Sitrep 2025-05-18 15:36:06

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 18, 2025, 15:33 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be characterized by intense ground combat, widespread and persistent Russian aerial attacks utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic maneuvering alongside conflicting military signals. The latest reports confirm a massive overnight Russian drone attack involving 273 UAVs, resulting in casualties and damage in Kyiv Oblast, including a fatality and injuries to civilians, and damage to residential buildings and infrastructure. Ukrainian air defense forces claim to have shot down 88 strike UAVs and that 128 imitator drones were locationally lost. Intense ground fighting continues, particularly in Donetsk Oblast across multiple directions (Kupiansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Pridniprovskyi, and Kursk directions), with both sides reporting combat engagements and Russian sources claiming tactical advances and the liberation of settlements like Bogatyr and Volnoye Pole. Russian forces continue to employ guided aerial bombs, with recent launches on Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, and a variety of drone types. Russian military bloggers claim tactical gains on multiple fronts and report heavy fighting and logistical challenges in certain areas. Diplomatic discussions continue, with interpretations from Russian sources emphasizing their position based on battlefield successes and readiness for prolonged conflict. Internal Russian affairs, including military promotions and reports on combat engineers, provide glimpses into Russian priorities and narratives, while reliance on volunteer support for military equipment is highlighted. Political developments in neighboring countries, particularly presidential elections in Poland and Romania, are being monitored for their potential impact on relations with Ukraine. A significant cultural diplomatic effort is underway at the Cannes Film Festival involving Ukrainian veterans. a significant development is Italy's potential transfer of 400 decommissioned M113 armored personnel carriers and assistance with a satellite observation system. Ukrainian sources report the elimination of Russian personnel on the Pokrovsk direction and the claimed destruction of a Russian mortar crew on the South Donetsk direction. Russian sources claim destruction of a Ukrainian FH-70 howitzer near Berestok. Russian sources assert full control over Bogatyr and share a video with information operation elements. The US RQ-4B Global Hawk has returned to the Black Sea for reconnaissance. Recent reports indicate heavy losses for the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade ("Magura") near Tetkino and Popovka/Demidovka, with a battalion commander reportedly submitting a resignation over "moronic tasks" and perceived incompetent leadership, alleging significant losses from frontal attacks under drone observation. Russia is claiming continued strikes against Ukrainian positions near Otradnoye and surrounding areas, utilizing artillery and FPV drones to destroy temporary deployment points, dugouts, UAV control points, and disable armored vehicles and mortar positions, also claiming to have shot down Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones. Ukraine's Kyiv Oblast Administration reports that over 150 Russian UAVs targeted Kyiv Oblast overnight, detailing damage to residential buildings (including seven multi-story buildings and multiple private houses), infrastructure, and communal enterprises in Obukhivskyi and Fastivskyi districts. Russia claims that the liberation of Bogatyr has seriously impacted Ukrainian defenses on the South Donetsk direction. Germany is reportedly seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war against Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Defense provides a comprehensive daily report claiming advances, hitting Ukrainian forces and equipment (including Western-provided vehicles like M113, HMMWV, Senator, AS-90, Puma, M777) across multiple Groups of Forces (Sever, Zapad, Yug, Tsentr, Vostok, Dnepr), liberating Bogatyr, striking military airfield infrastructure, ammunition and fuel depots, UAV concentration areas, and EW stations in 139 areas, and downing 7 JDAM bombs and 75 Ukrainian drones over the past day, also providing cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine. Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reports that Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland, disseminating disinformation critical of Polish support for Ukraine and the government. Alex Parker Returns reports a new historical record for voter turnout abroad in the Romanian presidential elections. The DNR People's Militia reports that a Kornet ATGM crew destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold near Dzerzhinsk. TASS reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. Ukrainian sources report on a police investigation in Kharkiv regarding the death of a 39-year-old man who reportedly jumped from a TCC (Territorial Recruitment Center) window on May 12th, opening a criminal case for suicide and investigating the actions of TCC staff. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania near the borders of Russia and Belarus involving over 16,000 servicemen, highlighting the scale and location of these exercises as a potential concern and emphasizing the focus on offensive and defensive operations against Russia and Belarus, also noting the participation of over 30 German helicopters. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring Russian soldiers allegedly using a Porsche Cayenne for off-road transportation, used as a contrasting example. War Correspondent Kotenok shares a video compilation claiming to show footage from the liberation of Bogatyr. RBC-Ukraine reports that a Hamas leader, Muhammad Sinwar, was found dead in a tunnel in Gaza after an Israeli strike. TASS reports that the Russian Minister of Culture could not attend the Pope's inauguration due to inconsistencies in the air route, while the Russian Ambassador in the Vatican led the delegation. Operation Z: Russian Military Correspondents shares a video claiming to show heavy fighting near Pokrovsk, with Russian forces allegedly destroying Ukrainian equipment and personnel. TASS reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. TASS reports that Lev Yashin was recognized as the best goalkeeper in history. Military Correspondent Voin DV reports on the strategic implications of liberating Bogatyr, suggesting potential for a push towards Komar and the end of the South Donetsk direction as a significant front. Два майора shares photos of Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, labeled as "Daily Life of a Soldier," including holding a fish, standing in a damaged building, interacting with a cat, and examining a downed drone. Operational Armed Forces of Ukraine shares a video of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People. Colonelcassad reports the death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper, Vitaly Shapovalov ("Ded"), in the SVO zone on May 11th, highlighting his combat experience and awards and stating he will be nominated for Hero of Russia posthumously. Russia is planning a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th, according to Ukrainian intelligence (GUR). The launch, from a mobile ground complex near Svobodny, Sverdlovsk Oblast, is intended for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation" of Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. This ICBM has a range of over 10,000 kilometers. Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev claims Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. The International Association of Ultrarunners has reportedly refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag. Carpathians have experienced renewed snowfall in May, with limited visibility and sub-zero temperatures reported on Pip Ivan mountain.

Changes to the Situation from New Messages:

Russian Drone Activity on Kramatorsk-Dobropillya Highway: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway, located 40 km from Russian forward positions. The accompanying text claims the enemy is stating that roads in the Kramatorsk area are becoming uncomfortable for transport due to Russian drone activity. This is a new report highlighting Russian drone operations targeting a key logistics route in Donetsk Oblast, potentially impacting Ukrainian supply lines in this area.
Romanian Presidential Election Update and French Intervention Allegations: Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, reporting on allegations by candidate George Simion that French authorities are attempting to intervene in the elections to "silence conservative voices" in Romania. This report, including a claimed message from Pavel Durov of Telegram using a baguette emoji to hint at France, highlights potential political tensions in Romania and alleged external interference, which could have implications for Romanian-Ukrainian relations and the broader European political landscape.
Finnish President's Assessment of Trump's Stance: РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Donald Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," meaning towards Putin. This commentary, based on recent conversations with both leaders, provides insight into the perspectives of international leaders regarding Trump's potential approach to the conflict and his interactions with the involved parties.
Ukrainian Use of FPV Drones for Mine Clearing: STERNENKO shares a video claiming that the "Reqiem Group" special unit of the "Balista" destroyed a downed Russian "Shahed" drone in a field using an FPV drone for remote mine clearing. This new report highlights an innovative and potentially safer tactical application of FPV drones by Ukrainian forces, demonstrating adaptation and resourcefulness in dealing with unexploded ordnance from aerial attacks.
Update on Slovak Prime Minister's Recovery: TASS reports that Slovak Minister of Defense Kaliniak stated that Prime Minister Fico, who was the target of an assassination attempt a year ago, has undergone three surgical operations in connection with the attack. This provides an update on the health status of a European leader and a reminder of the political tensions within Slovakia, which has had varying stances on support for Ukraine.
Russian Claimed Advances on Krasnoliman Direction: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, claiming that Russian forces are approaching Kharkiv Oblast from Novomikhailovka, have advanced along a logistics road, are fighting in the western part of Redkodub, have advanced in Lipovoye (despite the lack of houses), are working on enemy positions in a forest massif north of Lipovoye, and are processing positions west of this location. They also claim a 1 km advance near Kolodezi and that a Ukrainian grouping is almost encircled east of the village. They acknowledge the situation in Torskoye is difficult, with the enemy counterattacking and regaining control of part of the center. This is a significant claim of Russian advances on multiple localized areas within the Krasnoliman direction, highlighting specific tactical maneuvers aimed at outflanking and encircling Ukrainian forces and creating a bridgehead for further offensive action towards Kharkiv Oblast.
Naval Incident in the Baltic Sea: ASTRA reports that Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker, Green Admire, belonging to a Greek company, while it was leaving the Estonian port of Sillamäe and passing through Russian territorial waters. The report states that the route was previously agreed upon and that Estonia views this as unpredictable Russian behavior and will redirect future traffic solely through Estonian territorial waters. This incident highlights tensions in the Baltic Sea, potentially related to sanctions enforcement or freedom of navigation, and has implications for maritime trade and regional security. It also follows a previous incident where Estonia attempted to stop a "shadow fleet" tanker, leading to a Russian fighter jet response and alleged violation of Estonian airspace.
