Sitrep 2025-05-19 05:16:39

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 19, 2025, 05:13 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, and a significant, widespread Russian aerial offensive utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) across various regions of Ukraine. A notable development is the confirmed massive Ukrainian drone attack targeting Crimea overnight. Ground combat remains intense, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, alongside ongoing diplomatic and political maneuvering. Russian forces continue active offensive operations, claiming tactical gains on multiple fronts. Diplomatic activities continue with discussions concerning the conflict and potential peace initiatives. Significant internal Russian issues, including crime reports and political statements, are also being noted. A new development involves the confirmed shipment of retired Australian Abrams tanks to Ukraine and the planned large-scale production of US missiles in Europe. Recent reports highlight detailed Russian drone movements across multiple oblasts, confirm continued use of guided aerial bombs, and include claims of destruction of NATO equipment by Russian FPV drones on the Pokrovsk direction. The Ukrainian General Staff provides an updated assessment of the naval situation in the Black, Azov, and Mediterranean Seas. Russia is promoting advancements in drone technology and utilizing various information operations. A new development involves Russia planning a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th, characterized by Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. Russia claims the liberation of Bogatyr has strategically impacted Ukrainian defenses on the South Donetsk direction. Germany is reportedly seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia provides a comprehensive daily military report claiming advances and hitting Ukrainian forces and equipment across multiple fronts. Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reports that Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland, disseminating disinformation critical of Polish support for Ukraine and the government. Alex Parker Returns reports a new historical record for voter turnout abroad in the Romanian presidential elections. The DNR People's Militia reports that a Kornet ATGM crew destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold near Dzerzhinsk. TASS reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. Ukrainian sources report on a police investigation in Kharkiv regarding the death of a man who reportedly jumped from a TCC window, highlighting potential internal issues related to mobilization. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania near the borders of Russia and Belarus involving over 16,000 servicemen. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring Russian soldiers allegedly using a Porsche Cayenne for off-road transportation, used as a contrasting example. War Correspondent Kotenok shares a video compilation claiming to show footage from the liberation of Bogatyr. RBC-Ukraine reports that a Hamas leader, Muhammad Sinwar, was found dead in a tunnel in Gaza after an Israeli strike. TASS reports that the Russian Minister of Culture could not attend the Pope's inauguration due to inconsistencies in the air route. Operation Z: Russian Military Correspondents shares a video claiming to show heavy fighting near Pokrovsk. TASS reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. TASS reports that Lev Yashin was recognized as the best goalkeeper in history. Military Correspondent Voin DV reports on the strategic implications of liberating Bogatyr. Два майора shares photos of Russian soldiers in various mundane settings. Operational Armed Forces of Ukraine shares a video of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People. Colonelcassad reports the death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. The International Association of Ultrarunners has reportedly refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag. Carpathians have experienced renewed snowfall in May. Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin is confident that Russia can fully capture four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year, and due to this confidence, the Kremlin is not inclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump. Police in Khabarovsk Krai have initiated two criminal cases regarding remote fraud. The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports that a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that eight Ukrainian UAVs of aircraft type were detected and destroyed over the territory of Bryansk Oblast overnight. ASTRA reports that 35 UAVs were shot down over the territory of the Russian Federation and annexed Crimea overnight. TASS reports that a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near Kurakhovo.

Significant new updates since the previous report include:

Estimated Russian Personnel and Equipment Losses: The Ukrainian General Staff and Operational ZSU report updated estimated Russian losses as of May 19, 2025. Personnel losses are reported at approximately 974,770, with an increase of 1040 over the past day. Equipment losses include 10,833 tanks (+1), 22,562 armored fighting vehicles (+5), 28,009 artillery systems (+29), 1,387 MLRS, 1,167 anti-aircraft systems, 372 aircraft, 336 helicopters, 36,503 UAVs (+118), 3,197 cruise missiles, 28 warships/boats, 1 submarine, 48,988 vehicles & fuel tanks (+88), and 3,892 special equipment units. These figures, if accurate, indicate significant ongoing attrition of Russian forces. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
Russian Claims of Drone Destruction: The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 35 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed overnight, with the majority over Crimea, and 9 each over Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts. This indicates continued Ukrainian aerial activity targeting Russian territory and occupied Crimea, as well as Russian air defense effectiveness. (ТАСС, Два майора) ASTRA reports this information, specifying 26 over Crimea, 8 over Bryansk, and one over Belgorod. (ASTRA) The governor of Bryansk Oblast confirms 8 UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. (AV БогомаZ) The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports one drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver, which relates to a Ukrainian drone reaching its target despite Russian air defense claims. (Два майора)
Civilian Casualties in Kherson: Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights reports that a Russian strike on residential areas in Kherson at approximately 22:30 resulted in one fatality (a 75-year-old woman) and three injuries (a 76-year-old man and two 53-year-old women) due to a direct hit on a house. This confirms continued Russian targeting of civilian areas and resulting casualties. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russian Claim of Aydar Battalion Withdrawal: TASS, citing Russian силовые структуры, claims that fighters of the Aydar battalion are fleeing their positions on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. This is a Russian claim about Ukrainian force movements and morale in a specific area. (ТАСС)
Russian Claim of Destroyed Ukrainian Strongpoint and Starlink in Huliaipole: Voin DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the Russian 35th Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" Group of Forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint along with a Starlink satellite communication station near Huliaipole. This is a Russian claim of a successful tactical strike on Ukrainian assets in the Zaporizhzhia direction. (Воин DV)
Russian Cabinet Support for Simplified Double Surname Registration: TASS reports that the Russian Cabinet of Ministers has supported a draft law simplifying the registration of double surnames in marriage, although the document requires further work. This is an internal Russian legal development. (ТАСС)
Russian Military Blogger's Analysis of Morning Situation (May 19): Rybar provides a morning summary highlighting anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting, alleged over 30 "Geran" drones over Ukraine overnight with explosions in various oblasts, ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border with claimed Ukrainian losses and captures, continued creation of a buffer zone and reported unexpected Russian success in the Sumy direction towards Maryino, civilian casualties from drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast, Russian efforts to close a "pocket" and advance on the Konstantinovka direction (including claimed start of assault on Yablunivka), Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (including battles near Новоалександровка, Удачного, Котлино), Russian advances and Ukrainian counterattacks on the South Donetsk direction (claiming liberation of Bogatyr and advances towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, reaching 4.5 km from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast), and Ukrainian shelling in Kherson Oblast (including damage to Novaya Kakhovka with a claimed mine-explosive injury) and other settlements. This provides a broad overview of the conflict from a pro-Russian military blogger perspective. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Rybar's Summary of Middle East Events (May 17-18): Rybar provides a video summary of the Middle East situation, highlighting the start of Israeli operation "Gideon's Chariots" in Gaza, aiming to "conquer" the Strip and displace civilians. He also notes discussions at the Arab League summit in Baghdad regarding Gaza and regional recovery, with Iraq allocating funds to Palestine and Lebanon. He discusses attempts to unify armed groups in Syria into a single "army," but notes that methods, commanders, and sponsors remain the same, with a "justice" commission under the control of former HTS functionaries. This provides a Russian perspective on other ongoing global conflicts. (Рыбарь)
Rybar's Summary of Black Africa Events (May 16-18): Rybar provides a video summary of events in Black Africa, discussing an attempt to disarm groups in Tripoli (Libya) leading to clashes and undermining the government, the kidnapping of an opposition candidate in Congo ahead of elections, and continued ethnic conflict in Darfur (Sudan) with Russia potentially offering mediation. This provides a Russian perspective on other global conflicts. (Рыбарь)
Damage and Drone Activity in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Serhiy Lysak / Dnipropetrovsk Oblast State Administration (ОВА) reports that Ukrainian air defenders shot down 5 UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. He also reports that the aggressor continued terrorizing the Nikopol region, using FPV drones on the Myrivska and Marhanets communities, with no casualties reported. Updated information on yesterday's attack on the Hrushivka community in Kryvyi Rih district includes damage to 7 private houses, 2 cars, a motor cultivator, a moped, and damage to power lines and a gas pipeline. This confirms continued Russian aerial attacks and their impact on civilian infrastructure in this region. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Joe Biden Diagnosed with Prostate Cancer: ASTRA reports, citing Western media, that US President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with aggressive prostate cancer with bone metastases. This is a significant development regarding the health of a key international leader supporting Ukraine and could have implications for US foreign policy and upcoming elections. (ASTRA)
Pro-European Candidate Wins Romanian Presidential Election: STERNENKO reports that the pro-European Mayor of Bucharest, Nicușor Dan, has become the new President of Romania with 53.6% of the votes, defeating the pro-Russian candidate George Simion (46.4%). Simion initially claimed victory and called for protests but later conceded. This confirms the outcome of an election in a key neighboring country, indicating the continuation of a pro-European stance by Romania. (STERNENKO) WarGonzo also reports on the Romanian presidential election results, framing the pro-European candidate's victory as suspicious due to the cancellation of the first round. (WarGonzo) ASTRA also reports on the victory of Nicușor Dan, describing his opponent as a nationalist. (ASTRA)
Russian Federal Air Transport Agency Not Supporting Fines for Passengers Leaving Seats Early: Novosti Moskvy reports that the Russian Federal Air Transport Agency does not support the idea of fining passengers who leave their seats before the plane comes to a complete stop, a measure recently introduced in Turkey. This is an internal Russian regulatory matter. (Новости Москвы)
Situation in Kryvyi Rih Reported as Controlled: Oleksandr Vilkul reports that the situation in Kryvyi Rih is controlled as of the morning of May 19th. He reiterates that there were no shellings in the Kryvyi Rih district overnight, and the enemy attacked the Myrivska and Marhanets communities in Nikopol district with FPV drones, with no casualties. He also mentions that 5 enemy UAVs were shot down over the oblast overnight. (Олександр Вілкул)
Russian Military Blogger Commemorates Historical Figure: Basurin o glavnom commemorates the birthday of Count Burkhard Christoph von Munnich, a Russian general-field marshal of German origin who served in the Russian army in the 18th century and is known for his military and administrative achievements, including victories against Crimean Tatars and Ottomans and strengthening the Russian army and economy. This is a historical commemoration, likely used for internal Russian messaging and to draw parallels to past military successes. (Басурин о главном)
ISW Assessment of Kremlin's War Plans: RBC-Ukraine reports on an assessment by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) stating that the Kremlin does not plan to end the war soon and is preparing Russian military and society for a prolonged conflict. According to ISW, Kremlin officials are increasingly stating that Russia is ready to fight until Ukraine agrees to Russian demands, believing that Russian society and the army have been adequately prepared for this scenario. This is an external assessment of Russian strategic intentions and the likelihood of a near-term end to the conflict. (РБК-Україна)
Bloomberg Reports Putin's Confidence in Capturing Four Oblasts: Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin is confident that Russia can fully capture four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year. This confidence reportedly makes the Kremlin disinclined to offer significant concessions in talks with Trump. This is a significant external assessment of Putin's perceived strategic goals and potential impact on diplomatic efforts. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Remote Fraud Cases in Khabarovsk Krai: Police in Khabarovsk Krai have initiated two criminal cases regarding remote fraud, where individuals lost significant sums of money. This highlights ongoing internal Russian issues related to crime and cybersecurity, although not directly related to the military conflict. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
Ukrainian Drone Attack on Bus in Belgorod Oblast: The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports that a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. This confirms continued Ukrainian drone activity targeting Russian territory and resulting in civilian casualties and impact on civilian infrastructure. (Два майора)
Large Cache of NATO-Style Weapons and Ammunition Found in Kurakhovo: TASS reports that a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near Kurakhovo. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the DNR, nearly 2,000 rounds of ammunition were found. This is a Russian claim of discovering Ukrainian military supplies, potentially used for propaganda. (ТАСС)

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Crimean Peninsula (northern part, Dzhankoy, Perevalnoye area): Experiencing a massive Ukrainian drone attack overnight. Russian air defense is actively countering. Previous reports mentioned an alleged Ukrainian drone attack on an ammunition depot in Perevalnoye. Rybar claims 8 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Crimea on May 17-18. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 26 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Crimea overnight. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, ТАСС, Два майора) ASTRA reports 26 UAVs destroyed over Crimea overnight. (ASTRA)
Sumy Oblast (Maryino, Шосткинській громаді): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. New reports indicate launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast. Rybar claims ongoing fighting in the Sumy direction on May 17-18 and continued creation of a buffer zone and reports of unexpected Russian success in the direction of Maryino. (Рыбарь, Два майора) Ukrainian Air Force warns of the threat of enemy aviation weapons for frontline regions, including Sumy Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) OPERATIVNO ZSU reports preliminary information of six drone hits in Shostka community, damaging enterprise infrastructure, with rescue operations ongoing. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Кушугум, Лобкове, Кам'янське, Гуляйполе, Щербаки, Новоданилівка, Мала Токмачка, Чарівне, Новодарівка, Роботине, Новоандріївка): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate 421 strikes over the past day on 11 settlements, including 6 aviation strikes (on Huliaipole and Novoandriyivka), 208 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 201 artillery strikes. Two damaged cars were reported, but no civilian casualties. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Previous reports indicated drone movements from Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Rybar reports Russian advances on the South Donetsk direction reaching 4.5 km from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which borders Zaporizhzhia Oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора) Voin DV claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and Starlink near Huliaipole. (Воин DV)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol region - Myrivska and Marhanets communities, Kryvyi Rih district - Hrushivka community, Synelnykivskyi district): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports from Ukrainian sources confirm 5 UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight and FPV drone attacks occurred on the Myrivska and Marhanets communities in the Nikopol region with no casualties. Updated information on yesterday's attack on the Hrushivka community in Kryvyi Rih district includes significant damage to private houses and other civilian infrastructure. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Олександр Вілкул) Previous reports indicated one drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast and nine drones from the Beryslav district (Kherson) heading towards Kazanka/Novyi Buh (likely in Mykolaiv or Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). (Николаевский Ванёк) Rybar reports Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction towards the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and on the South Donetsk direction reaching 4.5 km from the oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора) Ukrainian Air Force warns of the threat of enemy aviation weapons for Synelnykivskyi district. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine) TASS, citing Russian силовые структуры, claims Aydar battalion fighters are fleeing positions on the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (ТАСС)
