Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 14, 2025, 19:56 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, sustained Russian aerial and drone activity, and complex diplomatic maneuvering. Russian forces persist in claiming tactical successes, notably citing the liberation of Kotlyarovka and advances in key areas of Donetsk Oblast. Drone warfare remains a significant tactical element on all fronts, characterized by widespread use of various UAV types and reported launches of guided aerial bombs. The diplomatic landscape is marked by a disconnect between calls for negotiation and explicit rejections of a truce from sources within Russia. International backing for Ukraine remains crucial, with recent confirmations of substantial aid packages from the EU and the US. High-level personnel adjustments are noted within the Ukrainian defense leadership. Allegations of Russian espionage and sabotage leading to convictions in the UK underscore the persistent intelligence dimension of the conflict. Elevated tensions and military exercises near Lithuania reflect increased military activity in the Baltic region.
Recent updates underscore the continued intensity of fighting in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, specifically the Nikopol district, and the ongoing impact of Russian strikes on civilian infrastructure. New reports confirm the targeting of the Nikopol, Pokrovske, Marhanetske, and Myrove communities with FPV drones and artillery, resulting in civilian casualties and damage. Additionally, a strike with a kamikaze drone on the Novopavlivka community in Synelnykove district has also resulted in a civilian injury and damaged a vehicle. Recent reports also highlight the ongoing intensity of ground combat in Donetsk Oblast, with claims of Russian advances near Chasiv Yar and the destruction of Ukrainian positions and equipment. Russian sources are claiming significant Ukrainian losses in the Sumy border region. Ukrainian officials are clarifying the status of President Zelenskyy's travel to Turkey for potential negotiations. The potential for US sanctions targeting Russia's Central Bank or "shadow fleet" is being actively discussed. Discussions regarding the formation of new Ukrainian army corps are reported by Russian sources. Claims of foreign gamers being recruited by Ukraine to operate drones are circulating in Russian media. Heavy Russian aerial and artillery attacks continue in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Significant new updates from the latest messages include:
- Russian Weapon Development and Exhibition: Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, highlighting their use in the "special military operation" and potential export interest. This indicates continued Russian defense industry activity and efforts to promote new weaponry.
- Civilian Issues in Russian Border Regions: ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts detailing complaints from residents in a border village in Belgorod Oblast regarding lack of services and inability to evacuate despite shelling. This highlights potential challenges faced by civilians in border areas and attempts at information control within Russia.
- Increased Alertness in the Netherlands: The Netherlands Ministry of Defense has raised its Alert State from Level 1 to Level 2 (A to A+), implementing additional security measures, including heightened vigilance against suspicious individuals, vehicles, packages, and drones. This indicates increased concern about potential security threats, potentially related to the conflict in Ukraine.
- Continued Russian Ground and Aerial Attacks (Ukrainian General Staff Report): The Ukrainian General Staff reports a total of 128 combat engagements across various fronts over the past day, with intense fighting in Donetsk, Lyman, Kramatorsk, Siversk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, and Kursk directions. They report one missile and 45 aviation strikes (65 guided bombs), 1156 kamikaze drones, and nearly 4000 shellings by Russian forces. They also provide preliminary Russian loss figures on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably), and claim the destruction or damage of various Russian equipment (tank, vehicles, motorcycles, UAVs, UAV control point, antennas, observation station). This report provides a comprehensive overview of the intensity and nature of Russian military actions.
- Russian Missile Strike on Sumy: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports a Russian missile strike on Sumy destroyed a Ukrainian repair base, showing photos of what appear to be tank road wheels. They also note that Ukrainian media initially posted then deleted photos showing these components, implying an attempt to conceal the nature of the targeted facility.
- Russian Fundraising for Drones: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier for a soldier named "Tikhiy," highlighting the reliance on volunteer support for acquiring critical equipment.
- Alleged Russian Deflection of Ukrainian Maritime Drones: Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad.
- Russian Aviation and Guided Bomb Activity: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern and northeastern directions and launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. This indicates continued Russian air support for ground operations and strikes on rear areas.
- Ukrainian Drone Interception Video: РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". This highlights Ukrainian air defense capabilities against Russian UAVs.
- Ukrainian Soldier Morale/Information Operation Video: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a TikTok video with a caption referencing a radio call sign and concussion, suggesting it is a video made by military personnel, possibly for entertainment or morale.
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
- Donetsk Oblast: Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces persist in claiming tactical successes, notably citing the liberation of Kotlyarovka and advances in key areas of Donetsk Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00, with the most active fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (25 attacks, 3 ongoing). Russian forces are also reported to be actively attacking on the Lyman (11 repelled, 2 ongoing), Kramatorsk (8 assaults, 1 ongoing), Siversk (5 assaults, 1 ongoing), Toretsk (19 assaults, all repelled), Pokrovsk (46 assaults, 5 ongoing), Novopavlivka (20 assaults, 5 ongoing), Orikhiv (3 repelled), and Prydniprovskyi (1 unsuccessful attack) directions. Russian sources claim successful advances in the Andreevskoe direction (Bogatyri, Otradnoe), claiming control of approximately 70% of Bogatyri and clearing a stronghold at the intersection of highways H-15 and T-05-18. Russian sources also report advances in the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka). Воин DV reports ongoing fierce battles in the village of Bogatyri, with Russian forces pushing in the western and northern parts. Воин DV also reports Russian forces repelled three Ukrainian counterattacks in the Southern Donetsk direction (Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye) and inflicted losses. Военкор Котенок provides detailed tactical reports on the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka, Hrodovka) and Alexandrovsk-Kalinovskoe direction (Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka), claiming Russian advances and ongoing battles. Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in both defensive and offensive operations. Civilian casualties and damage from shelling are reported. Updated operational maps provide visual details on the front lines. Russian military media is using content from Donetsk Oblast to highlight the role of female military personnel. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Басурин о главном reports 3 civilian deaths and 57 injuries (including 4 children) in the Donetsk People's Republic between April 28th and May 12th due to alleged Ukrainian aggression. ASTRA reports one fatality in Zorya and two injuries in Dorozhne and Svitle (Donetsk Oblast) due to Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS near Toretsk, Donetsk Oblast, by Ukrainian Special Operations Forces. MoD Russia shares a video with servicemen of the 137th Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade speaking about the liberation of Lysovka in Donetsk People's Republic. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Donetsk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Военкор Котенок claims that units of the "Vostok" Group of Forces have advanced southwest of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks, specifically in Pokrovsk, Novoekonomichne, Illinivka, and Vasyutinske, with damage to homes and vehicles. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic by the Center Group of Forces. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka and the situation in Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), claiming the capture was made with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger for Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks, specifically in Pokrovsk, Novoekonomichne, Illinivka, and Vasyutinske, with damage to homes and vehicles. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, claiming the confirmed destruction of a Russian soldier. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces after capture, which could have implications for ongoing prisoner of war exchanges and humanitarian concerns. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of a German Leopard tank, French VAB, Turkish Kirpi, and American HMMWV by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators in the Stepanivka area on the Konstantinovka direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Donetsk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of the "Taifun" unmanned systems unit claiming to destroy occupiers on the Pokrovsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports intense combat on the Pokrovsk direction (46 assaults, 5 ongoing), Lyman direction (21 attacks, 2 ongoing), Siversk direction (5 attacks, 1 ongoing), Kramatorsk direction (8 attacks, 1 ongoing), Toretsk direction (19 attacks, all repelled), Novopavlivka direction (20 attacks, 5 ongoing), Orikhiv direction (3 repelled), and Prydniprovskyi direction (1 unsuccessful attack). Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports preliminary Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably), and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment (tank, vehicles, motorcycles, UAVs, UAV control point, antennas, observation station) on this direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions fighting near Chasiv Yar on the Kramatorsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ mentions repelling attacks near Yampolivka, Ridkodub on the Lyman direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports fierce battles near Bogatyr, Novopil, Burlatske, and Vilne Pole on the Novopavlivka direction.
- Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Shebekino, Khomutovka, Tetkino, Pavlovka, Novy Put, Archangelskoye): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use are reported. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. A new report highlights a criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports eight battles, one of which is ongoing, 6 Russian aviation strikes (6 guided bombs), and 188 artillery shellings in the Kursk direction as of 19:19. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka due to Ukrainian shelling. Два майора reports an 18-year-old man was injured in Shebekino due to a Ukrainian drone attack. ASTRA reports that residents of Khomutovka are being denied social payments, making it difficult for them to leave the area despite shelling, which is a local issue related to the conflict's impact on civilians. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Kursk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Басурин о главном quotes Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite making dismissive remarks about fearing Russians, which, while not directly about negotiations, reflects a hardline stance towards Russia. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night, highlighting ongoing mine warfare and counter-mine efforts. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care.
- Sumy Oblast (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Bilovody, Loknya, Vodolagi): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personal mines on this direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports significant artillery shelling of border settlements, including Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, and Simeikyne as of 16:00. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Sumy Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. TASS reports, citing "siloviki" (likely security forces or military), that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint, a 120mm mortar, a temporary deployment point, personnel, an armored fighting vehicle, and a communication tower with EW equipment in Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Sumy Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports a Russian missile strike on Sumy destroyed a Ukrainian repair base, showing photos of what appear to be tank road wheels.
- Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones. Reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast and confirmed drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some drones heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection with Odesa Oblast. Drones previously reported in this area are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Mykolaiv Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports one unsuccessful attempt by Russian forces to approach Ukrainian positions on the Prydniprovskyi direction.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. This signifies recent or anticipated drone activity in this central Ukrainian region. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Kirovohrad Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Рыбарь reports Russian forces struck objects in Kirovohrad Oblast.
