Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 18, 2025, 18:33 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational landscape remains characterized by intense ground combat, with significant activity reported in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, widespread Russian aerial attacks utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic and political maneuvering influenced by conflicting military and political signals. Recent updates confirm continued heavy fighting and strategic claims in various areas. Russian sources claim advances on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering the village of Romanovka, and the "liberation" of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction. Ukraine reports successfully targeting Russian logistics on the Kurakhivka direction and an alleged airstrike on a Russian gathering point in Nova Kakhovka. Mine warfare continues to be a challenge, with reports detailing Russian demining operations and Ukrainian counter-mine tactics.
Diplomatic activities, particularly concerning potential negotiations in Istanbul, remain a focal point, interwoven with international interactions involving the US, the Vatican, and various European nations. Discussions regarding potential future actions of former US President Trump and coordinated responses from European leaders continue to influence the diplomatic backdrop. Conflicting reports and narratives surrounding Ukraine's readiness for dialogue and Russia's conditions for a ceasefire persist. Statements from Hungarian and other European officials highlight existing political tensions within the EU and NATO regarding support for Ukraine. A significant maritime incident involving the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port introduces a new element of regional tension. Allegations of French and Russian interference in Romanian elections are also being reported and debated, highlighting the ongoing information warfare. The recent Romanian presidential election results, showing a pro-European candidate leading in exit polls, are relevant in this context.
Internal Russian dynamics include reported casualties among military personnel (including a television presenter and decorated scout-sniper), continued reliance on public support for military equipment, information operations aimed at shaping narratives and promoting military capabilities, and potential internal political/legal developments. Reports on military training in the rear areas highlight efforts to improve combat skills. Internal Ukrainian issues related to mobilization and fundraising initiatives are also being reported. The Israeli ground operation in Gaza continues to be a notable external development.
Recent updates underscore the persistence of intense fighting and highlight new tactical and strategic considerations. Mine warfare remains a significant challenge, with reports of Russian demining operations facing Ukrainian drone and artillery disruption. The ongoing debate surrounding peace negotiations and the US plan for an immediate ceasefire continues, with Russia allegedly indicating readiness for dialogue in various formats, but with conditions. Diplomatic maneuvering involving key European leaders and potential US sanctions against Russia, contingent on future US-Russia discussions, indicates the complex international dimension of the conflict. Claims of Russian advances in Donetsk Oblast, specifically in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions, indicate continued Russian pressure in these key areas. Information operations remain a core component of the conflict, with both sides utilizing media and social media to promote their narratives, including allegations of foreign interference in elections and showcasing tactical successes or highlighting enemy losses. Fundraising efforts for military equipment continue, indicating ongoing resource needs. Internal Ukrainian issues related to mobilization are also being reported. A significant maritime incident involving the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port introduces a new element of regional tension and highlights potential implications for maritime security and sanctions enforcement. Russian sources are now claiming advances on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, and the liberation of Богатырь. Ukraine is reporting successful strikes on Russian logistics and troop concentrations. The results of the Romanian presidential election are now being reported. Russia is also conducting military training in rear areas. Reports of mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts due to sanctions and internal incidents in Russia are also emerging.
Changes to the Situation from New Messages:
- Russian Military Training: MoD Russia shares a video showing servicemen of a tank regiment improving skills in the rear area of the special military operation. This training includes assault tactics, small arms and RPG fire, obstacle courses, water obstacle crossing, ATV driving, Kornet missile firing, and T-80BVM tank crew training. This indicates ongoing efforts to improve Russian military capabilities and personnel readiness.
- Romanian Election Results (Exit Polls): РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won against the ultranationalist candidate, George Simion, with margins of 54.1% vs 45.9% (CURS) and 54.9% vs 45.1% (Avangarde). This is a significant political development in a NATO/EU country bordering Ukraine, potentially impacting regional dynamics and Romania's stance on support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls, indicating potential political instability or contested results. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists," framing it within a narrative of external interference in Romanian politics.
- Mass Blocking of Russian PlayStation Accounts: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Sony has begun mass blocking PlayStation accounts for Russian users without warning, citing media reports. This action is linked to previous EU sanctions on Sony consoles and Russian users attempting to circumvent restrictions by using foreign accounts. This highlights the continued impact of sanctions on Russian civilians and may contribute to domestic discontent. The report also frames this in a derogatory and propaganda-driven manner.
- Incident in Vladimir, Russia: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Vladimir, where a man of Central Asian origin allegedly attacked a doctor with a knife during a clinic visit, causing severe injury (loss of sight). The report links the motive to the doctor having previously examined the attacker's wife, who wore a niqab, and frames the attacker in dehumanizing and religiously charged terms. This highlights potential internal social and ethnic tensions within Russia, although it is not directly related to military operations in Ukraine. A previous update from the same source provided fewer details.
- Israeli Ground Operation in Gaza (Additional Details): Рыбарь provides further details on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, named "Chariots of Gideon." The report states that five divisions are planned for deployment. Israel reportedly gave Hamas a deadline to disband before launching the offensive, which began with massive aerial and artillery strikes. The Israeli military claims to have hit over 670 Hamas targets. The report also mentions the possible liquidation of Muhammad Sinwar, a military leader of Hamas, although this is unconfirmed. It notes that Israel plans to occupy only specific areas, dividing Gaza into three isolated zones, anticipating continued guerrilla warfare. The report also offers analysis on the long-term feasibility of eradicating Hamas and the political motivations of the Israeli government. This provides a more detailed operational picture of a significant external conflict.
- Claim of Russian "Liberation" of Bogatyr (Donetsk Oblast): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction after prolonged heavy fighting. The report also claims advances south and west of Отрадное and ongoing work against Ukrainian groups in Otradnoe. It further states that Russian forces destroyed 7 Ukrainian vehicles in rear areas during rotation and resupply attempts over the past day. This is a significant claim of Russian territorial gain. Два майора and Воин DV also report on the claimed taking of Богатырь, providing historical context for the settlement and framing it within a new rubric of "Returned Lands."
- Ukrainian Targeting of Russian Logistics (Kurakhivka Direction): STERNENKO shares a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a "bukhanka" type vehicle on the Kurakhivka direction, causing it to crash after being hit. This demonstrates successful Ukrainian targeting of Russian logistical assets in a key area of fighting.
- Ukrainian Airstrike Claim (Nova Kakhovka): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming a "French baguette" airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka, Kherson Oblast. While the framing is symbolic and potentially propaganda, it suggests a Ukrainian strike, likely with Western-supplied weapons, against a Russian troop concentration in occupied territory.
- Commemoration of Victims of Political Repression and Diplomatic Efforts (Ukrainian Perspective): Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share similar messages commemorating victims of political repression and linking it to current diplomatic efforts to end Russian aggression, return prisoners, and guarantee peace. They emphasize Ukrainian independence and sovereignty as the basis for national preservation and the need for reliable protection from Russia. This highlights the ongoing efforts on the humanitarian and diplomatic fronts and the strong linkage between historical context and current events from the Ukrainian perspective.
- Commentary on Romanian Election Interference and Telegram Censorship (Russian Perspective): НгП раZVедка comments on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement about a "Western European government" asking him to block channels. The commentary frames these events within a narrative of Western hypocrisy and attempts to manipulate information, suggesting that such actions should be tolerated by those who support them elsewhere. This is an information operation aimed at discrediting Western claims of upholding democratic values and freedom of information.
- Russian Detention of Liberian-Flagged Tanker (Additional Details): НгП раZVедка provides further details on the Russian detention of the Liberian-flagged tanker "Green Admire" that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. The commentary discusses the technicalities of the vessel, its cargo (shale oil), and its flag state (Liberia), noting that the ownership is Greek. It links the incident to perceived Estonian actions ("the same Estonia that has been trying to arrest our tankers") and frames the detention within the context of the naval blockade of the Baltic Sea. This provides more specific details and frames the incident from a Russian perspective, likely for information operation purposes.
- Claimed Russian Gains on Dzerzhynsk Direction: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have cleared the area from Druzhba up to the section north of Krymske on the Dzerzhynsk direction, with the remaining pocket in the gray zone. This is a specific claim of territorial gain in Donetsk Oblast.
- Claimed Russian Gains on Konstantinovka Direction: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have advanced 1.5 km from the southeast side of Romanovka and entered the village on the Konstantinovka direction. They also claim to have cleared a forest belt west of Pravdivka and are storming the village while repelling Ukrainian counterattacks and identifying drone launch points. This is a specific claim of territorial gain and ongoing combat in Donetsk Oblast.
- Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Negotiations and Territory: Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll about potential Russian concessions in negotiations, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now. The results (35% for putting up with "carnival costumes," 34% for not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now) provide insight into a segment of Russian public opinion and potential propaganda efforts related to negotiation leverage and territorial claims.
- Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Potential Putin-Trump "Carve-up" of Ukraine: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting that peace talks could lead to a division of Ukraine between Putin and Trump, placing Ukraine in an "untenable position." This reflects concerns and speculation in the international information space about the potential outcomes of future high-level discussions and their impact on Ukraine's sovereignty, and is likely used by this Russian source to suggest a predetermined outcome favorable to Russia.
- Eduard Basurin's Commentary on Istanbul Negotiations: Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin, a public figure associated with the "DNR," on the Istanbul negotiations. He views the direct talks positively, despite claiming Ukraine tried to avoid them. He states the Russian position is the full withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the claimed territories of the "DNR," "LNR," Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts based on their administrative borders, not the contact line, before a ceasefire. He emphasizes Russia is negotiating from a "position of strength" and questions if Ukraine is ready for a protracted war. This provides a clear statement of Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire and their narrative regarding the negotiations, likely for internal and external information consumption.
- Colonelcassad Shares Graphic Video and Commentary: Colonelcassad shares a graphic video claiming to show a "neo-Nazi from Kraken" who lost a leg and applied a tourniquet incorrectly. He uses this to comment on alleged poor medical training within the Ukrainian forces. This is a piece of propaganda aimed at demoralizing Ukrainian forces and portraying them negatively. He also shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat on the islands in the Dnipro river, resulting in the capture of a Ukrainian soldier by a Russian marine, with commentary emphasizing the Russian soldier's bravery and framing the event from the perspective of the captured Ukrainian soldier.
- Death of Yakut Television Presenter in Ukraine: ASTRA reports the death of Aleksey Semenov, a Yakut television presenter who volunteered to fight in Ukraine. This highlights the human cost of the conflict within Russia and the involvement of individuals from various professions.
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
- Donetsk Oblast (including Pokrovsk, Siversk, Verkhnokamyanske, Hryhorivka, Kotlyarivka, Toretsk, Novopavlivsk, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Chasiv Yar, Shakhtersk direction, Avdiivka, Vuhledar, Bakhmut, Velykonovosilka, Komar, Nova Poltavka, Novoolenivka, Dzerzhynsk direction, Druzhba, Krymske, Konstantinovka direction, Romanovka, Pravdivka, Ignatovka, Kurakhivka direction, Светлодарск, Богданівка): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. Russia claims tactical gains and liberation, and Russian VDV are reportedly gaining air superiority over Chasiv Yar. Ukraine reports actively defending and using drones effectively against Russian movements. Colonelcassad shares photos and analysis alleging Ukrainian forces are constructing reserve defensive lines behind Pokrovsk towards Dobropillia. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in northern Donetsk Oblast moving westward. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on Russian servicemen using motorcycles near Toretsk and being targeted by Ukrainian drones, describing Toretsk as one of the hottest spots. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, claiming destruction of Ukrainian personnel. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas in places like Avdiivka, Vuhledar, and Bakhmut as tourist attractions. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions, with serious clashes in the areas of Velyka Novosilka and Kotlyarivka. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka by Russian forces, describing the assault and raising of the Russian flag, and suggests potential control of the highway near Novoolenivka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have cleared the area from Druzhba up to the section north of Krymske on the Dzerzhynsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have advanced 1.5 km from the southeast side of Romanovka and entered the village on the Konstantinovka direction, and are clearing a forest belt west of Pravdivka and storming the village while repelling counterattacks from Ignatovka. STERNENKO shares a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle on the Kurakhivka direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claims advances south and west of Отрадное and ongoing work against Ukrainian groups in Otradnoe. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians, and attributes it to the 27th separate rocket artillery brigade of the AFU. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка.
- Kharkiv Oblast (including Vovchansk, Lyptsi, Izium, Kharkiv direction): Affected by Russian aerial and ground assaults. Russian forces are reportedly conducting offensive actions, with claims of seizing fortified areas near Vovchansk and Lyptsi. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the central and eastern parts of Kharkiv Oblast moving westward/southwestward. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian transport in the Kharkiv direction by FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a large amount of military equipment arriving in Izium and claims increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and Russian advances in Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Details of the murder of a Kharkiv resident," focusing on alleged internal Ukrainian issues. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now.
- Kursk Oblast (Russia) / Sumy Oblast (Ukraine Border) (Kursk Oblast, Gornal): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Russian strike UAVs are entering Sumy Oblast from the Kursk region, moving westward/southwestward. Colonelcassad reports the alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya in the LPR. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs entering Sumy Oblast from Kursk, with a westward/southward course. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy border regions. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone. Alex Parker Returns claims Ukrainian forces are again storming the village of Gornal in Kursk Oblast in small groups. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, citing reconnaissance of the 30th Motor Rifle Regiment. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now.
- Sumy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian strike UAVs are entering Sumy Oblast from the Kursk region, moving westward/southwestward. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs entering Sumy Oblast from Kursk, with a westward/southward course. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy border regions. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, citing reconnaissance of the 30th Motor Rifle Regiment.
- Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Russian strike UAVs are being launched from occupied Kherson Oblast targeting Mykolaiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson, with a westward/northwestward course, which could potentially target Mykolaiv Oblast.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Affected by potential drone activity.
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Orekhiv direction): Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction and describing Ukrainian counter-mine tactics. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions, implicitly involving Zaporizhzhia border areas. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction, a direction that borders Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (including Pavlohrad, Nikopol district, Synelnykivskyi district): Affected by Russian aerial activity and claimed ground advances by Russian forces. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs approaching Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from the east and warns of enemy strike UAVs in Pavlohrad. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs on the east of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with a southwestward course. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports Russian FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district and a KAB strike in Synelnykivskyi district.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: Affected by potential drone activity.
- Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting.
- Lithuania: International military exercises are taking place.
- Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest potential for increased tension.
- Chechnya (Russia): Reports on internal political developments and significant construction projects.
- Odesa Oblast: Affected by potential drone activity. Russian strike UAVs are targeting Odesa Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson, with a westward/northwestward course, which could potentially target Odesa Oblast.
- Moscow (Russia): Affected by domestic security incidents and legal proceedings. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow.
- Khabarovsk Krai (Russia): Affected by law enforcement activity.
- Rostov Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Rostov Oblast overnight.
- Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Belgorod Oblast overnight. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Kharkiv border regions, implicitly including Belgorod Oblast border areas.
- Poltava Oblast (including Poltava City): Affected by potential drone activity. Russian strike UAVs are a threat in Poltava Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs on the southeastern part of Poltava Oblast, with a westward/southwestward/northwestward course, and warns of UAVs moving towards Poltava city from the east. The Ukrainian Air Force provides an updated overview of the location and course of Russian strike UAVs across multiple oblasts, including southeastern Poltava.
- Chernihiv Oblast (including Chernihiv City): Affected by Russian aerial activity. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs entering Chernihiv Oblast from the east. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs on the east of Chernihiv Oblast, with a westward/southwestward course, and warns of UAVs moving towards Chernihiv city from the east. The Ukrainian Air Force provides an updated overview of the location and course of Russian strike UAVs across multiple oblasts, including eastern Chernihiv.
- Kherson Oblast (including occupied territories, Nova Kakhovka, Dnipro islands): Affected by Russian shelling, Ukrainian drone activity, and reported Russian military training. Russian strike UAVs are being launched from occupied Kherson Oblast targeting Kherson Oblast. Colonelcassad reports the alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya in the LPR. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson, with a westward/northwestward course. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on repeated Russian artillery shelling of the railway station in Kherson and the use of drones for targeting. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the islands in the Dnipro river.
- Occupied Territories: Affected by Ukrainian drone activity and Russian mine clearing operations, and claimed Russian advances. Colonelcassad reports the alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya in the LPR. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas in places like Avdiivka, Vuhledar, and Bakhmut as tourist attractions. Mash на Донбассе shares a video showcasing celebration in Mariupol. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka in Donetsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the islands in the Dnipro river. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians.
- London (UK): Affected by alleged arson incidents involving a Ukrainian citizen and properties linked to the British Prime Minister. RBC-Ukraine reports the arrest of a 21-year-old Ukrainian citizen in connection with alleged arson, including at the British Prime Minister's residence.
- Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) (Kremennaya): Affected by alleged Ukrainian drone attacks and mine warfare. Colonelcassad reports the alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya in the LPR. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Luhansk border regions.
- Western Ukraine: Affected by alleged Russian strikes.
- Gaza: Affected by bombing, resulting in the death of Russian citizens. РБК-Україна reports on the Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Рыбарь provides further details on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, named "Chariots of Gideon," including planned deployment of five divisions, initial aerial and artillery strikes, claimed hit targets, possible liquidation of a Hamas leader, and plans to occupy specific areas.
- Saransk (Russia): Previously reported as a target of Ukrainian drone attacks.
- Estonia (Sillamäe): Hosting military exercises with NATO involvement. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe.
- Dobropillia (Donetsk Oblast): Colonelcassad's analysis alleges Ukrainian forces are constructing reserve defensive lines towards Dobropillia from Pokrovsk.
