Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 17, 2025, 22:33 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be dominated by widespread and dynamic Russian aerial attacks utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, including Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. These attacks are being tracked by Ukrainian sources, with specific origins (Kursk Oblast in Russia, occupied Kherson Oblast) and trajectories towards central and northern Ukraine, including Kyiv, being noted. The Ukrainian Air Force is actively engaged in countering these threats, while Russian sources are claiming success in downing Ukrainian drones.

Diplomatic discussions regarding potential peace negotiations persist, with a notable development being Russia's preparation of a document outlining its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, as stated by Marco Rubio after a conversation with Sergey Lavrov. This suggests potential movement towards concrete steps in diplomatic efforts, although the specifics of the document are yet to be revealed. Simultaneously, the United States, through Marco Rubio, has expressed a desire for progress in negotiations within the "next few days", indicating a push for a timely resolution and a potential linkage to further US sanctions against Russia if such progress is not achieved. This suggests the US is applying diplomatic pressure to expedite the process and influence the outcome.

Intense ground combat remains a significant feature of the conflict in eastern and southern Ukraine. Russian sources continue to disseminate propaganda and engage in information operations to shape narratives and portray Ukrainian forces negatively, including claims of alleged atrocities in occupied territories. Formal events in Russia are being held to celebrate historical victories and honor current conflict participants, aimed at bolstering morale and support for the military. Internal Russian issues, such as alleged secrecy surrounding demographic data and infrastructure concerns, are also being reported.

New incoming information confirms the continued intensity of Russian drone attacks across a wide area of Ukraine, with detailed tracking provided by Ukrainian sources. It also reinforces the ongoing diplomatic efforts with the US expressing a desire for rapid progress in negotiations and linking it to potential sanctions. Russian sources continue to report on various internal issues and propaganda efforts.

Changes to the Situation from New Messages:

• US Links Sanctions to Negotiation Progress: РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. This explicitly links the outcome of negotiations to potential further US economic pressure on Russia. РБК-Україна also reports Rubio stating they have asked the Senate for time to assess if there will be progress. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio in an interview with CBS News. This reiterates the US position and source.
• Widespread and Detailed Russian Drone Activity Confirmed Across Numerous Oblasts: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides a detailed update on numerous "Shahed" and UAV groups across Sumy, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Kherson, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. This confirms the large-scale and dynamic nature of Russian aerial operations and provides critical real-time intelligence for Ukrainian air defense. РБК-Україна also shares this information from the Ukrainian Air Force.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast (Chasiv Yar, Stupochki, Pokrovsk, Dzerzhynsk, Toretsk, Konstantinovka direction, Krasnolimanskoye direction, Southern Donetsk direction, Kramatorsk, Bahatyr, Novoaleksandrovka, Nova Poltavka, Kostiantynivka, Nadiivka, Новоєгорівка, Лозова, Рідкодуб, Греківка, Катеринівка, Ямполівка, Зелена Долина, Білогорівка, Верхньокам’янське, Курдюмівка, Предтечине, Біла Гора, Озарянівка, Диліївка, Дружба, Стара Миколаївка, Яблунівка, Воздвиженка, Миролюбівка, Єлизаветівка, Промінь, Новосергіївка, Троїцьке, Андріївка, Костянтинопіль, Вільне Поле, Рівнопіль, Новопіль, Зелене Поле, Щербаки, Степове, Малі Щербаки, Komyshuvakha, Bogatyr, Dyliivka, "Beryozka" children's camp, Makiivka, Poddubnoye, Otradnoye, Komar, Perebudova, Кураховского, Бахмутского, Угледарского, Луганского directions, Vuhledar): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. The Ukrainian General Staff reports on combat engagements across multiple directions within Donetsk Oblast. Specific locations mentioned include Chasiv Yar, Kurdyumivka, Predtechine, Stupochki, Bila Hora, Toretsk, Ozarianivka, Dyliivka, Druzhba, Stara Mykolaivka, Yablunivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Nova Poltavka, Myroliubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Novoserhiivka, Troїtske, Andriivka, Kostiantynopil, Bahatyr, Vilne Pole, Rivnopil, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Shcherbaky, Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Novoiehorivka, Lozova, Ridkodub, Hrekivka, Katerynivka, Yampolivka, Zelena Dolyna, Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamyanske. KABs are reported to have hit Kostiantynivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on fighting near Nadiivka, stating Russian forces are trying to advance to level the front line between Novooleksandrivka and Nadiivka. The Ukrainian General Staff also reports intense fighting on the Pokrovsk direction with high Russian losses. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast and a group of BpLA on the east of Donetsk oblast heading towards northwest. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ in the direction of Komyshuvakha (Zaporizhzhia Oblast). ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses the challenges of verifying Russian advances in Bahatyr. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults, with Ukrainians acknowledging consolidation and firing on the lost part of the settlement. They also report Russian forces consolidating west of the "Beryozka" children's camp. Два майора shares a video and caption claiming Russian assault troops have taken a number of important settlements on the Konstantinovka direction. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel in the vicinity of Poddubnoye, Otradnoye, Komar, and Perebudova. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the east of Donetsk oblast heading towards northwest. Басурин о главном reports that bodies of Ukrainian servicemen killed in Кураховского, Покровского, Бахмутского, Угледарского, and Луганского directions were returned in a body exchange. MoD Russia and Воин DV claim the liberation of Volnoye Pole in the Donetsk People's Republic. РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries.
• Sumy Oblast (Bilopillia, Velyka Chernechyna, Shostka, Pryluky, Lebedyn, Romny): Affected by Russian military activity. РБК-Україна reports Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia, with casualties, now updated to nine fatalities and four injuries. The Sumy community has declared a day of mourning. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military targets in Sumy Oblast, including using a FAB-1500 and other means, claiming no civilian casualties, presented as a counter-narrative. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information on claimed economic damage to Kursk Oblast agriculture from Ukrainian attacks, originating from a region bordering Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast. РБК-Україна reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna. Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 drone from Sumy Oblast coursing towards Pryluky and 10 drones flying west past Shostka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast and BpLA on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Sumy oblast heading towards west and southwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone near Sumy heading towards Lebedyn and 16 drones from Sumy Oblast transferring to Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that most of the enemy UAVs are past Romny, heading towards Chernihiv Oblast, and several are in the Lebedyn area. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones flew past Lebedyn into Poltava Oblast and one drone west of Sumy moving west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of BpLA from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast, and several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 12 drones from Sumy Oblast flying towards Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Sumy, originating from Kursk and the south. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Sumy Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast.
• Kharkiv Oblast (Izium, Balakliia, Bohodukhiv, Chuhuiv, Zlatopil, Lozova, Kupiansk district, Vovchansk, Stroivka, Kolesnikovka, towards Poltava, Kupiansk direction, Krasnohrad): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on railway hubs and ammunition depots in Izium, Balakliia, and Bohodukhiv, and destruction of a fuel depot in Balakliia. He also claims strikes on a unit in Izium that arrived as reinforcement and was trained in Britain. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims "Nazis" from the Kraken battalion have entered Izium, causing some local residents to leave and generating rumors of an impending offensive. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of Russian UAVs in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south and a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses across the front, including in Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the south of Kharkiv oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast. РБК-Україна reports a group of BpLA on the south of Kharkiv oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 2 drones flying past Balakliia towards Zlatopil. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 3 Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction, in the area of Vovchansk and towards Stroivka. It also reports 1 Russian attack on the Kupiansk direction near Zagryzove. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA in the center of Kharkiv oblast heading west and several groups of "shaheds" on the east, south and in the center of Kharkiv oblast heading towards west. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka on the Kupiansk sector. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Poltava Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 8 drones in the Izium district (west course), 2 towards/through Zlatopil, 2 towards/through Lozova, and 3 towards/through Chuhuiv, and 3 in the Kupiansk district (towards Balakliia), and one west of Kharkiv (south course). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the enemy is activating near Kupiansk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that drones are moving towards Izium, Chuhuiv, Zlatopil, and Balakliia. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that several groups of "Shaheds" are in the eastern, southern, and central parts of Kharkiv Oblast, heading west. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across the oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the east, south and in the center of Kharkiv oblast heading towards Poltava and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and a group on the east of Kharkiv oblast heading towards west. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 drones in the Krasnohrad area heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Kharkiv, originating from Kursk and the south. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kharkiv Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Voronezh, Kursk direction, Russkoye Porechnoye): Affected by military activity. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information on claimed economic damage to Kursk Oblast agriculture from Ukrainian attacks, originating from a region bordering Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 14 engagements on the Kursk direction with 3 ongoing. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for drones for a unit on the Kursk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reiterates a call for donations for drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of BpLA from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including those originating from Kursk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports new groups of UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Russia (Grozny, Voronezh, Shadrinsk, Kerch, Kuzbass, Moscow region, Yekaterinburg, Tobolsk, Caracas, Yakutsk, Oryol): Various internal issues are reported. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. Colonelcassad shares photos from the opening of a monument to SVO participants in Shadrinsk. ASTRA reports a traffic accident in annexed Kerch, Crimea, involving a Russian military truck and a civilian car, resulting in injuries to the 18-year-old driver of the civilian vehicle. An accident at a substation in Kuzbass, Russia, resulted in power outages and the evacuation of people from six mines. ASTRA reports on members of the "Russian Community" in Yekaterinburg failing a history test for migrants, highlighting potential social/political issues. Colonelcassad shares a report about a leaked audio recording of Joe Biden suggesting cognitive decline, which is a Russian information operation. ASTRA reports on members of the "Russian Community" in Yekaterinburg failing a history test for migrants. Alex Parker Returns reports an Australian mercenary was sentenced to 13 years in Russia but may be part of a prisoner exchange. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a priest from Tobolsk, Serhii Vaida, died in Kherson oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad shares a video of a monument unveiled in Caracas. ТАСС reports the liquidation of a oil product spill on the Lena River in Yakutsk. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. ТАСС shares a video report about a fire in a residential building in Oryol.
