attack and includes videos/photos purportedly showing the results and Ukrainian air defense work (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on an event in Moscow commemorating fallen war correspondents (previously reported). Fighterbomber shares commentary supporting the idea that Vasylkiv airbase was a specific target of the overnight attack and claims that Ukrainian reporting confirms at least 57 drones hit their targets (previously reported). Басурин о главном shares a video of a Sicilian flower festival (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА promotes their project, which covers events in the world and Russia (previously reported). Colonelcassad claims the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones (previously reported). Рыбарь provides an extensive summary of the current situation, including interpretations of the recent Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul and analysis of the European response (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns provides a pro-Russian interpretation of the New York incident, framing it as "Mexicans decided to take revenge on the USA" and calling the deceased crew members "heroes" (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers (previously reported). ТАСС reports Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Osmakov stating that Russians have a better attitude towards domestic brands (previously reported). Глеб Никитин shares photos and commentary on restoration efforts in Purekh (previously reported). БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show members of the "Russian community" failing a Russian history test for migrants, using this to mock alleged "denazifiers" in Ukraine (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns attempts to link the death of a Ukrainian casualty (referencing Sergiy Kyslytsya's post) to a statement allegedly made by Russian negotiator Medinsky at the Istanbul talks (previously reported). Воин DV claims UAV operators destroyed a group in Bogatyr on the Shakhtersky direction, claiming the targets were "Nazis" (previously reported). Басурин о главном provides a comprehensive Russian perspective on the current situation, including elements of information operation and propaganda (previously reported). ТАСС reports that Russian President Putin stated to journalist Zarubin that the result of the "special military operation" should be long-term peace and protection of the interests of Russian-speaking residents of Ukraine, achieved by eliminating the causes of the crisis (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Swiss NGO (GITOC) report suggesting a massive inflow of weapons into Europe after the end of the conflict in Ukraine and the potential for war-acquired skills to be used by organized crime (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian changes in Shahed tactics and production, which can be used for information operations by highlighting technological advancements (previously reported). Воин DV shares videos claiming continued targeting of Ukrainian fortifications and vehicles and successful destruction of Ukrainian assets (previously reported). Дмитрий Медведев's comments on negotiation outcomes are a form of political messaging and information operation (previously reported). Два майора shares a video claiming destruction of Ukrainian vehicles on the Konstantinovka direction and includes commentary mocking Ukraine's equipment shortages (previously reported). Mash на Донбассе reports on an alleged Ukrainian drone attack on a hospital in Donetsk (previously reported). WarGonzo promotes the two-year anniversary of the claimed "liberation" of Bakhmut and promotes a documentary about the battle, framing it as a significant Russian victory and a morale booster. (WarGonzo). Два майора shares a video commemorating the claimed two-year anniversary of the capture of Bakhmut, featuring a patriotic song. (Два майора). ASTRA reports security forces conducting searches at a TV channel and the chief editor's home in Ivanovo related to reporting on missing servicemen, highlighting internal information control efforts and potential suppression of information. (ASTRA). Alex Parker Returns reports the detention in St. Petersburg of a staff member of a monastery in connection with a criminal case, highlighting internal security and criminal activity within the Russian Orthodox Church. (Alex Parker Returns). WarGonzo promotes a personnel project called "Donbas. Our Heroes" aimed at supporting veterans and integrating them into civilian life, particularly in the "new territories," framing military service as a path to becoming the "future elite of Russia." (WarGonzo). New reports from Оперативний ЗСУ (citing Axios), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (citing Axios), and РБК-Україна (citing Axios) detail a conversation between Trump, Zelenskyy, and five European leaders after the Trump-Putin call, highlighting differing perspectives on negotiations and sanctions and potentially sowing discord. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна). TASS reports Maria Zakharova stated Russia is ready for continued contacts and will propose a memorandum for a peace treaty, and claimed the initiative for the Istanbul prisoner exchange was Russian. (ТАСС). A Russian military blogger questions the appearance of the Russian coat of arms on kremlin.ru, suggesting replaced crosses with "shy rhombuses," attempting to create a narrative related to the conflict and religious symbols. (Военкор Котенок). Mash на Донбассе reports on cleanup efforts in Makiivka market, which, while minor, can be used to portray efforts to improve life in occupied territories. (Mash на Донбассе). A graphic video allegedly shows a Russian soldier lighting a cigarette from a comrade who is on fire after a Ukrainian strike, which can be used for information operations by either side to highlight the brutality of the conflict. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS). TASS reports Maria Zakharova commented on the results of the conversation between Putin and Trump. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad). Strelkov commented on negotiation attempts, viewing them negatively. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle, which can be used for information operations to highlight the challenges faced by personnel. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukraine is promoting an initiative to hunt Russian air defense on occupied territories using a chatbot, leveraging civilian reporting for strategic targeting. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»).
Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: Legal proceedings against individuals are reported (previously reported). ТАСС reports on a proposal in the State Duma regarding fast food advertising warnings (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a new type of scam targeting Moscow residents (previously reported). Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia and reported a significant increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens in the first quarter of 2025, including a substantial rise in particularly serious crimes and group criminality, and a 2.7-fold increase in terrorist crimes, citing the "Crocus City Hall" attack as an example. (ТАСС, Два майора). ASTRA reports security forces conducted searches at the offices of the "Bars" TV channel in Ivanovo and at the home of its chief editor, Sergey Kustov, related to "defamation" over a publication concerning missing servicemen. (ASTRA). Alex Parker Returns reports the detention in St. Petersburg of a staff member of the Holy Trinity Alexander Svirsky Monastery in connection with an interregional group involved in child pornography. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports over 2,300 people have been recognized as victims in the criminal case related to the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall. (TASS). A conviction for arson of a military commissariat is reported. (ASTRA). TASS reports government regulation of migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast. (TASS). Alexander Bastrykin commented on rising Islamist entry into Russia. (Alex Parker Returns). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns).
Military Commemoration and Morale: A Russian military engineer who participated in the Victory Parade is featured in a video (previously reported). Colonelcassad features a Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a routine "Good Sunday Morning" post with a request for prayers for soldiers, serving as morale-boosting (previously reported). Басурин о главном shares a historical account and painting commemorating a Russian naval victory and the founding of the Baltic Fleet, aimed at highlighting historical narratives and potentially boosting morale (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on an event in Moscow where an alley was planted in memory of fallen war correspondents (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video highlighting practice on training grounds, which can boost morale by showcasing training and readiness (previously reported). WarGonzo promotes the two-year anniversary of the claimed "liberation" of Bakhmut and promotes a documentary about the battle, framing it as a significant Russian victory and a morale booster. (WarGonzo). Два майора shares a video commemorating the claimed two-year anniversary of the capture of Bakhmut, featuring a patriotic song. (Два майора). WarGonzo promotes a personnel project called "Donbas. Our Heroes" aimed at supporting veterans and integrating them into civilian life, particularly in the "new territories," framing military service as a path to becoming the "future elite of Russia." (WarGonzo). An IT camp for children of servicemembers in Tysmenytsia highlights support initiatives for military families. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими).
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
Military Support (Ukraine): Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and air defense, indicating ongoing operational capabilities and support for personnel (previously reported). Estimated Russian equipment losses reported by the Ukrainian General Staff highlight the effectiveness of Ukrainian forces and the need for continued support (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian equipment losses over the past day (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports estimated Russian equipment losses over the past day (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on damage to civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast, implying the need for humanitarian support and potentially military assistance for defense (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a post marking the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine on May 18th (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival, including Ukrainian veterans, aiming to raise international awareness and support (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports enemy losses inflicted by the Southern Defense Forces (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares fundraising information for various units (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising for the restoration of destroyed property and equipment (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 104 units of weapons and military equipment over the past day (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a military-sports competition in Zaporizhzhia in memory of fallen police (previously reported). Italy will send a batch of weapons to Ukraine, including ammunition, armored personnel carriers (400 M113), and air defense systems (SAMP/T), and will continue to provide satellite intelligence data in coordination with NATO. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition). An IT camp for children of servicemembers in Tysmenytsia highlights support initiatives for military families. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими). Ukraine is promoting an initiative to hunt Russian air defense on occupied territories using a chatbot, which supports military targeting efforts. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»).