Poltava Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate one drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast, one drone on a course towards/through Poltava, three drones towards/through Myrhorod, seven drones in the Poltava area heading towards Cherkasy Oblast, UAVs in the central and eastern parts moving south/southwest, UAVs in the southern and western parts heading southwest, and UAVs west of Kremenchuk heading south. Explosions were reported overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора) Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on facilities in Poltava Oblast on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Chernihiv Oblast (Pryluky, Nizhyn, southern part): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate eight drones southwest of Pryluky heading towards Cherkasy Oblast, one drone over Nizhyn, one drone from Chernihiv Oblast flying towards the northern part of Kyiv Oblast, and UAVs in the southern part moving southwest and on the border with Kyiv/Poltava heading towards Cherkasy. Explosions were reported overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора)
Kyiv Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate one drone from Chernihiv Oblast flying towards the northern part of Kyiv Oblast and UAVs on the border with Chernihiv/Poltava Oblasts heading towards Cherkasy. Explosions were reported overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора) Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Kyiv Oblast on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Kharkiv Oblast (western part): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate four drones in the western part moving south and UAVs in the western part moving south/southwest. Explosions were reported overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора) Rybar claims ongoing fighting in the Sloboda direction, including Vovchansk, on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Kherson Oblast (left bank, Beryslav district, Novaya Kakhovka, Kherson city): Location of new Russian drone launches and Ukrainian defensive actions. New reports indicate nine drones from the Beryslav district flying towards Kazanka/Novyi Buh and UAVs in Kherson Oblast moving northwest. Ukrainian shelling in Novaya Kakhovka resulted in a claimed mine-explosive injury to a civilian and damage to other settlements. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Рыбарь, Два майора) Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights reports civilian casualties in Kherson city due to Russian shelling. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Cherkasy Oblast: Russian drones are heading towards this oblast. New reports indicate eight drones from Chernihiv Oblast, UAVs from the Kyiv/Chernihiv/Poltava border, two drones near Cherkasy, and seven drones from the Poltava area heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. Explosions have been reported in Cherkasy and overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Два майора)
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (border area, Khomutovka, Samoryadovo, Krasnooktyabrsky, Glushkovo direction): Location of claimed Ukrainian soldiers attempting to evade and ongoing attacks and defense. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 9 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Kursk Oblast overnight. (Два майора) Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers here. Rybar claims ongoing fighting in the Sumy direction on May 17-18 and continued creation of a buffer zone and reports of unexpected Russian success in the direction of Maryino. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, including attempts by Ukrainian units to break through and claimed captures and losses of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and a fire at a school in Samoryadovo after a Ukrainian drone fell. (Colonelcassad, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Myrhorod (Poltava Oblast): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate three drones heading towards/through Myrhorod. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Beryslav district (Kherson Oblast): Russian drones are heading from this district. New reports indicate nine drones from the Beryslav district flying towards Kazanka/Novyi Buh. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Kaniv: Location of a reported drone. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Kazanka/Novyi Buh: Location where drones from the Beryslav district are reportedly heading. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Kirovohrad Oblast (Kropyvnytskyi, Dolynska, Svitlovodsk): Affected by Russian aerial activity. New reports indicate several UAVs in the southern part heading north/northwest, and two drones near Kremenchuk flying towards Kirovohrad Oblast. Six drones are flying towards/through Kropyvnytskyi. Explosions were reported overnight due to "Geran" drones. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк, Два майора)
Dolynska: Location near reported drone activity. New reports indicate eight drones under Dolynska. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Svitlovodsk: Location flown past by reported drones. New reports indicate two drones flew past Svitlovodsk heading southwest. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Kremenchuk: Location near reported drone activity. New reports indicate UAVs west of Kremenchuk heading south, and two drones near Kremenchuk flying towards Kirovohrad Oblast. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк)
Khabarovsk Krai (Russia) (Vyazemsky district, Амурском районе): Location of regional police public relations activities. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on activities here. Site of reported internal crime. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on internal crime here, including two criminal cases of remote fraud in the Amur district. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
Pokrovsk direction (Donetsk Oblast): Site of claimed destruction of NATO equipment by Russian FPV drones and intense ground combat. Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming success here. Rybar claims the liberation of Novaya Poltavka and presence of Russian flags in Bogatyr on this direction on May 17-18. Два майора reports on the development of the Russian offensive on the Pokrovsk direction, with alleged progress towards the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Colonelcassad, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Kropyvnytskyi (Kirovohrad Oblast): Location of reported drone activity. New reports indicate six drones heading towards/through Kropyvnytskyi. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Donetsk Oblast (Konstantinovka direction, Alexandropol, Yablunivka, Novaya Poltavka, Berezivka, Novoelenivka, Novoeconomicheskoe, Mirolyubivka, Mirnograd, Novoselivka Persha, South Donetsk direction, Bogatyr, Otradnoye, Zelenoye Pole, Novopol, Dyliivka, Stara Mykolaivka, Kurakhovo): Site of launches of guided aerial bombs and intense ground combat. New reports indicate 421 strikes over the past day on 11 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (which borders Donetsk Oblast). (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Rybar claims Russian advances towards Dyliivka and claimed capture of Alexandropol in the Dzerzhinsk direction, and the liberation of Novaya Poltavka and presence of Russian flags in Bogatyr in the Pokrovsk direction, along with continued Russian offensive actions in other areas, on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian efforts to close a "pocket" and advance on the Konstantinovka direction, including claimed start of assault on Yablunivka, and Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and on the South Donetsk direction reaching 4.5 km from the oblast. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Рыбарь, Два майора, ТАСС) TASS reports that a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near Kurakhovo. (ТАСС)
Romania: Location of recent presidential election. New reports confirm the final results, with the pro-European candidate winning. (STERNENKO, WarGonzo) ASTRA also reports on the victory. (ASTRA)
Sea of Japan: Location of Russian Pacific Fleet training firing. ТАСС reports on this activity.
Gaza Strip: Location of Israeli military actions and significant casualties. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including operation "Gideon's Chariots" here. (Рыбарь) TASS reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. (ТАСС)
Eastern Ukraine: Location of continued activity of enemy tactical aviation. (Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна)
Alexandropol (Donetsk Oblast): Site of Russian assaults. Rybar claims Russian forces occupied Alexandropol on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are подтягивают фланги у Александрополя. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Australia: Location of the confirmed shipment of Abrams tanks to Ukraine. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
Germany: Location of Rheinmetall, involved in planned missile production with Lockheed Martin. (Colonelcassad)
United States: Location of Lockheed Martin, involved in planned missile production with Rheinmetall. (Colonelcassad) US President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with prostate cancer. (ASTRA)
Europe: Planned location for large-scale missile production by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin. (Colonelcassad) European states are reportedly disoriented by Donald Trump's stance on the conflict.
Mediterranean Sea: Location of Russian warships, including a Kalibr carrier. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
Khmelnytskyi Oblast: Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Khmelnytskyi Oblast on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Maryino (Sumy Oblast): Rybar reports of unexpected Russian success in the direction of Maryino. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Borisovka, Bessonovka, Tishanka, Ekaterinovka, Lariskovka, Kazinka, Soloty, Podgornoe, Shebekino): The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 9 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Belgorod Oblast overnight. (Два майора) Rybar and Два майора report civilian casualties from Ukrainian drone attacks and shelling in several settlements in Belgorod Oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора) Два майора reports on a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle near Kazinka. (Два майора) ASTRA reports one UAV destroyed over Belgorod overnight. (ASTRA) The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. (Два майора)
Konstantinovka direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Yablunivka, Berezivka, Novoelenivka, Stara Mykolaivka): Rybar and Два майора report Russian efforts to close a "pocket" and advance on this direction. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Novaya Poltavka (Donetsk Oblast): Rybar claims the liberation of Novaya Poltavka on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are expanding their zone of control west of Novaya Poltavka. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Pokrovsk direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Novoeconomicheskoe, Mirolyubivka, Mirnograd, Novoselivka Persha, Новоалександровка, Удачного, Котлино): Rybar and Два майора report on the development of the Russian offensive on the Pokrovsk direction, with alleged progress towards the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора) Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming that Russian "KVN" FPV drones destroyed NATO equipment on the Pokrovsk direction. (Colonelcassad)
South Donetsk direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Bogatyr, Otradnoye, Zelenoye Pole, Novopol, Komar): Site of Russian advances and Ukrainian counterattacks. Rybar and Два майора report Russian advances and Ukrainian counterattacks on the South Donetsk direction, claiming liberation of Bogatyr and advances towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, reaching 4.5 km from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Luhansk People's Republic (LPR): TASS reports Russian military expert Andrei Marochko claims Ukraine lost 4.2 thousand soldiers and mercenaries near the LPR over the past week. (ТАСС)
Donetsk People's Republic (DNR): TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims that over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. Rybar provides a summary of events in the DNR on May 17-18, including claimed Russian advances. (ТАСС, Рыбарь) TASS reports that a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near Kurakhovo by the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the DNR. (ТАСС)
Dyliivka (Donetsk Oblast): Rybar claims Russian forces advanced towards Dyliivka on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Tytkino (Sumy Oblast): Rybar claims ongoing fighting in Tytkino on May 17-18. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, including at Tytkino. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
Krasnoyaruzhsky district (Belgorod Oblast, Russia): Rybar claims ongoing fighting in the forest areas of Krasnoyaruzhsky district on May 17-18. (Рыбарь)
Atynske (Sumy Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border in the direction of Atynske – Tytkino. (Два майора)
Pavlivka (Sumy Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border in the direction of Pavlivka – Novyi Put. (Два майora)
Novyi Put (Sumy Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk border in the direction of Pavlivka – Novyi Put. (Два майora)
Krasnooktyabrsky (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Два майора reports on a Ukrainian assault group attempting to break through in the direction of the border settlement Krasnooktyabrsky, with claimed losses and captures. (Два майора)
Glushkovo direction (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Два майора reports on the destruction of Ukrainian equipment on the Glushkovo direction. (Два майора)
Samoryadovo (Kursk Oblast, Russia) (Bolshnesoldatsky district): Два майора reports on a fire at a school under construction in the village of Samoryadovo after a Ukrainian drone fell. (Два майора)
Belgorod (Russia): Два майора reports on settlements under attack in Belgorod Oblast, including Bessonovka, Tishanka, Ekaterinovka, Lariskovka, Kazinka, Soloty, Podgornoe. (Два майора)
Udachne (Donetsk Oblast): Два майора reports on fighting in the area of Удачного on the Pokrovsk direction. (Два майора)
Kotlyne (Donetsk Oblast): Два майора reports on fighting in the area of Котлино on the Pokrovsk direction. (Два майора)
South-East of Bogatyr (Donetsk Oblast): Два майора reports Russian advances in forest belts south-east of Bogatyr. (Два майора)
Bogatyr – Komar road (Donetsk Oblast): Два майора reports Russian forces have advanced to the road between Bogatyr and Komar. (Два майора)
Komar (Donetsk Oblast): Два майора reports Russian forces have advanced to the road between Bogatyr and Komar. (Два майора)
Velikaya Kardashynka (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Velikaya Kardashynka. (Два майора)
Oleshky (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Oleshky. (Два майора)
Kakhovka (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Kakhovka. (Два майора)
Hola Prystan (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Hola Prystan. (Два майора)
Verkhniy Rohachyk (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Verkhniy Rohachyk. (Два майора)
Rayske (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Rayske. (Два майора)
Knyaze-Hryhorivka (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Knyaze-Hryhorivka. (Два майора)
Mala Lepetykha (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Mala Lepetykha. (Два майора)
Velyka Lepetykha (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Velyka Lepetykha. (Два майора)
Proletarka (Kherson Oblast): Два майора reports on Ukrainian shelling in Proletarka. (Два майора)
Vladivostok (Russia) (Primorsky Krai): Site of a fight with traumatic weapons. (ТАСС)
Nukus (Uzbekistan): Mentioned in a report about potential post-conflict arms trafficking. (ANNA News)
Tripoli (Libya): Site of clashes between armed groups. (Рыбарь)
Congo: Location of kidnapped opposition candidate. (Рыбарь)
Darfur (Sudan): Site of ethnic conflict. (Рыбарь)
Шосткинській громаді (Sumy Oblast): Preliminary reports indicate six drone hits, damaging infrastructure. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
Kurakhovo (Donetsk Oblast): A large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near here. (ТАСС)
Shebekino (Belgorod Oblast, Russia): A Ukrainian drone attacked a bus here, injuring the driver. (Два майора)
Bryansk Oblast (Russia): The governor reports that eight Ukrainian UAVs of aircraft type were destroyed over the territory overnight. (AV БогомаZ) ASTRA reports 8 UAVs destroyed over Bryansk overnight. (ASTRA)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Extremely high and widespread. Russian forces are conducting a large-scale drone attack across multiple Ukrainian oblasts. Ukraine is conducting a massive drone attack targeting Crimea. New reports from Ukrainian sources confirm 5 UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight and FPV drone attacks occurred on the Myrivska and Marhanets communities in the Nikopol region. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 36,503 UAVs lost by Russian forces with an increase of 118 over the past day. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 35 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed overnight, with the majority over Crimea, and 9 each over Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts. Voin DV claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and Starlink near Huliaipole using UAV operators. The latest reports provide detailed and specific movements of numerous Russian drones across Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Kherson, Cherkasy, and Kirovohrad Oblasts, including updated locations and trajectories near Cherkasy, Kaniv, Dolynska, Svitlovodsk, Kremenchuk, and drones heading towards Kazanka/Novyi Buh and Kirovohrad Oblast, and towards/through Kropyvnytskyi. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Mash on Donbass claims 19 new models of Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the DNR last night by air defense and EW. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that an FPV drone from the Russian 27th brigade destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces used anti-drone suits to enter Novoaleksandrovka and cleared Ukrainian tunnels, highlighting the use of anti-drone countermeasures. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy aviation strikes in multiple oblasts and directions, and aviation strikes with unguided aerial rockets in Huliaipole and Odradokamyanka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and launches towards Donetsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers preparing drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of Russian UAV control positions. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian drone strike on a municipal vehicle in Kherson, injuring three workers. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Russia's significant investment in drone production and dependence on foreign components. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area near Velikaya Chernetchina. Два майора shares a video claiming a Ukrainian drone attack on civilians in Borisovka. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide updated, detailed information on numerous Russian drone movements across several Ukrainian oblasts. Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming that Russian "KVN" FPV drones destroyed NATO equipment on the Pokrovsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the strike UAV threat. РБК-Україна reports the lifting of the drone threat. ТАСС reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 208 drone attacks on multiple settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. Dnevnik Desantnika reports on Russian paratrooper drone operations near Chasiv Yar, claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian pickup truck and a UAV control point. TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults on Alexandropol due to the threat of drones. Rybar claims 25 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down (including 8 over Crimea) on May 17-18. Два майора reports over 30 "Geran" drones were counted in Ukrainian skies overnight, causing explosions in several oblasts, and reports on a fire at a school in Kursk Oblast after a Ukrainian drone fell. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. (Рыбарь, Два майора, ТАСС) ASTRA reports 35 UAVs shot down over the Russian Federation and annexed Crimea overnight. (ASTRA) The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports eight Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. (AV БогомаZ) The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports one drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. (Два майора) OPERATIVNO ZSU reports preliminary information of six drone hits in Shostka community, Sumy Oblast. (Оперативний ЗСУ) ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ shares a video of a drone targeting and destroying a temporary enemy deployment point. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense is active across multiple oblasts countering Russian drone attacks, reflected in the widespread air raid alerts and reported explosions in Cherkasy. Russian air defense forces are actively countering the Ukrainian drone attack on Crimea. New reports from Ukrainian sources confirm 5 UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 1167 anti-aircraft systems lost by Russian forces. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 35 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed overnight, with the majority over Crimea, and 9 each over Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts. The updated air raid alert map indicates widespread alerts across Ukraine due to ongoing aerial activity, implying Ukrainian air defense engagement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Russian air defense forces are shooting down many drones targeting Crimea. Mash on Donbass claims Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the DNR last night by air defense and EW. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces used anti-drone suits to enter Novoaleksandrovka, highlighting anti-drone countermeasures. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system, indicating the targeting of air defense assets. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the strike UAV threat. РБК-Україна reports the lifting of the drone threat. ТАСС reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that of 208 drone attacks on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, they were likely countered by air defense/EW as no civilian casualties occurred. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. (ТАСС) ASTRA reports 35 UAVs shot down over the Russian Federation and annexed Crimea overnight. (ASTRA) The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports eight Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight by air defense. (AV БогомаZ)