• Odesa Oblast (Pivdennyi, Chornomorsk): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on port infrastructure in Odesa Oblast used for NATO arms supplies. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of attack UAVs from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast (Pivdennyi). Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in the Black Sea, far from the coast, and 9 drones from the Black Sea heading towards Chornomorsk/Pivdennyi. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of attack UAVs from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast (Pivdennyi). Николаевский Ванёк reports all drones from the sea are attacking Chornomorsk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Mykolaiv and Kherson, originating from the south (potentially including the Black Sea). Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts, originating from the south.
• Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast (Bilotserkivskyi district, near Pereyaslav, Kaniv): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on airfields and air defense warehouses in Kyiv Oblast that were allegedly used for strikes on Russian territory. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv oblast. РБК-Україна reports a group of BpLA on the north of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 2 drones on the north of Kyiv oblast heading west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that a Russian drone is currently holding course towards Kyiv Oblast. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and РБК-Україна report an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the threat of Russian strike UAVs. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the east and south of Kyiv region heading towards the capital. Colonelcassad provides details on the claimed composition of the Ukrainian 12th Army Corps, located in the Kyiv area. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Kyiv Oblast, including near Boyarka and north of Kyiv. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kyiv Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Chernihiv Oblast (Pryluky, near Chernihiv, Shostka, Nizhyn, Konotop, Romny): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes on military objects near the border with Russia and Belarus, command posts, a tank range, and a crossing over the Desna River, which is claimed to be important for transferring forces to the Sumy direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast and a group in northern Chernihiv oblast heading southwest. РБК-Україна reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast and a group in northern Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 25 drones on the north of Chernihiv oblast heading west, and 5 heading towards/through Shostka, and 5 курсом на/через Нежин. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Chernihiv oblast is under Shahed attack with explosions heard in the city. Николаевский Ванёк reports 2 drones near Chernihiv and 1 drone from Sumy Oblast coursing towards Pryluky. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast and a group in northern Chernihiv oblast heading southwest and several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Chernihiv oblast heading towards southwest. STERNENKO reports Chernihiv is under a massive attack by Russian drones with explosions heard. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of drones through Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 drones heading towards/through Konotop and 16 drones from Sumy Oblast transferring to Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that most of the enemy UAVs are past Romny, heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that drones are moving towards Chernihiv and Pryluky. Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones underfitting Чернигов - Прилуки. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that several groups of "Shaheds" are in the northern and central parts of Chernihiv Oblast, heading southwest. Повітряні Силі Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north, south, west and in the center of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv and Cherkasy oblasts, and several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Chernihiv oblast heading towards southwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports 12 drones from Sumy Oblast flying towards Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Chernihiv. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Chernihiv Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Khmelnytsky Oblast (Starokostiantyniv): Affected by Russian military activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims a Russian strike on a key airfield in Starokostiantyniv.
• Crimea (Perevalne, Kerch, Sevastopol): Two Russian military bloggers report a claimed Ukrainian drone strike on an ammunition depot in Perevalne. ASTRA reports a traffic accident in annexed Kerch, Crimea, involving a Russian military truck and a civilian car, resulting in injuries. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast.
• Poltava Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on the border of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Poltava oblast heading towards Cherkasy oblast and "shaheds" on the east and south of Poltava oblast heading towards north. Николаевский Ванёк reports 7 drones through Pavlohrad district flying towards Poltava oblast and 2 south of Poltava heading west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Poltava Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones flew past Lebedyn into Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that "Shaheds" are in the eastern and southern parts of Poltava Oblast, heading north. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the east and south of Poltava oblast heading towards north, and several groups of "shaheds" on the east, south and in the center of Poltava oblast heading towards west. Николаевский Ванёк reports 8 drones south of Poltava heading west, 3 transferring from Dnipropetrovsk to Poltava Oblast, 3 near Poltava, and 6 in the Krasnohrad area (Kharkiv Oblast) heading towards Poltava Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Poltava. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Poltava Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol district, Pavlohrad, Pavlohradskyi district, Kryvyi Rih, Kamensky district, Novokalynivka): Affected by Russian aerial activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Zaporizhia oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone and artillery attacks in Nikopol district, damaging a high-rise, private house, and outbuildings, with no casualties. РБК-Україна reports explosions heard in the suburbs of Pavlohrad. Николаевский Ванёк reports 7 drones through Pavlohrad district flying towards Poltava oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" along the border of Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts heading towards northwest and a group of BpLA on the east of Dnipropetropvsk oblast heading towards north. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that several groups of "Shaheds" are along the border of Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, heading northwest. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that a group of BpLA is in the eastern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading north. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards northwest, "Shaheds" on the south of Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Kryvyi Rih, and a group of "shaheds" on the north of Kherson oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 7 drones through Pavlohradskyi district heading towards Poltava Oblast, 2 near Dnipro heading towards Poltava Oblast, and drones on the south of Dnipropetrovsk heading towards Kryvyi Rih. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Dnipropetrovsk. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Orikhiv, Komyshuvakha, Shcherbaky, Степове, Малі Щербаки, Huliaipole direction): ASTRA reports Russian forces struck Orikhiv with a drone, injuring three people. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports strikes on enemy objects near the front line in Zaporizhzhia oblast, field warehouses near Orikhiv, and foreign mercenary locations, claiming about 20 enemy deaths. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Zaporizhia oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ in the direction of Komyshuvakha (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) and repeated КАБ launches by tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 5 Russian attacks repelled and 1 ongoing on the Orikhiv direction (Shcherbaky, Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky). It also notes no active offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on the north of Zaporizhia oblast heading towards north. РБК-Україна reports that air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that a group of BpLA is in the northern part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, heading north. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Zaporizhia oblast heading towards north. РБК-Україна reports that air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Zaporizhzhia. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Zaporizhzhia Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Italy (Rome): РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's diplomatic meetings in Rome with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter.
• Switzerland: Zelenskiy / Official and РБК-Україна report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter in Rome. РБК-Україна reports US Secretary Rubio stated the Vatican could be a venue for peace talks, not as a mediator, but a place comfortable for both sides.
• Vatican: РБК-Україна reports US Secretary Rubio stated the Vatican could be a venue for peace talks.
• Germany: Два майора reports on a plan by the German company Rheinmetall and the American Lockheed Martin to establish a joint center for missile production in Europe. РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• United States (Missouri, Kentucky): ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and ASTRA report that US State Department head (likely referring to a statement by Senator Marco Rubio) stated that Trump wants to meet with Putin as soon to discuss the situation in Ukraine and trade. ТАСС also reported that the question of where and when the negotiations will take place is being decided. Два майора reports on a plan by the American Lockheed Martin and the German Rheinmetall to establish a joint center for missile production in Europe. ASTRA reports that a tornado has hit Missouri and Kentucky, resulting in over 20 fatalities, damage to thousands of homes, and power outages. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on Rubio's statement regarding Trump's desire to meet Putin. Alex Parker Returns reports on Rubio's statement regarding Trump's desire to meet Putin and Russia's expressed readiness. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video quoting US Secretary Rubio stating Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible and that a direct conversation could break the deadlock. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine and wants progress in the next few days. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations and that the Ukrainian side is also working on a ceasefire proposal.РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Rubio stating they have asked the Senate for time to assess if there will be progress. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio in an interview with CBS News.
• Finland: Alex Parker Returns reports on a fatal helicopter collision involving Estonian helicopters.
• Estonia: Alex Parker Returns reports on a fatal helicopter collision in Finland involving Estonian helicopters.
• Kryvyi Rih district: Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" on the south of Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Kryvyi Rih. Николаевский Ванёк reports drones on the south of Dnipropetrovsk heading towards Kryvyi Rih. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Dnipropetrovsk. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kirovohrad Oblast, which borders Kryvyi Rih district, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Missouri (USA): ASTRA reports that a tornado has hit Missouri, resulting in fatalities and damage.
• Kentucky (USA): ASTRA reports that a tornado has hit Kentucky, resulting in fatalities and damage.
• Cherkasy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Poltava oblast heading towards Cherkasy oblast and BpLA on the north of Cherkasy oblast heading towards southwest. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that BpLA is in the northern part of Cherkasy Oblast, heading southwest. Повітряні Силі Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north, south, west and in the center of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv and Cherkasy oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк reports 2 drones east of Cherkasy and 6 drones in the Kaniv area. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Cherkasy. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Cherkasy Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Venezuela (Caracas): Colonelcassad shares a video of a monument unveiled in Caracas.
• Syria: РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• UAE: РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• Kherson Oblast (Kherson city): Affected by Russian military activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "shaheds" on the north of Kherson oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk oblast and a new group of "shaheds" from the south of Kherson oblast heading towards Kherson. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Kherson, originating from the south. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Kherson Oblast, including in the Beryslav district and near Snihurivka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kherson Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from the south heading towards Kherson Oblast.
• Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Mykolaiv, originating from the south. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Mykolaiv Oblast, including in the Bashtanka district and near Snihurivka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Mykolaiv Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from the south heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast.
