Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 15, 2025, 00:26 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be defined by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, sustained Russian aerial and drone activity extending further west, and complex diplomatic maneuvering, now with increased uncertainty regarding high-level participation in potential talks. Russian forces persist in claiming tactical successes, notably citing the liberation of Kotlyarovka and advances in key areas of Donetsk Oblast such as Toretsk, Romanivka, Novoolekivka, Mikhailovka (ДНР), and now highlighting advances and clearing operations around Bogatyr and Otradnoye on the Novopavlivsk direction, and claiming to have cleared a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar on the Kramatorsk direction. Drone warfare remains a significant tactical element on all fronts, characterized by widespread use of various UAV types, reported launches of guided aerial bombs, and Ukrainian sources now reporting the use of drone swarms by Russian forces in the dozens, impacting up to 10-15 km deep, coupled with reports of improved Russian electronic warfare effectiveness. The diplomatic landscape is marked by a disconnect between calls for negotiation and explicit rejections of a truce from sources within Russia, with conflicting reports on former US President Trump's potential attendance in Istanbul and the Kremlin providing limited information on the Russian delegation while emphasizing the independence of talks from US relations. Ukraine is reiterating calls for a ceasefire and direct talks with Putin. International backing for Ukraine remains crucial, with recent confirmations of substantial aid packages from the EU and the US, and the Council of Europe supporting the creation of a Special Tribunal for Russian crimes. High-level personnel adjustments are noted within the Ukrainian defense leadership, and counterintelligence efforts have led to the detention of an FSB agent. New intelligence suggests the deployment of novel anti-personnel mines by Ukraine in the Sumy region. Conflict and armed clashes continue to cause disruption in Tripoli, Libya, impacting airport operations and necessitating heightened emergency readiness, although the Russian embassy there is reported unaffected and the Russian Minister of Defense has met with the commander of the Libyan National Army. Allegations of Russian espionage and sabotage leading to convictions in the UK underscore the persistent intelligence dimension of the conflict. Elevated tensions and military exercises near Lithuania reflect increased military activity in the Baltic region, focused on countering Russian influence. Unconfirmed reports of Hungarian armored vehicle movements near the Ukrainian border add a layer of potential tension, requiring verification, and Hungary has reportedly shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area. Russian military bloggers continue to claim success in targeting Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using advanced FPV drones employing fiber-optic control and destroying Ukrainian assets on other fronts. Pro-Russian sources report alleged changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, framed as a political development. Recent reports indicate an increase in Russian drone activity targeting southern Ukraine, specifically Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts, and expanding further west into central and western Ukraine, including Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Sumy, Khmelnytskyi, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Internal Russian issues include a criminal case concerning a former Kursk Oblast governor, reports of potential delays in hot water shutdowns due to cold weather, active recruitment efforts (including for an "African Corps" and specialized armored units), judicial proceedings against participants in the Mahachkala riots, allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit, legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants, and a data breach affecting Steam users. Russian military media persists in showcasing the role of women in the conflict as part of a broader propaganda effort. Air alerts have been issued for Kirovohrad and Vinnytsia Oblasts due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs, indicating an expansion of Russian drone operations into central and western Ukraine. Russian officials have offered conditionally positive perspectives on potential negotiations in Istanbul, contingent on Ukraine abandoning perceived ultimatums and seeking common ground, while Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha has met with US officials in Turkey to discuss peace efforts and coordinate positions. Reports confirm that some drones targeting southern Ukraine are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast, suggesting a potential westward trajectory for these attacks. European defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are scheduled to convene in Rome on May 16th to coordinate support for Ukraine, with France pledging all CAESAR artillery production in 2025 to Ukraine. Russian banks VTB and Sber have canceled commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs, an internal economic measure. New reports confirm civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling and drone attacks, with 16 civilians injured yesterday in drone attacks, including medics and volunteer units, and three civilians injured today in Bryansk Oblast. Russian forces are claiming the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of Ukrainian prisoners of war, as well as the destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and command points. Ukrainian sources are highlighting the purported modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS systems using Western chassis and fire control systems and claiming successful strikes on Russian air defense systems and other military assets. Reports from Mariupol indicate disruptions to civilian communication due to filmmaking activities. Russian media is showcasing captured Western military equipment as part of an exhibition in Ufa. Ukraine is highlighting the expansion of the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv to provide services to all citizens within the medical guarantees program, including those injured in the conflict. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that bilateral Russia-US negotiations are planned but lack specific dates and are contingent on the implementation of existing agreements. An explosion has been reported in Kharkiv, with two fatalities and over a dozen injured civilians in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day due to Russian attacks. Russian sources are actively recruiting for an "African Corps," including financial incentives. Russian military bloggers are promoting recruitment for specialized armored units with scientific and technical focus. Russian military bloggers are claiming significant success in clearing central areas of Chasiv Yar and achieving 85% control. Russia claims to have destroyed a Ukrainian Leopard tank near Stepanivka using a drone. Russian sources claim to have expanded their zone of control by 800 meters near Zapadne in the Kupyansk area. The EU has finalized its 17th package of sanctions against Russia, targeting shipping, companies, and individuals, with Hungary and Slovakia reportedly viewing it as "relatively weak," and restrictions against 189 tankers transporting Russian oil. Ukraine's Foreign Minister has arrived in Turkey for a NATO Foreign Ministers meeting, where diplomatic efforts for peace will be discussed. Ukrainian local authorities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast are highlighting the construction of underground schools for safe offline education. Russian military bloggers are engaging in information operations, promoting narratives about Ukrainian nationalism and capturing video of alleged Ukrainian personnel behavior. A Ukrainian soldier's account from Kharkiv Oblast highlights the challenges of serving and alleged negative aspects of Russian military life. An internal incident involving a shooting in a Kyiv hotel is being investigated by Ukrainian police. Public trust in Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has reportedly seen a significant increase in the first half of May 2025 according to a survey. An incident involving a participant of the "special military operation" driving on the wrong side of the road and engaging in a police chase in St. Petersburg highlights potential social issues related to returning servicemen in Russia. Russian media is promoting summer sports camps for children in Moscow. A video claiming to show Russian forces using a net launcher to down a Ukrainian drone highlights specific counter-UAV tactics. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video of artillery strikes on Ukrainian infantry. Russia's Human Rights Commissioner Tatyana Moskalkova states that the monthly payment for veterans of combat operations (4.5 thousand rubles) is disproportionate to their contribution to state security and needs to be increased. Former US President Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed Ash-Shar'a in Saudi Arabia and announced the lifting of sanctions against Syria, reportedly at the request of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Turkish President Erdoğan. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, and is accumulating various vessels, including unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. Russian customs officers in St. Petersburg seized a 50 kg shipment of cocaine (valued over 500 million rubles) that arrived from Latin America, indicating ongoing efforts to combat drug trafficking. New reports indicate plans to implement a standard in Russia within 1-2 years requiring a minimum of 3 internet providers in new residential buildings. WarGonzo reports on the meeting between Trump and Syrian leader Ahmed al-Shar'a, highlighting the lifting of sanctions and al-Shar'a's past as a terrorist. Rybar reports a sharp increase in voluntary company liquidations in the UK in 2024–2025, attributed to changes in tax policy and economic instability. TASS reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration reports on an incident where a TCC employee allegedly physically assaulted a civilian who had legal grounds for exemption, and calls for an official investigation. The EU Court of Justice has held Ursula von der Leyen responsible for concealing information about COVID-19 vaccine contracts. Yury Trutnev states that the production of the "Baikal" aircraft is at an impasse and not expected. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy states that it is necessary to convince Trump that Putin is lying, and Ukraine must show that it is not hindering the peace process. The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration highlights efforts to expand the network of protective structures in educational institutions, modernize school catering, and replenish the school transport fleet in the region. OTU "Kharkiv" shares historical information about the Ukrainian Sich Riflemen. TSAPLIENKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian commander from "Carpathian Sich" interacting with a captured Russian soldier, demonstrating ongoing combat and POW capture. STERNENKO reports on Trump's meeting with Syrian leader Ahmed al-Shar'a and the lifting of sanctions, noting al-Shar'a's past. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields. Operation Z: Voenkor Russian Spring reports on an online negotiation between Erdoğan, Trump, the Saudi Crown Prince, and Syrian President Ash-Shar'a, noting Ash-Shar'a's past as a terrorist. OTU "Kharkiv" shares an image of a Cossack, an artistic piece. RBC-Ukraine reports on the detention in Spain of Oleg Gladkovsky (also known as Svinarchuk), former First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, on suspicion of causing over 17 million UAH in losses through inflated procurement prices, and that his extradition to Ukraine is being decided. BUTUSOV PLUS shares videos with satirical and critical content related to Russia. Operativny ZSU reports on the detention of Oleg Svinarchuk (Gladkovsky) in Spain by NABU on suspicion of causing 17 million UAH in losses. Voenkor Kotenok reports on the meeting between Trump, Erdoğan, the Saudi Crown Prince, and Syrian President Ash-Shar'a, highlighting Ash-Shar'a's past affiliations. Hungary has reportedly shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

• Increased Russian Drone Swarm Activity and Electronic Warfare Advancement: Ukrainian sources report that Russian forces are now employing drone swarms, utilizing hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, impacting areas up to 10-15 km deep. Concurrently, Russian electronic warfare capabilities are reported to be developing and becoming more effective against Ukrainian drones. This suggests a significant escalation in Russian drone tactics and capabilities and a need for Ukraine to adapt its counter-drone strategies.
• Russian Negotiation Delegation Commentary: Russian military bloggers and commentators are offering perspectives on the composition of the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, particularly highlighting Vladimir Medinsky's leadership and the inclusion of high-level military officials as a signal that negotiations will be on Russia's terms and that a truce is unlikely. They view the presence of individuals like General Zor in, associated with previous surrender negotiations, as a sign of Russia's strong position. This highlights Russian strategic communication efforts and their likely stance in any potential negotiations.
