Sitrep 2025-05-17 14:12:08

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 17, 2025, 14:10 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in eastern and southern Ukraine, with Russian forces conducting active offensive operations. Russian aerial offensive remains persistent and geographically expanding, utilizing strike drones and guided aerial bombs across multiple regions of Ukraine. The diplomatic front is dominated by recent direct talks in Istanbul that concluded without a ceasefire agreement but with progress on a large-scale prisoner exchange (1000 for 1000 format) expected next week. Diplomatic discussions continue with international partners, including a telephone conversation between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio. Russian sources continue their information operations, claiming battlefield successes and attempting to discredit Ukrainian efforts and international support. Internal issues within Russia, including criminal activity, reports of problems within military units, and discussions on military production, are also being reported.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

Ukrainian Official's Assessment of Istanbul Talks: РБК-Україна reports that Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process, gain time, and delay new sanctions. This is a key Ukrainian assessment of the recent negotiations and Russia's intentions, directly influencing future diplomatic approaches.
Russian Offensive Operations on Southern Donetsk Direction: Воин DV and Colonelcassad share a video claiming that the 14th Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group of forces is destroying enemy manpower, dugouts, equipment, and communication assets on the South-Donetsk direction. This highlights ongoing Russian offensive operations in this area and the reported targeting of various Ukrainian assets.
Ukrainian Drone Activity towards Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" on the west of Donetsk and east of Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. They also report enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. This indicates continued Russian drone activity targeting different Ukrainian regions from various directions.
Russian Claim of Eliminating Ukrainian UAV Command Post and Other Assets: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a UAV command post, a temporary deployment point, 3 pickup trucks, 3 "Baba Yaga" type strike UAVs, and 21 quadcopters using artillery, air defense, and FPV drones after the claimed liberation of Volnoye Pole. This is a significant Russian claim of disrupting Ukrainian drone operations and logistics in a specific area.
Former US President Trump's Commentary: ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman in the world" because he leaves the US with billions of dollars after each visit. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video containing commentary from Trump stating that if Putin had not gotten stuck in the mud with his tanks, they would have been in Kyiv in 5 hours. These comments from Trump are notable given his potential future political role and provide insight into his perspective on the conflict.
Ukrainian Report on Downing "Shaheds": ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video claiming that mobile units of the anti-aircraft missile and artillery division shot down two Russian "Shahed" drones in the Kharkiv operational-tactical group's area of responsibility using heavy machine gun fire. This highlights Ukrainian efforts to counter Russian drone attacks, particularly in the Kharkiv area.
Russian Report on the Death of a Priest: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that a priest from Tobolsk, Sergey Vaida, died in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. This is a report of a casualty on the Russian side, highlighting the human cost of the conflict and presenting a narrative of sacrifice.
Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Erdogan and Macron: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming that Erdogan "put Macron in his place" during an interaction, implying a power dynamic and interpreting it through Turkish media perspective. This is a piece of information operation related to international relations.
Ukrainian Report on Armored Vehicle Resilience to FPV Drone Attack: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating that armored vehicles of the State Border Guard Service can withstand hits from FPV drones with cumulative warheads. This is a significant report highlighting the effectiveness of armored vehicles against FPV drones and providing a real-world example.
Russian Military Blogger Analysis of Novopavlovsk Direction: Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the situation on the Novopavlovsk direction, particularly in the area of Bogatyr - Alekseevka - Otradnoye. Following the claimed liberation of Bogatyr, Russian forces are reportedly leveling the front line and attempting further attacks towards Otradnoye and southwest. The analysis suggests potential further Russian advances. This is a detailed assessment of potential Russian tactical objectives in this area.
Russian Ministry of Defense Claims Liberation of Alexandropol: ТАСС reports that the liberation of Alexandropol in the "DPR" will allow Russian forces to increase fire pressure on the Ukrainian grouping in Konstantinovka. This is a Russian claim of territorial gain and strategic advantage.
Russian Military Blogger Reports Liberation of Bogatyr: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition and Воин DV report that units of the "Vostok" group of forces have liberated the settlement of Bogatyr, taking control of a defense area more than 3 km deep and along the front. These are significant and detailed Russian claims of a major territorial gain in the Novopavlovsk direction.
Russian Military Blogger Claims Elimination of Latvian Mercenary: Kotsnews reports that a mercenary from Latvia, Nikita Tarenov, was eliminated in the "SVO zone," claiming he fought for "Azov" and "Kraken" and was eliminated on the Kherson direction. This is a Russian information operation aimed at highlighting claimed successes against foreign fighters.
Report on Issues with US Military Warehouses in Asia-Pacific: Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. This information, while not directly related to Ukraine, is strategically relevant as it pertains to the readiness and logistical capabilities of a key international partner.
Report on Potential Rise of Pro-Russian Politician in Romania: РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion. This is a political development in a neighboring country that could have strategic implications for regional dynamics and support for Ukraine.
Ukrainian Use of Remotely Mined Explosive Devices: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device (SVP) disguised as a first aid kit on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier. This indicates Ukrainian forces are employing asymmetric tactics and utilizing drones for remote mining operations.
Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Mobilization in Ukraine: Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, particularly targeting students, which will lead to a "demographic catastrophe." This is a Russian information operation aimed at undermining Ukrainian morale and portraying the Ukrainian government negatively.
Report on Russian Production of Munitions Components: Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions in Russia and plans for further increases. This indicates Russia's focus on increasing its military production capacity to sustain the conflict.
Analysis of Situation in Kursk Oblast: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора provide an analysis of the situation in the border area of Kursk Oblast, noting continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, as well as a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes. This highlights ongoing pressure and a dynamic situation in this border region.
Ukrainian Use of Strike Drones on Toretsk Direction: Николаевский Ванёк shares a video showcasing the work of strike drones from the "Azov" 12th Special Purpose Brigade on the Toretsk direction, claiming these actions lead to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers and highlighting the effectiveness of drone warfare. This emphasizes the role of Ukrainian strike drones in inflicting casualties and disrupting Russian operations.
Critique of Ukrainian Fortifications: STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications, claiming they are poorly designed and vulnerable to drone attacks, and that some trenches are even dug facing the wrong direction. This highlights internal concerns within Ukraine regarding defense construction and potentially logistical or planning deficiencies.