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces on multiple fronts. Russia claims downing 7 JDAM bombs over the past day. New reports indicate launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation towards Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike in a treeline. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumshchyna and Донеччину. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy aviation strikes with guided bombs and unguided aerial rockets in multiple oblasts and directions, and aviation strikes with unguided aerial rockets in Huliaipole and Odradokamyanka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and launches towards Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports renewed launches of guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 6 aviation strikes on Huliaipole and Novoandriyivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, likely involving guided aerial bombs. Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Kyiv, Khmelnytskyi, and Poltava Oblasts on May 17-18, likely involving KABs. (Рыбарь)
Missile Activity: Russia claims downing 7 JDAM bombs over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 3197 cruise missiles lost by Russian forces. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th. Воин DV shares a video and text claiming that a Ukrainian "Pelican" air target detection radar station was hit by an "Iskander-M" tactical missile system strike near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, today at noon. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, reporting 116 artillery shellings, including from MLRS, on the Kursk direction. НгП раZVедка comments on the planned Russian ICBM launch. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 6 MLRS shellings on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day.
Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation remains active in northeastern and eastern directions, launching guided aerial bombs. Russian forces conducted 75 aviation strikes over the past day. Russia claims striking military airfield infrastructure and UAV concentration areas. Russian military bloggers discuss what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps, implying continued helicopter operations. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 372 aircraft and 336 helicopters lost by Russian forces. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline regions. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumshchyna and Донеччину. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk. Два майора shares a video claiming Russian Aerospace Forces and "Smuglyanka" unit are providing air support for Russian offensive actions on the Zaporizhzhia front. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy aviation strikes in multiple oblasts and directions (including Kamianka, Popiv Yar, Pokrovsk, Novodarivka, Huliaipole, Novoandriyivka, Odradokamyanka, and 10 strikes on the Kursk direction). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about the threat of enemy aviation weapons for Synelnykivskyi district in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. РБК-Україна reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 6 aviation strikes on Huliaipole and Novoandriyivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, likely involving guided aerial bombs. TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults on Alexandropol due to the threat of drones. Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Kyiv, Khmelnytskyi, and Poltava Oblasts on May 17-18. Fighterbomber shares a photo message and wishes a good morning from fighters, likely referring to Russian fighter aviation. (Рыбарь, Fighterbomber)
Naval Activity: No new reports on naval engagements or carrier movements in the Black or Azov Seas. Reported Russian oil transshipment activities in the Mediterranean near Gibraltar continue. Russia anticipates new Ukrainian attempts to attack in the Black Sea direction, particularly targeting gas production platforms in Crimea and potentially involving USVs and sabotage groups. Ukraine reports inflicting losses on Russian boats in the Southern direction. Russia commemorates the anniversary of the Baltic Fleet. Belgium is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels. The US RQ-4B Global Hawk is conducting reconnaissance in the Black Sea. Denmark is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels as part of a new aid package. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 28 warships/boats and 1 submarine lost by Russian forces. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones and EW systems. ТАСС reports the Russian Pacific Fleet's large landing ship "Peresvet" conducted training firing in the Sea of Japan. РБК-Україна reports that as of 06:00 on May 19, 2025, no enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black or Azov Seas. (РБК-Україна) Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports as of 06:00 on May 19, 2025, no enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black or Azov Seas. It reports 3 enemy ships, including 1 Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles, are present in the Mediterranean Sea. It also reports on Kerch Strait passage traffic. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Russia detained a tanker in Russian territorial waters after it sailed from the Estonian port of Sillamäe, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. Ukrainian forces report destroying Russian equipment after artillery preparation and assaults. Russian military bloggers report on mutual artillery activity. Два майора reports Ukrainian shelling in Kherson Oblast, including "Uragan" and "Grad" MLRS, causing damage and casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 28,009 artillery systems (+29) and 1387 MLRS lost by Russian forces. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 6 MLRS shellings and 201 artillery strikes on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Два майора)
Electronic Warfare (EW): Russia claims hitting Ukrainian EW stations and UAV control points. Ukraine reports destroying a Russian EW asset. Russia claims downing Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, potentially through EW or air defense. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including EW systems.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Diplomatic efforts continue, with the US linking potential sanctions against Russia to a lack of progress in negotiations with Ukraine. Both sides are reportedly preparing documents outlining ceasefire conditions. An ISW assessment suggests the Kremlin is delaying negotiations and preparing for a prolonged war. Russian military bloggers and official sources continue to comment on negotiations, emphasizing their position based on battlefield successes and readiness for prolonged conflict. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inauguration of the new Pope Leo XIV and has a reported closed meeting with the Pope, who has called for peace negotiations in Ukraine. Zelenskyy also met with the US Vice President. Rybar highlights anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is likely not planning to end the war soon and is preparing society and the army for a prolonged conflict. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US wants progress in the next few days in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio. TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the demands made by the Russian delegation at the Istanbul negotiations. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it as withdrawal from Macron's plan. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, and ASTRA report that President Zelenskyy is meeting with US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio in Rome, likely for discussions related to the conflict and potential peace efforts. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. Alex Parker Returns and РБК-Україна report on a statement by Trump's special representative Dan Witkoff about a successful call with Putin and narrowing the gap between Ukraine and Russia. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff that the US has managed to narrow the gap in positions between Russia and Ukraine and that direct talks in Istanbul have led to "good achievements." Zelenskiy / Official shares a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with the Pope, stating Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. РБК-Україна reports on President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope, reiterating Ukraine's gratitude for the Vatican's readiness to host direct talks and Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. Оперативний ЗСУ shares President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the need for an unconditional ceasefire and potential sanctions. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump. TASS reports Japan considers the upcoming telephone conversation between Trump and Putin important and is monitoring the situation. Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year makes the Kremlin disinclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
International Pressure: The US is linking progress in negotiations to potential further sanctions against Russia. Germany is seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is preparing society and the army for a prolonged conflict, implying continued international pressure will be needed. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it as withdrawal from Macron's plan. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report on discussions among European leaders and the US about meeting with Trump before his call with Putin. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff that the US has managed to narrow the gap in positions between Russia and Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the potential for sanctions if Russia is not serious about peace talks. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump. ТАСС reports that a draft law is planned to be submitted to the State Duma by the end of the spring session that would allow for the confiscation of income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a form of internal pressure/control. (ТАСС) Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year makes the Kremlin disinclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump, implying reduced likelihood of a diplomatic resolution under current conditions. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Internal Russian Politics: Internal legal proceedings, incidents of vandalism, reports on military engineers, and criminal events continue. Reports of a grenade incident involving a returning Russian soldier in Moscow Oblast are circulating. Russian sources continue to promote narratives of military success and highlight internal social and economic issues. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is preparing Russian society and the army for a prolonged conflict. Rybar highlights anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump. ТАСС reports that Telegram outages are being recorded in Russia. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated that the return of Western companies is permissible if it increases market competition. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ASTRA is appealing for donations. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively and likely for information purposes. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. Colonelcassad shares a photo (Russian passport) and text claiming that Russian forces found the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок shares photos and text from a solemn evening held at the Cathedral of Christ the Savior in Moscow by the "Orthodox Russia" public movement in honor of the 80th anniversary of the Great Victory. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." ТАСС shares a video report about firefighters extinguishing a fire in a residential building in Oryol. 11 people were rescued and 32 evacuated. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a local official, further amplifying this domestic issue. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares photos showing Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, including in Moscow, labeled as "Daily Life of a Soldier," which could be a form of internal morale building or public relations. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a video from occupied Yakymivka, claiming that teachers are collaborating with Russian forces and spreading propaganda to children, which is an internal issue in occupied Ukrainian territory but relevant to Russian control and influence. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the aftermath of a grenade incident in Losino-Petrovsky, Moscow Oblast, involving alleged "SVO veterans," resulting in fatalities and injuries. ТАСС reports that former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister and businessman Mikhail Khubutiya voluntarily appeared before investigators in a case of assault on his acquaintance. Alex Parker Reports on an alleged attack on a doctor in Vladimir, Russia. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing. ТАСС reports that the Russian government is not considering using maternity capital for a long-term savings program. ТАСС reports that the Federal Air Transport Agency does not support the idea of fines for passengers leaving their seats before the plane stops. ТАСС reports that Rosaviatsiya is discussing the possibility of resuming air travel with many countries. ТАСС reports on a new fraud scheme using court hearings as a pretext. ТАСС reports that the "A Just Russia – For Truth" party is requesting an amnesty on educational loans. ТАСС reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai, highlighting social programs and reporting two criminal cases of remote fraud in the Amur district. (Полиция Хабаровского края) ТАСС reports the defense of Joseph Tatera, who attacked a police officer in Moscow, is asking for his release from compulsory psychiatric treatment. ТАСС reports on commentary from a State Duma committee member stating that offers to sell banking cards for a reward constitute direct involvement in criminal activity. TASS reports the Russian Central Bank is noting attempts to use marketplaces for suspicious operations. TASS reports an increase in injuries in the Kalmykia traffic accident and the initiation of a criminal case. ТАСС reports on a new law clarifying responsibility for espionage and treason. ТАСС reports on a proposed draft law to confiscate income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. ТАСС reports a fight with traumatic weapons in Vladivostok. (ТАСС)
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated regarding ceasefire conditions. Commentary on negotiations continues from both sides, with differing interpretations and stated positions. Zelenskyy is engaged in high-level diplomatic meetings with international figures. Rybar highlights anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is preparing for a prolonged conflict, which will impact the nature and duration of diplomatic efforts. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US wants progress in the next few days in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio. TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the demands made by the Russian delegation at the Istanbul negotiations. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it as withdrawal from Macron's plan. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, and ASTRA report that President Zelenskyy is meeting with US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio in Rome, likely for discussions related to the conflict and potential peace efforts. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. Alex Parker Returns and РБК-Україна report on a statement by Trump's special representative Dan Witkoff about a successful call with Putin and narrowing the gap between Ukraine and Russia. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff that the US has managed to narrow the gap in positions between Russia and Ukraine and that direct talks in Istanbul have led to "good achievements." Zelenskiy / Official shares a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with the Pope, stating Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. РБК-Україна reports on President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope, reiterating Ukraine's gratitude for the Vatican's readiness to host direct talks and Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. Оперативний ЗСУ shares President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the need for an unconditional ceasefire and potential sanctions. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump. TASS reports Japan considers the upcoming telephone conversation between Trump and Putin important and is monitoring the situation. Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year makes the Kremlin disinclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Eurovision 2025: The outcome of the Eurovision contest is reported. Commentary on media coverage is noted. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine placed 9th at Eurovision-2025 and provides the final results. ТАСС reports that Russia's representative for "Intervision" will be announced on May 19th, indicating a similar type of cultural event planning.
