Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 20, 2025, 09:28 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be characterized by intense ground combat across multiple directions, particularly in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Sumy Oblasts and border regions of Kursk Oblast. A persistent and geographically extensive Russian aerial offensive employing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) continues to impact numerous Ukrainian oblasts, with casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure reported. Diplomatic maneuvering remains intertwined with conflicting military signals, notably concerning potential negotiations and the role of international actors, with recent commentary on the implications of the Trump-Putin conversation. Ukraine continues to report significant losses inflicted on Russian forces and highlight their defensive capabilities and the effective use of drone technology, including successful interceptions of Russian UAVs. Russia persists in asserting tactical gains, reporting successful engagements and equipment destruction, including the claimed destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and drones, and engaging in comprehensive information operations to shape narratives. Internal Russian issues, encompassing military personnel support, legal proceedings, infrastructure concerns, and social initiatives, are also reported, alongside continued international events and developments. New reports from the Ukrainian General Staff provide detailed information on repelled enemy assaults across multiple axes including Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Kherson directions. Russian sources claim the destruction of a NATO armored vehicle using FPV drones on the Konstantinovka direction. Ukraine is investigating alleged state treason and espionage involving a former Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council and FSB officers. A Russian court has sentenced a Ukrainian national battalion staff sergeant to 12 years. The Ukrainian General Staff highlights the dedication of Ukrainian military families and the service of brothers in the same combat vehicle crew. Russian military bloggers are discussing a perceived corruption scandal within NATO regarding arms deals. Russian military sources claim destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and drones in the Zaporizhzhia area, including "Baba Yaga" type drones downed by ramming. Russian military sources are highlighting daily life on the front with photo messages. A Russian military blogger is offering patches for sale related to their channel. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities, including those relevant to military use. Russian sources claim to have intercepted Ukrainian radio communications near Krasnoarmeysk, highlighting Ukrainian command decisions. Ukrainian sources showcase claimed footage of North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" and shells used by Russia. Russian sources claim the Azovelektrostal plant in Mariupol is ready for launch. A Russian source shares a photo of a Ukrainian drone with a taunting message about F-16s. A Russian source shares a photo of a damaged M113 APC being transported. A Russian source shares photos of military trucks transporting UAVs and a person operating a drone. A Russian source shares a photo of a concealed military vehicle in a wooded area. A Russian source shares a photo from a Russian military position. A Russian source shares photos of various items including military equipment and a photo of a person in tactical gear with a drone controller. A Russian source shares photos of a military dog and equipment. A Russian source shares photos of Russian soldiers and military equipment. A Russian source shares photos of Russian soldiers and equipment. A Russian source is selling patches related to their channel. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities, potentially relevant to military use. Ukrainian sources are selling tactical underwear. A Russian source highlights the story of brothers serving together in the same combat vehicle crew. Russian sources report on a corruption scandal within NATO and critique Western military spending. Russian sources claim significant Ukrainian losses and capture of foreign mercenaries (British and Canadian) on the Zaporizhzhia direction, along with destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles (Bradley, Leopard tanks). Russian sources claim destruction of a Ukrainian command post and ammunition depots in the Zaporizhzhia area. Russian sources claim advances and battles near Loknya, approaching Yunakovka, on the Sumy direction, with Ukrainian forces using artillery and UAVs. Russian sources claim advances near Chasiv Yar, securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal near Kalinina, and repelling an FPV drone attack. Russian sources claim to have used a "Yolka" drone-air defense system for kinetic interception of a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Ukrainian sources claim the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control. Ukrainian sources claim the elimination of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and personnel in the Zaporizhzhia area using drones and drone drops, including "Baba Yaga" type drones downed by ramming. Russian sources are utilizing information operations to highlight alleged shortcomings of Ukrainian commanders. Russian sources report on a business fraud case in Moscow. Hungary's parliament has voted to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). A Russian source comments on proposed Russian legislation regarding prohibiting individuals from collecting charitable donations on personal cards. A Russian source reports on the dismissal of a co-founder of "Dissernet" from a Russian Academy of Sciences institute. Russian sources claim Russian "Tsentr" Group of Forces servicemen are effectively fighting Ukrainian UAVs in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Russian sources claim Putin confirmed Russia's focus on peaceful settlement of the conflict in Ukraine after talks with Trump. Ukrainian banking institution PrivatBank is reducing the monthly limit on individual transfers within Ukraine. A Russian source shares commentary on Russian military reforms and leadership. A Russian source shares information regarding a corruption scandal within NATO related to arms deals. Russian sources provide detailed claims of Ukrainian losses (personnel and equipment, including foreign mercenaries and armored vehicles) and claimed Russian tactical successes (repelled counterattacks, destruction of command posts and ammunition depots) on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian sources claim advances in the central and southern parts of Loknya, approaching Yunakovka, on the Sumy direction, facing Ukrainian artillery and UAVs. Russian sources comment on the upcoming 18th package of EU sanctions. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Ukrainian sources report on civilian casualties in Kherson city due to Russian shelling and a bus attack. The Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated a criminal proceeding regarding the Kherson civilian casualties. Russian sources share commentary on potential shifts in international relations after the Trump-Putin conversation. Russian sources highlight internal social and legal issues, including potential abuses of power related to mobilization in Vologda Oblast and fraud cases. Russian sources are highlighting domestic issues and law enforcement activities. Ukrainian sources highlight governmental efficiency efforts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, reporting significant budget savings. Russian sources are engaged in information operations, including creating content related to the 6th anniversary of Zelenskyy's inauguration, focusing on unfulfilled promises. Ukrainian sources are promoting a National Week of Barrier-Free Living, which can support veterans and people with disabilities. Russian sources claim Russian forces are inflicting significant losses on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border through comprehensive fire impact. Russian sources claim Russian units disrupted Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming destruction of equipment and personnel through artillery and drone strikes. Russian sources claim the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye through drone attacks and ramming. Russian sources claim the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment (communication, control, and relay antennas) near Bogatyr in Donetsk Oblast by Russian FPV drones. Russian sources claim Russian units of the 36th Combined Arms Army conducted targeted strikes on Ukrainian equipment, drone platforms, and command points during the night, claiming destruction of armored vehicles, "Baba Yaga" hexacopters, a copter-type UAV with a retranslator, a UAV control point, and a ground station control antenna. Russian sources are disseminating information operations regarding alleged Ukrainian "atrocities." ASTRA reports on the dropping of Russian aerial bombs on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories. A Russian source highlights a domestic incident regarding a moose in a traffic accident. Russian sources reiterate that Putin confirmed Russia's focus on a peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. Belgium is reportedly ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire. A Russian source is promoting a film about volunteer activities in the "Special Military Operation" zone. A Russian source comments on potential shifts in international perceptions. A Russian source reports on efforts to launch a metallurgical plant in Mariupol. A Russian source is commenting on agricultural prices in Ukraine. A Russian source is selling patches related to their channel. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities. A Russian source is promoting a new film about the "Special Military Operation" zone. A Russian source is promoting their channel and fundraising. A Russian source is promoting a video from a military drone. A Russian source is sharing photo messages from the front. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities. A Russian source is offering patches for sale. A Russian source shares content from a military blogger. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. 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• Drone Strike on a Bus in Kherson: A Russian source claimed that a drone strike by "pidars" (a derogatory term) occurred on a passenger bus in Kherson, resulting in casualties.
• Hydraulic Structure Damage in Sumy Oblast: A Ukrainian source reported that Russian forces struck hydraulic structures in the Velykopysarivska community in Sumy Oblast. The water level is reportedly stable with no immediate threat of flooding.
• Russian Claimed Strike on Ukrainian Unit Near Kursk Oblast Border: A Russian source claimed that Russian forces struck a Ukrainian unit moving towards the Kursk Oblast border, resulting in the destruction of 12 Ukrainian servicemen.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Kherson Oblast (Kherson city): Affected by Russian shelling and alleged drone attacks on civilian infrastructure, resulting in casualties.
• Sumy Oblast (Velykopysarivska community, near Kursk Oblast border): Affected by Russian strikes on infrastructure and claimed engagements near the border.
• Donetsk Oblast (Kotlyarovka, Krasnoarmeysk, Bogatyr, South-Donetsk direction, Dzerzhynsk, Romanovka, Fedorovka): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat with Russian sources claiming tactical gains and the liberation of settlements. MoD Russia claims the liberation of Kotlyarovka, stating it is favorable for advances towards Krasnoarmeysk. Russian sources claim advances and a favorable adjustment of the control zone in the area of Dzerzhynsk, and the liberation of Romanovka and advances in the area of Fedorovka.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (near Sumy Oblast border): Location of claimed Russian engagements against Ukrainian units attempting to move towards the border.
• Moldova: Undergoing local elections in six villages, with results interpreted by Russian sources as an indicator of the ruling party's unpopularity.
• St. Petersburg (Russia): Location of boxing competitions in honor of the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War.
• Kherson City (Ukraine): The Kherson City Military Administration was tagged in a post showing damaged civilian infrastructure after a drone attack.
