Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 19, 2025, 21:42 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, and persistent widespread Russian aerial attacks utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) across numerous Ukrainian oblasts. The most significant development continues to be the concluded telephone conversation between "Putin" and US President Donald Trump. Putin has characterized the conversation as "frank and substantive" and expressed gratitude for Trump's support for resuming direct Moscow-Kyiv talks. He stated that a ceasefire with Ukraine is possible upon reaching relevant agreements and that a memorandum with Ukraine could include ceasefire questions and settlement principles, indicating a potential willingness to work towards a peace agreement. Putin assessed that the resumption of contacts in Istanbul suggests the parties are "on the right track." Trump has characterized the conversation as "very good" and stated that Russia and Ukraine will "immediately start negotiations toward a Ceasefire and, more importantly, an END to the War," suggesting a potential immediate diplomatic breakthrough. He also expressed optimism about significant trade opportunities between the US and Russia after the conflict, benefiting both nations, and noted he would inform European leaders of the conversation. A Russian source claims Trump stated he sees Russia as a key trade partner for the US after the conflict. Russian sources also report that Putin and Trump discussed a prisoner exchange of 9 for 9 people and that while a personal meeting was not scheduled, both sides supported further normalization of relations. They also claim Putin noted Trump's positive role in getting Kyiv back to the negotiating table. Ukrainian sources report Trump informed Zelenskyy about the call before speaking with Putin and that Zelenskyy is awaiting a call to learn the results. A Ukrainian political scientist expresses low expectations for a diplomatic breakthrough from the call. A Ukrainian diplomat stated that territories are not a "red line" for negotiations, but preserving the army, language, and faith are. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated Ukraine will not withdraw troops from its territory or yield to Russian ultimatums, and asked Trump not to make decisions about Ukraine without Ukraine. He also mentioned that Ukraine and allies are considering a new meeting with Russia in Turkey, Vatican, or Switzerland. Zelenskyy also stated that Ukraine seeks a ceasefire as a first step and welcomed Trump's offer of an unconditional ceasefire. He also discussed with Trump the possibility of more serious US sanctions against Russia and the significant impact the US has on Putin's ability to fund the war. Zelenskyy clarified that Ukraine will not discuss abandoning its course towards NATO membership or adopting a neutral status, as these are enshrined in the Ukrainian constitution. He also stated that Ukraine is waiting for Russia's proposal for a memorandum that could lead to a peace treaty. Zelenskyy confirmed he spoke with Trump twice, including with European leaders (Macron, Meloni, Merz, Stubb, von der Leyen), discussing further steps and evaluating proposals, emphasizing the need for US involvement and outlining consequences if Russia does not cease hostilities or makes unrealistic demands. Following the call, Trump stated that he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine. Russian sources, citing The Times, assess that US sanctions against Russia now appear less likely than before the call, and that Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends. Trump also stated that he believes "some progress" was made in the call and that he is not increasing sanctions against Russia because there is a chance for peace. He also controversially stated that the conflict should have remained a European problem and the US should not have intervened, while also saying he would consider increasing arms supplies to Kyiv but believes in a settlement. Trump stated he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution.

Reports from Russian sources continue to claim tactical advances in Donetsk Oblast, specifically near Otradnoye and in Bogatyr, detailing clearing operations and the elimination of Ukrainian personnel. Russian military bloggers are now claiming advances on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering the village of Romanovka and clearing areas north of Krymske. They are also highlighting the destruction of Ukrainian equipment, including Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles, near Pokrovsk. Ukrainian sources highlight the continued effectiveness of their drone units in countering Russian armor and personnel and report successful drone strikes on Russian logistics on the Kurakhivka direction and against Russian infantry, a quad bike, and a "loaf" vehicle in Kharkiv Oblast, resulting in the detonation of an ammunition depot. They also claim the destruction of Russian drone teams and a UAV command post on the right bank of the Dnipro river using Grad MLRS and the burning of a Russian T-72B3 tank on the Lyman direction. Russian military bloggers are also highlighting the use of various military assets, including RSZO "Uragan" systems and Grad MLRS. Ukrainian sources report the Ukrainian General Staff relieved the commander of the 59th Separate Mechanized Brigade of Drone Systems, citing his order to withdraw a unit from positions due to the threat of encirclement. This decision is reportedly being attributed to both Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi and President Zelenskyy. Russian sources are now claiming Russian forces have liberated the village of Maryino in Sumy Oblast, pushing Ukrainian units back beyond the state border and beginning the creation of a "buffer zone" in Belgorod Oblast near Popovka and Demidovka. Russian military bloggers are reporting continued pressure and advances on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions, stating that the situation is becoming significantly more complicated for Ukrainian forces east and northeast of the Krasnoarmeysk agglomeration, with fighting reportedly shifting closer to Novoekonomicheskoe near Mirnograd and Russian forces moving towards Konstantinovka. Russian forces are also claiming to have captured a key Ukrainian stronghold near the settlement of Novoye, highlighting the capture of a multi-level underground fortress. Russian military blogger "Два майора" shared a video claiming that the 255th Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Guards Motorized Rifle Division is operating on the Konstantinovka direction and that this area remains one of the most dynamic in terms of Russian troop advancement. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the liberation of Novoolenovka and Maryino. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 156 combat engagements over the past day across multiple fronts, with particularly intense fighting on the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivsk, Lyman, and Toretsk directions.

The extensive Russian aerial activity is confirmed by Ukrainian sources tracking numerous drone groups across a wide swath of Ukraine and reporting on devastating KAB attacks, particularly in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and now also in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district). Russian sources also report on drone activity, including claimed destructions of Ukrainian UAVs and the use of Russian drones in offensive operations and reconnaissance. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the success of their counter-drone efforts, including the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. A Ukrainian mother was killed and her 4-year-old son injured in a Russian drone strike in Kyiv Oblast, highlighting the continued civilian impact of these attacks. Russian sources report new groups of drones on the border of Chernihiv and Sumy Oblasts. Ukrainian Air Force reports renewed launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast and a threat of enemy strike UAVs in Poltava Oblast, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Latest reports indicate Russian strike UAVs are active in central and southern Sumy Oblast (southwest/southeast course), southeastern Chernihiv Oblast (southwest course), on the border of Sumy and Poltava Oblasts (southeast course), on the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts (east course), southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (northeast course), and northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast (east course). Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Kharkiv Oblast from the east and on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Multiple groups of Russian UAVs are reported from Sumy Oblast moving towards Chernihiv Oblast. Air raid alerts have been declared across Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city), and a threat of enemy strike UAVs is reported in Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Updated information details the movement of Russian strike UAVs in central and southern Sumy Oblast (southwest/southeast course), southeastern Chernihiv Oblast (southwest course), on the border of Sumy and Poltava Oblasts (southeast course), on the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts (east course), southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (northeast course), and northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast (east course). Strike UAVs are specifically heading towards Sumy city and Myrhorod. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Kharkiv Oblast from the east and on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports continued movement of enemy strike UAVs in Poltava, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Warnings have been issued about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad. Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast (northeast course), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad (south course), northeastern Sumy Oblast (southwest course), and eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (southeast course).

Internal Russian issues, including recruitment efforts, alleged historical falsification regarding biolaboratories in Ukraine, social initiatives like promoting traditional values, and domestic security concerns (such as escaped convicts, youth conflicts, and incidents of desecration) continue to be highlighted in Russian information channels. Tensions on the Belarus-Latvia border related to migration are also reported. Propaganda efforts by both sides are evident in the dissemination of information about military actions, casualties, and diplomatic developments. Fundraising efforts continue to be highlighted by both Ukrainian and Russian sources, underscoring the reliance on public support for various military and paramilitary activities. Concerns are raised about the potential for legal action against North Korean leader Kim Jong Un at the International Criminal Court for alleged support of Russia's war efforts. A new Russian decree has been signed by Putin on state monitoring of harm caused to Russia by foreign sources, particularly related to restrictive financial measures. Claims of violations in the construction of defensive structures in Belgorod Oblast and a military serviceman facing pressure for reporting wage theft by a businessman are also being reported, highlighting potential internal issues within the Russian military and governance. Mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts due to sanctions is also being reported. An incident of alleged rape by a Russian serviceman in occupied Donetsk Oblast has been reported. A Russian politician has requested a check on Nestle baby food due to alleged issues in France. A Russian Vice Speaker of the State Duma reportedly stated that more significant constitutional changes are planned in Russia. The Israeli ground operation in Gaza continues. Belarusian authorities have initiated criminal proceedings and declared wanted 125 individuals allegedly associated with the Kastuś Kalinoŭski Regiment, a Belarusian volunteer unit fighting for Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Justice has sharply criticized the Decembrists of 1825, framing their actions as hindering reforms and the monarchy's response as "too liberal," which is a statement on internal Russian history and political thought. ТАСС reports a warning from the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs about a new fraud scheme using Telegram and that Putin proposed expanding a grant program for gifted students to sports and culture, and stated that the role of "Sirius" in Russia's development should increase. WarGonzo shares a video of a Moscow music group giving a concert in Donetsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a large cache of NATO weapons and ammunition found near Kurakhove and is fundraising for Starlink stations for Russian paratroopers. ASTRA reports the Russian Minister of Justice criticized the Decembrists of 1825. Alex Parker Returns comments on Putin's appearance after the call and is promoting a project for young people. ТАСС reports on a prosecutor's check regarding a traffic accident in Istra, Moscow Oblast, involving a moose and that Putin expressed condolences for the death of choreographer Yuri Grigorovich. Новости Москвы shares a video related to the moose incident and reports that the first humanitarian building of Moscow State University is closed for quarantine due to measles. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Kotsnews publishes a commentary on Alexander Ovechkin and supporting Donbas. Глеб Никитин reports on a cultural project linking Russian cities and featuring documentary film about the "special operation". ASTRA reports that Shaman will represent Russia at the "Intervision" music contest. Colonelcassad shares a video about accepting new members into the Pioneer organization on Red Square, highlighting a historical and potentially politically relevant event, and comments on the situation regarding embezzlement of funds for defensive structures in Belgorod Oblast. Sky News commentary suggests Trump has not significantly pressured Russia. Deputy Commander of the 3rd Assault Brigade Maksym Zhorin is urging local authorities in frontline areas to install anti-drone netting to protect roads. The Commander of OSUV "Khortytsia" and Commander of the Ground Forces of Ukraine, Mykhailo Drapatii, commented on the scandal with the 155th Separate Motorized Brigade regarding alleged business on combat payments, stating that additional checks have been appointed and there will be a "harsh crackdown" on those involved, emphasizing the need for trust between the people and the army. Russian military bloggers "Два майора" are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel, highlighting the need for enhanced protection. Following the Trump-Putin call, Russian Direct Investment Fund head Dmitriev stated that Russia and the US can be excellent partners in economic and investment cooperation. Colonelcassad comments on Pavel Durov's statements regarding French intelligence and censorship, suggesting a greater willingness to speak freely away from France. Trump has stated that he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine. The Center for Countering Disinformation at the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine has warned about the creation of fake Telegram accounts of Ukrainian officials, including President Zelenskyy, First Lady Olena Zelenska, Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak, and Head of the SBU Vasyl Maliuk, noting that some fake channels are based on renamed old cryptocurrency exchange accounts. Russian sources, citing The Times, report that US sanctions against Russia now appear less likely than before the Trump-Putin call and that Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends. Russia has reportedly appointed former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov as senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. There are reports of a "loud explosion" in Simferopol, Crimea. A Russian military blogger shares a video and text on the role of a military priest in the conflict, emphasizing themes of faith and sacrifice. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable due to the Russian constitution. A Ukrainian source shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone and the crew survived, and appeals for donations for vehicles. A Russian military blogger claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. Nestle in Russia states their baby food is safe for consumption and recalls in France do not affect the Russian market. European leaders are reportedly "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. A Russian source states that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. Cuban banks are working to start issuing "Mir" cards. Trump stated that if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe.