International Incidents: A maritime incident in New York and the claimed death of a Hamas leader in Gaza after an Israeli strike are reported. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. ТАСС reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. Alex Parker Reports on an alleged attack on a doctor in Vladimir, Russia, by a relative of a migrant patient, which is a domestic Russian incident framed as an international issue due to the migrant involvement. ТАСС reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital in Gaza, with 55 people blocked inside. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including operation "Gideon's Chariots" here. (ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
Middle East Tensions: The claimed death of a Hamas leader in Gaza is reported. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. ТАСС reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital in Gaza, with 55 people blocked inside. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including operation "Gideon's Chariots" here. (ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
Energy Security: Turkey announces the discovery of a giant new gas field in the Black Sea. Reported Russian oil transshipment activities in the Mediterranean near Gibraltar continue. Russian analysis of US RQ-4B Global Hawk activity suggests potential for increased Ukrainian attacks in the Black Sea and Crimea, particularly targeting gas production platforms in Crimea and potentially involving USVs and sabotage groups. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Russia detained a tanker in Russian territorial waters after it sailed from the Estonian port of Sillamäe, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
ISW Assessment: ISW provides an assessment of the Kremlin's negotiation strategy. (РБК-Україна)
Commemoration of Fallen Ukrainian Defender: Commemoration of a Ukrainian defender is reported. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the claimed elimination of the deputy commander of the "Don" Cossack brigade, Alexander Tseruta. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports on the claimed elimination of a highly decorated Russian scout-sniper ("Ded") on May 11th.
Commemorative Practices in Ukraine: Daily minute of silence and commemoration of historical events like the Crimean Tatar deportation are highlighted. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorates the victims of political repression and the genocide of the Crimean Tatar people. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a message from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi commemorating the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People (May 18th).
Polish Presidential Election: Analysis of the first round and claims of Russian information operations during the election are reported. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland. РБК-Україна reports on the partial results of the presidential election in Poland.
Romanian Presidential Election: Analysis of the second round and record voter turnout abroad are reported. New reports confirm the final results, with the pro-European candidate winning. (STERNENKO, WarGonzo) ASTRA also reports the victory. (ASTRA)
Cultural Diplomacy: Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival and attendance of Ukrainian and international leaders at the Pope's inauguration are reported. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here. STERNENKO reports that Zelenskyy met with the Pope. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. РБК-Україна shares a photo of President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Zelenskiy / Official shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a photo of President Zelenskyy being received by the new Pope. Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos of President Zelenskyy and the First Lady meeting with Pope Leo XIV and includes Zelenskyy's statement. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war.
Report on Potential Post-Conflict Arms Trafficking: A report suggesting a massive inflow of weapons into Europe after the conflict is noted.
Vatican: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV and has a reported closed meeting with the Pope, who has called for peace negotiations in Ukraine. International leaders are also attending. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. STERNENKO reports that Zelenskyy met with the Pope. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. РБК-Україна shares a photo of President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Zelenskiy / Official shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a photo of President Zelenskyy being received by the new Pope. Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos of President Zelenskyy and the First Lady meeting with Pope Leo XIV and includes Zelenskyy's statement. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the need for an unconditional ceasefire and potential sanctions. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war.
US-Russia Relations: Russian President Putin has commented on relations with the US. Commentary on potential high-level meetings continues. Rybar highlights anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is preparing Russian society and the army for a prolonged conflict. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US wants progress in the next few days in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio. TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch, implying the information originated from the US. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. Alex Parker Returns and РБК-Україна report on a statement by Trump's special representative Dan Witkoff about a successful call with Putin and narrowing the gap between Ukraine and Russia. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff that the US has managed to narrow the gap in positions between Russia and Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff about the success of the upcoming Trump-Putin phone call. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary on the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the need for an unconditional ceasefire and potential sanctions. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump. TASS reports Japan considers the upcoming telephone conversation between Trump and Putin important and is monitoring the situation. Colonelcassad reports that Germany will produce ATACMS, PAC-3, GMLRS, Hellfire and JAGM missiles in cooperation with Lockheed Martin. (Colonelcassad) Два майора reports attention will be on the results of the expected telephone talks between Putin and Trump. (Два майора) US President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with prostate cancer. (ASTRA) Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year makes the Kremlin disinclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Russia (Baikonur Cosmodrome): Detention of two Czech citizens reported.
Russia (Sheremetyevo airport, Moscow): Arrest related to alleged embezzlement schemes reported.
Russia (Moscow): Arrest of a co-founder of a crypto project and criminal events reported. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event held in Moscow. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares photos showing Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, including in Moscow. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the aftermath of a grenade incident in Losino-Petrovsky, Moscow Oblast, involving alleged "SVO veterans," resulting in fatalities and injuries. ТАСС reports that former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister and businessman Mikhail Khubutiya voluntarily appeared before investigators in a case of assault on his acquaintance. Alex Parker Reports on an alleged attack on a doctor in Vladimir, Russia. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing. ТАСС reports that the Russian government is not considering using maternity capital for a long-term savings program. ТАСС reports that the Federal Air Transport Agency does not support the idea of fines for passengers leaving their seats before the plane stops. ТАСС reports that Rosaviatsiya is discussing the possibility of resuming air travel with many countries. ТАСС reports on a new fraud scheme using court hearings as a pretext. ТАСС reports that the "A Just Russia – For Truth" party is requesting an amnesty on educational loans. ТАСС reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai. ТАСС reports the defense of Joseph Tatera, who attacked a police officer in Moscow, is asking for his release from compulsory psychiatric treatment. ТАСС reports on commentary from a State Duma committee member stating that offers to sell banking cards for a reward constitute direct involvement in criminal activity. TASS reports the Russian Central Bank is noting attempts to use marketplaces for suspicious operations. TASS reports an increase in injuries in the Kalmykia traffic accident and the initiation of a criminal case. ТАСС reports on a new law clarifying responsibility for espionage and treason. ТАСС reports on a proposed draft law to confiscate income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. ТАСС reports a fight with traumatic weapons in Vladivostok. (ТАСС)
International Football History and Statistics Federation: Recognition of Lev Yashin reported.
ANNA News: Cited in a report on strategic implications.
Losino-Petrovsk (Moscow Oblast): Alleged grenade incident involving a returning Russian SVO participant resulting in fatalities and injuries. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the aftermath of a grenade incident here.
Jabalia camp (Gaza): ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. ТАСС reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital in Gaza, with 55 people blocked inside. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including operation "Gideon's Chariots" here. (ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
Lobkove (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 208 drone attacks and 201 artillery strikes on Lobkove over the past day. (✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Berezivka (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Berezivka.
Oleksandropol (Donetsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Oleksandropol. WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. ТАСС shares a video of a Russian soldier recounting close combat near Alexandropol. TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults here. Rybar claims Russian forces occupied Alexandropol on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are подтягивают фланги у Александрополя. (✙DeepState✙🇺🇦, WarGonzo, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Dnipro islands (Kherson Oblast): Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident here.
Vologda Oblast (Russia) (Nyuksensky district): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal involving the daughter of a district head here. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively and likely for information purposes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a local official, further amplifying this domestic issue. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast.
Vatican: Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. STERNENKO reports that Zelenskyy met with the Pope. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. РБК-Україна shares a photo of President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Zelenskiy / Official shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares photos and a statement from President Zelenskyyy's meeting with Pope Leo XIV. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a photo of President Zelenskyy being received by the new Pope. Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos of President Zelenskyy and the First Lady meeting with Pope Leo XIV and includes Zelenskyy's statement. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war.
Denmark: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package to Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Denmark is transferring a new defense package to Ukraine worth $600 million.
Kazakhstan: Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft.
Svobodny (Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia): РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM from near here. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch from near here. Военкор Котенок comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch, mentioning its location. НгП раZVедка comments on the planned Russian ICBM launch.
Pip Ivan mountain (Carpathians): РБК-Україна reports renewed snowfall here.
International Association of Ultrarunners: ТАСС reports that this association has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag.
South-Donetsk direction: Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system. Воин DV provides an update on the situation on the South Donetsk direction, claiming Russian advances and repelled Ukrainian counterattacks. Rybar and Два майора report Russian advances and Ukrainian counterattacks on the South Donetsk direction, claiming liberation of Bogatyr and advances towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, reaching 4.5 km from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Воин DV, БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Druzhkivka direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Romanovka, Zarya, Stara Mykolayivka, Ignatovka, Yablunovka, Novooleksiivka, Novoyelenivka, Rusin Yar, Scherbynivka, Novospasske (Petrivka), Katerynivka, Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of this direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation.
Sloviansk-Kramatorsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Krasnoarmiisk-Dymytrovsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Albania: Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister.
Novaya Poltavka (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, mentioning advancement from here. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones. Rybar claims the liberation of Novaya Poltavka on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are expanding their zone of control west of Novaya Poltavka. (Сливочный каприз, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Novoaleksandrovka (Donetsk Oblast): Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces have entered Novoaleksandrovka. Два майора reports fighting in the area of Новоалександровки on the Pokrovsk direction. (Colonelcassad, Два майора)
Istanbul (Turkey): TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff, mentioning the Istanbul talks. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany here. Rybar and Два майора report attention will be on the results of the expected telephone talks between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Syria: Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including attempts to unify armed groups here. (Рыбарь)
Eurovision 2025: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine placed 9th at Eurovision-2025. ТАСС reports that Russia's representative for "Intervision" will be announced on May 19th.
Smuglyanka unit (Russian Forces): Два майора shares a video claiming Russian Aerospace Forces and "Smuglyanka" unit are providing air support on the Zaporizhzhia front.
Novoelenivka (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз reports positional battles in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces expanded control and occupied new positions in the northern part of Novoelenivka. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, mentioning advancement from here. Два майора reports Russian forces are подтягивают фланги west of Novoelenivka (Новооленівка) on the Konstantinovka direction. (Сливочный каприз, Военкор Котенок, Два майора)
Alexandropol: WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. ТАСС shares a video of a Russian soldier recounting close combat near Alexandropol. TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults here. Rybar claims Russian forces occupied Alexandropol on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are подтягивают фланги у Александрополя. (WarGonzo, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Torskoye (Lyman direction): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye. Rybar claims ongoing fighting in Tytkino on May 17-18, but also mentions fighting in the Lyman direction and Torskoye. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
Zarechnoye (Lyman direction): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye.
Redkodub (Lyman direction): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces are fighting for Redkodub. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, reporting eight enemy attacks on the Lyman direction in the area of Redkodub.
Kharkiv (city): РБК-Україна reports that the TCC in Kharkiv has commented on the death of a man on their territory.
Terror battalion (Ukrainian-affiliated forces): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Russian forces eliminated a Belarusian nationalist fighter of the "Terror" battalion.
Ryzhkyi (call sign): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Vesny claims Russian forces eliminated a fighter with this call sign.
Makeyevka (Donetsk Oblast): Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka.
Rome (Italy): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, and ASTRA report that President Zelenskyy is meeting with US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio in Rome. Оперативний ЗСУ also confirms this meeting. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that President Zelenskyy is meeting with US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio in Rome. РБК-Україна reports on Zelenskyy meeting with Vance and Rubio in Rome. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Zelenskyy meeting with Vance and Rubio in Rome. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary on the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff in Rome. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff in Rome. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany here.
Pervomaiskyi (Mykolaiv Oblast): Оперативний ЗСУ reports an incident in Pervomaiskyi TCC in Mykolaiv Oblast where a man who received a summons allegedly cut his hand.
Yakymivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a video from occupied Yakymivka, Zaporizhia Oblast, claiming that teachers are collaborating with Russian forces and spreading propaganda to children.
Gaza Strip (North and South): ТАСС reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation here. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation here. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital here. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes.
Synelnykivskyi district (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues a warning about the threat of enemy aviation weapons for Synelnykivskyi district.
Vladimir (Russia): Alex Parker Reports on an alleged attack on a doctor here.
Marhanets (Occupied Mariupol): ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents here regarding compensation and housing.
Kaniv: Location of a reported drone. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Kazanka/Novyi Buh: Location where drones from the Beryslav district are reportedly heading. (Николаевский Ванёк)
Salavat (Bashkiria): Location of an enterprise where a fatality occurred after an explosion. (ТАСС)
Kalmykia (Russia): Location of a fatal traffic accident. ТАСС reports on an incident here. TASS reports an increase in injuries and a criminal case initiated in the Kalmykia traffic accident. (ТАСС)
Vyazemsky district (Khabarovsk Krai, Russia): Location of regional police public relations activities. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on activities here.
Kropyvnytskyi (Kirovohrad Oblast): Location of reported drone activity. New reports indicate six drones heading towards/through Kropyvnytskyi. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Poland: Location of recent presidential election. РБК-Україна reports on election results here.
Japan: Location of government officials commenting on the upcoming Trump-Putin call. TASS reports on commentary from here.