US RQ-4B Global Hawk Activity Over Black Sea: Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea, noting its persistent surveillance and commenting on the lack of Russian interception. This indicates continued US intelligence gathering in the region.
Report on Ukrainian Soldier Absconding with Excess Pay: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier who allegedly received a significant overpayment in salary and then attempted to leave his unit, highlighting issues with payment systems and discipline. This is an anecdotal report potentially used in information operations.
Russian Propaganda on Ukrainian Statehood: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person claiming that Ukraine is an "artificially created country" and that things will be "normal" when Putin takes Odesa. This is a clear example of Russian propaganda aimed at undermining Ukrainian sovereignty and justifying territorial claims.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk direction, Bahatyr, Komar, South-Donetsk direction, Konstantinovka, Otradnoye, Volne Pole, Novoaleksandrovka, Chasiv Yar, Kramatorsk direction, Predtechino, Toretsk, Ozaryanivka, Diliyivka, Druzhba, Yablunivka, Vozdvyzhenka, Nova Poltavka, Myrolyubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Novoserhiivka, Troitske, Andriyivka, Novopavlivka direction, Kostyantynopil, Rivnopil, Novopil, Zelene Pole, Temirivka, Oleksandropil): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces claim significant advances and liberation of settlements, including Alexandropol, Bogatyr, and Volne Pole. Intense fighting is reported near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and on the Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka directions. Ukrainian forces are reportedly repelling numerous assaults. Russian forces are utilizing drones and artillery in offensive operations. Russian military bloggers are analyzing potential further advances on the Novopavlivka direction. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. Russian tactical aviation is active on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Donetsk Oblast. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition and Воин DV report the liberation of Bogatyr. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the situation on the Novopavlivka direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 115 combat engagements today, with detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, including 23 on the Pokrovsk direction and 9 on the Novopavlivka direction. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka. Воин DV and Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition report intense fighting during the liberation of Bogatyr. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications.
Sumy Oblast (Sumy, Bilopillia, Sna host, Nova Huta, Zarichne, Mar'ine, Vovkivka, Malushyne, Oleksandrivka, Pokrovka, Brusky, Bachivsk, Starykove, Porozok, Novodmytrivka, Shalyhyne, Petrushivka, Katerynivka, Bilokopytove, Prohres, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Bunyakyne): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity and potentially ground operations. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces are utilizing drones and claiming successful strikes on Russian equipment (D-30 howitzer). Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that 119 artillery shellings occurred on the Kursk direction, impacting positions and settlements, including Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports an aviation strike on Bunyakyne.
Kharkiv Oblast (Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Vovchansk, Stroivka, Zahryzove): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Russian military bloggers claim Russian forces are "clearing" parts of Kharkiv Oblast. Ukrainian forces are using drones for reconnaissance; daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew is highlighted. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Ukrainian military spokesperson states Russian summer offensive has begun, impacting this area. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video claiming that mobile units of the anti-aircraft missile and artillery division shot down two Russian "Shahed" drones. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction today, in the area of Vovchansk and towards Stroivka, and one attack on the Kupyansk direction near Zahryzove. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Guyevo area, Kursk region, Tetkino, Rylsk, Bolshenizovtsevo): Affected by Ukrainian cross-border attacks, including claimed air strikes with high-precision bombs targeting Russian personnel. A Russian military blogger questions the purpose of persistent Ukrainian attacks in the Tetkino area. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the border area following a Ukrainian strike. Continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast (bordering Kursk). MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast (bordering Kursk). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports seven Russian attacks were repelled and one battle is ongoing on the Kursk direction, with five aviation strikes dropping five КАБ and 119 artillery shellings. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use in the border area of Kursk Oblast.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Zaporizhzhia city, Zaporizhzhia direction, Mala Tokmachka, Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Shcherbaky, Energodar, Prydniprovsk direction, Robotyne, Huliaipole direction, Huliaipole, Orikhiv direction, Orikhiv, Kamianske): Affected by military activity. Ukrainian forces are reportedly utilizing drones for destroying enemy equipment and personnel. Scientific and educational activities, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are being highlighted in Zaporizhzhia city. A Russian military blogger claims VDV units are conducting assault actions and expanding control on the Zaporizhzhia direction, and MSP units entered Mala Tokmachka from the south, with fierce battles ongoing and the Brick Factory under Russian control. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports three Russian attacks were repelled on the Orikhiv direction, with strikes near Stepove and Mali Shcherbaky, and aviation strikes on Kamianske and Huliaipole, including unguided aviation missiles.
Kherson Oblast: Affected by military activity, including claimed "carpet bombing" tactics with drones by a Russian unit (appears to be a misattribution). A Russian military blogger claims a Latvian mercenary was eliminated on the Kherson direction. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast.
Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Affected by Ukrainian drone attacks. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Sumy Oblast from Belgorod. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. РБК-Україна also reports on "Shaheds" moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian troops have approached the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and that Ukrainian reserves have been transferred. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) were repelled, with one battle ongoing, and unguided aviation missiles struck Mykolaivka.
Crimea (Sevastopol): Russian Ministry of Defense claims four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were shot down. Russian authorities claim a significantly higher level of defense compared to three years ago. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014.
Black Sea: Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea.
Eastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts.
Northeastern Direction (Ukraine): Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Remains very high and widespread. Both sides are extensively using drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and strike operations (including FPV and reportedly "Baba Yaga" types). Russia claims downing numerous Ukrainian UAVs over the past day and destroying a Ukrainian robotic platform with an FPV drone. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones, including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the use of FPV drones and claiming success in downing Ukrainian drones and destroying Ukrainian UAV command posts. Fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers is ongoing in Russia. "Akhmat" special forces are training with emphasis on targeting aerial objectives. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Russian strike UAVs are heading towards Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Ukrainian armored vehicles are reportedly resilient to FPV drone attacks. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. РБК-Україна also reports on "Shaheds" moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer using a drone. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. МоD Russia claims that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia used over a thousand kamikaze drones today, with detailed breakdowns of drone usage on various fronts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shaheds" are heading towards Kharkiv Oblast from the east of Dnipropetrovsk and west of Donetsk Oblasts. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video claiming that mobile units shot down two Russian "Shahed" drones with heavy machine gun fire. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Belgorod Oblast, Russia, are heading towards the south of Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne towards the south. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Continued use by Russian forces. Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing three JDAM guided bombs over the past day. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. КАВ strikes reported in Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports КАБы on Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia dropped 86 guided aerial bombs today, including five on the Kursk direction.