Russian Military Blogger Requests Content from SVO Participants: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is requesting exclusive photo/video material from "SVO participants" for publication on their channel. This indicates an effort to gather content directly from the front lines, likely for information operations, propaganda, or documentation purposes.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk direction, Bahatyr, Komar, South-Donetsk direction, Konstantinovka, Otradnoye, Volne Pole, Novoaleksandrovka, Chasiv Yar, Kramatorsk direction, Predtechino, Toretsk, Ozaryanivka, Diliyivka, Druzhba, Yablunivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Nova Poltavka, Myrolyubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Novoserhiivka, Troitske, Andriyivka, Novopavlivka direction, Kostyantynopil, Rivnopil, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Temirivka, Oleksandropil, Siversk, Krasnoarmeisk, Staraya Nikolaevka, Kramatorsk–Dobropillya highway, Redkodub, Lipovoye, Karpovka, Glushchenkovo, Novyi Mir, Kolodezi, Torskoye): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces claim significant advances and liberation of settlements, including Alexandropol, Bogatyr, Volne Pole, and Nova Poltavka. Intense fighting is reported near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and on the Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka directions. Ukrainian forces are reportedly repelling numerous assaults. Russian forces are utilizing drones and artillery in offensive operations. Russian military bloggers are analyzing potential further advances on the Novopavlivka direction (towards Otradnoye and Komar). Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications, with reports of some facing the wrong direction. Russian tactical aviation is active on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas and reportedly conducting high-precision strikes on temporary deployment points in Siversk. Russian forces are reportedly conducting a mechanized assault and claiming significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka, with claimed advances over 3 km east of Krasnoarmeisk. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. Water supply is being restored in several cities in the occupied Donbas after pipeline repairs. Russian tactical aviation is active on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Donetsk Oblast. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report the liberation of Bogatyr and claimed significant Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the situation on the Novopavlivka direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 115 combat engagements today, with detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, including 23 on the Pokrovsk direction and 9 on the Novopavlivka direction. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka. Воин DV and Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition report intense fighting during the liberation of Bogatyr. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications, including reports of some facing the wrong direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Mash на Донбассе reports restoration of water supply in Horlivka, Yenakiieve, Debaltseve, Vuhlehirsk, Kirovske, Zhdanivka, Snizhne, Torez, and Shakhtarsk. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Siversk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, claiming Russian advances near Novomikhailovka, Redkodub, Lipovoye, Kolodezi, Karpovka, Glushchenkovo, and Novyi Mir, and ongoing fighting in Torskoye.
Sumy Oblast (Sumy, Bilopillia, Sna host, Nova Huta, Zarichne, Mar'ine, Vovkivka, Malushyne, Oleksandrivka, Pokrovka, Brusky, Bachivsk, Starykove, Porozok, Novodmytrivka, Shalyhyne, Petrushivka, Katerynivka, Bilokopytove, Prohres, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Bunyakyne, Velyka Chernetchynyna): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity and potentially ground operations. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces are utilizing drones and claiming successful strikes on Russian equipment (D-30 howitzer). Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, particularly near Tetkino, Zarya, and Novyi Put, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes from Tetkino to Rylsk are reported in the border area. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. Russian drones are heading towards Poltava Oblast from the border area of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Kursk Oblast (bordering Sumy) overnight. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks are reported. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Russian forces are attempting attacks in small infantry groups near Tёtkino. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast (bordering Kursk). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" on the border of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that 119 artillery shellings occurred on the Kursk direction, impacting positions and settlements, including Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports an aviation strike on Bunyakyne. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks, impacting areas bordering Sumy. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian forces attempting attacks near Tёtkino.
Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Vovchansk, Stroivka, Zahryzove, Maly Burluk, Izium district): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces are "clearing" parts of Kharkiv Oblast. Ukrainian forces are using drones for reconnaissance; daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew is highlighted. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this area. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Russian drones are heading southeast from the center of Kharkiv Oblast. Russian strike resulted in civilian casualty and damage in Maly Burluk and damage in Kup'yansk and Izium districts. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. Russian forces are reportedly conducting a mechanized assault and claiming significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka, impacting areas near Kharkiv. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video claiming that mobile units of the anti-aircraft missile and artillery division shot down two Russian "Shahed" drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" on the border of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast and another group in the center of Kharkiv Oblast heading southeast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction today, in the area of Vovchansk and towards Stroivka, and one attack on the Kupyansk direction near Zahryzove. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Олег Синєгубов reports damage and a civilian casualty from Russian strikes in Maly Burluk, Kup'yansk district, and Izium district. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka, impacting areas near Kharkiv. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, claiming Russian forces are approaching Kharkiv Oblast from Novomikhailovka.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Guyevo area, Kursk region, Tetkino, Rylsk area, Bolshenizovtsevo, Zarya, Novyi Put, Pavlovka, Novoivanovka): Affected by Ukrainian cross-border attacks, including claimed air strikes with high-precision bombs targeting Russian personnel. A Russian military blogger questions the purpose of persistent Ukrainian attacks in the Tetkino area. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, particularly near Tetkino, Zarya, and Novyi Put, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes from Tetkino to Rylsk are reported in the border area. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Sumy Oblast from Belgorod (bordering Kursk). The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Kursk Oblast overnight. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks are reported. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast (bordering Kursk). MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast (bordering Kursk). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports seven Russian attacks were repelled and one battle is ongoing on the Kursk direction, with five aviation strikes dropping five КАБ and 119 artillery shellings. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Kursk Oblast overnight. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on Russian forces attempting attacks near Tёtkino.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Zaporizhzhia city, Zaporizhzhia direction, Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Shcherbaky, Energodar, Prydniprovsk direction, Robotyne, Huliaipole direction, Huliaipole, Orikhiv direction, Orikhiv, Kamianske, Novodarivka, Zaliznychne, Vysoké, Novoyakovlivka): Affected by military activity. Ukrainian forces are reportedly utilizing drones for destroying enemy equipment and personnel. Scientific and educational activities, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are being highlighted in Zaporizhzhia city. A Russian military blogger claims VDV units are conducting assault actions and expanding control on the Zaporizhzhia direction, and MSP units entered Mala Tokmachka from the south, with fierce battles ongoing and the Brick Factory under Russian control. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from Zaporizhzhia. Air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports three Russian attacks were repelled on the Orikhiv direction, with strikes near Stepove and Mali Shcherbaky, and aviation strikes on Kamianske and Huliaipole, including unguided aviation missiles. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted. Два майора shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction.
Kherson Oblast (Left Bank, Kakhovka, Chelburda, Aleshkinsky district, Сальково, Чонгар, Новоалексеевка, Рыково): Affected by military activity, including claimed "carpet bombing" tactics with drones by a Russian unit (appears to be a misattribution). A Russian military blogger claims a Latvian mercenary was eliminated on the Kherson direction. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast from a drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast.
Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Valuyki): Affected by Ukrainian drone attacks. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. An FPV drone without identification marks attacked a fuel station in Valuyki. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Belgorod Oblast overnight. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an attack on a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast, by an FPV drone without identification marks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Belgorod Oblast overnight. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, noting its proximity to Kharkiv Oblast.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Prydniprovsk direction, Synelnykivskyi district): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. РБК-Україна also reports on "Shaheds" moving towards Dnipropetropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian troops have approached the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and that Ukrainian reserves have been transferred. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) were repelled, with one battle ongoing, and unguided aviation missiles struck Mykolaivka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports attacks on three districts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with heavy artillery, FPV drones, and a KAB.
Crimea (Sevastopol): Russian Ministry of Defense claims four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down. Russian authorities claim a significantly higher level of defense compared to three years ago. Explosions and suspected air defense activity occurred, particularly near Sevastopol and in the area of Perevalne, including a military warehouse fire and detonations and explosions near military airfields. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts (bordering Crimea) overnight. Russian security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight, impacting areas near Crimea. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen.
Black Sea: Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts (bordering the Black Sea) overnight. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight, impacting areas near the Black Sea.
Eastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern and northeastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas.
Northeastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas.
Poltava Oblast: Russian drones are reportedly heading towards this oblast from the border area of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" on the border of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast.
Dnipro River (Islands): Reports of ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident involving a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides. Kotsnews shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident with a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides.
Lviv Oblast: Received representatives from Zaporizhzhia Oblast to exchange experience on administrative service centers. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a visit by representatives from Zaporizhzhia to Lviv Oblast to exchange experience on improving administrative service centers.
Rostov Oblast (Russia): The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Rostov Oblast overnight. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed one Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Rostov Oblast overnight.