Estonia (Sillamäe port): Port from which a tanker sailed before being detained by Russia. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a tanker detained by Russia after sailing from here, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Rotterdam (Netherlands): Reported destination of the tanker detained by Russia. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a tanker detained by Russia that was heading here, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Baltic Sea: Location where Russia detained a tanker. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Russia detained a tanker in Russian territorial waters here, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Palestine: Location of delegation meeting with Russian Deputy Foreign Minister. ТАСС reports on a meeting between Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdanov and a Palestinian delegation here.
Middle East: Rybar provides a video summary of events in this region. (Рыбарь)
Libya (Tripoli): Site of clashes between armed groups. Rybar provides a summary of events in Black Africa, including clashes here. (Рыбарь)
Congo: Location of kidnapped opposition candidate. Rybar provides a summary of events in Black Africa, including developments here. (Рыбарь)
Sudan (Darfur): Site of ethnic conflict. Rybar provides a summary of events in Black Africa, including conflict here. (Рыбарь)
Амурском районе (Khabarovsk Krai, Russia): Police have initiated two criminal cases regarding remote fraud here. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
Shebekino (Belgorod Oblast, Russia): A Ukrainian drone attacked a bus here, injuring the driver. (Два майора)
Bryansk Oblast (Russia): The governor reports that eight Ukrainian UAVs of aircraft type were destroyed over the territory overnight. (AV БогомаZ)
Kurakhovo (Donetsk Oblast): A large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition was discovered near here. (ТАСС)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support (Ukraine): International military aid continues, including the expected delivery of ammunition from the EU. Fundraising efforts for Ukrainian military units are ongoing. Ukraine is highlighting the need for continued support from NATO. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the effectiveness of FPV drones and emphasizing the need for continued drone support. Zelenskyy and European leaders reportedly held a phone call with Trump to discuss the Istanbul talks, likely related to continued support. The confirmed shipment of Australian Abrams tanks is a new form of military support. (ТАСС) Denmark is providing a new military aid package. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade is actively recruiting gunners. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH and including drones, batteries, EW systems, remote mining means, and other equipment, highlighting the financial and material support provided. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Civilian Support (Ukraine): Efforts to address the issue of deported children are ongoing internationally. Healthcare infrastructure and support for medical workers are being highlighted in Zaporizhzhia. Local authorities in Kryvyi Rih are implementing programs for food package distribution. A special screening of the documentary film "People of Steel" about the defenders of Mariupol is planned in Kyiv, highlighting efforts to raise awareness and support. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on an initiative to create a support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks in Kyiv. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two damaged cars in Zaporizhzhia Oblast with no civilian casualties after extensive Russian strikes. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports damage to private houses and other civilian infrastructure in Kryvyi Rih district due to recent attacks. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports civilian casualties in Kherson due to Russian shelling. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Military Support (Russia): Fundraising for military equipment is ongoing. The development and presentation of new AK-12 variants is a form of military support. Russian military bloggers are discussing the need for better quality drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers preparing drones. Сливочный каприз shares a video showing the delivery of aid collected by channel subscribers to the Russian 70th regiment. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Russia's significant investment in drone production. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. ТАСС reports that a draft law is planned to be submitted to the State Duma by the end of the spring session that would allow for the confiscation of income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. (ТАСС) Два майора shares photos from a Museum of SVO tour, which serves to promote support for the military. (Два майора)
Veterans Support (Russia): A report on a Wagner veteran's murder case highlights issues faced by returning servicemen. The adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans is reported. A Paralympic lesson for veterans was held in Moscow. Neglected graves of "special operation heroes" are being reported in Khabarovsk. A Russian serviceman from Krasnoyarsk Krai complained about the poor condition of a road leading to his village, which could impact support for military personnel returning home. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the aftermath of a grenade incident in Losino-Petrovsky, Moscow Oblast, involving alleged "SVO veterans," resulting in fatalities and injuries. ТАСС reports that a draft law is planned to be submitted to the State Duma by the end of the spring session that would allow for the confiscation of income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding for veterans and the region. (ТАСС)
Post-Conflict Recovery: Demining efforts are ongoing in Kharkiv Oblast. The issue of rebuilding the destroyed Mariupol maternity hospital is being highlighted. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing.
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Ukraine): The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is engaging with families of servicemen to discuss search, return, and identification processes. A body exchange has taken place. Ukrainian Minister of Defense Umerov announced a "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange is potentially being prepared. Medinsky confirmed this exchange would occur in the coming days. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange.
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Russia): A body exchange has taken place. Medinsky confirmed that Russia and Ukraine would exchange prisoners in a "1000 for 1000" format in the coming days.
Internal Issues in Russia: A Russian serviceman from Krasnoyarsk Krai complained about the poor condition of a road leading to his village, which could impact logistics and support for military personnel returning home. ТАСС reports that the Russian government is not considering using maternity capital for a long-term savings program. ТАСС reports on a new fraud scheme using court hearings as a pretext. ТАСС reports that the "A Just Russia – For Truth" party is requesting an amnesty on educational loans. ТАСС reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai, highlighting social programs and reporting two criminal cases of remote fraud in the Amur district. (Полиция Хабаровского края) ТАСС reports the defense of Joseph Tatera, who attacked a police officer in Moscow, is asking for his release from compulsory psychiatric treatment. ТАСС reports on commentary from a State Duma committee member stating that offers to sell banking cards for a reward constitute direct involvement in criminal activity. TASS reports the Russian Central Bank is noting attempts to use marketplaces for suspicious operations. TASS reports an increase in injuries in the Kalmykia traffic accident and the initiation of a criminal case. ТАСС reports on a new law clarifying responsibility for espionage and treason. ТАСС reports on a proposed draft law to confiscate income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. ТАСС reports a fight with traumatic weapons in Vladivostok. (ТАСС) ТАСС reports that the Federal Air Transport Agency does not support the idea of fines for passengers leaving their seats before the plane stops. (ТАСС)
Law Enforcement and Evasion of Mobilization (Ukraine): The Office of the Prosecutor General reports on uncovering schemes to evade mobilization in various regions, highlighting ongoing efforts to enforce conscription and address corruption related to it.
Psychological Support: Cultural diplomacy and commemoration events in Ukraine can provide psychological support. A tragic domestic incident in Russia potentially linked to a returning soldier highlights potential psychological challenges. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorating the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorating the victims of political repression and the genocide of the Crimean Tatar people. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on the presentation of a new youth media platform "YoUA ZP" in Zaporizhzhia, which includes information on mental health. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares photos showing Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, including interacting with a cat, labeled as "Daily Life of a Soldier," which can serve as a morale booster. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on an initiative to create a support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks in Kyiv, which will include psychological support.
Humanitarian Impact (Unspecified Location): Images depicting damaged structures are shared. New reports confirm one fatality and three injuries in Kherson due to Russian shelling. Updated information on damage to civilian infrastructure in Kryvyi Rih district is provided. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, injuring one person and causing emotional shock to two others. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries. Alex Parker Returns reports a "terrorist attack" has occurred in Kryvyi Rih, implying humanitarian impact. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People (May 18th), highlighting the historical suffering. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian drone strike on a municipal vehicle in Kherson, injuring three workers. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital in Gaza, with 55 people blocked inside, implying humanitarian impact. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast and Novaya Kakhovka due to Ukrainian shelling and drone attacks. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two damaged cars in Zaporizhzhia Oblast with no civilian casualties after extensive Russian strikes. (Два майора, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on damage to civilian infrastructure in Kryvyi Rih district. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)) ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports civilian casualties in Kherson due to Russian shelling. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Veteran Status and Benefits (Ukraine): Efforts to improve administrative processes for obtaining veteran status are reported.
Fundraising: STERNENKO and БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС are appealing for donations for the Ukrainian military. ASTRA is appealing for donations. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH, highlighting the financial support provided. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС is appealing for donations. STERNENKO is appealing for donations, including for a special knife. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a fundraising effort has been completed. Сливочный каприз shares a video showing the delivery of aid collected by channel subscribers to the Russian 70th regiment. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС is appealing for donations for an evacuation vehicle for the 44th brigade. STERNENKO is appealing for donations for a special knife. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. ТАСС reports that a draft law is planned to be submitted to the State Duma by the end of the spring session that would allow for the confiscation of income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. (ТАСС)
Cultural Activities (Ukraine): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on the presentation of a new youth media platform "YoUA ZP" in Zaporizhzhia, which includes information on cultural topics. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People, which includes cultural remembrance. Mash на Донбассе shares a video celebrating the anniversary of the "liberation" of Mariupol. ТАСС reports that Russia's representative for "Intervision" will be announced on May 19th.
Support for Minors and Families (Russia): Полиция Хабаровского края reports on regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai, focusing on working with minors and families and reporting two criminal cases of remote fraud in the Amur district. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
Health of International Leaders: US President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with prostate cancer. (ASTRA)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults across multiple fronts, repelling numerous attacks and inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses. Utilizing drones for various purposes, including counter-drone operations with interceptor drones and potentially for striking targets in Russia and occupied territories. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from widespread Russian aerial and artillery attacks. Engaging in high-level diplomatic negotiations and seeking continued international military and political support. Addressing alleged internal military issues related to leadership and tactics, with the General Staff launching an investigation into statements by a commander of the 47th Mechanized Brigade. Engaging in basic training for new recruits and efforts to improve veteran support processes. Commemorating fallen defenders and historical events. Highlighting military units and personnel. Investigating potential internal criminal activities linked to hostile forces. Receiving Abrams tanks from Australia. (ТАСС) Denmark is providing a new military aid package. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) Ukrainian forces inflicted 1040 personnel losses, destroyed 29 artillery systems, 118 UAVs, and 88 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, according to the Ukrainian General Staff. Ukrainian air defenders shot down 5 UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. Ukrainian forces are reportedly defending against Russian FPV drone attacks in the Nikopol region. Ukrainian forces are defending against ongoing Russian attacks on the Kursk border. Ukrainian sources from the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package to Ukraine worth $600 million, including self-propelled artillery, ammunition, and equipment for the Air Force. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides a brief comment on weather conditions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, stating Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence, employ asymmetric tactics and active defense, and inflict significant losses on Russian forces. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones, batteries, EW systems, and remote mining means, highlighting the capabilities being provided to Ukrainian units. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts, and the Sumy/Chernihiv border, indicating active Ukrainian air defense engagement. РБК-Україна reports that the TCC in Kharkiv has commented on the death of a man on their territory, opening a criminal case for suicide and investigating the actions of TCC staff. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the claimed elimination of the deputy commander of the "Don" Cossack brigade, Alexander Tseruta. Полковник ГУР Шершень claims Russian forces launched 273 strike UAVs overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 imitator drones locationally lost, highlighting Ukrainian air defense activity. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a message from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi commemorating the Day of the Reservist of Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system, highlighting the use of Western-supplied long-range artillery. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports on the claimed elimination of a highly decorated Russian scout-sniper ("Ded") on May 11th, highlighting successful Ukrainian operations against high-value personnel. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an incident in Pervomaiskyi TCC in Mykolaiv Oblast related to mobilization, highlighting internal issues related to force generation. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing Ukrainian defensive actions and repelled enemy attacks on multiple fronts. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People (May 18th), highlighting the plight of Crimean Tatars in Russian captivity. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of Russian assets. Рыбарь provides commentary on alleged issues within the Ukrainian 47th brigade on the Kursk direction. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian drone strike on a municipal vehicle in Kherson. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a message from Ukrainian MP Oleksiy Honcharenko expressing hope for public figures to enlist. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a video featuring an 18-year-old Ukrainian serviceman explaining his motivation for joining. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier from the 151st Separate Mechanized Brigade. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС is appealing for donations for an evacuation vehicle for the 44th brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians. Colonelcassad shares photos and a video allegedly showing Ukrainian engineering structures and obstacles constructed in May 2025, providing evidence of Ukrainian defensive preparations. РБК-Україна reports that Simion has conceded defeat in the Romanian presidential election, an external political development. РБК-Україна reports the final results of the Romanian presidential election, confirming the outcome. РБК-Україна reports on the partial results of the Polish presidential election. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump and backed by Ukraine and Europe. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the strike UAV threat. РБК-Україна reports the lifting of the drone threat. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. РБК-Україна reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, repelling Russian drone, MLRS, and artillery attacks. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Rybar claims 25 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down (including 8 over Crimea) on May 17-18 and reports Ukrainian forces attempted to disrupt Russian advances in the South Donetsk direction with aviation-bomb strikes and three counterattacks. TASS reports Russian military expert Andrei Marochko claims Ukraine lost 4.2 thousand soldiers and mercenaries near the LPR over the past week. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, including attempts by Ukrainian units to break through and claimed captures and losses of Ukrainian personnel and equipment. (Рыбарь, ТАСС, Два майора)
