Sitrep 2025-05-14 18:28:45

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 14, 2025, 18:26 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, with Russia claiming tactical advances and Ukraine reporting numerous repelled assaults. Aerial and drone activity remains a significant factor across multiple fronts, with continued reports of Russian aerial strikes, guided aerial bomb usage, and widespread drone use by both sides. Ukraine is actively working to counter these threats and conduct its own targeted strikes. Diplomatic discussions regarding potential negotiations in Turkey continue, with statements from both Ukrainian and Russian officials, although the intensity of fighting and explicit Russian messaging ("There will be no truce!") suggest a diplomatic breakthrough is not imminent. Internal Russian issues, including court cases, domestic incidents, and military policy changes, are being reported. Discussions around potential visits of international figures to Ukraine are also ongoing. New information confirms increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region due to military exercises in Lithuania. Reports of armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, have emerged, leading to airport disruptions. Allegations of Russian espionage and sabotage activities in the UK have resulted in convictions. There are unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the border with Ukraine, which is being leveraged in Russian information operations. Ukraine has reported the detention of two individuals suspected of acting as agents for the FSB, providing intelligence on Ukrainian military locations in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. Ukraine is highlighting continued international support for military aid and is showcasing internal efforts related to military training and veteran support. Russia has officially claimed the liberation of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. Russia's Ministry of Defense has released its daily briefing claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Ukrainian sources are reporting the successful downing of several Russian officers. Reports indicate continued shelling and a challenging environment in the Kursk border region from the perspective of local residents. Ukraine is highlighting international initiatives for its recovery. Internal Russian discussions and commentary on military strategy and public opinion are being observed. Russia is reinforcing cultural and historical narratives. Reports of illegal activities and law enforcement actions within Russia continue. Information operations remain a significant aspect of the conflict.

Significant new updates from the latest messages include:

Increased Fatalities in Sumy: The number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian missile strike has risen to three. May 15th has been declared a day of mourning in the Sumy community.
Polish Court Blocks Border Protest: An appeals court in Lublin, Poland, has upheld a decision to prohibit farmers from blocking the Dorohusk border crossing with Ukraine.
New Ukrainian Ambassador to Turkey Appointed: President Zelenskyy has appointed Nariman Dzhelyalov as the new Ambassador of Ukraine to Turkey amidst ongoing discussions about potential negotiations in Istanbul.
Russian Court Upholds Sentence for "Justifying Terrorism": A Russian appeal court has upheld a six-year prison sentence against Alexander Plotnikov for a Telegram comment deemed to "justify terrorism."
Alleged Naval Incident in the Baltic Sea: Russian sources report an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland where Estonian naval and NATO air assets (including a Polish MiG-29) attempted to intercept a civilian tanker heading to a Russian port. Russian sources claim the tanker refused to change course and resisted attempts to board, and that the arrival of a Russian Su-35 fighter jet caused the Estonian and NATO forces to cease their actions. Estonia has reportedly accused Russia of violating its airspace with a Su-35 and issued a protest note.
Ukraine Seeks Intelligence from Occupied Territories: Ukrainian sources are issuing a call for citizens in temporarily occupied territories to provide intelligence on the location and movement of Russian personnel and equipment, coordinates of military objects, and fuel/military supply depots, offering anonymity.
Russia Showcases Captured British Vehicle: Russian sources are showcasing photos of a captured British Coyote TSV (Tactical Support Vehicle), reportedly seized on the Avdiivka direction, highlighting captured Western equipment.
Russian Military Bloggers Discuss Counter-Drone Tactics and Equipment: Russian military bloggers are discussing and showcasing efforts to counter Ukrainian drones, including reports of using "anti-aircraft drones," capturing intact Ukrainian drones for reprogramming, and the operation of drone repair workshops within Russian forces.
Russian Legal Action Related to "LGBT Propaganda": Russian sources report the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and others in Moscow as part of an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda" in books from another publisher, "Popcorn Books."
Russian Military Bloggers Report Advances on Krasnolimanskoe and Konstantinovka Directions and Reinforce Narratives: Russian military bloggers are sharing updated maps and tactical analyses claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka).
Ukrainian Ground Drone Operating Near Kupyansk: Ukrainian sources share a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk, highlighting Ukrainian adaptation and the use of UGVs.
Information Operations Related to Negotiations and Internal Issues: Russian military bloggers are engaging in information operations related to potential negotiations, framing the Ukrainian president negatively and discussing internal Russian cultural and ethnic sensitivities.
Ukraine Highlights Digital Transformation Leadership: Ukrainian sources report that Kryvyi Rih has been recognized as the leader in Ukraine for digital transformation.
Russian State Media Promotes Cultural and Historical Narratives: Russian sources are sharing information about teleconferences between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk, framed around the 80th anniversary of Victory Day, and announcing a documentary film about the first president of Abkhazia, highlighting regional historical narratives.
TikTok Reportedly Restricts Videos Related to European Leaders' Trip to Kyiv: Russian sources report, citing "Bloomberg," that TikTok has restricted the visibility of videos featuring Macron and Merz on a train to Kyiv at the request of the European Union.
Russian Military Blogger Discusses Polish Presidential Elections: Russian sources are providing an analysis of the upcoming Polish presidential elections, outlining candidates and linking the outcome to potential implications for Poland's role in the conflict.
Surrender of Russian Soldier Reported: Ukrainian sources share a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction.
Negotiation Dynamics and US Involvement: Reports suggest that American and European officials persuaded President Zelenskyy to continue planned negotiations in Turkey after he expressed hesitation, and that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff argued that participating in direct talks is a win-win situation for Ukraine.
Allegations of Ukrainian Arms Smuggling: Russian sources claim to have found new facts about alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, citing examples of drones and anti-tank weapons being sold online with delivery to Europe.
Russian State Propaganda Targeting Children: Russian sources report that the team of propagandist Vladimir Solovyev is launching a program for children called "SolovyevKids" focused on presenting current political events from a "patriotic" perspective and forming "analytical thinking" from an early age.
Putin-Lula da Silva Phone Conversation: Russian sources report that Vladimir Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva during his technical stop in Moscow.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast: Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russia officially claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Russian military bloggers continue to claim advances and territorial control in various areas, including near Otradnoye and Bogatyr, and are pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports tense fighting in the vicinity of Toretsk, claiming Russian control of "practically the entire city" but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in both defensive and offensive operations, utilizing drone capabilities effectively. Civilian casualties and damage from shelling are reported (Luhansk, previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on the front lines, control of populated areas, and fortifications on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian drone control points and logistical assets in Donetsk Oblast. Death of a Ukrainian soldier reported near Toretsk (previously). Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka area towards Zelenoye Pole. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and outlining the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attacks. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including Russian objectives of cutting off Ukrainian groupings and reaching key settlements like Izium and Sloviansk, and describing ongoing battles and the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Z комитет + карта СВО shares updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka). Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, claiming Russian control of dominant heights allows them to target Ukrainian logistics in Konstantinovka using FPV drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction.
Kursk Oblast (Russia): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use in the Tetkino area are reported. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing ongoing shelling and a challenging environment here from the perspective of local residents. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast held in Ukraine, referring to them as "valuable assets" and potentially seeking to exchange them for "Azov" fighters. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, "russoriz" (likely referring to Ukrainian military actions) continues thanks to the work of Ukrainian territorial defense forces who have allegedly destroyed Russian personnel and motorcycles. Colonelcassad shares disturbing images and commentary related to alleged Ukrainian casualties near MA PP "Sudzha," which is in the vicinity of Kursk Oblast.
