Sitrep 2025-05-18 12:35:31

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 18, 2025, 12:33 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be dominated by intense ground combat, widespread and persistent Russian aerial attacks utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs), and ongoing diplomatic maneuvering alongside conflicting military signals. The latest reports confirm a massive overnight Russian drone attack involving 273 UAVs, resulting in casualties and damage in Kyiv Oblast, including a fatality and injuries to civilians, and damage to residential buildings and infrastructure. Ukrainian air defense forces claim to have shot down 88 strike UAVs and that 128 imitator drones were locationally lost. Intense ground fighting continues, particularly in Donetsk Oblast across multiple directions (Kupiansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Pridniprovskyi, and Kursk directions), with both sides reporting combat engagements and Russian sources claiming tactical advances and the liberation of settlements like Bogatyr and Volnoye Pole. Russian forces continue to employ guided aerial bombs, with recent launches on Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, and a variety of drone types. Russian military bloggers claim tactical gains on multiple fronts and report heavy fighting and logistical challenges in certain areas. Diplomatic discussions continue, with interpretations from Russian sources emphasizing their position based on battlefield successes and readiness for prolonged conflict. Internal Russian affairs, including military promotions and reports on combat engineers, provide glimpses into Russian priorities and narratives, while reliance on volunteer support for military equipment is highlighted. Political developments in neighboring countries, particularly presidential elections in Poland and Romania, are being monitored for their potential impact on relations with Ukraine. A significant cultural diplomatic effort is underway at the Cannes Film Festival involving Ukrainian veterans. a significant development is Italy's potential transfer of 400 decommissioned M113 armored personnel carriers and assistance with a satellite observation system. Ukrainian sources report the elimination of Russian personnel on the Pokrovsk direction and the claimed destruction of a Russian mortar crew on the South Donetsk direction. Russian sources claim destruction of a Ukrainian FH-70 howitzer near Berestok. Russian sources assert full control over Bogatyr and share a video with information operation elements. The US RQ-4B Global Hawk has returned to the Black Sea for reconnaissance. Recent reports indicate heavy losses for the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade ("Magura") near Tetkino and Popovka/Demidovka, with a battalion commander reportedly submitting a resignation over "moronic tasks" and perceived incompetent leadership, alleging significant losses from frontal attacks under drone observation. Russia is claiming continued strikes against Ukrainian positions near Otradnoye and surrounding areas, utilizing artillery and FPV drones to destroy temporary deployment points, dugouts, UAV control points, and disable armored vehicles and mortar positions, also claiming to have shot down Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones. Ukraine's Kyiv Oblast Administration reports that over 150 Russian UAVs targeted Kyiv Oblast overnight, detailing damage to residential buildings (including seven multi-story buildings and multiple private houses), infrastructure, and communal enterprises in Obukhivskyi and Fastivskyi districts. Russia claims that the liberation of Bogatyr has seriously impacted Ukrainian defenses on the South Donetsk direction. Germany is reportedly seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war against Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Defense provides a comprehensive daily report claiming advances, hitting Ukrainian forces and equipment (including Western-provided vehicles like M113, HMMWV, Senator, AS-90, Puma, M777) across multiple Groups of Forces (Sever, Zapad, Yug, Tsentr, Vostok, Dnepr), liberating Bogatyr, striking military airfield infrastructure, ammunition and fuel depots, UAV concentration areas, and EW stations in 139 areas, and downing 7 JDAM bombs and 75 Ukrainian drones over the past day, also providing cumulative claimed losses for Ukraine. Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reports that Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland, disseminating disinformation critical of Polish support for Ukraine and the government. Alex Parker Returns reports a new historical record for voter turnout abroad in the Romanian presidential elections. The DNR People's Militia reports that a Kornet ATGM crew destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold near Dzerzhinsk. TASS reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. Ukrainian sources report on a police investigation in Kharkiv regarding the death of a 39-year-old man who reportedly jumped from a TCC (Territorial Recruitment Center) window on May 12th, opening a criminal case for suicide and investigating the actions of TCC staff. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania near the borders of Russia and Belarus involving over 16,000 servicemen, highlighting the scale and location of these exercises as a potential concern and emphasizing the focus on offensive and defensive operations against Russia and Belarus, also noting the participation of over 30 German helicopters. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring Russian soldiers allegedly using a Porsche Cayenne for off-road transportation, used as a contrasting example. War Correspondent Kotenok shares a video compilation claiming to show footage from the liberation of Bogatyr. RBC-Ukraine reports that a Hamas leader, Muhammad Sinwar, was found dead in a tunnel in Gaza after an Israeli strike. TASS reports that the Russian Minister of Culture could not attend the Pope's inauguration due to inconsistencies in the air route, while the Russian Ambassador in the Vatican led the delegation. Operation Z: Russian Military Correspondents shares a video claiming to show heavy fighting near Pokrovsk, with Russian forces allegedly destroying Ukrainian equipment and personnel. TASS reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. TASS reports that Lev Yashin was recognized as the best goalkeeper in history. Military Correspondent Voin DV reports on the strategic implications of liberating Bogatyr, suggesting potential for a push towards Komar and the end of the South Donetsk direction as a significant front. Два майора shares photos of Russian soldiers in various mundane settings, labeled as "Daily Life of a Soldier," including holding a fish, standing in a damaged building, interacting with a cat, and examining a downed drone. Operational Armed Forces of Ukraine shares a video of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Administration commemorates the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People. Colonelcassad reports the death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper, Vitaly Shapovalov ("Ded"), in the SVO zone on May 11th, highlighting his combat experience and awards and stating he will be nominated for Hero of Russia posthumously. Russia is planning a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th, according to Ukrainian intelligence (GUR). The launch, from a mobile ground complex near Svobodny, Sverdlovsk Oblast, is intended for "demonstrative pressure and intimidation" of Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. This ICBM has a range of over 10,000 kilometers. Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev claims Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. The International Association of Ultrarunners has reportedly refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag. Carpathians have experienced renewed snowfall in May, with limited visibility and sub-zero temperatures reported on Pip Ivan mountain.

Changes to the Situation from New Messages:

Planned Russian ICBM Launch: РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th. Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes this as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO. The launch location is near Svobodny, Sverdlovsk Oblast, and the missile has a range of over 10,000 km. This is a significant new development with strategic implications.
Russian Claim of Strategic Impact of Bogatyr Liberation: ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. This reinforces the Russian narrative of the strategic importance of this claimed gain.
Scandal in Russian Region Related to SVO: ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. This is a new report on a domestic incident in Russia, highlighting public perception of the SVO and potential issues with corruption or abuse of power. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter.
International Sporting Body Refuses to Recognize Russian Record: ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag. This is a new development highlighting the impact of the conflict on international sports and the continued exclusion of Russian symbols.
Weather Conditions in Carpathians: РБК-Україна reports renewed snowfall in the Carpathians in May, with limited visibility and sub-zero temperatures on Pip Ivan mountain. While not directly military, extreme weather can impact logistics and operations in mountainous terrain.
Allegation Against ICC Prosecutor: Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment. This is a new, significant development regarding a key international legal figure and institution, potentially impacting investigations and perceptions related to war crimes in Ukraine.
Information Operation Mocking French First Lady: Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about French First Lady Brigitte Macron and the Albanian Prime Minister. This is an example of an information operation likely aimed at a Western audience, using humor and potentially misinformation to create a narrative.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (Obukhivskyi district, Fastivskyi district): Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack resulting in casualties and damage. Reports detail specific damage to residential buildings and infrastructure. Russian military bloggers suggest Vasylkiv airbase was a key target. Concerns about potential eviction of a Territorial Defense unit in Pereyaslav reported.