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 2 repelled Russian attacks on the Orikhiv direction as of 16:00. ТАСС reports that the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is requesting the annulment of the sentence against General Ivan Popov. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger for Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a full air alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of ballistic missile deployment in the areas where an air alert has been issued, including Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian PVD with a "Molniya" drone in the Huliaipole area.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol, Pokrovske, Marhanetske, Myrove, Novopavlivka, Synelnykove): Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy aviation in Synelnykivskyi district, likely indicating a potential for guided bomb strikes. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction claiming they are approximately one kilometer from the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after capturing Kotlyarovka. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol, Pokrovske, Marhanetske, and Myrove communities using FPV drones and artillery, injuring one civilian and damaging infrastructure. Сергій Лисак also reports a kamikaze drone strike on the Novopavlivka community in Synelnykove district, injuring one civilian and damaging a vehicle. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces are not conducting offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction.
- Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk direction, Lemishchyne, Vovchansk, Pishchane, Kharkiv, Kam'yanka, Hlushkivka): Russian military bloggers claim successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports shelling of Lemishchyne and one repelled enemy attempt to advance near Vovchansk as of 16:00. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports one Russian attack repelled near Pishchane on the Kupyansk direction as of 16:00. ASTRA reports two injuries in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian shelling. РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Kharkiv. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Kharkiv Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Олег Синєгубов reports that a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike was recorded in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger for Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the threat of strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the threat for Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a Ukrainian court document related to a traffic accident involving a HIMARS in Kharkiv in July 2024, likely for information operation purposes. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian personnel at MA PP "Krest" in the Kharkiv direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Kharkiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces conducted three offensive actions near Vovchansk and Kam'yanka and one offensive action near Hlushkivka on the Kupyansk direction, which was repelled.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: Reports indicate that some of the drones targeting southern Ukraine are now moving towards this oblast. A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs from the south. This confirms and highlights an expanded area of potential drone threat. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west.
- Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended and emergency services have declared a state of increased readiness. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict. The Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital, and several districts are reportedly without power. This signifies a potential conclusion to the recent intense clashes, although the impact on infrastructure is evident. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes, identifying key individuals and factions involved and highlighting the ongoing instability in Libya. WarGonzo provides analysis on the ongoing conflict in Libya, highlighting the fragmentation of control and external support for various factions.
- Lithuania: International military exercises are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region. Басурин о главном quotes Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite making dismissive remarks about fearing Russians, which, while not directly about negotiations, reflects a hardline stance towards Russia.
- Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension.
- Chechnya (Russia): Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms, removing religious symbols. This is presented as a political development. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares information about Adam Kadyrov receiving another medal, framing it sarcastically and questioning his absence from the front lines. This is a commentary on internal Russian issues and personnel.
- Odesa Oblast: New reports indicate a threat of enemy strike UAVs. Increased Russian drone activity is reported at the intersection with Mykolaiv Oblast. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Odesa Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Рыбарь reports Russian forces struck objects in Odesa Oblast.
- Chernihiv Oblast (Yanzhulivka, Khrenivka, Verhnyokamyanske, Bilohorivka): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports significant artillery shelling of border settlements, including Yanzhulivka and Khrenivka as of 16:00. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Chernihiv Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and a communication tower with EW equipment in Chernihiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Ukrainian forces repelled four attacks near Verhnyokamyanske and Bilohorivka on the Siversk direction.
- Amur Oblast (Russia) (Tsiolkovsky): ТАСС reports that a forest fire near the closed town of Tsiolkovsky, located near the Vostochny Cosmodrome, has been localized.
- Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek): Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek. This is an internal matter with potential implications for ethnic tensions and information operations.
- Kherson Oblast: ASTRA reports two injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian shelling, including a child. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Kherson Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a photo claiming monument restoration in Kherson Oblast using 3D printing. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports one unsuccessful attempt by Russian forces to approach Ukrainian positions on the Prydniprovskyi direction.
- Ufa (Russia): Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa. This is an information operation.
- Mariupol: Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication due to filmmaking activities.
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Zhytomyr Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Lviv Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Lviv Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Cherkasy Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Cherkasy Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Volyn Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Volyn Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Ternopil Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Ternopil Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Khmelnytskyi Oblast: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Khmelnytskyi Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization.
- Kyiv City: Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Kyiv City as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting held with families of servicemen from the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade in Kyiv.
- Yaroslavl (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video reporting the expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl, with space prepared for additional graves.
- Buryatia (Russia): ТАСС reports on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges.
- Finland: Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTTEET reports on Finland's decision to change its rail gauge, starting from the north, with NATO support. This is a strategic infrastructure development with potential military implications.
- Tambov (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov, with relatives tying ribbons with call signs. This highlights the human cost of the conflict and efforts to commemorate missing soldiers.
- Moscow Oblast (Russia): Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex, with complaints from nearby residents about shaking. While not directly military, this is a domestic event impacting civilians near the capital region.
- Northern Ukraine: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts.
- Rivne Oblast: Рыбарь reports Russian forces struck objects in Rivne Oblast.
- Gulf of Finland: Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad.
- Black Sea: Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad.
- Prydniprovskyi direction (likely Kherson Oblast): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports one unsuccessful attempt by Russian forces to approach Ukrainian positions.
- Shebekino (Belgorod Oblast, Russia): ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district.
- Archangelskoye village (Shebekinsky district, Belgorod Oblast, Russia): ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents here.
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
- Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce. Air alert issued in Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts due to threat of attack drones. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. New reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast, confirmation of drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some drones heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection with Odesa Oblast. Drones previously reported in this area are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones with fiber-optic control systems. A new air alert has been issued for Kirovohrad Oblast due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. Reports indicate that some of the drones targeting southern Ukraine are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs from the south. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports Russian forces are using drone support in the battle for Bogatyri. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. Два майора reports an 18-year-old man was injured in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, due to a Ukrainian drone attack. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video claiming that EOD specialists cleared mines in the Kharkiv direction that were laid by enemy UAVs at night. Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, according to Russian sources. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks, specifically in Pokrovsk, Novoekonomichne, Illinivka, and Vasyutinske, with damage to homes and vehicles. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka and claiming increased Ukrainian drone activity. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, claiming the confirmed destruction of a Russian soldier. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones and a kamikaze drone. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. TASS shares a video of Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy Admiral Moiseev congratulating servicemen and veterans on Black Sea Fleet Day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces used 1156 kamikaze drones over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the claimed destruction or damage of 12 Russian UAVs, a UAV control point, and five UAV antennas on the Pokrovsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier.
- Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 5 Russian aviation strikes (10 guided bombs) in the Kursk direction and aviation strikes with KABs on Poltavka and Rusin Yar on the Pokrovsk direction as of 16:00. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports enemy aviation strikes on Vysokoe and Huliaipole on the Huliaipole direction as of 16:00. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy aviation in Synelnykivskyi district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, likely indicating a potential for guided bomb strikes. STERNENKO reports a civilian in Vasyutinske, Donetsk Oblast, was injured by an aviation bomb. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction, claiming increased accuracy. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces conducted 45 aviation strikes, dropping 65 guided bombs over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern and northeastern directions and launches of guided aerial bombs targeting Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts.
- Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger for Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports a full air alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of ballistic missile deployment in the areas where an air alert has been issued, including Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces launched one missile over the past day. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports a Russian missile strike on Sumy destroyed a Ukrainian repair base.
- Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas. A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean. Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues. The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected by clashes. The reported conclusion of the military operation and power outages in Tripoli are significant developments in this separate conflict. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes, which impacted Mitiga International Airport. ТАСС reports British Naval Forces plan to track Russian submarines using hundreds of underwater drones and AI. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTTEЕТ is questioning claims about a damaged anchor and chain related to a Baltic Sea cable incident, framing it as a potential NATO disinformation campaign. TASS shares a video of Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy Admiral Moiseev congratulating servicemen and veterans on Black Sea Fleet Day. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad in the Gulf of Finland/Baltic Sea.
- Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems. Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 surface-to-air missile system. ТАСС reports British Naval Forces plan to track Russian submarines using hundreds of underwater drones and AI. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the threat of strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the threat of strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the claimed destruction or damage of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM on the Toretsk direction. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10".
- Artillery Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 179 artillery shellings (including 9 MLRS) in the Kursk direction and significant artillery shellings of border settlements in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts as of 16:00. Басурин о главном reports civilian casualties in the Donetsk People's Republic due to alleged Ukrainian aggression, including artillery fire. ASTRA reports civilian casualties in Donetsk, Kherson, and Kharkiv Oblasts due to Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka, Belgorod Oblast, due to Ukrainian shelling. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction claiming increased Ukrainian artillery work. Сергій Лисак reports Russian artillery attacks on Nikopol district. Сергій Лисак reports Russian artillery attacks on Nikopol district, resulting in civilian injuries and damage. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports nearly four thousand shellings by Russian forces over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the claimed destruction or damage of a Russian Uragan-1 MLRS on the Toretsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 188 artillery shellings in the Kursk direction over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides photos of an artillery piece firing.