Odesa Oblast: Two boys died in a fire in a farm building. РБК-Україна reports on this incident.
Baltic Sea: Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker in Russian territorial waters after it left an Estonian port. Estonia is redirecting future traffic to stay within its territorial waters. ASTRA reports on this naval incident.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains very high and widespread. Both sides are extensively using drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and strike operations (including FPV and reportedly "Baba Yaga" types). Russia claims downing numerous Ukrainian UAVs over the past day and destroying a Ukrainian robotic platform with an FPV drone. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones, including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and two Zala reconnaissance drones. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of FPV drones and claiming success in downing Ukrainian drones and destroying Ukrainian UAV command posts and a Ukrainian engineering reconnaissance vehicle. Fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers is ongoing in Russia. "Akhmat" special forces are training with emphasis on targeting aerial objectives. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, and Poltava Oblasts. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Ukrainian armored vehicles are reportedly resilient to FPV drone attacks. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. A Russian priest reportedly died from a drone strike in Kherson Oblast while saving a wounded comrade. An FPV drone without identification marks attacked a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast. Ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands involves drone use. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone for mine clearing. Russian UAVs are operating on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. РБК-Україна also reports on "Shaheds" moving towards Dnipropetropetrovsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer using a drone and that d rone interceptors neutralized over 100 Russian Shaheds and Gerberas overnight. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. МоD Russia claims that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia used over a thousand kamikaze drones today, with detailed breakdowns of drone usage on various fronts and that 123 UAVs of operational-tactical level were neutralized by Ukrainian forces. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine gun fire. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" on the border of Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast and another group in the center of Kharkiv Oblast heading southeast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne towards the south. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones and shares a video claiming Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO reports that soldiers of the 34th Regiment of the National Guard of Ukraine destroyed two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones and shares a video claiming FPV drones were used for mine clearing. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands involving drone use and casualties. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an attack on a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast, by an FPV drone without identification marks. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern and northeastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Басурин о главном reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident with a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides. Два майора shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued use by Russian forces. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing three JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Russian strike resulted in civilian casualty and damage in Maly Burluk and damage in Kup'yansk and Izium districts (Kharkiv Oblast), using unguided aerial missiles and guided aerial bombs. A KAB struck the Malomykhailivska community in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia dropped 86 guided aerial bombs today, including five on the Kursk direction. Олег Синєгубов reports Russian forces used guided aerial bombs against Kharkiv Oblast yesterday. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern and northeastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports a KAB struck the Malomykhailivska community in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active, particularly on the northeastern and eastern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian aviation used high-precision bombs in Kursk Oblast. A video claiming to show Russian tactical aviation activity during the claimed liberation of Alexandropol is shared. A Robinson 66 helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Russian tactical aviation is active on the southern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Russian aviation is reportedly delivering high-precision strikes on temporary deployment points in Siversk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 47 aviation strikes today, with detailed breakdowns of targets and types of strikes. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southern and eastern directions, with a threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern and northeastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Siversk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line, likely involving aviation support.
Missile Activity: Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Russian Missile Troops conducted strikes in 143 areas. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia launched one missile today.
Naval Activity: No new significant naval activity reported in the immediate last hour. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts (bordering the Black Sea) overnight. Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker in Russian territorial waters after it left an Estonian port. Estonia is redirecting future traffic to stay within its territorial waters. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight, impacting areas near the Black Sea. ASTRA reports on the detention of an oil tanker by Russia.
Air Defense Activity: Both sides are actively engaged in air defense operations. Russia claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone, various Russian drones (including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and two Zala reconnaissance drones), and a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Russian air defense claims downing four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over Crimea and 6 UAVs over the sea near Sevastopol. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the Kursk border area following a Ukrainian strike. Russian air defense is utilized to counter Ukrainian drone operations near Volnoye Pole. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian forces are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Suspected air defense activity against UAVs in occupied Crimea, particularly near Sevastopol and Perevalne, is reported. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Ukrainian drone interceptors neutralized over 100 Russian Shaheds and Gerberas overnight. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of air defense responses to numerous drone and guided bomb usage. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine gun fire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks and reports that drone interceptors neutralized over 100 Russian Shaheds and Gerberas overnight. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. STERNENKO reports that soldiers of the 34th Regiment of the National Guard of Ukraine destroyed two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones. "Кримський вечір" and РБК-Україна report suspected air defense activity against UAVs in occupied Crimea. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 6 Ukrainian UAVs over the sea near Sevastopol. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Два майора shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction.
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery and MLRS use by both sides. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian field artillery guns and mortars and that Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas. Russian sources are highlighting their use in offensive operations and claiming mass burning of Ukrainian artillery near Pokrovsk. Russian artillery is utilized in offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction and near Volnoye Pole. Russian artillery is active in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Russian strike resulted in damage in Kup'yansk and Izium districts (Kharkiv Oblast), using artillery. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. A KAB struck the Malomykhailivska community in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 3923 shellings today, including 9 from MLRS on the Kursk direction, with detailed breakdowns of shelling locations and impacts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv, likely involving artillery or aerial strikes. Воин DV and Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition report on Russian artillery use on the South-Donetsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports aviation strikes with unguided aviation missiles on Huliaipole and Mykolaivka. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on 119 artillery shellings on the Kursk direction today. Олег Синєгубов reports damage from Russian shelling in Kup'yansk district and Izium district. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак reports attacks on three districts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with heavy artillery, FPV drones, and a KAB. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, mentioning enemy positions being worked on by artillery.
Electronic Warfare (EW): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 mentions that Russian FPV drone activity on the Kurshina direction caused problems with logistics through fire control, implying the use of EW against Ukrainian logistics. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, which could involve EW systems. Два майора shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Direct talks in Istanbul have concluded without a ceasefire agreement but with progress on a large-scale prisoner exchange expected next week. Russia refused a temporary ceasefire. Ukraine viewed some Russian points as unacceptable and confirmed new demands were made, but their position remains unchanged. Diplomatic discussions continue with international partners, including a telephone conversation between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio, where the possibility of a prisoner exchange and truce conditions were reportedly discussed. European leaders view the Russian stance as unacceptable and are coordinating their response with the US, including engagement with former US President Trump. The UN has welcomed the direct talks. Russia continues to blame the West for the breakdown of the "Istanbul project." French President Macron stated Russia's refusal of a ceasefire indicates a desire to gain time. Zelenskyy has met with international leaders, discussing negotiations and the need for continued pressure on Russia. Nordic and Baltic countries have issued a joint statement supporting a 30-day ceasefire and direct high-level talks. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. US Senator Marco Rubio reportedly spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and discussed the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and preparation of truce conditions, with Lavrov reportedly noting Washington's positive role in Kyiv accepting the offer for renewed Istanbul talks and Rubio reportedly welcoming agreements on prisoner exchange. A commander of "Akhmat" special forces has commented on negotiations, stating that Ukraine is controlled by the West and that continued war is militarily advantageous for Russia as Ukraine loses territory. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio discussing the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and truce conditions. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process and gain time, and that only a ceasefire indicates readiness for peace. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands (accept loss of annexed regions, neutrality, no reparations). STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal and preparation for a truce. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a statement from Medvedev that peace negotiations alone do not always end fighting and can lead to a more terrible stage of conflict if unsuccessful. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating Ukraine is controlled by the West and continued war is beneficial for Russia. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting of the Coordination Headquarters Council to agree on a joint action plan to implement the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," towards Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations.