• Kirovohrad Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Kirovohrad. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Kirovohrad Oblast, including south of Kropyvnytskyi and near Oleksandriia. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kirovohrad Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Zhytomyr. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Zhytomyr Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Oryol (Russia): ТАСС shares a video report about a fire in a residential building.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Remains extremely high and widespread. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively tracking numerous drone groups across various oblasts. Russian forces are employing FPV drones and reportedly launching drones from Belgorod and Kursk towards Ukrainian territory. Ukraine has previously reported the use of naval drones and is allegedly targeting Russian soldiers in anti-drone cloaks. Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. The Ukrainian Air Force reports tracking and engaging enemy UAVs over multiple oblasts, with specific trajectories noted. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations, highlighting Russian efforts to counter drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights claimed Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams destroying Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of Russian UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards northern Sumy Oblast, a group in northern Kharkiv Oblast heading south, a group in southern Kharkiv Oblast heading north, "Shaheds" in eastern Poltava Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast, "Shaheds" in eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading west, and enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast heading towards southern Sumy and northern Kharkiv Oblasts. Два майора reports on French military exercises including the involvement of various types of drones, highlighting adaptation to modern warfare. ASTRA reports Russian forces struck Orikhiv with a drone. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast, a group in northern Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv oblast, a group on the south of Kharkiv oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast, and BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Zaporizhia oblast. РБК-Україна reports wide air alert due to strike drones with specific groups noted. Николаевский Ванёк reports specific numbers and locations of "mopeds" (drones) in Donetsk, Chernihiv, and Kyiv oblasts. STERNENKO reports the threat of strike UAVs from the north and a massive attack. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for FPV drones and makes a similar request. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards Donetsk oblast. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Poltava Oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 1036 kamikaze drones used by Russian forces and 15 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed in the past day. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka using drone drops. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles, which is a response to the threat posed by drones and other weapons. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north and in the center of Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv oblasts heading towards west/southwest. They also report "shaheds" on the east and south of Poltava oblast heading towards north, BpLA on Poltava oblast heading towards Cherkasy oblast, BpLA on the north of Zaporizhia oblast heading towards north, BpLA on the east of Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards north, several groups of "shaheds" along the border of Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts heading towards northwest, and a group of BpLA on the east of Donetsk oblast heading towards northwest. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across Pavlohradskyi district, Poltava, Iziumskyi district, Kharkiv, Kaniv, Nizhyn, Chernihiv, and Sumy/Chernihiv border. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of BpLA on the north of Sumy oblast heading towards Chernihiv oblast, a group in northern Chernihiv oblast heading towards southwest, BpLA on Poltava oblast heading towards Cherkasy oblast, a group on the east of Kharkiv oblast heading towards west, a group on the east of Dnipropetrovsk oblast heading towards north, and a group on the east of Donetsk oblast heading towards northwest. Николаевский Ванёк provides updated drone tracking across Pavlohradskyi district, Poltava, Iziumskyi district, Zlatopil, Lozova, Kaniv, Nizhyn, Chernihiv, and Sumy/Chernihiv border. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and РБК-Україна report an air raid alert in Kyiv due to the threat of Russian strike UAVs. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports success in destroying Ukrainian equipment using an FPV drone control system on fiber optic cable near Kupiansk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна provide updated tracking of numerous Russian drone groups across Odesa, Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed tracking of numerous drone groups across Odesa, Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides a detailed update on numerous "Shahed" and UAV groups across Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, including specific origins and trajectories, indicating widespread use of these systems. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," linking the intensity of attacks to a lack of compromise from Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular detail on numerous "moped" (drone) movements across Mykolaiv, Kherson, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, and Kyiv Oblasts, and the Sumy/Chernihiv border. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about ongoing large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, originating from Kursk and the south, and confirms widespread drone presence across multiple oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Sumy, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Kherson, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast and from the south heading towards Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. РБК-Україна reports new groups of UAVs from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast and from the south heading towards Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued widespread use by Russian forces, including repeated launches targeting Donetsk, Sumy, and Kharkiv Oblasts. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes in Bilopillia and Myropillia included a FAB-1500 and aviation bombs. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 52 Russian aviation strikes with 63 KABs used in the past day, and specifically mentions KABs hitting Kostiantynivka. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБ in the direction of Komyshuvakha (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) and repeated КАБ launches by tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing three JDAM guided bombs over the past day. MoD Russia reports air defence systems shot down three JDAM guided bombs. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Missile Activity: The threat of missile strikes persists. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian strikes included the destruction of a long-range missile launcher in Kramatorsk. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 3 MLRS shellings on the Kursk direction. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day and Missile Troops struck in 143 areas. MoD Russia reports air defence systems shot down a U.S.-made HIMARS MLRS projectile. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
• Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active, launching KABs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian Aerospace Forces conducted 24 strikes on military objects across Ukraine, including airbases. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБи on Sumshchyna. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 52 Russian aviation strikes in the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated КАБ launches by tactical aviation in Zaporizhzhia. Russian Ministry of Defense claims Operational-Tactical Aviation struck in 143 areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating continued tactical aviation activity.
• Naval Activity: Reports of Russian drones emerging from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast continue. The Ukrainian Navy reports no Russian warships or missile carriers in the Black or Azov Seas as of 06:00 on May 17, 2025, but notes the presence of a Kalibr carrier in the Mediterranean and significant ship traffic through the Kerch Strait. Russia is reported to be violating the SOLAS convention by disabling automatic identification systems. Два майора reports on French military exercises focusing on amphibious operations with multiple international participants, indicating adaptation to modern naval warfare tactics. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of drones from the Black Sea heading towards Odesa Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in the Black Sea, far from the coast, and 9 drones from the Black Sea heading towards Chornomorsk/Pivdennyi. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports groups of attack UAVs from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast (Pivdennyi). Николаевский Ванёк reports all drones from the sea are attacking Chornomorsk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Mykolaiv and Kherson, originating from the south (potentially including the Black Sea). Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts, originating from the south (potentially including the Black Sea). Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports new groups of UAVs from the south heading towards Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. РБК-Україна reports new groups of UAVs from the south heading towards Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Air Defense Activity: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively tracking and engaging numerous Russian drone groups across various oblasts. Russian air defense systems are claiming interceptions of Ukrainian UAVs over border regions. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations with a 12-gauge shotgun as armament, highlighting Russian efforts to counter drones. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights claimed Russian sniper-reconnaissance teams destroying Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 15 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed in the past day. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing three JDAM guided bombs, one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day and claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Belgium will transfer 20 Cerber air defense systems to Ukraine. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. РБК-Україна reports that air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. MoD Russia reports air defence systems shot down three JDAM guided bombs, a U.S.-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles. РБК-Україна reports that air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides a detailed update on numerous "Shahed" and UAV groups across Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, indicating active air defense engagement. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about ongoing large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including those where air defense is active. РБК-Україна reports that air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones.
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery fire from both sides. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars and cluster munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the coordinated use of artillery by the Russian 33rd Motor Rifle Regiment. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing, indicating ongoing artillery use. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports nearly 4000 shellings by Russian forces in the past day, with specific numbers for the Kursk direction (211 artillery shellings including 3 MLRS). Олександр Вілкул reports on artillery attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destroying field artillery guns and mortars in several locations over the past day and Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas. Народная милиция ДНР claims the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point near Ulyanovka by a BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, implying the use of this missile system.
• Electronic Warfare (EW): The reported acquisition of AI-controlled Ukrainian drones resistant to strong electronic warfare environments highlights the ongoing cat-and-mouse game in the EW domain. Colonelcassad shares information claiming Ukraine has acquired Czech AI-controlled strike drones, which are reportedly designed to be resistant to electronic warfare. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations.
• Reconnaissance Activity: Два майора shares a video showing the use of the Russian domestic UAV "SKAT 350 M" by the Naval Special Forces detachment "Española" for reconnaissance and targeting on the Crimean coast. This highlights Russian reconnaissance capabilities and the use of specific drone models.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Negotiations and Peace Talks: Discussions regarding potential negotiations in Istanbul persist. A notable development is Russia's preparation of a document outlining its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, as stated by Marco Rubio after a conversation with Sergey Lavrov. The US has expressed a desire for progress in negotiations within the "next few days," indicating a push for a timely resolution. The US is linking potential further US sanctions against Russia to achieving such progress, suggesting the US is applying diplomatic pressure to expedite the process and influence the outcome. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine, they want progress in the next few days. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Rubio stating they have asked the Senate for time to assess if there will be progress. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio.
• International Support for Ukraine: International military exercises are ongoing. Discussions about future EU sanctions packages against Russia continue. Western partners are engaging in diplomatic discussions with Ukraine, including the recent trilateral meeting in Istanbul. The alleged arson incident in the UK involving a Ukrainian citizen could potentially impact bilateral relations and international perceptions. Concerns within the EU about potential opposition to supporting Kyiv are reported. Canada is engaging with Ukraine on the issue of prisoners of war. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by the German company Rheinmetall and the American Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS missiles (for HIMARS and MLRS) and Patriot PAC-3 missiles in Europe through a joint venture where Rheinmetall would hold 60% of the shares. Два майора reports on French military exercises with multiple international participants, highlighting NATO cooperation. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide €1 billion in aid in 2025, including military equipment (Unimogs, Cerber systems, surface drones, Leopard tank, drones, small arms), and €650 million for contracts with Belgian defense companies. РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney where defense cooperation was discussed. Zelenskiy / Official and РБК-Україна report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter where humanitarian support, demining, school projects, and Swiss company participation in reconstruction were discussed. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that Belgium will transfer 20 Cerber air defense systems to Ukraine as part of a €645 million military aid package, with a significant portion produced by Belgian companies. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine, implying continued US engagement. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting potential continued US pressure. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Direct diplomatic exchanges are anticipated. Reports indicate Russia is preparing a document with its ceasefire requirements, while Ukraine is also working on its proposal. The US is also engaged in discussions with Russia regarding the conflict and potential sanctions. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine, they want progress in the next few days. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio.
• Internal Ukrainian Politics: High-level officials are participating in diplomatic negotiations. Measures to ensure public order in Kyiv are being implemented. Efforts to support veterans and address mental health are underway. Legal actions against illegal land use are being pursued. A battalion commander has reportedly resigned from the 47th Brigade due to dissatisfaction with command decisions and casualties. Рыбарь reports on an alleged internal conflict within the Ukrainian command regarding negotiations. Операция Z: Военкоры Руссной Весны reports on a claimed scandal within the Ukrainian 47th Brigade. РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's diplomatic meetings in Rome. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade. РБК-Україна reports on Crystal Palace winning the FA Cup, a non-military related event. Глеб Никитин reports on a youth festival and "Night of Museums" in Chkalovsk, Russia, which is not related to Ukrainian internal politics. Colonelcassad and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the Ukrainian 47th Brigade and his accusations against the command. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade and shares his statements. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with commentary linking the battalion commander's resignation to opposition to the regime. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a photo message quoting the head of the Council of Reservists of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, Tymochko, discussing the intensity of the Russian offensive and the projected duration of the conflict, and adds commentary from Ukrainian citizens reportedly mocking Tymochko's statement about Russia's inability to fight for 10 years. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura". БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data, which is relevant to understanding the impact of the conflict on the Russian population. Colonelcassad provides details on the claimed composition of the Ukrainian 12th Army Corps, a key formation for the defense of Kyiv.
