Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 20, 2025, 05:28 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational environment remains defined by intense ground combat, a persistent and geographically extensive Russian aerial offensive employing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic maneuvering coupled with conflicting military signals. The latest reporting provides further detail on the massive overnight Russian drone attack involving 112 UAVs, with Ukrainian air defense forces claiming to have neutralized 76 (41 destroyed by fire, 35 suppressed by EW), and highlights impacts in Kharkiv, Sumy, Donetsk, Cherkasy, and Kirovohrad Oblasts. Intense ground fighting continues across multiple directions, with Russian sources claiming tactical advances and the liberation of settlements. Russian forces continue to employ guided aerial bombs and a variety of drone types while also reportedly engaging in counter-drone efforts. Diplomatic discussions and international political developments continue to be reported, with ongoing commentary from various sources, including US figures like Donald Trump. Internal Russian affairs, including legal proceedings and information operations, remain relevant. Ukrainian sources are highlighting successful military actions and commemorating key historical events. A significant development is the reported Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulting in one fatality and one critically injured civilian, and a similar attack on a car in Kherson city, injuring two civilians. Another key report is the Ukrainian SBU's claimed destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using a combination of surface and aerial drones. Russian military bloggers are discussing negotiations, battlefield effectiveness, and internal Russian issues, while also highlighting the ongoing need for and acquisition of equipment through fundraising. Evacuations are ongoing in border regions of Sumy Oblast due to increased shelling. Russian sources are claiming the liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast and tactical advances on the Southern Donetsk and Krasnoarmeysk directions, including entering Novolekseyevka. Russia is also claiming to have downed 35 Ukrainian drones overnight across Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts. Ukraine is reporting a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight. Ukraine is reporting repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Ukraine is reporting changes in command within the 59th Separate Motorized Brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction. Russian sources are detailing the liberation of Aleksandopol in the DNR, highlighting the use of armored personnel carriers, FPV drones, and reconnaissance drones with payload release systems. Ukrainian sources are reporting on the sentencing of a Ukrainian serviceman for the appropriation and sale of military property in Sumy Oblast. New information highlights continued reconnaissance drone activity in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts, Iran approving a strategic partnership treaty with Russia, EU ambassadors agreeing on a €150 billion militarization fund, Turkey's FDI Group supplying Ukraine with military equipment including AI-integrated fire control systems, and Russian sources showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Recent reporting also includes details on ongoing Russian fundraising for military equipment, including drones and anti-drone systems, claimed Russian destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles using drones, and Russian information operations portraying perceived issues within the Ukrainian military. Further updates detail the passing of a Yakut television presenter serving in the conflict zone, concerns regarding potential external interference in Romanian elections, and Ukrainian claims of destroying Russian armored vehicles and equipment in Kharkiv Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff provides an operational update as of 08:00 today, detailing 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and highlighting Russian aviation strikes (59), guided aerial bombs (117 on Ukraine, 32 on Kursk), kamikaze drones (2882), and artillery shelling (5366, including 157 MLRS). Recent reports also indicate Russian claims of advancing near Ozaryanovka and Dyleevka in the Konstantinovskoye direction and intense clashes on various axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. Significant developments include the reported mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts, a violent incident in Vladimir, Russia, and the Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Russia is also claiming to have "liberated" Bogatyr on the South-Donetsk direction. Ukraine is reporting successful targeting of Russian logistics on the Kurakhivka direction and a claimed airstrike on a Russian gathering point in Nova Kakhovka. Commemoration of the victims of political repression and diplomatic efforts from a Ukrainian perspective continue. The Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port introduces a new element of tension. Russian sources are claiming gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions. Russian military bloggers are discussing negotiations, battlefield effectiveness, and territorial claims. Russian sources are sharing footage of joint operations by special forces and tank brigades on the Shakhtersk direction. Reports of the death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper are circulating. Discussion on potential Putin-Trump negotiations and Russian conditions for a ceasefire persist. Colonelcassad is sharing graphic video and commentary. Russian military training in rear areas is being reported. The Romanian presidential election results, with a pro-European candidate leading in exit polls, are being analyzed, alongside claims of foreign interference. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Belgium has committed €1 billion in military aid to Ukraine. Russia is planning a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM. Ukrainian intelligence reports on Russia's information special operation during the Polish elections. Ukraine is receiving Abrams tanks from Australia. Italy is potentially transferring armored personnel carriers to Ukraine. Ukraine is actively fundraising for military equipment. Ukraine is investigating allegations made by a commander of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Civilian casualties from Russian attacks are reported in various regions. The US and European partners continue discussions on potential peace settlements and sanctions against Russia. the Vatican is engaged in diplomatic efforts and the new Pope has called for peace negotiations. Ukrainian commemoration of the Crimean Tatar deportation continues. Reports on potential post-conflict arms trafficking and domestic Russian issues are also present. Ukrainian forces have repelled 18 Russian army assaults in Kursk region yesterday, and 1 Russian army assault at Kherson axis.
Changes to the Situation from New Messages:
- Estimated Russian Losses Updated: The Ukrainian General Staff provides estimated Russian losses as of May 20, 2025, reporting a daily increase of 1030 personnel, bringing the total estimated personnel losses to approximately 975,800. Daily estimated equipment losses include +1 tank, +5 troop-carrying AFVs, +58 artillery systems, +1 MLRS, +118 operational-tactical level UAVs, and +105 vehicles & fuel tanks. Operational ZSU notes the near absence of armored vehicles in recent daily loss statistics, suggesting a potential shift in Russian tactics towards infantry or light vehicle assaults.
- Russian Military Blogger Comments on Putin-Trump Negotiations: Rybar offers commentary on the recent telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, noting positive public perception from Trump, Russia's presentation of demands, and Trump's suggestion of the Vatican as a future negotiation platform. Рыбарь views the process as long-term, potentially concluding after Russia's autumn offensive campaign.
- Military Situation Summary from Russian Military Blogger: Rybar provides a broad summary of the military situation, reporting Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts. It highlights ongoing fighting in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian attempts to cut off the salient, and reinforcement of Sumy Oblast border areas. Рыбарь reiterates the Russian Ministry of Defense claim of liberating Maryino in Sumy Oblast and mentions ongoing evacuations in Sumy Oblast. The report details multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast with civilian casualties and damage. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles on the Krasnoliman direction, loss of Nova Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction (likely a Russian gain), and intensified pressure and advances south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk). On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances, and continued movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Finally, Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling on the Kherson direction, injuring Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports Tactical Activity and Russian Drone Strikes on Ukrainian Equipment: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes by the "KVN" and "VT-40" groups on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Russian Report on Foreign Personnel near Siversk: TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the presence of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports Russian Mortar Strike: Arkhangel Spetsnaza shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Operational Update from Ukrainian General Staff: The Ukrainian General Staff provides an operational update as of 08:00 today, detailing 177 combat clashes over the past day. It reports 59 aviation strikes (117 guided aerial bombs, 2882 kamikaze drones) and 5366 artillery shellings (157 MLRS) by the enemy. Specific areas of intense fighting highlighted are Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10). It also details enemy activity on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. The report also lists the estimated Russian losses for the past day (consistent with previous reports).
- Russian Military Blogger Shares Video of Su-34 During Thunderstorm: Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm.
- Ukrainian Military Blogger Reports Drone Strike on Russian Tank: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction.
- Ukrainian Military Administration Reports Russian Attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Serhiy Lysak reports on Russian drone attacks overnight in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with three drones destroyed by air defense but causing damage to a farming enterprise in Pavlohrad district and an enterprise in Synelnykivskyi district, both resulting in fires. Russian forces also continued FPV drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol district, targeting Nikopol, Pokrovske, Myrove, and Marhanets communities, without casualties in these latest attacks.
- Ukrainian Military Administration Reports on Kryvyi Rih Situation: Oleksandr Vilkul reports the situation in Kryvyi Rih is controlled, with no shelling overnight in the district. Russian forces attacked Nikopol district with artillery and FPV drones, without casualties. Three enemy UAVs were shot down over the oblast overnight by air defense. A planned controlled explosion is scheduled at the "Pivdennyi" quarry today.
- Donald Trump Comments on Peace Negotiations: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a quote from Donald Trump stating that "very big egos" are involved in the current peace negotiations, suggesting something might happen, but if not, he would step back as "this was a European affair."
- Ukrainian Military Blogger Requests Drone Support: STERNENKO posts a request for support to acquire drones for use against Russian forces.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports on Kherson Direction: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the situation in the Kherson direction, claiming Ukrainian forces continue attempts to land troops and force the river. Russian forces are reportedly striking Ukrainian groups near the front and in rear areas, claiming the destruction of a stronghold, ammunition depot, and two BMPs in the Dniprovskyi district using artillery, and disrupting communications of the Ukrainian 58th Separate Motorized Brigade in the Berislav district with an FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower.
- Russian Financial Monitoring Service Seeks Access to Payment System Data: ASTRA reports that Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for "combating money laundering and terrorist financing."
- Analyst Report on Ukraine's Advances (ISW): РБК-Україна reports, citing ISW analysis, that Ukrainian forces have advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Borova and Toretsk.
- Reports on Trump's Stance and European Reactions: РБК-Україна reports that Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia due to a chance for ceasefire progress and that European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin (according to FT).
- Kremlin Comment on Negotiation Memorandum: РБК-Україна reports the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine.
- Russian Military Blogger Analysis on Bogatyr Liberation: Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, stating Russian forces are successfully advancing westward towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and that taking Bogatyr allows the "Vostok" Group to develop the offensive on Poddubnoye and other settlements near the DNR border, and to improve the flanks of the Novopavlovsk and Vremivsky directions.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports on FPV Drone Strikes: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes by specific units on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports Russian Military Activity near Siversk: TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR.
- Russian Military Blogger Reports Russian Mortar Strike: Arkhangel Spetsnaza shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Russian Air Force Activity in Thunderstorm: Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm.
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
- Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast: Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, resulting in impacts and air defense activity. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Kyiv Oblast. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Kyiv Oblast.
- Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, Bogatyr, Krasnoarmeysk, Krasnolimansky direction, Serebryanka, Kurakhovo, Dacha area, Aleksandopol, Grekovka, Makeevka, Novolekseyevka, Yablonovka, Novopol, Zelenoe Pole, Poltavka, Kotlyarovka, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Petrivka, Shcherbynivka, Ozaryanivka, Dyliivka, Druzhba, Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Shevchenko, Vilne Pole, Rivnopil, Lukyanivske, Novodanylivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Bilohorivka, Tverdokhlibove, Kopanka, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Lypove, Torske, Karpivka, Olhivka, Zelena Dolyna, Hryhorivka, Konstantinovsky direction, Ozarayanovka, Dyleevka, Popiv Yar, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Zaporizhzhya, Siversk): Intense ground combat continues across multiple directions. Russian forces claim advances and liberation of Bogatyr, Aleksandopol, and Maryino, assessing their strategic impact. Russian forces claim advances on the Krasnolimansky, Southern Donetsk, and Krasnoarmeysk directions, including entering Novolekseyevka and assaulting Novopol and Zelenoe Pole. Russian forces are reportedly using FPV drones to target Ukrainian assets near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. Ukrainian forces repelled numerous attacks in the Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions in the South. Ukraine claims a large cache of NATO-style weapons was discovered near Kurakhovo. A Russian soldier captured on the Kherson direction (Dacha area) is reported. Fighting continues in Chasiv Yar. Affected by Russian aerial assaults overnight. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Donetsk Oblast. Russian forces are detailing the liberation of Aleksandopol. Colonelcassad reports Russian tactical advances in various directions, including near Makeevka, Novolekseyevka, Yablonovka, Novopol, Zelenoe Pole, Poltavka, and Kotlyarovka. Ukraine is reporting changes in command within the 59th Separate Motorized Brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction due to the complicated situation. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in the west of Donetsk Oblast. Liveuamap reports intense clashes in the Toretsk direction (11 attacks near Toretsk, Petrivka, Shcherbynivka, Ozaryanivka, Dyliivka, and Druzhba), Novopavlivka direction (24 attacks near Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Shevchenko, Vilne Pole, Rivnopil), Orikhiv axis (2 repelled assaults near Lukyanivske and towards Novodanylivka), Siversk axis (6 attacks near Verkhnokamyanske and Bilohorivka), Kramatorsk axis (9 clashes near Chasiv Yar, Bila Hora, Kurdumivka and Stupochky), and Lyman axis (22 attacks near Tverdokhlibove, Kopanka, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Lypove, Torske and towards Karpivka, Olhivka, Zelena Dolyna and Hryhorivka). Z Komitet + karta SVO reports Russian forces advancing near Ozaryanovka and Dyleevka in the Konstantinovskoye direction. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles near Kolodezi, Redkodub, Zelenaya Dolina, and Novy Mir on the Krasnoliman direction, with Ukrainian counterattacks in Torske. Рыбарь notes the loss of Nova Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction (likely a Russian gain, as previous reports indicated Russian advances here), with Russian forces advancing on Popov Yar. Рыбарь reports Russian forces are intensifying pressure south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk), advancing on the southern outskirts of Stara Mykolaivka and near Romanovka, and approaching Zarya. On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances in Zelenoe Pole, and continued front line movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Zaporizhzhya, which are in or near Donetsk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Toretsk (13), Siversk (4), and Kramatorsk (6). Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian advances towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the role of the "Vostok" Group. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction.
- Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk axis, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Vovchansk, Vovchanskykh Khutory, Stroyivka, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Kharkiv city): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity and ground assaults. Russian tactical aviation is active on the eastern direction with a threat of guided aerial weapons. KABs were launched by Russian tactical aviation on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts and on Sumy Oblast. An enemy UAV is heading towards Kharkiv from the north. Affected by the overnight Russian aerial assault. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Kharkiv Oblast. ОТУ "Харків" reports on the operational situation in the Kharkiv operational zone, detailing Russian aviation strikes, KABs, kamikaze drones, and shelling, and Ukrainian successes in destroying Russian personnel, equipment, and shelters. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in the north of Kharkiv Oblast. Liveuamap reports clashes on the Kharkiv axis yesterday near Vovchansk, Vovchanskykh Khutory and Stroyivka, and on the Kupyansk axis yesterday near Nova Kruhlyakivka. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Kharkiv Oblast. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, which are in Kharkiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy attempts to advance on the Kharkiv direction (3 times) and Kupyansk direction (3 attacks).
- Sumy Oblast (Shostka community, Esman community, Konotop, Verkhnie Pishchane, Maryino, Bilopolska community, Vorozhbyanska community, Nova Sloboda, Miropolskoye, Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Sumy border regions, Putyvlske, Bilopilske): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian tactical aviation launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. Two people were injured and infrastructure was damaged by Russian drone attacks overnight. Enemy targets are moving southwest from the Sumy border. Affected by the overnight Russian aerial assault. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Sumy Oblast. Evacuations are ongoing in border regions of Sumy Oblast due to increased shelling. Два майора reports on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims the liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the sentencing of a Ukrainian servicemember for the appropriation and sale of military property in Sumy Oblast. Два майора shows a video of Russian marines near Miropolskoye in Sumy Oblast, claiming they are creating conditions for issuing Russian passports. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda of Chernihiv region. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Sumy Oblast, reiterates Russian Ministry of Defense claim of liberating Maryino, mentions ongoing evacuation in border regions due to shelling, and reports Ukrainian troop reinforcements in Putyvlske and Bilopilske districts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces repelled ten attacks on the Kursk direction, which borders Sumy Oblast.
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Mala Tokmachka, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian military bloggers report ongoing assaults near Mala Tokmachka. Russian aviation strikes were conducted on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts (KABs, NAR). Affected by FPV drone strikes on civilians. Affected by Russian artillery attacks on frontline territories. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, which are in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted aviation strikes on Huliaipole, Temirivka, Stepnohirsk, Malynivka, and Mala Tokmachka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces repelled four attacks on the Orikhiv direction and no offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction. WarGonzo reports predominantly positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front.
- Turkey (Istanbul): Continues to be a location for diplomatic discussions, although the timing and progress remain uncertain. Turkey's FDI Group is reportedly supplying Ukraine with military equipment.
- Russia (Belgorod Oblast - Shebekino, Nikolaevka, Valuysky district - Druzhba, Belsonovka, Grafovka, Yasnye Zori, Bochkovka, Stadnikov, Dvuluchnoe, Urazovo, Dolgoe, Sobolevka, Baytsury, Bryansk Oblast, Crimea, Stavropolye, Kalmykia, Magnitogorsk, Moscow, Kursk, Shyolkovo, Podolsk, Khabarovsk Krai, Voronezh, Oryol, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast - Demkovo, Buryatia - Novy Enhaluk, Iran, Krasnyi Lyman direction, Konstantinovka direction, Toretsk direction, South-Donetsk direction, Nikopol district, Pavlohrad district, Synelnykivske district, Berislav district, Dniprovskyi district, Siversk): Internal issues and security concerns continue, including preventing attacks on police involving minors. Russian forces claim downing Ukrainian drones over border regions and Crimea. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino resulted in civilian casualties. Fatal accidents were reported in Kalmykia and Magnitogorsk. A murder and dismemberment case was reported in Moscow. Affected by reported Ukrainian drone activity targeting Russian territory and occupied Crimea. Russian military bloggers provide commentary on negotiations, battlefield effectiveness, and internal Russian issues. Ongoing construction of military infrastructure near the Finnish and Estonian borders is reported. An incident of vandalism against a Soviet war memorial was reported in Voronezh. A residential fire was reported in Oryol. The arrest of Vladimir Smerkis on fraud charges and the closure of a case against Morgenstern were reported in Moscow. Weekly summary of criminal cases in Khabarovsk Krai was released. The remains of a Ukrainian scientist who disappeared in Buryatia 16 years ago were reportedly found. Fundraising efforts for Russian military personnel are ongoing. Development of state standards for baby food is reported. The arrest of the founder and former general director of "Rusagro" is requested to be extended. Russian military bloggers are promoting handcrafted knives. Russian military bloggers are providing updates from the Kursk border region, including FPV drone activity supporting offensive operations. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian drones overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulted in civilian casualties. The FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. ТАСС shares a video of interrogations of the detained teenagers in Stavropolye. MoD Russia reports on the liberation of Aleksandopol in the DNR. Colonelcassad reports Russian tactical advances in various directions, including near Makeevka, Novolekseyevka, Yablonovka, Novopol, Zelenoe Pole, Poltavka, and Kotlyarovka. Два майора reports on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast, and attributes it to Russia creating a buffer zone after "liberating" Kursk Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims the liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the sentencing of a Ukrainian servicemember for the appropriation and sale of military property in Sumy Oblast. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. Liveuamap reports intense clashes across multiple axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Lyman, Kupyansk, Kharkiv axes) and Russian airstrikes in Zaporizhzhia and Chernihiv Oblasts. Turkey's FDI Group is reportedly supplying Ukraine with military equipment including AI-integrated fire control systems. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Рыбарь reports on ongoing fighting in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, and multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties and damage. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles near Kolodezi, Redkodub, Zelenaya Dolina, and Novy Mir on the Krasnoliman direction, advances on Popov Yar on the Konstantinovka direction, intensified pressure south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) advancing on Stara Mykolaivka and near Romanovka, and approaching Zarya. On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances in Zelenoe Pole, and continued front line movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian artillery strikes and drone activity in the Dniprovskyi and Berislav districts on the Kherson direction. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports Russian drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol district, Pavlohrad district, and Synelnykivske district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces repelled ten attacks on the Kursk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports downing 8 Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast overnight. Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo reports Russian forces continue to expand control in the area of Bogatyr. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast.
- Romania: Location of recent presidential election. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential election results. WarGonzo provides commentary on the Romanian presidential election results.
- Libya (Tripoli): Mentioned in a summary of events in Black Africa by a Russian military blogger.
- Congo: Mentioned in a summary of events in Black Africa by a Russian military blogger.
- Sudan (Darfur): Mentioned in a summary of events in Black Africa by a Russian military blogger.