International Support for Ukraine: International engagement with Ukraine regarding support and potential future talks continues. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia targeting the "shadow fleet." Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Germany signed an agreement with Moldova for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack, calling for a ceasefire. Discussions around potential financial support for Ukraine are ongoing. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for overall US military readiness and ability to support allies. Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including the US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange and the preparation of visions for truce conditions, and emphasized US readiness to further assist in finding a settlement. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a ceasefire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," towards Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations. ASTRA reports on the detention of an oil tanker by Russia.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussions on potential peace plans continue. A large-scale body exchange has taken place, and a prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. Russia claims to have made constructive proposals in Istanbul, while Ukraine states the Russian stance included unacceptable points. Ukrainian MFA spokesperson responded to Russian insults. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. US Senator Marco Rubio reportedly spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and discussed the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and preparation of truce conditions, with Lavrov reportedly noting Washington's positive role in Kyiv accepting the offer for renewed Istanbul talks and Rubio reportedly welcoming agreements on prisoner exchange. A commander of "Akhmat" special forces has commented on negotiations, stating that Ukraine is controlled by the West and that continued war is militarily advantageous for Russia as Ukraine loses territory. Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations, a prisoner exchange, and the conditions for a truce. Lavrov reportedly noted Washington's positive role in Kyiv accepting the offer for renewed Istanbul talks. Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands. STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal and preparation for a truce. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a statement from Medvedev that peace negotiations alone do not always end fighting and can lead to a more terrible stage of conflict if unsuccessful. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating Ukraine is controlled by the West and continued war is beneficial for Russia. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting of the Coordination Headquarters Council to agree on a joint action plan to implement the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Internal Russian Politics: Domestic incidents continue to be reported, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. Russia is focusing on internal issues like "Halal" tourism standards and expediting housing provision for military personnel. Putin has simplified citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A sports festival in Bryansk Oblast is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. Reports on issues within the Russian 25th military brigade are emerging. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. A Russian businessman has been placed under house arrest for assault. Russia's security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. The FSB is conducting preventive raids against perceived internal threats and detaining individuals allegedly preparing attacks and administrators of Telegram channels with "terrorist and neo-Nazi content," and claims to have found correspondence with Ukrainian curators. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks are reported. The Moscow Metro is celebrating its 90th anniversary. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. ТАСС reports businessman Igor Khubutiya has been placed under house arrest for assaulting a friend. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids in 81 regions, detained six people for preparing attacks, including on schools, and detained 57 administrators of Telegram channels and chats with terrorist and neo-Nazi content, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators among the latter. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Новости Москвы reports that the Moscow Metro is celebrating its 90th anniversary. Два майора provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Старше Эдды provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a proposal for Russian families to come up with a code word to protect against deepfake scams and fraudsters. Север.Реалии reports on the adventures of a fraudster.
Internal Ukrainian Issues: Discussion around public figures enlisting in the military. Efforts to support citizens affected by Russian attacks are being developed. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Ukraine is preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals who do not appear to have official credentials, highlighting potential issues with fraudulent representation. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications, including reports of some facing the wrong direction. A story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay is reported by a Russian source. Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood is being disseminated. Concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav, Kyiv Oblast, are emerging. Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV. A Ukrainian military blogger showcases Russian soldier complaining about going into battle with injured comrades, likely for information operation purposes. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed operational update. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing air defense work. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of Valerii Zaluzhnyi. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications, including reports of some facing the wrong direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Оперативний ЗСУ reports concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополонених reports on a meeting of the Coordination Headquarters Council to agree on a joint action plan to implement the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo of Zelenskyy with Pope Francis. РБК-Україна reports on the death of two boys in a fire in Odesa Oblast.
Engagement with Former US President Trump: The Financial Times article reportedly discusses a US-Ukrainian peace plan and the involvement of US officials. A telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov is reported. Former US President Trump commented on Zelenskyy. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the scale and speed of US military readiness and ability to support allies. US Senator Marco Rubio, reportedly closely associated with Trump, spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, and Russia claims Lavrov thanked Trump for facilitating renewed Istanbul talks. Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary. ASTRA reports US officials are now viewing Putin as the main obstacle to peace, contrasting with previous perspectives. STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal and preparation for a truce. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion (linked to Trump's stance on the conflict). РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," towards Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations.
North Korea's Military Posture: Kim Jong Un has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb.
Finland-Russia Relations: An article discusses Finland's support for Estonia's attempted tanker seizure. Alex Parker Returns shares a news article about the Estonian Minister of Defense commenting on an incident with a "shadow fleet" in the Baltic Sea. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment of Trump's stance on the war.
Latvia-Russia Relations: Russia claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction.
EU-Russia Relations: Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment of Trump's stance on the war. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations.
China-Russia Relations: Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia, describing Russia as an "economic vassal" of China. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place.
Uzbekistan-Germany Relations: Cooperation on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan is reported.
Moldova-Germany Relations: Moldova and Germany signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group." Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova.
Tatarstan (Russia): Location of a forum where discussions on AI in media and diplomacy took place. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
Smolensk Oblast (Russia): Mentioned in a context related to agricultural work and a commercial promotion. WarGonzo mentions Smolensk in the context of agricultural work.
Romania: Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in presidential elections. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, highlighting alleged French intervention. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video related to the Romanian presidential election and voting.
France: Cultural exchange with Russia through the awarding of the Legion of Honor to a Russian director. ASTRA reports that the French Minister of Culture presented the Order of the Legion of Honor to Russian director Kirill Serebrennikov in Paris. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, highlighting alleged French intervention.
Vatican: Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders. Russia will be represented by the Minister of Culture. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo of Zelenskyy with Pope Francis.
Poland: The President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, is expected to attend the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with other international leaders, including from Poland (likely represented by the Prime Minister). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that the Prime Minister of Italy, Canada, and Australia will attend, and while not explicitly stated, Poland's participation at a high level in such events is common. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin, including the leader of Poland.
Estonia: Involved in a naval incident with Russia in the Baltic Sea. ASTRA reports on this naval incident.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: Reports of domestic incidents, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Reports of alleged phone scammers in Moscow are emerging. A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency is reported. A businessman has been placed under house arrest for assault. Russia's security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. The FSB is conducting preventive raids against perceived internal threats and detaining individuals allegedly preparing attacks and administrators of Telegram channels with "terrorist and neo-Nazi content," and claims to have found correspondence with Ukrainian curators. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks are reported. The Moscow Metro is celebrating its 90th anniversary. A scandal involving the daughter of a district head in Vologda Oblast is being discussed. The adventures of a fraudster are reported. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. ТАСС reports businessman Igor Khubutiya has been placed under house arrest for assaulting a friend. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids in 81 regions, detained six people for preparing attacks, including on schools, and detained 57 administrators of Telegram channels and chats with terrorist and neo-Nazi content, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators among the latter. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Новости Москвы reports that the Moscow Metro is celebrating its 90th anniversary. Два майора provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Старше Эдды provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a proposal for Russian families to come up with a code word to protect against deepfake scams and fraudsters. Север.Реалии reports on the adventures of a fraudster.
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting intense offensive operations, claiming advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones, and potentially TOS-1A systems. They are recruiting volunteers for special forces ("Akhmat"). They claim to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast. They claim to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Russian air defense claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations, and downing Ukrainian UAVs over Crimea and the sea near Sevastopol. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern, eastern, and southern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian forces are claiming the liberation of Alexandropol, Volne Pole, and Bogatyr. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure, and against Ukrainian engineering reconnaissance vehicles and International MaxxPro armored vehicles. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Continued activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast while saving a wounded comrade. An FPV drone without identification marks attacked a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast. Ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands is reported, involving Russian marines. Improvised armored protection for military vehicles is being produced "behind the front line." Russian forces are using long-range weapons against Ukrainian infantry groups near Tёtkino in the Sumy direction. Russian forces are reportedly conducting a mechanized assault and claiming significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka, with claimed advances over 3 km east of Krasnoarmeisk. Russia claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Russian aviation is reportedly delivering high-precision strikes on temporary deployment points in Siversk. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Russian security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Russian UAVs are operating on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. Russian forces are attempting attacks in small infantry groups near Tёtkino in the Sumy direction. МоD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory and provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, claiming Russian advances and ongoing fighting. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and military resourcefulness. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlight Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations, and claim significant Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier and disseminating his alleged account of low morale. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, involving Russian marines. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 6 Ukrainian UAVs over the sea near Sevastopol. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident with a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, arguing continued war is beneficial for Russia and that Russia is determined to achieve its goals. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Siversk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Рыбарь commemorates the 322nd anniversary of the Baltic Fleet and discusses lessons learned from the Black Sea Fleet.
Casualties: Russian sources claim significant Ukrainian losses in their daily briefing, including up to a consolidated battalion during the liberation of Bogatyr. A Russian soldier recounts close combat. Russia received 34 bodies in a body exchange. A large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. A Russian military blogger claims elimination of a Latvian mercenary. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast from a drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade, including a high number of missing personnel. Ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands reportedly resulted in the death of a Russian marine and the capture and subsequent death of a Ukrainian soldier. A Russian military blogger showcases a Russian soldier complaining about going into battle with injured comrades. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report the destruction of up to a consolidated battalion of Ukrainian forces during the liberation of Bogatyr. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier injured by a remotely mined explosive device. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands and the capture and subsequent death of a Ukrainian soldier. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident with a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades.