- Black Sea: Affected by Russian drone activity and the presence of Russian vessels. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson, with a westward/northwestward course. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port, highlighting maritime security issues. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker.
- Vatican: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy met with Pope Leo XIV. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about this meeting. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war.
- Finland: President Stubb commented on Trump's stance on Russia and potential future sanctions. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments.
- Romania: Affected by alleged Russian and French interference in elections. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Foreign Ministry has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists." НгП раZVедка comments on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement.
- Hungary: A Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine.
- Denmark: Will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. Два майора shares photos and analysis of these USVs. Воин DV includes Denmark's military aid package to Ukraine in his summary.
- Liberia: Flag state of the oil tanker detained by Russia. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker (Green Admire) under the flag of Liberia. НгП раZVедка comments on the technicalities of the detained tanker and its cargo.
- Greece: Nationality of the company owning the oil tanker detained by Russia. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker owned by a Greek company. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker.
- Syria: Formation of investigative commissions by pro-Turkish groups is reported. Рыбарь reports on this development.
- Shakhtersk direction: Location of joint Russian special forces and tank brigade operations. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share a video of these operations.
- Vovchanski Khutory: Claimed area of Russian advances in Kharkiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on these claims.
- Lviv (Ukraine): Location of a scandal involving a former National Guardsman and the TCC. РБК-Україна reports on this scandal.
- Netherlands (Rotterdam): Destination of the tanker detained by Russia. WarGonzo reports that the tanker Green Admire was following from Sillamäe to Rotterdam.
- Kazakhstan (Kazan): Location of a forum where the head of the "DNR" spoke about preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. ASTRA reports that the head of the "DNR," Denis Pushilin, announced this at a forum in Kazan.
- Velyka Novosilka / Velykonovosilka (Donetsk Oblast): Location of claimed Russian advances and serious clashes. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions, with serious clashes in the areas of Velyka Novosilka.
- Kotlyarivka / Kotlin (Donetsk Oblast): Location of serious clashes. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that serious clashes are ongoing in the areas of Velyka Novosilka and Kotlyarivka.
- Novoolenivka (Donetsk Oblast): Location where a section of highway may have come under Russian control. Рыбарь reports that a section of the highway near Novoolenivka may have come under Russian control.
- Dzerzhynsk direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Druzhba, Krymske): Claimed area of Russian advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have cleared the area from Druzhba up to the section north of Krymske.
- Konstantinovka direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Romanovka, Pravdivka, Ignatovka): Claimed area of Russian advances and ongoing combat. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces have advanced into Romanovka and are clearing a forest belt west of Pravdivka and storming the village while repelling counterattacks from Ignatovka.
- Kurakhivka direction (Donetsk Oblast): Location of Ukrainian drone activity. STERNENKO shares a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle on this direction.
- Dnipro islands (Kherson Oblast): Location of alleged hand-to-hand combat. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the islands in the Dnipro river.
- New York (US): Location of a discussion between Lavrov and Rubio. Воин DV includes this discussion in his summary.
- Gaza: Location of an Israeli ground operation. РБК-Україна reports on this operation. Рыбарь provides further details on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, named "Chariots of Gideon," including planned deployment of five divisions, initial aerial and artillery strikes, claimed hit targets, possible liquidation of a Hamas leader, and plans to occupy specific areas.
- Belgium: Will provide military aid to Ukraine. Воин DV includes Belgium's military aid package in his summary.
- Владимир (Russia): Location of a violent incident reported by АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА.
- Богатырь (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed by Russian sources as "liberated" on the South-Donetsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Два майора, and Воин DV report on this.
- Отрадное (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed area of Russian advances south and west of Bogatyr and ongoing work against Ukrainian groups. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on this.
- Светлодарск (Donetsk Oblast): Reported by Басурин о главном as being attacked by Ukrainian forces with HIMARS on May 17th, resulting in civilian casualties.
- Богданівка (Donetsk Oblast): Location south of which DeepState claims the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups.
- rear areas of special military operation: Location of Russian military training reported by MoD Russia.
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
- Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. The Ukrainian Air Force provides updated information on the movement of Russian strike UAVs across multiple oblasts with westward/southwestward trajectories, warnings of strikes from occupied Kherson, and specific threats to Chernihiv and Poltava. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing of Ukrainian UAVs over border regions. Colonelcassad reports alleged Ukrainian mine usage involving drones and claims of Russian drone strikes. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on Russian forces using drones to scan the area in Kherson for repeated strikes. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian transport in the Kharkiv direction by an FPV drone. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian servicemen on motorcycles near Toretsk. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones and links this to specific drone types. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV to launch drone swarms. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy and Kharkiv border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming destruction of Ukrainian UAV launchers and heavy copters. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators and discusses efforts to extend their range. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Два майора reports on this development. Два майора shares photos and analysis of these USVs. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction and describing Ukrainian counter-mine tactics involving "Baba Yaga" hexacopters dropping anti-tank mines with magnetic target proximity sensors (PTM-3) and remote mining with M70 cluster munitions. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction using an FPV drone with a night camera. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone. STERNENKO shares a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle on the Kurakhivka direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces are identifying Ukrainian drone launch points near Ignatovka. STERNENKO has launched a fundraising campaign to counter Russian drones. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, citing reconnaissance of the 30th Motor Rifle Regiment, which likely involves drone use. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, which likely involves drone use.
- Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued use by Russian forces, particularly on Donetsk Oblast. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports a KAB strike in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи на Донеччину! Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern and northeastern directions with a threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts, which includes KABs.
- Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active, launching KABs and conducting strikes. Russian VDV are reportedly gaining air superiority over Chasiv Yar. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Russian Aerospace Forces worked on Lypky in the Kharkiv direction. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern and northeastern directions with a threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts, which includes KABs.
- Missile Activity: Russian Missile Troops are conducting strikes. Russian intelligence reports Russia is planning a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation." Russia is allegedly developing a new cruise missile ("Banderolka"). Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians, and attributes it to the 27th separate rocket artillery brigade of the AFU.
- Naval Activity: The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Два майора reports on this development. Два майора shares photos and analysis of these USVs, describing them as for maritime observation, intelligence gathering, scanning underwater routes, and mapping the seabed. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of the Liberian-flagged tanker Green Admire that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the islands in the Dnipro river. НгП раZVедка comments on the recent Russian detention of the Liberian-flagged tanker.
- Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaged in countering Russian aerial threats. Russian air defense systems are claiming interceptions of Ukrainian UAVs over border regions. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast, implicitly operating in an area with potential Russian air defense.
- Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on Russian artillery shelling of the railway station in Kherson. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports Russian artillery and MLRS attacks in Nikopol district, including "Grad" MLRS. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy and Kharkiv border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming destruction of a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer and striking Ukrainian military groups in Lypky. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, likely involving artillery support. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction, mentioning that Ukrainians attempt to disrupt demining operations relying on artillery. Рыбарь reports on the alleged "liberation" of Nova Poltavka by Russian forces, detailing the assault tactics which likely involved artillery support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Russian forces have cleared a forest belt west of Pravdivka and are storming the village while repelling Ukrainian counterattacks, likely involving artillery. MoD Russia mentions Ukrainian artillery attempts to disrupt demining operations. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians, and attributes it to the 27th separate rocket artillery brigade of the AFU. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk.
- Mine Warfare: Colonelcassad reports the alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya in the LPR and describes Ukrainian tactics including mining approaches to defensive lines and remote mining with "Baba Yaga" drones. This highlights the ongoing and evolving use of mine warfare. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and describing Ukrainian counter-mine tactics involving "Baba Yaga" hexacopters dropping anti-tank mines (PTM-3) and remote mining with M70 cluster munitions.
- Defensive Obstacles: Colonelcassad shares photos and analysis of alleged Ukrainian construction of reserve defensive lines utilizing concrete anti-tank obstacles ("dragon's teeth," "hedgehogs") and concertina wire barriers behind Pokrovsk.
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
- Negotiations and Peace Talks: Discussions and preparations for negotiations in Istanbul continue. Russia reiterates its claim of waiting for talks and accuses Ukraine of delaying, attributing US influence. Speculation regarding a potential Trump-Putin meeting continues. A US representative will be present at the Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul. Оперативний ЗСУ reiterates Keith Kellogg's statement that the first point of the US 22-point peace plan is a comprehensive ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports on Keith Kellogg's statement regarding the US plan for an immediate ceasefire. Colonelcassad offers a brief, derogatory comment on Zelenskyy, suggesting he is only now ready for negotiations without "respect" and without lifting the ban on negotiations with Russia. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring a Ukrainian journalist discussing the Istanbul negotiations, alleging "ham-like" behavior from the Russian delegation and reporting an exchange where the Russian side claimed NATO would attack Russia in 2030 if a contingent was in Ukraine, and the Ukrainian side responded with a similar claim about Russia planning to attack NATO. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Zelenskyy will not cede Crimea and Donbas and will not abandon Ukraine's right to join NATO, citing The Sunday Times. ТАСС reports that Zelenskyy is ready for dialogue in any format with Russia about conflict resolution. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting that peace talks could lead to a division of Ukraine between Putin and Trump. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire (Ukrainian withdrawal from claimed territories) and emphasizing Russia's "position of strength." Воин DV summarizes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion on negotiations and prisoner exchange, and Miroshnik's statement on Russia's unacceptable preliminary conditions for negotiations.