- Ukraine (Cherkasy Oblast, Kirovohrad Oblast, Mykolaiv Oblast, Kherson Oblast - Kherson city, Dacha area, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast - Kryvyi Rih, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Chernihiv, Zhytomyr, Kupyansk axis, Nova Kruhlyakivka, Vovchansk, Vovchanskykh Khutory, Stroyivka, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Toretsk, Petrivka, Shcherbynivka, Ozaryanivka, Dyliivka, Druzhba, Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Shevchenko, Vilne Pole, Rivnopil, Lukyanivske, Novodanylivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Bilohorivka, Tverdokhlibove, Kopanka, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Lypove, Torske, Karpivka, Olhivka, Zelena Dolyna, Hryhorivka, Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Odesa region, Chornomorsk, Pivdennyi, Nikopol, Pokrovske, Myrove, Marhanets, Pavlohrad, Synelnykivske, Stara Mayachka, Nova Kakhovka, Aleshky, Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Vynohradove, Hola Prystan, Hornostaivka, Dniepriany, Nova Mayachka, Stara Zburyivka, Proletarka, Dnipro, Vasylkiv, Pereyaslav, Borova, Huliaipole, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi): Affected by widespread Russian drone attacks overnight. Affected by FPV drone strikes on civilians, Russian artillery attacks on frontline territories, and Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure (KABs, NAR). Civilian casualties were reported due to Russian aggression, including from a drone attack on a car in Kherson city. A Russian soldier captured in the Dacha area is reported. Kryvyi Rih is providing support to doctors on the front line. Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones. Presentation of a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser in Kyiv. Fundraising for FPV drones is ongoing. Threatening relatives of a Ukrainian soldier who reportedly went to Russia is reported by a Russian source. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Cherkasy and Kirovohrad Oblasts. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight. РБК-Україна also reports on the casualties and damage in Kherson city from overnight shelling. РБК-Україна shares a video about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, including archival footage. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. Ukraine is reporting changes in command within the 59th Separate Motorized Brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the sentencing of a Ukrainian servicemember for the appropriation and sale of military property in Sumy Oblast. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. Liveuamap reports intense clashes across multiple axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Lyman, Kupyansk, Kharkiv axes) and Russian airstrikes in Zaporizhzhia and Chernihiv Oblasts. Turkey's FDI Group is reportedly supplying Ukraine with military equipment including AI-integrated fire control systems. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr, Черкасской, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian counterattacks in Torske on the Krasnoliman direction, Ukrainian forces attempting to cut off the salient in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast and reinforcing Sumy Oblast border areas from Kyiv, and Ukrainian shelling in Stara Mayachka and other settlements on the Kherson direction. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports Russian drone and artillery attacks on Nikopol district, Pavlohrad district, and Synelnykivske district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Олександр Вілкул reports three enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight and ongoing Russian attacks with artillery and FPV drones on Nikopol district, without casualties. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Ukrainian attempts to land troops on the Russian-held bank and force the river in the Kherson direction, and Russian strikes near the front line and in rear areas. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda of Chernihiv region, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka of Kherson region. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and also on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted aviation strikes on Pyharivka Sumy Oblast; Novopil Donetsk Oblast; Huliaipole, Temirivka, Stepnohirsk, Malynivka, Mala Tokmachka Zaporizhzhia Oblast; Kozatske Kherson Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the end of the air threat (likely from drones). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances near Borova. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast.
- Australia: Location of confirmed shipment of Abrams tanks to Ukraine.
- United States: Discussion among leaders and Trump regarding Ukraine and sanctions. US is preparing new sanctions against Russia. Criticism from the Trump camp regarding the effectiveness of current policy. Reportedly allowed Australia to send retired Abrams tanks to Ukraine, with some US officials questioning their utility in drone warfare. Рыбарь discusses telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, including Trump's suggestion of the Vatican as a future negotiation platform and his positive public comments on Russia's economic potential. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin.
- Germany: Discussion among leaders and Trump regarding Ukraine and sanctions.
- France: Discussion among leaders and Trump regarding Ukraine and sanctions.
- United Kingdom: Discussion among leaders and Trump regarding Ukraine and sanctions.
- Italy: Discussion among leaders and Trump regarding Ukraine and sanctions.
- Poland: Candidates for the second round of presidential elections are reported. Russia is conducting an information operation during the elections.
- Black Sea: Location of Ukrainian SBU's claimed destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. Presence of a Russian Kalibr missile carrier reported during oil transshipment near Gibraltar. No enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black Sea as of 06:00 UTC. A Ukrainian boat was reportedly destroyed in the South. Presentation of a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser. Ukrainian SBU claims destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. РБК-Україна shares a video about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, including archival footage. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Odradokamyanka of Kherson region.
- Azov Sea: No enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected as of 06:00 UTC.
- Mediterranean Sea: Three enemy ships, including one Kalibr carrier, are present. Russian oil transshipment activities near Gibraltar are reported.
- Finland: Ongoing construction of Russian military infrastructure near the border is reported.
- Estonia: Ongoing construction of Russian military infrastructure near the border is reported.
- Argentina: Video about antisemitism in Argentina shared by a Russian source.
- Dnieper River: A Ukrainian boat was reportedly destroyed in the South. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian attempts to force the river in the Kherson direction.
- Chernihiv Oblast (Mykhalchyna-Sloboda): Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Chernihiv Oblast.
- Kherson Oblast (Odradokamyanka, Stara Mayachka, Nova Kakhovka, Aleshky, Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Vynohradove, Hola Prystan, Hornostaivka, Dniepriany, Nova Mayachka, Stara Zburyivka, Proletarka, Berislav district, Dniprovskyi district, Kozatske): Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Odradokamyanka. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees in Stara Mayachka and shelling of other settlements in the area. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Ukrainian attempts to land troops on the Russian-held bank and force the river, and Russian strikes near the front line and in rear areas. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted aviation strikes on Kozatske Kherson Oblast.
- Cherkasy Oblast: Affected by the overnight Russian aerial assault. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Cherkasy Oblast. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Cherkasy Oblast.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Affected by the overnight Russian aerial assault. The overnight Russian drone attack involved 112 UAVs and imitators, with 76 neutralized, and impacted Kirovohrad Oblast. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Kirovohrad Oblast.
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr Oblast.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Vinnytsia Oblast.
- Poltava Oblast: Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Poltava Oblast.
- Vatican: Рыбарь reports Donald Trump suggested the Vatican as a future negotiation platform with Russia.
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
- Drone Activity: Extremely high and widespread. A massive overnight Russian attack involved 112 strike UAVs and imitator drones, with 76 neutralized by air defense (41 kinetic, 35 EW). The attack impacted multiple oblasts. Russian forces used 2960 kamikaze drones over the past day and almost 300 drone drops in the South. 590 kamikaze drone strikes occurred in the South. Two people were injured and infrastructure was damaged by Russian drone attacks in Sumy Oblast. An enemy UAV is heading towards Kharkiv from the north. Enemy targets are moving southwest from the Sumy border. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts (26 Crimea, 8 Bryansk, 1 Belgorod). A Ukrainian drone reportedly attacked a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulting in civilian casualties. Russians dropped explosives from a drone onto a car in Kherson city, injuring two civilians. Russian forces are reportedly using FPV drones to target Ukrainian communication and EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. Ukrainian military bloggers claim Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. Ukrainian SBU claims destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. Fundraising for FPV drones is ongoing in Ukraine. Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed 2 Shahed-136 strike UAVs and 3 antenna control UAVs in the Southern direction. Russian forces are using FPV drones and reconnaissance drones with payload release systems in tactical operations, such as the liberation of Aleksandopol. Russian military bloggers are providing updates from the Kursk border region, including FPV drone activity supporting offensive operations. Details on the massive overnight Russian drone attack confirm 112 strike UAVs and imitators were used, with 76 neutralized. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulted in civilian casualties. Ukrainian SBU claims destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. MoD Russia reports on the liberation of Aleksandopol, detailing the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance drones with payload release systems. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on FPV drone activity in the Kursk border region. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian use of 116 kamikaze drones and 60 destroyed Ukrainian drones in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs are reported in the north of Kharkiv Oblast and the west of Donetsk Oblast. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr, Черкасской, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts, and multiple Ukrainian drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with three destroyed by air defense but causing damage, and ongoing FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports three enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian drone activity in the Kherson direction, including an FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower. Russian Military Blogger reports successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area, likely involving drone activity. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy used 2882 kamikaze drones over the past day and Ukrainian forces destroyed 118 operational-tactical level UAVs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports downing 8 Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast overnight. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the end of the air threat (likely from drones). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense actively countered a massive overnight Russian drone attack, neutralizing 76 out of 112 UAVs using kinetic and EW means. Air defense measures are being employed against an enemy UAV heading towards Kharkiv. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts. NATO is conducting aerial reconnaissance, which involves air defense systems being on alert. Details on the massive overnight Russian drone attack confirm 76 out of 112 UAVs were neutralized by air defense. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. ОТУ "Харків" reports the destruction of 60 Ukrainian drones and 2 EW assets in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Means are engaged to shoot down enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports three drones destroyed by air defense over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Олександр Вілкул reports three enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian drone activity in the Kherson direction, including an FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower. Russian Military Blogger reports successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area, likely involving drone activity. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 118 operational-tactical level UAVs over the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports downing 8 Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast overnight. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the end of the air threat (likely from drones). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces. 124 guided aerial bombs were used by the aggressor over the past day. Russian tactical aviation launched KABs on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts and on Sumy Oblast. Two guided aerial bombs were used in nine Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian use of 4 KABs in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Odradokamyanka, which would likely involve guided aerial bombs. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. Рыбарь reports high-precision air bombs with UMPK were used in the frontline regions of Ukraine. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy dropped 117 guided aerial bombs on Ukrainian positions and settlements and 32 guided aerial bombs on the Kursk direction over the past day. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports a KAB strike in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Aviation Activity: Russian forces conducted 78 aviation strikes over the past day. Russian tactical aviation is active on the eastern direction with a threat of guided aerial weapons for frontline areas. KABs were launched by Russian tactical aviation on the border of Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts and on Sumy Oblast. Nine Russian aviation strikes were conducted on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South, using two guided aerial bombs (KABs) and a hundred unguided aerial missiles (NAR). Ongoing construction of military infrastructure near the Finnish and Estonian borders is reported, which includes shelters for fighter jets. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast by Russian tactical aviation. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian use of 3 aviation strikes in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at multiple locations across Sumy, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts over the past day, and 15 aviation strikes with 20 guided bombs in the Kursk direction over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts by enemy tactical aviation. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 59 aviation strikes over the past day. Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm.
- Naval Activity: Ukrainian SBU claims destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. Presence of a Russian Kalibr missile carrier reported during oil transshipment near Gibraltar. No enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black Sea as of 06:00 UTC. Three enemy ships, including one Kalibr carrier, are present in the Mediterranean Sea. One boat was reportedly destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction over the past day. Presentation of a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser in Kyiv. Ukrainian SBU claims destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using combined surface and aerial drones. РБК-Україна shares a video about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, including archival footage. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Odradokamyanka of Kherson region. Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm.
- Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense actively countered a massive overnight Russian drone attack, neutralizing 76 out of 112 UAVs using kinetic and EW means. Air defense measures are being employed against an enemy UAV heading towards Kharkiv. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts. NATO is conducting aerial reconnaissance, which involves air defense systems being on alert. Details on the massive overnight Russian drone attack confirm 76 out of 112 UAVs were neutralized by air defense. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian UAVs overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. ОТУ "Харків" reports the destruction of 60 Ukrainian drones and 2 EW assets in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Means are engaged to shoot down enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports three drones destroyed by air defense over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Олександр Вілкул reports three enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian drone activity in the Kherson direction, including an FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower. Russian Military Blogger reports successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area, likely involving drone activity. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 118 operational-tactical level UAVs over the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports downing 8 Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast overnight. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the end of the air threat (likely from drones). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. Russian forces conducted 5134 shellings, including 116 from MLRS, over the past day. Over 320 enemy shellings using 1400 munitions occurred in the South over the past day. Russian artillery attacks were conducted on frontline territories of Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts in the South. Two cannons and two mortars were reportedly destroyed by Ukrainian forces in the Southern direction over the past day. A large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition, including artillery and mortar shells, was discovered near Kurakhovo. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian artillery shelling in Kherson city overnight. РБК-Україна also reports on the casualties and damage in Kherson city from overnight shelling. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian use of 570 shellings in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports ongoing Russian artillery attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports ongoing Russian artillery attacks in Nikopol district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian artillery strikes in the Dniprovskyi district on the Kherson direction, destroying a strongpoint and ammunition depot, and shelling of settlements. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling in Stara Mayachka and other settlements on the Kherson direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports +58 artillery systems and +1 MLRS destroyed over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 5366 artillery shellings, including 157 from MLRS, over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 227 artillery shellings, including 7 from MLRS, on the Kursk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian missile troops and artillery hit five means of Russian missile troops and artillery over the past day. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Electronic Warfare (EW): 35 Russian UAVs were locationally lost or suppressed by EW overnight. Russian forces are reportedly using FPV drones to target Ukrainian EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed an EW asset over the past day (implied from ОТУ "Харків" previous report). Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed 4 Starlink antennas and 4 communication antennas in the Southern direction over the past day, which are related to communication and potentially EW targeting. Details on the massive overnight Russian drone attack confirm 35 out of 112 UAVs were suppressed by EW. ОТУ "Харків" reports the destruction of 2 EW assets in the Kharkiv operational zone over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 35 imitator drones were suppressed by EW or fell during the overnight attack.
- Unguided Aerial Missiles (NAR): Used by Russian aviation in strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in the South. A hundred unguided aerial missiles were used in nine Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South.
- Mine Warfare: A large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition, including over 100 German anti-tank mines, was discovered near Kurakhovo.
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
- Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Diplomatic efforts continue. US and Europe will strengthen sanctions if Russia does not negotiate in good faith. Criticism from the Trump camp on current sanctions. Planned conversation between Trump and Putin. Рыбарь provides commentary on the telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, stating that the conversation was publicly perceived as positive by Trump and included Russia presenting its demands. Рыбарь notes that Trump suggested the Vatican as a future negotiation platform, implying a higher level for future talks. Рыбарь also discusses negative reactions from some Ukrainian audiences and suggests that Russian analysts believe the process is long-term, possibly concluding after Russia's current offensive campaign in the autumn. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a quote from Donald Trump stating that "very big egos" are involved in the current peace negotiations and that while something might happen, if not, he will step back as "this was a European affair." РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough.
- Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated regarding ceasefire conditions. A prisoner exchange agreement reached in Istanbul is reported. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine.
- International Pressure: US and Europe will strengthen sanctions against Russia if negotiations are not in good faith. Criticism from the Trump camp on current sanctions. US reportedly allowed Australia to send retired Abrams tanks to Ukraine, with some US officials questioning their utility in drone warfare. EU ambassadors have agreed on a €150 billion militarization fund. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Finland will supply Ukraine with heavy ammunition using frozen Russian assets through the European Peace Facility, and comments that this benefits the Finnish defense industry. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough.
- Internal Russian Politics: Internal legal proceedings and security concerns continue, including preventing attacks on police involving minors. A murder and dismemberment case was reported in Moscow. Fatal accidents were reported in Kalmykia and Magnitogorsk. Ongoing construction of military infrastructure near the Finnish and Estonian borders is reported. An incident of vandalism against a Soviet war memorial was reported in Voronezh. A residential fire was reported in Oryol. The arrest of Vladimir Smerkis on fraud charges and the closure of a case against Morgenstern were reported in Moscow. Weekly summary of criminal cases in Khabarovsk Krai was released. The remains of a Ukrainian scientist who disappeared in Buryatia 16 years ago were reportedly found. Development of state standards for baby food is reported. The arrest of the founder and former general director of "Rusagro" is requested to be extended. Russian military bloggers are promoting handcrafted knives. Russian military bloggers are providing updates from the Kursk border region, including FPV drone activity supporting offensive operations. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian drones overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulted in civilian casualties. The FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. ТАСС shares a video of interrogations of the detained teenagers in Stavropolye. MoD Russia reports on the liberation of Aleksandopol in the DNR. Colonelcassad reports Russian tactical advances in various directions, including near Makeevka, Novolekseyevka, Yablonovka, Novopol, Zelenoe Pole, Poltavka, and Kotlyarovka. Два майора reports on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast, and attributes it to Russia creating a buffer zone after "liberating" Kursk Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims the liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast and reports on FPV drone activity in the Kursk border region. Два майора shows a video of Russian marines near Miropolskoye in Sumy Oblast, claiming they are creating conditions for issuing Russian passports. Iran has approved a strategic partnership treaty with Russia. Robot delivery vehicles in Russia will receive official status as road users. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. ТАСС reports on a proposal to introduce translation exams in Russian schools. Два майора reports that the Governor of Vologda Oblast has dismissed the head of Nyuksen Municipal District due to her daughter's "unacceptable" statements regarding the "Special Military Operation" and suggests the daughter should volunteer in a military hospital. He also states an SVO participant will likely be nominated for the vacant position. Новости Москвы shares a propaganda video suggesting a ban on using marine mammals in entertainment. ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system. РБК-Україна reports the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine.
- Romania Presidential Election: Outcome reported. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential election results. WarGonzo provides commentary on the Romanian presidential election results.
- Polish Presidential Election: Candidates for the second round are reported. Russia is conducting an information operation during the elections.
- US Politics: Health of former President Biden reported. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations.
- Russia-US Relations: Planned conversation between Trump and Putin. Рыбарь provides commentary on the telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, stating that the conversation was publicly perceived as positive by Trump and included Russia presenting its demands. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a quote from Donald Trump about "very big egos" in the current negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough.
- Black Africa Events: Summary provided by Russian military blogger.
- Social Media and Information Control: Elon Musk supports Pavel Durov's refusal to block channels (previously reported).
- Humanitarian Concerns: Civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks in Sumy Oblast and from Russian aggression in Kherson Oblast, including FPV drone strikes on civilians and a drone attack on a car in Kherson city. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulted in civilian casualties. Evacuations are ongoing in border regions of Sumy Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian artillery shelling in Kherson city overnight. РБК-Україна also reports on the casualties and damage in Kherson city from overnight shelling. Два майора reports on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast. Военкор Котенок and ASTRA report on the fatality and injury from a drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast. Рыбарь reports multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees extinguishing a fire in Stara Mayachka on the Kherson direction, resulting in two injuries. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports no fatalities or injuries from latest Russian attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, but previous evening shelling caused damage to a private house and power line. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight.
- Finland's Stance: Finnish President Stubb reportedly tried to dissuade Trump from rapprochement with Russia. Ongoing construction of Russian military infrastructure near the border is reported. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Finland will supply Ukraine with heavy ammunition using frozen Russian assets.
- UK's Stance: Starmer discussed the war with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany ahead of Trump's call with Putin.
- Poland-Ukraine Relations: Discussion in an interview about the future of relations, including border blockades and refugees. Russia is conducting an information operation during the elections in Poland.
- Germany's Stance: Discussed readiness for troop deployment in Ukraine and focus on a ceasefire and clarifying formats for peace talks and security guarantees (previously reported).
- Italy's Stance: Discussed readiness for troop deployment in Ukraine and focus on a ceasefire and clarifying formats for peace talks and security guarantees (previously reported).
- Argentina: Non-military video about the President of Argentina shared by a Ukrainian source. Video about antisemitism in Argentina shared by a Russian source.
- Iran: Iran has approved a strategic partnership treaty with Russia. РБК-Україна reports Iran threatened to withdraw from nuclear talks if the US demands zero uranium enrichment.
- European Union: EU ambassadors have agreed on a €150 billion militarization fund. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Finland will supply Ukraine with heavy ammunition using frozen Russian assets through the European Peace Facility, and comments that this benefits the Finnish defense industry. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses the establishment of a comprehensive federal state in the EU.
- Vatican: Рыбарь reports Donald Trump suggested the Vatican as a future negotiation platform with Russia.
- Financial Tracking: ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.
- Nuclear Negotiations (Iran/US): РБК-Україна reports Iran threatened to withdraw from nuclear talks if the US demands zero uranium enrichment.
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
- Internal Security: Internal legal proceedings and security concerns continue, including preventing attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. A murder and dismemberment case was reported in Moscow. Fatal accidents were reported in Kalmykia and Magnitogorsk. Ongoing construction of military infrastructure near the Finnish and Estonian borders is reported. An incident of vandalism against a Soviet war memorial was reported in Voronezh. A residential fire was reported in Oryol. The arrest of Vladimir Smerkis on fraud charges and the closure of a case against Morgenstern were reported in Moscow. Weekly summary of criminal cases in Khabarovsk Krai was released. The remains of a Ukrainian scientist who disappeared in Buryatia 16 years ago were reportedly found. Development of state standards for baby food is reported. The arrest of the founder and former general director of "Rusagro" is requested to be extended. Russian military bloggers are promoting handcrafted knives. Russian military bloggers are providing updates from the Kursk border region, including FPV drone activity supporting offensive operations. Russia claims downing 35 Ukrainian drones overnight across Crimea (26), Bryansk (8), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts. A Russian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulted in civilian casualties. The FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. ТАСС shares a video of interrogations of the detained teenagers in Stavropolye. MoD Russia reports on the liberation of Aleksandopol in the DNR. Colonelcassad reports Russian tactical advances in various directions, including near Makeevka, Novolekseyevka, Yablonovka, Novopol, Zelenoe Pole, Poltavka, and Kotlyarovka. Два майора reports on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast, and attributes it to Russia creating a buffer zone after "liberating" Kursk Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims the liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast and reports on FPV drone activity in the Kursk border region. Два майора shows a video of Russian marines near Miropolskoye in Sumy Oblast, claiming they are creating conditions for issuing Russian passports. Iran has approved a strategic partnership treaty with Russia. Robot delivery vehicles in Russia will receive official status as road users. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. ТАСС reports on a proposal to introduce translation exams in Russian schools. Два майора reports that the Governor of Vologda Oblast has dismissed the head of Nyuksen Municipal District due to her daughter's "unacceptable" statements regarding the "Special Military Operation" and suggests the daughter should volunteer in a military hospital. He also states an SVO participant will likely be nominated for the vacant position. Новости Москвы shares a propaganda video suggesting a ban on using marine mammals in entertainment. ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system.
- Legal Developments: Reports of proposed legislation and ongoing legal proceedings continue. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. The FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. ТАСС shares a video of interrogations of the detained teenagers in Stavropolye. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. ТАСС reports on a proposal to introduce translation exams in Russian schools. ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system.