• Ukrainian Foreign Minister Meets US Officials in Turkey: Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sybiha has met with US Secretary of State Rubio and Senator Graham in Antalya to discuss President Zelenskyy's vision for peace efforts and coordinate positions. This confirms high-level diplomatic engagement preceding potential talks and emphasizes the continued coordination between Ukraine and the US on peace initiatives.
• Russian Claim of Advances South of Fedorovka: Russian sources claim that units of the 36th Combined Arms Army have cleared two forest belts and occupied a height southwest of Fedorovka, establishing control over an area up to a kilometer deep. They also claim to have disrupted Ukrainian reinforcement efforts south of Alexeevka using artillery and FPV drones. This indicates claimed tactical gains in a specific area of the front.
• Continued Russian Drone Activity Towards Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv Oblasts: New groups of Russian "Shahed" drones are reported to be flying from Kursk Oblast towards northern Sumy Oblast, with some groups moving towards Chernihiv Oblast and others heading southwest within Sumy Oblast. Another group is reported moving from Luhansk Oblast towards Kharkiv Oblast. This indicates continued strategic pressure on Ukrainian border regions and potential interdiction efforts further west.
• Hungarian Forces Shoot Down Ukrainian Drone: Reports indicate that Hungary has shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area, raising concerns about airspace violations and potential intelligence gathering in a NATO country. This is a notable incident involving a NATO member and highlights the broader regional implications of the conflict.
• Russian Information Operations Regarding Negotiations: Russian sources are actively engaged in information operations surrounding the potential talks, framing Ukraine's initial expectations negatively and portraying President Putin as an independent leader who will only act in Russia's interests. They are also using sarcastic and derogatory language when referring to Ukrainian officials and speculating on reasons for key individuals' absence from the talks. This highlights the ongoing information warfare surrounding diplomatic efforts.
• Trump Not Attending Turkey Talks; Putin's Schedule Excludes Immediate Istanbul Talks: Reports confirm that former US President Trump will not be attending the talks in Turkey, and the Kremlin has stated that President Putin's schedule for May 15th does not include meetings other than routine working sessions, implying he is not currently scheduled to participate in the Istanbul negotiations. These updates significantly impact the immediate prospects of a high-level meeting.
• Incident in North Ossetia: An unknown individual opened fire at a car wash in North Ossetia, resulting in one fatality and one person in intensive care. Law enforcement has initiated a search operation ("Plan Intercept"). While not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine, this highlights an internal security incident within Russia.
• TikTok Restriction on Content Regarding Macron's Trip to Kyiv: Bloomberg reports that TikTok has restricted search results and taken action against videos related to alleged "cocaine trip" of French President Macron to Kyiv, and these videos are also being hidden in the X (Twitter) network for the French region. This suggests a deliberate effort to suppress information or narrative regarding this event, potentially for political or information warfare purposes.
• Updated Military Maps (Sumy, Konstantinovsky, Krasnolimansk Directions): Recent maps dated May 14, 2025, provide detailed visual information on territorial control, settlement control, defensive structures (fortifications, dragon's teeth, trenches), and recent territorial changes in the Sumy, Konstantinovsky, and Krasnolimansk directions. These maps are critical for understanding the current front lines, areas of most intense fighting, and defensive preparations. The maps for Konstantinovsky and Krasnolimansk directions indicate ongoing dynamic changes in territorial control and the presence of significant defensive infrastructure. The map for the Sumy direction also indicates control zones and defensive structures.
• Russian Claims of Advancing on Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Военкор Котенок reports ongoing battles for Novosergievka on the Dnipropetrovsk direction, claiming Russian forces are clearing forest belts and fighting on the approaches to Novonikolaevka and Muravka, and engaging in counter battles west of Kotlyarovka and where the enemy has broken through to Troitskoye and Orekhovo. This indicates a new area of claimed Russian offensive activity.
• Russian Claim of Clearing High-Rise Block in Chasiv Yar: Военкор Котенок reports that units of the 98th Guards Division have completely cleared the enemy from a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar on the Kramatorsk direction. This is a claimed tactical gain in a key area.
• Civilian Casualties in Bryansk Oblast: AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. This highlights the continued impact of the conflict on Russian border regions and civilian populations.
• Russian Scientist Arrested in US: ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling and faces up to 20 years in prison. This is a notable legal development impacting a Russian citizen in the US.
• Increase in Tropical Fever Cases in Russia: ТАСС reports that the number of cases of dangerous tropical fevers transmitted by mosquitoes and ticks imported into Russia is growing, according to the head of Rospotrebnadzor. This is a domestic health concern.
• Sentencing of Extremism Case Figures in Russia: ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case, including a distribution director for the Eksmo publishing house, face up to 8 years in prison. This highlights ongoing legal proceedings in Russia related to extremism allegations.
• Russian Military Blogger Comments on Negotiation Prospects: Военкор Котенок advises caution regarding negotiation expectations and refers to a popular saying linking the presence of Roman Abramovich in the Kremlin to anticipated "deals." This reflects skepticism among some Russian military bloggers regarding the sincerity or favorability of potential negotiations.
• Russian Claim of Advances on Novopavlovsk Direction: Военкор Котенок reports that units of the "Vostok" group have cleared forest belts east of Bogatyr to the Volchya River and advanced in the settlement. They claim ongoing fierce battles with Ukrainian counterattacks and continued presence on the northern outskirts. They also report clearing operations east and south of Otradnoye, ongoing battles on the approaches to Komar with unsuccessful Ukrainian counterattacks, and fierce counter battles in Veseloe with Russian units advancing northwest of Burlatskoye and reaching the southern outskirts of Volnoye Polye. This indicates claimed significant Russian offensive activity and gains in multiple areas on the Novopavlovsk direction.
• Russian Destruction of Ukrainian UAV Control Point and Mortar on Shakhtyorsk Direction: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction. This indicates continued Russian efforts to target Ukrainian drone capabilities and artillery.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk, Lyman, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, Bogatyri, Otradnoe, Mirolyubovka, Malinovka, Yelyzavetivka, Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye, Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka, Lysovka, Ulyanovka, Chasiv Yar, Stepanivka, Arkhangelske, Stupochky, Mikhailovka, Novonikolaevka, Muravka, Troitskoye, Komar, Veseloe, Burlatskoye, Novosergeevka): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00, with the most active fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (25 attacks, 3 ongoing). Russian forces are also reported to be actively attacking on the Lyman (16 repelled, 2 ongoing), Kramatorsk (7 assaults, 2 ongoing), Toretsk (15 assaults, 15 repelled), Novopavlivka (8 assaults, 4 ongoing), Orikhiv (2 repelled), and Prydniprovskyi (1 unsuccessful attack) directions. Russian sources claim successful advances in the Andreevskoe direction (Bogatyri, Otradnoe), claiming control of approximately 70% of Bogatyri and clearing a stronghold at the intersection of highways H-15 and T-05-18. Russian sources also report advances in the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka). Воин DV reports ongoing fierce battles in the village of Bogatyri, with Russian forces pushing in the western and northern parts and using drone support. Воин DV also reports Russian forces repelled three Ukrainian counterattacks in the Southern Donetsk direction (Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye) and inflicted losses. Военкор Котенок provides detailed tactical reports on the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka, Hrodovka) and Alexandrovsk-Kalinovskoe direction (Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka), claiming Russian advances and ongoing battles, including the use of assault groups on motorcycles. Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in both defensive and offensive operations, utilizing drone capabilities effectively. Civilian casualties and damage from shelling are reported. Updated operational maps provide visual details on the front lines. Russian military media is using content from Donetsk Oblast to highlight the role of female military personnel. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Басурин о главном reports 3 civilian deaths and 57 injuries (including 4 children) in the Donetsk People's Republic between April 28th and May 12th due to alleged Ukrainian aggression. ASTRA reports one fatality in Zorya and two injuries in Dorozhne and Svitle (Donetsk Oblast) due to Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS near Toretsk, Donetsk Oblast, by Ukrainian Special Operations Forces. MoD Russia shares a video with servicemen of the 137th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade speaking about the liberation of Lysovka in Donetsk People's Republic. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. Mаsh на Донбассе claims Russian forces have cleared the central districts of Chasiv Yar and control 85% of the city, with fighting ongoing in the two southern micro-districts. They also claim advances deeper into Stupochky. Военкор Котенок and MoD Russia share a video claiming drone operators of the "Rubikon" Center destroyed a Ukrainian Leopard tank near Stepanivka. Народная милиция ДНР and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА share videos claimed to show Russian artillery strikes on Ukrainian infantry positions near Arkhangelske. MoD Russia reports that units of the "Tsentr" Group of Forces liberated Mikhailovka (Donetsk People's Republic). Военкор Котенок reports ongoing battles for Novosergievka on the Dnipropetrovsk direction, claiming Russian forces are clearing forest belts and fighting on the approaches to Novonikolaevka and Muravka, and engaging in counter battles west of Kotlyarovka and where the enemy has broken through to Troitskoye and Orekhovo. Военкор Котенок reports that units of the 98th Guards Division have completely cleared the enemy from a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar on the Kramatorsk direction. Воин DV reports that units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army stopped a Ukrainian counterattack near Bogatyr on the Shakhtyorsk direction, destroying two armored vehicles. They claim the battle for Bogatyr continues with Russian forces attempting to encircle the central part of the settlement. Воин DV also claims Russian forces have advanced 500-1000 meters in depth and width in the area of Otradnoye and are storming Volne Pole with the goal of complete liberation. Воин DV reports joint efforts by Russian units have taken two enemy strongholds in the forest belts southeast of Zelenoye Pole and south of Novopol, with an advance of up to 1.5 km along the front and over 500 meters in depth. Ukrainian losses are estimated at up to 15 personnel. Военкор Котенок reports that units of the "Vostok" group have cleared forest belts east of Bogatyr to the Volchya River and advanced in the settlement. They claim ongoing fierce battles with Ukrainian counterattacks and continued presence on the northern outskirts. They also report clearing operations east and south of Otradnoye, ongoing battles on the approaches to Komar with unsuccessful Ukrainian counterattacks, and fierce counter battles in Veseloe with Russian units advancing northwest of Burlatskoye and reaching the southern outskirts of Volnoye Polye. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Shebekino, Rylsk, Khomutovka, Valuyki, Богун-Городок, Борки, Красный Октябрь — Бессоновка, Двулучное, Архангельское, Соболевка, Уразово, Чайки, Аркатово — Посохово, Русское Поречное, Каменский Хутор, Климовский район): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use are reported. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. A new report highlights a criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports four Ukrainian repelled attacks, 5 Russian aviation strikes (10 guided bombs), and 179 artillery shellings (including 9 MLRS) in the Kursk direction as of 16:00. This indicates continued and potentially intensified Russian pressure on this border region. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka due to Ukrainian shelling. Два майора reports an 18-year-old man was injured in Shebekino due to a Ukrainian drone attack. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. Igor Strelkov (Girkin) notes the Ukrainian tactical offensive on the borders of Kursk Oblast, particularly towards Tetkino, and views it as part of a broader Ukrainian strategy. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Kursk Oblast moving towards northern Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. Updated military maps dated May 14, 2025, provide detailed visual information on territorial control, settlement control, defensive structures (fortifications, dragon's teeth, trenches), and recent territorial changes in the Sumy direction, which includes border areas with Kursk Oblast.