Changes to the Situation from New Messages:

• Russian Claims of Liberation and Military Activity: MoD Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka (Donetsk People's Republic) and Maryino (Sumy region) by units of the Tsentr and Sever Groups of Forces respectively. This is a significant claim of tactical gains by Russian forces on two different fronts. MoD Russia highlights Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. This is a propaganda effort to showcase Russian military capabilities and activity.
• Russian Naval Activity: MoD Russia reports that the large landing ship Peresvet performed artillery firing at coastal, air, and sea targets in the Sea of Japan. This is a separate naval activity unrelated to the conflict in Ukraine, but indicative of broader Russian military posture and training.
• Russian Interpretation of Putin-Trump Call: TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue between two geopolitical players." This is a Russian interpretation of the diplomatic significance of the call. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. This reinforces the Russian narrative on the preferred negotiation format. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated suggesting the Putin-Trump conversation was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt the dialogue. This is a defensive statement from the Russian side, aiming to counter any negative interpretations of the call's outcomes.
• Ukrainian Air Force Reports Reconnaissance UAVs: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, specifically in the direction of Konotop, noting they could be spotters for enemy assets and that air defense is engaged. This indicates ongoing Russian intelligence gathering and targeting efforts in these border regions.
• External Conflict Development: TASS reports that Yemeni Houthis have claimed to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa. This is a development in a separate conflict but is reported within the context of broader international events. Colonelcassad provides additional commentary on this, linking it to pressure on Israel and potential impact on US strategy.
• Updated Ukrainian Air Force Drone Tracking Data: РБК-Україна, citing the Ukrainian Air Force, provides updated tracking information on enemy kamikaze drones across multiple oblasts: northeastern Poltava (southwest/southeast course), border of Poltava and Kharkiv (southwest course), southeastern Dnipropetrovsk (northeast course), eastern Zaporizhzhia (north course), and southwestern Kharkiv (south/southeast course). It also reiterates the report of reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts and ongoing air defense work. This provides the latest details on the ongoing and widespread Russian drone attack and reconnaissance efforts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast (northeast course), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad (south course), northeastern Sumy Oblast (southwest course), and eastern Dnipropetropetrovsk Oblast (southeast course).
• Incident Involving Russian Servicemember in Russia: ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a 22-year-old Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car while intoxicated and struck two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. He is reported to be a participant in the war in Ukraine. This highlights potential internal issues within the Russian military related to discipline and servicemen returning from the front.
• Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Putin-Trump Call: Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call, suggesting that Ukraine's "former owners" will "give them up" by autumn/winter, that Trump wants to make money, and that Zelenskyy was uncomfortable with "warm signals" exchanged. The commentary attributes any strong Russian position in the dialogue to the actions of the Russian army on the front. This offers a Russian military blogger's perspective on the high-level talks and the future trajectory of the conflict, framed within a narrative of Russian military effectiveness and perceived Western disinterest in Ukraine.
• US Interpretation of Putin-Trump Call: TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust, according to Senator Vance. This highlights a point of view on the future of Russia-West relations following the conflict. РБК-Україна reports that Trump believes "some progress" was made during his two-and-a-half-hour conversation with Putin. He described the situation as "terrible," with significant casualties, and mentioned speaking with European leaders to try and resolve it. This offers Trump's perspective on the outcomes, suggesting a cautious optimism but acknowledging the severity of the conflict. TASS reports that Trump stated the conflict on Ukraine should have remained a problem for Europe and the US should not have interfered. TASS reports that Trump stated he would consider increasing arms supplies to Kyiv but believes in a settlement. TASS reports that Trump stated he is not increasing sanctions against Russia because there is a chance for peace. These statements from Trump provide further insight into his views and potential approach to the conflict. Trump stated he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Colonelcassad report that Trump stated if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe.
• Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's Statement on Memorandum: TASS reports that Zelenskyy stated Ukraine can sign a memorandum with Russia regarding conflict settlement, following his call with Trump. This indicates a potential step towards a diplomatic resolution, focusing on a preliminary document.
• Ukrainian General Staff Operational Update: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update for the past day (up to 22:00) reporting 156 combat engagements, 50 aviation strikes (100 КАБs), 1117 kamikaze drones used, and 4146 shellings. It details Russian offensive actions and Ukrainian defensive operations on various fronts, including Kharkiv (2 attacks), Kupiansk (3 attacks), Lyman (22 attacks, one ongoing), Siversk (4 assaults), Kramatorsk (6 attacks), Toretsk (13 engagements, three ongoing), Pokrovsk (59 attacks), Novopavlivsk (16 attacks, one ongoing), Hulyaipilske (aviation strikes, no engagements), Orikhiv (4 attacks), Prydniprovskyi (1 attempted advance). It also reports preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable, plus equipment losses), highlights successful Ukrainian units (65th Mechanized Brigade, 79th Border Detachment, 17th National Guard Regiment), reports Russian aviation strikes with guided bombs on Novopavlivsk, Novopil, Hulyaipole, Malynivka, Stepnohirsk, and Kozatske, and reports 10 Russian attacks repelled on the Kursk direction with aviation strikes (11 with 26 КАБs) and artillery/MLRS fire. This provides a comprehensive and updated picture of the intensity and distribution of military activity across the front lines, confirming a high level of Russian activity and Ukrainian resistance.
• Russian Military Blogger Claim of Equipment Destruction near Pokrovsk: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces ("🅾️тважные" group) destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk on May 18th. This is a propaganda piece highlighting claimed Russian effectiveness against Western-supplied equipment in a key area of intense fighting.
• Colonelcassad Claim of North Korean SAU Use: Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast where a North Korean contingent is reportedly operating. This suggests the potential involvement of North Korean equipment and personnel in the conflict, particularly in border regions.
• Internal Russian Legal Development: TASS reports that the prosecution is requesting a 19-year prison sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case. This is an internal Russian legal development affecting a high-ranking military figure.
• Ukrainian Military Equipment Highlighted: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 "Berest" in service with the 36th Marine Brigade. It discusses planned modernizations of this system. This is a piece of information showcasing Ukrainian military equipment and capabilities, particularly a modified system in active service.
• Russian Political Appointment: TASS reports that former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov will become a senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. This is an internal Russian political development.
• Reported Explosion in Crimea: РБК-Україна reports, citing Crimean sources, of a "loud explosion in Simferopol." This suggests potential Ukrainian activity or an incident in occupied Crimea.
• Russian Information Operation/Propaganda: Военкор Котенок shares a video and text promoting a military priest, emphasizing themes of faith and sacrifice, and the role of prisoners in the conflict. This is a Russian information operation aimed at boosting morale and shaping narratives. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable due to the Russian constitution. This is a Russian strategic communication effort to frame their position on negotiations.
• Ukrainian Military Blogger Appeal for Donations: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone and the crew survived, and appeals for donations for vehicles. This highlights the continued need for and impact on military vehicles and the reliance on public support for resourcing.
• Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Ukrainian Stance: НгП раZVедка claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. This is a Russian military blogger's interpretation of Ukrainian statements and a potential narrative being pushed regarding Ukrainian force generation.
• European Leaders' Reaction to Trump-Putin Call: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. This highlights international reactions to the high-level diplomatic engagement and potential concerns among Ukraine's allies.
• Russian Statement on US-Russia Economic Partnership: Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. This is a Russian perspective on potential economic outcomes of improved US-Russia relations.
