Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 18, 2025, 20:45 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat across key sectors in eastern and southern Ukraine, a persistent and geographically extensive Russian aerial campaign primarily utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic and political maneuvering. A notable aspect of the current situation is the anticipation of a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight. Diplomatic discussions, including the fallout from the recent Istanbul talks and the prospect of high-level US-Russia contact, continue to influence the strategic backdrop. Both sides remain engaged in information operations, attempting to shape narratives about battlefield successes, casualties, and political developments. Internal issues within both Ukraine and Russia, such as mobilization challenges, logistical concerns, and social dynamics, continue to be reported and have potential implications for the conflict's trajectory.

Significant new updates since the previous report include:

• High Anticipation of Large-Scale Russian Drone Attack: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and STERNENKO report that a massive Russian drone attack is expected overnight, with launches from five directions and a projected number exceeding one hundred "Shaheds." This indicates a significant and coordinated aerial offensive planned by Russia, posing a widespread threat to Ukraine's infrastructure and potentially civilian areas. This necessitates heightened air defense readiness across the country.
• Ukrainian Report of Downing a Russian "Zala" UAV: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that WU Samurai units successfully shot down a Russian "Zala" reconnaissance UAV using a zenith FPV drone. This highlights the ongoing counter-drone efforts by Ukrainian forces and the adaptation of FPV drones for air defense purposes.
• Russian Claim of Technological Superiority of "Geran" Drones: Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, including improved engine performance (higher altitude and speed), enhanced glider design for faster dives, upgraded microelectronics and anti-spoofing algorithms to counter Western EW systems, increased warhead size (up to 90kg), and refined tactics. While these claims are from a Russian source and should be treated with caution, they indicate a focus on improving drone capabilities and countering Ukrainian defenses. Colonelcassad also shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the claim of large-scale drone usage.
• European Commission President's Statement on the Decisive Role of the Next Week in Negotiations: ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine. This suggests potential diplomatic developments or crucial discussions are anticipated in the near future.
• Russian Narrative on Zelenskyy's Approach to Istanbul Talks: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul, similar to previous incidents in the White House, and that Russia avoided this "media trap." The commentary portrays Kyiv's diplomatic approach as based on theatricality and argues that Zelenskyy's attempt to turn the Istanbul meeting into a "media spectacle" failed, giving Russia time to consolidate its position. This is a clear Russian information operation aimed at discrediting Zelenskyy and Ukraine's diplomatic efforts.
• Reported Explosion in Mykolaiv: РБК-Україна reports that an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv, according to "Suspilne" (Public Broadcasting). This indicates continued security incidents in the Mykolaiv region.
• Russian Military Blogger Claims Advances on South-Donetsk Direction (Gulyaipole Sector): Военкор Котенок reports claimed advances by units of the 5th Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" Group of Forces northwest of Gulyaipole, stating they have broken through to Zelenoye Pole and the outskirts of Novopol, initiating assaults on both settlements. The report highlights that Novopol was previously held by Russian forces and that the current assault is targeting the flank of a major Ukrainian defensive line. This suggests a potential new area of Russian offensive focus in the Zaporizhzhia direction.
• Ukrainian Report on Investigation into F-16 Loss: КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno provides an update on the recent loss of an F-16 aircraft, stating that an investigation is ongoing, but initial findings suggest a technical malfunction of the missile, with no pilot error. The pilot successfully ejected and contacted rescuers. This highlights the technical challenges of modern warfare and the professionalism of Ukrainian pilots.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk, Konstantinovka direction, Krasnolimanskoye direction, Southern Donetsk direction, Bogatyr, Novopavlivka direction, Novaya Poltavka, Alexandropol, Kostiantynivka, Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk, Katerinivka, Oleksandro-Kalynove, Dzerzhinsk, Poltavka, Stepanivka, Yablunevka, Rutyn Yar, Sofiivka, Krasnoarmeysk, Kotlyarivka, Druzhkovka, Mirnograd): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces claim significant advances and liberation of settlements, including Alexandropol, Bogatyr, and Novaya Poltavka. Intense fighting is reported near Toretsk, and on the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Konstantinovka, and South-Donetsk directions. Russian military bloggers are analyzing potential further advances on the Novopavlivka direction and reporting significant advances on the Druzhkovka direction towards Poltavka and Rutyn Yar, threatening the Ukrainian defense line and logistical routes towards Konstantinovka and Dobropillya. Active combat operations are reported in the Krasnoarmeysk area near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, diverting Russian forces from creating a buffer zone in Sumy Oblast, where today reports suggest unexpected successes for the Russian Army, indicating a potential shift in focus or success in another area impacting Donetsk. Рыбарь reports Russian forces liberated Alexandropol and are fighting in Staraya Nikolaevka and Dyleevka on the Dzerzhinsk direction, are clearing Nova Poltavka on the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad direction, and liberated Bogatyr on the Andreevka direction. Воин DV reports the liberation of Bogatyr by units of the "Vostok" group. Военкор Котенок provides analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 130 combat engagements today, with 44 on the Pokrovsk direction, 22 on Novopavlivka, 19 on Lyman, and significant enemy losses on the Pokrovsk direction.
• Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia, Tetkino area (Russia)): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity and potentially ground operations. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces are utilizing drones and claiming successful strikes on Russian equipment (D-30 howitzer). Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. Continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast, impacting Sumy Oblast border communities. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, particularly in the Tetkino area, impacting Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 14 attacks on the Kursk direction today, impacting positions and settlements, including Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports an aviation strike on Bunyakyne in Sumy Oblast. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation (bordering Sumy Oblast). STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Sumy Oblast.
• Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Vovchansk, Lyptsi, Stroivka, Zahryzove): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces are "clearing" parts of Kharkiv Oblast and are conducting offensive actions near Vovchansk and Lyptsi. Ukrainian forces are using drones for reconnaissance; daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew is highlighted. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this area. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction today, in the area of Vovchansk and towards Stroivka, and one attack on the Kupyansk direction near Zahryzove. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Kharkiv Oblast.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Guyevo area, Kursk region, Tetkino, Rylsk, Bolshenizovtsevo, Novyi Put, Glushkovsky district): Affected by Ukrainian cross-border attacks, including claimed air strikes with high-precision bombs targeting Russian personnel. A Russian military blogger questions the purpose of persistent Ukrainian attacks in the Tetkino area. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers for units operating on the Kursk direction. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, particularly in the Tetkino area, with Ukrainian small groups and DRGs attempting to infiltrate near Novyi Put, Glushkovsky district. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation (bordering Kursk Oblast). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 14 attacks on the Kursk direction today, with five aviation strikes dropping five КАБ and 119 artillery shellings.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Zaporizhzhia city, Zaporizhzhia direction, Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Shcherbaky, Energodar, Prydniprovsk direction, Robotyne, Huliaipole direction, Huliaipole, Orikhiv direction, Orikhiv, Kamianske, Zelenoye Pole, Novopol, Temirivka, Novodarovka, Levadne): Affected by military activity. Ukrainian forces are reportedly utilizing drones for destroying enemy equipment and personnel. Scientific and educational activities, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are being highlighted in Zaporizhzhia city. A Russian military blogger claims VDV units are conducting assault actions and expanding control on the Zaporizhzhia direction, and MSP units entered Mala Tokmachka from the south, with fierce battles ongoing and the Brick Factory under Russian control. Russian military bloggers are reporting claimed advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector), breaking through to Zelenoye Pole and the outskirts of Novopol and initiating assaults on both settlements. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports three Russian attacks were repelled on the Orikhiv direction, with strikes near Stepove and Mali Shcherbaky, and aviation strikes on Kamianske and Huliaipole, including unguided aviation missiles. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Kherson Oblast: Affected by military activity, including claimed "carpet bombing" tactics with drones by a Russian unit (appears to be a misattribution). A Russian military blogger claims a Latvian mercenary was eliminated on the Kherson direction. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Kherson Oblast.
• Mykolaiv Oblast (Mykolaiv City): Affected by Russian drone attacks. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Mykolaiv Oblast.
• Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Affected by Ukrainian drone attacks. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. Russian military bloggers claim Russian troops have approached the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and that Ukrainian reserves have been transferred. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
• Crimea (Sevastopol): Russian Ministry of Defense claims four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down. Russian authorities claim a significantly higher level of defense compared to three years ago. An air raid alert was reported in Sevastopol. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact occupied Crimea.
• Black Sea: Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could originate from or target the Black Sea.
• Eastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas.
• Northeastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas.
• Chernihiv Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Chernihiv Oblast.
• Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (Vasylkiv): Affected by Russian military activity, including claimed strikes on airfields and air defense warehouses in Kyiv Oblast that were allegedly used for strikes on Russian territory. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, and the reported launch of an ICBM "Yars" for intimidation, which could impact Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast.
• Odesa Oblast: Affected by Russian military activity. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Odesa Oblast.
• Poltava Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Poltava Oblast.
• Cherkasy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Cherkasy Oblast.
• Vinnytsia Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. STERNENko highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Vinnytsia Oblast.
• Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could impact Zhytomyr Oblast.
• Romania: Results of the second round of presidential elections are being reported, with a pro-European candidate leading, although the pro-Russian candidate is contesting the results and calling for protests. РБК-Україна reports that the pro-Russian candidate George Simion is calling for national protests tomorrow if they try to "steal the victory of the Romanian people." STERNENKO reports the pro-European candidate Nicușor Dan is leading George Simion in the Romanian presidential election based on exit polls. Alex Parker Returns comments on Simion losing the elections and expresses skepticism about how the votes were found abroad. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives.
• Poland: Exit polls from the first round of the presidential election indicate a second round will be necessary between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki. STERNENKO and ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 report on the exit polls for the first round of the Polish presidential election, indicating a second round between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki.
• Serbia: A Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia is reportedly being prosecuted for "mercenarism" back home, highlighting the legal implications for foreign fighters. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia.
• France: The head of the Main Directorate for External Security reportedly requested Pavel Durov to "silence" Romanian conservatives. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives.
• Israel: Israel will reportedly allow a "basic volume" of food into the Gaza Strip to prevent starvation. ТАСС reports on Israel's decision to allow food into Gaza.