Civilian Support (Ukraine): РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is one of the poorest countries in Europe in terms of fresh water resources per capita, and many water bodies are polluted, which impacts the daily lives of civilians (previously reported). Tragically, the ongoing Russian drone attack has resulted in one fatality and three injuries in Obukhivskyi district, Kyiv Oblast, with damage to civilian property and infrastructure. A fire also occurred at a feed mill in Fastivskyi district (previously reported). Damage to window glazing in a residential building in Solomianskyi district of Kyiv has been reported (previously reported). Downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv caused minor damage to a non-residential building but no casualties (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a fatality and injuries in Kyiv Oblast and provides details of damage in Obukhivskyi, Fastivskyi, and Holosiivskyi districts and shares a video of civilians sheltering in the Kyiv Metro during the attack (previously reported). STERNENKO reports a fatality and injuries in Obukhivskyi district (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ further details the casualties and damage in Obukhivskyi and Fastivskyi districts, and the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv, and also reiterates the report of damage to window glazing in a residential building in Solomianskyi district without casualties (previously reported). КМВА reports the finding of downed enemy UAV debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv and damage to a non-residential building, and also damage to window glazing in a residential building in Solomianskyi district without casualties (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports on the casualties and damage in Kyiv Oblast, the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district, and damage in Solomianskyi district, and also shares visuals of the consequences of the drone attack in Kyiv Oblast, detailing damage and casualties in Obukhivskyi and Fastivskyi districts (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of civilians sheltering in the Kyiv Metro during the attack (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on damage to civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, including private houses, a bakery, a multi-story building, a power line, farming infrastructure, and a gas distribution node, with no casualties (previously reported). TASS reports two people died and 17 were injured after the maritime incident in New York (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports according to police, five multi-story buildings and a car were damaged in Obukhivskyi district, and a private house was damaged in Fastivskyi district, in Kyiv Oblast as a result of the attack (previously reported). Басурин о главном reports on the maritime incident in New York involving a Mexican Navy sailing vessel colliding with the Brooklyn Bridge, providing details on casualties (2 dead, 19 injured, 4 severely) (previously reported). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a 28-year-old woman killed and three injured (two adults and a 4-year-old boy) in Obukhivskyi district, with damage to private houses and a multi-story building, and damage to two warehouse premises and private houses in Fastivskyi district as a result of the overnight drone attack (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports alleged misallocation of funds in Marhanets for bus stops (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a military-sports competition in Zaporizhzhia in memory of fallen police, highlighting commemoration efforts (previously reported). Modernization of the water supply system is underway in Kryvyi Rih, addressing damage caused by the Каховка HPP destruction and improving service for a large population. (Олександр Вілкул). In Velyka Pysarivka, Sumy Oblast, a Russian drone attacked a humanitarian aid distribution point, resulting in two injured civilians. (ASTRA, Офіс Генерального прокурора).
Military Support (Russia): Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing aviation, artillery, and drones, indicating ongoing military support for their operations (previously reported). A Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system is featured (previously reported). Colonelcassad features a Russian military engineer who worked with the UR-77 mine clearing system (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a routine "Good Sunday Morning" post with a request for prayers for soldiers, serving as a form of support, and promotes their project for support (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА promotes their project and seeks subscriptions to acquire necessary equipment (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting reliance on volunteer support for acquiring critical equipment (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") and provides a link to a fundraising campaign for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier (previously reported). This highlights the reliance on public support for acquiring specific military equipment and the connection between military units and their audience. Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for various units and equipment (body armor, helmets, medical supplies, communication equipment) for the Siversk and Dzerzhynsk directions and a separate appeal for transport and EW equipment on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian soldiers on the Donetsk direction thanking for an electronic warfare system "Pokrov" that reportedly effectively deflects enemy drones, highlighting the use and perceived effectiveness of provided equipment. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА). WarGonzo promotes a personnel project called "Donbas. Our Heroes" aimed at supporting veterans and integrating them into civilian life, particularly in the "new territories," framing military service as a path to becoming the "future elite of Russia," which includes support for military personnel. (WarGonzo). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for Starlink systems for a Russian assault unit. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺).
Veterans Support (Russia): Colonelcassad is promoting a new film about volunteer activities and the Russian military, which includes support for veterans (previously reported). WarGonzo promotes a personnel project called "Donbas. Our Heroes" aimed at supporting veterans and integrating them into civilian life, particularly in the "new territories," framing military service as a path to becoming the "future elite of Russia." (WarGonzo).
Post-Conflict Recovery: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is one of the poorest countries in Europe in terms of fresh water resources per capita, and many water bodies are polluted (previously reported). This highlights an ongoing civilian issue that may require support for environmental recovery. Modernization of the water supply system is underway in Kryvyi Rih, addressing damage caused by the Каховка HPP destruction. (Олександр Вілкул). Mash на Донбассе reports on cleanup efforts in Makiivka market, which, while minor, relates to improving conditions in occupied territories. (Mash на Донбассе). WarGonzo promotes a project for veterans in occupied territories, which includes integration into civilian life, suggesting a focus on post-conflict recovery and control of these areas. (WarGonzo).
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Ukraine): The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is engaging with families of servicemen to discuss search, return, and identification processes (previously reported). TASS reports Maria Zakharova claimed the initiative for the Istanbul prisoner exchange was Russian. (ТАСС).
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Russia): A body exchange has taken place (previously reported). TASS reports Maria Zakharova claimed the initiative for the Istanbul prisoner exchange was Russian. (ТАСС).