Donetsk Oblast (Rekodub, Volnoye Pole, Chasiv Yar, Shakhtersky direction, Kupiansk direction, Lyman direction, Siversk direction, Kramatorsk direction, Toretsk direction, Pokrovsk direction, Novopavlivka direction, Orikhiv direction, Novaya Poltavka, Konstantinovka direction, Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Kurdumivka, Predtechyne, Stupochky, Bila Hora, Ozaryanivka, Dyliyivka, Druzhba, Stara Mykolayivka, Yablunivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Myrolubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Novoserhiyivka, Troyitske, Andriyivka, Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Vilne Pole, Rivnopil, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Komar, Otradnoye, Zelenyy Kut, Novoukrainka, Alekseevka, Berestok, Aleksandropol, Novoaleksandrovka, Kurakhovsky direction, Vuhledarsky direction, Bakhmutsky direction, Bogatyr, Donetsk People's Republic, Kramatorsk–Dobropillya highway, Dzerzhinsk, Dyliivka): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat across multiple directions. Russian forces claim tactical advances and the liberation of settlements including Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, and advances on the Konstantinovka direction. Both sides report combat engagements and inflicting losses. Russian aviation strikes and artillery shelling are reported. Ukrainian sources from the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs towards Donetsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove, Berezivka, and Oleksandropol. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike in a treeline. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, with georeferencing provided. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction (Romanovka, Zarya, Stara Mykolayivka, Ignatovka, Yablunovka, Novooleksiivka, Novoyelenivka), claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and that it was a large logistical hub for Ukraine.
Cherkasy Oblast (Kaniv): Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones.
Vinnytsia Oblast: Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones.
Poltava Oblast (Poltava, Myrhorod, Kremenchuk): Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones.
Sumy Oblast (Bunyakine, Tetkino, Konotop, Khoten, Showstka, Bilopillia, Bessalovka, Ryzhevka, Sadki, Zapseleye, Yunakovka, Volfino): Affected by Russian aerial activity, ground assaults, and potentially targeted by artillery. Ukrainian claim of destroying a Russian ammunition truck in Belgorod Oblast near the border is relevant. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast, adjacent to Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of Russian tactical aviation activity in the northern and northeastern directions, affecting frontline regions which include parts of Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna.
Chernihiv Oblast (near Chernihiv, Nizhyn): Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones.
Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by air raid alerts due to Russian drones.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Tetkino, Pody, Russkoye Porechnoye, Khomutovsky district, Bessalovka, Ryzhevka, Sadki, Zapseleye, Yunakovka, Volfino, Glushkovo, Sudzha): Location of Ukrainian drone attacks and Russian military activity. Reports of a fire at the house of the head of Glushkovsky district during a drone attack with claims of Russian officers living there. Russian military bloggers discussing operations near Tetkino and alleged issues with a Ukrainian brigade. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving in the Kursk operation. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, stating Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence, aiming to create a buffer zone to prevent new offensives on Sumy and Kharkiv. It claims the operation has been successful in disrupting Russian plans for a "security zone" in Sumy and exposing Russian border defense weaknesses. It also highlights Russian force deployments to the area (including 12,000 North Korean servicemen) and increased use of KABs, leading to the destruction of Sudzha. Ukrainian forces are employing asymmetric tactics and active defense. Significant Russian losses in personnel and equipment are reported since August 6, 2024. Russia continues assault actions to push Ukrainian forces out of Kursk Oblast and form "security zones" in Sumy border areas, forcing them to redeploy reserves from other directions.
Moscow (Russia): Location of high-profile arrests, legal proceedings, criminal events, and domestic incidents potentially linked to returning soldiers from the conflict. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Novodarivka, Temirivka, Huliaipole, Kamianske, Orikhiv, Novaya Poltavka, Mala Tokmachka, Bogatyr, Volnoye Pole, Scherbaky, Stepove, Mali Scherbaky, Marhanets community, Komar, Otradnoe, Komsomolske, Zaporizhzhia city, Synelnykivskyi district, Temirovka, Pavlovka, Kamenskoye, Malaya Tokmachka, Novodanilovka): Affected by Russian attacks and Ukrainian defensive operations. Russian military bloggers discuss the strategic importance of Bogatyr in relation to reaching the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 issues and cancels an air alarm. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove and Berezivka. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones, batteries, EW systems, remote mining means, and other equipment, totaling 20 million UAH.
Voronezh (Russia): Location of an incident of vandalism against a Soviet war memorial.
Kharkiv Oblast (Kupiansk, Vovchansk, Stroivka, Izium district, Chuhuiv district, Pyriatyn, Huliaipole, Borova, Hrekivka, Komsomolske, near Chuhuiv, Kolodezhnoye, Dvurechanskoye, Novoosinovo, Kutkovka, Peschanoye, Chugunovka, Otradnoye, Vasilenkovo): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity and ground assaults. Police investigation regarding a death at a TCC is ongoing. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving on the Kupiansk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of Russian tactical aviation activity in the northern and northeastern directions, affecting frontline regions which include parts of Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, injuring one person and causing emotional shock to two others.
Khabarovsk Krai (Russia): Location of reported criminal cases.
Oryol (Russia): Location of a residential fire that has been extinguished.
Mediterranean Sea (near Gibraltar): Location of reported Russian oil transshipment activities.
Bryansk Oblast (Russia): Location of Ukrainian drone attacks.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Berezove, Nikopol district, Marhanets community, Synelnykivskyi district, Kryvorizkyi district, Zelenodolska community, Novokalynivka, Pavlohrad, Novomoskovsk, Shakhtarske, Novopavlovka, Dnipro, Kamianske, Berezovoye): Affected by Russian attacks. Russian military bloggers discuss the strategic importance of Bogatyr in relation to reaching the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Berezivka.
Luhansk Oblast (Kirovsk, Yampol): Affected by air raid alerts.
Crimean Peninsula (АР Крим) (Perevalnoye, Sevastopol): Affected by air raid alerts. Russian analysis of US RQ-4B Global Hawk activity suggests potential for increased Ukrainian attacks in the Black Sea and Crimea. Ukrainian commemoration of the Crimean Tatar deportation is relevant.
Shahtyorsk direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Bogatyr): Russian forces claim liberation of Bogatyr and highlight its strategic importance. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr.
Kupiansk Direction (Kharkiv/Donetsk Oblasts) (Kolodezhnoye, Dvurechanskoye, Novoosinovo, Kutkovka, Peschanoye, Kupyansk): Location of combat engagements. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving on the Kupiansk direction. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk.
Lyman Direction (Donetsk Oblast): Location of combat engagements.
Siversk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): Location of combat engagements.
Kramatorsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Novaya Poltavka, Kurumivka, near Kramatorsk, Kramatorsk–Dobropillya highway, Konstantinovka, Belaya Gora, Pleshcheyevka, Zarya, Aleksandro-Kalinivo, Zaliznyanskoye, Kleban-Byk): Location of offensive actions and claimed Russian advances, including the liberation of Novaya Poltavka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Oleksandropol. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation.
Toretsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Dzerzhinsk): Location of combat engagements. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving in Toretsk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia is forced to redeploy reserves from other directions, including those intended to reinforce offensive actions on the Toretsk direction, to the Kursk direction.
Pokrovsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Pokrovsk, Novosergeyevka, Popov Yar, Udachnoye, Ulyanovka, Kotlino, Zverevo, Dmitrov, Krasnoarmeysk): Location of numerous assaults and offensives. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia is forced to redeploy reserves from other directions, including those intended to reinforce offensive actions on the Pokrovsk direction, to the Kursk direction.
Orikhiv Direction (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Location of enemy assaults repelled by Ukrainian defenders. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia is forced to redeploy reserves from other directions, including those intended to reinforce offensive actions on the Orikhiv direction, to the Kursk direction.
Pridniprovskyi Direction (Kherson Oblast): Location of unsuccessful enemy offensive actions. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands.
Kursk Direction (Russia) (Tetkino, Pody, Russkoye Porechnoye, Khomutovsky district, Bessalovka, Ryzhevka, Sadki, Zapseleye, Yunakovka, Volfino, Glushkovo, Sudzha): Location of combat engagements, aviation strikes, guided bombs, and artillery shellings. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving in the Kursk operation. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of Russian tactical aviation activity in the northern and northeastern directions, affecting frontline regions which include parts of Kursk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, stating Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence to create a buffer zone and prevent new offensives on Sumy and Kharkiv, highlighting Russian losses and forced redeployments.
Huliaipole Direction (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): No active enemy offensive actions reported over the past day.
Volyn and Polissia Directions (Ukraine/Belarus Border): No signs of enemy offensive formations detected.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian attacks.
Kherson Oblast (Mykolaivka, Kherson city, Ponyatovka, Tokarevka): Affected by Russian aviation strikes and Ukrainian defensive operations. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands.
Vasylkiv (Kyiv Oblast): Russian military bloggers suggest this was a specific target of the overnight drone attack, with reports of a strong fire at the airbase.
Konstantinovka direction (Donetsk Oblast): Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Novaya Poltavka in this direction.
Borova area (Kharkiv Oblast): Positional battles reported.
Hrekivka area (Kharkiv Oblast): Claimed Russian advances reported.
Shahtyorsk direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Bogatyr): Russian forces claim liberation of Bogatyr and highlight its strategic importance. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr.
Southern Direction: Ukrainian forces report inflicting enemy losses. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Chelyabinsk (Russia): Location of a domestic Russian military aviation incident.
Purekh (Russia): Restoration efforts reported.
Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Location of Ukrainian drone attacks and Russian military activity. Ukrainian claim of destroying a Russian ammunition truck here.
Vatican: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV and has a reported closed meeting with the Pope. The Pope has called for peace negotiations in Ukraine. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace.
Poland: First round of presidential elections reported. Russia is conducting an information operation during the elections. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland.
Romania: Second round of presidential elections reported with record voter turnout abroad.
Marhanets (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Alleged misallocation of funds reported.
Alekseevka (Donetsk Oblast): Russian strikes reported.
Otradnoye (Donetsk Oblast): Russian strikes reported.
Zelenyy Kut (Donetsk Oblast): Russian strikes reported.
Novoukrainka (Donetsk Oblast): Russian strikes reported.
Donetsk (city) (DPR claimed territory) (Makiivka): Alleged Ukrainian drone attempt to attack a hospital reported. Human rights activist fined.
Berestok (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed destruction of a Ukrainian howitzer near here.
Novomikhailovka (Donetsk Oblast): Positional battles reported with a claimed Russian advance.
Aleksandropol (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed liberation reported. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Oleksandropol.
Komsomolske (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Russian artillery strikes claimed.
Khomutovsky district (Kursk Oblast, Russia) (Pody, Glushkovo): Fatality from drone attack reported. House of the head of the district burned down during a drone attack with claims of Russian officers living there.
St. Peter's Square (Vatican): Location of the inaugural procession for the Pope's mass.
Nachodka (Russia): Lawsuit filed by a World War II veteran reported.
Moldova: Diaspora voting in Moldova related to the Romanian presidential election mentioned.
Great Britain: Diaspora voting in Great Britain related to the Romanian presidential election mentioned.
South Donetsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): Russian forces claim the liberation of Bogatyr on this direction and highlight its strategic significance. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Kurakhovsky direction (Donetsk Oblast): Body exchange reported.
Ugledarsky direction (Donetsk Oblast): Body exchange reported.
Bakhmutsky direction (Donetsk Oblast): Body exchange reported. Positional battles reported. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions a Ukrainian soldier serving in Chasiv Yar.
Russkoye Porechnoye (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Russian forces claim finding the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse.
Kryvyi Rih (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Military aid provided by the city council reported.
St. Petersburg (Russia): Raid at a club and detention of a blogger reported. Murder and dismemberment case reported.
Horlivka area (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed Russian advances reported.
Velyka Novosilka area (Donetsk Oblast): Claimed Russian advances reported.
Kamenskoye area (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Claimed Russian advances reported.
Sinelnykivskyi district (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Threat of aviation weapons for this district.
Germany: Seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war. German helicopters participating in NATO exercises in Lithuania.
Belgium: Providing new military aid package to Ukraine.
Khan Yunis (Gaza): Claimed death of a Hamas leader in a tunnel after an Israeli strike. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza.
Novosergeyevka (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Popov Yar (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Udachnoye (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Ulyanovka (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Kotlino (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Zverevo (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Dmitrov (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Poltavka (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Koptevo (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces hit formations near here.
Novoekonomicheskoye (Donetsk People's Republic): Russian forces advancing into the depth of enemy defense near here.
Temirovka (Zaporozhye region): Russian forces delivered strikes near here.
Pavlovka (Zaporozhye region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Kamenskoye (Zaporozhye region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Malaya Tokmachka (Zaporozhye region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Novodanilovka (Zaporozhye region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Ponyatovka (Kherson region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Tokarevka (Kherson region): Russian forces engaged formations near here.
Canada: Canadian Prime Minister attending Pope's inauguration.
Italy (Rome): Italian Prime Minister attending Pope's inauguration. Germany seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war.
European Commission: President of the European Commission attending Pope's inauguration.
United States: US Vice President attending Pope's inauguration. Zelenskyy met with US Vice President Vance.
Bessalovka (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Ryzhevka (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Sadki (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Zapseleye (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Yunakovka (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Volfino (Sumy region): Russian forces hit Ukrainian forces near here.
Chugunovka (Kharkov region): Russian troops inflicted fire damage near here.
Vasilenkovo (Kharkov region): Russian troops inflicted fire damage near here.
Chechnya (Russia): Past scandal referenced. Service history includes deployments here.
Rosgvardia (Russia): Past scandal referenced. Advertisement for contract military service includes the National Guard.
Lithuania: NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") are ongoing here. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania.
Belarus: NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") are ongoing near the border of Belarus. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") near the borders of Russia and Belarus.
Demidovka (Ukraine): Alleged heavy losses for the Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade near here.
Gaza: Claimed death of a Hamas leader here. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza.
Moscow News (Russia): Reports a murder and dismemberment case and an expected thunderstorm in Moscow.
Blum (Crypto Project): Arrest of a co-founder in Moscow reported.
Izhevsk (Russia): New Shahed production facility reported.
Komar (Donetsk Oblast): Russian forces are advancing towards here.
Porshe Cayenne: Russian soldiers allegedly using a Porsche Cayenne for transportation.
Obukhivskyi district (Kyiv Oblast): Affected by overnight drone attack with casualties and damage.
Fastivskyi district (Kyiv Oblast): Affected by overnight drone attack with damage.
Dzerzhinsk (Donetsk People's Republic): Claimed destruction of a Ukrainian stronghold near here.
Cherkasy (city): Commemoration of the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People mentioned.
Kostiantyn Trutovsky (19th-century Ukrainian painter): Cultural post commemorating him.