• Cuban Banks to Issue "Mir" Cards: TASS reports that Cuban banks are working to start issuing "Mir" cards. This is a minor development related to Russia's efforts to expand its payment system internationally, potentially to circumvent sanctions, but not directly related to the military situation in Ukraine.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast (Alexandropol, Bogatyr, Otradnoye, Novaya Poltavka, Dzerzhynsk, Konstantinovka, Romanovka, Krymske, Pokrovsk, Kurakhivka, Lyman, Novoye, Novoolenovka, Myroлюбівка, Звірове, Єлизаветівка, Малинівка, Лисівка, Удачне, Новосергіївка, Троїцьке, Котлярівка, Андріївка, Зоря, Новоукраїнка, Стара Миколаївка, Шевченко Перше, Попів Яр, Мирноград, Новомиколаївка, Ямполівка, Копанки, Новомихайлівка, Зелена Долина, Торське, Глущенкове, Карпівки, Серебрянка, Ямполь, Григорівки, Нового Миру, Рідкодуба, Ольгівки, Верхньокам’янського, Білогорівки, Часового Яру, Білої Гори, Курдюмівки, Предтечиного, Торецька, Новоспаського, Диліївки, Іванопілля, Костянтинополя, Привільного, Рівнополя, Вільного Поля, Новополя, Темирівка): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. Russia claims the liberation of Alexandropol and Bogatyr and claims advances on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering Romanovka and clearing areas north of Krymske. Ukrainian forces are actively defending and using drones effectively. Russia claims strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points. A large cache of NATO weapons was reportedly found near Kurakhove. Russia claims capturing a key Ukrainian stronghold near Novoye. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Donetsk Oblast. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs are reported in the west of Donetsk Oblast. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles in the Pokrovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces captured a key Ukrainian stronghold near Novoye, describing it as a multi-level underground fortress. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming a Russian T-72B3 tank was burned on the Lyman direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian quad bikes and a motorcycle, including on the Kurakhivka direction. Два майора shares a video claiming the 255th Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment is operating on the Konstantinovka direction and that it remains one of the most dynamic. Воин DV shares a video featuring a soldier who participated in the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian activity and claims in this area. MoD Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 59 attacks on the Pokrovsk direction, 16 attacks on the Novopavlivsk direction, 22 attacks on the Lyman direction (one ongoing), 4 assaults on the Siversk direction, 6 attacks on the Kramatorsk direction, 13 combat engagements on the Toretsk direction (three ongoing), and details Russian aviation strikes with guided bombs on Темирівка, Новопіль, and other locations. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast but relevant to Russian force composition. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Воин DV, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Два майора, Народная милиция ДНР, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, Colonelcassad, MoD Russia, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia area, Velikaya Chernetchina, Sumy city, Maryino, Konotop): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity, including claimed "Geran" strikes and drone movements. Russian strike UAVs are active in central and southern Sumy Oblast (southwest/southeast course) and on the border of Sumy and Poltava Oblasts (southeast course), with some heading towards Sumy city. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Multiple groups of Russian UAVs are reported from Sumy Oblast moving towards Chernihiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) MoD Russia claims the liberation of Maryino. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast, specifically in the direction of Konotop. РБК-Україна, citing the Ukrainian Air Force, reiterates the report of reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new strike UAVs on the northeastern Sumy Oblast, course southwest. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, MoD Russia, РБК-Україна)
• Kharkiv Oblast (Lyptsi, Kharkiv city, Кутьківки, Загризового, Піщаного): Affected by Russian aerial activity and ground assaults. Enemy reconnaissance UAVs are reported in the north of Kharkiv Oblast. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Kharkiv Oblast from the east. Enemy strike UAVs are active on the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts (east course) and are a threat to Kharkiv Oblast. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Kharkiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 2 attacks on the Kharkiv direction and 3 offensive actions on the Kupiansk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report enemy strike UAVs on the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts and southwestern Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs on the south of Kharkiv Oblast, course northeast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
• Odesa Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district, Myrhorod, Павлоград, Степового): Affected by Russian aerial activity, including KAB strikes and drone movements. Enemy strike UAVs are active in southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (northeast course) and are a threat to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with some heading towards Myrhorod. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report enemy strike UAVs on the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 4 attacks on the Orikhiv direction (towards Степового). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs on Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad, course south, and strike UAVs on the east of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, course southeast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Tetkino area, Borisovka, Borisovsky district): Affected by Ukrainian cross-border attacks and claimed Russian defensive actions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 10 Russian attacks repelled on the Kursk direction with aviation strikes and artillery/MLRS fire. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Colonelcassad)
• Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Borisovka, Borisovsky district): Affected by Ukrainian drone attacks. Embezzlement of funds for defensive structures reported. Два майора reports that a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. (Два майора)
• Crimea (Dzhankoy, northern part, Simferopol): Experiencing a massive Ukrainian drone attack overnight. РБК-Україна reports a loud explosion in Simferopol. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, ТАСС, Два майора, ASTRA, РБК-Україна)
• Dagestan (Russia) (Dokuzparinsky district): Affected by a rockfall causing gas supply disruption.
• Black Sea (Novorossiysk area): Potential threat of enemy uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) warned. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine share a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
• Kolomna (Russia): Location of the incident involving the death of an Iskander missile developer due to a domestic dispute.
• Uzhhorod area: Location where an individual attempting to cross the border into Slovakia on a monowheel was detained.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Hulyaipole, Malynivka, Степогірськ): Affected by Russian aerial activity, including KAB strikes and drone movements. Air raid alert issued in communities except for Zaporizhzhia city due to air activity. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Enemy strike UAVs are active in northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast (east course) and are a threat to Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alert declared across Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city). Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report enemy strike UAVs on eastern Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports aviation strikes on Hulyaipole and Malynivka. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Chernihiv Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. Enemy strike UAVs are active in southeastern Chernihiv Oblast (southwest course). Multiple groups of Russian UAVs are reported from Sumy Oblast moving towards Chernihiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast. РБК-Україна, citing the Ukrainian Air Force, reiterates the report of reconnaissance UAVs in Chernihiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна)
• Poltava Oblast (Myrhorod): Affected by Russian aerial activity. Enemy strike UAVs are active on the border of Sumy and Poltava Oblasts (southeast course) and on the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts (east course), and are a threat to Poltava Oblast, with some heading towards Myrhorod. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Poltava Oblast, with some heading towards Myrhorod. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report enemy strike UAVs on northeastern Poltava Oblast and the border of Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна)
• Kyiv Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Kyiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
• Prokopyevsk (Russia): Location of an incident involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls. ASTRA reports on this incident. (ASTRA)
• Haifa Port (Israel): Location of a claimed naval blockade by Yemeni Houthis. TASS reports on this claim. Colonelcassad provides additional commentary on this. (TASS, Colonelcassad)
• Sea of Japan: Location of drills by the Russian large landing ship Peresvet. MoD Russia reports on these drills. (MoD Russia)
• Kozatske (Kherson Oblast): Location where Russian forces reportedly struck with guided bombs. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports this. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Pavlohrad (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Location where enemy strike UAVs are reportedly heading. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards here. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs southwest of Pavlohrad, course south. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
• Arkhangelsk Oblast (Russia): Location where former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov is reportedly appointed as senator. TASS reports on this. (ТАСС)
• Cuba: TASS reports that Cuban banks are working to start issuing "Mir" cards. (ТАСС)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Extremely high and widespread Russian drone activity overnight, with 62 launched and 36 claimed downed. Russia claims downing 80 aircraft-type Ukrainian drones over the past day and destroying Ukrainian UAVs over Bogatyr and Crimea. Russia claims successful "Geran" strikes on Ukrainian staging areas and FPV drone strikes against Ukrainian infantry and an ammunition depot. Ukrainian border guards used a camera trap to detect an individual attempting to cross the border on a monowheel. Ukrainian forces are using drones effectively against Russian armor and personnel. Ukrainian forces claim destroying Russian drone teams and a UAV command post using Grad MLRS. Ukrainian forces claim destroying a Russian T-72B3 tank, potentially with a drone. Russia claims capturing a key Ukrainian stronghold near Novoye. Latest reports indicate Russian strike UAVs are active across Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Ukrainian forces are using drones against Russian quad bikes and a motorcycle. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment, including drones and anti-drone systems. Deputy Commander of 3rd Assault Brigade urges installation of anti-drone netting. Enemy strike UAVs are a threat to Kyiv Oblast. Multiple groups of Russian UAVs are reported from Sumy Oblast moving towards Chernihiv Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Воин DV, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Два майора, Народная милиция ДНР, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, Colonelcassad) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 1117 kamikaze drones were used by Russia over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна provide updated tracking information on enemy kamikaze drones across multiple oblasts and report enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk, likely involving drone use. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine share a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone. РБК-Україна reports a loud explosion in Simferopol, Crimea, which could be related to drone activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad, northeastern Sumy Oblast, and eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
• Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces, including on Donetsk, Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Russia claims downing 7 JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast. (ТАСС, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 100 guided aerial bombs were used by Russia over the past day and details Russian aviation strikes with guided bombs on Темирівка, Новопіль, Hulyaipole, Malynivka, Stepnohirsk, and Kozatske, and 26 КАБs used on the Kursk direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Aviation Activity: Active Russian tactical aviation on eastern, southeastern, and northeastern directions with threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Russian tactical aviation is launching КАБs on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 50 aviation strikes by Russia over the past day and details strikes on various locations, including 11 aviation strikes on the Kursk direction. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Missile Activity: Russia claims downing one HIMARS rocket over the past day. (ТАСС)
• Naval Activity: Potential threat of enemy uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) near Novorossiysk warned. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) MoD Russia reports that the large landing ship Peresvet performed artillery firing at coastal, air, and sea targets in the Sea of Japan. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine share a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. TASS reports that Yemeni Houthis have claimed to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa. Colonelcassad provides additional commentary on this. (MoD Russia, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, TASS, Colonelcassad)
• Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense actively engaged against the large-scale Russian drone attack, claiming 36 downed. Russia claims downing 80 Ukrainian drones and other aerial weapons. Russian air defense is active against Ukrainian drones targeting Crimea. Ukrainian air defense is engaged against incoming Russian strike UAVs across multiple oblasts. Deputy Commander of 3rd Assault Brigade urges installation of anti-drone netting. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны) Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports ongoing air defense work against reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces struck one enemy air defense asset. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery and MLRS use. Russia claims downing one HIMARS rocket. Russian forces used Grad MLRS to destroy Ukrainian drone teams. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports on a large cache of NATO weapons and ammunition near Kurakhove, including artillery and mortar shells. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 4146 shellings by Russia over the past day, including 202 artillery shellings (7 from MLRS) on the Kursk direction. MoD Russia highlights a Grad MLRS crew in action. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, MoD Russia)
• Electronic Warfare (EW): Ukrainian air defense efforts included the use of EW. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces destroyed one enemy EW station. MoD Russia claims FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, MoD Russia)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Putin discussed the Istanbul negotiations with Tokayev. Erdogan stated the conflict cannot be resolved militarily and Turkey will continue efforts for a settlement. Concerns are raised about the potential impact of Trump's stance on negotiations and the lack of a mediator for Ukrainian interests. The Trump-Putin call concluded with both sides expressing some optimism about potential negotiations. Zelenskyy stated Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums, desires a ceasefire as a first step, and is considering future meetings in Turkey, Vatican, or Switzerland. Ukraine will not discuss abandoning its NATO course or neutral status. Ukraine is waiting for Russia's proposal for a memorandum. Zelenskyy spoke with Trump twice, including with European leaders, discussing next steps and evaluating proposals. Trump stated there is "some progress" in the Russia-Ukraine settlement. Trump stated he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine. Following the Trump-Putin call, Russian Direct Investment Fund head Dmitriev stated that Russia and the US can be excellent partners in economic and investment cooperation. Colonelcassad comments on Pavel Durov's statements regarding French intelligence and censorship, suggesting a greater willingness to speak freely away from France. Trump has stated that he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine. The Center for Countering Disinformation at the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine has warned about the creation of fake Telegram accounts of Ukrainian officials, including President Zelenskyy, First Lady Olena Zelenska, Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak, and Head of the SBU Vasyl Maliuk, noting that some fake channels are based on renamed old cryptocurrency exchange accounts. Russian sources, citing The Times, report that US sanctions against Russia now appear less likely than before the Trump-Putin call and that Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends. TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue." TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call. TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated the Putin-Trump conversation showed mutual understanding and a focus on developing dialogue. РБК-Україна reports that Trump believes "some progress" was made during his call with Putin. TASS reports that Zelenskyy stated Ukraine can sign a memorandum with Russia regarding conflict settlement. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated suggesting the Putin-Trump conversation was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt the dialogue. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable. Trump stated he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Colonelcassad report that Trump stated if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe. (ТАСС, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• Russia-Kazakhstan Relations: Putin's phone call with Tokayev to discuss the Istanbul negotiations. (ТАСС)
• Russia-Turkey Relations: Erdogan's statement on the impossibility of a military solution and Turkey's continued efforts for a settlement, including the role of the Istanbul negotiations. (ТАСС)
• Russia-United States Relations: Concerns raised about the potential impact of Trump's stance on negotiations and the lack of a mediator for Ukrainian interests. The Trump-Putin call concluded with both sides expressing some optimism. Trump commented on the call and potential progress. Trump stated there is "some progress" in the Russia-Ukraine settlement. European leaders reportedly agreed to increase sanctions on Russia after the Trump-Putin call, indicating a coordinated response. Trump stated he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine. Head of RDIF Dmitriev stated that Russia and the US can be excellent partners for economic and investment cooperation. Russian sources, citing The Times, report US sanctions against Russia appear less likely than before the call, and Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends. (Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, Басурин о главном) TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue." TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call. TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated the Putin-Trump conversation showed mutual understanding and a focus on developing dialogue. РБК-Україна reports that Trump believes "some progress" was made during his call with Putin. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated suggesting the Putin-Trump conversation was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt the dialogue. ТАСС reports that Trump stated the conflict on Ukraine should have remained a problem for Europe and the US should not have interfered. ТАСС reports that Trump stated he would consider increasing arms supplies to Kyiv but believes in a settlement. ТАСС reports that Trump stated he is not increasing sanctions against Russia because there is a chance for peace. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are " ошеломлены" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. Trump stated he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Colonelcassad report that Trump stated if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe. (ТАСС, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad)
• Russia-Abkhazia and South Ossetia Relations: Putin signed a decree simplifying Russian citizenship for citizens of these regions. (ТАСС)
• Support for Ukraine from Local Authorities: Detailed report from Kryvyi Rih on significant material and technical assistance provided to various military units and services. (Олександр Вілкул)
• Internal Russian Politics: Legislative initiative to expedite housing for military personnel. Simplified Russian citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Report on a domestic dispute involving an Iskander missile developer. Putin proposed expanding grant programs to sports and culture and commented on "Sirius". Reports of scandal in Vologda Oblast, fraud scheme in Telegram, and potential constitutional changes. Russian Minister of Justice criticized the Decembrists. Cultural project linking Russian cities. Russian representative at Intervision contest announced. Accepting new members into Pioneer organization on Red Square. Putin expressed condolences for choreographer. Measles outbreak in Moscow. Prosecutor's check on moose incident. Commentary on Alexander Ovechkin. Embezzlement of funds for defensive structures in Belgorod. War-themed poem shared. Head of RDIF Dmitriev stated that Russia and the US can be excellent partners in economic and investment cooperation. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ASTRA, Глеб Никитин, Colonelcassad, Новости Москвы, Kotsnews, WarGonzo) TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue." TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call. TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated the Putin-Trump conversation showed mutual understanding and a focus on developing dialogue. TASS reports that the prosecution is requesting a 19-year prison sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case. ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk. TASS reports that former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov will become a senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable. (ТАСС, Два майора, ASTRA, Colonelcassad)
• Humanitarian Issues: Attempt to evade military service by crossing the border on a monowheel highlights the impact of the conflict and mobilization on individuals. Ukrainian General Staff conducting a survey on financial literacy for military, veterans, and their families. Civilian casualties from Russian attacks continue. Prisoner exchanges are being discussed. FATALITY and injuries from Russian shelling in Sumy Oblast. (Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Басурин о главном) ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk. TASS reports that Yemeni Houthis have claimed to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa. (ASTRA, TASS)
• International Pressure: US and Europe will strengthen sanctions if Russia does not negotiate in good faith. European leaders reportedly agreed to increase sanctions on Russia after the Trump-Putin call. Europe will increase pressure on Moscow with sanctions, according to German Chancellor Merz. Russian sources, citing The Times, report US sanctions against Russia appear less likely than before the Trump-Putin call, and Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, Басурин о главном, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦) ТАСС reports that Trump stated he is not increasing sanctions against Russia because there is a chance for peace. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. (ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• Belarus-Latvia Tensions: Ongoing tensions and humanitarian concerns on the border. (Два майора)
• Potential ICC Action: Potential for an International Criminal Court arrest warrant for North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. (РБК-Україна)
• Russian Decree on Foreign Harm Monitoring: Putin signed a decree on state monitoring of harm caused by foreign sources. (ТАСС, ASTRA, Colonelcassad)
• Ukrainian Counter-Propaganda: Satirical video about burying Russian paratroopers and photo message about turning Russia into a museum exhibit. (БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Оперативний ЗСУ)
• Ukrainian Expert Assessment: Assessment that Russia currently lacks sufficient forces for a massive offensive on Sumy Oblast. (РБК-Україна)
• Ukrainian Adaptation and Modernization: Efforts to adapt and modernize military vehicles with public support. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 "Berest" in service with the 36th Marine Brigade and discusses planned modernizations. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
• Polish Presidential Election: Analysis of the first round. (РБК-Україна, Рыбарь)
• Romanian Presidential Election: Analysis of the second round and record voter turnout abroad. (Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Оперативний ЗСУ, Colonelcassad, ASTRA, НгП раZVедка, РБК-Україна)
• Alleged War Crimes: Report of alleged rape by a Russian serviceman in occupied Donetsk Oblast. (ASTRA)
• Belarusian Action Against Volunteers: Belarusian authorities initiating criminal proceedings and declaring wanted individuals associated with the Kastuś Kalinoŭski Regiment, a Belarusian volunteer unit fighting for Ukraine. (РБК-Україна)
• Internal Ukrainian Military Issues: Report on the relief of the Commander of the 59th Separate Mechanized Brigade of Drone Systems. Commander of OSUV "Khortytsia" and Commander of the Ground Forces of Ukraine, Mykhailo Drapatii, commented on the scandal with the 155th Separate Motorized Brigade regarding alleged business on combat payments, promising a "harsh crackdown" on those involved, emphasizing the need for trust between the people and the army. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦)
• Information Operations Targeting Ukrainian Officials: РБК-Україна reports a warning from the Center for Countering Disinformation about the creation of fake Telegram accounts impersonating Ukrainian officials, including President Zelenskyy, First Lady Olena Zelenska, Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak, and Head of the SBU Vasyl Maliuk. (РБК-Україна)
• Colonelcassad Comments on Durov's Statements and Censorship: Colonelcassad comments on Pavel Durov's statements regarding alleged attempts by French intelligence to establish censorship in Telegram. (Colonelcassad)
• Situation in Israel: TASS reports that Yemeni Houthis have claimed to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa. Colonelcassad provides additional commentary on this. (TASS, Colonelcassad)
• Cuban Banks to Issue "Mir" Cards: TASS reports that Cuban banks are working to start issuing "Mir" cards. (ТАСС)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated)

• Internal Security: Internal legal proceedings continue. Criminal cases initiated for remote fraud in Khabarovsk Krai. Incident of women singing the Russian anthem unclothed in Yeysk and police investigation. ТАСС reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa in Moscow and the closure of the case against Morgenstern. Полиция Хабаровского края reports two criminal cases for remote fraud. ASTRA reports on the incident in Yeysk and police investigation. TASS reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. TASS reports a fatal accident involving a gymnast in Magnitogorsk. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot, relevant to internal Russian mobilization processes. TASS reports the FSB prevented planned attacks on police by minors in Stavropolye. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, ТАСС, ASTRA, Полиция Хабаровского края) ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a 22-year-old Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car while intoxicated and struck two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. TASS reports that the prosecution is requesting a 19-year prison sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case. (ASTRA, TASS)