Information Operations: Russian sources continue to engage in information operations, framing events to support their narrative and highlight claimed successes. They are disseminating psychological warfare narratives, including claims of Ukrainian drones with "Nazi symbols" and allegations of "Western psychological programs" in Ukraine. They are showcasing propaganda exhibitions and creating fictional narratives about Ukrainian soldiers. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian mobilization and the war effort, including targeting students. They are disseminating propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. They are using anecdotal stories in information operations. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian soldiers' morale and discipline. They are using visual content to emphasize claimed territorial gains. A commander of "Akhmat" special forces comments on negotiations, stating Ukraine is controlled by the West. The FSB is using claims of finding correspondence with Ukrainian curators among detained individuals and opening criminal cases against teenagers allegedly acting on Ukrainian orders as part of their information operations to link internal threats to Ukraine. Russian sources are highlighting the restoration of water supply in occupied Donbas cities. Russian sources are reporting on alleged economic losses in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Russian sources are claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes in Siversk. Russian sources are claiming Russian artillery and drones are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts. Russian sources are claiming a Russian mechanized assault and significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka. Russia claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Russian sources are highlighting the detention of alleged SBU agents in Sevastopol. Russian military bloggers are commenting on Trump's decision not to attend Istanbul negotiations. The Moscow Metro's anniversary is being highlighted, likely as a sign of normalcy and development. A Russian military blogger shares a video showcasing a Russian soldier complaining about going into battle with injured comrades, likely for information operation purposes. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, supporting the Russian narrative of the annexation. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators, which can be seen as a counter-information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Erdogan's dominant interaction with Macron. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction and mentions the elimination of over 250 mercenaries from Baltic countries. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video related to Erdogan and Macron, interpreting it through a specific narrative. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report on the liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian military effectiveness and claimed Ukrainian losses. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, targeting students. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay, used in information operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier and disseminating his alleged account of low morale. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands and casualties, highlighting the risks. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, presenting it as a heroic act. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating Ukraine is controlled by the West, used for information operations. Mash на Донбассе reports restoration of water supply in occupied Donbas cities, likely used to highlight Russian efforts. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks, used to highlight the impact of Ukrainian actions. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes in Siversk, used for information operations. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka, used for information operations. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction, used for information operations. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU, used for information operations. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on Trump not attending Istanbul negotiations, potentially used to influence narratives. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids against the ideology of violence and detained individuals, framing it as countering terrorism and neo-Nazism, and claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators, used for information operations. Новости Москвы reports on the Moscow Metro anniversary, potentially used to highlight normalcy and development. Два майора provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast, likely for internal information purposes. Старше Эдды provides commentary on a scandal in Vologda Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on a proposal for Russian families to come up with a code word to protect against deepfake scams and fraudsters. Север.Реалии reports on the adventures of a fraudster. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades. Рыбарь commemorates the 322nd anniversary of the Baltic Fleet, a form of information operation.
Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Alleged phone scammers are targeting Muscovites. A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency is reported. A businessman has been placed under house arrest for assault. Russia's security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. The FSB is conducting preventive raids against perceived internal threats and detaining individuals allegedly preparing attacks and administrators of Telegram channels with "terrorist and neo-Nazi content," and claims to have found correspondence with Ukrainian curators. The adventures of a fraudster are reported. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. ТАСС reports businessman Igor Khubutiya has been placed under house arrest for assaulting a friend. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids in 81 regions, detained six people for preparing attacks, including on schools, and detained 57 administrators of Telegram channels and chats with terrorist and neo-Nazi content, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators among the latter. Север.Реалии reports on the adventures of a fraudster.
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Photos of "frontline cats" are shared, likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. A body exchange is reported, which can be used in information operations. A sports festival in Bryansk Oblast is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. The death of a priest in Kherson Oblast is presented as a heroic act. The Moscow Metro's anniversary is being highlighted, likely as a sign of normalcy and development. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act of sacrifice. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. Новости Москвы reports on the Moscow Metro anniversary, potentially used to highlight normalcy and development. Рыбарь commemorates the 322nd anniversary of the Baltic Fleet.
Support for Military Personnel: Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast while saving a wounded comrade. Improvised armored protection for military vehicles is being produced "behind the front line." A commander of "Akhmat" special forces has commented on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Два майора shares a video showcasing improvised armored protection for military vehicles produced "behind the front line" and fundraising for metal and shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction and highlights fundraising. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers and fundraising for a rehabilitation fund. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, highlighting his sacrifice while saving a wounded comrade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades.
Citizenship Policy: Simplified process for granting Russian citizenship to citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship.
Production Capacity: Russia is investing significantly in drone production, but is dependent on foreign components. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Два майора shares a video showcasing improvised armored protection for military vehicles produced "behind the front line."
Fatalities (Non-Military): A fatality was discovered after an explosion in Bashkiria (non-military). The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. Two boys died in a fire in Odesa Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Олег Синєгубов reports a civilian casualty from Russian strikes in Maly Burluk, Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports on the death of two boys in a fire in Odesa Oblast.
Cultural and Social Initiatives: A propaganda exhibition on the military conflict is being showcased. A plan is underway to develop "Halal" tourism standards. A sports festival is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. Cultural exchange with France through the awarding of the Legion of Honor to a Russian director. The Moscow Metro's anniversary is being highlighted. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. ASTRA reports on a cultural exchange between France and Russia. Новости Москвы reports on the Moscow Metro anniversary.
Military Training: MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Veteran Support (Ukraine): A survey on financial literacy for military personnel, veterans, and their families is being conducted.
Civilian Support (Ukraine): A support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks is being developed in Kyiv. Transport routes in Sumy Oblast are being changed following an attack on a bus. A fatality occurred in Odesa Oblast from a previous attack. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. The UK Foreign Minister reacted to this attack. Zaporizhzhia and Lviv Oblasts are exchanging experience on improving administrative service centers. Water supply is being restored in several cities in the occupied Donbas after pipeline repairs. Two boys died in a fire in Odesa Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a visit by representatives from Zaporizhzhia to Lviv Oblast to exchange experience on improving administrative service centers. Олег Синєгубов reports damage and a civilian casualty from Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast. Mash на Донбассе reports restoration of water supply in Horlivka, Yenakiieve, Debaltseve, Vuhlehirsk, Kirovske, Zhdanivka, Snizhne, Torez, and Shakhtarsk. РБК-Україна reports on the death of two boys in a fire in Odesa Oblast.
Military Personnel Support (Russia): Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast while saving a wounded comrade. Improvised armored protection for military vehicles is being produced "behind the front line." A commander of "Akhmat" special forces has commented on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Два майора shares a video showcasing improvised armored protection for military vehicles produced "behind the front line" and fundraising for metal and shares a video showing the transfer of two video signal interception devices for countering FPV drones to artillerymen on the Zaporizhzhia direction and highlights fundraising. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers and fundraising for a rehabilitation fund. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, highlighting his sacrifice while saving a wounded comrade. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades.
Prisoner of War Issues: A large-scale body exchange has taken place. A prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. Russia claims to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast, and during combat on the Dnipro islands. Ukraine is preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange. US Senator Marco Rubio reportedly spoke with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and discussed prisoner exchange. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed prisoner exchange, citing Russian MFA claims. STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal and preparation for a truce. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands and the capture and subsequent death of a Ukrainian soldier. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has begun preparations for a large-scale prisoner exchange. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including the capture and subsequent death of a Ukrainian soldier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting of the Coordination Headquarters Council to agree on a joint action plan to implement the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange.
Post-Conflict Recovery: The issue of rebuilding the destroyed Mariupol maternity hospital is being highlighted. The closure of a bridge in Donetsk for long-term repair indicates infrastructure damage requiring significant recovery efforts. Water supply is being restored in several cities in the occupied Donbas after pipeline repairs. Mash на Донбассе reports restoration of water supply in Horlivka, Yenakiieve, Debaltseve, Vuhlehirsk, Kirovske, Zhdanivka, Snizhne, Torez, and Shakhtarsk.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and inflicting significant Russian losses. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial threats and claiming downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones (including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns and two Zala reconnaissance drones), and a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions and occupied territories. Utilizing drones for targeting, including claiming the destruction of a Russian D-30 howitzer and successfully hunting down Russian drone operators, and allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices, and using FPV drones for mine clearing. Seeking diplomatic solutions but maintaining their stance on key issues. Preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange and participating in body exchanges. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian attacks. Raising internal concerns related to mobilization and public perception of military personnel and the quality of fortifications, including reports of some facing the wrong direction. Using drones for reconnaissance and potentially utilizing robotic platforms for logistics (Russian claim of destroying one). Ukrainian aviation is reportedly conducting strikes in Russian border regions. Recruiting gunners for the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade. Addressing evasion of mobilization schemes. Highlighting efforts to improve rehabilitation for military personnel and civilians. Highlighting the effectiveness of their FPV drones and armored vehicles against FPV drones. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about potentially fraudulent generals. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Ongoing combat is reported on the Dnipro islands. Concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav are emerging. Ukrainian forces are attempting attacks in small infantry groups near Tёtkino in the Sumy direction. Zaporizhzhia and Lviv Oblasts are exchanging experience on improving administrative service centers. Ukrainian forces are reportedly targeted by Russian aviation delivering high-precision strikes in Siversk. Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts are reportedly being hit by Russian artillery and drones. Ukrainian drone fire on Russian forward positions in Novaya Poltavka and Staraya Nikolaevka is reported. Russian security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. The FSB is claiming to have found correspondence with Ukrainian curators among detained individuals and opening criminal cases against teenagers allegedly acting on Ukrainian orders. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast and that d rone interceptors neutralized over 100 Russian Shaheds and Gerberas overnight. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of defensive actions and repelled attacks on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage by Russia and that 123 UAVs of operational-tactical level were neutralized by Ukrainian forces. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne towards the south. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) were repelled. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones from the "Azov" 12th Special Purpose Brigade on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications, including reports of some facing the wrong direction and shares a video claiming FPV drones were used for mine clearing. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands. Оперативний ЗСУ reports concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav and reports that the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has begun preparations for a large-scale prisoner exchange. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a visit by representatives from Zaporizhzhia to Lviv Oblast to exchange experience on improving administrative service centers. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier and disseminating his alleged account of low morale. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including the capture and subsequent death of a Ukrainian soldier. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports increased activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern and northeastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Siversk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka, with Ukrainian drone fire on Russian positions. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids and detained individuals, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video highlighting Russian propaganda about Ukrainian statehood and Odesa. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades.