Internal Issues in Russia: ТАСС reports that Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova commented on the complexity of transferring the main amount of maternal capital to the second child, a domestic social support program (previously reported). Басурин о главном shares a video of a Sicilian flower festival, which can be seen as a form of cultural content shared with a civilian audience (previously reported). ТАСС reports on individual housing construction in Russia, citing Deputy Prime Minister Khusnullin (previously reported). Глеб Никитин shares photos and commentary on restoration efforts in Purekh, which can be seen as a form of public service and support for residents (previously reported). Head of the Investigative Committee of Russia, Alexander Bastrykin, has proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia and reported a significant increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens, including terrorist crimes, which could lead to increased social support or legal aid needs. (ТАСС, Два майора). ASTRA reports security forces conducted searches at a TV channel and the chief editor's home in Ivanovo related to reporting on missing servicemen, potentially indicating issues for families of missing personnel. (ASTRA). Alex Parker Returns reports the detention in St. Petersburg of a staff member of a monastery in connection with a criminal case, highlighting internal issues and potential support needed for those affected. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports over 2,300 people have been recognized as victims in the criminal case related to the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall, who will require support and assistance. (TASS). A conviction for arson of a military commissariat is reported. (ASTRA). TASS reports government regulation of migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast, which could impact migrant populations. (TASS). Alexander Bastrykin commented on rising Islamist entry into Russia, which could have social and support implications for both migrant and local populations. (Alex Parker Returns). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns).
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults and a large-scale drone attack across multiple fronts and oblasts (previously reported). Engaging Russian aerial targets with air defense systems, with successful interceptions reported across various regions, including downing 88 (or 83) strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones out of 273 launched overnight (previously reported). Inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses on Russian forces, including an estimated 1130 personnel, 38 artillery systems, and 107 UAVs lost by Russia over the past day (previously reported). Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian shelling and aerial attacks (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff provides comprehensive reports on combat engagements across multiple directions over the past day, detailing the number of attacks repelled in each area, including 167 total combat engagements and 54 on the Pokrovsk direction (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports that over the past day, Ukrainian aviation, missile troops, and artillery struck four areas of concentration of Russian personnel, weapons, and military equipment, and four enemy artillery systems (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff provides estimated Russian losses over the past day, including personnel, tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery systems, MLRS, UAVs, and vehicles/fuel tanks (previously reported). The Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones out of 273 released by Russia overnight (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 88 out of 273 drones were shot down and 128 locationally lost (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 88 out of 273 UAVs were shot down and 128 locationally lost imitator drones (previously reported). ASTRA reports the Ukrainian Air Force stated that 83 Russian drones were shot down overnight with 128 locationally lost (previously reported). Сергій Лисак reports five drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in the evening (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on damage from Russian attacks in Kharkiv Oblast, implying Ukrainian defensive actions (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying Ukrainian UAV usage (previously reported). РБК-Україна shares visuals of the consequences of the drone attack in Kyiv Oblast, detailing damage and casualties (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ reports the end of the air raid alert in Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). КМВА reports the end of the air raid alert in Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports the end of the air raid alert in Kyiv (previously reported). КМВА commemorates Dmytro Ocheretyan who died in 2022 (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a message about the daily minute of silence (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a post marking the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine on May 18th (previously reported). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost out of 273 released by Russia overnight (previously reported). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shares a video commemorating the deportation of Crimean Tatars and highlighting their ongoing fight for a free Ukrainian peninsula (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна provide analysis of the Polish presidential election, highlighting candidates' stances on support for Ukraine (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ provides analysis of the Romanian presidential election, highlighting candidates' stances on support for Ukraine (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival, including Ukrainian veterans, aiming to raise international awareness and support (previously reported). Liveuamap Source provides a detailed breakdown of combat engagements and repelled attacks across all these directions over the past day (previously reported). ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones over Belgorod Oblast in the morning, implying Ukrainian drone activity (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Ukrainian source Butusov, that the dismissal of the commander of the 47th Brigade is linked to tactical issues near Tetkino, including attempting frontal attacks with columns under drone observation (previously reported). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show members of the "Russian community" failing a Russian history test for migrants, used as a form of information operation (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a post marking the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine on May 18th (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports enemy losses inflicted by the Southern Defense Forces, including personnel, 3 artillery pieces, 2 mortars, 9 vehicles, 2 reconnaissance UAVs, 7 motorcycles, 1 quadbike, 3 boats, 4 generators, 3 antenna control UAVs, 1 communication antenna, and destruction of 54 shelters, 2 ammunition depots, and 3 fuel depots (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ shares fundraising information for various units (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ share posts and infographics commemorating the Crimean Tatar deportation (previously reported). ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People and the Day of Remembrance of Victims of Political Repressions (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports that a unit of the "Rubizh" Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine is fundraising for the restoration of destroyed property and equipment (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted three airstrikes with 5 KABs, used 102 kamikaze drones, and carried out 538 shellings, and Ukrainian forces destroyed 65 Russian personnel (31 irreversible losses), 104 units of weapons and military equipment (including an armored fighting vehicle, 2 artillery systems, 10 vehicles, 79 UAVs, an EW asset, and 11 special equipment units), 116 shelters, and an ammunition storage location over the past day (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a military-sports competition in Zaporizhzhia in memory of fallen police, highlighting participation of national guardsmen, border guards, and veterans (previously reported). Mash на Донбассе reports a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack hospital No. 24 in Donetsk (previously reported). A Ukrainian source reports a Ukrainian vehicle was damaged by a Russian FPV drone. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier lighting a cigarette from a comrade who is on fire after a Ukrainian strike, attributed to the National Guard brigade "Rubizh." (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle, attributed to the 35th Marine Brigade. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukraine is promoting an initiative to hunt Russian air defense on occupied territories using the "eVorog" chatbot, including providing information on identifying key Russian air defense systems (OSA, Pantsir S-1, Tor, Buk) and where they might be located, to support targeting efforts. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»). Ukrainian forces are attempting to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, reportedly using Western equipment and infantry on ATVs. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка). Ukrainian parliamentarians proposed recognizing North Korea as an aggressor state. (Alex Parker Returns).
Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes (previously reported). Utilizing extensive aerial assets, including a large number of strike UAVs and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and a variety of other drones (previously reported). Employing artillery and MLRS extensively (previously reported). Experiencing significant personnel and equipment losses according to Ukrainian reports (previously reported). Undergoing high-level military command changes (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 167 combat engagements across multiple directions over the past day, with specific numbers of attacks in each area, including 54 on the Pokrovsk, 24 on the Lyman, and 23 on the Novopavlivsk directions (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports that over the past day, Russian forces conducted 75 aviation strikes, dropping 106 guided aerial bombs, employing 2960 kamikaze drones, and carrying out 4735 shellings, including 122 from MLRS (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports 14 combat engagements, 15 aviation strikes, 20 guided bombs, and 224 artillery shellings (including 3 MLRS) in the Kursk direction over the past day (previously reported). The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russia attacked with 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones overnight (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 273 drones were released by Russia overnight (previously reported). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Russia attacked Ukraine with 273 UAVs of various types overnight (previously reported). Два майора reports 273 drones were released by Russia overnight and suggests Vasylkiv was a specific target (previously reported). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a successful Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot and personnel in Novaya Poltavka (previously reported). TASS reports Russian claims of advances near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) (previously reported). ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th (previously reported). Олег Синєгубов reports on the use of drones by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement (previously reported). The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying Ukrainian UAV usage (previously reported). РБК-Україна reports estimated Russian losses over the past day (previously reported). Fighterbomber shares commentary supporting the idea that Vasylkiv airbase was a specific target of the overnight attack and claims that Ukrainian reporting confirms at least 57 drones hit their targets (previously reported). TASS claims destroying part of the "Aidar" battalion on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northeastern and eastern directions, along with the threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts (previously reported). Воин DV claims strikes by the 35th Combined Arms Army near Huliaipole (previously reported). Colonelcassad claims the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones (previously reported). Рыбарь provides a summary of the frontline situation, claiming Russian advances in Sumy Oblast (creation of a buffer zone), near Krasnyi Lyman, on the Konstantinovka direction (taking several villages), approaching the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and capturing Bogatyr and Volnoye Pole on the South Donetsk direction, and achieving success in Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia front. They also describe intense fighting and logistical challenges on the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, ongoing high-intensity battles on the Sieversk direction and near Chasiv Yar, and the impact of a Ukrainian drone attack on a military depot in Crimea (previously reported). This represents a Russian perspective on their military performance. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the enemy attacked with 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones overnight (previously reported). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (KABs) on Sumy Oblast and Kharkiv Oblast (previously reported). СТЕРНЕНКО shares photos and commentary claiming that the "katsaps" have a new type of ground robotic system (previously reported). Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel") (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for various units and equipment on the Siversk and Dzerzhynsk directions and a separate appeal for transport and EW equipment on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors on the Krasnyi Lyman direction (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video highlighting practice on training grounds, focusing on the transition from rifle to pistol (previously reported). Colonelcassad shares information from Концерн «Калашников» on the presentation of a new all-season field uniform set (previously reported). WarGonzo reports on the record number of drones used by Russia overnight (previously reported). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Ukrainian air defense failed to repel the overnight attack on the capital region and claims the main strike was on the airbase in Vasylkiv (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports strikes on the airbase in Vasylkiv (previously reported). Сили оборони Півдня України reports enemy losses in the Southern direction, including personnel, equipment, and destroyed shelters and ammunition/fuel depots (previously reported). Воин DV claims UAV operators destroyed a group in Bogatyr on the Shakhtersky direction and that artillery units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army are conducting strikes on Ukrainian fortifications on the Shakhtersky direction and units of the 29th Combined Arms Army continued striking targets near Otradnoye, Zelenyy Kut, and Novoukrainka overnight, destroying three pickups, disabling a UAV control point near Alekseevka, hitting two ground UAV control antennas, and damaging an M113 APC near Novoukrainka (previously reported). Сливочный каприз reports positional battles near Borova and claims Russian advances south of Hrekivka (previously reported). Liveuamap Source provides a detailed breakdown of combat engagements across all these directions over the past day (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports on the preparation of Su-34E aircraft in desert camouflage for transfer to an African country, noting differences in electronic warfare systems compared to models supplied to the Russian Aerospace Forces (previously reported). Два майора shares a video claiming destruction of Ukrainian vehicles (pickups and M113 APCs) on the Konstantinovka direction (previously reported). ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian forces conducted three airstrikes with 5 KABs, used 102 kamikaze drones, and carried out 538 shellings, and Ukrainian forces destroyed 104 units of weapons and military equipment over the past day (previously reported). Военкор Котенок reports on the massive overnight "Geran" drone attack (273 drones) and preliminary strikes on Vasylkiv airfield (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian changes in Shahed tactics and production, aiming to increase speed and bypass EW, and a new production facility in Izhevsk (previously reported). Mash на Донбассе reports a Ukrainian drone attempted to attack hospital No. 24 in Donetsk (previously reported). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА indicates Russian drone activity on the front. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА). Russian forces reportedly stormed Kotlyarivka in DNR. (Colonelcassad). Russian sources claim Russian forces successfully hunted down Ukrainian UAVs, listing various types. (Басурин о главном). Suspected arson at a Russian military base is reported. (Alex Parker Returns). A video allegedly shows a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС). Ukrainian forces are attempting to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, being met by Russian forces. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian soldiers on the Donetsk direction thanking for an electronic warfare system "Pokrov" that reportedly effectively deflects enemy drones, highlighting Russian EW capabilities. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА). WarGonzo promotes the claimed two-year anniversary of the "liberation" of Bakhmut, highlighting Russian military success. (WarGonzo). Два майора shares a video commemorating the claimed two-year anniversary of the capture of Bakhmut. (Два майора). WarGonzo promotes a personnel project called "Donbas. Our Heroes" aimed at supporting veterans and integrating them into civilian life, particularly in the "new territories," framing military service as a path to becoming the "future elite of Russia." (WarGonzo).
Third-Party Involvement: The outcome of the Eurovision contest is reported, involving multiple countries (previously reported). A maritime incident in New York is reported, involving a vessel colliding with the Brooklyn Bridge (previously reported). Alleged Houthi ballistic missile attack on Israel is reported (previously reported). Turkey announces the discovery of a giant new gas field in the Black Sea (previously reported). The US is involved in diplomatic discussions (previously reported). ТАСС reports two people died and 17 were injured after the maritime incident in New York (previously reported). Басурин о главном reports on the maritime incident in New York involving a Mexican Navy sailing vessel colliding with the Brooklyn Bridge, providing details on casualties (2 dead, 19 injured, 4 severely) (previously reported). Alex Parker Returns provides a pro-Russian interpretation of the New York incident (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна provide analysis of the Polish presidential election, highlighting candidates' stances on support for Ukraine (previously reported). Оперативний ЗСУ provides analysis of the Romanian presidential election, highlighting candidates' stances on support for Ukraine (previously reported). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival, including Ukrainian veterans, aiming to raise international awareness and support (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports a domestic Russian military aviation incident in Chelyabinsk (previously reported). Глеб Никитин shares photos and commentary on restoration efforts in Purekh, Russia (previously reported). ТАСС reports on individual housing construction in Russia (previously reported). ТАСС reports Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Osmakov stating that Russians have a better attitude towards domestic brands (previously reported). Fighterbomber reports on the preparation of Su-34E aircraft in desert camouflage for transfer to an African country (previously reported). STERNENKO provides an analysis of the ongoing presidential elections in Poland and Romania (previously reported). РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican (previously reported). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Swiss NGO (GITOC) report suggesting a massive inflow of weapons into Europe after the end of the conflict in Ukraine (previously reported). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a military-sports competition in Zaporizhzhia in memory of fallen police, highlighting participation of various security and public organizations (previously reported). A significant change is the approval of the EU's 17th sanctions package against Russia, targeting the "shadow fleet," sanctions evasion, and military-industrial complex. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ). New reports from Оперативний ЗСУ (citing Axios), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (citing Axios), and РБК-Україна (citing Axios) detail a conversation between Trump, Zelenskyy, and five European leaders after the Trump-Putin call, highlighting differing perspectives on negotiations and sanctions. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна). Italy will send a batch of weapons to Ukraine, including ammunition, armored personnel carriers, and air defense systems (SAMP/T), and will continue to provide satellite intelligence data in coordination with NATO. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition). The Belgian Minister of Defense stated Belgium is ready to send its troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire, indicating potential future military support. (Два майора, РБК-Україна). The EU has introduced sanctions against the head of Kamaz. (ТАСС). The EU lifted economic sanctions on Syria (excluding the Assad regime). (ASTRA). Ukrainian parliamentarians proposed recognizing North Korea as an aggressor state. (Alex Parker Returns). TASS reports Maria Zakharova commented on the results of the conversation between Putin and Trump. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad).