• Sumy Oblast (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Nahornivka, Konotop, Черневе, Sumy): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity, including a missile strike that resulted in two fatalities and nine injuries in Sumy. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personal mines on this direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports significant artillery shellings of border settlements, including Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, and Simeikyne as of 16:00. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Kursk Oblast moving towards northern Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shahed" drones in northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast, and a group in the center of Sumy Oblast heading southwest. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties (two in critical condition). ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. Updated military maps dated May 14, 2025, provide detailed visual information on territorial control, settlement control, defensive structures (fortifications, dragon's teeth, trenches), and recent territorial changes in the Sumy direction.
• Mykolaiv Oblast (Kutsurub, Ochakiv): Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones. Reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast and confirmed drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some drones heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection with Odesa Oblast. Drones previously reported in this area are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including accumulating unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. ASTRA reports two injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian shelling, including a child, noting Ochakiv as being near the border with Kherson. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs from Kherson Oblast on a course to Mykolaiv Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new drones from the left bank of Kherson Oblast heading towards Velyka Oleksandrivka, which is in Kherson Oblast towards the border with Mykolaiv. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Mykolaiv Oblast.
• Kirovohrad Oblast: A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. This signifies recent or anticipated drone activity in this central Ukrainian region. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking information that includes activity potentially impacting Kirovohrad Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Kirovohrad Oblast.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Orikhiv direction, Gulyaipole, Bilenke village, Lobkove, Кам'янське, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Чарівне, Novodarivka, Novoяkovlivka, Chervone, Zhovta Krucha, Novoandriyivka, Preobrazhenka, Energodar): Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 2 repelled Russian attacks on the Orikhiv direction as of 16:00. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on the construction of underground schools in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a massive artillery shelling of Energodar by Ukrainian forces. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border. Военкор Котенок reports ongoing battles for Novosergievka on the Dnipropetrovsk direction, claiming Russian forces are clearing forest belts and fighting on the approaches to Novonikolaevka and Muravka, and engaging in counter battles west of Kotlyarovka and where the enemy has broken through to Troitskoye and Orekhovo. Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 drone over Pavlohrad and 1 drone near Dnipro. This confirms Russian drone activity in the oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
• Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk direction, Lemishchyne, Vovchansk, Pishchane, Kharkiv, Редкодуб, Купянск-Узловой, Колодезное, Берестин, Старий Салтів, Російські Тишки, Олександрівка, Нечволодівка, Bohodukhiv): Russian military bloggers claim successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports shelling of Lemishchyne and one repelled enemy attempt to advance near Vovchansk, with one battle ongoing, as of 16:00. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports one Russian assault repelled near Glushkivka and one near Pishchane on the Kupyansk direction as of 16:00. ASTRA reports two injuries in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian shelling. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Kharkiv. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces expanded their zone of control by 800 meters on the Western - Dvorichna line in the Kupyansk area. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a Russian serviceman from Chechnya allegedly expressing regret about being in Ukraine and highlighting perceived negative aspects of Russian military life. ASTRA reports two fatalities and over a dozen injured civilians in Kharkiv Oblast over the past day due to Russian attacks using guided bombs and drones. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on an incident where a TCC employee allegedly assaulted a civilian and calls for an investigation. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА highlights efforts related to education and infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Luhansk Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports two new drones from Belgorod towards Bohodukhiv and three new drones north of Kupyansk heading west. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the central and southern parts of Kharkiv Oblast, heading south. Николаевский Ванёк reports 3 drones near Merefa, 2 near Krasnohrad, and 1 near Balakliia, which are in Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the central and southern parts of Kharkiv Oblast, heading south. Николаевский Ванёк reports 13 drones from Kharkiv Oblast flying towards Donetsk Oblast. This indicates significant Russian drone activity in and originating from Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Kharkiv Oblast.
• Vinnytsia Oblast: Reports indicate that some of the drones targeting southern Ukraine are now moving towards this oblast. A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs from the south. This confirms and highlights an expanded area of potential drone threat. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 drones from Bila Tserkva heading towards Vinnytsia/Zhytomyr Oblasts, and later reports 8 drones on the north of Vinnytsia Oblast, course west, and 6 drones on the north of Vinnytsia Oblast, course west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs on the border of Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts, course west. This confirms Russian drone activity has significantly extended into Vinnytsia Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Vinnytsia Oblast.
• Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended and emergency services have declared a state of increased readiness. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict. The Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital, and several districts are reportedly without power. This signifies a potential conclusion to the recent intense clashes, although the impact on infrastructure is evident. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes, identifying key individuals and factions involved and highlighting the ongoing instability in Libya. ТАСС reports that the Russian Minister of Defense held negotiations with the commander of the Libyan National Army, discussing cooperation.
• Lithuania: International military exercises are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region.
• Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension. ТАСС reports that Hungary has shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area.
• Chechnya (Russia): Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms, removing religious symbols. This is presented as a political development.
• Odesa Oblast (Illichivsk/Chornomorsk): New reports indicate a threat of enemy strike UAVs. Increased Russian drone activity is reported at the intersection with Mykolaiv Oblast. Colonelcassad provides a chronicle of Russian strikes including an Iskander-M strike on Illichivsk (Chornomorsk). РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Odesa Oblast.
• Chernihiv Oblast (Yanzhulivka, Khrenivka): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports significant artillery shellings of border settlements, including Yanzhulivka and Khrenivka as of 16:00. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shahed" drones from northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports several groups of "Shahed" drones in the center of Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the eastern, central, and southern parts of Chernihiv Oblast, heading south/southwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports 8 drones in the Nizhyn area, which is in Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the eastern and central parts of Chernihiv Oblast, course south/southwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 drones in the Nizhyn area, heading towards northern Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the central part of Chernihiv Oblast, course southwest, and UAVs in the southern part heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. This indicates continued Russian drone activity in the region, with a threat to Kyiv and potentially Cherkasy Oblasts. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Chernihiv Oblast.
• Amur Oblast (Russia) (Tsiolkovsky): ТАСС reports that a forest fire near the closed town of Tsiolkovsky, located near the Vostochny Cosmodrome, has been localized.
• Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek): Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek.
• Kherson Oblast (Kakhovka, Velyka Oleksandrivka): ASTRA reports two injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian shelling, including a child. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, where Ochakiv is in Mykolaiv Oblast near the border with Kherson. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly filmed by a Russian servicemember showing the aftermath of a UAV strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system near Kakhovka, Kherson Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк reports 10 new drones from the left bank of Kherson Oblast heading towards Velyka Oleksandrivka. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs from Kherson Oblast on a course to Mykolaiv Oblast. This confirms continued Russian military presence and aerial activity from occupied territory.
• Ufa (Russia): Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa.
• Mariupol: Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking activities.
• St. Petersburg (Russia): Север.Реалии reports on a police chase involving a participant of the "special military operation." ASTRA reports a musician was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor. ТАСС reports a 50 kg cocaine shipment arrived in the port of St. Petersburg from Latin America and was seized. Север.Реалии reports on an incident involving a participant of the "special military operation" driving on the wrong side of the road and engaging in a police chase.
• Moscow (Russia): Новости Москвы is promoting summer sports camps for children. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. ТАСС reports the ceremony and burial of actress Nina Grebeshkova in Moscow. Новости Москвы reports that Russians can be fined up to 80,000 rubles for picking lilacs. ТАСС reports that the Brazilian President's plane will make a stop in Moscow.
• Armenia: Alex Parker Returns shares a video clip from Armenian television discussing historical narratives related to WWII.
• Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Богун-Городок, Вознесеновка, Ровенёк, Belgorod): ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports 16 civilians were injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on the region yesterday, including medics and members of the "Orlan" volunteer unit. Specific incidents include an FPV drone hitting a truck in Bohun-Horodok and a drone hitting a Gazel in Voznesenovka. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Rovenok village, Belgorod district, as a result of a Ukrainian drone attack, with shrapnel wounds and a barotrauma. Николаевский Ванёк reports two new drones from Belgorod towards Bohodukhiv.
• Saudi Arabia (Riyadh): Former US President Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed Ash-Shar'a in Saudi Arabia. A meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani, leader of HTS, in Saudi Arabia is reported.
• Syria: Former US President Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed Ash-Shar'a in Saudi Arabia and announced the lifting of sanctions against Syria. A meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani, leader of HTS, in Saudi Arabia is reported.
• Turkey (Antalya, Ankara): Ukraine's Foreign Minister has arrived in Turkey for a NATO Foreign Ministers meeting. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara. РБК-Україна reports that President Zelenskyy is traveling to Turkey. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy is already in Ankara.