• Gaza: Israel will reportedly allow a "basic volume" of food into the Gaza Strip. ТАСС reports on Israel's decision to allow food into Gaza.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. Both sides are extensively using drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and strike operations (including FPV and reportedly "Baba Yaga" types). Russia claims downing numerous Ukrainian UAVs over the past day and destroying a Ukrainian robotic platform with an FPV drone. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones, including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and a "Zala" UAV with an FPV drone. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of FPV drones and claiming success in downing Ukrainian drones and destroying Ukrainian UAV command posts. Fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers and armored vehicle kits is ongoing in Russia. "Akhmat" special forces are training with emphasis on targeting aerial objectives. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Ukrainian armored vehicles are reportedly resilient to FPV drone attacks. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, with launches reportedly from five directions and an expected number exceeding one hundred "Shaheds." Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation (bordering Sumy Oblast). STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator and developed his own "Baba Yaga," after being wounded.
• Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued use by Russian forces. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing three JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia dropped 86 guided aerial bombs today, including five on the Kursk direction.
• Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active, particularly on the northeastern and eastern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian aviation used high-precision bombs in Kursk Oblast. A video claiming to show Russian tactical aviation activity during the claimed liberation of Alexandropol is shared. A Robinson 66 helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 54 aviation strikes today, with detailed breakdowns of targets and types of strikes. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, indicating ongoing aviation/UAV training and personnel adaptation.
• Missile Activity: Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Russian Missile Troops conducted strikes in 143 areas. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. Ukrainian intelligence is reportedly warning about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation." Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia launched one missile today. STERNENKO reports that the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (ГУР) warned about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for intimidation.
• Naval Activity: No new significant naval activity reported in the immediate last hour. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, which could originate from or target the Black Sea.
• Air Defense Activity: Both sides are actively engaged in air defense operations. Russia claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones, including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and a "Zala" UAV with an FPV drone. Russian air defense claims downing four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over Crimea. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the Kursk border area following a Ukrainian strike. Russian air defense is utilized to counter Ukrainian drone operations near Volnoye Pole. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian forces are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, including improved capabilities against mobile fire groups and objective air defense. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation, implying air defense considerations. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from multiple directions, necessitating significant air defense efforts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that Russia's aerial and shelling activity today included numerous guided aerial bombs and kamikaze drones, with detailed breakdowns of air defense responses, including shooting down 80 KABs and 1098 kamikaze drones.
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery and MLRS use by both sides. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian field artillery guns and mortars and that Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas. Russian sources are highlighting their use in offensive operations and claiming mass burning of Ukrainian artillery near Pokrovsk. Russian artillery is utilized in offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction and near Volnoye Pole. Russian artillery is active in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 3923 shellings today, including 9 from MLRS on the Kursk direction, with detailed breakdowns of shelling locations and impacts. Два майора reports continued intense fighting on the Kursk front with both sides using artillery.
• Electronic Warfare (EW): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, including upgraded microelectronics and anti-spoofing algorithms to counter Western EW systems. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, including improved capabilities against Western EW systems.
• Mine Warfare: Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank of Kherson. Два майора reports that Ukraine continues to use "Baba Yaga" drones to remotely mine supply routes of Russian forces on the Kursk front.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Direct talks in Istanbul have concluded without a ceasefire agreement but with progress on a large-scale prisoner exchange expected next week. Russia refused a temporary ceasefire. Ukraine viewed some Russian points as unacceptable and confirmed new demands were made, but their position remains unchanged. Diplomatic discussions continue with international partners, including a telephone conversation between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce. European leaders view the Russian stance as unacceptable and are coordinating their response with the US, including engagement with former US President Trump. The UN has welcomed the direct talks. Russia continues to blame the West for the breakdown of the "Istanbul project." French President Macron stated Russia's refusal of a ceasefire indicates a desire to gain time. Zelenskyy has met with international leaders, discussing negotiations and the need for continued pressure on Russia. Nordic and Baltic countries have issued a joint statement supporting a 30-day ceasefire and direct high-level talks. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio discussing the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and truce conditions. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process and gain time, and that only a ceasefire indicates readiness for peace. TASS shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands (accept loss of annexed regions, neutrality, no reparations). ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul and that Russia avoided this "media trap," framing it as a failure for Ukraine's diplomatic efforts.
• International Support for Ukraine: International engagement with Ukraine regarding support and potential future talks continues. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia targeting the "shadow fleet." Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Germany signed an agreement with Moldova for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack, calling for a ceasefire. Discussions around potential financial support for Ukraine are ongoing. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for overall US military readiness and ability to support allies. TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange and the preparation of visions for truce conditions, and emphasized US readiness to further assist in finding a settlement. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a ceasefire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. TASS shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine, implying continued international focus on supporting a resolution.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussions on potential peace plans continue. A large-scale body exchange has taken place, and a prisoner exchange is being prepared for next week. Russia claims to have made constructive proposals in Istanbul, while Ukraine states the Russian stance included unacceptable points. Ukrainian MFA spokesperson responded to Russian insults. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations, a prisoner exchange, and the conditions for a truce. Lavrov reportedly noted Washington's positive role in Kyiv accepting the offer for renewed Istanbul talks. Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands. ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine, indicating continued international focus on diplomatic efforts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul and that Russia avoided this "media trap," portraying a negative view of Ukraine's diplomatic strategy.