• Internal Russian Politics and Society: High-level military command changes have occurred. Internal legal and security issues are present, including corruption accusations and the detention of alleged FSB agents. Domestic initiatives like the "Time of Heroes" program and proposed "demographic week" reflect internal priorities. Infrastructure vulnerabilities are highlighted by the Kuzbass accident. Information operations are ongoing. Cultural developments like the re-creation of the Stalin bas-relief are noted. Geopolitical engagements with Belarus, Afghanistan, and reportedly Central Asian countries are being pursued. Economic discussions regarding sanctions and energy exports are occurring. A human rights activist has been fined in occupied Donetsk. Старше Эдды reports the detention of a migrant in Voronezh for allegedly desecrating a war memorial. ASTRA reports on members of the "Russian Community" in Yekaterinburg failing a history test for migrants, highlighting potential social/political issues. Colonelcassad shares a report about a leaked audio recording of Joe Biden suggesting cognitive decline, which is a Russian information operation. Новости Москвы shares a non-military related post about the cost of a restroom in a Moscow department store. ASTRA reports on members of the "Russian Community" in Yekaterinburg failing a history test for migrants. Alex Parker Returns reports an Australian mercenary was sentenced to 13 years in Russia but may be part of a prisoner exchange. TASS reports Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico is ready to support a referendum on lifting anti-Russian sanctions. TASS reports Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible, citing Rubio. Alex Parker Returns shares a non-military video. Alex Parker Returns reports on a fatal helicopter collision in Finland involving Estonian helicopters. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." ТАСС reports the liquidation of a oil product spill on the Lena River in Yakutsk. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. ТАСС shares a video report about a fire in a residential building in Oryol.
• US Stance on Negotiations: The US participated in the trilateral meeting in Istanbul. The level of US participation in direct Russia-Ukraine talks is a point of contention. Trump expresses interest in meeting Putin. The reported US sanctions against the ICC have significant international legal and political implications. Alex Parker Returns, Новости Москвы, Colonelcassad, and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 confirm the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation on May 19th. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares the US State Department's account of the Rubio-Lavrov call, emphasizing a US peace plan and call for immediate ceasefire, highlighting differing narratives. РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney where negotiations were discussed, including US coordination. TASS reports Trump intends to discuss the situation in Ukraine and trade with Putin on May 19th, citing Rubio. РБК-Україна reports US Secretary Rubio stated the Vatican could be a venue for peace talks, not as a mediator. TASS reports Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible and the location/time are being decided, citing Rubio. Colonelcassad shares a report about a leaked audio recording of Joe Biden suggesting cognitive decline, which is a Russian information operation. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, РБК-Україна, and Оперативний ЗСУ reiterate that US State Department head (likely referring to a statement by Senator Marco Rubio) stated that Trump wants to meet with Putin as soon as possible and that the question of where and when the negotiations will take place is being decided. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the potential Trump-Putin meeting. Alex Parker Returns reports on Rubio's statement regarding Trump's desire to meet Putin and Russia's expressed readiness. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video quoting US Secretary Rubio stating Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible and that a direct conversation could break the deadlock. Старше Эдды reports Trump stated the US will not fall apart due to "November 5th." ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine, they want progress in the next few days. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations and that the Ukrainian side is also working on a ceasefire proposal.РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Rubio stating they have asked the Senate for time to assess if there will be progress. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio.
• Turkish Role in Negotiations: Turkey hosted the trilateral meeting and is facilitating potential Russia-Ukraine talks, although their role in direct negotiations is disputed by Russia.
• Speculation on Trump's Role: Speculation regarding a Trump-Putin meeting continues, with Trump himself confirming his desire to meet. Alex Parker Returns, Новости Москвы, Colonelcassad, and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 confirm the upcoming Putin-Trump phone conversation on May 19th. TASS reports Trump intends to discuss the situation in Ukraine and trade with Putin on May 19th, citing Rubio. TASS reports Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible and the location/time are being decided, citing Rubio. Colonelcassad shares a report about a leaked audio recording of Joe Biden suggesting cognitive decline, which is a Russian information operation. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, РБК-Україна, and Оперативний ЗСУ reiterate that US State Department head (likely referring to a statement by Senator Marco Rubio) stated that Trump wants to meet with Putin as soon as possible and that the question of where and when the negotiations will take place is being decided. Alex Parker Returns reports on Rubio's statement regarding Trump's desire to meet Putin and Russia's expressed readiness. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video quoting US Secretary Rubio stating Trump wants to meet Putin as soon as possible. Старше Эдды reports Trump stated the US will not fall apart due to "November 5th."
• Ukraine-UK Relations: The alleged arson incident in the UK involving a Ukrainian citizen is a new, potentially sensitive development.
• NATO Development: NATO members are participating in military exercises near Russia. Hungary is reportedly calling on NATO to protect it from perceived hostile actions by Ukraine. Два майора reports on French military exercises with multiple international participants. Старше Эдды and Colonelcassad report on Hungarian Prime Minister Orban calling on NATO to protect Hungary from perceived hostile actions by Ukraine.
• EU Politics: Discussions on the 18th package of sanctions against Russia are underway. Concerns within the EU about potential opposition to supporting Kyiv are reported. Hungary's stance on EU-Russia relations and NATO is highlighted. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by German company Rheinmetall and American Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, highlighting EU involvement in long-term military support. TASS reports Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico is ready to support a referendum on lifting anti-Russian sanctions. Воин DV reports Hungarian Prime Minister Orban called on the EU to start negotiations with Putin. Старше Эдды and Colonelcassad report on Hungarian Prime Minister Orban's actions and statements. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations, potentially implying a coordinated EU-US approach to pressure. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting alignment between US and potentially EU pressure tactics.
• Russia-Belarus Relations: High-level military and political talks are occurring to strengthen the common defense space and prepare for joint exercises.
• Russia-Afghanistan Relations: Reconsideration of the ban on the Taliban and consideration of the Afghan Ambassador's candidacy indicate potential normalization of relations.
• Russia-Central Asia Relations: The reported US program to train community leaders in Tajikistan and Turkmenistan highlights external influence in a region of strategic importance to Russia.
• North Korea: Kim Jong Un's visit to an aviation regiment and emphasis on war preparedness is reported. Kim Jong Un inspected large-scale tactical exercises, emphasizing military education and adaptation to modern warfare. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war".
• Vatican's Potential Role: РБК-Україна reports US Secretary Rubio stated the Vatican could be a venue for peace talks, not as a mediator.
• Cherkasy Oblast (Ukraine): Affected by Russian aerial activity. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports BpLA on Poltava oblast heading towards Cherkasy oblast and BpLA on the north of Cherkasy oblast heading towards southwest. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that BpLA is in the northern part of Cherkasy Oblast, heading southwest. Повітряні Силі Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "shaheds" on the north, south, west and in the center of Chernihiv oblast heading towards Kyiv and Cherkasy oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Cherkasy Oblast, including east of Cherkasy and in the Kaniv area. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Cherkasy. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Cherkasy Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Syria: РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• UAE: РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• Kirovohrad Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Kirovohrad. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across Kirovohrad Oblast, including south of Kropyvnytskyi and near Oleksandriia. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Kirovohrad Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
• Zhytomyr Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about large-scale drone attacks across numerous oblasts, including Zhytomyr. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over Zhytomyr Oblast, according to the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

• Internal Security: Reports of corruption (Ministry of Transport) and criminal activity involving military personnel (Wagner veteran murder case) continue. Fraud schemes are also highlighted. Reports from a Russian military blogger highlight internal issues related to the management of a market and alleged corruption in Voronezh. The detention of migration management officials in Rostov reported by TASS. ТАСС shares a video report about firefighters extinguishing a fire in a residential building in Oryol. 11 people were rescued and 32 evacuated.
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting offensive operations, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements. They are utilizing extensive aerial and artillery assets. Russia's Ministry of Defense has released its weekly report claiming significant Ukrainian personnel losses and destruction of military assets across various groupings. Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. New, shortened AK-12 variants developed with "special military operation" experience are being presented. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This is a significant claim about internal Russian issues and potential attempts to conceal the demographic impact of the conflict, which directly impacts military personnel availability. Colonelcassad shares a photo (Russian passport) and text claiming that Russian forces found the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse in the basement of a house in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, during demining operations in allegedly "liberated territories." He attributes this to "Ukrainian terrorists" and frames it as "another evidence of the atrocities of the representatives of the Kyiv regime." This is a clear information operation aimed at portraying Ukrainian forces negatively and justifying Russian actions. The presence of the passport of the deceased person is presented as evidence. Воин DV shares a video and text claiming that a Ukrainian "Pelican" air target detection radar station was hit by an "Iskander-M" tactical missile system strike near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, today at noon. This is a Russian claim of destroying a specific piece of Ukrainian military equipment, a radar station, which is crucial for air defense. The video is presented as evidence of the strike. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that an FPV drone from the Russian 27th brigade destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. This is a Russian claim of a successful tactical engagement using an FPV drone. The video is presented as evidence.
• Casualties: A body exchange has taken place, highlighting the human cost. Russian Ministry of Defense reports significant Ukrainian personnel losses weekly across all groupings. A report on a Wagner veteran's murder case highlights issues faced by returning servicemen. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This is a significant claim about internal Russian issues and potential attempts to conceal the demographic impact of the conflict, which directly impacts military personnel availability. Colonelcassad shares a photo (Russian passport) and text claiming that Russian forces found the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse in the basement of a house in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, during demining operations in allegedly "liberated territories." He attributes this to "Ukrainian terrorists" and frames it as "another evidence of the atrocities of the representatives of the Kyiv regime." The presence of the passport of the deceased person is presented as evidence. Басурин о главном reports that bodies of Ukrainian servicemen killed in Кураховского, Покровского, Бахмутского, Угледарского, and Луганского directions were returned in a body exchange. This provides specific numbers of bodies returned to Ukraine and areas where they were killed.