- International Support for Ukraine: International military exercises are taking place. The US and European partners are discussing settlement prospects. Limitations on certain military aid (Taurus missiles from Germany) are noted. FIFA is providing support. RBC-Ukraine reports the arrest of a Ukrainian citizen in the UK for alleged arson, which could impact international relations and support. Politico reports concerns in the EU about the potential for a bloc of leaders to oppose support for Kyiv, and TASS reports on this Politico article. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican. Finnish President Stubb commented on Trump's stance on Russia and potential future sanctions. Leaders from Britain, Germany, Poland, and France plan to speak with Donald Trump before his conversation with Putin. Ukraine reports receiving Abrams tanks from Australia. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine. Воин DV includes Belgium's commitment of €1 billion in military aid (including SAMs, a Leopard tank, and naval drones) and Denmark's commitment of $600 million in military aid (including SAMs, ammunition, and equipment) in his summary. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka, symbolically framed as a "French baguette" strike, implying the use of French-supplied weapons. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million for 2025-2028, including artillery systems and ammunition, air force equipment, and training programs.
- Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated in Istanbul. Russia is engaged in information operations regarding the negotiations. A US representative will be present at the Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican on humanitarian issues related to the conflict. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring a Ukrainian journalist discussing the Istanbul negotiations, offering a Ukrainian perspective. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Zelenskyy will not cede Crimea and Donbas and will not abandon Ukraine's right to join NATO. ТАСС reports that Zelenskyy is ready for dialogue in any format with Russia about conflict resolution. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire. Воин DV summarizes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion on negotiations and prisoner exchange, and Miroshnik's statement on Russia's unacceptable preliminary conditions for negotiations. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share messages on commemorating victims of political repression and linking it to current diplomatic efforts to end Russian aggression and return prisoners. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war.
- Internal Ukrainian Politics: Discussions around peace and diplomacy continue at high levels. Internal responses to Russian statements are noted. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican. Ukraine is investigating allegations made by a commander of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the General Staff has created a working group to investigate allegations by a commander of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Zelenskyy will not cede Crimea and Donbas and will not abandon Ukraine's right to join NATO. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Details of the murder of a Kharkiv resident," focusing on alleged internal Ukrainian issues. РБК-Україна reports on a scandal in Lviv where a former National Guardsman alleges he was detained and beaten in a TCC van, with the Lviv Oblast TCC conducting an investigation. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share messages on commemorating victims of political repression and linking it to current diplomatic efforts. Воин DV includes conflicting reports on potential mobilization of teachers in Ukraine in his summary. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war.
- Internal Russian Politics and Society: High-level military command changes have occurred. Information operations are ongoing. Construction projects are being highlighted. Internal legal and security issues are present. A social note regarding Donald Trump's family has been reported. Colonelcassad is actively disseminating information and analysis regarding the conflict and Ukrainian actions, which is part of Russian information operations. A decorated scout-sniper has died. "DNR" authorities are proposing preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. Romania alleges Russian interference in elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. A Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. An unconfirmed report suggests former Russian Defense Minister Shoigu was summoned for questioning. A scandal in Vologda Oblast related to threats is reported. Mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts is reported. WarGonzo reports the death of decorated scout-sniper Vitaly Shapovalov. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Foreign Ministry has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on unconfirmed information that former Russian Defense Minister Shoigu was summoned for questioning. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the SVO. Новости Москвы reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts. Mash на Донбассе shares a video showcasing celebration in Mariupol. Kotsnews publishes a commentary linking Alexander Ovechkin's hockey loss to US politics and promoting support for Donbas. Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations for military personnel in Donbas and on the front line, as well as for the wounded and families of the deceased, and offers politically charged commentary criticizing Russian leadership. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. ASTRA reports the death of Yakut television presenter Aleksey Semenov who volunteered to fight in Ukraine. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands. Воин DV summarizes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion and Miroshnik's statement, reflecting Russian diplomatic positions. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts for Russian users. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир where a man of Central Asian origin allegedly attacked a doctor with a knife.
- US Stance on Negotiations: US expectations regarding a Trump-Putin meeting are noted. The US is engaging separately with the Ukrainian delegation. A US representative will be present at the Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul. Оперативний ЗСУ reiterates Keith Kellogg's statement that the first point of the US 22-point peace plan is a comprehensive ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports on Keith Kellogg's statement regarding the US plan for an immediate ceasefire. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine and the risk of US withdrawal if Ukraine doesn't agree. Воин DV summarizes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion on negotiations and prisoner exchange, and Miroshnik's statement on Russia's unacceptable preliminary conditions for negotiations.
- Turkish Role in Negotiations: Turkey is facilitating potential negotiations in Istanbul.
- Speculation on Trump's Role: Speculation regarding a Trump-Putin meeting continues. A social note regarding Donald Trump's family has been reported by Russian state media. Finnish President Stubb commented on Trump's stance and potential future sanctions. Leaders from Britain, Germany, Poland, and France plan to speak with Donald Trump before his conversation with Putin. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine.
- Ukraine-UK Relations: Previously reported alleged arson incidents involving a Ukrainian citizen and properties linked to the British Prime Minister. RBC-Ukraine reports the arrest of a Ukrainian citizen in the UK for alleged arson, including at the British Prime Minister's residence.
- NATO Development: NATO members are participating in military exercises near Russia. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. Два майора shares photos and analysis of these USVs, highlighting their use for maritime observation, intelligence gathering, scanning underwater routes, and mapping the seabed. Воин DV includes Germany's Chancellor Merz's statement ruling out NATO troops in Ukraine and Belgium's military aid package in his summary.
- EU Politics: Politico reports concerns in the EU about the potential for a bloc of leaders to oppose support for Kyiv, and TASS reports on this Politico article. A Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine. Воин DV includes German Chancellor Merz's statement ruling out NATO troops in Ukraine and Belgium's military aid package in his summary.
- Romanian Politics: Romania affected by alleged Russian interference in elections and has held presidential elections. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists." НгП раZVедка comments on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement.
- Hungarian Stance on Ukraine's EU Accession and Military Aid: A Hungarian official stated that Ukraine's entry into the EU poses a threat to Hungary due to corruption. Hungary has stated it has no obligation to provide military aid and will remain outside the conflict. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine. Воин DV includes Orban's complaint to the NATO Secretary General in his summary.
- Baltic Sea Maritime Security: Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker, framing it as a response to perceived Estonian actions. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. Два майора shares photos and analysis of these USVs. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. НгП раZVедка comments on the technicalities of the detained tanker and its cargo.
- Syrian Justice and Turkish Influence: The formation of investigative commissions in Syria by pro-Turkish groups is reported. Рыбарь reports on this development.
- International Relations and Information Operations (France/Romania): The French Foreign Ministry has denied allegations of interference in the Romanian elections and blamed actors linked to Russia. Alex Parker Returns and Colonelcassad are commenting on this, with Colonelcassad framing the French denial as confirmation of interference and linking it to alleged attempts to censor Telegram. ТАСС reports that the MИД Франции отверг обвинения во вмешательстве Парижа в выборы в Румынии. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement denying allegations of interference in the Romanian presidential election. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. НгП раZVедка comments on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement.
- Russian Information Operations on Negotiations: Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now, which is part of Russian information operations related to negotiation leverage and territorial claims. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine, which serves to advance a specific narrative about the conflict's potential outcome. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire (Ukrainian withdrawal from claimed territories) and emphasizing Russia's "position of strength," which is a clear information operation to frame the negotiations on Russian terms.
- Romanian Presidential Election Results: РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists."
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
- High-Level Military Personnel Changes: A change in the Commander of the Central Military District has occurred. Unconfirmed report suggests former Russian Defense Minister Shoigu was summoned for questioning. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on unconfirmed information that former Russian Defense Minister Shoigu was summoned for questioning.
- Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are engaged in intense ground combat and claiming tactical successes. They continue to utilize KABs and drones extensively. Claims of eliminating Ukrainian equipment are made. The timeframe for the Russian Defense Plan has been extended. New small arms variants are being developed. Technical improvisation in mine warfare is highlighted. Colonelcassad's analysis of alleged Ukrainian defensive preparations and tactics provides intelligence on the capabilities and likely intentions of the opposing forces. Colonelcassad's reports on alleged Ukrainian mine usage and claimed destruction of Ukrainian transport are relevant to assessing Russian military performance and challenges. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian transport in the Kharkiv direction by an FPV drone. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian servicemen on motorcycles near Toretsk. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, claiming destruction of Ukrainian personnel. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones and links this to specific drone types. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV to launch drone swarms. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy and Kharkiv border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment (D-30 howitzer, engineering equipment, vehicles, UAV launchers, heavy copters), and Russian advances in Vovchansk (cleared 23 households, advanced over 150 meters) and Vovchanski Khutory. He claims over 30 Ukrainian personnel were destroyed over the past day. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators and discusses efforts to extend their range. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction using an FPV drone with a night camera. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka in Donetsk Oblast by units of the 57th Motorized Rifle Regiment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering the village of Romanovka and clearing a forest belt west of Pravdivka while storming the village and repelling counterattacks. ASTRA reports the death of Yakut television presenter Aleksey Semenov. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claims advances south and west of Отрадное and ongoing work against Ukrainian groups in Otradnoe. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, citing reconnaissance of the 30th Motor Rifle Regiment. MoD Russia shares a video showing servicemen of a tank regiment improving skills in the rear area of the special military operation. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk.
- Casualty Reports: Previously reported civilian and military casualties. A decorated scout-sniper has died. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian personnel in the Kharkiv and Shakhtersk directions. A Yakut television presenter who volunteered to fight in Ukraine has died. WarGonzo reports the death of decorated scout-sniper Vitaly Shapovalov. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims over 30 Ukrainian personnel were destroyed in the Kharkiv direction over the past day. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, titled "Destruction of enemy personnel," implying Ukrainian casualties. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone, implying a Russian fatality or self-inflicted injury. ASTRA reports the death of Yakut television presenter Aleksey Semenov. Colonelcassad shares a graphic video claiming to show a Ukrainian soldier losing a leg. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands, implying Ukrainian casualties or capture. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces destroyed 7 Ukrainian vehicles in rear areas during rotation and resupply attempts over the past day on the South-Donetsk direction, implying Ukrainian casualties. Басурин о главном reports that a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th injured two civilians. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk, implying a Russian fatality or injury. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, implying Russian casualties.
- Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian sources are actively engaged in information operations to shape narratives about the conflict, military effectiveness, leadership changes, and the perceived stance of Western leaders on negotiations. Alleged Ukrainian mine usage is being reported. Colonelcassad's claims and analysis regarding Ukrainian defensive preparations and tactics, as well as his reports on alleged unconventional mine usage and claimed destruction of Ukrainian transport, are likely aimed at influencing narratives about the conflict, highlighting claimed Russian military effectiveness, and potentially portraying Ukrainian forces negatively. The TASS report on EU concerns about leaders opposing support for Kyiv also serves this purpose. "DNR" authorities are proposing preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. Romania alleges Russian interference in elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV and its implications for future warfare, framed within the context of lessons learned from the conflict, is also a strategic discussion within the Russian information space. Mash na Donbasse's video of celebration in Mariupol is a strategic information operation to portray normalcy in occupied territories. Kotsnews' commentary linking a sporting event to US politics and promoting support for Donbas is another example of leveraging popular culture for strategic communication. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV. Colonelcassad offers a brief, derogatory comment on Zelenskyy and negotiations. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Details of the murder of a Kharkiv resident." Mash на Донбассе shares a video showcasing celebration in Mariupol. Kotsnews publishes a commentary linking Alexander Ovechkin's hockey loss to US politics and promoting support for Donbas. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker, framing it as a response to perceived Estonian actions. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators targeting Ukrainian equipment and discusses efforts to extend their range. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and Russian advances, serving as information operation. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, serving as propaganda. Новости Москвы reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts, which could be used in information operations highlighting the impact of sanctions. Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations and offering politically charged commentary criticizing Russian leadership. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship, framing it from a Russian perspective. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation, serving as propaganda highlighting Russian capabilities. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker, framing Russia's actions as lawful and highlighting Estonian concerns, serving as an information operation in a maritime incident. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone, with commentary framing the soldier's actions negatively, serving as propaganda. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka, accompanied by tactical description and mapping, serving as a strategic information operation to demonstrate territorial gain. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, which is a piece of Russian information operation. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections, highlighting the information battle. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, serving as information operations to demonstrate advances. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine, serving to advance a specific narrative. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire, which is a clear information operation to frame the negotiations on Russian terms. Colonelcassad shares a graphic video claiming to show a Ukrainian soldier losing a leg and comments on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces, a propaganda piece aimed at demoralizing. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands and comments on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces, serving as propaganda highlighting claimed Russian bravery and Ukrainian weakness. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claims advances south and west of Отрадное, serving as information operation. Два майора and Воин DV report on the claimed taking of Богатырь and introduce a new rubric of "Returned Lands," which is a clear propaganda and information operation to legitimize claimed territorial gains. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, serving as propaganda. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts for Russian users and frames it in a derogatory and propaganda-driven manner. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир and frames it in dehumanizing and religiously charged terms, likely for propaganda purposes. Рыбарь provides a detailed report on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, which, while about another conflict, includes analysis on the feasibility of eradicating Hamas and political motivations, which is part of their broader analytical and information dissemination efforts. РБК-Україна reports on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election, and later reports on George Simion declaring victory despite exit polls, which could contribute to narratives about political instability. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists," framing it within a narrative of external interference in Romanian politics, which is part of his information operations. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS, attributing it to a specific Ukrainian unit and commander and labeling it a war crime, which is a clear information operation for attribution and propaganda. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk, which is likely intended to boost Ukrainian morale and demonstrate effectiveness. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, which serves to highlight Ukrainian military successes.
- Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: Protect sensitive data and communications from cyber threats and unauthorized access. Ensure the integrity and availability of information systems supporting military operations. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир where a man of Central Asian origin allegedly attacked a doctor with a knife.
- Military Commemoration and Morale: Previously reported on military commemoration efforts. The death of a decorated scout-sniper is reported. WarGonzo reports the death of decorated scout-sniper Vitaly Shapovalov. ASTRA reports the death of Yakut television presenter Aleksey Semenov. Два майора and Воин DV report on the claimed taking of Богатырь and introduce a new rubric of "Returned Lands," which is intended to boost morale and emphasize historical connection to claimed territories.
- Support for Military Personnel: Previously reported on efforts to support military personnel. Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations for military personnel in Donbas and on the front line, as well as for the wounded and families of the deceased. Басурин о главном links to a fund for the rehabilitation of SVO fighters.
- Civilian Impact: Previously reported on the impact of the conflict on civilians. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions, which has a direct impact on the residents of these areas who lack housing. Новости Москвы reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts, highlighting the impact of sanctions on civilian life in Russia. Басурин о главном reports that a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th injured two civilians.
- Defense Planning: The Russian Defense Plan has been extended to 2027.
- Social Notes: A social note regarding Donald Trump's family has been reported by Russian state media. A scandal in Vologda Oblast related to threats is reported. Mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts is reported. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head allegedly threatening to send people to the SVO. Новости Москвы reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts for Russian users. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир where a man of Central Asian origin allegedly attacked a doctor with a knife, which is presented as a social issue related to ethnicity and religion.
- Internal Security: Previously reported on internal security operations. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир where a man of Central Asian origin allegedly attacked a doctor with a knife, highlighting a domestic security concern.
- External Relations: Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker, framing it as a response to perceived Estonian actions. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker. НгП раZVедка comments on the technicalities of the detained tanker and its cargo.
- Domestic Political Commentary: Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations and offering politically charged commentary criticizing Russian leadership. Colonelcassad comments on Romanian election results and alleged external interference, which is a form of domestic political commentary framed within international events.
- Allegations of Foreign Interference: Romania alleges Russian and French interference in elections. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. НгП раZVедка comments on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement.
- Romanian Presidential Election Results: РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists."
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
- Military Support (Ukraine): International support for Ukraine continues through diplomatic engagement and military exercises. Limitations on certain military aid exist. Ukraine is receiving Abrams tanks from Australia. Ukraine is actively fundraising for drones. Оперативний ЗSU reports that Australia has provided Abrams tanks. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video highlighting the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones. STERNENKO has launched a fundraising campaign offering an exclusive knife as a prize. Воин DV includes Belgium's commitment of €1 billion in military aid (including SAMs, a Leopard tank, and naval drones) and Denmark's commitment of $600 million in military aid (including SAMs, ammunition, and equipment) in his summary. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka, symbolically framed as a "French baguette" strike, implying the use of French-supplied weapons. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million for 2025-2028, including artillery systems and ammunition (via the Czech initiative), air force equipment, and training programs.