Aviation Activity: Russian tactical aviation is active, particularly on the northeastern and eastern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Ukrainian sources claim Ukrainian aviation used high-precision bombs in Kursk Oblast. A video claiming to show Russian tactical aviation activity during the claimed liberation of Alexandropol is shared. A Robinson 66 helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern direction with threat of aerial weapons for frontline areas. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 47 aviation strikes today, with detailed breakdowns of targets and types of strikes. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea.
Missile Activity: Russian Ministry of Defense claims downing one US-made HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Russian Missile Troops conducted strikes in 143 areas. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia launched one missile today.
Naval Activity: No new significant naval activity reported in the immediate last hour. The presence of Russian strike UAVs in the Black Sea from occupied Kherson is noted. Germany is preparing sanctions targeting the Russian "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. A new Project 12700 mine countermeasures ship is being laid down in Russia. Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea.
Air Defense Activity: Both sides are actively engaged in air defense operations. Russia claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations. Ukrainian forces are actively countering Russian aerial threats and claiming the downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones. Russian air defense claims downing four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over Crimea. Russian Z-pabliks reportedly criticized the lack of air defense in the Kursk border area following a Ukrainian strike. Russian air defense is utilized to counter Ukrainian drone operations near Volnoye Pole. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian forces are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports that Russia's aerial and shelling activity today included numerous guided aerial bombs and kamikaze drones, with detailed breakdowns of air defense responses. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video claiming mobile units shot down two Russian "Shahed" drones with heavy machine gun fire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using air defense systems.
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Intense ground combat implies ongoing artillery and MLRS use by both sides. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian field artillery guns and mortars and that Missile Troops and Artillery struck in 143 areas. Russian sources are highlighting their use in offensive operations and claiming mass burning of Ukrainian artillery near Pokrovsk. Russian artillery is utilized in offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction and near Volnoye Pole. Russian artillery is active in the border area of Kursk Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗSU reports Russia conducted 3923 shellings today, including 9 from MLRS on the Kursk direction, with detailed breakdowns of shelling locations and impacts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv, likely involving artillery or aerial strikes. Воин DV and Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition report on Russian artillery use on the South-Donetsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports aviation strikes with unguided aviation missiles on Huliaipole and Mykolaivka. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on 119 artillery shellings on the Kursk direction today.
Electronic Warfare (EW): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 mentions that Russian FPV drone activity on the Kurshina direction caused problems with logistics through fire control, implying the use of EW against Ukrainian logistics. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, which could involve EW systems.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Direct talks in Istanbul have concluded without a ceasefire agreement but with progress on a large-scale prisoner exchange expected next week. Russia refused a temporary ceasefire. Ukraine viewed some Russian points as unacceptable and confirmed new demands were made, but their position remains unchanged. Diplomatic discussions continue with international partners, including a telephone conversation between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce. European leaders view the Russian stance as unacceptable and are coordinating their response with the US, including engagement with former US President Trump. The UN has welcomed the direct talks. Russia continues to blame the West for the breakdown of the "Istanbul project." French President Macron stated Russia's refusal of a ceasefire indicates a desire to gain time. Zelenskyy has met with international leaders, discussing negotiations and the need for continued pressure on Russia. Nordic and Baltic countries have issued a joint statement supporting a 30-day ceasefire and direct high-level talks. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio discussing the Istanbul negotiations, prisoner exchange, and truce conditions. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha stated that Putin used the Istanbul meeting to imitate a peace process and gain time, and that only a ceasefire indicates readiness for peace. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands (accept loss of annexed regions, neutrality, no reparations).
International Support for Ukraine: International engagement with Ukraine regarding support and potential future talks continues. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia targeting the "shadow fleet." Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Germany signed an agreement with Moldova for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack, calling for a ceasefire. Discussions around potential financial support for Ukraine are ongoing. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for overall US military readiness and ability to support allies. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange and the preparation of visions for truce conditions, and emphasized US readiness to further assist in finding a settlement. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a ceasefire. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman," potentially impacting perceptions of US aid. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussions on potential peace plans continue. A large-scale body exchange has taken place, and a prisoner exchange is being prepared for next week. Russia claims to have made constructive proposals in Istanbul, while Ukraine states the Russian stance included unacceptable points. Ukrainian MFA spokesperson responded to Russian insults. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations, a prisoner exchange, and the conditions for a truce. Lavrov reportedly noted Washington's positive role in Kyiv accepting the offer for renewed Istanbul talks. Rubio reportedly welcomed agreements on prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports Bloomberg's alleged Russian demands.
Internal Russian Politics: Domestic incidents continue to be reported, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. Russia is focusing on internal issues like "Halal" tourism standards and expediting housing provision for military personnel. Putin has simplified citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A sports festival in Bryansk Oblast is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. Reports on issues within the Russian 25th military brigade are emerging. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. WarGonzo mentions Anton Titsky, who was involved in pro-Russian movements in Crimea in 2014. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions.
Internal Ukrainian Issues: Discussion around public figures enlisting in the military. Efforts to support citizens affected by Russian attacks are being developed. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Ukraine is preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals who do not appear to have official credentials, highlighting potential issues with fraudulent representation. Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha assesses that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. A story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay is reported by a Russian source. Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood is being disseminated. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides a detailed operational update. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing air defense work. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of Valerii Zaluzhnyi. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood.
Engagement with Former US President Trump: The Financial Times article reportedly discusses the potential influence of Trump. Former US President Trump reportedly commented that he believes Putin is "tired" of the war and looks "bad," and speculated that Russian tanks did not reach Kyiv in 2022 because they got stuck in the mud. He also commented on Zelenskyy as a "salesman." РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary. ASTRA reports US officials are now viewing Putin as the main obstacle to peace, contrasting with previous perspectives.