Russian Forces: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, with claims of advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones (FPV, "Baba Yaga"), and potentially TOS-1A thermobaric systems in urban areas. Recruiting volunteers for special forces ("Akhmat"). Claiming downing of Ukrainian drones, including those with alleged "Nazi symbols," and destruction of Ukrainian robotic platforms. Engaging in information operations and psychological warfare narratives. Focusing on internal security and military support initiatives. Experiencing casualties. Strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. Presenting new, shortened AK-12 variants. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern, eastern, and southern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian air defense is claiming interception of Ukrainian aerial targets and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations, and downing Ukrainian UAVs over Crimea and the sea near Sevastopol. Claiming the liberation of settlements like Alexandropol, Volne Pole, and Bogatyr. Using guided aerial bombs extensively. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure, and against Ukrainian engineering reconnaissance vehicles and International MaxxPro armored vehicles. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Continued activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike in Kherson Oblast while saving a wounded comrade. An FPV drone without identification marks attacked a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast. Ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands is reported, involving Russian marines. Improvised armored protection for military vehicles is being produced "behind the front line." Russian forces are using long-range weapons against Ukrainian infantry groups near Tёtkino in the Sumy direction. Russian forces are reportedly conducting a mechanized assault and claiming significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka, with claimed advances over 3 km east of Krasnoarmeisk. Russia claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Russian aviation is reportedly delivering high-precision strikes on temporary deployment points in Siversk. Russian artillery and drones are reportedly active in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, including areas located at varying distances from the front line in Donetsk. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Russian security services claim to have detained two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Russian UAVs are operating on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. Russian forces are attempting attacks in small infantry groups near Tёtkino in the Sumy direction. Russian airborne forces reportedly abandoned a position after being targeted by a single Ukrainian FPV drone. МоD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction and shares a video claiming Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory and provides a detailed update on the situation on the Krasnoliman direction, claiming Russian advances and ongoing fighting. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and military resourcefulness. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlight Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations, and claim significant Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier and disseminating his alleged account of low morale. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, involving Russian marines. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 6 Ukrainian UAVs over the sea near Sevastopol. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands, including an incident with a Ukrainian drone and casualties on both sides. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, arguing continued war is beneficial for Russia and that Russia is determined to achieve its goals. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian aviation is delivering high-precision strikes on Ukrainian temporary deployment points in Siversk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Russian artillery and UAVs are hitting Ukrainian strongpoints and communication hubs in several areas of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts located at varying distances from the front line. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claims their air defense systems destroyed two Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts overnight. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that Russian airborne forces abandoned a position after being targeted by a Ukrainian FPV drone. Рыбарь commemorates the 322nd anniversary of the Baltic Fleet and discusses lessons learned from the Black Sea Fleet.
Third-Party Involvement: Belarus is ready to organize a peace process and is strengthening military cooperation with Russia, planning joint "West-2025" exercises. North Korea has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb. Finland is discussed in the context of supporting Estonia's attempted tanker seizure. Latvia is mentioned with Russia claiming to have eliminated a mercenary. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Abkhazia and South Ossetia are mentioned in the context of simplified Russian citizenship. Turkey is facilitating potential negotiations. The US is reportedly involved in discussions regarding a peace plan and potential diplomatic engagement, including a telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov, and a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Uzbekistan and Germany are cooperating on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan. Moldova signed an agreement with Germany for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack. BRICS countries are focusing on alternative transport infrastructure. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the scale and speed of US military readiness and ability to support allies. Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in Romania. France and Russia engaged in a cultural exchange. Ukraine will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Russia will be represented by the Minister of Culture. Russia detained a Liberian-flagged oil tanker that left an Estonian port. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and the conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy, relevant to the information landscape. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. ASTRA reports on a cultural exchange between France and Russia and reports on the detention of an oil tanker by Russia. STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal and preparation for a truce. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a statement from Medvedev on the potential for failed negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Russia will be represented by the Minister of Culture. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," towards Putin. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, highlighting alleged French intervention.
Slovak Politics: Slovak Prime Minister Fico has undergone three surgical operations following an assassination attempt. TASS reports on this.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The expected large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format next week is a significant humanitarian and strategic development, crucial for addressing the concerns of families and potentially influencing morale on both sides. It also indicates a degree of operational coordination and communication between the two sides, even amidst ongoing conflict. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms this. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report that the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has begun preparations for this exchange. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Lavrov and Rubio discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad and ASTRA also report on this discussion. STERNENKO reports US Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Lavrov and that Russia claims the US supported the prisoner exchange proposal. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting of the Coordination Headquarters Council to agree on a joint action plan to implement the 1000 for 1000 prisoner exchange.
The Russian information operation alleging "Western psychological programs" in Ukraine and their impact on athletes is a strategic effort to delegitimize Ukrainian national identity and actions, portraying them as manipulated by external forces. This narrative is likely intended to influence both domestic Russian audiences and international perceptions. The Russian narrative about a fictional Ukrainian soldier also serves this purpose, attempting to mock and discredit Ukrainian efforts. The Russian narrative about Ukrainian mobilization and targeting students is also part of this information operation. Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood is being disseminated to undermine Ukrainian sovereignty. The FSB is using claims of finding correspondence with Ukrainian curators among detained individuals and opening criminal cases against teenagers allegedly acting on Ukrainian orders as part of their information operations. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, particularly targeting students. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids against the ideology of violence and detained individuals, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators.
The potential new EU sanctions against the Russian "shadow fleet" and increased control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure are significant international strategic developments aimed at increasing economic pressure on Russia and enhancing security in a key maritime region. Targeting the "shadow fleet" aims to reduce Russia's ability to circumvent oil sanctions, directly impacting their revenue stream. Increased control over underwater infrastructure is a response to perceived threats of sabotage and has broader security implications for the region. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks, which support the war effort, reflecting continued economic pressure. Alex Parker Returns shares a news article about the Estonian Minister of Defense commenting on an incident with a "shadow fleet" in the Baltic Sea.
Russia's ongoing recruitment of volunteers for the "Akhmat" special forces indicates a strategic effort to bolster specific, potentially high-impact units. The emphasis on training in combat skills, including targeting aerial objectives, suggests a focus on adapting to the evolving nature of warfare and utilizing specialized forces for key tasks. A commander of "Akhmat" special forces has commented on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers and fundraising for a rehabilitation fund, which is strategically relevant to military support efforts. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations, stating the importance of rehabilitation for soldiers and fundraising for a rehabilitation fund.
Putin's decree simplifying citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia is a strategic political move aimed at strengthening Russia's influence in these breakaway regions and potentially creating a larger pool of individuals with ties to Russia. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship.
The Russian claim of destroying a Ukrainian robotic platform with an FPV drone on the Krasnolimansk direction is a specific tactical claim with strategic implications. It highlights the increasing use of robotic systems on the battlefield and the efforts by both sides to counter them, demonstrating the evolving tactics and technology in the conflict.
The death of the Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident, while a personal tragedy, has a minor strategic implication in that it removes an individual with expertise in a key Russian military system. However, the cause of death indicates no direct military threat or vulnerability related to the system itself.
The Russian claim of downing a Ukrainian drone with "Nazi symbols" is a clear strategic information operation aimed at reinforcing the Russian narrative of fighting against "Nazism" in Ukraine and justifying their actions. The visual element of the drone with alleged symbols is intended to serve as propaganda.
The Polish Foreign Minister's suggestion that China could "put Putin in his place" due to Russia's economic dependence on China is a significant international commentary with strategic implications. It highlights the perceived power dynamic between Russia and China and suggests a potential avenue for international pressure to influence Russia's actions in Ukraine. This view, if widely shared, could influence diplomatic strategies towards both countries. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place.