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
- Ceasefire and Negotiations: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev, Russian Vice-Speaker of the Federation Council, states that negotiations with Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul could be more productive if Kyiv abandons ultimatums and seeks common ground. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that for negotiations in Istanbul to be successful, Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia. He also cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle. This sets clear and significant preconditions from the Russian side. Colonelcassad and Оперативний ЗСУ also highlight Ryabkov's statements on conditions and topics for the Istanbul talks. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has received a signal from China supporting a 30-day ceasefire and that Ukraine fulfilled its promise not to strike the Russian parade on May 9th despite Russian propaganda. He emphasized his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war, necessitating the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. This outlines Ukraine's conditions for talks (ceasefire) and its expectation of increased sanctions if Russia remains unwilling to engage meaningfully. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations, a potential meeting with Putin in Turkey, Chinese support for a ceasefire, and the call for strong sanctions. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. He also said that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues and that possible direct talks could be a "wonderful meeting." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. Военкор Котенок reports that Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement, a point Russia has consistently rejected. This indicates the US's engagement in facilitating negotiations and differing ideas on post-conflict arrangements, including potential foreign military presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Басурин о главном quotes Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite making dismiss dismissive remarks about fearing Russians, which, while not directly about negotiations, reflects a hardline stance towards Russia. Zelenskyy stated that he will have a meeting with Erdoğan in Ankara on May 15th and will be waiting for a meeting with Putin, adding that if Putin doesn't come to Ankara, they will fly to Istanbul, emphasizing efforts to make the meeting happen. General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th, suggesting Trump and Erdoğan as moderators and noting that if "Putin" refuses to meet Zelenskyy directly, this can be taken into account. The Politburo is reportedly wary, wanting Russia to set the rules and "Putin" to appear at the end to accept "capitulation" without personally signing. Another phone call between Trump and "Putin" is planned to determine Russian positions on the Istanbul negotiations. РБК-Україна shares an interview with a political scientist discussing the likelihood of Putin's attendance at Istanbul talks and what Ukraine should do if he doesn't, suggesting it is less likely than Trump's visit and that Russian statements are vague. Colonelcassad comments on German Chancellor Merz's statements about potential EU sanctions against Russia if there is no real progress in settling the conflict, viewing it as a "bargaining stage" with deadlines being repeatedly shifted, implying a lack of serious intent or Russian disregard for the deadlines. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia," where he touches upon negotiations by contrasting voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine and commenting on foreign businesses and sanctions, framing it within Russia's economic stability and national interests. РБК-Україна reports that the head of the British Foreign Office, David Lammy, stated that Putin is evading peace negotiations with Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming Ukraine did not attack the Moscow parade at the request of China, who supports a ceasefire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Zelenskyy stating only he has the right to speak with Putin and is ready to meet in Turkey. ТАСС reports Ryabkov's statement that contacts between Russia and the US on Ukraine are not interrupted but not coordinated. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. ASTRA reports on Zelenskyy's claim that China and other countries asked Ukraine not to shell Russia from May 8-10 due to visiting leaders, and Ukraine agreed. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey, including Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin, Peskov's refusal to reveal the Russian delegation, the US expectation of the Russian delegation by Thursday morning, the potential attendance of Trump's envoys and Marco Rubio, and Trump's condition of Putin's presence. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements. Два майора provides an overview of the current situation regarding negotiations in Istanbul, noting the uncertainty about the Russian delegation and the potential presence of Trump and "the Supreme" (likely Putin).
- International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry. The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are scheduled to meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. German Chancellor Merz stated that if no progress is made on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, Germany will decide to strengthen sanctions against Russia, specifically targeting energy and financial markets. Alex Parker Returns and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 also report on Merz's statement. Два майора comments on Merz's statement with sarcasm and references to German economic issues. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны notes that Germany has reportedly extended its "deadline" for Russia's agreement to a ceasefire. This highlights the continued use of economic pressure as a tool to influence Russia and the potential for further escalation of sanctions. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy called for the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe if Russia is unwilling to end the war. РБК-Україна reports that defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK will meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made, potentially targeting the Central Bank or "shadow fleet," and that a relevant bill is supported by over 70 senators. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters. Два майора notes that the opinion of European "microfürrers" who want to create their own "European NATO" to wage war with Russia is not particularly concerning, although Germany, France, and England are directly expressing a desire to send troops to Ukraine.
- Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension.
- Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev provides a Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia, and cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle for negotiations in Istanbul. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations and a potential meeting with Putin. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Басурин о главном quotes Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite making dismissive remarks about fearing Russians, which, while not directly about negotiations, reflects a hardline stance towards Russia. Zelenskyy stated that he will have a meeting with Erdoğan in Ankara on May 15th and will be waiting for a meeting with Putin, adding that if Putin doesn't come to Ankara, they will fly to Istanbul, emphasizing efforts to make the meeting happen. General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th, suggesting Trump and Erdoğan as moderators and noting that if "Putin" refuses to meet Zelenskyy directly, this can be taken into account. The Politburo is reportedly wary, wanting Russia to set the rules and "Putin" to appear at the end to accept "capitulation" without personally signing. Another phone call between Trump and "Putin" is planned to determine Russian positions on the Istanbul negotiations. РБК-Україна shares an interview with a political scientist discussing the likelihood of Putin's attendance at Istanbul talks and what Ukraine should do if he doesn't. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia," where he touches upon negotiations by contrasting voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine and commenting on foreign businesses and sanctions. ТАСС reports that the head of the British Foreign Office, David Lammy, stated that Putin is evading peace negotiations with Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming Ukraine did not attack the Moscow parade at the request of China, who supports a ceasefire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Zelenskyy stating only he has the right to speak with Putin and is ready to meet in Turkey. ТАСС reports Ryabkov's statement that contacts between Russia and the US on Ukraine are not interrupted but not coordinated. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. ASTRA reports on Zelenskyy's claim that China and other countries asked Ukraine not to shell Russia from May 8-10 due to visiting leaders, and Ukraine agreed. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey, including Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin, Peskov's refusal to reveal the Russian delegation, the US expectation of the Russian delegation by Thursday morning, the potential attendance of Trump's envoys and Marco Rubio, and Trump's condition of Putin's presence. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements. Два майора provides an overview of the current situation regarding negotiations in Istanbul, noting the uncertainty about the Russian delegation and the potential presence of Trump and "the Supreme" (likely Putin), while also commenting on the opinion of European nations.
- Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on the expansion of services at the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv. Zelenskyy stated that he will have a meeting with Erdoğan in Ankara on May 15th and will be waiting for a meeting with Putin, adding that if Putin doesn't come to Ankara, they will fly to Istanbul, emphasizing efforts to make the meeting happen. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General, National Police, and SBU are conducting a large-scale operation to dismantle an interregional criminal organization involved in drug trafficking, with widespread searches, arrests, and seizures across almost all of Ukraine, including Kyiv City, Chernihiv, Sumy, Zhytomyr, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Odesa, Lviv, Черкаси, Кіровоград, Волин, Миколаїв, Тернопіль, Хмельницький, Kyiv Oblasts, and temporarily occupied territories in Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information about new books based on travelers' notes about Ukraine, highlighting historical and cultural aspects. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting military capabilities. РБК-Україна shares an interview with a political scientist discussing potential negotiation strategies for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming Ukraine did not attack the Moscow parade at the request of China, who supports a ceasefire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Zelenskyy stating only he has the right to speak with Putin and is ready to meet in Turkey. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey, including Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares information about a sergeant in the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade of Kharkiv, highlighting individual experiences and contributions.
- Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue. Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, which is presented as a political development. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights internal issues related to corruption. Reports regarding potential delays in hot water shutdowns due to cold weather are noted. Russian banks VTB and Sber are canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs, an internal economic measure. Colonelcassad's sharing of videos with captions portraying negative aspects of Ukrainian mobilization is an example of Russian information operations aimed at influencing perceptions about internal Ukrainian affairs. Police of Khabarovsk Krai highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. This is an official communication aimed at recognizing and likely promoting this internal security structure, which could have implications for law enforcement and internal control within Russia. The appointment of a decorated military veteran to a senior civilian role in education suggests a deliberate effort to integrate individuals with military experience into government leadership. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case against a former university rector is noted as an internal legal development. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, digitalizing military registration. ASTRA reports that a musician in St. Petersburg was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma has adopted a bill in the first reading allowing the confiscation of property from emigrants for actions "against the interests of Russia," viewing it as a tool against those criticizing the war. Север.Реалии also reports on the increase in convictions for "rehabilitation of Nazism" in Russia, framing it as an instrument of repression. Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment in Russia. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Два майора report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the leadership of countries imposing sanctions. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the Russian economy and the return of Western brands. ТАСС reports on the localization of a forest fire near the Vostochny Cosmodrome. ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants by the State Duma. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 has become inaccessible. ТАСС reports that VTB and Sber are canceling developer commissions on preferential mortgage programs. ТАСС reports on МВД warning about scam messages about "Госуслуги" being hacked. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa. Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlines questions addressable at military enlistment offices. НгП раZVедка provides a technical analysis of portable nebulizers in tactical medicine. ТАСС reports that the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is requesting the annulment of the sentence against General Ivan Popov. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding the next round of Russia-US negotiations on embassy work. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine's operation against a large criminal organization involved in drug trafficking, with searches and seizures across numerous oblasts, including those under Russian temporary occupation (Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson), highlights the continued presence of organized crime that can have implications for security and governance in these areas. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated, highlighting internal issues related to symbolism, propaganda, and the use of AI in information operations. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols, indicating continued information operations and attempts to garner support among the population. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia," where he comments on the Russian economy, foreign businesses, and sanctions. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video reporting the expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl, with space prepared for additional graves. ТАСС reports on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges. Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, framed as a safety concern for Russia. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has appealed the sentence of General Ivan Popov. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting reliance on volunteer support for acquiring critical equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, indicating continued defense industry activity and efforts to promote new weaponry. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is asking which cities are supporting their fundraising efforts, implying a connection between their military activities and public support across Russia.