- Military Support (Russia): Efforts to provide military support through non-governmental channels continue. Development of new small arms variants is ongoing. Reliance on public fundraising for equipment continues. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators and discusses efforts to extend their range, likely to encourage support for these efforts. Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations for military personnel in Donbas and on the front line, as well as for the wounded and families of the deceased. Басурин о главном links to a fund for the rehabilitation of SVO fighters. MoD Russia shares a video showing servicemen of a tank regiment improving skills in the rear area of the special military operation, indicating formal training and support.
- Civilian Support (Ukraine): Support through international organizations like FIFA is being sought. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican on humanitarian issues, particularly concerning children and prisoners. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV, highlighting the focus on humanitarian aid and the return of children and prisoners. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share messages on commemorating victims of political repression and linking it to current diplomatic efforts, including the return of prisoners. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war.
- Civilian Support (Russia): Humanitarian efforts involving Russian citizens in other conflicts are noted. The lack of reconstruction for residents of destroyed areas in the "DNR" highlights a failure in civilian support. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions, which highlights the lack of support for residents. Mash на Донбассе shares a video showcasing celebration in Mariupol, potentially aimed at portraying normalcy and support for the population.
- Prisoner of War Issues: Ukraine is seeking the return of Ukrainian prisoners, engaging the Vatican on this issue. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 mention the return of Ukrainian prisoners in the context of the meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share messages mentioning the return of prisoners. Воин DV includes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion on prisoner exchange in his summary. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war.
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
- Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults across multiple fronts and utilizing drones for various purposes, including targeting Russian equipment and personnel (including Russian servicemen on motorcycles) and reconnaissance for repeat strikes. Inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses on Russian forces. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian shelling and aerial attacks. Engaging in high-level negotiations and seeking continued international military and political support and military aid (including Abrams tanks, Belgian and Danish SAMs, Leopard tanks, naval drones, ammunition, and equipment). Experiencing limitations in obtaining certain advanced weaponry (Taurus missiles from Germany). Ukraine is investigating allegations made by a commander of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Ukraine is actively fundraising for military equipment. Ukraine is conducting drone activity in Russian border regions. Ukraine is repelling Russian counterattacks. Ukraine is targeting Russian logistics and troop concentrations. Ukraine is using howitzers effectively against moving targets. The 35th Marine Brigade is operating south of Bohdanivka. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on Russian forces using drones to scan the area in Kherson for repeated strikes. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian servicemen on motorcycles near Toretsk, highlighting the effectiveness of drones against tactical movements. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Australia has provided Abrams tanks, adding to Ukrainian armored capabilities. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Zelenskyy will not cede Crimea and Donbas and will not abandon Ukraine's right to join NATO. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the General Staff has created a working group to investigate allegations by a commander of the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade, indicating internal military review. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction and describing Ukrainian counter-mine tactics involving "Baba Yaga" hexacopters dropping anti-tank mines (PTM-3) and remote mining with M70 cluster munitions. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Ukrainian forces are "holding on" and serious clashes are ongoing in the areas of Velyka Novosilka and Kotlyarivka. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone. STERNENKO has launched a fundraising campaign offering an exclusive knife as a prize. РБК-Україна reports on a scandal in Lviv where a former National Guardsman alleges he was detained and beaten in a TCC van. STERNENKO shares a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle on the Kurakhivka direction. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka, implying the use of Ukrainian aviation or missiles. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces are identifying Ukrainian drone launch points near Ignatovka. Воин DV includes Belgian and Danish military aid packages to Ukraine in his summary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces are repelling Ukrainian counterattacks from Ignatovka. Colonelcassad shares a graphic video claiming to show a Ukrainian soldier losing a leg and comments on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces, implicitly criticizing Ukrainian capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands, implying Ukrainian casualties or capture. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians, and attributes it to the 27th separate rocket artillery brigade of the AFU. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million, including artillery systems and ammunition, air force equipment, and training programs.
- Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements (including claimed advances in the Kharkiv, Shakhtersk, Velykonovosilka, and Pokrovsk directions, and liberation of Nova Poltavka, and claimed gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering Romanovka, and the "liberation" of Богатырь). Employing extensive air strikes with guided bombs, artillery, and MLRS. Utilizing a high number of kamikaze and other types of drones, including for reconnaissance and targeting of repeat strikes in urban areas. Undergoing changes in high-level command structure. Relying in part on public donations for equipment. Utilizing information operations as a key tactic. Conducting mine clearing operations and developing counter-mine measures. Developing and introducing new small arms variants. Engaging in diplomatic efforts in Istanbul. Experiencing casualties in other conflicts and among decorated personnel (including a television presenter). Utilizing motorcycles for tactical movement in contested areas. Promoting the idea of preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Russian forces are engaged in hand-to-hand combat on the Dnipro islands. Russia is conducting military training in rear areas. РБК-Україна and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on repeated Russian artillery shelling of the railway station in Kherson and the use of drones for targeting. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian servicemen on motorcycles near Toretsk, indicating the use of motorcycles for tactical movement. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, claiming destruction of Ukrainian personnel. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones and links this to specific drone types. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV to launch drone swarms. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in the forests of the Sumy and Kharkiv border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment (D-30 howitzer, engineering equipment, vehicles, UAV launchers, heavy copters), and Russian advances in Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators and discusses efforts to extend their range. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. MoD Russia shares a video detailing Russian combat engineers conducting demining operations on the Orekhiv direction in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. ТАСС reports, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction using an FPV drone with a night camera. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka in Donetsk Oblast by units of the 57th Motorized Rifle Regiment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka direction, including entering the village of Romanovka and clearing a forest belt west of Pravdivka while storming the village and repelling counterattacks. ASTRA reports the death of Yakut television presenter Aleksey Semenov. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claims advances south and west of Отрадное and ongoing work against Ukrainian groups in Otradnoe. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, citing reconnaissance of the 30th Motor Rifle Regiment. MoD Russia shares a video showing servicemen of a tank regiment improving skills in the rear area of the special military operation, including training for assault tactics and firing Kornet anti-tank missiles. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, implying Russian military presence in that area. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk.
- Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is playing a facilitating role in potential negotiations. The US is engaging in diplomatic efforts. Speculation continues regarding former US President Trump's potential involvement. NATO members are participating in military exercises and providing aid. A Ukrainian citizen is involved in a criminal investigation in the UK. A US representative will be present at the Russia-Ukraine negotiations in Istanbul. Ukraine is engaging with the Vatican on humanitarian issues. Finnish President Stubb commented on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. Leaders from Britain, Germany, Poland, and France plan to speak with Donald Trump before his conversation with Putin. Australia is providing Abrams tanks to Ukraine. A Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. Romania alleges Russian and French interference in elections and has held presidential elections. Russia has detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Denmark will place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea. Syrian developments involving pro-Turkish groups are reported. Israel is conducting a ground operation in Gaza. Belgium is providing military aid to Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ reiterates Keith Kellogg's statement on the US peace plan. Zelenskiy / Official and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 share photos and text about President Zelenskyy meeting with Pope Leo XIV. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Finnish President Stubb's comments on Trump's stance and potential new US sanctions. ТАСС reports a Hungarian official commented on Ukraine's EU accession. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement regarding interference in Romanian elections. ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this incident. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker. Два майора reports that Denmark will place unique American unmanned surface vessels (USVs) in the Baltic Sea. Рыбарь reports on Syrian developments involving pro-Turkish groups. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker, highlighting the involvement of Western-supplied equipment. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe. РБК-Україна reports on the Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Воин DV includes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion, German Chancellor Merz's statement, conflicting reports on potential mobilization of teachers in Ukraine, Trump's alleged dissatisfaction with Zelenskyy's decisions, speculation about Russia returning to negotiations in October, Belgium's military aid package, Denmark's military aid package, and Orban's complaint to the NATO Secretary General in his summary, highlighting broader international dynamics. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating that the pro-European candidate, Nicușor Dan, has won. РБК-Україна later reports that George Simion has declared victory despite the exit polls. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists." Рыбарь provides further details on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, named "Chariots of Gideon," indicating significant third-party military action. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million.
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
- The sustained and geographically expanding Russian drone offensive, now explicitly including warnings for numerous oblasts, indicates a strategic effort to target a wide range of objectives deep within Ukraine or across multiple operational directions. This necessitates robust and coordinated air defense and electronic warfare capabilities across the country. The widespread nature of the air alarm map reinforces the scale of this strategic aerial attack. The report of Russian forces using drones for reconnaissance and targeting of repeated strikes in Kherson highlights an adapted tactical approach in urban areas, with strategic implications for urban defense and resilience.
- Colonelcassad's detailed claims and accompanying photos regarding alleged Ukrainian construction of reserve defensive lines behind Pokrovsk and their tactical adaptations, including mine warfare and specific drone usage, offer a significant strategic insight into Ukrainian anticipation of Russian advances and their preparations for a potentially protracted defense in the Donbas. This suggests a strategic understanding on the Ukrainian side of the potential pressure on Pokrovsk and a proactive effort to establish layered defenses.