Relationship between Military Success and Negotiations (Russian Narrative): The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing highlights claimed military successes, which can be used to support their negotiating position. Russian sources claim strategic advantage after taking Alexandropol, linking it to Chasov Yar. Russian claims of liberating Volnoye Pole and Bogatyr contribute to this narrative. Russian claims of advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk also support this narrative. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stating a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions supports the narrative of Russia's ability to sustain the conflict. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and claims significant Ukrainian losses. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions.
Russian Military Blogger Information Operations: Russian military bloggers continue to disseminate information and commentary, highlighting claimed tactical successes, engaging in psychological warfare narratives, and showcasing propaganda exhibitions. They are promoting narratives about fictional Ukrainian soldiers and claiming elimination of foreign fighters. They are also demonstrating tactical medicine practices. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian mobilization and the war effort. They are disseminating propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, supporting the Russian narrative of the annexation. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators, which can be seen as a counter-information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Erdogan's dominant interaction with Macron. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction and mentions the elimination of over 250 mercenaries from Baltic countries. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video related to Erdogan and Macron, interpreting it through a specific narrative. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay, used in information operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood.
Ukrainian Counter-Information Operations: Ukrainian sources are highlighting aspects of the conflict and countering Russian narratives, including sharing videos of claimed military successes and commenting on Russian propaganda. Ukrainian MFA spokesperson responded to Russian insults. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about potentially fraudulent generals. Ukrainian forces are showcasing the downing of Russian Shaheds and the resilience of their armored vehicles to FPV drone attacks. Ukrainian military are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood.
Ukraine-US Relations: The Financial Times article reportedly discusses a US-Ukrainian peace plan and the involvement of US officials. A telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov is reported. Former US President Trump commented on Zelenskyy. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the US ability to support Ukraine and other allies. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and the conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims, and also reports US officials are now viewing Putin as the main obstacle to peace. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems.
North Korea's Military Posture: Kim Jong Un has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb.
Finland-Russia Relations: An article discusses Finland's support for Estonia's attempted tanker seizure. Alex Parker Returns shares a news article about the Estonian Minister of Defense commenting on an incident with a "shadow fleet" in the Baltic Sea.
Latvia-Russia Relations: Russia claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction.
EU-Russia Relations: Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks.
China-Russia Relations: Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia, describing Russia as an "economic vassal" of China. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place.
Uzbekistan-Germany Relations: Cooperation on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan is reported.
Moldova-Germany Relations: Moldova and Germany signed an agreement for the placement of a German military "consultative group." Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova.
Tatarstan (Russia): Location of a forum where discussions on AI in media and diplomacy took place. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
Smolensk Oblast (Russia): Mentioned in a context related to agricultural work and a commercial promotion. WarGonzo mentions Smolensk in the context of agricultural work.
Romania: Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in presidential elections. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: Reports of domestic incidents, including the death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic dispute. A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. A helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. Reports of alleged phone scammers in Moscow are emerging. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ТАСС reports a helicopter made a hard landing in Moscow Oblast. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites.
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces are conducting intense offensive operations, claiming advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones, and potentially TOS-1A systems. They are recruiting volunteers for special forces. They claim to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast. They claim to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine. Russian air defense claims downing various Ukrainian aerial targets, including JDAMs, HIMARS, and numerous fixed-wing UAVs, and destroying Ukrainian EW stations. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian forces are claiming the liberation of Alexandropol, Volnoye Pole, and Bogatyr. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. МоD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast.
Casualties: Russian sources claim significant Ukrainian losses in their daily briefing. A Russian soldier recounts close combat. Russia received 34 bodies in a body exchange. A large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. A Russian military blogger claims elimination of a Latvian mercenary. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade, including a high number of missing personnel. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike. Воин DV reports the destruction of up to a consolidated battalion of Ukrainian forces during the liberation of Bogatyr. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing a Russian soldier injured by a remotely mined explosive device. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction.
Information Operations: Russian sources continue to engage in information operations, framing events to support their narrative and highlight claimed successes. They are disseminating psychological warfare narratives, including claims of Ukrainian drones with "Nazi symbols" and allegations of "Western psychological programs" in Ukraine. They are showcasing propaganda exhibitions and creating fictional narratives about Ukrainian soldiers. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. They are disseminating narratives about Ukrainian mobilization and the war effort, including targeting students. They are disseminating propaganda on Ukrainian statehood. They are using anecdotal stories in information operations. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity." WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, supporting the Russian narrative of the annexation. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators, which can be seen as a counter-information operation. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show Erdogan's dominant interaction with Macron. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction and mentions the elimination of over 250 mercenaries from Baltic countries. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video related to Erdogan and Macron, interpreting it through a specific narrative. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, highlighting Russian military effectiveness. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization, targeting students. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay, used in information operations. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood.
Law Enforcement and Criminal Activity: A former Moscow Oblast Trade Minister appeared before investigators. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Alleged phone scammers are targeting Muscovites. A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency is reported. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District. ТАСС reports alleged phone scammers targeting Muscovites.
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Photos of "frontline cats" are shared, likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. A body exchange is reported, which can be used in information operations. A sports festival is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. The death of a priest in Kherson Oblast is presented as a heroic act. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast, framing it as a heroic act of sacrifice.
Support for Military Personnel: Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and potentially boosting morale. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade.
Citizenship Policy: Simplified process for granting Russian citizenship to citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship.
Production Capacity: Russia is investing significantly in drone production, but is dependent on foreign components. The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident is reported. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions.
Fatalities (Non-Military): A fatality was discovered after an explosion in Bashkiria (non-military). The death of an Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident in Moscow Oblast is reported. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv.
Cultural and Social Initiatives: A propaganda exhibition on the military conflict is being showcased. A plan is underway to develop "Halal" tourism standards. A sports festival is linked to commemorating victory and promoting patriotism. A mural depicting Putin and Stalin has appeared. A Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a tax on childless men over 40. Discussions on AI in media and diplomacy also took place at a forum in Tatarstan. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
Military Training: MoD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Veteran Support (Ukraine): A survey on financial literacy for military personnel, veterans, and their families is being conducted.