• Internal Russian Politics: Domestic incidents continue to be reported, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. Russia is focusing on internal issues like "Halal" tourism standards and expediting housing provision for military personnel. Putin has simplified citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A sports festival in Bryansk Oblast is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. Reports on issues within the Russian 25th military brigade are emerging. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. TASS reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014. TASS reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. TASS reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting legal issues related to foreign fighters in Russia. Два майора is fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers for units operating on the Kursk front, highlighting the ongoing reliance on public support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, further indicating ongoing reliance on public support. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, indicating military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories.
• Internal Ukrainian Issues: Discussion around public figures enlisting in the military. Efforts to support citizens affected by Russian attacks are being developed. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Ukraine is preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals who do not appear to have official credentials, highlighting potential issues with fraudulent representation. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. A story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay is reported by a Russian source. Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood is being disseminated. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed operational update. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing air defense work. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of Valerii Zaluzhnyi. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. РБК-Україна reports that the pro-Russian candidate George Simion is calling for national protests tomorrow in Romania if they try to "steal the victory of the Romanian people," highlighting potential political instability in a neighboring country. STERNENKO and ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 report on the exit polls for the first round of the Polish presidential election, indicating a second round, which is relevant to political dynamics in a key allied country. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv, indicating continued security issues. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno provides an update on the investigation into the loss of an F-16 aircraft, highlighting internal military investigations and pilot professionalism. Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone, highlighting Ukrainian counter-drone efforts.
• Engagement with Former US President Trump: The Financial Times article reportedly discusses the potential influence of Trump. Former US President Trump reportedly commented that he believes Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," and speculated that Russian tanks did not reach Kyiv in 2022 because they got stuck in the mud. He also commented on Zelenskyy as a "salesman." TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. TASS shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video containing commentary from Trump stating that if Putin had not gotten stuck in the mud with his tanks, they would have been in Kyiv in 5 hours. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports US officials are now viewing Putin as the main obstacle to peace, contrasting with previous perspectives. Ukrainian intelligence is reportedly warning about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation," coinciding with the expected date of a Putin-Trump phone call, potentially implying a link or strategic signaling. STERNENKO reports that the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (ГУР) warned about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for intimidation.
• Relationship between Military Success and Negotiations (Russian Narrative): The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing highlights claimed military successes, which can be used to support their negotiating position. Russian sources claim strategic advantage after taking Alexandropol, linking it to Chasov Yar. Russian claims of liberating Volnoye Pole and Bogatyr contribute to this narrative. Russian claims of advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk also support this narrative. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stating a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions supports the narrative of Russia's ability to sustain the conflict. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south, with fierce battles and Russian control of the Brick Factory. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and claims significant Ukrainian losses. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process and gain time, and that only a ceasefire indicates readiness for peace, offering a Ukrainian counter-narrative to Russian claims of diplomatic seriousness. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul and that Russia avoided this "media trap," framing it as a failure for Ukraine's diplomatic efforts. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction towards Poltavka and Rutyn Yar, potentially threatening logistical routes towards Konstantinovka and Dobropillya, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure and potential gains. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances, contributing to the narrative of Russian territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, initiating assaults, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure on this front.
• Russian Military Blogger Information Operations: Russian military bloggers continue to disseminate information and commentary, highlighting claimed tactical successes, engaging in psychological warfare narratives, and showcasing propaganda exhibitions. They are promoting narratives about fictional Ukrainian soldiers and claiming elimination of foreign fighters. They are also demonstrating tactical medicine practices. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian mobilization and the war effort. They are disseminating propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. They are using anecdotal stories in information operations. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, supporting the Russian narrative of the annexation. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators, which can be seen as a counter-information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Erdogan's dominant interaction with Macron. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction and mentions the elimination of over 250 mercenaries from Baltic countries. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video related to Erdogan and Macron, interpreting it through a specific narrative. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, targeting students. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay, used in information operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, portraying it as a Russian success in repelling attacks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, highlighting support for military efforts. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting a narrative related to foreign fighters. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation, addressing a concern from a Ukrainian perspective. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul, framing it negatively. Военкор Котенок provides analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of progress. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances, contributing to the narrative of Russian territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure on this front. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, showcasing individual stories for propaganda/morale. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, promoting Russian military capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes.
• Ukrainian Counter-Information Operations: Ukrainian sources are highlighting aspects of the conflict and countering Russian narratives, including sharing videos of claimed military successes and commenting on Russian propaganda. Ukrainian MFA spokesperson responded to Russian insults. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about potentially fraudulent generals. Ukrainian forces are showcasing the downing of Russian Shaheds and the resilience of their armored vehicles to FPV drone attacks. Ukrainian military are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process and gain time, offering a Ukrainian counter-narrative to Russian claims of diplomatic seriousness. Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone, highlighting Ukrainian counter-drone capabilities. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno provides an update on the investigation into the loss of an F-16 aircraft, highlighting internal military investigations and pilot professionalism. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation, addressing a concern from a Ukrainian perspective. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight and the reported launch of an ICBM "Yars" for intimidation, framed as Russian actions against Ukraine.