• Mariupol: Russian sources claim spontaneous graves have been fully moved to cemeteries.
• Russia (Multiple Cities - likely Moscow or St. Petersburg, Chelyabinsk, Nachodka, Udmurtia, Komsomolsk-on-Amur): Internal issues reported including a massive failure of state services due to a DDoS attack, investigation into cocaine transit, cybercrime losses, military parade participation, events commemorating war correspondents, proposals for fast food advertising, reported scams, housing construction, attitudes towards domestic brands, restoration efforts, failed history tests for migrants, commentary on negotiations, temporary registration in apartments, discussions on unconventional military units, commentary on US relations, Orthodox Church events, scandal in Vologda Oblast, traffic accident with a moose, drug marketplace detention, fraud cases, and a domestic military aviation incident. Boxing competitions were held in Shakhtyorsk, DPR.
• Ukraine (Multiple Oblasts - likely Poltava, Chernihiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Cherkasy, Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv): Affected by widespread Russian aerial and drone strikes overnight. Diplomatic engagements by President Zelenskyy continue.
• EU: Upcoming 17th and 18th sanctions packages against Russia are discussed. Reports indicate disappointment within the EU regarding the Trump-Putin conversation and fears that Trump may abandon efforts to stop the war. Hungary's parliament has voted to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). European leaders are reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of the Putin call. The European Commissioner for Enlargement stated Ukraine is ready for EU accession talks, while a Russian source offers critical commentary on the economic implications and quality concerns of Ukrainian agricultural products in the EU.
• Hungary: Parliament has voted to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban comments on Ukraine's EU accession and opposition to it.
• International Criminal Court (ICC): Hungary's parliament has voted to withdraw from the ICC.
• United States: Mentioned in the context of the Trump-Putin conversation and potential shifts in international relations. Reports indicate disappointment within the EU regarding the Trump-Putin conversation and fears that Trump may abandon efforts to stop the war. Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal. Trump's characterization of his call with Putin is noted. US Secretary of State commented on Trump's concerns about spending on Ukraine. The US Senate approved Trump's son-in-law's father as Ambassador to France despite a criminal record. Discussions about the importance of the Trump-Putin dialogue for understanding the conflict's roots and solutions are noted.
• Turkey (Istanbul): Mentioned in reports of negotiations, with reports of Ukrainian delegates allegedly leaving the talks and claiming the Azovelektrostal plant in Mariupol is ready for launch.
• Bulgaria: Allegedly the destination of two Ukrainian delegation participants who fled during negotiations in Istanbul.
• North Korea: Mentioned in reports of Russia using North Korean artillery systems and ammunition.
• United Kingdom: Mentioned in reports of captured foreign mercenaries on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Mentioned as a potential leader of a "coalition of the willing" to send troops to Ukraine after a ceasefire. A joint statement with France and Canada threatened Israel with sanctions over operations in Gaza.
• Canada: Mentioned in reports of captured foreign mercenaries on the Zaporizhzhia direction. A joint statement with the UK and France threatened Israel with sanctions over operations in Gaza.
• France: Mentioned as a potential leader of a "coalition of the willing" to send troops to Ukraine after a ceasefire. Mentioned in a joint statement with the UK and Canada threatening Israel with sanctions over operations in Gaza.
• Germany: Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal.
• Italy: Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal.
• Spain: Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal.
• Netherlands: Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal. NATO considers the Putin-Trump conversation a positive step, according to Mark Rutte.
• Belgium: Mentioned in the alleged NATO corruption scandal and is reportedly ready to send troops to Ukraine after a ceasefire.
• Luxembourg: Mentioned as the location of the NATO Support and Procurement Agency (NSPA) headquarters where alleged corruption occurred.
• Kyrgyzstan: Mentioned in a Russian source's commentary on military reforms and leadership, referencing reforms in the Ministry of Education in Kyrgyzstan.
• Belarus-Latvia Border: Ongoing tensions and humanitarian concerns on the border.
• Middle East: A joint statement from the UK, France, and Canada threatened Israel with sanctions over operations in Gaza.
• Norway (Kyiv): Crown Prince Haakon of Norway arrived in Kyiv for his first visit during the full-scale war, accompanied by the Minister of Energy.