- The inclusion of a US representative at the Istanbul negotiations, as reported by TASS citing Marco Rubio, is a significant diplomatic development, suggesting a potentially higher level of direct US engagement in the peace process with strategic implications for the direction and potential outcomes of the talks. The reiteration of the US focus on an immediate ceasefire as the first point of their peace plan underscores a key strategic priority for the US. Воин DV includes the Lavrov-Rubio discussion on negotiations and prisoner exchange in his summary, further highlighting US involvement in diplomatic efforts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine, reflecting strategic concerns about the potential impact of high-level US-Russia discussions on Ukraine's future.
- The arrest of a Ukrainian citizen in the UK for alleged arson, particularly targeting the British Prime Minister's properties, is a notable strategic development with potential implications for Ukraine-UK relations and potentially broader international perceptions and support for Ukraine. The incident could be exploited by Russia in information operations.
- The alleged use of mines disguised as mushrooms by Ukrainian forces near Kremennaya, as reported by Colonelcassad, if verified, is a significant tactical innovation with potential strategic implications for force protection and counter-mine warfare. It also presents a challenge for humanitarian mine action efforts. Colonelcassad's description of Ukrainian remote mining tactics with "Baba Yaga" drones and FPV drone attacks on immobilized vehicles further highlights the evolving nature of tactical engagement and the importance of countering these methods. MoD Russia's detailed report on Russian demining operations on the Orekhiv direction and description of Ukrainian counter-mine tactics, including the use of "Baba Yaga" hexacopters dropping anti-tank mines (PTM-3) and remote mining with M70 cluster munitions, provides concrete evidence of advanced mine warfare tactics being employed by Ukraine and the strategic challenge this poses for Russian forces.
- Russian information operations remain a key strategic element. Colonelcassad's dissemination of claims and analysis regarding Ukrainian defensive preparations and tactics, along with his reports on alleged unconventional mine usage and claimed destruction of Ukrainian transport, are likely aimed at influencing narratives about the conflict, highlighting claimed Russian military effectiveness, and potentially portraying Ukrainian forces negatively. The TASS report on EU concerns about leaders opposing support for Kyiv also serves this purpose. The "DNR" authorities' plan to preserve destroyed areas as tourist attractions is a cynical strategic information operation aimed at controlling the narrative about the conflict's impact and exploiting the destruction for propaganda. The Romanian allegations of Russian interference in their elections highlight concerns about Russian information warfare and destabilization efforts in the region. Alex Parker Returns claims about increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones are part of their information operation to showcase capabilities. Colonelcassad's analysis of Chinese drone technology and its implications for future warfare, framed within the context of lessons learned from the conflict, is also a strategic discussion within the Russian information space. Mash na Donbasse's video of celebration in Mariupol is a strategic information operation to portray normalcy in occupied territories. Kotsnews' commentary linking a sporting event to US politics and promoting support for Donbas is another example of leveraging popular culture for strategic communication. ASTRA reports on the "DNR" authorities considering preserving destroyed areas as tourist attractions. ТАСС reports that the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated there are signs of Russian interference in the presidential elections. Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Foreign Ministry statement. Alex Parker Returns claims increased range and effectiveness of Russian drones. Colonelcassad analyzes the potential of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV. Colonelcassad offers a brief, derogatory comment on Zelenskyy and negotiations. Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Details of the murder of a Kharkiv resident." Mash на Донбассе shares a video showcasing celebration in Mariupol. Kotsnews publishes a commentary linking Alexander Ovechkin's hockey loss to US politics and promoting support for Donbas. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker, framing it as a response to perceived Estonian actions. Kotsnews shares a video showcasing the claimed work of Russian drone operators targeting Ukrainian equipment and discusses efforts to extend their range. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and Russian advances, serving as information operation. Воин DV and Colonelcassad share videos of joint operations by Russian special forces and tank brigade on the Shakhtersk direction, serving as propaganda. Новости Москвы reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts, which could be used in information operations highlighting the impact of sanctions. Стрелков Игорь Иванович shares a video appealing for donations and offering politically charged commentary criticizing Russian leadership. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship, framing it from a Russian perspective. Басурин о главном claims a Russian drone operator destroyed a US-made Stryker and disrupted a Ukrainian rotation, serving as propaganda highlighting Russian capabilities. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker, framing Russia's actions as lawful and highlighting Estonian concerns, serving as an information operation in a maritime incident. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone, with commentary framing the soldier's actions negatively, serving as propaganda. Рыбарь claims the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka, accompanied by tactical description and mapping, serving as a strategic information operation to demonstrate territorial gain. Kotsnews shares a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, which is a piece of Russian information operation. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections, highlighting the information battle. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, serving as information operations to demonstrate advances. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine, serving to advance a specific narrative. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Eduard Basurin on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire, which is a clear information operation to frame the negotiations on Russian terms. Colonelcassad shares a graphic video claiming to show a Ukrainian soldier losing a leg and comments on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces, a propaganda piece aimed at demoralizing. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands and comments on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces, serving as propaganda highlighting claimed Russian bravery and Ukrainian weakness. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claims advances south and west of Отрадное, serving as information operation. Два майора and Воин DV report on the claimed taking of Богатырь and introduce a new rubric of "Returned Lands," which is a clear propaganda and information operation to legitimize claimed territorial gains. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, serving as propaganda. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts for Russian users and frames it in a derogatory and propaganda-driven manner. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир and frames it in dehumanizing and religiously charged terms, likely for propaganda purposes. РБК-Україна reports on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election, and later reports on George Simion declaring victory despite exit polls, which could contribute to narratives about political instability. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists," framing it within a narrative of external interference in Romanian politics, which is part of his information operations. Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS, attributing it to a specific Ukrainian unit and commander and labeling it a war crime, which is a clear information operation for attribution and propaganda. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk, which is likely intended to boost Ukrainian morale and demonstrate effectiveness. DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, which serves to highlight Ukrainian military successes.
- The reported concerns within the EU about a potential bloc of leaders opposing support for Kyiv, as highlighted by TASS reporting on a Politico article, indicates potential internal political dynamics within the EU that could have strategic implications for the level and consistency of international support for Ukraine. The Hungarian official's comment on Ukraine's EU accession highlights existing political obstacles. ТАСС reports, citing Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó, that Hungary has no obligation to provide military assistance to Ukraine, which is a significant strategic statement regarding allied support. Воин DV includes German Chancellor Merz's statement ruling out NATO troops in Ukraine and Orban's complaint to the NATO Secretary General in his summary, further highlighting these political dynamics.
- Colonelcassad's claim and video of destroying Ukrainian transport vehicles in the Kharkiv direction represent a claimed Russian tactical success in an area of ongoing offensive operations. While a tactical event, these claimed successes are strategically significant in the context of Russia's efforts to gain ground and degrade Ukrainian logistical capabilities in this region. The report of a large amount of military equipment arriving in Izium also has strategic logistical implications for potential Russian operations in Kharkiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the Kharkiv direction, claiming increased Russian activity near Lypky and Vovchansk, destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment, and Russian advances, which reinforces the strategic importance of this direction.
- The report on Russian servicemen using motorcycles near Toretsk and being targeted by Ukrainian drones provides a specific insight into Russian tactical mobility in a contested area and the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones as a countermeasure. This has strategic implications for battlefield maneuver and drone warfare tactics. РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk, indicating the continued use of motorcycles for tactical movement and effective Ukrainian targeting.
- The death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper, Vitaly Shapovalov, and the death of a Yakut television presenter who volunteered, are strategic losses of personnel for Russia and highlight the continued human cost of the conflict at an individual level, with implications for morale and public support.
- Ukraine's engagement with the Vatican on humanitarian issues, particularly concerning the return of children and prisoners, is a strategic diplomatic effort to leverage the Vatican's influence and address the human cost of the conflict. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА share messages on commemorating victims of political repression and linking it to current diplomatic efforts, including the return of prisoners, highlighting the strategic importance of these efforts. ASTRA reports that Zelenskyy transmitted an icon written on an artillery shell casing from near Izium to Pope Leo XIV, linking it to the issue of deported children and prisoners of war, further highlighting this strategic humanitarian and diplomatic effort.
- Finnish President Stubb's assessment of Trump's stance on Russia and potential new US sanctions are significant strategic signals regarding potential future US actions and the importance of coordinated international responses to Russia.
- The report on the "DNR" authorities' plan to preserve destroyed areas as tourist attractions is a deeply cynical strategic move aimed at controlling the narrative and exploiting the devastation for propaganda, while also highlighting the lack of focus on actual reconstruction and the welfare of displaced residents.