Sumy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on this direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners. Russian sources claim forceful mobilization and engagement of Ukrainian cooks in this area (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast, which is adjacent to Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, potentially impacting this and other border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating Russian presence and administrative efforts. РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three, and May 15th has been declared a day of mourning.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups at a personnel accumulation point using SDB bombs (previously). Air raid alert declared due to the threat of Russian aviation (previously), but later cleared. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, with discussions on the region's recovery, highlighting the significant percentage of occupied territory and the impact of shelling and casualties. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA discussed the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports one FAB strike in the Zaporizhzhia area, close to the front line. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border to gain fire control over a logistical hub (previously). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in the oblast while advancing (previously). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the locations of Ukrainian forces in the Dnipro area. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces have advanced over 2.5 km westwards from Novosyolka towards the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" and fled, being apprehended later. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.
Chernihiv Oblast: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint in the Chernihiv region.
Transnistria (Moldova): Mentioned in the context of Russian diplomatic tension with Moldova over historical textbook content.
Moldova: Experiencing diplomatic tension with Russia over historical textbook content regarding the Transnistrian conflict. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy. Russian MFA condemns Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria.
Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict.
Lithuania: International military exercises "Thunder Fortress 2025" are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure.
Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations.
United Kingdom: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities.
Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk.
Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in this area. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, which is in the general vicinity of Velikaya Novosyolka, and mentions the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction.
Mariupol (Donetsk Oblast): ASTRA shares a video of residents appealing to the Russian parliament about housing issues and alleged corruption (previously). Mash на Донбассе reports the discovery of a weapons cache from WWII in Mariupol.
Luhansk: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. ТАСС shares video footage of the alleged aftermath of this attack. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, resulting in damage and casualties among emergency responders.
Kaluga (Russia): Incident involving a woman setting fire to Russian National Guard vehicles reported (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on this incident, highlighting the alleged actions of the woman.
Novosibirsk Oblast (Russia): Criminal case opened against a regional official (previously).
Khimki (Moscow Oblast, Russia): Video reportedly shows fresh graves at a cemetery (previously).
Kherson Oblast: Russian Ministry of Defense shares a video of snipers undergoing drills (previously). Sentencing in an assassination attempt case reported (previously). Ukrainian Air Force warns of drone threat (previously), but later lifted. Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian personnel in Mkhy and at MA PP "Krest," and an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya. Colonelcassad reports a drone attack on an ambulance in Novaya Zburyevka, Kherson Oblast, during a claimed ceasefire period (reported previously in the 6-hour old data).
Republic of Crimea: Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of a Ukrainian UAV (previously). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO," related to this region.
Stavropol Krai (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police for corruption.
Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian UAVs (previously). Reports of shelling (previously). Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian drone strike on the Belgorod regional government building resulted in injuries during a claimed ceasefire period (reported previously in the 6-hour old data).
Verona (Italy): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference.
Krasnoyarsk (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process.
Pokrovsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Mirolyubovka was liberated on this direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators here.
Nizhny Novgorod (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a trip for children to Minsk focusing on shared history. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman here.
Minsk (Belarus): Destination for a trip for children from Nizhny Novgorod focusing on historical sites.
Habarovsk Krai (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a procedural update for the Interior Ministry. Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Interior Ministry here.
Perm (Russia): Alex Parker Returns reports a disturbing alleged violent crime here. TASS reports on a temporary closure of a bar here due to sanitary violations following the discovery of a deceased person. Alex Parker Returns shares a video related to a protest and alleged murder in Perm.
Rostov Oblast (Russia) (Kuzminsky training ground, Chkalovo, Kamensk-Shakhtinsky): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground here, specifically identified as the Kuzminsky training ground near Chkalovo. ASTRA provides additional details, including that the escapees are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, highlighting ongoing challenges with personnel management and recruitment practices. Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, which allegedly produces rocket fuel for Russian MLRS and Iskander missiles.
Kryvyi Rih (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine): Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike here, including many child casualties. Олександр Вілкул reports that Kryvyi Rih is the leader in Ukraine for digital transformation.
Leningrad Oblast (Russia): TASS reports on sanitary violations in a cafe where a child died from poisoning here.
Moscow Oblast (Russia) (Ramenky): Новости Москвы reports a raven attack on a teenager here.
Penza (Russia): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from a military event here on May 9th.
Syria: Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from here to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group.
Slovakia: РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted the economy here.
Hungary: РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted the economy here. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border with Ukraine.
Kyrgyzstan: Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" here, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred.
Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine): Colonelcassad reports a man here allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" and fled.
Chechnya (Russia): ASTRA reports on an incident here where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya.
Bilozershchyna (Cherkasy Oblast, Ukraine): Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna.
White Church (Kyiv Oblast, Ukraine): Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP related to the Savior-Transfiguration Cathedral in White Church, claiming the cathedral belongs to the OCU.
Kharkiv (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology.
Khmelnytskyi (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the Khmelnytskyi NPP.
Rivne (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the Rivne NPP.
South Ukraine (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the South Ukraine NPP.
Chornobyl Zone (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports the transportation of spent fuel to the Chornobyl zone is occurring without full observation.
Novopavlivka direction (likely Donetsk Oblast): РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses.
Tsiolkovsky (Amur Oblast, Russia): TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city from a natural fire.
Istanbul (Turkey): Location of potential negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey.
Donetsk City (Donetsk Oblast): Басурин о главном shares photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk.
St. Petersburg (Russia): Басурин о главном shares photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk.
Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk.
Black Sea: Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland involving a civilian tanker that is part of the "shadow fleet" used for transporting Russian oil.
Gulf of Finland: Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident here involving Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempting to intercept a civilian tanker and the intervention of a Russian Su-35.
Baltic Sea: Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place here involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft, previously). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce (previously). Air alert issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Claims of Ukrainian forces using FPV drones in Kursk. Ukrainian showcase of a drone with a grenade launcher. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone near Malinivka. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 135 Ukrainian UAVs over the past day. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously), but later lifted in Kherson and Mykolaiv. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a shot down "Phoenix" drone. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast, which was later lifted. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point in the Sumy region and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, resulting in damage and casualties. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones on the black market.
Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts (previously). Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions (previously). Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing (previously). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reported the use of a FAB-3000 guided aerial bomb against alleged Ukrainian forces advancing on Tyotkino in the Kursk border region (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 8 US-made JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past day. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern and northeastern directions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports one FAB strike in the Zaporizhzhia area, close to the front line. Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland involving NATO aviation (including a Polish MiG-29) and the intervention of a Russian Su-35. Estonia has reportedly accused Russia of violating its airspace with a Su-35.
Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea (previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of one HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation). РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three.
Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas (previously). A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean (previously). Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues (previously). The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO," related to this region. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US, potentially impacting naval logistics and control. Два майора discusses the potential use of naval escorts for Russian merchant ships (previously). Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland involving Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempting to intercept a civilian tanker that is part of the "shadow fleet" used for transporting Russian oil. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure.
Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems (previously). Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 135 Ukrainian UAVs, 9 JDAM bombs, and 2 HIMARS projectiles over the past day. Colonelcassad shares photos related to an SA-6 Gainful system, relevant to air defense. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares images of a SAM system, likely a S-75 Dvina, in a deployed position, discussing its potential use and vulnerability. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs.