• Information Operations and Propaganda: Russian military bloggers continue to promote narratives of military success and criticize Ukrainian positions on negotiations. Achievement of a documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious Russian film award is being highlighted. Denials of forced labor allegations from Nigeria are being issued. Military bloggers are amplifying the reported Russian threat regarding Sumy Oblast during negotiations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This information could be used in information operations to highlight potential negative impacts of the conflict on the Russian population or to question the transparency of the Russian government. Colonelcassad shares a photo (Russian passport) and text claiming that Russian forces found the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse in the basement of a house in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, during demining operations in allegedly "liberated territories." He attributes this to "Ukrainian terrorists" and frames it as "another evidence of the atrocities of the representatives of the Kyiv regime." This is a clear information operation aimed at portraying Ukrainian forces negatively and justifying Russian actions. The presence of the passport of the deceased person is presented as evidence. Военкор Котенок shares photos and text from a solemn evening held at the Cathedral of Christ the Savior in Moscow by the "Orthodox Russia" public movement in honor of the 80th anniversary of the Great Victory. The event honored veterans of World War II, participants of the "SVO" (Special Military Operation), doctors, and volunteers assisting Russian forces. One photo shows a medal awarded "For Faith and Valor" to Арзанов Левон Сумбатович. This highlights Russian efforts to link the current conflict to historical victories and bolster morale and support for the military through public events and recognition, serving as a significant propaganda effort. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." This highlights Russian information control and suppression of dissent in occupied territories. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," linking the intensity of attacks to a lack of compromise from Ukraine. This is a propaganda message linking military actions to diplomatic outcomes. Воин DV shares a video and text claiming that a Ukrainian "Pelican" air target detection radar station was hit by an "Iskander-M" tactical missile system strike near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, today at noon. The video is presented as evidence of the strike and serves as propaganda highlighting Russian military capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video and text claiming that an FPV drone from the Russian 27th brigade destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. The video is presented as evidence and serves as propaganda highlighting Russian military effectiveness at the tactical level.
• Military Logistics and Equipment: Russia is strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. A report notes fundraising for military equipment. New, shortened AK-12 variants are being presented.
• Civilian Impact: Internal issues like fraud can impact civilians. Natural disasters (wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai, rockfall in Dagestan) reported previously can impact civilians and infrastructure. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This is a significant claim about internal Russian issues and potential attempts to conceal the demographic impact of the conflict, which can impact civilian well-being. Colonelcassad shares a photo (Russian passport) and text claiming that Russian forces found the body of an elderly woman with signs of physical abuse in the basement of a house in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, during demining operations in allegedly "liberated territories." He attributes this to "Ukrainian terrorists" and frames it as "another evidence of the atrocities of the representatives of the Kyiv regime." The presence of the passport of the deceased person is presented as evidence. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." This highlights the impact of Russian control and suppression on civilians in occupied territories. ТАСС shares a video report about firefighters extinguishing a fire in a residential building in Oryol. 11 people were rescued and 32 evacuated. This highlights the impact of domestic emergencies on civilians.
• Defense Planning: Joint exercises with Belarus ("West-2025") are being planned. Development of new, shortened AK-12 variants incorporates experience from current operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This information is relevant to long-term defense planning related to personnel availability.
• Social Notes: A social note regarding Donald Trump's family has been reported previously. Proposed increases in taxes on luxury and high incomes. Reported reduction in migrant workers in the construction sector. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This is a significant claim about internal Russian issues and potential attempts to conceal the demographic impact of the conflict, which can impact social stability and well-being. Военкор Котенок shares photos and text from a solemn evening held at the Cathedral of Christ the Savior in Moscow by the "Orthodox Russia" public movement in honor of the 80th anniversary of the Great Victory. The event honored veterans of World War II, participants of the "SVO" (Special Military Operation), doctors, and volunteers assisting Russian forces. This highlights Russian efforts to link the current conflict to historical victories and bolster morale and support for the military through public events and recognition. ТАСС shares a video report about firefighters extinguishing a fire in a residential building in Oryol. 11 people were rescued and 32 evacuated. This highlights the impact of domestic emergencies on civilians.
• Economic Issues: Proposed increases in taxes on luxury and high incomes could impact the economy. Reported reduction in migrant workers in the construction sector could impact the labor market and construction projects. A criminal case against a deputy head of the Ministry of Transport department for alleged illegal enrichment is reported. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports that the Russian state statistics service (Rosstat) has allegedly classified data on birth and death rates by region for March 2025, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and a historical low in birth rate. This information is relevant to economic issues and the long-term impact of the conflict on the Russian population. РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany, impacting Russia's financial ties.
• Geopolitical Engagements: Diplomatic efforts with Belarus, Afghanistan, and engagement in Central Asia are noted. A monument has been unveiled in Caracas, potentially indicating diplomatic ties. Commentary on Hungary's relationship with NATO and Ukraine is noted. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Reuters, that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un called on the army to better "prepare for war". РБК-Україна reports US Secretary Rubio stated the Vatican could be a venue for peace talks, not as a mediator. Alex Parker Returns reports on a fatal helicopter collision in Finland involving Estonian helicopters, resulting in the deaths of five people, including top businessmen. Colonelcassad shares a video of a monument unveiled in Caracas. Старше Эдды and Colonelcassad share commentary on Hungary. РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany.
• Oryol (Russia): ТАСС shares a video report about firefighters extinguishing a fire in a residential building. 11 people were rescued and 32 evacuated.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Military Support (Ukraine): International military aid continues, including the expected delivery of ammunition from the EU. Fundraising efforts for Ukrainian military units are ongoing. Ukraine is highlighting the need for continued support from NATO. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the effectiveness of FPV drones and emphasizing the need for continued drone support. Zelenskyy and European leaders reportedly held a phone call with Trump to discuss the Istanbul talks, likely related to continued support. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe, indicating long-term international military support. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones, highlighting the ongoing adaptation to tactical challenges and the role of private initiatives in supporting military training. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year, which highlights the need for continued support to inflict such losses. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide €1 billion in aid in 2025, including military equipment (Unimogs, Cerber systems, surface drones, Leopard tank, drones, small arms), and €650 million for contracts with Belgian defense companies. РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney where defense cooperation was discussed. STERNENKO reports requesting donations for FPV drones. Олександр Вілкул provides figures on Russian personnel and equipment losses over the past day (910 personnel, 6 tanks, 7 armored combat vehicles, 34 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 155 UAVs, 96 vehicles). Генеральний штаб ЗSU provides figures on Russian equipment and personnel losses on the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ commends specific Ukrainian units for their effectiveness. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Belgium will transfer 20 Cerber air defense systems to Ukraine as part of a €645 million military aid package, a significant contribution to air defense capabilities. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform with integrated digital fire control and targeting systems. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform, demonstrating adaptation and technological advancement. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations, implying potential continued US military and financial support. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting potential alignment between US and EU pressure tactics for continued support.
• Civilian Support (Ukraine): Efforts to address the issue of deported children are ongoing internationally. Healthcare infrastructure and support for medical workers are being highlighted in Zaporizhzhia. Local authorities in Kryvyi Rih are implementing programs for food package distribution. РБК-Україна reports on the bus attack near Bilopillia resulting in civilian casualties. ASTRA reports Russian forces struck Orikhiv with a drone, injuring three people. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone and artillery attacks in Nikopol district, damaging a high-rise, private house, and outbuildings, with no casualties. Zelenskiy / Official and РБК-Україна report on President Zelenskyy's meeting with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter where humanitarian support, school projects, and building shelters were discussed. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district, highlighting demining efforts. Олександр Вілкул reports on support for youth and cultural events in Kryvyi Rih. РБК-Україна reports explosions heard in the suburbs of Pavlohrad. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk has been fined. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data, claiming a significant increase in the death rate in Russia in March 2025 and a rise in natural population decline, with potential implications for civilian well-being. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, claiming the finding of a deceased elderly woman. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." РБК-Україна reports on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries. ТАСС shares a video report about a fire in a residential building in Oryol.
• Military Support (Russia): Fundraising for military equipment is ongoing. The development and presentation of new AK-12 variants is a form of military support. Colonelcassad is fundraising for consumables needed for training in countering enemy drones. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. «Зона СВО» shares a military-themed motivational post. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures, highlighting potential issues with resource allocation for military infrastructure. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reiterates a call for donations for drones. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow honoring conflict participants and volunteers assisting Russian forces. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck, implying continued use of FPV drones. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV, implying ongoing investment in drone technology.
• Veterans Support (Russia): The "Time of Heroes" program aims to train veterans for leadership roles. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow honoring participants of the "SVO" (Special Military Operation).
• Rehabilitation (Ukraine): Adaptive sports training programs are being offered. Олександр Вілкул reports on city-level "Veterans Family Games" in Kryvyi Rih, which includes rehabilitation aspects.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Ukraine: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults across multiple fronts, reporting significant losses inflicted on the enemy. Utilizing drones for various purposes, including reconnaissance, targeting, taking prisoners, and engaging in close-quarters combat (fiber-optic drones, FPV drones). Employing tactics including mine warfare, remote mining, and establishing reserve defensive lines. Actively engaged in air defense to counter widespread Russian aerial attacks. Seeking continued international military and political support. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian shelling and aerial attacks, including the tragic bus attack in Sumy Oblast. Experiencing challenges related to mobilization and potential resistance. Ukrainian National Guard showcases a modernized MLRS on a HMMWV platform with integrated digital fire control and targeting systems, demonstrating adaptation and technological advancement. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 and РБК-Україна report Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi's claim of significant Russian equipment losses since the start of the year, which highlights the effectiveness of Ukrainian forces in destroying Russian armor. Операция Z: Военкоры Руссной Весны reports on a claimed scandal within the Ukrainian 47th Brigade. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade. РБК-Україна and Zelenskiy / Official report on President Zelenskyy's diplomatic meetings in Rome where defense cooperation was discussed. STERNENKO reports requesting donations for FPV drones. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district, highlighting the use of drones against Ukrainian positions. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district, highlighting demining efforts. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting Ukrainian FPV drone activity. Олександр Вілкул provides figures on Russian personnel and equipment losses over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed update on Ukrainian defensive actions and reports on Russian losses. Colonelcassad and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the Ukrainian 47th Brigade and his accusations against the command. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the destruction of enemy personnel and equipment by the 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade near Nadiivka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video discussing the withdrawal from Vuhledar. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇺🇦 discusses the challenges of verifying Russian advances in Bahatyr and notes Ukrainian forces pushing back Russian groups with drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ commends specific Ukrainian units for their effectiveness. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade and shares his statements. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with commentary linking the battalion commander's resignation to opposition to the regime. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a photo message quoting a Ukrainian official and adding commentary from Ukrainians reportedly mocking the official's statement. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles, which is a response to the threat posed by drones and other weapons. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇺🇦 reports Belgium will transfer 20 Cerber air defense systems to Ukraine, bolstering Ukrainian air defense capabilities. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura". Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform, demonstrating adaptation and technological advancement. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast. Colonelcassad provides details on the claimed composition of the Ukrainian 12th Army Corps, a key formation for the defense of Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports air defense is working in Kyiv Oblast due to detected drones, indicating active Ukrainian defensive action against aerial threats. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking across multiple oblasts, which is crucial for Ukrainian air defense response. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides an updated warning about ongoing large-scale drone attacks, highlighting the need for continued Ukrainian air defense efforts. РБК-Україна reports that a large number of drones are recorded over multiple Ukrainian oblasts, indicating active engagement by Ukrainian air defense.