• Transnistria (Moldova): Mentioned in the context of Moldovan local elections, highlighting its continued relevance as a point of tension.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Extremely high and widespread. Ukrainian General Staff reports numerous repelled enemy assaults across multiple axes, implying ongoing drone activity from both sides. Russian sources claim destruction of a NATO armored vehicle using FPV drones on the Konstantinovka direction. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and drones in the Zaporizhzhia area, including "Baba Yaga" type drones downed by ramming. Russian sources claim to have intercepted Ukrainian radio communications near Krasnoarmeysk and used a drone for a subsequent strike. Ukrainian sources showcase claimed footage of North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" and shells used by Russia (implying drone use for targeting/reconnaissance is likely). A Russian source shares a photo of a Ukrainian drone with a taunting message about F-16s. A Russian source shares photos of military trucks transporting UAVs and a person operating a drone. Russian sources claim advances and battles near Loknya on the Sumy direction, with Ukrainian forces using UAVs. Russian sources claim repelling a Ukrainian FPV drone attack near Chasiv Yar. Russian sources claim to have used a "Yolka" drone-air defense system for kinetic interception of a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Ukrainian sources claim the elimination of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area by a Ukrainian drone. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and personnel in the Zaporizhzhia area using drones and drone drops, including "Baba Yaga" type drones downed by ramming. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment near Bogatyr by Russian FPV drones. Russian sources claim Russian "Tsentr" Group of Forces servicemen are effectively fighting Ukrainian UAVs in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Russian sources claim Russian forces are inflicting significant losses on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border through comprehensive fire impact (implying drone use for targeting/reconnaissance is likely). Russian sources claim Russian units disrupted Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming destruction of equipment and personnel through artillery and drone strikes. Russian sources claim the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye through drone attacks and ramming. Russian sources claim the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. ASTRA reports a FAB dropped in Pushkarnoye area of Belgorod Oblast. Narodnaya militsiya DNR is promoting a fundraising effort for drones for a special forces unit, showing claimed footage of their activities in the conflict zone which would include drone use. Воин DV reports on claimed Russian strikes on Ukrainian equipment, drone platforms, and command points overnight, including armored vehicles, "Baba Yaga" hexacopters, copter-type UAVs with retranslators, UAV control points, and ground station control antennas. ASTRA reports on the dropping of Russian aerial bombs on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories, including a FAB in Pushkarnoye area of Belgorod. WarGonzo reports on claimed Russian forces stopping Ukrainian attempted breakthroughs in Kursk Oblast using FPV drones and inflicting heavy casualties. WarGonzo reports on a claimed Ukrainian attack on a hospital in Tetkino. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims specialists from the "Rubikon Centre" are neutralizing Ukrainian UAVs. STERNENKO claims Ukrainian "Koschey Group" fighters destroyed two Lancet drones. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition and Kotsnews report on Russian drone strikes across multiple Ukrainian oblasts overnight. Narodnaya militsiya DNR is promoting a fundraising effort for drones. Alex Parker Returns claims Ukrainians are demonstrating a new 90kg warhead for the "Geranium" drone. A Ukrainian source reported that a drone strike by "pidars" occurred on a passenger bus in Kherson, resulting in casualties. Liveuamap reports clashes yesterday on Lyman axis, Sieversk axis, Kramatorsk axis, Toretsk axis, Pokrovsk axis, Novopavlivka axis, Orikhiv axis, and Kherson axis, implying ongoing drone activity. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports drones worked on targets in Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Zhytomyr and Cherkasy Oblasts overnight. Народная милиция ДНР is promoting a fundraising effort for drones, showing claimed footage of their activities in the conflict zone. Воин DV reports on claimed Russian strikes on Ukrainian equipment, drone platforms, and command points overnight, including armored vehicles, "Baba Yaga" hexacopters, copter-type UAVs with retranslators, UAV control points, and ground station control antennas. Russian sources claim Russian "Tsentr" Group of Forces servicemen are effectively fighting Ukrainian UAVs in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area, resulting in one fatality and two injuries. Russian sources claim advances and battles near Loknya, approaching Yunakovka, on the Sumy direction, with Ukrainian forces using UAVs. Russian sources claim repelling a Ukrainian FPV drone attack near Chasiv Yar. Russian sources claim to have used a "Yolka" drone-air defense system for kinetic interception of a Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV. Ukrainian sources claim the elimination of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area by a Ukrainian drone. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and personnel in the Zaporizhzhia area using drones and drone drops, including "Baba Yaga" type drones downed by ramming. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment near Bogatyr by Russian FPV drones. Russian sources claim Russian units disrupted Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, claiming destruction of equipment and personnel through artillery and drone strikes. Russian sources claim the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye through drone attacks and ramming. Russian sources claim the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye with drone drops in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. WarGonzo reports on claimed Russian forces stopping Ukrainian attempted breakthroughs in Kursk Oblast using FPV drones and inflicting heavy casualties. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims specialists from the "Rubikon Centre" are neutralizing Ukrainian UAVs. STERNENKO claims Ukrainian "Koschey Group" fighters destroyed two Lancet drones. Alex Parker Returns claims Ukrainians are demonstrating a new 90kg warhead for the "Geranium" drone.
• Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaged in countering Russian aerial threats, with successful interceptions reported across various oblasts, including Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and the east, north, and center of the country. Downed drone debris has been found in Kyiv. Russia claims downing of Ukrainian UAVs over border regions. The Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost out of 273 released by Russia overnight. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 88 out of 273 drones were shot down and 128 locationally lost. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports 88 out of 273 UAVs were shot down and 128 locationally lost imitator drones. ASTRA reports the Ukrainian Air Force stated that 83 Russian drones were shot down overnight with 128 locationally lost. Оперативний ЗСУ further details the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv. КМВА reports the finding of downed enemy UAV debris in the Holosiivskyi district of Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports the finding of downed drone debris in the Holosiivskyi district. Два майора includes commentary and visuals purportedly showing Ukrainian air defense work during the attack on Vasylkiv. Сергій Лисак reports five drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in the evening. ASTRA reports Russian claims of downing seven Ukrainian drones over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts on May 16th. Олег Синєгубов reports on the use of drones by Russia in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement. The Ukrainian General Staff reports an estimated 107 Ukrainian UAVs (operational-tactical level) were lost by Russian forces over the past day, implying Ukrainian UAV usage. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports shooting down 88 strike UAVs and 128 imitator drones were locationally lost out of 273 released by Russia overnight. ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones over Belgorod Oblast in the morning. Два майора shares a video featuring soldiers thanking readers for provided drone detectors ("Asel"), highlighting the use of counter-drone equipment by Russian forces. Colonelcassad shares fundraising appeals for drone detectors and EW equipment. Два майора shares a fundraising appeal for EW equipment and drone detectors. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Ukrainian air defense failed to repel the overnight attack on the capital region. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 79 UAVs and an EW asset over the past day. Военкор Котенок and ТАСС report 25 Ukrainian drones were downed over Belgorod and Bryansk Oblasts overnight and in the morning. STERNENKO shares a video and text claiming that soldiers of the 12th Special Purpose Brigade "Azov" shot down eight "Molniya" drones. Narodnaya militsiya DNR claims the destruction of a Ukrainian FH-70 howitzer near Berestok using a "Lancet" X-51M drone as part of counter-battery fire, implying Russian counter-battery efforts. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that a unit of the Unmanned Systems Forces (SBS) named "Darknode" has shot down 100 Russian drones ("Shaheds" and "Gerbers") using interceptor drones. ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces shot down 7 JDAM bombs and 75 Ukrainian drones over the past day. РБК-Україна reports on Belgium providing Ukraine with 20 modernized Cerberus anti-aircraft systems and portable drone detection systems. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports the 82nd Air Assault Brigade is effectively using TM mines against enemy positions.
• Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces, including on Donetsk, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russia claims downing 7 JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. New reports indicate launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. New launches of guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast are reported. New reports suggest potential Chinese development of a Chinese analog to UMPK for 152 and 155-mm artillery shells, converting them into guided aerial bombs. New launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation are reported on Sumy Oblast and on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. РБК-Україна confirms the launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast. Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition and Kotsnews report on at least 20 airstrikes on Ukrainian military facilities in Sumy Oblast and Sloboda Ukraine overnight, likely involving KABs. ASTRA reports on the dropping of Russian aerial bombs on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories, including FABs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Russian forces struck hydraulic structures in the Velykopysarivska community in Sumy Oblast, which could involve the use of KABs.
• Missile Activity: Russia claims downing one HIMARS rocket over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports ракетна небезпека (missile danger) in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts. РБК-Україна reports missile danger in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts. ASTRA reports three rockets have fallen on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories since the beginning of 2025. WarGonzo reports on a claimed Ukrainian rocket attack on a hospital in Tetkino, allegedly using HIMARS. ТАСС reports Russian air defense forces shot down 7 JDAM bombs over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports missile danger in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts. РБК-Україна reports missile danger in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts. ASTRA reports on rockets falling on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories. WarGonzo reports on a claimed Ukrainian rocket attack on a hospital in Tetkino, allegedly using HIMARS.
• Aviation Activity: Active Russian tactical aviation on eastern, southeastern, and northeastern directions with threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. New reports indicate launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast by enemy tactical aviation. New launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation towards Donetsk Oblast are reported. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction! Poddubny |Z|О|V| edition and Kotsnews report on at least 20 airstrikes on Ukrainian military facilities in Sumy Oblast and Sloboda Ukraine overnight. ASTRA reports on the dropping of Russian aerial bombs on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories by Russian aircraft. ТАСС reports two Tu-95MS missile carriers performed a planned flight over the Barents Sea.