- Information Operations: Telegram outages could be related to information control. A prominent military blogger attending an economic forum could be part of strategic communication. Russian military bloggers are sharing claims of military successes and Ukrainian losses. European reactions to Donald Trump's stance are being reported by a Russian military blogger. An archival video claiming destruction of Ukrainian forces in Sumy is shared by a Russian military blogger. Information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones are shared by a Russian military blogger. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны promotes a documentary about Cossacks and faith. ТАСС reports that Telegram outages are being recorded in Russia. Fighterbomber states that he will be attending the International Economic Forum in Kazan. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles by a Russian drone. Рыбарь provides a video summary of the past day's events, including negotiation details and operational claims. Военкор Котенок shares a Russian officer's perspective, which, while potentially critical of Russian command, is shared on a pro-Russian military blog. ТАСС reports that police in Russia have warned about scammers stealing personal data through fake marketplace promotional emails. ТАСС reports that the head of Crimea, Aksyonov, stated he doesn't attach much importance to the recognition or non-recognition of Crimea by the US and other Western countries. TASS reports a proposal in the Russian State Duma to introduce fines of 400 thousand to 5 million rubles for anti-Russian and destructive content in video games. TASS reports on an incident involving comedian Danila Poperechny (labeled a foreign agent) owing communal payments (previously reported but within the 6hr window). TASS reports that the government supported banning collectors linked to unfriendly countries, with the document requiring further work (previously reported but within the 6hr window). TASS reports on a three-day ceasefire in LPR border territories allegedly being violated by Ukrainian shelling, causing civilian casualties (previously reported but within the 6hr window). TASS reports that means of electronic warfare in DNR disrupted 230 aerial attacks by Ukrainian UAVs over large cities in the past week (previously reported but within the 6hr window), highlighting perceived Ukrainian threats. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Investigative Committee will investigate the legality of citizenship for parents of migrant children detained in Obninsk for allegedly trampling a St. George ribbon (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Два майора reports two civilians injured by a remote explosive device on a road in Bryansk Oblast (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma will consider a bill allowing property arrest for emigrants who commit administrative offenses deemed "against Russia's interests," including discrediting the army and spreading fakes (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on legal proceedings and sentencing related to the Makhachkala airport riots (previously reported but within the 6hr window). ТАСС reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Ukrainian Armed Forces units have been trying to probe for breaches in the Russian army's defense in Sumy Oblast throughout the week. Colonelcassad reports the detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne (LNR) for alleged espionage. ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. ТАСС reports that Trump expressed confidence in being able to plan and hold a meeting with Putin. ТАСС also reports that Trump claims he can impose sanctions on Russia if necessary but would prefer not to. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian military actions in unspecified locations, which serves as propaganda. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on European reactions to Donald Trump's stance on the conflict. Colonelcassad shares an archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Discussion of robot delivery vehicles in Russia, presented as a sign of technological advancement compared to Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares a historical post about Semyon Chelyuskin, a form of historical information operation aimed at promoting Russian exploration and achievements. Два майора reports that the Governor of Vologda Oblast has dismissed the head of Nyuksen Municipal District due to her daughter's statements regarding the "Special Military Operation," framing it as an unacceptable and vulgar act and suggesting punishment for the daughter, which is a clear information operation aimed at controlling narratives and punishing dissent related to the conflict. Новости Москвы shares a propaganda video suggesting a ban on using marine mammals in entertainment, framed as protecting animals, which is an internal social/environmental discussion but can also be seen as a state-approved message. Рыбарь provides a broad summary of the military situation, including claims of Russian successes and the impact of Ukrainian attacks on Russian border regions, serving as a key piece of Russian military blogger information operation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the situation on the Kherson direction, highlighting claimed Russian successes and Ukrainian failures, serving as an information operation. Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the perceived lack of genuine news in Finnish media and attributes increased military activity in Denmark to Putin and Trump.
- Military Performance and Capabilities: Allegations of senior commanders stifling tactical initiative are raised by a Russian officer. Russian forces are claiming the destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles using drones. Russian forces are claiming territorial gains in Donetsk. Russian forces are reportedly facing Ukrainian probing actions in Sumy Oblast. Russian sources are highlighting their counterintelligence successes. Russian military bloggers report successful Russian artillery and drone strikes. An archival video claiming destruction of Ukrainian forces in Sumy is shared by a Russian military blogger. Information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones are shared by a Russian military blogger. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles by a kamikaze drone. Рыбарь confirms the liberation of Myrolyubivka and Mykhailivka and Russian advances towards Novoekonomichne, and fighting in Udachne and near Troitske and near the Tartianka gully. Военкор Котенок shares a Russian officer's perspective on tactical vs. operational initiative and the importance of individual training. ТАСС reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Ukrainian Armed Forces units have been trying to probe for breaches in the Russian army's defense in Sumy Oblast throughout the week. Colonelcassad reports the detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne (LNR) for alleged espionage. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and FPV drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. Colonelcassad shares an archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew by a reconnaissance company of the Russian 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports +1 tank, +5 troop-carrying AFVs, +58 artillery systems, +1 MLRS, +118 operational-tactical level UAVs, and +105 vehicles & fuel tanks destroyed over the past day, providing a Ukrainian perspective on Russian equipment losses. Оперативний ЗСУ reports these same estimated Russian losses and notes the near absence of armored vehicles in the daily loss statistics, suggesting Russian forces are increasingly assaulting with infantry or light vehicles. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles near Kolodezi, Redkodub, Zelenaya Dolina, and Novy Mir on the Krasnoliman direction, advances on Popov Yar on the Konstantinovka direction, intensified pressure south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) advancing on Stara Mykolaivka and near Romanovka, and approaching Zarya. On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances in Zelenoe Pole, and continued front line movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Рыбарь reports ongoing fighting in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian artillery strikes in the Dniprovskyi district on the Kherson direction, destroying a strongpoint and ammunition depot, and two BMPs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower in the Berislav district on the Kherson direction, disrupting communications and command and control. Russian Military Blogger reports successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and also on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 59 aviation strikes (117 guided aerial bombs, 2882 kamikaze drones) and 5366 artillery shellings (157 MLRS) over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian missile troops and artillery hit three areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment and five means of missile troops and artillery over the past day. Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian advances towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the role of the "Vostok" Group. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo reports Russian forces continue to expand control in the area of Bogatyr. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast.
- Civilian Issues: No new developments in the latest messages directly regarding civilian issues, but previous reports (within 6hr window) highlight civilian casualties from shelling in various regions. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. ТАСС reports that police in Russia have warned about scammers stealing personal data through fake marketplace promotional emails. Два майора reports on a child injured by shrapnel from a Ukrainian drone in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, and further civilian injuries in various settlements of Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks (previously reported but within the 6hr window). AV Bogomaz reports two civilians injured by a remote explosive device on a road in Bryansk Oblast (previously reported but within the 6hr window). ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. Discussion of robot delivery vehicles in Russia, while presented as a civilian development, is included in a military blogger's feed, suggesting potential dual-use technology implications or simply as part of an information operation. Рыбарь reports multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees extinguishing a fire in Stara Mayachka on the Kherson direction, resulting in two injuries. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports no fatalities or injuries from latest Russian attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, but previous evening shelling caused damage to a private house and power line. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight.
- Social Issues: A Russian officer's perspective touches on the importance of individual training of assault personnel. A documentary about Cossacks and faith is being promoted. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны promotes a documentary about Cossacks and faith. Военкор Котенок shares a Russian officer's perspective on tactical vs. operational initiative and the importance of individual training. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Investigative Committee will investigate the legality of citizenship for parents of migrant children detained in Obninsk for allegedly trampling a St. George ribbon (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma will consider a bill allowing property arrest for emigrants who commit administrative offenses deemed "against Russia's interests," including discrediting the army and spreading fakes (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on legal proceedings and sentencing related to the Makhachkala airport riots (previously reported but within the 6hr window). ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants, which has social implications. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. Два майора reports that the Governor of Vologda Oblast has dismissed the head of Nyuksen Municipal District due to her daughter's statements regarding the "Special Military Operation" and suggests the daughter should volunteer in a military hospital. This highlights the social and political sensitivity of the conflict within Russia and the government's efforts to control related narratives. Новости Москвы shares a propaganda video suggesting a ban on using marine mammals in entertainment.
- Judicial System: Reports of ongoing legal proceedings and sentencing continue. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on legal proceedings and sentencing related to the Makhachkala airport riots (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Colonelcassad reports the initiation of a criminal case for espionage against a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne (LNR). ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors. ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.
- Casualties: Рыбарь claims Ukraine lost another F-16 fighter jet overnight. A Russian soldier was reportedly destroyed by Ukrainian forces. An archival video claims destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew. Рыбарь claims Ukraine lost another F-16 fighter jet overnight. Оперативний ЗСУ reports destroying a Russian soldier. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian military actions against Ukrainian personnel. Colonelcassad shares an archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew in Sumy Oblast. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction, implying Ukrainian casualties. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports +1030 personnel killed over the past day. РБК-Україна reports 1030 Russian occupants were liquidated over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 1030 eliminated terrorists over the past day. Рыбарь reports multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties, including a fatality and multiple injuries. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees extinguishing a fire in Stara Mayachka on the Kherson direction, resulting in two injuries. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports no fatalities or injuries from latest Russian attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, but previous evening shelling caused damage to a private house and power line. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Economic Impact (Indirect): Moody's has downgraded the US credit rating, which could have indirect economic impacts globally, including on Russia. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. ТАСС reports on Moody's downgrading the US credit rating. ТАСС reports that police in Russia have warned about scammers stealing personal data through fake marketplace promotional emails, highlighting economic crime. ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.
- Political Dynamics: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban's statement on the necessity of EU-Putin negotiations reflects differing political views within Europe regarding engagement with Russia. Donald Trump's statements on meeting Putin and sanctions are noted. European reactions to Donald Trump's stance are reported. ТАСС reports Hungarian Prime Minister Orban's view on the necessity of EU-Putin negotiations. ТАСС reports that Serbian President Vučić stated that an agreement on a prisoner exchange could indicate the beginning of a real dialogue, highlighting the political significance of potential prisoner exchanges. ТАСС reports that the head of Crimea, Aksyonov, stated he doesn't attach much importance to the recognition or non-recognition of Crimea by the US and other Western countries, reflecting political stance. TASS reports a proposal in the Russian State Duma to introduce fines of 400 thousand to 5 million rubles for anti-Russian and destructive content in video games. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Investigative Committee will investigate the legality of citizenship for parents of migrant children detained in Obninsk for allegedly trampling a St. George ribbon (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma will consider a bill allowing property arrest for emigrants who commit administrative offenses deemed "against Russia's interests," including discrediting the army and spreading fakes (previously reported but within the 6hr window). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on legal proceedings and sentencing related to the Makhachkala airport riots (previously reported but within the 6hr window). ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. ТАСС reports that Trump expressed confidence in being able to plan and hold a meeting with Putin. ТАСС also reports that Trump claims he can impose sanctions on Russia if necessary but would prefer not to. РБК-Україна reports on Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha highlighting the factor of the US and Donald Trump's peace efforts in the new negotiation dynamics. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on European reactions to Donald Trump's stance on the conflict. Iran has approved a strategic partnership treaty with Russia. Рыбарь provides commentary on the telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, including Trump's suggestion of the Vatican as a future negotiation platform. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a quote from Donald Trump about "very big egos" in the current negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on perceived lack of genuine news in Finnish media and attributes increased military activity in Denmark to Putin and Trump.