Artillery Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian artillery shelling impacting residents in Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 13 field artillery guns and mortars over the past day across all directions. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports over 54,018 enemy shellings in the Zaporizhzhia region since the beginning of 2025 (likely a typo for 2022). The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a 120-mm mortar in Progress. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery by both sides. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that there has been increased shelling on the Novopavlivsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video showing Russian artillery working and commenting on alleged Ukrainian artillery fire.
Anti-Personnel Mines: Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners.
Mining: Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border.
Electronic Warfare (EW): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals. While diplomatic efforts persist (Zelenskyy-Erdogan call, Turkish mediation efforts), messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO reports that the Kremlin will announce Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks when Putin deems it necessary, and notes speculation about Lavrov and Ushakov. Colonelcassad also reports that the Russian delegation in Istanbul will be led by Lavrov and Ushakov. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Russia continues to prepare for the Istanbul talks and that the Kremlin will announce who will represent Russia when Putin deems it necessary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 echoes Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) claims that Russia made it clear that a delegation led by Yury Ushakov will go to Istanbul, and portrays Zelenskyy's desire to meet Putin as an obstacle to peace talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the ongoing preparations for Istanbul talks and Peskov's statement, expressing skepticism about the process. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, referring to them as "valuable assets" and using them as "hostages." TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that negotiations in Istanbul will touch upon territorial issues and sustainable settlement, and that Russia is ready for dialogue but doubts the readiness of opponents. Воин DV also reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks and that the US delegation will be led by Secretary of State Rubio. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators. НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Зеленський / Офіційний reiterates his stance on the situation at the front and readiness for negotiations in Turkey, emphasizing that how the war ends depends on the world. Colonelcassad comments that during the negotiations, Ukraine and the "cocaine coalition" might try to disrupt them.
International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry (previously). The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine (previously). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, highlighting international partnerships for recovery. STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum, implying the need for continued international efforts to pressure Russia. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary, two countries with ties to Russia, potentially influencing their stance on the conflict and aid to Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, focusing on energy and financial markets. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from the Polish Minister of National Defense that Poland will not send troops to Ukraine, clarifying Poland's role as a logistical and infrastructural hub. Воин DV reports that Poland's Foreign Minister Sikorski stated that Poland will not send troops to Ukraine even if other NATO countries do. Воин DV reports that Politico states that at the NATO summit in The Hague (June 24-25), the increase of military expenditures to 5% of GDP by 2032 will be discussed, and Ukraine's accession to the alliance is not a priority. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying that some Western aid is being diverted.
Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy. Russian MFA condemns Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO and Colonelcassad report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reiterate Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that negotiations in Istanbul will touch upon territorial issues and sustainable settlement, and that Russia is ready for dialogue but doubts the readiness of opponents. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators. НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Зеленський / Офіційний reiterates his stance on the situation at the front and readiness for negotiations in Turkey, emphasizing that how the war ends depends on the world. Colonelcassad comments that during the negotiations, Ukraine and the "cocaine coalition" might try to disrupt them.
Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing a Ukrainian MP, claims high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of two individuals suspected of state treason, alleging they were agents of the FSB. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on recovery and attracting investment. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective, referring to him as the "husband of the current dictator of Ukraine." The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential coercive recruitment practices. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. Олександр Вілкул reports that Kryvyi Rih is the leader in Ukraine for digital transformation. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Зеленський / Офіційний reiterates his stance on the situation at the front and readiness for negotiations in Turkey. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators.
Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue (Kaluga incident, previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers. TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS. Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and around 10 others in Moscow as part of an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda" in books from another publisher, "Popcorn Books." "Eksmo" denies involvement and states the claims are related to the other publisher. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages." TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Новости Москвы reports the State Duma adopted a law on requirements for the level of localization of taxis. ТАСС reports from May 23, online appeals to the Ministry of Internal Affairs will be accepted only through confirmed "Gosuslugi." Новости Москвы announces "Museum Night" from May 17-18. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for a sarcastic song "Za Nashikh," which was found to contain calls for violence by experts. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, highlighting ongoing challenges with personnel management and recruitment practices. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities. TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city of Tsiolkovsky in Amur Oblast from a natural fire. TASS reports that Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya." Kotsnews discusses internal cultural and ethnic sensitivities related to food delivery and Russian language proficiency among foreign nationals. ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and others in Moscow in an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda." "Eksmo" denies involvement and states the claims are related to the other publisher. Новости Москвы reports that a 4-year-old blogger has been included in the Forbes "30 under 30" ranking, highlighting a non-military domestic event. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the detention of individuals related to the "LGBT propaganda" investigation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying corruption and mismanagement of aid. ASTRA reports the detention of the head of the Novocherkassk administration for bribery (reported previously). ASTRA reports that former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev has claimed Russian irrecoverable losses in Ukraine are around 1 million and criticized the Russian system of power (reported previously). Alex Parker Returns reports on an alleged murder case in Perm (reported previously). ASTRA reports the conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK (reported previously). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 comments on Podolyak's statement regarding negotiations in Istanbul, expressing skepticism about his role. НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions of the Krasnodar Territory, Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts, and Crimea, suggesting ongoing defensive preparations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims to have found new facts about alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market. ASTRA reports the launch of a children's program focused on politics and patriotism by the team of propagandist Vladimir Solovyev. ТАСС reports that Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva.
Russia-Belarus Relations: Close cooperation reported with plans for a Belarusian Consulate General (previously).
UK-Russia Relations: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia in the UK, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities and straining relations. ASTRA reports the conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK (reported previously).
Russia-Lithuania Relations: Military exercises in Lithuania described by Russia as being directed against them indicate increased tension and military posturing in the Baltic region. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure.
Hungary-Ukraine Relations: Unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border could indicate increased tension or a shift in Hungary's posture towards the conflict. This requires verification. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Hungary. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. Воин DV reports that Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán accused Ukraine of cyberattacks to disrupt the Hungarian vote on Kyiv's EU membership.
Turkey-Russia Relations: Discussions continue regarding a potential meeting in Turkey (previously). STERNENKO, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that negotiations in Istanbul will touch upon territorial issues and sustainable settlement, and that Russia is ready for dialogue but doubts the readiness of opponents. Воин DV reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks and that the US delegation will be led by Secretary of State Rubio. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators. НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Зеленський / Офіційний reiterates his stance on the situation at the front and readiness for negotiations in Turkey. ТАСС reports that Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva.
Other International Developments: Armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya (previously). India-Pakistan conflict remains an external development (previously). ASTRA reports on the outcome of a mayoral election in the Philippines involving a candidate under ICC arrest. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia and potential meetings. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process, including the potential involvement of third countries and international organizations. Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology, and there is a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from several Ukrainian NPPs to the Chornobyl zone. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week. Рыбарь provides an analysis of the upcoming Polish presidential elections. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks and that the US delegation will be led by Secretary of State Rubio. Воин DV reports that Politico states that at the NATO summit in The Hague (June 24-25), the increase of military expenditures to 5% of GDP by 2032 will be discussed, and Ukraine's accession to the alliance is not a priority. ТАСС reports that Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure.
Judicial System (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police for corruption. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers. Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for "discrediting" the army. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, potentially highlighting illegal activities. ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and around 10 others in Moscow in an extremism investigation related to "LGBT propaganda." ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and others in Moscow in an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda." "Eksmo" denies involvement and states the claims are related to the other publisher.
Financial Sector (Ukraine): Discussion regarding changes to limits on card transfers and payments via IBAN (previously).