• Ukraine-US Relations: The Financial Times article reportedly discusses a US-Ukrainian peace plan and the involvement of US officials. A telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov is reported. Former US President Trump commented on Zelenskyy. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the US ability to support Ukraine and other allies. TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and the conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. TASS shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports US officials are now viewing Putin as the main obstacle to peace, contrasting with previous perspectives. Ukrainian intelligence is reportedly warning about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation," coinciding with the expected date of a Putin-Trump phone call, potentially implying a link or strategic signaling. STERNENKO reports that the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (ГУР) warned about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for intimidation.
• North Korea's Military Posture: Kim Jong Un has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb.
• Finland-Russia Relations: An article discusses Finland's support for Estonia's attempted tanker seizure. Alex Parker Returns shares a news article about the Estonian Minister of Defense commenting on an incident with a "shadow fleet" in the Baltic Sea.
• Latvia-Russia Relations: Russia claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction.
• EU-Russia Relations: Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine, highlighting the EU's continued involvement in diplomatic efforts. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives, potentially impacting EU-Russia relations through third parties.
• China-Russia Relations: Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia, describing Russia as an "economic vassal" of China. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place.
• Uzbekistan-Germany Relations: Cooperation on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan is reported.
• Moldova-Germany Relations: Moldova and Germany signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group." Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova.
• Tatarstan (Russia): Location of a forum where discussions on AI in media and diplomacy took place. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
• Smolensk Oblast (Russia): Mentioned in a context related to agricultural work and a commercial promotion. WarGonzo mentions Smolensk in the context of agricultural work.
• Romania: Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in presidential elections. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. РБК-Україна reports that the pro-Russian candidate George Simion is calling for national protests tomorrow if they try to "steal the victory of the Romanian people," highlighting potential political instability. STERNENKO reports the pro-European candidate Nicușor Dan is leading George Simion in the Romanian presidential election based on exit polls. Alex Parker Returns comments on Simion losing the elections and expresses skepticism about how the votes were found abroad, potentially fueling narratives of election manipulation. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives, potentially impacting Romanian politics through external influence.
• Poland: Exit polls from the first round of the presidential election indicate a second round will be necessary between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki. STERNENKO and ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 report on the exit polls for the first round of the Polish presidential election, indicating a second round between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

• Internal Security: Reports of domestic incidents, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Reports of alleged phone scammers in Moscow are emerging. A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency is reported. TASS reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. TASS reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. TASS reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting legal issues related to foreign fighters in Russia.
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting intense offensive operations, claiming advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones, and potentially TOS-1A systems. They are recruiting volunteers for special forces. They claim to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast. They claim to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Russian air defense claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian forces are claiming the liberation of Alexandropol, Volnoye Pole, and Bogatyr. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Continued activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and military resourcefulness. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, particularly in the Tetkino area, with Ukrainian small groups and DRGs attempting to infiltrate near Novyi Put, Glushkovsky district, and claims Russia repelled the attacks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, highlighting the ongoing reliance on public support for equipment. Военкор Котенок provides analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction towards Poltavka and Rutyn Yar, potentially threatening logistical routes towards Konstantinovka and Dobropillya, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure and potential gains. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances, contributing to the narrative of Russian territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, initiating assaults, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure on this front. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator and developed his own "Baba Yaga," after being wounded, indicating ongoing military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, promoting Russian military capabilities and efforts to counter Ukrainian defenses. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes.
• Casualties: Russian sources claim significant Ukrainian losses in their daily briefing. A Russian soldier recounts close combat. Russia received 34 bodies in a body exchange. A large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. A Russian military blogger claims elimination of a Latvian mercenary. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade, including a high number of missing personnel. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Воин DV reports the destruction of up to a consolidated battalion of Ukrainian forces during the liberation of Bogatyr. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier injured by a remotely mined explosive device. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 130 combat engagements today and significant enemy losses on the Pokrovsk direction (151 personnel, vehicles, drones, etc.). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier injured by a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who was wounded but returned to duty as a UAV operator, showcasing a narrative of resilience and continued service despite injury. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia, highlighting potential legal consequences for foreign fighters on the Russian side.
• Information Operations: Russian sources continue to engage in information operations, framing events to support their narrative and highlight claimed successes. They are disseminating psychological warfare narratives, including claims of Ukrainian drones with "Nazi symbols" and allegations of "Western psychological programs" in Ukraine. They are showcasing propaganda exhibitions and creating fictional narratives about Ukrainian soldiers. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian mobilization and the war effort, including targeting students. They are disseminating propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. They are using anecdotal stories in information operations. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, supporting the Russian narrative of the annexation. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators, which can be seen as a counter-information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Erdogan's dominant interaction with Macron. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction and mentions the elimination of over 250 mercenaries from Baltic countries. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video related to Erdogan and Macron, interpreting it through a specific narrative. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, targeting students. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay, used in information operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, portraying it as a Russian success in repelling attacks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, highlighting support for military efforts. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting a narrative related to foreign fighters. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation, addressing a concern from a Ukrainian perspective. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from Publico claiming that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul, framing it negatively. Военкор Котенок provides analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of progress. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances, contributing to the narrative of Russian territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure on this front. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, showcasing individual stories for propaganda/morale. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, promoting Russian military capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives, implying external attempts to influence Russian media and framing it as resisting foreign pressure.
• Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Alleged phone scammers are targeting Muscovites. A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency is reported. TASS reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. TASS reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting legal issues related to foreign fighters in Russia.
• Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Photos of "frontline cats" are shared, likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. A body exchange is reported, which can be used in information operations. A sports festival is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. The death of a priest in Kherson Oblast is presented as a heroic act. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act of sacrifice. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, showcasing individual stories for propaganda/morale.
• Support for Military Personnel: Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Два майора is fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers for units operating on the Kursk front, highlighting the ongoing reliance on public support for equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, further indicating ongoing reliance on public support. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, indicating ongoing military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, promoting Russian military capabilities which could indirectly encourage support. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes which could boost morale.
• Citizenship Policy: Simplified process for granting Russian citizenship to citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship.
• Production Capacity: Russia is investing significantly in drone production, but is dependent on foreign components. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, indicating ongoing efforts to improve production and technology.
• Fatalities (Non-Military): A fatality was discovered after an explosion in Bashkiria (non-military). The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv.
• Cultural and Social Initiatives: A propaganda exhibition on the military conflict is being showcased. A plan is underway to develop "Halal" tourism standards. A sports festival is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives, implying external attempts to influence Russian social/political discourse and framing it as resisting foreign pressure.
• Military Training: MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, indicating ongoing military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, which likely stems from ongoing R&D and training. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, which could be used as training material.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Veteran Support (Ukraine): A survey on financial literacy for military personnel, veterans, and their families is being conducted.
• Civilian Support (Ukraine): A support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks is being developed in Kyiv. Transport routes in Sumy Oblast are being changed following an attack on a bus. A fatality occurred in Odesa Oblast from a previous attack. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. The UK Foreign Minister reacted to this attack. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv, indicating continued impact on civilian areas. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, posing a widespread threat to civilian areas and infrastructure. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 54 airstrikes, 80 KABs, and 1098 kamikaze drones used today, impacting civilian areas and infrastructure.
• Military Personnel Support (Russia): Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Два майора is fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers for units operating on the Kursk front, highlighting the ongoing reliance on public support for equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, further indicating ongoing reliance on public support. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator after being wounded, indicating ongoing military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," potentially impacting the recruitment and support of foreign fighters for Russia.
• Prisoner of War Issues: A large-scale body exchange has taken place. A prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. Russia claims to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed prisoner exchange, citing Russian MFA claims.
• Post-Conflict Recovery: The issue of rebuilding the destroyed Mariupol maternity hospital is being highlighted. The closure of a bridge in Donetsk for long-term repair indicates infrastructure damage requiring significant recovery efforts. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Mykolaiv, indicating continued damage to infrastructure and the need for recovery efforts. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, which could cause further damage to infrastructure and necessitate recovery efforts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 54 airstrikes, 80 KABs, and 1098 kamikaze drones used today, causing damage to infrastructure and necessitating recovery efforts.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults across multiple fronts, reporting successful repels and inflicting significant Russian losses. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial threats and claiming downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones (including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and a "Zala" UAV with an FPV drone). Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions and occupied territories. Utilizing drones for targeting, including claiming the destruction of a Russian D-30 howitzer and successfully hunting down Russian drone operators. Seeking diplomatic solutions but maintaining their stance on key issues. Preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange and participating in body exchanges. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian shelling and aerial attacks, including the tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast. Experiencing challenges related to mobilization and potential resistance. Using drones for reconnaissance and potentially utilizing robotic platforms for logistics (Russian claim of destroying one). Ukrainian aviation is reportedly conducting strikes in Russian border regions. Recruiting gunners for the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade. Addressing evasion of mobilization schemes. Highlighting efforts to improve rehabilitation for military personnel and civilians. Highlighting the effectiveness of their FPV drones and armored vehicles against FPV drones. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about potentially fraudulent generals. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian forces are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. A story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay is reported by a Russian source. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of defensive actions and repelled attacks on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage by Russia. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine gun fire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne towards the south. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) were repelled. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, necessitating significant Ukrainian air defense efforts. Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone, highlighting a specific Ukrainian counter-drone tactic. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno provides an update on the investigation into the loss of an F-16 aircraft, highlighting the professionalism of the pilot. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, particularly in the Tetkino area, with Ukrainian small groups and DRGs attempting to infiltrate near Novyi Put, Glushkovsky district, indicating continued Ukrainian offensive activity in border regions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 130 combat engagements today, detailing the intensity of fighting across various directions, and significant enemy losses on the Pokrovsk direction. STERNENKO reports on drone safety in border regions of the Russian Federation, addressing a concern from a Ukrainian perspective. STERNENKO highlights the anticipated large-scale Russian drone attack overnight and the reported launch of an ICBM "Yars" for intimidation, framed as Russian actions against Ukraine.