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim systematic destruction of Ukrainian strongholds and advances in Donetsk Oblast. Russian aviation is active in border regions. Russian forces are utilizing extensive aerial assets, particularly a large number of strike drones, across numerous Ukrainian oblasts. Russian forces claim downing a large number of Ukrainian UAVs and guided bombs. Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat across multiple fronts, including making claimed advances. Russian soldier claims to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with hand. Discovery of foreign-made mines in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports Russian forces are systematically destroying Ukrainian strongholds near Rekodub, DNR, and have made advances north and south. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on military activity across multiple fronts, including enemy aviation strikes, drone use, and shellings, and reports estimated Russian losses. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights combat statistics. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports on Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast using KABs and drones. AV БогомаZ reports eight Ukrainian UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast. ASTRA and ТАСС report 35 UAVs shot down over Russia and Crimea. ТАСС reports the discovery of over 100 German anti-tank mines in a village in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a Russian soldier claimed to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with his hand in Novoaleksandrovka. WarGonzo provides detailed reports on the Donetsk, Chasov Yar, Sumy, and Novopavlivka directions, claiming Russian advances and repelled Ukrainian attacks. Fighterbomber discusses what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps. Butusov Plus shares a video featuring Adam Kadyrov inspecting troops but allegedly not participating in fighting near Pokrovsk, highlighting propaganda and internal military dynamics. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports ongoing Russian artillery, kamikaze drone, and aerial attacks on settlements near the frontline in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports 590 kamikaze drone strikes and almost 300 drone drops over the past day in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports Russian artillery attacks on frontline territories of Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports nine Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South, using two guided aerial bombs (KABs) and a hundred unguided aerial missiles (NAR). Desantno-shturmovi viyska ZSU reports repelling a Russian assault on May 14th involving motorcycles, light armored vehicles, and a tank, indicating specific Russian tactical approaches. TASS reports that Pushilin believes the liberation of Bogatyr will impact Ukrainian actions and may lead to troop reallocation from Krasnoarmeysk. TASS also reports Russian advances on the Krasnolimansky direction. MoD Russia shares a video claiming FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian communication and EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. Butusov Plus shares a video claiming to show Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on 35 Ukrainian UAVs being shot down over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) MoD Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka and Maryino. MoD Russia highlights Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 156 combat engagements over the past day and details Russian offensive actions and Ukrainian defensive operations on various fronts, reporting preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel plus equipment) and highlighting successful Ukrainian units. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. (MoD Russia, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad)
• Casualties: Civilian casualties reported in Belgorod Oblast due to claimed Ukrainian drone attack. Claims of civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast within a Russian information operation. Civilian casualties reported in the South due to Russian aggression. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, injuring the driver. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming to provide evidence of Ukrainian "atrocities" in the Sudzha area of Kursk Oblast, including alleged shootings and shelling by Ukrainian forces resulting in deaths. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports two civilian deaths and six injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian aggression. ASTRA reports two people were injured as a result of Russian drone attacks on Sumy Oblast. (Два майора, Colonelcassad, Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy, ASTRA) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports preliminary Russian personnel losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable) over the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian sources continue to promote narratives of military success and criticize Ukrainian actions, including through the promotion of alleged Ukrainian "atrocities" in Kursk Oblast. Russian military bloggers provide frontline summaries and discuss military topics. Russian sources are highlighting the claimed effectiveness of their air defense and drone capabilities. Incident of women singing the Russian anthem unclothed in Yeysk and police investigation is being reported, potentially for sensationalism or to highlight perceived moral issues. ТАСС reports, citing Andrey Marochko, on Russian military actions, which serves as information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming to provide "evidence of the atrocities of the Kyiv regime in the Kursk Oblast," which is a clear and active information operation. Операция Z: Russian Military Correspondents reports on the Bloomberg article regarding Putin's confidence and its implications for Trump talks, framing it from a Russian perspective. Два майора reports on the Bloomberg article from a Russian perspective. ASTRA reports on the discussion among European leaders and Trump. Рыбарь provides a summary of events in Black Africa. ТАСС reports on Elon Musk's support for Pavel Durov. ASTRA reports on the proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists. ТАСС reports a Russian soldier claimed to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with his hand in Novoaleksandrovka, likely for propaganda. WarGonzo provides frontline summaries from a Russian perspective. Fighterbomber discusses what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports on Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast, highlighting the impact on civilians and infrastructure, which is part of the Ukrainian narrative. ASTRA reports on the incident in Yeysk and police investigation, which could be used in information operations. Butusov Plus shares a video featuring Adam Kadyrov inspecting troops, highlighting internal Russian dynamics and potentially propaganda. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports on Russian military activities and their impact on civilians in the South from a Ukrainian perspective, highlighting enemy attacks and Ukrainian successes. РБК-Україна reports on an interview discussing Polish elections and relations with Ukraine, offering a Ukrainian perspective on a key international relationship. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Starmer discussed the war with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany ahead of Trump's call with Putin, presenting a Ukrainian perspective on high-level diplomacy. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot, relevant to internal Russian mobilization processes and potentially military personnel. Colonelcassad provides a critical commentary on the Romanian elections, contributing to the Russian information operation regarding Western democracy. TASS reports that Pushilin believes the liberation of Bogatyr will impact Ukrainian actions and may lead to troop reallocation from Krasnoarmeysk. TASS also reports Russian advances on the Krasnolimansky direction. MoD Russia shares a video claiming FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian communication and EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr, which serves as information operation to highlight Russian effectiveness. Butusov Plus shares a video claiming to show Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on 35 Ukrainian UAVs being shot down over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) MoD Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka and Maryino. MoD Russia highlights military assets in action. TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue." Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call and the future of the conflict. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated the Putin-Trump conversation showed mutual understanding and a focus on developing dialogue. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated suggesting the Putin-Trump conversation was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt the dialogue. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок shares a video and text promoting a military priest, emphasizing themes of faith and sacrifice. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable. НгП раZVедка claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. (MoD Russia, ТАСС, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок, НгП раZVедка)
• Judicial System: Legal proceedings against individuals are reported. ТАСС reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa in Moscow on fraud charges. ТАСС reports the closure of the case against Morgenstern. Полиция Хабаровского края reports two criminal cases for remote fraud. ASTRA reports on the incident in Yeysk and police investigation. TASS reports the FSB prevented planned attacks on police by minors in Stavropolye. (ТАСС, Полиция Хабаровского края, ASTRA) TASS reports that the prosecution is requesting a 19-year prison sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case. (TASS)
• Social Policy: Proposed law on increasing pensions for dependents. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support. ТАСС reports on the proposed law on pensions. ASTRA reports on the proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists. TASS reports on average salaries in Russia. (ТАСС, ASTRA)
• Khabarovsk Krai (Amur district): Location of initiated criminal cases regarding remote fraud. Полиция Хабаровского края reports two criminal cases for remote fraud. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
• Yeysk (Krasnodar Krai, Russia): Location of incident involving women singing the Russian anthem unclothed and police investigation. ASTRA reports on this. (ASTRA)
• Kalmykia (Russia): Location of a fatal traffic accident. TASS reports on this. (ТАСС)
• Magnitogorsk (Russia): Location of a fatal accident involving a gymnast. TASS reports on this. (ТАСС)
• Vologda Oblast (Russia): Location of a scandal involving the daughter of a district head. ASTRA reports on this. (ASTRA)
• Mobilization and Recruitment: Information on a bot for reporting on mobilization and conscripts is provided. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot. Kotsnews reports on The New York Times coverage of the need for more soldiers on the front in Ukraine and efforts to attract more women to military service. (Mobilization | News | Srochniki, Kotsnews) ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. НгП раZVедка claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. (ASTRA, НгП раZVедка)
• Stavropolye (Russia): Location where the FSB prevented planned attacks on police by minors. TASS reports on this. (TASS)
• Prokopyevsk (Russia): Location of an incident involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls. ASTRA reports on this incident. (ASTRA)
• Arkhangelsk Oblast (Russia): Location where former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov is reportedly appointed as senator. TASS reports on this. (ТАСС)
• Cuba: TASS reports that Cuban banks are working to start issuing "Mir" cards. (ТАСС)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Military Support (Ukraine): International military aid continues, including the confirmed shipment of Abrams tanks from Australia. Fundraising for FPV drones is ongoing. Ukraine is actively engaged in defense and counter-drone operations. Support for military personnel from regional administrations. РБК-Україна reports Abrams tanks from Australia arrived in Ukraine. STERNENKO is appealing for donations for FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on Ukrainian defense and counter-offensive actions. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights combat statistics and Ukrainian strikes. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports active air defense. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports on ongoing drone attacks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Australia sent Abrams tanks to Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Abrams M1A1 from Australia are in transit. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports on Ukrainian defense actions and enemy losses in the South. Desantno-shturmovi viyska ZSU reports repelling a Russian assault. Shef Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on successful Ukrainian fundraising efforts, listing donated items (gilza - shell casing), thanking donors. Oleksandr Vilkul commemorates World Family Doctor Day, highlighting the role of doctors in Kryvyi Rih and noting that 15 are currently on the front line. The Ukrainian General Staff presents a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, highlighting a past strategic success. STERNENKO promotes a fundraising initiative for FPV drones through the sale of limited edition knives. Butusov Plus shares a video claiming to show Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. RBC-Ukraine shares a video claiming the SBU used drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a captured Russian soldier from the Kherson direction (Dacha area). (РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy, Desantno-shturmovi viyska ZSU, Shef Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Oleksandr Вілкул, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Butusov Plus) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports highlighting successful Ukrainian units (65th Mechanized Brigade, 79th Border Detachment, 17th National Guard Regiment). Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 "Berest" in service with the 36th Marine Brigade. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone and the crew survived, and appeals for donations for vehicles. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