• Spain: Former First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, Oleg Gladkovsky (Svinarchuk), was detained in Spain by NABU.
• United Kingdom: Rybar reports a sharp increase in voluntary company liquidations in the UK. Allegations of Russian espionage and sabotage leading to convictions in the UK are reported.
• Libya: ТАСС reports that the Russian Minister of Defense held negotiations with the commander of the Libyan National Army, discussing cooperation.
• Russia (Русское Поречное in Kursk Oblast): ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye.
• Russia (Specific locations not explicitly stated, related to "Baikal" aircraft production): ТАСС reports that Yury Trutnev states that the production of the "Baikal" aircraft is at an impasse.
• Luhansk Oblast (Russia): Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Luhansk Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast.
• North Ossetia (Russia): An unknown individual opened fire at a car wash in North Ossetia, resulting in one fatality and one person in intensive care. Law enforcement has initiated a search operation ("Plan Intercept").
• Kramatorsk Direction (Chasiv Yar): Военкор Котенок reports that units of the 98th Guards Division have completely cleared the enemy from a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar.
• Konstantinovsky Direction (Novoolenovka, Aleksandropol, Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Vodyanoye 2-e, Zelyonoye Pole, Kalinovo): Updated military maps dated May 14, 2025, provide detailed visual information on territorial control, settlement control, defensive structures (fortifications, dragon's teeth, trenches), and recent territorial changes in this direction, showing recent Russian advances around Novoolenovka and east of Aleksandropol, and contested areas like Malinovka and Novaya Poltavka.
• Krasnolimansk Direction (Ridkodub): Updated military maps dated May 14, 2025, provide detailed visual information on territorial control, settlement control, defensive structures (fortifications, dragon's teeth, trenches), and recent territorial changes in this direction.
• Cherkasy Oblast: Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs on the southern part of Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. Николаевский Ванёк provides detailed drone tracking information that includes activity potentially impacting Cherkasy Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Cherkasy Oblast.
• Zhytomyr Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports 6 drones from Bila Tserkva heading towards Vinnytsia/Zhytomyr Oblasts, and later reports UAVs in the eastern part of Zhytomyr Oblast, course west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs on the border of Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts, course west, and UAVs in the eastern part of Zhytomyr Oblast, course west. This confirms Russian drone activity has extended into Zhytomyr Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Zhytomyr Oblast.
• Khmelnytskyi Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports 1 drone heading towards Shepetivka, which is in Khmelnytskyi Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports UAVs in the eastern part of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, course west. This indicates Russian drone activity has reached Khmelnytskyi Oblast. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, showing alerts in Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
• Bryansk Oblast (Russia) (Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district): AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. This confirms civilian casualties in a Russian border region due to Ukrainian drone attacks.
• Russia (Specific locations not explicitly stated, related to extremism case): ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. This highlights ongoing legal proceedings in Russia related to extremism allegations.
• Shakhtyorsk Direction (Bogatyr): Воин DV reports that units of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army stopped a Ukrainian counterattack near Bogatyr on the Shakhtyorsk direction, destroying two armored vehicles. They claim the battle for Bogatyr continues with Russian forces attempting to encircle the central part of the settlement. Воин DV also claims Russian forces have advanced 500-1000 meters in depth and width in the area of Otradnoye and are storming Volne Pole with the goal of complete liberation. Воин DV reports joint efforts by Russian units have taken two enemy strongholds in the forest belts southeast of Zelenoye Pole and south of Novopol, with an advance of up to 1.5 km along the front and over 500 meters in depth. Ukrainian losses are estimated at up to 15 personnel. Военкор Котенок reports that units of the "Vostok" group have cleared forest belts east of Bogatyr to the Volchya River and advanced in the settlement. They claim ongoing fierce battles with Ukrainian counterattacks and continued presence on the northern outskirts. They also report clearing operations east and south of Otradnoye, ongoing battles on the approaches to Komar with unsuccessful Ukrainian counterattacks, and fierce counter battles in Veseloe with Russian units advancing northwest of Burlatskoye and reaching the southern outskirts of Volnoye Polye. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce. Air alert issued in Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts due to threat of attack drones. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. New reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast and confirmed drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some drones heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection with Odesa Oblast. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones with fiber-optic control systems. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast, and reports indicate activity extending into Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Sumy, Khmelnytskyi, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west, and widespread activity across other regions. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports Russian forces are using drone support in the battle for Bogatyri. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. Mаsh на Донбассе claims Russian forces have cleared the central districts of Chasiv Yar and control 85% of the city, with fighting ongoing in the two southern micro-districts and claiming advances deeper into Stupochky. Военкор Котенок and MoD Russia share a video claiming drone operators of the "Rubikon" Center destroyed a Ukrainian Leopard tank near Stepanivka. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces expanded their zone of control by 800 meters on the Western - Dvorichna line in the Kupyansk area. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a soldier of the 11th Tank Regiment of the "Sever" group of forces shot down a Ukrainian drone using a net launcher. Народная милиция ДНР and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА share videos claimed to show Russian artillery strikes on Ukrainian infantry positions near Arkhangelske. ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports 16 civilians were injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on the region yesterday, including medics and members of the "Orlan" volunteer unit, indicating the involvement of volunteer units in combat/response operations. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, and is accumulating various vessels, including unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports enemy strike UAVs from Kursk Oblast moving towards northern Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Kursk Oblast heading towards Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a group of "Shahed" drones in northern Sumy Oblast heading towards Chernihiv Oblast, and a group in the center of Sumy Oblast heading southwest. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a new group of "Shahed" drones from Luhansk Oblast heading towards Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier claiming that Russians are employing drone swarms using hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, with a depth of 10-15 km. The same report notes that Russia is developing and effectively using electronic warfare (РЭБ) to suppress Ukrainian drones. ТАСС reports that Hungary has shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. Николаевский Ванёк reports that residual enemy "mopeds" are in the area of Kremenets and are being "finished off". Николаевский Ванёк provides extensive real-time data on the movement of Russian drones across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, including activity in Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Sumy, Khmelnytskyi, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kherson, and movement towards Mykolaiv and Donetsk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides similar data, confirming the widespread movement of strike UAVs. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction. This highlights continued Russian efforts to target Ukrainian drone capabilities.
• Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 5 Russian aviation strikes (10 guided bombs) in the Kursk direction and aviation strikes with KABs on Poltavka and Rusin Yar on the Pokrovsk direction as of 16:00. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports enemy aviation strikes on Vysokoe and Huliaipole on the Huliaipole direction as of 16:00. Colonelcassad's chronicle of Russian strikes includes "UMPS" (likely guided aerial bombs) strikes across multiple oblasts. ASTRA reports two fatalities and over a dozen injured civilians in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian attacks using guided bombs and ударные беспилотники. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a Russian Mi-28NM attack helicopter crew destroyed two units of enemy armored vehicles with Vikhr-1 missiles in the border area. Ukrainian General Staff reports Russian forces conducted 4 aviation strikes on the Kursk direction today, dropping three guided bombs, and also reports Russian tactical aviation launching KABs on Pokrovsk, Filiia, Zvirove, and Dachne, and unguided aerial rockets on Novopil and Vysokyy.
• Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. Colonelcassad's chronicle of Russian strikes includes Iskander-M and OTRK strikes. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties. ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show an "Iskander" OTRK strike on a Ukrainian BEC (unmanned surface vehicle) training site in Ilchevsk (Chernomorsk), Odesa Oblast. ТАСС reports a missile threat has been declared in Crimea.
• Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas. A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean. Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues. The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected by the clashes. The reported conclusion of the military operation and power outages in Tripoli are significant developments in this separate conflict. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes, which impacted Mitiga International Airport. Russian sources are actively recruiting for an "African Corps," indicating potential naval deployments to support operations in Africa. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including accumulating unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields. The Ukrainian Navy reports that as of 06:00 on May 14, 2025, there are no Russian missile carriers present in either the Black Sea or the Sea of Azov. There are three Russian vessels in the Mediterranean Sea, including one Kalibr missile carrier with a potential salvo of up to 8 missiles. Three ships passed through the Kerch Strait towards the Black Sea, with one continuing towards the Bosphorus, and three ships passed towards the Sea of Azov, with one sailing from the strait. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show an "Iskander" OTRK strike on a Ukrainian BEC (unmanned surface vehicle) training site in Ilchevsk (Chernomorsk), Odesa Oblast. This indicates Russian targeting of Ukrainian naval drone capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA reports that Mitiga International Airport in Tripoli, Libya, has suspended operations due to armed clashes.
• Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems. Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 surface-to-air missile system. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a soldier of the 11th Tank Regiment of the "Sever" group of forces shot down a Ukrainian drone using a net launcher. ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have shot down 12 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles overnight, including three over Belgorod Oblast and nine over the Black Sea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier noting Russia's development and effective use of electronic warfare (РЭБ) to suppress Ukrainian drones. ТАСС reports that Hungary has shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area. Николаевский Ванёк reports that residual enemy "mopeds" are being "finished off" in the area of Kremenets. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly filmed by a Russian servicemember showing the aftermath of a UAV strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system near Kakhovka, Kherson Oblast, suggesting a successful Ukrainian strike on a Russian air defense system. ТАСС reports a missile threat in Crimea, which would necessitate air defense readiness. Николаевский Ванёк's detailed drone tracking and Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] updates indicate active Ukrainian air defense monitoring. РБК-Україна shares an updated map of air raid alerts, indicating areas where air defense systems are likely on high alert. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction, highlighting Russian efforts to target Ukrainian drone and artillery capabilities.