- The Romanian allegations of Russian and French interference in their elections are strategically significant as they highlight ongoing efforts to destabilize countries in the region through hybrid warfare tactics. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a report citing the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on alleged Russian interference in the presidential elections, reinforcing this strategic concern. Colonelcassad provides a commentary on alleged French interference in Romanian elections and Telegram censorship, framing it from a Russian perspective, serving a counter-narrative strategic purpose. ASTRA reports on Durov's statement and the French MFA's response regarding interference in Romanian elections, underscoring the strategic information battle. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the Romanian presidential election results are strategically relevant for understanding the political landscape of a key NATO/EU country bordering Ukraine. Colonelcassad commenting on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists" further highlights the strategic importance of these election outcomes. НгП раZVедка commenting on the recent news about alleged French interference in the Romanian elections and Telegram's founder Pavel Durov's statement frames these events within a broader narrative of information warfare.
- The Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port is a strategic maritime incident with implications for freedom of navigation, sanctions enforcement, and regional tensions in the Baltic Sea. ASTRA and Оперативний ЗСУ report this incident, bringing it to strategic prominence. НгП раZVедка and Два майора provide further details on the Russian detention of the oil tanker, framing it as a response to perceived Estonian actions, which is a strategic information operation. WarGonzo reports on the Russian detention of a Liberian-flagged tanker that left the Estonian port of Sillamäe, providing additional details and framing it within the context of previous maritime incidents and Estonian concerns, serving as a strategic information operation. НгП раZVедка comments on the technicalities of the detained tanker and its cargo, which is also relevant to the strategic context of maritime security.
- Denmark's decision to place American unmanned surface vessels in the Baltic Sea is a significant strategic development in maritime security, indicating increased surveillance capabilities in a region bordering Russia and potentially related to monitoring Russian naval and "shadow fleet" activity. Два майора's analysis of these USVs highlights their strategic capabilities. Воин DV includes Denmark's military aid package, which includes equipment relevant to maritime security (naval drones), further highlighting the strategic focus on this domain. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million for 2025-2028, which is strategically significant for strengthening Ukrainian defense capabilities.
- The unconfirmed report suggesting former Russian Defense Minister Shoigu was summoned for questioning, if true, could have strategic implications for internal Russian power dynamics and potentially military leadership.
- Colonelcassad's analysis of the Chinese "Jutian" UAV and its drone swarm capability is strategically relevant as it highlights the evolving nature of drone warfare and the potential for new technological capabilities to impact future conflicts, prompting consideration of necessary counter-measures and adaptations.
- TASS reporting that Zelenskyy is ready for dialogue in any format with Russia about conflict resolution is a significant strategic statement from the Ukrainian side, potentially opening new avenues for diplomatic engagement, although Russia's stated conditions remain a major obstacle. Воин DV includes Miroshnik's statement on Russia's unacceptable preliminary conditions for negotiations, highlighting the strategic impasse.
- ТАСС reporting, citing Pushilin, that Russian units have advanced in the Velykonovosilka and Pokrovsk directions, with serious clashes in the areas of Velyka Novosilka and Kotlyarivka, highlights the ongoing strategic Russian push in Donetsk Oblast and the key areas of resistance.
- Igor Strelkov's fundraising appeal and politically charged commentary criticizing Russian leadership are strategically relevant as they indicate dissent and specific political viewpoints among certain figures within Russia regarding the conflict and the government's handling of it. This highlights potential internal political dynamics.
- Басурин о главном's claim of destroying a US-made Stryker and disrupting a Ukrainian rotation near Komar on the South-Donetsk direction is strategically significant as it highlights the effectiveness of Russian FPV drones against Western-supplied armored vehicles and their ability to disrupt Ukrainian tactical movements in a contested area.
- БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video featuring Ukrainian drone operators in Kursk Oblast allegedly showing a Russian soldier detonating a grenade after being targeted by a drone is strategically relevant as it demonstrates Ukrainian drone activity in Russian border regions and provides a graphic and potentially propaganda-driven account of a tactical outcome and its psychological impact.
- The scandal in Lviv regarding a former National Guardsman and the TCC, as reported by РБК-Україна, is strategically significant as it highlights internal Ukrainian issues related to mobilization, which can impact public support for the war effort and the effectiveness of recruitment.
- Рыбарь's claim of the "liberation" of Nova Poltavka in Donetsk Oblast, accompanied by tactical description and mapping, is a strategic information operation aimed at demonstrating Russian territorial gains in a key area of fighting and potentially influencing the perception of the operational situation.
- Kotsnews sharing a Telegram poll on potential Russian concessions in negotiations and territory, including the option of not taking Sumy and Kharkiv regions for now, is a strategic information operation aimed at gauging public opinion and potentially signaling flexibility or intent regarding territorial claims in future negotiations.
- Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian gains on the Dzerzhynsk and Konstantinovka directions, including entering the village of Romanovka, is strategically significant as it indicates continued Russian offensive efforts in key areas of Donetsk Oblast aimed at territorial control.
- The commentary from a Sky News analyst suggesting a potential Putin-Trump "carve-up" of Ukraine, as shared by Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, is a strategic reflection of international concerns and speculation about the future of Ukraine and the potential influence of major global actors.
- Eduard Basurin's commentary on the Istanbul negotiations, outlining Russia's claimed conditions for a ceasefire (Ukrainian withdrawal from claimed territories) and emphasizing Russia's "position of strength," as shared by Басурин о главном, is a significant strategic statement of Russia's negotiating position and its perception of the current military balance.
- Colonelcassad sharing a graphic video claiming to show a Ukrainian soldier losing a leg and commenting on alleged poor medical training within Ukrainian forces is a strategic propaganda piece aimed at undermining Ukrainian morale and portraying their military as ineffective or poorly trained.
- STERNENKO sharing a video of a Ukrainian drone attacking a vehicle on the Kurakhivka direction is strategically relevant as it demonstrates Ukrainian capabilities in targeting Russian logistics and equipment in a key area of fighting.
- Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video claiming an airstrike on a Russian gathering point in occupied Nova Kakhovka, symbolically framed as a "French baguette" strike, is strategically significant as it highlights Ukrainian targeting of Russian forces in occupied territories and potentially promotes the effectiveness of Western-supplied weapons.
- The reports on military aid packages from Belgium and Denmark are strategically significant as they demonstrate continued international support for Ukraine and provide specific details on the types of military equipment being supplied, which can impact the balance of power on the battlefield. STERNENKO reports that Denmark will provide Ukraine with a new military aid package worth over €560 million for 2025-2028, which is strategically significant for strengthening Ukrainian defense capabilities.
- Colonelcassad sharing a video allegedly showing hand-to-hand combat and capture on the Dnipro islands is strategically relevant as it highlights the contested nature of this area and promotes a narrative of Russian military prowess and success in direct engagement.
- Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming that Russian forces have "liberated" the village of Богатырь on the South-Donetsk direction and claiming advances south and west of Отрадное is strategically significant as it represents a claimed territorial gain in a heavily contested area. Два майора and Воин DV reporting on this claimed taking of Богатырь and introducing a new rubric of "Returned Lands" highlights the strategic importance placed on territorial gains by Russian sources.
- Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming the Russian army is destroying tanks and enemy defenses while advancing in Sumy Oblast from Kursk Oblast, which is strategically significant as it suggests a renewed Russian offensive effort in this border region.
- MoD Russia shares a video showing servicemen of a tank regiment improving skills in the rear area of the special military operation, indicating a strategic focus on maintaining and enhancing combat readiness.
- Оперативний ЗСУ reports on mass blocking of Russian PlayStation accounts for Russian users, which has strategic implications for the impact of sanctions on Russian society and potential domestic discontent.
- АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports a violent incident in Владимир, which highlights potential internal social and ethnic tensions in Russia, a strategic consideration for the government.
- Рыбарь provides further details on the Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip, named "Chariots of Gideon," which is a significant external strategic development that will likely draw international attention and resources, potentially impacting the broader geopolitical landscape.
- РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on exit poll data from the Romanian presidential election's second round, indicating a pro-European candidate's victory, is strategically significant for the political alignment of a key NATO/EU country bordering Ukraine. РБК-Україна later reporting on George Simion declaring victory despite exit polls indicates potential political instability, a strategic consideration. Colonelcassad comments on Simion's claim and the potential response from "globalists," framing it within a narrative of external interference in Romanian politics, which is part of his information operations.
- Басурин о главном reports a Ukrainian attack on Светлодарск with HIMARS on May 17th, injuring two civilians, and attributes it to the 27th separate rocket artillery brigade of the AFU, which is strategically significant for attributing the use of Western-supplied weaponry and highlighting civilian casualties, likely for propaganda purposes.
- РБК-Україна shares a video claiming the Ukrainian 152-mm howitzer 2A65 "Msta-B" precisely hit a Russian serviceman on a motorcycle in Toretsk, which is strategically significant as it demonstrates the effectiveness of Ukrainian artillery against tactical movements and contributes to the narrative of Ukrainian military success.
- DeepState shares a video claiming the 35th Marine Brigade is destroying Russian groups south of Богданівка, which is strategically significant as it indicates ongoing combat in this area and highlights Ukrainian military actions against Russian forces.
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.