• Military Support (Russia): Russian forces are actively engaged in ground combat and utilizing extensive aerial assets, artillery, and potentially MLRS, indicating ongoing military support for their operations. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support. Fundraising for equipment is ongoing. ТАСС reports Russian forces are systematically destroying Ukrainian strongholds near Rekodub, DNR, and have made advances north and south. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on military activity across multiple fronts. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights combat statistics. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports on Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast. WarGonzo provides frontline summaries claiming Russian advances and repelled Ukrainian attacks. ТАСС reports the discovery of over 100 German anti-tank mines in a village in Kursk Oblast, which could be presented as a justification for Russian military actions. ASTRA reports on the proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists. Butusov Plus shares a video featuring Adam Kadyrov inspecting troops, relevant to military leadership. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports on Russian military activities in the South. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot, relevant to internal Russian mobilization processes and potentially military personnel. MoD Russia shares a video claiming FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian communication and EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr, highlighting Russian capabilities. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) MoD Russia highlights military assets in action, including Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones. (MoD Russia)
• Civilian Support (Ukraine): Civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure reported due to Russian strikes. Commemoration of fallen defenders and historical events. Support from regional administrations. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report six drone hits in the Shostka community, damaging infrastructure and injuring a civilian. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports civilian casualties and extensive damage to civilian and agricultural infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian strikes. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports FPV drone strikes affecting civilians in Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports civilian deaths and injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian aggression. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South, using two guided aerial bombs (KABs) and a hundred unguided aerial missiles (NAR). Oleksandr Vilkul commemorates World Family Doctor Day, highlighting the role of doctors in civilian life and noting those on the front line. ASTRA reports two people were injured as a result of Russian drone attacks on Sumy Oblast, with damage to infrastructure and a vehicle. (Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Олег Синєгубов, Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy, Oleksandr Вілкул, ASTRA)
• Civilian Support (Russia): Civilian casualties reported in Belgorod Oblast due to claimed Ukrainian drone attack. Claims of civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast within a Russian information operation. Civilian casualties reported in the South due to Russian aggression. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, injuring the driver. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming to provide evidence of Ukrainian "atrocities" in the Sudzha area of Kursk Oblast, including alleged shootings and shelling by Ukrainian forces resulting in deaths. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports two civilian deaths and six injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian aggression. ASTRA reports two people were injured as a result of Russian drone attacks on Sumy Oblast. (Два майора, Colonelcassad, Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy, ASTRA) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports preliminary Russian personnel losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable) over the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Support for Military Personnel (Russia): Proposed law on increasing pensions for dependents. Proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists for military support. Fundraising for equipment is ongoing. ТАСС reports on the proposed law on pensions. ASTRA reports on the proposed law to confiscate income of "foreign agent" artists. ТАСС reports a Russian soldier claimed to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with hand in Novoaleksandrovka, likely for propaganda to highlight bravery and resilience. Butusov Plus shares a video featuring Adam Kadyrov inspecting troops, relevant to internal military dynamics. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot, relevant to internal Russian mobilization processes and potentially military personnel. (ТАСС, ASTRA, Бутусов_Плюс, Mobilization | Новости | Срочники) ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. (ASTRA)
• Ukrainian Commemorative Practices: The Ukrainian General Staff presents a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, serving as a commemoration of a strategic success. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
• Military Medical Support (Ukraine): Oleksandr Vilkul commemorates World Family Doctor Day, highlighting the role of doctors and noting that 15 from Kryvyi Rih are on the front line, underscoring medical support for military personnel. (Олександр Вілкул)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults and a large-scale drone attack across multiple fronts and oblasts. Engaging Russian aerial targets with air defense systems, including over Kyiv, with successful engagements reported. Inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses on Russian forces, including an estimated 1130 personnel, 38 artillery systems, and 107 UAVs lost by Russia over the past day. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian aerial and artillery attacks. Receiving Abrams tanks from Australia. Repelling Russian assaults involving motorcycles and light armored vehicles. Commemorating fallen defenders and historical events. Regional administrations providing support. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports active air defense in Kyiv Oblast and over Kyiv against incoming drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a large number of enemy strike UAVs over numerous oblasts, including "Shaheds." Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across multiple oblasts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports the conclusion of the air raid alert. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on combat engagements and Ukrainian defense/counter-offensive actions across multiple fronts, and reports estimated Russian losses (including significant UAV losses). Оперативний ЗСУ highlights combat statistics. STERNENKO is appealing for donations for FPV drones. AV БогомаZ reports eight Ukrainian UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast. ASTRA and ТАСС report 35 UAVs shot down over Russia and Crimea. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports civilian casualties and damage in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian strikes using KABs and drones. WarGonzo reports Ukrainian attempts to break through into Kursk Oblast using armored vehicles were repelled. Fighterbomber discusses what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps. РБК-Україна reports Abrams tanks from Australia arrived in Ukraine. STERNENKO is appealing for donations for FPV drones. ТАСС reports that a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near Kurakhovo. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Australia sent Abrams tanks to Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Abrams M1A1 from Australia are in transit. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports on Ukrainian defense actions and enemy losses in the South, including destroying one boat, two cannons, two mortars, two Shahed-136 strike UAVs, three motorcycles, one quad bike, two generators, four Starlink antennas, four communication antennas, 102 dugouts/shelters, four ammunition storage places, and one UAV control point. Desantno-shturmovi viyska ZSU reports repelling a Russian assault on May 14th involving motorcycles, light armored vehicles, and a tank. Shef Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on successful Ukrainian fundraising efforts, listing donated items (gilza - shell casing), thanking donors. Oleksandr Vilkul commemorates World Family Doctor Day, highlighting the role of doctors in Kryvyi Rih and noting that 15 are currently on the front line. The Ukrainian General Staff presents a book about the destruction of the Moskva cruiser, highlighting a past strategic success. The Ukrainian Air Force reports neutralizing 76 Russian UAVs overnight. Butusov Plus shares a video claiming to show Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. RBC-Ukraine shares a video claiming the SBU used drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a captured Russian soldier from the Kherson direction (Dacha area). (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Олександр Вілкул, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, MoD Russia, DeepState, STERNENKO, Народная милиция ДНР, Поддубный |Z|O|V| edition, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 156 combat engagements over the past day, detailing Ukrainian defensive operations on various fronts and reporting preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel plus equipment) and highlighting successful Ukrainian units (65th Mechanized Brigade, 79th Border Detachment, 17th National Guard Regiment), and reports Ukrainian forces struck one enemy air defense asset. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 «Берест» in service with the 36th Marine Brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine share a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone and the crew survived, and appeals for donations for vehicles. РБК-Україна reports a loud explosion in Simferopol, Crimea, which could indicate Ukrainian activity. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
• Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults, claiming tactical successes, and utilizing extensive aerial assets, particularly a large number of strike drones ("Shaheds" and "Geran-2"), across numerous Ukrainian oblasts. Utilizing artillery and potentially MLRS and aviation in border regions. Engaging in extensive information operations and propaganda, including promoting a narrative of Ukrainian "atrocities" and highlighting the claimed effectiveness of their military personnel and equipment. Claiming downing a large number of Ukrainian drones and guided bombs. Actively engaged in ground combat across multiple fronts, including making claimed advances. Utilizing and developing drone technology. Russian soldier claims to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with hand. Discovery of foreign-made mines in Kursk Oblast, presented by Russian sources. Utilizing motorcycles and light armored vehicles in assaults. ТАСС reports Russian forces are systematically destroying Ukrainian strongholds near Rekodub, DNR, and have made advances north and south. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports active air defense in Kyiv Oblast and over Kyiv against incoming drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a large number of enemy strike UAVs over numerous oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across multiple oblasts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports the conclusion of the air raid alert. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on combat engagements and enemy actions across multiple fronts, including aviation strikes, drone use, and shellings, and reports estimated Russian losses. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights combat statistics. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, reports on Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast using 4 KABs and 14 "Geran-2" drones, causing civilian casualties and damage. AV БогомаZ reports eight Ukrainian UAVs destroyed over Bryansk Oblast by air defense. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast. ASTRA and ТАСС report 35 UAVs shot down over Russia and Crimea. ТАСС reports the discovery of over 100 German anti-tank mines in a village in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a Russian soldier claimed to have repelled a Ukrainian drone with his hand in Novoaleksandrovka. WarGonzo provides detailed reports on the Donetsk, Chasov Yar, Sumy, and Novopavlivka directions, claiming Russian advances and repelled Ukrainian attacks, including destruction of over ten units of Ukrainian equipment on the Sumy direction. Fighterbomber discusses what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps. Butusov Plus shares a video featuring Adam Kadyrov inspecting troops but allegedly not participating in fighting near Pokrovsk, highlighting a figure associated with military propaganda. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports ongoing Russian artillery, kamikaze drone, and aerial attacks on settlements near the frontline in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports 590 kamikaze drone strikes and almost 300 drone drops over the past day in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports Russian artillery attacks on frontline territories of Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts in the South. Sili oborony Pivdnya Ukrainy reports nine Russian aviation strikes on civilian and critical infrastructure in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the South, using two guided aerial bombs (KABs) and a hundred unguided aerial missiles (NAR). Desantno-shturmovi viyska ZSU reports repelling a Russian assault on May 14th involving motorcycles, light armored vehicles, and a tank, indicating specific Russian tactical approaches. Mobilization | News | Srochniki provides information on their bot, relevant to internal Russian mobilization processes and potentially military personnel. Два майора reports on ongoing assaults on the Zaporizhzhia front near Mala Tokmachka. MoD Russia shares a video claiming FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian communication and EW stations near Serebryanka and Bogatyr. Butusov Plus shares a video claiming to show Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian personnel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on 35 Ukrainian UAVs being shot down over Crimea, Bryansk, and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a captured Russian soldier from the Kherson direction, providing direct information on Russian personnel and potentially their tactics. The Ukrainian Air Force announces changes in the format of reporting on Russian attacks due to new tactics and increased use of UAVs and imitators. The Ukrainian Air Force reports neutralizing 76 Russian UAVs overnight, with 41 destroyed by fire and 35 suppressed by EW. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) MoD Russia claims the liberation of Novoolenovka and Maryino. MoD Russia highlights Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. MoD Russia reports that the large landing ship Peresvet performed artillery firing at coastal, air, and sea targets in the Sea of Japan. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 156 combat engagements over the past day and details Russian offensive actions on various fronts, reporting preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel plus equipment). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a 22-year-old Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car while intoxicated and struck two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. Военкор Котенок shares a video and text promoting a military priest, emphasizing themes of faith and sacrifice. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable. НгП раZVедка claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. (MoD Russia, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, ASTRA, Военкор Котенок, НгП раZVедка)
• Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is playing a facilitating role in potential negotiations. The US is engaging in diplomatic efforts. Speculation continues regarding former US President Trump's potential involvement. NATO members are participating in military exercises and providing aid. A Ukrainian citizen is involved in a criminal investigation in the UK. A US representative will be present at the Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican on humanitarian issues. Finnish President Stubb commented on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. Leaders from Britain, Germany, Poland, and France plan to speak with Donald Trump before his conversation with Putin. Australia is providing Abrams tanks to Ukraine. A Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. Romania alleges Russian interference in elections. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Denmark is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels as part of a new aid package. Syrian developments involving pro-Turkish groups are reported. Оперативний ЗСУ reiterates Keith Kellogg's statement on the US peace plan. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Foreign Ministry has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. Рыбарь reports on Syrian developments involving pro-Turkish groups. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a critical commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker, highlighting the involvement of Western-supplied equipment. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. РБК-Україна reports on an interview discussing Polish elections and relations with Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Finnish President Stubb tried to dissuade Trump from rapprochement with Russia. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Starmer discussed the war with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany ahead of Trump's call with Putin. Colonelcassad provides a critical commentary on the Romanian elections. РБК-Україна reports on new US sanctions being prepared against Russia if peace talks are not conducted in good faith, with criticism from the Trump camp regarding the effectiveness of current sanctions. Операция Z: Russian Military Correspondents reports on the US giving Australia permission to re-export Abrams tanks to Ukraine. Kotsnews reports on discussions among European leaders (Germany, Italy) on the readiness for troop deployment in Ukraine and the focus on achieving a ceasefire and clarifying formats for peace talks and security guarantees. Kotsnews also reports on a high-ranking White House official stating that a Trump-Putin meeting to establish peace is "inevitable" and the challenges of bringing Putin to the negotiation table. Дневник Десантника reports on NATO conducting aerial reconnaissance. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація), Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, Басурин о главном, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦) TASS reports that Miroshnik characterizes the key outcome of the Putin-Trump conversation as an "deepening of dialogue." TASS reports that Miroshnik stated Russia and the US agreed that the optimal format for settlement is direct dialogue between Russia and Ukraine. Два майора provides commentary on the Putin-Trump call. TASS reports that Trump believes the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated the Putin-Trump conversation showed mutual understanding and a focus on developing dialogue. РБК-Україна reports that Trump believes "some progress" was made during his call with Putin. TASS reports that Zelenskyy stated Ukraine can sign a memorandum with Russia regarding conflict settlement. TASS reports that Miroshnik stated suggesting the Putin-Trump conversation was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt the dialogue. TASS reports that Trump stated the conflict on Ukraine should have remained a problem for Europe and the US should not have interfered. ТАСС reports that Trump stated he would consider increasing arms supplies to Kyiv but believes in a settlement. ТАСС reports that Trump stated he is not increasing sanctions against Russia because there is a chance for peace. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests. Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively. Trump stated he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Colonelcassad report that Trump stated if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe. (ТАСС, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones, reconnaissance drones). Employment of guided aerial bombs and artillery/MLRS. Potential threat of USVs. Russian military bloggers are showcasing successful FPV drone strikes on Ukrainian armored vehicles. Claimed Russian destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles using drones. Ukrainian forces are using drones against Russian quad bikes and a motorcycle. Claimed destruction of a Russian T-72B3 tank on the Lyman direction, potentially involving drone targeting. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for "Frontline Armor" to protect military vehicles with steel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for Starlink stations for Russian paratroopers. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports on a large cache of NATO weapons and ammunition found near Kurakhove. Deputy Commander of 3rd Assault Brigade urges installation of anti-drone netting. MoD Russia reports engaging 142 concentration areas of Ukrainian manpower and military hardware using operational-tactical aviation, strike drones, and missile troops and artillery, highlighting the combined arms approach. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, ASTRA, ТАСС, Воин DV, Kotsnews, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Два майора, Народная милиция ДНР, Colonelcassad, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, STERNENKO, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, MoD Russia) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 50 aviation strikes (100 КАБs), 1117 kamikaze drones used, and 4146 shellings over the past day, detailing Russian aviation strikes with guided bombs on various locations, and 202 artillery shellings (7 from MLRS) and 11 aviation strikes (26 КАБs) on the Kursk direction, and reports Ukrainian forces struck one enemy air defense asset and destroyed one enemy EW station, and preliminary Russian equipment losses on the Pokrovsk direction. MoD Russia highlights Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, a Grad MLRS crew, and attack drones in action. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Colonelcassad claims the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 «Берест» in service with the 36th Marine Brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine share a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of a damaged pickup truck on the Donbas, stating it was hit by an FPV drone and the crew survived. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, MoD Russia, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
• Personnel: Both sides reporting significant personnel losses. Russian forces deploying personnel from various units. Ukrainian forces facing mobilization challenges. Internal military review of the 47th Brigade allegations and investigation into the 155th Brigade. Attempt to evade military service. Commemorations of fallen soldiers. Discussion of prisoner exchanges. Commander of OSUV "Khortytsia" and Commander of the Ground Forces of Ukraine commented on the scandal with the 155th Separate Motorized Brigade regarding alleged business on combat payments, indicating personnel issues are being addressed at a high level. Воин DV shares a video featuring a soldier from Buryatia who participated in the claimed liberation of Bogatyr. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, Alex Parker Returns, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Военкор Котенок, Mash на Донбассе, Басурин о главном, WarGonzo, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Poddubny |Z|O|V| edition, STERNENKO, Два майора, Narodnaya militsiya DNR, Воин DV) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports preliminary Russian personnel losses on the Pokrovsk direction (128 personnel, including 74 irretrievable) over the past day and highlights successful Ukrainian units (65th Mechanized Brigade, 79th Border Detachment, 17th National Guard Regiment). ASTRA reports an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident. TASS reports that the prosecution is requesting a 19-year prison sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a captured Russian soldier from the Kherson direction. НгП раZVедка claims Ukraine will not withdraw troops or yield to ultimatums and that this will lead to mobilization of women and teenagers. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ASTRA, TASS, Оперативний ЗСУ, НгП раZVедка)
• Counterintelligence: Reported detention of a Ukrainian citizen in occupied Rubizhne for alleged espionage. Reported detention of a 17-year-old FSB agent in Kyiv. (Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The ongoing and widespread Russian aerial campaign utilizing strike drones and KABs continues to be a primary strategic challenge for Ukraine, aimed at degrading military and civilian infrastructure and pressuring the population. The latest reports detailing the specific movements of Russian strike UAVs across multiple oblasts underscore the breadth of this strategic effort. The Ukrainian Air Force reporting launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast further indicates the strategic targeting of border regions with these precision munitions. The issuance of air raid alerts across Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city) highlights the persistent and localized strategic threat in this area. The announcement of enemy strike UAV threats in multiple oblasts and their specific directions of movement indicates a coordinated and geographically diverse strategic aerial campaign. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reporting 100 guided aerial bombs and 1117 kamikaze drones used by Russia over the past day highlights the immense strategic scale of Russian aerial bombardment and drone warfare. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна providing updated tracking information on enemy kamikaze drones across multiple oblasts and reporting enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts underscores the strategic objectives of both widespread bombardment and intelligence gathering in key areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issuing a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad highlights the strategic targeting of specific cities. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad, northeastern Sumy Oblast, and eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing updated strategic targeting information. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна)