Civilian Support (Ukraine): A support service for citizens affected by Russian attacks is being developed in Kyiv. Transport routes in Sumy Oblast are being changed following an attack on a bus. A fatality occurred in Odesa Oblast from a previous attack. Concerns are raised about military uniforms for TSK employees and public perception. Scientific and educational developments in Zaporizhzhia, including plans for AI and robotics centers, are highlighted. Russia attacked a regular bus near Bilopillia with casualties. The UK Foreign Minister reacted to this attack. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities.
Military Personnel Support (Russia): Efforts to provide housing for military personnel are being expedited. Fundraising for equipment for military units is ongoing. Recruitment for "Akhmat" special forces is highlighted. A Russian serviceman complained about the poor condition of a road to his village. Russian military bloggers are demonstrating tactical medicine practices. Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade regarding unaccounted-for personnel and difficulties faced by families. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support for military personnel. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit, including difficulties with confirming status and providing DNA samples. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade.
Prisoner of War Issues: A large-scale body exchange has taken place. A prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format is expected next week. Russia claims to have captured Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms a large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format may take place next week. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed prisoner exchange, citing Russian MFA claims.
Post-Conflict Recovery: The issue of rebuilding the destroyed Mariupol maternity hospital is being highlighted. The closure of a bridge in Donetsk for long-term repair indicates infrastructure damage requiring significant recovery efforts.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against intense Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and inflicting significant Russian losses. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial threats and claiming downing of Russian aerial assets, including a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones (including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns). Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions and occupied territories. Utilizing drones for targeting, including claiming the destruction of a Russian D-30 howitzer and successfully hunting down Russian drone operators. Seeking diplomatic solutions but maintaining their stance on key issues. Preparing for a large-scale prisoner exchange and participating in body exchanges. Experiencing civilian casualties and infrastructure damage from Russian attacks. Raising internal concerns related to mobilization and public perception of military personnel. Using drones for reconnaissance and potentially utilizing robotic platforms for logistics (Russian claim of destroying one). Ukrainian aviation is reportedly conducting strikes in Russian border regions. Recruiting gunners for the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade. Addressing evasion of mobilization schemes. Highlighting efforts to improve rehabilitation for military personnel and civilians. Highlighting the effectiveness of their FPV drones and armored vehicles against FPV drones. A Ukrainian military blogger raises concerns about potentially fraudulent generals. The Third Assault Brigade reports repelling numerous assaults, with Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is also reported. Ukrainian mobile air defense units are downing Shaheds in the Kharkiv area. Ukrainian forces are reporting destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. A story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay is reported by a Russian source. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports two women injured in a Russian attack on Orikhiv. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of defensive actions and repelled attacks on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage by Russia. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne towards the south. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast) were repelled. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story about a Ukrainian soldier allegedly absconding with excess pay. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast.
Russian Forces: Conducting intense ground assaults across multiple fronts, claiming advances and utilizing various military assets, including artillery, tactical aviation, drones (FPV, "Baba Yaga"), and potentially TOS-1A thermobaric systems in urban areas. Recruiting volunteers for special forces ("Akhmat"). Claiming downing of Ukrainian drones, including those with alleged "Nazi symbols," and destruction of Ukrainian robotic platforms. Engaging in information operations and psychological warfare narratives. Focusing on internal security and military support initiatives. Experiencing casualties. Strengthening military cooperation with Belarus. Presenting new, shortened AK-12 variants. Russian tactical aviation is active on the northeastern and eastern directions, with the threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions. Russian air defense is claiming interception of Ukrainian aerial targets and destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. Claiming the liberation of settlements like Alexandropol, Volnoye Pole, and Bogatyr. Using guided aerial bombs extensively. Russian military bloggers are claiming advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts and other infrastructure. They are showcasing tactical actions of assault units. Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. Continued activity with small assault groups and DRGs, and a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes are reported in the border area of Kursk Oblast. A Russian priest reportedly died from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. МоD Russia shows Russian military training in the rear of the Kursk region. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon, highlighting "Russian ingenuity" and military resourcefulness. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, highlighting medical support. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of Russian offensive actions on numerous fronts, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the liberation of Bogatyr and highlights Russian military effectiveness and clearing operations. Воин DV reports on the liberation of Bogatyr, emphasizing territorial gains and claimed Ukrainian losses. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report on Russian offensive operations on the South-Donetsk direction. Военкор Котенок provides an analysis of the Novopavlivka direction, supporting the Russian narrative of advances. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage from artillery and aviation strikes in Sumy Oblast border communities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports two Russian attempts to advance on the Prydniprovsk direction (bordering Dnipropetrovsk Oblast). Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier. Николаевский Ванёк reports on Ukrainian drone strikes leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers on the Toretsk direction.
Third-Party Involvement: Belarus is ready to organize a peace process and is strengthening military cooperation with Russia, planning joint "West-2025" exercises. North Korea has ordered strengthened military training and tested a new gliding guided bomb. Finland is discussed in the context of supporting Estonia's actions against Russian shipping. Latvia is mentioned with Russia claiming to have eliminated a mercenary. Germany is preparing new sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet" and increasing control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure. Poland's Foreign Minister suggests China could influence Russia. Abkhazia and South Ossetia are mentioned in the context of simplified Russian citizenship. Turkey is facilitating potential negotiations. The US is reportedly involved in discussions regarding a peace plan and potential diplomatic engagement, including a telephone conversation between Senator Rubio and FM Lavrov. Uzbekistan and Germany are cooperating on modernizing technical and professional education in Uzbekistan. Moldova signed an agreement with Germany for the placement of a German military "consultative group." The UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Bilopillia bus attack. BRICS countries are focusing on alternative transport infrastructure. A US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone is operating over the Black Sea. Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific could have indirect implications for the US ability to support Ukraine and other allies. Potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in Romania. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report a telephone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio where they discussed the Istanbul negotiations and the conditions for a truce. Colonelcassad also reports on this conversation. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy, relevant to the information landscape. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed the Istanbul talks, prisoner exchange, and conditions for a truce, citing Russian MFA claims. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion.