• Russia: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming tactical successes and liberation of settlements. Employing extensive air strikes with guided bombs, artillery, and MLRS. Utilizing a high number of kamikaze and other types of drones, including Lancet loitering munitions, for various tactical engagements. Undergoing changes in high-level command structure. Relying in part on public donations for equipment. Utilizing information operations as a key tactic. Conducting mine clearing operations and developing counter-mine measures. Developing and introducing new small arms variants. Engaging in diplomatic efforts. Experiencing casualties. Utilizing improvised armor on vehicles. Operating with Belarus to strengthen common defense. Russian forces are claiming tactical successes near Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk), specifically entering and assaulting Dyliivka and consolidating west of the "Beryozka" children's camp. Russian sources claim activation of Ukrainian forces near Kupiansk and report success in destroying Ukrainian equipment using fiber-optic FPV drone control systems. Russian military bloggers are sharing claimed tactical successes and videos of military actions. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on a claimed "suicidal" Russian assault with significant casualties, highlighting potential ineffective tactics. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА details claimed Russian advances and Ukrainian losses on the Konstantinovka direction, emphasizing combined arms tactics. Colonelcassad reports on a group of volunteers departing from Grozny airport for the conflict zone after special training, indicating ongoing personnel acquisition and training. Два майора reports the Russian MoD claimed the liberation of Aleksandropol and Nova Poltavka. Рыбарь reports Russian forces continued their offensive on the Andriyivka direction, confirming the liberation of Bohartyr and capturing surrounding farms. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian BMC Kirpi armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian FPV drones in Kostiantynivka. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a New York Times article reporting that Russian soldiers are war-weary but want to conquer more of Ukraine, and reject the idea of an unconditional ceasefire. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports strikes on enemy objects near the front line in Zaporizhzhia oblast, field warehouses near Orikhiv, and foreign mercenary locations, claiming about 20 enemy deaths. «Зона СВО» shares a photo with a caption about every shot being like the only one, a military-themed motivational post. MoD Russia shares a video of BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle crews training. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting Russian personnel and reactions to Ukrainian FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across various oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed update on Russian combat actions across multiple directions, including the intensity of attacks and the use of aviation, KABs, kamikaze drones, and shellings. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a photo with a caption indicating the start of "night work". ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports Russian forces trying to advance and consolidate near Nadiivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses Russian tactics of using small groups for propaganda and attempting to claim control over settlements. Олександр Вілкул provides figures on Russian personnel and equipment losses over the past day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka using drone drops. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults, claiming a tactical breakthrough. Два майора shares a video with the caption "Пацаны ебашут хохлов 24/7. Честь и хвала российским штурмам!", promoting Russian assault troops. Colonelcassad shares a video of the interim governor of Kursk Oblast commenting on the situation regarding the embezzlement of budget funds allocated for the construction of defensive structures, highlighting issues with defensive construction. MoD Russia claims downing three JDAM guided bombs, one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. MoD Russia claims destroying field artillery guns and mortars in several locations over the past day and Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas and Operational-Tactical Aviation struck in 143 areas. Народная милиция ДНР claims the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point near Ulyanovka by a BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults, with Ukrainians acknowledging consolidation. Два майора shares a video and caption claiming Russian assault troops have taken a number of important settlements on the Konstantinovka direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports success in destroying Ukrainian equipment using an FPV drone control system on fiber optic cable near Kupiansk. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and classified regional data. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow celebrating Victory Day and honoring conflict participants. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," linking the intensity of attacks to a lack of compromise from Ukraine. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides a detailed update on numerous "Shahed" and UAV groups across Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, with some originating from Kursk Oblast in Russia and occupied Kherson Oblast, indicating widespread use of these systems. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," indicating continued use of these strike drones. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, highlighting the use of this specific missile system. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction, indicating continued use of FPV drones in tactical engagements. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast, highlighting Russian reconnaissance capabilities.
• Third-Party Involvement: Turkey is playing a facilitating role in potential negotiations. The US is engaging separately with the Ukrainian delegation and expressing a view on the level of the Russian delegation (reported previously). Speculation continues regarding former US President Trump's potential involvement. NATO members are providing military aid to Ukraine. The Czech Republic is cooperating with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). The UN is involved (reported previously). The EU is discussing further sanctions. France has commented on Russia's stance (reported previously). Sweden and other Nordic/Baltic countries have issued a joint statement (reported previously). Finland and Estonia are mentioned in Russian information operations (reported previously). Bulgaria and Denmark are providing military and financial support and coordinating diplomatic efforts (reported previously). Poland has commented on the Istanbul talks and coordination with Trump (reported previously). The Netherlands is increasing its defense assistance to Ukraine (reported previously). Montenegro is strengthening cooperation and discussing EU integration (reported previously). Pope Leo XIV has offered mediation. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Оперативний ЗСУ, and РБК-Україна all share the detailed Russian demands reportedly voiced by the head of the Russian delegation, Medinsky, in Istanbul. These demands are being reported by Ukrainian and Western sources and commented on by Russian military bloggers. ТАСС reports that a Turkish official told CNN that the direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul were more positive than expected. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report that French President Macron stated that European allies will hold further negotiations with Trump after the Ukrainian delegation receives a response from Russia. Macron added that they continue to prepare new sanctions in coordination with the US if a positive response is not received from Russia. Macron also stated that President Trump intends to organize an exchange of views with the Russian side in the next few hours or days to clarify what happened and try to move forward, and that telephone contacts with Putin are possible first. РБК-Україна also shares an article titled "All for Trump. Why the negotiations in Istanbul did not bring the end of the war closer," and a column by Milan Lelich, deputy editor-in-chief, discussing who in Trump's team understands the real situation, and who holds the key to breaking the negotiation deadlock. This confirms the continued, potentially significant, role of former US President Trump in discussions about the conflict and its resolution, and the coordinated strategic approach between European allies and the US regarding potential further sanctions. Два майора reports a truck rollover incident involving a French military convoy during NATO exercises in Romania. This indicates NATO military activity and logistical challenges in the region. РБК-Україна reports, citing Reuters, that the new Syrian authorities are reportedly refusing to print currency in Russia and has found other partners in the UAE and Germany. This is a significant geopolitical development impacting Russia's international relations. Alex Parker Returns reports that the Taliban Prime Minister has called on Russian businesses to invest in Afghanistan, highlighting another instance of Russia's international engagement. STERNENKO and Оперативний ЗСУ report that US Ambassador to NATO Matthew Whitaker stated that the US will begin discussing the possibility of reducing its troops in Europe after the NATO summit in The Hague in June, somewhere later this year. This is a significant geopolitical development regarding the US military posture in Europe and could have implications for NATO's collective defense and burden-sharing among allies. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports that Orban has called on NATO to protect Hungary from perceived hostile actions by Ukraine. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations, implying potential continued US pressure. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting alignment between US and potentially EU pressure tactics. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the Ukrainian side is working on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon.
• Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of various types of drones by both sides (strike UAVs, FPV drones). Colonelcassad shares a video highlighting the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops and destroyed a Ukrainian octocopter, highlighting claimed combined arms tactics and counter-drone success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar using a UAV for detection and artillery fire from a 2A36 "Giatsint-B" howitzer, highlighting the claimed combined use of drones for reconnaissance and artillery for strike. TASS shares video footage from Kherson Oblast showcasing training of Russian military assault units of the "Dnepr" Group of Forces with combat robotic platforms, highlighting the claimed use and training with advanced military technology. Ukrainian National Guard showcases a modernized MLRS on a HMMWV platform with integrated digital fire control and targeting systems, demonstrating adaptation and technological advancement. Два майора reports on a claimed deep modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into a Як-52Б2 modification designed for counter-drone operations. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian defenders targeting Russian assault troops on motorcycles with mortars, cluster munitions, and drones. STERNENKO shares an FPV drone feed with a "BOMB ARMED" overlay, highlighting the use of armed FPV drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports on a plan by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin to establish large-scale production of ATACMS and Patriot missiles in Europe. STERNENKO reports Belgium will provide military equipment, including drones, surface drones, a Leopard tank, and Cerber systems. MoD Russia reports a Buk-M2 SAM system downed HIMARS projectiles in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian BMC Kirpi armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian FPV drones in Kostiantynivka. STERNENKO reports a Russian military blogger is requesting donations for over 300 FPV drones needed for tomorrow, with a total request exceeding 4000. MoD Russia showcases BMPT Terminator training. Олександр Вілкул reports on FPV drone attacks in Nikopol district. Олександр Вілкул reports on finding and destroying Uragan MLRS shells in Kryvyi Rih district. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a photo of a self-propelled howitzer firing. MoD Russia shares a video of BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle crews training. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a claimed attempt by a Russian soldier to counter a Ukrainian FPV drone with a stick on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Grad MLRS working on the Orikhiv sector of the Zaporizhzhia direction. Николаевский Ванёк and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provide detailed updates on numerous Russian drone movements across various oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed update on Russian combat actions across multiple directions, including the intensity of attacks and the use of aviation, KABs, kamikaze drones, and shellings. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a drone and signal amplifier. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a photo with a caption indicating the start of "night work". ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports Russian forces trying to advance and consolidate near Nadiivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses Russian tactics of using small groups for propaganda and attempting to claim control over settlements. Олександр Вілкул provides figures on Russian equipment losses over the past day, including tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems, MLRS, and UAVs. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on the number of Russian kamikaze drones used, KABs dropped, and shellings in the past day, and provides specific equipment losses on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a fundraising request for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian drone operator destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1U "Shkval" armored vehicle near Kolesnikovka using drone drops. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian "Baba-Yaga" type drones near Bogatyr with claimed air defense success. Два майора shares a fundraising request for metal for armor kits for military vehicles. Два майора shares a video showing the installation and claimed effectiveness of "Frontline Armor" kits on military vehicles. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Belgium will transfer 20 Cerber air defense systems to Ukraine. MoD Russia claims downing three JDAM guided bombs, one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 80 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. MoD Russia claims destroying field artillery guns and mortars in several locations over the past day and Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas and Operational-Tactical Aviation struck in 143 areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА is fundraising for Mavic drones. Воин DV shares a video claiming Russian drone operators are skillfully shooting down enemy drones on the South-Donetsk direction. Народная милиция ДНР claims the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point near Ulyanovka by a BM-21 "Grad" MLRS. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports success in destroying Ukrainian equipment using an FPV drone control system on fiber optic cable near Kupiansk. Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian artillery and drone strikes against Ukrainian military assets and personnel. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the combat work of Russian FPV drone crews. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides a detailed update on numerous "Shahed" and UAV groups across Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, indicating widespread use of these systems. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS showcase a modernized Ukrainian MLRS on a HMMWV platform with integrated digital fire control and targeting systems, demonstrating adaptation and technological advancement. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," indicating continued use of these strike drones. Colonelcassad provides details on the claimed composition of the Ukrainian 12th Army Corps, which includes territorial defense units and National Guard formations, indicating the integrated nature of Ukrainian forces for homeland defense. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, highlighting the use of this specific missile system. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction, indicating continued use of FPV drones in tactical engagements. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast, highlighting Russian reconnaissance capabilities. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that a large number of drones are recorded over multiple Ukrainian oblasts, indicating widespread drone activity and the need for countermeasures.
• Personnel: TASS reports alleged Ukrainian troop deployments, including "elite units" and the "Aidar" battalion, to Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad claims a "Geran" drone strike on a temporary deployment point of the Ukrainian 82nd Airborne Assault Brigade near Velyka Chernechyna, Sumy Oblast, implying the presence of this unit's personnel. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian sniper pair was covering assault troops. A battalion commander has reportedly resigned from the 47th Brigade. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian personnel losses, including 372 neutralized (228 killed) on the Pokrovsk direction, and a total of 910 Russian personnel losses over the past day. Colonelcassad and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the Ukrainian 47th Brigade due to concerns about unjustified personnel losses. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the destruction of enemy personnel by the 59th Separate Motorized Infantry Brigade near Nadiivka. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 discusses Russian tactics of using small groups (2-3 people) for propaganda. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Brigade and shares his statements. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with commentary linking the battalion commander's resignation to opposition to the regime. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a photo message quoting a Ukrainian official and adding commentary from Ukrainians reportedly mocking the official's statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces have entered Dyliivka and are conducting assaults. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report on the resignation of a battalion commander from the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade "Magura". Colonelcassad reports on successful Russian military actions against Ukrainian personnel. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data, claiming a significant increase in the death rate in Russia in March 2025 and a rise in natural population decline, with potential implications for military personnel. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast, claiming the finding of a deceased elderly woman. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow honoring conflict participants and volunteers assisting Russian forces. Colonelcassad provides details on the claimed composition of the Ukrainian 12th Army Corps, including specific brigades and regiments. Басурин о главном reports on the completion of a body exchange where Russia received 34 bodies of Russian servicemen and transferred 909 bodies of Ukrainian servicemen, detailing areas where Ukrainians were killed.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The commencement and subsequent pause of direct negotiations in Istanbul, coupled with reports of unrealistic Russian demands, particularly the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from occupied territories and the reported threat to seize Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts and increase territorial demands, underscore the significant strategic challenges in achieving a diplomatic resolution and suggest a continued emphasis on military pressure by Russia to strengthen its negotiating position. The pause in talks, as opposed to a complete breakdown, leaves the door open for future diplomatic engagement, but the stated positions highlight a wide gap to bridge. The reported Russian threat to capture Sumi and Kharkiv Oblasts and increase territorial demands in future negotiations, if demands are not met, is a significant escalation in their negotiating stance and a clear strategic pressure tactic. The reported statement by Medinsky about Russia's readiness to fight for years further reinforces this stance and aims to signal Russia's long-term commitment to achieving its objectives through military means. The Ukrainian delegation's focus on ceasefire and prisoner exchange, and Umerov's announcement of a potential "1000 for 1000" exchange, indicate Ukraine's strategic priorities for de-escalation and addressing humanitarian concerns, which are also critical for domestic morale and international support. Medinsky's confirmation of Russian satisfaction with the initial talks and openness to continuing contact, while also confirming Ukraine's request for leader-level talks and the agreement to exchange written proposals for a ceasefire, suggests Russia is maintaining a diplomatic channel while continuing military pressure and seeking to shape the terms of future discussions. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stating that a principled agreement has been reached to meet again is strategically significant as it confirms the potential for future diplomatic engagement despite the current pause and differing positions. Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting Ukrainian Minister of Defense Umerov's confirmation of continued negotiations and the prisoner exchange reinforces the potential for future talks. ТАСС reporting that the Russian delegation does not plan further press statements suggests a conclusion to public diplomatic messaging for the day from their side. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦's commentary reflects a skeptical Ukrainian strategic perspective on the sincerity of Russian demands. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document with requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, suggesting a concrete step in outlining Russia's terms. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US does not want to participate in endless negotiations on Ukraine, they want progress in the next few days, indicating US pressure for a timely resolution. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations, linking the outcome of talks to potential US economic pressure. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the Ukrainian side is also working on its own proposal for a ceasefire, indicating Ukraine's proactive diplomatic efforts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting potential alignment between US and EU pressure tactics. ТАСС reports that, according to Rubio after a conversation with Lavrov, Russia is preparing a document outlining its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Marco Rubio stated the US wants progress in the next few days in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Lavrov informed Rubio that Moscow will prepare a document outlining its conditions for a ceasefire in Ukraine, according to Clash Report. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian side will work on its own proposal for a ceasefire and hopes to present it soon, according to Clash Report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russia will prepare a document with its requirements for a ceasefire in Ukraine, citing US Secretary Rubio. РБК-Україна reports, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations. РБК-Україна reports Rubio stating they have asked the Senate for time to assess if there will be progress. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if documents from each side contain realistic ideas, progress will be made, and if not, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill. ТАСС reports that the American Congress may toughen anti-Russian sanctions if no progress is made in peace talks on Ukraine, citing State Secretary Rubio.
• The body exchange, with a significant disparity in the number of bodies returned to each side (Ukraine receiving 909, Russia 34), highlights the high human cost of the conflict and can be strategically used in information operations by both sides to influence perceptions of casualties and military effectiveness. The confirmation of a potential "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange is a significant humanitarian and strategic development, crucial for addressing the concerns of families and potentially influencing morale on both sides. WarGonzo's commentary on the "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange highlights potential Russian strategic calculations regarding the composition of the exchange and its impact on morale and information operations. Басурин о главном reports on the body exchange provides specific figures, which are strategically relevant for assessing casualties. Басурин о главном reports on the completion of a body exchange where Russia received 34 bodies of Russian servicemen and transferred 909 bodies of Ukrainian servicemen, specifying areas where Ukrainians were killed.
• Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's statements on the negotiations, linking the sincerity of Russian negotiations to the potential for increased sanctions and characterizing the Russian delegation as low-level, demonstrate Ukraine's strategic approach of leveraging international pressure and support to influence the diplomatic process and military situation. His call for Putin to grant his delegation real authority is a strategic move to directly challenge the seriousness of Russia's engagement. His phone call with Donald Trump and European leaders underscores the strategic importance of maintaining high-level international support and coordination regarding both the diplomatic and military aspects of the conflict, and the emphasis on strong sanctions if Russia refuses a ceasefire is a key strategic pressure point.
• Donald Trump's continued speculation on a potential direct call and meeting with Putin, and the reported phone call between Zelenskyy, European leaders, and Trump to discuss the Istanbul talks, add a layer of uncertainty to the strategic landscape, as high-level engagement involving these figures could significantly alter the trajectory of the conflict and international efforts to resolve it. Rybar's analysis of public disagreements between the US and Israeli administrations, while not directly about Ukraine, is relevant as it touches upon US foreign policy dynamics and could indirectly influence the broader geopolitical context of the conflict. The statement by a former US Ambassador to Ukraine, Bridget Brink, states she resigned due to the Trump administration's foreign policy towards Ukraine is a significant strategic development as it directly criticizes past US policy and highlights potential areas of tension or disagreement regarding US support for Ukraine. RBC-Ukraine sharing an expert's opinion on Trump's idea of meeting with Putin further highlights the ongoing strategic discussion and uncertainty surrounding Trump's potential role in the conflict. Colonelcassad sharing a video of Trump discussing drone costs is relevant as it indicates attention being paid to US defense procurement and potentially future military capabilities.
• Russian claims of liberating six settlements and inflicting significant losses on Ukrainian forces contribute to their strategic narrative of making progress and degrading Ukraine's military capabilities. These claims, if substantiated, could impact morale and perceptions of the battlefield situation. The high tempo of combat engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions, underscores the strategic importance of these areas and highlights the continued intensity of Russian offensive efforts. Воин DV's claims of significant Ukrainian losses and Russian advances on the South-Donetsk direction, including the claimed completion of clearing the central part of Bogatyr, suggest localized Russian tactical successes with broader strategic implications for controlling territory in the Donbas. The strategic implications of Russian military bloggers reporting on Russian commanders sending "refuseniks" to search for lost drones and being destroyed by Ukrainian FPV operators could include potential issues with Russian personnel management, morale, and the effectiveness of Ukrainian counter-drone tactics. The discussion among Russian military bloggers about focusing incentives on territorial gains rather than destroyed enemy assets suggests a strategic debate within Russia about optimizing military effectiveness. MoD Russia reporting the liberation of Volnoye Pole by units of the Vostok Group is a strategic message highlighting claimed territorial gains. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which, if accurate, would be a significant strategic gain for Russia in degrading Ukrainian air defense capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction, highlighting continued tactical engagements.