- Military Modernization: Information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled MTS series strike drones with autonomous navigation capabilities indicate a potential advancement in Ukrainian military technology. Turkey's FDI Group is reportedly supplying Ukraine with military equipment including AI-integrated fire control systems. Discussion of robot delivery vehicles in Russia, presented as a sign of technological advancement.
- Counterintelligence: Colonelcassad reports the detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne (LNR) for alleged espionage. This highlights Russian counterintelligence efforts in occupied territories.
- Stavropolye (Russia): Location where FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors. The FSB prevented planned attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye. ТАСС shares a video of interrogations of the detained teenagers in Stavropolye. Reiterated claim of prevention of attacks on police in Stavropolye involving minors.
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
- Civilian Impact: No new developments in the latest messages directly regarding civilian impact, but previous reports (within 6hr window) highlight civilian casualties from shelling in various regions. Reports on potential fines for entrepreneurs attracting illegal migrants. ТАСС reports that police in Russia have warned about scammers stealing personal data through fake marketplace promotional emails, which can impact civilians. Два майора reports on a child injured by shrapnel from a Ukrainian drone in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, and further civilian injuries in various settlements of Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks (previously reported but within the 6hr window). AV Bogomaz reports two civilians injured by a remote explosive device on a road in Bryansk Oblast (previously reported but within the 6hr window). ТАСС reports that entrepreneurs face fines up to 1 million rubles for attracting illegal migrants. Рыбарь reports multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling of Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees extinguishing a fire in Stara Mayachka on the Kherson direction, resulting in two injuries. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports no fatalities or injuries from latest Russian attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, but previous evening shelling caused damage to a private house and power line. Олександр Вілкул reports ongoing Russian attacks in Nikopol district without casualties. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight.
- Military Support (Russia): No new developments in the latest messages. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Civilian Support (Ukraine): No new developments in the latest messages.
- Information Control and Access: Telegram outages in Russia could impact access to information. ASTRA offering a VPN service is relevant to this. ТАСС reports that Telegram outages are being recorded in Russia.
- Veteran Support (Russia): No new developments in the latest messages.
- Rehabilitation (Ukraine): No new developments in the latest messages.
- Support for Servicemembers and POWs (Ukraine): The report on a potential prisoner exchange agreement is highly relevant. ТАСС reports that Serbian President Vučić stated that an agreement on a prisoner exchange according to the formula "1,000 for 1,000" between Russia and Ukraine could indicate the beginning of a real dialogue. РБК-Україна reports on Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha confirming an agreement on the return of a thousand Ukrainians in a "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange format.
- Military Support (International): EU ambassadors have agreed on a €150 billion militarization fund. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Finland will supply Ukraine with heavy ammunition using frozen Russian assets through the European Peace Facility. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the perceived demilitarization of Denmark due to providing weapons to Ukraine.
- Financial Tracking: ASTRA reports Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for combating money laundering and terrorist financing.
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
- Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults, particularly in Donetsk Oblast. Successfully using drones and potentially artillery to destroy Russian air defense systems. Facing Russian drone attacks on areas like Nizhyn, Kyiv Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast (towards Poltava), Sumy Oblast (towards Chernihiv), and Odesa Oblast. Facing continued intense ground combat across multiple axes. Engaging in diplomatic efforts, confirming a prisoner exchange agreement reached in Istanbul. Reportedly probing Russian defenses in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed a Russian soldier. Ukrainian forces may have acquired Czech AI-controlled MTS series strike drones with autonomous navigation capabilities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system near Kakhovka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that enemy drones are moving towards Nizhyn. Рыбарь claims Ukraine lost another F-16 fighter jet overnight. Рыбарь reports on fighting in Udachne and near Troitske and near the Tartianka gully, with Ukrainian forces holding positions in only certain areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that a Russian drone is currently holding course towards Kyiv Oblast. ТАСС reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Ukrainian Armed Forces units have been trying to probe for breaches in the Russian army's defense in Sumy Oblast throughout the week. Оперативний ЗСУ reports destroying a Russian soldier. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of drones through Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast, and groups from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek provides detailed tracking of multiple drone groups across various oblasts. Colonelcassad reports on Russian military actions against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. РБК-Україна reports on Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of the Istanbul talks, including an agreement on a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad shares an archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares information and images claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. Liveuamap reports intense clashes across multiple axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Lyman, Kupyansk, Kharkiv axes). Turkey's FDI Group is reportedly supplying Ukraine with military equipment including AI-integrated fire control systems. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports +1030 personnel, +1 tank, +5 troop-carrying AFVs, +58 artillery systems, +1 MLRS, +118 operational-tactical level UAVs, and +105 vehicles & fuel tanks destroyed over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ reports these same estimated Russian losses and notes the near absence of armored vehicles in the daily loss statistics, suggesting Russian forces are increasingly assaulting with infantry or light vehicles. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian counterattacks in Torske on the Krasnoliman direction, Ukrainian forces attempting to cut off the salient in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast and reinforcing Sumy Oblast border areas from Kyiv, and Ukrainian shelling in Stara Mayachka and other settlements on the Kherson direction. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports three drones destroyed by air defense over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight, and ongoing FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports three enemy UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України shares a video showcasing the Glock 19 pistol used by the brigade. STERNENKO requests support for drone acquisition. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian attempts to land troops on the Russian-held bank and force the river in the Kherson direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and also on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 59 aviation strikes (117 guided aerial bombs, 2882 kamikaze drones) and 5366 artillery shellings (157 MLRS) over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian missile troops and artillery hit three areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment and five means of missile troops and artillery over the past day. РБК-Україна reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in Kursk Oblast and near Borova and Toretsk. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports predominantly positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front. WarGonzo reports fighting continues in Chasiv Yar and on the flanks. WarGonzo reports Ukrainian forces conduct counterattacks in the area of Zelenoe Pole and Novopol. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people.
- Russia: Continuing ground offensives in Donetsk Oblast with claims of territorial gains and advances. Employing drones (kamikaze) to target Ukrainian armored vehicles. Facing Ukrainian drone attacks on air defense systems. Experiencing Telegram outages. A Russian officer provides an internal perspective on tactical and operational approaches. Reportedly facing Ukrainian probing actions in Sumy Oblast. Russian forces reportedly detained a Ukrainian spy in occupied Luhansk Oblast. Russian forces are reportedly operating drones towards Nizhyn, Kyiv Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast (towards Poltava), Sumy Oblast (towards Chernihiv), and from the Black Sea (towards Odesa). Russian military blogger reports on successful artillery and FPV drone strikes against Ukrainian assets and personnel. An archival video claims destruction of Ukrainian forces in Sumy. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles by a kamikaze drone. Рыбарь confirms the liberation of Myrolyubivka and Mykhailivka and Russian advances towards Novoekonomichne, and fighting in Udachne and near Troitske and near the Tartianka gully. Военкор Котенок shares a Russian officer's perspective on tactical vs. operational initiative and the importance of individual training. ТАСС reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Ukrainian Armed Forces units have been trying to probe for breaches in the Russian army's defense in Sumy Oblast throughout the week. Colonelcassad reports the detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne (LNR) for alleged espionage. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that enemy drones are moving towards Nizhyn. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that a Russian drone is currently holding course towards Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of drones through Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast, and groups from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanek provides detailed tracking of multiple drone groups across various oblasts. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and FPV drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. Colonelcassad shares an archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew by a reconnaissance company of the Russian 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment in Sumy Oblast. Reconnaissance drone activity is reported in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. Liveuamap reports intense clashes across multiple axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts (Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Lyman, Kupyansk, Kharkiv axes) and Russian airstrikes in Zaporizhzhia and Chernihiv Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr, Черкасской, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles near Kolodezi, Redkodub, Zelenaya Dolina, and Novy Mir on the Krasnoliman direction, advances on Popov Yar on the Konstantinovka direction, intensified pressure south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) advancing on Stara Mykolaivka and near Romanovka, and approaching Zarya. On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances in Zelenoe Pole, and continued front line movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Рыбарь reports ongoing fighting in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, with Ukrainian forces attempting to cut off the salient. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports Russian drone and artillery attacks overnight in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian artillery strikes and drone activity in the Kherson direction, including an FPV drone strike on a mobile communication tower, destroying a strongpoint, ammunition depot, and two BMPs. Russian Military Blogger reports successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Mykhalchyna-Sloboda, Kamyanka, Kolodyazne, Staryy Saltiv, Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Hulyaypole, Novodarivka, Novoandriyivka, Zaporizhzhya, Odradokamyanka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and also on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted 59 aviation strikes (117 guided aerial bombs, 2882 kamikaze drones) and 5366 artillery shellings (157 MLRS) over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy conducted aviation strikes on Pyharivka Sumy Oblast; Novopil Donetsk Oblast; Huliaipole, Temirivka, Stepnohirsk, Malynivka, Mala Tokmachka Zaporizhzhia Oblast; Kozatske Kherson Oblast. Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian advances towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the role of the "Vostok" Group. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel. Два майора shares a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo reports Russian forces continue to expand control in the area of Bogatyr. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports predominantly positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front. WarGonzo reports fighting continues in Chasiv Yar and on the flanks.
- Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is facilitating negotiations. The US is engaging separately with Ukraine and its Vice President met with Zelenskyy. Speculation on former US President Trump's involvement continues. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine (including a new package from Belgium and potential transfers from Italy) and conducting military exercises near Russian and Belarusian borders. The Vatican is offering mediation and the new Pope has called for peace negotiations. Other international leaders are engaging with Ukraine. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting the presence of 12,000 North Korean servicemen fighting alongside Russian forces. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria. TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Denmark is transferring a new defense package to Ukraine worth $600 million. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Russian forces eliminated a Belarusian nationalist fighter. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it as withdrawal from Macron's plan. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the perceived demilitarization of Denmark due to providing weapons to Ukraine and the role of Putin and Trump in driving Denmark to rearm. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough.
- Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones). Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops and destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting claimed combined arms tactics and counter-drone success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones for reconnaissance and artillery for strike. TASS shares video footage from Kherson Oblast showcasing training of Russian military assault units of the "Dnepr" Group of Forces with combat robotic platforms, highlighting the claimed use and training with advanced military technology. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide military equipment, including drones, surface drones, a Leopard tank, and Cerber systems. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian BMC Kirpi armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian FPV drones in Kostiantynivka. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing. MoD Russia shares a video of BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle crews training. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across various oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 1036 kamikaze drones used by Russian forces and 15 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed in the past day. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka using drone drops. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles, which is a response to the threat posed by drones and other weapons. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults. Два майора shares a video with the caption "Пацаны ебашут хохлов 24/7. Честь и хвала российским штурмам!", a propaganda piece. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures. MoD Russia claims downing three JDAM guided bombs, one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. MoD Russia claims destroying field artillery guns and mortars in several locations over the past day and Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas and Operational-Tactical Aviation struck in 143 areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. Народная милиция ДНР claims the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point near Ulyanovka by a BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, indicating continued use of glide bombs as a tactic. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones of various types, batteries, EW systems, and remote mining means, highlighting the capabilities being provided to Ukrainian units. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military, highlighting Russian capabilities in drone warfare. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts, and the Sumy/Chernihiv border, indicating widespread drone activity. Полковник ГУР Шершень claims Russian forces launched 273 strike UAVs overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 imitator drones locationally lost, highlighting the scale of Russian drone attacks. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," implying a large-scale drone attack. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Воин DV shares a video and text claiming that a Ukrainian "Pelican" air target detection radar station was hit by an "Iskander-M" tactical missile system strike near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, today at noon. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that an FPV drone from the Russian 27th brigade destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces have entered Novoaleksandrovka in Donetsk Oblast and cleared Ukrainian tunnels, highlighting specific tactics. Два майора shares a video claiming Russian Aerospace Forces and "Smuglyanka" unit are providing air support for Russian offensive actions on the Zaporizhzhia front. Сливочный каприз reports positional battles in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces expanded control and occupied new positions in the northern part of Novoelenivka, with a 700-meter advance. WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye and are fighting for Redkodub on the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka that was held by Ukrainian forces. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy used 2882 kamikaze drones and dropped 117 guided aerial bombs on Ukrainian positions and settlements over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian missile troops and artillery hit three areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment and five means of missile troops and artillery over the past day. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel.
- Personnel: TASS reports alleged Ukrainian troop deployments, including "elite units" and the "Aidar" battalion, to Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike on a temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade near Velyka Chernechyna, Sumy Oblast, implying the presence of this unit's personnel. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian personnel losses, including 372 neutralized (228 killed) on the Pokrovsk direction, and a total of 910 Russian personnel losses over the past day. Colonelcassad and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the Ukrainian 47th Brigade due to concerns about unjustified personnel losses. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the destruction of enemy personnel by the 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade near Nadiivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses Russian tactics of using small groups (2-3 people) for propaganda. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade and shares his statements. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with commentary linking the battalion commander's resignation to opposition to the regime. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian personnel losses in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024, including 63,172 killed and wounded, and 968 prisoners of war, highlighting the human cost for Russia. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting the presence of 12,000 North Korean servicemen fighting alongside Russian forces and reporting on Russian assault actions. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket and advance, implying personnel involved in these actions. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr. Басурин о главном reports on the completion of a body exchange where Russia received 34 bodies of Russian servicemen and transferred 909 bodies of Ukrainian servicemen, detailing areas where Ukrainians were killed. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces have entered Novoaleksandrovka in Donetsk Oblast and cleared Ukrainian tunnels, implying personnel actions. WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye and are fighting for Redkodub on the Lyman direction, implying personnel involved in these battles. Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka that was held by Ukrainian forces. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Russian forces eliminated a Belarusian nationalist fighter. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a message from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi commemorating the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports +1030 personnel killed over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ reports 1030 eliminated terrorists over the past day, with total losses exceeding 975 thousand. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian missile troops and artillery hit three areas of concentration of personnel, weapons and military equipment over the past day. Архангел Спецназа shares a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel. WarGonzo reports Russian forces continue to expand control in the area of Bogatyr. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports predominantly positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front. WarGonzo reports fighting continues in Chasiv Yar and on the flanks. WarGonzo reports Ukrainian forces conduct counterattacks in the area of Zelenoe Pole and Novopol. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people.
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
- The massive overnight Russian drone attack involving 112 strike UAVs and imitator drones across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, with 76 neutralized, and reported impacts in Kharkiv, Sumy, Donetsk, Cherkasy, and Kirovohrad Oblasts, is a significant strategic event. It demonstrates Russia's continued capacity to launch large-scale aerial assaults aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses and striking targets across a wide geographical area. The use of imitator drones is a strategic tactic to complicate air defense efforts. The reported impacts across multiple oblasts highlight the widespread nature of the threat. The Ukrainian Air Force's change in reporting format due to new Russian tactics underscores the evolving nature of the aerial threat and the need for Ukrainian adaptation. The detailed reporting on the scale and composition of this attack confirms its strategic significance. Рыбарь reports Russian drone attacks overnight in Zhytomyr, Черкасской, Vinnytsia, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts, providing a Russian perspective on the geographical reach of these attacks. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports enemy used 2882 kamikaze drones over the past day.
- The Ukrainian SBU's claimed destruction of a Russian radar and warehouses on Black Sea gas production platforms using a combination of surface and aerial drones is strategically significant. If verified, this demonstrates Ukraine's capability to strike Russian assets at sea using innovative combined drone tactics, degrading Russian naval reconnaissance capabilities and potentially impacting their control of strategic offshore infrastructure. The repeated reporting from multiple Ukrainian sources reinforces the strategic importance of this claimed strike.
- The confirmed shipment of Australian Abrams tanks to Ukraine is a tangible strategic development increasing Ukraine's heavy armor capabilities and demonstrating continued international military support. The note about these tanks compensating for losses and the reported US skepticism about their effectiveness against drones highlights key strategic considerations regarding the utility of traditional armor in the current conflict. The report that the US allowed this transfer, coupled with the US official's comments, adds a layer of strategic complexity regarding allied perspectives on equipment effectiveness.
- The ongoing intense ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, and the Russian claims of advances and liberation of settlements, underscore Russia's strategic objective of gaining ground and degrading Ukrainian defenses. The high number of attacks in specific directions, such as Novopavlivka and Orikhiv in the South, reflects continued pressure on key areas. The reported ongoing assaults near Mala Tokmachka and advances on the Krasnolimansky direction are further indicators of active Russian offensive efforts. The Russian assessment that the liberation of Bogatyr will impact Ukrainian actions and may lead to troop reallocation from Krasnoarmeysk highlights the strategic implications of territorial gains. The Russian claims of liberation of Maryino in Sumy Oblast, tactical advances on the Southern Donetsk and Krasnoarmeysk directions (including entering Novolekseyevka), and detailing the liberation of Aleksandopol are strategically significant as they indicate a potential shift in the frontline and Russian efforts to consolidate control in these areas. Ukraine reporting changes in command within the 59th Separate Motorized Brigade on the Pokrovsk direction is strategically relevant as it suggests a response to challenging battlefield conditions in a key area of intense fighting. ОТУ "Харків" providing a detailed operational report on the Kharkiv operational zone with specifics on Russian attacks and Ukrainian successes is strategically vital for understanding the dynamics on this front. Liveuamap reporting intense clashes across multiple axes in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts provides a comprehensive overview of the most active areas of ground combat and reinforces their strategic importance. Z Komitet + karta SVO reporting Russian advances near Ozaryanovka and Dyleevka in the Konstantinovskoye direction indicates a continued Russian push in this sector. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction highlights a key tactical challenge for Ukraine in a critical area. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast. Рыбарь reports Russian offensive battles near Kolodezi, Redkodub, Zelenaya Dolina, and Novy Mir on the Krasnoliman direction, with Ukrainian counterattacks in Torske. Рыбарь notes the loss of Nova Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction (likely a Russian gain, as previous reports indicated Russian advances here), with Russian forces advancing on Popov Yar. Рыбарь reports Russian forces are intensifying pressure south-east of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk), advancing on the southern outskirts of Stara Mykolaivka and near Romanovka, and approaching Zarya. On the South-Donetsk direction, Рыбарь reports fierce battles near Zelenoe Pole and Novopol, with Russian advances in Zelenoe Pole, and continued front line movement near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Рыбарь reports ongoing fighting in the Tetkino direction in Kursk Oblast, with Ukrainian forces attempting to cut off the salient. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in the Toretsk area. Liveuamap reports Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Popiv Yar, Shevchenko Pershe, Sukhyy Yar, Novoukrayinka, Burlatske, Pokrovsk, Zaporizhzhya, which are in or near Donetsk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 177 combat clashes across multiple axes, including intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (72 assaults), Lyman (23), Novopavlivka (22), Toretsk (13), and Kursk (10), and also on the Kharkiv, Kupiansk, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Рыбарь provides a video analysis on the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian advances towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the role of the "Vostok" Group. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian equipment near the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. TASS reports, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction. РБК-Україна reports ISW assesses Ukrainian advances in Kursk Oblast and near Borova and Toretsk. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast. WarGonzo reports Russian forces continue to expand control in the area of Bogatyr. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast. WarGonzo reports predominantly positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front. WarGonzo reports fighting continues in Chasiv Yar and on the flanks. WarGonzo reports Ukrainian forces conduct counterattacks in the area of Zelenoe Pole and Novopol.
- Ongoing diplomatic discussions and the prospect of new US and European sanctions linked to negotiation progress highlight the continued strategic efforts to leverage international support and economic pressure to influence the conflict. The differing perspectives within the US political sphere regarding the effectiveness of current sanctions are a relevant factor in the broader international strategic landscape. Рыбарь provides commentary on the telephone negotiations between Russian President Putin and Donald Trump, stating that the conversation was publicly perceived as positive by Trump and included Russia presenting its demands. Рыбарь notes that Trump suggested the Vatican as a future negotiation platform, implying a higher level for future talks. Рыбарь also discusses negative reactions from some Ukrainian audiences and suggests that Russian analysts believe the process is long-term, possibly concluding after Russia's current offensive campaign in the autumn. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a quote from Donald Trump stating that "very big egos" are involved in the current peace negotiations and that while something might happen, if not, he will step back as "this was a European affair." РБК-Україна reports Trump stated the US is not currently tightening sanctions against Russia "since there is a chance" for progress in a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of Trump commenting on negotiations and stating Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and negotiations, and he will answer in two weeks if Kyiv is doing enough.
- The reports of continued Ukrainian drone activity targeting Russian territory, including the tragic attack on a car in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, resulting in civilian casualties, and the claimed downing of numerous UAVs over Russian border regions and Crimea, are strategically significant. These actions demonstrate Ukraine's capability to strike targets within Russia, creating pressure on border regions and potentially impacting morale. Russia's claims of preventing attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye can be used within Russian information operations to highlight perceived threats and justify security measures. Russia claiming downing 35 Ukrainian drones overnight across Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts provides a Russian perspective on the scale and reach of Ukrainian drone activity, which is strategically important for assessing Ukraine's capabilities and intentions. The tragic incident involving a civilian fatality and injury from a claimed Ukrainian drone attack on a car in Shebekino, reported by multiple sources, is strategically significant due to its humanitarian impact and potential for propaganda use by Russia. Reiterated claims of prevention of attacks on police involving minors in Stavropolye underscore the continued Russian focus on internal security and counter-terrorism narratives. Рыбарь reports multiple Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast resulting in civilian casualties. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports downing 8 Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast overnight. WarGonzo reports ongoing attempts by Ukrainian forces to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast.