• Russian Forces: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones (FPV, "Baba Yaga"), and potentially TOS-1A thermobaric systems in urban areas. Recruiting volunteers for special forces ("Akhmat"). Claiming downing of Ukrainian drones, including those with alleged "Nazi symbols," and destruction of Ukrainian robotic platforms. Engaging in information operations and psychological warfare narratives. Focusing on internal security and military support initiatives. Experiencing casualties. Strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. Presenting new, shortened AK-12 variants. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern and eastern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian air defense is claiming interception of Ukrainian aerial targets and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. Claiming the liberation of settlements like Alexandropol, Volnoye Pole, and Bogatyr. Using guided aerial bombs extensively. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Continued activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and military resourcefulness. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, with launches reportedly from five directions and an expected number exceeding one hundred "Shaheds," indicating a major planned offensive. Два майора reports continued intense fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through on the Kursk front, particularly in the Tetkino area, with Ukrainian small groups and DRGs attempting to infiltrate near Novyi Put, Glushkovsky district, claiming Russia repelled the attacks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, highlighting the ongoing reliance on public support for equipment. Военкор Котенок provides analysis of the Novopavlivka direction and reports significant Russian advances on the Druzhkovka direction towards Poltavka and Rutyn Yar, potentially threatening logistical routes towards Konstantinovka and Dobropillya, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure and potential gains. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations near Krasnoarmeysk, specifically near Kotlyarivka, with claimed Russian advances, contributing to the narrative of Russian territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol, initiating assaults, supporting the narrative of Russian pressure on this front. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator and developed his own "Baba Yaga," after being wounded, indicating ongoing military personnel adaptation and showcasing individual stories. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, promoting Russian military capabilities and efforts to counter Ukrainian defenses. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 130 combat engagements today, detailing the intensity of fighting across various directions, including 44 on the Pokrovsk direction, 22 on Novopavlivka, and 19 on Lyman, and significant enemy losses on the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 54 airstrikes, 80 KABs, and 1098 kamikaze drones used today, illustrating the scale of Russia's daily offensive. STERNENKO reports that the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (ГУР) warned about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for intimidation, highlighting a Russian demonstration of strategic capabilities.
• Third-Party Involvement: Belarus is ready to organize a peace process and is strengthening military cooperation with Russia, planning joint "West-2025" exercises. North Korea has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb. Finland is discussed in the context of supporting Estonia's actions against Russian shipping. Latvia is mentioned with Russia claiming to have eliminated a mercenary. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Abkhazia and South Ossetia are mentioned in the context of simplified Russian citizenship. Turkey is facilitating potential negotiations. The US is reportedly involved in discussions regarding a peace plan and potential diplomatic engagement, including a telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov. Uzbekistan and Germany are cooperating on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan. Moldova signed an agreement with Germany for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack. BRICS countries are focusing on alternative transport infrastructure. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the US ability to support Ukraine and other allies. Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in Romania. TASS and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and the conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy, relevant to the information landscape. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. ТАСС reports that Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine, highlighting the EU's continued involvement in diplomatic efforts. РБК-Україна reports that the pro-Russian candidate George Simion is calling for national protests tomorrow in Romania if they try to "steal the victory of the Romanian people," highlighting potential political instability in a neighboring country. STERNENKO and ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 report on the exit polls for the first round of the Polish presidential election, indicating a second round between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki, relevant to a key allied country. ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," highlighting legal issues related to foreign fighters. ТАСС reports that Pavel Durov stated he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives, implying external attempts to influence media in a neighboring country. ТАСС reports on Israel's decision to allow a "basic volume" of food into the Gaza Strip, which is an external development.
• Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones). Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops and destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting claimed combined arms tactics and counter-drone success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones for reconnaissance and artillery for strike. TASS shares video footage from Kherson Oblast showcasing training of Russian military assault units of the "Dnepr" Group of Forces with combat robotic platforms, highlighting the claimed use and training with advanced military technology. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide military equipment, including drones, surface drones, a Leopard tank, and Cerber systems. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian BMC Kirpi armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian FPV drones. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing. MoD Russia shares a video of BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle crews training. БУТУСУВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Олександр Вілкул provides figures on Russian equipment losses over the past day, including tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems, MLRS, and UAVs. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting that a large-scale Russian drone attack is anticipated overnight, with launches reportedly from five directions and an expected number exceeding one hundred "Shaheds," highlighting the continued strategic use of drones. Оперативний ЗСУ reports shooting down a Russian "Zala" UAV with a zenith FPV drone, highlighting a specific counter-drone tactic. Colonelcassad shares information claiming significant technological advancements in Russian "Geran" drones, including improved engine performance, glider design, microelectronics, anti-spoofing algorithms, and warhead size (up to 90kg), indicating ongoing R&D and adaptation of tactics. Воин DV shares a video highlighting a Russian soldier who became a UAV operator and developed his own "Baba Yaga," after being wounded, showcasing military personnel adaptation and the development of specific drone types. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 54 airstrikes, 80 KABs, and 1098 kamikaze drones used today, illustrating the scale of Russia's daily offensive and the continued reliance on aerial assets. Два майора reports that Ukraine continues to use "Baba Yaga" drones to remotely mine supply routes of Russian forces on the Kursk front, highlighting Ukrainian tactics.