Financial Sector (Russia): Reports on Sber and VTB canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs (previously). TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened this week, focusing on energy and financial markets.
Ukraine-US Relations: РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources (previously). Fighterbomber comments on this agreement (previously). STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks and that the US delegation will be led by Secretary of State Rubio.
Demographics (Ukraine): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the severe demographic impact of the war on Ukraine, with deaths significantly exceeding births in 2024.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: Alleged involvement of Russian special services in a fire in Warsaw as accused by Poland (reported previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. Филолог в засаде comments on internal Russian military discussions and potential areas for reform. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats." Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Interior Ministry. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses. Alex Parker Returns reports a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground in Rostov Oblast. TASS reports on a temporary closure of a bar in Perm due to sanitary violations following the discovery of a deceased person. Новости Москвы reports a raven attack on a teenager in Ramenky. TASS reports on sanitary violations in a cafe in Leningrad Oblast where a child died from poisoning. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, causing controversy among pro-war channels. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages." TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Новости Москвы reports the State Duma adopted a law on requirements for the level of localization of taxis. ТАСС reports from May 23, online appeals to the Ministry of Internal Affairs will be accepted only through confirmed "Gosuslugi." Новости Москвы announces "Museum Night" from May 17-18. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for a sarcastic song "Za Nashikh," which was found to contain calls for violence by experts. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, highlighting ongoing challenges with personnel management and recruitment practices. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities. TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city of Tsiolkovsky in Amur Oblast from a natural fire. TASS reports that Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya." Kotsnews discusses internal cultural and ethnic sensitivities related to food delivery and Russian language proficiency among foreign nationals. ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and others in Moscow in an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda." "Eksmo" denies involvement and states the claims are related to the other publisher. Новости Москвы reports that a 4-year-old blogger has been included in the Forbes "30 under 30" ranking, highlighting a non-military domestic event. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the detention of individuals related to the "LGBT propaganda" investigation. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying corruption and mismanagement of aid. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions of the Krasnodar Territory, Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts, and Crimea, suggesting ongoing defensive preparations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims to have found new facts about alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market. ASTRA reports the launch of a children's program focused on politics and patriotism by the team of propagandist Vladimir Solovyev. ТАСС reports that Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva. Alex Parker Returns reports on recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka. Russian artillery and missile systems are actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personnel mines. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones (previously). Russian MoD footage showcases various military units in action, likely for propaganda purposes. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in the Toretsk area, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area. Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling. Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and successful assaults. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting issues with military infrastructure. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing Russian objectives and ongoing battles, including the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, and reports the military is searching for the remaining escapees. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating Russian presence and administrative efforts. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. Z комитет + карта СВО shares updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka). Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, claiming Russian control of dominant heights allows them to target Ukrainian logistics in Konstantinovka using FPV drones. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. Colonelcassad shares photos of a captured British Coyote TSV. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian territorial defense forces have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions of the Krasnodar Territory, Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts, and Crimea, suggesting ongoing defensive preparations and potential reinforcement of border defenses.
Casualty Reports and Morale: Authorities in Bashkortostan have acknowledged the deaths of five thousand residents in the war (previously). Ukrainian intelligence intercept reports significant losses and low morale in a Russian unit in Bryansk Oblast (previously). Death of a Ukrainian soldier reported near Toretsk (previously). Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing ongoing shelling and fear among residents, with access to Sudzha and dozens of villages remaining closed due to Ukrainian artillery shelling. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian personnel losses across all operational zones over the past day. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades, potentially aimed at portraying low morale and internal conflict within Ukrainian ranks. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report casualties among emergency responders due to a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties and injuries. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that Russian forces are suffering significant losses on the Novopavlivsk direction. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel who "didn't stay at home." STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian territorial defense forces have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Logistical and Equipment Issues: The reliance on volunteer support for equipment like motorcycles suggests potential logistical gaps or needs within some Russian units (previously). Ukrainian claims of destroying Russian trucks and "bukhankas" in Donetsk Oblast highlight successful targeting of Russian logistics (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a drone. Военкор Котенок reports that access to Sudzha and dozens of villages in Kursk remains closed due to Ukrainian artillery shelling, impacting daily life and potentially logistics. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. Colonelcassad shares photos of a captured British Coyote TSV. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones, NLAW, AT-4, and Panzerfaust on the black market, implying potential logistical issues and diversion of Western aid within Ukraine.
Information Operations: Russia continues to promote narratives about the conflict and internal issues. The Russian MoD is releasing footage of military operations. Maria Zakharova's condemnation of Moldovan textbooks serves a specific narrative about Russia's role in regional conflicts. Adam Kadyrov's receipt of another medal is likely used to promote his status and the security structures he is associated with. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory and the presence of a Polish mercenary in Kursk Oblast are likely used to portray Ukraine and its allies as aggressors. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" are a direct form of information warfare and propaganda (previously). Updated operational maps shared by Colonelcassad visually represent the conflict from a pro-Russian perspective, highlighting claimed Russian gains. Russia is framing military exercises in Lithuania as being directed against them and is stating they will take countermeasures. Alex Parker Returns' reporting on the unconfirmed Hungarian armor movement near the Ukrainian border, including a subsequent photo and text, suggests a Russian narrative is being formed around this event. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers, which has implications for the internal information space. TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts, indicating a strategic effort to control information and promote a specific narrative. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire, which is part of the information war. TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, which can be used to portray political instability in a neighboring country. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary contrasting the perception of World War II and the Ukraine conflict, touching on the brutality and potentially serving as commentary on narratives. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment, which can be framed positively for domestic consumption. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone, likely for propaganda. Colonelcassad claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka and shares a video, which is a clear information operation. Два майора also confirms the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. Военкор Котенок reports the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area, which is an information operation to claim territorial gains. Военкор Котенок shares a report on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast, which can be used to highlight the impact of Ukrainian shelling on Russian territory. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, which includes political commentary. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day, serving as patriotic propaganda. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting alleged corruption within Ukrainian TCCs, likely to undermine trust in Ukrainian institutions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet, which is a patriotic and military-focused information piece. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo of social media comments discussing the "mercy" of WWII versus the current conflict, which can be used to highlight critical views within Russia or for propaganda. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, and TASS shares video footage of the aftermath, both contributing to the information war. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg, highlighting the ongoing crackdown on dissent and information control within Russia. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks and for propaganda. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accusing them of inciting inter-ethnic hatred and linking it to elections and "Russophobia." The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes, which is a form of propaganda showcasing military capabilities. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, emphasizing the casualties among emergency responders, likely to portray Ukraine as targeting civilians and emergency services. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, serving an information operation purpose. The Russian SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast held in Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters, which is a clear information operation to portray Ukraine negatively and potentially create leverage for prisoner exchanges. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting alleged corruption and inadequate construction in a critical border region, which serves as an internal information operation acknowledging issues but framing it as a legal matter. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities regarding religious symbols, likely leveraged by both pro- and anti-Kremlin sources. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement, using derogatory language and promoting the Russian narrative on negotiations. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential human rights concerns related to military recruitment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Handelsblatt article about a potentially "soft" 17th EU sanctions package, using it to argue that Western sanctions are ineffective. ТАСС reports from May 23, online appeals to the Ministry of Internal Affairs will be accepted only through confirmed "Gosuslugi." Новости Москвы announces "Museum Night" from May 17-18. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, which is part of military blogging and information dissemination. Рыбарь's commentary on nuclear waste in Ukraine, using the term "black hole," is a clear information operation aimed at raising concerns about nuclear safety and portraying Ukraine negatively. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the destruction of Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, likely for propaganda purposes. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone, likely for propaganda and morale boosting. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, likely part of an information operation to portray Russian control and administrative efforts. Басурин о главном shares photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk, promoting cultural exchange and historical narratives. WarGonzo announces a documentary film about the first president of Abkhazia, highlighting regional historical narratives. Alex Parker Returns reports, citing "Bloomberg," that TikTok has restricted the visibility of videos featuring Macron and Merz on a train to Kyiv at the request of the European Union, suggesting efforts to control information on social media. Рыбарь provides an analysis of the upcoming Polish presidential elections, outlining candidates and linking the outcome to the conflict. Kotsnews shares a poll related to a potential meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy, framing the latter as "illegitimate" and expressing negative sentiment towards the meeting within their audience. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying corruption and mismanagement of aid. ASTRA reports the launch of a children's program focused on politics and patriotism by the team of propagandist Vladimir Solovyev. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction, likely for propaganda. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators, likely for propaganda. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims to have found new facts about alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market.