• The expected delivery of 2 million rounds of ammunition from the EU is a significant strategic development for Ukraine, directly addressing a critical need for sustaining its defense and enabling continued operations. This highlights the ongoing vital role of international military aid. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on EU sanctions discussion related to Putin's failure to appear at the negotiations suggests a potential strategic response from the EU aimed at increasing pressure on Russia. РБК-Україна, citing Clash Report and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, reports that the US Senate will advance a sanctions bill against Russia if there is no progress in negotiations, implying potential continued US military and financial support. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Rubio stating that if negotiations are not realistic, the Senate will take steps to pass a sanctions bill, suggesting potential alignment between US and EU pressure tactics for continued support.
• The agreement between Belarus and Russia to strengthen defense potential and hold joint "West-2025" exercises is a strategic move to deepen military integration and enhance readiness, potentially posing a long-term strategic concern for NATO and countries bordering the "Union State." The discussion among Russian military bloggers about the IISS study on the costs of defending Europe without US involvement suggests a strategic focus within Russian discourse on potential shifts in NATO dynamics and European defense capabilities.
• The conference on deported Ukrainian children highlights the strategic importance of addressing war crimes and humanitarian issues in the context of the conflict. International efforts to seek accountability and the return of these children contribute to a broader strategic goal of upholding international law and addressing the long-term consequences of the conflict.
• Internal Russian issues, such as corruption and criminal activity involving military personnel, while seemingly domestic, can have indirect strategic implications by potentially impacting morale, discipline, and public perception of the military. Reports from a Russian military blogger highlighting internal issues related to the management of a market in Voronezh and alleged corruption could be used in information operations to portray internal instability or inefficiency within Russia. The appearance of a mural depicting Putin and Stalin shaking hands in a cafe in Belgorod is a clear strategic information operation aimed at shaping narratives and reinforcing a particular political ideology within Russia. The arrest of a student for "calls for terrorism" in St. Petersburg highlights ongoing efforts to suppress dissent and control the narrative within Russia, which has strategic implications for internal stability and information control. The complaint by a Russian serviceman about the poor condition of a road in his home village could have indirect strategic implications for morale and logistical support for military personnel. The Ministry of Justice of the Russian Federation recognizing individuals and organizations as "foreign agents" is a strategic effort to control information and suppress perceived opposition, with implications for the information environment surrounding the conflict. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники sharing a meme related to Medinsky's reported statement about fighting duration is a strategic information operation aimed at influencing perceptions of the negotiation outcome. TASS reporting on a new cyber scam scheme highlights internal security concerns that could have strategic implications for information warfare. BUTUSOV PLUS reporting on the death of a Russian priest fighting in Ukraine and alleged looting activities is a strategic information operation aimed at undermining the image of Russian forces and highlighting alleged war crimes. Anatoliy Shtefan "Shtirlits" sharing a propaganda image related to a Russian soldier allegedly killed "liberating the Kursk land" is a strategic information operation aimed at mocking the Russian narrative and highlighting casualties. Kotsnews discussing the alleged "infowar" surrounding the negotiation process is itself a form of information operation, attempting to frame the narrative around the talks. Two Majors share a video related to providing armored protection to military vehicles. TASS reporting on a new Russian racing car prototype, while not directly military, could be seen as a strategic communication effort to highlight Russian technological capabilities. Mash на Донбассе reporting on the detention of the head of Rosreestr in the DNR suggests efforts to address corruption or maintain control in occupied territories, which has strategic implications for governance and stability. ТАСС reporting on a bill approved by the State Duma committee regarding fines for selling energy drinks to children is a domestic policy that doesn't directly impact military strategy but reflects internal governance. ТАСС shares a video report about a fire in a residential building in Oryol, which highlights domestic emergencies and could indirectly impact resource allocation. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on alleged secrecy surrounding Russian demographic data, claiming a significant increase in natural population decline and classified regional data. This information is strategically relevant to long-term personnel availability and potential internal instability. Colonelcassad reports on alleged atrocities by Ukrainian forces in Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk Oblast. This is a clear Russian information operation. Военкор Котенок reports on a formal event in Moscow celebrating Victory Day and honoring conflict participants. This is a significant propaganda effort aimed at bolstering morale and support for the military. ASTRA reports a human rights activist in occupied Donetsk (Makiivka) has been fined for "discrediting the Russian army." This highlights Russian information control and suppression of dissent in occupied territories. НгП раZVедка claims "More than 50 Geraniums are heading towards objects of the cursed state," linking the intensity of attacks to a lack of compromise from Ukraine. This is a propaganda message linking military actions to diplomatic outcomes.
• Ukrainian sources highlighting the success of Ukrainian FPV drones in destroying Russian air defense systems is strategically significant as it demonstrates an effective tactic for degrading a key Russian capability and emphasizes the importance of continued support for drone technology. STERNENKO sharing a video of Ukrainian forces using drones to repel Russian motorcycle assaults highlights the effectiveness of this tactic in countering a specific Russian offensive method and underscores the evolving nature of battlefield tactics. Colonelcassad sharing a video of a destroyed Turkish armored vehicle hit by drones in Konstantinovka highlights the effectiveness of drones against armored vehicles and the potential impact on the use of such equipment. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which, if accurate, would be a significant strategic gain for Russia in degrading Ukrainian air defense capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction, highlighting continued tactical engagements. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast, highlighting Russian efforts to enhance their reconnaissance capabilities. Воин DV claims a Russian Iskander-M missile system strike destroyed a Ukrainian "Pelican" radar station near Novokalynivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, supported by video, serving as a propaganda piece highlighting Russian capabilities. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck on the Kupiansk direction, supported by video, serving as a propaganda piece highlighting Russian capabilities. Два майора shares a video showing the use of a Russian reconnaissance UAV on the Crimean coast, likely for propaganda purposes.
• The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War engaging with families of servicemen is strategically important for maintaining morale and public trust within Ukraine by demonstrating the government's commitment to addressing the human cost of the conflict. The announcement and confirmation of a potential "1000 for 1000" prisoner exchange is a significant humanitarian and strategic development, crucial for addressing the concerns of families and potentially influencing morale on both sides.
• The presentation of the "Front-line Kobzar" highlights the strategic use of cultural and symbolic elements to boost morale and reinforce national identity among Ukrainian forces and the wider population.
• The suggestion by the Vatican's State Secretary that a meeting on Ukrainian settlement could take place in the Vatican introduces another potential venue for diplomatic engagement and highlights the Vatican's continued humanitarian and diplomatic role.
• The ongoing humanitarian aid efforts by local authorities in Kryvyi Rih are strategically important for maintaining civilian morale and stability in areas affected by the conflict, and they also highlight the administrative capacity of Ukrainian local governments.
• The presentation of new, shortened AK-12 variants by Kalashnikov, developed with "special military operation" experience, is a strategic development in Russian military modernization, indicating adaptations based on lessons learned from the conflict.
• The achievement of a documentary film about the conflict receiving a prestigious Russian film award is a strategic effort to shape narratives and influence public perception of the conflict within Russia.
• The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine reporting on uncovering schemes to evade mobilization in various regions highlights Ukraine's strategic efforts to ensure adequate personnel for its armed forces and combat corruption that could undermine these efforts.
• Mash on Donbass claiming that Ukrainian drones were suppressed by the "Dome of Donbass" EW system highlights the continued importance of electronic warfare in countering drone threats, which is a key tactical and strategic consideration.
• Russian military bloggers discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction suggests a focus on improving the effectiveness of Russian aerial munitions, which could have strategic implications for their ability to target Ukrainian positions and infrastructure.
• Russian military bloggers discussing issues with the quality and successful application of Russian drones and advocating for focusing incentives on territorial gains rather than destroyed enemy assets highlights internal debate and potential strategic adjustments within the Russian military regarding optimizing operational effectiveness. This also underscores the continued challenges Russia faces in effectively utilizing its drone capabilities.
• The recruitment efforts by the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade highlight Ukraine's strategic focus on maintaining and bolstering the capabilities of its key fighting units.
• The commentary by a former US Ambassador to Ukraine regarding her resignation due to the Trump administration's foreign policy towards Ukraine is a significant strategic development as it provides insight into internal US dynamics and potentially past strategic decisions that have impacted the conflict.
• Oleh Synyehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reporting on efforts to improve the rehabilitation system for military personnel and civilians is strategically important as it demonstrates a focus on long-term support and recovery, which is crucial for maintaining morale and societal resilience.
• РБК-Україна reporting on Russian drone attacks in Kostiantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in two fatalities and three injuries highlights the strategic impact of Russian aerial attacks on civilian populations and infrastructure.
• 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reporting on an air alarm and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reporting launches of guided aerial bombs towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscore the ongoing strategic threat of Russian aerial attacks on this region.
• Два майора sharing a video showing the use of the Russian domestic UAV "SKAT 350 M" for reconnaissance and targeting on the Crimean coast highlights Russian efforts to enhance their reconnaissance capabilities and maintain pressure in coastal areas, which has strategic implications for potential future operations in the Black Sea region.
• 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reporting on a poetry festival in Zaporizhzhia with a charitable collection for reconnaissance units highlights the strategic importance of civilian support for the military and the focus on enhancing specific capabilities.
• Mash на Донбассе reporting on the detention of the head of Rosreestr in the DNR suggests efforts to address corruption or maintain control in occupied territories, which has strategic implications for governance and stability.
• Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on EU sanctions discussion related to Putin's failure to appear at the negotiations suggests a potential strategic response from the EU aimed at increasing economic pressure on Russia to influence its actions.

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Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.