Russian Forces: Conducting intense ground assaults and extensive aerial attacks across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements including Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, and advances on the Konstantinovka direction. Employing a massive number of strike UAVs and imitator drones, guided aerial bombs (KABs), extensive artillery and MLRS, and various other drone types. Reporting significant claimed Ukrainian losses in personnel and equipment across all Groups of Forces. Russian military bloggers are actively commenting on tactical situations, equipment use (including unconventional methods), and claimed successes, and engaging in information operations. Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus and planning joint exercises. Domestic incidents potentially linked to returning soldiers are being reported. Russia is utilizing a range of equipment and tactics, including FPV drones and potentially new ground robotic complexes. The Russian Pacific Fleet conducted training firing in the Sea of Japan. (ТАСС) The Ukrainian General Staff reports 1040 personnel losses (+1040), 10,833 tanks (+1), 22,562 armored fighting vehicles (+5), 28,009 artillery systems (+29), 1387 MLRS, 1167 anti-aircraft systems, 372 aircraft, 336 helicopters, 36,503 UAVs (+118), 3197 cruise missiles, 28 warships/boats, 1 submarine, 48,988 vehicles & fuel tanks (+88), and 3892 special equipment units lost by Russian forces since the start of the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 35 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed overnight, with the majority over Crimea, and 9 each over Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts. Voin DV claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and Starlink near Huliaipole using UAV operators. TASS, citing Russian силовые структуры, claims Aydar battalion fighters are fleeing positions near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Rybar provides a morning summary highlighting claimed Russian advances on multiple fronts and Ukrainian losses on the Kursk border. Два майора provides a morning summary highlighting claimed Russian advances on multiple fronts and Ukrainian losses on the Kursk border. Ukrainian sources from the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics (damaging canal pipe) and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, claiming destruction of Russian vehicles. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline regions. A hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumshchyna and Донеччину. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk. Два майора shares a video claiming Russian Aerospace Forces and "Smuglyanka" unit are providing air support for Russian offensive actions on the Zaporizhzhia front. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further, implying successful tactics. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a successful tactical action. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation, highlighting Russian offensive tactics. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting Russian force deployments (including 12,000 North Korean servicemen) and increased use of KABs, also reporting on Russian assault actions. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military, highlighting Russian capabilities in drone warfare. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, offering a perspective on challenges related to integrating disparate forces, which could be relevant to understanding their approach or potential difficulties. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, indicating continued use of glide bombs as a tactic. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts, and the Sumy/Chernihiv border, indicating widespread Russian aerial activity. Полковник ГУР Шершень claims Russian forces launched 273 strike UAVs overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 imitator drones locationally lost, highlighting the scale of Russian drone attacks. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," implying a large-scale drone attack. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Воин DV shares a video and text claiming that a Ukrainian "Pelican" air target detection radar station was hit by an "Iskander-M" tactical missile system strike near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetropsk Oblast, today at noon. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that an FPV drone from the Russian 27th brigade destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces have entered Novoaleksandrovka in Donetsk Oblast and cleared Ukrainian tunnels, highlighting specific tactics. Два майора shares a video claiming Russian Aerospace Forces and "Smuglyanka" unit are providing air support for Russian offensive actions on the Zaporizhzhia front. Сливочный каприз reports positional battles in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces expanded control and occupied new positions in the northern part of Novoelenivka, with a 700-meter advance. WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye and are fighting for Redkodub on the Lyman direction, implying personnel involved in these battles. Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka that was held by Ukrainian forces, implying the use of specific tactics to achieve this. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system, illustrating the use of this long-range weapon system and its effectiveness against Russian air defense. Воин DV provides an update on the South Donetsk direction, claiming Russian advances, counterattacks by Ukrainian forces (repelled), and destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles using FPV drones and Lancet, highlighting specific tactical engagements and equipment use. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy offensive actions (ground assaults) and use of aviation strikes (guided bombs and unguided aerial rockets), artillery, and mortars on multiple fronts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and launches towards Donetsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers preparing drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of various Russian assets. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian drone strike on a municipal vehicle in Kherson, injuring three workers. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Russia's significant investment in drone production and dependence on foreign components. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area near Velikaya Chernetchina. Два майора shares a video claiming a Ukrainian drone attack on civilians in Borisovka. ТАСС shares a video of a Russian soldier recounting close combat near Alexandropol. Оперативный ЗСУ reports on Russia's significant investment in drone production. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians. Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming that Russian "KVN" FPV drones destroyed NATO equipment on the Pokrovsk direction during a Ukrainian advance. ТАСС reports, citing Ivan Bigma from the "West" Group of Forces, that a "Tornado-S" MLRS crew destroyed over 30 Ukrainian National Guard personnel. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. РБК-Україна reports continued activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports renewed launches of guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast. ТАСС reports on Myanmar's Prime Minister praising Russian Su-30 aircraft. TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults on Alexandropol due to the threat of drones. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 421 strikes on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Russia detained a tanker in Russian territorial waters after it sailed from the Estonian port of Sillamäe, citing Bloomberg. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА) ТАСС reports Rostec specialists assessed a damaged Leopard 2 tank and claim vulnerabilities. (ТАСС) Dnevnik Desantnika reports on Russian paratrooper drone operations near Chasiv Yar, claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian pickup truck and a UAV control point. Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Kyiv, Khmelnytskyi, and Poltava Oblasts, downing Ukrainian UAVs, and Russian advances on multiple fronts on May 17-18. TASS reports Russian military expert Andrei Marochko claims Ukraine lost 4.2 thousand soldiers and mercenaries near the LPR over the past week. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, with claimed Russian successes and losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces, and reports Russian advances on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, and South Donetsk directions, claiming liberation of Bogatyr and advances towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. (Рыбарь, ТАСС, Два майора) ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ shares a video of a drone targeting and destroying a temporary enemy deployment point. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Russian Recruitment: Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. Recruitment for the "African Corps" is being highlighted. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition is disseminating information for recruitment into the Russian "African Corps." Colonelcassad shares a video about recruitment into the 3rd Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade. (Colonelcassad) ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. (ASTRA) Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident. (Colonelcassad) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a local official. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА) Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast. (Два майора) Colonelcassad is disseminating a message directly targeting Ukrainian citizens, inviting them to join a "people's resistance" for payment. (Colonelcassad)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The intense ground combat and claimed Russian advances on multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscore Russia's strategic objective of gaining ground and degrading Ukrainian defenses. The high number of combat engagements in areas like Pokrovsk highlights the strategic importance of these sectors. Russian claims of liberating settlements like Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, if confirmed, represent tactical gains with potential strategic implications for controlling key routes and advancing towards larger objectives in the Donbas and potentially towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Ukrainian sources denying the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr indicates a contested strategic objective. The updated estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses reported by the Ukrainian General Staff, if accurate, are strategically significant, indicating the high cost of Russia's offensive operations and potentially impacting their long-term sustainability. The claim of Russian advances on the Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, and South Donetsk directions and the alleged fleeing of Aydar battalion fighters are part of the Russian strategic narrative of battlefield success. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reporting enemy advances near Lobkove, Berezivka, and Oleksandropol provides confirmation of tactical shifts in these areas with potential local strategic implications. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics (damaging canal pipe) and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, reinforcing the strategic importance of this area and the dynamic nature of tactics employed. Воин DV sharing archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr is a strategic effort to reinforce their narrative. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further, reinforcing the Russian narrative of the strategic importance of this claimed gain. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a strategic achievement. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation, highlighting Russian strategic objectives in this area and their efforts to threaten key Ukrainian groupings. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and that it was a large logistical hub for Ukraine. ТАСС reports, citing military expert Marochko, that taking Bogatyr in the DNR provides access to Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, reinforcing the Russian strategic narrative. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that Russian forces have entered Novoaleksandrovka in Donetsk Oblast and cleared Ukrainian tunnels, presenting this as a tactical success. Сливочный каприз reports positional battles in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces expanded control and occupied new positions in the northern part of Novoelenivka, with a 700-meter advance, indicating continued Russian offensive efforts in a key area. WarGonzo reports that soldiers of the 242nd regiment have liberated Alexandropol and are continuing their advance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that after liberating Torskoye, Russian forces have reached the outskirts of Zarechnoye and are fighting for Redkodub on the Lyman direction, indicating continued Russian pressure on this front. Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka that was held by Ukrainian forces, implying the use of specific tactics to achieve this. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy offensive actions (ground assaults) and use of aviation strikes (guided bombs and unguided aerial rockets), artillery, and mortars on multiple fronts. Воин DV provides an update on the situation on the South Donetsk direction, claiming Russian advances and repelled Ukrainian counterattacks, indicating the ongoing contest for territory. Mash на Донбассе shares a video celebrating the anniversary of the "liberation" of Mariupol, which is a strategic information operation aimed at normalizing Russian control over occupied territories. Colonelcassad shares a video from the claimed liberated settlement of Bogatyr, reinforcing the Russian strategic narrative. ASTRA reports on issues faced by residents in occupied Mariupol regarding compensation and housing, highlighting the strategic challenges of administering and gaining legitimacy in occupied territories. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС is appealing for donations for the 44th brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting the strategic importance of maintaining Ukrainian defense in this key area. ТАСС shares a video of a Russian soldier recounting close combat near Alexandropol, likely for propaganda and to highlight bravery. Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming that Russian "KVN" FPV drones destroyed NATO equipment on the Pokrovsk direction during a Ukrainian advance, which is strategically significant as it targets Western-supplied equipment and supports the Russian narrative of effectively countering NATO support. ТАСС reports, citing Ivan Bigma from the "West" Group of Forces, that a "Tornado-S" MLRS crew destroyed over 30 Ukrainian National Guard personnel, a claim of tactical success with potential strategic implications if it represents a significant degradation of a specific Ukrainian unit. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports renewed launches of guided aerial bombs towards Donetsk Oblast, indicating the continued strategic importance of this area for Russian aerial operations. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 421 strikes on settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, including aviation, drone, MLRS, and artillery, indicating continued high-intensity Russian attacks in this key region. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) TASS reports on Russian tactics during assaults on Alexandropol due to the threat of drones. Rybar claims Russian advances towards Dyliivka and claimed capture of Alexandropol in the Dzerzhinsk direction, and the liberation of Novaya Poltavka and presence of Russian flags in Bogatyr in the Pokrovsk direction, along with continued Russian offensive actions in other areas, on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian efforts to close a "pocket" and advance on the Konstantinovka direction, including claimed start of assault on Yablunivka, and Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and on the South Donetsk direction reaching 4.5 km from the oblast. (Рыбарь, Два майора)
The massive overnight Russian drone attack on Ukraine, involving a large number of UAVs and targeting multiple regions including Kyiv Oblast with casualties and damage, is a significant strategic action aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses, inflicting harm on civilians and infrastructure, and disrupting daily life. The use of a large number of imitator drones highlights a strategic tactic to increase the effectiveness of strike drones. The targeting of facilities like the airbase in Vasylkiv suggests a strategic objective of degrading Ukrainian air capabilities. New reports confirm 5 UAVs were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight and FPV drone attacks occurred on the Myrivska and Marhanets communities in the Nikopol region. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 36,503 UAVs (+118) lost by Russian forces. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims 35 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed overnight, with the majority over Crimea, and 9 each over Bryansk and Belgorod Oblasts. Voin DV claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and Starlink near Huliaipole using UAV operators. The reported civilian casualties in Kherson due to Russian shelling underscore the strategic impact on the civilian population. The updated air raid alert and ballistic missile threat in Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscored the continued strategic threat posed by Russian aerial capabilities. The intense Russian shelling and drone attacks on civilian areas in Nikopol and Marhanets communities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are a clear strategic effort to pressure and terrorize the civilian population and potentially disrupt vital infrastructure. The claimed destruction of a Ukrainian strongpoint and Starlink near Huliaipole by Russian UAVs, if accurate, has strategic implications for Ukrainian command and control and operational capabilities. The reported explosions in Cherkasy, coinciding with numerous Russian drones heading towards the oblast, confirm the strategic impact of the aerial assault on this region. New launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts indicate a continued tactical reliance on this munition in frontline and border areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts and reports launches of KABs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts, indicating ongoing strategic aerial threats. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumshchyna and Донеччину. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, demonstrating the strategic impact of these munitions on civilian areas. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across multiple oblasts, highlighting the widespread nature of Russian aerial attacks. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones. Полковник ГУР Шершень claims Russian forces launched 273 strike UAVs overnight, with 88 shot down and 128 imitator drones locationally lost, highlighting the scale and impact of Russian drone attacks. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," implying a large-scale drone attack. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries, underscoring the civilian impact of Russian aerial tactics. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing enemy aviation strikes with guided bombs and unguided aerial rockets in multiple oblasts, highlighting the continued strategic reliance on air power. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast and launches towards Donetsk Oblast. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on an initiative to create a support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks in Kyiv, underscoring the strategic impact on the capital. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video showing Russian soldiers preparing drones, indicating continued emphasis on this strategic capability. STERNENKO reports a Ukrainian drone strike on a municipal vehicle in Kherson, injuring three workers. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Russia's significant investment in drone production, a key strategic area. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area, attributing significant losses, which is a form of information operation. Два майора shares a video claiming a Ukrainian drone attack on civilians in Borisovka, which could be used strategically for propaganda. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide updated, detailed information on numerous Russian drone movements across several Ukrainian oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a hostile reconnaissance UAV is active in the northeastern direction, highlighting continued Russian intelligence gathering. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the strike UAV threat. РБК-Україна reports the lifting of the drone threat. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 208 drone attacks on multiple settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦) Rybar claims massive Russian strikes on airfields and facilities in Kyiv, Khmelnytskyi, and Poltava Oblasts, and downing 25 Ukrainian UAVs (including 8 over Crimea) on May 17-18. Два майора reports over 30 "Geran" drones were counted in Ukrainian skies overnight, causing explosions in several oblasts, and reports on a fire at a school in Kursk Oblast after a Ukrainian drone fell. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week. (Рыбарь, Два майора, ТАСС) ASTRA reports 35 UAVs shot down over the Russian Federation and annexed Crimea overnight. (ASTRA) The governor of Belgorod Oblast reports a Ukrainian drone attacked a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver. (Два майора) OPERATIVNO ZSU reports preliminary information of six drone hits in Shostka community, Sumy Oblast, damaging enterprise infrastructure. (Оперативний ЗСУ) ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZ shares a video of a drone targeting and destroying a temporary enemy deployment point. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Reports of alleged internal Ukrainian military issues related to leadership and tactics, particularly concerning the 47th Mechanized Brigade near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, are strategically significant. If accurate, these reports, even if amplified by Russian information operations, point to potential challenges within the Ukrainian command structure and the need for adaptation to effectively counter Russian tactics and minimize losses. The General Staff's investigation into these statements is a necessary step to address such concerns and maintain combat effectiveness. The Russian claim of Aydar battalion fighters fleeing positions near Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is a strategic information operation targeting a specific Ukrainian unit. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's highlighting of a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized and is involved in developing unmanned systems can be seen as a strategic effort to counter negative narratives and promote dedication and innovation. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an incident in Pervomaiskyi TCC in Mykolaiv Oblast related to mobilization, highlighting potential internal challenges in personnel recruitment, which has strategic implications for force generation. Рыбарь provides commentary on alleged issues within the Ukrainian 47th brigade on the Kursk direction, framing it as a "cadre failure" and crisis, which is a strategic information operation. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a message from Ukrainian MP Oleksiy Honcharenko expressing hope for public figures to enlist, reflecting internal strategic discussions on mobilization. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a video featuring an 18-year-old Ukrainian serviceman explaining his motivation for joining, a strategic recruitment effort. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians, which could be used by Russia in information operations. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, including attempts by Ukrainian units to break through, and reports claimed captures and losses of Ukrainian personnel. (Два майора)