Equipment and Tactics: Continued extensive use of drones by both sides, including FPV drones and reportedly "Baba Yaga" types. Russian forces are using guided aerial bombs, artillery, MLRS, potentially TOS-1A systems, reportedly homemade SVUs, and reportedly utilizing robotic platforms for logistics. Ukrainian forces are utilizing drones for targeting and have claimed the downing of a Ka-52 helicopter with an FPV drone and various Russian drones, including "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. Russian forces are attempting to counter Ukrainian drone capabilities and claim the destruction of a Ukrainian robotic platform and downing Ukrainian drones with EW systems. North Korea has tested a new gliding guided bomb. Fundraising for drones and signal amplifiers is ongoing in Russia. "Akhmat" special forces are training with emphasis on targeting aerial objectives. New, shortened AK-12 variants are being presented in Russia. Ukrainian air force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern and eastern directions with threat of aerial weapons for frontline regions and claims Ukrainian aviation used high-precision bombs in Kursk Oblast. Russian air defense claims destruction of Ukrainian EW stations. Ukrainian forces are highlighting the effectiveness of their FPV drones in destroying Russian air defense systems and in hunting down Russian drone operators. The closure of a bridge in Donetsk for repair indicates the impact of conflict on infrastructure. Russian military bloggers are claiming mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk. The Third Assault Brigade reports Russian forces using small infantry groups and FPV drones in the Kharkiv region. Daily work of a "Leleka-100" UAV crew from the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Kharkiv direction is highlighted. Ukrainian forces are utilizing armored vehicles that can withstand FPV drone attacks. Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Russian forces are utilizing FPV drones against Ukrainian UAV command posts. Ukrainian forces are allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices utilizing drones on the left bank of Kherson. Ukrainian strike drones are active on the Toretsk direction. Concerns are raised about the quality of some Ukrainian fortifications. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from the south moving towards Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and later reports "Shaheds" from Zaporizhzhia moving towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a story and photo about a T-72 tank repair with a spoon. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video demonstrating the work of the medical service of the "Rubicon" Center, showing evacuation methods. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment. МоD Russia reports that Russian air defense systems shot down 930 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs and 35 JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past week. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russia conducted 115 combat engagements today, including detailed breakdowns of equipment used and destroyed, and also reports significant drone and guided bomb usage. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares a video showcasing the downing of "Shaheds" with heavy machine guns. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Ukrainian drone activity flying south from Zaporizhzhia over Robotyne. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts, "Baba Yaga" drones, and quadcopters using FPV drones. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports aviation strikes with unguided aviation missiles on Huliaipole and Mykolaivka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device utilizing a drone on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of Ukrainian strike drones on the Toretsk direction. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора report on increased FPV drone activity in the border area of Kursk Oblast.
Russian Recruitment: Recruitment for the "Akhmat" special forces is ongoing. Recruitment for the "African Corps" is being highlighted. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition is disseminating information for recruitment into the Russian "African Corps."

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The expected large-scale prisoner exchange on a "1000 for 1000" format next week is a significant humanitarian and strategic development, crucial for addressing the concerns of families and potentially influencing morale on both sides. It also indicates a degree of operational coordination and communication between the two sides, even amidst ongoing conflict. Ukrainian intelligence chief Budanov confirms this. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Lavrov and Rubio discussed a prisoner exchange. Colonelcassad also reports on this discussion. ASTRA reports Rubio and Lavrov discussed prisoner exchange.
The Russian information operation alleging "Western psychological programs" in Ukraine and their impact on athletes is a strategic effort to delegitimize Ukrainian national identity and actions, portraying them as manipulated by external forces. This narrative is likely intended to influence both domestic Russian audiences and international perceptions. The Russian narrative about a fictional Ukrainian soldier also serves this purpose, attempting to mock and discredit Ukrainian efforts. The Russian narrative about Ukrainian mobilization and targeting students is also part of this information operation. Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood is being disseminated to undermine Ukrainian sovereignty. Басурин о главном presents a narrative claiming that the Ukrainian regime is preparing for a new wave of mobilization. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video featuring a person disseminating Russian propaganda on Ukrainian statehood.
The potential new EU sanctions against the Russian "shadow fleet" and increased control over Baltic Sea underwater infrastructure are significant international strategic developments aimed at increasing economic pressure on Russia and enhancing security in a key maritime region. Targeting the "shadow fleet" aims to reduce Russia's ability to circumvent oil sanctions, directly impacting their revenue stream. Increased control over underwater infrastructure is a response to perceived threats of sabotage and has broader security implications for the region. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks, which support the war effort, reflecting continued economic pressure. Alex Parker Returns shares a news article about the Estonian Minister of Defense commenting on an incident with a "shadow fleet" in the Baltic Sea.
Russia's ongoing recruitment of volunteers for the "Akhmat" special forces indicates a strategic effort to bolster specific, potentially high-impact units. The emphasis on training in combat skills, including targeting aerial objectives, suggests a focus on adapting to the evolving nature of warfare and utilizing specialized forces for key tasks.
Putin's decree simplifying citizenship for citizens of Abkhazia and South Ossetia is a strategic political move aimed at strengthening Russia's influence in these breakaway regions and potentially creating a larger pool of individuals with ties to Russia. WarGonzo shares information from an interview mentioning volunteers printing Russian passports in Crimea in 2014, related to citizenship.
The Russian claim of destroying a Ukrainian robotic platform with an FPV drone on the Krasnolimansk direction is a specific tactical claim with strategic implications. It highlights the increasing use of robotic systems on the battlefield and the efforts by both sides to counter them, demonstrating the evolving tactics and technology in the conflict.
The death of the Iskander missile designer in a domestic incident, while a personal tragedy, has a minor strategic implication in that it removes an individual with expertise in a key Russian military system. However, the cause of death indicates no direct military threat or vulnerability related to the system itself.
The Russian claim of downing a Ukrainian drone with "Nazi symbols" is a clear strategic information operation aimed at reinforcing the Russian narrative of fighting against "Nazism" in Ukraine and justifying their actions. The visual element of the drone with alleged symbols is intended to serve as propaganda.
The Polish Foreign Minister's suggestion that China could "put Putin in his place" due to Russia's economic dependence on China is a significant international commentary with strategic implications. It highlights the perceived power dynamic between Russia and China and suggests a potential avenue for international pressure to influence Russia's actions in Ukraine. This view, if widely shared, could influence diplomatic strategies towards both countries. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports the Polish Foreign Minister stating that China could put Putin in his place.