• Naval Activity: Potential threat of enemy uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) near Novorossiysk warned. The SBU claims using surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Yemeni Houthis claim to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa. MoD Russia reports that the large landing ship Peresvet performed artillery firing at coastal, air, and sea targets in the Sea of Japan. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a post commemorating the 321st anniversary of the Russian Baltic Fleet. РБК-Україна reports on Belgium providing Ukraine with five unmanned maritime vessels. ТАСС reports two Tu-95MS missile carriers performed a planned flight over the Barents Sea.
• Electronic Warfare (EW): Ukrainian air defense efforts included the use of EW. Mash on Donbass claims Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the DNR last night by air defense and EW. Russian sources claim Russian "Tsentr" Group of Forces servicemen are effectively fighting Ukrainian UAVs in the Krasnoarmeysk direction (EW is likely part of this).
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. Russia claims downing one HIMARS rocket. Russian forces used Grad MLRS to destroy Ukrainian drone teams. A large cache of NATO weapons was reportedly found near Kurakhove, including artillery and mortar shells. Russian sources are highlighting the use of RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Воин DV shares a video claiming Расчеты РСЗО "Ураган" 29 гвардейской общевойсковой армии группировки "Восток" are striking Ukrainian positions in Алексеевка. New reports suggest potential Chinese development of advanced artillery munitions, specifically a claimed "Suspended Flight Test" of a Chinese analog to UMPK for 152 and 155-mm artillery shells. Colonelcassad shares a video and commentary claiming that before withdrawing from Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian forces left multi-layered mine obstacles, including remotely mined devices using drones, and claims the discovery of large caches of new NATO weapons and ammunition in residential buildings. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports the 82nd Air Assault Brigade is effectively using TM mines against enemy positions.
• Reconnaissance Activity: A hostile reconnaissance UAV is reported in southern Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video and commentary claiming that before withdrawing from Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian forces used sensors reacting to movement and magnetic fields as part of mine obstacles, which could be linked to reconnaissance efforts. ТАСС reports two Tu-95MS missile carriers performed a planned flight over the Barents Sea.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Russian sources claim Putin confirmed Russia's focus on a peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. Reports indicate disappointment within the EU regarding the Trump-Putin conversation and fears that Trump may abandon efforts to stop the war. Басурин о главном reports on two participants of the Ukrainian delegation allegedly fleeing during negotiations in Istanbul. Zelenskyy stated that the war should end at the negotiation table with clear and realistic proposals, and if Russia continues to put forward unrealistic conditions, there should be tough consequences. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report that Putin confirmed Russia's focus on peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. РБК-Україна reports on disappointment in the EU regarding the Trump-Putin conversation and potential for Trump to abandon efforts to stop the war. Басурин о главном reports on two participants of the Ukrainian delegation allegedly fleeing during negotiations in Istanbul. Zelenskiy / Official stated that the war should end at the negotiation table with clear and realistic proposals. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS quotes Zelenskyy on the necessity of clear and realistic proposals at the negotiation table. ТАСС reports Dmitriev stated the Putin-Trump dialogue is important for understanding the conflict's roots and solutions.
• International Support for Ukraine: EU is preparing 17th and 18th sanctions packages against Russia. Belgium is reportedly ready to send troops to Ukraine after a ceasefire. Crown Prince Haakon of Norway arrived in Kyiv for a visit. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares commentary on the upcoming 18th package of EU sanctions. ТАСС reports Belgium is ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports Crown Prince Haakon of Norway arrived in Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports on Belgium providing Ukraine with a new military aid package.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Russian sources claim Putin confirmed Russia's focus on peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. Басурин о главном reports on two participants of the Ukrainian delegation allegedly fleeing during negotiations in Istanbul. Zelenskyy stated that the war should end at the negotiation table with clear and realistic proposals, and if Russia continues to put forward unrealistic conditions, there should be tough consequences. Zelenskyy spoke with the President of Finland, discussing contacts with partners and details of the conversation with Trump. Zelenskyy has other planned conversations with partners today. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report that Putin confirmed Russia's focus on peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. Басурин о главном reports on two participants of the Ukrainian delegation allegedly fleeing during negotiations in Istanbul. Zelenskiy / Official stated that the war should end at the negotiation table with clear and realistic proposals and discussed his conversation with Trump with the President of Finland. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS quotes Zelenskyy on the necessity of clear and realistic proposals at the negotiation table. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Zelenskyy spoke with the President of Finland to coordinate diplomatic efforts and discuss the Trump conversation.