- Turkey-Ukraine Relations: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that he will have a meeting with Erdoğan in Ankara on May 15th and will be waiting for a meeting with Putin, adding that if Putin doesn't come to Ankara, they will fly to Istanbul, emphasizing efforts to make the meeting happen. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements.
- Turkey-Central Asia Relations: Rybar's analysis on Turkey's space cooperation with Central Asia was reported previously.
- Ukraine-US Relations: ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on US approval for Germany to transfer Patriot and HIMARS missiles to Ukraine. General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made. Рыбарь shares analysis on potential Trump-Syrian leader negotiations. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US.
- Ceasefire Discussions: While diplomatic efforts persist, messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev, Russian Vice-Speaker of the Federation Council, states that negotiations with Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul could be more productive if Kyiv abandons ultimatums and seeks common ground. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that for negotiations in Istanbul to be successful, Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has received a signal from China supporting a 30-day ceasefire and that Ukraine fulfilled its promise not to strike the Russian parade on May 9th despite Russian propaganda. He emphasized his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul). General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th. The Politburo is reportedly wary. Another phone call between Trump and "Putin" is planned. РБК-Україна shares an interview with a political scientist discussing the likelihood of Putin's attendance at Istanbul talks and what Ukraine should do if he doesn't, suggesting it is less likely than Trump's visit and that Russian statements are vague. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire. ТАСС reports that the head of the British Foreign Office, David Lammy, stated that Putin is evading peace negotiations with Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming China supports a ceasefire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Zelenskyy stating only he has the right to speak with Putin and is ready to meet in Turkey. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. ASTRA reports on Zelenskyy's claim that China and other countries asked Ukraine not to shell Russia from May 8-10 due to visiting leaders, and Ukraine agreed. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements. Два майора provides an overview of the current situation regarding negotiations in Istanbul, noting the uncertainty about the Russian delegation and the potential presence of Trump and "the Supreme" (likely Putin).
- Germany-Ukraine Relations: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on US approval for Germany to transfer Patriot and HIMARS missiles to Ukraine.
- UK-Ukraine Relations: ТАСС reports British Naval Forces plan to track Russian submarines using hundreds of underwater drones and AI. РБК-Україна reports that the head of the British Foreign Office, David Lammy, stated that Putin is evading peace negotiations with Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia.
- Poland-Ukraine Relations: РБК-Україна reports that defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK will meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement.
- Russia-Turkey Relations: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that he will have a meeting with Erdoğan in Ankara on May 15th and will be waiting for a meeting with Putin, adding that if Putin doesn't come to Ankara, they will fly to Istanbul, emphasizing efforts to make the meeting happen. General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara.
- Russia-North Korea Relations: No significant new updates in the latest messages.
- Russia-Vietnam Relations: No significant new updates in the latest messages.
- Russia-India Relations: Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems in confronting Pakistan is a notable endorsement of Russian military technology. Colonelcassad is highlighting Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems.
- Russia-China Relations: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has received a signal from China supporting a 30-day ceasefire and that Ukraine fulfilled its promise not to strike the Russian parade on May 9th despite Russian propaganda. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming China supports a ceasefire and asked Ukraine not to attack the Moscow parade. ASTRA reports on Zelenskyy's claim that China and other countries asked Ukraine not to shell Russia from May 8-10 due to visiting leaders, and Ukraine agreed.
- Russia-Other Countries: No significant new updates in the latest messages.
- Ukraine-Pakistan Relations: No significant new updates in the latest messages.
- US Diplomatic Activity: ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on US approval for Germany to transfer Patriot and HIMARS missiles to Ukraine. General SVR reports that Donald Trump's team has proposed to the Russian "Politburo" a prompt meeting between Trump and "Putin" in Turkey on May 15th. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made. Рыбарь shares analysis on potential Trump-Syrian leader negotiations.
- Belarus-Russia Relations: ТАСС reports that the Russian government has agreed to the opening of Belarusian consulates in Kazan and Ufa. This is a minor diplomatic development reflecting continued close ties between the two countries.
- Russia-US Relations: ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. ТАСС reports that Putin stated Russia still supplies nuclear fuel to the US. ТАСС reports Ryabkov's statement that contacts between Russia and the US on Ukraine are not interrupted but not coordinated. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made, potentially targeting the Central Bank or "shadow fleet," and that a relevant bill is supported by over 70 senators. Рыбарь shares analysis on potential Trump-Syrian leader negotiations and mentions concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities, attributing the report to Rybar. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US.
- Economic Impact of Sanctions: ТАСС reports Putin stated that the EU economy is suffering due to anti-Russian sanctions. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made, potentially targeting the Central Bank or "shadow fleet." Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters.
- Internal Russian Issues - Legal and Judicial System: ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has appealed the sentence of General Ivan Popov. ТАСС reports on a bill submitted to the State Duma on a system for responding to animal attacks.
- Internal Russian Issues - Infrastructure: Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex, with complaints from nearby residents about shaking. While not directly military, this is a domestic event impacting civilians near the capital region.
- Internal Russian Issues - Humanitarian: Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter. This highlights domestic humanitarian concerns within Russia. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged civilian casualties in Sumy due to a Russian missile strike.
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
- Internal Security: Alleged involvement of Russian special services in a fire in Warsaw as accused by Poland. Reports of residents in Volgograd Oblast receiving threats after complaining about pollution. The contract for Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu has been extended for 5 years. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. ASTRA reports that a musician in St. Petersburg was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma has adopted a bill in the first reading allowing the confiscation of property from emigrants for actions "against the interests of Russia," viewing it as a tool against those criticizing the war. Север.Реалии also reports on the increase in convictions for "rehabilitation of Nazism" in Russia, framing it as an instrument of repression. Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. ТАСС reports on МВД warning about scam messages. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. ТАСС reports that the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is requesting the annulment of the sentence against General Ivan Popov. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine's operation against a large criminal organization involved in drug trafficking, with searches and seizures across numerous oblasts, including those under Russian temporary occupation (Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson), highlights the continued presence of organized crime that can have implications for security and governance in these areas. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols. ТАСС reports on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges. Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, framed as a safety concern for Russia. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has appealed the sentence of General Ivan Popov. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting reliance on volunteer support for acquiring critical equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, indicating continued defense industry activity. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is asking which cities are supporting their fundraising efforts, implying a connection between their military activities and public support across Russia.
- Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka in Donetsk Oblast. Russian artillery is actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personal mines on the Sumy direction. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones. Russian Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu's contract has been extended for 5 years. Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 5 Russian aviation strikes (10 guided bombs) in the Kursk direction and aviation strikes with KABs on Poltavka and Rusin Yar on the Pokrovsk direction as of 16:00. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ also reports enemy aviation strikes on Vysokoe and Huliaipole on the Huliaipole direction as of 16:00. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy aviation in Synelnykivskyi district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, likely indicating a potential for guided bomb strikes. STERNENKO reports a civilian in Vasyutinske, Donetsk Oblast, was injured by an aviation bomb. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction, claiming increased accuracy. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces conducted 45 aviation strikes, dropping 65 guided bombs over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, stating they have been tested in the "special military operation" zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing.
- Civilian Casualties: New civilian casualties reported in the Kursk and Bryansk border regions due to Ukrainian attacks. Басурин о главном reports 3 civilian deaths and 57 injuries (including 4 children) in the Donetsk People's Republic between April 28th and May 12th due to alleged Ukrainian aggression. ASTRA reports one civilian fatality in Zorya and two injuries in Dorozhne and Svitle (Donetsk Oblast) due to Russian shelling. ASTRA reports two injuries in Kherson Oblast (including a child) and two injuries in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian shelling. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka due to Ukrainian shelling. Два майора reports an 18-year-old man was injured in Shebekino due to a Ukrainian drone attack. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video reporting the expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl, with space prepared for additional graves. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks, specifically in Pokrovsk, Novoekonomichne, Illinivka, and Vasyutinske. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district due to Russian FPV drone and artillery attacks. Сергій Лисак also reports one civilian injured in the Novopavlivka community of Synelnykove district due to a kamikaze drone strike. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports civilian casualties and damage due to Russian missile and aviation strikes and shelling. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged civilian casualties in Sumy due to a Russian missile strike.
- Information Control and Censorship: The cancellation of theater performances in Sevastopol due to the director's alleged anti-Russian stance and the governor's justification highlight efforts to control cultural content and enforce patriotic narratives. Russian military bloggers are actively disseminating information to support pro-Russian narratives. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 has become inaccessible. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ is questioning claims about a Baltic Sea cable incident, framing it as a potential NATO disinformation campaign. WarGonzo is promoting the development of a television series based on real stories from the front. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia, framing it as selling out their homeland. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people, using offensive language and historical distortions. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration, framing it within a narrative of Russian historical pride and resilience. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine, framing it as a strategic issue. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. This is a clear example of information control.
- Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Adam Kadyrov was awarded a medal on the 25th anniversary of OMON "Akhmat-Grozny." Police of Khabarovsk Krai's post on the convoy service is also a form of commemoration and information operation. The appointment of a "Hero of Russia" to a prominent position in the Ministry of Education can also be seen as a form of military commemoration and information operation. Старше Эдды reports on the "Immortal Regiment" setting a record abroad. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a video reporting the expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl. Басурин о главном shares a video featuring an interview with a State Duma deputy discussing patriotic education in Crimea. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov. TASS shares a video of Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy Admiral Moiseev congratulating servicemen and veterans on Black Sea Fleet Day. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, highlighting their use in the "special military operation" zone, which serves as military-industrial propaganda.