- The Russian drone attack on a car in Kherson city, injuring two civilians, highlights the strategic objective of inflicting harm and terror on civilian populations in frontline cities. This tactic aims to create psychological pressure and disrupt civilian life. The report of a fatality and three injuries from Russian artillery shelling in Kherson city overnight, confirmed by multiple sources, reinforces the strategic impact of Russian attacks on civilian populations in frontline areas. Рыбарь reports Ukrainian shelling in Stara Mayachka on the Kherson direction, resulting in two injuries among Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations employees. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian strikes in the Kherson direction, aiming to minimize civilian risk. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on a bus in Kherson, injuring two people. РБК-Україна reports a fatality and three injuries from Russian shelling in Kherson city overnight.
- The presentation of a book on the destruction of the Moskva cruiser is a strategic communication effort by Ukraine to commemorate a significant military success, boost national morale, and highlight the capabilities and courage of their forces. РБК-Україна sharing a video about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, including archival footage, amplifies this strategic communication.
- Fundraising initiatives for FPV drones in Ukraine, such as the sale of limited edition knives, are strategically relevant as they highlight continued civilian support for the war effort and the reliance on non-state resources for acquiring crucial military equipment. Continued reports on fundraising efforts, including for specific equipment like REB and thermal sights, are strategically important as they indicate the ongoing need for and acquisition of crucial military hardware through non-state channels. STERNENKO's direct request for support for drone acquisition further emphasizes the importance of these systems for Ukraine.
- The report on a captured Russian soldier from the Kherson direction provides potential human intelligence on Russian personnel, morale, and conditions on the front line.
- The report from Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy provides a crucial localized strategic overview of the situation in the South. The detailed breakdown of enemy attacks, munition usage, civilian casualties, and Ukrainian successes in repelling assaults and destroying equipment offers valuable tactical and operational intelligence that informs the strategic picture in this vital region.
- Evacuations ongoing in border regions of Sumy Oblast due to increased shelling are strategically significant as they indicate a potential escalation of hostilities or a shift in military activity in these areas. Два майора's report on the ongoing evacuation of 202 settlements in Sumy Oblast, and attributing it to Russia creating a buffer zone after "liberating" Kursk Oblast, is a strategic narrative being promoted by Russia. Рыбарь mentions the ongoing evacuation in Sumy Oblast due to shelling. WarGonzo reports Russian forces liberated Maryino in Sumy Oblast.
- Ongoing construction of Russian military infrastructure near the Finnish and Estonian borders, including shelters for fighter jets and warehouses, reported by a Ukrainian source citing the NYT, is strategically significant. It indicates a potential long-term shift in Russian military posture in response to NATO expansion and highlights areas of potential future tension.
- Fundraising efforts for Russian military personnel, including for equipment like REB, thermal sights, signal amplifiers, drone detectors, power stations, batteries, radios, drones, and tools, reported by a Russian military blogger, are strategically relevant. They demonstrate the ongoing need for equipment and highlight the reliance on non-state support within the Russian military, which can impact operational capabilities. The list of requested equipment also provides insight into the tactical needs on the ground.
- The sentencing of a Ukrainian servicemember for the appropriation and sale of military property in Sumy Oblast, reported by the Ukrainian Prosecutor General's Office, is strategically relevant as it relates to internal military discipline, accountability, and resource management. Such incidents can impact morale and operational effectiveness if not addressed appropriately.
- Reconnaissance drone activity in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts is strategically important as it indicates ongoing Russian efforts to gather intelligence on Ukrainian positions, movements, and capabilities in these key operational areas. This requires Ukrainian forces to maintain vigilance and employ counter-reconnaissance measures.
- Iran approving a strategic partnership treaty with Russia is a significant geopolitical development with potential long-term strategic implications. This could lead to increased military and economic cooperation between the two countries, potentially impacting the flow of resources and military technology to Russia and influencing regional stability. РБК-Україна reports Iran threatened to withdraw from nuclear talks if the US demands zero uranium enrichment.
- EU ambassadors agreeing on a €150 billion militarization fund is a major strategic decision for the European Union. This substantial investment signals a commitment to enhancing European defense capabilities and can be interpreted as a direct response to the perceived threat from Russia. This fund could be used to increase military aid to Ukraine, strengthen NATO's eastern flank, or develop independent European defense capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Finland will supply Ukraine with heavy ammunition using frozen Russian assets through the European Peace Facility, and comments that this benefits the Finnish defense industry, highlighting a specific example of how this type of international funding mechanism can translate into concrete military support for Ukraine.
- Turkey's FDI Group supplying Ukraine with military equipment, particularly AI-integrated fire control systems, is strategically significant. This indicates continued Turkish support for Ukraine, including access to potentially advanced military technology. The integration of AI into fire control systems could enhance the effectiveness of Ukrainian armored vehicles, requiring Russia to adapt its tactics and defenses.
- Russian military bloggers showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction is strategically relevant. It serves as both propaganda to highlight Russian capabilities and potentially as a means to share tactical information and lessons learned within the Russian military community. It also underscores the continued dominance of drones in the current conflict and the vulnerability of armored vehicles to these systems.
- Discussion of robot delivery vehicles in Russia, while seemingly civilian, is presented by a Russian military blogger as a sign of Russian technological advancement compared to Ukraine. This is likely part of a broader information operation aimed at portraying Russia as a technologically capable nation, which can have strategic implications for international perceptions and domestic morale.
- The estimated Russian losses reported by the Ukrainian General Staff (+1030 personnel, +1 tank, +5 troop-carrying AFVs, +58 artillery systems, +1 MLRS, +118 operational-tactical level UAVs, and +105 vehicles & fuel tanks over the past day) are strategically important. These figures, if accurate, indicate significant attrition of Russian forces and equipment, which directly impacts Russia's ability to sustain its offensive operations. Reporting these losses serves as a strategic communication to highlight the effectiveness of Ukrainian defense and garner continued international support. Оперативний ЗСU's commentary on the near absence of armored vehicles in the daily loss statistics and the increased use of infantry or light vehicles for assaults suggests a potential shift in Russian tactics, which is strategically relevant for understanding their current approach and adapting Ukrainian defenses.
- Басурин о главном sharing a historical post about Semyon Chelyuskin is a form of historical information operation aimed at promoting Russian exploration and achievements, connecting current events to a broader historical narrative of Russian power and influence.
- Два майора reporting that the Governor of Vologda Oblast has dismissed the head of Nyuksen Municipal District due to her daughter's statements regarding the "Special Military Operation," framing it as an unacceptable and vulgar act and suggesting punishment for the daughter, is a clear information operation aimed at controlling narratives and punishing dissent related to the conflict. This highlights the strategic importance the Russian government places on maintaining a unified public narrative about the war.
- Новости Москвы sharing a propaganda video suggesting a ban on using marine mammals in entertainment, framed as protecting animals, which is an internal social/environmental discussion but can also be seen as a state-approved message, potentially aimed at portraying Russia positively on animal welfare issues.
- Рыбарь's broad summary of the military situation, including claims of Russian successes and the impact of Ukrainian attacks on Russian border regions, serves as a key piece of Russian military blogger information operation, aimed at shaping perceptions of the conflict.
- Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting on the situation on the Kherson direction, highlighting claimed Russian successes and Ukrainian failures, including the destruction of specific equipment and infrastructure, serves as an information operation to promote Russian effectiveness and demoralize Ukrainian forces.
- ASTRA reporting Rosfinmonitoring is requesting access to data from the "Mir" payment system for combating money laundering and terrorist financing highlights Russia's focus on financial security and potentially its efforts to track financial flows related to the conflict or internal opposition.
- The Ukrainian General Staff providing an operational update as of 08:00 today, detailing 177 combat clashes across multiple axes and enemy activity (aviation, guided bombs, kamikaze drones, artillery, MLRS), and highlighting specific areas of intense fighting, is a crucial strategic report. It provides a high-level overview of the intensity and focus of military operations across the entire front, informing strategic decisions regarding troop deployment, resource allocation, and assessment of enemy intent. The detailed breakdown of enemy activity by type (aviation, drones, artillery) also informs tactical and strategic responses.
- Russian military bloggers like Rybar and WarGonzo providing daily frontline summaries and analysis, including claims of territorial gains and assessments of battlefield dynamics, contribute to the overall understanding of the strategic situation, albeit from a specific perspective. Their reports, even if biased, offer insights into claimed Russian successes, areas of intense fighting, and tactical approaches.
- The report from TASS, citing Andrey Marochko, that Russian servicemen have observed the work of maneuverable groups with foreign soldiers and NATO-standard weaponry near Siversk in the DNR, is strategically significant. If confirmed, this suggests direct involvement of foreign personnel or equipment on the Ukrainian side in this area, which could have implications for the nature of combat and international perceptions of the conflict.
- Arkhangel Spetsnaza sharing a video claiming a precise hit by a Russian mortar on enemy personnel is a tactical report that contributes to the broader strategic picture of ongoing engagements and casualties. It highlights the continued use and effectiveness of traditional artillery systems in inflicting losses.
- Два майора sharing a video from the cockpit of a Russian Su-34 fighter jet during a thunderstorm provides a non-military insight into the operational environment for Russian aviation. While not directly strategic, it offers a glimpse into the conditions under which air operations are conducted.
- ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a video from the "SIGNUM" unit claiming a Ukrainian drone found and destroyed a Russian T-72 tank in cover on the Lyman direction is strategically significant. It demonstrates the continued effectiveness of Ukrainian drone capabilities in targeting and destroying Russian armored vehicles, even when in concealed positions. This capability is crucial for degrading Russian armored strength.
- The report from РБК-Україна, citing ISW analysis, that Ukrainian forces have advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Borova and Toretsk, is strategically significant. If independently verified, this indicates successful Ukrainian offensive actions in these areas, potentially shifting the front line and creating pressure on Russian forces in both Ukrainian and Russian territory. This would have implications for strategic planning and resource allocation by both sides.
- РБК-Україна reporting that European leaders were reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin (according to FT) is strategically significant for understanding the dynamics of international relations and the potential impact of communication between key global figures on perceptions of the conflict and future diplomatic efforts. It suggests a degree of surprise or concern among European leaders regarding the substance of these discussions.
- РБК-Україна reporting the Kremlin stated there are no "concrete deadlines" for preparing a memorandum on settling the war with Ukraine is strategically significant for understanding the potential pace and trajectory of diplomatic efforts. It suggests that Russia may not be in a hurry to finalize a negotiation framework, which could be linked to their assessment of the military situation or their desired outcomes.
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.