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Adam Kadyrov was awarded a medal on the 25th anniversary of OMON "Akhmat-Grozny." An international boxing tournament in Bryansk involving Russian and Belarusian силові відомства ( силові відомства) highlights continued cooperation and joint events (previously). A trip for Russian children to Minsk focusing on shared history reinforces these ties (previously). ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from a military event in Penza on May 9th. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. Басурин о главном shares photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk, framed around Victory Day and promoting historical narratives.
Political Dynamics: Adam Kadyrov being awarded a medal is a political act highlighting his status. TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy, highlighting political tensions in a neighboring country. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg, highlighting potential political repression. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, linking it to upcoming elections and "Russophobia." ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement, using political rhetoric. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential human rights concerns related to military recruitment. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for "discrediting" the army. TASS reports that Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya." 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. ASTRA reports the detention of the head of the Novocherkassk administration for bribery. ASTRA reports that former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev has claimed Russian irrecoverable losses in Ukraine are around 1 million and criticized the Russian system of power. Alex Parker Returns reports on an alleged murder case in Perm. ASTRA reports the conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that negotiations in Istanbul will touch upon territorial issues and sustainable settlement. Воин DV reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks. Воин DV reports that Politico states that at the NATO summit in The Hague (June 24-25), the increase of military expenditures to 5% of GDP by 2032 will be discussed, and Ukraine's accession to the alliance is not a priority. Воин DV reports that Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán accused Ukraine of cyberattacks to disrupt the Hungarian vote on Kyiv's EU membership. ТАСС reports that Putin had a phone conversation with Brazilian President Lula da Silva. ASTRA reports the launch of a children's program focused on politics and patriotism by the team of propagandist Vladimir Solovyev. Alex Parker Returns reports on recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Industrial Capacity: An infographic indicates a significant increase in production at Russian defense plants since 2022 across aircraft, explosives, and artillery sectors (previously). This points to a substantial military-industrial capacity and efforts to sustain the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, highlighting potential targeting of industrial infrastructure. Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov Oblast, which allegedly produces rocket fuel for Russian MLRS and Iskander missiles. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions of the Krasnodar Territory, Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts, and Crimea, suggesting ongoing defensive preparations and potential reinforcement of border defenses.
Naval Strategy: Russia's reiteration of its ambitious shipbuilding strategy emphasizes a long-term focus on strengthening its naval power (previously). Два майора discusses the potential use of naval escorts for Russian merchant ships (previously). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO." Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US, which could have implications for naval control and energy security. Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland involving a civilian tanker that is part of the "shadow fleet" used for transporting Russian oil. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure. Рыбарь reports on an alleged incident in the Baltic Sea where Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempted to intercept a civilian tanker heading to a Russian port.
Veteran Support Issues: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front (previously). ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans (previously). TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities.
Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants who received citizenship were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service. This indicates Russian efforts to recruit personnel. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground in Rostov Oblast, highlighting challenges and potential risks associated with Russia's recruitment efforts, particularly from correctional facilities. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential issues with voluntary recruitment. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, confirming they are former convicts contracted for deployment to Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization efforts. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Military Strategy and Tactics (Internal Discussion): Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics and the need for better interaction between branches of troops. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post discussing tactical medicine practices within the Russian military. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, discussing Russian tactics and use of FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions of the Krasnodar Territory, Rostov and Belgorod Oblasts, and Crimea, suggesting ongoing defensive preparations and potential reinforcement of border defenses.
Nuclear Safety Concerns (Information Operation): Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology, and there is a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from several Ukrainian NPPs to the Chornobyl zone. This is presented as a significant risk by the Russian source.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Humanitarian Situation: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure in Luhansk (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling, impacting residents and causing fear. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption, which can impact public services. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, claiming civilian casualties. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties and injuries. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports over 54,018 enemy shellings in the Zaporizhzhia region since the beginning of 2025 (likely a typo for 2022) and highlights the large number of people under occupation. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report casualties among emergency responders due to a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing the fear among residents in Kursk Oblast due to ongoing shelling. РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three, and May 15th has been declared a day of mourning.
Military Support (Ukraine): The EU is allocating an additional €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition (previously). Taiwan is allocating $2 million for demining efforts (previously). A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses regional recovery, which indirectly supports the overall Ukrainian effort (previously). DeepState reported the creation of a specialized EU-Ukraine Defense Cooperation Task Force to accelerate the production of drones, missiles, and UAVs, with significant EU investment (€1 billion already, plus €900 million expected) funded by frozen Russian assets (previously). ASTRA highlights Ukrainian Magura V5/V7 maritime drones and their use in destroying Russian military assets (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the expanding "Pentagon" drone unit is recruiting (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles to Ukraine (previously). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction and requests donations. РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on recovery and attracting investment. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on increased movement of military equipment and goods into Ukraine during a claimed three-day "truce." ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones, NLAW, AT-4, and Panzerfaust on the black market.
Military Support (Russia): Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment for fighters on the Kursk front (previously). "Humanitarian Aid Omsk" and "Народная милиция ДНР" report on civilian/volunteer support and delivery of household appliances to Russian military units (previously). Colonelcassad reported on significant support provided to units of the "Vostok" group of forces, including drones, electronic warfare systems, vehicles, ground assault robots, and personal protective equipment, funded by subscribers and friends, and launched a new fundraising appeal for an assault infantry platoon (previously). TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding state support for culture and arts, which can be framed as supporting national identity linked to the military. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on fundraising for a drone and signal amplifier for a comrade, and Colonelcassad reports funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles as part of fundraising for equipment. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones." АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones, which can be repurposed. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying that Russia could acquire these weapons or gain intelligence on their systems. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions, suggesting investment in defensive infrastructure.
Rehabilitation: A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses rehabilitation services for veterans (previously).
Veteran Support Issues (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front. ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants.
Support for Ukrainian POWs and Families: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reported a meeting with families of defenders in the Volyn region to discuss prisoner exchanges, missing persons procedures, and communication with official structures (previously). Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome from Istanbul talks is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators.
Post-Conflict Recovery: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy, focusing on effective reconstruction strategies, energy efficiency, environmental friendliness, the role of communities and regions, innovation, business support, partnerships, and attracting investments. This highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery. TASS reports that Putin has instructed the restoration of cultural heritage sites in territories affected by combat and shelling (previously). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on the region's recovery, including housing for internally displaced persons and energy decentralization. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations.