- Public Support for the Military: Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment (drones and motorcycles). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is promoting t-shirts with nationalistic slogans. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter, linking it to the conflict. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is asking which cities are supporting their fundraising efforts, implying a connection between their military activities and public support across Russia.
- Logistical Challenges: ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade showing destruction of Russian logistics vehicles. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information about fuel sales and delivery in Ukraine, highlighting logistical aspects. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment and potentially logistical challenges in obtaining it.
- Political Dynamics: Adam Kadyrov being awarded a medal is a political act. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, are presented as a political outcome. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights ongoing issues related to corruption within the Russian political system. The appointment of a military veteran to a senior position in the Ministry of Education is a political decision. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case is a legal outcome with potential political implications. Север.Реалії reports that the State Duma has adopted a bill in the first reading allowing the confiscation of property from emigrants for actions "against the interests of Russia." Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements. ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants by the State Duma. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 has become inaccessible. Старше Эдды reports on the "Immortal Regiment" setting a record abroad. ТАСС reports that VTB and Sber are canceling developer commissions on preferential mortgage programs. ТАСС reports that the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is requesting the annulment of the sentence against General Ivan Popov. Басурин о главном quotes Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite making dismissive remarks about fearing Russians. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia." ТАСС reports on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges. Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, framed as a safety concern for Russia. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has appealed the sentence of General Ivan Popov. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. Два майора provides an overview of the current situation regarding negotiations in Istanbul, noting the uncertainty about the Russian delegation and the potential presence of Trump and "the Supreme" (likely Putin).
- Civilian Infrastructure and Utilities: A report suggests potential delays in hot water shutdown schedules in some regions due to cold weather. Russian banks VTB and Sber are canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs. ТАСС reports that VTB and Sber are canceling developer commissions on preferential mortgage programs. Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking. STERNENKO reports damage to homes and vehicles in Donetsk Oblast due to shelling and drone attacks. Сергій Лисак reports damage to infrastructure, a communal enterprise, a five-story building, a private house, and a power line in Nikopol district due to Russian attacks. Сергій Лисак also reports a damaged vehicle in the Novopavlivka community of Synelnykove district due to a kamikaze drone strike. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex, impacting nearby residents. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas and heating. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports a Russian missile strike on Sumy destroyed a Ukrainian repair base, showing photos of what appear to be tank road wheels.
- Digital Conscription System: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses.
- Military Recruitment: ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment in Russia. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's reporting on the Register of Summonses starting operation is directly related to military recruitment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlining questions addressable at military enlistment offices is indirectly related to the recruitment process. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements, where he contrasts voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, which can be used in military recruitment propaganda by highlighting the role of technology and the need for operators.
- Veteran Support: ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans by the State Duma. Colonelcassad also reports on the adoption of this law.
- Law Enforcement and Scams: ТАСС reports on МВД warning about scam messages about "Госуслуги" being hacked. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General, National Police, and SBU are conducting a large-scale operation to dismantle an interregional criminal organization involved in drug trafficking. Оперативний ЗСУ shares videos and photos related to this drug trafficking operation. ТАСС reports on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges. ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps."
- Internal Stability (Russia): Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, suggesting potential social and security concerns. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people, using offensive language and historical distortions. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration, framing it within a narrative of Russian historical pride and resilience. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine, framing it as a strategic issue with potential risks. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. This suggests potential internal instability and public dissatisfaction in border regions.
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
- Humanitarian Situation: Reports of residents in Volgograd Oblast receiving threats after complaining about pollution highlight internal social issues. ASTRA reports that residents of Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, are being denied social payments, hindering their ability to evacuate from areas under shelling. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in the Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter, linking it to the conflict. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged civilian casualties in Sumy due to a Russian missile strike.
- Military Support: Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment (drones and motorcycles). Ukrainian National Guard has reportedly received modernized MLRS "Grad" systems with German chassis and advanced features. The European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's defense industrial base. Ukraine highlights the importance of international support and is engaged in military communication exchanges with the Czech Republic. Ukrainian regional administration in Zaporizhzhia highlights efforts to provide veterans with priority medical check-ups and treatment. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting Ukrainian military capabilities likely supported by international technology. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Олександр Вілкул reports on sending significant aid from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," suggesting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting reliance on volunteer support for acquiring critical equipment.
- Cultural Support: A Russian serviceman's book is being promoted. The cancellation of theater performances in Sevastopol highlights the political control over cultural content.
- Veterans Support: Ukrainian regional administration in Zaporizhzhia highlights efforts to provide veterans with priority medical check-ups and treatment without queues. Олег Синєгубов, head of Kharkiv Oblast Administration, reports on the development of rehabilitation services for veterans. ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans by the State Duma. Colonelcassad also reports on the adoption of this law.
- Medical Infrastructure: Completion of a project to create large anti-radiation shelters with operating blocks in hospitals in Kryvyi Rih, funded by state and city budgets, and other medical infrastructure projects are underway. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on the expansion of services at the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv.
- Support for Families of Ukrainian Servicemembers: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reports on a meeting with families of soldiers from the 111th separate territorial defense brigade. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting held with families of servicemen from the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade in Kyiv.
- Youth Military-Patriotic Education (Russia): Игорь Артамонов, head of Lipetsk Oblast, shares photos and a message about a regional stage of the "Zarnitsa 2.0" military-patriotic game. Басурин о главном shares a video featuring an interview with a State Duma deputy discussing patriotic education in Crimea.
- Support for Civilians: ASTRA reports on civilian casualties in Donetsk, Kherson, and Kharkiv Oblasts due to Russian shelling. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking. ASTRA reports that residents of Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, are being denied social payments, hindering their ability to evacuate from areas under shelling. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in the Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. Сергій Лисак reports one civilian injured in Nikopol district and one civilian injured in Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged civilian casualties in Sumy due to a Russian missile strike.
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
- Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, utilizing artillery, guided bombs, and a high volume of drones. Claiming the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment and inflicting losses. Employing tactical aviation. Utilizing Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS. Russian MoD footage showcases these units in action. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Russian forces claim advances and territorial control, including the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and recent advances in Toretsk, Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Messages on Russian drones explicitly reject a truce. Updated operational maps provide visual details on Russian positions and claimed control. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personal mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. New reports indicate Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones with fiber-optic control systems. Russian military media is highlighting the role of women in the conflict. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports ongoing fierce battles in the village of Bogatyri, with Russian forces pushing in the western and northern parts and using drone support. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. Воин DV also reports Russian forces repelled three Ukrainian counterattacks in the Southern Donetsk direction (Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye) and inflicted losses. Военкор Котенок provides detailed tactical reports on the Pokrovsk direction (Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Yelyzavetivka, Hrodovka) and Alexandrovsk-Kalinovskoe direction (Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Pole, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka), claiming Russian advances and ongoing battles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the liberation of Malinovka (Ulyanovka) in the Donetsk People's Republic and the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war. Сливочный каприз also reports on the liberation of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) in DPR, confirming the presence of Russian forces and claiming a Russian advance of over 2.5 km. Ukrainian Office of the Prosecutor General is conducting searches and dismantling drug laboratories and storage facilities in Donetsk Oblast as part of a large-scale operation against a criminal organization. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. Военкор Котенок claims that units of the "Vostok" Group of Forces have advanced southwest of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv. Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems in confronting Pakistan is a notable endorsement of Russian military technology. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic by the Center Group of Forces. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Два майора shares a video discussing the effectiveness of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction, claiming increased accuracy. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. TASS shares a video of Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy Admiral Moiseev congratulating servicemen and veterans on Black Sea Fleet Day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day, with significant Russian attacks on multiple directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, stating they have been tested in the "special military operation" zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing.
- Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses. Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents (reported previously). Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces (reported previously). Utilizing maritime drones (reported previously). Seeking international support and military aid. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling. Claiming destruction of Russian equipment, including air defense systems and boats (reported previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs. Ukraine has excluded Lieutenant General Havryliuk from the Stavka. Ukraine is receiving significant military aid from the EU and the US (Patriot and HIMARS missiles). Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. Facing ongoing Russian drone attacks towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk is reportedly being targeted and destroyed by Russian FPV drones. Facing expanded Russian drone activity in Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling numerous Russian attacks on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions as of 16:00. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS. Воин DV and Colonelcassad report the capture of two Ukrainian prisoners of war in Malinovka (Ulyanovka). РБК-Україна reports an explosion was heard in Kharkiv. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video claiming that EOD specialists cleared mines in the Kharkiv direction that were laid by enemy UAVs at night, suggesting Ukrainian forces are employing mine-laying tactics using drones. Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, according to Russian sources. STERNENKO reports six civilians injured in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting their capability for deep strikes. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, demonstrating the integration of drone and direct fire capabilities. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces after capture, which could have implications for ongoing prisoner of war exchanges and humanitarian concerns. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling 128 Russian attacks across all fronts over the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of the "Taifun" unmanned systems unit claiming to destroy occupiers on the Pokrovsk direction. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares information about a sergeant in the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade of Kharkiv, highlighting their service. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing.
- Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD): Police of Khabarovsk Krai's post on the convoy service highlights the historical and current role of this internal security structure. While not a frontline military force, this service is responsible for the escort and security of detainees and prisoners, which has potential relevance in the context of the conflict, particularly regarding prisoners of war or individuals detained in occupied territories or within Russia.
- Foreign Fighters: Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation.