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
The approval of the EU's 17th sanctions package, specifically targeting Russia's "shadow fleet," companies involved in sanctions evasion, and entities in the military-industrial complex, is a significant strategic development. This demonstrates a sustained and targeted international effort to increase economic pressure on Russia, aiming to degrade its ability to fund and sustain the war, particularly by impacting its maritime trade and military production capabilities. The focus on the "shadow fleet" highlights the dynamic nature of economic warfare and efforts to counter Russia's attempts to circumvent previous restrictions. Further sanctions reportedly being prepared indicate the potential for escalating economic pressure. (Север.Реалии, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ).
Russian claims of significant tactical successes on the Konstantinovka direction, including reaching Novaya Poltavka, and the updated DeepState map indicating Russian advances in several areas of Donetsk Oblast, are strategically significant. These claims suggest that Russia is making incremental gains in a key sector of the front line. Control over the highway connecting Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka would have important logistical implications for both sides. The claimed further offensive actions aiming to reach Konstantinovka from the west and potentially encircle Ukrainian forces highlight a strategic objective of securing key urban centers in Donetsk Oblast. The claimed storming of Kotlyarivka and its strategic link to Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) reinforces the importance of tactical gains for achieving broader strategic objectives. (Kotsnews, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, Colonelcassad).
Ukrainian attempts to attack Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, despite reported losses, and the Russian response, are strategically relevant. This indicates Ukraine's continued willingness to conduct limited offensive actions in Russian border regions, potentially to distract Russian forces, create pressure on Russian territory, or achieve limited tactical gains. The Russian response, including ambushes and pushing the front line back, highlights their defensive posture in these areas and the ongoing cross-border nature of the conflict. НгП раZVедка's commentary suggests that Tetkino might not be the main direction of a Ukrainian strike, implying potential other areas of focus. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Colonelcassad, НгП раZVедка).
The proposed mandatory biometric registration for all migrants entering Russia and reported increase in crimes committed by foreign citizens, including terrorist crimes, are strategically significant from an internal Russian perspective. These measures reflect a strategic focus on internal security and control over migrant populations, likely influenced by recent events like the "Crocus City Hall" attack. This could have implications for Russia's demographics, labor market, and social stability, which indirectly impact its ability to sustain the war effort. (ТАСС, Два майора). Alexander Bastrykin's comment on rising Islamist entry into Russia further reinforces these internal security concerns. (Alex Parker Returns).
Russian military training adapting to modern warfare, particularly the focus on countering UAVs and operating FPV drones, is strategically important. This indicates a recognition by the Russian military of the evolving nature of combat and an effort to improve the skills and effectiveness of its personnel in key areas of modern warfare. The emphasis on coordinated actions, communication, and medical evacuation suggests a broader effort to enhance tactical capabilities and reduce casualties. (WarGonzo).
Modernization of the water supply system in Kryvyi Rih, addressing damage caused by the Каховка HPP destruction, is a strategic effort to rebuild and enhance critical civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. This is crucial for maintaining essential services for a large population and demonstrating resilience in the face of damage inflicted by the conflict. The multiple other large-scale water supply projects indicate a broader strategic focus on infrastructure recovery and development. (Олександр Вілкул).
The differing narratives surrounding the conversation between Trump, Zelenskyy, and European leaders after the Trump-Putin call, as reported by Ukrainian and Russian sources, highlight the complex and contested nature of diplomatic efforts and the strategic use of information. The reported surprise or shock among European leaders regarding Trump's stance on negotiations and sanctions could have strategic implications for the unity of international support for Ukraine and future diplomatic initiatives. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, Colonelcassad). Maria Zakharova's statements regarding Russia's readiness for continued contacts and proposing a peace memorandum, and claiming the initiative for the prisoner exchange was Russian, are part of Russia's strategic communication and diplomatic positioning. (ТАСС). Strelkov's negative assessment of negotiation attempts from a hardline perspective is also strategically relevant as it reflects dissenting views within Russia. (Стрелков Игорь Иванович).