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 179 artillery shellings (including 9 MLRS) in the Kursk direction and significant artillery shellings of border settlements in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts as of 16:00. Басурин о главном reports civilian casualties in the Donetsk People's Republic due to alleged Ukrainian aggression, including artillery fire. ASTRA reports one civilian fatality in Zorya (Donetsk Oblast) and two injuries in Dorozhne and Svitle (Donetsk Oblast) due to Russian shelling, two injuries in Kherson Oblast (including a child) and two injuries in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka, Belgorod Oblast, due to Ukrainian shelling. Народная милиция ДНР and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА share videos claimed to show Russian artillery strikes on Ukrainian infantry positions near Arkhangelske. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier claiming that Russians are employing drone swarms using hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, with a depth of 10-15 km, which are likely supported by artillery. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports a massive artillery shelling of Energodar by Ukrainian forces. Ukrainian General Staff reports Russian forces carried out 140 artillery shellings on the Kursk direction today, and also reports artillery and mortar fire on other directions. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction, indicating successful targeting of Ukrainian artillery.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiations: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals and uncertainty regarding high-level participation. While diplomatic efforts persist, messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev, Russian Vice-Speaker of the Federation Council, states that negotiations with Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul could be more productive if Kyiv abandons ultimatums and seeks common ground. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that for negotiations in Istanbul to be successful, Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia. He also cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle. This sets clear and significant preconditions from the Russian side. Colonelcassad and Оперативний ЗСУ also highlight Ryabkov's statements on conditions and topics for the Istanbul talks. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has received a signal from China supporting a 30-day ceasefire and that Ukraine fulfilled its promise not to strike the Russian parade on May 9th despite Russian propaganda. He emphasized his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war, necessitating the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. This outlines Ukraine's conditions for talks (ceasefire) and its expectation of increased sanctions if Russia remains unwilling to engage meaningfully. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations, a potential meeting with Putin in Turkey, Chinese support for a ceasefire, and the call for strong sanctions. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. He also said that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues and that possible direct talks could be a "wonderful meeting." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. Военкор Котенок reports that Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement, a point Russia has consistently rejected. This indicates the US's engagement in facilitating negotiations and differing ideas on post-conflict arrangements, including potential foreign military presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Операция Z: Воenкоры Русской Весны reports that the Hungarian Foreign Minister expressed hope for the success of Ukraine-Russia talks in Turkey and urged European colleagues to refrain from jeopardizing them. Alex Parker Returns reports that the President of Brazil will attempt to convince Putin to meet Zelenskyy in Istanbul and plans to return to Moscow from China. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy states that it is necessary to convince Trump that Putin is lying, and Ukraine must show that it is not hindering the peace process. Multiple sources (TASS, ASTRA, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок, Новости Москвы, РБК-Україна, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, STERNENKO, Два майора, WarGonzo, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Басурин о главном, НгП раZVедка, Kotsnews, Рыбарь, «Зона СВО», Дневник Десантника🇷🇺) report on the approval by President Putin of the Russian delegation for negotiations in Istanbul, including high-level military and diplomatic representatives, and Russian sources are commenting on the composition and strategy, viewing it as an indication that Russia will adhere to its terms and that a truce is unlikely. Reuters, cited by Ukrainian sources (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ), reports that President Zelenskyy is traveling to Turkey. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy is already in Ankara. Reuters, cited by multiple sources, reports that former US President Trump will not attend the talks in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Brazilian President Lula da Silva attempted to persuade Putin to attend the Istanbul talks. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії, discussing peace efforts and coordinating positions. НгП раZVедка and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА are offering commentary on the Russian negotiation delegation, interpreting its composition as a sign that Russia will dictate terms and a truce is improbable. STERNENKO comments on the composition of the Russian delegation. Alex Parker Returns also provides commentary on the Russian delegation and Zelenskyy's travel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Trump will not travel to Turkey for negotiations, and Putin's schedule for May 15th does not include other events besides working meetings. ТАСС reports that Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia proposed May 15th for negotiations in Istanbul because it was Putin's decision, but added that nobody will say in advance how the negotiations will start. Peskov also suggested that Putin is unlikely to announce the composition of the Russian delegation publicly. ТАСС reports Peskov stating that the process of Ukrainian settlement and the process of normalizing relations with the US are independent of each other. РБК-Україна shares a comment from Mykhailo Podolyak stating that the Istanbul talks will be meaningless if Putin does not attend personally. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara and confirmed Ukraine's commitment to peace and immediate readiness for a full and lasting ceasefire, stating that Putin must stop rejecting a ceasefire and avoiding a meeting with President Zelenskyy. ТАСС reports that Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte believes that the window of opportunity for a settlement of the conflict in Ukraine will be open for the next 14 days. РБК-Україна reports that the EU and the US have announced new sanctions against Russia if it rejects peace initiatives from Ukraine and its partners, describing these potential sanctions as "crushing." ТАСС reports that the Brazilian President's plane will make a stop in Moscow. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani, leader of HTS, in Saudi Arabia, discussing potential normalization of relations between Syria and Israel, cooperation against terrorism, and access to Syrian energy resources. ТАСС reports that the Palestinian Ambassador to Moscow hopes that Donald Trump will announce the creation of a Palestinian state. НгП раZVедка uses sarcastic commentary regarding Trump's absence from Istanbul talks. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich.
• International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry. The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are scheduled to meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. German Chancellor Merz stated that if no progress is made on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, Germany will decide to strengthen sanctions against Russia, specifically targeting energy and financial markets. Alex Parker Returns and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 also report on Merz's statement. Два майора comments on Merz's statement with sarcasm and references to German economic issues. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны notes that Germany has reportedly extended its "deadline" for Russia's agreement to a ceasefire. This highlights the continued use of economic pressure as a tool to influence Russia and the potential for further escalation of sanctions. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy called for the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe if Russia is unwilling to end the war. РБК-Україна reports that defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK will meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that French President Emmanuel Macron stated that all CAESAR wheeled self-propelled artillery systems produced in 2025 will be transferred to Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Оперативний ЗСУ report that the EU has finalized the 17th package of sanctions against Russia, targeting shipping, companies, and individuals. ТАСС reports that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the 17th sanctions package against Russia includes restrictions against 189 tankers. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії, discussing peace efforts and coordinating positions. РБК-Україна reports that the EU and the US have announced new sanctions against Russia if it rejects peace initiatives from Ukraine and its partners, describing these potential sanctions as "crushing." 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that the Council of Europe has supported the creation of a Special Tribunal regarding Russian crimes.
• Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side and uncertainty regarding high-level participation in Istanbul. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev provides a Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia, and cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle for negotiations in Istanbul. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. This outlines Ukraine's conditions for talks (ceasefire) and its expectation of increased sanctions if Russia is unwilling to engage meaningfully. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations and a potential meeting with Putin. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the Hungarian Foreign Minister expressed hope for the success of Ukraine-Russia talks in Turkey and urged European colleagues to refrain from jeopardizing them. Alex Parker Returns reports that the President of Brazil will attempt to convince Putin to meet Zelenskyy in Istanbul and plans to return to Moscow from China. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy states that it is necessary to convince Trump that Putin is lying, and Ukraine must show that it is not hindering the peace process. Multiple sources report on the composition of the Russian delegation for negotiations in Istanbul, including high-level military and diplomatic officials. Reuters, cited by Ukrainian sources, reports that President Zelenskyy is traveling to Turkey for potential talks. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy is already in Ankara. Reuters, cited by multiple sources, reports that former US President Trump will not attend the talks in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Brazilian President Lula da Silva attempted to persuade Putin to attend the Istanbul talks. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії, discussing peace efforts and coordinating positions. НгП раZVедка and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА are offering commentary on the Russian negotiation delegation, interpreting its composition as a sign that Russia will dictate terms and a truce is improbable. STERNENKO comments on the composition of the Russian delegation. Alex Parker Returns also provides commentary on the Russian delegation and Zelenskyy's travel. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Trump will not travel to Turkey for negotiations, and Putin's schedule for May 15th does not include other events besides working meetings. ТАСС reports that Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia proposed May 15th for negotiations in Istanbul because it was Putin's decision, but added that nobody will say in advance how the negotiations will start. Peskov also suggested that Putin is unlikely to announce the composition of the Russian delegation publicly. ТАСС reports Peskov stating that the process of Ukrainian settlement and the process of normalizing relations with the US are independent of each other. РБК-Україна shares a comment from Mykhailo Podolyak stating that the Istanbul talks will be meaningless if Putin does not attend personally. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara and confirmed Ukraine's commitment to peace and immediate readiness for a full and lasting ceasefire, stating that Putin must stop rejecting a ceasefire and avoiding a meeting with President Zelenskyy. ТАСС reports that Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte believes that the window of opportunity for a settlement of the conflict in Ukraine will be open for the next 14 days. РБК-Україна reports that the EU and the US have announced new sanctions against Russia if it rejects peace initiatives from Ukraine and its partners. ТАСС reports that the Brazilian President's plane will make a stop in Moscow. НгП раZVедка uses sarcastic commentary regarding Trump's absence from Istanbul talks. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich.
• Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on the expansion of services at the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports on a survey showing a significant increase in public trust in President Zelenskyy in the first half of May 2025, reaching 74%. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on an internal incident involving a shooting in a Kyiv hotel and police investigation. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on an incident where a TCC employee allegedly assaulted a civilian and calls for an investigation. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА highlights efforts related to education and infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on the detention in Spain of Oleg Gladkovsky (Svinarchuk), former First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, on suspicion of corruption. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії. STERNENKO comments on the composition of the Russian delegation and the location of talks. Alex Parker Returns provides commentary on Zelenskyy's travel. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha met with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara. РБК-Україна shares a comment from Mykhailo Podolyak regarding the Istanbul talks. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that the Council of Europe has supported the creation of a Special Tribunal regarding Russian crimes.
• Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue. Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK underscore the persistent intelligence dimension of the conflict. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, which is presented as a political outcome. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights internal issues related to corruption. Reports regarding potential delays in hot water shutdowns due to cold weather are noted. Russian banks VTB and Sber are canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs, an internal economic measure. Colonelcassad's sharing of videos with captions portraying negative aspects of Ukrainian mobilization is an example of Russian information operations aimed at influencing perceptions about internal Ukrainian affairs. Police of Khabarovsk Krai highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. This is an official communication aimed at recognizing and likely promoting this internal security structure, which could have implications for law enforcement and internal control within Russia. The appointment of a decorated military veteran to a senior civilian role in education suggests a deliberate effort to integrate individuals with military experience into government leadership. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case against a former university rector is noted as an internal legal development. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, digitalizing military registration. ASTRA reports that a musician in St. Petersburg was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma has adopted a bill in the first reading allowing the confiscation of property from emigrants for actions "against the interests of Russia," viewing it as a tool against those criticizing the war. Север.Реалии also reports that the State Duma has simplified the procedure for revoking Russian citizenship, including for the "discrediting" of the army. Север.Реалии also reports on the increase in convictions for "rehabilitation of Nazism" in Russia, framing it as an instrument of repression. Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment in Russia. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Два майора report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the leadership of countries imposing sanctions. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the Russian economy and the return of Western brands. ТАСС reports on the localization of a forest fire near the Vostochny Cosmodrome. ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants by the State Duma. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 has become inaccessible. ТАСС reports that VTB and Sber are canceling developer commissions on preferential mortgage programs. ТАСС reports on МВД warning about scam messages about "Госуслуги" being hacked. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa. Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking activities. Рыбарь and Colonelcassad report on recent court sentences in Dagestan for participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video appeal from a female servicemember of the Russian 19th Tank Regiment alleging severe misconduct and abuse, including the execution of undesirable soldiers, forcing sick servicemen to fight, forcing conscripts to sign contracts, selling servicemen, and listing the deceased as missing. ТАСС reports that Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Putin is unlikely to announce the composition of the Russian delegation publicly. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad report on a statement by the head of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), Sergey Naryshkin, who claims that Moscow's opponents are hatching plans for a change of power in Russia and are financing plans to dismember Russia into several parts. ТАСС reports on the sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. ТАСС reports a mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. ТАСС reports that Russia and Malaysia are working on opening direct air travel between the countries. ТАСС reports that the State Duma has adopted in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. An unknown individual opened fire at a car wash in North Ossetia, resulting in one fatality and one person in intensive care. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling. ТАСС reports that the number of cases of dangerous tropical fevers imported into Russia is growing. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich.
• Russian Strategic Messaging and Information Operations: Russian sources are actively promoting narratives regarding their military successes, the effectiveness of their equipment and tactics, and portraying Ukraine and Western partners negatively. This includes showcasing captured Western equipment, highlighting alleged Ukrainian casualties and internal issues, and framing diplomatic efforts in a way that emphasizes Russia's strength and conditions. The SVR head's statements about alleged Western plans for regime change and dismemberment of Russia are a key part of the Russian narrative on external threats. Kremlin statements regarding negotiations also contribute to their information control efforts. A prominent Russian military blogger attending an economic forum with Islamic countries could be part of broader strategic messaging. ASTRA offering a VPN service highlights efforts to circumvent Russian information control. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad report on the SVR head's claims regarding Western plans for regime change and dismemberment of Russia. ТАСС reports Peskov stating that the process of Ukrainian settlement and the process of normalizing relations with the US are independent, and that Putin is unlikely to announce the Russian delegation for Istanbul publicly. РБК-Україна echoes Peskov's statement about the delegation composition. General SVR reports internal discussions within the Russian leadership about Putin's potential attendance at the Istanbul talks. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani in Saudi Arabia. Воин DV reports on claimed Russian advances near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a patriotic-historical film about Cossacks, highlighting their role in the "special military operation." Alex Parker Returns shares a photo with a caption discussing the potential fate of the Russian people, which could be interpreted as commentary on the current political situation. Север.Реалии shares a story about an LGBT family emigrating from Russia due to fear of persecution. ТАСС reports that Russia and Malaysia are working on opening direct air travel. ТАСС reports on the State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. AV БогомаZ reports on Ukrainian terrorists attacking a village with kamikaze drones. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. НгП раZVедка uses sarcastic commentary regarding Trump's absence from Istanbul talks. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich. TikTok restricting content about Macron's trip to Kyiv suggests Russian information operations extending to social media.
• Humanitarian Issues: The missile strike on Sumy resulting in civilian casualties and two fatalities highlights the ongoing humanitarian impact of the conflict. Civilian casualties are also reported in Russian border regions due to Ukrainian attacks. Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit, including the mistreatment of sick servicemen, point to potential human rights abuses within the Russian military. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a post about a released POW, highlighting the importance of addressing the humanitarian issue of prisoners of war. A mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulted in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties. ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video appeal from a female servicemember of the Russian 19th Tank Regiment alleging severe misconduct and abuse, including the execution of undesirable soldiers, forcing sick servicemen to fight, and listing the deceased as missing. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports a mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a 14-year-old girl was injured in Makeevka, DNR, due to a Ukrainian kamikaze drone strike.
• Cybersecurity: A data breach affecting Steam users is reported, highlighting broader cybersecurity threats. ASTRA is offering a VPN service as a tool against censorship. ТАСС reports that hackers have stolen data from 89 million users of the Steam service and are asking for $5,000 for the database. ASTRA is promoting its own VPN service as a tool against censorship.
• Regional Stability: Continued armed clashes are reported in Tripoli, Libya. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports that Mitiga International Airport in Tripoli, Libya, has suspended operations due to armed clashes.
• Judicial System (Russia): Sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. Legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants. The State Duma has adopted in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. ASTRA reports on the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption (previous report). ТАСС reports on the sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling.
• Support for Servicemembers and POWs (Ukraine): The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a post about a released POW, highlighting support for servicemen and their families.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

• Internal Security: Legal proceedings are ongoing for participants in the Mahachkala airport riots, with reports of prison sentences. Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit have surfaced. The head of the SVR made statements regarding alleged Western plans for regime change and the dismemberment of Russia and claimed that those who have left Russia are working against it. A data breach affecting Steam users is reported. A domestic incident with a public transport controller in Moscow is noted (previous). Strict penalties for picking lilacs are noted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on new and upcoming financial regulations that will limit the amount of money that can be transferred without full identification. ASTRA is offering a VPN service to bypass censorship. A mass traffic accident occurred in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. Colonelcassad reports on the sentencing of Mahachkala airport rioters. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad report on the SVR head's claims regarding Western plans for regime change and dismemberment of Russia. Север.Реалии shares a story about an LGBT family emigrating from Russia due to fear of persecution. An unknown individual opened fire at a car wash in North Ossetia, resulting in one fatality and one person in intensive care. Law enforcement has initiated a search operation ("Plan Intercept"). AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling. ТАСС reports that the number of cases of dangerous tropical fevers imported into Russia is growing. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. TikTok restricting content about Macron's trip to Kyiv suggests Russian information operations extending to social media and influencing information control.
• Legal Developments: Sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. Adoption of legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants. The State Duma has adopted in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on new and upcoming financial regulations that will limit the amount of money that can be transferred without full identification. ТАСС reports on the sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. ТАСС reports that the State Duma has adopted in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling.
• Information Operations: The head of the SVR's statements are a clear example of state-level information operations. Kremlin statements regarding negotiations also contribute to their narrative. A prominent Russian military blogger attending an economic forum with Islamic countries could be part of broader strategic messaging. ASTRA offering a VPN service highlights efforts to circumvent Russian information control. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad report on the SVR head's claims regarding Western plans for regime change and dismemberment of Russia. ТАСС reports Peskov stating that the process of Ukrainian settlement and the process of normalizing relations with the US are independent, and that Putin is unlikely to announce the Russian delegation for Istanbul publicly. РБК-Україна echoes Peskov's statement about the delegation composition. General SVR reports internal discussions within the Russian leadership about Putin's potential attendance at the Istanbul talks. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani in Saudi Arabia. Воин DV reports on claimed Russian advances near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a patriotic-historical film about Cossacks, highlighting their role in the "special military operation." Alex Parker Returns shares a photo with a caption discussing the potential fate of the Russian people, which could be interpreted as commentary on the current political situation. Север.Реалии shares a story about an LGBT family emigrating from Russia due to fear of persecution. ТАСС reports that Russia and Malaysia are working on opening direct air travel. ТАСС reports on the State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. AV БогомаZ reports on Ukrainian terrorists attacking a village with kamikaze drones. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. НгП раZVедка uses sarcastic commentary regarding Trump's absence from Istanbul talks. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich. TikTok restricting content about Macron's trip to Kyiv suggests Russian information operations extending to social media and influencing information control.
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse, including the selling of servicemen, within a Russian military unit, if true, suggest significant internal problems affecting discipline and effectiveness. Russian forces are reportedly gradually breaking through the defense line near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk). The claimed damage to a Russian "Tor" air defense system by a Ukrainian drone strike near Kakhovka suggests vulnerabilities in Russian air defense. Russian military bloggers share content related to drone incidents. Russian forces are using tactics like motorcycle assaults, which are costly but perceived as potentially effective, and drone swarms with improved electronic warfare capabilities. Russian forces are claiming advances and clearing operations in key areas of Donetsk Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit. ТАСС (citing Andrey Marochko) claims Russian forces are gradually breaking through near Pokrovsk. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a Ukrainian National Guard brigade stopped a Russian motorcycle assault near Kupiansk. Воин DV reports claimed Russian advances near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a patriotic-historical film about Cossacks, highlighting their role in the "special military operation." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of an FPV drone hitting a vehicle without detonating. Kotsnews reports that the Russian army will receive a replacement for the RPK-74 light machine gun, the RPL-20, in serial volumes starting in 2025. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier claiming that Russians are employing drone swarms using hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, with a depth of 10-15 km, and are developing and effectively using electronic warfare (РЭБ) to suppress Ukrainian drones. Военкор Котенок reports ongoing battles for Novosergievka on the Dnipropetrovsk direction, claiming Russian advances. Военкор Котенок reports that units of the 98th Guards Division have completely cleared the enemy from a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar. Воин DV reports claimed Russian advances on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the Novopavlovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction.