- Equipment and Tactics: Use of various types of drones (strike, reconnaissance, FPV, "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, quadcopters) by both sides. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERNENKO highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy is using a large amount of equipment in assaults on the Novopavlivka direction. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by FPV interceptors in the South. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, detailing tactical movements and contested areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful tactical operations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 84 enemy attacks as of 16:00 across multiple directions. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group, capable of carrying up to 7 kg. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa, showcasing a variety of NATO-supplied vehicles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction, potentially related to disciplinary issues or refusal to fight. The Russian Ministry of Defense has released a video showing EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs at night, highlighting the use of mines and counter-mine tactics. Олег Синєгубов reports a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in the Kholodnohirskyi district of Kharkiv, indicating the specific use of this type of UAV. Военкор Котенок claims that units of the "Vostok" Group of Forces have advanced southwest of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction, suggesting a continued reliance on infantry and possibly armored assaults in this area. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators, particularly from Western countries, citing dissatisfaction with Trump's policies as a driver. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated, highlighting the complexities of symbolism, propaganda, and the use of AI in military messaging. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols, indicating continued information operations and attempts to garner support. STERNENKO shares a video from the 71st Separate Jaeger Brigade claiming to have destroyed 10 Russian personnel on the Novopavlivka direction, likely using combined tactics. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles, highlighting the use of standoff weapons. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian positions on the Southern Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming successful Russian drone strikes on the Soledar direction. MoD Russia and Старше Эдды report the liberation of Myroliubivka in Donetsk People's Republic. Mash на Донбассе shares a video featuring a Russian serviceman from the Pokrovsk direction discussing the capture of Kotlyarovka, claiming it was achieved with 12 men on 6 motorcycles. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction, demonstrating the integration of drone and direct fire capabilities. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators on the Donetsk Direction, with a list of alleged targets including various Ukrainian equipment and positions. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier, illustrating a specific FPV drone engagement. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20), showcasing successful air defense tactics. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction. Сергій Лисак reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators. TASS reports, citing "siloviki", that Ukrainian units are suffering colossal losses in the areas of Bilovody, Loknya, and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, and that Ukrainian reserves are regularly destroyed. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Олександр Вілкул reports on significant aid sent from Kryvyi Rih to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard, including pickups, charging stations, and equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian offensive actions on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, and Kursk directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports repelling Russian attacks on the Kharkiv, Kupyansk, Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports claimed Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction (324 personnel neutralized, 159 irrecoverably) and claimed destruction or damage of various Russian equipment. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares photos of an artillery piece firing.
- Russian Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment in Russia. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's reporting on the Register of Summonses starting operation is directly related to military recruitment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlining questions addressable at military enlistment offices is indirectly related to the recruitment process. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements, where he contrasts voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, which can be used in military recruitment propaganda by highlighting the role of technology and the need for operators.
- Russian Logistics: ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade showing destruction of Russian logistics vehicles. Оперативний ЗСУ shares information about fuel sales and delivery in Ukraine, highlighting logistical aspects. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the ongoing need for equipment and potentially logistical challenges in obtaining it.
- Internal Stability (Russia): Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, suggesting potential social and security concerns. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia, framing it as selling out their homeland. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people, using offensive language and historical distortions. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration, framing it within a narrative of Russian historical pride and resilience. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine, framing it as a strategic issue with potential risks. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. This suggests potential internal instability and public dissatisfaction in border regions.
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
- The continued high tempo of combat engagements across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscores the strategic importance of this area and indicates Russia's continued commitment to offensive operations aimed at territorial gains. The detailed reports from both Ukrainian and Russian sources provide granular information on the areas of most intense fighting and claimed advances, which is critical for understanding the evolving front lines and allocating resources strategically. Russian claims of liberating Malinovka (Ulyanovka) and Myroliubivka and the capture of Ukrainian POWs, if verified, represent tangible tactical gains that contribute to Russia's strategic objectives in the Donbas. Военкор Котенок's claim of Russian advances south-west of Bogatyr towards Otradnoe in the Novopavlivka direction suggests a focus on enveloping Ukrainian positions, which is a key tactical and potentially strategic maneuver to gain control of key settlements. STERNENKO reporting six civilian injuries in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks highlights the continued human cost of the conflict in areas of intense fighting. Mash на Донбассе's report on the capture of Kotlyarovka with a small force on motorcycles and the claims of worsening Ukrainian positions in Pokrovsk indicate a potential strategic shift in the tempo or methods of Russian advance in this area, aiming for deeper penetration and potential encirclement. Два майора's discussion on the increased accuracy of Russian FAB bombs on the Krasnyi Lyman direction suggests an improvement in Russian aerial strike capabilities, which could have strategic implications for their ability to target Ukrainian positions and infrastructure in that area. The reported expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl, Russia, indicates continued casualties among Russian forces, which has strategic implications for manpower availability and public support in the long term. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, highlighting Ukrainian capabilities in destroying Russian equipment in this key area. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators, aiming to demonstrate Russian effectiveness against NATO-supplied equipment in areas like the Konstantinovka direction, which is strategically significant as it is a key supply route. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Russian military bloggers are reporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces are forming a new 16th Army Corps, which, if accurate, would be a significant strategic development indicating Ukraine's preparations for sustained or future large-scale operations. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day, indicating extremely high intensity. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's detailed report on Russian offensive actions and repelled attacks on multiple directions provides a comprehensive strategic overview of the current battlefield. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reporting preliminary Russian losses and claimed destruction of equipment on the Pokrovsk direction suggests that despite intense attacks, Ukrainian forces are inflicting significant damage, which is a strategic factor. Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video of the "Taifun" unmanned systems unit claiming to destroy occupiers on the Pokrovsk direction highlights the tactical use of specialized drone units in key areas.
- The persistent Russian activity in the Kursk border region, including heavy shelling and aviation strikes, suggests continued efforts to pressure Ukrainian defenses, potentially fix Ukrainian forces in this area, or conduct shaping operations for potential future actions. The significant number of artillery shellings reported by the Ukrainian General Staff highlights the intensity of this pressure. New reports of civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks highlight the reciprocal nature of border region conflict and its impact on civilian populations, which has strategic implications for both sides' actions and the information environment. ASTRA's report on residents of Khomutovka being denied social payments despite shelling highlights a local issue with potential strategic implications for civilian morale and the state's ability to protect and support its population in border areas. The Russian Ministry of Defense releasing footage of EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs, highlights the strategic importance of mine warfare and counter-mine operations in shaping the battlefield and controlling movement in border areas. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation aimed at portraying foreign involvement and potentially justifying Russian actions in border regions. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. This suggests potential strategic challenges for Russia in managing the impact of the conflict on its own territory and population.
- The divergent stances on the sequencing of a ceasefire and negotiations between Ukraine/Western partners and Russia remain a fundamental strategic impasse. Russia's explicit preconditions, including the recognition of annexed territories, are a major hurdle. Ukraine's emphasis on a ceasefire first and its readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey, while calling for strong sanctions if Russia is unwilling to engage, outline its strategic approach to a potential diplomatic resolution. The involvement of various international actors, including the US and Germany, in discussing negotiation frameworks and sanctions underscores the international dimension of the conflict and the differing priorities of the involved parties. Konstantin Kosachev's commentary on potential negotiations in Istanbul provides a specific Russian perspective on the conditions required for meaningful engagement, which is strategically relevant for understanding potential avenues and obstacles for de-escalation. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's statements regarding his readiness to meet with Putin, while acknowledging the decree prohibiting negotiations, further clarify Ukraine's diplomatic position and its willingness to engage at the highest level under certain conditions, which is a key strategic signal. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov's statements on planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations suggest ongoing high-level communication between the two major powers, which could have strategic implications for broader diplomatic efforts related to the conflict. Басурин о главном quoting Lithuanian politician Dalia Grybauskaite's dismissive remarks about fearing Russia, while framed within a Russian narrative, highlights a perspective from a NATO member state that could influence strategic calculations regarding deterrence and response to Russian actions. Zelenskyy's stated plan to meet Erdoğan in Ankara and potentially Putin in Istanbul, and Trump's team's reported proposal for a prompt Trump-"Putin" meeting in Turkey, indicate a potential intensification of high-level diplomatic efforts, although with clear divergences in proposed formats and preconditions. The reported wariness of the Russian "Politburo" regarding Trump's proposal highlights internal Russian strategic considerations and preferences for shaping any negotiation process. РБК-Україна sharing an interview with a political scientist discussing the likelihood of Putin's attendance at Istanbul talks and what Ukraine should do if he doesn't provides insight into Ukrainian analytical perspectives on diplomatic options and contingency planning. Colonelcassad's commentary on German Chancellor Merz's statements about potential EU sanctions, viewing it as a "bargaining stage" with shifting deadlines, reflects a cynical view within Russia regarding the sincerity of Western diplomatic pressure. РБК-Україна reporting that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia," where he touches upon negotiations by contrasting voluntary recruitment in Russia with forced mobilization in Ukraine and commenting on foreign businesses and sanctions. ТАСС reports that the head of the British Foreign Office, David Lammy, stated that Putin is evading peace negotiations with Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares information from Zelenskyy claiming Ukraine did not attack the Moscow parade at the request of China, who supports a ceasefire. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video of Zelenskyy stating only he has the right to speak with Putin and is ready to meet in Turkey. ТАСС reports Ryabkov's statement that contacts between Russia and the US on Ukraine are not interrupted but not coordinated. ТАСС reports Trump stated Rubio and other US representatives will fly to the talks on Ukraine in Istanbul. ASTRA reports on Zelenskyy's claim that China and other countries asked Ukraine not to shell Russia from May 8-10 due to visiting leaders, and Ukraine agreed. STERNENKO reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara, citing the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Zelenskyy has departed for Ankara. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides a summary of what is known about the negotiations in Turkey, including Zelenskyy's readiness to meet Putin, Peskov's refusal to reveal the Russian delegation, the US expectation of the Russian delegation by Thursday morning, the potential attendance of Trump's envoys and Marco Rubio, and Trump's condition of Putin's presence. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Suspilne has refuted the information about Zelenskyy's departure for Ankara and that the Ukrainian embassy in Turkey did not make such statements. Два майора provides an overview of the current situation regarding negotiations in Istanbul, noting the uncertainty about the Russian delegation and the potential presence of Trump and "the Supreme" (likely Putin), while also commenting on the opinion of European nations, suggesting a complex diplomatic environment.