Tactical Medicine (Russia): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post discussing tactical medicine practices within the Russian military. This indicates ongoing efforts to improve medical support for combat personnel.
Support for Civilians (Ukraine): Discussion regarding financial assistance for adopting a child (previously). Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 highlights the need for housing for internally displaced persons in the Zaporizhzhia region. РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three, and May 15th has been declared a day of mourning.
Civil Society Development (Ukraine): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations.
Cultural Exchange (Russian-Occupied Territories): Басурин о главном shares photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk, promoting cultural exchange.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, utilizing artillery, guided bombs, and a high volume of drones. Claiming the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment and inflicting losses. Employing tactical aviation. Utilizing Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B howitzers, Grad and Uragan MLRS. Russian MoD footage showcases these units in action. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Russian forces claim advances and territorial control, including the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and Mirolyubovka and recent advances in Toretsk, Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Messages on Russian drones explicitly reject a truce (previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on Russian positions and claimed control. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine, highlighting combined arms tactics. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area, involving infantry units and shelling Ukrainian positions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in the Toretsk area, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian artillery shelling in Kursk Oblast. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service, indicating recruitment efforts. Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," which can be seen as part of troop welfare. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and successful assaults. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting issues with military infrastructure. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing Russian objectives and ongoing battles, including the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, and reports the military is searching for the remaining escapees. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating Russian presence and administrative efforts. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. Z комитет + карта СВО shares updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka). Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, claiming Russian control of dominant heights allows them to target Ukrainian logistics in Konstantinovka using FPV drones. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. Colonelcassad shares photos of a captured British Coyote TSV. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian territorial defense forces have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones, NLAW, AT-4, and Panzerfaust on the black market. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions, suggesting investment in defensive infrastructure. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses (personnel, equipment, air defense systems, boats). Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces (previously). Utilizing maritime drones (previously). Seeking international support and military aid. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling (previously). Claiming destruction of Russian equipment, including air defense systems and boats (previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). Ukraine has excluded Lieutenant General Havryliuk from the Stavka. Ukraine is receiving significant military aid from the EU and the US (Patriot and HIMARS missiles). Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents who transmitted data on Ukrainian military locations. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award, highlighting recognition of military achievements. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers. Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson, highlighting individual experiences and training. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a shot down "Phoenix" drone. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Повітряні Силі ЗС України warns of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast, which was later lifted. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on an incident in Kaluga, Russia, allegedly involving a woman setting fire to National Guard vehicles. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades, potentially highlighting internal issues within Ukrainian forces. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, resulting in damage and casualties. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing Ukrainian defensive efforts and the use of artillery and drones by both sides. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel who "didn't stay at home." STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, "russoriz" (likely referring to Ukrainian military actions) continues thanks to the work of Ukrainian territorial defense forces who have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction.
Foreign Fighters: Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction.
Equipment and Tactics: Use of various types of drones (strike, reconnaissance, FPV, "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, quadcopters) by both sides. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERnenko highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZA highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video showcasing the claimed first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by an FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy is using a large amount of equipment in assaults on the Novopavlivsk direction. Z комитет + карта СВО shares updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka). Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, claiming Russian control of dominant heights allows them to target Ukrainian logistics in Konstantinovka using FPV drones. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces. Colonelcassad shares photos of a captured British Coyote TSV. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel who "didn't stay at home." STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian territorial defense forces have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones, NLAW, AT-4, and Panzerfaust on the black market. ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions, suggesting investment in defensive infrastructure. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video showing Russian artillery working and commenting on alleged Ukrainian artillery fire. Рыбарь reports on an alleged incident in the Baltic Sea where Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempted to intercept a civilian tanker and the intervention of a Russian Su-35.
PKK: Reportedly deciding to self-dissolve and transition to political methods (previously). (Басурин о главном, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns, Рыбарь)

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscores the strategic importance of this area. Russia's official claim of liberating Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka, if accurate, represents tangible tactical gains and contributes to their overall strategic objective of securing the Donbas region. The focus on pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast also indicates a potential strategic aim to gain fire control over key logistical hubs. DeepState's report of Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka confirms recent tactical gains in specific sectors, which have strategic implications for controlling key populated areas and logistical routes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's report on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective provides insight into claimed Russian progress and ongoing Ukrainian resistance in a key urban area. Сливочный каприз claiming Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area suggests ongoing Russian offensive actions aimed at expanding their control in western Donetsk. STERNENKO highlighting increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction underscores this area as a current focus of Russian offensive efforts. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and outlining the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway, which is a key logistical route. The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of Mirolyubovka reinforces this strategic objective. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction, indicating strategic targeting of Ukrainian concentrations. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, highlighting the strategic importance of this urban area. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including Russian objectives of cutting off Ukrainian groupings and reaching key settlements like Izium and Sloviansk. Z комитет + карта СВО shares updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe direction (near Makeyevka, Novomikhailovka, Novoe, Redkodub, Kolodezi) and the Konstantinovka direction (near Malinovka, Novaya Poltavka, Yelizavetovka). Colonelcassad provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Konstantinovka-Chasiv Yar area, claiming Russian control of dominant heights allows them to target Ukrainian logistics in Konstantinovka using FPV drones, indicating a strategic effort to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video claiming a Russian soldier surrendered to Ukrainian drone operators on the Pokrovsk direction, which, if confirmed, is a tactical event with potential intelligence value. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting the tactical risks in this area.
The ongoing diplomatic discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations highlight the continued international dimension of the conflict. However, the discovery of messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" (previously) and the uncertainty surrounding the level of Russian representation for the Istanbul talks, as reported by STERNENKO and echoed by other sources, are powerful counter-signals that directly undermine the prospects for immediate de-escalation and suggest a continued Russian commitment to military objectives over a negotiated settlement in the short term. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) commentary on the Russian delegation and Zelenskyy's actions further highlights the information war surrounding potential negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace, reiterating Ukraine's focus on the outcome of these talks as a key indicator of Russian intentions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Alex Parker Returns echo Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective, contributing to the information war surrounding negotiations. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks, which is a strategic narrative to diminish the influence of European actors. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, indicating continued Western pressure for de-escalation. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Zelenskyy is awaiting information on who will arrive from Russia for talks in Turkey and will then determine further steps, also mentioning the Pope's readiness for mediation. РБК-Україна reports that German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called on Putin to meet with Zelenskyy. Alex Parker Returns comments on Zelenskyy's statement about waiting for information on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, referring to him as a "military dictator." Ukraine has appointed a new ambassador to Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy was ready to block negotiations if Putin did not come to Istanbul, but was persuaded by American and European officials to send a delegation. Оперативний ЗСУ echoes the report about American and European officials persuading Zelenskyy to continue negotiations. Colonelcassad provides commentary on the upcoming negotiations, claiming Russia has outmaneuvered opponents, and speculating on potential outcomes and the roles of the US and Europe. Воин DV reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that negotiations in Istanbul will touch upon territorial issues and sustainable settlement, and that Russia is ready for dialogue but doubts the readiness of opponents. Воин DV also reports that Trump expects "good results" from the talks and that the US delegation will be led by Secretary of State Rubio. Воин DV cites Ukrainian sources stating Zelenskyy's desired outcome is a ceasefire and prisoner exchange with external mediators. НгП раZVедка provides commentary on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks, using derogatory language about Zelenskyy. Зеленський / Офіційний reiterates his stance on the situation at the front and readiness for negotiations in Turkey, emphasizing that how the war ends depends on the world. Colonelcassad comments that during the negotiations, Ukraine and the "cocaine coalition" might try to disrupt them.