• The concluded Trump-Putin phone call, despite the conflicting narratives surrounding potential negotiations, remains a significant strategic development with the potential to influence the diplomatic trajectory of the conflict. Putin's expressed willingness to discuss a ceasefire and a future peace agreement, coupled with Trump's emphasis on immediate negotiations, keeps a diplomatic channel open and could be a strategic maneuver to influence international opinion or leverage perceived battlefield gains. Trump stating there is "some progress" reinforces the narrative of potential diplomatic movement. Trump stating he believes in Putin's desire for peace in Ukraine is a direct statement from a key international actor about the intentions of one of the main parties to the conflict, with strategic implications for potential future diplomatic engagements. Russian sources, citing The Times, assessing that US sanctions against Russia now appear less likely than before the call and that Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends suggests a strategic shift in the potential economic pressure environment following the high-level diplomatic engagement. Trump's statements about the conflict remaining a European problem and not increasing sanctions because of a chance for peace, while also considering increasing arms supplies, add complexity to the strategic implications of US policy. TASS reporting Miroshnik's characterization of the call's outcome as an "deepening of dialogue" and agreement on direct Russia-Ukraine dialogue as optimal, and Miroshnik's statement that suggesting the talk was unsuccessful is an attempt to disrupt dialogue, are strategic communications from the Russian side to frame the diplomatic engagement favorably. Два майора's commentary on the call and the future of the conflict offers a Russian military blogger's strategic perspective. TASS reporting Trump's belief that the West and Russia need to overcome fundamental distrust highlights a potential area for strategic focus in future diplomatic efforts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests, highlighting international reactions to the call. Colonelcassad reports that the head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund expressed confidence in future US-Russia trade and economic partnership and evaluated the Trump-Putin talks positively, presenting a Russian perspective on potential economic outcomes. Trump stating he will be ready within 2-4 weeks to assess whether Ukraine is doing enough for conflict resolution introduces a new deadline for assessing the peace process and could influence Ukraine's strategic calculations. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Colonelcassad reporting that Trump stated if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe is a major strategic statement about the potential future direction of US involvement in peace negotiations, potentially shifting responsibility and influence. (ТАСС, Два майора, РБК-Україна, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad)
• Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's clear articulation of Ukraine's strategic position – no troop withdrawal, no yielding to ultimatums, no abandonment of NATO course or neutral status, desire for a ceasefire as a first step, and emphasis on the need for multilateral involvement in negotiations – is crucial for defining Ukraine's "red lines" and influencing the framework of any future peace talks. His engagement with Trump and European leaders highlights a strategic effort to ensure Ukraine's voice is heard in high-level discussions. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Zelenskiy / Official) TASS reporting that Zelenskyy stated Ukraine can sign a memorandum with Russia regarding conflict settlement indicates a potential strategic step towards a diplomatic resolution. (ТАСС)
• Russia's claims of tactical advances in Donetsk Oblast, including on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions and the claimed liberation of Bogatyr and capture of a key stronghold near Novoye, contribute to their strategic narrative of making progress and can be used to justify continued offensive operations and potentially strengthen their hand in any negotiations. Воин DV sharing a video featuring a soldier who participated in the claimed liberation of Bogatyr contributes to the Russian strategic narrative of success and highlights the human element of their claimed gains. MoD Russia claiming the liberation of Novoolenovka and Maryino are significant strategic claims of tactical gains on different fronts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reporting 156 combat engagements across numerous fronts, with particularly high numbers on the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivsk, Lyman, and Toretsk directions, highlights the strategic focus and intensity of Russian ground assaults. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны sharing a video claiming to show Russian forces destroying American Bradley and MaxxPro vehicles and other Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk is a strategic propaganda effort to highlight Russian effectiveness against Western aid in a key battleground. (ТАСС, Воин DV, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, Народная милиция ДНР, MoD Russia, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• The extensive Russian aerial activity, including the launching of КАБs on Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts and the widespread movement of strike UAVs across multiple regions, underscores the ongoing strategic objective of degrading Ukrainian infrastructure and capabilities from the air. The Ukrainian Air Force reporting launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast further underscores the strategic targeting of border regions with these precision munitions. The issuance of air raid alerts across Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city) highlights the persistent and localized strategic aerial threat in this area. The announcement of enemy strike UAV threats in multiple oblasts and their specific directions of movement indicates a coordinated and geographically diverse strategic aerial campaign. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reporting 100 guided aerial bombs and 1117 kamikaze drones used by Russia over the past day highlights the immense strategic scale of Russian aerial bombardment and drone warfare. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна providing updated tracking information on enemy kamikaze drones across multiple oblasts and reporting enemy reconnaissance UAVs in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts underscores the strategic objectives of both widespread bombardment and intelligence gathering in key areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issuing a warning about enemy strike UAVs heading towards Pavlohrad highlights the strategic targeting of specific cities. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs in southern Kharkiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast southwest of Pavlohrad, northeastern Sumy Oblast, and eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, providing updated strategic targeting information. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
• Internal Russian issues, such as alleged violations in the construction of defensive structures in Belgorod Oblast and a military serviceman facing pressure for reporting wage theft, while not directly military, can have indirect strategic implications by potentially impacting social stability, trust in authorities, and highlighting potential issues within the military and governance structures that could affect morale and effectiveness. The Russian Minister of Justice's criticism of the Decembrists, while historical, can be seen as reinforcing a strategic narrative about the importance of stability and strong state control. The cultural project linking Russian cities and featuring documentary film about the "special operation" is a strategic effort to link the conflict to Russian identity and history. Head of RDIF Dmitriev stated that Russia and the US can be excellent partners in economic and investment cooperation signals a potential strategic focus on post-conflict economic ties from a Russian perspective. TASS reporting the prosecution requesting a 19-year sentence for former Deputy Head of the Russian General Staff Khalil Arslanov in a bribery and fraud case highlights potential high-level corruption or accountability issues within the Russian military structure, which can have strategic implications. ASTRA reporting an incident in Prokopyevsk involving a Russian servicemember who allegedly stole a car and hit two schoolgirls on a sidewalk, fleeing his unit prior to the incident, highlights potential issues with discipline and the impact of the war on servicemen, which can affect force cohesion and public perception, carrying strategic weight. Два майора's commentary on the Putin-Trump call and the future of the conflict offers a Russian military blogger's strategic perspective. TASS reports that former Roscosmos head Yuri Borisov will become a senator from Arkhangelsk Oblast, which is a significant internal political appointment. Colonelcassad shares a video and text from a military expert discussing potential compromises in negotiations, emphasizing that territorial issues are non-negotiable due to the Russian constitution, which is a strategic communication effort. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, ASTRA, Глеб Никитин, Colonelcassad, Новости Москвы, Kotsnews, WarGonzo, Два майора)
• The reported relief of the Commander of the Ukrainian 59th Separate Mechanized Brigade of Drone Systems and the comments from a high-ranking Ukrainian commander regarding the scandal with the 155th Separate Motorized Brigade and alleged corruption are significant internal military developments. Addressing such issues is strategically important for maintaining discipline, trust, and combat effectiveness within Ukrainian forces. (Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦)
• The fundraising efforts by Russian military bloggers for "Frontline Armor" highlight a perceived strategic need for enhanced protection of military vehicles against current threats, suggesting that existing armor is insufficient or vulnerable. (Два майора)
• The agreement among European leaders to increase pressure on Russia with sanctions after the Trump-Putin call is a significant strategic development as it indicates a coordinated international response to the diplomatic engagement and a continued commitment to economic pressure as a means of influencing Russian behavior. Russian sources, citing The Times, assessing that US sanctions against Russia now appear less likely than before the call and that Trump views significant business opportunities with Russia if the war ends suggests a potential strategic shift in the economic pressure environment. Trump stating he is not increasing sanctions because there is a chance for peace introduces a degree of uncertainty to the strategic landscape of international pressure. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports, citing Financial Times, that European leaders are "stunned" by Trump's account of agreements with Putin and fear a deal that would betray Ukraine's interests, highlighting concerns among Ukraine's allies regarding potential shifts in international pressure. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, Басурин о главном, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
• The warning about the creation of fake Telegram accounts of Ukrainian officials, including President Zelenskyy, is strategically significant. This indicates an ongoing information operation aimed at undermining the credibility of Ukrainian leadership and potentially disseminating disinformation. Countering such operations is crucial for maintaining information security and public trust. (РБК-Україна)
• Colonelcassad's comments on Pavel Durov's statements and censorship are strategically relevant within the information war. This highlights the focus on controlling and influencing the information space, particularly on platforms like Telegram, which are widely used for disseminating information related to the conflict. (Colonelcassad)
• TASS reporting that Yemeni Houthis have claimed to have established a naval blockade of the Israeli port of Haifa, and Colonelcassad's additional commentary, is strategically relevant as it highlights a development in another ongoing conflict that has broader geopolitical implications and can be framed within the context of global tensions and resistance to perceived Western influence. (TASS, Colonelcassad)
• MoD Russia reporting that the large landing ship Peresvet performed artillery firing at coastal, air, and sea targets in the Sea of Japan is strategically relevant as it indicates ongoing Russian military activity and training in a different theater of operations, contributing to the overall picture of Russian military posture. (MoD Russia)
• ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and RBC-Ukraine sharing a video claiming the SBU used surface and aerial drones to destroy a Russian radar and warehouses on gas production platforms in the Black Sea is strategically significant, if verified. This would demonstrate Ukraine's capability to strike Russian assets at sea using a combination of drone types, impacting Russian naval capabilities and control of key infrastructure in the Black Sea. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна)
• Colonelcassad claiming the use of a North Korean 170-mm self-propelled artillery system "Koksan" in the SVO, likely in Kursk Oblast, is strategically significant as it suggests the potential involvement of North Korean equipment and personnel in the conflict. This has implications for understanding the nature of Russian military support and potential escalatory dynamics. (Colonelcassad)
• Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video highlighting the modified RSZV BM-21 «Берест» in service with the 36th Marine Brigade and discussing planned modernizations is strategically relevant as it showcases Ukrainian military adaptation and modernization efforts. This demonstrates Ukraine's capacity to enhance its existing equipment and maintain operational capabilities. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
• The reported explosion in Simferopol, Crimea, is strategically significant as it could indicate successful Ukrainian targeting of military assets or infrastructure in occupied territory. (РБК-Україна)
• Cuban banks working to start issuing "Mir" cards is a minor strategic development related to Russia's efforts to expand its financial system and potentially circumvent sanctions, but it does not have a direct military impact in the immediate term. (ТАСС)
• Trump stating if there is no significant progress on Ukraine, the US will yield its role in the settlement to Europe is a major strategic statement about the potential future direction of US involvement in peace negotiations. This could lead to shifts in diplomatic influence and responsibility for mediating the conflict. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad)

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Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.