- The large-scale Russian drone attacks and the expansion of their operational area to include Kirovohrad and Vinnytsia Oblasts suggest a strategic shift to target a wider range of infrastructure or create pressure in new areas further west. This requires Ukraine to adapt its air defense strategies and potentially disperse assets. The development of new Russian drone technology, such as the "Vobla" drone, indicates continued investment in asymmetric warfare capabilities. Ukraine's success in downing Russian reconnaissance drones and destroying valuable military assets like SAM and MLRS systems highlights its counter-capabilities in this domain. The expansion of Russian drone activity to Kirovohrad and Vinnytsia Oblasts is a significant strategic development, demonstrating Russia's ability to project power and create pressure across a wider area of Ukraine, likely targeting critical infrastructure or logistics. Олег Синєгубов reporting a Russian "Molniya" type UAV strike in Kharkiv confirms the continued use of specific UAV types in targeted attacks. The Russian Ministry of Defense releasing footage of EOD specialists clearing mines in the Kharkiv direction, claiming they were laid by enemy UAVs, highlights the strategic importance of mine warfare and counter-mine operations in shaping the battlefield and controlling movement. Russian sources claiming Ukrainian forces are increasingly recruiting foreign gamers as drone operators from Western countries, potentially due to dissatisfaction with Trump's policies, introduces a new dimension to strategic considerations regarding personnel recruitment, potential sources of foreign assistance for Ukraine, and the impact of political dynamics in Western countries on the conflict. STERNENKO reporting a civilian injured in Illinivka, Donetsk Oblast, due to a drone highlights the civilian impact of drone warfare. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukraine's HUR showcasing the launch of long-range drones and missiles highlights Ukraine's capability for deep strikes, which is a strategic asset for targeting Russian rear areas and infrastructure. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video of the first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher on the Novopavlivka direction demonstrates tactical innovation and the integration of drone technology with direct fire capabilities, potentially offering new tactical options for infantry units. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming successful destruction of Ukrainian personnel and equipment using drones in Donetsk and Soledar directions, which supports the narrative of Russian effectiveness in drone warfare. Colonelcassad sharing a video claiming to show the work of "Rubikon" drone operators and a list of alleged targets provides detailed information on the types of Ukrainian assets being targeted by Russian drones, which is valuable for understanding Russian priorities in the drone war. Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video claiming Ukrainian forces used an FPV drone to hit a vehicle and then finish off a Russian soldier illustrates a specific FPV drone engagement and its lethal outcome, highlighting the close-quarters and often brutal nature of drone combat. STERNENKO sharing a video claiming Ukrainian forces shot down three Russian Zala UAVs (including a Zala Z-20) showcases successful Ukrainian air defense tactics against reconnaissance and target acquisition drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 fundraising for drone detectors highlights the perceived threat from Ukrainian drones and the need for countermeasures. STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction, which indicates the appearance of new robotic systems on the battlefield. Сергій Лисак reporting Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery indicates the continued tactical use of these systems in targeted strikes against civilian and potentially military targets in these areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of enemy strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports the lifting of the threat of strike UAVs for Kharkiv Oblast. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from the Third Assault Brigade claiming successful strikes and destruction of Russian vehicles and a ground robotic platform on the Donetsk direction, likely utilizing FPV drones. Colonelcassad shares a video and photo claiming the destruction of various Western vehicles by Russian "Rubikon" drone operators, highlighting the role of drones in targeting key equipment. Два майора reports on Russian military blogger claims that foreign gamers from Western countries are massively arriving in Ukraine to work as drone operators in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and includes a photo claiming to be a Ukrainian UAV operator in Kursk Oblast from August 2025, which is likely an information operation aimed at portraying foreign involvement and potentially justifying Russian actions. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint and a communication tower with EW equipment in Chernihiv Oblast, likely through drone strikes. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point in Sumy Oblast, highlighting the strategic targeting of Ukrainian drone infrastructure. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports Russian forces used 1156 kamikaze drones over the past day, indicating a very high volume of drone attacks. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the claimed destruction or damage of 12 Russian UAVs, a UAV control point, and five UAV antennas on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting successful Ukrainian counter-drone efforts in this key area. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing Russian drone operators deflecting attacks by Ukrainian unmanned surface vessels ("bezэkipazhnykh katerov") belonging to the "Vosmerka" squad, indicating naval drone activity and Russian countermeasures. РБК-Україна shares a video showcasing Ukrainian forces intercepting various Russian drones, including "Molniya-2", Zala Z-16, Supercam S350, and "Orlan-10", demonstrating Ukrainian air defense capabilities against a range of Russian UAVs. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting the strategic importance of acquiring and enhancing drone capabilities.
- Internal Russian issues, such as the digitalization of military registration, measures to support veterans, the crackdown on dissent, and political appointments, while domestic, can have strategic implications. The digital conscription system could streamline mobilization efforts, potentially increasing the availability of personnel for the conflict. Measures to support veterans are likely aimed at maintaining morale and public support. The suppression of dissent and control of information are strategic efforts to maintain domestic stability and control the narrative surrounding the conflict. The appointment of a military veteran to a senior education role suggests a strategic effort to integrate military values into civilian life and education. The exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa is a clear strategic information operation aimed at boosting domestic morale, highlighting military successes, and potentially influencing international perceptions. The request to annul the sentence against General Ivan Popov from the Zaporizhzhia Oblast administration highlights internal legal processes with potential political and strategic implications. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine's operation against a large criminal organization involved in drug trafficking, with searches and seizures across numerous oblasts, including those under Russian temporary occupation (Crimea, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson), highlights the continued presence of organized crime that can have implications for security and governance in these areas. A controversial mural in the Moscow Oblast, depicting a soldier, was painted over following local complaints that the image was also used by Ukrainian forces, including the Azov battalion, and was allegedly AI-generated, highlighting internal Russian political and information operation dynamics, including controversies related to symbolism, propaganda, and the use of AI. Russian military bloggers are promoting t-shirts with nationalistic or potentially provocative slogans and symbols, indicating continued information operations and attempts to garner support among the population. Басурин о главном shares a video of Russian President Putin's statements during a meeting with "Business Russia," which are significant political communications providing insights into the Russian government's perspective on the economy, sanctions, and the conflict. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники sharing a video reporting the expansion of a military memorial cemetery in Yaroslavl, with space prepared for additional graves, provides a visual representation of the human cost of the conflict within Russia, which could have strategic implications for public morale and support for the war. ТАСС reporting on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges highlights ongoing efforts to address corruption within Russia, which could indirectly impact efficiency and resource allocation. Старше Эдды raises concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, framed as a safety concern for Russia. ASTRA reports that a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for allegedly supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to the "Russian Volunteer Corps." ASTRA reports a court doubled the prison sentence for a 21-year-old resident of Ulan-Ude for supporting "Legion "Freedom of Russia"" and transferring funds to "Russian Volunteer Corps." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast has appealed the sentence of General Ivan Popov. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine. ASTRA reports on a Russian journalist deleting posts about the difficult situation of residents in Archangelskoye village, Shebekinsky district, highlighting lack of gas, heating, inability to evacuate, and alleged issues with local authorities and access to medical care. This suggests potential strategic challenges for Russia in managing the impact of the conflict on its own territory and population, and attempts at information control. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video promoting a new tactical AK belt from "Moskit," highlighting ongoing production and availability of military equipment. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and an AvengeAngel signal amplifier, highlighting reliance on volunteer support for equipment, which could indicate limitations in state provision. Colonelcassad reports on the exhibition of new Russian RPL-7 and RPL-20 light machine guns by Kalashnikov Concern, indicating continued defense industry activity and efforts to modernize small arms. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is asking which cities are supporting their fundraising efforts, implying a connection between their military activities and public support across Russia. ТАСС reports on a bill submitted to the State Duma on a system for responding to animal attacks, indicating a focus on domestic issues, albeit minor ones, which could have indirect implications for public well-being and resource allocation.
- The report on alleged war crimes and human rights abuses from both sides highlights the ongoing human cost of the conflict and the importance of adhering to international humanitarian law. Documenting and investigating these allegations are strategically important for accountability and international support. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of Russian soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction, if confirmed, would highlight potential internal disciplinary issues or human rights abuses within the Russian military, which has strategic implications for morale and unit cohesion. STERNENKO reporting six civilian injuries in Donetsk Oblast due to Russian shelling and drone attacks underscores the ongoing human cost of the conflict and potential violations of international humanitarian law. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reporting on a meeting with families of servicemen from the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade in Kyiv, discussing the search for and return of prisoners and missing personnel, highlights the ongoing humanitarian effort to address the consequences of the conflict. Сергій Лисак reporting civilian injuries in Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community due to Russian attacks further emphasizes the ongoing impact on civilians and the potential for violations of international humanitarian law. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces after capture. While this is a Russian information operation, it highlights the differing narratives and allegations surrounding the treatment of prisoners of war by both sides and has implications for humanitarian concerns and potential prisoner exchanges.