Losino-Petrovsk (Moscow Oblast): Alleged grenade incident involving a returning Russian SVO participant resulting in fatalities and injuries.
Jabalia camp (Gaza): ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing here.
Lobkove (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove.
Berezivka (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Berezivka.
Oleksandropol (Donetsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Oleksandropol.
Dnipro islands (Kherson Oblast): Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident here.
Vologda Oblast (Russia) (Nyuksensky district): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal involving the daughter of a district head here. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident.
Vatican: Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment.
Denmark: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine.
Kazakhstan: Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft.
Svobodny (Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia): РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM from near here.
Pip Ivan mountain (Carpathians): РБК-Україна reports renewed snowfall here.
South-Donetsk direction: Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Druzhkivka direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Romanovka, Zarya, Stara Mykolayivka, Ignatovka, Yablunovka, Novooleksiivka, Novoyelenivka, Rusin Yar, Scherbynivka, Novospasske (Petrivka), Katerynivka, Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of this direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation.
Sloviansk-Kramatorsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Krasnoarmiisk-Dymytrovsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Albania: Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. A massive overnight attack involved 273 strike UAVs and imitator drones targeting multiple regions, including Kyiv Oblast, resulting in casualties and damage. Ukrainian air defense claims significant downings of strike UAVs and that a large number of imitator drones were locationally lost. One drone is still in the air. Russian forces continue to employ kamikaze drones and other types, and also use guided aerial bombs launched from tactical aviation. Russian military bloggers claim successful drone strikes on Ukrainian assets and infrastructure, including an ammunition depot and UAV control points. "Air battles" between drones are reported. Ukraine claims success in downing Russian drones, including "Molniya" drones with anti-tank mine warheads, and using interceptor drones. Ukraine also claims destroying a Russian ammunition truck in Belgorod Oblast using a drone. A house in Kursk Oblast reportedly burned down during a drone attack. Russian air defense claims downing a large number of Ukrainian drones over the past day. Russian military bloggers report continued use of FPV drones in offensive operations. The US RQ-4B Global Hawk is conducting reconnaissance in the Black Sea, and Russia anticipates new Ukrainian attempts to attack in the Black Sea and Crimea using USVs and sabotage groups. Ukrainian assessment of a Russian ground robotic complex is shared. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, claiming destruction of Russian vehicles. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including 140 drones of various types and EW systems.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued extensive use by Russian forces on multiple fronts, including recent launches on Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. Russia claims downing 7 JDAM bombs over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike in a treeline. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk.
Missile Activity: Russia claims downing 7 JDAM bombs over the past day. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th.
Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation remains active in northeastern and eastern directions, launching guided aerial bombs. Russian forces conducted 75 aviation strikes over the past day. Russia claims striking military airfield infrastructure and UAV concentration areas. Russian military bloggers discuss what a helicopter pilot does when a drone detector beeps, implying continued helicopter operations. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline regions. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna and Донеччину. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk.
Naval Activity: No new reports on naval engagements or carrier movements in the Black or Azov Seas. Reported Russian oil transshipment activities in the Mediterranean near Gibraltar continue. Russia anticipates new Ukrainian attempts to attack in the Black Sea direction, particularly targeting gas production platforms in Crimea and potentially involving USVs and sabotage groups. Ukraine reports inflicting losses on Russian boats in the Southern direction. Russia commemorates the anniversary of the Baltic Fleet. Belgium is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels. The US RQ-4B Global Hawk is conducting reconnaissance in the Black Sea. Denmark is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels as part of a new aid package. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones and EW systems.
Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaged in countering Russian aerial threats, reporting successful interceptions of strike UAVs and other drones across various oblasts. Russia claims downing a large number of Ukrainian drones and JDAM bombs over the past day. Russia claims destroying a Ukrainian stronghold using a "Lancet" drone as part of counter-battery fire. Ukraine reports using interceptor drones to shoot down Russian drones. Russia claims hitting Ukrainian UAV control points and relay antennas. Belgium is providing Ukraine with modernized anti-aircraft systems and portable drone detection systems. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine issues warnings about the threat of enemy strike UAVs. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction, highlighting Russian counter-drone capabilities. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including EW systems.
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. Russian forces conducted 4735 shellings, including 122 from MLRS, over the past day. Russia claims inflicting damage on Ukrainian forces and equipment in numerous areas using artillery. Russian military bloggers report artillery strikes and claim success in targeting Ukrainian positions. Russia claims destroying a Ukrainian stronghold using an ATGM. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade against a "Nona" self-propelled artillery system and a mortar. Denmark is providing Ukraine with self-propelled artillery and ammunition as part of a new aid package. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including remote mining means.
Electronic Warfare (EW): Russia claims hitting Ukrainian EW stations and UAV control points. Ukraine reports destroying a Russian EW asset. Russia claims downing Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, potentially through EW or air defense. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including EW systems.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Diplomatic efforts continue, with the US linking potential sanctions against Russia to a lack of progress in negotiations with Ukraine. Both sides are reportedly preparing documents outlining ceasefire conditions. An ISW assessment suggests the Kremlin is delaying negotiations and preparing for a prolonged war. Russian military bloggers and official sources continue to comment on negotiations, emphasizing their position based on battlefield successes and readiness for prolonged conflict. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inauguration of the new Pope Leo XIV and has a reported closed meeting with the Pope, who has called for peace negotiations in Ukraine. Zelenskyy also met with the US Vice President. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace.
International Pressure: The US is linking progress in negotiations to potential further sanctions against Russia. Germany is seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO.
Internal Russian Politics: Internal legal proceedings, incidents of vandalism, reports on military engineers, and criminal events continue. Reports of a grenade incident involving a returning Russian soldier in Moscow Oblast are circulating. Russian sources continue to promote narratives of military success and highlight internal social and economic issues. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated that the return of Western companies is permissible if it increases market competition. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ASTRA is appealing for donations. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated regarding ceasefire conditions. Commentary on negotiations continues from both sides, with differing interpretations and stated positions. Zelenskyy is engaged in high-level diplomatic meetings with international figures. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO.
Eurovision 2025: The outcome of the Eurovision contest is reported. Commentary on media coverage is noted.
International Incidents: A maritime incident in New York and the claimed death of a Hamas leader in Gaza after an Israeli strike are reported. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed in a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment.
Middle East Tensions: The claimed death of a Hamas leader in Gaza is reported. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza.
Energy Security: Turkey announces the discovery of a giant new gas field in the Black Sea. Russian oil transshipment activities are reported.
ISW Assessment: ISW provides an assessment of the Kremlin's negotiation strategy.
Commemoration of Fallen Ukrainian Defender: Commemoration of a Ukrainian defender is reported.
Commemorative Practices in Ukraine: Daily minute of silence and commemoration of historical events like the Crimean Tatar deportation are highlighted. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars.
Polish Presidential Election: Analysis of the first round and claims of Russian information operations during the election are reported. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland.
Romanian Presidential Election: Analysis of the second round and record voter turnout abroad are reported.
Cultural Diplomacy: Ukrainian participation in the Cannes Film Festival and attendance of Ukrainian and international leaders at the Pope's inauguration are reported. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican.
Commemoration of Crimean Tatar Deportation: Ukrainian officials and military units are commemorating this historical event. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars.
Report on Potential Post-Conflict Arms Trafficking: A report suggesting a massive inflow of weapons into Europe after the conflict is noted.
Vatican: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy is attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV and has a reported closed meeting with the Pope, who has called for peace negotiations in Ukraine. International leaders are also attending. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment.