• Internal Ukrainian Politics: Ukraine is investigating alleged state treason and espionage involving a former Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council and FSB officers. The Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated a criminal proceeding regarding the Kherson civilian casualties. Ukrainian sources highlight governmental efficiency efforts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Ukrainian sources are promoting a National Week of Barrier-Free Living, which can support veterans and people with disabilities. Ukrainian banking institution PrivatBank is reducing the monthly limit on individual transfers within Ukraine. Ukrainian sources are selling tactical underwear. The Ukrainian General Staff highlights the dedication of Ukrainian military families and the service of brothers in the same combat vehicle crew. Ukrainian sources report on civilian casualties in Kherson city due to Russian shelling and a bus attack. The Office of the Prosecutor General reported on a suspicion against the head of a military medical commission of the State Border Guard Service for receiving illicit benefits. A Ukrainian court issued a sentence to a Ukrainian citizen for manufacturing an explosive device and mining a road in March 2022. Ukraine is investigating alleged state treason and espionage involving a former Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council and FSB officers. The Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated a criminal proceeding regarding the Kherson civilian casualties. Ukrainian sources highlight governmental efficiency efforts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, reporting significant budget savings. Ukrainian sources are promoting a National Week of Barrier-Free Living. Ukrainian banking institution PrivatBank is reducing the monthly limit on individual transfers within Ukraine. Ukrainian sources are selling tactical underwear. The Ukrainian General Staff highlights the dedication of Ukrainian military families. Ukrainian sources report on civilian casualties in Kherson city due to Russian shelling and a bus attack. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's comments on Ukraine's EU accession. Офіс Генерального прокурора reported on a suspicion against the head of a military medical commission of the State Border Guard Service for receiving illicit benefits. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian court issued a sentence to a Ukrainian citizen for manufacturing an explosive device and mining a road. РБК-Україна reports Crown Prince Haakon of Norway arrived in Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports on Belgium providing Ukraine with a new military aid package. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) shares a post on the National Week of Barrier-Free Living. РБК-Україна reports Crown Prince Haakon of Norway is visiting Kyiv with the Minister of Energy. РБК-Україна reports on Belgium providing Ukraine with a new military aid package. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares content from the 82nd Air Assault Brigade.
• Internal Russian Politics and Society: A Russian court sentenced a Ukrainian national battalion staff sergeant to 12 years. Russian military bloggers are discussing a perceived corruption scandal within NATO and critiquing Western military spending. Russian sources are highlighting daily life on the front. A Russian military blogger is offering patches for sale. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities. Russian sources claim to have intercepted Ukrainian radio communications near Krasnoarmeysk, highlighting Ukrainian command decisions. Russian sources showcase claimed footage of North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" and shells used by Russia. Russian sources claim the Azovelektrostal plant in Mariupol is ready for launch. A Russian source shares a photo of a Ukrainian drone with a taunting message about F-16s. A Russian source shares a photo of a damaged M113 APC being transported. A Russian source shares photos of military trucks transporting UAVs and a person operating a drone. A Russian source shares a photo of a concealed military vehicle in a wooded area. A Russian source shares a photo from a Russian military position. A Russian source shares photos of various items including military equipment and a person in tactical gear with a drone controller. A Russian source shares photos of a military dog and equipment. A Russian source shares photos of Russian soldiers and military equipment. A Russian source shares photos of Russian soldiers and equipment. A Russian source is selling patches related to their channel. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities, potentially relevant to military use. A Russian source highlights the story of brothers serving together in the same combat vehicle crew. Russian sources report on a corruption scandal within NATO and critique Western military spending. Russian sources claim significant Ukrainian losses and capture of foreign mercenaries on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian sources claim destruction of a Ukrainian command post and ammunition depots in the Zaporizhzhia area. Russian sources claim advances and battles near Loknya on the Sumy direction. Russian sources claim advances near Chasiv Yar and securing new positions along the Siverskyi Donets-Donbas canal. Russian sources claim to have used a "Yolka" drone-air defense system for kinetic interception. Ukrainian sources claim the Rylsk-Korenevsk highway in Kursk Oblast is under Ukrainian fire control. Ukrainian sources claim the elimination of a Russian reconnaissance sniper in the Chasiv Yar area. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and personnel in the Zaporizhzhia area using drones and drone drops. Russian sources are utilizing information operations to highlight alleged shortcomings of Ukrainian commanders. Russian sources report on a business fraud case in Moscow. A Russian source comments on proposed Russian legislation regarding prohibiting individuals from collecting charitable donations on personal cards. A Russian source reports on the dismissal of a co-founder of "Dissernet" from a Russian Academy of Sciences institute. Russian sources claim Russian "Tsentr" Group of Forces servicemen are effectively fighting Ukrainian UAVs in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Russian sources claim Putin confirmed Russia's focus on peaceful settlement of the conflict in Ukraine after talks with Trump. A Russian source shares commentary on Russian military reforms and leadership. A Russian source shares information regarding a corruption scandal within NATO. Russian sources provide detailed claims of Ukrainian losses and tactical successes on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian sources claim advances in the central and southern parts of Loknya on the Sumy direction. Russian sources comment on the upcoming 18th package of EU sanctions. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian FPV drones engaged Russian soldiers attempting to cross the border in the Belgorod Oblast area. Ukrainian sources report on civilian casualties in Kherson city. The Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated a criminal proceeding regarding the Kherson civilian casualties. Russian sources share commentary on potential shifts in international relations after the Trump-Putin conversation. Russian sources highlight internal social and legal issues. Russian sources are highlighting domestic issues and law enforcement activities. Russian sources are engaged in information operations, including creating content related to the 6th anniversary of Zelenskyy's inauguration. Ukrainian sources are promoting a National Week of Barrier-Free Living, which can support veterans and people with disabilities. Russian sources claim Russian forces are inflicting significant losses on Ukrainian reserves near the Sumy border. Russian sources claim Russian units disrupted Ukrainian logistics and personnel rotation near Hulyaipole and Yablokovo. Russian sources claim the destruction of two "Baba Yaga" drones near Otradnoye and Razdolnoye. Russian sources claim the destruction of a MaxxPro and a pickup truck east of Poddubnoye and attacks on Ukrainian personnel west of Otradnoye. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian telecommunication equipment near Bogatyr. Russian sources claim Russian units of the 36th Combined Arms Army conducted targeted strikes on Ukrainian equipment, drone platforms, and command points overnight. Russian sources are disseminating information operations regarding alleged Ukrainian "atrocities." ASTRA reports on the dropping of Russian aerial bombs on Russian and occupied Ukrainian territories. A Russian source highlights a domestic incident regarding a moose in a traffic accident. Russian sources reiterate that Putin confirmed Russia's focus on a peaceful settlement after talks with Trump. Belgium is reportedly ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire. A Russian source is promoting a film about volunteer activities in the "Special Military Operation" zone. A Russian source comments on potential shifts in international perceptions. A Russian source reports on efforts to launch a metallurgical plant in Mariupol. A Russian source is commenting on agricultural prices in Ukraine. A Russian source is selling patches related to their channel. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities. A Russian source is promoting a new film about the "Special Military Operation" zone. A Russian source is promoting their channel and fundraising. A Russian source is promoting a video from a military drone. A Russian source is sharing photo messages from the front. A Russian source is advertising vehicles for outdoor activities. A Russian source is offering patches for sale. A Russian source shares content from a military blogger. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. A Russian source shares content related to military operations. 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Seven individuals involved in a dark web drug marketplace have been detained. A business fraud case in Moscow is reported. Proposed Russian legislation regarding prohibiting individuals from collecting charitable donations on personal cards is being discussed. A co-founder of "Dissernet" has been dismissed from a Russian Academy of Sciences institute. Potential abuses of power related to mobilization in Vologda Oblast are highlighted. A domestic incident involving a moose in a traffic accident is reported. Spontaneous graves in Mariupol have been fully moved to cemeteries. Water in Donetsk will be chlorinated in the coming days. The Ministry of Transport is discussing applying overbooking on certain flights. The Ministry of Defense requires the recovery of 2.6 billion rubles from the Vympel shipyard. The total revenue of the 100 largest digital companies in the Russian Federation amounted to 6.7 trillion rubles, a significant increase. A domestic incident involving a drunk driver and transportation of a minor without a car seat in Komosomolsk-on-Amur is reported. Former Senator from Udmurtia, Viktor Khoroshavtsev, is accused of six episodes of large-scale fraud. Deputy Tatiana Butskaya proposed developing a physical education program for children with special needs and disabilities.
• Hungary: Parliament has voted to withdraw from the International Criminal Court (ICC). Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban comments on Ukraine's EU accession and opposition to it.
• Moldova: Local elections were held in six villages.
• Belgium: Reportedly ready to send troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing" after a ceasefire. Provided a new military aid package to Ukraine.
• Norway (Kyiv): Crown Prince Haakon of Norway arrived in Kyiv for his first visit during the full-scale war, accompanied by the Minister of Energy.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.