Ongoing diplomatic discussions, including Zelenskyy's engagement with the new Pope and the US Vice President and Secretary of State, the Pope's call for peace negotiations, and the high-level discussions involving Starmer and leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, highlight Ukraine's strategic efforts to leverage international support and diplomatic channels to influence the conflict. The potential for continued diplomatic engagement, even amidst intense fighting, is strategically relevant. Rybar highlights anticipated discussions between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. ISW assesses that the Kremlin is preparing for a prolonged conflict, which will impact the nature and duration of diplomatic efforts. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) sharing photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace are strategically important for garnering international support. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US wants progress in the next few days in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio. TASS reports delegations of Turkey, US, and Ukraine arrived at the meeting location in Istanbul. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the demands made by the Russian delegation at the Istanbul negotiations. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it as withdrawal from Macron's plan. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, and ASTRA report that President Zelenskyy is meeting with US Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio in Rome, likely for discussions related to the conflict and potential peace efforts. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ТАСС report that German Chancellor Merz discussed meeting with Trump with US Secretary of State Rubio at the Pope's inauguration. Alex Parker Returns and РБК-Україна report on a statement by Trump's special representative Dan Witkoff about a successful call with Putin and narrowing the gap between Ukraine and Russia. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff that the US has managed to narrow the gap in positions between Russia and Ukraine and that direct talks in Istanbul have led to "good achievements." Zelenskiy / Official shares a statement from President Zelenskyy's meeting with the Pope, stating Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. РБК-Україна reports on President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope, reiterating Ukraine's gratitude for the Vatican's readiness to host direct talks and Ukraine's readiness for dialogue. Оперативний ЗСУ shares President Zelenskyy's statement after meeting with the Pope. РБК-Україна reports that Keir Starmer, ahead of a potential Trump-Putin call, discussed the war in Ukraine with leaders from the US, Italy, France, and Germany, including the need for an unconditional ceasefire and potential sanctions. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of a Reuters news article about Starmer's discussion with US, Italy, France, and Germany leaders about the war. РБК-Україна shares a screenshot of Emmanuel Macron's tweet calling on Putin to accept a 30-day unconditional ceasefire proposed by Trump. TASS reports Japan considers the upcoming telephone conversation between Trump and Putin important and is monitoring the situation. Два майора reports that attention will be on the results of the expected telephone talks between Putin and Trump after the Istanbul meeting. (Два майора) Bloomberg, citing a source, reports that Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts of Ukraine by the end of the year makes the Kremlin disinclined towards significant concessions in talks with Trump. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
The analysis of the return of the US RQ-4B Global Hawk to the Black Sea and the anticipation of new Ukrainian attempts to attack in the Black Sea and Crimea using USVs and sabotage groups are strategically important. This suggests heightened intelligence gathering activity in the region and highlights potential future operational areas for Ukraine, which Russia is actively monitoring and preparing to counter. The reported potential targeting of gas production platforms in Crimea underscores the strategic importance of energy infrastructure and control in the Black Sea. The updated Ukrainian naval status in the Black and Azov Seas, reporting no enemy warships or Kalibr carriers present, provides a specific, recent strategic assessment of the immediate naval threat from these areas. The confirmation of the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean highlights the ongoing long-range missile threat from that region. Denmark is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels as part of a new aid package, which directly enhances Ukraine's capabilities for potential operations in the Black Sea. ТАСС reports the Russian Pacific Fleet's large landing ship "Peresvet" conducted training firing in the Sea of Japan, highlighting Russian naval activity and readiness in a strategic region outside the immediate conflict zone. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports as of 06:00 on May 19, 2025, no enemy warships or Kalibr missile carriers were detected in the Black or Azov Seas. It reports 3 enemy ships, including 1 Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles, are present in the Mediterranean Sea. It also reports on Kerch Strait passage traffic. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ) АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports Russia detained a tanker in Russian territorial waters after it sailed from the Estonian port of Sillamäe, citing Bloomberg. This maritime incident could have strategic implications for freedom of navigation and potential escalations in the Baltic Sea. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
The provision of new military aid to Ukraine by international partners, such as the package from Belgium including anti-aircraft systems, drones, and unmanned maritime vessels, and the potential transfer of armored personnel carriers from Italy, are strategically significant. This demonstrates continued international support for Ukraine's defense and directly enhances Ukraine's capabilities to counter Russian aerial and ground threats and potentially conduct operations in the Black Sea. The confirmed shipment of Australian Abrams tanks is a new, tangible form of military support for Ukraine's ground forces. (ТАСС) Germany and the US planning large-scale missile production in Europe is a significant long-term commitment to supporting Ukraine and bolstering European defense. (Colonelcassad) Denmark is providing a new military aid package. (Оперативний ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) ISW assesses that continued international support will be needed to counter the Kremlin's plans for a prolonged conflict. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH and including a variety of equipment, highlighting the ongoing support for specific operational areas. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a fundraising effort has been completed, highlighting successful resource mobilization for the Ukrainian military. Сливочный каприз shares a video showing the delivery of aid collected by channel subscribers to the Russian 70th regiment, highlighting ongoing support for Russian forces. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС is appealing for donations for an evacuation vehicle for the 44th brigade operating on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting ongoing needs and support efforts for Ukrainian units. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. The confirmed shipment of Australian Abrams tanks is a new, tangible form of military support. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна) Germany and the US planning large-scale missile production in Europe is a significant long-term commitment to supporting Ukraine and bolstering European defense. (Colonelcassad) ТАСС reports Rostec specialists assessed a damaged Leopard 2 tank and claim vulnerabilities. This assessment, while potentially an information operation, is relevant for assessing the effectiveness of Western equipment in the conflict. (ТАСС)
Ukrainian claims of destroying Russian logistics assets within Russia, such as the ammunition truck in Belgorod Oblast, if verified, represent successful strategic strikes aimed at disrupting Russian supply lines and creating pressure in border regions. STERNENKO reporting successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast is a new claim of strategic targeting of Russian supply lines. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of a field ammunition depot, which is a strategic target. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian drone attacks and shelling. (Два майора)
The alleged grenade incident in Moscow Oblast involving a returning Russian SVO participant and resulting in fatalities and injuries is strategically significant as it highlights potential issues with the reintegration of returning soldiers, access to military ordnance in civilian areas, and potential impacts on domestic security and public perception of the conflict. This incident could be used by both sides in information operations. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO also highlights potential issues with the SVO's impact on Russian society and internal dynamics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 providing guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances addresses a practical issue related to supporting military personnel. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively and likely for information purposes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a local official, further amplifying this domestic issue. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast, contributing to internal Russian information space. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the aftermath of a grenade incident in Losino-Petrovsky, Moscow Oblast, involving alleged "SVO veterans," resulting in fatalities and injuries, highlighting domestic security concerns. ТАСС reports that former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister and businessman Mikhail Khubutiya voluntarily appeared before investigators in a case of assault on his acquaintance. Alex Parker Reports on an alleged attack on a doctor in Vladimir, Russia. ТАСС reports on a new fraud scheme using court hearings as a pretext. ТАСС reports that the "A Just Russia – For Truth" party is requesting an amnesty on educational loans. ТАСС reports a fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai, highlighting social programs and reporting two criminal cases of remote fraud in the Amur district. (Полиция Хабаровского края) ТАСС reports the defense of Joseph Tatera, who attacked a police officer in Moscow, is asking for his release from compulsory psychiatric treatment. ТАСС reports on commentary from a State Duma committee member stating that offers to sell banking cards for a reward constitute direct involvement in criminal activity. TASS reports the Russian Central Bank is noting attempts to use marketplaces for suspicious operations. TASS reports an increase in injuries in the Kalmykia traffic accident and the initiation of a criminal case. ТАСС reports on a new law clarifying responsibility for espionage and treason. ТАСС reports on a proposed draft law to confiscate income earned by artists designated as "foreign agents" and direct it to assist Donbas and participants of the "special operation," indicating a source of potential funding. ТАСС reports a fight with traumatic weapons in Vladivostok. (ТАСС)
Russian claims of liberating Novaya Poltavka and advancing on the Konstantinovka direction are strategically important as these areas are key to controlling territory in the Donbas. These claimed advances contribute to the Russian strategic narrative of progress and their efforts to achieve their stated objectives in the region. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a strategic achievement. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation and claiming Russian advances that threaten Ukrainian groupings, highlighting Russia's strategic objectives. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian ammunition depot near Novaya Poltavka by FPV drones. Rybar claims the liberation of Novaya Poltavka on May 17-18. Два майора reports Russian forces are expanding their zone of control west of Novaya Poltavka and are attempting to close a "pocket" and advance on the Konstantinovka direction, including claimed start of assault on Yablunivka. (Сливочный каприз, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь, Два майора)
Russian information operations, including the dissemination of videos and commentary on claimed battlefield successes, critiques of Ukrainian military leadership, and the use of domestic incidents for propaganda, are strategically aimed at shaping narratives, influencing public opinion (both domestic and international), and undermining support for Ukraine. Rybar's morning summary highlights claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses. Rybar's summaries of Middle East and Black Africa events provide a Russian perspective on other global conflicts. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland, which is a strategic information operation targeting a key international partner of Ukraine. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr is a counter-information operation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a video claiming destruction of Russian vehicles in Chasiv Yar, likely for propaganda purposes. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO, likely for internal information purposes. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership, reflecting an internal discussion. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. ASTRA is appealing for donations. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively and likely for information purposes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a local official, further amplifying this domestic issue. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast, contributing to internal Russian information space. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis, framing Russian advances as the start of a new operation, which is a strategic narrative. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and highlighting its strategic importance, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on Russian drone production, likely for internal information or to highlight Russian capabilities. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, which can be used to draw parallels or provide a narrative on the complexities of military organization. ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag, which can be used to highlight perceived discrimination against Russians. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister, likely an information operation targeting Western figures. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction, aimed at showcasing Russian capabilities. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate, which could be used for propaganda purposes. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, presenting it as "another evidence of the atrocities of the representatives of the Kyiv regime." Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow celebrating Victory Day and honoring conflict participants, likely for propaganda. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," linking the intensity of attacks to a lack of compromise from Ukraine, a clear propaganda statement. Рыбарь provides analysis on Germany's stance on sending troops to Ukraine, framing it in a way that supports a Russian narrative of Western division. Басурин о главном shares a photo message commemorating a Russian general-field marshal, likely for internal messaging and to draw parallels to past military successes. Басурин о главном shares a video and text critiquing the "desecration of shrines for commercial gain" in the West and Ukraine, framing it as a "spiritual illness," a propaganda piece with religious and ideological undertones. WarGonzo is promoting the sale of t-shirts with text related to the conflict in Donetsk, which is a form of commercialized propaganda. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch, suggesting GUR is "hyping" the news, likely to downplay the strategic significance and cast doubt on Ukrainian intelligence. Colonelcassad shares photos and text claiming Russian forces have cleared a large "pocket" southwest of Makeyevka that was held by Ukrainian forces, framing it as a success and elimination of "Ukrainian occupants." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares photos of Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, labeled as "Daily Life of a Soldier," likely a form of propaganda to humanize the soldiers. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a video from occupied Yakymivka, claiming that teachers are collaborating with Russian forces and spreading propaganda to children, which is an internal issue in occupied Ukrainian territory but relevant to Russian control and influence. Alex Parker Returns and РБК-Україна report on a statement by Trump's special representative Dan Witkoff about a successful call with Putin and narrowing the gap between Ukraine and Russia, which could be an information operation or a genuine diplomatic statement. Воин DV provides an update on the South Donetsk direction, claiming Russian advances and Ukrainian counterattacks (repelled), and reporting Ukrainian losses, which is part of the Russian narrative of the conflict. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange. Mash на Донбассе shares a video celebrating the anniversary of the "liberation" of Mariupol, a clear propaganda effort. Colonelcassad shares a video from the claimed liberated settlement of Bogatyr, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Два майора shares a video on the scandal in Vologda Oblast, contributing to internal Russian information space. Рыбарь provides commentary on alleged issues within the Ukrainian 47th brigade on the Kursk direction, framing it negatively and contributing to information operations. ТАСС shares a video of a Russian soldier recounting close combat near Alexandropol, likely for propaganda and to highlight bravery. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff about the success of the upcoming Trump-Putin phone call, likely for internal Russian consumption. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary on the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff, engaging in discussion around potential diplomatic breakthroughs. ТАСС reiterates the statement by Trump's special representative Witkoff. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video claiming "Geran" strikes on a Ukrainian staging area, attributing significant losses, which is a form of information operation. Два майора shares a video claiming a Ukrainian drone attack on civilians in Borisovka, framing it as terrorism for propaganda. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video quoting a Russian military expert on early war expectations, which could be used to highlight perceived Russian miscalculations. НгП раZVедка comments on the planned Russian ICBM launch, downplaying its threat to Ukraine and framing it for other countries, which is a form of strategic communication/information operation. Colonelcassad shares a claim about Ukrainian soldiers attempting to escape in the Kursk border area by disguising themselves as civilians, which could be used by Russia in information operations. Colonelcassad shares two videos claiming that Russian "KVN" FPV drones destroyed NATO equipment on the Pokrovsk direction during a Ukrainian advance. This is a significant information operation aimed at highlighting the effectiveness of Russian forces against Western military aid and portraying Ukrainian advances as failures. Colonelcassad is disseminating a message directly targeting Ukrainian citizens, inviting them to join a "people's resistance" for payment, which is a direct information and recruitment operation. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares information operation content about Trump's reception in the UAE and commentary on European Muslims, aimed at influencing perceptions. ТАСС reports on Myanmar's Prime Minister praising Russian Su-30 aircraft. ТАСС reports that former Prime Minister Sergei Stepashin stated that the annexation of Western Ukraine and Bessarabia to the USSR was a mistake, a notable historical commentary from a former high-ranking official. ТАСС reports that the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade will launch over 60 new state support programs within national projects. (ТАСС) ТАСС reports that the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade does not exclude launching industrial projects in Latin America and Asia in the future. (ТАСС) ТАСС reports that Rosstandart is considering the idea of implementing road signs to warn about driverless vehicles. (ТАСС) Rybar provides a video summary of May 17-18 events, which serves as an information operation highlighting claimed Russian successes. TASS reports Russian military expert Andrei Marochko claims Ukraine lost 4.2 thousand soldiers and mercenaries near the LPR over the past week, which is a Russian information operation about Ukrainian losses. TASS reports the Russian FSB in the DNR claims over 240 Ukrainian aerial attacks were foiled in the DNR over the past week, which is a Russian information operation about successful defense. Два майора provides a morning summary and shares a song about the Commander of the Russian Airborne Forces and shares photos from a Museum of SVO tour, all contributing to the Russian information space. ТАСС reports Rostec specialists assessed a damaged Leopard 2 tank and claim vulnerabilities. This assessment is part of the Russian information operation to downplay the effectiveness of Western equipment. (ТАСС) Rybar provides a video summary of Middle East events on May 17-18, which provides a Russian narrative on other global conflicts. (Рыбарь) Rybar provides a video summary of Black Africa events on May 16-18, providing a Russian narrative on events in that region. (Рыбарь)
The commemoration of the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People by Ukrainian officials is a strategic act aimed at preserving national memory, highlighting historical injustices, and reinforcing Ukraine's claim to Crimea, particularly relevant in the context of the ongoing Russian occupation. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) commemorates the victims of political repression and the genocide of the Crimean Tatar people. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People (May 18th).