US-Russia Relations: Russian President Putin has commented on relations with the US. Commentary on potential high-level meetings continues. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO.
Italy-Ukraine Relations: Italy is potentially transferring armored personnel carriers and assisting with a satellite observation system. Germany is seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war.
Moldova-Romania Relations: Diaspora voting in Moldova related to the Romanian presidential election mentioned.
Great Britain-Romania Relations: Diaspora voting in Great Britain related to the Romanian presidential election mentioned.
Georgia: Report on the lives of Russian and Belarusian individuals who have relocated to Georgia.
Khan Yunis (Gaza): Claimed death of a Hamas leader here. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza.
European Union: President of the European Commission attending Pope's inauguration. Russia is conducting an information operation during the elections in a member state. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO.
Canada: Canadian Prime Minister attending Pope's inauguration.
Italy (Rome): Italian Prime Minister attending Pope's inauguration. Germany seeking decisive action from Italy regarding Russia's war.
United States: US Vice President attending Pope's inauguration. Zelenskyy met with US Vice President Vance. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment.
Russia (Baikonur Cosmodrome): Detention of two Czech citizens reported.
Russia (Sheremetyevo airport, Moscow): Arrest related to alleged embezzlement schemes reported.
Russia (Moscow): Arrest of a co-founder of a crypto project and criminal events reported. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect.
International Football History and Statistics Federation: Recognition of Lev Yashin reported.
ANNA News: Cited in a report on strategic implications.
Losino-Petrovsk (Moscow Oblast): Alleged grenade incident involving a returning Russian SVO participant resulting in fatalities and injuries.
Jabalia camp (Gaza): ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing here.
Lobkove (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Lobkove.
Berezivka (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Berezivka.
Oleksandropol (Donetsk Oblast): ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports enemy advances near Oleksandropol.
Dnipro islands (Kherson Oblast): Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident here.
Vologda Oblast (Russia) (Nyuksensky district): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal involving the daughter of a district head here. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter.
Vatican: Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV here. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment.
Denmark: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine.
Kazakhstan: Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft.
Svobodny (Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia): РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM from near here.
Pip Ivan mountain (Carpathians): РБК-Україна reports renewed snowfall here.
International Association of Ultrarunners: ТАСС reports that this association has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag.
South-Donetsk direction: Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Druzhkivka direction (Donetsk Oblast) (Romanovka, Zarya, Stara Mykolayivka, Ignatovka, Yablunovka, Novooleksiivka, Novoyelenivka, Rusin Yar, Scherbynivka, Novospasske (Petrivka), Katerynivka, Druzhkivka, Kramatorsk): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of this direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation.
Sloviansk-Kramatorsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Krasnoarmiisk-Dymytrovsk grouping of Ukrainian forces (Donetsk Oblast): Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian advances pose a threat to the rear of this grouping.
Albania: Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated)

Internal Security: Reports of corruption, criminal activity (murder and dismemberment in Moscow and St. Petersburg), fraud schemes, and domestic incidents potentially linked to returning military personnel continue. A fire at the house of a Russian official in Kursk Oblast during a drone attack is reported, with claims of Russian officers living there. Detentions in Sevastopol for allegedly working for the SBU are reported. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO, leveraging her mother's position. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated that the return of Western companies is permissible if it increases market competition. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ASTRA is appealing for donations. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow.
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting intense offensive operations, claiming tactical successes and the liberation of settlements including Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, and advances on the Konstantinovka direction. They are utilizing extensive aerial and artillery assets and drones, including claims of destroying Ukrainian equipment and personnel. Russia's Ministry of Defense provides comprehensive daily and cumulative reports on claimed Ukrainian losses and Russian advances across various Groups of Forces. Russian military bloggers continue to report on tactical situations, equipment use (including unconventional methods), and claimed successes. A domestic Russian military aviation incident is noted. Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. The death of a decorated Russian scout-sniper is reported. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, claiming destruction of Russian vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline regions. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting Russian force deployments (including 12,000 North Korean servicemen), increased use of KABs, and significant Russian losses in personnel and equipment. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria under a single command, offering a perspective on challenges related to integrating disparate forces. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Casualties: Reports of casualties continue from both sides, including civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks in Ukraine and fatalities in a domestic incident in Russia potentially linked to a returning soldier. A significant body exchange has taken place. Russian official and military blogger sources report claimed Ukrainian personnel losses. The death of a Russian scout-sniper is reported. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade with a caption mentioning "new batch of two-hundreds [killed] Russians." Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian losses in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024, including 63,172 killed and wounded, and 968 prisoners of war.
Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian military bloggers and official sources continue to promote narratives of military success, claimed territorial gains (liberation of Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka), effectiveness of Russian forces and equipment, and criticize Ukrainian leadership and military performance. They are also using reports of internal Ukrainian issues and domestic incidents in Russia for propaganda purposes. Official videos of claimed "liberation" are shared. Russian sources are also disseminating commentary on negotiations from their perspective. Propaganda related to Russian military life and achievements is shared. Claims of Ukrainian actions and alleged war crimes are highlighted. Information operations targeting foreign elections are reported. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming destruction of Russian vehicles in Chasiv Yar, likely for propaganda purposes. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO, likely for internal information purposes. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership, reflecting an internal discussion. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection, likely for information or propaganda purposes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. ASTRA is appealing for donations. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a Russian success. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis, framing Russian advances as the start of a new operation. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and highlighting its strategic importance, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on Russian drone production, likely for internal information or to highlight Russian capabilities. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, which can be used to draw parallels or provide a narrative on the complexities of military organization. ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag, which can be used to highlight perceived discrimination against Russians. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister, likely an information operation targeting Western figures. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction, aimed at showcasing Russian capabilities.
Military Logistics and Equipment: Russia is utilizing a wide range of equipment including extensive drone usage, guided aerial bombs, artillery, and MLRS. Reports of reliance on public support for certain equipment (drones, signal amplifiers) continue. Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. A domestic military aviation incident is noted. Ukraine claims destroying a Russian ammunition truck in a border region. ASTRA reports a fire at the house of a Russian official during a drone attack, with claims that Russian officers were living there to protect businesses from looting by Russian soldiers. Russian military bloggers claim destruction of Ukrainian military equipment. Belgium is providing Ukraine with a new military aid package including various military assets. Russian military bloggers share content featuring the use of unconventional vehicles. Claims of new Russian military technology are being assessed by Ukraine. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike. Denmark is providing Ukraine with self-propelled artillery, ammunition, and equipment for the Air Force. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian equipment losses in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024, including tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems, MLRS, air defense systems, aircraft, helicopters, UAVs, vehicles, and special equipment. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones, batteries, EW systems, remote mining means, and other equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, indicating continued use of this munition. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction.
Civilian Impact: Civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure from Russian drone attacks in Ukraine are reported. Internal Russian issues like criminal activity (murder and dismemberment, fraud) and domestic incidents potentially involving returning military personnel can impact civilians. A fatality from a Ukrainian drone attack in Kursk Oblast is reported. Russian official sources provide details on civilian casualties and damage in Kyiv Oblast from the overnight drone attack. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ASTRA is appealing for donations. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, injuring one person and causing emotional shock to two others. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect.
Defense Planning: Joint exercises with Belarus are being planned. Russian military bloggers discuss NATO exercises near Russian and Belarusian borders, highlighting them as a focus for offensive and defensive operations against Russia and Belarus. Ukrainian efforts to build defense lines are noted. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, stating Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence to create a buffer zone and prevent new offensives on Sumy and Kharkiv.