The sports festival in Bryansk Oblast linked to Victory Day and promoting patriotism is a domestic strategic initiative aimed at bolstering national pride, commemorating historical military achievements, and fostering support for current military actions by linking them to past victories. The explicit criticism of Ukraine within this context serves as a domestic information operation.
The claim by a Russian source of their forces capturing Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast, is a strategic claim of localized success, potentially aimed at highlighting Russian military effectiveness in border regions and contributing to information operations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary claiming the capture of a Ukrainian soldier during the assault on Bilovody. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian soldier captured a Ukrainian servicemember from the 80th Separate Airborne Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, used for information operations.
The claimed elimination of a Latvian mercenary by a Russian source near Toretsk or Kherson is a strategic information operation to portray foreign fighters negatively and highlight claimed successes against them. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction.
The claimed Ukrainian air strike with high-precision bombs near Guyevo in Kursk Oblast is strategically significant as it demonstrates Ukraine's capability to conduct targeted strikes in Russian border regions, potentially impacting Russian logistics and personnel concentrations and challenging Russia's perceived control of these areas. The reported criticism by Russian Z-pabliks about the lack of air defense in the border area further emphasizes the impact of these strikes and the strategic importance of air defense in these regions. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks further highlight the impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks.
Ukrainian forces highlighting the destruction of a Russian D-30 howitzer in Sumy Oblast using a drone is strategically important as it showcases the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics against Russian artillery, a key asset in the conflict, and highlights Ukraine's capability to strike Russian military equipment in border regions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast.
The Russian claim of liberating the settlement of Volnoye Pole on the South-Donetsk direction, Alexandropol, and Bogatyr are strategic claims of territorial gain, supporting their broader objectives in Donetsk Oblast and serving as an information operation to demonstrate progress. The claimed liberation of Nova Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction is another such claim. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, and Сливочный каприз report the liberation of Bogatyr. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka, with claimed advances over 3 km east of Krasnoarmeisk. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction.
The closure of the bridge over the Kalmius River in Donetsk for long-term repair is strategically relevant as it indicates infrastructure damage resulting from the conflict, impacting logistics and civilian life in occupied territory, and highlighting the long-term consequences of the war.
The cooperation between Germany and Uzbekistan on modernizing technical and professional education could have long-term strategic implications for labor migration and economic ties, potentially influencing regional dynamics.
The appearance of a mural depicting Putin and Stalin in Belgorod is a strategic information operation aimed at influencing domestic narratives and reinforcing a particular political ideology, potentially linking current events to Soviet historical narratives.
Ukrainian forces highlighting the effectiveness of hunting down Russian drone operators using FPV drones is strategically important as it demonstrates a tactic to directly counter a key Russian capability (drone warfare) by targeting the personnel operating them, potentially degrading Russian reconnaissance and strike capabilities. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones.
Russian claims of advances and capture of the Brick Factory near Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia direction are strategic claims of tactical success and potential territorial gains in a key southern area of the front. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory.
Former US President Trump's commentary on Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022 has strategic implications, particularly given his potential future role in US foreign policy, and may influence perceptions of the conflict's trajectory and the capabilities of both sides. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman."
The proposal by a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest for a tax on childless men over 40 is an internal social and demographic issue in Russia, but could have long-term strategic implications for population growth and manpower availability, which are relevant in the context of a protracted conflict. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40.
The agreement between Moldova and Germany for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova is a significant international strategic development, indicating increased Western military engagement and influence in a country bordering Ukraine and potentially signaling a strengthening of Moldova's defense capabilities and alignment with the EU/NATO. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova.
Russian claims of mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk are strategic information operations aimed at demonstrating Russian military effectiveness and inflicting significant losses on Ukraine, supporting their narrative of battlefield success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment.
The Ukrainian military spokesperson stating that the Russian summer offensive has effectively begun, particularly impacting the Kharkiv area, is a crucial strategic assessment that directly informs Ukrainian defense planning, resource allocation, and the urgency of international military support. The Third Assault Brigade's report on repelling numerous assaults in Kharkiv further validates this assessment and highlights the intensity of the fighting in this area.
The concern raised by a Ukrainian military blogger about individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without credentials has potential strategic implications for internal military integrity, trust in leadership, and counterintelligence efforts. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials.
DeepState's reporting of Russian advancements near Mirolyubivka and clarifying the situation near Bahatyr provides a strategic overview of ongoing ground operations and potential changes in territorial control in key areas of the front. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports updating their map, noting Russian advancements near Mirolyubivka and clarifying the situation near Bahatyr.
The UK Foreign Minister's reaction to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a full and immediate ceasefire if Putin is serious about peace, is an international diplomatic response that highlights the humanitarian impact of Russian actions and reinforces the call for a peaceful resolution, potentially influencing international pressure on Russia. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia.
Erdogan's announcement of a large gas field discovery in the Black Sea has long-term strategic energy implications for Turkey and the Black Sea region, potentially influencing geopolitical dynamics and energy security in the area. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance.
The forum in Tatarstan discussing the role of AI in media and diplomacy is relevant to the broader strategic landscape of information warfare and the increasing integration of advanced technologies in international relations and conflict narratives. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency has strategic implications for the perceived effectiveness and integrity of Russian state institutions, potentially highlighting issues with governance and corruption. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District.
An air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea is a significant strategic development as it indicates a potential aerial threat to occupied Crimea, highlighting the vulnerability of the peninsula to Ukrainian strikes and potential future targeting. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen.
An air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city) indicates a potential aerial threat to this region, highlighting the ongoing strategic pressure on this front and necessitating continued air defense vigilance. Air raid alert has been lifted in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. 🇺🇦 Запорізьka обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted.
The European Union working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks indicates continued international economic pressure on Russia, a key strategic tool aimed at impacting Russia's ability to finance the conflict and support its war effort. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks.
Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade, including a high number of missing personnel and difficulties faced by families in obtaining information, are strategically significant as they highlight potential problems with unit cohesion, casualty management, and the overall state of morale and support within the Russian military. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit.
Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time is a crucial strategic assessment that directly informs Ukraine's approach to future negotiations and their calls for continued international pressure and sanctions. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace.
Russian claims of eliminating Ukrainian UAV command posts highlight a strategic focus on degrading Ukraine's drone capabilities, which are a key component of Ukrainian tactics. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones.
Ukrainian reports on the effectiveness of armored vehicles against FPV drones are strategically important for informing force protection measures and highlighting the need for continued provision of such equipment. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks.
Ukrainian reports of destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system are strategically significant as they indicate a successful effort to degrade Russian air defense capabilities, potentially providing greater freedom of movement for Ukrainian aircraft and drones. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system.
The death of a Russian priest in Kherson Oblast from a drone strike while saving a wounded comrade, as reported by a Russian military blogger and presented as a heroic act, has strategic implications for domestic morale and information operations, framing the conflict in a religious and self-sacrificial light. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Басурин о главном shares a report on the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast.
Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific reveal potential challenges in US logistical readiness, which could have indirect implications for the scale and speed of US support to allies, including Ukraine, in the event of a wider conflict or increased demand for military aid. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems.
The potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in Romania is a strategic political development in a neighboring country that could potentially influence regional dynamics and the level of support for Ukraine from Romania and within the EU and NATO. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, highlighting alleged French intervention. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video related to the Romanian presidential election and voting.
Ukrainian forces allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank of Kherson Oblast suggests an asymmetric tactic aimed at inflicting casualties and potentially disrupting Russian activities in occupied territory. This highlights Ukrainian ingenuity in utilizing available resources and methods. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier.
Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stating a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions in Russia is a key strategic indicator of Russia's commitment to sustaining a high level of military production to support ongoing and potentially future operations. This has implications for the anticipated duration and intensity of the conflict. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions.
The analysis of the situation in the border area of Kursk Oblast, highlighting continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use, underscores the strategic importance of border security for Russia and the evolving nature of cross-border engagements. The increased drone activity specifically targeting logistical routes indicates a Ukrainian effort to disrupt Russian supply lines in this area. Economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks further highlight the impact of Ukrainian cross-border actions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора provide an analysis of the situation in the border area of Kursk Oblast, noting continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, as well as a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes. ASTRA reports economic losses in the agricultural sector of Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks.
Ukrainian strike drones being active on the Toretsk direction and reportedly leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers highlights the strategic impact of Ukrainian drone warfare in inflicting casualties and potentially impacting Russian troop morale and tactics in specific areas of the front. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of strike drones from the "Azov" 12th Special Purpose Brigade on the Toretsk direction.
Critiques of Ukrainian fortifications raise strategic concerns about the effectiveness of defensive preparations and potentially underlying issues with planning, resources, or implementation. Addressing these concerns is crucial for improving Ukraine's defensive capabilities and minimizing territorial losses. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications, including concerns about trenches dug facing the wrong direction.
The activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea is strategically significant as it indicates continued US intelligence gathering in a region relevant to the conflict. This intelligence can provide valuable insights for Ukraine and its allies regarding Russian naval and air activities. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea.
The report of a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay provides an anecdotal piece of information that could be used in information operations to portray issues with morale or discipline within the Ukrainian military. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay.
Ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands indicates the continued strategic importance of controlling territory and waterways in this area and highlights the persistent and often brutal nature of localized engagements. Kotsnews reports on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video and commentary reporting on ongoing combat on the Dnipro islands.
Concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav, Kyiv Oblast, if confirmed, could have strategic implications for the functioning and readiness of territorial defense forces and highlight potential challenges in civil-military relations or resource management within Ukraine. Оперативний ЗСУ reports concerns about the potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit from leased premises in Pereyaslav.
The attack on a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast, by an FPV drone is strategically significant as it indicates a potential expansion of Ukrainian targeting of infrastructure within Russia, potentially aimed at disrupting logistics or impacting civilian morale in border regions. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an attack on a fuel station in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast, by an FPV drone.
Improvised armored protection for military vehicles being produced "behind the front line" in Russia suggests a strategic effort to enhance force protection and adapt to battlefield conditions, likely in response to the threat posed by drones and other anti-vehicle weapons. Два майора shares a video showcasing improvised armored protection for military vehicles produced "behind the front line" and fundraising for metal.
A Russian businessman being placed under house arrest for assault is an internal legal matter but could have broader strategic implications if it is perceived to be politically motivated or if it affects individuals connected to strategically important sectors. ТАСС reports businessman Igor Khubutiya has been placed under house arrest for assaulting a friend.
A cultural exchange between France and Russia, as seen in the awarding of the Legion of Honor to a Russian director, is strategically relevant as it reflects the complex and sometimes contradictory nature of international relations during conflict and can be used by either side for diplomatic or propaganda purposes. ASTRA reports on a cultural exchange between France and Russia.
Medvedev's statement on the potential for failed negotiations is a strategic communication aimed at influencing perceptions of the diplomatic process, potentially lowering expectations for peace talks and preparing the ground for possible escalation if negotiations do not proceed according to Russia's preferences. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a statement from Medvedev that peace negotiations alone do not always end fighting and can lead to a more terrible stage of conflict if unsuccessful.
Restoration of water supply in several cities in the occupied Donbas after pipeline repairs highlights the impact of the conflict on civilian infrastructure and the ongoing efforts, likely by Russian or Russian-backed authorities, to address humanitarian needs in occupied territories. This can also be used in information operations to demonstrate a return to normalcy under Russian control. Mash на Донbasse reports restoration of water supply in Horlivka, Yenakiieve, Debaltseve, Vuhlehirsk, Kirovske, Zhdanivka, Snizhne, Torez, and Shakhtarsk.
Commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov, Commander of "Akhmat" special forces and Deputy Head of the Main Military-Political Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, on negotiations with Ukraine is strategically significant as it reflects the perspective of a prominent military figure within the Russian establishment and reinforces key Russian narratives regarding the conflict and the diplomatic process. His statements that Ukraine is controlled by the West and that continued war is militarily advantageous for Russia has implications for assessing Russia's willingness to negotiate and their long-term objectives. Басурин о главном shares commentary from Lieutenant-General Apty Alaudinov on negotiations.
The FSB conducting preventive raids against perceived internal threats, detaining individuals allegedly preparing attacks and administrators of Telegram channels with "terrorist and neo-Nazi content," and claiming to have found correspondence with Ukrainian curators is a significant strategic development as it indicates a concerted effort by Russian security services to counter internal dissent and potential threats, and to link these activities to Ukraine. This has implications for the internal stability of Russia, the narrative surrounding the conflict, and potentially for cross-border security. ТАСС reports that the FSB conducted preventive raids in 81 regions, detained six people for preparing attacks, including on schools, and detained 57 administrators of Telegram channels and chats with terrorist and neo-Nazi content, claiming correspondence with Ukrainian curators among the latter.
Russia's claim of liberating Nova Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction is a strategic claim of territorial gain, contributing to their broader objectives in Donetsk Oblast and serving as an information operation to demonstrate progress. Colonelcassad claims liberation of Novaya Poltavka on the Konstantinovka direction.
The reported participation of Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, along with other international leaders, is a strategically significant event for Ukraine. It provides a platform for high-level diplomatic engagement, maintaining international attention on the conflict, and potentially garnering further support. The presence of representatives from the US and other key international partners underscores the continued international dimension of the conflict. The fact that Russia is represented by the Minister of Culture at this event, compared to the higher-level representation from other countries, could be interpreted in various ways regarding Russia's diplomatic priorities or isolation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will participate in the inauguration mass of the newly elected Pope Leo XIV, with expected attendance of other international leaders, including US Vice President and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Russia will be represented by the Minister of Culture.
Russian claims of a mechanized assault and significant advances near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeisk) and Novaya Poltavka, with claimed advances over 3 km east of Krasnoarmeisk, if verified, represent a significant strategic development on the Pokrovsk front. This indicates a major Russian offensive effort aimed at achieving substantial territorial gains in a key area and could have implications for the stability of the front line in Donetsk Oblast. Сливочный каприз reports Russian mechanized assault and claimed advances near Krasnoarmeisk (Pokrovsk) and Novaya Poltavka.
The detention of two residents of Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen, as claimed by Russian security services, is strategically significant as it indicates ongoing Ukrainian intelligence efforts in occupied Crimea and Russian counterintelligence activities to maintain control over the peninsula. This highlights the contested nature of Crimea and the hidden war being fought through intelligence networks. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ТАСС report the detention of two residents of Sevastopol and initiation of criminal cases against them for allegedly working for the SBU and providing intelligence on Russian servicemen.
The 90th anniversary of the Moscow Metro being highlighted is a domestic strategic initiative aimed at showcasing infrastructure development and a sense of normalcy and progress within Russia, potentially for domestic consumption and to counter narratives about the impact of the conflict. Новости Москвы reports on the Moscow Metro anniversary.
Russia detaining a Liberian-flagged oil tanker in the Baltic Sea that left an Estonian port is a significant incident with strategic implications for maritime security and freedom of navigation in the Baltic Sea, particularly in the context of sanctions and tensions between Russia and NATO countries. Estonia's response to redirect traffic highlights the impact on regional maritime routes. ASTRA reports on this naval incident.
The alleged French intervention in the Romanian presidential elections, as reported by a Russian military blogger, if true, is a significant development that could impact the political landscape in Romania and potentially influence its stance on supporting Ukraine. This aligns with broader narratives about external interference in elections. Рыбарь provides commentary on the Romanian presidential elections, highlighting alleged French intervention.
Ukrainian forces successfully using an FPV drone for mine clearing demonstrates tactical innovation and adaptation to the battlefield environment, potentially reducing risks to personnel during dangerous mine clearance operations. This is a strategically important development in counter-mine warfare. STERNENKO shares a video claiming FPV drones were used for mine clearing.
The death of two boys in a fire in Odesa Oblast, while a tragic civilian incident, is relevant in the broader context of the conflict as it adds to the toll of civilian casualties and suffering in Ukraine, albeit not directly from military action in this instance. РБК-Україна reports on the death of two boys in a fire in Odesa Oblast.
Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway, a key logistics route in Donetsk Oblast, are strategically significant as they indicate Russian efforts to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines and freedom of movement in this area. The stated discomfort of the enemy regarding transport on these roads highlights the potential effectiveness of these drone operations. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian UAV operations on the Kramatorsk-Dobropillya highway.
Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war "in the right direction," towards Putin, is a notable commentary on the potential evolution of Trump's stance on the conflict and his relationship with the Russian President. This could have strategic implications for future US policy towards Ukraine and Russia. РБК-Україна reports Finnish President Stubb's assessment that Trump is losing patience with the war in Ukraine "in the right direction," towards Putin.
European leaders planning to call Trump before his conversation with Putin indicates a coordinated effort by key European partners to engage with the former US President regarding the conflict and potentially influence his approach to discussions with the Russian leader. This highlights the strategic importance attributed to Trump's potential role and the desire for a unified Western approach. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and РБК-Україна report that European leaders will call Trump before his conversation with Putin.
The comment from the head of the European Commission that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations with Putin and Zelenskyy underscores the strategic significance of these high-level diplomatic engagements and the potential for them to influence the trajectory of the conflict and international support for Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, commented that the next week will be decisive for Ukraine in light of Trump's upcoming conversations.
A Russian military blogger sharing a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades is strategically significant as it provides a glimpse into potential morale and personnel issues within the Russian military, which could impact their combat effectiveness. While this is an anecdotal report, it aligns with broader concerns about the state of Russian forces. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier complaining about having to go into battle with injured comrades.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report