• Civilian Issues: Continued reporting of civilian casualties and two fatalities in Sumy due to a missile strike. Civilian casualties are also reported in Russian border regions due to Ukrainian attacks. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties. ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports a mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a 14-year-old girl was injured in Makeevka, DNR, due to a Ukrainian kamikaze drone strike. ТАСС reports that the number of cases of dangerous tropical fevers imported into Russia is growing.
• Social Issues: Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit, including the selling of servicemen and mistreatment of the sick, point to potentially significant social and ethical issues within the military. Legislation regarding out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants addresses the financial well-being of servicemen. Discussions regarding potential outcomes for individuals after a change of power reflect internal discourse and concerns about societal stability. Strict penalties for picking lilacs are a domestic social/legal issue. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit. WarGonzo reports on legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants. Alex Parker Returns shares a social media post discussing the potential fate of "redundant" individuals after a change of power. Новости Москвы reports on strict penalties for picking lilacs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on new and upcoming financial regulations that will limit the amount of money that can be transferred without full identification, potentially impacting volunteer efforts. Север.Реалии shares a story about an LGBT family emigrating from Russia due to fear of persecution. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video appeal from a female servicemember of the Russian 19th Tank Regiment alleging severe misconduct and abuse. ТАСС reports that the number of cases of dangerous tropical fevers imported into Russia is growing. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling.
• Judicial System: Legal proceedings against participants in the Mahachkala airport riots are reported, with prison sentences handed down. WarGonzo reports on legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants, which has been adopted in the second and third readings by the State Duma. ТАСС reports on the State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. Рыбарь and Colonelcassad report on recent court sentences in Dagestan for participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. ТАСС reports on the sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. ТАСС reports that the State Duma has adopted in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US for frog embryo smuggling.
• Casualties: Civilian casualties (nine injured) and two fatalities are reported in Sumy due to a missile strike. A mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulted in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. Civilian casualties are also reported in Russian border regions due to Ukrainian attacks. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties. ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports a mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a 14-year-old girl was injured in Makeevka, DNR, due to a Ukrainian kamikaze drone strike.
• Economic Impact (Indirect): Legislation regarding out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants acknowledges potential financial difficulties faced by some soldiers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on new and upcoming financial regulations that will limit the amount of money that can be transferred without full identification, potentially impacting volunteer efforts and financial flows. ТАСС reports that the EU and US have announced potential "crushing" sanctions against Russia if it rejects peace initiatives. ТАСС reports that Russia and Malaysia are working on opening direct air travel. ТАСС reports on the State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities.
• Political Dynamics: Statements by the head of the SVR reflect high-level political narratives. Kremlin statements regarding negotiations also contribute to their narrative. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad report on the SVR head's claims regarding Western plans for regime change and dismemberment of Russia. ТАСС reports Peskov stating that the process of Ukrainian settlement and the process of normalizing relations with the US are independent, and that Putin is unlikely to announce the Russian delegation for Istanbul publicly. РБК-Україна echoes Peskov's statement about the delegation composition. General SVR reports internal discussions within the Russian leadership about Putin's potential attendance at the Istanbul talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a patriotic-historical film about Cossacks. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo with a caption discussing the potential fate of the Russian people. Север.Реалии shares a story about an LGBT family emigrating from Russia due to fear of persecution. ТАСС reports that Russia and Malaysia are working on opening direct air travel. ТАСС reports on the State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the Russian government the authority to regulate the volume of paid admissions to universities. AV БогомаZ reports on Ukrainian terrorists attacking a village with kamikaze drones. ТАСС reports that figures in an extremism case face up to 8 years in prison. НгП раZVедка uses sarcastic commentary regarding Trump's absence from Istanbul talks. Военкор Котенок comments on negotiation prospects, referencing Roman Abramovich. ТАСС reports on the sentencing of participants in the Mahachkala airport riots. An unknown individual opened fire at a car wash in North Ossetia. ТАСС reports that Russian scientist Ksenia Petrova has been arrested in the US.
• Military Modernization: Kotsnews reports that the Russian army will receive a replacement for the RPK-74 light machine gun, the RPL-20, in serial volumes starting in 2025. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction, highlighting ongoing efforts to counter Ukrainian military capabilities.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Civilian Impact: Civilian casualties (nine injured) and two fatalities are reported in Sumy due to a missile strike. A mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulted in two fatalities and 17 injuries, unrelated to military operations. Civilian casualties are also reported in Russian border regions due to Ukrainian attacks. РБК-Україна, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ, and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report a Russian missile strike on an industrial infrastructure object in Sumy, resulting in two fatalities and nine casualties. ASTRA also reports the strike and casualties. AV БогомаZ reports that Ukrainian terrorists attacked the village of Kamensky Khutor, Klimovsky district, with kamikaze drones, injuring three civilians. ТАСС reports a mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast resulting in two fatalities and 17 injuries. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports a 14-year-old girl was injured in Makeevka, DNR, due to a Ukrainian kamikaze drone strike.
• Military Support (Russia): Legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants aims to provide financial relief to servicemen. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on new and upcoming financial regulations that will limit the amount of money that can be transferred without full identification, potentially impacting volunteer efforts to collect funds for military support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video appeal from a female servicemember of the Russian 19th Tank Regiment alleging severe misconduct and abuse, including the execution of undesirable soldiers, forcing sick servicemen to fight, forcing conscripts to sign contracts, selling servicemen, and listing the deceased as missing to avoid compensation payments. If these allegations are true, they suggest significant failings in personnel support.
• Civilian Support (Ukraine): Ukraine is focusing on environmental monitoring using satellite data, which can support public health and well-being, particularly in areas affected by the conflict. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that the Council of Europe has supported the creation of a Special Tribunal regarding Russian crimes. This is relevant to seeking justice for affected civilians.
• Information Control and Access: ASTRA offering a VPN service is relevant to providing access to information in a controlled environment, which can support public awareness and potentially rehabilitation efforts by providing access to diverse perspectives. ASTRA is promoting its own VPN service as a tool against censorship. TikTok restricting content about Macron's trip to Kyiv suggests Russian information operations extending to social media and influencing information control, which can impact information access for the public.
• Veteran Support (Russia): Legislation regarding out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants is relevant to the financial well-being of veterans. WarGonzo reports on legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants.
• Rehabilitation (Ukraine): Ukraine's adoption of Finnish experience in air quality assessment using satellite data can indirectly support rehabilitation efforts by improving environmental monitoring in affected areas.
• Support for Servicemembers and POWs (Ukraine): The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a post about a released POW, highlighting support for servicemen and their families.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Ukraine: Actively defending against Russian assaults across multiple fronts, reporting a high number of engagements, particularly in Donetsk Oblast. Successfully using drones to counter Russian attacks, including reportedly damaging a Russian "Tor" air defense system and stopping a motorcycle assault. Engaging in counterintelligence operations, leading to the detention of an FSB agent. Facing Russian missile strikes on urban areas, resulting in civilian casualties. Continuing diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire and negotiations. Focusing on leveraging technology and international cooperation for environmental monitoring. Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 combat engagements and provides detailed breakdowns of Russian activity across various directions. A Ukrainian National Guard brigade used FPV drones to stop a Russian motorcycle assault near Kupiansk. An SBU agent assisting Russian advances on the Pokrovsk direction has been detained. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on Ukraine adopting Finnish experience in air quality assessment using satellite data. РБК-Україна shares a comment from Mykhailo Podolyak regarding the Istanbul talks. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a post about a released POW. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show an "Iskander" strike on a Ukrainian BEC training site. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Николаевский Ванёк provide extensive real-time data on the movement of Russian drones across multiple Ukrainian oblasts, indicating widespread aerial threats. ТАСС reports a missile threat has been declared in Crimea, suggesting potential Ukrainian missile activity. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction, indicating Russian success in targeting Ukrainian drone and artillery capabilities.
• Russia: Continuing ground offensives across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, with claims of gradual breakthroughs near Pokrovsk and advances in other areas including on the Dnipropetrovsk and Novopavlovsk directions, and clearing operations in Chasiv Yar. Employing artillery, mortars, aviation (using KABs and unguided rockets), and drones, including reported use of drone swarms with improved electronic warfare capabilities. Using tactics like motorcycle assaults, which are costly but perceived as potentially effective. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Facing potential internal issues with military misconduct and abuse within units, as alleged by a servicemember. Engaging in state-level information operations regarding external threats and internal opposition. Addressing financial challenges for soldiers through new legislation. Facing reports of a damaged "Tor" air defense system due to a Ukrainian drone strike. Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 combat engagements and provides detailed breakdowns of Russian activity across various directions. ТАСС (citing Andrey Marochko) claims Russian forces are gradually breaking through near Pokrovsk. Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit have surfaced. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system. Russian forces are using motorcycle assaults near Kupiansk. Воин DV reports claimed Russian advances near Bogatyr and Otradnoye. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a patriotic-historical film about Cossacks, highlighting their role in the "special military operation." Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of an FPV drone hitting a vehicle without detonating. Kotsnews reports that the Russian army will receive a replacement for the RPK-74 light machine gun, the RPL-20, in serial volumes starting in 2025. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier claiming that Russians are employing drone swarms using hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, with a depth of 10-15 km, and are developing and effectively using electronic warfare (РЭБ) to suppress Ukrainian drones. Военкор Котенок reports ongoing battles for Novosergievka on the Dnipropetrovsk direction, claiming Russian advances. Военкор Котенок reports that units of the 98th Guards Division have completely cleared the enemy from a high-rise building block in Chasiv Yar. Воин DV reports claimed Russian advances on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Военкор Котенок reports claimed Russian advances on the Novopavlovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction.