The sports festival in Bryansk Oblast linked to Victory Day and promoting patriotism is a domestic strategic initiative aimed at bolstering national pride, commemorating historical military achievements, and fostering support for current military actions by linking them to past victories. The explicit criticism of Ukraine within this context serves as a domestic information operation.
The claim by a Russian source of their forces capturing Ukrainian soldiers in Bilovody, Sumy Oblast, is a strategic claim of localized success, potentially aimed at highlighting Russian military effectiveness in border regions and contributing to information operations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during an assault on Bilovody.
The claimed elimination of a Latvian mercenary by a Russian source near Toretsk or Kherson is a strategic information operation to portray foreign fighters negatively and highlight claimed successes against them. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims to have eliminated a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine near Toretsk. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims a Latvian mercenary fighting for Ukraine was eliminated on the Kherson direction. Kotsnews reports the elimination of a Latvian mercenary on the Kherson direction.
The claimed Ukrainian air strike with high-precision bombs near Guyevo in Kursk Oblast is strategically significant as it demonstrates Ukraine's capability to conduct targeted strikes in Russian border regions, potentially impacting Russian logistics and personnel concentrations and challenging Russia's perceived control of these areas. The reported criticism by Russian Z-pabliks about the lack of air defense in the border area further emphasizes the impact of these strikes and the strategic importance of air defense in these regions.
Ukrainian forces highlighting the destruction of a Russian D-30 howitzer in Sumy Oblast using a drone is strategically important as it showcases the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics against Russian artillery, a key asset in the conflict, and highlights Ukraine's capability to strike Russian military equipment in border regions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS claims Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian D-30 howitzer in Russian territory near Sumy Oblast.
The Russian claim of liberating the settlement of Volnoye Pole on the South-Donetsk direction, Alexandropol, and Bogatyr are strategic claims of territorial gain, supporting their broader objectives in Donetsk Oblast and serving as an information operation to demonstrate progress. ТАСС shares video footage from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of the settlement of Alexandropol. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense, claims the liberation of the settlement of Volnoye Pole. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition and Воин DV report the liberation of Bogatyr. ТАСС reports the liberation of Alexandropol will increase fire pressure on Konstantinovka.
The closure of the bridge over the Kalmius River in Donetsk for long-term repair is strategically relevant as it indicates infrastructure damage resulting from the conflict, impacting logistics and civilian life in occupied territory, and highlighting the long-term consequences of the war.
The cooperation between Germany and Uzbekistan on modernizing technical and professional education could have long-term strategic implications for labor migration and economic ties, potentially influencing regional dynamics.
The appearance of a mural depicting Putin and Stalin in Belgorod is a strategic information operation aimed at influencing domestic narratives and reinforcing a particular political ideology, potentially linking current events to Soviet historical narratives.
Ukrainian forces highlighting the effectiveness of hunting down Russian drone operators using FPV drones is strategically important as it demonstrates a tactic to directly counter a key Russian capability (drone warfare) by targeting the personnel operating them, potentially degrading Russian reconnaissance and strike capabilities. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video from 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade demonstrating "hunting" Russian drone operators using FPV drones.
Russian claims of advances and capture of the Brick Factory near Mala Tokmachka on the Zaporizhzhia direction are strategic claims of tactical success and potential territorial gains in a key southern area of the front. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian advances on the Zaporizhzhia direction, entering Mala Tokmachka from the south and controlling the Brick Factory.
Former US President Trump's commentary on Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022 has strategic implications, particularly given his potential future role in US foreign policy, and may influence perceptions of the conflict's trajectory and the capabilities of both sides. РБК-Україна reports on former US President Trump's comments about Putin and the reasons for the Russian inability to take Kyiv in 2022. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares a video with Trump's commentary on the failed Kyiv offensive. ТАСС shares a statement from former US President Trump calling Zelenskyy the "best salesman."
The proposal by a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest for a tax on childless men over 40 is an internal social and demographic issue in Russia, but could have long-term strategic implications for population growth and manpower availability, which are relevant in the context of a protracted conflict. ASTRA reports that a Russian Orthodox Church Abroad archpriest reportedly proposed a symbolic tax on childless men over 40.
The agreement between Moldova and Germany for the placement of a German military "consultative group" in Moldova is a significant international strategic development, indicating increased Western military engagement and influence in a country bordering Ukraine and potentially signaling a strengthening of Moldova's defense capabilities and alignment with the EU/NATO. Два майора reports Moldova and Germany signed an agreement on placing a German military "consultative group" in Moldova.
Russian claims of mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Pokrovsk are strategic information operations aimed at demonstrating Russian military effectiveness and inflicting significant losses on Ukraine, supporting their narrative of battlefield success. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show a destroyed convoy of Ukrainian military vehicles on the Pokrovsk direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming to show intense battles near Pokrovsk and mass destruction of Ukrainian equipment.
The Ukrainian military spokesperson stating that the Russian summer offensive has effectively begun, particularly impacting the Kharkiv area, is a crucial strategic assessment that directly informs Ukrainian defense planning, resource allocation, and the urgency of international military support. The Third Assault Brigade's report on repelling numerous assaults in Kharkiv further validates this assessment and highlights the intensity of the fighting in this area.
The concern raised by a Ukrainian military blogger about individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without credentials has potential strategic implications for internal military integrity, trust in leadership, and counterintelligence efforts. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" raises concerns about two individuals presenting themselves as Ukrainian Armed Forces generals without official credentials.
DeepState's reporting of Russian advancements near Mirolyubivka and clarifying the situation near Bahatyr provides a strategic overview of ongoing ground operations and potential changes in territorial control in key areas of the front. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports updating their map, noting Russian advancements near Mirolyubivka and clarifying the situation near Bahatyr.
The UK Foreign Minister's reaction to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia, expressing shock and calling for a full and immediate ceasefire if Putin is serious about peace, is an international diplomatic response that highlights the humanitarian impact of Russian actions and reinforces the call for a peaceful resolution, potentially influencing international pressure on Russia. РБК-Україна reports that the UK Foreign Minister reacted to the Russian strike on a bus near Bilopillia.