The large-scale Russian drone attacks, coupled with continued heavy shelling and aviation strikes, demonstrate Russia's reliance on these methods to degrade Ukrainian defenses and inflict casualties. Ukraine's ability to counter these efforts through air defense and effective targeting with drones and SDB bombs highlights the ongoing adaptation and technological aspects of the conflict. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs and HIMARS in Kursk Oblast (previously), if verified, would represent a potential strategic escalation in the types of munitions used by Ukraine against targets within Russia. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast, which, if confirmed, is a strategic strike aimed at disrupting Russian logistics in a critical border region. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher highlights innovation in Ukrainian tactics and equipment, which can have strategic implications for future engagements. Народная милиция ДНР claiming destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine highlights the effectiveness of combined arms tactics. The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop indicates strategic targeting of Ukrainian military production capabilities. Военкор Котенок reporting on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling underscores the strategic impact of Ukrainian actions on Russian border regions. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk suggests Ukrainian targeting of logistical or industrial infrastructure in occupied territories. Повітряні Силі ЗС України warning of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast, and its subsequent lifting, indicates ongoing Russian aerial reconnaissance or attack capabilities and Ukrainian air defense responsiveness in this area. Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, would represent a significant development in Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and a potential new threat to targets within Russia. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use, suggesting Russian tactical success in countering Ukrainian forces in this area. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers within Russia highlight the ongoing strategic importance of these technologies and the resource demands of the conflict. The Ukrainian Air Force issuing and later lifting a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to attack drones indicates ongoing aerial threats in southern Ukraine. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and communication tower with EW highlights strategic targeting of Ukrainian command and control and intelligence capabilities. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном reporting a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, with casualties among emergency responders, is a strategic information point used to portray Ukraine negatively. STERNENKO sharing a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones highlights Ukrainian efforts to counter Russian intelligence gathering. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the destruction of Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, highlighting Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian strike capabilities. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating ongoing Russian missile threats. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets across multiple regions. РБК-Україна reports that the number of fatalities in Sumy due to a Russian strike has risen to three, highlighting the continued human cost of Russian missile strikes. Два майора reports about Russian marines using "anti-aircraft drones" to destroy Ukrainian reconnaissance and strike UAVs, highlighting adaptation in air defense tactics. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the capture of two intact Ukrainian drones, indicating opportunities for reverse engineering and intelligence gathering. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a video of a Ukrainian "Volya-Ye" ground drone operating near Kupyansk, highlighting the tactical deployment of unmanned ground vehicles. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about a drone repair workshop within Russian airborne forces, indicating a focus on maintaining and improving drone capabilities. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel, which could be related to successful tactical engagements. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, Ukrainian territorial defense forces have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles, indicating successful localized operations in border regions. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a Russian soldier allegedly killed by a drone near barbed wire on the Pokrovsk direction, illustrating the tactical effectiveness of drones in this area. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Switchblade 300/600 and Phoenix Ghost drones, NLAW, AT-4, and Panzerfaust on the black market, which, if confirmed, could have implications for the proliferation of advanced weaponry and provide intelligence on their systems.
The exclusion of Lieutenant General Havryliuk from Ukraine's Stavka is a notable change in high-level personnel and could indicate a shift in operational planning or leadership structure at the highest level of the Ukrainian military.
The EU's allocation of €900 million for weapons and ammunition, combined with the US approval of German transfer of Patriot and HIMARS missiles (previously), represent significant and tangible strategic support for Ukraine's defense capabilities. This aid directly contributes to Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense and potentially conduct offensive operations. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reporting on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery, which is a strategic long-term consideration. РБК-Україна reporting on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources suggests a strategic focus on leveraging natural resources for economic support and potentially military funding. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦's active preparation for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on critical infrastructure and internally displaced persons, underscores the strategic importance of post-conflict recovery and international partnerships for the long-term stability and resilience of Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks, highlighting strategic efforts to maintain international support for Ukraine's European integration. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, indicating continued Western pressure for de-escalation and potentially impacting Russia's ability to sustain the conflict. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is ready for any format of negotiations in Turkey and is not afraid of meetings, citing Zelenskyy. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from the Polish Minister of National Defense that Poland will not send troops to Ukraine, clarifying Poland's role as a logistical and infrastructural hub. Воин DV reports that Poland's Foreign Minister Sikorski stated that Poland will not send troops to Ukraine even if other NATO countries do, further clarifying the nature of Polish support. Воин DV reports that Politico states that at the NATO summit, the increase of military expenditures will be discussed, and Ukraine's accession is not a priority, indicating the focus of future NATO efforts and the challenges for Ukraine's membership aspirations. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying a potential challenge to the effectiveness and control of international military aid.
The diplomatic tension between Russia and Moldova over historical textbook content (previously), and the reports of criminal cases in Gagauzia (Moldova), reflect broader geopolitical dynamics and Russia's sensitivity regarding its historical narrative and influence in neighboring countries. Russian MFA condemning Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria reinforces this tension. Воин DV reports that Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán accused Ukraine of cyberattacks to disrupt the Hungarian vote on Kyiv's EU membership, highlighting a specific instance of friction between Ukraine and a European nation with ties to Russia.
The claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast and the alleged use of foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory are likely to be leveraged by Russia in information operations to portray the conflict as a proxy war involving NATO and other foreign powers, with the strategic aim of garnering domestic support and potentially influencing international perceptions. РБК-Україна reporting the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia provides counter-information on foreign fighter involvement.
Updated operational maps of Donetsk Oblast provide crucial visual information on the tactical situation, allowing for a better understanding of the current state of the front lines, areas of contestation, and the location of defensive fortifications, which is essential for strategic planning. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including potential Russian objectives and the current state of battles. Z комитет + карта СВО sharing updated maps claiming Russian advances on the Krasnolimanskoe and Konstantinovka directions reinforces Russian claims of territorial gains and visually depicts the changing front lines.
The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK (previously) highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad and has strategic implications for counterintelligence efforts and national security in NATO countries.
The reported deployment of new anti-personnel mines by Ukraine on the Sumy direction is a tactical adaptation with strategic implications for slowing down potential Russian advances and creating defensive obstacles in border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint in the Sumy region implies ongoing tactical engagements in this area. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, "russoriz" (likely referring to Ukrainian military actions) continues thanks to the work of Ukrainian territorial defense forces, indicating ongoing tactical efforts in border regions.
The armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, indicate a new area of instability and conflict that could have broader regional implications, potentially drawing the attention of international actors or impacting energy markets.
The military exercises in Lithuania and Russia's reaction to them highlight increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region, which is a strategically important area bordering both Russia and NATO countries. Два майора reports on SeaSEC Challenge Weeks 2025 exercises taking place in the Baltic Sea involving several NATO and European countries, focused on detecting and creating threats to underwater infrastructure, highlighting increased activity and focus on this strategically important area.
The unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border, if verified, could be a significant strategic development, indicating a potential shift in Hungary's stance or an attempt to exert pressure related to the conflict. This requires careful monitoring and verification. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Hungary, potentially influencing its political stance. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks, highlighting Hungary's obstructive stance within the EU. Воин DV reports that Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán accused Ukraine of cyberattacks to disrupt the Hungarian vote on Kyiv's EU membership, highlighting a specific instance of friction.
The detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk highlights the ongoing intelligence war within Ukraine and Russia's alleged efforts to gather information on Ukrainian military locations and movements. This underscores the importance of counterintelligence. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups, which aligns with Russian narratives about Ukrainian internal threats and sabotage. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. Украине is issuing a call for citizens in temporarily occupied territories to provide intelligence, highlighting the importance of human intelligence and the ongoing intelligence war.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones is a key component of their information strategy to portray the conflict as favorable to Russia. Analyzing these claims against other available information is crucial for assessing the actual impact of operations. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing explicitly states claimed Ukrainian losses across all operational zones, which is a direct strategic communication effort. Colonelcassad shares the Russian Ministry of Defense report detailing alleged Ukrainian losses.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award is strategically important for Ukrainian morale and countering Russian information operations targeting him. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces have destroyed Russian personnel, which, if verified, supports Ukrainian claims of inflicting losses.
The ASTRA report on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers highlights internal Russian dynamics related to information control and dissent, which can have implications for the broader political landscape.
TASS reporting on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts indicates a strategic effort to utilize these areas for ideological purposes and promote a specific narrative supporting the war effort. Басурин о главном sharing photos and information about a teleconference between young artists in St. Petersburg and Donetsk, framed around Victory Day and promoting historical narratives, is an example of this strategic effort.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire reflects discussions within the international community about the long-term consequences of the conflict and potential de-escalation scenarios.
The ASTRA report on the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai highlights significant corruption within Russian law enforcement, which can impact governance and potentially military effectiveness indirectly.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment is strategically relevant as it indicates Russian efforts to increase manpower for the conflict. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground highlights challenges and potential risks associated with Russia's recruitment efforts, particularly from correctional facilities. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential issues with voluntary recruitment. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, confirming they are former convicts contracted for deployment to Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization efforts. Alex Parker Returns shares information about recruitment posters for military service in Russia, highlighting financial incentives.
Сили оборони Півдня України sharing a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson highlights the human element of the conflict and efforts to support and recognize those involved, which is important for morale and public support.
Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reporting the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers is a Ukrainian information operation aimed at highlighting Russian losses, particularly among leadership.
Военкор Котенок sharing a report on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling is likely intended to highlight the impact of the conflict on Russian territory and potentially garner support for increased security measures or offensive actions. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting issues with military infrastructure in a critical border region. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters, which is a clear information operation to portray Ukraine negatively and potentially create leverage for prisoner exchanges. STERNENKO reports that in Kursk Oblast, "russoriz" (likely referring to Ukrainian military actions) continues thanks to the work of Ukrainian territorial defense forces who have allegedly destroyed 16 Russian personnel and 3 motorcycles, indicating successful localized operations in border regions and highlighting the impact of Ukrainian actions on Russian territory.
ASTRA reporting the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev highlights ongoing legal proceedings against individuals who have left Russia and are critical of the government.
Филолог в засаде commenting on internal Russian military discussions about strategy and tactics, including the slow integration of modern approaches, is strategically valuable as it provides insight into potential weaknesses or areas of friction within the Russian military command and planning.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting alleged high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs is a significant information operation aimed at undermining public trust in Ukrainian institutions and potentially discouraging mobilization efforts.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 sharing a detailed post on tactical medicine reflects efforts within the Russian military community to improve medical support for combat personnel, which is strategically relevant for maintaining force effectiveness and minimizing casualties. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border highlights the risks of special operations in border regions.
Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, could lead to a reassessment of the threat to Russian territory and potential adjustments in defensive strategies.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlighting the severe demographic impact of the war on Ukraine in 2024 is a critical strategic consideration for Ukraine's long-term sustainability, manpower, and recovery efforts.
TASS reporting the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans is a strategic move by the Russian government to address potential financial hardship among those involved in the conflict, likely aimed at maintaining morale and support.
Alex Parker Returns reporting a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm involving migrants, and the subsequent TASS report on the temporary closure of a bar, highlights potential internal social tensions and security concerns within Russia that could have indirect strategic implications. Alex Parker Returns sharing a video related to a protest and alleged murder in Perm engages with internal Russian social issues.
Олександр Вілкул highlighting the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties, is a powerful strategic communication effort aimed at underscoring the human cost of the conflict and garnering international sympathy and condemnation. Colonelcassad reporting a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" highlights potential resistance to mobilization efforts.
Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discussing potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group, and questioning the narrative, introduces a complex geopolitical dynamic involving multiple actors and potential shifts in alliances or energy flows, which could have strategic implications for regional stability.
РБК-Україна reporting that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary, two countries with ties to Russia, could influence their economic stability and potentially their political stance towards the conflict and aid to Ukraine.
Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred, linking it to upcoming elections and "Russophobia," highlighting potential internal instability and Russian information operations in Central Asia.
ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities regarding religious symbols within Russia, potentially impacting domestic support and narratives.
The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya, highlighting the strategic importance of prisoner exchanges and the potential complexities involved.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Handelsblatt article about a potentially "soft" 17th EU sanctions package, strategically using it to argue that Western sanctions are ineffective and to potentially influence perceptions of the impact of sanctions on Russia.
Рыбарь reporting on nuclear safety concerns in Ukraine is a strategic information operation aimed at raising international concerns and potentially influencing discussions about the control of nuclear facilities.
Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reporting on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP related to military service evasion highlights potential internal issues within Ukraine regarding mobilization and the role of religious institutions.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on increased movement of military equipment and goods into Ukraine during a claimed three-day "truce," suggesting potential strategic resupply efforts by Ukraine.
РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, indicating a strategic push towards key administrative boundaries with significant implications for territorial control and logistical routes.
Рыбарь provides an analysis of the upcoming Polish presidential elections, outlining candidates and linking the outcome to the conflict, which is strategically relevant for understanding potential shifts in a key allied nation.
Олександр Вілкул reports that Kryvyi Rih is the leader in Ukraine for digital transformation, highlighting internal Ukrainian efforts to enhance governance and efficiency, which is strategically important for resilience.
Russian sources are reporting an alleged incident in the Gulf of Finland involving Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempting to intercept a civilian tanker and the intervention of a Russian Su-35, which is a significant strategic development indicating direct interaction between NATO and Russian forces and raising concerns about escalation. Рыбарь reports on an alleged incident in the Baltic Sea involving Estonian naval and NATO air assets attempting to intercept a civilian tanker heading to a Russian port and the intervention of a Russian Su-35, corroborating the incident and adding detail about the involvement of NATO air assets.
Kotsnews shares a poll related to a potential meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy, which provides insight into public opinion within a specific Russian online community regarding the legitimacy of the Ukrainian president and the desirability of negotiations, which can inform Russian information operations.
ASTRA reports the detention of the distribution director of "Eksmo" publishing house and others in Moscow in an extremism investigation related to alleged "LGBT propaganda," highlighting ongoing internal cultural and legal crackdowns in Russia, which could have indirect impacts on social stability and international perception.
Новости Москвы reports that a 4-year-old blogger has been included in the Forbes "30 under 30" ranking, which, while a domestic event, can be strategically leveraged in information operations to showcase perceived Russian success and talent.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on alleged Ukrainian trading of Western weapons on the black market, implying corruption and mismanagement of aid, which is a strategic information operation aimed at discrediting Ukraine and potentially influencing the flow of Western military support.
ASTRA reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense is looking for a contractor to restore fortifications in the border regions, suggesting ongoing strategic investment in defensive infrastructure in anticipation of potential future threats or as a measure to consolidate current positions.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report