Social Notes: Internal Russian social issues and criminal events are reported. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter. ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag, impacting Russian athletes. Moscow News reports an expected thunderstorm in Moscow.
Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: Internal Russian legal and security issues, including criminal activity, arrests (including a co-founder of a crypto project and individuals in Sevastopol), and investigations, continue to be reported. A grenade incident in Moscow Oblast linked to a returning soldier is reported. A murder and dismemberment case in St. Petersburg is reported. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow.
Infrastructure: Damage to Ukrainian infrastructure from Russian aerial attacks is reported. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian forces damaging the "Siversky Donets – Donbas" canal pipe in Chasiv Yar. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, impacting civilian infrastructure. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting the destruction of Sudzha due to Russian aviation strikes on its own territory.
Culture and Symbolism: Cultural events and commemorations are noted in Ukraine. Russian military bloggers share propaganda related to military life and achievements. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast. ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag, impacting Russian national symbolism. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces are raising the Russian flag in Novaya Poltavka, a symbolic act of claiming territory.
Economic Issues: Impact of sanctions and efforts to find new economic partners are noted. Criminal cases related to alleged embezzlement and fraud are reported. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated that the return of Western companies is permissible if it increases market competition. ASTRA is appealing for donations. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the revenue of new Russian drone production companies, indicating economic activity in this sector.
Geopolitical Engagements: Diplomatic efforts with Belarus and commentary on negotiations with Ukraine and the involvement of international actors continue. Commentary on foreign elections is noted. Russia's engagement in Central Asia and other regions is noted. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that Russia plans a "training and combat" launch of an ICBM on the night of May 19th, which Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) characterizes as a tactic to intimidate Ukraine, EU, and NATO. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment, impacting a key international legal body. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, offering a perspective on regional dynamics.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support (Ukraine): International military aid continues, including a new package from Belgium with unmanned maritime vessels, drones, anti-aircraft systems, and training. Italy is potentially transferring armored personnel carriers and assisting with a satellite observation system. Fundraising efforts for Ukrainian military units are ongoing. Ukraine is highlighting the need for continued support from international partners. Ukraine is reporting successes in countering Russian drones using new tactics and equipment. Basic training for new recruits and efforts to improve veteran status processes are ongoing. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast and appeals for donations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes and appeals for donations. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine worth $600 million, including self-propelled artillery, ammunition, and equipment for the Air Force. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH and including drones, batteries, EW systems, remote mining means, and other equipment.
Civilian Support (Ukraine): Efforts to address the issue of deported children are ongoing internationally. Healthcare infrastructure support is highlighted. Local authorities are implementing humanitarian aid programs. Commemoration of historical events and political repression victims is ongoing. Civilian casualties from Russian attacks highlight the need for civilian support. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, injuring one person and causing emotional shock to two others, highlighting the need for civilian support.
Military Support (Russia): Fundraising for military equipment through public appeals is ongoing. Russian official and military blogger sources highlight military achievements and capabilities. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective, which touches upon equipment development. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military.
Veterans Support (Russia): Reports on issues faced by returning servicemen (including a grenade incident in Moscow Oblast) are emerging. Official programs and commemorations for veterans are noted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances.
Post-Conflict Recovery: Demining efforts are ongoing in Ukraine.
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Ukraine): The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is engaging with families of servicemen. A large-scale body exchange has occurred. Speculation and reports regarding a potential large-scale prisoner exchange are circulating. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian prisoners of war taken in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024 (968).
Prisoner of War and Missing Personnel (Russia): A body exchange has occurred, with Russia receiving a smaller number of bodies than Ukraine. Speculation and reports regarding a potential large-scale prisoner exchange are circulating. A video featuring an alleged Ukrainian servicemember who surrendered is shared. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian prisoners of war taken in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024 (968).
Internal Issues in Russia: Reports on internal issues, including criminal activity, are present. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter. ТАСС reports the discovery of two bags with body fragments in Moscow and the detention of a suspect. ASTRA reports the arrest of Vladimir Smerkisa, co-founder of the crypto project Blum and former Binance CIS director, on fraud charges in Moscow.
Law Enforcement and Evasion of Mobilization (Ukraine): Investigations into schemes to evade mobilization continue. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ highlights a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized.
Psychological Support: Cultural diplomacy and commemoration events in Ukraine can provide psychological support. A tragic domestic incident in Russia potentially linked to a returning soldier highlights potential psychological challenges. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorating the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars.
Humanitarian Impact (Unspecified Location): Images depicting damaged structures are shared. ТАСС reports five volunteers from Dagestan were killed during a bombing in the Jabalia camp in Gaza.
Veteran Status and Benefits (Ukraine): Efforts to improve administrative processes for obtaining veteran status are reported.
Fundraising: STERNENKO and БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС are appealing for donations for the Ukrainian military. ASTRA is appealing for donations. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH, highlighting the financial support provided.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults across multiple fronts, repelling numerous attacks and inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses. Utilizing drones for various purposes, including counter-drone operations with interceptor drones and potentially for striking targets in Russia and occupied territories. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from widespread Russian aerial and artillery attacks. Engaging in high-level diplomatic negotiations and seeking continued international military and political support. Addressing alleged internal military issues related to leadership and tactics, with the General Staff launching an investigation into statements by a commander of the 47th Mechanized Brigade. Engaging in basic training for new recruits and efforts to improve veteran support processes. Commemorating fallen defenders and historical events. Highlighting military units and personnel. Investigating potential internal criminal activities linked to hostile forces. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ highlights a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized and is involved in developing unmanned systems. Ukrainian sources from the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, claiming destruction of Russian vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine worth $600 million, including self-propelled artillery, ammunition, and equipment for the Air Force. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 provides a brief comment on weather conditions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, stating Ukrainian forces maintain a military presence, employ asymmetric tactics and active defense, and inflict significant losses on Russian forces. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones, batteries, EW systems, and remote mining means, highlighting the capabilities being provided to Ukrainian units.
Russian Forces: Conducting intense ground assaults and extensive aerial attacks across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements including Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, and advances on the Konstantinovka direction. Employing a massive number of strike UAVs and imitator drones, guided aerial bombs (KABs), extensive artillery and MLRS, and various other drone types. Reporting significant claimed Ukrainian losses in personnel and equipment across all Groups of Forces. Russian military bloggers are actively commenting on tactical situations, equipment use (including unconventional methods), and claimed successes, and engaging in information operations. Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus and planning joint exercises. Domestic incidents potentially linked to returning soldiers are being reported. Russia is utilizing a range of equipment and tactics, including FPV drones and potentially new ground robotic complexes. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, claiming destruction of Russian vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of claimed successful FPV drone strikes by the Ukrainian 3rd Assault Brigade. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. Два майора shares a photo showing the aftermath of a FAB strike. Kotsnews and Старше Эдды report on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the activity of Russian tactical aviation in the northern and northeastern directions, with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline regions. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr and will advance further, implying successful tactics. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka, presented as a successful tactical action. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket, advance towards key heights, and push towards Yablunivka to cut off Ukrainian logistics, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation, highlighting Russian offensive tactics. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting Russian force deployments (including 12,000 North Korean servicemen) and increased use of KABs, also reporting on Russian assault actions. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and highlighting its strategic importance. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military, highlighting Russian capabilities in drone warfare. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, offering a perspective on challenges related to integrating disparate forces, which could be relevant to understanding Russian efforts to coordinate their forces. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, indicating continued use of glide bombs as a tactic. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction, highlighting Russian counter-drone capabilities.
Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is facilitating negotiations. The US is engaging separately with Ukraine and its Vice President met with Zelenskyy. Speculation on former US President Trump's involvement continues. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine (including a new package from Belgium and potential transfers from Italy) and conducting military exercises near Russian and Belarusian borders. The Vatican is offering mediation and the new Pope has called for peace negotiations. Other international leaders are engaging with Ukraine. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) share photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican. Arkhangel Spetsnaza reports on NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine. Fighterbomber shares a photo of Kazakhstan Air Force Su-30SM aircraft. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting the presence of 12,000 North Korean servicemen fighting alongside Russian forces. Alex Parker Returns reports that the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, has been suspended due to allegations of sexual harassment, impacting a key international legal body. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria.
Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones). Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops and destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting claimed combined arms tactics and counter-drone success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones for reconnaissance and artillery for strike. TASS shares video footage from Kherson Oblast showcasing training of Russian military assault units of the "Dnepr" Group of Forces with combat robotic platforms, highlighting the claimed use and training with advanced military technology. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide military equipment, including drones, surface drones, a Leopard tank, and Cerber systems. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian BMC Kirpi armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian FPV drones in Kostiantynivka. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing. MoD Russia shares a video of BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle crews training. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across various oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 1036 kamikaze drones used by Russian forces and 15 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed in the past day. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka using drone drops. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles, which is a response to the threat posed by drones and other weapons. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults. Два майора shares a video with the caption "Пацаны ебашут хохлов 24/7. Честь и хвала российским штурмам!", a propaganda piece. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures. MoD Russia claims downing three JDAM guided bombs, one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. MoD Russia claims destroying field artillery guns and mortars in several locations over the past day and Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas and Operational-Tactical Aviation struck in 143 areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. Народная милиция ДНР claims the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point near Ulyanovka by a BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, indicating continued use of glide bombs as a tactic. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, including drones of various types, batteries, EW systems, and remote mining means, highlighting the capabilities being provided to Ukrainian units. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on the number of new Russian drone production companies and their revenue, and the estimated number of drones produced and supplied to the military, highlighting Russian capabilities in drone warfare.
Personnel: TASS reports alleged Ukrainian troop deployments, including "elite units" and the "Aidar" battalion, to Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike on a temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade near Velyka Chernechyna, Sumy Oblast, implying the presence of this unit's personnel. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian personnel losses, including 372 neutralized (228 killed) on the Pokrovsk direction, and a total of 910 Russian personnel losses over the past day. Colonelcassad and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the Ukrainian 47th Brigade due to concerns about unjustified personnel losses. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the destruction of enemy personnel by the 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade near Nadiivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses Russian tactics of using small groups (2-3 people) for propaganda. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade and shares his statements. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with commentary linking the battalion commander's resignation to opposition to the regime. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a photo message quoting the head of the Council of Reservists of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, Tymochko, discussing the intensity of the Russian offensive and the projected duration of the conflict, and adds commentary from Ukrainian citizens reportedly mocking Tymochko's statement about Russia's inability to fight for 10 years. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides statistics on Russian personnel losses in the Kursk direction since August 6, 2024, including 63,172 killed and wounded, and 968 prisoners of war, highlighting the human cost for Russia. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed report on the situation on the Kursk direction, highlighting the presence of 12,000 North Korean servicemen fighting alongside Russian forces and reporting on Russian assault actions. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, claiming Russian attempts to eliminate a pocket and advance, implying personnel involved in these actions. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The intense ground combat and claimed Russian advances on multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscore Russia's strategic objective of gaining ground and degrading Ukrainian defenses. The high number of combat engagements in areas like Pokrovsk highlights the strategic importance of these sectors. Russian claims of liberating settlements like Bogatyr and Novaya Poltavka, if confirmed, represent tactical gains with potential strategic implications for controlling key routes and advancing towards larger objectives in the Donbas and potentially towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Ukrainian sources denying the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr indicates a contested strategic objective. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reporting enemy advances near Lobkove, Berezivka, and Oleksandropol provides confirmation of tactical shifts in these areas with potential local strategic implications. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on Russian tactics (damaging canal pipe) and Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in Chasiv Yar, reinforcing the strategic importance of this area and the dynamic nature of tactics employed. Воин DV sharing archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr is a strategic effort to reinforce their narrative. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further, reinforcing the Russian narrative of the strategic importance of this claimed gain. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a strategic achievement. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation, highlighting Russian strategic objectives in this area and their efforts to threaten key Ukrainian groupings. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and highlighting its strategic importance for cutting off Ukrainian logistics.
The massive overnight Russian drone attack on Ukraine, involving a large number of UAVs and targeting multiple regions including Kyiv Oblast with casualties and damage, is a significant strategic action aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses, inflicting harm on civilians and infrastructure, and disrupting daily life. The use of a large number of imitator drones highlights a strategic tactic to increase the effectiveness of strike drones. The targeting of facilities like the airbase in Vasylkiv suggests a strategic objective of degrading Ukrainian air capabilities. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of enemy strike UAVs in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts and reports launches of KABs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts, indicating ongoing strategic aerial threats. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna and Донеччину, indicating continued strategic aerial bombardment. РБК-Україна reports a Russian FAB-500 glide bomb strike on a residential area in Kupiansk, demonstrating the strategic impact of these munitions on civilian areas.
Reports of alleged internal Ukrainian military issues related to leadership and tactics, particularly concerning the 47th Mechanized Brigade near Tetkino in Kursk Oblast, are strategically significant. If accurate, these reports, even if amplified by Russian information operations, point to potential challenges within the Ukrainian command structure and the need for adaptation to effectively counter Russian tactics and minimize losses. The General Staff's investigation into these statements is a necessary step to address such concerns and maintain combat effectiveness. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's highlighting of a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized and is involved in developing unmanned systems can be seen as a strategic effort to counter negative narratives and promote dedication and innovation.
Ongoing diplomatic discussions, including Zelenskyy's engagement with the new Pope and the US Vice President, and the Pope's call for peace negotiations, highlight Ukraine's strategic efforts to leverage international support and diplomatic channels to influence the conflict. The potential for continued diplomatic engagement, even amidst intense fighting, is strategically relevant. Zelenskiy / Official, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, and КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) sharing photos and statements from President Zelenskyy attending the inaugural mass of the new Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican and commenting on the need for a just peace are strategically important for garnering international support.
The analysis of the return of the US RQ-4B Global Hawk to the Black Sea and the anticipation of new Ukrainian attempts to attack in the Black Sea and Crimea using USVs and sabotage groups are strategically important. This suggests heightened intelligence gathering activity in the region and highlights potential future operational areas for Ukraine, which Russia is actively monitoring and preparing to counter. The reported potential targeting of gas production platforms in Crimea underscores the strategic importance of energy infrastructure and control in the Black Sea. Denmark is providing Ukraine with unmanned maritime vessels as part of a new aid package, which directly enhances Ukraine's capabilities for potential operations in the Black Sea.
The provision of new military aid to Ukraine by international partners, such as the package from Belgium including anti-aircraft systems, drones, and unmanned maritime vessels, and the potential transfer of armored personnel carriers from Italy, are strategically significant. This demonstrates continued international support for Ukraine's defense and directly enhances Ukraine's capabilities to counter Russian aerial and ground threats and potentially conduct operations in the Black Sea. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Denmark has announced a new military aid package for Ukraine worth $600 million, including self-propelled artillery, ammunition, and equipment for the Air Force, which is a significant strategic contribution to Ukraine's defense capabilities. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of weekly aid to the Zaporizhzhia front, totaling 20 million UAH and including a variety of equipment, highlighting the ongoing support for specific operational areas.