Erdogan's announcement of a large gas field discovery in the Black Sea has long-term strategic energy implications for Turkey and the Black Sea region, potentially influencing geopolitical dynamics and energy security in the area. ТАСС reports Erdogan announced the discovery of a large gas field in the Black Sea. РБК-Україна reports Erdogan stating that a meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy in Istanbul could have been a historical chance.
The forum in Tatarstan discussing the role of AI in media and diplomacy is relevant to the broader strategic landscape of information warfare and the increasing integration of advanced technologies in international relations and conflict narratives. Рыбарь reports on a forum in Tatarstan discussing AI in media and diplomacy.
A bribery accusation within a Russian federal agency has strategic implications for the perceived effectiveness and integrity of Russian state institutions, potentially highlighting issues with governance and corruption. ТАСС reports a bribery accusation against Natalya Gordubey, head of the Rosalkogoltabakkontrol department for the Central Federal District.
An air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea is a significant strategic development as it indicates a potential aerial threat to occupied Crimea, highlighting the vulnerability of the peninsula to Ukrainian strikes and potential future targeting. Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, Crimea.
An air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding Zaporizhzhia city) indicates a potential aerial threat to this region, highlighting the ongoing strategic pressure on this front and necessitating continued air defense vigilance. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports an air raid alert in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, excluding Zaporizhzhia city.
The European Union working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks indicates continued international economic pressure on Russia, a key strategic tool aimed at impacting Russia's ability to finance the conflict and support its war effort. РБК-Україна reports that the European Union is working on a new package of sanctions targeting Russian banks.
Reports of issues within the Russian 25th military brigade, including a high number of missing personnel and difficulties faced by families in obtaining information, are strategically significant as they highlight potential problems with unit cohesion, casualty management, and the overall state of morale and support within the Russian military. ASTRA reports on a relative of a missing Russian serviceman (25th brigade) appealing to Russian leadership regarding unaccounted-for personnel and issues within the unit.
Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment that Putin is using diplomacy to imitate a peace process and gain time is a crucial strategic assessment that directly informs Ukraine's approach to future negotiations and their calls for continued international pressure and sanctions. РБК-Україна reports Deputy Foreign Minister Sybiha's assessment of Russian readiness for peace.
Russian claims of eliminating Ukrainian UAV command posts highlight a strategic focus on degrading Ukraine's drone capabilities, which are a key component of Ukrainian tactics. Colonelcassad claims destruction of Ukrainian UAV command posts. MoD Russia claims elimination of Ukrainian UAV command posts in Kharkiv region using FPV drones.
Ukrainian reports on the effectiveness of armored vehicles against FPV drones are strategically important for informing force protection measures and highlighting the need for continued provision of such equipment. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video demonstrating armored vehicles' resilience to FPV drone attacks.
Ukrainian reports of destroying a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system are strategically significant as they indicate a successful effort to degrade Russian air defense capabilities, potentially providing greater freedom of movement for Ukrainian aircraft and drones. РБК-Україна reports Ukrainian military destroyed a Russian Buk-M1 air defense system.
The death of a Russian priest in Kherson Oblast from a drone strike while saving a wounded comrade, as reported by a Russian military blogger and presented as a heroic act, has strategic implications for domestic morale and information operations, framing the conflict in a religious and self-sacrificial light. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of a priest in Kherson Oblast from an enemy drone strike while saving a wounded comrade.
Reports on issues with US military warehouses in Asia-Pacific reveal potential challenges in US logistical readiness, which could have indirect implications for the scale and speed of US support to allies, including Ukraine, in the event of a wider conflict or increased demand for military aid. Рыбарь reports on an audit of US military equipment warehouses in South Korea that revealed significant unresolved problems.
The potential for a pro-Russian politician to gain power in Romania is a strategic political development in a neighboring country that could potentially influence regional dynamics and the level of support for Ukraine from Romania and within the EU and NATO. РБК-Україна reports on a significant increase in voter turnout among the Romanian diaspora in the second round of presidential elections, which could favor pro-Russian candidate George Simion.
Ukrainian forces allegedly using remotely mined explosive devices disguised as first aid kits on the left bank of Kherson Oblast suggests an asymmetric tactic aimed at inflicting casualties and potentially disrupting Russian activities in occupied territory. This highlights Ukrainian ingenuity in utilizing available resources and methods. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing the detonation of a remotely mined explosive device on the left bank of Kherson Oblast, injuring a Russian soldier.
Russian First Deputy Prime Minister stating a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions in Russia is a key strategic indicator of Russia's commitment to sustaining a high level of military production to support ongoing and potentially future operations. This has implications for the anticipated duration and intensity of the conflict. Colonelcassad reports that Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov stated a significant increase in the production of basic components for munitions.
The analysis of the situation in the border area of Kursk Oblast, highlighting continued Ukrainian activity and increased FPV drone use, underscores the strategic importance of border security for Russia and the evolving nature of cross-border engagements. The increased drone activity specifically targeting logistical routes indicates a Ukrainian effort to disrupt Russian supply lines in this area. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА and Два майора provide an analysis of the situation in the border area of Kursk Oblast, noting continued Ukrainian activity with small assault groups and DRGs, as well as a significant increase in FPV drone activity targeting Russian logistical routes.
Ukrainian strike drones being active on the Toretsk direction and reportedly leading to "self-liquidation" of Russian soldiers highlights the strategic impact of Ukrainian drone warfare in inflicting casualties and potentially impacting Russian troop morale and tactics in specific areas of the front. Николаевский Ванёк reports on the work of strike drones from the "Azov" 12th Special Purpose Brigade on the Toretsk direction.
Critiques of Ukrainian fortifications raise strategic concerns about the effectiveness of defensive preparations and potentially underlying issues with planning, resources, or implementation. Addressing these concerns is crucial for improving Ukraine's defensive capabilities and minimizing territorial losses. STERNENKO provides a critical assessment of some Ukrainian fortifications.
The activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea is strategically significant as it indicates continued US intelligence gathering in a region relevant to the conflict. This intelligence can provide valuable insights for Ukraine and its allies regarding Russian naval and air activities. Военкор Котенок reports on the activity of a US RQ-4B Global Hawk drone over the Black Sea.

Situation Report