• Foreign Involvement: Conflicting reports exist on Donald Trump's potential attendance in Istanbul. The Netherlands Prime Minister has commented on the timeframe for a potential settlement. The EU and US are discussing potential sanctions against Russia. Malaysia's Prime Minister is in Moscow for talks with President Putin. Finland is cooperating with Ukraine on environmental monitoring. A meeting between Donald Trump and Abu Muhammad al-Julani in Saudi Arabia is reported. The Brazilian President's plane is expected to stop in Moscow. The Palestinian Ambassador in Moscow hopes Donald Trump will announce the creation of a Palestinian state. Hungary has reportedly shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area. Глава МЗС України Сибіга вже провів зустріч із державним секретарем США Рубіо та сенатором Гремом в Анталії. ТАСС reports that Hungary has shot down a Ukrainian drone in the border area. РБК-Україна reports that President Zelenskyy is traveling to Turkey. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy is already in Ankara.
• Equipment and Tactics: Continued use of artillery, mortars, KABs, unguided aerial rockets, and drones by Russian forces. Use of motorcycle assaults by Russian forces. Use of FPV drones by Ukrainian forces for tactical strikes and countering assaults. Potential damage to a Russian "Tor" air defense system by a Ukrainian drone strike. Reported use of drone swarms and improved electronic warfare by Russian forces. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS share a video allegedly showing the aftermath of a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system, highlighting its cost. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of an FPV drone hitting a vehicle without detonating. Kotsnews reports that the Russian army will receive a replacement for the RPK-74 light machine gun, the RPL-20, in serial volumes starting in 2025. Colonelcassad shares a report from a Ukrainian soldier claiming that Russians are employing drone swarms using hundreds more UAVs than a year ago, with a depth of 10-15 km, and are developing and effectively using electronic warfare (РЭБ) to suppress Ukrainian drones. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that soldiers from Buryatia destroyed an enemy UAV control point, a "Baba Yaga" drone, and a mortar on the Shakhtyorsk direction, highlighting the effectiveness of Russian tactics and equipment. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show an "Iskander" OTRK strike on a Ukrainian BEC training site.
• Personnel: Allegations of severe misconduct and abuse, including the selling of servicemen, within a Russian military unit, if true, point to serious issues affecting personnel management and well-being. Legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants addresses the financial situation of servicemen. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports allegations of severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit. WarGonzo reports on legislation allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants.
• Counterintelligence: Ukraine has successfully detained an FSB agent in a frontline area. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The high number of combat engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff underscores the continued intensity of the fighting across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, and highlights the significant pressure on Ukrainian forces. The Russian claim of a gradual breakthrough near Pokrovsk and claimed advances in other areas, if successful, could impact Ukrainian defensive lines and control of important routes. Воин DV reporting claimed Russian advances near Bogatyr and Otradnoye on the Shakhtyorsk direction and Военкор Котенок reporting claimed advances on the Dnipropetrovsk and Novopavlovsk directions and clearing operations in Chasiv Yar further reinforces Russian offensive efforts in strategically important areas. Ukraine's success in repelling a high number of attacks and employing tactics like using FPV drones to counter motorcycle assaults demonstrates their adaptability and commitment to defense.
• The ongoing diplomatic discussions regarding a potential meeting in Istanbul, while still uncertain regarding high-level participation (e.g., Trump), indicate that the possibility of a negotiated settlement remains a strategic consideration for various actors. The differing perspectives on the conditions for a ceasefire and Russia's controlled messaging regarding the talks highlight the challenges in achieving a breakthrough. The Ukrainian Foreign Minister's reiteration of the call for a ceasefire and direct talks with Putin underscores Ukraine's strategic objective of de-escalation and a diplomatic resolution, albeit on their terms. The Netherlands Prime Minister's view on a limited window for a settlement suggests a sense of urgency among some international partners. ТАСС reports on Kremlin statements regarding the uncertainty of the start of negotiations and the independence of talks from US relations. General SVR's report on internal Russian discussions about Putin's attendance at the Istanbul talks provides insight into the political considerations at the highest level. РБК-Україна sharing Mykhailo Podolyak's comment about the talks being meaningless without Putin highlights Ukraine's focus on high-level engagement. Рыбарь's report on the Trump-Al-Julani meeting underscores the complex and multi-faceted diplomatic landscape involving various regional actors. НгП раZVедка and Военкор Котенок's commentary on negotiations reflect skepticism and information operations from within Russia.
• The potential for new sanctions from the EU and US against Russia if it rejects peace initiatives represents a continued strategy of applying economic pressure to influence Russia's actions and potentially incentivize engagement in meaningful negotiations. The description of these potential sanctions as "crushing" underscores the intended severity of this pressure. The Council of Europe's support for a Special Tribunal regarding Russian crimes is a significant development in the realm of international legal strategy and accountability, adding another layer of pressure on Russia.
• The alleged severe misconduct and abuse within a Russian military unit, if confirmed, have significant strategic implications for the morale, discipline, and overall effectiveness of Russian forces. Such issues can undermine unit cohesion, trust in command, and ultimately impact combat capability. Monitoring and, if possible, leveraging this information could be a strategic consideration for Ukraine and its partners. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reporting these allegations brings a new dimension to the internal state of the Russian military.
• The SBU's detention of an FSB agent in a frontline area is a strategic success for Ukraine's counterintelligence efforts. Disrupting Russian intelligence gathering and operational planning in key areas, such as the Pokrovsk direction, is crucial for maintaining defensive integrity and hindering Russian advances. This highlights the ongoing, non-kinetic aspect of the conflict.
• The Russian SVR head's statement regarding alleged Western plans for regime change and the dismemberment of Russia is a key strategic narrative promoted by the Russian government. This narrative aims to consolidate domestic support by portraying external threats and justifying the current conflict as a defensive measure. Understanding and countering this narrative is a strategic information operation objective for Ukraine and its partners. Басурин о главном and Colonelcassad reporting on these claims from the SVR head highlights their prominence in Russian strategic messaging.
• The reported Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian "Tor" air defense system near Kakhovka, if confirmed, represents a strategic success in degrading Russia's air defense capabilities. Targeting and destroying such valuable assets can enhance Ukraine's ability to conduct its own aerial and drone operations and reduce the threat to its forces. Оперативний ЗСУ and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing the video of this strike could be part of a Ukrainian information operation.
• The data breach affecting Steam users, while not directly related to military operations, highlights broader cybersecurity vulnerabilities that could have strategic implications for various sectors, including critical infrastructure and government systems. It underscores the importance of robust cybersecurity measures in a conflict environment. ASTRA offering a VPN service highlights the ongoing information control environment in Russia and efforts to circumvent it, which is relevant to information warfare. ТАСС reporting on the Steam data breach highlights a significant cybersecurity event. ASTRA promoting its VPN service is a strategic response to censorship.
• The attendance of a prominent Russian military blogger at an economic forum with Islamic countries is strategically notable. It suggests potential efforts by Russia to strengthen economic and political ties with these countries, potentially seeking alternative markets, investment, or political support, which could have long-term geopolitical implications relevant to the conflict.
• The legislation in Russia allowing out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants is a strategic effort to address the social and economic consequences of the conflict on military personnel. This measure likely aims to alleviate financial burdens on soldiers and their families, potentially contributing to morale and maintaining support for the war effort. WarGonzo reporting on this legislation highlights a specific internal strategic effort. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺's report on new and upcoming financial regulations impacting volunteer collections is strategically relevant as it could affect the ability of civil society to support the military.
• Ukraine's efforts to leverage technology and international cooperation for environmental monitoring, as demonstrated by the adoption of Finnish experience in air quality assessment using satellite data, are strategically important for addressing the long-term environmental consequences of the conflict and informing post-war recovery efforts. This also strengthens Ukraine's ties with international partners and its alignment with European standards.
• The continued armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, represent a persistent source of instability in a strategically important region. While not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine, instability in other regions can have broader geopolitical impacts and influence the resources and attention of international actors.
• The domestic issue in Russia regarding strict penalties for picking lilacs, while seemingly minor, can be indicative of the extent of state control and the enforcement of regulations, which can indirectly impact social sentiment and public behavior.
• The expected statement by President Putin following talks with the Malaysian Prime Minister could have strategic implications depending on the topics discussed and any agreements reached. Malaysia is a non-aligned country with potential economic and political ties relevant to Russia's international standing. Discussions about potential direct flights also indicate efforts to strengthen bilateral ties.
• The Russian State Duma adopting in the first reading a bill giving the government authority to regulate paid university admissions is a domestic policy decision with potential long-term societal and economic implications for Russia.
• Colonelcassad sharing a video claiming to show an "Iskander" OTRK strike on a Ukrainian BEC training site highlights Russia's strategic targeting of Ukrainian capabilities and could be part of an information operation to demonstrate effectiveness.
• The mass traffic accident in Kursk Oblast, while not military-related, highlights potential strain on infrastructure or emergency services in a border region impacted by the conflict.
• The Brazilian President's plane stopping in Moscow is a diplomatic note that indicates ongoing international engagement with Russia, despite the conflict.
• The Palestinian Ambassador's hope for a Trump announcement on a Palestinian state highlights expectations from certain international actors regarding Trump's potential foreign policy priorities, which could intersect with broader geopolitical considerations relevant to the conflict.
• The Council of Europe's support for a Special Tribunal regarding Russian crimes is a significant strategic development in the international legal response to the conflict.
• An unknown individual opening fire in North Ossetia and initiating a search operation highlights internal security challenges for Russia, particularly in regions with existing tensions or proximity to conflict zones.
• AV БогомаZ reporting civilian casualties in Bryansk Oblast due to Ukrainian drone attacks highlights the strategic impact of Ukrainian actions on Russian border regions and civilian populations.
• ТАСС reporting on the arrest of a Russian scientist in the US for frog embryo smuggling, the increase in tropical fever cases, and figures in an extremism case facing prison time are domestic issues with potential indirect strategic implications.
• TikTok restricting content about Macron's trip to Kyiv suggests Russian information operations extending to social media to control narratives and potentially discredit foreign leaders.
• Updated military maps for the Sumy, Konstantinovsky, and Krasnolimansk directions provide crucial strategic information on the current operational picture, enabling a better understanding of front lines, territorial control, recent advances, and defensive preparations, which is essential for strategic planning and resource allocation.

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Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.