The Ukrainian assessment of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically, is strategically relevant as it provides insight into Ukrainian views on claimed new Russian military technology and potentially informs their development of countermeasures.
The ongoing police investigation in Kharkiv regarding the death of a man at a TCC highlights potential internal Ukrainian issues related to mobilization and recruitment, which can have strategic implications for personnel availability and public perception of the war effort. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's highlighting of a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized can be seen as a strategic effort to counter negative narratives and promote dedication and innovation. РБК-Україна reports that the TCC in Kharkiv has commented on the death of a man on their territory, opening a criminal case for suicide and investigating the actions of TCC staff, highlighting the transparency and legal process involved in addressing this incident. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an incident in Pervomaiskyi TCC in Mykolaiv Oblast related to mobilization, highlighting potential internal challenges in personnel recruitment. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a message from Ukrainian MP Oleksiy Honcharenko expressing hope for public figures to enlist, reflecting internal strategic discussions on mobilization. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a video featuring an 18-year-old Ukrainian serviceman explaining his motivation for joining, a strategic recruitment effort.
Russian military bloggers discussing military reforms and leadership reflects an internal strategic debate within Russia regarding how to improve military effectiveness based on lessons learned from the conflict.
The discussion among Russian military bloggers regarding armoring drones touches upon the strategic direction of drone development and deployment.
The reporting on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands highlights the continued strategic importance of maintaining positions and conducting operations in this challenging environment in the Southern direction.
The return of Western companies to Russia, if it increases market competition, as stated by Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov, could have strategic economic implications for Russia.
NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania near the borders of Russia and Belarus, as reported by Arkhangel Spetsnaza, are strategically significant as they demonstrate NATO's readiness and posture in the region, which Russia views as a concern.
The activity of the Kazakhstan Air Force, as reported by Fighterbomber, is relevant for regional strategic awareness, although its direct connection to the conflict in Ukraine is not immediately clear. Fighterbomber shares a photo message wishing a good morning from fighters, likely Russian, which is relevant to Russian military activity and propaganda. (Fighterbomber)
The aftermath of a FAB strike, as shown by Два майора, provides visual evidence of the strategic impact of Russian aerial munitions on the battlefield.
Russia's planned "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th, as reported by Ukrainian intelligence (GUR), is a significant strategic action aimed at intimidation and signaling capabilities to Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. This high-profile launch of a strategic weapon system is a clear demonstration of force and a potential attempt to influence political decisions and deter further support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on this planned launch and emphasizing its intimidating nature further highlights its strategic intent and potential impact. Два майора comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch, suggesting GUR is "hyping" the news, which is a strategic response from the Russian side. Военкор Котенок comments on the Ukrainian GUR's report about the planned Russian ICBM launch, reiterating its purpose of intimidation and noting the timing before a planned Trump-Putin call, further emphasizing the strategic signaling aspect. НгП раZVедка comments on the planned Russian ICBM launch, framing it differently for strategic effect.
The detailed report from the Ukrainian General Staff on the situation on the Kursk direction is strategically important as it provides a Ukrainian perspective on their ongoing operation within Russian territory. The report highlights their objectives (buffer zone, preventing new offensives), claimed successes (disrupting Russian plans, exposing weaknesses), Russian force deployments (including North Koreans), Russian tactics (increased KAB use), and significant Russian losses. This information is crucial for assessing the effectiveness of Ukrainian operations in this area and understanding the pressure being exerted on Russian forces, potentially drawing reserves from other directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides an operational update as of 16:00, detailing continued combat engagements, aviation strikes, and artillery shelling on the Kursk direction, indicating ongoing strategic activity in this border area. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of Russian assets. Рыбарь provides commentary on alleged issues within the Ukrainian 47th brigade on the Kursk direction, reflecting the strategic importance of this area and the units operating there. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces are "clearing" parts of Kursk Oblast, presenting a Russian strategic narrative for this area. Два майора reports ongoing Ukrainian attacks and Russian defense on the Kursk border, including attempts by Ukrainian units to break through, and reports claimed captures and losses of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and a fire at a school after a Ukrainian drone fell. (Два майора)
The snowfall in the Carpathians in May, while a natural phenomenon, can have strategic implications by impacting logistics, troop movements, and equipment effectiveness in mountainous terrain, potentially affecting operational planning in that region.
The suspension of the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, due to allegations of sexual harassment, as reported by Alex Parker Returns, is a significant development that could have strategic implications for the ICC's work, particularly its investigations into alleged war crimes in Ukraine. This could potentially impact the pursuit of accountability for actions committed during the conflict.
РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov will submit a plan to President Zelenskyy tomorrow for a prisoner exchange in a "1000 for 1000" format. The Coordination Headquarters Council met today to agree on a joint action plan. This is a significant development regarding efforts to facilitate large-scale prisoner exchanges, which has strategic importance for personnel recovery, humanitarian considerations, and potentially as a confidence-building measure or part of broader negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this planned exchange.
БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming a Ukrainian HIMARS strike on a Russian Buk SAM system. This highlights the strategic impact of Western-supplied long-range precision artillery in targeting high-value Russian air defense assets, potentially affecting Russian air superiority and tactical operations.
ТАСС reports that the Israeli army has announced the beginning of a large-scale ground operation in the north and south of the Gaza Strip. While not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine, this is a significant new development in another major global conflict, which could have broader geopolitical implications or draw international attention and resources. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 also reports on the Israeli ground operation in Gaza. ТАСС reports the Israeli army has begun demolishing a hospital in Gaza, with 55 people blocked inside, further highlighting the humanitarian impact and escalation in the Middle East conflict. ТАСС reports over 150 people died in Gaza on May 18th due to Israeli strikes. Rybar provides a summary of events in the Middle East, including operation "Gideon's Chariots" here. (ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь)
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming Ukrainian border guard drone operations on the Kursk direction, including destruction of Russian telecom towers, which is a strategic target for disrupting communication and command and control.
The fatal traffic accident in Kalmykia is an internal Russian event. TASS reports an increase in injuries and a criminal case initiated in the Kalmykia traffic accident. (ТАСС)
The regional police public relations activities in Khabarovsk Krai are internal Russian events.
The partial results of the Polish presidential election, as reported by РБК-Україна, are strategically relevant given Poland's role as a key neighbor and supporter of Ukraine. The outcome of the election could influence future Polish policy regarding the conflict.
The final results of the Romanian presidential election, as reported by STERNENKO and WarGonzo, are strategically relevant given Romania's shared border with Ukraine and its position within NATO and the EU. The defeat of the pro-Russian candidate indicates a continuation of Romania's pro-Western stance. (STERNENKO, WarGonzo) ASTRA also reports on the victory. (ASTRA)
The Russian Pacific Fleet conducting training firing in the Sea of Japan is a strategic demonstration of force and readiness outside the immediate conflict zone.
The commentary from a former Russian official regarding the annexation of Western Ukraine and Bessarabia is strategically significant as it represents a critical perspective from within the Russian elite on historical territorial policies related to Ukraine. While this does not necessarily indicate a shift in current policy, it offers a glimpse into potential internal debates or differing views on the historical context of the conflict.
Japan's attention to the upcoming Trump-Putin call highlights the global interest in high-level diplomatic contact between the US and Russia, particularly in the context of the war in Ukraine. This underscores the potential for such interactions to influence the broader geopolitical landscape.
The confirmed shipment of Australian Abrams tanks to Ukraine is a tangible strategic development increasing Ukraine's heavy armor capabilities. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
The plan by Germany and the US to establish large-scale missile production in Europe (ATACMS, PAC-3, GMLRS, Hellfire, JAGM) is a major long-term strategic development aimed at bolstering Western military production capacity and providing sustained support to Ukraine and other European partners. (Colonelcassad)
The consideration of road signs for drone vehicles in Russia indicates ongoing internal developments related to autonomous technology, which could have future military implications. (ТАСС)
The updated Ukrainian naval status in the Black and Azov Seas, reporting no enemy warships or Kalibr carriers present, provides a specific, recent strategic assessment of the immediate naval threat from these areas. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ) The confirmation of the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean highlights the ongoing long-range missile threat from that region. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ)
The Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade's plans for new state support programs and potential industrial projects in Latin America and Asia highlight Russian economic priorities and potential strategic expansion beyond traditional partners. (ТАСС)
The Russian Central Bank noting attempts to use marketplaces for suspicious operations indicates a focus on internal financial security and combating illicit activities, which can have indirect strategic implications for resource control and stability. (ТАСС)
The new Russian law clarifying responsibility for espionage and treason is a strategic move to enhance internal security and control. (ТАСС)
The proposed Russian draft law to confiscate income of "foreign agents" for military support is a strategic measure with both internal control and resource mobilization implications. (ТАСС)
The Russian detention of a tanker in the Baltic Sea after it sailed from Estonia is a significant maritime incident with potential strategic implications for naval activity and relations in the Baltic region. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
The Russian assessment of Leopard 2 tank vulnerabilities by Rostec specialists is a strategic information operation aimed at influencing perceptions of Western military aid and potentially informing the development of Russian countermeasures. (ТАСС)
Continued intense combat and specific engagements near Chasiv Yar, including Russian paratrooper operations and claimed destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point, underscore the strategic importance of this area and the ongoing attritional battle for control. (Dnevnik Desantnika🇷🇺)
Rybar's summary of events in the Middle East provides a Russian perspective on other global conflicts, which can be strategically relevant for understanding Russia's broader foreign policy priorities and potential alignments. (Рыбарь) Rybar's summary of Black Africa events provides a Russian perspective on events in that region. (Рыбарь)
The fight with traumatic weapons in Vladivostok is a domestic incident with limited direct strategic implications, but it contributes to the overall picture of internal security in Russia. (ТАСС)
The diagnosis of prostate cancer for US President Joe Biden is a significant development that could have strategic implications for US foreign policy and continuity of leadership. (ASTRA)
Bloomberg reporting Putin's confidence in capturing four oblasts by year-end is a significant assessment of the Kremlin's perceived strategic goals and potentially signals a lack of flexibility in upcoming diplomatic engagements. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Police in Khabarovsk Krai initiating criminal cases regarding remote fraud highlights domestic security issues within Russia, which can have indirect implications for public trust and resource security. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
The Ukrainian drone attack on a bus in Shebekino, injuring the driver, underscores the strategic reality of the conflict extending into Russian border regions, impacting civilian life and potentially requiring Russia to divert resources for border security and defense. (Два майора)
The discovery of a large cache of NATO-style weapons and ammunition near Kurakhovo, as reported by TASS, can be used by Russia for propaganda to highlight the flow of Western weapons to Ukraine and justify their actions. (ТАСС)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report