The discussion of potential physical violence against Oleksiy Arestovych by a Ukrainian military blogger, while an internal political issue, reflects social and political tensions within Ukraine that are likely exacerbated by the conflict. This highlights the challenges of maintaining internal cohesion during wartime. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦).
The conviction of an activist for arson of a military commissariat in Russia with a severe sentence highlights the strategic importance placed by the Russian state on protecting military infrastructure and suppressing dissent related to the war. This sends a clear message regarding the consequences of actions perceived as undermining the military effort. (ASTRA).
The report of a Ukrainian vehicle damaged by a Russian FPV drone is a tactical event that contributes to the broader strategic picture of equipment losses and the effectiveness of specific weapon systems. The fact that no soldiers were killed, while tragic, highlights the potential for resilience or effective personnel protection measures in the face of such attacks. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦).
The statement by the Belgian Minister of Defense regarding the readiness to send troops to Ukraine after a ceasefire is a significant strategic development. It indicates a potential future commitment of military personnel from a key NATO and EU member state, albeit conditional on a ceasefire. This could influence strategic planning on both sides regarding post-conflict security arrangements and the potential for international troop presence. (Два майора, РБК-Україна).
The Russian government's regulation of university admissions, aimed at aligning educational output with economic needs and addressing personnel deficit, has strategic implications for Russia's long-term economic and human capital development. This is likely influenced by the demands of the conflict and broader national goals. (ASTRA, ТАСС, Новости Москвы).
The IT camp for children of servicemembers in Tysmenytsia is a strategic initiative by Ukraine to support military families and invest in the future workforce. This addresses the long-term social impacts of the conflict and aims to build resilience within the population. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими).
Suspected arson at a Russian military base, while needing verification, suggests a potential internal security vulnerability or attack on Russian military facilities. If confirmed, this could have strategic implications for force protection and counter-sabotage efforts. The alleged link to the EU lifting sanctions against the "Saakashvili regime" (which is the government of Georgia, not the individual) appears to be part of an information operation to connect unrelated events and create a narrative. (Alex Parker Returns).
The Russian military blogger's questioning of the Russian coat of arms on kremlin.ru and suggesting the replacement of crosses with "shy rhombuses," linking it to claims of not abandoning Orthodox believers in Ukraine, is a strategic information operation. This attempts to create a narrative questioning official symbols and potentially criticizing perceived betrayals of religious identity in relation to the conflict. (Военкор Котенок).
The cleanup efforts in Makiivka market, while a minor domestic issue, are strategically relevant as they relate to efforts to normalize life and address civilian concerns in occupied territories. This contributes to the Russian narrative of providing governance and improving conditions in these areas. (Mash на Донбассе).
The widespread mobile network and internet outage in Spain, while attributed to a technical failure, highlights the vulnerability of critical civilian infrastructure in Europe. In the context of ongoing hybrid threats, such incidents, even if accidental, can raise strategic concerns about potential deliberate disruptions. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны).
The Russian government's regulation of migrant registration in Moscow and Moscow Oblast, including mandatory registration via a mobile application collecting geolocation data, is a strategic move to increase state control over migrant populations. This is likely driven by security concerns, including the reported increase in crime and terrorist acts committed by foreign citizens. (ТАСС, Два майора).
Ukraine's proposed parliamentary resolution to recognize North Korea as an aggressor state is a significant strategic diplomatic initiative. This is likely aimed at garnering international condemnation of North Korea due to its perceived support for Russia in the conflict and to put pressure on North Korea internationally. (Alex Parker Returns).
A video allegedly showing a Russian soldier unsuccessfully attempting to shoot down a Ukrainian FPV drone with a rifle provides anecdotal evidence of the tactical environment and the challenges faced by personnel in countering drones at close range. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС).
The EU's decision to lift economic sanctions on Syria (excluding the Assad regime) is a diplomatic development with potential regional implications, although its direct impact on the conflict in Ukraine is likely limited. (ASTRA).
Ukraine promoting the "eVorog" chatbot to hunt Russian air defense in occupied territories is a strategic effort to leverage civilian intelligence for targeting high-value Russian military assets. This demonstrates Ukraine's ongoing efforts to degrade Russian capabilities behind the front lines and involves an element of information operations to encourage civilian participation in intelligence gathering. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура»).
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.