Ukrainian claims of destroying Russian logistics assets within Russia, such as the ammunition truck in Belgorod Oblast, if verified, represent successful strategic strikes aimed at disrupting Russian supply lines and creating pressure in border regions. STERNENKO reporting successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast is a new claim of strategic targeting of Russian supply lines. STERNENKO reports successful Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics in Kursk Oblast.
The alleged grenade incident in Moscow Oblast involving a returning Russian SVO participant and resulting in fatalities and injuries is strategically significant as it highlights potential issues with the reintegration of returning soldiers, access to military ordnance in civilian areas, and potential impacts on domestic security and public perception of the conflict. This incident could be used by both sides in information operations. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO also highlights potential issues with the SVO's impact on Russian society and internal dynamics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 providing guidance on accessing SVO participants' finances addresses a practical issue related to supporting military personnel. ТАСС reports a murder and dismemberment case in Moscow, which is a domestic security issue. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, highlighting internal Russian issues related to the conflict.
Russian claims of liberating Novaya Poltavka and advancing on the Konstantinovka direction are strategically important as these areas are key to controlling territory in the Donbas. These claimed advances contribute to the Russian strategic narrative of progress and their efforts to achieve their stated objectives in the region. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a strategic achievement. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis of the Druzhkivka direction, asserting the start of the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk operation and claiming Russian advances that threaten Ukrainian groupings, highlighting Russia's strategic objectives.
Russian information operations, including the dissemination of videos and commentary on claimed battlefield successes, critiques of Ukrainian military leadership, and the use of domestic incidents for propaganda, are strategically aimed at shaping narratives, influencing public opinion (both domestic and international), and undermining support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that GUR reports Russia is conducting the "Doppelganger" information special operation during the elections in Poland, which is a strategic information operation targeting a key international partner of Ukraine. Ukrainian sources deny the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr is a counter-information operation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a video claiming destruction of Russian vehicles in Chasiv Yar, likely for propaganda purposes. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a scandal in Vologda Oblast involving the daughter of a district head and alleged threats related to the SVO, likely for internal information purposes. Военкор Котенок shares commentary discussing military reforms and leadership, reflecting an internal discussion. Pandiurin Ivan provides commentary on the strategy of armoring drones from a Russian military blogger perspective. Colonelcassad shares a video of a past design for armor protection. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on a boxing tournament for youth in Donetsk Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. ASTRA is appealing for donations. Воин DV shares archival footage supporting the Russian claim of liberating Bogatyr. ТАСС reports, citing Russian military expert Vitaly Kiselev, that Russian forces have leveled the front line on the flanks after liberating Bogatyr in the DNR and will advance further, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Сливочный каприз shares photos and video claiming Russian forces have liberated the central part of Novaya Poltavka and are raising the Russian flag, presented as a strategic achievement and part of the Russian narrative. ASTRA reports a scandal in Vologda Oblast where the 19-year-old daughter of a district head allegedly threatened to send people to the SVO. Colonelcassad also shares a video related to this incident, criticizing the official's daughter, presenting it negatively and likely for information purposes. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed operational update and map analysis, framing Russian advances as the start of a new operation, which is a strategic narrative. Mash на Донбассе shares a video claiming Russian forces have liberated Bogatyr and highlighting its strategic importance, reinforcing the Russian narrative. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 provides data on Russian drone production, likely for internal information or to highlight Russian capabilities. Рыбарь provides analysis on the attempted unification of various armed groups in Syria, which can be used to draw parallels or provide a narrative on the complexities of military organization. ТАСС reports that the International Association of Ultrarunners has refused to recognize Russian athlete Ivan Zaborsky's world record due to the Russian flag, which can be used to highlight perceived discrimination against Russians. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption that appears to be a satirical comment about the Albanian Prime Minister, likely an information operation targeting Western figures. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction, aimed at showcasing Russian capabilities.
The commemoration of the Day of Remembrance of the Victims of the Genocide of the Crimean Tatar People by Ukrainian officials is a strategic act aimed at preserving national memory, highlighting historical injustices, and reinforcing Ukraine's claim to Crimea, particularly relevant in the context of the ongoing Russian occupation. РБК-Україна and 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 commemorate the 80th anniversary of the deportation of the Crimean Tatars.
The Ukrainian assessment of a Russian ground robotic complex, presented critically, is strategically relevant as it provides insight into Ukrainian views on claimed new Russian military technology and potentially informs their development of countermeasures.
The ongoing police investigation in Kharkiv regarding the death of a man at a TCC highlights potential internal Ukrainian issues related to mobilization and recruitment, which can have strategic implications for personnel availability and public perception of the war effort. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's highlighting of a Ukrainian soldier who voluntarily mobilized can be seen as a strategic effort to counter negative narratives and promote dedication and innovation.
Russian military bloggers discussing military reforms and leadership reflects an internal strategic debate within Russia regarding how to improve military effectiveness based on lessons learned from the conflict.
The discussion among Russian military bloggers regarding armoring drones touches upon the strategic direction of drone development and deployment.
The reporting on a combat incident on the Dnipro islands highlights the continued strategic importance of maintaining positions and conducting operations in this challenging environment in the Southern direction.
The return of Western companies to Russia, if it increases market competition, as stated by Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov, could have strategic economic implications for Russia.
NATO exercises ("Griffin Lightning - 2025") in Lithuania near the borders of Russia and Belarus, as reported by Arkhangel Spetsnaza, are strategically significant as they demonstrate NATO's readiness and posture in the region, which Russia views as a concern.
The activity of the Kazakhstan Air Force, as reported by Fighterbomber, is relevant for regional strategic awareness, although its direct connection to the conflict in Ukraine is not immediately clear.
The aftermath of a FAB strike, as shown by Два майора, provides visual evidence of the strategic impact of Russian aerial munitions on the battlefield.
Russia's planned "training and combat" launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) RS-24 "Yars" on the night of May 19th, as reported by Ukrainian intelligence (GUR), is a significant strategic action aimed at intimidation and signaling capabilities to Ukraine, EU, and NATO states. This high-profile launch of a strategic weapon system is a clear demonstration of force and a potential attempt to influence political decisions and deter further support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Alex Parker Returns, and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on this planned launch and emphasizing its intimidating nature further highlights its strategic intent and potential impact.
The detailed report from the Ukrainian General Staff on the situation on the Kursk direction is strategically important as it provides a Ukrainian perspective on their ongoing operation within Russian territory. The report highlights their objectives (buffer zone, preventing new offensives), claimed successes (disrupting Russian plans, exposing weaknesses), Russian force deployments (including North Koreans), Russian tactics (increased KAB use), and significant Russian losses. This information is crucial for assessing the effectiveness of Ukrainian operations in this area and understanding the pressure being exerted on Russian forces, potentially drawing reserves from other directions.
The snowfall in the Carpathians in May, while a natural phenomenon, can have strategic implications by impacting logistics, troop movements, and equipment effectiveness in mountainous terrain, potentially affecting operational planning in that region.
The suspension of the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, due to allegations of sexual harassment, as reported by Alex Parker Returns, is a significant development that could have strategic implications for the ICC's work, particularly its investigations into alleged war crimes in Ukraine. This could potentially impact the pursuit of accountability for actions committed during the conflict.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report