• Russian Recruitment: The Rybаr report on the Kyiv minibus incident highlights challenges and resistance related to mobilization efforts in Ukraine. The report on contract soldier casualties provides data on recruitment patterns. Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. Recruitment for the "African Corps" is being highlighted. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition is disseminating information for recruitment into the Russian "African Corps." ASTRA reports on a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted in Serbia for "mercenarism," potentially impacting the recruitment and support of foreign fighters for Russia. Два майора is fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers for units operating on the Kursk front, which could be linked to the needs of newly recruited or deployed personnel. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is fundraising for drones, thermal imagers, drone detectors, and radios for units on the Kursk front, further indicating support for recruitment efforts.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The expected large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format next week is a significant humanitarian and strategic development, crucial for addressing the concerns of families and potentially influencing morale on both sides. It also indicates a degree of operational coordination and communication between the two sides, even amidst ongoing conflict. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms this. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Lavrov and Rubio discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this discussion. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed prisoner exchange.
• The anticipation of a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, with launches from five directions and a projected number exceeding one hundred "Shaheds," is a major strategic aerial offensive aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses and striking targets across the country. This highlights the continued importance of air defense and the widespread threat posed by Russian aerial capabilities. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS are reporting this. STERNENKO also highlights this. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a massive night attack by "Geran" drones on an airfield in Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast, supporting the narrative of successful Russian strikes. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 54 airstrikes, 80 KABs, and 1098 kamikaze drones used today, illustrating the scale of Russia's daily aerial offensive.
• The Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate's warning about a planned "training and combat" launch of an ICBM RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation" is a significant strategic development, indicating a potential Russian demonstration of strategic capabilities and possibly coinciding with the expected date of a Putin-Trump phone call. STERNENKO reports this.
• Russian claims of significant technological advancements in "Geran" drones, including improved capabilities against Western EW systems and increased warhead size, if accurate, represent a strategic adaptation to Ukrainian defenses and a focus on improving the effectiveness of their primary strike drone platform. Colonelcassad shares this information.
• The statement by the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, that the upcoming week will be decisive in negotiations for resolving the conflict in Ukraine, underscores the continued international focus on finding a diplomatic solution and implies potential significant developments on this front. ТАСС reports this.
• The Russian narrative, as shared by Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy intended to create a scandal during a potential summit with Putin in Istanbul and that Russia avoided this "media trap," is a clear strategic information operation aimed at discrediting Zelenskyy and Ukraine's diplomatic efforts, portraying them as insincere and theatrical. This narrative is likely intended to influence both domestic Russian audiences and international perceptions.
• The reported explosion in Mykolaiv indicates continued security incidents and potential strategic targeting of infrastructure or military assets in this region, which is important for logistics and access to the Black Sea. РБК-Україна reports this.
• Russian military blogger claims of claimed advances on the South-Donetsk direction (Gulyaipole sector) towards Zelenoye Pole and Novopol suggest a potential new area of Russian offensive focus and strategic pressure on Ukrainian forces in the Zaporizhzhia region. Breaking through to these settlements and threatening a main defensive line could have significant implications for the front line in this area. Военкор Котенок reports this.
• The Ukrainian report on the investigation into the loss of an F-16 aircraft, suggesting a technical malfunction of the missile, is strategically important for understanding the operational challenges and risks associated with high-value military assets and the effectiveness of their munitions. КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno reports this.
• The ongoing intense ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, as evidenced by the Ukrainian General Staff reporting 130 combat engagements today with a high concentration on the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, and Lyman directions, highlights the persistent strategic importance of achieving territorial gains in eastern Ukraine and the high tempo of operations in these key areas. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports this.
• Significant enemy losses reported by the Ukrainian General Staff on the Pokrovsk direction (151 personnel, vehicles, drones, etc.) highlight the strategic cost of the Russian offensive efforts in this area and provide an indicator of the intensity of the fighting and the effectiveness of Ukrainian defenses. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports this.
• The political situation in Romania, with the pro-Russian candidate contesting the election results and calling for protests, is strategically important for regional stability and could influence the political landscape in a neighboring country and its stance on the conflict, particularly if the contestation leads to unrest. РБК-Україна reports on George Simion's call for protests. STERNENKO reports on the exit polls and the lead of the pro-European candidate. Alex Parker Returns comments on Simion losing and expresses skepticism.
• The exit polls for the first round of the Polish presidential election indicating a second round are strategically relevant as the outcome will determine the leadership of a key ally of Ukraine and could influence the level and nature of Polish support for Ukraine. STERNENKO and ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 report this.
• The detention of a Serbian volunteer fighting for Russia who is being prosecuted for "mercenarism" in Serbia highlights the legal complexities and potential consequences for foreign fighters participating in the conflict and could have implications for recruitment and support of such individuals. ASTRA reports this.
• The statement by Pavel Durov that he rejected a request from the head of the French Main Directorate for External Security to "silence" Romanian conservatives is strategically significant as it implies external attempts to influence media and political discourse in a neighboring country and highlights potential information warfare efforts by France or other actors. ТАСС reports this.

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Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.