- The German threat of escalating sanctions against Russia if there is no progress on a ceasefire demonstrates the continued use of economic pressure as a strategic tool to influence Russia's actions. The scheduled meeting of European defense ministers to coordinate support for Ukraine underscores the ongoing strategic commitment of key European partners to providing military aid and coordinating their efforts, which is crucial for Ukraine's ability to continue the conflict. РБК-Україна reporting that the spokesperson for the European Commission stated that the EU expects Putin's participation in negotiations with Zelenskyy and is warning of new sanctions if Russia does not decide on a ceasefire reinforces the strategic linkage between diplomatic engagement and economic consequences. Colonelcassad's commentary on German Chancellor Merz's statements about potential EU sanctions, viewing it as a "bargaining stage" with shifting deadlines, reflects a Russian perspective on the effectiveness and sincerity of Western economic pressure. РБК-Україна reports that US Special Envoy to Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, stated that Putin has been warned that Russia faces the harshest sanctions if no progress is made, potentially targeting the Central Bank or "shadow fleet," and that a relevant bill is supported by over 70 senators, underscoring the strategic use of potential economic pressure to influence Russia. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Europe is waiting for a possible meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions, citing Reuters, highlighting the linkage between diplomatic outcomes and potential future economic pressure. Два майора notes that the opinion of European "microfürrers" who want to create their own "European NATO" to wage war with Russia is not particularly concerning, although Germany, France, and England are directly expressing a desire to send troops to Ukraine, indicating a strategic consideration of potential European military involvement.
- The report on the localization of the forest fire near the Vostochny Cosmodrome highlights the importance of protecting strategic infrastructure within Russia from both natural and potentially man-made threats.
- The ongoing efforts by the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War to address the search and return of prisoners and missing personnel are strategically important for maintaining morale and public trust in Ukraine. The capture of Ukrainian POWs by Russian forces in Malinovka (Ulyanovka) adds to the population of individuals requiring support and negotiation for exchange, which is a continuous strategic consideration. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reporting on a meeting held with families of servicemen from the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade in Kyiv, discussing the search for and return of prisoners and missing personnel, highlights the ongoing humanitarian and strategic importance of addressing this issue for affected families and the military. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces after capture, which highlights the ongoing humanitarian issue of prisoners of war and the differing narratives surrounding their treatment by both sides.
- The report on a regional military-patriotic game in Russia for children underscores a strategic focus on shaping the values and perspectives of the younger generation, potentially preparing them for future military service or aligning them with state ideology. Басурин о главном shares a video featuring an interview with a State Duma deputy discussing patriotic education in Crimea, reinforcing the strategic importance of this effort in annexed territories.
- The inaccessibility of an independent Russian media channel in Telegram suggests continued censorship and pressure on independent voices within Russia, which is strategically relevant for understanding the information landscape and the challenges faced by those providing alternative narratives.
- The reported modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western components suggests Ukraine's strategic focus on enhancing the capabilities of its existing artillery systems, which is crucial for providing fire support and countering Russian advances. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components.
- The disruption to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking activities, while seemingly minor, highlights the fragility of civilian infrastructure in conflict-affected areas and the potential for disruptions to impact the civilian population and potentially hinder information flow, which has indirect strategic implications.
- The expansion of services at the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv to include all citizens, particularly those injured in the conflict, is a strategic effort to bolster healthcare capacity and provide necessary medical and rehabilitative support to those affected by the war.
- Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems in confronting Pakistan is a significant development that has strategic implications for the global arms market, perceptions of Russian military technology, and the geopolitical balance in South Asia. Colonelcassad highlighting Indian Prime Minister Modi's praise for Russian S-400 systems is likely an information operation to promote Russian military exports and technology.
- The reported US-Saudi Arabian defense purchases secured by Donald Trump, while unrelated to the Ukraine conflict, demonstrate a significant shift in US foreign policy and military sales, which could have broader strategic implications for global power dynamics and resource allocation in the defense industry. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on these investment commitments and defense purchases highlights a significant international economic and defense development.
- The UK's intention to track Russian submarines using hundreds of underwater drones and AI represents a strategic advancement in anti-submarine warfare capabilities and highlights the ongoing technological competition in the maritime domain.
- The large-scale operation by Ukraine's Office of the Prosecutor General, National Police, and SBU to dismantle an interregional criminal organization involved in drug trafficking is strategically important for combating illicit financing that could potentially support hostile activities, improving internal security, and establishing governance and security in liberated or contested territories. Оперативний ЗСU sharing videos and photos related to this operation provides visual evidence of the scale and nature of this strategic effort against organized crime.
- ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing information about new books based on travelers' notes about Ukraine highlights efforts to preserve and promote Ukrainian history and culture, which is strategically important for national identity and resilience during the conflict.
- Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ questioning claims about a Baltic Sea cable incident, framing it as a potential NATO disinformation campaign, indicates ongoing information warfare efforts to sow doubt and promote alternative narratives regarding incidents involving critical infrastructure.
- Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 fundraising for equipment, including motorcycles and drone detectors, highlights the reliance on public support for specific equipment needs in the Russian military and the perceived threat from Ukrainian drones.
- WarGonzo promoting the development of a television series based on real stories from the front highlights a concerted effort by Russia to shape the historical narrative of the conflict through popular media, which is a long-term strategic information operation.
- РБК-Україна sharing an interview with a political scientist discussing potential negotiation strategies for Ukraine if Putin does not attend talks in Istanbul provides insight into Ukrainian analytical perspectives on diplomatic options and contingency planning.
- ТАСС reporting on the detention of the former Minister of Transport of Buryatia on corruption charges highlights internal issues within Russia that could have implications for governance and resource allocation.
- ТАСС reporting that Putin stated Russia still supplies nuclear fuel to the US highlights a specific area of continued economic relationship despite broader tensions, which could have strategic implications for energy markets and international dependencies.
- ТАСС reporting that Putin stated that the EU economy is suffering due to anti-Russian sanctions reflects a key narrative promoted by Russia regarding the impact of international pressure.
- Старше Эдды raising concerns about the inability of foreign minors to enroll in Russian schools due to documentation and language issues, framed as a safety concern for Russia, could have implications for internal stability and social dynamics.
- Russian military bloggers are sharing videos claiming to show Russian air defense (Igla MANPADS) destroying targets on the Soledar direction, highlighting a specific air defense system in action and contributing to the narrative of Russian effectiveness.
- STERNENKO shares a video from the 1st Motorized Infantry Battalion of the 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade claiming to have destroyed a Russian Impuls-M ground robotic platform with a new combat module on the Donetsk direction, which indicates the appearance of new robotic systems on the battlefield. Сергій Лисак reporting Russian attacks on Nikopol district and Novopavlivka community using FPV drones, a kamikaze drone, and artillery, resulting in civilian injuries and damage to infrastructure, underscores the strategic objective of creating pressure on Ukrainian controlled territories in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and the ongoing impact on the civilian population. The type of weapons used (drones and artillery) indicates a mix of asymmetric and conventional tactics. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ reports on Finland's decision to change its rail gauge, starting from the north, with NATO support, which is a strategic infrastructure development with potential military implications for NATO interoperability and hindering Russian logistics. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on the planting of a tree in honor of missing military personnel in Tambov, highlighting the human cost of the conflict within Russia and efforts to commemorate those lost, which has strategic implications for public morale and support. Новости Москвы shares a video of the demolition of the Snezhe.Com complex, impacting nearby residents, which is a domestic issue potentially highlighting the impact of urban development or other factors on civilian life in Russia, with indirect strategic implications for governance and resource allocation. Старше Эдды shares a video appealing for donations for a animal shelter, highlighting domestic humanitarian concerns within Russia, which could indirectly reflect on the state's capacity to address all civilian needs amidst the conflict. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of living in the UK and those who left Russia, framing it as selling out their homeland, which is an information operation aimed at discrediting those who have left Russia. Alex Parker Returns shares an image and text critical of Jewish people, using offensive language and historical distortions, which is a form of propaganda likely aimed at promoting antisemitic narratives. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo and text of an Immortal Regiment demonstration, framing it within a narrative of Russian historical pride and resilience, which is a strategic information operation aimed at consolidating domestic support. Рыбарь shares analysis on potential Trump-Syrian leader negotiations, which is a geopolitical development outside of Ukraine but relevant to broader US foreign policy. Два майора shares a report from Rybar on concerns about the lack of control over Ukrainian nuclear fuel and facilities and critiques the US and Ukraine, framing it as a strategic issue with potential risks, which is a narrative aimed at highlighting perceived threats from Ukraine and its Western partners and potentially justifying Russian actions related to nuclear facilities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a total of 128 combat engagements across all fronts over the past day, indicating extremely high intensity, which is a major strategic factor. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's detailed report on Russian offensive actions and repelled attacks on multiple directions provides a comprehensive strategic overview of the current battlefield and highlights key areas of contestation. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reporting preliminary Russian losses and claimed destruction of equipment on the Pokrovsk direction suggests that despite intense attacks, Ukrainian forces are inflicting significant damage, which is a strategic factor. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ provides detailed statistics on Russian aviation strikes, missile strikes, kamikaze drones, and shellings, offering a comprehensive overview of the scale and nature of Russian military actions. ТАСС reporting that the Russian government has agreed to the opening of Belarusian consulates in Kazan and Ufa is a minor diplomatic development but reflects ongoing strategic alignment between Russia and Belarus.
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.